Trendline breakout at support level in GAEL1. Gujrat ambuja export lt- showing consolidation at 100 to 115 levels
2. Candle close above 115 can trigger consolidation breakout at strong support zone
3. Trendline breakout has already happend but above 115 close will be safe and logical
4. Good Risk:Reward one can watch for upside movement with strict sl level
X-indicator
Buying idea in PNBPNB is going to break almost Oct 2010 trendline in Monthly chart which is almost 16 years. RSI on D+W+M is above 60 which indicating that the momentum is also in favour. Moreover the PSU bank sector is also very strong. If we see the chart from 2017 to till date, it is like a cup and handle pattern. The stock has crossed its 200 DMA on monthly chart and sustained above it.
Understanding the Cup & Handle Pattern in 360 One Wam Limited🔍 Introduction
360 One Wam Limited is currently trading around ₹1230.00 on its weekly chart. The stock has recently completed the edge of a Cup & Handle pattern, a classic bullish continuation formation. Traders and investors often view this as a powerful signal of potential upside momentum once the neckline is crossed. Let’s break down what this pattern means, why it matters on a weekly chart, and how to approach it with proper risk management.
☕ What is the Cup & Handle Pattern?
Cup Formation:
The “cup” resembles a rounded bottom, showing a period of consolidation after a prior uptrend.
It reflects a gradual shift from selling pressure to accumulation.
Handle Formation:
The “handle” is a smaller consolidation or pullback that occurs after the cup.
It typically slopes downward slightly, shaking out weak hands before the breakout.
Neckline Breakout:
The neckline is the resistance level formed at the top of the cup.
A breakout above this neckline signals renewed bullish strength and often leads to a strong upward move.
📊 Importance of the Weekly Chart
Long-Term Reliability: Patterns on weekly charts carry more weight than daily charts because they represent broader investor sentiment.
Reduced Noise: Weekly candles filter out short-term volatility, making the breakout more meaningful.
Institutional Interest: Larger players often act on weekly chart signals, adding credibility to the move.
🎯 Proper Entry Strategy
Entry Point:
The ideal entry is on a confirmed breakout above the neckline with strong volume.
Traders should wait for a weekly close above the neckline to avoid false breakouts.
Confirmation Tools:
Volume expansion during breakout.
Momentum indicators (RSI crossing above 60, MACD bullish crossover).
⚖️ Risk Management Criteria
Stop Loss Placement:
Place stop loss just below the handle’s low or slightly under the neckline after breakout.
This limits downside risk if the breakout fails.
Position Sizing:
Risk only a small percentage of capital (1–2%) per trade.
Adjust position size based on volatility and stop-loss distance.
Target Projection:
Measure the depth of the cup and project it upward from the neckline to estimate potential upside.
Example: If the cup depth is ₹200, breakout target could be ₹1410 (₹1210 + ₹200).
📌 Key Takeaways for Traders & Investors
The Cup & Handle is a bullish continuation pattern, signaling strength after consolidation.
Weekly chart patterns are more reliable than daily ones, reducing noise and false signals.
Entry should be on neckline breakout with volume confirmation.
Risk management is critical: use stop losses and proper position sizing.
Potential upside can be projected by measuring the cup’s depth, but patience is key—weekly breakouts take time to unfold.
📝 Final Thoughts
For 360 One Wam Limited, the completion of the Cup & Handle pattern around ₹1210 sets the stage for a potential bullish rally once the neckline is crossed. Traders should remain disciplined, waiting for confirmation and managing risk carefully. Investors can view this as a sign of long-term strength, but must align entries with their risk tolerance and investment horizon.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 16.01.2026NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 16.01.2026
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
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📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
NIFTY Sell on Rise | Options Trade with Defined RiskNIFTY continues to respect the upper trendline resistance, indicating a bearish bias in the near term. Price action suggests a sell-on-rise opportunity as long as the index trades below this resistance zone.
📉 Index View (Spot):
Resistance Zone: 25,750
Downside Targets: 25,650 – 25,600
Rejection from this zone could trigger another leg lower toward the mentioned targets.
📌 Trade Setup (Options Strategy)
Instrument: NIFTY 25,800 CE (20th Jan Expiry)
Buy Zone: ₹125 – ₹115
Target: ₹190
Invalidation / Risk: ₹95 (closing basis)
💡 Trade Logic:
As long as ₹125 holds, momentum remains favorable for an upside move in the option premium. A pullback into the buy zone may offer a low-risk, high-reward setup, aligned with volatility expansion near resistance.
⚠️ Risk Management is Key
Use strict stop-loss discipline
Adjust position size according to your risk appetite
Avoid overtrading in volatile conditions
📌 Disclaimer
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and not financial advice. Please consult your financial advisor and follow your own trading plan before taking any trades.
If you find this idea useful, hit the like button and share your views—your feedback helps us create better trading insights for the community.
🚀 Trade smart. Trade disciplined.
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
SBI Life: Double Top Signals Short-Term Downside RiskSBI Life Insurance is showing signs of a short-term trend reversal after forming a well-defined double top near the ₹2,105–2,110 zone on the hourly chart. The stock has slipped below its neckline support around ₹2,065, confirming bearish structure and indicating distribution at higher levels.
Momentum indicators reinforce the downside bias, with the RSI trending near 39 and MACD remaining in negative territory, suggesting selling pressure is still dominant. As long as prices remain below ₹2,085–2,100, the stock is vulnerable to further downside toward ₹2,040, followed by ₹2,020 and 2,000.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 16th January 2026📊 NIFTY 15-Minute Intraday Trade Setup
🔼 BUY SETUP
📌 Condition:
➡️ Buy only if NIFTY breaks and CLOSES above 25718 on a 15-minute candle
🎯 Buy Targets:
🥅 Target 1: 25735
🥅 Target 2: 25769
🥅 Target 3: 25800
🛑 Risk Management:
Use strict 15-min candle-based stop loss
Trail SL after Target 1 is achieved
🔽 SELL SETUP
📌 Condition:
➡️ Sell only if NIFTY breaks and CLOSES below 25581 on a 15-minute candle
🎯 Sell Targets:
🥅 Target 1: 25550
🥅 Target 2: 25525
🥅 Target 3: 25490
🛑 Risk Management:
Maintain strict stop loss
Trail SL after Target 1
⚠️ Important Trading Rules
✔️ Trade only after candle close
✔️ Avoid over-trading
✔️ Follow proper position sizing
✔️ Market volatility can change levels quickly
📢 DISCLAIMER
🚨 This is for educational purposes only
🚨 I am NOT a SEBI Registered Advisor
🚨 Stock market investments are subject to market risk
🚨 Please consult your financial advisor before trading
🚨 I am not responsible for any profit or loss
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 16/01/2026Based on the current price structure and the levels marked on the chart, the market is expected to open flat with no major deviation from the previous session’s range. Nifty is currently trading near a well-defined demand–supply zone, indicating indecision and consolidation rather than a strong directional bias. As long as the index holds above the 25,750–25,800 support area, there is a possibility of a technical pullback or reversal on the upside. A sustained move above this zone can attract fresh buying interest, with upside targets placed around 25,850, followed by 25,900 and 25,950 levels. This zone will act as an important intraday trigger, and confirmation should ideally come with strong price acceptance and volume.
On the downside, the 25,700 level remains a critical breakdown point. If Nifty fails to sustain above this level and slips below 25,700, selling pressure may intensify, opening the path for a decline towards 25,650, 25,550, and potentially 25,500. This makes the lower support band extremely important for intraday traders, as a breakdown below it can quickly change the market sentiment to bearish. Until a clear breakout or breakdown is seen, the overall structure suggests range-bound movement, and traders are advised to be patient and wait for confirmation near key levels rather than taking aggressive positions at market open.
Overall, the market context remains neutral to mildly cautious, with flat opening expectations and stock-specific or level-based opportunities likely to dominate the session. Strict risk management is recommended, along with partial profit booking near targets, as volatility may increase once the index moves decisively out of the current consolidation range.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/01/2026)A flat opening is expected in Bank Nifty, with the index trading near the 59,550–59,600 zone, which continues to act as a key intraday balance area. Price action shows consolidation within yesterday’s range, indicating that the market is still indecisive and waiting for a directional trigger. No major changes are observed in the overall structure compared to the previous session.
On the upside, a sustained move above 59,550–59,600 will be important for bullish continuation. If Bank Nifty holds above this zone, long trades (CE positions) can be considered with upside targets at 59,750, 59,850, and 59,950+. A breakout above 59,950 may further strengthen bullish momentum toward higher resistance levels.
On the downside, failure to hold the 59,450–59,400 support zone may invite fresh selling pressure. In such a scenario, short trades (PE positions) can be considered with downside targets at 59,250, 59,150, and 59,050, where strong demand is expected. Until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs, traders should continue with range-based strategies, maintain strict stop-loss discipline, and avoid aggressive positions in the early part of the session.
ETHUSD – Bearish Rejection from Supply Zone | Short BiasETHUSD showing rejection near higher supply zone on D1.
Structure still weak, looking for downside continuation.
• Sell area marked
• Clear invalidation (SL above zone)
• Target based on prior demand / imbalance
• Trend + structure aligned
This is a market view, not financial advice.
Trade with your own risk management.
#ETHUSD #CryptoAnalysis #PriceAction #SupplyDemand #TradingView
Reliance Industries – Demand Re-engaging at a High-Probability Reliance Industries – Demand Re-engaging at a High-Probability Zone
• CMP: ₹1458.80
• Sharp selloff has retraced into a major demand pocket near ₹1440–1460
• Price reacting around the long-term moving average — historically a strong participation zone
• Selling momentum is slowing; candle structure shows rejection from lower levels
• This looks more like liquidation + absorption, not fresh distribution
• Risk is now clearly defined below structural support
🎯 Trade Plan
• Long Zone: ₹1460–1445
→ Target 1: ₹1515
→ Target 2: ₹1560
→ Stop-Loss: ₹1435
• If ₹1440 breaks decisively, step aside — no hero trades
💡 What matters here isn’t the fall — it’s where the fall stopped. This is where large money typically starts probing, quietly.
#Reliance #MarketStructure #DemandZone #SwingSetup #PriceAction #NSEStocks #TradingView
Eternal Ltd – Sell Into Strength, Buy Only After Structure Conf
• CMP: ₹299.25
• Recent bounce is corrective, not impulsive — price still trading inside a broader downtrend
• Rally is running into supply near the 200 EMA / breakdown zone (~₹300–310)
• Volume expansion looks like short covering, not fresh accumulation
• This move lacks follow-through characteristics of a true trend reversal
🎯 Trade Logic
• Sell / Avoid longs into ₹300–310 zone — supply likely to cap upside
• Buy planning only if:
– Price pushes toward ₹310
– Then retraces and stabilizes in ₹305–300 range
📍 Planned Long Setup (Only on Retest):
• Entry Zone: ₹305–300
• Stop-Loss: ₹295
• Structure-based entry, not momentum chasing
💡 What most see as “breakout energy” still reads like distribution to me. I’d rather pay higher for confirmation than get early into a weak structure.
#Eternal #TradePlanning #PriceAction #RiskFirst #NSEStocks #MarketStructure #TradingView
Gold Trading Strategy for 16th January 2026🟡 GOLD – Intraday Trading Strategy ($)
📈 BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario)
🕒 Timeframe: 30-Minute Candle
✅ Buy Condition:
Buy ABOVE the HIGH of the 30-min candle
Candle must CLOSE ABOVE 👉 4639
💰 Entry Zone:
Buy only after confirmation above 4639
🎯 Buy Targets:
🥇 Target 1: 4650
🥈 Target 2: 4665
🥉 Target 3: 4679
📌 Trade Logic:
Sustained price action above 4639 indicates bullish strength
Higher highs → momentum continuation → target-by-target booking
📉 SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario)
🕒 Timeframe: 30-Minute Candle
❌ Sell Condition:
Sell BELOW the LOW of the 30-min candle
Candle must CLOSE BELOW 👉 4586
💰 Entry Zone:
Sell only after confirmation below 4586
🎯 Sell Targets:
🥇 Target 1: 4571
🥈 Target 2: 4658
🥉 Target 3: 4540
📌 Trade Logic:
Breakdown below 4586 confirms bearish pressure
Follow strict confirmation before entry
⚠️ Important Trading Notes ($ Risk Management)
🚫 No trade inside the range (4586 – 4639)
✅ Trade ONLY after candle close confirmation
💵 Book partial profits at each target
🛑 Always use strict stop-loss as per your risk plan
⚠️ DISCLAIMER ($ Important Notice)
📌 The above GOLD trading levels are for educational and informational purposes only.
📌 This is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
📌 Commodity markets involve risk, and prices are subject to market volatility.
📌 Past performance does not guarantee future results.
📌 Traders should consult their financial advisor before taking any trade.
📌 The author is not responsible for any profit or loss incurred based on this information.
📌 Trade at your own risk ($) and follow proper risk management & stop-loss discipline.
Bullish idea📈 Fedbank Financial Services | Breakout Alert
Fedbank Financial has broken above a long-term trendline resistance with strong bullish momentum on the daily chart.
Price action indicates a trend reversal → continuation move.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
• Trendline breakout
• Strong bullish candle
• Volume expansion
• Higher high formation
🎯 Potential Zones:
• Upside: ₹185 – ₹200
• Support: ₹165 – ₹168
📌 Bias: Bullish | Swing / Positional
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
#StockMarket #Fedbank #Breakout #SwingTrading #IndianStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #ChartPatterns
A bullish ideaTata Steel has given a strong breakout above the long-term resistance zone (~₹185–190) with good momentum on the daily chart.
This level was a multi-year supply zone, now showing signs of acceptance and strength.
🔍 Technical View:
• Structure: Higher highs & higher lows
• Breakout: Major horizontal resistance
• Momentum: Bullish continuation likely
Technical Analysis Vs Institutional Trading Option Trading Part1Technical Analysis (TA):
Uses charts & indicators to time entries/exits.
Best for directional option trades (calls/puts), short-term moves.
Institutional Trading:
Focuses on liquidity, options flow, open interest, gamma.
Best for selling premium and trading ranges with lower risk.
Bottom line:
👉 TA = when to trade
👉 Institutional = where & why price moves
👉 Best edge = use both together
Professional Reality (Important)
📌 Institutions don’t predict direction — they manage risk
📌 Retail traders try to be right — institutions try to get paid
📌 Options are a probability business, not a prediction game
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | January 15-16✅ 4-Hour Chart (H4) Trend Analysis
From the 4-hour perspective, gold has clearly failed to sustain its bullish structure above the 4640–4650 zone and is now entering a classic high-level distribution and correction phase. After a strong impulsive rally, price formed consecutive lower highs and repeatedly failed to break new highs, which is a typical sign that bullish momentum has been exhausted and large funds have begun distributing positions at elevated levels. The short-term moving averages (MA5 and MA10) have flattened, MA20 has started to turn downward, and price is now consistently trading below the MA10/MA20 resistance zone. At the same time, the Bollinger upper band has flattened and begun to turn down, while price has dropped below the middle band, confirming that the overall structure has shifted from a trending market into a corrective channel. This means that the mid-term uptrend has ended and a medium-term pullback cycle has officially started.
✅ 1-Hour Chart (H1) Trend Analysis
On the 1-hour chart, a very clear M-top structure has already been completed. Price failed twice around the 4640–4650 region, broke below the neckline at 4595, and subsequent rebound attempts were capped around the 4615–4620 area, forming a textbook pullback rejection zone. All major moving averages are now in a full bearish alignment (MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA60), and price remains firmly below these averages, confirming that short-term control has shifted completely to the bears. Meanwhile, the Bollinger middle band has turned into resistance and the lower band has begun to open downward, indicating that the bearish channel is expanding and downside momentum is gradually strengthening.
🔴 Resistance Zones
• 4620–4630
• 4640–4650
🟢 Support Zones
• 4597 – 4600
• 4585 – 4580
• 4550 – 4530
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 1. Short from High Levels (Main Strategy)
📍 Light short positions near 4620–4630
🎯 Targets: 4580 / 4570 / 4550
🔰 2. Buy on Pullbacks (Secondary Strategy – Scalp Only)
📍 Light long positions near 4550-4570
🎯 Targets: 4580 / 4600 /4620
🔥 Trading Reminder:
This structure is in the early stage of a corrective downtrend.
All rebounds should be treated as selling opportunities.
Avoid chasing highs — light positions and strict risk control are strongly recommended.
Why “Buying the Dip” Fails More Often Than You Think (BTC ExamplMost traders lose money not because they pick the wrong direction —
but because they enter at the wrong market regime.
On this BTC chart, price looks like it’s forming support.
Many traders interpret this as “buyers stepping in”.
But here’s the problem 👇
Price can bounce while buyers are still trapped.
A bounce without acceptance is not strength — it’s liquidity.
This chart demonstrates a simple but critical concept:
Support only works when the market accepts above it.
If acceptance fails, dip buyers become trapped liquidity.
What you’re seeing here is context before signals:
No indicators
No predictions
No buy/sell calls
Just market behavior.
This framework helps answer questions like:
Why did that “perfect” support fail?
Why did price bounce and still continue lower?
Why do breakouts fail even with volume?
Understanding regime prevents bad trades, not just bad entries.
📌 This is an educational framework, not a signal system.
📌 Use it to filter trades, not to chase moves.
The goal isn’t to predict price — it’s to avoid trading when the market isn’t ready.
XAUUSD Long Trade
XAUUSD Long Trade – Smart Money Play 📈🟡
XAUUSD long trade executed with predefined levels and controlled risk.
**Entry:** 4610
**Stop Loss:** 4595
**Target:** 4643
Trade planned, executed, and managed with discipline.
Letting the levels do the work.
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #ForexTrade #LongTrade #TradeRecap #TradingView #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #RiskManagement #DisciplinedTrading
NIFTY50 - 27 JAN 2026 EXPIRY OutlookAfter a sharp ~700+ point corrective move, NIFTY has entered a decision phase. The recent sell-off shows signs of momentum exhaustion, followed by volatility compression, which typically precedes a directional expansion — though the direction still requires confirmation.
Higher Timeframe Context
Weekly trend remains intact; no major structural breakdown so far.
Daily price has reacted from previous demand zones, suggesting buyers are active below.
RSI across higher TFs has cooled from overbought levels but has not collapsed, indicating this remains a correction within a broader structure.
Intraday Structure (Key for Expiry)
On the 1H TF, selling pressure has clearly slowed.
RSI is attempting to form higher lows while price consolidates — a sign of bearish momentum fatigue.
Bollinger Bands show compression after expansion, often seen before a range expansion.
Volume Profile indicates acceptance around the 25,700–25,850 zone, strengthening this as a near-term balance area.
Wyckoff-style price behaviour suggests early accumulation characteristics (Phase B–C), though it is still too early to assume a full markup phase.
Key Levels to Watch
Support Zone: 25,600 – 25,450
Balance / Acceptance: 25,700 – 25,850
Immediate Resistance: 25,950 – 26,100
Major Supply Zone: 26,150 – 26,300
Probabilistic Scenarios into Expiry
Base → Gradual Upside (Higher Probability ~60%)
Price holds above 25,600
Controlled upside toward 25,950–26,100
Likely driven by short covering and selective buying, not aggressive momentum
Range Expansion & Fakeouts (~25%)
Wide intraday swings between 25,500–26,150
Both CE & PE buyers face whipsaws
Expiry may pin near 25,800–25,900
Bearish Breakdown (Low Probability ~15%)
Only if daily closes below 25,450
Downside opens toward 25,200–25,000
Bias & Invalidation Checklist
Bullish Bias Valid IF:
Sustained price above 25,600
1H RSI holds above 40
Acceptance above 25,800
Bullish Bias Invalid IF:
1H close below 25,450
RSI remains below 30
Strong rejection with volume from 25,900–26,000
Conclusion
This phase demands patience and confirmation, not anticipation. The structure currently supports range-controlled behaviour with a mild positive tilt, rather than a trending move.
Markets pay for discipline, not predictions.
Natural Gas (XNGUSD) AnalysisNatural Gas (XNGUSD) Analysis
On the daily chart, NG witnessed an aggressive sell-off from the highs made during early November
Although prices are now testing a long-term support base (blue ascending trendline) and have failed to close below the trendline.
A Classic Bullish Divergence has also been formed (Prices: Lower lows & RSI: Higher lows => brown boxes)
Also, RSI has started rising higher froma deep oversold zone (<30)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Therefore, if 2.80 holds, then potential bullish reversion can be expected
with upside targets of 3.00, 3.15 & 3.38
RSI will likely move back toward the 40–50 zone
Note: This would be a corrective rally, not a full trend reversal yet.
Alternative Scenario: If NG gives a daily close below 2.75, then Bullish divergence fails & next downside will be 2.60 & 2.45






















