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X-indicator
"BTCUSD WARNING THIS IS NOT A DIP… A MAJOR DROP IS COMING”⚠️ BTC MARKET WARNING – HIGH RISK ZONE AHEAD 🚨
This is not a normal analysis.
This is a clear market warning.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD is showing strong bearish signals on the higher timeframe, and ignoring these signs could be extremely costly. The chart clearly suggests that the market is preparing for a deeper correction, not a small pullback.
🔴 PRICE ACTION – DISTRIBUTION CONFIRMED
Bitcoin has faced strong rejection near the top, visible through long upper wicks and consecutive bearish candles.
After making higher highs, the market has lost structure, and price is now forming lower highs and lower lows.
➡️ This behavior typically signals a trend reversal, not a temporary dip.
🔴 KEY SUPPORTS HAVE TURNED INTO RESISTANCE
Multiple important levels have already been broken:
Previous support zones are now acting as strong resistance
Price is failing to reclaim the 86,000 area, which is a major red flag
This clearly indicates that buyers are losing strength, while sellers are in control.
🔴 RSI CONFIRMS BEARISH CONTINUATION
Weekly RSI has dropped below the 45–44 zone
This area historically signals bearish continuation
Repeated bearish signals on RSI confirm weak market momentum
⚠️ When RSI breaks and holds below this level on higher timeframes, corrections often last weeks or even months.
🔴 DOWNSIDE TARGETS – THIS IS NOT A SMALL DROP
If the current structure continues, the following downside levels are likely:
🎯 Target 1: ~83,200
🎯 Target 2: ~79,200
🎯 Target 3: ~70,000 (High-probability zone)
This represents a potential 18–20% downside, which is completely normal on a weekly chart after a strong rally.
🔴 MARKET PSYCHOLOGY – THE BIGGEST TRAP
What is happening right now:
Traders are aggressively buying the dip
Overconfidence after a long bullish run
Emotional decisions without confirmation
📉 This phase is where most retail traders lose money.
🧠 CLEAR WARNING MESSAGE
The market is no longer here to reward emotions — it is here to test discipline.
Long positions carry high risk
No stop-loss equals account damage
Blind dip-buying is a retail trap
🛑 WHAT SHOULD TRADERS DO NOW?
✔️ Protect capital
✔️ Wait for higher-timeframe confirmation
✔️ Avoid emotional trading
✔️ Only experienced traders should consider short-term setups with strict risk management
⚠️ FINAL WARNING
Those who respect the warning will survive.
Those who ignore it will remember this phase.
$TVC:SILVER MOON MISSION:2025-29 is History Repeating Again? TP?🚀 Silver Feature Analysis 2026 – 2029: The Historical Repeat 🚀
TVC:SILVER has recently hit its All-Time High (ATH) three times in history with massive rallies. My analysis is based on the duration and percentage returns of these specific periods:
1️⃣ 1980: (1 Aug 1979 to 29 Jan 1980) – A 6-month rally with returns OVER 511% ($6.5 to $48). 📈
2️⃣ 2011: (1 Oct 2008 to 22 Apr 2011) – A 2y 6m 21 days rally with returns OVER 451% ($8.4 to $47.91). 📈
3️⃣ 2021: (2 Mar 2020 to 10 Feb 2021) – An 11m 8 days rally from $11.63 to $30.09. 📈
🔍 The Current Assumption 🔍
The ongoing rally started on 3 Feb 2025 and is continuing to the present day. Based on price action, silver has been manipulated many times (like in 1980, 2011, and 2021), and I expect this to happen again in the upcoming years of 2028-2029. ⚠️
🎯 Near-Term Goal: This rally is projected to go up to $119 – $129.88. 🔄 The Reversal: After hitting those levels, I anticipate a small reversal back to the $102 – $105 per ounce range. 📉 ⚡ The Final Leg: In Sep 2026 to Nov 2026, we could see a continuation, eventually reaching levels of $179 – $185 in the year 2028-2029 as silver repeats its historic data! 🚀🔥
📑 Key Support & Resistance Levels 📑
Based on the cycles, here are the critical levels to watch:
Year Support Resistance
1979-80 $6.5 $48
2008-11 $8 $47.91
2020-21 $11.63 $30.09
2025-28 $30.97 🟢 $129 - $169 🔴
2025-29 $79 - $86 🟢 $110 - $119 🔴
📊 Technical Snapshot (Current Stats) 📊
🟢 Trend: BULLISH (MTF Trend) 💪 ADX: 44.3 (Strong Trend Energy) 🔥 RSI: 94.5 (Extreme Momentum - Use Caution) ✅ Trade Mode: 🟢 LONG ONLY TILL RESISTANCE 🟢 🎯 Target Projection: Rally expected till the $129.44 level.
