Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 17✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis:
Gold has entered a clear correction phase after a prolonged rally, with a recent high near 4379.52 followed by a sharp drop to around 4215.
Currently, the price is trading above the Bollinger middle band (around 4111), while MA5, MA10, and MA20 are all turning downward — indicating that short-term bullish momentum is weakening.
The Bollinger Bands are beginning to narrow, suggesting that volatility is calming. As long as the price holds above MA20 (around 4110), the medium-term bullish structure remains intact.
In the short term, gold may continue to consolidate between 4210–4280. If it breaks below 4200, a further correction toward 4150–4170 is possible.
✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis:
On the 1-hour timeframe, gold has shown a steady decline after peaking near 4379, confirming a short-term bearish shift.
MA5, MA10, and MA20 have formed a bearish crossover, and the Bollinger Bands are opening downward — indicating that bears currently dominate the market.
The price is hovering near the lower Bollinger Band (around 4210), suggesting a potential for a short-term rebound, but resistance lies at 4240–4250.
If the rebound fails to hold, gold is likely to remain in a weak consolidation range between 4200–4250.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4240–4250 / 4280–4290 / 4320
🟢 Support Levels: 4200–4190 / 4170–4150
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If the price rebounds to 4240–4250 and faces resistance, consider light short positions.
🎯 Targets: 4210 / 4190
🔰 If gold retraces to the 4170–4190 zone and holds steady, consider entering long positions in batches.
🎯 Targets: 4230 / 4250
📊 Summary:
Gold has entered a high-level correction phase after an extended rally. The medium-term bullish trend is still valid, but momentum has slowed.
Traders are advised to control position size, stay flexible, and wait for clearer direction before making larger commitments.
X-indicator
USDCHF (U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc) 1-hour chart... USDCHF (U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc) 1-hour chart.
Here’s what I can read from my setup:
The price has been in a downtrend, shown by the descending trendline.
There’s a bullish breakout attempt from that trendline.
Two target points are marked above the current price — both inside and above the Ichimoku Cloud (suggesting possible bullish recovery targets).
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Current price: ≈ 0.7921
First target point: ≈ 0.7965 – 0.7970
Second (main) target point: ≈ 0.8010 – 0.8020
🎯 Targets:
1. TP1: 0.7965 → retest of lower cloud resistance
2. TP2: 0.8010 → full cloud breakout / upper structure resistance
⚔ Suggested Stop-Loss (for buy setup):
Below recent swing low → around 0.7900 – 0.7910
✅ Summary:
Direction Entry (approx) Target 1 Target 2 Stop Loss
BUY 0.7920 0.7965 0.8010 0.7900
XAUUSD (Gold/USD) chart (1-hour timeframe)... XAUUSD (Gold/USD) chart (1-hour timeframe), here’s a breakdown of what’s visible:
Price has broken below an ascending trendline and dropped into the Ichimoku Cloud.
My marked target point below, around the 4,100–4,120 zone.
Current price: ≈ 4,217 USD.
Cloud support seems to extend down to roughly 4,100–4,080, and the horizontal support line drawn near the bottom confirms that area as the next target/support level.
✅ Technical Summary (from chart):
Trend: Short-term bearish correction.
Immediate support/target: ≈ 4,100–4,080.
Resistance: Around 4,260–4,285 (top of cloud / broken trendline retest).
📉 Target:
> 🎯 4,100 – 4,080 zone
That’s my likely downside target if price continues following the bearish momentum and cloud support break setup.
Nifty 50 spot 25709.85 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 25709.85 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- [ b]Nifty Index now just 567.50 points away from ATH 26277.35 for creating a New Lifetime High Milestone
- Resistance Zone 25875 to 26060 and then 26200 to ATH 26277.35 for Nifty Index
- The final hurdle step to cross over before we get to see a New Lifetime High creation
- Both Falling Resistance Trendline and Resistance Channel Breakout seem well sustained
- Current Support Zone 25430 to 25670 for Nifty Index was earlier a Strong Resistance Zone
- Rising Support Channel has stayed firmly grounded by providing the continued supportive role
- Bullish Technical patterns Double Bottom "W" followed by Rounding Bottom formed by Support Zone neckline
Bank Nifty spot 57713.35 by the Daily Chart view- Weekly updateBank Nifty spot 57713.35 by the Daily Chart view- Weekly update
- Bank Nifty created a New Lifetime High Milestone touching 57830.20
- Resistance Zone 56950 to 57350 then ATH 57628.40 for Bank Nifty
- Falling Resistance Trendline Breakout seems to be well sustained for now
- Rising Support Channel stood ground and providing steady positive support
- Current Support Zone 56950 to 57350 for Bank Nifty was earlier the Resistance Zone
- Bullish Rising W pattern done and has been well sustained by current trending momentum
- Bullish Rounding Bottom formed by Support Zone neckline inclusive of W pattern actively effective
XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs. USD) Long Positioney Trade Details
Entry Price: Likely around $4,221.90 (aligned with the SELL marker, but interpreted as a long entry point post-dip).
Stop Loss (Risk Management): Potentially $4,211.12 (below the recent low, ~10.78 pips risk, based on the stop level marked).
Take Profit Target: Possibly $4,374.3 (extrapolating from the upward trend and prior high, ~152.4 pips reward; 3.6% move).
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:14 (highly favorable if targeting the recent peak).
Position Size/Amount: 40.263 units (moderate exposure, adjust per risk tolerance).
Trade Direction: Long (BUY), anticipating a continuation of the bullish trend after a minor pullback.
Chart Context
Timeframe: 15-minute intraday (covering ~09:00 to 19:30 UTC).
Price Action: Gold rallied to ~$4,310 earlier (green box marking the breakout), with a dip to $4,221–$4,226. The long setup likely targets a bounce from this support zone, supported by a bullish engulfing candle or momentum resumption.
Indicators: ATR ~5.3 pips suggests low volatility; the trade leverages the broader uptrend (up 18% monthly, 58% YOY) driven by geopolitical tensions (e.g., US-China trade tariffs).
Trend: Strongly bullish, with analysts eyeing $4,100–$4,125 short-term support and potential highs beyond $4,374 if momentum holds.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (17/10/2025)🔹 1. Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
The D1 momentum is now fully in the overbought zone → the probability of a reversal is very high.
A corrective move could occur either today or on Monday next week.
H4 Timeframe:
H4 momentum has been sticking together in the overbought zone.
Currently, there are about 5 candles holding the oscillator at this level — typically, 5 to 8 candles mark a potential reversal cycle.
H1 Timeframe:
H1 momentum is still rising → price may extend slightly higher or move sideways to accumulate before a clearer signal appears.
________________________________________
🔹 2. Wave Structure
D1 Chart:
The recent D1 candles are steep and impulsive, showing strong bullish pressure — indicating we are likely in Wave 3 (yellow).
I’ve adjusted the wave labels for better accuracy with current price structure.
Once D1 momentum reverses, we can expect the start of Wave 4 (yellow) correction.
H4 Chart:
• Waves (1) and (3) in blue are similar in length → suggesting Wave (5) blue may become an extended wave.
• Since price has broken above the Elliott channel, we should wait for a strong downward reaction together with momentum reversal on H4 to confirm:
✅ Wave (5) blue is complete,
✅ and Wave (3) purple has also finished.
⇒ Then, the market would begin Wave (4) purple correction.
💡 Note: During an extended Wave (5), avoid selling against the trend.
Be patient and wait for the first downward move — if it’s not deep, then buying from the next pullback would be a more reasonable strategy.
H1 Chart:
Within the blue Wave (5) on H1, we can see a five-wave red structure developing, and price is now in red Wave (3).
Inside red Wave (3), there’s another five-wave black sub-structure, currently in black Wave (4).
By drawing the Elliott channel, we can see that black Wave (4) is likely forming a flat correction, and one final small drop may still occur to complete the structure.
🎯 Ideal Target Zone:
• The high-liquidity area around 4297.
• This is a likely completion zone for the current flat pattern.
• If price doesn’t reach that level, we’ll use channel support confluence to identify the next valid entry area.
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🔹 3. Trading Plan
Buy Zone: 4298 – 4296
Stop Loss: 4276
Take Profit 1: 4363
Divergence Secrets Leverage and Risk Management
Options offer leverage, meaning traders control large positions with relatively small investments. A small premium can yield significant gains if the market moves favorably. However, leverage also magnifies losses if predictions fail. Effective risk management—using stop-losses, diversification, and position sizing—is crucial. Many traders use options not just for profit but for hedging—protecting portfolios from adverse movements. Balancing leverage with caution separates professional option traders from speculative risk-takers in the volatile derivatives market.
Part 2 Candle Stick Pattern Intrinsic and Extrinsic Value
An option’s price comprises intrinsic value and extrinsic (time) value. Intrinsic value represents the real profit if exercised immediately. For a call, it’s the current price minus strike price; for a put, it’s the strike price minus current price. Extrinsic value reflects market expectations—how much traders are willing to pay for future potential. As expiry nears, extrinsic value decreases, leading to time decay. Skilled traders analyze both components to determine whether an option is “in the money,” “at the money,” or “out of the money.”
Part 1 Candle Stick Pattern Option Buyers vs. Sellers
In every option trade, there’s a buyer and a seller (writer). The buyer pays a premium for the right to exercise the contract, while the seller earns that premium but takes on potential obligations. Buyers face limited loss (premium paid) and unlimited profit potential (for calls). Sellers, however, face limited profit (premium received) but unlimited potential loss if the market moves against them. Therefore, option writing demands experience, strong risk control, and margin support. Understanding this balance of risk and reward is central to effective option trading.
Nifty respects key support - Bulls are back?Market Context :
Global equities are showing mixed movement but Indian markets showed good recovery after RBI's announcement.
Chart Analysis :
Nifty respected key support level of 24600 and bounced back. If the indicated swing is safe we can see more upside momentum. 25000 can be a deciding levels for upside confirmation and will act as good support once broken.
Personally chart looks good for a W shaped recovery. If bullish scenario plays out and 24600 level is safe we can probably see nifty trading at 25300/25400.
Key Levels :
Support : 24580/24620-650 zone
Resistance : 25000/25090/25180/25300
Conclusion:
Nifty50 bounced from key support. Clean move with good volumes can open room for recovery upto 25400 being 24600 as a major support.
Disclaimer:
I am not SEBI registered. This analysis is for educational purposes only and not investment advice. Please do your own research before trading or investing.
Part 6 Institutional TradingStrike Price and Expiry Date
Every option contract has a strike price and an expiry date—two critical elements defining its value. The strike price determines the level at which the asset can be bought (for calls) or sold (for puts). The expiry date indicates when the contract becomes void. Options lose value as they near expiry—a process called time decay. Traders must balance risk and timing; shorter expirations offer quick profits but higher risk, while longer expirations provide stability at higher cost. Correct strike and expiry selection define successful strategies.
Part 4 Institutional Trading Option Premiums and Pricing
The premium is the price paid to purchase an option. It depends on factors like the asset’s price, volatility, time to expiration, and strike price. Higher volatility or longer duration increases the premium because of greater potential movement. The premium consists of intrinsic value (real profit potential) and time value (expectation of future movement). Sellers receive this premium as income, while buyers pay it as the cost of opportunity. Understanding premium components helps traders evaluate whether an option is over- or underpriced before entering trades.
Delta Corp | Support Zone Rebound | Long term analysisThis chart presents a technical study of Delta Corp Ltd. focusing on the historical price behavior around a strong support zone near ₹78 and the potential for a rebound toward the long-term descending trendline.
🔍 Overview :
Support Zone Identification: The ₹78–₹79 level has acted as a multi-year horizontal support, with multiple past price reactions and bounces from this region.
Trendline Resistance: A long-term downward sloping trendline from the 2021 peak serves as a key resistance. Historically, price has respected this line, making it a crucial level to monitor for any rebound attempt.
Indicators Used:
RSI (Relative Strength Index) shows the stock is currently in the oversold zone (<40). Past oversold readings near this support level have led to bullish reversals.
MACD currently shows bearish momentum but is approaching a zone where reversals have previously occurred.
Volume remains modest, but any increase near support may indicate accumulation.
📈 Trade Study Hypothesis:
If the support holds, the price may potentially rebound toward the trendline (currently near the ₹110–₹120 range), offering a medium-term technical play. A strong bullish signal would be a breakout above the trendline with volume confirmation.
⚠️ Note:
This idea is intended purely for educational and analytical purposes. It is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Always perform your own due diligence or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HSCL 1 Week Time Frame 📊 1-Week Technical Overview
Price Change: HSCL has gained approximately 3.35% over the past week.
Day Range: ₹458.60 – ₹469.55
52-Week Range: ₹365.35 – ₹676.20
Volume: 535,912 shares traded
📈 Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 36.75, suggesting a neutral to slightly oversold condition.
Moving Averages: Short-term (5-day) and medium-term (50-day) moving averages indicate a neutral to slightly bearish outlook.
MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator is negative, reinforcing a bearish sentiment.
ANGELONE 1 Day Time Frame 📊 Key Intraday Levels (1-Day Time Frame)
Current Price: ₹2,540.20
Day’s Range: ₹2,460.70 – ₹2,559.00
Immediate Support: ₹2,351.68
Immediate Resistance: ₹2,492.80
Pivot Point: ₹2,265.13
📈 Trend Outlook
The stock is exhibiting a neutral to bullish trend on the daily chart, with momentum indicators supporting upward movement. However, the stochastic RSI suggests the stock is approaching overbought conditions, warranting caution for short-term traders.
✅ Summary
Short-Term Strategy: Monitor for potential pullbacks near support levels around ₹2,351.68 to ₹2,460.70 for buying opportunities.
Resistance Watch: Key resistance at ₹2,492.80; a breakout above this level could signal further upside.
Caution: Overbought indicators suggest the need for caution in short-term trades.
DLF 1 Week time Frame 📈 Technical Indicators (1-Week Outlook)
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 66.74, indicating bullish momentum but approaching overbought territory.
Moving Averages:
5-Day EMA: ₹741.61 (Buy)
10-Day EMA: ₹735.62 (Buy)
50-Day SMA: ₹754.14 (Buy)
100-Day SMA: ₹789.39 (Sell)
200-Day SMA: ₹745.29 (Buy)
MACD (12,26): 7.21, suggesting a bullish trend.
Stochastic RSI: 79.63, nearing overbought levels.
Part 3 Institutional Trading Put Options Explained
A put option gives the holder the right to sell an asset at a fixed strike price within a certain timeframe. Traders buy put options when they anticipate a price decline. For instance, if a stock is trading at ₹100 and you buy a put at ₹95, you profit when the price falls below ₹95 minus the premium. Puts are useful for hedging—protecting against potential losses in long positions—or for speculation during bearish trends. They are crucial tools for risk management and profit in declining markets.
CYIENT 1 Day Time Frame 📈 Key Levels for the 1-Day Time Frame
🔹 Support Levels
Standard Pivot Point (S1): ₹1,158.30
Camarilla S1: ₹1,173.13
Demark Support: ₹1,143.50
🔹 Resistance Levels
Standard Pivot Point (R1): ₹1,210.20
Camarilla R1: ₹1,188.07
Demark Resistance: ₹1,225.00
🔍 Technical Analysis Summary
The stock is trading below its pivot points, with support levels at ₹1,158.30 and resistance at ₹1,210.20. The RSI suggests a bearish trend, and the increased trading volume indicates heightened market activity. Traders should monitor these levels closely for potential breakout or breakdown scenarios.






















