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XAU/USD – Rebalancing Structure, Support Zone Holding Steady⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 17/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After the extended decline late last week, gold is gradually stabilizing around the 4,050–4,080 USD zone, showing a positive reaction at the structural support zone. The recent Break of Structure (BOS) sequence indicates that the selling momentum is gradually weakening, while the newly formed Order Block is acting as a temporary balance for the market. The current structure slightly leans towards a technical recovery, as buying flows are returning around the main support zone. 📊 Technical Structure Support Zone (4,049–4,080 USD): a critical support zone, confluencing with the previous liquidity bottom. Order Block (4,096–4,115 USD): a short-term supply-demand area, potentially a retest point before the price expands higher. Resistance Zone (4,145 USD): the first intermediate level to overcome to confirm upward momentum. Target Zone (4,210 USD): the upper liquidity zone, corresponding to the potential expansion mark of the recovery wave. 🎯 Market Outlook Priority scenario for the day: 1️⃣ Gold may retest the Order Block zone 4,096–4,115 USD before forming the first push up to 4,145 USD. 2️⃣ If buying pressure is maintained and this resistance zone is broken, the expansion momentum may head towards 4,210 USD, corresponding to a higher liquidity zone. 3️⃣ Losing the 4,049 USD mark will invalidate the recovery structure and bring the market back to a lower balance zone. 🧠 Analyst’s View The market is currently in a reaccumulation phase after a strong correction. Buyers still maintain a technical advantage as long as the price remains above the 4,049 USD support zone. Observing price behavior around the Order Block and the 4,145 USD zone will be key signals to confirm the strength of this recovery wave. 🛡️ Risk Note The current phase is a “pullback phase” within the larger structure. Traders should wait for clear price behavior confirmation at technical zones rather than predicting movements in advance.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Technical Rebound to FVG, Prioritise WATCHING FOR SELL at 4📊 Market Structure Gold has completed a strong decline from the peak of 4.21x, leaving consecutive Break of Structure (BoS), confirming a short-term bearish structure. The drop through the Breakout zone of 4.10x indicates a dominant selling force. Currently, the price is bouncing from the Premium Zone 4.05x, aligning with the technical rebound behaviour after a strong sell-off. The BUY side is merely pulling the price back to the abandoned liquidity zones (FVG 4.12x – 4.15x) before the SELL side can regain control. The upper FVG zone is where the price often returns to fill after a steep fall. This is also the confluence zone between: FVG (Fair Value Gap) Old candle body Breaker Fibonacci Premium → The risk of selling at these zones is very high. 💎 Key Technical Zones Rebound zone for Sell FVG 1: 4.101 – 4.126 FVG 2 (Strong Confluence): 4.126 – 4.150 Support zone – target to hit Premium Zone $$$: 4.050 – 4.052 Lower FVG: 4.030 – 4.035 High probability price scenario: Rebound to FVG → reaction → continue to decline to 4.03x. 🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritise SELL 1️⃣ SELL Setup – High Probability Wait for price to rebound to the above FVG zones: Entry SELL: 4.118 – 4.126 Can add orders at higher: 4.140 – 4.150 Stop-loss: above 4.158 TP1: 4.101 TP2: 4.050 TP3: 4.030 ✔️ This is a trend-following setup, selling at premium, adhering to SMC principles. ✔️ The current price is just beginning the rebound, not yet meeting BUY conditions. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Only activate on deep Discount Entry BUY: 4.030 – 4.035 (Lower FVG) SL: below 4.020 TP: 4.070 – 4.100 → BUY is only for counter-trend traders and must wait for a clear discount. 🧠 Vincent’s View The market is in a distribution – decline phase, every rebound aims to pull liquidity. As long as the price does not close above 4.150, SELL remains the optimal strategy for the day. Observe closely when the price hits 4.12x – 4.15x, this is a “high-risk” zone for the BUY side and a “great opportunity” for the SELL side. “Sell where the liquidity lives — that’s where institutions strike.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 17/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the start of the week – wait for price to retrace to the trendline & resistance for a perfect entry Gold is experiencing a sharp decline amidst global market liquidity pressures. The simultaneous drop in gold, stocks, and Bitcoin indicates that capital is being withdrawn from risky assets and even safe havens, similar to tense periods like the 2008 crisis or the early 2020 pandemic. Investors are selling profitable assets to cover losses elsewhere. In the long run, gold usually recovers sooner, but in the short term, the downtrend still prevails. On H1, the price is below the descending trendline, under the 4100 resistance, and is moving in a clear Lower High – Lower Low structure. This is a good signal to continue prioritising SELL orders retracing to resistance. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci • Liquidity) The descending trendline is the biggest barrier; each time the price hits the trendline, it is strongly rejected. Main Resistance: 4098–4100: resistance area + confluence with the trendline. 4120–4130: stronger area if the price retraces deeply (close to Fibo 0.382). Target Support: 4065: intermediate support – where the price has bounced slightly several times before. 4040 – 4025: large liquidity area – confluence with the H1 FVG bottom. 3985–3995: the end zone of the down wave if the selling force expands. Liquidity Zone: Many liquidity sweep bottoms continuously → indicates that the selling force still prevails. The lower FVG area (around 4025–4040) is highly likely to be filled within the week. 📉 Trading Scenario (prioritise SELL retracement) Scenario – SELL retracement to trendline + resistance (priority) Entry: 4098–4100 SL: 4106 TP: 4088 → 4065 → 4040 → 4025 💡 Suggestion: Wait for M5–M15 to form a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) before executing the order. When to BUY? Only BUY if: H1 closes above 4120, breaking the descending trendline → short-term trend phase change. If this signal is not present → do not rush to buy against the trend. ⚠️ Important Note The phenomenon of “selling everything to hold cash” may continue → gold may remain under pressure in the short term. Which price range are you watching for today's session? Comment below & Follow LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN💛 XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold prices at the start of the week are mostly unchanged, the price structure on H4 remains the same, so Lana continues to maintain the old trading strategy. Currently, gold is weakly reacting around the medium-term resistance area, not strong enough to break through – but also no clear reversal signals. 💹 Technical Analysis 📉 Prices are moving within a narrow range between key liquidity zones: Zone 4138–4140 is the near resistance, where the market has repeatedly reacted with declines. Zone 4200 coincides with confluence fibo + descending trendline – strong resistance. Zone 3990–3988 is important support, also a lower liquidity area, suitable for technical rebound Buy. Market liquidity is weak, as shown by the pin bars and narrowing range. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan 💢 SELL (priority on correction rhythm) 4138–4140 ｜ SL: 4146 ｜ TP: 4120 → 4105 → 4089 4200 ｜ SL: 4212 ｜ TP: 4185 → 4160 → 4133 💖 BUY (strong support) 3990–3988 ｜ SL: 3984 ｜ TP: 4002 → 4032 → 4060 ⚠️ Market Insight (Macro Insight) Gold declines simultaneously with US stocks and Bitcoin, indicating a lack of liquidity across the market. This behaviour is common during phases like: Financial Crisis 2008 Early pandemic panic 2020 Investors are forced to sell even profitable assets to cover losses, causing gold – despite being a safe haven asset – to also decline. This reflects a strong increase in cash demand and widespread fear. 🌷 Conclusion with LanaM2 Gold is moving within a tight range and is heavily dependent on liquidity 💛 If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold analysis ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
Gold Still in Distribution, FOCUS ON SELL Setups at 4,10x–4,14x 🔍 Market Context Risk sentiment remains fragile as investors reassess the global rate and stimulus story. Goldman Sachs notes that rising worries about the size of Japan’s fiscal stimulus are bringing financial risk premia back, putting pressure on long-term JGBs and the JPY. Capital tends to rotate into USD and yield-bearing assets in this environment, which limits the upside for gold in the short term. 📊 XAU/USD Technical Structure (H1) After topping around 4,242 USD, gold broke its short-term uptrend and is now moving in a descending structure. Price is currently capped below the 0.5–0.382 Fibonacci area around 4,11x, which overlaps with a strong supply / Sell Liquidity zone on the chart. Below price, we have a series of liquidity / support pockets: 4,098 – 4,077 – 4,048 USD: short-term downside liquidity levels. OBS BUY ZONE around 4,00x: major demand zone where price previously launched a strong rally. Current price action shows sellers still in control – every bounce into 4,10x–4,14x is being rejected quickly, which fits a “sell the rally” approach. 🎯 Trend-Following Trade Ideas (for reference) Zones below are technical areas to watch, not signals or financial advice. Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback Sell Sell Zone 1: 4,102 – 4,104 SL: 4,110 TP levels: TP1: 4,098 TP2: 4,077 TP3: 4,048 Idea: Price makes a minor intraday pullback into local supply, then resumes selling pressure toward lower liquidity pockets. Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback into Fib/Trendline Confluence Sell Zone 2: 4,142 – 4,144 (confluence of descending trendline + Fibonacci combo) SL: 4,150 TP levels: TP1: 4,133 TP2: 4,105 TP3: 4,088 TP4: 4,060 Idea: If the market grabs more upside liquidity first, the 4,14x zone offers a better R:R area to align with the H1 downtrend. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View As long as price stays below 4,14x and H1 structure keeps printing lower highs, gold remains in a distribution phase. Pullbacks into the 4,10x–4,14x liquidity band are treated as opportunities to optimize SELL entries, while the 4,00x OBS BUY ZONE is the key area to reassess any potential larger bottoming process. “In a downtrend, our job isn’t to call the bottom – it’s to use every weak bounce to sell from a better position.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 3, November) 1. Momentum W1 Timeframe W1 momentum is preparing to turn upward. This suggests that within 1–2 weeks, weekly momentum may reverse, potentially starting a medium-term bullish phase lasting 4–5 weeks. It also signals that the current bearish trend may weaken next week. D1 Timeframe D1 momentum has already turned downward, so the primary expectation for next week remains bearish. H4 Timeframe H4 momentum is turning upward, meaning that on Monday we may see a corrective bounce or sideways movement before the downtrend resumes. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure – W1 Price is still in a corrective phase, likely forming wave 4 of the larger cycle. This wave count remains valid as long as price closes above 3746. If price closes below 3746, the entire structure must be reassessed. ________________________________________ 3. Wave Structure – D1 Wave 4 is unfolding as a W–X–Y (purple) combination. Friday’s strong decline confirms that D1 momentum has reversed downward, suggesting that purple wave X is complete and price is now developing purple wave Y. Targets for Wave Y (purple): • Target 1: Equal to wave W → 3746 • Target 2: 1.618 × W, a very deep zone o If price reaches this deeper zone, the structure may no longer represent yellow wave 4, and the count must be re-evaluated. ________________________________________ 4. Wave Structure – H4 With Friday’s sharp decline, waves (1) and (2) in blue are temporarily labeled. The decline is steep, clean, and non-overlapping — all characteristics of a 5-wave impulsive structure, supporting the expectation that purple wave Y will also unfold as a 5-wave decline rather than a triangle. Further confirmation is needed next week. Given the target at 3746, wave (3) is expected to extend. The current pullback remains valid as long as price does not exceed 4211, which still fits as wave 2 within wave (3). ________________________________________ 5. Monday Pullback Zones H4 momentum indicates a likely bullish correction early next week. Two key resistance zones: Zone 1 – 4096 “This zone aligns with the 0.382 retracement from blue wave (2) to the current low at 4046. It is also an ideal wave (4) zone if price peaks here before continuing downward.” Zone 2 – 4145 “This level corresponds to the previous wave (1) in blue. If price reaches this zone, the pullback may represent wave 2 within wave (3). I will update this scenario in more detail on Monday.” ________________________________________ 6. Conclusion The main trend remains bearish. I expect price to reach the 3746 target for purple wave Y next week, aligning with the projected timing shown by the two vertical blue lines on the H4 chart, while D1 momentum moves into oversold territory. When price reaches this zone and W1 momentum fully turns upward, it may signal the beginning of a new medium-term bullish trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
BTCUSD 45m – Pennant Breakout Setup Toward 100k Target1. Pattern Formation: Bullish Pennant The chart shows a pennant, formed after a sharp downward move followed by price compression. The upper trendline is descending, the lower trendline ascending, converging into a tightening triangle. This is typically a continuation pattern, but because the preceding move was downward, traders will often wait for confirmation from the breakout direction. 2. Breakout Attempt The price is breaking slightly above the upper trendline, marked as ENTRY. This suggests a potential bullish breakout, but: The breakout candle is still small. Ideally, you’d want volume confirmation (not shown in the image). 3. Stop-Loss Placement The STOP LOSS is placed safely under: The lower pennant trendline Recent consolidation lows This gives a logical invalidation level—if price drops below this, the breakout has failed. 4. Target Projection The target of $100,006 is consistent with a measured move calculation: Height of the initial impulse (the pole) Added to the breakout point On your chart, the projected move equals about +10%, also labeled on the right. 5. Risk–Reward The setup shows good R:R, since: Stop-loss is close Target is distant However, pennants can generate fakeouts, so caution is warranted. 6. Market Context (from the chart only) Current price around $95,984. The overall trend in the 45-minute view appears mixed: Strong drop earlier Stabilization Compression The breakout direction will determine the next phase.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAUUSD: Continuing Uptrend with Potential Expansion to $4,280OANDA:XAUUSD has shown strong performance in the ascending channel, and I expect this trend to continue as shown in my chart, with a target price of $4,280. The current area represents a key turning point, where prices could find support allowing them to rise, or they may break down, which could lead to a further downward movement. If I were to choose the most likely direction, I would lean towards upward price movement. However, only market action will determine whether the channel will continue or not. If the downtrend line is breached strongly, it will invalidate the bullish scenario, meaning that the bullish momentum could weaken or even reverse in the short term. These are just my personal forecasts based on technical analysis, and they do not represent financial advice. Always make sure to verify your setups and manage risks wisely. Wishing you successful and profitable trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
