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Gold Hits Buy Zone – Wait! Here's What to Confirm…◆ Market Context On the M30 chart, the market shows a shift from a downtrend to a short-term recovery phase after forming BOS and CHoCH at the nearest bottoms. However, the upward movement has hit a prolonged downtrend line and reacted sharply downward again. This indicates that the trendline and upper resistance zone still maintain significant selling pressure. ◆ SMC & Price Action • After breaking the upward BOS, the price made a strong push to 4,219 but couldn't sustain it, forming a downward reaction at the trendline and resistance zone. • The Resistance Zone 4,211 – 4,219 has been confirmed by multiple price rejections. • Currently, the market is adjusting to the Buy Support – Fibo – iFvG zone around 4,192. This is the first short-term support zone to test the buying momentum. • If this zone doesn't hold, the price may return to the deeper liquidity zone 4,173 – where a large number of buyers' stop-losses are concentrated. ◆ Important Price Zones Resistance (selling zone): • 4,211 • 4,219 Short-term support: • 4,192 (Fibo + iFvG + small OB) Deeper support – Liquidity Pool: • 4,173 (target zone if 4,192 support is broken) ◆ Main Trading Scenarios ➤ Scenario 1: Price holds at 4,192 • Wait for reversal signals at the support zone • Recovery targets: ▪ 4,211 ▪ 4,219 • If 4,219 is broken → the price may extend to a higher zone, but there is currently no confirmation signal for this. ➤ Scenario 2: Price breaks 4,192 support • Short-term upward structure invalidated • Prioritize following the downtrend • Next targets: ▪ 4,173 ▪ monitor liquidity reactions in this area to identify subsequent buying opportunities ➤ Scenario 3: Retrace to resistance for further selling If the price retraces to 4,211 – 4,219 but doesn't break: • Monitor rejection patterns • This is a suitable zone to continue the downward movement following the main flow ◆ Summary • The main trend still leans towards a decline, with the downtrend line in control. • The 4,192 zone is a crucial reaction point to determine if buyers still have enough strength. • If 4,192 is lost, the market is likely to seek liquidity at 4,173. • If 4,192 holds, the price may recover to 4,211 – 4,219 before determining the next direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
1
XAU/USD: SEIZE THE BUYING OPPORTUNITY BEFORE THE FED STORM!1. 📰 Fundamental Analysis (FA) Cash flow is focusing on the FED this Wednesday. Rate cut: A 25 basis point cut is expected. This puts downward pressure on the USD, pushing Gold (a non-yielding asset) to rise. Safe haven: Ongoing Ukraine tensions further support the rise of precious metals. Risk: Strong employment data (JOLTS) could slow the USD's decline, but the main trend remains policy easing. 2. 📊 Technical Analysis (TA) On the 1H chart, Gold is completing a correction to the important Demand zone. Buy Zone (Order Block): 4,175.00 – 4,195.00. This is where Smart Money accumulates before major events. Target 1 (TP1): 4,228.214 – Fill the price gap (FVG). Target 2 (TP2): 4,259.407 – Potential supply zone (POI). Stop Loss (SL): Below 4,170.00 to protect the account if the scenario changes. Strategy: Wait for the price to drop to 4,176.247 and a reversal signal to appear on the M15 chart to trigger a Long order. Be cautious of Chairman Powell's statements! #XAUUSD #Gold #FED #FOMC #InterestRates #SmartMoneyConcept #OrderBlock #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jeremy_NPC
Chumtrades XAUUSD Outlook – Will Gold Continue Sideways Today?🎯 XAUUSD – Sideway Day Before FOMC 1️⃣ Market Context H4 is clearly moving sideways: small candle bodies – long upper and lower wicks, indicating hesitation before FOMC (occurring the night of the 11th into the morning of the 12th). The price is currently locked in the H4 range: Lower boundary: 4176–4180 Upper boundary: 4215–4218 Today I am observing the price moving sideways within this range. 2️⃣ Intraday Trading Strategy 🟢 BUY low – priority Watch for reactions at the zones: 4180 – 4182 4174 – 4178 (bottom of H4 range) 4155 – 415X (most attractive BUY zone) → Short target: 4200 – 4210 → SL below support zone by 100 pips 🔻 SELL high – priority Watch for reactions at: 4212 – 4218 (top of H4 range) 4230 – 4233 (strong resistance – most attractive sell zone) → Target: return to mid-range 4190 → bottom of range 417X → SL above resistance zone by 100 pips The nearest zone is 4202-4198, this entry can be considered 3️⃣ Expected Movement Today → Sideways within H4 box 4176 ⇆ 4212. Just trade according to the range: buy low – sell high. Expected daily fluctuation range is 50-55 prices. A true breakout may occur tomorrow or the day after, as the market prepares for this week's FOMC. 📌 Note Prioritize candle reactions at price zones. Avoid FOMO in the middle of the range. Divide positions smaller than usual as the market tightens before major news. Find this analysis useful? Press Follow to update the plan daily before trading hours and discuss more effective strategies! Wishing everyone a day of total victory in trading!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
3