💡 Conclusion 💡
History is repeating! 🔁 After the accumulation that started on 03 Feb 2025, silver is on a path to mirror its 1980 and 2011 performance. Watch the $129 level closely for the first major milestone. 🏁💎
⚠️ RISK WARNING & DISCLAIMER ⚠️
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading precious metals involves high risk. The projections mentioned (such as the $129 and $185 targets) are based on historical fractal data and current technical indicators, but market conditions can change due to global economic factors. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. 🛑
gold spot or mcx updates after sharp panicgold spot eyes on 4500$ if market sustain below than down 4460--4420--4380$+++++ soon where hurdle 4750$ above if market sustain than up side move expect 4880--5000$++++ its bounce back only -- in mcx blw 138300 stya below down side 136--133k possible where upper side hurdle 147550 only abv looks 149--150k possible ------- more lax man rekha 153--154000 if stya abv or close above than next up ward move only
SILVER CRASH >>> What next ?Silver
ATH 422K
Sharp Correction/Dip CMP 265k
View
Gap is highlighted via 3 Yellow Circles
CMP 265K is close to Final Gap
Further Dip till 250K or Max 245K is expected
Reversal from 245K cant be ruled out
Max 240K can be considered as SL
For more insights & trade ideas,
📲 Visit my profile and hit Follow
Warm regards,
Naresh G
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
💬 Comment below if you want me to analyse any stock for you 🔍
Coal India Ltd Daily ChartCurrent price is ₹440.75, with a bullish trend indicated by the stock trading above key EMAs (21, 55, 100, and 200). The EMAs are in a positive alignment, suggesting a strong uptrend.
Trendlines: The Horizontal trendline is acting as support, and the price is respecting it.
RSI: The RSI is at 60, reflecting healthy strength without signs of exhaustion.
The View: Based on these indicators, the trend is bullish, and the stock is likely to continue its uptrend. The targets are ₹460-₹480 (positional), with support at ₹435-₹430.
CME raises metal margins, Monday gap risk? Gold key influence.Gold is no longer trending freely — it’s correcting with structure.
After printing ATH, XAUUSD delivered a clear CHoCH, followed by a sequence of bearish BOS, confirming a controlled pullback, not panic selling. Price is now respecting a descending corrective channel, which typically appears before the market decides its next major leg.
🧠 Fundamental Context (Flow > Headlines)
CME raised margin requirements for metals
Higher margins = forced position reduction for leveraged traders
This often creates liquidity-driven gaps at the weekly open
Important: this is mechanical pressure, not a macro trend flip
➡️ Expect volatility first, clarity later.
📊 Technical Structure (HTF → LTF)
ATH rejection + CHOCH = bullish momentum paused
Multiple BOS inside the channel = distribution phase
Price is compressing toward key liquidity zones
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
5,090 – 5,120: Upper channel / sell-side reaction zone
4,620 GAP area: High-probability liquidity magnet if Monday gaps
4,410 Support zone: HTF demand & channel base (critical level)
🎯 Scenarios (If – Then)
If Monday gaps into 4,620
→ Expect sharp moves and fake breaks
→ Wait for acceptance / absorption before any long bias
If price loses 4,620 cleanly
→ Next draw = 4,410 support
If price reclaims 4,900+ quickly
→ Gap likely becomes a trap → squeeze back into range
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – February 2, 2026
Momentum
Weekly momentum (W1)
Weekly momentum is showing early signs of a bearish reversal. We need to wait for this week’s candle to close to confirm the reversal.
If W1 momentum is confirmed to have turned down, the market will likely continue its bearish trend for at least several weeks ahead.
