XAUUSD MONDAY MARKET OPENING PROJECTION 26.01.24he chart illustrates an analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, with a detailed projection for Monday's market opening on January 26, 2025. Key elements of the chart include:
Price Levels:
Current Price: $2,770.885.
Target Price: $2,785.816.
Stop Loss: $2,755.726.
Support Level: Around $2,766.852, marked by a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement line.
Technical Indicators:
Stochastic Oscillator (5,3): Indicates oversold conditions, with values of 16.24 and 20.94.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Shows a neutral reading of 52.22, suggesting no strong directional bias.
Projection:
The blue arrow anticipates a bullish movement from the current price toward the target price after a potential bounce near the $2,766.852 support zone.
A bearish scenario is mitigated with a stop loss at $2,755.726.
Context:
The analysis implies a buying opportunity around the support zone, aiming for a potential upward move.
This chart represents a calculated setup for traders, combining Fibonacci levels and momentum indicators to define a strategy for Monday's market session.
Xauusdsell
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 23.01.24Reason for Sell
Looking at the year ahead and 2025 and it will no doubt be interesting. Geopolitical risk remains a threat with the Middle East still on edge and the Russia-Ukraine situation no closer to a resolution. Just yesterday there were rumors that a proposal by the incoming Trump administration to delay Ukraine joining NATO by 10 years will not be accepted by the Kremlin.
Anyone with knowledge of the situation there will know that this will not change as the main reason for the conflict (at least from a Russian perspective) is Ukraine joining NATO. These developments are likely to keep some geopolitical risk premium in play and keep safe haven demand going.
Global Central Banks were one of the main drivers of the Gold price rise in 2024. This is expected to continue in 2025. The World Gold Council survey revealed in the second half of 2024 that Central Banks are likely to purchase more Gold in the next 12 months. This should further bolster demand for the precious metal.
When it comes to risks affecting Gold prices moving forward, it does get challenging. The reason for this is the incoming Trump administration is expected to do good things for the economy but some policies could lead to higher interest rates. This could weigh on Gold prices.
This is a double-edged sword however, in that the increased risk of uncertainty from Trump policy and concern around the impact of tariffs could actually bolster the demand for safe haven assets and thus Gold.
All in all analysts are largely pricing in further gains for the precious metal in 2025, personally I do see the potential for upside as well. However, I would not rule out a deeper correction before price does actually breach the current ATH resting around the 2790 handle.
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Gold strategy next week January 13 - 20Reasons Behind GOLD's Strong Rebound Despite Positive NFP and Unemployment Rate Data
After the release of the NFP and UR data, which showed solid job creation last month, Gold initially dropped sharply following the news.
However, investors soon reassessed the data and took a closer look at the revisions to previous months' figures. The job creation figure for the prior month (November) was revised downward significantly from the initially reported numbers. Combined with October’s revisions, the total downward adjustment for October and November amounted to approximately 800K jobs—a substantial revision!
This led investors to speculate that December’s job creation numbers, despite appearing strong now, might also be subject to downward revisions at the beginning of next month. Should this happen, the actual job creation for December might turn out to be less impressive than currently reported, or possibly even weaker. This “history repeating itself” factor influenced the market sentiment.
As a result, Gold staged a strong rebound after its initial sharp decline following the release of the data.
Outlook for Gold in the Coming Week
Gold is likely to revisit its recent high in the 2718–2721 range, given last week’s upward momentum. This level seems easily achievable. However, Gold has seen substantial gains in recent weeks, and a correction might be on the horizon. Such a pullback could fill liquidity gaps below, building stronger upward momentum to either retest or break through the all-time high resistance zone.
Key Events to Watch in January
Trump's Return to the White House: The inauguration could bring significant market volatility as we approach the end of the month.
Asian New Year Holidays: The late-January holidays could cause a period of reduced liquidity.
Given these factors, Gold may not yet have enough momentum to break through its all-time high. A correction is likely in the next 1–2 weeks, presenting opportunities for sell positions.
Trading Strategy
The key levels have already been marked on the chart. Specific entries will depend on daily price movements, and further updates will be provided accordingly. For now, focus on the resistance levels where price might react and drop back.
Take note!
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 31.12.24Reason for Bullish
XAUUSD is a symbol used in Forex trading to indicate the number of US dollars needed to buy one ounce of gold. Gold was used to determine the value of a country's currency. Nowadays, gold is still considered a very valuable asset and is used by traders as an investment opportunity.
GOLDEN TRADING STRATEGY FOR THE LAST DAY OF 2024GOLD UNDER PRESSURE DESPITE INCREASED GEOPOLITICAL RISKS
The gold market is experiencing an interesting paradox: While the demand for safe-haven assets has surged due to geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties, gold prices have yet to break out. The primary reason for this is the strengthening US dollar and the cautious stance of the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts.
However, the precious metal continues to maintain its long-term appeal due to its traditional role as a store of value, along with the trend of central banks increasing their gold purchases to diversify foreign exchange reserves. Market developments will largely depend on the policies of the new US administration and global geopolitical conditions.
Gold is currently facing a sell-off as investors remain on extended holiday breaks. Today is the last day of the year, and the market is expected to experience significant liquidity sweeps on major charts such as D1 and W. Caution is advised today. It might be wise to wait for the new year to begin and for the Nonfarm Payrolls report next week, after which prices may stabilize for trading.
For now, the market view today indicates price movement within a similar range as yesterday, approximately 30 points or more, so the range may be quite wide. Please pay attention to the price zones noted by ADMIN to achieve optimal and safe results for your account.
Currently, the trend still shows a strong downward movement, and yesterday we patiently waited for the best entry zone at the 00-02 area. After a sharp drop, the price is now retracing and forming wicks on the H4 chart. It is approaching the small resistance at 2610 - 2612, so we will wait to see how it reacts and consider a sell scalp here. If the upward momentum is strong, wait for the precise price point as outlined in the ADMIN note on the chart.
Trading Strategy:
Sell Zone: 2621 - 2623
SL: 2626
TP: 2615 - 2609 - 2605
Buy Zone: 2586 - 2584
SL: 2580
TP: 2592 - 2596 - 2600
As noted by ADMIN, these are the BUY/SELL zones based on the price range ANALYZED for the day. However, on the last day of the year, there may be cases where the market will sweep sharply and approach more distant price zones. Please keep an eye on the chart view that has been analyzed for you.
Gold trading strategy at the beginning of week 2. December 23A Record-Breaking Year for Gold
It can be said that in 2024, gold has been the most attractive investment channel, continuously breaking new records both domestically and internationally. Amid geopolitical tensions and forecasts about the social and economic situation, the price of gold is expected to continue rising in 2025.
First, there is the increasing instability in the global geopolitical landscape, with two ongoing conflicts in Europe and the Middle East, which have driven a surge in gold as a safe-haven asset.
The growing risks of global trade conflicts have also led central banks in emerging markets and Asia to follow the lead of central banks in developed markets, allocating more of their reserves into gold.
The accumulation of gold by central banks worldwide is seen as a shield against external shocks, such as potential trade wars from the second term of President Donald Trump and geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East. Eastern European countries are trying to fill their gold reserves.
Throughout the year, gold has broken numerous records: 2,500 USD/oz, 2,600 USD/oz, 2,700 USD/oz, and reached a new peak of 2,826.2 USD/oz on October 30. As of December 20, the global gold price is trading around 2,602 USD/oz, up over 26% from the beginning of the year.
Goldman Sachs forecasts that the price of gold could hit 3,000 USD/oz by the end of 2025. The investment bank has also listed gold as one of the top commodities for 2025, with the policies of the newly elected President Donald Trump potentially driving further price increases.
In terms of technical analysis, in the short and medium term, a bearish structure has been confirmed. The hope is that the downtrend will continue into the next week, but there is also an expectation for prices to rise slightly at the beginning of the week in order to find better selling positions.
Note that next week will include Christmas and New Year holidays, so the market may not move too much.
Currently, gold is trading within the range of 2,663 - 2,582. A break above or below this range will determine the next levels of resistance and support.
For now, keep an eye on the price range of (2,632 - 2,636) and the range (2,600 - 2,604). We will wait for the gap to close before making safer trades toward the end of the year.
Trading Plan
Sell Zone: 2,650 - 2,652
SL: 2,656
TP: ????
Buy Zone: 2,601 - 2,603
SL: 2,595
TP: ????
Pay attention to the trading ranges during the Asian and European sessions. We will update new price ranges for the U.S. session to assist traders. Note that the market is less liquid toward the end of the year, which could lead to price manipulation candles, so always be cautious with stop losses for each trading signal.
GOOD LUCK!
XAUUSD WEEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 22.12.24Central bank purchases of gold have been one of the strongest factors driving its price. This trend is likely to continue as central banks seek alternatives to US-dollar-dominated assets. Goldman analysts also believe that any escalation in trade tensions or geopolitical risks could further enhance gold's appeal.
Gold trading strategy on December 19 after the FOMC newsFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that policymakers want to see further progress on inflation reduction before considering any future interest rate cuts.
Higher interest rates reduce the appeal of assets that do not yield returns. As a result, the U.S. Dollar Index surged more than 1%, reaching its highest level in two years, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. Meanwhile, the yield on the 10-year U.S.
Treasury bond hit its highest level in four weeks. Investors are now awaiting upcoming GDP and inflation data from the U.S., which are set to be released this week. These two key indicators could shape expectations for future monetary policy.
Although the Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, gold still declined sharply due to a lowered outlook for future rate cuts next year, with only two cuts expected instead of the previously forecasted four. Currently, the CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 10% chance of the Fed cutting rates further in January.
In general, while the Fed did implement a rate cut in this meeting, it also signaled that the pace of rate cuts could slow, and future rate decisions will depend on upcoming economic data.
With the indication of a pause in rate cuts and fewer expected reductions next year, it is likely that gold will continue to face downward pressure. Currently, with a slight recovery in early Asian trading, it presents an opportunity to look for a good price to sell.
+ Scalping strategy
- Buy Scalp: 2606 - 2604
- Stop Lost: 2600
- Take Profit : 2610
- Sell Scalp : 2618 - 2620
- Stop Lost : 2624
- Take Profit : 2614
+ Trading Plan
- Sell Zone : 2633 - 2636
- Stop Lost : 2638
- Take Profit : ?????
- Buy Zone : 2593 - 2591
- Stop Lost : 2588
- Take Profit : ?????
- Buy Zone : 2585 - 2583
- Stop Lost : 2580
- Take Profit : ?????
Although the outlook for interest rate cuts has diminished, and the Fed may pause further rate reductions, gold could still face downward pressure. However, in the long term, the three rate cuts by the Fed have made gold cheaper, and the "opportunity cost" of holding gold has significantly decreased compared to the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. As a result, gold remains relatively cheap compared to the dollar. Therefore, the overall trend for gold is likely to remain upward, with any declines being short-term and driven by temporary hawkish views within the Fed. Before increasing again, gold may drop another 50-70 price, or even 100 price.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTIONA "gold sell-side movement" refers to a situation in the gold market where there is a significant selling pressure, meaning more investors are looking to sell their gold holdings than buy, causing the price of gold to decline; essentially, the "sell side" of the market is driving the price downward due to increased selling activity.
XAUUSD GOD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTIONIf demand for the real metal goes up due to economic or political factors, it tends to increase XAUUSD's price too. The same things that impact supply and demand for gold bullion – like market conditions, policies, and shortages/ surpluses – also feed into movements in the gold/ dollar rate
#XAU Donald Trump was elected and the adjustment rhythm of Gold.Market analysis for Gold (XAUUSD) on November 7, 2024:
The news of Donald Trump's re-election as President of the United States has had a significant impact on the global financial market. A decrease in gold prices was anticipated, but the drop of nearly 100 points still caused turmoil in the market. It is highly likely that this correction will continue to deepen.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Key price levels to watch:
SELL zone: 2680 - 2685, 2700 - 2705, and 2712 - 2717.
BUY zone: 2632 - 2640 and 2600 - 2605.
Recommended order:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2683 - 2685
SL 2688
TP 2680 - 2670 - 2650 - 2640
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2703 - 2705
SL 2708
TP 2700 - 2690 - 2680 - 2640.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2712 - 2714
SL 2717
TP 2709 - 2700 - 2680 - 2640.
SHORT TRADE IDEA IN GOLD - XAUUSDSymbol - XAUUSD
XAUUSD is currently trading at 2733
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting XAUUSD at CMP 2733
I will add more quantity at 2747, If comes. Holding with SL 2760
Targets I'm expecting are 2704 - 2687 & 2674
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 24.1024Reason for Bearish
1. Breaked Major Support 2720 yesterday and now retesting tthe breaked Zone
2. Rsi 14 below 50 and tends to be selling confirmation
3. Stochastic Overbiught in abobe 80 and 1h Bearish Movement
Over all Projection
XAUUSD SELL 2720-23
SL 2730
TP 1 2715
TP 2 2710
TP 3 2701
XAUUSD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 19.10.24Reason for Bullish
Gold hit a record high last month. Goldman Sachs analysts think it's not done rising.
1
The firm in a Monday note said it has a price target of $2,700 per ounce on the precious metal. That's actually a bit less bullish than before, since the bank is now targeting early next year instead of later in 2024 — but that's still an 8% premium over the $2,525 high on Aug. 27.
2
CNBC. “Gold / US Dollar Spot.”
Gold futures ticked higher Wednesday to around $2,524 an ounce.