Market Accumulating Liquidity, Two Clear Scenarios for TodayGold continues to move within a bullish structure, but short-term order flow shows distribution inside the OBS Sell Zone 4,236. Price is currently trapped in the middle of the range, suggesting the market may need a liquidity sweep before choosing its next direction. Fundamentally, expectations of a dovish Fed still support gold on deeper pullbacks — but intraday, the two MMF flow setups are extremely clear. 📊 Technical Outlook (MMF Flow – H1) 🔸 OBS SELL ZONE: 4,236 • Strong reaction on first touch → supply confirmed • Downtrend line converges here → high probability of liquidity traps 🔸 OBS BUY ZONE: 4,197 • First key demand zone below • Aligned with channel support → likely bullish reaction 🔸 Sell-side Liquidity: 4,181 • If price sweeps this area → ideal reversal point 🔸 Premium SELL Reaction Zone: 4,284 • If gold expands upward → priority area for distribution / short-term correction 🎯 Two Main MMF Scenarios Scenario 1 – SELL reaction → BUY trend continuation • Price retests 4,236 • Bearish reaction → pushes price toward 4,197 – 4,181 • Reversal signal appears • Targets: 4,236 → 4,284 ➡️ This is the cleanest play following today’s liquidity flow. Scenario 2 – Direct bullish expansion • Price breaks and closes above 4,236 • Retests this zone • Expands toward 4,284 ➡️ Requires strong bullish momentum — no confirmation, no trade. 🧭 MMF Intraday Bias • Bullish as long as price holds above 4,197 • Neutral → Bearish only if price closes below 4,181 (failed liquidity sweep) The market is preparing for a breakout — let liquidity do its job before choosing direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
XAU/USD : Buy at OB 4,19x – 4,18x, Targets 4,24x → 4,26x 1. Market Structure (H1) Gold is retracing back into bullish structure after breaking a series of bullish ChoCH and BoS, forming a new high around 4,24x. The current decline is only a technical pullback because: • Price is returning to the Buy Order Block at 4,188 – 4,196. • This zone aligns with trendline support and the demand base that fueled the previous impulse. • The macro structure remains bullish as long as H1 does not close below 4,188. → This is a clear pullback–continuation setup: wait for price to retrace into discount, then target higher zones. 2. Key Levels 🔹 Demand Zone (Buy Zone): 4,188 – 4,196 • Bullish OB • Trendline support • Priority BUY area 🔹 Resistance 1: 4,217 – 4,218 • Multiple rejections • Breakout → next bullish leg 🔹 Resistance 2: 4,238 – 4,239 • 0.5–0.618 Fibo confluence • Possible mild sell reaction 🔹 Liquidity & Targets: • 4,259 → Fibo 1.272 • 4,278 → Fibo 1.618 + resting liquidity 3. Trading Plan 🔸 Main Scenario – BUY at OB 4,19x – 4,18x Conditions: • Price taps 4,188 – 4,196 • Reversal signals: pin bar, engulfing, or bullish ChoCH Targets: TP1: 4,217 TP2: 4,238 TP3: 4,259 TP4: 4,278 Invalidation: • H1 close below 4,185 → stay out. 🔸 Alternate Scenario – Price goes up without retesting OB If price holds above 4,210 and breaks 4,217: • Wait for retest of 4,217 • BUY continuation toward 4,238 → 4,259 → 4,278 Market Outlook Gold is accumulating and building a base for a stronger breakout. The OB Buy zone 4,19x – 4,18x remains the highest-probability reversal area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
1
XAU/USD: Buy at OB 4.18x–4.17x; Sell on reaction.✍️ Captain Vincent – SMC Flow Analysis 📊 Market Structure (H1) Gold continues to accumulate within the range of 4,200–4,220 after failing to break the recent peak. The structure shows: • Multiple ChoCH – BoS declines → selling pressure still leads in the short term. • However, the OB Buy 4,184–4,170 zone remains a crucial structural bottom, where buyers react strongly once swept. • Above, the market leaves a Liquidity Sell area at 4,261, a natural target if gold gathers enough liquidity below. → The current phase is liquidity gathering before making a big move. 💎 Key Levels – Price Zones to Watch 🔸 Resistance / Sell Zone • 4,218 → intraday resistance, price reacts multiple times. • 4,243–4,244 → confluence of sideways peak + old BoS. • Liquidity Sell: 4,261 → extended target if price breaks strongly upwards. 🔸 Support / Buy Zone • 4,200–4,201 → short-term price balance zone. • OB Buy 4,184–4,170 → strong demand, where the previous trend initiated. • If breaking 4,170 → price may sweep deeper but remains in the ideal discount zone for BUY hunting. 🎯 Trading Plan – Clear and Easy to Follow 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Prioritize BUY at OB 4,184–4,170 Expect the market to create a sweep below 4,200, touching OB Buy to gather liquidity before bouncing up. BUY Conditions: • Price touches 4,184–4,170 • Reversal signals appear on M15–H1: pin bar, engulfing, rising ChoCH • Decline slows down or buying force becomes clear Targets: • TP1: 4,190 • TP2: 4,200 • TP3: 4,215 • TP4 extended: 4,261 (Liquidity Sell) Invalidation: H1 closes below 4,165 → stay out and reassess the structure. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Short SELL when price retests 4.24x If the price does not drop immediately but pulls up: SELL Conditions: • Retest 4,243–4,244 • Strong reaction appears: rejection wick, declining ChoCH • Must not close H1 above 4,250 Targets: • TP1: 4,235 • TP2: 4,225 • TP3: OB Buy 4,184–4,170 Invalidation: H1 closes above 4,250 → stop SELL, shift bias to observe breakout. 3️⃣ Extended Scenario – Sweep peak 4,261 Only activate when: • Price bounces strongly from OB Buy • Clear breakout of 4,243 zone • Structure forms HL → HH At that point, gold will tend to run straight up to sweep liquidity at 4,261 before the market chooses a new direction. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Do not BUY when price is still within the resistance zone 4,218–4,243. • SELL is only a short-term strategy, do not go against the major trend if a breakout occurs. • OB Buy 4,184–4,170 is the zone with the highest probability of triggering an upward wave.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Price Compressing Below Trendline, Waiting for a Liquidity SweepGold continues to consolidate inside a narrow range as markets wait for fresh USD flows and upcoming Fed expectations. Sellers are losing momentum, but buyers still haven’t secured a clean breakout as price remains capped beneath the short-term descending trendline. Current structure suggests a classic “liquidity sweep → bullish reversal” setup, with clear liquidity buildup sitting underneath the market. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (H1) 1️⃣ Price reacting around a previous POC zone (Volume Profile) Heavy traded area → easy for fake moves No clean breakout above 4,218 yet 2️⃣ Key Levels – Main Setup Favors “Dip-Buy” Important zones: 4,218 – 4,220 → Minor supply + descending trendline; breakout needed for bullish continuation 4,190 – 4,181 → Liquidity sweep zone (ideal buy area) 4,242 → Main upside target if breakout confirms Structure shows price may dip lower first to clear liquidity before reversing upward. 🎯 MMF Daily Plan – BUY After Liquidity Sweep ▶️ Primary Scenario (High-Probability) Wait for price to sweep liquidity into 4,190 → 4,181. 🔹 BUY Zone: 4,190 – 4,181 🔹 SL: below 4,172 🔹 TP1: 4,218 🔹 TP2: 4,242 Why this works: Confluence: liquidity pocket + fib retracement + structural demand MMF Flow suggests a clearing phase before bullish expansion ▶️ Secondary Scenario (Break & Retest) If price breaks strongly above 4,218, wait for a clean retest to join the trend. 🔹 Entry: 4,218 – 4,220 🔹 TP: 4,242 🧭 MMF Bias Today Bias: Neutral → Bullish as long as 4,180 holds Avoid FOMO buys into 4,218 resistance Only engage after a sweep or a clear BOS + retest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Holding Breath for FOMC News - Will History Repeat?XAUUSD Trading Idea Today 10/12/25 (FOMC - Big News) Will history repeat: Before the news: Sideway | News release: prioritize SELL Today's range: 417X–423X Expectation: FOMC release leads to selling (Powell is usually hawkish → price drops like in September & October) 1) Intraday Trading (catching the Sideway range) Upper range: 4218–4220 4230–4233 Lower range: 4170–4173 4180–4182 → Morning & afternoon prioritize catching the range – trade within the range for safety before the news. 2) During the news (for those who trade the news) Not suitable for those who are risk-averse, so you can skip if you can't handle it. Limit if you want to learn and profit using a very small account. 1) 4218–4220 (Risk-only) (if it doesn't break all day) • High reaction area • Safe → skip • Risk → Probe sell, small SL 2) 4230–4233 (Main Sell) • Strong resistance within the range 3) 4240–4244–424X (Best Sell) • Liquidity zone • If spike during/before news → High RR sell 3) Target down TP1: 418X TP2: 416X-5x TP3: 409X (main target – swing + FVG + fibo) 4) BUY? Attention area: 4150-52 4128-32 4102-96 5) Note on the news This scenario holds if Powell maintains a hawkish tone. If Powell is more "dovish" → it may go against expectations. Risk-averse traders → do not trade the news. News traders → use a small account to test market reactions. Quick Summary Before the news → Sideway, catch the range 417X–423X News release → prioritize SELL SELL zone: 4218, 4230–4233, 4240–4244 Main target: 409X The price will move with each statement from the Fed Chairman and keep an eye on Trump too. Wishing everyone a victorious day.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
XAU/USD hits OB Sell zone; watch for trend confirmation.◆ Market Context The market is in a phase of forming lower highs after a strong drop from the 4,248 area. The most recent volatility shows the price creating a bearish CHoCH, then confirming a Break of Structure (BOS) — indicating a shift from equilibrium to a bearish bias. Each recent rally has stopped below previous highs, proving that selling pressure continues to dominate. ◆ SMC & Price Action • After BOS, the market often returns to test the Order Block (OB) area before continuing the main trend. • On the chart, the OB Sell is located at 4,215 – 4,217, which is the point of the last push candle before the strong drop. • This area also coincides with the short-term resistance zone and previous price behavior shows multiple reactions from sellers. If the price approaches the OB Sell without forming a reversal structure, the likelihood of continuing to decline is high. Liquidity above: • 4,230 • 4,241 • 4,248 → These are areas that may be swept before the price reverses. ◆ Main Trading Scenario ➤ Sell Scenario (priority) • Waiting zone: 4,215 – 4,217 (OB Sell) • Condition: appearance of price rejection, reversal pattern, or clear rejection candle • Targets: ▪ 4,188 ▪ 4,172 ▪ 4,165 – 4,164 (deep support & bottom liquidity) • Stop loss: above 4,230 → This is the most suitable scenario with the current structure. ➤ Extended Scenario (liquidity sweep before decline) If the price surpasses OB Sell and heads towards liquidity 4,230 – 4,241 – 4,248: • Observe signs of weakening • Wait for a reversal pattern • Look for SELL entry points in the above areas with targets similar to the main scenario This is common behavior when the market wants to gather liquidity before pushing the trend. ➤ Buy Scenario (opposite – only execute with strong confirmation) Buy is only suitable when: • Price breaks the nearest bearish structure • Closes above 4,230 and holds • Re-test of the 4,215 – 4,217 area fails In that case, the buy target will aim for 4,241 and 4,248. However, this is not yet activated. ◆ Summary • The short-term trend still leans towards bearish after BOS. • The 4,215 – 4,217 area is crucial for observing price reactions. • Selling remains a reasonable strategy until the market breaks 4,230 with a clear signal. • Downside targets are at 4,172 → 4,165.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD: Gold Tests Liquidity Floor, Eyes Reversal BUYGold remains under pressure during the Asian session as a stronger USD and cautious sentiment ahead of key US data keep the market defensive. However, the short-term structure shows weakening downside momentum, suggesting a potential liquidity sweep before a bullish reversal. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (M30 – H1) 1️⃣ Price is approaching the liquidity zone: 4,176 – 4,170 This area aligns with: Previous session liquidity sweep Lower trendline support Strong BUY reactions in past sessions 👉 High probability for a short-term bottom. 2️⃣ Resistance holds at 4,194 – 4,210 Confluence of supply + descending trendline Multiple rejections here 👉 Only a strong close above 4,210 confirms bullish continuation. 3️⃣ Current structure favors a “Liquidity Grab → Reversal” pattern Signals include: Repeated lower-wick rejections Weakening downside pressure Potential W-pattern forming above the trendline 👉 BUY setups become favorable once the liquidity sweep completes. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Reversal Priority ▶️ Scenario 1 — BUY at Liquidity Zone Wait for price to tap and react: 🔹 BUY Zone: 4,176 – 4,170 🔹 SL: below 4,164 🔹 TP1: 4,194 🔹 TP2: 4,210 🔹 TP3: 4,228 (extended target if breakout occurs) ▶️ Scenario 2 — Break & Retest Setup If price breaks above 4,194: 🔹 Retest BUY: 4,194 – 4,196 🔹 Targets: 4,210 → 4,228 🧭 MMF Daily Bias Primary Bias: BUY as long as 4,170 holds Strategy: Accumulate on liquidity dips – avoid chasing mid-range Invalidation: H1 close below 4,164
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD H1 Plan: SELL at OB, BUY at Liquidity1. Market Structure (H1) Gold is in a corrective phase after breaking the previous upward structure. From the nearest peak, the price continuously creates downward BoS waves, confirming that selling pressure is in control in the short term. Currently, the price is moving within a descending channel and retesting the trendline multiple times but has not been able to breakout. This supports the scenario of the price continuing to complete a deeper decline to gather liquidity before forming a major recovery wave. 2. Important technical zones on the chart 🔹 OB – Sell Zone: 4,190 – 4,197 Confluence of Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618 of the most recent decline. This is the H1 supply zone where the price previously broke the downward structure → prioritize observing SELL when the price retraces. 🔹 Liquidity Buy Zone: 4,154 – 4,163 Liquidity cluster located just below the nearest bottom. This is the area where the market is likely to create a liquidity sweep before reversing upwards. 🔹 Deep Liquidity Zone: 4,115 – 4,12x Deep liquidity zone, confirmed by multiple old bottoms formed since the beginning of the month. If the price is pushed down here, this will be a very strong BUY zone for the next major recovery wave. 3. Trading scenarios according to structure – clear & easy to follow 🔸 Scenario 1 – SELL from OB 4,19x (main scenario) Activation conditions: Price retraces to OB Sell zone 4,19x Appearance of reversal signals M15–H1: strong rejection candles, ChoCH down, engulfing Targets: TP1: 4,163 (Liquidity) TP2: 4,154 TP3 extended: 4,12x – 4,115 Note: This OB zone is a beautiful confluence – if the price reacts strongly, there is a high chance the market will complete the decline according to the model. 🔸 Scenario 2 – BUY according to Liquidity Sweep (priority after SELL) After completing the decline to liquidity zones: BUY Zone 1: 4,154 – 4,163 Wait for bottom sweep & ChoCH up → BUY according to recovery wave BUY Zone 2: 4,115 – 4,12x (strongest Buy) If the price breaks through the Liquidity zone 4,15x This is the zone where the largest buying force may appear → expect to create a new H1 bottom Targets for both BUY zones: TP1: 4,195 (OB Sell retest) TP2: 4,210 TP3 extended: 4,23x – 4,24x Further: 4,25x – 4,27x (Fibo 1.272 – 1.618) 4. Important notes & risk management Do not BUY when the price is standing in the descending channel – wait for sweep & confirmation. SELL is only valid when the price hits exactly OB 4,19x, avoid FOMO selling in the middle of the zone. BUY is invalid if H1 breaks deeply below 4,110. Strong upward scenario only activates when H1 closes above 4,200.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD tests FvG; awaiting OB and trendline reaction.◆ Market Context Price is moving within an ascending channel pattern. Each time it touches the upper resistance line, a downward reaction occurs. The most recent decline brought the price to the OB 4,189 area, which currently acts as support. The M30 structure shows the market is in a rebalancing phase after strong volatility. ◆ Price Action – SMC • The decline from the channel peak created a Fair Value Gap (FvG), which is currently being filled. • Price remains above the short-term ascending trendline; however, the recovery force is not strong enough to break the resistance area. • OB 4,189 is the main holding area; if broken, the short-term ascending structure will be invalidated. ◆ Fibonacci & Reaction Zones • Price is reacting at the Fibo levels 0.382 – 0.5. • Fibo 0.618 around 4,230 coincides with the FvG area → this is an important resistance zone. • Closing above 4,230 will trigger an expansion to higher levels. Trading Plan ➤ Buy Scenario (priority if structure holds) • Waiting area: 4,189 (OB) or lower trendline • Condition: price holds the OB bottom and reversal signals appear • Targets: ▪︎ 4,215 ▪︎ 4,230 (strong resistance) ▪︎ expansion: 4,255 → 4,290 ➤ Sell Scenario (if structure breaks) • Condition: price breaks OB 4,189 • SL: above 4,200 • Targets: ▪︎ 4,175 ▪︎ 4,165 (deeper support area) ➤ Strong Uptrend Continuation Scenario • Condition: clear closing above 4,230 • Targets: ▪︎ 4,255 ▪︎ 4,290 Summary • OB 4,189 plays a crucial role in the short term. • If OB holds, the price is likely to continue advancing to the resistance area 4,230 and beyond. • If OB is broken, the adjustment target will head towards 4,165. • The most reasonable action now is to wait for a clear reaction at OB or when the price approaches the 4,230 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD: Gold Rejected at 4,228, Risks Drop to 4,172Gold is struggling in its recovery efforts as prices continue to react negatively at the resistance zone of 4,228. Although the USD shows slight signs of weakening, the overall market sentiment remains cautious as investors await inflation data and new signals from the Fed next week. In this context, the short-term structure indicates that gold is leaning towards a corrective downtrend – aligning with the sell strategy on the rebound. 📊 MMF Technical Outlook (M30) 🔸 1. Rising Wedge Pattern Has Broken Down Gold has just broken the “rising wedge” pattern – a clear signal of weakening momentum. The current rebound is merely a retest of the broken structure zone, easily forming a lower high → continued decline. 🔸 2. Important Supply Zone 4,226 – 4,229 → Supply Zone + the starting point of the previous strong decline If the price touches this zone with weak signals, sellers are likely to regain dominance. 🔸 3. Liquidity Zone – Price Attraction Target 4,172 – 4,173 → Liquidity zone + strong demand + wedge bottom This is the zone where the market is likely to pull the price during the session. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan – Priority to SELL ▶️ Main Scenario – SELL on the rebound If the price rebounds to the supply zone: 🔹 SELL zone: 4,226 – 4,229 🔹 SL: above 4,235 🔹 TP1: 4,190 🔹 TP2: 4,172 (main target) Reason: Price retests the broken resistance + downward momentum remains strong → attractive R:R entry. ▶️ Alternative Scenario – Price drops directly If the price does not rebound sufficiently to 4,228: 🔹 Wait for a small retest around 4,205 – 4,208 → SELL 🔹 Target remains 4,172 🧭 MMF Daily Bias Preferred trend: Bearish as long as the price is below 4,228 Strategy: Sell on the rebound – target 4,172 Invalidation: M30 candle closes above 4,235 Note: Volatility may increase near important US news.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Buy at 4.19x, Sell Short at OB 4.24x1. Market Context (H1) Gold is moving within a corrective structure after the previous strong rally. The current price action revolves around two main zones: Buy Support Zone 4,197–4,200: where the price continuously reacts, with multiple BoS – ChoCH increases → indicating that buying pressure still maintains the base. OB Zone – Sell 4.24x: confluence of Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618 – 0.786, a zone likely to see a decline reaction before forming a larger trend. The current structure leans towards a recovery to the OB Sell zone, after which the market may continue to adjust deeper to create liquidity before rising again. 2. Important Technical Zones 🔹 Support – Buy Zone: 4,197 – 4,200 This is a strong price base, where BoS + ChoCH continuously form. Only when breaking below this zone → the short-term uptrend structure weakens. 🔹 OB Zone – Sell: 4,238 – 4,245 Confluence of Fibonacci retracement (0.5–0.618–0.786). A favorable zone for the market to create a decline reaction, triggering a liquidity sweep to lower lows. 🔹 Strong Low: 4.17x This is an important low – if the price sweeps here but does not break → expect a strong rebound to higher targets. 3. Trading Scenarios According to Structure 🔸 Scenario 1: Price recovers to OB Sell 4.24x → look for short-term SELL signals Wait for the price to hit the OB Sell zone and appear: Strong rejection candle ChoCH decreases on M15 frame Volume increases at the peak Then expect a decline back to the Support Buy zone 4,197–4,205. Trading idea: Sell zone 4,238–4,245 Target: 4.20x If breaking 4.20x deeply → extend to Strong Low 4.17x 🔸 Scenario 2 (high priority): Buy at Support to catch the rise to 4.25x – 4.27x – 4.29x After completing the decline according to scenario 1, the price may rebound from the strong demand zone. BUY conditions: Price sweeps down to 4,197–4,205 or deeper to 4.17x. Reversal pattern appears + ChoCH increases. Recreate HL (higher low) structure. Targets: TP1: 4,234 TP2: 4,244 TP3: 4,258 Extended TP: 4,276 – 4,299 (Fibo 1.272 – 1.618) 4. Risk Management Notes Do not chase Buy when the price is in the OB Sell zone – easy to get swept. Do not Sell deeply when not reaching OB 4.24x zone – price has not entered a nice premium zone. Always clearly define invalidation levels: BUY invalid when price closes H1 below 4.17x. SELL invalid when price breaks strongly above 4,245 and holds.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Will gold stay sideways before the rate announcement?WILL GOLD CONTINUE TO SIDEWAY BEFORE INTEREST RATE ANNOUNCEMENT? WHAT DO YOU THINK 2 projected scenarios THIS WEEK. Scenario 1 – Gold moves sideways below 4,200 until close to FOMC If the price stubbornly stays below 4,200, unable to break through → when FOMC erupts, there's a high chance gold will break through 4,200. Target falls to: 4,000 – 4,050 → this is the beautiful zone to Buy swing The nearest zone 409x might have a reaction, pay attention (this zone is for today before fedfundrate) Scenario 2 – Early week gold strengthens back to 4,200 If early in the week gold recovers well, touching 4,200 → FOMC at this time will become a push to propel gold back up. Near target: 4,360, returning to test the previous peak. THE MOST IMPORTANT FACTOR: FED'S TONE. A 0.25% reduction is almost certain. But the story lies in what Powell will say. If Powell is HAWKISH like: “Only reducing this time, economy is strong, not considering QE yet…” → This is strong bad news for gold and the entire asset market. Gold drops, coins drop, stocks drop... If the FED softens a bit: Just a little dovish → gold will bounce extremely fast, no time to react. In summary for this week Gold is compressing very strongly around 4,200 FOMC will decide the direction Major volatility will definitely appear Just wait for the price to react before taking action — follow the strategy, follow the discipline. Trade well, everyone.
TVC:GOLD
by Chum_trades
XAUUSD - Gold Spot US Dollar Technical Analysis🟢 BUY zones + buy confirmation levels 🔴 SELL zones + sell confirmation levels 🚫 NO-TRADE zone 🎯 TP (Take Profit) levels 🛑 SL (Stop Loss) levels 📌 Why buy / why sell (Price-Action logic) ✅ 1. NO-TRADE ZONE (as on chart) The shaded middle area 4,150 – 4,210 is a NO-TRADE ZONE. ❌ Why no trade here? Price is compressing sideways. No fresh demand or supply. Buyers/sellers both weak → liquidity building. Best area to wait for breakout above or below. 🟢 2. BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario) ✔ Buy Trigger Buy ONLY above: 4,265 → clean breakout from supply When price breaks and closes above 4,265, it confirms: Supply removed Trend continuation Buyers taking control 🛑 Buy Stop-Loss Place SL below the breakout candle or safe level: SL = 4,198 – 4,210 zone (mid-zone) Because if price falls back inside zone → fake breakout. 🎯 Buy Take Profit Levels TP1 → 4,320 – 4,350 TP2 → 4,449 (major supply zone) TP3 → 4,550+ if strong momentum continues 📌 Why Buy? Break above previous high Clean imbalance above (room to move) Price action pattern → Break of Structure (BOS) Market in bullish expansion when above 4,265 🔴 3. SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario) Sell only when price breaks below NO-TRADE ZONE. ✔ Sell Trigger Sell below: 4,096 (break of demand) This confirms: Demand removed Trend shift to bearish Sellers active after taking liquidity from the range 🛑 Sell Stop-Loss SL above failed demand zone: SL = 4,150 – 4,170 🎯 Sell Take Profit Levels Use the marked blue lines: TP1 → 3,991 TP2 → 3,952 TP3 → 3,901 TP4 → 3,762 (extended target) 📌 Why Sell? Break of key structure level (4,096) Below range → trend continuation short Liquidity targets below (equal lows + imbalances) Price action → Lower Low + Lower High continuation 🔥 PRICE ACTION LOGIC (Simple Explanation) ✔ Buy Logic Market is accumulating in the NO-TRADE zone Break above 4,265 = buyers win Price targets previous supply zones ✔ Sell Logic If price breaks below 4,096, demand collapses Market enters markdown phase Lower supports become liquidity targets
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Skalpfi
XAU/USD: Hold Gold, Await Big Waves from PCE!Gold is moving sideways within a narrow range, supported by a weak USD and expectations of a dovish Fed. All attention is focused on the upcoming PCE Index – the data will determine the long-term momentum of XAU/USD! 📰 Fundamentals: Awaiting Major Signals Gold's Advantage: USD weakens due to predictions of early Fed rate cuts + Safe haven demand. Key Point: PCE data will be the "push" confirming the Fed's path. 📊 4H Technical: Trend-Following Buy Strategy Market structure remains BULLISH. We await a correction to enter at optimal price levels: Ideal BUY Zone (OTE/Support): Price: $4,133 - $4,161 Action: Wait for reversal signals here to BUY (Long). Upside Target: $4,334 up to $4,382 (Previous high). Safe Stop Loss: Below $4,046 (Below OB), a break here will invalidate the bullish structure. 🎯 In Summary: BE PATIENT! Look to BUY in the $4,133 - $4,161 zone after PCE release to optimize R:R. #XAUUSD #GOLD #Gold #PCE #FED #TradingView #MarketStructure #OTE #Forex
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold Uptrend: Retest 4,211 to Surge to 4,236 → 4,254After the Asian session, gold continues to maintain a short-term upward structure as prices consistently create higher lows (HL) and remain trading above the rising trendline. The weakening USD due to expectations of a dovish Fed is also supporting the flow of funds back into precious metals. Currently, the market is entering a "compression" zone below resistance, signaling signs of accumulation before a new expansion phase. 📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Flow (H1) 1️⃣ Key Supports 4,211 – 4,212 → important retest zone + trendline confluence + previous HL low. 4,187 – 4,188 → deeper support, strong previous buying zone. When prices hold above 4,211 → short-term trend remains bullish. 2️⃣ Key Resistances / Liquidity Zones 4,236 → nearby supply zone, liquidity cluster. 4,254 – 4,255 → expansion target, large liquidity zone above. Prices are reacting at the descending trendline, but the upward momentum remains in control. 🧭 Trading Scenario according to MMF ▶️ Main Scenario – BUY with the trend Wait for price retest: 🔹 BUY zone: 4,211 – 4,213 🔹 SL: below 4,206 🔹 TP1: 4,236 🔹 TP2: 4,254 Logic: Price breaks the intraday down structure, creates higher HL, and is gradually approaching the descending trendline → high breakout potential. ▶️ Alternative Scenario – Deeper BUY If the market "flushes" to take liquidity: 🔹 BUY at 4,187 – 4,189 TP similar to the main scenario. 🎯 Daily Bias Summary Bias: Bullish when prices hold above 4,211. Priority: BUY at retest → SELL only for short-term scalping. Target: 4,236 → 4,254 is a liquidity zone that the market can easily be pulled up to sweep.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Pullback to OB & Fibo, then upward trend!1. Market Cont1. Market Context In the M30 timeframe, the price is in a correction phase after forming a strong bottom area around 4,192–4,195. From there, the market has generated a series of positive signals: the price line gradually moves higher, with consecutive CHoCH appearances, indicating weakening selling pressure and a shift in cash flow towards accumulation. The resistance area of 4,230–4,240 remains a significant barrier. If it is broken with a clear closing candle, the upward structure will be confirmed, and the price may expand to higher areas. 