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GOLD PREDICTION THIS WEEK 14/5- 18/5At the start of the week, gold prices saw a decline due to stronger U.S. Treasury yields and a rebound in the U.S. dollar. This led to a moderate pullback from its recent peaks, although the price of gold still remains relatively high historically, influenced by persistent economic and geopolitical uncertainties. Analysts predict that gold prices may rise later in the year. Anticipated rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, as inflation decreases from its recent highs, could lower the real yield on U.S. Treasuries, enhancing the attractiveness of gold as an asset that does not yield interest. Additionally, factors like ongoing global conflicts and market fluctuations typically boost the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingGuruTop
XAUUSD amid rising political tensions Gold prices (XAU/USD) hovered around $1,950 after retreating from the two-month high of $1,962 in early Asian trading on Thursday. The precious metal's rebound was bolstered by escalating political tensions in the Middle East, driving the flow towards safe-haven assets. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), measuring the USD against six major currencies, rose to 106.55. US Treasury yields surged, with the 10-year Treasury bond yield reaching 4.911%, the highest since 2007, while the 2-year Treasury bond yield remained at 5.229%. On Wednesday, Federal Reserve officials reiterated their stance on maintaining interest rates. These comments pushed US bond yields higher, reflecting strong growth prospects in the US. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that it's too early to determine if there's a need for further policy rate actions, suggesting a wait-and-see approach. New York Fed President John Williams emphasized the central bank's need for a gradual monetary policy to curb inflation, indicating that the policy trajectory depends on data. Moreover, the ongoing political conflict between Israel and Hamas remains a focal point. Gaza authorities reported Israeli airstrikes killing 500 people at a Palestinian hospital on Tuesday, while Israel claimed the casualties resulted from a Palestinian attack. Escalating political tensions in the Middle East and market instability might drive demand for traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Gold traders will monitor the US Unemployment Claims and Philly Fed Index, as well as Existing Home Sales data later on Thursday. Additionally, Fed Chair Powell is expected to deliver a speech. Market participants will interpret signals from the data, seeking trading opportunities around gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Samson_Phelan
9
XAUUSD: what is going on?From a short-term technical perspective, nothing seems to have changed for Gold price, as a correction from a seven-month trough remains on the table. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator stays heavily oversold, justifying a case for a Gold price rebound anytime soon. Should Gold price stage a decent comeback the initial support-turned-resistance at the $1,850 level will be challenged. The next upside barrier is aligned at the September 28 and 29 highs of $1,880 on the road to recovery. However, if Gold buyers fail to find a strong foothold above the $1,850 mark, the downtrend could gather steam once again. Gold price will need to crack the previous day’s low of $1,815 to tale on the crucial support at the $1,810 level, where the March 8 low is registered. The $1,800 threshold will be the level to beat for Gold sellers. The 100-Daily Moving Average (DMA) is looking to cross the 200 DMA from above, suggesting that any pullback in Gold price from multi-month lows could prove temporary.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Biden-ControlUSD
1