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CME raises metal margins, Monday gap risk? Gold key influence.Gold is no longer trending freely — it’s correcting with structure. After printing ATH, XAUUSD delivered a clear CHoCH, followed by a sequence of bearish BOS, confirming a controlled pullback, not panic selling. Price is now respecting a descending corrective channel, which typically appears before the market decides its next major leg. 🧠 Fundamental Context (Flow > Headlines) CME raised margin requirements for metals Higher margins = forced position reduction for leveraged traders This often creates liquidity-driven gaps at the weekly open Important: this is mechanical pressure, not a macro trend flip ➡️ Expect volatility first, clarity later. 📊 Technical Structure (HTF → LTF) ATH rejection + CHOCH = bullish momentum paused Multiple BOS inside the channel = distribution phase Price is compressing toward key liquidity zones 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 5,090 – 5,120: Upper channel / sell-side reaction zone 4,620 GAP area: High-probability liquidity magnet if Monday gaps 4,410 Support zone: HTF demand & channel base (critical level) 🎯 Scenarios (If – Then) If Monday gaps into 4,620 → Expect sharp moves and fake breaks → Wait for acceptance / absorption before any long bias If price loses 4,620 cleanly → Next draw = 4,410 support If price reclaims 4,900+ quickly → Gap likely becomes a trap → squeeze back into range
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD (H1) – Below $5,000: Correction or Quick Recovery?Market Context – Gold Enters a Critical Repricing Zone Gold has officially slipped below the psychological $5,000 level, triggering renewed debate: Is this the start of a deeper corrective phase, or simply a liquidity reset before a sharp rebound? The timing is crucial. With speculation around changes in Fed leadership and future monetary policy direction, the market is repricing risk aggressively. This has injected exceptional volatility into Gold, where liquidity is being rapidly redistributed rather than trending cleanly. ➡️ This is no longer a low-volatility trend market — it’s a decision zone. Structure & Price Action (H1) The previous bullish H1 structure has failed, confirming a short-term corrective phase. Price is trading below former demand, now acting as supply. Current rebounds are technical pullbacks, not confirmed reversals. Downside momentum remains active until price reclaims key structure levels. Key insight: 👉 Below $5,000, Gold is trading in rebalancing mode, not trend continuation. Key Technical Zones (H1) Major Supply / Rejection Zone: • $5,030 – $5,060 → Former structure + Fibonacci confluence → Likely area for sellers to defend Mid-Range Reaction Zone: • $4,650 – $4,700 → Short-term demand / potential bounce zone Deep Liquidity Demand: • $4,220 – $4,250 → Major liquidity absorption zone → High probability area for a technical or structural rebound Trading Plan – MMF Style Scenario 1 – Sell the Pullback (Primary While Below $5,030) Favor SELL setups on rallies into supply. Wait for rejection / failure patterns. Do not chase price lower. ➡️ Bias remains bearish-corrective while below $5,030. Scenario 2 – Buy Only at Deep Liquidity BUYs are considered only at major demand with confirmation: • $4,650 – $4,700 (scalp / reaction only) • $4,220 – $4,250 (higher-probability swing zone) ➡️ No blind bottom picking ➡️ Confirmation > prediction Macro Risk Outlook Fed leadership uncertainty = policy expectation volatility. Any shift toward dovish credibility could trigger a violent short-covering rally. Conversely, prolonged uncertainty keeps Gold under pressure short-term. ➡️ Expect fast moves, fake breaks, and wide ranges. Invalidation & Confirmation Bearish bias weakens if H1 reclaims and holds above $5,060. Deeper correction opens if $4,220 fails decisively. Summary Gold below $5,000 is not weakness — it’s repricing. This is a market where liquidity hunts traders, not the other way around. The edge right now is patience and precision: Sell rallies into supply. Buy only where liquidity is proven. Let structure confirm before committing risk. ➡️ In high volatility, survival beats prediction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Trump speaks tonight — Gold at decision point.Market Context (H1–H4) Gold remains in a broader bullish structure, but short-term price action has shifted into a decision phase after rejecting ATH. The sharp drop created a displacement leg, followed by a corrective bounce — typical post-event behavior. Structurally: HTF trend is still upward (ascending channel intact) No confirmed HTF bearish reversal yet Current move looks like rebalancing, not trend failure Fundamental Context Trump’s speech tonight is the key volatility trigger Any geopolitical / USD-impacting rhetoric can cause: A liquidity sweep before direction Or a direct continuation if risk-off sentiment returns Market is likely positioning → expect fake moves before clarity Technical Breakdown ATH: recent distribution, not yet reclaimed FVG (upper): potential reaction zone for sellers if price rallies Mid Zone (~5090–5120): short-term decision / balance area Strong Demand (~4980–5000): HTF buy zone, aligns with trendline & prior BOS base Trading Scenarios (If–Then) If price holds above 5090–5120 → look for continuation into FVG, then ATH test If price sweeps below 5090 but reclaims → classic liquidity grab → BUY continuation If price breaks and holds below 5000 (H1 close) → deeper pullback, bullish bias pauses (not flips yet) Key Takeaway This is not the place to chase. Trade reactions, not headlines. Let Trump speak → let liquidity show → then follow structure. Bias: Bullish continuation unless strong demand fails.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – H1 volatility surge | liquidity reset ongoingMarket Context Gold is entering a high-volatility phase after an extended bullish run. The recent sharp impulse down from the upper zone is not random — it reflects liquidity distribution and aggressive profit-taking near highs, amplified by fast USD flows and event-driven positioning. In this environment, Gold is no longer trending smoothly. Instead, it is rotating between liquidity zones, creating two-way risk intraday. ➡️ Key mindset: trade reactions at levels, not direction. Structure & Price Action (H1) The prior bullish structure has been temporarily broken by a strong bearish impulse. Price failed to hold above 5,427 – 5,532, confirming this area as active supply / distribution. The move down shows range expansion, typical after ATH phases. Current price action suggests rebalancing and liquidity search, not a confirmed macro reversal yet. Key read: 👉 Above supply = rejection 👉 Below supply = corrective / bearish bias until proven otherwise Trading Plan – MMF Style 🔴 Primary Scenario – SELL on Pullback (Volatility Play) While price remains below key supply, selling reactions is favored. SELL Zone 1: 5,427 – 5,432 (Former demand → supply flip + trendline rejection) SELL Zone 2: 5,301 – 5,315 (Mid-range supply / corrective retest) Targets: TP1: 5,215 TP2: 5,111 TP3: 5,060 Extension: 4,919 (major liquidity pool) ➡️ Only SELL after clear rejection / bearish confirmation. ➡️ No chasing breakdowns. 🟢 Alternative Scenario – BUY at Deep Liquidity If price sweeps lower liquidity and shows absorption: BUY Zone: 4,920 – 4,900 (Major demand + liquidity sweep zone) Reaction targets: 5,060 → 5,215 → 5,300+ ➡️ BUY only if structure stabilizes and bullish reaction appears. Invalidation A clean H1 close back above 5,432 invalidates the short-term bearish bias and shifts focus back to bullish continuation. Summary Gold is transitioning from trend extension to volatility expansion. This is a market for discipline and level-based execution, not prediction. MMF principle: Volatility = opportunity, but only for those who wait for reaction. Trade the levels. Control risk. Let price confirm.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Bullish trend, focus on Buy pullbacks to 5,700Market Context (M30) Gold continues to trade in a strong bullish continuation after a clean impulsive leg higher. The recent consolidation above former resistance shows acceptance at higher prices, not exhaustion. This behavior suggests the market is rebalancing liquidity before the next expansion leg. On the macro side, USD remains under pressure, while safe-haven demand stays firm. Even though bond yields are relatively stable, capital flows continue to favor gold, keeping the upside bias intact. ➡️ Intraday bias: Bullish – trade with the trend, not against it. Structure & Price Action • Market structure remains bullish with Higher Highs – Higher Lows • Previous resistance has flipped into demand and is being respected • No bearish CHoCH or structural breakdown confirmed • Current pullbacks are corrective moves within an active uptrend Key takeaway: 👉 As long as price holds above key demand, pullbacks are opportunities for continuation. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback Patience is key. Avoid chasing price into extensions. • BUY Zone 1: 5,502 – 5,480 (Minor demand + short-term rebalancing zone) • BUY Zone 2: 5,425 – 5,400 (Trendline support + deeper liquidity zone) ➡️ Only execute BUYs after clear bullish reaction and structure confirmation. ➡️ No FOMO at highs. Upside Targets • TP1: 5,601 • TP2: 5,705 (upper Fibonacci extension / expansion target) Alternative Scenario If price holds above 5,601 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest to join the next continuation leg. Invalidation A confirmed M30 close below 5,400 would weaken the bullish structure and require reassessment. Summary Gold remains in a controlled bullish expansion supported by both structure and macro flow. The edge lies in discipline — buying pullbacks into demand while the trend stays intact, not predicting tops. ➡️ As long as structure holds, higher prices remain the path of least resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD Buy Pullbacks in Bullish TrendMarket Context (M30) Gold continues to trade within a strong bullish continuation phase, holding firmly inside a well-defined ascending channel. Recent pullbacks are technical retracements for liquidity rebalancing, not signs of distribution or trend exhaustion. On the macro side, persistent USD weakness, sustained safe-haven demand, and only modest Fed easing expectations keep the broader backdrop supportive for gold. This combination allows upside momentum to remain controlled and constructive rather than emotional. ➡️ Overall bias: Bullish – prioritize BUY setups aligned with the main trend. Structure & Price Action M30 structure remains intact with clear Higher Highs and Higher Lows. Price continues to respect previous demand and key levels, confirming active buyer participation. No bearish CHoCH has been confirmed. The current leg is expanding toward higher Fibonacci extensions, reinforcing trend continuation. Key insight: 👉 As long as structure holds, pullbacks represent opportunity — not risk. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY Focus on patience and execution at discounted levels, not chasing price at extensions. BUY Zone 1: 5,185 – 5,170 (Short-term demand + channel support) BUY Zone 2: 5,106 – 5,085 (Key level confluence + trendline support) ➡️ Execute BUYs only after clear bullish reaction and structure confirmation. ➡️ Avoid FOMO at extended highs. Upside Targets: TP1: 5,250 TP2: 5,309 (Next ATH extension zone) Alternative Scenario If price holds firmly above 5,250 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest before looking for continuation BUYs. Invalidation A confirmed M30 close below 5,044 would weaken the current bullish structure and require reassessment. Summary Gold remains in a controlled bullish expansion, driven by structure and macro flow. The edge is not calling the top, but buying pullbacks within demand while the trend remains intact. As long as structure holds, higher prices remain the path of least resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Bullish continuation, ATH expansion activeGold continues to trade within a strong bullish channel, maintaining its ATH expansion structure. The recent pullback is corrective in nature and shows clear signs of liquidity absorption rather than distribution. On the macro side, sustained USD weakness, safe-haven flows, and a still-cautious Fed outlook keep gold supported at elevated levels. ➡️ This environment favors trend continuation, not top-picking. Structure & Price Action H1 structure remains bullish with Higher Highs and Higher Lows intact. The recent drop has respected key demand zones and the ascending trendline. No bearish CHoCH confirmed → downside moves remain corrective. Price is rebalancing after an impulsive leg, preparing for the next expansion. Key takeaway: 👉 Pullbacks are opportunities to position with the trend, not signs of reversal. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – BUY the Pullback Focus on patience and structure confirmation. BUY Zone 1: 5,045 – 5,020 (Rebalance area + intraday demand) BUY Zone 2: 4,985 – 4,960 (Trendline confluence + deeper liquidity) ➡️ Only execute BUYs after bullish reaction (rejection wicks / structure hold). ➡️ Avoid chasing price at highs. Upside Targets (ATH Extension): TP1: 5,106 TP2: 5,198 (upper extension zone) Alternative Scenario If price holds firmly above 5,106 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest to join continuation BUYs. Invalidation A confirmed H1 close below 4,960 would weaken the bullish structure and require a reassessment. Summary Gold remains in a controlled ATH expansion phase. As long as structure and demand zones hold, the path of least resistance stays to the upside. The MMF approach remains unchanged: buy pullbacks, follow structure, and let the trend do the work.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Weekend Geopolitical Shock → GAP & Continuation Market Context (Why the GAP?) Over the weekend, geopolitical tensions escalated sharply, triggering a strong risk-off reaction at the start of the week. Typical market response: Capital rotates out of risk assets USD softens amid uncertainty Gold opens with a bullish GAP on Monday and continues higher This is not a low-liquidity weekend GAP, but a safe-haven driven GAP, which historically does not need to be filled immediately. HTF Structure (H1–H4) Overall structure remains clearly bullish Multiple bullish BOS are still intact The latest impulse created a large FVG above equilibrium Current pullback is technical rebalancing, not a trend reversal ➡️ Market behavior: Impulse → Pullback → Continuation Key Zones for the Week Upper FVG / reaction zone: 5,020 – 5,000 Mid FVG (decision zone): 4,988 – 4,960 Lower FVG / strong support: 4,960 – 4,940 HTF Order Block: around 4,910 – 4,900 As long as price holds above 4,960, the bullish structure remains valid. Weekly Scenarios (If – Then) Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback & Continuation (Primary Bias) If price pulls back into 4,988 – 4,960 and shows bullish reaction FVG is respected → trend continuation Next upside objectives: 5,040 – 5,080 Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback (Still Corrective) If price loses 4,960 Expect a deeper retracement toward 4,940 – 4,910 for rebalancing Only a confirmed H1/H4 close below 4,900 would weaken the bullish structure Summary The Monday GAP reflects real defensive capital flows, not technical noise. With geopolitical risks still elevated, buy-the-dip remains the dominant strategy. No chasing highs. No FOMO after the GAP. Trade the pullback. React at FVG. Let structure confirm continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
1
XAUUSD - ATH confirmed, buy pullbacks to 5,100+Gold continues to trade in a strong ATH expansion phase, not a blow-off move. The latest impulsive rally confirms that buyers remain in control, while pullbacks are being absorbed quickly and efficiently. On the macro side, USD weakness persists, safe-haven flows remain active, and the market still prices only modest Fed easing — a combination that continues to support gold at elevated levels. At this stage, ATHs are no longer resistance — they are areas of acceptance. Structure & Price Action Bullish structure remains intact with clear Higher Highs – Higher Lows. No bearish CHoCH has formed despite the sharp upside extension. Current consolidation near the highs suggests continuation, not exhaustion. Pullbacks are corrective and aligned with the ascending trendline and demand zones. Key insight: ATH is being defended by structure → trend continuation remains the primary bias. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Buy the Pullback Focus on patience, not chasing price. BUY Zone 1: 4,984 – 4,970 (Former resistance turned demand + short-term rebalancing) BUY Zone 2: 4,928 – 4,910 (Trendline confluence + deeper liquidity absorption) ➡️ Only execute BUYs after clear bullish reaction and structure confirmation. ➡️ Avoid FOMO at the highs. Upside Targets (ATH Extension): TP1: 5,085 TP2: 5,120+ (extension if momentum sustains) Alternative Scenario If price holds above 5,085 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest before looking for continuation BUYs. Invalidation A confirmed H1 close below 4,910 would weaken the current bullish structure and require reassessment. Summary Gold remains in a controlled ATH expansion, supported by both structure and macro flow. The edge is not predicting the top, but buying pullbacks into demand while the trend is intact. As long as structure holds, higher prices remain the path of least resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
HTF Bullish Context: Buy the Pullback, Not the Market Context Gold remains in a strong higher-timeframe bullish structure. Momentum is driven by sustained risk-off flows and persistent demand for safe-haven assets. In this environment, pullbacks are opportunities, not signs of reversal. Technical Structure (HTF → LTF Alignment) Price previously confirmed a BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside. The latest impulsive leg created a clear bullish FVG. Current price is consolidating below 4,953, signaling a corrective pullback, not distribution. Structure remains intact as long as price holds above the key demand zone. Key Levels (Decision Zones) Current high: 4,953 Discount pullback zone (FVG): 4,906 – 4,887 Deep support / structure low: 4,810 Upside projection (1.618): 5,061 Scenarios (If – Then) Primary Scenario – Bullish Continuation If price reacts and holds above 4,900 FVG is respected → continuation toward 4,953, extension to 5,061 Alternative Scenario – Deeper Pullback If price loses 4,900 Expect a deeper retracement toward 4,810 Structure remains bullish unless HTF closes below 4,810 Summary This is a trend continuation environment. Chasing highs carries poor risk-reward. Buy the pullback. Respect the FVG. Let structure do the work.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
1
XAUUSD – Monday Focus: Buy the Dip Toward 5,020–5,043Market Context Gold remains firmly supported by a bullish risk environment. The recent impulse leg confirms that buyers are still in control, while pullbacks are being absorbed rather than extended. This is continuation behavior, not distribution. The question for Monday is not if Gold is bullish — but where the dip becomes opportunity. Technical Structure (H1) Market has already confirmed bullish BOS Strong impulsive leg created multiple stacked FVGs below Current price is consolidating above structure, not breaking it Pullback is corrective in nature This is a classic impulse → retracement → continuation setup. Key Zones to Watch Immediate resistance / BOS level: 4,969 – 4,970 Intraday BUY zone: 4,933 – 4,940 Upper FVG support: 4,920 – 4,899 Deeper demand (HTF): 4,860 – 4,880 As long as price holds above the upper FVG, bullish bias remains intact. Scenarios (If – Then) Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary) If price pulls back into 4,933 – 4,940 and holds Buyers step in → continuation toward: 5,020 5,043 (1.618 extension) Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback (Alternative) If price loses 4,933 Expect mitigation toward 4,920 – 4,899 Only a sustained H1 close below 4,899 would weaken the bullish structure Summary Gold is not overextended — it is rebalancing within a bullish trend. The structure favors buying pullbacks, not chasing highs. This is a dip-buying market until structure says otherwise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
2
XAUUSD – Monday Focus: Buy the Dip Toward 5,020–5,043 Market Context Gold remains firmly supported by a bullish risk environment. The recent impulse leg confirms that buyers are still in control, while pullbacks are being absorbed rather than extended. This is continuation behavior, not distribution. The question for Monday is not if Gold is bullish — but where the dip becomes opportunity. Technical Structure (H1) Market has already confirmed bullish BOS Strong impulsive leg created multiple stacked FVGs below Current price is consolidating above structure, not breaking it Pullback is corrective in nature This is a classic impulse → retracement → continuation setup. Key Zones to Watch Immediate resistance / BOS level: 4,969 – 4,970 Intraday BUY zone: 4,933 – 4,940 Upper FVG support: 4,920 – 4,899 Deeper demand (HTF): 4,860 – 4,880 As long as price holds above the upper FVG, bullish bias remains intact. Scenarios (If – Then) Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary) If price pulls back into 4,933 – 4,940 and holds Buyers step in → continuation toward: 5,020 5,043 (1.618 extension) Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback (Alternative) If price loses 4,933 Expect mitigation toward 4,920 – 4,899 Only a sustained H1 close below 4,899 would weaken the bullish structure Summary Gold is not overextended — it is rebalancing within a bullish trend. The structure favors buying pullbacks, not chasing highs. This is a dip-buying market until structure says otherwise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD H1 – Liquidity Grab Completed, Buy the DipMarket Context Gold has just completed a strong impulsive rally, leaving behind multiple liquidity pockets and imbalance zones below. The current pullback is technical in nature, serving as a rebalancing phase after expansion rather than a trend reversal. From a macro perspective, safe-haven demand and a cautious Fed outlook continue to support Gold, keeping the broader bias tilted to the upside. Technical Structure (H1 – MMF) Market structure remains bullish with higher highs and higher lows. The recent sell-off is a liquidity grab into previous demand zones. No confirmed bearish CHoCH at this stage. Price is still holding above the major H1 GAP liquidity zone. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY Prefer BUY setups on pullbacks into: BUY zone 1: 4,759 – 4,729 BUY zone 2 (deep): 4,669 – 4,600 Only execute BUYs after clear bullish reaction and structure hold. Avoid FOMO at premium levels. Upside Targets TP1: 4,817 TP2: 4,892 TP3: 4,898 (liquidity sweep zone) Alternative Scenario If price fails to hold above 4,729 and sweeps deeper liquidity into the GAP H1 zone, wait for re-accumulation signals before re-entering BUYs. Invalidation An H1 close below 4,600 invalidates the bullish setup and requires a full structure reassessment. Summary The broader trend remains bullish. The current move is a corrective pullback into liquidity, offering high-quality buy-the-dip opportunities. Patience and confirmation remain key — let price come to you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
4
XAUUSD – Trendline broken, focus on Buying liquidityMarket Context After a strong impulsive rally, Gold has broken below the short-term ascending trendline, signaling a technical correction and liquidity rebalancing phase. However, the higher-timeframe structure remains intact, and the current decline is still viewed as corrective rather than a trend reversal. From a fundamental perspective, safe-haven demand and a cautious monetary policy outlook continue to support Gold. This keeps deeper pullbacks attractive for institutional accumulation rather than aggressive selling. Structure & Price Action (H1) Short-term bullish trendline has been broken → transition into a corrective phase. No confirmed bearish CHoCH on H1 at this stage. Price is rotating within a range, targeting liquidity pools below. Multiple Demand + Liquidity + H1 GAP zones are located beneath current price. Upper zones remain Supply / Liquidity Sell areas for potential reactions. Key Levels to Watch Supply / Liquidity Sell: 4,949 – 4,874 Mid reaction zone: 4,824 Primary BUY zone: 4,755 – 4,729 Deep BUY zone (H1 GAP – Liquidity): 4,665 – 4,600 Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Buy at Discount Look for BUY setups at: BUY zone 1: 4,755 – 4,729 BUY zone 2: 4,665 – 4,600 (H1 GAP & liquidity) Entries only after clear bullish reactions and structure holding. Avoid premature entries while price remains mid-range. Upside Targets TP1: 4,824 TP2: 4,874 TP3: 4,949 (upper liquidity sweep) Alternative Scenario If price fails to reach lower zones and holds above 4,824, wait for a break & retest to re-enter BUY positions in trend direction. Invalidation An H1 close below 4,600 invalidates the BUY bias. Stand aside and reassess overall market structure. Summary The broader bullish bias remains intact, while the current move represents a healthy pullback for liquidity absorption. The optimal strategy is patience—BUY at discounted zones with confirmation, not by chasing price.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Trump Davos Warning Keeps Gold in Strong Uptrend Market Context (News → Flow) Comments from Trump at Davos, including renewed threats and pressure around Greenland, have escalated geopolitical uncertainty during the Asian session. Markets reacted in classic risk-off mode: USD weakens amid political uncertainty Equities hesitate, risk appetite fades Safe-haven flows rotate into Gold, driving momentum higher Gold is not moving on speculation — it is reacting to capital seeking protection. Technical Structure (H1 – SMC) Overall structure remains bullish, confirmed by multiple BOS Price is trending inside a well-defined ascending channel Recent pullback respected the bullish FVG, showing strong demand No bearish acceptance below structure at this stage ➡️ FVG respected → continuation remains in play Key Decision Zones Upper FVG: 4,765.425 Mid support: 4,727.188 Current impulse high: 4,883.900 These are reaction zones, not chase levels. Scenarios (If – Then) Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation If price holds above 4,765.425 Bullish structure remains intact Gold can continue advancing toward higher channel resistance Alternative Scenario – Technical Pullback If price loses 4,765.425 A pullback toward 4,727.188 is possible for rebalancing Only a clear H1 close below 4,727.188 would weaken the bullish bias Summary Geopolitical rhetoric is accelerating volatility, but structure still leads the narrative. Gold is not reacting emotionally — it is pricing risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Entry Setup 8Before Trade Entry Follow the Step:-(check list) Step 1:- Identify the Trend Step 2:- Bullish Trend Wait for Support Price & Reversal Candlestick(Take Buy) Step 3:- Bearish Trend Wait for Resistance & Reversal Candlestick(Take Sell) Step 4:- Fibonacci retracement confirm Step 5:- Wait for Reversal candlestick My Trading Role:- 1. Don't Lose capital 2. Trade less Earn More Focus On:- 1. Quality Trades 2. Risk Management 3. Self - Discipline RISK WARNING:- All trading involves risk. Only risk capital you're prepared to lose. This video has not given any investment advice, only for educational purposes
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingHelperTeam
3
Trump Davos Warning Keeps Gold in Strong UptrendMarket Context (News → Flow) Comments from Trump at Davos, including renewed threats and pressure around Greenland, have escalated geopolitical uncertainty during the Asian session. Markets reacted in classic risk-off mode: USD weakens amid political uncertainty Equities hesitate, risk appetite fades Safe-haven flows rotate into Gold, driving momentum higher Gold is not moving on speculation — it is reacting to capital seeking protection. Technical Structure (H1 – SMC) Overall structure remains bullish, confirmed by multiple BOS Price is trending inside a well-defined ascending channel Recent pullback respected the bullish FVG, showing strong demand No bearish acceptance below structure at this stage ➡️ FVG respected → continuation remains in play Key Decision Zones Upper FVG: 4,765.425 Mid support: 4,727.188 Current impulse high: 4,883.900 These are reaction zones, not chase levels. Scenarios (If – Then) Primary Scenario – Trend Continuation If price holds above 4,765.425 Bullish structure remains intact Gold can continue advancing toward higher channel resistance Alternative Scenario – Technical Pullback If price loses 4,765.425 A pullback toward 4,727.188 is possible for rebalancing Only a clear H1 close below 4,727.188 would weaken the bullish bias Summary Geopolitical rhetoric is accelerating volatility, but structure still leads the narrative. Gold is not reacting emotionally — it is pricing risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
SKY ROCKET XAUUSD/GOLD BUY PROJECTION 21.01.26rend = Strong Bullish Price uptrend channel la travel pannudhu ✅ Bullish momentum candle confirm pannudhu ✅ Break + retest idea perfect ✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone la re-entry buy chance iruku ✅ 📌 Trade Plan (Based on your chart) 🟦 BUY AREA (Entry Zones) ✅ Zone 1 (Best Entry): 📍 FVG + retest area around 4720 – 4680 ✅ Zone 2 (Aggressive Entry): 📍 Breakout retest near 4750 – 4720 🛑 STOPLOSS (Chart la marked) 📍 Below structure support / zone ✅ Stoploss: 4660 – 4640 🎯 Targets (As per Projection) 🎯 Target 1: ~4850 (Target Price 1) 🎯 Target 2: ~5000 (Target Price 2 / Major resistance + Fib retracement) 📌 Confirmation Checklist (Signal) Buy confirm panna: ✅ Retest candle + rejection wick ✅ Bullish close above retest zone ✅ Trendline hold
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
1
Entry Setup 7 (xau/usd)Before Trade Entry Follow the Step:-(check list) Step 1:- Identify the Trend Step 2:- Bullish Trend Wait for Support Price & Reversal Candlestick(Take Buy) Step 3:- Bearish Trend Wait for Resistance & Reversal Candlestick(Take Sell) Step 4:- Fibonacci retracement confirm Step 5:- Wait for Reversal candlestick My Trading Role:- 1. Don't Lose capital 2. Trade less Earn More Focus On:- 1. Quality Trades 2. Risk Management 3. Self - Discipline RISK WARNING:- All trading involves risk. Only risk capital you're prepared to lose. This video has not given any investment advice, only for educational purposes
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingHelperTeam
Greenland Tension Escalates – Gold Finds Its N Market Context (News → Capital Flow) Escalating tensions around the “Greenland purchase” narrative are increasing geopolitical risk. Markets are responding in a familiar pattern: USD weakens as political uncertainty rises Equities face corrective pressure amid risk-off sentiment Safe-haven flows return to Gold, supporting further upside In this environment, Gold is not rising on technicals alone, but because defensive capital is rotating back into the market. Technical Structure (H1 – SMC) Price previously executed a downside Liquidity Sweep A bullish Market Structure Shift (MSS) followed The impulsive leg created a clear bullish FVG, signaling supply–demand imbalance Price is currently holding above the FVG, keeping the bullish structure intact ➡️ A familiar model in play: Liquidity Sweep → FVG → Continuation Key Zones (Decision Levels) Upper FVG: 4,642.447 Lower FVG: 4,622.238 Deeper support (OB): around 4,596.733 These are reaction zones, not FOMO areas. Scenarios (If – Then) Primary Scenario – Continuation (~70%) If price holds above 4,622.238 The FVG is considered defended Bullish continuation toward higher levels remains favored Aligned with USD weakness + risk-off environment Alternative Scenario – Pullback (~30%) If price loses 4,622.238 A corrective move toward the OB near 4,596.733 becomes likely Only an H1 close below the OB would materially weaken the bullish outlook Summary Geopolitical headlines are amplifying volatility, but the final decision lies in price reaction at the FVG. Gold is not chasing headlines — it is following capital seeking safety.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Trump Imposes Tariffs on EU – Gold Creates a R Market Context Trump’s announcement of new tariff measures on EU goods has triggered a strong risk-off wave, pushing capital out of risk assets and into Gold as a safe-haven. The USD shows mixed reactions, while Gold rallies sharply and forms a rare bullish GAP, clearly reflecting defensive market sentiment. The key question now is not whether Gold is strong or weak, but: Will this GAP be filled, or held for trend continuation? Technical Structure (H1) The broader structure remains bullish, confirmed by multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS). The latest impulsive move has created a bullish Fair Value Gap (GAP) above the equilibrium zone. Price is currently holding above the FVG, with no clear acceptance back into lower levels. ➡️ In a geopolitical and trade-risk environment, GAPs are not required to be filled immediately. Decision Zones Upper FVG / GAP: 4,634.188 Equilibrium Zone: 4,619.928 Lower Support / GAP Base: 4,596.602 Scenarios (If – Then) Scenario 1 – GAP Holds & Continuation If price holds above 4,619.928, the GAP remains protected. Bullish continuation toward higher levels becomes likely as safe-haven flows persist. Scenario 2 – Technical GAP Fill If price loses 4,619.928, a retracement toward 4,596.602 is likely for rebalancing. Only a clear H1 close below 4,596.602 would confirm a deeper GAP fill. Summary Trade-related confrontation is changing price behavior, causing Gold to react more aggressively than usual. At this stage, the GAP represents the decision point between continuation and correction. Reaction at the GAP will define the next move. Trade the reaction, not the headline.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC