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Xauusdlong

Gold (XAU/USD) — Bullish Continuation Setup on 1H📊 Technical Analysis 1. Overall Trend The market remains in an uptrend, confirmed by higher highs and higher lows. A trend line drawn from lower left is supporting price structure nicely. Price is above both the 9 EMA and 15 EMA, indicating short-term bullish momentum. 2. Key Levels Resistance Zones Immediate resistance (red box): Currently challenging this level — price is struggling to break above. Larger supply area above: A wider grey zone above the immediate resistance — likely the next target once cleared. Major target: ~4580 — marked as the next significant upside. Support Zones Minor support (thin horizontal): Around ~4510, could act as intraday support. Strong demand zone: Around ~4475–4490 — significant buyers previously entered here. Trend line support beneath the candles — dynamic support reinforcing bullish bias. 3. Price Action & Structure Recent Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside indicates buyers are in control. After the BOS, price retraced slightly then resumed higher, a sign of healthy bullish behavior. Current consolidation at resistance suggests a potential shakeout / liquidity hunt before continuation. 4. Possible Scenarios (as annotated) Bullish Scenario (favored): Price consolidates slightly, retests support ~4510–trendline zone, Then breaks above the red resistance box, Targets the larger grey supply zone and then ~4580+. Alternative Short Pullback: Minor pullback into support, Then bounce for continuation. The dotted projected line on your chart reflects this potential pullback → rally sequence. 📉 Volume Context Buying volume tends to increase on bullish moves, Showing participation from demand zones — supportive of upside continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD) – Daily Chart Analysis: Strong UptrendOverall Trend Gold (XAUUSD) remains in a strong long-term uptrend on the daily timeframe. Price is making higher highs and higher lows, trading near the upper range around 4,485. The broader bullish structure is intact despite minor pullbacks. Price Action Recent candles show steady bullish continuation, but momentum is slightly slowing. Price is approaching a descending trendline resistance (blue dashed line), which could act as a short-term cap. A breakout above this trendline would confirm further upside continuation. RSI (Relative Strength Index) RSI is around 81, clearly in the overbought zone. Previous “Bear” divergence labels suggest that momentum has weakened before at similar RSI levels. This increases the probability of a short-term correction or consolidation, even if the main trend remains bullish. Volume Volume has picked up recently, supporting the latest price advance. However, volume is not expanding aggressively, hinting at possible buyer exhaustion near current highs. MACD MACD remains above the signal line and in positive territory, confirming bullish momentum. The histogram is modest, suggesting momentum is positive but not accelerating strongly. Key Levels Resistance: 4,500 – 4,550 zone and the descending trendline. Support: 4,350 – 4,300 (previous consolidation zone). A daily close below support could trigger a deeper pullback toward 4,100–4,200. Outlook: Bullish bias remains dominant, but conditions are overbought. Short-term traders should be cautious of a pullback or sideways consolidation. Medium- to long-term traders may look for buy-the-dip opportunities as long as price holds above key support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
XAU/USD Outlook TodayThe latest data paints a pretty clear picture of where XAU/USD stands today, and the market tone is cautious but still bullish overall. ## 🟡 XAU/USD Outlook Today ### 1. **Price Action & Market Mood** Gold is trading around the **$4,300** zone, with traders showing hesitation ahead of key U.S. economic data releases. This pause is driven mainly by expectations around inflation and jobs numbers, which could shift Federal Reserve rate‑cut expectations. - Gold recently eased slightly as traders took profits and reduced exposure ahead of U.S. jobs data. - The metal is still holding above the **50‑day moving average at $4,127**, keeping the broader uptrend intact. ### 2. **Key Levels to Watch** - **Resistance:** - **$4,353–$4,381** remains a strong ceiling where recent rallies have stalled. - **Support:** - **$4,127** (50‑day MA) is the key line that keeps the “buy‑the‑dip” bias alive. ### 3. **Macro Drivers Today** Markets are waiting for: - **U.S. CPI data**, expected around **3.1% headline** and **3.0% core**. This is the biggest catalyst for gold today. - A softer CPI print could weaken the dollar and push gold higher; a hotter print could pressure gold. ### 4. **Short‑Term Forecast** Based on current sentiment and technicals: - **Bias:** Mildly bullish - **Expected range:** **$4,260 – $4,350** - **Breakout potential:** A close above **$4,353** could open the door to retesting the **$4,381** record area. If you want, I can also give you: - A **1‑hour intraday technical setup** - A **swing‑trade plan** - Or **automated chart levels** based on your trading style