Daily momentum (D1)
Daily momentum is still declining and is approaching the oversold zone.
With this condition, there is a high probability that within the next 1–2 days, we will form a daily low, after which price may rebound or move sideways for at least a few days.
H4 momentum
H4 momentum remains compressed in the oversold area, with 13 consecutive H4 candles counted so far.
This suggests that price is likely near an H4 bottom, followed by a corrective rebound or sideways movement lasting at least several H4 candles.
Wave Structure
Weekly wave structure (W1)
As weekly momentum is attempting to reverse, we need to wait for this week’s candle close to confirm.
If price closes below 4282 (the previous bullish momentum reversal level), this would confirm the formation of a weekly top.
In that scenario, the W1 structure is likely forming a yellow (1)(2)(3)(4)(5) pattern, while the blue 12345 structure may also be complete.
If confirmed, the market is expected to enter a long-term corrective phase, lasting at least several weeks.
Daily wave structure (D1)
The current decline on D1 is steep and sharp, which strongly supports the view that blue wave 5 has already topped.
Based on current price behavior, there is a very high probability that the market is forming a 5-wave bearish structure.
With D1 momentum approaching oversold conditions, a momentum reversal is likely within the next 1–2 days.
Given that the decline appears to be a 5-wave structure, the next bullish phase after the D1 momentum turns up is most likely a 3-wave corrective move. We will continue to monitor for confirmation.
H4 wave structure
On the H4 chart, I am temporarily labeling a red 12345 structure.
The current price zone around 4593 aligns with a high-liquidity area on the Volume Profile, which also converges with the expected H4 momentum reversal.
Therefore, I expect this zone to act as the reversal area for red wave 4.
In this case, the 4956 level, corresponding to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of red wave 3, is projected as the target zone for the completion of red wave 4.
After wave 4 is completed, price is expected to decline again toward the 4270–4593 zone, completing the current 5-wave bearish sequence, before transitioning into a new bullish trend with at least a 3-wave structure.
Trading Plan
At this stage, newer traders may see strong impulsive moves like the current ones as trading opportunities.
However, from an experienced trader’s perspective, this is not an ideal environment to trade aggressively.
Volatility is extremely high, and the market can easily hunt stop losses before moving in the anticipated direction.
On the other hand, entering the market with incorrect positioning or without a stop loss often results in account damage.
👉 The priority right now is observation and patience, waiting for clearer structure and confirmed momentum signals rather than forcing trades during high-volatility conditions.
XAUUSD - Brian | H1 AnalysisXAUUSD – Brian | H1 Technical Outlook – SELL Bias Aligned With the Main Trend
Gold is entering a strong corrective phase after forming a short-term top, with the H1 structure clearly shifting to the downside. The latest bearish leg is impulsive in nature, reflecting active position unwinding and short-term distribution following the prior extended rally.
In this environment, the preferred approach is to prioritize sell setups in line with the dominant intraday trend, focusing on reactions around key psychological and value-based levels.
Market Structure & Price Behaviour
The previous bullish structure has been invalidated by a sharp downside break, confirming a structure shift on H1.
Price is now trading below prior value areas, suggesting a transition from expansion into pullback and continuation to the downside.
Upward moves at this stage are likely to be corrective rallies rather than trend reversals, offering potential sell opportunities.
Key Psychological & Technical Zones
1) Trend-Following SELL Zone
Sell VAL: 5,048 – 5,051
This zone represents the lower value area of the most recent distribution range and is acting as a psychological resistance within the current bearish context. Reactions here are critical for assessing sell-side continuation.
2) Near-Term Balance Level
The 5,000 psychological level remains a focal point for intraday volatility. How price behaves around this round number will help determine momentum continuation.
3) Deeper BUY Zone (Not a Day-Trade Focus)
Buy Zone VAL: 4,450 – 4,455
This is a broader structural support area and should be treated as an observation zone rather than an active buying entry during the current session.
Intraday Trading Bias
Primary bias: SELL, aligned with the current H1 trend
Strategy: Look to sell corrective pullbacks into key psychological and value zones
Risk note: Avoid counter-trend buying positions while the bearish structure remains intact
In volatile conditions, following the dominant structure and waiting for price reactions at key levels is more effective than attempting to pick bottoms.
Refer to the chart for a detailed view of structure and highlighted zones.
Follow the TradingView channel for early market structure updates and ongoing analysis.
If you want:
a shorter intraday note,
a more neutral tone, or
an alternative version in UK / Indian English,
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Nifty50 analysis(2/2/2026).CPR: wide + descending cpr: consolidation.
FII: -588.34 sold
DII: -682.73 sold.
Highest OI:
25000 put oi.
24800 to 24600call oi.
Resistance: strong 25000.
Support :rising support 24800,24700,24600
conclusion: wide cpr shows high volatility.
My pov:
1.today price will not act accoding to indicators, if support is taken from the above level market will sustain if not it will move down side.it just breaks every resistance and move above.and breaks if and go down.
2.wait for the clear signal and trade responsibly.
What IF:
1.if market close above 24900 then retest.(possibily) and continuation.
2.if closed below 24800 then 24500 is then next support .
Note:
find what happened on this days:
1.20/9/2019.
2.07/04/2025.
3.09/03/2023.
psychology fact:
People are attracted to trading because it offers total freedom
but most people are not psychologically prepared to handle that freedom.
note:
8moving average ling is blue colour.
20moving average line is green colour
50moving average line is red colour.
200moving average line is black colour.
cpr is for trend analysis.
MA line is for support and resistance.
Disclaimer:
Iam not Sebi registered so i started this as a hobby, please do your own analysis, any profit/loss you gained is not my concern. I can be wrong please do not take it seriously thank you.
XAUUSD (H1) – Below $5,000: Correction or Quick Recovery?Market Context – Gold Enters a Critical Repricing Zone
Gold has officially slipped below the psychological $5,000 level, triggering renewed debate: Is this the start of a deeper corrective phase, or simply a liquidity reset before a sharp rebound?
The timing is crucial.
With speculation around changes in Fed leadership and future monetary policy direction, the market is repricing risk aggressively. This has injected exceptional volatility into Gold, where liquidity is being rapidly redistributed rather than trending cleanly.
➡️ This is no longer a low-volatility trend market — it’s a decision zone.
Structure & Price Action (H1)
The previous bullish H1 structure has failed, confirming a short-term corrective phase.
Price is trading below former demand, now acting as supply.
Current rebounds are technical pullbacks, not confirmed reversals.
Downside momentum remains active until price reclaims key structure levels.
Key insight: 👉 Below $5,000, Gold is trading in rebalancing mode, not trend continuation.
Key Technical Zones (H1)
Major Supply / Rejection Zone:
• $5,030 – $5,060
→ Former structure + Fibonacci confluence
→ Likely area for sellers to defend
Mid-Range Reaction Zone:
• $4,650 – $4,700
→ Short-term demand / potential bounce zone
Deep Liquidity Demand:
• $4,220 – $4,250
→ Major liquidity absorption zone
→ High probability area for a technical or structural rebound
Trading Plan – MMF Style
Scenario 1 – Sell the Pullback (Primary While Below $5,030)
Favor SELL setups on rallies into supply.
Wait for rejection / failure patterns.
Do not chase price lower.
➡️ Bias remains bearish-corrective while below $5,030.
Scenario 2 – Buy Only at Deep Liquidity
BUYs are considered only at major demand with confirmation:
• $4,650 – $4,700 (scalp / reaction only)
• $4,220 – $4,250 (higher-probability swing zone)
➡️ No blind bottom picking
➡️ Confirmation > prediction
Macro Risk Outlook
Fed leadership uncertainty = policy expectation volatility.
Any shift toward dovish credibility could trigger a violent short-covering rally.
Conversely, prolonged uncertainty keeps Gold under pressure short-term.
➡️ Expect fast moves, fake breaks, and wide ranges.
Invalidation & Confirmation
Bearish bias weakens if H1 reclaims and holds above $5,060.
Deeper correction opens if $4,220 fails decisively.
Summary
Gold below $5,000 is not weakness — it’s repricing. This is a market where liquidity hunts traders, not the other way around.
The edge right now is patience and precision:
Sell rallies into supply.
Buy only where liquidity is proven.
Let structure confirm before committing risk.
➡️ In high volatility, survival beats prediction.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 02.02.2026NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 02.02.2026
Timeframe: 3 Minutes
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
When a support or resistance level is broken, it often reverses its role; a broken resistance becomes the new support, and a broken support becomes the new resistance.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
please like and share my idea if you find it helpful
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
PTL Trade SetupCurrent Market Price (CMP): 41.50
Breakout Context: Consolidation breakout confirmed yesterday with strong volume, which adds conviction.
Target: 46.62 (approx. +12.3% from CMP)
Stop Loss: 40.03 (risk of about -3.5% from CMP)
Key Notes
- A breakout with volume often signals genuine momentum, but watch for retests of the breakout zone.
- If price dips near 41.00–40.50 but holds above stop loss, that’s a healthy retest.
- Trail your stop loss upward if price moves strongly toward the target to lock in gains.
Nifty Slides on Budget Shockwave: What’s Ahead for Markets?Indian equity markets faced sharp volatility following the Union Budget 2026, as the increase in Securities Transaction Tax (STT) on F&O trading weighed heavily on market sentiment.
In the special Sunday session, Nifty declined 495 points (-1.96%), closing at 24,825. Market uncertainty rose sharply, with India VIX climbing to 15.10, marking an 8-month high.
◉ Technical Setup
Nifty has broken below its rising channel, confirming that this isn’t just a healthy correction.
The structure now points toward a positional downtrend, with sellers firmly in control.
◉ Key Levels to Watch
Support Levels
24,500 – 24,400: Immediate support zone
24,000 – 23,900: Strong demand area with significant put writer positioning
Resistance Levels
25,000 – 25,100: Near-term resistance
25,500 – 25,600: Major supply zone
◉ Key Triggers for the Week
RBI Monetary Policy Meeting (Feb 4–6)
The RBI is widely expected to pause rates, after cutting 125 bps since Feb 2025, bringing the repo rate to 5.25%.
Q3 FY26 Corporate Earnings
A busy earnings calendar may influence index movement. Key companies reporting include State Bank of India NSE:SBIN , Bharti Airtel NSE:BHARTIARTL , LIC NSE:LICI , Adani Enterprises NSE:ADANIENT , and RVNL $NSE:RVNL.
Institutional Flows
After turning net sellers on Budget day, FII-DII activity will be closely watched.
◉ Weekly Outlook
The near-term outlook remains cautiously bearish with elevated volatility.
Nifty is expected to consolidate in the 24,500–25,100 range.
A sustained move above 25,200 is required to improve the technical outlook. Until then, upside attempts may face selling pressure.
◉ Trading Perspective
The market currently favours a sell-on-rise approach.
Aggressive long positions should be avoided unless Nifty closes above 25,200 on a daily basis.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 02/02/2026Nifty is expected to open with a slightly positive gap, but the broader structure remains weak after the sharp breakdown seen in the previous session. The index has fallen decisively from the 25250–25300 resistance zone and slipped below multiple intraday supports, indicating that selling pressure is still dominant. This small gap-up opening should be seen as a technical pause or minor pullback rather than a clear sign of strength unless price action improves significantly after the open.
From a technical point of view, the zone around 25000 is a crucial psychological and technical level. This area is acting as a make-or-break zone for today’s session. If Nifty manages to reclaim and sustain above 25000 on a closing basis, a short-term reversal bounce can be expected. In such a scenario, the index may gradually move towards 25150, then 25200, and extend up to 25250+. This move would mainly be driven by short covering, so follow-through buying and stability above 25000 will be very important to confirm any bullish reversal.
On the downside, the price structure is still bearish as Nifty is trading below its recent support band of 24950–24900. Any failure to hold above this zone, or rejection near 24950, can invite fresh selling pressure. Below 24900, the index may slide towards 24850, followed by 24800 and 24750. These levels are important intraday supports, and a break below them can further accelerate the downside momentum.
If the selling pressure intensifies and Nifty breaks below 24700, the bearish trend can deepen further. In that case, the next downside targets come in near 24600, 24550, and 24500. Such a move would indicate panic selling or continuation of the broader weakness seen in recent sessions. Volatility is likely to remain high, so traders should be prepared for sharp and fast moves on both sides.
Overall, despite the slightly gap-up opening, the trend remains cautious to bearish. Bulls need a strong hold above 25000 to regain control, while bears will continue to dominate below 24950. Traders should wait for clear confirmation near these key levels before taking positions, keep position sizes light, and follow strict risk management, as whipsaws are highly possible in the current market environment.
Market Outlook & Trade Setup – Monday, 2nd Feb 2026Major indices corrected heavily yesterday during the Budget announcement due to the increase in STT in F&O and no respite in LTCG.
Nifty, Sensex and Bank nifty went minus by almost 500,1200 and 1500 points respectively. We expect the selling to continue further. Additionally, the selling in metals could continue as global tensions between US-Nato and Russai-Ukraine seems to be improving, so the focus could shift on stocks again.
🔹 NIFTY (Broke 100 MA)
* Previous Close: 24,825
* Expected Range: 24,500 – 25,000
🔹 SENSEX (Broke 100 MA)
* Previous Close: 80,723
* Expected Range: 80,000 - 81,000
🌍 Global & Market Sentiment
* DJIA: -179 | S&P: - 30
💰 Institutional Activity (Cash Market)
* FII: Net Sellers: - ₹ 588 Cr
* DII: Net Buyers: - ₹ 683 Cr
🔥 Events this Week:
India - S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jan)
📌 Sectoral Focus (Negative)
Metal, Energy, PSU Bank
👉 Commodities in Focus: Gold, Silver, Copper, Crude, Natural Gas
✌️Important Quarterly Results: Aarti, CUB, Indus Tower, Tata Chem, UPL
📈 Trade smart. Manage risk. Stay disciplined.
#BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(02/02/2026)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a slightly positive gap, but the overall structure still reflects weakness after the sharp sell-off seen in the previous session. The index has decisively broken below the important 59050–58950 support zone, which earlier acted as a strong demand area. This breakdown has shifted the short-term trend clearly on the bearish side, and the gap-up opening should be treated more as a pullback rather than a trend reversal unless key levels are reclaimed.
From a technical perspective, the fall from the 59550–59600 region confirms strong supply at higher levels. The current price action is forming lower highs and lower lows on the 15-minute timeframe, indicating sustained selling pressure. Any bounce toward 58950–59050 is likely to face resistance, as this zone now turns into a supply area. If Bank Nifty fails to hold above this range after the opening, fresh selling pressure can re-emerge quickly.
On the downside, the immediate support lies near 58550–58450. A break below 58450 can accelerate the bearish momentum further, opening the gates for deeper targets around 58250, 58150, and potentially 58050. These levels are critical intraday and positional supports, and increased volatility can be expected if they are tested. As long as the index remains below 59000, bears will continue to have an upper hand.
On the upside, only a strong and sustained move above 59050 can provide some relief to the bulls. If Bank Nifty manages to reclaim and hold above 59050–59100, a short-covering bounce toward 59250, 59350, and 59450+ is possible. However, such a move should be confirmed with follow-through buying; otherwise, it may turn into a selling-on-rise opportunity.
Overall, despite the slightly gap-up opening, the market context remains cautious to bearish. Traders should avoid aggressive long positions near resistance zones and focus more on sell-on-rise or breakdown-based strategies. Strict risk management is essential, as volatility is expected to stay elevated after the recent sharp move. Patience during the opening minutes and confirmation of price action near key levels will be crucial for safer trades.
EUR/JPY Long: Riding the Momentum After Clean BOS The price action on EUR/JPY is currently displaying strong bullish momentum on the M15 timeframe. After a period of consolidation, the pair has successfully achieved a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, signaling a transition from a range-bound environment to an active uptrend.
MCX NSE/BSE(STOCK) EQUITY, GREAT BUYING OPPROTUNITY."a great dip occurred, and i have been waiting eagerly to buy at this price following the stock split. this is an excellent opportunity to purchase and target a sale price between 3,000 and 3,110. if you are a long-term buyer, you can hold for three to four years and potentially see your investment double, triple, or even quadruple in value. keep an eye on gold, silver, and other metal trading trends."
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | February 2✅ Recently, gold has experienced significantly amplified volatility due to the combined impact of news catalysts and market sentiment. Within one month, gold surged approximately $1,300, only to drop nearly $800 in the last two trading days of the month. This extreme price action once again highlights that in a high-volatility environment, respecting the market and strictly managing risk is far more important than simply predicting direction.
✅ From the monthly chart structure, a long upper-shadow bullish candle has formed, indicating strong selling pressure above and a technical need for a phase of pullback and correction. However, a pullback does not equal a trend reversal. To confirm a true trend reversal, price must effectively break below the key structural level at 4300. Before that happens, the higher probability scenario is prolonged high-level consolidation, allowing time and price to correct the previous overextended rally. The sharp rise at the beginning of the week clearly deviated from technical rhythm, while the weekend’s sharp drop was essentially a technical correction of that irrational surge. No matter how strong the bullish trend appears, price will eventually return to structure and cycle.
✅ If the recent pace of decline continues, this pullback could theoretically reach a 20% correction. Looking back to gold’s rally from $1,045 in 2015, every major correction since then has remained within this range. Based on the recent high of 5,596, a 20% pullback projects to around 4,480 — an area that would represent a highly attractive medium-term positioning zone. Trading requires bold assumptions and cautious verification, and the final outcome must be validated by the market over time.
🔴 Resistance: 5100–5110
🟢 Support: 4530–4580
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
In the current high-volatility environment, it is recommended to use a scaled entry approach combined with strict risk control, avoiding emotional chasing of price.
🔰 Short Strategy (Sell on Rebound)
👉 Entry Zone: 5100–5105, build short positions in batches
🎯 Target 1: 4900
🎯 Target 2: 4700
🎯 Extended Target: 4535 (if breakdown occurs)
📍 Logic:
This area represents a short-term structural resistance zone. If price rebounds and shows rejection here, it offers an opportunity to participate in the corrective move.
🔰 Long Strategy (Buy on Pullback)
👉 Entry Zone: 4535–4550, build long positions in batches
🎯 Target 1: 4700
🎯 Target 2: 4900
🎯 Extended Target: 5000 (if breakout occurs)
📍 Logic:
This zone is close to a strong stage support area. If price stabilizes after retracing into this region, it offers a technical rebound opportunity.
✅ Risk Control Reminders
👉 Use scaled entries; avoid heavy single-point positions
👉 Strictly set stop losses to control drawdown risk
👉 In extreme volatility, rhythm management is more important than profit expectations
👉 The more violent the market, the more discipline and restraint are required.
Ujjivan Small Finance cmp 62.35 by Weekly Chart view since listeUjjivan Small Finance cmp 62.35 by Weekly Chart view since listed
- Support Zone 54.50 to 61.50 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 64 to ATH 68 Price Band
- Bullish Rounding Bottoms by Support Zone neckline
- Bullish Cup and Handle within the 2nd Rounding Bottom
- Falling Resistance Trendlines Breakout seems well sustained
- Volumes spiking and well above the average traded quantity
- Rising Price Channel has been well respected and also sustained
- High Target probable by Bullish Chart setup with Support Zone Breakout earlier Resistance Zone
SPY Weekly levels ( 2 Feb - 7 Feb 2026)
Here’s weekly levels for SPY —
1) Bull Case — “Acceptance above equilibrium → reclaim upper rail”
Trigger: Hold above 692.18–692.28, then reclaim and accept above 698.48–698.68.
Targets: 704.98
Stretch (only if momentum persists): 711.28
Notes: The 698.5–698.7 zone is the “decision ceiling.” Clean acceptance above it opens the path to 705 first; 711 is only for a strong trend week.
2) Bear Case — “Rejection at equilibrium / failed reclaim”
Trigger: Lose acceptance at 692.18–692.28 (back below equilibrium), then lose 685.68–685.88.
Targets: 679.38
Extension: 672.88 is the “true unwind” zone; below that is outside this week’s map.
Notes: If price keeps getting rejected near 692 and can’t reclaim it, the bias shifts to selling bounces until 685.7–685.9 breaks.
Invalidation
Long thesis weakens on acceptance back below 692.18
Short thesis weakens on acceptance above 698.68






















