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What happens when major indices (Nifty & BankNifty) align with What happens when major indices (Nifty & BankNifty) align with each other not only in terms of market structure but also in terms of trend direction & timing ? Well, we end up with high-probability trade environments that allows for asymmetrical risk-to-reward Note - While the 15-minute chart highlights the broader alignment, the timing and rejection behavior becomes much clearer when drilling down to the 5-minute structure
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by Kartikeya_Panchapakesan
XAUUSD 15M – Bullish Reversal Setup Explained Above 4700 Level After a strong sell-off, Gold is now reacting near a high-probability demand zone. 🔍 My Analysis & Thinking: • Price has reached the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the recent major swing • RSI (15 Min) is showing a clear bullish divergence • Selling momentum is weakening after the big fall • Structure suggests a potential higher low formation 📈 Trade Plan (IF–THEN Logic): ✅ IF price breaks above 4700 (yellow resistance zone) ✅ AND gives a clean retest + bullish confirmation ➡️ THEN BUY 🎯 Upside Targets: 4800 , 4900, 5000 zone (major supply & trendline confluence) 🛑 Invalidation: Breakdown below 61.8% (4500 -4550 level ) support with strong momentum ⚠️ This is a patience trade — confirmation > prediction. 📊 KEY LEVELS TO MENTION IN CAPTION Support Zone: 🔹 61.8% Fib – Major demand area Breakout Level: 🟡 4700 (Yellow Rectangle) Targets: 🎯 4800 → 4900 → 5000 Bias: 🔄 Short-term bullish after confirmation XAUUSD 15M – Bullish Reversal Setup Explained Above 4700 Level
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FOREXPILOTPRO
Gold Breaks Structure: Bears in Full Control1️⃣ Market Structure (Smart Money Concept) The uptrend that started mid-January has clearly ended. Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) to the downside confirm a trend reversal. Repeated ChoCH near the top shows distribution by smart money. Recent impulsive bearish leg = strong institutional selling, not retail noise. 📌 Conclusion: Market structure is now bearish. 2️⃣ Price Action Sharp impulsive bearish candles with minimal retracements → sellers in control. Demand zones are getting violated and flipped into supply. No bullish engulfing or accumulation pattern yet. Last candle closed near the lows, indicating no buyer absorption. 📌 Conclusion: Bearish continuation likely. 3️⃣ Moving Averages (Dynamic Resistance) Price is trading below all key EMAs (fast, mid, slow). EMAs have bearishly crossed and are fanning downward. Pullbacks are respecting EMA resistance perfectly. 📌 Sell zone: 4,600 – 4,650 (EMA + structure confluence) 4️⃣ Volume Analysis Breakdown happened with expanding volume → confirmation. Selling volume dominates buying volume. No volume divergence yet → trend still healthy. 📌 Conclusion: Bears have strength and commitment. 5️⃣ Key Levels (High Probability Zones) 🔴 Resistance (Sell on Rally) 4,650 – 4,600 → Broken structure + EMA zone 4,720 – 4,760 → Previous demand → supply flip 🟢 Support / Targets 4,540 → Intraday reaction zone 4,480 → Liquidity pocket 4,402 → Major swing low & HTF support 4,286 → Weekly demand (if panic selling continues) 6️⃣ Liquidity & Session Bias Equal lows (W) have been taken out → liquidity grab completed. After liquidity sweep, price continued lower → true bearish intent. Expect London/NY pullback → sell continuation pattern. 7️⃣ Fibonacci Perspective Current pullbacks are holding below 38.2% retracement → weak bulls. Strong bearish trends usually respect 23.6% – 38.2% only. Deeper retracement (>50%) needed to consider bullish reversal. 8️⃣ Trade Bias & Scenarios ✅ Primary Scenario (High Probability) Sell on pullback below 4,650 Targets: TP1: 4,540 TP2: 4,480 TP3: 4,402 ⚠️ Invalidation Hourly close above 4,720 Structure reclaim + EMA hold needed for bulls 🧠 Final Verdict 📉 Trend: Strong Bearish 🔥 Momentum: Seller-dominated 🎯 Strategy: Sell rallies, not bottoms ❌ Avoid: Catching falling knife
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CarlosnCompany
2
XAUUSD – H4 Outlook: Liquidity ResetFebruary has opened with heightened volatility across global markets, and gold is no exception. After a strong upside run, XAUUSD has experienced a sharp corrective move, driven largely by deleveraging flows rather than a structural trend reversal. Current price action suggests gold is entering a rebalancing phase, where liquidity is being cleared before the market can attempt a renewed push higher. 📈 Market Structure & Higher-Timeframe Context Gold previously traded in a strong bullish structure, but the recent sell-off marked a clear market structure shift (MSS) on the H4 timeframe. The impulsive decline swept sell-side liquidity below prior consolidation zones, a typical behavior after an extended rally. Despite the speed of the drop, price is now approaching key support and demand areas, where selling pressure may begin to slow. This type of move often reflects position reduction and risk-off behavior, not the end of the broader bullish narrative. 🔍 Key Zones to Monitor Primary Support / Buy Zone: ~4,280 – 4,350 This area represents a strong demand zone where price may stabilize and form a base. Short-Term Reaction Zone: ~4,450 – 4,500 A zone where price could oscillate during consolidation, suitable for short-term reactions rather than trend trades. Sell-Side Liquidity Cleared: The recent drop has already taken liquidity below previous lows, reducing immediate downside pressure. Upside Rebalance Zones (FVG / Supply): ~4,850 – 4,900 ~5,200 – 5,350 These areas are likely to act as resistance during any recovery phase. 🎯 Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Controlled Correction (Base Case): Gold may continue to range or dip modestly into the 4,280–4,350 support zone, allowing the market to complete its liquidity reset. Holding this area would keep the broader bullish structure intact. Scenario 2 – Recovery After Stabilization: Once selling pressure is absorbed, price may begin a gradual recovery, targeting the 4,850–4,900 zone first. Acceptance above this level would open the door toward higher resistance areas. Scenario 3 – Deeper Reset (Lower Probability): A clean break below the main support would suggest a deeper correction, but at this stage, such a move would still be viewed as corrective within a larger cycle, not a full trend reversal. 🌍 Macro Backdrop (Brief) The sharp sell-off in gold, silver, equities, and crypto reflects a global deleveraging wave, intensified by rising geopolitical risks and shifting risk sentiment. In such environments, gold often experiences short-term drawdowns, even as its longer-term role as a hedge remains intact. This reinforces the idea that the current move is more about resetting positioning than changing long-term direction. 🧠 Lana’s View Gold is not in a hurry. After a powerful run, the market often needs to pause, rebalance, and absorb liquidity before the next meaningful expansion. Lana remains patient, focusing on how price behaves around key H4 support zones, rather than reacting emotionally to volatility. ✨ Let the correction do its work. Structure will guide the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
"BTCUSD WARNING THIS IS NOT A DIP… A MAJOR DROP IS COMING”⚠️ BTC MARKET WARNING – HIGH RISK ZONE AHEAD 🚨 This is not a normal analysis. This is a clear market warning. CRYPTO:BTCUSD is showing strong bearish signals on the higher timeframe, and ignoring these signs could be extremely costly. The chart clearly suggests that the market is preparing for a deeper correction, not a small pullback. 🔴 PRICE ACTION – DISTRIBUTION CONFIRMED Bitcoin has faced strong rejection near the top, visible through long upper wicks and consecutive bearish candles. After making higher highs, the market has lost structure, and price is now forming lower highs and lower lows. ➡️ This behavior typically signals a trend reversal, not a temporary dip. 🔴 KEY SUPPORTS HAVE TURNED INTO RESISTANCE Multiple important levels have already been broken: Previous support zones are now acting as strong resistance Price is failing to reclaim the 86,000 area, which is a major red flag This clearly indicates that buyers are losing strength, while sellers are in control. 🔴 RSI CONFIRMS BEARISH CONTINUATION Weekly RSI has dropped below the 45–44 zone This area historically signals bearish continuation Repeated bearish signals on RSI confirm weak market momentum ⚠️ When RSI breaks and holds below this level on higher timeframes, corrections often last weeks or even months. 🔴 DOWNSIDE TARGETS – THIS IS NOT A SMALL DROP If the current structure continues, the following downside levels are likely: 🎯 Target 1: ~83,200 🎯 Target 2: ~79,200 🎯 Target 3: ~70,000 (High-probability zone) This represents a potential 18–20% downside, which is completely normal on a weekly chart after a strong rally. 🔴 MARKET PSYCHOLOGY – THE BIGGEST TRAP What is happening right now: Traders are aggressively buying the dip Overconfidence after a long bullish run Emotional decisions without confirmation 📉 This phase is where most retail traders lose money. 🧠 CLEAR WARNING MESSAGE The market is no longer here to reward emotions — it is here to test discipline. Long positions carry high risk No stop-loss equals account damage Blind dip-buying is a retail trap 🛑 WHAT SHOULD TRADERS DO NOW? ✔️ Protect capital ✔️ Wait for higher-timeframe confirmation ✔️ Avoid emotional trading ✔️ Only experienced traders should consider short-term setups with strict risk management ⚠️ FINAL WARNING Those who respect the warning will survive. Those who ignore it will remember this phase.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Alpha_strike_trader
1
$TVC:SILVER MOON MISSION:2025-29 is History Repeating Again? TP?🚀 Silver Feature Analysis 2026 – 2029: The Historical Repeat 🚀 TVC:SILVER has recently hit its All-Time High (ATH) three times in history with massive rallies. My analysis is based on the duration and percentage returns of these specific periods: 1️⃣ 1980: (1 Aug 1979 to 29 Jan 1980) – A 6-month rally with returns OVER 511% ($6.5 to $48). 📈 2️⃣ 2011: (1 Oct 2008 to 22 Apr 2011) – A 2y 6m 21 days rally with returns OVER 451% ($8.4 to $47.91). 📈 3️⃣ 2021: (2 Mar 2020 to 10 Feb 2021) – An 11m 8 days rally from $11.63 to $30.09. 📈 🔍 The Current Assumption 🔍 The ongoing rally started on 3 Feb 2025 and is continuing to the present day. Based on price action, silver has been manipulated many times (like in 1980, 2011, and 2021), and I expect this to happen again in the upcoming years of 2028-2029. ⚠️ 🎯 Near-Term Goal: This rally is projected to go up to $119 – $129.88. 🔄 The Reversal: After hitting those levels, I anticipate a small reversal back to the $102 – $105 per ounce range. 📉 ⚡ The Final Leg: In Sep 2026 to Nov 2026, we could see a continuation, eventually reaching levels of $179 – $185 in the year 2028-2029 as silver repeats its historic data! 🚀🔥 📑 Key Support & Resistance Levels 📑 Based on the cycles, here are the critical levels to watch: Year Support Resistance 1979-80 $6.5 $48 2008-11 $8 $47.91 2020-21 $11.63 $30.09 2025-28 $30.97 🟢 $129 - $169 🔴 2025-29 $79 - $86 🟢 $110 - $119 🔴 📊 Technical Snapshot (Current Stats) 📊 🟢 Trend: BULLISH (MTF Trend) 💪 ADX: 44.3 (Strong Trend Energy) 🔥 RSI: 94.5 (Extreme Momentum - Use Caution) ✅ Trade Mode: 🟢 LONG ONLY TILL RESISTANCE 🟢 🎯 Target Projection: Rally expected till the $129.44 level. 💡 Conclusion 💡 History is repeating! 🔁 After the accumulation that started on 03 Feb 2025, silver is on a path to mirror its 1980 and 2011 performance. Watch the $129 level closely for the first major milestone. 🏁💎 ⚠️ RISK WARNING & DISCLAIMER ⚠️ This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading precious metals involves high risk. The projections mentioned (such as the $129 and $185 targets) are based on historical fractal data and current technical indicators, but market conditions can change due to global economic factors. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. 🛑
TVC:SILVER
by Alpha_strike_trader
13
Coal India Ltd Daily ChartCurrent price is ₹440.75, with a bullish trend indicated by the stock trading above key EMAs (21, 55, 100, and 200). The EMAs are in a positive alignment, suggesting a strong uptrend. Trendlines: The Horizontal trendline is acting as support, and the price is respecting it. RSI: The RSI is at 60, reflecting healthy strength without signs of exhaustion. The View: Based on these indicators, the trend is bullish, and the stock is likely to continue its uptrend. The targets are ₹460-₹480 (positional), with support at ₹435-₹430.
NSE:COALINDIALong
by Tech_Mak
CME raises metal margins, Monday gap risk? Gold key influence.Gold is no longer trending freely — it’s correcting with structure. After printing ATH, XAUUSD delivered a clear CHoCH, followed by a sequence of bearish BOS, confirming a controlled pullback, not panic selling. Price is now respecting a descending corrective channel, which typically appears before the market decides its next major leg. 🧠 Fundamental Context (Flow > Headlines) CME raised margin requirements for metals Higher margins = forced position reduction for leveraged traders This often creates liquidity-driven gaps at the weekly open Important: this is mechanical pressure, not a macro trend flip ➡️ Expect volatility first, clarity later. 📊 Technical Structure (HTF → LTF) ATH rejection + CHOCH = bullish momentum paused Multiple BOS inside the channel = distribution phase Price is compressing toward key liquidity zones 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 5,090 – 5,120: Upper channel / sell-side reaction zone 4,620 GAP area: High-probability liquidity magnet if Monday gaps 4,410 Support zone: HTF demand & channel base (critical level) 🎯 Scenarios (If – Then) If Monday gaps into 4,620 → Expect sharp moves and fake breaks → Wait for acceptance / absorption before any long bias If price loses 4,620 cleanly → Next draw = 4,410 support If price reclaims 4,900+ quickly → Gap likely becomes a trap → squeeze back into range
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – February 2, 2026 Momentum Weekly momentum (W1) Weekly momentum is showing early signs of a bearish reversal. We need to wait for this week’s candle to close to confirm the reversal. If W1 momentum is confirmed to have turned down, the market will likely continue its bearish trend for at least several weeks ahead. Daily momentum (D1) Daily momentum is still declining and is approaching the oversold zone. With this condition, there is a high probability that within the next 1–2 days, we will form a daily low, after which price may rebound or move sideways for at least a few days. H4 momentum H4 momentum remains compressed in the oversold area, with 13 consecutive H4 candles counted so far. This suggests that price is likely near an H4 bottom, followed by a corrective rebound or sideways movement lasting at least several H4 candles. Wave Structure Weekly wave structure (W1) As weekly momentum is attempting to reverse, we need to wait for this week’s candle close to confirm. If price closes below 4282 (the previous bullish momentum reversal level), this would confirm the formation of a weekly top. In that scenario, the W1 structure is likely forming a yellow (1)(2)(3)(4)(5) pattern, while the blue 12345 structure may also be complete. If confirmed, the market is expected to enter a long-term corrective phase, lasting at least several weeks. Daily wave structure (D1) The current decline on D1 is steep and sharp, which strongly supports the view that blue wave 5 has already topped. Based on current price behavior, there is a very high probability that the market is forming a 5-wave bearish structure. With D1 momentum approaching oversold conditions, a momentum reversal is likely within the next 1–2 days. Given that the decline appears to be a 5-wave structure, the next bullish phase after the D1 momentum turns up is most likely a 3-wave corrective move. We will continue to monitor for confirmation. H4 wave structure On the H4 chart, I am temporarily labeling a red 12345 structure. The current price zone around 4593 aligns with a high-liquidity area on the Volume Profile, which also converges with the expected H4 momentum reversal. Therefore, I expect this zone to act as the reversal area for red wave 4. In this case, the 4956 level, corresponding to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of red wave 3, is projected as the target zone for the completion of red wave 4. After wave 4 is completed, price is expected to decline again toward the 4270–4593 zone, completing the current 5-wave bearish sequence, before transitioning into a new bullish trend with at least a 3-wave structure. Trading Plan At this stage, newer traders may see strong impulsive moves like the current ones as trading opportunities. However, from an experienced trader’s perspective, this is not an ideal environment to trade aggressively. Volatility is extremely high, and the market can easily hunt stop losses before moving in the anticipated direction. On the other hand, entering the market with incorrect positioning or without a stop loss often results in account damage. 👉 The priority right now is observation and patience, waiting for clearer structure and confirmed momentum signals rather than forcing trades during high-volatility conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD - Brian | H1 AnalysisXAUUSD – Brian | H1 Technical Outlook – SELL Bias Aligned With the Main Trend Gold is entering a strong corrective phase after forming a short-term top, with the H1 structure clearly shifting to the downside. The latest bearish leg is impulsive in nature, reflecting active position unwinding and short-term distribution following the prior extended rally. In this environment, the preferred approach is to prioritize sell setups in line with the dominant intraday trend, focusing on reactions around key psychological and value-based levels. Market Structure & Price Behaviour The previous bullish structure has been invalidated by a sharp downside break, confirming a structure shift on H1. Price is now trading below prior value areas, suggesting a transition from expansion into pullback and continuation to the downside. Upward moves at this stage are likely to be corrective rallies rather than trend reversals, offering potential sell opportunities. Key Psychological & Technical Zones 1) Trend-Following SELL Zone Sell VAL: 5,048 – 5,051 This zone represents the lower value area of the most recent distribution range and is acting as a psychological resistance within the current bearish context. Reactions here are critical for assessing sell-side continuation. 2) Near-Term Balance Level The 5,000 psychological level remains a focal point for intraday volatility. How price behaves around this round number will help determine momentum continuation. 3) Deeper BUY Zone (Not a Day-Trade Focus) Buy Zone VAL: 4,450 – 4,455 This is a broader structural support area and should be treated as an observation zone rather than an active buying entry during the current session. Intraday Trading Bias Primary bias: SELL, aligned with the current H1 trend Strategy: Look to sell corrective pullbacks into key psychological and value zones Risk note: Avoid counter-trend buying positions while the bearish structure remains intact In volatile conditions, following the dominant structure and waiting for price reactions at key levels is more effective than attempting to pick bottoms. Refer to the chart for a detailed view of structure and highlighted zones. Follow the TradingView channel for early market structure updates and ongoing analysis. If you want: a shorter intraday note, a more neutral tone, or an alternative version in UK / Indian English, just say the word and I’ll adjust it for you 👌
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Nifty50 analysis(2/2/2026).CPR: wide + descending cpr: consolidation. FII: -588.34 sold DII: -682.73 sold. Highest OI: 25000 put oi. 24800 to 24600call oi. Resistance: strong 25000. Support :rising support 24800,24700,24600 conclusion: wide cpr shows high volatility. My pov: 1.today price will not act accoding to indicators, if support is taken from the above level market will sustain if not it will move down side.it just breaks every resistance and move above.and breaks if and go down. 2.wait for the clear signal and trade responsibly. What IF: 1.if market close above 24900 then retest.(possibily) and continuation. 2.if closed below 24800 then 24500 is then next support . Note: find what happened on this days: 1.20/9/2019. 2.07/04/2025. 3.09/03/2023. psychology fact: People are attracted to trading because it offers total freedom but most people are not psychologically prepared to handle that freedom. note: 8moving average ling is blue colour. 20moving average line is  green colour 50moving average line is red colour. 200moving average line is black colour. cpr is for trend analysis. MA line is for support and resistance. Disclaimer: Iam not Sebi registered so i started this as a hobby, please do your own analysis, any profit/loss you gained is not my concern. I can be wrong please do not take it seriously thank you.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by vdmana777
XAUUSD (H1) – Below $5,000: Correction or Quick Recovery?Market Context – Gold Enters a Critical Repricing Zone Gold has officially slipped below the psychological $5,000 level, triggering renewed debate: Is this the start of a deeper corrective phase, or simply a liquidity reset before a sharp rebound? The timing is crucial. With speculation around changes in Fed leadership and future monetary policy direction, the market is repricing risk aggressively. This has injected exceptional volatility into Gold, where liquidity is being rapidly redistributed rather than trending cleanly. ➡️ This is no longer a low-volatility trend market — it’s a decision zone. Structure & Price Action (H1) The previous bullish H1 structure has failed, confirming a short-term corrective phase. Price is trading below former demand, now acting as supply. Current rebounds are technical pullbacks, not confirmed reversals. Downside momentum remains active until price reclaims key structure levels. Key insight: 👉 Below $5,000, Gold is trading in rebalancing mode, not trend continuation. Key Technical Zones (H1) Major Supply / Rejection Zone: • $5,030 – $5,060 → Former structure + Fibonacci confluence → Likely area for sellers to defend Mid-Range Reaction Zone: • $4,650 – $4,700 → Short-term demand / potential bounce zone Deep Liquidity Demand: • $4,220 – $4,250 → Major liquidity absorption zone → High probability area for a technical or structural rebound Trading Plan – MMF Style Scenario 1 – Sell the Pullback (Primary While Below $5,030) Favor SELL setups on rallies into supply. Wait for rejection / failure patterns. Do not chase price lower. ➡️ Bias remains bearish-corrective while below $5,030. Scenario 2 – Buy Only at Deep Liquidity BUYs are considered only at major demand with confirmation: • $4,650 – $4,700 (scalp / reaction only) • $4,220 – $4,250 (higher-probability swing zone) ➡️ No blind bottom picking ➡️ Confirmation > prediction Macro Risk Outlook Fed leadership uncertainty = policy expectation volatility. Any shift toward dovish credibility could trigger a violent short-covering rally. Conversely, prolonged uncertainty keeps Gold under pressure short-term. ➡️ Expect fast moves, fake breaks, and wide ranges. Invalidation & Confirmation Bearish bias weakens if H1 reclaims and holds above $5,060. Deeper correction opens if $4,220 fails decisively. Summary Gold below $5,000 is not weakness — it’s repricing. This is a market where liquidity hunts traders, not the other way around. The edge right now is patience and precision: Sell rallies into supply. Buy only where liquidity is proven. Let structure confirm before committing risk. ➡️ In high volatility, survival beats prediction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 02.02.2026NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 02.02.2026 Timeframe: 3 Minutes If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend. When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance. If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways please like and share my idea if you find it helpful 📢 Disclaimer I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
NSE:NIFTY
by AATHIE
PTL Trade SetupCurrent Market Price (CMP): 41.50 Breakout Context: Consolidation breakout confirmed yesterday with strong volume, which adds conviction. Target: 46.62 (approx. +12.3% from CMP) Stop Loss: 40.03 (risk of about -3.5% from CMP) Key Notes - A breakout with volume often signals genuine momentum, but watch for retests of the breakout zone. - If price dips near 41.00–40.50 but holds above stop loss, that’s a healthy retest. - Trail your stop loss upward if price moves strongly toward the target to lock in gains.
NSE:PTLLong
by ZoneTraderKarthik
3