4
$Gold: Breakdown or Bounce?🔻 #Gold Breakdown or Bounce? 🔺 Price tested a critical level (upward sloping trendline - Breakdown Retest ) after a bearish engulfing and is now pulling back. Will the breakdown continue, or can bulls reclaim control? 👀 Trendline break 🚨 Breakdown retest ⚠️ Key levels to watch: 🚧 Resistance: $4099.40 - $4126.08 / $4185.91 - $4195.21 / $4355.80 - $4381.44 🛡 Support: $4024.53 / $3932.10 - $3930.62 / $3953.00 Below $3953 → opens downside toward $3500.20–$3432.84 📉 Between ATH & $3953 → market likely stays trendless/choppy ⚖️ TVC:GOLD #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #BearishEngulfing #CandleStickPatterns #BreakdownRetest #BearishReversal #PriceAction #ForexTrading 📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Stocks_Mario
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 14/11/2025 1. Momentum D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is showing clearer signs of reversal. We need to wait for today’s close for confirmation. If D1 momentum truly reverses, I expect a strong bearish move next week. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum is preparing to turn upward, so a short-term bullish move may appear on this timeframe. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is getting ready to reverse downward, so I expect a decline from the current H1 structure. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1 Wave Structure Price is still forming wave X. Yesterday’s D1 candle was bearish but not very strong. Today, we want to see another strong bearish candle to further confirm the possibility of a new decline on the daily timeframe. For now, we continue to observe today’s market reaction. ________________________________________ H4 Wave Structure On the H4 chart, we’re seeing two strong bullish candles, which is not what we want to see if the market is forming a top. A proper top should show strong downward momentum, while the pullback should appear as short-bodied candles. We now wait for the upward reversal of H4 momentum: • If price breaks above the high, it suggests the current high is not the real top but only a temporary corrective move, and the market may form a new higher high. • If price does not break the high, then once H4 momentum reverses downward, we can expect a stronger and deeper decline. (This section keeps your original meaning exactly, with smoother wording.) ________________________________________ H1 Wave Structure The recent decline resembles a clear 3-wave structure, creating three possible scenarios: 3 Possible Scenarios Scenario 1 – Correction Completed If the recent decline is a completed 3-wave structure, the correction may already be over. Combined with H4 momentum preparing to rise, price may form a new high once H4 enters overbought territory. ________________________________________ Scenario 2 – Wave A of a Flat or Triangle If the decline is only wave A, then a larger Flat or Triangle correction may be forming. • Price may revisit 4248 when H4 momentum reaches overbought. • After that, price may decline again but not deeply: o Flat: drop toward 4145 (wave A low). o Triangle: a shallower drop. • After completing this correction, price will begin a new upward swing. ________________________________________ Scenario 3 – Beginning of a 5-Wave Decline If the previous drop was wave 1 of a 5-wave bearish sequence: • The current rise is wave 2, meaning price must not break 4248. • When H4 reaches overbought and consolidates below the peak, price may drop sharply into wave 3. • Another possibility: H4 and H1 momentum “stick together”; once H1 reverses downward, price may fall aggressively — a typical wave 3 characteristic. ________________________________________ 4. Overall Bias While multiple scenarios are listed for monitoring, our primary expectation remains bearish, based on signals observed over the past several days. ________________________________________ 🎯 5. Trading Plan Sell Zone: 4211 – 4213 SL: 4231 TP1: 4145 TP2: 4096 TP3: 4046
