maintain uptrend, buy gold 3350Plan XAU day: 04 August 2025
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Gold prices (XAU/USD) retain a subdued tone during the first half of the European session on Monday, although the absence of sustained selling pressure keeps the metal within reach of the one-week high recorded earlier in the day. The US Dollar (USD) begins the new week with a modest recovery, partially retracing Friday’s decline triggered by softer-than-expected US employment data, supported in part by a rebound in US Treasury yields. This recovery exerts downward pressure on demand for the precious metal.
Nevertheless, the USD's upside remains limited amid increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will resume interest rate cuts as early as September. This anticipation continues to provide support for the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, a broadly cautious market mood—driven by persistent trade uncertainties and heightened geopolitical tensions—reinforces the appeal of Gold as a safe-haven asset and advises restraint among bearish market participants
personal opinion:!!!
Accumulated price zone around 3350 - 3364, buying power maintained. Gold buying point following the uptrend line today
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Support zone point: 3350 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Xauusdlong
Gold (XAU/USD) in Symmetrical Triangle – Short‑Term Squeeze,Price Structure & Technical Setup
Gold is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, showing lower highs and higher lows—a classic precursor to breakout in either direction
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Trendlines converge tightly around $3,326–$3,334, hinting at imminent directional acceleration
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🎯 Key Levels & Targets
Scenario Trigger Confirm Area Targets Stop Loss
Bullish Breakout above $3,344–$3,350 $3,369 → $3,396 → $3,422–$3,550 ~$3,340
Bearish Breakdown below ~$3,326–$3,320 $3,320 → $3,300 → $3,297 → $3,255 ~$3,335–$3,340
A breakout above $3,344–$3,350 validated with volume may drive prices toward $3,400+, with extended targets up to $3,550 or higher in bullish conditions
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A drop below $3,326–$3,320 risks further decline, targeting $3,300, $3,297, and eventually $3,255 if breakdown momentum builds .
📉 Market Context & Drivers
U.S. dollar strength, easing safe-haven demand, and optimistic trade sentiment are constraining gold’s upside unless breakout forces emerge .
Key upcoming catalysts: FOMC guidance, U.S. macro data (GDP, inflation), and geopolitical developments—their tone could tip the bias direction .
⚙️ Trade Rules & Risk Management
Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown—do not trade mid-range.
Confirm break with at least one close outside the triangle and rising volume .
Position sizing: Risk 1–2% per trade, adjust stop-loss to price structure ($8–$15 depending on volatility).
Take profits in stages: scale out at minor milestones (first targets), trail stop for extended targets.
Avoid chasing price within the middle of the triangle—risk/reward is unfavorable.
🧠 Why This Plan?
Follows textbook symmetrical triangle trading methodology: entry on breakout, stop beyond pattern opposite side, projection based on triangle height .
Aligns with broader outlook: bearish unless convincing upside breakout appears, consistent with analyst consensus hedging current bull exhaustion and wait‑and‑see on policy signals .
✅ Summary
Gold is coiling inside a tight triangle range near $3,326–$3,334, with breakout potential identified to either side:
Bullish breakout over $3,344–$3,350 targets up to $3,550 or beyond.
Bearish breakdown under $3,326–$3,320 risks slide towards $3,300–$3,255.
Wait for confirmation, apply disciplined risk controls, and let volume validate the move.
XAU/USDThis XAU/USD trade setup is a buy trade, showing a bullish view on gold. The entry price is 3288, the stop-loss is 3278, and the exit price is 3327. This setup aims for a 39-point gain while limiting the risk to 10 points, which gives a strong risk-to-reward ratio of nearly 1:4.
Buying at 3288 suggests that the trader expects gold prices to rise due to favorable market conditions, such as a weaker US dollar, lower bond yields, or increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset during economic uncertainty. The target at 3327 is likely set near a resistance level where profit can be booked once the price moves upward.
The stop-loss at 3278 protects the trader from excessive losses if the market reverses and moves downward. Since the stop-loss is tight, the trade requires close monitoring, and it is best executed during periods of strong bullish momentum in gold.
With disciplined risk management and strict adherence to the plan, this trade offers a good opportunity to profit from short-term price movement. Sticking to the entry, stop-loss, and target levels without emotional trading increases the chances of consistent success.
Breaking 3322, gold price continues to recoverPlan XAU day: 29 July 2025
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Gold prices (XAU/USD) advance to a new intraday high during the first half of the European session on Tuesday, recovering from the nearly three-week low around the $3,300 level reached the previous day. As market participants absorb the latest wave of trade-related optimism, lingering uncertainty ahead of this week’s key central bank events and high-impact US macroeconomic releases continues to lend support to the safe-haven precious metal.
At the same time, the US Dollar (USD) has eased slightly from its highest level since June 23, providing an additional tailwind for gold. Nonetheless, the increasingly widespread expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period is likely to limit any significant USD correction. Consequently, this may act as a headwind for the XAU/USD pair as attention turns to the highly anticipated FOMC meeting set to commence later today.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price recovered, broke 3322. Good buying power, continued to recover and accumulate above 3300
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Support zone point: 3322, 3302 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
XAU/USDThis XAU/USD trade setup is a buy trade, indicating an expectation that gold prices will rise. The entry price is 3318, the stop-loss is set at 3307, and the exit price is 3346. This setup shows a bullish outlook on gold, with the trader aiming to capture an upward move of 28 points from entry to exit. The stop-loss at 3307 limits the downside risk to 11 points, providing a reasonable risk-to-reward ratio of more than 1:2.
Buying at 3318 suggests that the trader expects gold to gain strength due to factors such as a weaker US dollar, lower Treasury yields, or increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. The target of 3346 is set at a key resistance level, where the trader expects to book profits.
Proper risk management is essential because gold can be volatile, especially during major economic news releases or geopolitical events. The trade should be monitored closely, ensuring that market conditions support a bullish move.
Overall, this setup provides a structured plan to enter long at 3318, place a tight stop-loss at 3307, and exit at 3346, aiming for disciplined and profitable trading in XAU/USD.
XAU/USDTrading XAU/USD, which represents gold priced in US dollars, requires a well-planned strategy that includes a defined entry price, stop-loss, and exit price. In this trade setup, the entry price is set at 3332, the stop-loss is placed at 3311, and the exit price or target is 3376. This setup suggests a bullish outlook on gold, meaning the trader expects the price to rise after entering the trade.
Entering at 3332 indicates that the trader is confident in buying gold at this level, expecting upward momentum. The target price of 3376 is approximately 44 points higher than the entry, offering a good potential profit. By setting the stop-loss at 3311, which is 21 points below the entry, the trader is managing risk in case the market moves against the position. The risk-to-reward ratio in this trade is favorable, as the potential reward is about twice the risk.
Gold prices are often influenced by factors such as inflation, interest rates, US dollar strength, and global economic uncertainty. A bullish position might be supported by weaker US economic data, lower Treasury yields, or geopolitical tensions that increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
This trade setup is best executed with proper risk management, ensuring that only a calculated portion of the trading capital is risked. It is important to monitor market conditions closely, as gold prices can be volatile due to sudden news events or changes in investor sentiment.
Overall, the trade aims to capitalize on upward momentum from 3332 to 3376, while limiting potential losses with a well-placed stop-loss at 3311. Following the plan with discipline and avoiding emotional trading is key to achieving consistent results in XAU/USD trading.
Gold (XAU/USD): Supply Zone Rejection & Bearish Breakdown Chart Breakdown:
Supply zone rejection: Gold revisited the “supply zone” (light green/grey area) and failed to break above — a classic signal of seller dominance.
Uptrend invalidated: A sharp rise (steep black trendline) ended with a peak marked by the green arrow, followed by a decisive breakdown.
Ichimoku Cloud test: Prices slipped through the Ichimoku components, reinforcing the shift to bearish sentiment.
Potential targets: The red/green risk‑reward box highlights a short position, targeting ~3,347 then ~3,318 levels (blue labels) as initial support zones.
Strong supply base: The extensive grey zone below marks a "stronger supply zone" — this could cap any modest bounce and keep the downtrend intact.
🔍 Interpretation:
Bias: Bearish — sellers have taken control after a failed breakout.
Strategy: Short on rallies toward the mid‑green/red box (~3,373–3,380), targeting ~3,347 first and then ~3,319. Watch for support at the strong supply region (~3,292) for potential reversal or consolidation.
Risk management: Keep stop above the red zone—above recent highs (~3,380+) to limit risk.
🚀 In a nutshell: After failing to break supply and losing its short‑term uptrend, gold appears poised for a pullback. The next key levels to watch are ~3,347 and ~3,319—where buyers might step back in, or the downtrend continues toward the deeper supply base.
Critical Breakdown: BTC/USD Poised to Fall — Waiting on H4 CloseAnalysis of the BTC/USD 4‑Hour Chart
From the chart you provided, here's how the technical situation looks:
Ascending trendline support has been tested multiple times and was recently breached this afternoon, signaling a possible shift from the bullish setup to a bearish continuation.
The price is now trapped within a descending triangle formation beneath a well‑defined swing high resistance zone. This reflects indecision in the market, with neither buyers nor sellers in clear control
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Key levels to monitor:
Support zone: ~$115,500, extending down to ~$111,300 and ~$105,600 as deeper targets if bearish momentum strengthens.
Resistance zone: ~$119,000–120,000 area, forming strong overhead supply
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The chart’s annotations align with a classic breakout strategy—with the caveat: wait for a confirmed close below the trendline before considering short positions (as noted in your “wait for this candle to close in red” comment).
Breakout confirmation would likely pave the way toward your indicated profit zones near ~$111k and ~$105k, with a larger potential down to ~$99.8k if further downside pressure builds.
🔍 What the Broader Market Signals
Technical sentiment from sources covering today’s analysis shows BTC/USD hovering just under $120,000, stuck within the defined range of $115.5k support to $120k resistance
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While there’s still neutral momentum in indicators like RSI and MACD, the short-term direction leans bearish if the breakdown is confirmed on the H4 timeframe
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Analysts emphasize that sustained movement above $116.5k could retarget resistance near $119–120k. A failure there and a move below $115.5k may thrust price deeper toward your downside zones
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✅ Trading Strategy Overview
Scenario Trigger Target Levels
Bearish Breakdown H4 candle closes below trendline ~$115.5k $111.3k → $105.6k → possible $99.8k zone
Bullish Rejection Bounce back above ~$116.5k and trending above resistance $119k–120k retest, potential breakout if sustained
Neutral / Wait-and-see No decisive candle close yet Hold for confirmation
⛳ Final Thoughts
chart highlights a critical point: don’t act prematurely. Wait for a decisive H4 candle close below the trendline before committing to shorts. Confirmed bearish action around the breakout could open the path to the lower targets you identified. However, if price rebounds above support and climbs above $116.5k, a short-term retest of $119k–120k is still in range.
Traders should maintain prudent risk management—watching the unfolding price action around these pivot points without overreaching. Let me know if you'd like help crafting entry/exit zones or risk profiles for this setup!
XAU/USD
On July 25, a strategic trade setup was identified in the XAU/USD pair with an entry price at 3371, a stop-loss at 3364, and a target exit at 3385. The trade capitalized on bullish momentum following a minor pullback, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:2. The price action showed strong support near the 3365 level, where buyers had previously stepped in, indicating a solid base for a potential upward move.
Entering at 3371 allowed the trade to ride the bullish wave as price moved above a short-term resistance. The stop-loss at 3364 was placed strategically just below the recent swing low, protecting capital in case of a reversal. The target at 3385 was aligned with a key resistance zone from earlier sessions, offering a realistic and achievable exit.
This setup was ideal for intraday or short-term traders looking to take advantage of price volatility in gold. Technical indicators, such as RSI and MACD, supported the bullish bias, and volume showed a surge during entry time. The trade closed in profit at 3385, reflecting a successful execution based on disciplined entry and exit criteria. Such trades highlight the importance of planning, analysis, and timely action in gold trading.
Gold price increased, broke 3360Plan XAU day: 21 July 2025
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Gold prices (XAU/USD) are extending their upward momentum for the second consecutive session on Monday, as buyers remain cautiously optimistic and await a decisive breakout above a multi-week trading range before committing to further gains. The US Dollar (USD) begins the new week on a softer footing amid mixed signals regarding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate outlook—an important factor currently supporting the precious metal.
Additionally, persistent concerns over the potential economic consequences of former President Donald Trump’s unpredictable trade policies are bolstering gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
personal opinion:!!!
Short term H1 frame, gold price breaks 3360 forming bullish structure. Uptrend continues to maintain
Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3377 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
price increase, gold price towards 3385Plan XAU day: 14 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
An already fragile global risk sentiment has deteriorated further in response to renewed tariff threats from US President Donald Trump targeting two of the country’s major trade partners—Mexico and the European Union. In separate letters sent on Saturday to European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, President Trump announced the potential for new tariffs, adding to more than 20 similar notices issued since last Monday.
This latest development has dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, as reflected in the broadly weaker tone across global equity markets, and may continue to provide support for safe-haven assets such as gold. However, mixed signals regarding the Federal Reserve’s near-term interest rate trajectory are preventing XAU/USD bulls from making aggressive moves or extending the recent rally to multi-week highs
personal opinion:!!!
Trade tensions between two major regions: the US and the EU, have made gold prices positive again, and market concerns that DXY and EURO will restrain each other's value.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3385 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold price stabilizes above 3300Plan XAU day: 10 July 2025
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Gold prices (XAU/USD) have pared a portion of their modest intraday gains but continue to maintain a positive bias for the second consecutive day, trading around the $3,320 level during the early European session on Thursday. Ongoing uncertainties surrounding US President Donald Trump’s trade policies and their potential implications for the global economy are keeping investors cautious. In addition, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower interest rates later this year continue to lend support to the non-yielding precious metal.
Meanwhile, the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting released on Wednesday indicated limited support for a potential rate cut as early as this month. This has provided a boost to the US Dollar (USD), which—alongside a broadly positive tone in equity markets—is capping the upside potential for gold as a safe-haven asset. As such, it would be prudent to await confirmation through sustained buying interest before anticipating further gains, as market participants turn their attention to upcoming US Weekly Jobless Claims data and speeches from Federal Reserve officials for near-term trading cues
personal opinion:!!!
Market accumulates, sideways above 3300 waiting for US unemployment news today
Important price zone to consider : !!!
support zone point: 3307 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold Price Setup: Bullish Continuation or Rejection? 🧠 Chart Analysis (XAU/USD – 1H):
Key Structure Highlights:
CHoCH (Change of Character) zones marked both up and down indicate a battle between bulls and bears.
Recent bullish CHoCH followed by a fair value gap (FVG) retest suggests potential continuation to the upside.
Price recently bounced strongly from demand zone, shown by the green arrows and strong candle reaction.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Price is trying to break back above the Kumo (cloud), a sign of bullish momentum building.
However, resistance is still present with the Kijun and Tenkan lines converging.
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
The current price is attempting to fill and break above the FVG zone.
A successful breakout above this area confirms bullish intention.
Fibonacci Levels:
Price is hovering around the 0.5 - 0.618 retracement zone, often a strong reversal or continuation point.
Upside targets lie near the 0.786 retracement (3352) and ultimate target at 3391, a major resistance level.
Risk Management:
Trade setup shows an excellent Risk:Reward ratio.
Stop-loss placed just below the last structure low.
Potential downside to 3290–3258 if breakout fails.
🟢 Possible Next Move:
Bullish Scenario: If price clears the FVG and breaks above 3353, expect continuation to 3391.
Bearish Rejection: If rejected at FVG/0.618 level, watch for a drop back to 3290 or even 3259.
Gold/USD Bullish Breakout Toward Target Zone Gold/USD Bullish Breakout Analysis 🚀🟢
The chart illustrates a strong bullish breakout from a consolidation zone, signaling upward momentum:
🔍 Key Technical Observations:
Support Zone: The price respected the support area around 3,325 – 3,330 USD, forming a solid base for reversal.
Bullish Structure: Series of higher lows and higher highs indicate a bullish trend formation.
Breakout Confirmation: Price broke above short-term resistance with a strong bullish candle, indicating buying pressure.
Trendline Support: The ascending trendline has held well, confirming trend continuation.
Target Point 🎯: Projected target is near 3,365 USD, which aligns with a previous resistance and Fibonacci confluence zone.
✅ Conclusion:
The breakout above resistance, supported by a bullish structure and momentum, suggests further upside potential toward the 3,365 USD target zone. As long as price holds above the breakout level, bullish bias remains valid.
🛑 Watch for invalidation if price falls back below 3,330 USD zone.
NF news and gold buying pressurePlan XAU day: 03 July 2025
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Gold prices (XAU/USD) are struggling to build on a modest intraday rebound from the $3,340 area, holding relatively steady near the upper boundary of the weekly range during the first half of the European session. Market participants appear cautious, opting to await the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for further clarity on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) potential rate-cut trajectory. This data is expected to play a pivotal role in shaping near-term demand for the US Dollar (USD) and could provide significant directional impetus for the non-yielding yellow metal.
personal opinion:!!!
Weak DXY is still the driving force for gold price to increase and recover around 3400, along with NF news not very positive for USD
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3395 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Policy instability, DXY falls sharply, gold recoversPlan XAU day: 01 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold Demand in China Expected to Rise Further
"In the first quarter of the year, China recorded a net export of 36 tons of gold to Hong Kong, reflecting a growing domestic demand for gold despite elevated prices. The uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policy has likely been a significant contributing factor. As a result, gold has seen increased appeal among Chinese investors as both an investment asset and a safe-haven store of value. In contrast, demand for gold jewellery likely remained subdued due to persistently high prices."
"China aims to expand its exploitable gold reserves by 5 to 10 percent by 2027, potentially in response to rising domestic demand, according to a statement from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released early last week. The country also plans to boost gold production by more than 5 percent over the next two years. While China is already the world’s largest gold producer, it continues to rely on imports to satisfy internal demand.
personal opinion:!!!
Trump administration's policy instability caused the dollar to lose value and gold to fall sharply. Gold is on the way to recovery, returning to the price range of 3366.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3366 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Double Top Breakdown at Resistance ZoneThe chart reveals a classic Double Top pattern formation near the 3,360–3,480 resistance zone, followed by a clear bearish rejection (highlighted with red arrows). This confirms the presence of strong supply pressure in that region.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
🔺 Double Top Pattern
The price formed two swing highs near the resistance zone, failing to break above.
After the second peak, the price started declining, confirming the reversal pattern.
📉 Bearish Channel
The recent downtrend is contained within a descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Price broke below the neckline of the double top pattern around 3,270.
🎯 Target Projection
Based on the height of the double top pattern, the projected downside target is near 3,207.5, aligning perfectly with the support zone marked below.
🟠 Historical Support Areas
The large orange circles indicate key reaction points, confirming that the 3,207–3,220 area has acted as support in the past.
📊 Outlook:
If the current bearish momentum continues, price is likely to head towards the support target zone at 3,207.5. Any pullback toward 3,320–3,350 could provide a shorting opportunity with stops above the recent highs.
🔧 Bias: Bearish
📍 Resistance: 3,360–3,480
📍 Support: 3,207–3,220
📍 Target: 3,207.5
Bears up 3366 , waiting for GDP ! XAUUSDPlan XAU day: 26 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some buyers for the second consecutive day on Thursday and maintains its positive momentum during the first half of the European session. The US Dollar (USD) continues to face strong selling pressure amid reports that US President Donald Trump is considering replacing Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, raising concerns about the central bank’s future independence. Additionally, growing expectations that the Fed may resume its rate-cutting cycle as early as July have pushed the USD to a more than three-year low, which supports demand for the non-yielding yellow metal.
personal opinion:!!!
European session buying pressure helped gold price successfully break 3340, continuing the upward trend 3366
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3367 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold price short growth: price zone 3345Plan XAU day: 25 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
US President Donald Trump criticized both Israel and Iran for violating a full ceasefire agreement shortly after it was announced. Moreover, media reports indicated that the recent US airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities likely did not destroy the core components but only delayed Tehran’s program by a few months. Trump, however, reiterated that Iran’s nuclear sites were completely destroyed.
Nonetheless, the ceasefire between Israel and Iran appears to be holding for now, with both sides declaring victory in the conflict and warning that they are prepared to resume hostilities if attacked. This keeps the geopolitical risk premium in play and is likely to continue supporting the safe-haven appeal of Gold ahead of key US macroeconomic data releases later in the week.
personal opinion:!!!
Accumulation price zone: 3300 - 3335 is being maintained in the Asian and European sessions. Pay attention to selling pressure in the liquidity zone 3345.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3345; 3367 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market