#XAU Donald Trump was elected and the adjustment rhythm of Gold.Market analysis for Gold (XAUUSD) on November 7, 2024:
The news of Donald Trump's re-election as President of the United States has had a significant impact on the global financial market. A decrease in gold prices was anticipated, but the drop of nearly 100 points still caused turmoil in the market. It is highly likely that this correction will continue to deepen.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Key price levels to watch:
SELL zone: 2680 - 2685, 2700 - 2705, and 2712 - 2717.
BUY zone: 2632 - 2640 and 2600 - 2605.
Recommended order:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2683 - 2685
SL 2688
TP 2680 - 2670 - 2650 - 2640
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2703 - 2705
SL 2708
TP 2700 - 2690 - 2680 - 2640.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2712 - 2714
SL 2717
TP 2709 - 2700 - 2680 - 2640.
Xauusdsell
SHORT TRADE IDEA IN GOLD - XAUUSDSymbol - XAUUSD
XAUUSD is currently trading at 2733
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting XAUUSD at CMP 2733
I will add more quantity at 2747, If comes. Holding with SL 2760
Targets I'm expecting are 2704 - 2687 & 2674
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 24.1024Reason for Bearish
1. Breaked Major Support 2720 yesterday and now retesting tthe breaked Zone
2. Rsi 14 below 50 and tends to be selling confirmation
3. Stochastic Overbiught in abobe 80 and 1h Bearish Movement
Over all Projection
XAUUSD SELL 2720-23
SL 2730
TP 1 2715
TP 2 2710
TP 3 2701
XAUUSD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 19.10.24Reason for Bullish
Gold hit a record high last month. Goldman Sachs analysts think it's not done rising.
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The firm in a Monday note said it has a price target of $2,700 per ounce on the precious metal. That's actually a bit less bullish than before, since the bank is now targeting early next year instead of later in 2024 — but that's still an 8% premium over the $2,525 high on Aug. 27.
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CNBC. “Gold / US Dollar Spot.”
Gold futures ticked higher Wednesday to around $2,524 an ounce.
XAUUSDENTRY TARGET SL Mention in the chart.
ALWAYS TAKE TRADE WITH CONFIRMATION
Note : Trading in any financial market is very risky. I post ideas for educational purpose only. It is not financial advice. Do not hold us responsible for any potential loss you may incur. Please consult your financial adviser before trading.
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 03.10.24Reason for Bullish
Several media outlets reported that Israel delivered a harsh response to the recent Iranian attack by bombing central Beirut in the early hours of Thursday. Lebanese security officials said that three missiles also struck the southern suburb of Dahiyeh, the place of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah's killing. Lebanese health officials also reported that multiple people were injured following Israel’s strike in Beirut.
Iranian forces on Tuesday used hypersonic Fattah missiles for the first time and 90% of its missiles successfully hit their targets in Israel. Tehran said this attack was in response to Israeli killings of militant leaders and aggression in Lebanon against the Iran-backed armed movement Hezbollah and in Gaza.
Despite the increasing risks of the Israel-Iran conflict turning into a wider regional war in the Middle East, Gold price is struggling to capitalize on the risk-off flows, as diminishing odds of a 50 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the Fed in November keep the sentiment around the US Dollar underpinned at the expense of the non-interest-bearing Gold price.
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 01.10.24Reason for gold bullish
However, geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and market uncertainty are among the major triggers that have helped yellow metal maintain an uptrend in 2024. They said that gold prices are expected to remain bullish and touch $2,640 and $2,660 per troy ounce soon.
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 01.10.24Reason for sell
Central banks hold paper currencies and gold in reserve. As central banks diversify their monetary reserves (away from the paper currencies they accumulate and into gold) the price of gold typically rises. Many of the world’s nations have reserves that are composed primarily of gold.
Bloomberg reported that global central banks have been buying the most gold since the United States abandoned the gold standard in 1971, with 2019 figures dipping just modestly from 2018’s 50-year record.
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After a downtick in central bank gold purchases in 2020, the pace picked up again in 2021 and surpassed the 50-year record again in 2022. 2023 also saw a significant growth in central bank gold reserves.
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The top gold buyer in 2022 was the central bank of Türkiye, followed by Uzbekistan, India, and Qatar. The top gold buyers in 2023 were China, Singapore, and the Czech Republic.
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Silver Bullion. "Top 5 Countries That Were Net Buyers of Gold in 2023."
Plan trading XAU 23.09.20214➡️ Technical Analysis:
Over a long period of time, Gold has formed a reaccumulation structure, and based on cyclical timing, Gold has broken upwards, creating a SOS (Sign of Strength). I've discussed the cyclical nature of Gold in live sessions multiple times.
On the H4 chart, we can see that it has created a SOS, and currently, we have a Backup/LPS zone around 2523 - 2530 that hasn't been retested yet. It might not happen in the coming week, but Gold will soon return to retest this level.
On a smaller timeframe, like M15, Gold is also forming a reaccumulation range.
There is synchronization across timeframes, so I prioritize a BUY strategy with a full target for this week at 2644.
A key area to focus on is the Swap Point, which I’ve noted at 2600.
Pay attention as the price moves higher and breaks the ATH (All-Time High); there will be increasing selling pressure. If there are sharp drops with large volumes, avoid jumping in immediately. Wait for stable signals before entering trades!
Plan XAU 20.09.2024✔️ I think gold will move within a wide sideways range today. If you're looking to SELL, aim for the top at 2597 - 2598.
✔️ The lower points will be BUY zones. For these points, manage your capital carefully and gradually with every 1/2R, guys.
✔️ Gold's movement yesterday was quite surprising. Those who SOLD at the FOMC peak likely got stopped out, and the same for those who BOUGHT. This range is quite wide and difficult to trade, so make sure to trade with consistent and stable volume. Don’t double your position size out of frustration from a single stop-loss and let it affect your mindset!
✔️ It's Friday today, wishing you successful trading!
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 17.09.24XAUUSD can be influenced by global news and economic data releases, but its price does not fluctuate as rapidly as that of stocks, cryptocurrencies and other risky assets. In times of economic uncertainty, investors use gold to save their funds. Knowing their funds are safe.
XAUUSD 4H SWING SELL PROJECTION 13.09.24Technical Reason for Gold Sell
You're looking for technical reasons to sell gold. Here are a few:
1. Overbought conditions: If gold's Relative Strength Index (RSI) exceeds 70, it may be due for a correction.
2. Trend line break: A break below a key trend line, like the 50-day moving average, could signal a sell.
3. Chart patterns: A head and shoulders pattern or a double top could indicate a reversal.
4. Fundamental changes: A strengthening US dollar, rising interest rates, or improved economic conditions could reduce gold's appeal.
Keep in mind that technical analysis is not foolproof, and it's essential to combine it with fundamental analysis and market news. Would you like more information on gold trading?
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION Reason for Bullish
Interest Rate Cuts and Economic Indicators
Two Federal Reserve policymakers voiced their opinion on Tuesday, stating it would be “reasonable” to expect three interest rate cuts in the U.S. within the year. This perspective comes despite a backdrop of robust economic indicators, which have led some investors to question the feasibility of such moves. The anticipation of interest rate adjustments is a critical factor influencing financial markets and investment strategies.
Surge in Gold Prices
The price of gold has surged over 10% since the start of the year, cementing its status as a preferred hedge against inflation and a sanctuary amid political and economic uncertainty. This significant uptick is largely due to considerable purchases by central banks and a rising demand for safe-haven assets.
Gold and Silver Prices Today
As of April 5th, 2024, the precious metals market has observed noteworthy movements. Gold prices have reached new highs, driven by global trends and market dynamics, reflecting the continuous appeal of gold as an investment.
U.S. Economic Outlook
Recent data indicates a slowdown in the growth of the U.S. services industry for March, with a concurrent reduction in the prices businesses pay for inputs, hitting a four-year low. These developments suggest a potentially favorable outlook for inflation, influencing investment decisions and monetary policy.
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 10.09.24Reason for Bearish
Gold prices have continued to hit fresh highs in 2024 due to a wide range of factors — from escalating geopolitical risks and the interest rate outlook to budget deficit concerns, inflation hedging and central bank buying.
Gold’s blistering rally this year was partly fueled by expectations the Federal Reserve (Fed) would cut interest rates as many as three times in 2024, as stubborn inflation started to ease. But current projections suggest only one rate cut is penciled in for the remainder of 2024.
Traditionally, a weaker U.S. dollar and lower U.S. interest rates increase the appeal of non-yielding bullion. But a significant decoupling started to emerge in early 2022 and gold’s relationship with U.S. real yields has broken down even further this year.
“Gold’s resurgence has come earlier than expected, as it further decouples from real yields. We have been structurally bullish gold since the fourth quarter of 2022 and with gold prices surging past $2,400 in April, the rally has come earlier and has been much sharper than expected. It has been especially surprising given that it has coincided with Fed rate cuts being priced out and U.S. real yields moving higher due to stronger labor and inflation data in the U.S,” said Gregory Shearer, Head of Base and Precious Metals Strategy at J.P. Morgan.
XAUUSD 15M ASCENDING TRIANGLE BUY PROJECTION 09.09.24Reason for Bullish
Key Takeaways
The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically break out of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle, although this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy.
A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern.
A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout.
A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
XAUUSD/GOLD 30M BUY PROJECTION 09.09.24nternally, factors such as domestic demand, currency exchange rates, and government policies play a significant role in shaping gold's trajectory. For instance, a surge in demand for gold during cultural festivities or a weakening domestic currency can propel prices upwards
XAUUSD/GOLD NFP NEWS FORCAST 06.09.24The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is a monthly US labor market indicator that measures the number of jobs added or lost in the previous month. The NFP report is released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is usually available on the first Friday of each month.
The NFP report is a significant economic indicator that can have a big impact on the global financial markets. Here are some reasons why the NFP report is important:
Forex market
The NFP report is one of the most significant news announcements in the foreign exchange (forex) market, causing large movements in the market.
Interest rate policy
The Federal Reserve pays close attention to the NFP report when setting interest rate policy.
Economic expansion
Increasing NFP numbers may indicate economic expansion, but they may also be a sign of inflation.
Economic concerns
Decreasing NFP numbers may indicate broader economic concerns.
There are two ways to trade the NFP report:
Before the release
Use deductive reasoning to predict the market's direction before the NFP number is released.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 06.09.24The behavior of gold around the 20-Day line, along with the bull breakout of the triangle, the accompanying long-term bull trend breakout to new record highs, followed by a minor pullback that holds above key support, are all bullish technical signs. They point to an eventual continuation of the bull trend