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zone & Bullish Channel Projection (45-1. Price Action Context Gold (XAUUSD) has been in a short-term downtrend, shown by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently trading around 4113 after a sharp drop. 2. Key Zone: RESISTANCE Turned SUPPORT The highlighted red zone around 4081 – 4103 is marked as a major support / demand zone. This appears to be a level where buyers are expected to step in. The squiggly black arrows indicate a possible liquidity grab or fake breakout before the true move begins. 3. Projected Bullish Recovery The gray vertical projection box and upward channel lines suggest the author expects: A bounce from the 4081–4103 support A move up through the channel A potential target around 4220, which aligns with the upper boundary of the projected ascending channel. 4. Trend Channel A rising channel has been plotted, projecting the potential direction over the next sessions. Price bouncing inside the lower area of the channel suggests: The down move might be ending Momentum could shift toward a bullish correction or even a trend reversal 5. Key Levels Highlighted Support zone: 4,081.888 4,103.142 Bullish target: 4,220.041 These levels are visually marked and consistent with a reversal strategy. 🧭 Overall Interpretation This chart proposes a bullish reversal setup, with traders watching for: A potential liquidity sweep at the support zone A bounce and consolidation A climb toward the upper channel area, with 4220 as a projected target This is a counter-trend reversal idea, so confirmation would be crucial (rejection wicks, bullish candle structures, RSI turning up, etc.).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
GOLD H1 – Gold Reacts to Mixed U.S. Inflation Data🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (14/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade within a balanced range as investors digest the latest U.S. inflation data. The CPI report showed cooling price pressures, while producer prices (PPI) are due soon — both shaping market sentiment toward the Fed’s December rate outlook. • Softer inflation supports a bullish bias if gold holds the discount zone. • Renewed USD strength could trigger short setups from premium liquidity zones. Institutional flows suggest engineered liquidity hunts before a decisive move resumes. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Gold remains in a short-term bullish correction after a strong sell-off, with recent ChoCH signaling a possible re-accumulation phase. • Premium Zone: 4300–4298 aligns with a previous unmitigated supply and internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions. • Discount Zone: 4144–4142 overlaps with the last bullish OB and EMA100 area — a potential demand zone for continuation. • Liquidity: Resting buy-side liquidity sits above 4300, while inducement below 4140 could lure early longs before true accumulation. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,300 – 4,298 • Stop-Loss: 4,310 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,178 (previous BOS zone) → 4,144 (discount retest) → 4,110 (deep liquidity pocket) 📌 Valid only after a liquidity sweep and bearish BOS confirmation on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,144 – 4,142 • Stop-Loss: 4,135 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,185 (minor structure high) → 4,210 (liquidity void fill) → 4,300 (final premium reaction zone) 📌 Valid if price reclaims structure with bullish BOS confirmation. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Stay patient until U.S. PPI data confirms direction. • Avoid trades between 4175–4250 (low R/R consolidation area). • Scale out partials near liquidity pools and trail stops after confirmation. • Maintain disciplined risk exposure under 2%. Summary Gold is in an engineered equilibrium phase — liquidity pools are forming at both extremes. • Sell zone: 4300–4298 (premium reaction zone) • Buy zone: 4144–4142 (discount accumulation zone) Expect manipulation around mid-range levels before a clean directional move unfolds. 📍Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold H1 – Gold Awaits U.S. PPI Data After 5-Wave Completion🟡 XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 14/11 📈 Elliott Wave Context Gold has completed a textbook 5-wave impulsive rally, peaking near 4250 before entering a corrective phase. The current retracement appears to be forming an ABC correction, with price now approaching the C-wave completion zone around 4145–4147. Today’s focus shifts to the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) report — a crucial inflation indicator that may influence Fed policy expectations and short-term dollar momentum. • A hotter PPI print could strengthen USD and trigger a brief sell-off from premium zones. • A softer reading could weaken USD and fuel a renewed push from discount levels. 🔎 Wave Structure Breakdown (H1) • Wave 1 → Initial breakout from liquidity trap (~4070). • Wave 2 → Shallow retracement, respecting prior OB. • Wave 3 → Strong extension into new highs (~4220+). • Wave 4 → Sideways correction with internal liquidity grab. • Wave 5 → Final push to ~4250 — marking potential top. Now the market is tracing an A–B–C corrective structure, with wave C expected to finalize near the BUY ZONE 4145–4147 (SL 4138) before the next bullish leg resumes. Intraday Trade Zones (Elliott-Based) 🟩 BUY ZONE: 4145 – 4147 | SL 4138 Looking for completion of wave C and bullish reversal confirmation (BOS or mitigation from demand block). Targets: 4205 → 4230 → 4250 🟥 SELL ZONE: 4245 – 4243 | SL 4252 Scalp opportunity aligning with potential wave B retest or short-term overextension before larger correction. Targets: 4180 → 4150 📌 Summary Gold remains technically bullish after completing a 5-wave structure but is currently digesting gains through a corrective ABC phase. The 4145–4147 discount zone serves as a high-probability wave C completion area, especially if PPI data softens USD momentum. Wait for structure confirmation before entering, and monitor the PPI release as it may dictate whether gold extends higher or deepens its correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChloeTrader
LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to...LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to explode, waiting for a breakout to choose direction! Gold is moving close to the lower trendline of the upward channel, indicating an accumulation state – waiting to choose direction. The price hasn't broken the 4210 resistance zone, but neither has it breached the trendline, so today's fluctuation will revolve around this structure. If the buying force is strong enough and closes the H1 candle above 4210, the upward trend will be reactivated with a broader target. Conversely, if the price breaks below the trendline, gold may decline to the POC area according to Volume Profile/Fibonacci around 4126–4130, where signals to buy again according to the main trend will be prioritized. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci) H1 Upward Channel: Price is testing the trendline for the second time → a pullback bounce may appear if the selling force is weak. Strong Resistance: 4210: hard resistance – needs to break to confirm the rise. 4230: extended area, coinciding with the channel peak – likely to have a strong reaction. Important Support: 4174: intermediate support; breaking this level will trigger a short-term decline. 4126–4130: POC + large liquidity according to Volume Profile – the best buying area if a deep correction occurs. Market Sign: Weak candle force in the 4180–4190 area indicates gold is waiting for USD information before breaking direction. 📈 Daily Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy according to trend (priority) Entry: 4126–4128 (POC + Volume Profile support) SL: 4120 TP: 4140 → 4156 → 4180 → 4198 Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle or reversal pattern at 412x. Scenario 2 – Sell when breaking trendline (counter-trend) Condition: H1 breaks below trendline + failed retest Entry: 4174–4176 SL: 4182 TP: 4150 → 4135 → 4110 Note: Only sell when there is a confirmation candle; this is a short-term surfing order. Scenario 3 – Buy when breaking and holding above 4210 (Break & Retest) Entry: 4212–4216 SL: 4202 TP: 4230 → 4260 → 4285 🌍 Macro Analysis – USD under pressure from new tariff plans President Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on goods from many Latin American countries (beef, bananas, coffee…). Objective: reduce domestic food prices, lower import costs. This could weaken the USD when officially announced → gold benefits in the medium term. ⚠️ Invalidation Condition H1 closes below 4120 → losing upward structure, may slide to 4090–4100. H1 closes above 4230 → cancel all sell orders, prioritize buying according to breakout. Which price area are you observing? Please comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
HOW MANY BUYER TRAPS BEFORE NEW ATH GOLD ?📈 Analysis of Gold Trading Plan (SMC/Order Flow) 🔍 Current Market Context Structure: The market has shown a strong bullish trend, marked by a Break of Structure (BOS) and a Liquidity Done Sweep around the ₹4,145 price level. Liquidity: The market performed a "First Sweep Here" (initial liquidity grab) after the rally, signaling a readiness for a correction. The main liquidity target for the upward move (Big Boy Liquidity) is set above the ₹4,240 level. Recent Price Action: After hitting the peak and the initial sweep, the price experienced a sharp decline, creating a correction zone. 🎯 Proposed Trading Plan The plan focuses on two main scenarios: a Short-term Sell (SELL SCALP) and a Primary Buy (BUY GOLD). 1. Primary Buy Scenario (BUY GOLD) This is the main scenario to continue the bullish trend (Long). Entry Zone: BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124. This zone is likely a critical Order Block or an unmitigated Demand Zone, positioned just below the previous liquidity sweep and acting as a strong support/Displaced/Fair Value Gap (FVG) area. Stop Loss (SL): SL 4120. This stop-loss level protects the long position, placed just below the key entry zone to avoid being shaken out by minor liquidity grabs. The indicated Stoploss Buyer area (around ₹4,145 - ₹4,150) suggests the price drop might aim to sweep prior buyers' liquidity before bouncing from the ₹4,124 - ₹4,126 zone. Take Profit (TP): The ultimate target is the Liquidity Limit Big Boy (above ₹4,240). 2. Short-term Sell Scenario (SELL SCALP) This is a short-term trading opportunity (Scalping) during the corrective move. Entry Zone: SELL SCALP 4208 - 4210. This area likely represents a Supply Zone or a bearish Order Block following the sharp drop, where hidden selling pressure resides. Stop Loss (SL): SL 4212. This is a very tight stop loss, placed just above the entry zone. Take Profit (TP): The target is the BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124 area (the primary buy entry zone). ⚠️ Key Considerations Timeline: This plan requires the price to move according to the predicted scenario (drop to the buy zone before rallying). Confirmation: Traders should wait for structural confirmation on a lower timeframe (e.g., a Change of Character - CHoCH or a bullish BOS) at the 4126 - 4124 buy zone before entering the trade to improve the probability of success. Risk Management: Using the suggested Stop Loss (SL) is mandatory for capital protection.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
Gold Near Breakout Point — The Next Move Will Be BigGold is holding firmly inside a tight compression zone, and the market is signalling that a major breakout is loading. Despite yesterday’s pullback, buyers defended key demand levels, showing that bullish momentum is still alive as we approach the weekend session. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1) Price is currently moving inside a symmetrical triangle, with volatility compressing and liquidity building on both sides. Key observations from MMFlow structure: • Zone 1 – Support (Potential Reversal Area) 4,174 – 4,159 → Strong confluence of trendline support + Fibonacci 38.2% + liquidity sweep potential. → If price taps this zone, it's a high-probability long setup. • Zone 2 – Resistance / Breakout Line 4,207 – 4,212 → This is the key breakout ceiling. → A clean break and retest opens the door toward the next expansion wave. • Measured Move Target (MMF Expansion Target) 4,244 – 4,252 → Aligns with Fib 1.618 extension and previous liquidity pocket. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (MMFlow Style) 🟢 BUY Scenario (Primary Bias) Buy Zone 1: 4,174 – 4,159 SL: below 4,150 TP: 4,205 → 4,212 → 4,228 → 4,244+ Why? This zone carries the strongest confluence for a bullish reaction before the breakout. Ideal spot for Market Makers to reload. 🔵 BUY Scenario 2 (Break & Retest) Trigger: Break above 4,207 – 4,212 Entry: Retest of 4,207 SL: below retest wick TP: 4,228 → 4,244 → 4,252 Why? Breakout from triangle compression usually leads to fast displacement toward untested liquidity highs. 🔴 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Only — Not Preferred) Only valid if price fails to break 4,207 and forms a clear rejection. Entry: 4,207 – 4,212 SL: above 4,220 TP: 4,174 → 4,159 Note: This is a counter-trend micro-play. Primary bias remains bullish. 🧠 MMFlow Insight The market has been accumulating for multiple sessions, and every dip into demand is being bought aggressively. As long as price stays above 4,159, the bullish structure is intact. A breakout above 4,212 could be the ignition point for the next impulsive expansion toward 4,244 – 4,252.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – H1: PRIORITISE BUY ACCORDING TO PRICE CHANNEL...💛 XAUUSD – H1: PRIORITISE BUY ACCORDING TO PRICE CHANNEL, WATCH FOR ADJUSTMENT MOVES 🎯 🌤 Overview Gold is maintaining its upward channel on H1 → main mindset: hold Buy longer than Sell. Asian–European sessions present multiple liquidity clusters suitable for scalping and optimising entry points. Fundamentals: DXY retreats around 99.15, market reduces expectations of Fed rate cut in December; Fed's Collins hints rates may remain unchanged longer → gold's range may experience short-term fluctuations. 💹 Technical (ICT view) H1 upward channel maintains a structure of higher lows; the lower trendline is the main support. 4163–4165: confluence of trendline + liquidity (ideal Buy entry point). 4130–4133: deeper support; below that is the 4100–4080 zone (medium-term support; around Fibo ext 1.618 ≈ 4114 and 2.618 ≈ 4054). Nearby resistance: 4215–4225; a decisive break opens up to 4260. 🎯 Trading Plan Reference Buy #1 (priority): 4163–4165 │ SL 4157 │ TP 4180 → 4195 → 4220 → 4260 Buy #2 (deeper support): 4130–4133 │ SL 4125 │ TP 4150 → 4175 → 4190 → 4220 Sell (only with confirmation): Scenario A: M15/M30 gives strong rejection signal at 4215–4225 → SL 4230 │ TP 4200 → 4188 → 4165. Scenario B: H1 closes below 4157 (breaks structure) then fails retest → target 4135 → 4115 → 4100. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Prioritise Buy according to trend; Sell orders are only short-term reactions. Use M15/M5 to time entries at the specified zones. If H1 closes below 4125, consider narrowing buy positions, wait for the 4100–4080 zone. 🌷 Conclusion H1 upward channel still guides the flow 💛. Patiently wait for adjustments to 4163–4165 or 4130–4133 to buy according to trend, manage orders tightly as price approaches 4215–4225. If useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 for daily gold updates ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold Maintains Bullish Structure Despite 4245 Rejection We have seen a sharp rejection from the 4245 level yesterday, forming a red candle . However,. Gold found solid support at the weekly R3 level around 4147 and managed to close above it, which is a significant technical development. Currently, we're witnessing a strong recovery rally on lower tf that suggests the bulls aren't ready to give up just yet. When we zoom in to the daily timeframe, yesterday's downward move appears to be just a normal bearish candle rather than a trend reversal signal. The key factor supporting this view is that price was trading well above the weekly R3 level throughout the session. In a healthy uptrend, these kinds of pullbacks are quite normal and often provide opportunities for fresh entries. The overall bullish structure on the daily chart remains intact, which gives me confidence that this isn't the beginning of a major correction. Looking at the current setup, the first critical support level at 4140-4150. This zone has proven its importance multiple times, and as long as price holds above this area, I'm maintaining a bullish bias. A daily close below 4140-4150 would be the first warning sign that we might be heading back into consolidation territory. That scenario would require a reassessment of the trend direction. However, if gold continues to respect the 4140-4150 support zone and builds on today's recovery momentum, we could see price pushing toward higher levels in the coming sessions. The bulls have shown their presence at key support areas, and with the daily structure still favoring upside, the path of least resistance appears to be upward for now.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
1
Gold Technical Retracement Before Continuing Main Uptrend⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/14/2025 🔍 Market Context After establishing a short-term peak around 4,239 USD, gold is undergoing a technical retracement to rebalance its structure. The most recent decline formed a Break of Structure (BOS), but the Support Zone around 4,145–4,174 USD continues to serve as a foundation for the medium-term uptrend. The current price structure indicates the market is re-accumulating momentum before expanding again. 📊 Technical Structure Order Block (4,239 USD): a short-term resistance zone where the price may react slightly before continuing upward. Support Zone (4,145–4,174 USD): a confluence zone with Fibo 0.236–0.382, playing a balancing role in the current cycle. Liquidity Targets:  • 4,261 USD – intermediate liquidity zone.  • 4,293 USD – main expansion target if the uptrend is maintained. 🎯 Market Outlook High probability scenario: 1️⃣ The price may retrace to the Support Zone or form a higher low around 4,174 USD, then recover to the OB zone at 4,239 USD. 2️⃣ If the uptrend structure breaks, the market may test deeper towards 4,145 USD before bouncing back. As long as the price holds above this support zone, the primary trend remains bullish continuation. 🧠 Analyst’s View This is a phase of market re-accumulation after a rapid increase. Maintaining a higher low structure will be a confirmation signal for the next expansion phase towards 4,261–4,293 USD. Buyers are still controlling the cash flow, while sellers mainly participate in the short-term resistance zone. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is in a slight correction phase – avoid impulsive actions when the price has not completed the accumulation zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Maintains Bullish Structure, Prepares for New ExpansionWave⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/13/2025 🔍 Market Context After a short correction at the start of the week, gold has clearly formed a Break of Structure (BOS) on the 30-minute chart, indicating that bullish momentum has returned. This morning's Asian session witnessed a strong recovery from the Support Zone, confirming that buying pressure remains dominant in the current structure. The market is approaching the “expansion phase” – where prices typically expand to seek liquidity above. 📊 Technical Structure Order Block 1 (4,208 USD): a short-term support area, likely to serve as a retest point after the expansion move. Order Block 2 (4,184 USD): confluence of Fibonacci 0.5–0.618, a deep equilibrium zone within the bullish structure. Support Zone: the main foundation of the medium-term uptrend, still being preserved. Extension Levels:  • 4,249 USD → first expansion target.  • 4,267 USD → intermediate liquidity zone.  • 4,292 USD → maximum expansion target within the current cycle. 🎯 Market Outlook Today's scenario leans towards a continuation bullish direction: 1️⃣ Price may technically correct to the OB 4,208 or 4,184 USD area. 2️⃣ Upon a bullish reaction, the market is likely to expand to 4,267 – 4,292 USD, where short-term selling liquidity is concentrated. 3️⃣ Losing the 4,184 USD level will temporarily shift the structure to rebalancing (sideways). 🧠 Analyst’s View Gold is in the “expansion reaccumulation” phase, meaning after attracting liquidity below, prices begin to expand following the main trend. Continuous BOS signals indicate that buyers are reasserting control. As long as prices remain above the 4,184 USD area, the intraday bias remains predominantly bullish. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is expanding rapidly, so pullback reactions to the OB area may be highly volatile. Let your trade ideas run and let's observe together.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital