Gold (XAUUSD) FOMC Forecast – 17 Sept 2025Gold (XAUUSD) FOMC Forecast – 17 Sept 2025
Current Price: ~3666
Key Levels Identified:
Resistance R1: ~3700
Trendline Resistance R2: ~3780
Support S1: ~3623
Support S2: ~3540
📰 News Impact Projection:
If the Federal Reserve Cuts the Funds Rate
Expect bullish momentum.
Strategy: Buy after a retest above Resistance R1 (~3700).
Target: Trendline Resistance R2 → ~3780.
If the Federal Reserve Increases the Funds Rate
Expect bearish momentum.
Strategy: Sell after a retest below Support S1 (~3623).
Target: Support S2 → ~3540.
⚠️ Stop Loss (SL):
Around 3658, near current consolidation zone.
🎯 Summary
Bullish case (Rate Cut): Buy above 3700 → Target 3780.
Bearish case (Rate Hike): Sell below 3623 → Target 3540.
Market direction will strongly depend on FOMC Funds Rate decision.
Xauusd4h
XAUUSD/Gold 1H Buy Projection – 08.09.25🔎 Chart Analysis
Price Action
Current price: 3588.15
Support Zone (S1): Around 3575 – 3578
Resistance Zones:
R1 ≈ 3590
R2 ≈ 3600+
Projection shows a possible bounce from support → break R1 → move toward R2.
Indicators
Stochastic (5,3,3):
Current: %K 21.78, %D 31.90
Oversold region → “Tends to Buy” signal.
RSI (14):
Value: 58.55 (above 50)
Suggests short-term uptrend momentum.
Overall Projection
Market bias: Bullish (Buy Setup)
If price respects support at S1, probability is high for upside movement towards R1 → R2.
Risk: If support S1 breaks, downtrend continuation is possible.
✅ Summary (08.09.25):
Buy Bias on 1H timeframe.
Support: 3575 zone
Target 1: 3590 (R1)
Target 2: 3600 (R2)
Indicators confirm bullish momentum (RSI > 50, Stoch oversold).
Gold Price Analysis – Testing Resistance near Sell ZoneAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 3,551.40, showing minor intraday losses (-0.03%). The chart indicates a strong resistance zone between 3,556–3,563, identified as the “sell zone,” with an All-Time High (ATH) slightly above at 3,578.12. Price is consolidating beneath this resistance, struggling to break higher.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) below suggests a potential retracement toward 3,511–3,520 if sellers gain momentum. The Ichimoku cloud shows mixed signals, with price hovering around the equilibrium, indicating indecision in the short term.
A break above 3,563 could trigger bullish continuation toward ATH, while rejection at this level may lead to a pullback into the highlighted FVG region.
Gold (XAUUSD) Testing Support Before Potential Move HigherAnalysis:
The chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe shows a strong uptrend within a rising channel, supported by higher lows.
Support Level: Price is currently testing a key support around 3,404–3,405. This level also aligns with the trendline, making it an important zone to hold.
Resistance Zone: The next major resistance lies between 3,430–3,445, where selling pressure could emerge.
Trend Outlook: As long as the support level holds, the bullish momentum remains intact, with potential for price to continue higher toward the resistance zone.
Risk Factor: A breakdown below the support and trendline could weaken the bullish structure and may trigger a pullback toward 3,390.
📈 Bias: Bullish above support, targeting resistance at 3,430–3,445.
📉 Invalidation: Bearish pressure may come into play if price closes below 3,390.
Technical analysis projection for XAU/USD 25.08.25Chart Overview
Type: Daily candlestick chart of XAU/USD.
Current Price: Around 3,369 USD/oz.
Bias: Bullish (Buy projection).
📊 Key Technical Highlights
Trendline & Pattern
A major ascending triangle pattern is visible.
Price is respecting a major upward trendline (Day Uptrend Line).
Recently, a Double Bullish Engulfing candle formed near the trendline support – a strong bullish reversal signal.
Support & Resistance Levels
Support S1: Around 3,360 – 3,370 (close to current price).
Support S2: Around 3,330 – 3,340 (stronger downside support).
Resistance R1: Around 3,410 – 3,420.
Resistance R2: Around 3,450 – 3,460.
A Flat Resistance Zone exists between 3,400 – 3,420.
Bullish Signals
Bullish Momentum Formed: Price has bounced from support, forming upward momentum.
Major Trendline Obeyed: Price tested the uptrend line and respected it, confirming bullish structure.
Double Bullish Engulfing Pattern: Reinforces buying strength.
🟢 Projection Path (Bullish Scenario)
From the current price (3,369):
Expect a move toward Support S1 confirmation.
Break above Flat Resistance Zone (3,400 – 3,420).
Target Resistance R2 at 3,450 – 3,460.
🔴 Risk (Bearish Scenario)
If price fails to hold Support S1, it may retest Support S2 (~3,340).
A break below 3,330 would invalidate this bullish outlook and may push gold further down.
✅ Summary:
This chart shows a bullish projection for gold with price expected to rise from the current level 3,369 → 3,450, supported by an ascending triangle pattern, bullish engulfing signals, and strong trendline support.
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H BUY PROJECTION 25.05.25🟢 Overall Bias: BUY Projection
The chart suggests a bullish outlook, predicting that gold will rise significantly after a breakout and retest pattern.
🔍 Key Technical Elements:
Trendlines:
4H Downtrendline: This was a significant resistance trendline that has now been broken.
4H Uptrendline: Indicates a recent shift to bullish momentum.
Support & Resistance Zones:
Support S1: A solid demand zone around 3,275–3,300 USD.
Immediate Support: Zone around 3,325 USD.
Resistance R1, R2, and R3: Key resistance levels.
R1: ~3,375 USD
R2: ~3,425 USD
R3 & ATH (All-Time High): ~3,500+ USD
Breakout Confirmation:
The price broke above the 4H Downtrendline and Resistance, and then retested that area successfully, confirming it as new support (highlighted by the box labeled "BREAKER RESISTANCE RETESTED AND BROKE TRENDLINE").
Change of Character:
Marked in the zone labeled "CHANGE OF CHARACTER APPEARED HERE", indicating a shift from bearish to bullish market structure.
📈 Price Projection:
The price is projected to move upwards through multiple resistance zones, eventually targeting the 3,500 USD+ region.
Arrows indicate a bullish path with minor pullbacks, moving towards:
Resistance R1 → Resistance R2 → Resistance R3 (ATH).
🟥🟩 Risk Management:
Stop-Loss Zone (Red Area): Below 3,300 USD – in case the breakout fails and the price re-enters the downtrend.
Target Zone (Green Area): Extends to 3,500+ USD – aligning with historical highs.
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 08.04.25Instrument: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD)
Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H)
Current Price: ~$2,995.25
Projection Date: April 8, 2025
Analysis Type: Bearish/Sell Projection
📊 Technical Elements:
🔹 Trend Analysis:
A 1H downtrend is marked with a descending trendline.
Price previously broke a key support zone, retested it (now acting as resistance), and is expected to drop again.
🔹 Trade Setup:
Entry: Near current price ($2,995.25)
Stop Loss: Above Resistance R1 at $3,010.27
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: At Support S1 (~$2,980)
TP2: At Support S2 (~$2,957)
📈 Indicators:
📍 Stochastic Oscillator (5, 3, 3):
Reading: 79.61 (green) and 80.17 (red)
Interpretation: Just above 80 → Overbought Zone
Signal: Potential reversal downwards
📍 Relative Strength Index (RSI - 14):
Value: 44.84
Interpretation: Below neutral 50, not oversold
Signal: Bearish momentum building
🧠 Conclusion / Strategy:
The chart suggests a short/sell setup for XAUUSD.
The price has retested the broken support (now resistance) and formed a rejection candle at the trendline.
Indicators support a potential downward move (Stochastic overbought + RSI weak).
Targeting lower supports for potential exit points.
4-hour price projection for XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on MarchKey Observations:
Current Market Price:
The price is around $3,046.450 at the time of analysis.
The high and low of the period are $3,053.485 and $3,045.005, respectively.
Technical Analysis & Patterns:
Rising Wedge Pattern has been identified.
A Bullish Engulfing Candlestick has formed, indicating potential upward momentum.
Break and Retest Strategy:
The chart suggests a breakout zone retest while respecting the trendline before further upward movement.
Key Levels:
Resistance 1: Around $3,054.264.
Target Price 1: Between $3,054 - $3,070.
Resistance 2 & Trendline Resistance: Near $3,076 - $3,080.
Stop-Loss: Set at a weekly low around $3,025 - $3,016.
Price Projection:
Expected price movement suggests a pullback to support levels before continuing its bullish trajectory.
A potential move toward $3,076+ is anticipated.
This chart analysis suggests a buying opportunity, with key resistance levels to monitor for profit-taking.
XAUUSD 4H BUY PROJECTION – March 18, 2025This chart presents a bullish projection for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential buying opportunity based on trend analysis and key levels of support and resistance.
Key Components of the Analysis:
Uptrend Confirmation:
The price is moving within an ascending channel marked by two parallel blue lines.
The 4H parallel trendline suggests a continuation of bullish momentum.
Possible Buy Zone:
The chart highlights a potential buying area around the trendline, where price may pull back before resuming the uptrend.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Support S1: Around $3,015, where buyers might step in.
Resistance R1: Around $3,030, which could act as the first hurdle for price movement.
Resistance R2: Near $3,053, serving as a major target for bullish movement.
Target Prices:
Target Price 1: Around $3,030 (first take-profit level).
Target Price 2: Around $3,053 (second take-profit level).
Stop Loss:
Set at approximately $2,997, below key support, to limit downside risk.
Market Structure & Price Action:
The chart indicates higher highs and higher lows, confirming an uptrend.
A possible W pattern (double bottom) suggests a strong bullish breakout.
Trading Plan Summary:
Buy Entry: Around the support/trendline zone.
Take Profit Levels: First at $3,030, second at $3,053.
Stop Loss: Below $2,997 to manage risk.
Weekly Buy Projection for XAUUSD (Gold) as of March 9, 2025This chart presents a **weekly buy projection** for **XAUUSD (Gold) as of March 9, 2025**. Here are some key takeaways:
### **Key Zones & Levels:**
- **Entry Zone:** Around **2,892.189 - 2,892.277** (aligned with a major trendline and support).
- **Support Levels:**
- **S1:** Weekly low acting as support.
- **S2:** Stronger support at **2,859.812** (also the stop-loss level).
- **Resistance Levels:**
- **R1:** Weekly high acting as resistance.
- **R2:** **2,956.190** (all-time high resistance).
- **Target Prices:**
- **Target 1:** **2,929.162**
- **Target 2:** **2,956.190** (major resistance zone).
### **Trend Analysis:**
- The chart highlights a **V-pattern formation**, confirming a **buy signal**.
- The **4H uptrend line was breached**, but the **daily timeframe trendline remains intact**.
- **Sideways movement** expected before continuation upwards.
- **Braked resistance retest** suggests a bullish continuation if price holds above support.
### **Trade Plan:**
- **Buy Entry:** Around **2,892.189 - 2,892.277** (as long as it respects the trendline and support).
- **Stop Loss:** Below **2,859.812** to manage risk.
- **Take Profit:**
- **Target 1:** 2,929.162 (first resistance)
- **Target 2:** 2,956.190 (major resistance & ATH)
XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframeKey Observations:
Bullish Engulfing Pattern – A strong reversal signal suggesting upward momentum.
Ascending Trendline + Support Level – Price respects the trendline, reinforcing bullish bias.
Entry Confirmation – The breakout above consolidation inside the triangle.
Target Prices:
Target Price 1: First resistance level.
Target Price 2: Day’s high at $2,928.78.
Stop Loss: Set below the trendline and support at $2,901.60.
XAUUSD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTION 03.03.25Bearish Signals:
Bearish Engulfing at the Top: This pattern often signals a potential reversal.
Evening Star Formation: A strong bearish reversal pattern.
Bearish Spinning Top: Indicates indecision but leans toward bearish sentiment.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: Around 2,885 - 2,904.
Immediate Support: Around 2,857.
Target Price 1: Approximately 2,840.
Target Price 2: Around 2,784 - 2,783 (Major Support).
Trend Analysis:
Broken Uptrend Line: A possible retest of the broken trendline before further downside.
Rising Wedge Pattern: This is typically a bearish continuation pattern, confirming downside potential.
Trade Setup:
Possible Short Position: Entry near 2,885 - 2,900, stop loss at 2,922.
Target Levels: First at 2,840, second at 2,784.
XAUUSD MONDAY MARKET OPENING PROJECTION 26.01.24he chart illustrates an analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, with a detailed projection for Monday's market opening on January 26, 2025. Key elements of the chart include:
Price Levels:
Current Price: $2,770.885.
Target Price: $2,785.816.
Stop Loss: $2,755.726.
Support Level: Around $2,766.852, marked by a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement line.
Technical Indicators:
Stochastic Oscillator (5,3): Indicates oversold conditions, with values of 16.24 and 20.94.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Shows a neutral reading of 52.22, suggesting no strong directional bias.
Projection:
The blue arrow anticipates a bullish movement from the current price toward the target price after a potential bounce near the $2,766.852 support zone.
A bearish scenario is mitigated with a stop loss at $2,755.726.
Context:
The analysis implies a buying opportunity around the support zone, aiming for a potential upward move.
This chart represents a calculated setup for traders, combining Fibonacci levels and momentum indicators to define a strategy for Monday's market session.
XAUUSD 1H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 24.01.24Key Components of the Chart:
Channel Analysis:
The price is moving within a clearly defined parallel upward trend channel.
The channel is marked with two parallel trendlines: an upper resistance trendline and a lower support trendline, indicating the prevailing short-term bullish momentum.
Resistance Zone (R1):
A major resistance level is identified near 2788-2790, which aligns with the upper boundary of the trend channel.
This area is marked as a potential entry zone for a sell limit order, based on the expectation of a rejection from this resistance level.
Support Zone (S1):
A support level is marked near 2780, acting as the take profit (TP1) for the proposed trade. This is also in line with the midline of the channel, suggesting a likely pullback target.
Entry & Stop Loss (SL):
Entry zone: 2788–2790 (at resistance R1).
Stop loss (SL): 2798, placed just above the resistance zone to account for false breakouts.
Take profit (TP1): 2780, aiming for a move back toward the support level.
Trendlines and Candlestick Interaction:
The chart highlights how price action respects both the upper resistance trendline and lower support trendline through previous touchpoints, indicating strong adherence to the channel.
Bearish Projection:
The setup assumes a short-term bearish reversal from the resistance zone, as the price is anticipated to test the lower levels within the channel.
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 23.01.24Reason for Sell
Looking at the year ahead and 2025 and it will no doubt be interesting. Geopolitical risk remains a threat with the Middle East still on edge and the Russia-Ukraine situation no closer to a resolution. Just yesterday there were rumors that a proposal by the incoming Trump administration to delay Ukraine joining NATO by 10 years will not be accepted by the Kremlin.
Anyone with knowledge of the situation there will know that this will not change as the main reason for the conflict (at least from a Russian perspective) is Ukraine joining NATO. These developments are likely to keep some geopolitical risk premium in play and keep safe haven demand going.
Global Central Banks were one of the main drivers of the Gold price rise in 2024. This is expected to continue in 2025. The World Gold Council survey revealed in the second half of 2024 that Central Banks are likely to purchase more Gold in the next 12 months. This should further bolster demand for the precious metal.
When it comes to risks affecting Gold prices moving forward, it does get challenging. The reason for this is the incoming Trump administration is expected to do good things for the economy but some policies could lead to higher interest rates. This could weigh on Gold prices.
This is a double-edged sword however, in that the increased risk of uncertainty from Trump policy and concern around the impact of tariffs could actually bolster the demand for safe haven assets and thus Gold.
All in all analysts are largely pricing in further gains for the precious metal in 2025, personally I do see the potential for upside as well. However, I would not rule out a deeper correction before price does actually breach the current ATH resting around the 2790 handle.
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 31.12.24Reason for Bullish
XAUUSD is a symbol used in Forex trading to indicate the number of US dollars needed to buy one ounce of gold. Gold was used to determine the value of a country's currency. Nowadays, gold is still considered a very valuable asset and is used by traders as an investment opportunity.
XAUUSD WEEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 22.12.24Central bank purchases of gold have been one of the strongest factors driving its price. This trend is likely to continue as central banks seek alternatives to US-dollar-dominated assets. Goldman analysts also believe that any escalation in trade tensions or geopolitical risks could further enhance gold's appeal.
XAUUSD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 19.10.24Reason for Bullish
Gold hit a record high last month. Goldman Sachs analysts think it's not done rising.
1
The firm in a Monday note said it has a price target of $2,700 per ounce on the precious metal. That's actually a bit less bullish than before, since the bank is now targeting early next year instead of later in 2024 — but that's still an 8% premium over the $2,525 high on Aug. 27.
2
CNBC. “Gold / US Dollar Spot.”
Gold futures ticked higher Wednesday to around $2,524 an ounce.
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 03.10.24Reason for Bullish
Several media outlets reported that Israel delivered a harsh response to the recent Iranian attack by bombing central Beirut in the early hours of Thursday. Lebanese security officials said that three missiles also struck the southern suburb of Dahiyeh, the place of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah's killing. Lebanese health officials also reported that multiple people were injured following Israel’s strike in Beirut.
Iranian forces on Tuesday used hypersonic Fattah missiles for the first time and 90% of its missiles successfully hit their targets in Israel. Tehran said this attack was in response to Israeli killings of militant leaders and aggression in Lebanon against the Iran-backed armed movement Hezbollah and in Gaza.
Despite the increasing risks of the Israel-Iran conflict turning into a wider regional war in the Middle East, Gold price is struggling to capitalize on the risk-off flows, as diminishing odds of a 50 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the Fed in November keep the sentiment around the US Dollar underpinned at the expense of the non-interest-bearing Gold price.