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RealforexsignalsDworldforum
3
Gold Looks Prime for All-Time High Breakout📈 Technical Analysis of the Chart The chart shows XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) moving in what appears to be an upward-sloping channel — higher lows are marked by trend-line support. Price recently revisited the lower boundary (support zone + trendline) and appears to have held firm — a bullish signal (i.e. a “retest & bounce”). The annotation “POI” (Point of Interest) near that bounce suggests a probable pivot from support → initiating the next leg up. On the upside, the chart projects a move toward a new all-time high (ATH) — the red horizontal line — implying a breakout of the current consolidation zone. If gold breaks above current resistance and stays above the channel’s upper boundary, that increase could accelerate with bullish momentum. This aligns with typical breakout + retest strategies often used in gold trading. Conversely, if price fails to hold this support zone and drops below the trendline, the bullish setup would be invalidated — a risk to watch, especially if sentiment shifts. Technical conclusion: The chart shows a classic channel-retest setup — if upward momentum continues, a move toward the all-time high is well justified. The current bounce from support provides a favorable entry setup for bulls, with manageable risk if a stop-loss is set just below the channel support. 🌍 Fundamental & Macro Context Gold’s recent strength is driven by expectations of lower interest rates: as a non-yielding asset, gold tends to benefit when rates fall because the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases. A weaker U.S. dollar — often accompanying potential rate cuts — makes gold cheaper for foreign buyers, adding further demand support. Broad economic context: unsteady global growth, geopolitical uncertainty, and rising demand for safe-haven assets help maintain strong gold demand. Market forecasts remain bullish: some analysts see gold reaching as high as $4,950/oz by 2026, with a more likely base-case target around $4,500/oz — assuming rate cuts and continued macroeconomic uncertainty. That said, the key risk remains in a potential rebound of the U.S. Dollar or abrupt shift in monetary policy (e.g. fewer rate cuts than expected) — either could undercut gold’s rally. Fundamental conclusion: The macro backdrop — rate-cut expectations, weak USD, and global uncertainty — strongly supports a continuation of gold’s upward trajectory. If these tailwinds persist, gold’s push toward new highs is fundamentally justified. ✅ What This Setup Means & What to Watch If bullish scenario plays out Expect price to challenge the all-time high. A breakout may target or even exceed prior ATHs. A bounce-and-run scenario may attract momentum traders, fueling further upside. Key triggers to monitor Keep an eye on announcements from Federal Reserve: rate-cut decisions or dovish signals accelerate gold demand. Watch USD strength: a strong dollar could cap gains or reverse the uptrend. Monitor global risk sentiment — geopolitical events or economic slowdown fears tend to push money into gold. Risk control considerations Use the channel support / trendline as a stop-loss anchor. A breakdown below could invalidate the bullish bias. Consider that strong moves in the dollar or surprising inflation data might compress gold’s upside or spark a pullback.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
3
Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Minute: Liquidity Grab Setup with Order Block1. Current Price Structure Price is trending upward on the 30-min timeframe. Recent candles show higher highs and higher lows, indicating short-term bullish pressure. 2. Liquidity Zone & Order Block The grey shaded area marked as “liquidity + orderblock” is a confluence zone where stops and institutional orders are likely clustered. Expect price to revisit this area for a shake-out of weak hands before moving higher. The up arrow suggests that this zone could act as a launchpad for the next bullish leg. 3. Potential Pullback and Continuation The scrawled black path shows a probable scenario: Minor pullback to liquidity/order block area Support test on the trendline or zone Followed by a rejection and bullish continuation 4. Key Indicators EMA 9 (blue) is below current price — supports short-term bullish momentum. Ichimoku cloud is mostly supportive, with price above key lines (suggests trend stamina). 5. Resistance Ahead The horizontal red zone near ~4,353 to 4,382 is a major supply area. A breakout above this would confirm bullish continuation. However, failure there could lead to deeper pullbacks. 🔥 Summary Bias Bullish (higher probability setup) Price is likely to: Pull back to the support or order block area Grab liquidity Rally toward or above the resistance zone 🎯 Key Levels to Watch Level Significance ~4,353 – 4,382 Major resistance / breakout target Order Block Zone Liquidity grab & support Trendline (rising) Dynamic support EMA 9 Short-term support
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader
4
Weekly Forecast: XAUUSD May Continue Upward Towards 4,500XAU/USD is showing positive signs, with the price potentially rising from around 4,295. The market could experience a temporary pullback to 4,180, but if the upward trend remains intact, the price might continue rising towards 4,500. The current market movement suggests a bullish outlook, with consistent upward momentum. Recently, the price has moved out of a high-activity zone, signaling potential for further growth. If the trend continues, the price could keep pushing higher, as the support zone holds strong and the momentum remains positive. The gap between recent price levels suggests there is room for upward movement before reaching the next major resistance area. Price action and trendlines both indicate that the market could extend its rise, with strong support levels holding the price in place. This creates an opportunity to capitalize on the next phase of the movement if the market maintains its current trajectory. However, if the price does experience a dip, the 4,180 level may act as support and could lead to a reversal. With the overall bullish trend in play, there is potential for a continuation towards 4,500 once the market resumes upward movement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SwingTrade_Concept
“Support Bounce → Bullish Continuation Toward 4,245🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Rejection from Support & Breakout Potential 🚀📈 🔍 Key Technical Analysis Price respected the Support Level (4,185 – 4,190) and bounced strongly ✔️ Price is currently following an ascending Support Line → bullish structure intact 📈 Previous liquidity sweep (POI Points) shows buyers absorbing sell pressure 💰 Multiple breakouts indicate strong bullish momentum returning 🔥 Current consolidation suggests accumulation before next move up 🎯 Suggested Targets (with stickers) Target Type Price Range Sticker TP1 → Breakout Target 4,235 – 4,245 🎯 TP2 → Upper Expansion Zone 4,255 – 4,265 🚀💸 📌 TP1 = High-probability target 📌 TP2 = If bullish momentum continues strongly 📌 Trade Idea (Based on Chart Structure) 🟩 Buy Entry Zone: ➤ 4,195 – 4,205 🟢 Take Profit: ➤ TP1: 4,240 🎯 ➤ TP2: 4,260 🚀 🧭 Market Outlook Factor Bias Trend Bullish above support ✔️ Liquidity Upside liquidity open 💧 Momentum Strengthening 📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
XAUUSD Bullish Reversal Setup Toward 4252 – Smart Money StructurChart Analysis 1. Market Structure Price previously formed a strong swing high near 4252, marked with the red circle. After that, the market corrected downward and consolidated in a sideways range (highlighted box). Price has since broken out of that range and is now retesting the breakout zone. 2. Current Zone Price is hovering around 4198–4200, which appears to be: A support retest level A higher-low formation, indicating bullish intent 3. Bullish Expectation Your arrows and markup suggest: A small pullback Followed by a bullish move toward: First target: ~4219 Main target: 4252, the previous liquidity grab area This aligns with: Break of structure (BOS) Imbalance fill Smart money concepts (liquidity resting at prior highs) 4. Stop Loss SL marked near 4180 This sits below the retest zone and protected liquidity — a logical invalidation area. 5. Overall Bias Bullish, with expectation of: Retest → Higher-low → Move toward major liquidity at previous highs
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 10.12.25“Character Invalid Here” (Lower Pink Zone) This zone represents heavy sell pressure. Price dropped deeply here → buyers were weak → sellers dominated. From this area, the market started recovering upward slowly. 2️⃣ Day High as Resistance R1 (Middle Pink Zone) This is a strong resistance level. Price tested this zone multiple times and faced rejection. This confirms it as a key intraday resistance. Once price breaks and retests this area, bullish confirmation becomes stronger. 3️⃣ Bounce Back Area (Green Horizontal Zone) This area is where you expect the pullback (retracement) to happen. When price returns to this zone: ✔ Buyers re-enter the market ✔ Trend continues upward ✔ You get safe entry confirmation This is a high-probability buy zone. 4️⃣ Entry After Bounce Back (Red Zone) This is the ideal buy entry area after confirmation. Your structure shows: Price breaks the resistance Pulls back for retest Holds the major trendline Respects the curved support (cup structure) This indicates a strong bullish continuation setup. 5️⃣ Target Price (Weekly High Resistance & TP) This is the weekly high, which acts as the final target. The price is expected to reach this level due to: Strong bullish momentum Breakout + retest confirmation Trendline support Clean upside liquidity This is a realistic and high-probability target.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
2
XAUUSD Breakout Retest – Bearish Continuation SetupChart Analysis (XAUUSD) Here’s a clear breakdown of what the chart shows and what the setup implies: 1. Market Structure Price previously made a strong push upward, then entered a sideways consolidation zone (highlighted in yellow). This zone represents accumulation/distribution, where buyers and sellers balanced out before a breakout. 2. Breakout & Retest Price broke down below the consolidation zone, indicating bearish intent. After the drop, price is currently doing a retest of the breakout level (where the red horizontal line sits at around 4191.953). This retest commonly acts as a point where sellers look to re-enter. 3. Trade Setup A sell position is plotted from the retest area. The shaded region above represents stop-loss territory. The two blue arrows mark: Half Take-Profit (TP 50%) — a mid-level target for partial exit Full Target — deeper downward continuation expectation 4. Bias The structure, breakout, and retest all favor a bearish continuation as long as price stays below the retest zone. The chart suggests a momentum continuation to the downside, targeting the lower green line. 5. Risk Considerations If price closes back above the red line, the setup becomes invalid. Consolidation after the breakdown shows indecision — strong bearish confirmation may come only after a clean push down.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
Key-Resistance Liquidity Grab → FVG ShortIdea: Price has reached a key resistance zone — a common place where smart money or institutions may hunt liquidity (stop-losses above resistance before reversing). There is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) / imbalance zone drawn below (green “POI / FVG” zone). In price-action trading, these FVGs often act like magnets: after a rapid move, price tends to retrace and “fill” the gap. The plan: wait for a rejection at resistance (signaling liquidity grab is done), then short — target the FVG/POI zone where the market may come back to fill imbalance. 🎯 Trade Plan (Entry / Exit / Risk-Reward) Parameter Plan Entry After a bearish rejection (e.g. long upper-wick candle) near the resistance zone. Stop-Loss Slightly above the resistance / recent swing high (to avoid being stopped by a false breakout). Take-Profit (TP) Around / within the FVG / POI zone (green zone on chart) — where imbalance may be filled. Risk–Reward Aim for at least 1 : 2 — ideally more, depending on how far the FVG is below resistance. ⚠️ What Makes This Setup Valid (and What to Watch) FVGs mark market inefficiencies / liquidity gaps created by rapid moves, which often get revisited. A reversal or rejection at a well-defined resistance zone gives signal that the liquidity hunt may be done and a move downward may begin. But — if price breaks cleanly and strongly above the resistance (with momentum), the short trade becomes invalid. Also, FVGs don’t always get filled. Entry should ideally wait for a clear rejection or confirmation, not just assume a fill.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader
XAUUSD Pullback Zone Buy Setup – Demand Re-Entry Toward Higher TMarket Structure & Price Action Analysis Trend Context: Price recently pushed into a higher-timeframe supply zone (the blue area) and rejected strongly, creating a short-term downtrend. Pullback Behavior: Price is currently retracing downward, breaking minor support levels and forming lower lows, but the bearish momentum appears to be slowing. Demand Zone (Entry Area): Your marked Entry zone (around 4177–4180) aligns with: Previous consolidation A prior breakout origin A sweep of liquidity (the pin-bar wick marked with the red circle) This makes it a high-probability demand area for a bullish reaction. 📌 Trade Idea Breakdown Entry Around 4177–4180 where price may retest the demand zone. Confirmation Look for: Bullish engulfing Strong rejection wick Break of short-term structure (e.g., break above 4198) Target Re-test of the upper supply zone (around 4208–4215). This aligns well with your green projection arrow. 🎯 Bias Bullish from demand → Targeting supply, as long as price holds above 4177 and shows bullish confirmation. If price breaks below this zone with momentum, bullish setup becomes invalid.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation Setup Toward 4,223 After Liquidity 1. Market Structure The chart highlights a COCH (Change of Character) followed by a BOS (Break of Structure), signaling a shift from bearish to bullish structure. Several smaller coch points confirm internal bullish structure building. 2. Liquidity & POI Zones There is a clear liquidity sweep near the PDL (Previous Day Low), where price dipped into a demand zone to collect orders. An Extreme POI (Point of Interest) sits below current price — this acted as the strong reaction zone for the bullish move. PDH (Previous Day High) is marked as an early short-term target/liquidity area. 3. Expected Move The projection (zig-zag line) indicates bullish continuation after a pullback into the POI zone. The target is marked around 4,223.629, matching the red horizontal resistance line. The EMA (9) serves as dynamic support, showing price respecting the bullish trend. 4. Probability Outlook As long as price stays above the trendline and POI, the bias remains bullish. A break below the POI would invalidate the setup and open the lower liquidity region again.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
2
Gold Bulls vs Bears: Who Will Win the $4,100 Battle?🧭 Market Overview Current Price Zone: Gold is trading near $4,141.27, slightly below recent highs around $4,200. 52-Week Range: From a low of $2,583.49 to a high of $4,381.60, indicating strong bullish momentum over the past year. Recent Action: Price is consolidating between $4,040 and $4,080, suggesting a pause after a multi-month rally. 📊 Technical Indicators Trend: Long-term bullish, but short-term momentum is neutral to slightly bearish. Support Zones: $3,987: 55-day SMA, acting as a dynamic support. $3,886: Weekly low, a key horizontal support level. Resistance Zones: $4,245: November high, first major resistance. $4,380: All-time high, ultimate bullish target. Momentum Indicators: RSI and MACD show weakening bullish momentum. Stochastics and Williams %R suggest potential overbought conditions. 📐 Chart Analysis Demand Zone: The grey rectangle around $4,173.23 likely marks a support area where buyers previously stepped in. Stop-Loss Zone: The red rectangle below current price could represent a risk threshold for long positions. Take-Profit Zone: The upper grey rectangle suggests a bullish target zone, possibly aligned with the $4,245–$4,380 resistance band. Time Markers: Vertical red dashed lines may indicate key news events or session starts that influenced volatility. 🧠 Strategic Insights Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $4,245 could trigger a run toward $4,380. Traders may look for confirmation via volume spikes or bullish candlestick patterns. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $4,040 could expose the $3,987 and $3,886 supports. Watch for bearish divergence in momentum indicators. Neutral Bias: Until price breaks out of the current range, scalping or range-bound strategies may be more effective than trend-following. 🛠 Trade Setup Suggestions Entry: Consider entries near $4,100 if bullish signals emerge (e.g., bullish engulfing, MACD crossover). Stop-Loss: Below $4,040 or $3,987 depending on risk tolerance. Take-Profit: Target $4,245 initially, with extended targets at $4,380 if momentum continues. 🔍 Final Thoughts Gold’s technical landscape is rich with opportunity but demands precision. The current consolidation phase is a battleground between bulls and bears. Traders should stay nimble, monitor macroeconomic cues (like Fed rate decisions), and adjust risk management accordingly.
BLUEBERRY:XAUUSDLong
by ishhakmansur
“BOS Confirmed — Demand Retest for Next Bullish Leg🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Continuation Setup from High Probability Demand Zone 🆙 🔍 Chart Breakdown & Key Insights Price created a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside → confirming bullish momentum ✔️ Retested the Demand Line + Support Zone → buyers defending strongly 💪 High Probability POI (previous accumulation zone) remains valid with liquidity swept below → smart money accumulation evidence 💰 Current pullback = healthy retracement into demand before potential continuation 🎯 Targets (With stickers) 🎯 Target Zone Price Region Sticker TP1 → Retest recent high 4,165 – 4,175 🎯 TP2 → Liquidity above highs / extended target 4,180 – 4,195 🚀💸 TP1 hit possibility is HIGH due to bullish structure 📈 TP2 depends on strength of breakout ⬆️ 📌 Trade Idea (High Probability Setup) 🟩 Buy Entry Zone: ➤ 4,120 – 4,130 (pullback entry at support) 🟢 Take-Profit: ➤ TP1: 4,170 – TP2: 4,190 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3+ ✔️ 🧭 Market Structure Sentiment Factor Outlook Trend Bullish 📈 Liquidity Upside still available 💧 Smart Money behavior Accumulation & continuation expected 💼 ⚠️ Just watch if price breaks below the demand line → would weaken this bullish plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
BTC/USD – Support Reclaim Signals Potential Bullish ContinuationChart Analysis 1. Key Support Zone (≈ 90,350 – 90,920) Your chart highlights a strong support zone where price previously reacted. Price has reclaimed this area, showing that buyers stepped in aggressively. This support aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels, strengthening its validity. 2. Current Price Structure BTC is consolidating just above support, forming a minor bullish structure. A higher-low formation is visible, suggesting buyers remain in control. The drawn white arrow also suggests an expected retest before continuation. 3. Local Resistance Cluster (≈ 92,500 – 94,000) The upper shaded zone marks a major resistance, possibly a supply region. This aligns with Fib extension levels (2.618–3.618). This is the area where sellers are likely to show up again. 4. Bullish Scenario (Most Probable Based on Chart) If BTC holds above 90,920, a rally toward the resistance zone is likely. The large grey projection box indicates a potential move to ~93,500–94,000. Momentum from the recent strong bullish candle also supports the upside. 5. Bearish Risk Scenario Losing 90,350 on strong volume could invalidate the bullish setup. If that happens, price may revisit 87,500–88,000 (Fib confluence).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAUUSD – Bearish Reversal Setup Toward Liquidity TargetsChart Analysis Your chart shows a potential bearish reversal on XAUUSD with a clear smart-money structure. Here’s the breakdown: 1. Market Structure Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChoCH) indicate a shift from bullish momentum to bearish intent. Price made a final sweep / liquidity grab at the recent high before sharply dropping into your marked entry zone. 2. Entry Zone The “ENTRY” mark aligns with: A bearish mitigation zone from the last up-move A distribution pattern forming (rounded top + BOS) This suggests institutional selling activity. 3. Target One – 4,080.064 This level is a logical first target because: It aligns with previous demand acting as newly created liquidity. You expect a corrective pullback before continuation—your white zig-zag path reflects this. 4. Target Two – 4,040.652 A deeper liquidity pool and the next major imbalance area. If price breaks Target One, momentum likely accelerates. This is the main downside liquidity sweep zone. 5. Context The shaded half-circle structures highlight swing points where price formed lower highs, reinforcing the bearish narrative. The clean equal-lows and imbalances under price give strong bearish draw-on-liquidity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
“Gold Rebounding from Demand – Targeting Supply Line Retest🔍 Key Observations 📉 Supply Line (Downtrend Resistance) Each rally is being capped by the descending supply line 📈 Demand Line (Ascending Support) Buyers defending higher lows Strong bullish reaction off support 💰 Liquidity Grab ($$$) Liquidity was taken below swing lows — bullish signal Smart money likely securing positions before pushing up 🟢 Bullish Confirmation If price holds above demand line + support zone Expect bullish continuation toward supply line retest 🎯 Suitable Target Levels Target Level (Approx) Status 🥇 First Target 4,095 – 4,105 At supply line retest 🥈 Extended Target 4,120 – 4,130 Breakout continuation 📌 Trade Idea (Bullish Scenario) Entry Zone: 4,055 – 4,065 🟩 Stop Loss: Below 4,025 ❌ Take Profit 1: 4,100 🎯 Take Profit 2: 4,125 🚀 RR Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3 📈 🧭 Market Sentiment 📍 Bias → Short-term Bullish 🛑 But… sellers may reappear at supply line ⚠️ Watch for fakeouts near the target
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
XAUUSD – Potential Distribution Phase Signaling Deeper Bearish TAnalysis of the Chart Your chart shows a full market cycle structure based on Wyckoff + Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here’s a clean breakdown: 1️⃣ Previous Accumulation Phase (Left Side) Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) labels confirming bullish intent. CHoCH followed by accumulation zones. Price gradually builds liquidity (SSL / price points). Strong bullish impulsive leg begins after accumulation. 2️⃣ Strong Bullish Trend Continuation Successive BOS levels show continuation of bullish strength. Several mitigation blocks / filled imbalances visible. Price aggressively pushes toward the premium ceiling zone. 3️⃣ Entry Into Distribution Phase (Top Right) Market reaches Premium Ceil­ing Zone. Signs of exhaustion appear: Lower high formations Reversal zone highlighted Shift in character from expansion → distribution 4️⃣ Bearish Reversal Structure Forming The chart shows: A potential descending structure Expectation of liquidity sweeps followed by deeper decline First bearish target (Target One) around 3,902 Second bearish target (Target Two) around 3,700 These levels align with prior imbalances and discount pricing. 5️⃣ Market Psychology According to the Chart Bulls losing momentum after premium pricing reached Smart money distributing positions Expecting a retracement toward major discount areas Possible sweep of liquidity before continuation downward
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H4 | Gold accumulates on the trendlineLiamTrading – XAUUSD H4 | Gold accumulates on the trendline, waiting to break the structure for a breakout After testing the upward trendline twice, gold bounced up and then moved sideways around the 4065 area. On H4, this price zone has accumulated for almost a week – indicating that the selling force is not liquid enough to push the price down deeply, while there is still plenty of price gap above according to Fibonacci. My preferred scenario: gold continues to "compress" within the triangle, then breaks out to create a new wave. Macro – Fed context Fed member Collins emphasized that there is still reason to be cautious about cutting rates in the December meeting. She stated: This is a complex phase, and it's not unusual for internal disagreements within the Fed. The Fed must balance between the two goals of employment and inflation, which are moving in opposite directions. This makes it difficult for the market to clearly price the interest rate scenario, so gold continues to choose to accumulate around important technical zones instead of breaking out in one direction. Technical Analysis – Trendline, Fibonacci, Volume Profile The current H4 structure is a triangle model with: A downward sloping trendline from the old peak 42xx. An upward sloping trendline from the late October low, acting as dynamic support. Zone 4060–4070: the "balance" price zone last week – where the price moved sideways the longest, serving as a reference point for the short-term trend. Key levels: 4132: near resistance, coinciding with the VAH area of the current Volume Profile. 4171: higher resistance, near the Fibonacci 1.0 area of the recovery wave. 4242: Fibonacci extension confluence zone (1.618) + historical resistance – where strong profit-taking is likely. 4347: 2.618 expansion zone – reference target if the peak is successfully broken. 4022 and 3997: important support close to the lower trendline – main buy zone if there is a liquidity sweep. When the price decisively breaks out of one of the trendlines, the new trend on H4 will be clearer; the trading plan will follow this breakout direction. Risk management and invalidation H4 closes below 3997: the triangle structure is broken downward, fully prioritizing sell orders to lower zones – at that point, medium-term buy orders should not be held. H4 closes above 4245 with good volume: considered a successful triangle peak breakout, discard all sell orders in this area and focus on buying according to the new trend. Which scenario are you leaning towards for next week: breaking up to test 4242–4347 or sweeping down to 4022–3997 before bouncing back? Leave a comment and follow the LiamTrading channel on TradingView for daily XAUUSD updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD Bullish Retracement Setup from Support Zone Toward Key Re1. Market Structure Price is currently trading near a major support zone (~4055–4060 area), highlighted in blue. Multiple rejections from this zone in the past indicate strong buying interest. The structure shows higher lows forming intraday, suggesting bullish pressure building. 2. Key Zones 🔵 Support Zone (Entry Region) Marked around 4055–4060. Price dipped into this zone and bounced, showing a potential demand area for long positions. 🔵 Resistance Level (First Target Region) Around 4081–4098. This is the first major resistance the price is likely to test after bouncing. 🔵 Final Target Zone 4120 area, the upper major resistance. Previous highs around this level show strong selling interest historically. 3. Expected Price Movement The chart suggests a potential bullish move: Price bounces from the support (entry) area. Climbs toward 4081 (minor resistance). Retraces slightly. Continues upward toward 4097–4100. Final push toward 4120 target zone. This is a classic retracement + continuation bullish structure. 4. Trade Idea Bias: Bullish Entry: 4055–4060 (support zone) First TP: 4081 Second TP: 4097–4100 Final Target: 4120 Stop Loss: Below 4050 (beneath support zone)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAUUSD – Bearish Retracement Into Supply Zones With Potential Sh1. Overall Context The market recently had a strong bearish leg after rejecting the upper resistance zone (labelled HIGH PROB POI). Price is currently retracing upward into a series of supply zones, indicating a potential area for continuation shorts. 2. Key Zones High Probability POI (Supply) This is the upper beige zone. Previously caused a strong sell-off → confirms strong institutional presence. If price pushes this high again, it may offer the most reliable reversal area. Extreme POI The central horizontal zone marked “EXTREME POI”. Current price is tapping into it. Market may react here if sellers decide to re-enter early. 3. Internal Structure A series of labeled SSS (Sell-Side Sweeps) indicate liquidity grabs beneath short-term lows. After sweeping these lows, price retraced upwards, likely moving toward premium territory to fill sell orders. The 80% level marked on the chart seems to be your optimal entry zone within the inefficiency/imbalance. 4. Entry Idea Your marked entry level 4080 sits inside the grey supply block. This aligns with: Prior breakdown zones Fresh supply Retracement to premium pricing Liquidity sweep structure This creates a high-probability short setup, assuming the trend continues downward. 5. Expectation If price respects the first supply zone (grey box), downside continuation should follow.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd