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Repeated Kumo Breakdowns on NIFTY – 2H LTFThe budget-day price action has resulted in yet another Kumo breakdown on the NIFTY 2H timeframe. Does this add more weight to the already active bears ? Or is this an opportunity for bulls to attempt base formation near potential bearish exhaustion? Let’s evaluate the structure. What would materially improve the odds for Bulls? - A decisive 2H close above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the budget-day fall. This would open up the possibility of price action retesting the Kumo bottom. - A decisive 2H close above the Kumo break candle, indicating improving bullish strength and the ability to penetrate deeper into the cloud. - A decisive 2H close above the Kumo top, which would signal structural negation of the current Kumo breakdown. What would materially improve the odds for Bears? - A decisive 2H close below the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci zone, preferably with upper wicks, indicating rejection from resistance. - A decisive 2H close below both Tenkan and Kijun, which are already positioned below the Kumo bottom. - A decisive 2H close below the recent 2H swing low, confirming continuation beyond equilibrium. Price action is once again at an important decision-making zone. Let’s wait and watch how the structure resolves. This is an educational market-structure analysis and not trading advice.
NSE:NIFTY
by Kartikeya_Panchapakesan
2
BTCUSD Weekly Close Decides the Next Major Move 83,500 Is strongBTCUSD is at a critical decision zone. A weekly close above 83,500 can trigger a short-term relief rally towards the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. However, the 106,300 – 106,800 region remains a major supply and profit-booking zone. Timeframe Context: This analysis is based on the daily structure with weekly candle confirmation. Key Observations: • 83,500 is acting as a decisive support/resistance flip level • A weekly close above 83,500 increases the probability of a move towards the 0.618 retracement zone • The 106,300 – 106,800 area aligns with 0.618 Fibonacci + historical supply, making it a high-risk zone for fresh longs Trading Insight: Any upside from current levels should be treated as a relief rally, not a confirmed bullish continuation. Strong rejection or bearish confirmation near the 0.618 zone can lead to a larger corrective move or crash. Conclusion: Trade the move, respect the levels, and wait for confirmation — levels lead, price reacts.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by FOREXPILOTPRO
#US100📈 US100 Technical Outlook – Corrective Phase in Play After completing its 5-wave impulsive structure, US100 has entered its corrective phase. • The A wave began in October 2025 and concluded on 21 Nov 2025. • The index then started rising in its B wave, retracing more than 61.8%, which signals the development of a flat correction. 🔹 Structure of the B Wave • The A sub-wave unfolded in 5 smaller waves, indicating a zig-zag formation. • Since A retraced less than 61.8%, the current rise is part of the C sub-wave. • A parallel channel projection suggests the C wave could extend towards 26,800–27,000. ⏳ Timing Consideration • The A sub-wave lasted 13 days. • By proportion, the C wave could stretch up to 21 days, implying a potential 2-week bullish run. ⚠️ Risk Management A prudent stop-loss around 25,000 is advisable while tracking this move.
SKILLING:US100Long
by sahildeshwal1997
ETH Reversal or just a pullback?CRYPTO:ETHUSD Looking at the 4hr TF of ETH. it looks taking a minor pullback from the downward trend. Yet it has to close Above $2620 to break the character of the current downtrend. Highly likely it will chase this number successfully as more people are coming in with sentiment of buying the dip. but Keeping technical analysis as a primary tool here. I am still bearish for long term. But a Long(buy) swing opportunity can be seen. For long term I would wait for more cheap price. till then going short on pullbacks. :) Happy Trading.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDShort
by kakarot_UI
1
BTCUSD Monthly Outlook -Potential Pullback - 0.618 B4 Major Move🔴This analysis is based on the Monthly timeframe, with Fibonacci drawn from the recent swing high to the current low. The price is currently in a corrective phase, and based on its structure and Fibonacci alignment, there is a high probability of a retracement toward the 0.618 level before the next major directional move. 📊 Key Levels & Expectations 0.618 Fibonacci zone: 105,400 – 105,800 This zone aligns with a strong historical resistance/supply area Price may attempt a corrective pullback into this region (marked with the small red arrow) This move should be viewed as a retracement, rather than a trend reversal. ⚠️ High-Risk Area – Not a Buy Zone Even if the price reaches the 0.618 resistance zone, the overall structure remains weak unless there is: a strong bullish monthly close, Clear volume expansion, and acceptance above the resistance. Without these confirmations, the 0.618 zone is expected to act as a sell-on-strength area. 🩸 Downside Scenario If rejection occurs from 105.4K – 105.8K, a larger downside move (marked by the big red arrow) becomes highly probable. Key support to watch: 81,100 – 83,500 (critical structure support) A break and close below this zone can accelerate bearish momentum. 🧠 Trading Perspective This is a patience-based market: Short-term upside is possible But risk remains elevated A safer approach is waiting for confirmation at key levels 📌 This idea is shared for educational and market-structure discussion only. 🔔 Note I’ll be actively sharing structured, level-based BTC analysis here going forward. Follow if you prefer probability-based setups over emotional bias.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FOREXPILOTPRO
EUR/USDEURUSD experienced a clean intraday sell-side liquidity sweep, breaking below the prior range low with strong bearish displacement, signaling a stop-driven move rather than organic trend continuation. Price tagged the lower liquidity pool, printed a sharp rejection wick, and immediately delivered a V-shaped reaction, indicating short-term exhaustion and responsive buying at discount. Market Structure Read Range low taken with momentum expansion Stops flushed, creating temporary price inefficiency Immediate bullish reaction suggests sell pressure is weakening, not building Current Zone Logic Price is reacting from a deep discount zone, where short-term participants are covering and early longs are stepping in The marked green box represents a mean-reversion / mitigation zone, not a trend-reversal confirmation yet
Long
by YCGH_Capital
What happens when major indices (Nifty & BankNifty) align with What happens when major indices (Nifty & BankNifty) align with each other not only in terms of market structure but also in terms of trend direction & timing ? Well, we end up with high-probability trade environments that allows for asymmetrical risk-to-reward Note - While the 15-minute chart highlights the broader alignment, the timing and rejection behavior becomes much clearer when drilling down to the 5-minute structure
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by Kartikeya_Panchapakesan
XAUUSD 15M – Bullish Reversal Setup Explained Above 4700 Level After a strong sell-off, Gold is now reacting near a high-probability demand zone. 🔍 My Analysis & Thinking: • Price has reached the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the recent major swing • RSI (15 Min) is showing a clear bullish divergence • Selling momentum is weakening after the big fall • Structure suggests a potential higher low formation 📈 Trade Plan (IF–THEN Logic): ✅ IF price breaks above 4700 (yellow resistance zone) ✅ AND gives a clean retest + bullish confirmation ➡️ THEN BUY 🎯 Upside Targets: 4800 , 4900, 5000 zone (major supply & trendline confluence) 🛑 Invalidation: Breakdown below 61.8% (4500 -4550 level ) support with strong momentum ⚠️ This is a patience trade — confirmation > prediction. 📊 KEY LEVELS TO MENTION IN CAPTION Support Zone: 🔹 61.8% Fib – Major demand area Breakout Level: 🟡 4700 (Yellow Rectangle) Targets: 🎯 4800 → 4900 → 5000 Bias: 🔄 Short-term bullish after confirmation XAUUSD 15M – Bullish Reversal Setup Explained Above 4700 Level
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FOREXPILOTPRO
Gold Breaks Structure: Bears in Full Control1️⃣ Market Structure (Smart Money Concept) The uptrend that started mid-January has clearly ended. Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) to the downside confirm a trend reversal. Repeated ChoCH near the top shows distribution by smart money. Recent impulsive bearish leg = strong institutional selling, not retail noise. 📌 Conclusion: Market structure is now bearish. 2️⃣ Price Action Sharp impulsive bearish candles with minimal retracements → sellers in control. Demand zones are getting violated and flipped into supply. No bullish engulfing or accumulation pattern yet. Last candle closed near the lows, indicating no buyer absorption. 📌 Conclusion: Bearish continuation likely. 3️⃣ Moving Averages (Dynamic Resistance) Price is trading below all key EMAs (fast, mid, slow). EMAs have bearishly crossed and are fanning downward. Pullbacks are respecting EMA resistance perfectly. 📌 Sell zone: 4,600 – 4,650 (EMA + structure confluence) 4️⃣ Volume Analysis Breakdown happened with expanding volume → confirmation. Selling volume dominates buying volume. No volume divergence yet → trend still healthy. 📌 Conclusion: Bears have strength and commitment. 5️⃣ Key Levels (High Probability Zones) 🔴 Resistance (Sell on Rally) 4,650 – 4,600 → Broken structure + EMA zone 4,720 – 4,760 → Previous demand → supply flip 🟢 Support / Targets 4,540 → Intraday reaction zone 4,480 → Liquidity pocket 4,402 → Major swing low & HTF support 4,286 → Weekly demand (if panic selling continues) 6️⃣ Liquidity & Session Bias Equal lows (W) have been taken out → liquidity grab completed. After liquidity sweep, price continued lower → true bearish intent. Expect London/NY pullback → sell continuation pattern. 7️⃣ Fibonacci Perspective Current pullbacks are holding below 38.2% retracement → weak bulls. Strong bearish trends usually respect 23.6% – 38.2% only. Deeper retracement (>50%) needed to consider bullish reversal. 8️⃣ Trade Bias & Scenarios ✅ Primary Scenario (High Probability) Sell on pullback below 4,650 Targets: TP1: 4,540 TP2: 4,480 TP3: 4,402 ⚠️ Invalidation Hourly close above 4,720 Structure reclaim + EMA hold needed for bulls 🧠 Final Verdict 📉 Trend: Strong Bearish 🔥 Momentum: Seller-dominated 🎯 Strategy: Sell rallies, not bottoms ❌ Avoid: Catching falling knife
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CarlosnCompany
2
XAUUSD – H4 Outlook: Liquidity ResetFebruary has opened with heightened volatility across global markets, and gold is no exception. After a strong upside run, XAUUSD has experienced a sharp corrective move, driven largely by deleveraging flows rather than a structural trend reversal. Current price action suggests gold is entering a rebalancing phase, where liquidity is being cleared before the market can attempt a renewed push higher. 📈 Market Structure & Higher-Timeframe Context Gold previously traded in a strong bullish structure, but the recent sell-off marked a clear market structure shift (MSS) on the H4 timeframe. The impulsive decline swept sell-side liquidity below prior consolidation zones, a typical behavior after an extended rally. Despite the speed of the drop, price is now approaching key support and demand areas, where selling pressure may begin to slow. This type of move often reflects position reduction and risk-off behavior, not the end of the broader bullish narrative. 🔍 Key Zones to Monitor Primary Support / Buy Zone: ~4,280 – 4,350 This area represents a strong demand zone where price may stabilize and form a base. Short-Term Reaction Zone: ~4,450 – 4,500 A zone where price could oscillate during consolidation, suitable for short-term reactions rather than trend trades. Sell-Side Liquidity Cleared: The recent drop has already taken liquidity below previous lows, reducing immediate downside pressure. Upside Rebalance Zones (FVG / Supply): ~4,850 – 4,900 ~5,200 – 5,350 These areas are likely to act as resistance during any recovery phase. 🎯 Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Controlled Correction (Base Case): Gold may continue to range or dip modestly into the 4,280–4,350 support zone, allowing the market to complete its liquidity reset. Holding this area would keep the broader bullish structure intact. Scenario 2 – Recovery After Stabilization: Once selling pressure is absorbed, price may begin a gradual recovery, targeting the 4,850–4,900 zone first. Acceptance above this level would open the door toward higher resistance areas. Scenario 3 – Deeper Reset (Lower Probability): A clean break below the main support would suggest a deeper correction, but at this stage, such a move would still be viewed as corrective within a larger cycle, not a full trend reversal. 🌍 Macro Backdrop (Brief) The sharp sell-off in gold, silver, equities, and crypto reflects a global deleveraging wave, intensified by rising geopolitical risks and shifting risk sentiment. In such environments, gold often experiences short-term drawdowns, even as its longer-term role as a hedge remains intact. This reinforces the idea that the current move is more about resetting positioning than changing long-term direction. 🧠 Lana’s View Gold is not in a hurry. After a powerful run, the market often needs to pause, rebalance, and absorb liquidity before the next meaningful expansion. Lana remains patient, focusing on how price behaves around key H4 support zones, rather than reacting emotionally to volatility. ✨ Let the correction do its work. Structure will guide the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
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NASDAQ:QQQ
by TradingView
2
"BTCUSD WARNING THIS IS NOT A DIP… A MAJOR DROP IS COMING”⚠️ BTC MARKET WARNING – HIGH RISK ZONE AHEAD 🚨 This is not a normal analysis. This is a clear market warning. CRYPTO:BTCUSD is showing strong bearish signals on the higher timeframe, and ignoring these signs could be extremely costly. The chart clearly suggests that the market is preparing for a deeper correction, not a small pullback. 🔴 PRICE ACTION – DISTRIBUTION CONFIRMED Bitcoin has faced strong rejection near the top, visible through long upper wicks and consecutive bearish candles. After making higher highs, the market has lost structure, and price is now forming lower highs and lower lows. ➡️ This behavior typically signals a trend reversal, not a temporary dip. 🔴 KEY SUPPORTS HAVE TURNED INTO RESISTANCE Multiple important levels have already been broken: Previous support zones are now acting as strong resistance Price is failing to reclaim the 86,000 area, which is a major red flag This clearly indicates that buyers are losing strength, while sellers are in control. 🔴 RSI CONFIRMS BEARISH CONTINUATION Weekly RSI has dropped below the 45–44 zone This area historically signals bearish continuation Repeated bearish signals on RSI confirm weak market momentum ⚠️ When RSI breaks and holds below this level on higher timeframes, corrections often last weeks or even months. 🔴 DOWNSIDE TARGETS – THIS IS NOT A SMALL DROP If the current structure continues, the following downside levels are likely: 🎯 Target 1: ~83,200 🎯 Target 2: ~79,200 🎯 Target 3: ~70,000 (High-probability zone) This represents a potential 18–20% downside, which is completely normal on a weekly chart after a strong rally. 🔴 MARKET PSYCHOLOGY – THE BIGGEST TRAP What is happening right now: Traders are aggressively buying the dip Overconfidence after a long bullish run Emotional decisions without confirmation 📉 This phase is where most retail traders lose money. 🧠 CLEAR WARNING MESSAGE The market is no longer here to reward emotions — it is here to test discipline. Long positions carry high risk No stop-loss equals account damage Blind dip-buying is a retail trap 🛑 WHAT SHOULD TRADERS DO NOW? ✔️ Protect capital ✔️ Wait for higher-timeframe confirmation ✔️ Avoid emotional trading ✔️ Only experienced traders should consider short-term setups with strict risk management ⚠️ FINAL WARNING Those who respect the warning will survive. Those who ignore it will remember this phase.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Alpha_strike_trader
1
$TVC:SILVER MOON MISSION:2025-29 is History Repeating Again? TP?🚀 Silver Feature Analysis 2026 – 2029: The Historical Repeat 🚀 TVC:SILVER has recently hit its All-Time High (ATH) three times in history with massive rallies. My analysis is based on the duration and percentage returns of these specific periods: 1️⃣ 1980: (1 Aug 1979 to 29 Jan 1980) – A 6-month rally with returns OVER 511% ($6.5 to $48). 📈 2️⃣ 2011: (1 Oct 2008 to 22 Apr 2011) – A 2y 6m 21 days rally with returns OVER 451% ($8.4 to $47.91). 📈 3️⃣ 2021: (2 Mar 2020 to 10 Feb 2021) – An 11m 8 days rally from $11.63 to $30.09. 📈 🔍 The Current Assumption 🔍 The ongoing rally started on 3 Feb 2025 and is continuing to the present day. Based on price action, silver has been manipulated many times (like in 1980, 2011, and 2021), and I expect this to happen again in the upcoming years of 2028-2029. ⚠️ 🎯 Near-Term Goal: This rally is projected to go up to $119 – $129.88. 🔄 The Reversal: After hitting those levels, I anticipate a small reversal back to the $102 – $105 per ounce range. 📉 ⚡ The Final Leg: In Sep 2026 to Nov 2026, we could see a continuation, eventually reaching levels of $179 – $185 in the year 2028-2029 as silver repeats its historic data! 🚀🔥 📑 Key Support & Resistance Levels 📑 Based on the cycles, here are the critical levels to watch: Year Support Resistance 1979-80 $6.5 $48 2008-11 $8 $47.91 2020-21 $11.63 $30.09 2025-28 $30.97 🟢 $129 - $169 🔴 2025-29 $79 - $86 🟢 $110 - $119 🔴 📊 Technical Snapshot (Current Stats) 📊 🟢 Trend: BULLISH (MTF Trend) 💪 ADX: 44.3 (Strong Trend Energy) 🔥 RSI: 94.5 (Extreme Momentum - Use Caution) ✅ Trade Mode: 🟢 LONG ONLY TILL RESISTANCE 🟢 🎯 Target Projection: Rally expected till the $129.44 level. 💡 Conclusion 💡 History is repeating! 🔁 After the accumulation that started on 03 Feb 2025, silver is on a path to mirror its 1980 and 2011 performance. Watch the $129 level closely for the first major milestone. 🏁💎 ⚠️ RISK WARNING & DISCLAIMER ⚠️ This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading precious metals involves high risk. The projections mentioned (such as the $129 and $185 targets) are based on historical fractal data and current technical indicators, but market conditions can change due to global economic factors. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. 🛑
TVC:SILVER
by Alpha_strike_trader
13