Explaining the seller trap in XAUUSD/GOLDIt is an explanatory video about how sellers are trapped between market rumours and profit booking phases.
The gold chart is a classic example of this in the current scenario, where everyone is waiting to short Gold and gets trapped in the resulting volume.
Be careful with the trade setups.
I have mentioned the clear range of bullish and bearish continuation.
Xauusd(w)
This is a technical analysis chart for Gold (XAUUSD) on a 4-hourChart Analysis
Bullish Trend: The market is in a clear uptrend. This is shown by the series of "BOS" or Break of Structure points, where the price consistently breaks above previous highs, creating higher highs and higher lows.
Liquidity Sweep: The label "Buy Side Liquidity" points to a previous high. The price moved above this level, likely triggering stop-loss orders from sellers and attracting new buyers, which fueled the subsequent upward move.
Order Block: An "Order Block" (the last down-candle before a strong upward move) is marked. These zones are often seen as strong areas of demand where institutions have placed large orders.
Recent Break of Structure: The most recent price action shows another strong "BOS," confirming the continuation of bullish momentum.
a pullback before the next move higher.
Create a New High: The price is expected to make a small push up to establish a new peak.
Pullback to Demand: The projection shows the price then pulling back down into the area of the previous high that was just broken (highlighted with the yellow box). This area is now expected to act as a support or demand zone. Traders anticipate that buyers will step in at this level.
Consolidation: Price may bounce around in this zone for a short period as buyers accumulate positions.
Continuation Upward: After finding support, the price is projected to resume its uptrend, breaking the recently created high and continuing its move up (as indicated by the red arrow).
GOLD hits a new all-time high at $4,200 for the first time ever.🚨JUST IN: GOLD hits a new all-time high at $4,200 for the first time ever.
Now here’s the real question:
Will Gold retrace back to the $3,000–$2,500 zone soon?
That region aligns perfectly with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, a level where Gold has historically cooled off before launching its next major bull rally.
Eyes on the golden pullback before the next explosion.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (15/10/2025)
1. Momentum
D1: Daily momentum is currently rising and still has room to move into the overbought zone.
➡️ Therefore, the main trend on the D1 timeframe remains bullish until D1 momentum reaches the overbought area and shows signs of reversal.
H4: Momentum on H4 is also rising strongly.
➡️ The upward move is likely to continue until H4 enters the overbought zone and starts to turn down.
H1: H1 momentum is showing slight bearish divergence, suggesting a possible minor corrective pullback in the short term.
2. Wave Structure
D1 Structure: Price is currently in wave 5 (yellow).
A larger correction is only expected once D1 momentum enters the overbought zone, signaling the end of wave 5.
For now, momentum remains bullish → further upside movement is still likely.
H4 Structure: Price is retesting the previous high. There are two possible scenarios:
1️⃣ Formation of a corrective flat or triangle pattern.
2️⃣ Wave 5 (yellow) — which belongs to wave 3 (purple) — is still extending upward.
H1 Structure: After a strong correction, price has rallied back toward the previous high around 4193, which serves as a key resistance zone.
If 4193 holds and price reverses downward, we may see:
• Flat correction: Targeting the 4102 zone – this will be the potential buy area.
• Triangle correction: Price will consolidate narrowly, not dropping deeply toward 4102.
If price breaks above 4193, the next target could be 4234, which may complete wave 5 (yellow).
Since D1 momentum is still rising, it’s not ideal to counter-trade the trend at this stage.
3. Trading Plan
Buy Zone: 4103 – 4101
Stop Loss: 4091
Take Profit: 4151
XAUUSD – Continues to set ATH XAUUSD – Continues to set ATH, prioritise buying according to POC 4,146–4,148 🟡
Gold continues to make higher highs after a strong rise in the Asian session; the upward channel structure remains intact. On H1, POC ~4,147–4,148 is the nearest support point; above is the resistance cluster according to FE 1.618 ~4,186 and the sell zone 4,221–4,240.
Key levels
Support: 4,146–4,148 (POC) • 4,140 (short-term invalid).
Resistance/targets: 4,166 • 4,186 (FE 1.618) • 4,188–4,200 • 4,221 (sell scalping) • 4,240 (sell zone).
Trading scenarios
Buy 1 – POC pullback
Entry 4,146–4,148 | SL 4,140 | TP 4,166 → 4,188 → 4,200 → 4,245.
If it pulls back to POC and H1 shows a confirmation candle/mid-trendline support, prioritise buying.
Buy 2 – Shallow retest
If the price only dips ~4,160–4,162 then rebounds above POC, additional buying is possible with SL 4,152, TP as above.
Sell reaction (higher risk)
Entry 4,240 | SL 4,250 | TP 4,222 → 4,200 → 4,188 → 4,160.
Only trigger when there is a clear rejection signal at 4,221–4,240; this is a counter-trend trade.
Invalidation & management
Buying bias weakens when H1 closes below 4,140 or breaks the lower channel edge.
After TP1, move SL to entry; avoid chasing price in the 4,18x–4,20x area when volume is thin. 🎯
Quick context
The upward momentum is maintained due to expectations of the Fed ending QT/looser conditions and safe haven flows; however, the 4,221–4,240 area may create a short-term reaction before the uptrend continues.
Trade well with this scenario!
Gold → Ready for the Next Bullish WaveGold (XAUUSD) continues to gain momentum as shifting global conditions drive investors toward safer assets. The ongoing uncertainty in financial markets, coupled with renewed concerns over U.S. fiscal policy and interest rate adjustments, has strengthened gold’s long-term appeal.
Recent market behavior reflects consistent institutional demand, with traders positioning ahead of potential monetary easing cycles. As confidence in traditional currencies weakens, gold remains a preferred store of value for both investors and central banks.
Structurally, the market is maintaining a healthy uptrend, showing controlled corrections within a broader bullish framework. The latest price movements suggest that momentum is building for another upward phase, possibly targeting new historical zones if global instability persists.
In summary, gold’s outlook stays constructive — supported by both macroeconomic sentiment and steady technical momentum.
How do you see the XAUUSD trajectory evolving — continuation of growth or a major pause ahead?
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | October 14, 2025📊
________________________________________
🔹 1. Momentum
D1:
Daily momentum has started to turn upward from the oversold zone, suggesting that the bullish pressure may continue throughout the week.
H4:
On the H4 chart, momentum is stuck together in the overbought zone, indicating that a reversal could occur at any moment.
Currently, there have been 13 consecutive bullish candles in the H4 momentum cycle — a typical length before a reversal often appears.
👉 Therefore, avoid chasing long positions (Buy) at this stage.
H1:
H1 momentum is also deep in the overbought area, which means a short-term correction could take place soon.
________________________________________
🔹 2. Wave Structure
D1:
The current pattern shows that Wave 5 is extending, which makes it difficult to project the exact target using Fibonacci ratios.
However, an extended fifth wave usually ends with a sharp and decisive decline, which serves as a confirmation that Wave 5 has completed.
H4:
Price is currently forming Wave 5 (yellow), which also represents Wave 3 (purple) in the higher degree.
Thus, the uptrend is still intact for now.
Once Wave 5 (yellow) — equivalent to Wave 3 (purple) — finishes, the market will likely enter a corrective phase (Wave 4 purple), which would align with a momentum reversal on H4.
H1:
On the Elliott channel drawn from Wave 2 → Wave 4 → Wave 3 (yellow), price has broken above the upper boundary, which could be a throw-over pattern.
If price returns and closes back inside the channel, it would confirm the completion of Wave 5.
Connecting Wave 1 and Wave 3 highs, we can see that price is now above this trendline, and the 4157 zone coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension of Waves 1–3 — forming a strong confluence area where a correction is likely to begin.
________________________________________
🔹 3. Trading Plan
At the moment, price is sitting around a major top, where the Monthly Wave 3 and the Weekly Wave 5 structures converge.
👉 This means volatility could be high and unpredictable.
For now:
• Avoid swing trades,
• Focus only on short-term scalp opportunities with tight targets,
• Wait for a clear confirmation signal at the top zone before entering new positions.
m15 timeframe sees gold drop sharply by 50 points 🔍 Market Context
Gold prices have just reached an all-time high (ATH GOLD) around the 4,180 USD mark, following a steep upward rally over several sessions.
Immediately after, the market witnessed the first break of structure (BoS) – a sign that the upward momentum is weakening .
Currently, prices are returning to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 4,125 – 4,145 USD , and this is likely a liquidity rebalancing phase before prices choose the next direction.
💎 Technical Analysis
ATH GOLD: 4,180 – 4,185 USD
Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4,125 – 4,145 USD → an empty price zone that needs to be filled.
Order Block Buy Zone 1: 4,050 – 4,060 USD → the nearest demand zone, potentially creating the first technical reaction.
Order Block Buy Zone 2: 3,980 – 3,985 USD → a deeper demand zone, large liquidity confluence, possibly becoming the main "accumulation point."
Overall Structure: After breaking the upward channel, the market is in a retracement phase – the medium-term structure remains bullish .
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario – filling FVG and technical adjustment
If prices continue to test the FVG 4,125 – 4,145 USD zone without surpassing it,
→ consider a short-term sell to catch the technical retracement phase.
Target: the first OB Buy Zone at 4,050 USD .
Stop Loss: above 4,155 USD (to avoid being swept above the FVG peak).
➡️ This scenario suits short-term traders following corrective waves – only enter when there is a clear reversal candle confirmation.
2️⃣ Trend-following Buy Scenario – catching the rebound from OB Zone
If prices adjust to the 4,050 – 4,060 USD zone, observe reaction signals such as Bullish Engulfing or strong Rejection .
Upon confirmation, initiate a trend-following buy order .
Target: zone 4,125 → 4,145 USD or the previous peak at 4,180 USD.
Stop Loss: below 4,030 USD.
If the first OB zone does not hold, the 3,980 – 3,985 USD zone will be an ideal area for long-term "accumulation."
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid FOMO buying at high prices when the FVG is not yet filled.
Prioritise trading at clear reaction zones (OB, FVG edge).
Reduce volume when entering counter-trend orders to preserve capital.
💬 Conclusion
After a steep rise, gold is entering a value rebalancing phase .
The current market structure leans towards a short-term technical retracement before continuing the main upward trend.
If the 4,050 – 4,060 USD zone reacts well, gold may soon rebound and aim for the 4,150 – 4,180 USD zone.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Short-term sell when price reacts at FVG.
Wait to buy at OB Buy Zone when there is a confirmed bullish signal.
This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477This is my next #gold tp in next 2-3 week and hight will be 4477
XAUUSD — Decline reaction not yet confirming reversal XAUUSD — Decline reaction not yet confirming reversal | Prioritise buying on Fibonacci retracement 🟡
Summary: The rapid decline at the start of the session did not break the upward structure. Gold continues to move within the Fibonacci expansion wave; prioritise buy-the-dip at confluence zones. Sell orders are only for short-term scalping when there's a clear rejection signal.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1)
Structure & Price Behaviour
Price is increasing in steps, the recent correction hasn't violated key lows, leaning towards a trend pullback.
The chart shows multiple Fib expansion levels (0.618/0.786/1.618/2.618); the 4120–4135 zone is the short-term trading hub, above it are clusters 4160–4188–4179 and further 4200–4220.
Volume has slightly decreased compared to previous sessions → likely to see pullbacks at support before continuing.
Price Zones to Watch
Resistance: 4160–4162, 4179, 4200.
Support: 4116–4118, 4102, 4073, 4062–4065, 4024.
Significance: 4062–4065 coincides with Fib + old resistance (good confluence for buying); 4116–4118 is the nearest retest; 4160–4162 is a sell retest only for scalping.
If 4116–4118 holds and H1 closes above 4130, the probability of retesting 4155/4188 increases.
If 4062–4065 breaks and stays below 4057, the adjustment range may extend to 4024.
📰 Fundamental Factors (Highlights)
Central banks continue to buy gold, supporting fundamental demand.
On 14/10, gold led the commodity basket this year; expectations of Fed rate cuts in upcoming sessions are the main driver for holding gold.
Gold ETF: attracted an additional ~2 billion USD (~14 tonnes) last week; YTD cumulative ~68 billion USD, annual demand ~645 tonnes (second only to the 2020 record).
⇒ The cash flow picture supports a medium-term uptrend, although short-term fluctuations remain around Fib/resistance levels.
🎯 Trading Plan (European–American session) — if–then
Scenario 1 — BUY near retest (priority)
Entry: 4116–4118
SL: 4110
TP: 4134 → 4155 → 4188 → 4222
Condition: if price retests 4116–4118 and a confirmation candle/rebound momentum appears on H1.
Scenario 2 — BUY at Fib + old resistance (backup)
Entry: 4062–4065
SL: 4057
TP: 4082 → 4098 → 4115 → 4135
Condition: only activate when there's a pullback at 4062–4065; better if reclaiming 4073/4102 afterwards.
Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (scalping)
Entry: 4160–4162
SL: 4168
TP: 4134 → 4118 → 4100 → 4078
Note: only sell when there's a clear rejection signal (long wick/distribution volume); do not chase price.
Invalidation & Risk Management
Loss of 4057 → reduce buy priority, wait for new signals at 4024.
Risk ≤1–2%/order; adhere to SL first, position later. 🛡️
Summary
Bias: Upward; current decline reaction not confirming reversal.
Strategy: Prioritise buy at 4116–4118 and 4062–4065; sell only for scalping at 4160–4162 when signalled.
Levels to watch: 4102 – 4073 – 4024 – 4179 – 4200.
Note: This article is for reference purposes only, not investment advice.
GOLD CRASH ALERT: +60 PRICES DUMP! Waiting for the Ultimate Fibo React BUY Zone.
FranCi$$_FiboMatrix Emergency Action Plan
Gold just suffered a brutal 60-point plunge from 416x to 411x, triggered by mounting geopolitical tensions. The market is volatile, and deep correction is highly likely. We must trade smart, not emotionally.
🎯 EMERGENCY ACTION ZONES (H1/M30)
Avoid chasing! We only trade when price hits our calculated FIBO REACTION ZONES.
1. SCALP SELL RETRACEMENT:
Zone 1 (High): Watch the 407x area (4,077.605).
Zone 2 (Key Fibo Resistance): The 405x area (4,048.493).
Action: If price bounces back into either zone, look for strong bearish rejection to execute a SCALP SELL.
2. CRITICAL BUY REACT ZONE (The Lifeline):
Zone: We are waiting for the AD's updated FIBO REACTION zones that conform to the new deep trend.
Action: DO NOT BUY BLINDLY. Only enter a Long when the price reaches these deeper support levels and gives a strong, confirmed BUY REACT signal.
⚠️ Immediate Focus: OBSERVE & WAIT. The AD will provide continuous updates. Manage risk strictly—this volatility demands discipline!
XAUUSD – Liquidity Sweep “Flush”XAUUSD – Liquidity Sweep “Flush”; prioritise trading around key zones 🟡
Gold just dropped nearly 90 points during the Asian session – a time typically lacking volume, resulting in a “flush” that wiped out many leveraged positions. The larger trend remains bullish, but short-term risks of a deep pullback are present before the European–American markets engage.
The accompanying image shows:
Price peaked and then broke the upper edge of the H1 uptrend channel → quickly fell to the mid-channel zone.
Thick Volume Profile cluster around 4.07x, POC ~4,075; below lies VAL ~4,025.
Sell retest zone marked around 4.14x; grey boxes indicate buy zones at 4,075 and 4,056.
Key Levels
Resistance: 4,143–4,150, 4,122, 4,160.
Support: 4,075 (POC), 4,056 (buy scalping), 4,025 (VAL).
Scalping watch: 4,057 – 4,085 – 4,160 – 4,025.
Trading Scenarios
SELL retest (reaction, higher risk)
Entry: 4,143
SL: 4,150
TP: 4,122 → 4,105 → 4,078 → 4,050
Idea: activate only upon clear rejection at 4.14x (long wick/engulfing H1).
BUY at POC zone
Entry: 4,075
SL: 4,067
TP: 4,089 → 4,100 → 4,122 → 4,155
BUY scalping (shallow pullback)
Entry: 4,056
SL: 4,049–4,050
TP: 4,075 → 4,089
Invalidation: short-term buy bias weakens if H1 closes below ~4,025 (VAL). If this zone breaks, prioritise waiting for a failed retest to consider selling with the continued downtrend.
Practical Notes
The range is currently very wide; the European session will increase volume, making false breaks more likely.
After TP1, move SL to entry to secure the position.
Sell orders are merely reaction trades at 4.14x; prioritise buy-the-dip at 4,075/4,056 upon confirmation signals.
XAUUSD – Sharp Pullback After Hitting New ATHMarket Context:
Gold has seen a steep intraday drop after hitting a fresh all-time high at 4,179 USD/oz, extending beyond the morning target of 4,170–4,172.
The move likely reflects profit-taking amid broader market caution, as the US Dollar strengthened and GBP fell sharply, indirectly weighing on XAUUSD.
Silver also followed the correction, down over 2%, trading near 51 USD/oz after peaking at 53.60 earlier.
Despite this drop, the overall market sentiment remains defensive — both metals are still up about 2% for the week, suggesting this is a technical retracement, not a full trend reversal.
Technical Outlook (M30):
Price has broken below the short-term rising channel and is now retesting key liquidity areas.
Watch the 4,134 – 4,135 zone for a potential retest (50% pullback) before continuation toward lower buy zones.
End Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,165 – 4,170
Retest Zone (50% Down): 4,134 – 4,135
CP Buy Zone / Fibo 0.618: 4,052 – 4,054
OBS Buy Zone: 4,000 – 4,005
Trading Plan:
🔹 Sell Setup (Correction Play):
Entry: 4,134 – 4,136
Stop Loss: 4,142
Take Profit: 4130 - 4125 - 4120 - 4110 - 4100 - ???
🔹 Buy Setup (Reaction Zone):
Entry 1: 4,052 – 4,054 (Fibo 0.618 Confluence)
Stop Loss: 4,044
Take Profit: 4056 - 4060 - 4065 - 4070 - 4080 - 4090 - ???
Summary:
Gold’s sharp drop after a new ATH signals a short-term correction phase while the broader bullish trend stays intact.
A pullback toward 4,052 or even 4,000 could attract buy-side liquidity before any recovery.
Keep an eye on 4,135 for a potential retest before continuation.
📊 What’s your view — is this just a healthy retracement or the start of a deeper correction?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for precise intraday setups and structure-based analysis.
Gold 1H – Price Reaction Ahead of U.S. Retail Sales & Fed RemarkXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading around the ₹4,110 mark, consolidating after a strong impulsive rally earlier this week.
Traders are now shifting focus to U.S. Retail Sales data and a series of Federal Reserve remarks due later today — both key drivers that could influence near-term expectations for the next rate decision.
After last week’s soft inflation signals, gold initially extended higher, but rising Treasury yields and cautious sentiment ahead of today’s macro releases have slowed momentum.
Any hawkish Fed tone or stronger consumer spending data could weigh on XAUUSD, triggering a liquidity sweep from the premium zones before the next accumulation phase begins.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure shows a confirmed BOS on lower timeframes, signaling the end of the previous impulsive leg.
• Price currently sits within a Mitigation Zone (4117–4110), reacting to prior imbalance after a clean sweep of internal liquidity.
• The Premium Liquidity Zone (4217–4215) aligns with a Rejection Block and is likely to act as a short-term Sell Zone.
• Below, the 4056–4058 area marks a Buy-Side Support, overlapping with a previous ChoCH and internal discount OB.
• Expect a short-term sell reaction from premium zones before a possible bullish mitigation bounce off support.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4217–4215
SL: 4224
TP targets: 4200 → 4175 → 4160
🟢 Buy Setup: 4056–4058
SL: 4050
TP targets: 4070 → 4090 → 4100+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing either setup.
• Be cautious during Fed remarks — volatility spikes are common around liquidity levels.
• If price reacts impulsively from 4217 with displacement, partial shorts are favored.
• Conversely, if 4056 holds and forms clean bullish structure, it could serve as the base for the next expansion leg.
✅ Summary
Gold is likely to engineer a liquidity grab in the premium zone (4217–4215) before retracing into the mitigation area near 4056–4058, where smart money may accumulate long positions.
The day’s direction will hinge on how markets interpret upcoming U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed tone — expect volatility and false breaks before the true directional move forms.
XAUUSD | Bulls Maintain Weekly ControlGold continues to display firm momentum as investor confidence remains stable despite short-term fluctuations. The latest weekly candle structure shows price holding within a steady consolidation range, signaling accumulation rather than weakness. Market behavior suggests large participants are preparing for another expansion phase after absorbing liquidity in the lower zones.
Institutional interest remains evident, with consistent buying pressure observed on dips, indicating sustained optimism for further growth. The current behavior aligns with broader market sentiment favoring safe-haven assets amid global uncertainty. Overall, Gold retains its dominance as capital flows stay supportive of the uptrend, positioning the metal for renewed strength in the upcoming sessions.
Gold 1H – Potential Liquidity Sweep Before Fed SpeechesXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold remains steady near ₹4,065, as traders eye upcoming U.S. PPI data and Fed officials’ speeches later today for new guidance on the inflation outlook.
The recent rise in Treasury yields has slightly capped gold’s upside momentum, but underlying safe-haven demand persists amid ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
If the PPI print shows softer inflation, gold could attract renewed buying; however, a hotter reading may spark another liquidity sweep lower before any sustained rally.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• ChoCH confirmed at 4060+, showing potential exhaustion in the current short-term uptrend.
• Price tapped the premium zone (4080–4078), aligning with previous liquidity and imbalance — ideal for a short-term sell setup.
• A BOS formed at 4017, opening the way for retracement toward the discount zone (3999–3997).
• The 3997–3999 area is a strong demand zone, overlapping with a prior ChoCH and liquidity void — a potential reversal area for bulls.
• Expect a liquidity grab at 3990 before a bullish reaction if structure holds.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4080–4078
SL: 4087
TP targets: 4040 → 4015 → 4000
🟢 Buy Setup: 3999–3997
SL: 3990
TP targets: 4035 → 4060 → 4100+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before triggering entries.
• Avoid over-leverage during Fed speech hours — price may fake out around liquidity levels.
• If price sweeps 4080 liquidity and rejects impulsively, partial short entries are favored.
• Conversely, if 3997 holds firm with strong bullish structure, watch for re-entry confirmation to ride the next expansion.
✅ Summary
Gold is currently playing within a premium-to-discount framework, as smart money may engineer a sweep of 4080 liquidity before driving price down toward 3997–3999 to collect buy-side orders.
After that, a strong bullish reaction is expected from the demand zone if macro conditions (like soft PPI or dovish Fed tone) support it.
Stay patient — structure confirmation is key before entering either direction.
Gold breaking new highs has become the norm, 4100 is within reacGold continues its bullish trend, breaking new highs as expected. Breaking new highs has become the norm for gold recently. So far, gold has reached a high of 4080 and is fluctuating around it. It is likely to reach 4100 tonight, and the current level of 4100 is within reach. Breaking new highs from above has become commonplace. Don't expect bears to hold out. After all, bulls are the main force. Looking at the hourly chart, various indicators are driving the bulls, and international news is also positive for gold prices. Therefore, we must maintain a bullish outlook for gold. Mr. Tian will also prioritize long positions. Keep an eye on the support at 4000. Trading strategies should focus on buying on dips.
Based on the 4-hour market trend, short-term support is currently at 4095-4100, with a focus on key support at 4075-4085. The bulls are rallying strongly and there is no end in sight. Trading strategies should prioritize buying on dips. In the intermediate range, be cautious and follow orders carefully, patiently waiting for key entry points. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so stay tuned.
Gold Trading Strategy:
1. Buy gold at 4070-4080. Add to long positions if it dips back to 4060-65. Stop loss at 4060. Target at 4130-4150. Hold if it breaks through.
Gold–Bullish Reversal Setup from Extreme POI Toward 4060 TargetTimeframe: 30-minute chart (XAU/USD – Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar)
Market Structure:
Price made a structural low (SMT) around the $$$ liquidity zone.
