X-indicator
Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Builds Momentum for Rebound◉ Since its launch, the stock has faced a dramatic decline, dropped nearly 80% from its peak.
◉ Once it found support around the 12.5 mark, the stock began to rise again, formed an Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern in the process.
◉ After breaking out, the price surged to an all-time high near the 61 level, only to experience another notable drop.
◉ At present, the stock is trading at the previous breakout point and is expected to rebound shortly.
Riba Textiles cmp 98.00 by Weekly Chart view*Riba Textiles cmp 98.00 by Weekly Chart view*
- Support Zone 91 to 95 Price Band
- Price sustaining along Rising Support Trendline
- Price has crossed and sustaining above the Falling Resistance Trendline
- Weekly basis Support at 74 > 60 > 45 with the Resistance at 113 > 128 > 142
- 4.5+ years long timeframe Bullish Rounding Bottom followed with smaller Rounding Bottoms
Today's First 15 Minutes Position BankNifty, Nifty, FINNIFTYToday First 15 Minutes Position on DMR Indicator
Bank Nifty, Nifty and Fin Nifty.
Above Green or Red line to take Trade.
Only Fin Nifty crossing, and showing the Targets and Stop Loss.
amazing, and it seems Bank nifty and NIFTY is sideways initially.
Good knowledge of Educating DMR indicator.
GOLD → Controversial fundamental background. What's next?OANDA:XAUUSD capitalizing on the weakening of the US dollar and heading towards the areas of interest and liquidity at 2635 - 2639. But! There are signs that a flag pattern is forming. Theoretically, any attempt for gold prices to rise could be limited. PCE, GDP, and the resistance ahead...
Meanwhile, sellers pause slightly amid concerns about trade wars, geopolitical risks, expectations that the Fed will cut rates by another 25 basis points in December, recently declining US bond yields, and the USD falling overnight to a two-week low. However, ahead of the upcoming macroeconomic news from the US, namely PCE and GDP, after a relatively quiet news week, volatility is likely to be unpredictable. The question now is whether the downward momentum will continue as the price reacts to a critical support zone.
Technically, gold remains range-bound and is heading towards areas of interest from which a retracement could form. But this reaction also partly depends on the news....
The focus is on the imbalance zone, fibo 0.618 and fibo 0.5. Due to the controversial technical and fundamental background, the gold price may close inside a wide channel, which allows us to use its boundaries for trading. We are watching the resistance with a sell target for further downside
NIFTY MATHEMATICAL LEVELSThese Levels are based on purely mathematical calculations.
Validity of levels are upto expiry of current week.
How to use these levels :-
* Mark these levels on your chart.
* Safe players Can use 15 min Time Frame
* Risky Traders Can use 5 min. Time Frame
* When Candle give Breakout / Breakdown to any level we have to enter with High/Low of that breaking candle.
* Targets will be another level marked on chart
* Stop Loss will be Low/High of that Breaking Candle.
* Trail your SL with every candle.
* Avoid Big Candles as SL will be high then.
* This is one of the Best Risk Reward Setup.
For Educational purpose only
Nifty Trading Strategy for 29th November 2024Nifty Trading Strategy
Current Level: Nifty at 23914
Long Position: Above the high of the 15-minute candle that closes above 24055
Short Position: Below the low of the 15-minute candle that closes below 23780
Support Levels: 23650, 23500
Resistance Levels: 24150, 24230
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
EUR/USD: Breakout from Triangle AccumulationThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a triangle pattern forming, which is a sign of accumulation before a breakout. A breakout of this pattern to the upside, as it has recently done, could signal that the next bullish trend is likely to continue.
The price has broken above the EMA 34 and is approaching the EMA 89, which suggests that the bullish trend may be increasing. If the price sustains above the EMA 89 and continues to break above the previously drawn horizontal resistance around 1.0577, we can expect a significant upside move.
Personally, I would advise traders to closely monitor the price interaction with the EMA 89 and the resistance at 1.0577 in the coming hours to determine a suitable trading strategy. At the same time, it is indispensable to follow economic news that may affect EUR/USD to get a comprehensive view of the current market trend.
EUR/USD: Hot Spot at 1.0594, Opportunity or Challenge?Looking at the 4-hour chart of the EUR/USD pair, I see a few key points that indicate the potential for the trend to develop in the near future. The pair has recently shown a fairly clear recovery from the lows, with the price currently trading near the important resistance level of 1.0594. This level has acted as resistance in the past and could now test the ability of traders again.
From a technical perspective, the price approaching this level could lead to two main scenarios: If EUR/USD can break above 1.0594, we could see the rally continue to higher levels, possibly reaching 1.0650 or higher.
Gold Stabilizes Amid Policy and Inflation WaitLooking at the 4-hour chart of gold, we can see a sideways trend in recent trading sessions, especially during the Thanksgiving holiday when the market lacked strong transactions. The stability of gold prices at $2,636/ounce reflects investors' waiting for new signals from the market and policymakers.
The highlight of the chart is the current support and resistance levels. Gold is trading below both the 34 and 89 EMAs, indicating downward pressure, although not too strong. The recent crossover of these two EMAs suggests some price instability, but not enough to determine a clear trend.
In the current context, there are a number of macro factors affecting gold prices that investors should pay attention to. First, expectations of a Fed rate cut in 2025 based on PCE data showing slowing inflation could weaken the USD and support gold as a safe-haven asset. Second, concerns about new tax policies from the Trump administration could create uncertainty in financial markets, making gold more attractive as a safe-haven option.
Personally, I think gold is likely to remain stable or slightly increase in price in the short term, reflecting its role as a hedge against risk in the current environment.
Dow Futures Trading Strategy 29th November 2024Dow Futures Trading Strategy
Buy above the high of the one-hour candle which breaks and closes above 44980: Consider entering a buy position if the price breaks and sustains above the high of the one-hour candle and closes above 44980, indicating potential bullish momentum.
Sell below the low of the one-hour candle which breaks and closes below 44840: Consider entering a sell position if the price drops and closes below the low of the one-hour candle and breaks below 44840, indicating potential bearish momentum.
Example Analysis
Given the current price of 44930:
Buying above the high of the one-hour candle which breaks and closes above 44980: If the price breaks the high of the one-hour candle and closes above 44980, it suggests a potential upward trend.
Selling below the low of the one-hour candle which breaks and closes below 44840: If the price breaks the low of the one-hour candle and closes below 44840, it indicates a potential downward trend.
Disclaimer
Trading in financial markets involves significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. It is crucial to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor to understand the risks and develop a sound strategy.
Gold Trading Strategy for 29th November 2024Gold Trading Strategy
Based on your updated strategy:
Buy above 2650
Sell below 2620
Current price: 2637.600
Factors to Consider
Market Trends: Monitor recent market trends, including global economic conditions, geopolitical events, and market sentiment.
Economic Indicators: Key indicators such as inflation rates, interest rates, and the strength of major currencies (especially the US dollar) can significantly impact gold prices.
Supply and Demand: Fluctuations in gold's supply (e.g., mining output) and demand (e.g., jewelry, industrial use, and investment) influence prices.
Central Bank Reserves: Central banks buying or selling gold can affect market dynamics. More purchases typically push prices higher.
Technical Analysis: Utilize chart patterns, support and resistance levels, and technical indicators like moving averages to identify potential trading opportunities.
Example Analysis
Given the current price of 2637.600:
Buying above 2650: If the price exceeds 2650, it may suggest bullish momentum, potentially driven by factors such as economic uncertainty or increased investment demand.
Selling below 2620: A decline below 2620 might indicate bearish sentiment, possibly due to stronger economic data or rising interest rates.
Disclaimer
Trading in financial markets involves significant risk and can result in the loss of your invested capital. It is crucial to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor to understand the risks and develop a sound strategy.
JPYUSD (Important Level) 70% Sell & 30% BuYJPYUSD at very important level. In daily timeframe we see support from 200 WMA and multiple time tested support level However in 4H timeframe we can clearly see price crashed 200 WMA and support. Today price action will help us to determine where the price will go in future.
28th Nov 2024 - PostMortem on Nifty - Sep and Oct PnL wiped out Nifty Stance Neutral ➡️
This week was really terrible for me, not only did it wipe out my November, but it took out the October gains as well. Well, I do not blame the market for that, it was all on my overconfidence.
Never ever thought the state elections would play the role of big villain to my PnL. The mistake I made was not to concede ground on Friday itself when the markets moved close to 540 points. I was short at 24050 and that went almost in the money.
If you look at the price actions on Tuesday, Wednesday and Today - it was pretty clear that the upside momentum was really fake. We were never meant to go up. The entire positions I had would have ended in profits if I could have just waited out. But if you think of it from the other angle, in the heat of the moment - covering the shorts and running away for safety would have been the obvious choice.
The 475+ intraday fall today surprised everyone. It trapped all the bulls. Most of them would have loaded up after seeing the FII buy number the last few days after we had a month and a half with sell numbers.
At this point I would like to go neutral and then choose a direction once Nifty makes its next move.
Will AI Rewrite the Timeless Story of Price Action?1.What is Price Action?
Price action is the raw, unfiltered movement of a market’s price over time. It reflects the collective emotions and decisions of market participants—fear, greed, hope, and panic. At its core, price action carries the DNA of human psychology, making it timeless and universal.
One fascinating element of price action is its asymmetry. When the market rises, it often does so in a gradual, orderly manner, driven by cautious optimism. But when the market falls, fear takes over, leading to sharp, sudden sell-offs. This is because humans are inherently more afraid of losing money than they are excited about gaining it. This emotional imbalance—fear of losses and greed for gains—creates the unique patterns we observe on charts.
And here’s the remarkable part: the price action of the 1970 crash in S&P 500 looks very similar to that of 2008 NIFTY 50 crash (see the image below).Despite technological advancements, the charts of past decades echo the same fear-driven collapses and steady climbs we see today. Why? Because human emotions have not changed, and they remain the core drivers of price action.
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2.How AI Is Changing the Game
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is reshaping the financial markets, from executing trades in microseconds to analyzing sentiment across vast datasets. High-frequency trading (HFT) and predictive AI models have revolutionized how markets operate. However, there’s a fundamental truth that often gets overlooked: AI is created by humans.
The algorithms and codes powering AI were written by humans, meaning they inherently reflect human logic, biases, and assumptions. While AI can analyze patterns and react faster than any human, it is ultimately bound by the constraints of its programming. It cannot replicate the instinctive and emotional elements of human behavior that form the essence of price action.
Even in 2024, with all the advancements in AI, the market’s movements are still influenced by the same human emotions that shaped the price action of the 1900s. The fear of missing out (FOMO), panic selling during a crash, or greed during a bubble are not going away. AI can respond to these behaviours, but it cannot replace them.
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3.The Future of Price Action
AI is not here to erase price action; it’s here to evolve it. Traders will need to adapt to this new landscape, where algorithms coexist with human psychology. While traditional patterns may lose some reliability, opportunities will arise in new forms. Traders who combine human intuition with AI insights will have the edge.
Fear and greed will always be present in the markets, shaping price action just as they have for decades. The challenge for traders is to navigate this evolving market environment while remembering that, at its core, price action is still a story of human behavior—no matter how advanced the technology becomes.
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Conclusion:
AI will change the way we trade, but it won’t change the emotional DNA of the markets. Price action will continue to tell the story of human psychology, with all its unpredictability and drama, ensuring that markets remain as fascinating as ever.
What are your views on this? Do let me know in the comment section below.
BDL: Long Term ViewAfter a significant downtrend, BDL has recently shown a bullish reversal pattern marked by three consecutive green candlesticks, resembling a three white soldiers pattern on the daily chart. This formation indicates a noteworthy shift in market sentiment, suggesting that buyers have taken control and are applying upward pressure on the stock. Generally, such a pattern is viewed as a strong signal that the previous downtrend might be reversing into an uptrend.
In addition to this daily analysis, a breakout from the downtrend trendline has also been observed. Historically, this breakout level is recognized as a key support zone and often aligns with potential reversal points. The combination of the candlestick pattern and the trendline breakout reinforces the bullish outlook for BDL .
Given the current market conditions and technical indicators, BDL appears to offer a favourable opportunity for accumulation at the CMP . For those looking to enter, a prudent long-term stop-loss level has been set at 896 , creating an optimal risk-reward scenario. Based on this analysis, the target price for long-term investment could be set at 1723 .
Disclaimer: The information contained in this report is intended solely for informational and educational purposes, and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is imperative that investors conduct their own thorough research and consider their individual financial situations
A better product than Solar IndustriesThe Defence stocks seem to be running hard
The issue is that Solar Industries, and it's product are overrated and this is so unknown
I knew this in my high school as someone on a passenger train spoke about this to me
It was a mystical company making Defence tendering products back then!
Target: Previous highs or 4 digits
Indian defence spending
Newer sources
ISRO and DRDO orders
Proximity to Sriharikota and Hyderabad
What People Think About Management In summary, trade risk refers to the potential for financial loss or negative consequences arising from fluctuations in the value of goods or services traded between different countries.
Basically money management in trading is a defensive strategy that is meant to preserve capital. It is a way to decide how many shares or lots to trade at any given time based on your available capital. Successful money management can save you from draining your account when you hit a bad streak of losing trades.
Management TradingTrade management involves a series of tasks and decisions that occur after a trade is executed. These tasks include: 1. Determining Position Size: Before entering a trade, calculate the appropriate position size based on your risk tolerance and account size.
Trade Management is the process by which companies plan, execute, and administer payment for trade promotions. Successful trade management includes: Managing trade funds. Maximizing trade promotion profitability. Minimizing claim and deduction costs.
Advanced Trading Trading involves the buying and selling of financial assets, such as stocks, to earn profits based on the price fluctuations of these assets. There are different types of trading, and traders use various strategies, techniques, and tools to decide when to buy or sell different assets.
Trade is the exchange of goods and services between parties for mutually beneficial purposes. People and countries trade to improve their circumstances and quality of life. It also develops relationships between governments and fosters friendship and trust.
PCR TradingThe Put Call Ratio (PCR) is a tool in the stock market to understand how investors feel about a stock or the market's future. It compares the number of put options to call options traded. More puts traded mean investors expect prices to fall (bearish). More calls traded mean investors expect prices to rise (bullish).
A PCR above 1 indicates that the put volume has exceeded the call volume. It indicates an increase in the bearish sentiment. A PCR below 1 indicates that the call volume exceeds the put volume. It signifies a bullish market ahead.
More correction on the wayLTTS CMP 5249
Elliott- the counter was down 3.3% today. It is the start of the C leg of the corrective pattern zig zag. The minimum tgt for this leg is 4647 which is the 50% fib zone. The tgt is good 11% from CMP.
RSI- The A leg of the fall has a negative divergence. As the C leg has started the RSI is failing below its averages. This fall will be equally strong as the A leg.