technical analysis for your chart on Gold (XAU/USDCurrent Price: $4,002
Trend Structure: The pair is showing a potential reversal setup after a completed downward channel.
Recent Pattern: Price has broken slightly above the descending channel and is now retesting the breakout zone around the support level ($3,950–$3,980).
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: $3,940 – $3,980
→ Strong accumulation area shown by multiple rejections and previous demand.
Immediate Resistance: $4,080 – $4,120
→ Minor resistance expected as the first hurdle after breakout.
Major Resistance (Target): $4,385
→ Marked as the final bullish target on the chart.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price sustains above $4,000, we can expect:
A short-term retest of $4,080–$4,120.
Once momentum confirms above $4,120, bullish continuation toward $4,200 → $4,385 (main target).
✅ Buy Confirmation:
Break and close above $4,050 with volume.
Retest of $4,000 zone followed by bullish rejection candle.
🎯 Bullish Targets:
TP1: $4,080
TP2: $4,200
TP3: $4,385
📉 Bearish Scenario
If price rejects $4,000 and closes below the support zone ($3,950):
Downside may resume toward $3,880 – $3,820 range.
That would invalidate the bullish breakout and confirm channel continuation.
🚫 Sell Trigger:
3H close below $3,940.
🎯 Bearish Targets:
TP1: $3,880
TP2: $3,820
📊 Conclusion
Structure is shifting from bearish to bullish after a channel breakout.
The $3,950–$4,000 area is key — a stronghold for bulls.
Expect a bullish rally if support holds, targeting $4,385 in the medium term. NSE:NIFTY1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! MCX:GOLD1! MCX:CRUDEOIL1! MCX:NATURALGAS1! MCX:SILVER1! NSE:BANKNIFTY1! CME_MINI:NQ1! MCX:GOLDM1! COMEX:GC1! MCX:SILVERM1! MCX:GOLDPETAL1!
Xauusdbuy
XAU/USD — Rejection Expected from Resistance Zone for Bearish CoCurrent Price: $4,005
Resistance Zone: $4,020 – $4,040
Gold is approaching a strong resistance area that previously triggered a pullback.
Trend Structure:
The market is moving inside a short-term ascending channel, but momentum shows signs of exhaustion near the upper boundary.
Key Observation:
A false breakout or rejection at the resistance could initiate a downward correction.
Bearish Signal Setup:
Entry Zone (Sell): $4,015 – $4,035 (look for rejection candles or bearish engulfing near resistance)
Target 1: $3,960
Target 2 (Main Target): $3,913
Stop Loss: $4,045 above resistance zone EUREX:FDAX1! ICEEUR:RC1! ICEEUR:BRN1! ICEEUR:WBS1! EUREX:FESX1! EUREX:FGBL1! EUREX:FDXM1!
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5
Confirmation:
Wait for bearish confirmation candle on 15M or 30M timeframe.
Break below $3,980 will strengthen bearish momentum toward target.
Signal Summary (📉 Sell Setup):
Direction Entry TP1 TP2 SL ICEEUR:Z1! ICEEUR:W1! EUREX:FGBM1! EUREX:FGBS1! EUREX:FGBS1! ICEEUR:GWM1! EUREX:FXXP1! EUREX:DOWF1! ICEEUR:XZ1!
🔻 SELL 4,015 – 4,035 3,960 3,913 4,045
technical analysis for your XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) chart:XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Min Chart Analysis – 29 Oct 2025
Market Structure
The previous descending channel has been broken to the upside, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
Price retraced back to a support level zone (≈ $3,920 – $3,940), where buyers are likely to defend.
Key Levels
Support Zone: 3,920 – 3,940
→ Price already tested this area with strong rejection wicks, showing buyer interest.
Resistance Zone: 3,980 – 4,020
→ Short-term resistance; a breakout above 4,020 confirms bullish momentum.
Target Level: 4,142
→ As marked on your chart, this is the projected bullish target after confirmation of upward continuation.
Price Action
After a downward correction, gold found support and formed a double-bottom-type pattern near the 3,940 level.
Price is currently consolidating above support, signaling potential accumulation before an upward push.
Momentum Outlook
If price holds above 3,940, expect a move towards 4,000 → 4,020, followed by a breakout to 4,142 (target).
However, if 3,920 support breaks, the price may retest 3,880–3,860, resuming short-term bearish momentum.
📈 Trading Bias
Bullish bias above 3,940 (target 4,142).
Bearish only below 3,920 (target 3,860). EURONEXT:NH7X2025 EURONEXT:PE6X2025 EURONEXT:PE7X2025 EURONEXT:A57X2025 EURONEXT:AJ7X2025 EURONEXT:AJ7X2025 EURONEXT:B16X2025 EURONEXT:B17X2025 EURONEXT:BC6X2025 EURONEXT:BC7X2025 EURONEXT:BC8Z2025 EURONEXT:FE6X2025 EURONEXT:MH7X2025
Gold Breaks Key Support Zone — Bearish Momentum Builds Below $4,Analysis:
The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) 45-minute chart shows a clear breakdown below the established support zone, indicating a shift in market sentiment from consolidation to bearish momentum.
The support zone around $4,050 – $4,000 had previously held multiple times, acting as a strong demand area.
The recent breakout below this zone confirms a potential trend continuation to the downside.
Price action suggests a bearish pattern with lower highs and lower lows forming before the breakout.
A retest of the broken support (now resistance) may occur before the next leg lower.
The next major target lies near $3,900 – $3,850, aligning with the projected measured move.
Technical Outlook:
If gold fails to reclaim the $4,050 level, further downside pressure remains likely. However, a close back above this level could invalidate the bearish breakout and signal a possible false break.
Sell Projection for XAUUSD (Gold/USD) dated 28.10.25Market Structure
Price Action: The chart shows a sideways channel breakout followed by a strong bearish engulfing candle.
This indicates a shift from consolidation to bearish momentum.
📈 Entry Setup
Entry Zone: Around the retest area near 3,984 (highlighted in blue).
Price is expected to pull back to this zone before continuing downward.
The “ENTRY FOR SELLERS & RETEST ZONE” is marked clearly in the chart.
🛑 Stop Loss
Stop Loss Level: ~ 4,008.551
Positioned above day resistance, giving enough buffer to avoid fake breakouts.
🟢 Target
Target Price: ~ 3,950.397
This level aligns with monthly support, giving a clean RR (Risk-to-Reward) structure.
⚡ Additional Notes
Day Resistance: 3,984.320
Monthly Support: 3,950.397
Breaked the sideways channel: This is the key trigger zone that shows bearish pressure building.
If price rejects the retest zone strongly, it can accelerate toward the target quickly.
📊 Summary of the Trade Idea
Setup Element Details
Pair XAUUSD / Gold
Direction Sell
Entry Zone 3984
Stop Loss 4008.551
Target 3950.397
Structure Sideways Breakout → Retest → Sell
Confirmation Candle Bearish Engulfing
✅ Trading Tip: Wait for clear rejection or bearish confirmation at the entry zone (e.g., wick rejection or engulfing candle) before executing the sell.
Gold Rebounds as CPI Cools and USD WeakensMarket Overview:
Gold has regained bullish traction after the latest US CPI report showed softer inflation data, leading to a weaker USD and renewed buying across metals.
CPI figures came in below market expectations (Core CPI 0.2% vs 0.3%, CPI m/m 0.3% vs 0.4%, CPI y/y 3.0% vs 3.1%), signalling lower inflation pressure and reinforcing bets that the Fed will stay dovish heading into November.
As a result, gold bounced strongly from the 4,050–4,058 support zone, reclaiming key structure levels and stabilising above 4,100 USD/oz.
Market sentiment remains risk-sensitive, but the short-term tone favours further upside correction, as long as gold holds above the trendline and liquidity support zones highlighted on the chart.
Technical Outlook (H2):
The market structure suggests gold has completed its correction phase and is attempting to form a new bullish leg.
Price action shows a clean rejection at the 4,050 liquidity base, and the next immediate objectives are the 4,211 neckline and 4,260–4,342 supply zones.
Key Technical Levels:
Support / Buy Zone: 4,058 – 4,002
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 3,930 – 3,940
Resistance / Neckline: 4,211
Sell Zone Reaction Fibo: 4,260 – 4,342
Trading Plan – MMFLOW View
🔹 BUY Zone #1 (Continuation Play)
Entry: 4,058 – 4,050
Stop Loss: 4,035
Take Profit: 4,155 → 4,211 → 4,260
🔹 BUY Zone #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario)
Entry: 4,002 – 3,930
Stop Loss: 3,915
Take Profit: 4,058 → 4,155 → 4,211
Ideal setup if price retests liquidity before CPI-induced recovery continues.
🔹 SELL Zone(Reaction Trade)
Entry: 4,260 – 4,342
Stop Loss: 4,355
Take Profit: 4,211 → 4,100 → 4,058
Weekly Bias & Summary:
With CPI cooling and the USD losing momentum, gold’s structure points to a recovery phase, possibly extending into Wave III of the medium-term cycle.
However, the 4,211 neckline remains the key pivot — a breakout above this zone could trigger momentum extension toward 4,260–4,340, while a rejection may result in another range-bound pullback.
🟡 MMFLOW Bias: Bullish while above 4,050 — dips remain opportunities to buy.
Macro tone favours risk-on rotation, supporting gold’s upside into next week.
📊 Do you think gold will break 4,211 for the next bullish leg, or is another correction incoming before the real move?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional updates and Smart Money Flow structure.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisAnalysis:
Gold is currently trading around 4,120, showing a minor bullish correction within a descending channel. The price has bounced from the support buy zone (4,040–4,060), indicating buyer activity at this level. However, the structure remains bearish in the short term as long as the price stays below the descending trade line.
A possible scenario is a short-term pullback toward the upper trade line before another retest of the support zone. If the support holds again, a bullish reversal could target the 4,383 level, aligning with the upper boundary of the previous high.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060
Resistance (Trade Line): 4,180 – 4,200
Target (Bullish): 4,383
Outlook:
Neutral-to-bullish in the medium term if the support zone remains intact. A break below 4,040 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside continuation. KSE:GFH KSE:AGLTY KSE:SENERGY KSE:KFH KSE:CLEANING KSE:NCCI KSE:EKTTITAB KSE:EQUIPMENT KSE:NIH KSE:THURAYA KSE:FUTUREKID KSE:ALEID KSE:URC KSE:URC KSE:ARKAN
Gold Rebounds from Extreme POI – Bullish Move Building UpAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery after tapping into the Extreme Point of Interest (POI) zone, signaling the potential start of a bullish reversal.
The chart indicates an SMC Trap (Smart Money Concept Trap), where liquidity was swept below previous lows to trigger sell stops before reversing upward — a classic smart money accumulation pattern.
Price reacted sharply from the Extreme POI, forming higher lows, which confirms renewed buyer interest.
The immediate target area lies around $4,180 – $4,200, aligning with the projected bullish arrow.
Below, the High Probability POI remains as a deeper demand zone — a strong confluence area if price retests.
📊 Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of bullish structure recovery after liquidity sweep. Holding above the Extreme POI zone strengthens the case for continued upside movement toward $4,200 and possibly higher.
Gold Breakout Potential: Descending Wedge Signals Bullish ReversAnalysis:
The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) chart on the 45-minute timeframe shows price action forming a descending wedge pattern, a typically bullish reversal formation. The price has been compressing between lower highs and lower lows but is now testing the upper trendline resistance, indicating a possible breakout.
Key observations:
Trendline Breakout Zone: The narrowing wedge suggests weakening bearish momentum. A confirmed breakout above the trendline could trigger strong upward momentum.
Targets: The projected upside targets are around 4,300, 4,400, and 4,500, aligning with previous resistance zones.
Support Zone: Immediate support remains near 4,050–4,000, where the lower wedge boundary provides buying interest.
Momentum Indicator: Gradual bullish recovery and decreasing downside pressure indicate renewed buyer strength.
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
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technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold) based on your chart:Chart Summary
Current Price: Around $4,140
Trend Lines: A descending trade line shows the overall short-term bearish trend.
Support Zone: Clearly marked between $4,080 – $4,120 (“SUPPORT BUY ZONE”).
Target: The upside target is labeled near $4,383.
Technical Outlook
🔹 Support Zone Reaction
Price recently dipped into the support buy zone, forming a potential bullish reversal wick.
This area is acting as a strong demand zone, attracting buyers around $4,100.
🔹 Downtrend Channel
The pair remains under a downward-sloping trade line, suggesting the short-term market bias is still bearish.
However, a breakout above this trendline could trigger bullish continuation toward the $4,383 target.
🔹 Short-Term Scenario
Bullish Case (Primary Plan):
If gold holds above the support zone ($4,080–$4,120) and breaks the trendline resistance (~$4,200),
→ next target area: $4,300–$4,383.
Confirmation comes with a clear candle close above $4,200.
Bearish Case (Alternative Plan):
If price fails to break the descending trade line and drops below $4,080,
→ possible continuation toward $4,040 – $4,000.
Key Levels
Type Level (USD) Description
🎯 Target 4,383 Major resistance / profit zone
⚔️ Resistance 4,200 Descending trendline zone
🛒 Support Zone 4,080–4,120 Demand / Buy zone
❌ Invalid Below 4,080 Break below = bearish continuation
Summary
📈 Gold (XAU/USD) is currently retesting its support zone, showing early signs of a bullish rebound.
A confirmed breakout above the trendline could lead to a rally toward $4,380.
However, losing support below $4,080 would invalidate the bullish setup and reintroduce downside risk. EUREX:FDAX1! ICEEUR:BRN1! ICEEUR:WBS1! EUREX:FESX1! EUREX:FGBL1! EUREX:FDXM1! ICEEUR:GWM1! ICEEUR:Z1! EUREX:FDXS1! EUREX:FGBM1! ICEEUR:W1! ICEEUR:RC1!
Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup): Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,2Technical Overview:
Gold is currently in a retracement phase, testing a strong BUY ZONE between 4,180 – 4,200.
This zone has previously acted as a major support area, where buyers stepped in.
The chart shows a possible bullish reversal pattern forming near this zone, suggesting a potential rebound.
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup):
Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,200 LME:ZS1! LME:CA1! LME:AH1! LME:NI1! LME:HC1! LME:MC1! LME:PB1! LME:SN1! LME:MZ1! LME:MA1! LME:SR1! LME:AN1!
Target: 4,384
Stop-Loss: Below 4,160
Rationale:
The buy zone aligns with previous price reactions, confirming strong demand.
Wick rejections around 4,190 indicate buyer interest.
Price action suggests a possible V-shaped recovery or higher-low formation before continuation upward.
🟥 Bearish Scenario (Alternative):
If price closes below 4,160, the support zone will be invalidated.
In that case, expect further downside toward 4,120 – 4,100.
⚙️ Summary Table:
Parameter Value
Trend Bias (Short-Term) Neutral to Bullish
Key Support (Buy Zone) 4,180 – 4,200
Target 4,384
Stop-Loss Below 4,160
Risk–Reward Ratio ≈ 1:3
📊 Conclusion:
Gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a critical support zone. As long as the price holds above 4,160, a bullish rebound toward 4,384 remains likely. However, a confirmed break below this level could trigger a deeper correction.
GOLD: BUY $4235, TARGET $4450! (FED RATE CUT PLAY📰 MACRO PUSH: Low-Interest Rate Tailwinds
Gold is getting a huge boost from the fundamentals:
Fed Rate Cuts: Market is pricing 99% probability of a Fed rate cut next week. This is spot on for Gold. Low rates = Gold will fly!
Safe-Haven: Political instability (US Govt shutdown extending) and trade tensions are pushing safe-haven demand higher.
Key Data: Watch for the delayed CPI data on October 24th. It will be a major trigger!
Summary: The fundamental conviction for upside is max to max. We are ready for the breakout.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The Perfect LONG Setup!
The chart shows Gold is correcting back to the main Demand Zone—a confluence of the Uptrend Line and a crucial structural low. This zone is our go-to for a perfect entry.
🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy
We are activating a long position as price revisits our key zone:
Position: LONG (BUY) - With full conviction on the primary trend.
BUY ZONE (Entry):
$4,237
$4,235 (The most critical Demand Zone)
SL (Stop Loss):
$4,227 (Must protect this level!)
TP (Take Profit Targets):
TP1: $4,245
TP2: $4,255
TP3: $4,265
TP4: $4,275
Final TP: Open (Expecting a New ATH around $4,450+)
DISCLAIMER: This opportunity at the Demand Zone is strongly backed by the macro picture (Fed & Instability). Please use proper risk management!
#GOLD #XAUUSD #Fed #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #IntradaySetup
Entry: Near $4,320 – $4,325 (Buy Zone) Stop-Loss: Below $4,310 Market Structure Overview
The price is currently moving inside a descending channel (marked as TRADE LINE).
A Buy Zone is identified between $4,315 – $4,325, which acts as a strong support area.
Price has touched the lower channel line and rebounded upward, indicating buyer interest around that zone.
📉 Short-Term Trend
The short-term trend is bearish due to lower highs and lower lows inside the channel.
However, momentum shows weakening selling pressure near the buy zone.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the Buy Zone and forms bullish candles, expect a potential reversal toward the upper channel line.
A breakout above the upper channel would signal a trend shift, targeting:
Target: $4,381 – $4,385 (as marked on your chart).
🔴 Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below $4,315, it would invalidate the buy zone setup.
Next potential support could be around $4,300 or lower.
📊 Trade Plan Example
Entry: Near $4,320 – $4,325 (Buy Zone)
Stop-Loss: Below $4,310
Take-Profit: $4,380 – $4,385
Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:4
⚙️ Summary
Gold is currently consolidating within a descending channel.
A bullish breakout from this structure could open the path toward the $4,381 target zone, confirming short-term bullish reversal momentum. LME:SC1! TMX:SXF1! TMX:CGB1! TMX:CGZ1! TMX:CGF1! TMX:LGB1! TMX:BSF1! TMX:FBA1! TMX:FCN1! TMX:FDO1! TMX:FEB1! TMX:FER1! TMX:FEB1! TMX:FHO1!
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY STOP PROJECTION FOR 17.10.25Chart Info
Instrument: XAU/USD
Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1)
Price: $4,279.99
Strategy: Buy Stop — Trend Continuation
🟦 Market Structure & Trend:
Price is respecting a strong uptrend channel — clearly defined higher highs & higher lows.
Golden Ratio (Fibonacci) at 0.5 (4242.62) and 0.618 (4251.84) acts as premium entry zone for a retracement buy.
Bullish structure remains intact above 4230 zone.
📊 Entry & Target Zones:
✅ Entry Zone: Around 4250 (Golden Fibo + FVG)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 4230 (structure break = invalidation)
🥇 Target 1 (R1): 4280 (in-channel move)
🥈 Target 2 (R2): 4310 (new ATH projection)
🧭 Technical Confluences:
📈 Uptrend Channel Support — Price expected to bounce after retest.
🟪 15 min Fair Value Gap (FVG) — potential wick entry below 4250.
📐 Golden Ratio Zone — ideal institutional entry point.
🔄 Break & Retest structure — previous resistance now support.
⚠️ Risk & Confirmation:
If candle closes below 4230, trend structure weakens — setup invalid.
Watch for NY Session volatility or major news for breakout momentum.
Partial profit booking near R1 and trailing SL above entry for R2 recommended.
✅ Summary of Plan:
Buy stop setup at retracement zone (4250 area).
SL tight below structure (4230).
TP 4280–4310 with trend continuation.
XAUUSD 1H Buy Limit Projection — 15.10.25🟡 Overall Setup
This is a 1-hour timeframe projection chart for XAUUSD (Gold vs USD). The market is currently in a strong uptrend, moving inside an ascending channel (blue trendline).
The price at the time of projection: $4,198.76
🧭 Key Zones & Plan
Entry Zone (Buy Limit):
Marked at $2203–$2206 (FVG zone — Fair Value Gap).
The chart suggests to wait for breakout and retest of the yellow zone before buying.
Support Zone:
Highlighted in yellow box, indicating strong demand area where the breakout is expected to happen.
“CANDLE MOVEMENT AREA” below shows the probable pullback path.
Trade Timing:
Suggested after 11:30 AM (October 15).
Waiting for structure confirmation before entry.
🏁 Target Levels
TP 1: Around $4,228 – $4,243 (0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone).
TP 2: Around $4,320, which is the top of the ascending structure.
⚠️ Stop Loss Zone
SL is placed below $4,165, under the yellow demand zone.
Protects against false breakout.
📈 Price Movement Projection
The black line arrows project the expected retracement down to entry zone, then bullish breakout and rally upward toward target zones.
Trend continuation is expected until tomorrow with breakout & retest.
✅ Summary of Strategy:
Trend: Bullish
Action: Buy at retest zone (2203–2206)
TP: 4243 (TP1) / 4320 (TP2)
SL: Below 4165
Timing: After 11:30 AM IST
XAUUSD – Liquidity Sweep “Flush”XAUUSD – Liquidity Sweep “Flush”; prioritise trading around key zones 🟡
Gold just dropped nearly 90 points during the Asian session – a time typically lacking volume, resulting in a “flush” that wiped out many leveraged positions. The larger trend remains bullish, but short-term risks of a deep pullback are present before the European–American markets engage.
The accompanying image shows:
Price peaked and then broke the upper edge of the H1 uptrend channel → quickly fell to the mid-channel zone.
Thick Volume Profile cluster around 4.07x, POC ~4,075; below lies VAL ~4,025.
Sell retest zone marked around 4.14x; grey boxes indicate buy zones at 4,075 and 4,056.
Key Levels
Resistance: 4,143–4,150, 4,122, 4,160.
Support: 4,075 (POC), 4,056 (buy scalping), 4,025 (VAL).
Scalping watch: 4,057 – 4,085 – 4,160 – 4,025.
Trading Scenarios
SELL retest (reaction, higher risk)
Entry: 4,143
SL: 4,150
TP: 4,122 → 4,105 → 4,078 → 4,050
Idea: activate only upon clear rejection at 4.14x (long wick/engulfing H1).
BUY at POC zone
Entry: 4,075
SL: 4,067
TP: 4,089 → 4,100 → 4,122 → 4,155
BUY scalping (shallow pullback)
Entry: 4,056
SL: 4,049–4,050
TP: 4,075 → 4,089
Invalidation: short-term buy bias weakens if H1 closes below ~4,025 (VAL). If this zone breaks, prioritise waiting for a failed retest to consider selling with the continued downtrend.
Practical Notes
The range is currently very wide; the European session will increase volume, making false breaks more likely.
After TP1, move SL to entry to secure the position.
Sell orders are merely reaction trades at 4.14x; prioritise buy-the-dip at 4,075/4,056 upon confirmation signals.
Gold breaking new highs has become the norm, 4100 is within reacGold continues its bullish trend, breaking new highs as expected. Breaking new highs has become the norm for gold recently. So far, gold has reached a high of 4080 and is fluctuating around it. It is likely to reach 4100 tonight, and the current level of 4100 is within reach. Breaking new highs from above has become commonplace. Don't expect bears to hold out. After all, bulls are the main force. Looking at the hourly chart, various indicators are driving the bulls, and international news is also positive for gold prices. Therefore, we must maintain a bullish outlook for gold. Mr. Tian will also prioritize long positions. Keep an eye on the support at 4000. Trading strategies should focus on buying on dips.
Based on the 4-hour market trend, short-term support is currently at 4095-4100, with a focus on key support at 4075-4085. The bulls are rallying strongly and there is no end in sight. Trading strategies should prioritize buying on dips. In the intermediate range, be cautious and follow orders carefully, patiently waiting for key entry points. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so stay tuned.
Gold Trading Strategy:
1. Buy gold at 4070-4080. Add to long positions if it dips back to 4060-65. Stop loss at 4060. Target at 4130-4150. Hold if it breaks through.
XAUUSD — Accumulation phase awaiting breakoutXAUUSD — Accumulation phase awaiting breakout | European–American session scenario & detailed trading plan 🟡
Summary: Gold maintains an upward trend within the rising price channel. The European–American session prioritises buying in line with the trend at confirmed support zones; selling is only a secondary option when there is a strong rejection signal at the peak zone.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1/H30)
Market Structure
Price moves within an ascending channel, with adjustments mainly being pullbacks.
Two prominent liquidity zones on the chart: Buy zone around 4020–4030 and Sell zone above 4125–4135.
Key Price Zones & Confluence
Support:
4057–4059: former resistance turned support + channel boundary, suitable for retest.
4022–4024: coincides with buy zone and thick volume cluster (VPVR).
Resistance: 4072 / 4088 / 4105 / 4125, note reactions at 4095–4100 (near Fibonacci extension 1.618/2.618).
Fibonacci: extension measurement suggests a target of ~4130; this is also near the sell liquidity zone, likely to see short rejection before deciding the next direction.
Note pivot points: 4069 – 4042 – 4095 – 4120 are levels to monitor price action.
Structure Reading Suggestion: If a “buy test trend” occurs near the channel bottom, prioritise finding confirmation candles to continue buying on retracement.
📰 Fundamental Analysis (Highlights)
Imperial Bank of Commerce: concerns over long-term inflation support gold’s rise; target 4,500 in the next 2 years → bullish inclination.
State Street: delayed rate cuts expectations keep USD/real yields sensitive, maintaining volatility; gold remains a safe haven as risks increase.
Pansen Macro (ECB): difficult to lower rates soon due to weak growth → impacts EUR/DXY, indirectly affecting gold.
Commodity Context: Goldman Sachs is cautious with copper (10k–11k/ton 2026/27); risk capital may rotate, benefiting gold as defensive sentiment rises.
Connection: The contrast between tight policy and risk sentiment creates an accumulation range; as yields ease, gold may break through 4100–4130.
🎯 European–American Session Trading Strategy (if–then)
Scenario 1 — BUY at support (priority)
Entry: 4057–4059
SL: 4052
TP: 4072 → 4088 → 4105 → 4125
Condition: if price retests 4057–4059 and there is a confirmation candle / reclaim channel boundary, continue buying with the trend.
Scenario 2 — DEEP BUY at buy zone
Entry: 4022–4024
SL: 4016
TP: 4038 → 4052 → 4077 → 4090
Condition: only activate when there is a wick at the buy zone and price holds above 4042 thereafter.
Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (secondary)
Only consider short selling when clear rejection appears at 4120–4130 (sell liquidity zone) accompanied by weakening momentum; target to pull back to 4100/4088. Do not chase price.
Invalidation & Risk Management
If price breaks and accepts below 4042, stand aside and wait for a new structure; losing 4016 opens risk of returning to the 3990x cluster (old POC).
Each trade risk ≤ 1–2% of the account; adhere to SL principles first, position later. 🛡️
XAUUSD / GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 12.10.25The 1H structure is showing a clean breakout and retest, indicating strong bullish continuation.
✅ Technical Breakdown:
Price broke above the resistance zone and retested the breakout level, confirming support at $4,007–$4,012.
Fibonacci 0.618 Golden Ratio aligned with the support adds confluence for a long setup.
An upward trendline is being respected, signaling controlled bullish structure.
A fair value gap remains unfilled below, but since it’s in the order block zone, it’s less likely to break for a sell.
Strong bullish momentum candles indicate buyers in control.
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $4,030 (Resistance R1)
TP2: $4,050 (Resistance R2 / ATH Zone)
🛡️ Invalidation:
A clean break below $3,996 (order block zone) would weaken this bullish projection.
📈 Summary:
Entry: $4,007–$4,012 zone after retest
TP1: $4,030
TP2: $4,050
SL: Below $3,996
Bias: Bullish
Timeframe: 1H
⚠️ Always use proper risk management and follow the trend structure.
XAUUSD / GOLD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION – 12.10.25The market is currently showing strong bullish momentum after a clean V-shaped reversal from the support zone around $3,960–$3,980.
✅ Key Technical Highlights:
Support S2 Zone held well, forming a reversal V pattern, confirming buyers stepping in.
Price has broken and retested the breakout zone around $4,000, indicating buying strength.
A bullish momentum candle confirms continuation towards higher levels.
Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement zone aligned perfectly with the support, giving more confluence for long entries.
If momentum sustains, price is projected to push towards:
📍 Resistance R1: $4,060 zone (first TP)
📍 Resistance R2 / New ATH Zone: $4,120 zone (final TP)
🛡️ Invalidation:
A clean break below the $3,960 support and the fair value gap would signal weakening momentum and cancel the bullish outlook.
📈 Summary:
Entry: After retest of breakout zone ($4,000–$4,010)
TP1: $4,060
TP2: $4,120
SL: Below $3,960 (Fair value gap)
🚀 Bias: Bullish
📅 Timeframe: 4H / Weekly
⚠️ Note: Always manage risk with proper position sizing and SL discipline
XAUUSD GOLD IS HEADING TOWARDS 7000$ Cycle started when gold is around 1450$ some years ago.
1st cycle - 1000$ to 2000$
2nd cycle - 2000$ to 3000$
3rd cycle - 3000$ to 4000$
4th cycle - 4000$ to 7000$
5th cycle - 7000$ to 12000$
Every impulse has corrective phase according to price theory. you will see minor & major correction , profit bookings between level's to level's. oppurtunity will arise always so don't be greedy. This analysis based on fundamental factor's. Technically it will correct after every impulses. This analysis based on daily timeframe and it is not suitable for day trader , intraday or scalper.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Within Ascending ChannelAnalysis:
The XAU/USD (Gold Spot) 1-hour chart shows a strong upward trend within a well-defined ascending channel. Price action continues to form higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained bullish momentum.
Currently, gold is trading near $3,959, staying comfortably above the trendline support, which has repeatedly acted as a dynamic base for buyers. The projected movement (blue arrow) suggests a potential short-term retracement toward the lower channel boundary, followed by a rebound toward the upper resistance zone around $4,000–$4,035.
As long as gold remains above the trendline, the bullish structure remains intact. A breakout above the upper boundary could signal further upside potential, while a drop below the trendline may lead to short-term consolidation.
Summary:
Trend: Bullish
Support: $3,915 – $3,925 (trendline zone)
Resistance: $3,995 – $4,035
Bias: Buy on dips near trendline support for potential continuation toward new highs.






















