Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading Call Options (CE)
A Call Option Buyer expects the market to go up.
A Call Option Seller expects the market to stay below the strike or fall.
1. CE Buyer Example
Nifty = 22,000
You buy 22,100 CE at ₹50 premium.
If Nifty closes at 22,300 on expiry:
Intrinsic value = 22,300 - 22,100 = 200
Profit = (Intrinsic - Premium) = 200 - 50 = 150
Your profit is ₹150 × lot size.
If Nifty stays below 22,100:
Your loss = premium = ₹50
2. CE Seller Example
You sell 22,100 CE at ₹50
If Nifty stays below 22,100 → Full premium is your profit.
If Nifty goes above 22,100 → You lose point by point.
Seller risk = unlimited.
X-indicator
Trump Davos Warning Keeps Gold in Strong Uptrend Market Context (News → Flow)
Comments from Trump at Davos, including renewed threats and pressure around Greenland, have escalated geopolitical uncertainty during the Asian session.
Markets reacted in classic risk-off mode:
USD weakens amid political uncertainty
Equities hesitate, risk appetite fades
Safe-haven flows rotate into Gold, driving momentum higher
Gold is not moving on speculation — it is reacting to capital seeking protection.
Technical Structure (H1 – SMC)
Overall structure remains bullish, confirmed by multiple BOS
Price is trending inside a well-defined ascending channel
Recent pullback respected the bullish FVG, showing strong demand
No bearish acceptance below structure at this stage
➡️ FVG respected → continuation remains in play
Key Decision Zones
Upper FVG: 4,765.425
Mid support: 4,727.188
Current impulse high: 4,883.900
These are reaction zones, not chase levels.
Scenarios (If – Then)
Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation
If price holds above 4,765.425
Bullish structure remains intact
Gold can continue advancing toward higher channel resistance
Alternative Scenario – Technical Pullback
If price loses 4,765.425
A pullback toward 4,727.188 is possible for rebalancing
Only a clear H1 close below 4,727.188 would weaken the bullish bias
Summary
Geopolitical rhetoric is accelerating volatility, but structure still leads the narrative.
Gold is not reacting emotionally —
it is pricing risk.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 21.01.2026NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 21.01.2026
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
Unable to post on time due to a technical glitch. Sorry for the delayed post.
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
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📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Trump Davos Warning Keeps Gold in Strong UptrendMarket Context (News → Flow)
Comments from Trump at Davos, including renewed threats and pressure around Greenland, have escalated geopolitical uncertainty during the Asian session.
Markets reacted in classic risk-off mode:
USD weakens amid political uncertainty
Equities hesitate, risk appetite fades
Safe-haven flows rotate into Gold, driving momentum higher
Gold is not moving on speculation — it is reacting to capital seeking protection.
Technical Structure (H1 – SMC)
Overall structure remains bullish, confirmed by multiple BOS
Price is trending inside a well-defined ascending channel
Recent pullback respected the bullish FVG, showing strong demand
No bearish acceptance below structure at this stage
➡️ FVG respected → continuation remains in play
Key Decision Zones
Upper FVG: 4,765.425
Mid support: 4,727.188
Current impulse high: 4,883.900
These are reaction zones, not chase levels.
Scenarios (If – Then)
Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation
If price holds above 4,765.425
Bullish structure remains intact
Gold can continue advancing toward higher channel resistance
Alternative Scenario – Technical Pullback
If price loses 4,765.425
A pullback toward 4,727.188 is possible for rebalancing
Only a clear H1 close below 4,727.188 would weaken the bullish bias
Summary
Geopolitical rhetoric is accelerating volatility, but structure still leads the narrative.
Gold is not reacting emotionally —
it is pricing risk.
XAU/USD – Bullish Range Breakout with Pivot Support | Target in Technical Analysis (H1):
📊 Market Structure:
Gold maintains a strong bullish structure with clear Higher Highs & Higher Lows ✅, perfectly aligned with the ascending trendline 📈.
📦 Range → Breakout:
Price consolidated inside a range 🔄 and then delivered a clean bullish breakout 💥, signaling accumulation and continuation strength.
🎯 POI (Point of Interest):
Multiple POI reactions 🟢 confirm aggressive buyer interest at demand zones, reinforcing bullish conviction.
🔁 Pivot Point Flip:
The marked pivot zone has flipped from resistance into strong support 🟩 — a textbook bullish continuation signal.
🕯️ Current Price Action:
Price is holding above the pivot point and consolidating bullishly, indicating acceptance at higher levels 📌.
🎯 Upside Target Projection
🎯 Primary Target: 4,750 – 4,760
(Liquidity zone & projected resistance)
🔄 Expected Path:
Minor pullbacks inside the grey zone 🔍 ➝ continuation toward the target 🚀
❌ Invalidation Level
⚠️ A strong H1 close below the pivot support (~4,690–4,700) would weaken the bullish bias and signal possible range re-entry.
Bias: 📈 Bullish Continuation
Trade Idea: 🧠 Buy pullbacks above pivot 🟢 | Aim for liquidity at highs 🎯🚀
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – January 21, 2026
Momentum
– Daily (D1) momentum is currently increasing, indicating that the bullish trend is still intact and the upward move has not yet finished.
– H4 momentum is compressing in the overbought zone. This shows that the uptrend is still being maintained; however, momentum has weakened and a potential reversal may occur at any time.
– H1 momentum has started to reverse, suggesting that a short-term corrective pullback on the H1 timeframe is likely.
Wave Structure
Daily (D1) Timeframe
– On the daily chart, price remains within the blue Wave 5 structure, with Wave 5 continuing to extend.
– The next key level to monitor is 4957, which corresponds to the 1.0 Fibonacci extension of the Wave 1–3 range.
H4 Timeframe
– The current rally is steep and impulsive, suggesting that price is likely moving within orange Wave 3.
– Inside orange Wave 3, we can clearly observe a five-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) marked in green, as shown on the chart.
– According to Elliott Wave principles, once Wave 3 is completed, the market should enter a corrective phase forming orange Wave 4.
– It is important to note that H4 momentum is compressed in the overbought zone, signaling that while the bullish move may continue, momentum is weakening and reversal risk is increasing.
– However, since the blue Wave 5 is still extending, by principle we should not attempt to fade or counter-trade an extending wave.
H1 Timeframe
– Within the green five-wave structure, we can also identify a purple 1–2–3–4–5 structure, with purple Wave 3 currently extending.
– By principle, it is not advisable to project precise targets for an extending wave, as accuracy is typically very low.
– At this stage, the best approach is to remain patient and continue observing for additional confirmation, rather than taking aggressive sell positions while the bullish structure remains dominant.
CREDITACC 1 Week Time Frame 📌 Current Price Context (21 Jan 2026)
Approx current price: ~₹1,330 – ₹1,370 on NSE as of recent trading session.
📊 Weekly Technical Levels (1-Week Timeframe)
These levels are derived from recent weekly pivot analysis (reflecting highs/lows and average weekly trend):
Weekly Pivot Point: ~ ₹1,300 – ₹1,305
Weekly Resistance Levels:
R1: ~ ₹1,325 – ₹1,330
R2: ~ ₹1,350 – ₹1,360
R3: ~ ₹1,375+
Weekly Support Levels:
S1: ~ ₹1,275 – ₹1,280
S2: ~ ₹1,250 – ₹1,255
S3: ~ ₹1,225 – ₹1,220
(Classic pivot study — see weekly pivot table)
📈 Short Summary of Weekly Bias
Bullish scenario:
if the price sustains above weekly pivot (~₹1,300) and breaks above R1 (~₹1,330), momentum favors moves toward R2 (~₹1,350-1,360) and possibly R3 (~₹1,375) for the coming week.
Neutral / Range scenario:
Between ₹1,275 to ₹1,330, price tends to oscillate within the weekly range with no clear directional bias — traders watch pivot and R1/S1 zones.
Bearish scenario:
A break below S1 (~₹1,275) increases the risk of deeper probes toward S2 (~₹1,250) or S3 (~₹1,220) on the weekly chart.
📌 How to Use These Levels
1. Short-term traders (swing): Watch catalystsensing breaks above R1/R2 for bullish continuation setups or break below S1/S2 for bearish setups.
2. Position traders: Weekly pivot and 50/100 SMA clusters (around ₹1,300-₹1,340) act as key decision zones for holding or trimming positions.
Market Holidays & Trading Calendar PlanningMarket Holidays & Trading Calendar Planning
Market holidays and trading calendar planning are often underestimated elements of successful trading and investing. While most market participants focus on price action, fundamentals, or technical indicators, the structure of the trading calendar itself strongly influences liquidity, volatility, risk, and returns. Understanding when markets are open, partially open, or closed—and planning strategies around these periods—is a critical skill for traders, investors, fund managers, and even long-term portfolio allocators.
1. What Are Market Holidays?
Market holidays are official days when exchanges are fully or partially closed, meaning no trading activity takes place. These holidays vary by:
Country (India, US, Europe, Asia)
Asset class (Equities, derivatives, commodities, currency)
Exchange (NSE, BSE, NYSE, NASDAQ, CME)
For example:
In India, NSE and BSE close for national, religious, and festival holidays
In the US, markets close for federal holidays like Independence Day or Thanksgiving
Global markets often remain open when others are closed, creating asynchronous trading environments
A trading calendar includes:
Full trading holidays
Weekend closures
Special trading sessions (half-days)
Settlement holidays
Expiry dates (weekly, monthly, quarterly)
2. Why Market Holidays Matter for Traders
Market holidays have direct and indirect effects on trading behavior:
a) Liquidity Impact
Liquidity typically drops sharply before and after holidays. Fewer institutional players are active, bid-ask spreads widen, and order book depth decreases. This is especially visible in:
Mid-cap and small-cap stocks
Options contracts
Less liquid futures
Low liquidity can result in:
Slippage
False breakouts
Sharp spikes caused by small orders
b) Volatility Changes
Contrary to common belief, holidays can increase volatility:
Thin volumes exaggerate price moves
Stop-loss clusters get triggered easily
News released during holidays causes gap openings
Example:
If US markets are closed but Asian or European markets react to global news, Indian markets may open with a large gap, catching traders off-guard.
3. Pre-Holiday & Post-Holiday Market Behavior
Markets show distinct behavioral patterns around holidays:
a) Pre-Holiday Effects
Traders reduce positions to avoid overnight or long-weekend risk
Options writers close positions due to theta uncertainty
Volatility often compresses
Profit booking increases
This is why markets often show range-bound or mildly bearish behavior before major holidays.
b) Post-Holiday Effects
Pent-up demand or fear leads to gap-up or gap-down openings
Global cues accumulated during holidays get priced in
High volatility during the first 1–2 hours of trading
Experienced traders often avoid the first 30–60 minutes post-holiday unless they specialize in gap trading.
4. Trading Calendar Planning for Different Market Participants
a) Intraday Traders
For intraday traders, calendar awareness is crucial:
Avoid aggressive trading on low-volume days
Reduce position size before holidays
Expect erratic price action near closing hours
Be cautious with breakout strategies
On expiry weeks with holidays, time decay accelerates, making intraday option strategies riskier.
b) Swing Traders
Swing traders must plan entries and exits around holidays:
Carrying positions over long weekends increases gap risk
Stop-loss orders may not protect against gap openings
Global events during holidays can invalidate technical setups
Many swing traders prefer to exit partial positions before long holidays and re-enter after confirmation.
c) Options Traders
Options traders are most sensitive to the trading calendar:
Theta behaves differently near holidays
Weekly expiries shift when holidays fall on expiry day
Implied volatility can spike unexpectedly
For example:
If Thursday expiry is a holiday in India, weekly options expire on Wednesday, changing decay dynamics and hedging costs.
5. Settlement, Expiry & Holiday Adjustments
Trading calendars also include:
Settlement holidays (trades executed but not settled)
Shifted expiries in derivatives
Adjusted margin requirements
Key implications:
Funds may remain blocked longer
Delivery trades may face delayed settlement
Carry-forward costs can increase
Professional traders always track:
Weekly and monthly F&O expiry dates
Holidays affecting those expiries
RBI holidays impacting currency settlement
6. Global Market Holiday Mismatch
In today’s interconnected markets, one market’s holiday is another market’s trading opportunity.
Examples:
US markets closed → Asian markets react to US futures
China holidays → Commodity markets become volatile
European holidays → Lower liquidity in forex pairs
This mismatch leads to:
Artificial price stability followed by sudden breakouts
Delayed reactions to macro news
Increased overnight risk
Indian traders must track:
US market holidays
Asian market calendars (China, Japan)
Global economic event calendars
7. Long-Term Investors & Portfolio Planning
Even long-term investors benefit from calendar planning:
SIP execution dates can fall on holidays
Rebalancing during illiquid sessions increases cost
Tax-loss harvesting must consider settlement dates
Dividend record dates near holidays affect pricing
Institutional investors often avoid bulk trades near holidays due to price impact and execution risk.
8. Psychological Aspect of Holiday Trading
Holidays influence trader psychology:
Reduced attention and discipline
Overconfidence due to low participation
Emotional decisions before long breaks
Retail traders often make mistakes like:
Overtrading thin markets
Holding leveraged positions into holidays
Ignoring global risk events
Disciplined traders treat holidays as risk management checkpoints, not trading opportunities.
9. Best Practices for Trading Calendar Planning
Some practical rules followed by professionals:
Always keep an updated annual trading calendar
Mark major domestic and global holidays
Reduce leverage before long weekends
Avoid new positions on extremely low-volume days
Track shifted expiries and settlement dates
Combine holiday awareness with technical levels
Plan exits before holidays, entries after confirmation
Calendar awareness should be part of every trading plan, just like stop-loss or risk-reward ratios.
10. Conclusion
Market holidays and trading calendar planning are silent forces shaping price behavior. They affect liquidity, volatility, psychology, and risk more than most traders realize. Successful market participants do not treat holidays as passive events—they actively plan around them.
Whether you are an intraday trader, swing trader, options strategist, or long-term investor, understanding the trading calendar helps you:
Avoid unnecessary risk
Improve execution quality
Protect capital during uncertain periods
Align strategies with real market conditions
In modern markets, when you trade is often as important as what you trade. Mastering market holidays and calendar planning transforms trading from reactive speculation into structured decision-making.
Hindustan Copper Limited – A Case in Point📊 Understanding the Rounding Bottom Pattern in Long-Term Charts
Hindustan Copper Limited, currently trading near ₹538, has displayed a rounding bottom formation since its listing in 2010. After years of decline and consolidation, the stock is now approaching its listing highs, reflecting a long-term structural recovery. This setup highlights how patience in long-term charts can reward investors, while disciplined risk management ensures traders don’t get caught in false moves.
Understanding the Rounding Bottom Pattern in Long-Term Charts
📈 What is a Rounding Bottom Pattern?
A rounding bottom pattern (also called a saucer bottom) is a long-term technical chart formation that signals a gradual shift from a bearish phase to a bullish one. It typically develops over months or years, showing a slow decline in price, stabilization at the bottom, and then a gradual recovery. The shape resembles a "U" or a bowl, reflecting investor sentiment moving from pessimism to optimism.
Key characteristics:
Extended duration: Often spans several years.
Gradual transition: No sharp reversals; instead, a slow and steady change in trend.
Volume behavior: Declines during the downtrend, stabilizes at the bottom, and rises as the breakout nears.
🌍 Importance on Long-Term Charts
Signals structural reversal: Especially powerful when seen on monthly or weekly charts, as it suggests a fundamental change in market perception.
Applicable to newly listed stocks: For companies that fell after listing, a rounding bottom can mark the end of long-term underperformance.
Investor confidence: Breakouts from such patterns often attract institutional interest, as they indicate sustained demand.
⚖️ Risk Management in Such Criteria
Even though rounding bottoms are strong reversal signals, risk management is crucial:
False breakouts: Prices may test resistance multiple times before a clean breakout.
Stop-loss placement: Traders should place stops below the midpoint of the pattern or recent support.
Position sizing: Avoid overexposure; long-term setups require patience and capital discipline.
Macro factors: Always consider industry cycles, commodity prices, and broader market sentiment.
💡 Traders’ & Investors’ Takeaways
For traders: The breakout above the neckline (previous highs) is the key entry point. Momentum traders often ride the rally post-breakout.
For investors: The pattern reflects a fundamental turnaround. Long-term investors may accumulate during the consolidation phase, anticipating sustained growth.
Psychological shift: The pattern embodies a transition from despair to renewed optimism, making it a powerful sentiment indicator.
SMALL CAP INDEXHello & welcome to this analysis
The index appears to be ending a wedge pattern near an Ichimoku cloud resistance with future Kumo bearish. It also has a slanting channel upper trendline resistance approaching.
The wedge would be considered broken below 17775, downside levels where it could then retrace to would be the Ichimoku Base line near 17400 and if that fails to hold it could further retrace till 16600 where it would form a Bullish Harmonic Gartley.
The PRZ of the Gartley coincides with a gap up area and the slanting channel lower trendline.
This bearish view would be invalid above 18150
All the best
XAUUSD H1 – Liquidity Grab Completed, Focus on Buy the DipMarket Context
Gold has just completed a strong impulsive rally, leaving behind multiple liquidity pockets and imbalance zones below. The current pullback is technical in nature, serving as a rebalancing phase after expansion rather than a trend reversal.
From a macro perspective, safe-haven demand and a cautious Fed outlook continue to support Gold, keeping the broader bias tilted to the upside.
Technical Structure (H1 – MMF)
Market structure remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows.
The recent sell-off is a liquidity grab into previous demand zones.
No confirmed bearish CHoCH at this stage.
Price is still holding above the major H1 GAP liquidity zone.
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY
Prefer BUY setups on pullbacks into:
BUY zone 1: 4,759 – 4,729
BUY zone 2 (deep): 4,669 – 4,600
Only execute BUYs after clear bullish reaction and structure hold.
Avoid FOMO at premium levels.
Upside Targets
TP1: 4,817
TP2: 4,892
TP3: 4,898 (liquidity sweep zone)
Alternative Scenario
If price fails to hold above 4,729 and sweeps deeper liquidity into the GAP H1 zone, wait for re-accumulation signals before re-entering BUYs.
Invalidation
An H1 close below 4,600 invalidates the bullish setup and requires a full structure reassessment.
Summary
The broader trend remains bullish. The current move is a corrective pullback into liquidity, offering high-quality buy-the-dip opportunities. Patience and confirmation remain key — let price come to you.
BTC 1D Update🚨 Bitcoin Update - Jan 21, 2026: BTC dipped to $88.2K amid escalating trade tensions and market sell-off, now stabilizing at ~$89.4K (-3.2% 24H).
Key Supports: $88.2K → $84.4K → $80K
Key Resistance: $90K → $93.4K → $97K+ (break could target $101K retest)
Reversal potential if $88K holds. Buy the dip opportunity? Sentiment divided. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 21/01/2026A flat opening is expected in Nifty, indicating continued consolidation after the recent sharp decline and volatile price action near lower demand zones. The index has shown strong selling pressure from higher levels and is now hovering close to a critical support area, suggesting that the market is at an important decision point. Early trade is likely to remain range-bound with heightened volatility, as both buyers and sellers assess whether the recent support will hold or break further.
On the support side, the immediate demand zone is placed around 25,250–25,200. This area has already witnessed a sharp reaction, indicating short-term buying interest and the possibility of a technical bounce. If Nifty manages to hold above 25,250, a reversal long setup may come into play with upside targets of 25,350, 25,400, and 25,450+. Any pullback followed by strong bullish candles or higher low formation near this zone can be used as a confirmation for intraday or short-term long trades, keeping strict stop-losses below the support.
On the upside, the immediate resistance lies near 25,450–25,400, which is a previous breakdown zone. Sustaining above this level is crucial for bulls to regain control. Failure to cross this resistance may again attract selling pressure, keeping the index trapped in a sideways-to-bearish structure. Hence, profit booking is advised near resistance levels for long positions, and fresh longs should be considered only on a decisive breakout with volume confirmation.
On the downside, a clear break below 25,200 would weaken the structure further and open the door for fresh short trades. In such a scenario, downside targets are placed at 25,100, 25,050, and 25,000, which are the next major psychological and technical support levels. Below 25,000, the selling momentum can accelerate, so traders should be cautious and trail profits aggressively in short positions.
Overall, the broader trend remains bearish with short-term consolidation, and today’s flat opening suggests a wait-and-watch approach during the initial phase of the session. Traders should focus on level-based trading, avoid chasing moves, and strictly follow risk management. Directional clarity is expected only after a confirmed breakout above resistance or a breakdown below the key support zone.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(21/01/2026)A flat opening is expected in Bank Nifty, indicating indecision after the recent sell-off and rejection from higher levels. The index is currently trading below its immediate resistance zone, reflecting weak momentum and cautious sentiment among market participants. Early trade is likely to remain volatile but range-bound, as both buyers and sellers wait for confirmation near the marked support and resistance levels before committing to fresh positions.
On the upside, the key resistance zone is placed near 59,550–59,600. If Bank Nifty manages to sustain above 59,550, it can trigger a buy-on-breakout setup with upside targets of 59,750, 59,850, and 59,950+. A move above this zone would indicate short-covering and fresh buying interest, potentially leading to a recovery rally towards the upper resistance band near 59,950. Long trades should be considered only after clear acceptance above resistance with stable price action.
On the downside, the immediate support is seen around 59,450–59,400. Failure to hold this level can invite fresh selling pressure, making buy PE options favorable for downside moves. In such a case, targets are placed at 59,250, 59,150, and 59,050, where partial profit booking is advisable. A stronger breakdown below 58,950–58,900 would further weaken the structure and open deeper downside targets near 58,750, 58,650, and 58,550, which are major demand zones and potential bounce areas.
Overall, the broader structure suggests a sell-on-rise and range-trading strategy unless a decisive breakout above resistance occurs. Traders should avoid aggressive positions during the initial flat phase and instead focus on level-based trades with strict stop-loss management. Scalpers and intraday traders can capitalize on moves near support and resistance, while positional traders should wait for a confirmed directional breakout before taking larger exposure.
Gold Trading Strategy for 21st january 2026🟡 GOLD TREND TRADING LEVELS ($)
📈 BULLISH SCENARIO – BUY SETUP
💰 Buy Above: 4800
🎯 Targets:
T1: 4812
T2: 4824
T3: 4836
📌 Logic:
If Gold sustains above 4800, bullish momentum is expected. Price may continue making higher highs. Trail stop-loss as targets are achieved.
📉 BEARISH SCENARIO – SELL SETUP
💰 Sell Below: 4729
🎯 Targets:
T1: 4715
T2: 4701
T3: 4685
📌 Logic:
A breakdown below 4729 indicates weakness. Sellers may dominate, leading to lower low formation.
⏱️ TIMEFRAME FOR TREND TRADING
🕐 Use: 1-Hour Candle (H1)
✅ Strategy Rule:
Buy only above the previous 1-hour candle high
Sell only below the previous 1-hour candle low
This helps avoid false breakouts and aligns trades with the main trend.
⚡ SCALPING SETUP (Quick Trades)
🔴 SELL SCALPING ZONE
📍 Sell Between: 4793 – 4799
❌ Small Stop-Loss: 5–10 points
🎯 Quick Targets: 5–10 points
🔁 Trail SL if price moves in your favor
🟢 BUY SCALPING ZONE
📍 Buy Between: 4729 – 4733
❌ Small Stop-Loss: 5–10 points
🎯 Quick Targets: 5–10 points
🔁 Trail SL to protect profits
📌 Note: Scalping trades should be taken only when price shows rejection or confirmation at these zones.
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER
⚠️ This content is for educational purposes only.
⚠️ Trading in Gold ($) involves market risk.
⚠️ Levels are based on technical analysis, not guaranteed outcomes.
⚠️ Always use proper stop-loss and risk management.
⚠️ Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before trading.
⚠️ The creator is not responsible for any profit or loss.
MASTEK - STWP Equity Snapshot________________________________________
📊 STWP Equity Snapshot – MASTEK
(Educational | Chart-Based Interpretation)
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📌 Market Structure (Simple View)
Price has moved up sharply from a recent low, showing strong buying interest.
After the rally, price has paused and is moving sideways in a tight range.
This pause is happening above the rally midpoint, which keeps the structure positive.
👉 Buyers are still in control unless price breaks below the base.
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🔄 Rally–Base Structure (Simple Explanation)
Strong rally shows clear bullish intent
Base is tight, showing selling pressure is weak
No sharp rejection from the top
Buyers are accepting higher prices
Risk is clearly visible below the base
This is a healthy pause, not weakness.
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📌 Intraday Reference Levels (Structure-based)
Reference Price Zone: 2243
Risk Reference (If price weakens): 2149
Observed Upside Zones: 2337 → 2432
These are reaction areas, not predictions.
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📌 Swing Reference Levels
(Hybrid Model | 2–5 days | Observational)
Reference Price Zone: 2243
Risk Reference (If support breaks): 2101
Higher Range Zones (If strength continues): 2432 → 2573
These levels reflect the bigger structure, not short-term noise.
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📊 What the Chart is Saying (Very Simple)
Trend is up
Momentum is strong
Consolidation is healthy
Buyers are defending the base
Breakdown only if price closes below the base low
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📈 Final Outlook (Condition-Based)
Momentum: Strong
Trend: Up
Risk: Moderate
Volume: Supportive
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💡 STWP Learning Note
Strong rallies usually pause before moving further.
A tight base helps define risk and improves discipline.
Structure matters more than speed.
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer
This post is shared only for educational and informational purposes.
It is not investment advice or a recommendation.
Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any financial decision.
________________________________________
📘 STWP Approach
Observe price. Respect risk.
Let structure guide decisions — not emotions.
🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.
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Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | January 20-21✅ 4-Hour Chart (H4) Trend Analysis
Gold has continued a strong rally since launching from the 4537 area, forming a classic bullish structure with both higher highs and higher lows. Price remains firmly above the MA5 / MA10 / MA20 moving average system, finding support on pullbacks to the MAs, which confirms that the medium-term bullish trend remains intact. That said, the recent upside momentum has been relatively fast, and price has entered a high-sensitivity zone driven by prior resistance and market sentiment. Although no reversal signals are present for now, short-term technical digestion and pullbacks are possible, making it inadvisable to chase prices at this stage.
✅ 1-Hour Chart (H1) Trend Analysis
On the short-term timeframe, price maintains a rising consolidation structure, repeatedly stabilizing above the 4700 level. Bulls remain in control, but upside momentum is beginning to slow at the margin. The price action continues to follow a pullback-to-MA5 / MA10 and resume higher rhythm, indicating that the trend is still healthy but has shifted from a one-sided rally to a step-by-step upward advance. As long as pullbacks hold in the 4705–4715 zone, the overall structure remains bullish; however, a break below 4695 would increase the risk of a deeper correction and require tighter risk control.
🔴 Resistance Levels
4758–4765 / 4775
🟢 Support Levels
4715–4705 / 4695 / 4650
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Trend-Following Approach (Primary Strategy)
📍 Wait for price to pull back into the 4715–4705 zone
📍 Enter long positions in batches after stabilization
Condition: H1 structure remains intact and pullbacks show clear signs of support
🔰 Defensive Approach (Risk Control)
📍 If price breaks below 4695 and fails to recover quickly
📍 Actively reduce exposure or exit positions and wait for a new structural confirmation
✅ Trend Summary
👉 Medium-term trend (H4): Strong bullish trend remains intact
👉 Short-term condition (H1): High-level consolidation + slowing momentum
👉 Core strategy: Buy pullbacks only, avoid chasing highs
👉 Key structural level: Above 4700 remains bullish; caution is required if 4695 is broken
Gold (XAUUSD) – 1H | Short AnalysisTrend: Short-term bullish, strong impulsive move from ~4660 → 4745.
Current: Mild pullback / profit booking near highs (~4725).
Resistance: 4745–4760 zone (supply visible).
Support: 4700–4685 (immediate), deeper 4660.
Bias:
Above 4700 → pullback buy possible, trend intact.
Below 4685 → deeper correction likely.
View: Bullish structure, but expect consolidation or shallow retrace before next move.
S&P 500: Late-Stage Structure Worth WatchingThe S&P 500’s recent advance is showing overlapping price action and narrowing ranges , raising the possibility of a developing Ending Diagonal near the highs.
Internally, the move lacks impulsive strength , with Wave (v) struggling for follow-through and RSI hovering around the mid-50s, suggesting momentum is not confirming price . This behavior is more typical of a terminal phase than a trend expansion.
That said, this is not a confirmed top . A break below the lower diagonal would support the bearish case, while strong acceptance above recent highs would invalidate the diagonal view.
For now, this remains a caution zone , not a conviction call.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – January 20, 2026
1. Momentum
D1 Timeframe
– The D1 momentum has started to show signs of a bullish reversal. However, we still need to wait for today’s D1 candle close to fully confirm this reversal signal.
– If confirmed, the bullish trend is likely to continue.
– That said, since the reversal point is forming relatively close to the oversold zone, the upside potential of this move may be limited and expectations should be managed carefully.
H4 Timeframe
– H4 momentum is approaching the oversold area.
– If the current price action holds and we get a bullish H4 candle close, momentum will officially enter the oversold zone and may reverse upward.
– In that case, the bullish trend on the H4 timeframe will be reinforced.
H1 Timeframe
– H1 momentum is currently rising, indicating that the short-term bullish bias remains intact.
– Alternatively, price may continue to move sideways before a clearer direction emerges.
2. Elliott Wave Structure
D1 Wave Structure
– There is no major change in the D1 wave count.
– Price remains within the blue Wave 5.
– Combined with the emerging bullish reversal signal on D1 momentum, this suggests that Wave 5 may continue to extend higher.
H4 Wave Structure
– Within the blue Wave 5, the H4 structure consists of five yellow sub-waves.
– Price is currently moving inside yellow Wave 5.
– With H4 momentum preparing to reverse upward, yellow Wave 5 may continue its advance.
– However, special attention should be paid to the price channel: if price rises and then returns back inside the channel, it may signal that yellow Wave 5 has already completed.
H1 Wave Structure
– Inside yellow Wave 5, we can identify five purple sub-waves.
– At the moment, price is in the final stage of purple Wave 4 and preparing to enter purple Wave 5.
3. Targets & Key Price Zones
– Purple Wave 5 target: 4737
– From the Volume Profile, the 4641 – 4661 zone is a liquidity void (FVG).
– Price is currently being rejected from this area, indicating that 4661 is acting as a strong support level.
– By combining strong support from the FVG zone with H4 momentum approaching oversold and preparing for a bullish reversal, this area becomes a high-quality zone to look for Buy opportunities targeting the completion of Wave 5.
4. Trading Plan
– Buy Setup: 4667 – 4665
– Stop Loss: 4647
– Take Profit 1: 4687
– Take Profit 2: 4737
Supreme Holdings Flashes a Hammer After the SelloffSupreme Holdings has formed a bullish hammer after a sharp downtrend , supported by bullish RSI divergence and a volume spike , indicating demand emerging at lower levels. This opens the door for a short-term bounce , while the broader trend remains weak.
Price action from here will decide whether this develops into something more or fades as a corrective move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
BTCUSD – Key Date Based Fibonacci Outlook Short-Term CorrectionThis idea is based on Fibonacci retracement levels combined with a critical time window for Bitcoin.
After a strong bullish move, BTC is currently showing signs of a short-term correction while maintaining a long-term bullish structure.
🟡 Key Fibonacci Levels
0.236 → 87,100
0.382 → 80,400
0.5 → 75,000
0.618 → 69,600 (Major Support Zone)
These zones are potential reaction and accumulation areas if price continues to retrace.
📅 Important Time Window
8 February – 5 March
This period is marked as a high-impact phase where volatility and direction change are expected.






















