XAUUSD Structure Shift After Resistance RejectionXAUUSD earlier showed a clear bullish structure, supported by a rising trendline and consistent higher highs. The price moved steadily until reaching the 4550 resistance level, a zone historically attracting strong selling. Multiple rejections here showed buying exhaustion and growing seller activity.
Market sentiment changed when price could not stay above the trendline. A clear break below dynamic support confirmed a short-term structure change, followed by a strong bearish move. The speed and strength suggest active distribution, not just a minor pullback, showing sellers temporarily in control.
After the sharp decline, price reached key support, where bearish momentum slowed and candles compressed. This shows temporary balance as the market absorbs previous volatility. Such pauses are common after strong moves and act as decision points for the next phase.
From a broader view, this area now indicates market intent. Staying above support may allow stabilisation and corrective recovery, while dropping below maintains downside pressure. Overall, XAUUSD moved from trend continuation to a rebalancing phase, making patience and confirmation vital before the next move.
Xauusdbuy
Gold (XAU/USD) — Bullish Continuation Setup on 1H📊 Technical Analysis
1. Overall Trend
The market remains in an uptrend, confirmed by higher highs and higher lows.
A trend line drawn from lower left is supporting price structure nicely.
Price is above both the 9 EMA and 15 EMA, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
2. Key Levels
Resistance Zones
Immediate resistance (red box): Currently challenging this level — price is struggling to break above.
Larger supply area above: A wider grey zone above the immediate resistance — likely the next target once cleared.
Major target: ~4580 — marked as the next significant upside.
Support Zones
Minor support (thin horizontal): Around ~4510, could act as intraday support.
Strong demand zone: Around ~4475–4490 — significant buyers previously entered here.
Trend line support beneath the candles — dynamic support reinforcing bullish bias.
3. Price Action & Structure
Recent Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside indicates buyers are in control.
After the BOS, price retraced slightly then resumed higher, a sign of healthy bullish behavior.
Current consolidation at resistance suggests a potential shakeout / liquidity hunt before continuation.
4. Possible Scenarios (as annotated)
Bullish Scenario (favored):
Price consolidates slightly, retests support ~4510–trendline zone,
Then breaks above the red resistance box,
Targets the larger grey supply zone and then ~4580+.
Alternative Short Pullback:
Minor pullback into support,
Then bounce for continuation.
The dotted projected line on your chart reflects this potential pullback → rally sequence.
📉 Volume Context
Buying volume tends to increase on bullish moves,
Showing participation from demand zones — supportive of upside continuation.
XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD) – Daily Chart Analysis: Strong UptrendOverall Trend
Gold (XAUUSD) remains in a strong long-term uptrend on the daily timeframe.
Price is making higher highs and higher lows, trading near the upper range around 4,485.
The broader bullish structure is intact despite minor pullbacks.
Price Action
Recent candles show steady bullish continuation, but momentum is slightly slowing.
Price is approaching a descending trendline resistance (blue dashed line), which could act as a short-term cap.
A breakout above this trendline would confirm further upside continuation.
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI is around 81, clearly in the overbought zone.
Previous “Bear” divergence labels suggest that momentum has weakened before at similar RSI levels.
This increases the probability of a short-term correction or consolidation, even if the main trend remains bullish.
Volume
Volume has picked up recently, supporting the latest price advance.
However, volume is not expanding aggressively, hinting at possible buyer exhaustion near current highs.
MACD
MACD remains above the signal line and in positive territory, confirming bullish momentum.
The histogram is modest, suggesting momentum is positive but not accelerating strongly.
Key Levels
Resistance: 4,500 – 4,550 zone and the descending trendline.
Support: 4,350 – 4,300 (previous consolidation zone).
A daily close below support could trigger a deeper pullback toward 4,100–4,200.
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains dominant, but conditions are overbought.
Short-term traders should be cautious of a pullback or sideways consolidation.
Medium- to long-term traders may look for buy-the-dip opportunities as long as price holds above key support.
Gold Looks Prime for All-Time High Breakout📈 Technical Analysis of the Chart
The chart shows XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) moving in what appears to be an upward-sloping channel — higher lows are marked by trend-line support.
Price recently revisited the lower boundary (support zone + trendline) and appears to have held firm — a bullish signal (i.e. a “retest & bounce”).
The annotation “POI” (Point of Interest) near that bounce suggests a probable pivot from support → initiating the next leg up.
On the upside, the chart projects a move toward a new all-time high (ATH) — the red horizontal line — implying a breakout of the current consolidation zone.
If gold breaks above current resistance and stays above the channel’s upper boundary, that increase could accelerate with bullish momentum. This aligns with typical breakout + retest strategies often used in gold trading.
Conversely, if price fails to hold this support zone and drops below the trendline, the bullish setup would be invalidated — a risk to watch, especially if sentiment shifts.
Technical conclusion: The chart shows a classic channel-retest setup — if upward momentum continues, a move toward the all-time high is well justified. The current bounce from support provides a favorable entry setup for bulls, with manageable risk if a stop-loss is set just below the channel support.
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Context
Gold’s recent strength is driven by expectations of lower interest rates: as a non-yielding asset, gold tends to benefit when rates fall because the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases.
A weaker U.S. dollar — often accompanying potential rate cuts — makes gold cheaper for foreign buyers, adding further demand support.
Broad economic context: unsteady global growth, geopolitical uncertainty, and rising demand for safe-haven assets help maintain strong gold demand.
Market forecasts remain bullish: some analysts see gold reaching as high as $4,950/oz by 2026, with a more likely base-case target around $4,500/oz — assuming rate cuts and continued macroeconomic uncertainty.
That said, the key risk remains in a potential rebound of the U.S. Dollar or abrupt shift in monetary policy (e.g. fewer rate cuts than expected) — either could undercut gold’s rally.
Fundamental conclusion: The macro backdrop — rate-cut expectations, weak USD, and global uncertainty — strongly supports a continuation of gold’s upward trajectory. If these tailwinds persist, gold’s push toward new highs is fundamentally justified.
✅ What This Setup Means & What to Watch
If bullish scenario plays out
Expect price to challenge the all-time high. A breakout may target or even exceed prior ATHs.
A bounce-and-run scenario may attract momentum traders, fueling further upside.
Key triggers to monitor
Keep an eye on announcements from Federal Reserve: rate-cut decisions or dovish signals accelerate gold demand.
Watch USD strength: a strong dollar could cap gains or reverse the uptrend.
Monitor global risk sentiment — geopolitical events or economic slowdown fears tend to push money into gold.
Risk control considerations
Use the channel support / trendline as a stop-loss anchor. A breakdown below could invalidate the bullish bias.
Consider that strong moves in the dollar or surprising inflation data might compress gold’s upside or spark a pullback.
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute: Liquidity Grab Setup with Order Block1. Current Price Structure
Price is trending upward on the 30-min timeframe.
Recent candles show higher highs and higher lows, indicating short-term bullish pressure.
2. Liquidity Zone & Order Block
The grey shaded area marked as “liquidity + orderblock” is a confluence zone where stops and institutional orders are likely clustered.
Expect price to revisit this area for a shake-out of weak hands before moving higher.
The up arrow suggests that this zone could act as a launchpad for the next bullish leg.
3. Potential Pullback and Continuation
The scrawled black path shows a probable scenario:
Minor pullback to liquidity/order block area
Support test on the trendline or zone
Followed by a rejection and bullish continuation
4. Key Indicators
EMA 9 (blue) is below current price — supports short-term bullish momentum.
Ichimoku cloud is mostly supportive, with price above key lines (suggests trend stamina).
5. Resistance Ahead
The horizontal red zone near ~4,353 to 4,382 is a major supply area.
A breakout above this would confirm bullish continuation.
However, failure there could lead to deeper pullbacks.
🔥 Summary Bias
Bullish (higher probability setup)
Price is likely to:
Pull back to the support or order block area
Grab liquidity
Rally toward or above the resistance zone
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
Level Significance
~4,353 – 4,382 Major resistance / breakout target
Order Block Zone Liquidity grab & support
Trendline (rising) Dynamic support
EMA 9 Short-term support
XAUUSD Bullish Reversal Setup Toward 4252 – Smart Money StructurChart Analysis
1. Market Structure
Price previously formed a strong swing high near 4252, marked with the red circle.
After that, the market corrected downward and consolidated in a sideways range (highlighted box).
Price has since broken out of that range and is now retesting the breakout zone.
2. Current Zone
Price is hovering around 4198–4200, which appears to be:
A support retest level
A higher-low formation, indicating bullish intent
3. Bullish Expectation
Your arrows and markup suggest:
A small pullback
Followed by a bullish move toward:
First target: ~4219
Main target: 4252, the previous liquidity grab area
This aligns with:
Break of structure (BOS)
Imbalance fill
Smart money concepts (liquidity resting at prior highs)
4. Stop Loss
SL marked near 4180
This sits below the retest zone and protected liquidity — a logical invalidation area.
5. Overall Bias
Bullish, with expectation of:
Retest → Higher-low → Move toward major liquidity at previous highs
XAUUSD Breakout Retest – Bearish Continuation SetupChart Analysis (XAUUSD)
Here’s a clear breakdown of what the chart shows and what the setup implies:
1. Market Structure
Price previously made a strong push upward, then entered a sideways consolidation zone (highlighted in yellow).
This zone represents accumulation/distribution, where buyers and sellers balanced out before a breakout.
2. Breakout & Retest
Price broke down below the consolidation zone, indicating bearish intent.
After the drop, price is currently doing a retest of the breakout level (where the red horizontal line sits at around 4191.953).
This retest commonly acts as a point where sellers look to re-enter.
3. Trade Setup
A sell position is plotted from the retest area.
The shaded region above represents stop-loss territory.
The two blue arrows mark:
Half Take-Profit (TP 50%) — a mid-level target for partial exit
Full Target — deeper downward continuation expectation
4. Bias
The structure, breakout, and retest all favor a bearish continuation as long as price stays below the retest zone.
The chart suggests a momentum continuation to the downside, targeting the lower green line.
5. Risk Considerations
If price closes back above the red line, the setup becomes invalid.
Consolidation after the breakdown shows indecision — strong bearish confirmation may come only after a clean push down.
XAUUSD – Bearish Reversal Setup With Liquidity Sweep and Sell-OfAnalysis:
The chart shows a bearish setup on XAUUSD where price has tapped into a supply zone (highlighted in red) and is expected to reverse downward.
Key elements visible:
Supply Zone (SL area): Price recently reached a premium area where sellers previously stepped in. This is marked as the stop-loss region.
Distribution Pattern: The zig-zag sketch indicates expected consolidation / distribution before the drop.
Entry Zone: The current level sits just below the supply, suggesting a short opportunity after confirmation.
TP 50% Level: A midpoint partial take-profit level is marked around 4193.439, indicating a measured extension.
Final Target: The dark teal zone at the bottom represents the larger bearish target, aligning with previous demand / liquidity areas.
Overall, the chart expresses a short bias, expecting price to form a top structure and then sell off toward the deeper target zone after taking liquidity above.
XAUUSD - Gold Spot US Dollar Technical Analysis🟢 BUY zones + buy confirmation levels
🔴 SELL zones + sell confirmation levels
🚫 NO-TRADE zone
🎯 TP (Take Profit) levels
🛑 SL (Stop Loss) levels
📌 Why buy / why sell (Price-Action logic)
✅ 1. NO-TRADE ZONE (as on chart)
The shaded middle area 4,150 – 4,210 is a NO-TRADE ZONE.
❌ Why no trade here?
Price is compressing sideways.
No fresh demand or supply.
Buyers/sellers both weak → liquidity building.
Best area to wait for breakout above or below.
🟢 2. BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario)
✔ Buy Trigger
Buy ONLY above: 4,265 → clean breakout from supply
When price breaks and closes above 4,265, it confirms:
Supply removed
Trend continuation
Buyers taking control
🛑 Buy Stop-Loss
Place SL below the breakout candle or safe level:
SL = 4,198 – 4,210 zone (mid-zone)
Because if price falls back inside zone → fake breakout.
🎯 Buy Take Profit Levels
TP1 → 4,320 – 4,350
TP2 → 4,449 (major supply zone)
TP3 → 4,550+ if strong momentum continues
📌 Why Buy?
Break above previous high
Clean imbalance above (room to move)
Price action pattern → Break of Structure (BOS)
Market in bullish expansion when above 4,265
🔴 3. SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario)
Sell only when price breaks below NO-TRADE ZONE.
✔ Sell Trigger
Sell below: 4,096 (break of demand)
This confirms:
Demand removed
Trend shift to bearish
Sellers active after taking liquidity from the range
🛑 Sell Stop-Loss
SL above failed demand zone:
SL = 4,150 – 4,170
🎯 Sell Take Profit Levels
Use the marked blue lines:
TP1 → 3,991
TP2 → 3,952
TP3 → 3,901
TP4 → 3,762 (extended target)
📌 Why Sell?
Break of key structure level (4,096)
Below range → trend continuation short
Liquidity targets below (equal lows + imbalances)
Price action → Lower Low + Lower High continuation
🔥 PRICE ACTION LOGIC (Simple Explanation)
✔ Buy Logic
Market is accumulating in the NO-TRADE zone
Break above 4,265 = buyers win
Price targets previous supply zones
✔ Sell Logic
If price breaks below 4,096, demand collapses
Market enters markdown phase
Lower supports become liquidity targets
XAUUSD Bullish Reversal Setup from Extreme POI – SSS Liquidity SChart Analysis
1. Market Context
The chart shows XAUUSD after a decline, now tapping into an EXTREME POI (Point of Interest).
Price reached a previous demand zone where strong reactions occurred before.
2. Liquidity Structure
Multiple areas are labeled “SSS” (Sell-Side Liquidity / Sell-Side Sweep).
Price appears to have:
Swept liquidity beneath local lows (SSS).
Tapped the extreme POI.
Shown an immediate rejection wick, indicating buyers stepping in.
This suggests the market may be exhausting sellers and preparing for a bullish leg.
3. Execution Zone
The grey region represents the entry zone (likely a demand imbalance / mitigation area).
The large blue box above marks the risk-to-reward projection for a long position.
4. Targets
You’ve placed two clear targets:
Target 1
A mid-range liquidity level at approximately 4217.279.
Represents a logical first take-profit based on prior structural inefficiencies.
Target 2
The upper area (labeled “TARGET”), aligning with:
Prior swing highs
A supply zone
A premium pricing zone (after retracement)
This would be the full TP for the bullish move.
5. Bias Summary
Bias: Bullish
Reason: Liquidity sweep + POI tap + structure showing potential for upside displacement.
The setup aligns with Smart Money Concepts:
Sweep → Mitigation → Displacement → Targeting Imbalances & Liquidity Pools
Key-Resistance Liquidity Grab → FVG ShortIdea:
Price has reached a key resistance zone — a common place where smart money or institutions may hunt liquidity (stop-losses above resistance before reversing).
There is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) / imbalance zone drawn below (green “POI / FVG” zone). In price-action trading, these FVGs often act like magnets: after a rapid move, price tends to retrace and “fill” the gap.
The plan: wait for a rejection at resistance (signaling liquidity grab is done), then short — target the FVG/POI zone where the market may come back to fill imbalance.
🎯 Trade Plan (Entry / Exit / Risk-Reward)
Parameter Plan
Entry After a bearish rejection (e.g. long upper-wick candle) near the resistance zone.
Stop-Loss Slightly above the resistance / recent swing high (to avoid being stopped by a false breakout).
Take-Profit (TP) Around / within the FVG / POI zone (green zone on chart) — where imbalance may be filled.
Risk–Reward Aim for at least 1 : 2 — ideally more, depending on how far the FVG is below resistance.
⚠️ What Makes This Setup Valid (and What to Watch)
FVGs mark market inefficiencies / liquidity gaps created by rapid moves, which often get revisited.
A reversal or rejection at a well-defined resistance zone gives signal that the liquidity hunt may be done and a move downward may begin.
But — if price breaks cleanly and strongly above the resistance (with momentum), the short trade becomes invalid.
Also, FVGs don’t always get filled. Entry should ideally wait for a clear rejection or confirmation, not just assume a fill.
Gold 4H Technical Outlook: Demand Zone Re-Test and Bullish ContiChart Analysis (Gold – 4H)
1. Market Structure
Price is in a clear ascending channel, respecting both the support line and rejection line.
Recent pullback has returned to a demand zone (4,114–4,148), which has acted as a strong buy area before.
2. Key Zones
Demand Zone: 4,114 – 4,148
Strong reaction expected; buyers previously stepped in here.
Target Point: 4,319
Based on channel top + measured move projection (153 pts).
3. Moving Averages (EMA 200 & EMA 70)
Price is trading above both EMAs, indicating bullish market sentiment.
EMA70 is acting as dynamic support inside the channel.
EMA200 supports the overall long-term uptrend.
4. Pattern Recognition
A bullish flag (red highlighted area) recently broke upward, confirming continuation.
Current movement shows another retest of the demand zone, which aligns with the channel support.
5. Trendline Analysis
Support trendline has been touched multiple times — strong confirmation.
Rejection line shows sellers but remains intact inside the channel.
6. Price Action Signals
Recent wicks near the demand zone show buyer interest.
Higher lows continue to form.
🎯 Expected Move
If price maintains above 4,114–4,148, the next target remains:
➡️ 4,319 (upper channel resistance)
Bullish continuation is favored unless price closes below 4,114, which would break structure. CBOT_MINI:YM1! CME_MINI:MES1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:NQ1! NSE:BANKNIFTY1! NYMEX:CL1! CME_MINI:ES1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:SI1!
XAUUSD Pullback Zone Buy Setup – Demand Re-Entry Toward Higher TMarket Structure & Price Action Analysis
Trend Context:
Price recently pushed into a higher-timeframe supply zone (the blue area) and rejected strongly, creating a short-term downtrend.
Pullback Behavior:
Price is currently retracing downward, breaking minor support levels and forming lower lows, but the bearish momentum appears to be slowing.
Demand Zone (Entry Area):
Your marked Entry zone (around 4177–4180) aligns with:
Previous consolidation
A prior breakout origin
A sweep of liquidity (the pin-bar wick marked with the red circle)
This makes it a high-probability demand area for a bullish reaction.
📌 Trade Idea Breakdown
Entry
Around 4177–4180 where price may retest the demand zone.
Confirmation
Look for:
Bullish engulfing
Strong rejection wick
Break of short-term structure (e.g., break above 4198)
Target
Re-test of the upper supply zone (around 4208–4215).
This aligns well with your green projection arrow.
🎯 Bias
Bullish from demand → Targeting supply, as long as price holds above 4177 and shows bullish confirmation.
If price breaks below this zone with momentum, bullish setup becomes invalid.
XAUUSD – Potential Reversal Zone Forming After BOS & CHoCH StrucChart Analysis
Based on the structure shown in your TradingView screenshot:
1. Market Structure
The chart shows a clear bullish trend leading into the current price.
Multiple Break of Structure (BOS) marks confirm buyers have been in control.
The earlier CHoCH indicates a temporary shift, but price reclaimed bullish momentum afterward.
2. Current Zone
Price has pushed into a potential reversal or supply area, shown by the shaded region around the “ENTRY” label.
This suggests you are planning a sell (short) position from that zone.
3. Premium/Discount Logic
Price is currently in the premium zone of the swing leg.
The “50% TP” line marks the midpoint of the recent bullish impulse—typical target when expecting a corrective move.
4. Short Setup Elements
Entry: At the top of the shaded zone (likely an imbalance or order block).
Stop-Loss: Presumably above the swing high inside the grey shaded area.
Take-Profit: At the 50% retracement of the previous impulse, which aligns with structure.
5. Momentum & Candlestick Behavior
The latest candles show slowing momentum into your entry zone—wicks and smaller bodies indicate weakening buyer pressure.
This supports the idea of a potential short-term reversal.
6. What Would Invalidate the Setup?
A decisive close above the upper boundary of the shaded zone → would signal continuation upward and invalidate the short.
7. What Strengthens the Setup?
Rejection wicks
Bearish engulfing from the entry zone
Lower time-frame BOS to the downside as confirmation
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation Setup Toward 4,223 After Liquidity 1. Market Structure
The chart highlights a COCH (Change of Character) followed by a BOS (Break of Structure), signaling a shift from bearish to bullish structure.
Several smaller coch points confirm internal bullish structure building.
2. Liquidity & POI Zones
There is a clear liquidity sweep near the PDL (Previous Day Low), where price dipped into a demand zone to collect orders.
An Extreme POI (Point of Interest) sits below current price — this acted as the strong reaction zone for the bullish move.
PDH (Previous Day High) is marked as an early short-term target/liquidity area.
3. Expected Move
The projection (zig-zag line) indicates bullish continuation after a pullback into the POI zone.
The target is marked around 4,223.629, matching the red horizontal resistance line.
The EMA (9) serves as dynamic support, showing price respecting the bullish trend.
4. Probability Outlook
As long as price stays above the trendline and POI, the bias remains bullish.
A break below the POI would invalidate the setup and open the lower liquidity region again.
Gold Bulls vs Bears: Who Will Win the $4,100 Battle?🧭 Market Overview
Current Price Zone: Gold is trading near $4,141.27, slightly below recent highs around $4,200.
52-Week Range: From a low of $2,583.49 to a high of $4,381.60, indicating strong bullish momentum over the past year.
Recent Action: Price is consolidating between $4,040 and $4,080, suggesting a pause after a multi-month rally.
📊 Technical Indicators
Trend: Long-term bullish, but short-term momentum is neutral to slightly bearish.
Support Zones:
$3,987: 55-day SMA, acting as a dynamic support.
$3,886: Weekly low, a key horizontal support level.
Resistance Zones:
$4,245: November high, first major resistance.
$4,380: All-time high, ultimate bullish target.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI and MACD show weakening bullish momentum.
Stochastics and Williams %R suggest potential overbought conditions.
📐 Chart Analysis
Demand Zone: The grey rectangle around $4,173.23 likely marks a support area where buyers previously stepped in.
Stop-Loss Zone: The red rectangle below current price could represent a risk threshold for long positions.
Take-Profit Zone: The upper grey rectangle suggests a bullish target zone, possibly aligned with the $4,245–$4,380 resistance band.
Time Markers: Vertical red dashed lines may indicate key news events or session starts that influenced volatility.
🧠 Strategic Insights
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $4,245 could trigger a run toward $4,380. Traders may look for confirmation via volume spikes or bullish candlestick patterns.
Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $4,040 could expose the $3,987 and $3,886 supports. Watch for bearish divergence in momentum indicators.
Neutral Bias: Until price breaks out of the current range, scalping or range-bound strategies may be more effective than trend-following.
🛠 Trade Setup Suggestions
Entry: Consider entries near $4,100 if bullish signals emerge (e.g., bullish engulfing, MACD crossover).
Stop-Loss: Below $4,040 or $3,987 depending on risk tolerance.
Take-Profit: Target $4,245 initially, with extended targets at $4,380 if momentum continues.
🔍 Final Thoughts
Gold’s technical landscape is rich with opportunity but demands precision. The current consolidation phase is a battleground between bulls and bears. Traders should stay nimble, monitor macroeconomic cues (like Fed rate decisions), and adjust risk management accordingly.
BTC/USD – Support Reclaim Signals Potential Bullish ContinuationChart Analysis
1. Key Support Zone (≈ 90,350 – 90,920)
Your chart highlights a strong support zone where price previously reacted.
Price has reclaimed this area, showing that buyers stepped in aggressively.
This support aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels, strengthening its validity.
2. Current Price Structure
BTC is consolidating just above support, forming a minor bullish structure.
A higher-low formation is visible, suggesting buyers remain in control.
The drawn white arrow also suggests an expected retest before continuation.
3. Local Resistance Cluster (≈ 92,500 – 94,000)
The upper shaded zone marks a major resistance, possibly a supply region.
This aligns with Fib extension levels (2.618–3.618).
This is the area where sellers are likely to show up again.
4. Bullish Scenario (Most Probable Based on Chart)
If BTC holds above 90,920, a rally toward the resistance zone is likely.
The large grey projection box indicates a potential move to ~93,500–94,000.
Momentum from the recent strong bullish candle also supports the upside.
5. Bearish Risk Scenario
Losing 90,350 on strong volume could invalidate the bullish setup.
If that happens, price may revisit 87,500–88,000 (Fib confluence).
XAUUSD – Bearish Reversal Setup Toward Liquidity TargetsChart Analysis
Your chart shows a potential bearish reversal on XAUUSD with a clear smart-money structure. Here’s the breakdown:
1. Market Structure
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChoCH) indicate a shift from bullish momentum to bearish intent.
Price made a final sweep / liquidity grab at the recent high before sharply dropping into your marked entry zone.
2. Entry Zone
The “ENTRY” mark aligns with:
A bearish mitigation zone from the last up-move
A distribution pattern forming (rounded top + BOS)
This suggests institutional selling activity.
3. Target One – 4,080.064
This level is a logical first target because:
It aligns with previous demand acting as newly created liquidity.
You expect a corrective pullback before continuation—your white zig-zag path reflects this.
4. Target Two – 4,040.652
A deeper liquidity pool and the next major imbalance area.
If price breaks Target One, momentum likely accelerates.
This is the main downside liquidity sweep zone.
5. Context
The shaded half-circle structures highlight swing points where price formed lower highs, reinforcing the bearish narrative.
The clean equal-lows and imbalances under price give strong bearish draw-on-liquidity.
Current Market Structure & Key Observations Previous Trend: The Current Market Structure & Key Observations
Previous Trend: The chart shows a strong uptrend from late October, peaking around November 14th at approximately $4,400. This peak marked a significant reversal.
Correction/Reversal: Since the peak, the price has undergone a sharp downward correction or potential reversal.
Trendline Interaction: The price has recently fallen to and is currently interacting with a major long-term ascending trendline (the solid black line).
Current Price: The price is hovering right at the trendline, indicated by the dashed pink line at approximately $4,034.
Analysis of the Projected Path (Red Lines)
The red lines drawn on the chart suggest a specific bearish scenario:
Trendline Break and Retest: The price is shown to break below the ascending trendline. This is a critical technical signal, often indicating the end of the uptrend and the start of a downtrend.
Pullback/Retest: The price then executes a pullback back up to the broken trendline (now acting as a resistance level). The projected high for this pullback is around $4,060.
Bearish Continuation: After failing to break back above the trendline, the price is projected to continue its decline, heading towards the area of $3,900 and then possibly $3,850 in the following days.
Potential Scenarios (Alternative View)
While the red lines illustrate a clear bearish path, it's important to consider an alternative:
Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (As Projected)
Action: If the price confirms a breakout below the trendline (closes below it on multiple candles), the trendline turns into resistance.
Target: The focus shifts to lower support levels, with initial targets around $3,900 - $3,850. This confirms the end of the recent uptrend.
Scenario 2: Trendline Hold/Bounce
Action: If the trendline acts as strong support and the price fails to close significantly below it, it could lead to a bounce.
Target: A bounce would target the previous swing high before the major drop, potentially aiming back toward $4,150. This would maintain the longer-term bullish structure.
XAUUSD Bearish Breakout Setup from Ascending Triangle Retest1. Market Structure
The chart shows a strong downtrend, followed by a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside.
After BOS, price formed a corrective ascending structure (an ascending triangle / rising wedge).
2. Current Pattern
Price is moving upward in a corrective manner, showing lower bullish strength.
The ascending trendline is acting as temporary support.
The horizontal resistance at the top of the triangle reflects slowing bullish momentum.
3. Short Entry Logic
The marked point (yellow circle) shows price tapping the ascending trendline.
The red arrow indicates entry short, expecting a breakdown from this rising structure.
This matches the logic:
✔ Downtrend
✔ BOS
✔ Weak bullish correction
✔ Short at trendline retest before a bearish continuation
4. Target Expectation
The “TARGET” label points upward, but based on context this seems contradictory.
Given BOS and corrective rise, the logical target is downward, toward previous liquidity levels or lows.
The triangle breakout normally aligns with continuation of the previous trend, which is bearish.
5. Trade Bias
Bias: Bearish
Reason: Structural break + corrective pullback + rising wedge = continuation pattern.
6. Risk Considerations
Stop-loss usually goes above the most recent swing high inside the correction.
Watch for any strong bullish candle breaking above the ascending structure — that invalidates the setup.
XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zone & Bullish Channel Projection (45-1. Price Action Context
Gold (XAUUSD) has been in a short-term downtrend, shown by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Price is currently trading around 4113 after a sharp drop.
2. Key Zone: RESISTANCE Turned SUPPORT
The highlighted red zone around 4081 – 4103 is marked as a major support / demand zone.
This appears to be a level where buyers are expected to step in.
The squiggly black arrows indicate a possible liquidity grab or fake breakout before the true move begins.
3. Projected Bullish Recovery
The gray vertical projection box and upward channel lines suggest the author expects:
A bounce from the 4081–4103 support
A move up through the channel
A potential target around 4220, which aligns with the upper boundary of the projected ascending channel.
4. Trend Channel
A rising channel has been plotted, projecting the potential direction over the next sessions.
Price bouncing inside the lower area of the channel suggests:
The down move might be ending
Momentum could shift toward a bullish correction or even a trend reversal
5. Key Levels Highlighted
Support zone:
4,081.888
4,103.142
Bullish target:
4,220.041
These levels are visually marked and consistent with a reversal strategy.
🧭 Overall Interpretation
This chart proposes a bullish reversal setup, with traders watching for:
A potential liquidity sweep at the support zone
A bounce and consolidation
A climb toward the upper channel area, with 4220 as a projected target
This is a counter-trend reversal idea, so confirmation would be crucial (rejection wicks, bullish candle structures, RSI turning up, etc.).
Gold Bullish Continuation Setup from Ascending Channel Support✅ Analysis – XAUUSD (Gold)
1. Market Structure
Price is moving inside a clean ascending channel, showing a sustained uptrend.
The lower boundary (rejection line) is acting as strong support, where buyers have entered repeatedly.
The current price action is showing a pullback toward this support area, which is typical before a continuation move higher.
2. Current Price Action
Price has retraced back into the buy zone near the channel support.
Candlesticks show slowing bearish momentum, suggesting buyers may soon take control.
Your chart projection indicates a possible bullish bounce.
3. Trade Setup
✅ Buy Zone: Near the rejection line / lower channel
✅ SL (Stop-Loss): Below the support line — smart placement to protect against channel breakdown
✅ Target: Upper resistance of the channel (around 4230 – 4260 zone)
This gives a good risk-to-reward ratio, based on trend continuation.
4. Bullish Expectation
As long as price stays above the rejection line, the uptrend remains valid.
A bounce from this zone is likely to push price toward the target box.






















