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LT market structure shift LT bullish setup, 30 ema above 50 ema above 100 ema and market structure shift, stoploss below 50 ema closing basis, risk rewar 1:2 Larsen & Toubro (L&T) financial update and key features for 2025: Market Capitalization: Approximately ₹3.6 lakh crore Revenue (FY 2025): ₹2.26 lakh crore (~$27 billion), showing steady growth Net Profit (FY 2025): ₹16,000 crore+, reflecting solid profitability Earnings Per Share (EPS): Around ₹55-60 Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratio: In the range of 30-35, indicating reasonable valuation for the industrial sector Business Segments: Engineering & Construction, Manufacturing, Financial Services, IT and Technology Services Order Book: Strong and diversified, exceeding ₹5 lakh crore, underpinning future revenue visibility Dividend Yield: Around 1.2%-1.5% Long-term Growth Drivers: Large infrastructure projects in India, government focus on urbanization and defense manufacturing, digital & technology expansion Financial Health: Robust balance sheet with low debt and strong cash flows L&T remains one of India's premier conglomerates with a diversified portfolio and stable financial metrics, well-positioned to benefit from rising infrastructure and industrial spending
NSE:LTLong
by rajeshpgpg
NIFTY at a Crucial Zone - BIG MOVE COMINGNifty is standing at a crucial support zone, and the next few days will determine whether the market begins a fresh rally or breaks down for a deeper decline. At present, Nifty has taken support near 25320–25380. This area is critical for three reasons: Gap Support: There was a gap on the charts near 25320 from earlier trading sessions. That gap is now filled and is acting as a support level. Trendline Retest: This same zone also touches the long-term trendline that Nifty broke earlier. Retesting that trendline is a common technical behaviour before the next big move. 50% Fibonacci Retracement: If we measure the recent rally from 24600 to 26100, then the 50% retracement level also comes exactly around 25,350. This means the market has corrected half of its move and is now testing buyers' strength. So, this area between 25320–25380 is a major support zone where buyers are expected to defend the market. Current Market Behaviour For the last few sessions, Nifty has been falling, but it is still holding this support. If the market takes support here and starts going up, it can trigger short covering. Many short traders are keeping their stop loss near the previous candle highs, which are around 25550. If Nifty breaks above 25550, these stop losses will get hit, and that can lead to a sharp rally due to short covering. Upside View (If Nifty Moves Up) If Nifty crosses 25550 and sustains above it, we can expect a good upside move: First target: 26470 – 26500 Next target: 26900 This move can happen quickly because short sellers will exit their positions and buyers will enter aggressively. Downside View (If Support Fails) If Nifty breaks below 25320 and closes below it: Next support is near 24600, but this level has already been tested earlier, so it has become a weak support now. If 24600 also breaks, the next possible target is 24000. This will mean that the market has entered a deeper correction phase. Volatility & India VIX Right now, India VIX is around 12.55, and it is slowly moving up. This increase in VIX means uncertainty is rising, which usually supports a downside or volatile market. If VIX cools down near 11, it will show that fear is reducing, and the market can again aim for new highs. But if VIX keeps rising toward 15, expect more pressure and a possible fall. Final View Nifty is at a point where either fresh buying starts or the market breaks down. All major indicators (trendline, gap, Fibonacci, and previous support) are pointing to this being a decisive zone. Traders should watch 25320 on the downside and 25550 on the upside - whichever breaks first will set the next trend. Stay patient and avoid emotional trades here - this is where big moves begin.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by TradingBaniya
CCL: Post Q2FY26 Broke Flag Pattern on Weekly, Chart of the WeekThis Coffee Stock Just Broke Out With 80% Volume Surge - Should You Track CCL Products Above ₹1000? Post Strong Q2 FY26 Numbers, Let's Analyze in our Chart of the week below. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions. Price Action Analysis - Multi-Timeframe Perspective: Long-Term Price Structure (2022-2025): Phase 1: The Accumulation Zone (2022): Base Building Period: January 2022 to July 2022 Price Range: ₹350-500 zone Character: Sideways consolidation with multiple retests of ₹400 level Volume Profile: Declining volume suggesting washing out of weak hands Market Psychology: Post-pandemic recovery phase with sector uncertainty Key Observation: Formation of a strong demand zone between ₹380-420 that acted as launchpad Phase 2: The Initial Markup (Late 2022 - Mid 2023): Duration: August 2022 to June 2023 Price Movement: ₹450 to ₹700 (55% rally) Character: Steady, systematic rise with higher highs and higher lows Pullback Behavior: Shallow retracements of 8-12%, indicating strong underlying demand Volume Pattern: Gradual volume expansion on up-moves, contraction on pullbacks Breakout Moment: Cleared ₹600 psychological barrier in April 2023 with authority Key Observation: Classic stage 2 uptrend with disciplined profit-taking zones Phase 3: The Distribution and Correction (Mid 2023 - Early 2024): Duration: July 2023 to March 2024 Peak Price: ₹720-730 zone Correction Depth: Fell to ₹550 (24% decline) Character: Sharp vertical rise followed by sideways-to-down correction Volume Profile: High volume selling near peaks, panic selling at lows Market Context: Broader market correction, FMCG sector underperformance Key Observation: The stock failed to sustain momentum above ₹700, creating a resistance zone Phase 4: The Recovery and Retest (Q2-Q3 2024): Duration: April 2024 to September 2024 Price Movement: ₹550 to ₹900 (64% recovery rally) Character: V-shaped recovery with strong momentum Resistance Encounter: Multiple attempts to cross ₹800-850 zone failed Volume Profile: Increasing volume on rallies but selling pressure near ₹800 Key Observation: Stock was building energy for next major move, testing resolve of bulls Phase 5: The Consolidation (Q4 2024 - October 2025): Duration: October 2024 to October 2025 Price Range: ₹750-900 (tight 20% range) Character: Sideways consolidation forming a rectangular base/flag pattern Lower Boundary: ₹750-780 (tested multiple times, held strongly) Upper Boundary: ₹880-900 (consistent resistance) Duration: Nearly 12 months of consolidation Volume Profile: Compression throughout consolidation with periodic spikes Key Observation: Longer the base, higher the potential breakout - this extended consolidation is bullish Current Price Action (November 2025): The Breakout Session (November 6-7, 2025): Previous Close: ₹867.60 Opening: Gap-up opening (likely around ₹950-970 zone based on chart) Intraday High: ₹1,034.50 Intraday Low: ₹910 (estimated from chart wicks) Closing: ₹1,025.15 Day's Gain: ₹165.40 (+19.24%) Trading Range: ₹124.50 (12% intraday volatility) Breakout Candle Characteristics: Candle Type: Large bullish marubozu-style candle (minimal wicks) Body-to-Wick Ratio: Approximately 85:15 (highly bullish) Upper Shadow: Very small (₹9.35), indicating no significant selling pressure at highs Lower Shadow: Minimal, showing buyers were in complete control from open Closing Strength: Closed near day's high (99.1% of high), demonstrating conviction Gap Behavior: No attempt to fill the opening gap throughout the session Price Action Interpretation: The stock has broken through a consolidation zone with explosive momentum Previous resistance at ₹900 was obliterated, not just crossed The lack of upper wick suggests no supply even at elevated prices Price discovery mode is active - buyers willing to chase at any price The closing near highs indicates strong hands holding positions overnight The stock has entered uncharted territory, creating new all-time highs Price Action Quality Assessment: Breakout Authenticity Score: 9/10 Gap-up opening: +2 points (shows conviction) High volume: +2 points (validates breakout) Close near high: +2 points (bullish control) Minimal retracement: +1 point (strong hands) Breaking all-time high: +2 points (new territory) What Makes This Breakout Special? It's not just breaking ₹900 resistance - it's jumping 15% above it The consolidation was long (time creates energy) Multiple failed attempts at ₹800-900 in past means trapped shorts The volume explosion (112x average) shows institutional involvement Closing near day's high indicates no distribution at top Volume Spread Analysis - The Institutional Footprint: Volume Quality Indicators: Indicator 1: Volume Price Trend (VPT) Status: Sharply positive Interpretation: Volume flowing into rising prices (bullish confirmation) Historical Context: Highest VPT reading since 2023 peak Indicator 2: On-Balance Volume (OBV) Movement: Massive upward spike Previous OBV: Sideways for 12 months Current OBV: Breaking out to new highs Interpretation: Accumulation confirmed, distribution phase over Indicator 3: Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) Intraday VWAP: Estimated around ₹980-1,000 Price vs VWAP: Closed 2.5-4.5% above VWAP Interpretation: Late buyers chasing, but sustainable given context Indicator 4: Accumulation/Distribution Line Trend: Sharply higher Reading: Strong accumulation Historical Context: Confirms institutional buying after 12-month consolidation Volume Characteristics Breakdown: What the Volume is Telling Us? Institutional Participation Evidence Retail traders cannot generate 1.72M share volume alone Block deals likely executed (need to check bulk/block deal data) Systematic buying throughout session suggests algos/institutions No single spike and fade pattern - sustained buying Average trade size likely higher than typical (sign of institutional activity) Short Covering Component Previous resistance at ₹900 trapped many short sellers Volume spike partially driven by forced short covering Estimated short covering contribution: 20-30% of total volume Remaining 70-80%: Fresh long positions and institutional buying Market Maker Activity Wide bid-ask spread likely during initial surge Liquidity providers would have facilitated large orders Options market likely saw heavy call buying (increases delta hedging volume) Delivery percentage will confirm genuine buying (expect 60-70%+) Volume Comparison with Historical Breakouts Previous Breakout Attempts (Failed) August 2024 attempt at ₹880: 0.8M shares (failed, price rejected) October 2024 attempt at ₹900: 1.0M shares (failed, closed below) March 2025 attempt at ₹870: 0.6M shares (failed, weak volume) Current Breakout (Successful) November 2025: 1.72M shares (72% higher than previous best attempt) Success Factors: Volume 2-3x higher than failed attempts + fundamental catalyst Historical Successful Breakouts for Comparison June 2023 breakout at ₹600: 1.2M shares (led to ₹700, 17% rally) Current volume is 43% higher than that successful breakout Expectation: Similar or larger percentage move Volume Red Flags and Cautions What to Watch For? If volume drops below 0.5M shares in next 3-5 sessions: Concerning (shows lack of follow-through) If price retraces 50%+ on volume higher than breakout: Major warning (distribution) If next up-day has volume less than today: Momentum weakening If stock gaps down on high volume: Breakout failure scenario Positive Confirmations Needed: Next 3 days should have volume above 0.4-0.6M shares (sustained interest) Any pullback should be on volume below 0.8M shares (healthy profit-taking) Weekly close above ₹950 on cumulative volume of 3-4M shares (confirms breakout) Volume-Based Risk Assessment Risk Level: Moderate-to-High High volume can sometimes indicate exhaustion (climactic buying) However, context matters: breakout after 12-month base is different from parabolic move The consolidation duration justifies the volume explosion Risk is elevated for chasing here, but pullbacks offer lower-risk entries Volume-Validated Support Levels: ₹950-980: Light volume zone (may not hold on first test) ₹900-920: High volume breakout zone (should provide strong support) ₹850-880: High volume consolidation zone (major support) Volume Action Quality Score: 8.5/10 Scoring Breakdown: Volume Expansion: 10/10 (112x is exceptional) Volume-Price Relationship: 9/10 (perfectly correlated) Distribution Pattern: 8/10 (well distributed, not spike-and-fade) Historical Context: 9/10 (highest in 6+ months) Follow-Through Potential: 7/10 (need confirmation in coming days) Institutional Footprint: 9/10 (clear signs of smart money) Why Not 10/10? Extremely high volume can sometimes be exhaustion Need 2-3 days confirmation for perfect score Lack of multi-day volume buildup (came suddenly) Could use a consolidation period to absorb supply Technical Pattern Recognition Base Formation (Q2FY26 Flag Pattern): - Pattern Type: Strong Q2FY26 Flag Pattern on Weekly Timeframe - Base Duration: Approximately 12 weeks (August 2025 - November 2025) - Base Range: ₹780 - ₹900 - Consolidation Quality: Tight consolidation with reduced volatility - Volume During Base: Steady contraction followed by explosive expansion Breakout Characteristics: - Breakout Level: ₹900 (previous resistance converted to support) - Breakout Style: Gap-up opening with strong follow-through - Volume Confirmation: Exceptional - 1.72M shares with unprecedented institutional buying - Price Action: Strong bullish candle with minimal upper wick - Breakout Validity: Confirmed by both price and volume action Multi-Year Context: - Long-Term Uptrend: Intact since 2022 lows (₹300-350 zone) - Previous Major Resistance: ₹800 (tested multiple times in 2024-2025) - Current Status: Breaking into all-time high territory with conviction Support and Resistance Levels: Key Support Zones: - Immediate Support (S1): ₹900-920 (previous resistance, now support) - Critical Support (S2): ₹850-870 (base bottom / 20-week moving average) - Major Support (S3): ₹780-800 (psychological level and prior consolidation) - Last Line of Defense (S4): ₹650-700 (major demand zone from mid-2025) Resistance Levels: - Immediate Resistance (R1): ₹1,050-1,080 (psychological round number and profit booking zone) - Next Resistance (R2): ₹1,150-1,200 (measured move projection from flag pattern) - Extended Resistance (R3): ₹1,250-1,300 (Fibonacci extension levels) - Long-Term Resistance (R4): ₹1,400+ Risk Factors to Monitor: Technical Risks: - Failure to sustain above ₹900 would negate the breakout - High volatility expected in near term given sharp rally - Overbought conditions on daily timeframe - Potential gap-fill scenario back to ₹900-920 zone Market Risks: - General market correction could impact momentum - Profit booking in mid-cap/small-cap segment - FII selling pressure in Indian markets - Sector rotation away from FMCG stocks Fundamental and Sectoral Backdrop: Company Overview: - Company: CCL Products (India) Limited - Industry: Tea & Coffee (FMCG Sector) - Market Cap: ₹13,689 Crores (Mid-cap) - Business: World's largest private label instant coffee manufacturer - Global Presence: Exports to 100+ countries with operations in India, Vietnam, and Switzerland Recent Financial Performance (Q2 FY26): Revenue Metrics: - Q2 Revenue: ₹1,127 Crores (52.6% YoY growth) - Q1 Revenue: ₹1,056 Crores (37% YoY growth) - First-ever quarter with ₹1,000+ Crore turnover - Quarterly revenue growth: 6.7% QoQ Profitability Metrics: - Q2 Net Profit: Up 36.4% YoY (beat estimates by 26.4%) - Q2 EBITDA: ₹197.13 Crores (23.9% YoY growth) - EBITDA Margin: 18% (slight compression due to input costs) - Guidance: 15-20% EBITDA growth maintained Key Performance Indicators: - Volume Growth: 9-10% YoY (maintaining 10-20% guidance) - Capacity Utilization: 60% (significant room for expansion) - Domestic Branded Business: ₹150 Crores (strong growth trajectory) - ROE: 17% | ROCE: 13.1% | Debt-to-Equity: 0.78 Balance Sheet Strength: - Net Debt: ₹1,671 Crores (down from ₹1,812 Crores) - Debt Reduction Target: ₹1,350 Crores by December 2025 - Further Target: ₹1,200 Crores by March 2026 - Strong focus on deleveraging while maintaining growth Valuation Parameters: - Current P/E Ratio: 40.5x (premium to industry median of 37.56x) - P/B Ratio: 6.56x (significant premium to peers' 1.55x median) Sectoral Dynamics: Coffee Industry Tailwinds: - Global coffee prices surged 80% in 2024 (benefiting margins with cost-plus model) - India's instant coffee market growing rapidly with urbanization - Rising coffee culture in India, especially among youth - Export opportunities expanding (India coffee exports crossed $1 billion) Company-Specific Strengths: - World's largest private label instant coffee manufacturer - Advanced R&D with 900+ coffee blends customized for global markets - Manufacturing capacity: 60,000 MTPA (Spray Dried) + 11,000 MTPA (Freeze Dried) - Third-largest coffee brand in India (B2C segment) - Strong B2B relationships with major global brands Growth Drivers: - Branded business expansion (Continental, Percol, Rocket Fuel brands) - Increased inquiries from US customers due to Brazil tariff changes - Capacity expansion with significant headroom (40% unutilized) - International market penetration (UK acquisition, targeting Indian diaspora) - Diversification into premium products (Freeze Dried Coffee, premixes) Challenges and Headwinds: Input Cost Pressure: - Green coffee prices remain volatile despite recent 20-30% correction - High GST rate of 18% on coffee impacting domestic demand - Interest and depreciation costs rising with capacity expansion Demand Concerns: - Urban FMCG consumption showing signs of slowdown - Rural demand growth remains sluggish - Competition from organized café chains for out-of-home consumption Policy and Regulatory: - Company seeking tax benefits and GST rate reduction to boost consumption - Need for supportive policies for sustainable coffee cultivation - Currency fluctuation risks in exports Management and Corporate Governance: - Promoter Holding: 46.11% (strong skin in the game) - FII Holding: 10.52% (increased institutional interest) - DII Holding: 21.83% (domestic institutional confidence) - Chairman: C. Rajendra Prasad (Founder with 35+ years coffee industry experience) - CEO: Praveen Jaipuriar (driving branded business expansion) - MD: Challa Srishant (focusing on innovation and market expansion) Strategic Initiatives: - Debt reduction plan to improve financial flexibility - Brand development focusing on region-specific products - International expansion in B2C segment (UK, targeting US market) - Sustainability initiatives across operations - Product diversification (recently launched iced tea range) Competitive Position: - Market leader in private label instant coffee globally - Key competitor: Tata Coffee - Competitive advantages: Scale, R&D capabilities, global distribution, cost-plus pricing model - Differentiation: Ability to create customized blends for diverse global palates Why This Makes Sense? Technical Factors: - Clean breakout from multi-month consolidation with exceptional volume - Trading above all major moving averages with strong momentum - Prior resistance at ₹800-900 now acting as robust support - Volume profile suggests institutional accumulation Fundamental Factors: - Strong revenue growth (37-52% YoY) with consistent quarterly performance - Improving profitability with EBITDA growth of 23-24% YoY - Proactive debt reduction improving balance sheet strength - Global market leader position with significant competitive moats Sectoral Factors: - Coffee consumption growing in India with changing lifestyle preferences - Export opportunities expanding with global supply chain shifts - Company well-positioned to capture both B2B and B2C growth - Capacity headroom provides growth visibility What to Track? Immediate Action Items: - Monitor price behavior at current levels (₹1,000-1,050) - Wait and Look for consolidation/pullback - Set price alerts at key levels: ₹950, ₹900, ₹870 - Review quarterly results and management commentary Ongoing Monitoring: - Track weekly closes - should remain above ₹900 - Monitor volume patterns - sustained above-average volume bullish - Watch for management updates on debt reduction progress - Keep eye on green coffee prices and margin trends - Assess broader market sentiment and FMCG sector performance Review Triggers: - Quarterly earnings announcements (next due February 2026) - Any major change in promoter/institutional holdings - Significant deviation from volume guidance (10-20%) - Breach of critical support at ₹850 My 2 Cents: The stock presents a compelling opportunity based on: - Strong technical breakout with exceptional volume confirmation - Robust fundamental performance with 37-52% revenue growth - Industry leadership position as world's largest private label coffee manufacturer - Improving balance sheet with proactive debt reduction - Analysis Valid Until: Next quarterly results or significant technical breakdown below ₹870 Full Coverage on my Newsletter this Week Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:CCLLong
by Karanshah137
11
Advanced Chart Patterns in Technical Analysis1. Introduction to Advanced Chart Patterns In trading, patterns repeat because human behavior is repetitive. Fear, greed, and hope drive market movements, and these emotions get imprinted in price charts. Advanced chart patterns are an extension of classical technical formations, combining structure, volume, and momentum to forecast price trends. Mastering them helps traders differentiate between false breakouts and genuine opportunities. Advanced patterns generally fall into two main categories: Continuation Patterns – Indicating a pause before the prevailing trend continues. Reversal Patterns – Signaling the end of a trend and the beginning of a new one. 2. Head and Shoulders (Reversal Pattern) The Head and Shoulders pattern is one of the most reliable reversal signals. It indicates a change in trend direction — from bullish to bearish (standard form) or from bearish to bullish (inverse form). Structure: Left shoulder: A price rise followed by a decline. Head: A higher peak than the left shoulder, followed by another decline. Right shoulder: A lower rise, followed by a breakdown through the neckline. Neckline: Connects the lows between the shoulders and serves as a key breakout level. Once the price breaks below the neckline, it confirms a bearish reversal. The target is estimated by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward. Inverse Head and Shoulders works similarly but in the opposite direction — signaling a bullish reversal after a downtrend. 3. Cup and Handle Pattern The Cup and Handle is a bullish continuation pattern resembling a teacup. It was popularized by William O’Neil in his book How to Make Money in Stocks. Formation: Cup: A rounded bottom, showing a gradual shift from selling to buying. Handle: A short pullback or consolidation that follows the cup, forming a downward-sloping channel. When the price breaks above the handle’s resistance with strong volume, it often signals a continuation of the prior uptrend. Target: The depth of the cup added to the breakout point. This pattern is often seen in growth stocks and long-term bullish markets. 4. Double Top and Double Bottom These patterns are classic but essential to advanced technical traders due to their reliability and frequency. Double Top: Appears after a strong uptrend. Price makes two peaks at similar levels separated by a moderate decline. A breakdown below the “neckline” confirms a bearish reversal. Double Bottom: Appears after a downtrend. Two troughs form around the same level with a peak in between. A breakout above the neckline signals a bullish reversal. Volume confirmation is crucial — rising volume on the breakout adds credibility to the pattern. 5. Flag and Pennant Patterns Flags and Pennants are short-term continuation patterns that often appear after a strong price movement, known as the “flagpole.” Flag: Forms as a small rectangular channel sloping against the main trend. Pennant: Appears as a small symmetrical triangle following a sharp move. These patterns typically consolidate the market before the next strong move in the same direction. Breakout Rule: When price breaks in the direction of the previous trend, accompanied by high volume, it confirms continuation. Target Projection: Length of the flagpole added to the breakout point. 6. Wedge Patterns Wedges are advanced chart patterns signaling either continuation or reversal depending on their position and direction. Rising Wedge: Forms when price makes higher highs and higher lows, but the slope narrows upward. Typically appears in an uptrend and indicates weakening bullish momentum — a bearish reversal signal. Falling Wedge: Forms with lower highs and lower lows converging downward. Usually appears in a downtrend, indicating a potential bullish reversal. Volume generally declines during formation and expands during breakout, confirming the move. 7. Symmetrical, Ascending, and Descending Triangles Triangles represent consolidation phases and serve as reliable continuation patterns. Symmetrical Triangle: Characterized by converging trendlines with no clear direction bias. Breakout direction typically follows the prior trend. Ascending Triangle: Horizontal resistance with rising support. Usually forms during an uptrend, signaling bullish continuation. Descending Triangle: Horizontal support with declining resistance. Typically bearish, indicating continuation of a downtrend. Triangles are volume-sensitive patterns — declining volume during formation and surge during breakout strengthens reliability. 8. Rectangle Pattern A Rectangle or Trading Range represents a period of indecision between buyers and sellers. Formation: Price oscillates between horizontal support and resistance. Interpretation: Breakout above resistance → bullish signal. Breakdown below support → bearish signal. Traders often trade within the rectangle until a confirmed breakout occurs, using stop-losses near the opposite boundary. 9. Diamond Pattern The Diamond Top is an advanced reversal pattern that forms after a prolonged uptrend. It begins as a broadening formation (wider price swings) and ends with a narrowing triangle — resembling a diamond shape. Indicates distribution and market exhaustion. Once price breaks below the support line, it confirms a bearish reversal. This pattern is rare but highly reliable when spotted correctly. 10. Harmonic Patterns (Advanced Category) Harmonic patterns use Fibonacci ratios to predict potential reversals with high precision. These include Gartley, Bat, Butterfly, and Crab patterns. Gartley Pattern: Indicates retracement within a trend, typically completing at the 78.6% Fibonacci level. Bat Pattern: Uses deeper retracement levels (88.6%) to identify precise turning points. Butterfly Pattern: Suggests a reversal near 127% or 161.8% Fibonacci extensions. Crab Pattern: Known for extreme projections (up to 224% or more), signaling deep retracements. These patterns require advanced understanding of Fibonacci tools and are used by professional traders for precision entries. 11. Rounding Bottom and Top Rounding Bottom: Gradual shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. Indicates long-term accumulation before a breakout. Typically seen in major trend reversals in large-cap stocks. Rounding Top: Slow shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. Represents distribution and is often followed by a sustained downtrend. These patterns form over long durations (weeks or months) and are reliable for positional traders. 12. Broadening Formation Also known as a megaphone pattern, it shows increasing volatility and investor uncertainty. Formation: Two diverging trendlines — one ascending, one descending. Meaning: Early sign of market instability; may precede major reversals. Trade Setup: Enter once a confirmed breakout occurs beyond the pattern boundaries. 13. Volume and Confirmation in Chart Patterns Volume plays a critical role in confirming pattern validity. Key principles include: Decreasing volume during consolidation or pattern formation. Increasing volume during breakout, confirming institutional participation. False breakouts often occur on low volume, trapping retail traders. Combining volume indicators (like OBV or Volume Oscillator) with pattern analysis enhances accuracy. 14. Practical Application and Risk Management Even the most reliable patterns fail without proper risk management and confirmation strategies. Wait for breakout confirmation with candle close beyond key levels. Use stop-loss slightly below support or above resistance. Combine patterns with momentum indicators like RSI or MACD for confirmation. Avoid overtrading; focus on quality setups with clear symmetry and volume validation. 15. Conclusion Advanced chart patterns bridge the gap between price action and trader psychology. They help traders interpret market behavior and anticipate future movements with a structured approach. Patterns like the Cup and Handle, Head and Shoulders, and Wedges reveal not just the direction but also the strength and conviction of trends. Mastering these patterns requires practice, discipline, and confirmation through indicators and volume. When used correctly, advanced chart patterns empower traders to make informed, high-probability decisions — transforming random price data into profitable trading opportunities.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
BSE Ltd –Strong Breakout Above Resistance | Volume & RSI ConfirmBSE Ltd has given a decisive breakout above the ₹2550–₹2570 resistance zone after weeks of consolidation. The breakout is supported by a strong volume surge and bullish RSI momentum crossing above 65, indicating strength in the move. • Chart Pattern: Horizontal breakout from multi-week range • Entry Zone: ₹2580–₹2620 • Target: ₹2815+ (based on range projection and resistance levels) • Stop Loss: ₹2470 (below breakout zone) • Volume: Significant spike confirming institutional participation • RSI: Staying strong near 69, showing sustained bullish pressure If price sustains above ₹2550 on daily closing, the momentum can carry toward ₹2800–₹2850 in the near term. 📈 Bias: Bullish 🕒 Timeframe: Daily
NSE:BSELong
by KrishG06
2
IDBI Bank and the Bullish Cup & Handle Pattern📈 Technical Analysis Spotlight: IDBI Bank and the Bullish Cup & Handle Pattern In the world of technical analysis, chart patterns often serve as powerful indicators of potential price movements. One such pattern, the Cup and Handle, has recently emerged on the daily chart of IDBI Bank Limited, offering traders and investors a compelling bullish setup. 🏦 Current Market Snapshot As of the latest data, IDBI Bank is trading at ₹100.42. This price action is notable not just for its level, but for the structure it has formed—a classic Cup and Handle pattern, which is widely regarded as a bullish continuation signal. ☕ Understanding the Cup and Handle Pattern The Cup and Handle pattern resembles the shape of a tea cup: The "cup" forms after a rounded bottom, indicating a period of consolidation and accumulation. The "handle" follows as a short-term pullback, typically on lighter volume, before a potential breakout. This pattern reflects a shift in market sentiment—from bearish to bullish—as buyers gradually regain control. 📊 Technical Confirmation Several factors strengthen the bullish outlook for IDBI Bank: The stock is trading above its 50-day and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA), suggesting medium-term strength and trend alignment. The neckline resistance—the key breakout level—is identified at ₹106. A decisive move above this level would confirm the completion of the Cup and Handle pattern. 🚀 What Happens After the Breakout? If IDBI Bank breaks above ₹106 with strong volume, it could trigger a bullish rally, as the pattern implies renewed buying interest and momentum. Traders often look for price targets by measuring the depth of the cup and projecting it upward from the breakout point. 🧠 Final Thoughts The Cup and Handle pattern on IDBI Bank’s chart, combined with its position above key moving averages, presents a textbook bullish setup. While no pattern guarantees future performance, this formation is a favorite among technical analysts for its reliability and clarity. As always, traders should consider risk management and broader market conditions before acting on any signal.
NSE:IDBILong
by NANARKAR
2
The Psychology Behind Winning TradesThe Psychology Behind Winning Trades 🧠💹✨ Introduction – Hook: 📊 “Why do some traders consistently win 💰 while others struggle 💔?” It’s rarely the strategy—it’s the mindset behind the trade! 🧠🌟 Your emotions, thoughts, and biases control your decisions, even with perfect technical skills. 🎯 1️⃣ What is Trading Psychology? Trading psychology is the study of how emotions and mental habits affect trading decisions. 🌈🧘‍♂️ It’s about understanding: How fear 😨, greed 😍, or impatience ⏳ impacts your trades Why you sometimes ignore your rules 📝 How discipline 💪 can make the difference between profit 🏆 and loss 💸 💡 Tip: Even the best strategies fail if your mind isn’t in control. 🧠✨ 2️⃣ Common Psychological Traps & How They Appear in Trades Trap Emoji Effect Example in Trading Fear 😨 Exiting too early Closing a winning trade because you’re scared of losing profits 💔 Greed 😍 Holding losing trades Waiting for a loss to “come back” and losing more money 💸 FOMO 🏃‍♂️💨 Jumping impulsively Entering trades last minute because everyone else is trading 🚀 Revenge Trading 😤🔥 Emotional loss-chasing Trying to recover losses by taking bigger, risky trades 💣 💡 Insight: Recognizing these emotions is the first step to controlling them. 🌟 3️⃣ How to Master Your Trading Mind 1️⃣ Pre-Trade Preparation 🧘‍♀️✅ Check your emotional state before trading 🕊️ Confirm your trade plan is clear 📋✨ 2️⃣ During the Trade ✋🎯 Stick to your rules, don’t let emotions take over 💪🔥 Avoid impulsive exits or entries ⏱️❌ 3️⃣ Post-Trade Reflection 📖🖊️ Keep a Trading Journal: note emotions, mistakes & wins ✨📓 Review trades to improve your mindset over time 📈🌟 4️⃣ Pro Tips for Winning Psychology 🔥 Mindset Checklist: Am I trading calmly? 😌💭 Am I following my plan? 📋✅ Am I chasing losses or profits emotionally? ⚖️💡 💡 Daily Mindset Practice: Meditation 🧘‍♂️, journaling ✍️, or reviewing trades 📊 can help you stay disciplined under pressure 💎🌟 5️⃣ Why It Matters Trading without psychology = strategy leaks money 💸💨 Emotional control = consistency, higher win rates, confidence 🏆💪 Professionals don’t just trade charts—they trade themselves 🧠✨ 6️⃣ Engagement Section 👇 Question for your audience: “What’s the biggest psychological trap YOU’ve faced in trading? Share your story below! 💬💭💖”
TVC:GOLDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
GBPJPYAs you can see price is clearly in an downtrend. Nice push to the downside, and nice recovery back up. And with 4 points being made ( H,L,HL,LL) downtrend is confirmed. I marked 4H supply that aligns with 202.000 handle. While on the 4H is a downtrend, on daily timeframe, price is in a bullish leg and now coming up from filling the imbalance. Now if I was paying attention I could get into buys at the bottom and trap the market. However that was not the case. That can cause price to go higher and break through our supply. But that is why we wait for confirmation on smaller timeframes before entering the trade. Remember, no confiration - no entry.
Short
by Tilen_FX
U.S AI stocks view & U.S Market View #CautiousU.S.A AI stocks view -Uptrend completed/Uptrend matured -Short//sell on rise -Book your long term portfolio profits. Nasdaq & Dow Jones View -Uptrend completed -Sell on Rise Overall U.S Market scenario seems BEARISH & RISKY for long term. -VALUATION Issues specifically in AI Stocks. Nasdaq has completed 161.8% & Dow Jones 127% of retracement. Now both trading below above retracement levels & 9 Day SMA Nasdaq has broken 144.4% downside. CMP NASDAQ Futures 24830 DOW JONES Future 46715 Conclusion- A clear downtrend has started if Indexes breaks 50 Day SMA be cautious for more downtrend. Book your Long term Portfolios & sit on Cash Sell/Short on Rise.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by AyushMaurya1
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Gold) | November 7, 2025 Momentum D1 timeframe: Daily momentum is turning upward, but just one more bullish candle will push it into the overbought zone. This suggests that the current upward move may not be sustainable, and a short-term correction could occur soon. H4 timeframe: H4 momentum is about to turn bullish from the oversold area. If this signal is confirmed, we can expect a short-term upward move. However, as the market is currently in a balanced state, even a small push from either buyers or sellers could shift momentum direction. Therefore, it’s better to observe carefully rather than act too early. 90M timeframe: Momentum on the 90-minute chart is turning downward, indicating a possible short-term pullback before any further advance. ________________________________________ Wave Structure D1 timeframe: The ongoing rise in momentum indicates that wave X is still unfolding, meaning the corrective phase is not yet complete. H4 timeframe: Wave X is currently forming. The liquidity zone at 4028 remains a key level to watch. If the price breaks above this zone, the next target will likely be the upper liquidity zone at 4070. On the H4 chart, the green level around 4007 represents the highest-volume area, currently acting as a strong resistance. Combined with the H4 bullish momentum reversal, it shows buying pressure exists, but the resistance remains heavy, making the 4007–4028 region a key battleground. We should wait for a clear breakout before confirming the next direction. 90M timeframe: • A triangle-like structure seems to be forming, but it’s not yet complete, so confirmation is needed. • Waves a and b appear finished; the market may now be forming wave c (black) or wave d (black). • Since H4 momentum is turning bullish, if the price breaks above 4012, it will likely confirm wave c continuation. • Conversely, if the price drops toward 3950, completing a three-wave WXY (blue) structure, we can consider it wave d instead. Currently, wave c (black) is temporarily labeled since the structure already shows three subwaves completed. Therefore, I expect a decline toward 3950, where we can look for a short-term buy setup. ________________________________________ Trade Plan • Buy Zone: 3952 – 3950 • Stoploss: 3935 • TP1: 3980 • TP2: 4000
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
This is a GBP/JPY (4H) setup This is a GBP/JPY (4H) setup — a bearish structure with two target points clearly marked below the current price. 🧭 Chart Breakdown: The price has broken below the ascending trendline and the Ichimoku Cloud, showing bearish momentum. The first target point is at a nearby support level, and the second is a deeper extension move. 🎯 Targets: First target: around 174.60 – 174.70 zone Second target: around 172.90 – 173.00 zone 🔍 Summary: Trend: Bearish below 176.50 Targets: TP1 → 174.60 TP2 → 172.90 Invalidation: Break back above 176.80 (re-entry into the cloud/trendline)
Short
by HussaiN_JaNi
1
ETH/USDT (4H) chartETH/USDT (4H) chart: The price is currently trading near a support zone (around $3,250–3,300). The chart shows a potential bullish setup with two marked target points above. The Ichimoku Cloud suggests resistance around mid-levels before a full reversal. Here’s the breakdown 👇 🔹 Key Levels: Support zone: $3,250 – $3,300 First target (inside the cloud): around $3,700 – $3,750 Second target (top / resistance zone): around $4,150 – $4,200 🔹 Summary: If ETH holds the current support and breaks above the cloud: Target 1: ≈ $3,700 Target 2: ≈ $4,200 Invalidation: below $3,200 (support breakdown)
Long
by HussaiN_JaNi
3
ASTRAL golden crossAstral golden cross, FVG, BUY for target with stoploss as shown in chart. Astral Limited financial and key features: Market Cap: ₹41,790 crore Price to Earnings (P/E) Ratio: 82.0 Book Value: ₹141 Dividend Yield: 0.24% Return on Capital Employed (ROCE): 19.7% Return on Equity (ROE): 14.9% Debt Level: Almost debt free with borrowings of about ₹30 crore as of 2024 Revenue: ₹6,017 crore (TTM) Operating Profit: ₹963 crore with operating margin around 16% Net Profit: ₹505 crore Earnings Per Share (EPS): ₹18.96 Dividend Payout: Approximately 19.4% Total Assets: Around ₹5,198 crore with net block growth indicating capacity expansion Business Focus: Leading manufacturer of CPVC pipes, PVC pipes, plumbing products, adhesives, and sealants in India. Growth: Strong sales growth over past years driven by product diversification and geographic expansion; 10-year sales CAGR ~15%, profit CAGR ~21% Listed on NSE and BSE and part of indices like Nifty Midcap 150. Astal stands out for its financial discipline, low debt, steady profitability, and strong market presence in the Indian plumbing solutions and building materials sector.
NSE:ASTRALLong
by rajeshpgpg
EUR/JPY (1H) chartEUR/JPY (1H) chart, here’s what can be interpreted based on my annotations and price action: Support level (green zone): around 178.00 – 178.20 Current price: 177.88 Breakdown below cloud: already happened previously, price retested resistance (support turned resistance) and dropped again. My also drawn two target points below — one short-term and one deeper move. --- 🎯 Target Analysis From my markings and price structure: First target (short-term): around 176.40 – 176.50 → This aligns with my first green arrow and matches a previous minor swing low. Second target (main target): around 175.20 – 175.30 → This is the lower arrow, which aligns with the bottom of my previous structure (major support zone). --- 📊 Trade Idea Summary If my looking at a short setup (since price rejected the resistance zone): Sell Entry: below 177.70 (confirmation of rejection) Target 1: 176.40 Target 2: 175.20 Stop-loss: above 178.20 – 178.30 (just above resistance zone) --- ⚖ Risk/Reward (approximate) If entering at 177.70: SL: 178.30 (≈ 60 pips risk) TP1: 176.40 (≈ 130 pips reward) TP2: 175.20 (≈ 250 pips reward) ➡ R:R = 1:2 to 1:4 --- ✅ Conclusion: My first target is 176.40, and my main target is 175.20. This setup looks valid if price stays below the 178.00 resistance and cloud confirms bearish momentum.
Short
by HussaiN_JaNi
3
AUD/JPY 4H chartAUD/JPY 4H chart: The price was in an upward channel, then broke down sharply below both the Ichimoku cloud and the support trendline. There’s a clearly marked resistance zone around 100.2–100.6, which the price rejected strongly. The chart shows a target line drawn downward from the breakout area. Based on the image, the target point appears to be around the 97.80–98.00 zone. 🔍 Summary: Resistance: 100.2–100.6 Current price: ≈ 99.21 Bearish breakdown target: 97.8–98.0 Bias: Bearish continuation while below 99.6
Short
by HussaiN_JaNi
3