2. Key Price Areas (SMC Mapping) Upper Resistance 4,230–4,240: strong reaction area, acting as the first barrier. 4,255–4,256: the next expansion area when the upward trend is confirmed. 4,289–4,290: the final target in the expansion structure of the upward wave. Support Area – Buying Point 4,200–4,216: OB combined with Fibo area, where the price may adjust to regenerate liquidity before rising. 4,192–4,195: strong low area, where the market has reacted strongly before. 3. Fibo & Price Action In the current upward move, the price has approached the 0.786 Fibo and encountered resistance at 4,230–4,240. A correction to the 0.382–0.5 area (corresponding to OB 4,200–4,216) would be reasonable before the market continues to retest higher areas. Notable price action signals: The consecutive appearance of bullish CHoCH indicates that buying pressure is in control. The 4,192 low is still protected and acts as an important low of the recovery phase. If the price retests the OB cleanly, this is a good trigger point for a new upward move. 4. Trading Plan Preferred Scenario: Buy according to structure Buy Waiting Area: 4,200–4,216 (OB + Fibo) Stop Loss: below 4,192 Targets: 4,230–4,240 4,255 4,289–4,290 Confirmation Conditions The price needs to clearly break the resistance area of 4,230–4,240 to trigger upward momentum. The retest of the OB must occur with reduced liquidity and a confirming candle pattern. 5. Summary The market structure shows a short-term upward trend is forming. The price is likely to adjust to the 4,200–4,216 area before continuing upwards to 4,240 and further to 4,255–4,290. The appropriate strategy is to wait to buy in the OB & Fibo area under the condition of clear confirmation signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
SMC TRADING PLAN – XAUUSD (1H)1. Market Context Observing the chart shows: The price is moving in a short-term downtrend, indicated by the downtrend line that has been tested multiple times but not decisively broken. Twice the price touched the trendline, it created a strong reaction → confirming this as a dynamic resistance zone. The market has created MSS (Market Structure Shift) at both the top and bottom → indicating a transition phase, suitable for scalping trades at reaction zones. The price levels you marked (4,230 – 4,219 – 4,192 – 4,181) are indeed potential liquidity pools / order blocks. 2. Main Trend & Smart Money Intentions ✔ What is Smart Money doing? Attracting liquidity below around the 4,158 – 4,160 area (noted as “Liquidity” on the chart). Pushing the price up to retest resistance around the trendline to hunt the liquidity of the Long side at the top. Then bringing the price to a deeper discount area → then deciding to push up to break or continue distributing. That is: Short-term Buy – Short-term Sell – then stronger Buy at the liquidity bottom → This is the standard Liquidity Hunt – MSS – Reversal model in SMC. 3. Two Main Scenarios Scenario 1 – SELL from resistance (priority) The price is approaching the trendline and resistance area you marked. This is a high-probability setup. Ideal SELL zone: 📍 4,219 – 4,221 (reaction zone + FVG + Trendline retest) Scalping target: TP1 → 4,192 TP2 → 4,181 If a strong break: extend to 4,160 – 4,158 (main liquidity area) Stoploss: 4,230.7 (above the liquidity sweep area) Reason for SELL Touching the downtrend line → strong technical reaction. This is the Premium zone of the upward move. Likely to form a short-term distribution before pushing down to hunt liquidity. Scenario 2 – BUY from liquidity zone (secondary priority) If the price dives down to take liquidity first, prioritize Buy at the bottom zone. Strong BUY zone (Liquidity Zone): 📍 4,160 – 4,158 → This is the bottom marked by Smart Money to hunt stoploss & create a new bottom. Target: TP1 → 4,181 TP2 → 4,192 TP3 → 4,219 – 4,230 (expecting to push the price to take top liquidity) Stoploss: 4,146 Reason for BUY Clear liquidity zone, created by the previous low bottom. Coincides with the lower trendline. Two previous MSS indicate the market is in an accumulation phase for a short-term reversal. 4. Detailed Trading Plan 🎯 SELL Setup – Quick Scalp (priority) Entry: 4,219 – 4,221 SL: 4,230 TP: TP1: 4,192 TP2: 4,181 TP3: 4,160 (if price breaks down) High probability because: trendline reaction + premium zone + liquidity build-up. 🎯 BUY Setup – Safe (wait for price to hunt down) Entry: 4,160 – 4,158 SL: 4,146 TP: TP1: 4,181 TP2: 4,192 TP3: 4,219 – 4,230 High probability because: main liquidity zone + discount zone + potential for smart money to push up from the bottom. 5. Trading Advice Only take orders when there is a clear reaction: wick rejection, minor structure break on M5. Do not enter orders in the middle of the zone – only trade when the price hits the key level. Scalping should prioritize quick TP because gold's range is quite strong. 📌 Conclusion Your chart gives very clear signals according to SMC: SELL at Premium – Buy at Discount – all revolving around liquidity hunt & MSS. Two trading zones have been extremely clearly identified: ✔ SELL Zone: 4,219 – 4,221 ✔ BUY Zone: 4,160 – 4,158
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EcdysisTrading
Bullish Breakout & Golden Zone Reversal AnalysisChart Analysis (Gold – 15m) 1. Trend Structure Price has been moving inside a descending channel, showing short-term bearish pressure. Now price is attempting a breakout from the channel, signaling a potential bullish reversal. 2. Key Support Zones (Demand Areas) 4,187.08 → First support where buyers reacted. 4,178.10 → Deep liquidity zone (strong demand). These levels align with Fibonacci retracement clusters: 0.618 (4,186.98) 0.705 (4,184.22) 0.79 (4,181.51) This confirms a high-probability reversal zone. 3. Fibonacci Strategy Price touched the 0.618–0.79 golden pocket and bounced. This supports a long setup targeting the 1:1 impulse projection. 4. Moving Averages (EMA Strategy) EMA 70 and EMA 200 are above price during correction. A breakout + retest above EMAs would confirm further bullish momentum. 5. Breakout Strategy A clear breakout above the descending channel suggests the beginning of a new bullish leg. 6. Target Projection The measured move indicates: Target Point: 4,240.21 Expected gain: ≈ +1.25% (≈ 52.5 points) 7. Signal Summary ✔️ Support respected ✔️ Breakout forming ✔️ EMA alignment improving ✔️ Fibonacci golden zone bounce ✔️ Bullish target activated 📌 Final Signal Bullish Bias (Long) above 4,187 🎯 Target: 4,240 🛡 Stop-loss: Below 4,178 NSE:BANKNIFTY1! CME_MINI:MNQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MES1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! NSE:NIFTY1! NSEIX:NIFTY1! NYMEX:CL1! COMEX:SI1!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MR_NARCOS144
Price hits FVG: Get ready for Market Maker's next move!In the current market context, the price structure is clearly showing the regulation of Smart Money as it continuously creates new liquidity zones, breaks structures, and leaves important footprints like OB – FVG – BOS. Below is a trading plan built based on the observed price zones on the chart: 🟥 1. Market Context – Role of OB Sell Price has reacted strongly at the Order Block Sell in the 4,237 – 4,256 zone. This is where a strong push down occurred (accompanied by a structure break – BOS), confirming this as an active supply zone. ➡️ This will be the key level to monitor all pullbacks in the coming time. 🟩 2. Current Market Structure – Market Structure After the OB Sell is activated, the market creates a bearish BOS. Price is moving down to approach the Liquidity Buy below in the 4,154 – 4,161 zone. On the way, price leaves a Fair Value Gap (FVG) – a zone that can be used as a retracement point to continue selling. ➡️ Overall bias: Bearish intraday – favor sell on pullback. 🟨 3. Main Trading Plan – SELL SETUP 🎯 Area of Interest FVG: 4,197 – 4,214 This is the ideal price zone for price to return to balance before continuing the downtrend. 📌 Entry SELL: Preferred scenario: Price retraces to fill FVG → reacts → creates a small bearish structure (BOS M1–M5) → Sell. 🎯 Targets: TP1: 4,170 — intermediate support zone TP2: Liquidity Buy: 4,154 – 4,161 TP3 (extended): 4,144 if liquidity below continues to be swept 🛑 Stop Loss: Above the FVG peak or above the nearest OB zone: 4,214 – 4,227 ➡️ High probability when price fails to break 4,214–4,227 and continues to create lower highs. 🟦 4. Secondary Scenario – SHORT-TERM BUY (Countertrend) Only activated when price hits Liquidity Buy and a clear reversal signal appears: 📌 Entry BUY: After sweeping liquidity in the 4,154–4,161 zone Wait for bullish BOS confirmation on a lower timeframe 🎯 Targets: 4,184 4,197 4,214 (maximum – hit FVG and exit) ➡️ This is just a retracement trade, not trend-following, so risk management is crucial. ⭐ 5. Summary View The market is moving in line with Smart Money behavior: Sweep liquidity above (Sell-side Liquidity) → Create OB → Push price down Leave FVG → Attract price back → Continue distribution Main goal: Sweep Liquidity below 👉 The main trend remains SELL until the Liquidity Buy below is hit and a strong reversal structure is created.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EcdysisTrading
1
XAU/USD: Buy Gold on Support Retest, Bullish StructureGold continues to fluctuate within a compression model + ascending support, indicating that selling pressure is weakening and the market wants to accumulate before bouncing to the upper supply zones. Recent data shows USD cooling as the market increases expectations that the FED will be more dovish → creating a support base for XAU/USD's short-term rise. 📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Frame (MMF Flow) 1️⃣ Key Support: 4,187 – 4,188: BUY zone + lower trendline + strong price reaction. Price just retested and bounced → confirming active buying remains. 2️⃣ Near Resistance: 4,211 – 4,212: mid-liquidity zone → expected to create HL before breaking the downtrend line. 3️⃣ Main Target Zone: 4,236 → strong resistance, confluence multiple times from the market. Further: 4,254 → large supply zone, is an extended target if price breaks out. 🧭 Trading Scenario According to MMF Main Scenario – BUY with Trend BUY again when price retests 4,187 – 4,188 or BUY when price breaks 4,212 then retests. TP Targets: TP1: 4,212 TP2: 4,236 TP3: 4,254 SL: below 4,182. Idea: price creates an absorption model + HL on trendline → potential to pull up to the upper liquidity zones. Secondary Scenario – SELL Reaction Only for scalp traders: SELL reaction at 4,236 – 4,238 TP: 4,212 SL: 4,243 🎯 Daily Bias Summary Bias: Bullish on H1 when price holds 4,187. Priority: BUY at the bottom – SELL at the top only for scalp. Wait for the downtrend line to break to extend the target to 4,254.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading