GOLD DIP ALERT! Sniping the $3,89x FIBO Floor Ahead of FOMC!FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Quick Insight (H1/M30 Focus)
Welcome Traders! Gold paused its sell-off near $4,065 as safe-haven demand returned pre-FOMC. Dovish Fed expectations are weakening the USD, setting the stage for a major rally. This is the final BUY ON DIPS setup!
🧠 INSIGHT & LOGIC
Fundamental Anchor: Weak US inflation and strong expectations for a Fed rate cut are the key drivers limiting downside. Long-term bias is Bullish.
Technical Focus: We are tracking the final deep correction to the $3,89x zone (Fibo 1.5 - 1.618 Extension). This is the ultimate technical floor for the ATH rally.
Action Plan: WAIT for the price to hit this extreme zone and confirm reversal (H1/M30).
🎯 KEY ACTION ZONES
🔥 CRITICAL BUY: $3,89x region ($3,881.435$).
Strategy: BUY on confirmation here.
TP TARGET 1: $4,037.647 (Immediate Resistance).
TP TARGET 2: $4,232.374 (Major Structural Resistance).
SL MANDATE: Place SL safely below the 1.618 Fibo zone.
Patience is key. Do NOT rush the entry! Is the $3,89x$ floor strong enough for the ATH rally? 👇
X-indicator
NIFTY Breakout Alert: Bullish Pennant Pattern on the 1H ChartNSE:NIFTY This chart highlights a classic bullish pennant pattern forming on the NIFTY 1-hour time frame. After a strong upward rally, NIFTY consolidated in a converging triangle, setting up for a potential breakout. The breakout above the pennant signals a strong continuation of the uptrend, with the measured move target projecting significant upside. Watch for sustained price action above 26,037.60 for bullish confirmation. The pattern remains valid unless there is a 15-minute close below the key support at 25,700 which would turn the outlook bearish. This idea provides actionable levels for traders to plan entries and manage risk.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 29, 2025)
Momentum
• D1: Momentum remains compressed, but yesterday’s candle closed with a long lower wick — a clear sign of weakening downside pressure. A bullish daily close today would confirm a potential D1 reversal.
• H4: Momentum is preparing to turn down from the overbought zone, yet the current upward move is still weak. We need to monitor whether price can hold above the previous low once H4 momentum drops toward oversold.
• H1: Momentum is falling, but price is supported around 3953 and capped near 3994.
As long as price holds above 3927 and avoids breaking 3892, the next H4 oversold phase could confirm a stronger upside structure.
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Wave Structure
• D1: The current decline equals 0.382 retracement of wave (3) yellow, a key Fibonacci level.
• H4: Wave (4) purple has already retraced 0.782 of wave (3) — unusually deep for a normal 4th wave (which typically stops around 0.382–0.5).
This suggests the ongoing correction may represent wave (4) yellow on the D1 timeframe.
If true, the market could now be forming wave W of a larger W–X–Y structure, meaning the upcoming recovery might only be a slow, overlapping X wave before another decline.
• H1: The 5-wave black structure seems completed.
A break above 3995, followed by a test of 4050, would confirm the end of wave (5) black and the start of a corrective move upward.
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Summary
Price volatility is still high — avoid limit orders for now and watch how price reacts at key zones.
• 🔹 Support: 3953 – 3927 – 3892
• 🔹 Resistance: 3994 – 4050
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 29.10.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 29.10.2025
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
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📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Gold Breaks Trendline: 4000 Back in FocusYesterday's trading session brought further downside pressure as gold pushed lower to test the 3880 zone, which is just above the monthly open. We have seen a decent recovery bounce from there, suggesting some buying interest is emerging at these lower levels. However, it's important to maintain perspective here while we're seeing short-term stabilization, the reversal signs on higher timeframes haven't materialized yet. We need to see more convincing price action and stronger closes on the larger timeframes before we can confidently call this as reversal to bullish case.
Also today we have extremely narrow CPR positioned at 3954. When we see such tight CPR levels, it often signals either an impending trend reversal or the potential for a high volatility session ahead. The early Asian session has already given us something to work with price is attempting to reclaim this CPR zone, which is a constructive development. Adding to the bullish case, we've also seen a breakout from the descending trendline structure that had been capping rallies over the past few sessions.
From a tactical perspective, the immediate support zone to monitor is 3900-3910.... If buyers can defend and sustain price action above this level, we could see gold make an attempt toward the first meaningful hurdle at 4000-4010. This target zone is particularly significant as it aligns with today's R1 pivot and the prior week's low, creating a confluence resistance area. A daily close above 4000-4010 would be an encouraging sign that momentum is genuinely shifting back in favor of the bulls and could open the door for further upside.
As for my positioning, I'm maintaining my existing buy positions and continuing to manage them as the price action develops. The risk-reward from these levels still appears favorable given the technical setup unfolding.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 29th October 2025📊 NIFTY INTRADAY TRADING PLAN
🟢 BUY SETUP
💹 Condition:
Enter Buy only if the 15-min candle closes above 26,000.
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 26,045
2️⃣ 26,090
3️⃣ 26,135
🧠 Pro Tip:
Wait for a strong candle close above 26,000 for confirmation.
Keep a stop-loss just below the breakout candle’s low.
🔴 SELL SETUP
📉 Condition:
Enter Sell only if the 15-min candle closes below 25,870.
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 25,825
2️⃣ 25,775
3️⃣ 25,730
🧠 Pro Tip:
Confirm breakdown with closing below 25,870.
Place stop-loss just above the breakdown candle’s high.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📜 This analysis is shared purely for educational and informational purposes.
📢 I am not a SEBI-registered analyst or advisor. Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Markets are subject to risk — trade responsibly.
Nifty 50 Contracting Triangle in 1hr🔹 What is a Contracting Triangle?
A Contracting Triangle is a sideways corrective pattern made up of five overlapping waves (A–B–C–D–E) that move within converging trendlines — meaning the highs get lower, and the lows get higher.
It reflects a balance between bulls and bears, where each wave becomes smaller as price compresses before a final breakout.
Gold Gathers Momentum Ahead of Fed's Move as Bulls Aim $4070Gold is in a bullish consolidation as prices made sharp upward bounce back off the lows of 3915 and reached a tad higher at 3982 which again faces intermediate resistance.
This may be an attempt to reset institutional order flows for some recovery towards 4050-4100-4150 before any major breakthrough in the directional move or a correctional A-B-C before the next impulse.
Intraday perspective shows buying dips around 3945-3935 as long as swing low of 3915 is intact, with potential upside move in the pipeline.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 29/10/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap up near the 26,000–26,050 zone, indicating strong buying interest after the recent consolidation phase. The index has been oscillating within a range, and today’s opening above the consolidation zone may trigger a directional move if sustained.
If Nifty holds above 26,050–26,100, it could extend gains toward 26,150, 26,250, and 26,450+ levels. A breakout above 26,250 will confirm bullish momentum and may lead to further upside toward 26,450–26,600 in the short term.
On the downside, immediate support lies near 25,950–25,900. A fall below 25,900 could invite minor profit booking, pushing the index toward 25,800 and 25,750 zones.
Overall, with a gap up opening above the consolidation zone, the market sentiment remains positive. Traders should focus on long positions above 26,050, while maintaining a trailing stop loss below 25,900 to safeguard profits.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(29/10/2025)Bank Nifty is likely to open with a gap up near the 58,250–58,300 zone, indicating continued strength from the previous session’s close. The index has broken out of a short-term consolidation zone, showing signs of bullish momentum building up once again.
If Bank Nifty sustains above 58,300, we can expect a move toward 58,450, 58,550, and 58,750+ levels. A breakout above 58,850–58,950 will further strengthen the trend and open the path toward the 59,100–59,250 zone.
On the downside, immediate support lies near 58,050–57,950. A fall below 57,950 may trigger mild profit booking, dragging the index toward 57,750 and 57,600 zones.
Overall, with a gap up opening, the sentiment remains positive and bullish. Traders should look for buying opportunities on dips above 58,100 while keeping a trailing stop loss near 57,950 to protect profits in case of volatility.
Testing Key Resistance Before Seasonal Up MovePrice is currently hovering near the top of the last resistance zone, while the rollover contract has opened slightly below it, signaling a pause after the recent rally.
If price closes below this level, a pullback toward the 3.56 support zone is likely — a healthy retest before the anticipated November weather-driven up move resumes.
Watch the 3.5 -3.6 level closely for signs of buyer re-entry and volume confirmation. A sustained hold there could mark the next leg of the seasonal bullish trend.
Swing Trade Setup | DALBHARAT🟢 Swing Trade Setup: DALBHARAT
Trade Type: Short-Term Swing
Entry Zone: Valuation-backed demand zone
Exit Timeline: Within 14 days
Approach: Tactical entry on pullback, exit on bounce
📌 Trade Rationale
- Entered during a phase of price correction, where the stock approached a historically supportive zone.
- Valuation indicators suggested the stock was trading below its fair range, offering a favorable risk-reward setup.
- Sector momentum and past performance hinted at a potential short-term recovery.
Swing Trade | Solar Industries – Tight Range CompressionPrice action is consolidating within a narrow range, reflecting indecision and potential buildup. This compression phase often precedes directional expansion. Structure remains intact, with lower volatility hinting at a possible breakout. Ideal for traders watching for range resolution and momentum cues.
Will exit within 14 days.
Gold Trading Strategy for 29th October 2025 (IST)🪙 TVC:GOLD Intraday Trading Plan
📈 Buy Setup:
🔹 Entry: Above the high of 15-min candle (Close > $3990)
🎯 Targets: $4000, $4015, $4030
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $3975 (or below candle low for confirmation)
📉 Sell Setup:
🔹 Entry: Below the low of 15-min candle (Close < $3915)
🎯 Targets: $3903, $3889, $3870
🛑 Stop Loss: Above $3930 (or above candle high for confirmation)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Trading in gold or any commodity involves substantial risk. This plan is for educational and informational purposes only — not financial advice. Always assess your own risk before entering any position. 📊
J Kumar Infraprojects LtdDate 29.10.2025
J Kumar Infraprojects
Timeframe : Weekly
About
(1) Engaged in the business of execution of contracts of various infrastructure projects
(2) Including Transportation Engineering, Irrigation Projects, Civil Construction and Piling Work
(3) It is amongst the top 5 EPC players eligible to undertake underground metro projects
(4) Amongst few companies qualified to undertake elevated & underground metro projects
Revenue Mix
(1) Metro - 40%
(2) Flyovers, Bridges & Roads - 49%
(3) Civil, Water & Others - 11%
Geographical Split
(1) Maharashtra - 74%
(2) NCR - 15%
(3) Tamil Nadu - 6%
(4) Other - 5%
Clientele
CIDCO, DMRC, MMRC, MSRDC, NHAI, JSW, MMRDA, TATA Steel, Indian Oi
Order Book
Current order book is around 20,000/- crores against the market cap of 4713 Cr
Order Book Break-Up
(1) Flyovers - 39%
(2) Roads - 24%
(3) Metro (Elevated) - 14%
(4) Metro (Underground) - 12%
(5) Civil & Others - 11%
Valuations
(1) Market Cap 4713 CR
(2) Stpock Pe 11.6
(3) Roce 20%
(4) Roe 14%
(5) Book Value 1.5 X
(6) Opm 15%
(7) Promoter 46.64%
(8) Profit Growth (TTM) 19%
Regards,
Ankur
Gold Trading Strategy | October 28-29✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Gold remains within a clear downward channel. Since falling from the 4381 level, the price continues to trade below major moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20), meaning the bearish trend structure is still intact.
Moving Averages:
MA5 and MA10 have formed a bearish crossover and continue to diverge downward, indicating that bearish momentum remains dominant.
MA20 sits above 4050, acting as a strong mid-term resistance.
If price fails to break above MA10 (around 3990), weak downward consolidation is likely to continue.
Bollinger Bands:
The lower band is expanding downward, and gold has remained near the band’s lower edge, signaling continuation of bearish pressure.
The middle band near 4050 remains a key resistance — failure to reclaim it will keep price under downside pressure.
✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis
After reaching the 3886 low, gold has seen a technical rebound, but price is currently hovering only between MA5 and MA10, showing that upward momentum is limited.
Price is now testing the Bollinger Bands middle line (3960–3970) — a key short-term resistance zone.
If gold breaks and holds above this level, the rebound may extend toward MA20 (3985–3990).
If it fails to break above and pulls back, the rebound concludes and price may retest 3900 or even make a new low.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3960–3970 / 3985–3990 / 4050
🟢 Support Levels: 3930–3925 / 3885–3890 / 3800
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to 3985–3990 and shows rejection, consider scaling into short positions, targeting 3930-3925.
🔰 If gold drops to 3880–3890 and stabilizes, consider light-lot long positions, targeting 3930-3950.
✅ Summary
There is short-term rebound demand, but the upside remains limited.
As long as price fails to break above 3990-4000, the bearish structure remains intact.
If gold drops back below 3930, the downtrend is likely to resume with momentum.
Euro Under Pressure from Strong USDThe euro continues to show weakness against the dollar as global risk sentiment cools and investors shift toward safer assets. Market participants remain cautious ahead of key inflation data from the Eurozone and upcoming comments from Federal Reserve officials, which could clarify the next phase of U.S. monetary policy.
The recent euro recovery attempts have met consistent supply, reflecting pressure from subdued European growth and stronger U.S. economic resilience. The dollar remains supported by robust labor market conditions and persistent inflation expectations, which sustain demand for U.S. yields and Treasury assets.
Liquidity patterns suggest that institutions are still offloading positions near recent highs, keeping EUR/USD confined within a broader corrective cycle. Energy price fluctuations and diverging rate expectations between the ECB and the Fed continue to weigh on sentiment.
Overall, the pair remains under macroeconomic strain, with capital flows favoring the dollar as global markets seek stability am
KIRLOSENGKIRLOSENG - The stock has given a breakout after consolidating in a range for over 5 months.
Volume is strong, and EMAs are aligning well, but a follow-up candle is needed for confirmation.
Market structure looks bullish but price seems slightly stretched so waiting for a small retracement would be ideal.
1040 is a nearby resistance.
Keep it on your watchlist for paper trading.
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📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
GRAPHITE - Near 18months old ResistanceGRAPHITE - The market structure looks strongly bullish, and EMAs are perfectly aligned, confirming trend strength.
The stock is now approaching an 18-month-old resistance zone. A breakout above this level could open the door for a solid upside move.
However, it’s important to wait for a retest and proper confirmation before entering, even during paper trading.
Keep it on your watchlist for paper trading.
✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me here as a token of appreciation :)
in.tradingview.com/u/SatpalS/
📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.






