A Market Structure Shift (MSS) occurred as price broke above short-term highs.
POI (Point of Interest) Zones:
High Probability POI: Previous accumulation zone that caused a bullish impulse.
Extreme POI: Current demand zone (around 3960–3980), where price is rebounding.
Current Price Action:
Price has reacted bullishly from the Extreme POI.
The breakout above MSS signals possible continuation to the upside.
Target Zone:
The shaded grey target area (~4060–4080) aligns with previous liquidity highs.
Bias:
Bullish short-term bias toward 4060–4080 zone, assuming the demand zone holds.
Break below Extreme POI would invalidate the setup and suggest deeper retracement.
XAUUSD — Accumulation phase awaiting breakoutXAUUSD — Accumulation phase awaiting breakout | European–American session scenario & detailed trading plan 🟡
Summary: Gold maintains an upward trend within the rising price channel. The European–American session prioritises buying in line with the trend at confirmed support zones; selling is only a secondary option when there is a strong rejection signal at the peak zone.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1/H30)
Market Structure
Price moves within an ascending channel, with adjustments mainly being pullbacks.
Two prominent liquidity zones on the chart: Buy zone around 4020–4030 and Sell zone above 4125–4135.
Key Price Zones & Confluence
Support:
4057–4059: former resistance turned support + channel boundary, suitable for retest.
4022–4024: coincides with buy zone and thick volume cluster (VPVR).
Resistance: 4072 / 4088 / 4105 / 4125, note reactions at 4095–4100 (near Fibonacci extension 1.618/2.618).
Fibonacci: extension measurement suggests a target of ~4130; this is also near the sell liquidity zone, likely to see short rejection before deciding the next direction.
Note pivot points: 4069 – 4042 – 4095 – 4120 are levels to monitor price action.
Structure Reading Suggestion: If a “buy test trend” occurs near the channel bottom, prioritise finding confirmation candles to continue buying on retracement.
📰 Fundamental Analysis (Highlights)
Imperial Bank of Commerce: concerns over long-term inflation support gold’s rise; target 4,500 in the next 2 years → bullish inclination.
State Street: delayed rate cuts expectations keep USD/real yields sensitive, maintaining volatility; gold remains a safe haven as risks increase.
Pansen Macro (ECB): difficult to lower rates soon due to weak growth → impacts EUR/DXY, indirectly affecting gold.
Commodity Context: Goldman Sachs is cautious with copper (10k–11k/ton 2026/27); risk capital may rotate, benefiting gold as defensive sentiment rises.
Connection: The contrast between tight policy and risk sentiment creates an accumulation range; as yields ease, gold may break through 4100–4130.
🎯 European–American Session Trading Strategy (if–then)
Scenario 1 — BUY at support (priority)
Entry: 4057–4059
SL: 4052
TP: 4072 → 4088 → 4105 → 4125
Condition: if price retests 4057–4059 and there is a confirmation candle / reclaim channel boundary, continue buying with the trend.
Scenario 2 — DEEP BUY at buy zone
Entry: 4022–4024
SL: 4016
TP: 4038 → 4052 → 4077 → 4090
Condition: only activate when there is a wick at the buy zone and price holds above 4042 thereafter.
Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (secondary)
Only consider short selling when clear rejection appears at 4120–4130 (sell liquidity zone) accompanied by weakening momentum; target to pull back to 4100/4088. Do not chase price.
Invalidation & Risk Management
If price breaks and accepts below 4042, stand aside and wait for a new structure; losing 4016 opens risk of returning to the 3990x cluster (old POC).
Each trade risk ≤ 1–2% of the account; adhere to SL principles first, position later. 🛡️
Sniping the Next BUY Zone for Maximum Gains.The sentiment is clear: Bulls are running the show, preparing for potentially an eighth consecutive weekly gain. Our strategy is simple—wait for the intelligent retest to join the momentum.
🎯 THE TARGET ZONES (M30/H1)
We're focusing on the two most crucial zones derived from Fibo React Logic:
1. PRIME BUY ENTRY (The Sweet Spot):
Zone: 4018 - 4014 (Our key Fibo Retest Zone).
Action: Wait for Gold to pull back to this area. Execute a BUY (Long) only upon confirmed M30/H1 candle rejection (e.g., Bullish Engulfing/Pin Bar).
2. TAKE PROFIT TARGET (The Next Peak):
Zone: 4094 - 4098 (Fibo Extension/SELL React Zone).
Action: This is the primary TP for our Long entries, representing the next major target for the buyers.
📈 TRADING SCENARIO
Strategy: Patience is key. Let the market retrace to 4018 - 4014. Once confirmation hits, ride the wave up to 4094 - 4098.
🚨 Risk Alert:
Be disciplined with your Stop Loss. Maintain strict risk management, especially if the price fails to hold the 4018 - 4014 zone.
Let's trade with precision today!
LiamTrading – GOLD: Continuing the trend towards 4,130Gold has broken 4,060 and set a new historical peak thanks to the US-China trade tensions and the expectation of an early Fed rate cut. The main trend remains upward; the next target level according to the channel structure is 4,130.
Technical H4→H1
The upward channel has been maintained for several weeks; breaking 4,060 confirms continuation.
Nearest liquidity zone: 4,030–4,032.
Medium-term volume POC: ~3,988.
Target/resistance clusters by rhythm: 4,050 → 4,072 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130.
Trading Plan
Buy 1 (retracing to the liquidity zone)
Entry: 4,030–4,032
SL: 4,025
TP: 4,050 → 4,072 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130
Buy 2 (medium-term POC)
Entry: 3,988
SL: 3,980
TP: 4,022 → 4,050 → 4,088 → 4,100 → 4,130
Sell reaction (higher risk)
Entry: 4,130
SL: 4,140
TP: flexible according to price reaction; prioritize closing at 4,070 if a clear rejection candle appears.
Invalidation: short-term upward structure weakens if H1 closes below 3,980.
Quick Notes
Prioritize “buy-the-dip” at 4,03x and 3,988; sell orders are only reaction trades at 4,130.
When TP1 is reached, move SL to entry to protect the position.
Volatility around US data release times may create false breaks; maintain disciplined risk management.
I will provide immediate updates as price paths change, real-time trading is the best way to be accurate and successful.
XAUUSD – Safe-Haven Demand Keeps Gold StrongMarket Overview:
Gold stays firm as fresh US–China trade tensions and ongoing geopolitical concerns push investors toward safe assets.
Expectations of another Fed rate cut are putting pressure on the USD, giving extra strength to gold.
Even though short-term indicators show some overbought signs, overall sentiment still favours the bulls.
Near-Term Outlook:
As long as price remains inside the rising channel, we expect a possible move toward the 4,090–4,100 liquidity zone.
A rejection from 4,092–4,095 could lead to a short-term pullback before continuation.
Important Levels:
Liquidity Buy Zone 1: 4,039 – 4,037
Liquidity Buy Zone 2: 4,017 – 4,015
Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,092 – 4,095
Support: 4,010 – 4,000
Resistance: 4,110 – 4,126
Trading Plan:
🔹 Buy Setup #1
Entry: 4,039 – 4,037
Stop Loss: 4,032
Targets: 4,044 → 4,048 → 4,052 → 4,056 → 4,060 → 4,070
🔹 Buy Setup #2
Entry: 4,017 – 4,015
Stop Loss: 4,010
Targets: 4,022 → 4,026 → 4,030 → 4,040 → 4,050 → 4,060
🔹 Sell Setup (Scalp Opportunity)
Entry: 4,092 – 4,095
Stop Loss: 4,100
Targets: 4,090 → 4,085 → 4,080 → 4,070 → 4,060
Summary:
Bias stays bullish while gold holds above 4,015 – 4,020.
Safe-haven demand and softer USD outlook continue to support the upside move.
Look out for a liquidity sweep around 4,092 before further continuation upward.
📊 What do you think — will gold break higher or reject from 4,090?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily market structure updates and precise trade plans.
🟣 Chart: XAUUSD H1 – Smart Money Flow structure highlighting liquidity areas and OB zones.
AUDUSD 15M IDEAFOREXCOM:AUDUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!