Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to weaken as renewed optimism over US–China trade relations reduces safe-haven demand.
Despite the Fed’s dovish tone after the latest FOMC meeting, the Dollar remains relatively capped, offering limited support to bullion.
However, the technical landscape remains bearish — the decisive break below the $4,000 handle signals a continuation of the downside structure that’s been unfolding since early in the week.
📊 Technical Analysis
• Structure: Clear downtrend across H1–H4, with consistent lower highs and controlled liquidity sweeps.
• Key Resistance: 3,985 – 4,000 (former support now turned supply).
• Short-Term Targets:
 – 3,925 – 3,930 → initial liquidity pocket.
 – 3,880 – 3,860 → extended bearish target aligned with Fibo 1.618 extension.
• Invalidation: Only a confirmed break & hold above 4,020 – 4,030 would shift bias neutral-to-bullish.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the 3,985–4,000 zone and fails to reclaim it, sellers are likely to extend control toward 3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC-driven volatility.
Momentum remains bearish as long as the market trades below the 4,000 pivot — liquidity below 3,900 may attract smart money before any meaningful rebound.
⚜️ Summary
This decline isn’t random — it’s a structural reset.
The market is rebalancing after months of overextended bullish sentiment.
Watch how price reacts between 3,920–3,880 — this zone could define the next shift in gold’s short-term direction.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
Xauusdsignal
XAU/USD – Gold in Equilibrium Zone: Sell Opportunities Around...🔍 Market Context 
Gold is currently consolidating within a  triangle structure , showing short-term accumulation before a potential breakout.
Buyers are trying to maintain a minor bullish structure, but the  series of lower highs  indicates that sellers still hold the upper hand.
At the moment, price is reacting within the  FVG 3,942–3,979 USD  area, staying below the descending trendline.
If this zone fails to break, selling pressure may return.
 💎 Key Technical Levels 
•  Bearish Order Block:  4,022 USD → main supply zone, aligning with the descending trendline.
•  FVG Zone 1:  3,979 USD → short-term liquidity test area.
•  FVG Zone 2:  3,942 USD → potential retracement zone before further downside.
•  Bullish Order Block:  3,882 USD → key support aligning with long-term bullish trendline.
•  Liquidity Zone:  3,789 USD → extended target if main support breaks.
 🎯 Trading Scenarios 
 1️⃣ Sell Setup – Reaction from Resistance Zone 
•  Entry:  4,012 – 4,022 USD
•  Stop Loss:  4,035 USD
•  Take Profit: 
– TP1: 3,979
– TP2: 3,942
– TP3: 3,900
– TP4: 3,882
– TP5: 3,789
 ✳️ “Sell the premium” – utilise supply and FVG reactions following Smart Money flow. 
 2️⃣ Buy Setup – Reaction from Demand Zone 
•  Entry:  3,882 USD
•  Stop Loss:  3,865 USD
•  Take Profit: 
– TP1: 3,910
– TP2: 3,942
– TP3: 3,979
– TP4: 4,012
– TP5: 4,022
 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – valid when strong absorption or reversal signal forms near the lower OB. 
 💬 Summary 
Current structure remains  short-term bearish , yet the market is balanced.
The most efficient approach is to  sell near premium zones (4,022)  and  buy back near discount (3,882) .
Expected range in the next 24–48 hours:  3,880–4,020 USD .
 💡 Tagline: 
 “Trade where institutions act — not where retail reacts.” 
 ⏰ Timeframe:  1H
 📅 Updated:  30/10/2025
 ✍️ Analysis by:  Captain Vincent
Gold Rebounds Toward OB, but Deeper Correction May Follow🔍 Market Context 
After forming a  Change of Character (ChoCH)  and a clear  Break of Structure (BoS)  to the downside, gold dropped sharply from 4,080–4,100 USD, confirming a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
Price is now making a technical rebound, forming Lower Highs toward the  Order Block 4,012 USD  — aligning with a small  Fair Value Gap (FVG) , suggesting new selling pressure may emerge.
This rebound is seen as a “pullback retest supply” within a completed bearish setup.
If the 4,012 USD supply zone reacts strongly, price may extend its drop toward lower liquidity pools.
 💎 Key Technical Structure 
 BoS (bearish):  confirms a break below prior bullish structure.
 Order Block (OB):  4,010–4,020 USD → main supply area confluencing with FVG.
 FVG zone:  3,985–4,010 USD → technical retracement zone.
 Supply Zone:  3,891–3,895 USD → temporary support, may be swept.
 Liquidity Zone:  3,850–3,860 USD → key liquidity target.
 📈 Trading Scenarios 
 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Retest OB 4,010–4,020 USD 
Entry: 4,010 – 4,020
SL: 4,035
Take Profit: 3,985 - 3,965 - 3,945 - 3,915 - 3,890/Open
✅ Condition:
Wait for price to retest FVG–OB with clear bearish confirmation (strong rejection, bearish engulfing, or minor ChoCH on M15).
➡️  Trend-follow setup – sell after price retests supply zone. 
 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reversal at Liquidity Zone 3,850 USD 
Entry: 3,850 – 3,860
SL: 3,830
TP1: 3,870 - 3,885 - 3,900 - 3,920 - 3,940/Open
✅ Condition:
Wait for strong absorption or bullish reversal signal (long-tail rejection or bullish ChoCH on M15–H1).
➡️  Counter-trend scalp setup for reversal traders. 
 ⚠️ Risk Management 
Prioritise SELLs below 4,035 USD.
BUYs only valid with confirmation at Liquidity Zone.
Avoid mid-range trading (3,920–3,970) to reduce noise.
 💬 Conclusion 
Gold remains in a bearish trend after breaking prior bullish structure.
As long as price stays below  4,035 USD , downside momentum prevails.
Next major target:  3,891 – 3,851 USD .
👉  Strategic Plan: 
 Sell 4,010–4,020 | SL 4,035 | TP 3,985 → 3,890 🎯 
 Buy 3,850–3,860 | SL 3,830 | TP 3,870 → 3,940 🎯 
💎  Price never lies — liquidity always reveals the truth. 
 ⏰ Timeframe:  1H
 📅 Updated:  29/10/2025
 ✍️ Analysis by:  Captain Vincent
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Chart Analysis – Short-Term Reversal from ?Technical Overview:
Gold has recently rebounded from a High Demand Zone around the $3,900–$3,910 region, showing clear signs of buyer re-entry after a prolonged bearish correction. The candle structure suggests strong bullish intent, with higher lows forming and a potential continuation toward the next liquidity area.
Key Observations:
🔹 High Demand Zone: Price reacted strongly here, indicating institutional buying pressure.
🔹 High Prop POI (Point of Interest): Served as a key accumulation level before the breakout.
🔹 SMC Trap: Indicates a prior liquidity grab, trapping late sellers before the move up.
🔹 Bullish Momentum Building: Consecutive bullish candles after rejection from the demand zone strengthen the reversal bias.
Target Projection:
🎯 Immediate Target: $4,080 – $4,100 (aligned with local resistance and liquidity grab zone).
🛑 Support: $3,905 (must hold to maintain bullish structure).
💎 Extended Target (if momentum continues): $4,160 – $4,180 (previous major swing high zone).
Summary:
Gold is showing a short-term recovery phase within a broader bullish structure. A confirmed 4H close above $4,030 would likely propel price toward the $4,100 region, while a drop below $3,900 would invalidate the bullish setup.
📊 Suggested Title:
"Gold Rebounds from Key Demand Zone, Eyes $4,100 Resistance 🔥"
Gold Recovers 1000 Pips Ahead of FOMC: Key Levels in Focus📊 Market Overview
After a sharp selloff that shook long positions, Gold has rebounded nearly 1000 pips, recovering from the 388x area toward 398x ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting.
Despite the short-term recovery, Gold remains down around 3.5% this week, showing caution as traders reposition before the Fed decision and amid easing U.S.–China trade tensions.
Currently, the price is trading near $3,980–3,990 during the Asian session, consolidating below the psychological $4,000 mark.
💎 Technical Outlook (H1–M15)
Gold continues trading in a short-term ascending channel, showing a corrective recovery inside a larger downtrend.
Immediate Support Zones:
• 3,961 – 3,937 → Trendline retest & OBS Buy Zone
• 3,918 → Structural invalidation area
Resistance & Key Reaction Levels:
• 4,018 – 4,085 → Mid-term resistance
• 4,094 – 4,102 → Major Sell Zone (Fibo 1.5–1.618 confluence)
📍If Gold breaks and holds above 4,018, momentum could extend toward 4,085–4,102.
📍If it rejects near 4,094–4,102, a correction toward 3,961–3,937 is likely.
🌍 Macro Context – FOMC Ahead
Markets expect a 25bps rate cut. A hawkish tone from Powell may pressure Gold, while a dovish one could send it above $4,100.
🧭 Summary
Gold keeps a short-term bullish bias but remains fragile ahead of FOMC.
Expect volatility around 4,000–4,100; key reactions near 4,094–4,102 will decide the next move.
🛡 Stay patient — liquidity builds before clarity.
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to struggle amid renewed optimism around US–China trade talks.
The shift in sentiment has reduced safe-haven demand, while softer expectations of further Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar capped — offering limited downside support for XAUUSD.
However, the technical landscape remains clearly bearish.
The break below the ₹4,000 handle confirms continuation of the downtrend first outlined in early-week plans.
📊 Technical Analysis
Structure: Gold maintains a clean bearish channel on the H1–H4 frame.
Immediate resistance: ₹3,985 – ₹4,000 (former support, now supply zone).
Target zones:
• Short-term liquidity area near ₹3,925–₹3,930
• Extended target sits around ₹3,880–₹3,860, aligning with Fibo 1.618.
Invalidation: Only a sustained break and hold above ₹4,020–₹4,030 would neutralize this short-term bearish bias.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the broken ₹4,000 zone and fails to regain it,
expect sellers to extend control toward ₹3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC meeting.
That event may later define the next recovery point — but for now, momentum remains firmly on the downside.
⚜️ Summary
Gold’s recent slide isn’t random — it’s structural.
The market is rebalancing after excessive bullish sentiment,
and liquidity below ₹3,900 is likely to attract attention before any significant rebound.
Watch the reaction near ₹3,920–₹3,880 —
that’s where the next meaningful decision for gold may emerge.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.
“Gold Rebounds from Demand Zone — Short-Term Recovery Ahead”Analysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour chart shows a strong corrective decline after forming an SMC trap near the 4,250–4,300 zone, where liquidity was swept before a sharp selloff. Price has now reached the High Probability POI (Point of Interest) around the 3,850–3,880 region, showing early signs of a bullish reaction.
The recent candle structure indicates buyers are stepping in from this demand zone, confirming a potential short-term reversal. If momentum sustains, the first target zone lies around 3,950–3,980, aligning with minor resistance and previous imbalance fill.
Outlook:
📈 Bias: Bullish correction (short-term)
🧭 Key Support: 3,850 – 3,880
🎯 Target: 3,950 – 3,980
⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,840 may reopen bearish continuation toward 3,780
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 28.10.251H Sell Limit Projection Chart for XAU/USD (Gold):
📝 Chart Summary (28.10.25)
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Setup Type: Sell Limit Projection
Market Structure: Bearish
📈 Key Levels:
Sell Limit Zone (Entry Area): Around $3,958 (Resistance R1)
Stop Loss: Around $3,982 (Top of FVG + Trendline)
Target 1 (TP1): Support S1 – around $3,920
Target 2 (TP2): Support S2 – around $3,883
📉 Technical Confluences:
🔹 1H Downtrend Line acting as dynamic resistance
🔹 FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligning with entry zone
🔹 Fibonacci retracement zone overlap
🔹 Resistance R1 matches previous supply zone
🧭 Trading Plan Idea:
Wait for price to retrace back to $3,958 zone.
Place Sell Limit order in the zone.
Stop loss: Above $3,982 zone to protect from fakeouts.
Take Profit: First target at $3,920 (partial booking), second target at $3,883 (runner).
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Watch for liquidity grabs above R1 before rejection.
Avoid market entry — wait for price confirmation near the zone.
Adjust SL if price structure shifts on lower timeframes.
GOLD (XAU/USD): SHORT OPPORTUNITY — RIDING THE FINAL BEAR LEG!1. MACRO VIEW: THE FED DECISION & MARKET TENSION
The Gold market is currently caught in a tug-of-war:
Downside Pressure (USD): Positive developments in the US-China trade talks are easing global risk concerns, which often reduces demand for safe-haven Gold.
Upside Support (Gold): Traders are fully pricing in a 25bps Fed rate cut on Wednesday, putting downward pressure on the US Dollar (which is supportive of Gold). Geopolitical tensions (Russia-US) add further safe-haven appeal.
Key Takeaway: While USD weakness is supportive, our Technicals strongly suggest a corrective move needs to conclude first. The FOMC decision is the ultimate game-changer.
2. TECHNICALS: STRUCTURE CONFIRMS THE BEARISH BIAS
Trend Shift: Gold’s strong previous rally has ended. The structure has been clearly broken, confirming a Bearish Shift for the short-term trend.
Expected Move: We are looking for a classic technical pullback (Retest) to the newly formed resistance zone. Following this retest, we expect sellers to push the price down to complete the correction.
3. 💡 TRADE STRATEGY (THE SHORT SETUP)
We are positioning for a SELL (SHORT) trade, anticipating the end of the corrective phase:
Ideal Entry Zone (Entry): 3,949.849 (Retesting the previous major Support, now acting as Resistance)
Take Profit (TP1): 3,929.793
Take Profit (TP2): 3,878.287 – 3,811.333 (The Major Demand Zone Target below)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 3,949.849 (Placed above the confirmed resistance)
⚠️ Important Note: The FED rate decision on Wednesday guarantees high volatility. Trade cautiously and ALWAYS prioritize risk management!
What is your view on Gold's bottom? Share your thoughts below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #FOMC #TradePlan
Sell Projection for XAUUSD (Gold/USD) dated 28.10.25Market Structure
Price Action: The chart shows a sideways channel breakout followed by a strong bearish engulfing candle.
This indicates a shift from consolidation to bearish momentum.
📈 Entry Setup
Entry Zone: Around the retest area near 3,984 (highlighted in blue).
Price is expected to pull back to this zone before continuing downward.
The “ENTRY FOR SELLERS & RETEST ZONE” is marked clearly in the chart.
🛑 Stop Loss
Stop Loss Level: ~ 4,008.551
Positioned above day resistance, giving enough buffer to avoid fake breakouts.
🟢 Target
Target Price: ~ 3,950.397
This level aligns with monthly support, giving a clean RR (Risk-to-Reward) structure.
⚡ Additional Notes
Day Resistance: 3,984.320
Monthly Support: 3,950.397
Breaked the sideways channel: This is the key trigger zone that shows bearish pressure building.
If price rejects the retest zone strongly, it can accelerate toward the target quickly.
📊 Summary of the Trade Idea
Setup Element	Details
Pair	XAUUSD / Gold
Direction	Sell
Entry Zone	3984
Stop Loss	4008.551
Target	3950.397
Structure	Sideways Breakout → Retest → Sell
Confirmation Candle	Bearish Engulfing
✅ Trading Tip: Wait for clear rejection or bearish confirmation at the entry zone (e.g., wick rejection or engulfing candle) before executing the sell.
GOLD (XAU/USD): THE FED AND THE FINAL DIP – GET READY TO SHORT1. MACRO SCENARIO: KYA HO RAHA HAI?
Pull Factor (For Sellers): The US-China deal framework is good news, reducing those 100% tariff fears. This is putting some halki halki (slight) pressure on Gold.
Push Factor (For Buyers): CPI figures are weak (3% inflation), which pakka (surely) means the Fed will cut rates soon. Plus, the Russia-Ukraine jhamela (trouble) is a serious safe-haven booster.
The Main Event: The FOMC decision this Wednesday is the baap (father/boss) of all events. This will decide the long-term rasta (path) for Gold.
2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE KA RAAZ (Secret of the Structure)
Current Scene: Gold had a solid run, but now it's in a big sydeway correction. The main price trend has been broken, confirming that the immediate sentiment is bearish. Zyada (More) selling pressure is expected.
Expected Plan: Gold has likely finished its upward natak (drama) and is ready for the final, sharp dip to complete this correction phase.
The Target (Magnet): The critical Value Gap on the Daily chart (around $3,880 – $3,920) is the strongest magnet. Pakka (Definitely), the price is heading here before taking a u-turn.
ENTRY WAITING: We might see a small comeback (retest) towards the broken structure area before the big fall starts. Pura dhyan udhar hi rakhna (Keep full attention there only).
3. 💡 TRADING STRATEGY (SHORT SIDE)
We are focusing on a SHORT trade for this final correctional wave:
Best Entry Zone: $4,080 – $4,100 (Retest of the broken zone).
Booking Profit (TP1): $3,970 (Nearest Demand Zone).
Booking Profit (TP2): $3,880 (The final target at the major Daily Value Gap).
Stop Loss (SL): $4,135 (Above the main Supply Zone, for safety).
A Serious Note: Please keep your Stop Loss tight before the FOMC on Wednesday. Mazaak nahi (No joke)! This short could be the last dance before a long-term rally!
Where do you think Gold will find asra (shelter/support)? Drop your comments below!
#Gold #XAUUSD #FOMC #Trading #TradePlan
Gold Awaits FOMC Breakout While Holding Key Liquidity BaseMarket Overview:
Gold remains trapped in a tight range as traders weigh optimism from US–China trade progress against cautious expectations for the upcoming FOMC meeting.
The macro picture feels balanced: risk sentiment improves, yet the weaker USD and lingering Fed cut expectations quietly support the metal.
In essence, gold isn’t trending — it’s coiling.
Liquidity is being built, not lost.
Every test of 4,050–4,060 shows strong absorption, while short-term sellers are still defending the 4,186–4,260 region.
The market is waiting for a trigger,
and the FOMC might be the one that decides which side breaks first.
Technical Structure (H1)
Price continues to respect the ascending support trendline from 4,003 and the neckline resistance near 4,107.
This structure has the DNA of a compression model — narrowing volatility, thinning liquidity, preparing for expansion.
If the support at 4,050 holds, a retest of 4,107 → 4,186 remains likely before the next decision point.
Conversely, a liquidity sweep under 4,002 could form the last dip before a bigger rally unfolds.
Key Structural Levels:
Support / Accumulation Zone: 4,058 – 4,050
Mid-Level Pivot / Neckline: 4,107
Upper Supply Zone: 4,186 – 4,260
Deep Liquidity Pool: 4,002 – 3,930
MMFLOW Perspective:
For now, gold is accumulating energy — this is not a breakout market, it’s a build-up market.
Price action above 4,050 still favours the bulls, but conviction will only return once we see a clean break beyond 4,186.
Ahead of FOMC, patience is strategy.
The next wave won’t come from guessing policy —
it’ll come from reading the flow once volatility hits.
Summary:
Gold’s structure remains stable — liquidity is concentrated below 4,050, and compression continues within the 4,060–4,186 band.
Bias stays neutral-to-bullish as long as the liquidity base holds.
📊 What’s your take?
Will the FOMC spark the breakout, or is gold just reloading for the next wave?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for institutional flow analysis and smart money structure updates.
Plan |Gold Gradually Accumulating, Ready for a Rebound Wave?🔍 Market Context 
After reaching the historical peak  ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold underwent a deep correction, breaking the short-term bullish structure (BoS) and retesting the  OB Bearish zone above .
However, since the price returned to the  4,040 – 4,060 USD  area, the market has clearly shown signs of liquidity absorption ($$$) and maintained an internal uptrend line, indicating that buying momentum is returning.
The current structure suggests gold is in a  re-accumulation phase  before forming a medium-term rebound wave towards the 4,185 → 4,243 USD zone.
The buyers hold the advantage as long as the price does not break the main support trendline.
 💎 Key Technical Structure 
 Support Zone:  4,040 – 4,060 USD → a strong support zone confluencing with the trendline, where institutional buying forces have appeared.
 Support Trendline:  connecting the series of higher lows from 15/10 → the short-term trend remains bullish.
 Liquidity Zone $$$:  4,060 – 4,080 → supply absorption zone, confirming its role as a “price base”.
 Resistance Zone:  4,149 – 4,185 → the first resistance zone to break to confirm the recovery momentum.
 Target FVG / Supply Zone:  4,243 – 4,250 → potential profit-taking zone or point to consider reversal.
Current structure:
→  Short-term:  bullish corrective move.
→  Medium-term:  potential for forming an extended recovery wave if it holds above 4,040 USD.
 📈 Trading Scenarios 
 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Retest Trendline / Liquidity Zone 4,060 USD 
Entry: 4,060 – 4,070
SL: 4,035
TP1: 4,149
TP2: 4,185
TP3: 4,243
✅ Condition:
Price touches the trendline or liquidity zone 4,060 and shows a bullish reversal signal (rejection / bullish engulfing).
➡️  This is a high-probability setup, confluencing the trendline structure + liquidity support zone, often where large buyers re-enter the market. 
 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Break & Retest resistance zone 4,149 USD 
Entry: 4,149 – 4,155
SL: 4,130
TP1: 4,185
TP2: 4,243
✅ Condition:
Wait for the price to break the resistance zone 4,149 with strong volume, then lightly retest without closing the candle below 4,130.
➡️  Trend-following setup – confirms the return of buying momentum and extends the target to the FVG zone 4,243 USD. 
 3️⃣ SELL Setup (Scalp Reaction) – FVG 4,243 USD 
Entry: 4,240 – 4,245
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,185 → 4,150
✅ Condition:
Only execute if there is a strong reaction at FVG 4,243 without a continuation break signal.
➡️  Short-term technical sell – exploiting the supply zone reaction, do not hold the position long. 
 ⚠️ Risk Management 
Prioritise trading in the buy direction, avoid selling against the main trend.
If H2 closes the candle below 4,035 → bullish scenario invalid, wait for a new structure.
Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,090–4,130).
Keep moderate volume, move SL to breakeven when the price exceeds 4,149.
 💬 Conclusion 
Gold is in an  ascending re-accumulation phase  after a strong decline.
As long as the price holds the trendline and support zone 4,040 – 4,060 USD, there is a high chance gold will rebound following the  liquidity + breakout retest  model, with the main target being  4,185 → 4,243 USD .
If it breaks through 4,243 USD, the market may trigger a stronger recovery momentum towards  4,300 – 4,340 USD .
👉  Reasonable Strategy: 
 Buy 4,060–4,070 → TP 4,185 / 4,243 USD 
 Add Buy when breaking 4,149 USD with volume confirmation.
 Technical Sell 4,243 USD  if there is no signal to break higher.
🔥  “As long as 4,040 holds, gold remains in accumulation — patience will pay.” 
 ⏰ Timeframe:  2H
 📅 Update:  27/10/2025
 ✍️ Analysis by:  Captain Vincent
XAUUSD: Structure Broken! Can the Fed Rate Cut Save Gold?Gold has just completed its first losing week in 10, after a historic rally. Following the record peak of $4,381.21, Gold experienced a sharp correction driven by profit-taking and easing US-China trade tensions. However, weaker-than-expected US CPI data has strongly reinforced expectations for an upcoming Fed rate cut, creating a significant market conflict.
I. MARKET CONTEXT ANALYSIS (H4)
Structure: The prior bullish structure has been broken, shifting the bias to bearish in the short term.
Liquidity: Market forces are now targeting key stop-loss zones to collect liquidity before the next major move.
Strategy: We look to Sell when price pulls back to the Supply Zone (Premium) and Buy when price sweeps liquidity into the strong Demand Zone.
II. DETAILED TRADING PLAN
1. SELL Scenario 📉 (At Supply Zones)
Trade 1:
Entry: $4,202 - $4,204
SL: $4,212
TP: $4,194 / $4,184 / $4,174 / $4,164
Trade 2:
Entry: $4,252 - $4,256
SL: $4,272
TP: $4,236 / $4,216 / $4,196 / $4,176
2. BUY Scenario 📈 (At Demand Zones)
Trade 1:
Entry: $4,158 - $4,161
SL: $4,151
TP: $4,168 / $4,178 / $4,188 / $4,198
Trade 2 (Critical):
Entry: $3,966 - $3,969 (Strong Demand Zone, post-liquidity sweep)
SL: $3,949
TP: $3,989 / $4,009 / $4,029 / $4,049
III. RISK MANAGEMENT NOTE
Capital: Always limit risk to ≤ 1% of capital per trade.
Confirmation: Prioritize waiting for reversal confirmation on lower timeframes (M15/M5) to optimize Risk/Reward ratio.
This is the decisive moment! Trade safe and good luck!
#XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #Forex #Trading #Fed #Inflation
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTION 26.10.25Here’s a clear explanation of the 4H SELL SETUP shown in your chart 📊👇
📌 Chart Breakdown (XAU/USD — Gold 4H)
Pattern: Rising wedge / structure breakdown
Trendline: “4H Uptrend Line – Broken” ✅
Candle signal: Bearish Engulfing at ATH (strong reversal confirmation)
🧭 Key Levels
🟥 Stop Loss: Around 4,225.640 (above structure high)
🟡 Entry Zone: ~4,192 (below trendline break)
🟢 Targets:
TP1: 4,125
TP2: 4,075
TP3: 4,031
🧠 Trading Logic
Market formed a Bearish Engulfing at the top.
The main trendline was broken, indicating possible trend reversal.
After a retest of the broken structure, price is expected to continue downward.
Multiple TPs (TP1, TP2, TP3) help scale out profits gradually.
SL is placed above the previous high to protect against a fake breakout.
Gold Rebounds as CPI Cools and USD WeakensMarket Overview:
Gold has regained bullish traction after the latest US CPI report showed softer inflation data, leading to a weaker USD and renewed buying across metals.
CPI figures came in below market expectations (Core CPI 0.2% vs 0.3%, CPI m/m 0.3% vs 0.4%, CPI y/y 3.0% vs 3.1%), signalling lower inflation pressure and reinforcing bets that the Fed will stay dovish heading into November.
 As a result, gold bounced strongly from the 4,050–4,058 support zone, reclaiming key structure levels and stabilising above 4,100 USD/oz. 
Market sentiment remains risk-sensitive, but the short-term tone favours further upside correction, as long as gold holds above the trendline and liquidity support zones highlighted on the chart.
Technical Outlook (H2):
The market structure suggests gold has completed its correction phase and is attempting to form a new bullish leg.
 Price action shows a clean rejection at the 4,050 liquidity base, and the next immediate objectives are the 4,211 neckline and 4,260–4,342 supply zones. 
 Key Technical Levels:
Support / Buy Zone: 4,058 – 4,002
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 3,930 – 3,940
Resistance / Neckline: 4,211
Sell Zone Reaction Fibo: 4,260 – 4,342
Trading Plan – MMFLOW View
🔹 BUY Zone #1 (Continuation Play)
Entry: 4,058 – 4,050
Stop Loss: 4,035
Take Profit: 4,155 → 4,211 → 4,260
🔹 BUY Zone #2 (Liquidity Sweep Scenario)
Entry: 4,002 – 3,930
Stop Loss: 3,915
Take Profit: 4,058 → 4,155 → 4,211
Ideal setup if price retests liquidity before CPI-induced recovery continues.
🔹 SELL Zone(Reaction Trade)
Entry: 4,260 – 4,342
Stop Loss: 4,355
Take Profit: 4,211 → 4,100 → 4,058 
Weekly Bias & Summary:
With CPI cooling and the USD losing momentum, gold’s structure points to a recovery phase, possibly extending into Wave III of the medium-term cycle.
 However, the 4,211 neckline remains the key pivot — a breakout above this zone could trigger momentum extension toward 4,260–4,340, while a rejection may result in another range-bound pullback. 
 🟡 MMFLOW Bias: Bullish while above 4,050 — dips remain opportunities to buy. 
Macro tone favours risk-on rotation, supporting gold’s upside into next week.
 📊 Do you think gold will break 4,211 for the next bullish leg, or is another correction incoming before the real move? 
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily institutional updates and Smart Money Flow structure.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY OVERVIEW PROJECTION 25.10.25“XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY OVERVIEW 25.10.25”:
🟡 Pair: XAUUSD (Gold vs USD)
📅 Timeframe: Weekly
📊 Chart Type: Price action with liquidity zone and retest entry plan
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance / Upper Target Zone: ~4,360 – 4,400
Entry Zone / Supply-Demand Range: ~4,057 – 4,145
Support / Lower Target Zone: ~3,868
🧭 Market Structure Analysis:
The price is currently consolidating inside a mid-range zone (4,057–4,145) after a strong previous down move.
Liquidity zones are marked both above and below, suggesting potential breakout and retest setups.
The market is showing accumulation or indecision before a big move.
🛒 Buy Scenario (Bullish Plan):
Price may retest the lower boundary of the entry zone (~4,057–4,145).
If a bullish retest/confirmation candle forms → Long Entry.
Target: ~4,360 area (major resistance).
Stop-loss likely placed slightly below 4,057.
🟢 This aligns with a potential reversal or continuation of higher timeframe bullish structure.
🐻 Sell Scenario (Bearish Plan):
Price may break below the entry zone, retest it from the bottom, and reject.
If a bearish retest/confirmation candle forms → Short Entry.
Target: ~3,868 support level.
Stop-loss likely placed slightly above 4,145.
🔴 This aligns with a continuation of the recent bearish momentum.
⚠️ Additional Notes:
Watch for fake breakouts near the entry zone.
Weekly candles can give strong direction but might take 1–2 weeks to fully play out.
High impact news related to gold or USD can accelerate the move.
✅ Summary Plan:
Buy entry: After bullish retest of 4,057–4,145 → TP 4,360
Sell entry: After bearish retest of 4,057–4,145 → TP 3,868
SL: Just outside the opposite edge of the entry zone.
XAUUSD, Whats the Trend? If Pattern Breaks out?#Gold (#XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - October 24, 2025
Current Market Bias: **BEARISH**
Gold is currently trading at 4,109.12, positioned within a critical decision zone. The price action shows a developing #Descendingtriangle pattern with a clear resistance trendline connecting the recent highs around 4,150-4,200. 
Key Observations:
The market has failed to break above the dynamic resistance multiple times, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Price is currently hovering near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (4,153.81) but struggling to maintain above it. The horizontal support around 4,015 has been tested multiple times, forming the base of this triangle pattern.
#Breakout Scenarios:
📉 Bearish Breakdown (Higher Probability)
If the horizontal support at 4,015 breaks decisively:
- First Target: 3,918 (1.272 Fibonacci extension)
- Second Target: 3,865 (1.414 Fibonacci extension)  
- Extended Target: 3,791 (1.618 Fibonacci extension)
- Major Support: 3,652 (2.0 Fibonacci extension)
This breakdown would represent a continuation of the corrective move from the all-time highs, potentially triggering significant selling pressure as stop-losses are triggered below 4,000.
📈 #Bullish Breakout (Alternative Scenario)
If price breaks above the descending resistance trendline AND reclaims 4,150-4,200:
- First Target: 4,250
- Extended Target: 4,300 (previous highs)
This would invalidate the bearish triangle pattern and could trigger a rally back toward recent highs.
#Risk Management
The pattern suggests a #risk-reward favoring short positions on breakdown confirmation. Traders should wait for a decisive close below 4,015 with increased volume before entering bearish positions. Stop-loss above 4,150 would be prudent for short positions.
Current stance: Monitor the 4,015 support closely - a break here opens the door to significant downside.
Gold Stuck Near ₹4,100 Ahead of CPIMarket Pulse:
Gold is holding steady around ₹4,100, caught between uncertainty and opportunity as traders brace for the US CPI release and new developments in US–China trade talks.
The yellow metal has paused its recovery from ₹4,050 → ₹4,160, while the US Dollar and bond yields edge higher amid renewed geopolitical tension and surging oil prices.
This is the classic “calm before volatility” moment — the market is simply waiting for data to decide the next wave.
If CPI comes in softer or trade talks disappoint, liquidity could flood back into gold, breaking above ₹4,155–₹4,160 and opening the path toward ₹4,215 → ₹4,261.
But a strong CPI surprise could flip sentiment fast — dragging price back into the ₹4,056 and ₹4,018 buy zones, where the next reaction will decide direction.
📊 Technical Outlook (M30)
Price continues to coil within a tight structure between ₹4,100 – ₹4,155, forming a “spring compression” right below trendline resistance.
Market flow suggests accumulation beneath ₹4,100, hinting that liquidity is building before the next expansion.
Key Structure Zones:
Resistance Pivot: ₹4,154 – ₹4,155 → Key breakout level
Breakout Support (CP Zone): ₹4,056 – ₹4,060
Liquidity Buy Zone: ₹4,018 – ₹4,020
Sell Zone (Fibo Reaction): ₹4,215 – ₹4,261
🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Style
🔹 BUY PLAN – Reaccumulation Base
Entry: ₹4,056 – ₹4,060
Stop Loss: ₹4,045
Targets: ₹4,100 → ₹4,140 → ₹4,155
Focus on reaction candles & liquidity grab confirmation.
🔹 BUY PLAN – Liquidity Sweep Setup
Entry: ₹4,018 – ₹4,020
Stop Loss: ₹4,005
Targets: ₹4,056 → ₹4,100 → ₹4,150
If liquidity sweeps this zone clean, watch for a sharp recovery flow.
🧭 Summary – MMFLOW View
Gold is in “decision mode”, waiting for CPI and macro catalysts to trigger the next trend.
The structure stays neutral-bullish as long as price holds above ₹4,056.
A confirmed breakout above ₹4,155 may unlock a fast rally toward ₹4,215–₹4,260, while a break below ₹4,018 could open the door for one more liquidity flush.
⚜️ MMFLOW Bias: No need to predict the move — just follow the flow when liquidity confirms.
📊 Do you expect gold to break higher after CPI, or trap traders before reversing?
Gold Maintains Re-Accumulation Above OB, Wave Recovery Target🔍 Market Context 
After a sharp decline from the  ATH GOLD 4,371 USD  peak, gold has completed a liquidity sweep around the  4,010 USD  bottom and formed a stable accumulation zone above the  Order Block 4,080 USD .
The buyers are gradually regaining control as the price holds firm at the OB and shows signs of short-term supply absorption.
The  Resistance 4,149 USD  zone is currently a temporary barrier; if successfully breached – gold could trigger a recovery wave towards the  Fair Value Gap (FVG)  zones at 4,197 and 4,235 USD.
The current price structure leans towards a  bullish retracement structure  – prioritising buy orders when the price reacts from the active demand zone.
 💎 Key Technical Structure 
 Order Block (OB):  4,080 – 4,085 USD → crucial support zone, confluence with Fibo 0.786, serving as an accumulation base.
 Resistance (Breakout Level):  4,149 USD → confirmation zone for upward direction, requires decisive breakout.
 FVG1:  4,197 – 4,210 USD → first target, short-term supply test zone.
 FVG2:  4,225 – 4,235 USD → confluence resistance zone, potential profit-taking for recovery wave.
 ATH GOLD:  4,371 USD → long-term resistance, expanded target if the market maintains strong buying flow.
Overall Structure:
→  Short-term:  bullish recovery.
→  Medium-term:  re-accumulation after a deep correction phase.
 📈 Trading Scenarios 
 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest Order Block 4,080 USD 
Entry: 4,080 – 4,085
SL: 4,060
TP1: 4,149
TP2: 4,197
TP3: 4,235
✅ Condition:
Wait for the price to retrace to the OB zone and show clear bullish reversal signals (rejection or bullish engulfing).
➡️  This is a classic “Buy the Dip” setup – aligning with the recovery structure, with high probability due to OB + strong Fibonacci confluence. 
 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest zone 4,149 USD 
Entry: 4,149 – 4,155
SL: 4,130
TP1: 4,197
TP2: 4,235
✅ Condition:
Price breaks through the 4,149 resistance zone with good volume and lightly retests, without closing candles below 4,130.
➡️  Trend-following setup, aligning with the flow when the market confirms a short-term resistance break. 
 3️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at FVG 4,235 USD (short-term) 
Entry: 4,230 – 4,235
SL: 4,245
TP: 4,197 → 4,150
✅ Condition:
If gold reacts weakly and there is no follow-up buy at the FVG2 zone → a short-term technical sell can be considered on pullback.
➡️  Short-term sell – only execute if there is no confirmation of continued upward movement. 
 ⚠️ Risk Management 
Prioritise BUY according to the main structure (retracement bullish).
Do not FOMO buy within the zone (4,110 – 4,130).
If H1 closes candles below 4,060 → invalidates the bullish scenario, wait for structure reconstruction.
Maintain moderate order size when trading around the FVG zone to avoid noise.
 💬 Conclusion 
Gold is in the process of re-accumulation and preparing for a technical recovery phase.
As long as the price holds the  Order Block 4,080 USD  zone, the recovery structure remains valid, and the feasible target is  4,197 → 4,235 USD .
If it breaks through 4,235 USD, the market could extend the rally towards the  4,300 – 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD)  zone.
👉  Reasonable Strategy: 
 Buy 4,080 → TP 4,197 / 4,235. 
 Buy more when 4,149 break confirms upward direction. 
 Sell short reaction at 4,235 if there is no signal of continued break. 
🔥  “Patience at the base — profits come to those who wait for the OB reaction.” 
 ⏰ Timeframe:  1H
 📅 Update:  24/10/2025
 ✍️ Analysis by:  Captain Vincent
XAU/USD: GEMING! US-RUSSIA TENSION DI MANA MAU ENTRY?Gold ($4,140/oz) has bounced back nicely after a big drop from the top. This strength is mostly because of the new US sanctions on Russia (more geopolitical heat!) and everyone is waiting for the key US Inflation Data (today, 24/10). Basically, the fundamentals are giving Gold a strong support!
📌 TECHNICALS & THE GAME PLAN (H1)
Crucial Resistance (Level Berat): $4,180 - $4,186
Action: Jual (Sell) if price reaches this level and gets rejected. Beli (Buy) only if it breaks decisively above $4,186 for a big continuation.
The 'Sweet Spot' Support (Area Cuan): $4,085 - $4,091
Action: Bias BUY. This is the 'Buy The Dip' opportunity. Watch for bullish confirmation here—this is a high-value area.
Safety Net (SL Aman): Below $4,057
If this level is lost, watch out! Pressure will mount to push Gold towards $4,000.
💡 VERDICT & STRATEGY
Gold is currently consolidating. With all this strong news backing it up, the best strategy is to look for BUY entries around the established support zone.
Ideal Entry: $4,085 - $4,091
Stop Loss (SL): Below $4,057
Target (TP): Aim for $4,180
Yuk, trading hati-hati! Don't forget to keep an eye on US Inflation later! 🚀
#XAUUSD #Emas #ForexIndonesia #TradingViewID #Geopolitik #AnalisaTeknikal #BuyTheDip #TradingStrategy #SinyalEmas
XAU/USD – Gold Completes Liquidity Sweep Phase🔍 Market Context 
After a prolonged decline from the peak  ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold has formed a  Liquidity Sweep  around the  4,010 USD  zone, where the selling side was completely absorbed by strong buying pressure from the demand zone below.
The price structure shows signs of a  Change of Character (ChoCH)  for the first time since the peak, along with the appearance of an  Order Block (OB) 4,081 USD  – the starting point for a new upward momentum.
This indicates a high possibility that the market is entering a  technical retracement phase , aiming to retest the FVG resistance zone above, or even expand back to the ATH zone if buying pressure continues.
 💎 Key Technical Structure 
 Liquidity Sweep:  4,010 – 4,020 USD → liquidity sweep bottom zone, increased volume appears, confirming absorption of sell orders.
 Order Block (OB):  4,081 – 4,090 USD → starting zone for recovery momentum; if the price retests this zone and holds → confirmation signal for an upward phase.
 Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 
• FVG1: 4,196 – 4,210 USD → first target for the recovery wave.
• FVG2: 4,234 – 4,250 USD → next target, confluence of medium-term resistance.
 OB | ATH GOLD:  4,370 – 4,380 USD → major resistance zone, previous peak; if the price surpasses → confirmation of a new upward trend.
Current market structure:
→  Short-term:  bullish recovery (recovering from the bottom zone).
→  Medium-term:  waiting for confirmation to break 4,234 to transition to a complete bullish structure.
 📈 Trading Scenarios 
 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest the Order Block 4,081 USD 
Entry: 4,081 – 4,085
SL: 4,060
TP1: 4,196
TP2: 4,234
TP3: 4,370
✅ Conditions:
Wait for the price to retest the OB 4,081 zone, a confirmation signal for an increase appears (rejection / engulfing bullish) or a small BoS on M15.
➡️  This is a classic buy-the-dip setup after a Liquidity Sweep – high probability due to the confluence of OB + ChoCH + strong demand zone. 
 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest FVG 4,196 USD 
Entry: 4,196 – 4,200
SL: 4,180
TP: 4,234 → 4,370
✅ Conditions:
The price breaks up the first FVG with good volume, then lightly retests without closing candles below 4,180.
➡️  Trend-following setup, following the money flow when the price confirms breaking the short-term resistance zone. 
 📉 Alternative Scenario – SELL reaction at 4,234 USD (Short-term Scalp) 
Entry: 4,234 – 4,240
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,196 → 4,100
✅ Conditions:
If the price reacts strongly and fails at the second FVG without follow-up volume increase → a short adjustment phase may appear.
➡️  Short-term sell, only execute if there is no continuation confirmation at FVG2. 
 ⚠️ Risk Management 
Prioritise BUY according to the main recovery trend, only SELL when there is a clear reaction.
Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,130–4,180).
If the price closes H1 candles below 4,060 → invalidate the recovery trend, pause all buy orders.
 💬 Conclusion 
Gold has completed the  Liquidity Sweep  phase and is signaling a  sustainable technical reversal .
Two important zones to monitor:
 4,081 USD (OB Zone):  first rebound support zone.
 4,234 USD (FVG Zone):  zone confirming a new upward structure.
If the price holds OB and breaks through FVG, there is a high chance gold will resume its upward momentum towards the  4,370 USD (ATH GOLD)  zone.
👉  Reasonable Strategy: 
 Buy 4,081 USD → TP 4,234 / 4,370 USD. 
 Sell reaction 4,234 USD  only when a clear reversal signal appears.
🔥  “Liquidity has been swept — now it’s time to ride the recovery wave.” 
 ⏰ Timeframe:  1H
 📅 Updated:  23/10/2025
 ✍️ Analysis by:  Captain Vincent
XAU/USD – Gold Tests Final Structure Before Deciding New Wave“If the 3,950 USD zone is breached, the long-term uptrend may end.” 
 🔍 Market Context 
After reaching the historic peak  ATH GOLD 4,381 USD , gold has sharply corrected and formed a clear  Change of Character (ChoCH)  on the H1 timeframe.
Currently, the price is technically recovering to the  Resistance – FVG – Fibonacci 4,216 USD  zone, which was previously a distribution peak.
The sellers are regaining short-term dominance, while the Order Block zone (3,953–3,960 USD) — which was the starting point of the strongest growth on H4/Daily — is becoming the most critical defense line of the uptrend.
If this zone is decisively broken, it is highly likely that the medium-term bullish structure will break and trigger a bearish expansion towards deeper liquidity zones like 3,689 USD.
 💎 Technical Analysis 
 Resistance – FVG – Fib Zone:  4,216 – 4,228 → confluence resistance zone FVG + Fibo 0.618, suitable for sell reaction.
 Liquidity Sweep Zone:  4,043 – 4,006 → intermediate liquidity sweep zone, may see a temporary pause.
 Order Block | Structural Base:  3,953 – 3,960 → H4 momentum creation zone → ATH; if breached, long-term bullish structure is invalidated.
 Liquidity Zone $$$:  3,689 – 3,685 → deep liquidity zone, potential target if OB is broken.
Overall Structure:
→  Short-term:  bearish corrective phase.
→  Medium-term:  bullish remains if 3,950 is not broken.
 📉 Trading Scenarios 
 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Reaction at 4,216 – 4,228 USD zone 
Entry: 4,216 – 4,228
SL: 4,240
TP1: 4,043
TP2: 3,956
TP3: 3,689
✅ Condition:
Wait for a clear reversal signal (strong rejection or bearish engulfing) on H1/M15 at the FVG resistance zone.
➡️  Classic “Sell the Rally” setup – follow the flow post-ChoCH, targeting the key OB zone 3,953 USD. 
 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reaction at Order Block 3,953 – 3,960 USD 
Entry: 3,956 – 3,953
SL: 3,940
TP: 4,043 → 4,216
✅ Condition:
Price holds OB and a strong reversal signal appears (bullish engulfing / increased volume / small BoS structure turns bullish again).
➡️  This is the decisive zone for the medium-term trend: if it bounces strongly, buyers will regain control; if it breaks, gold enters a new deep decline cycle. 
 ⚠️ Risk Management 
Prioritise SELL when price retraces to 4,216 – 4,228 with reversal signals.
BUY at 3,953 only with a clear reaction; if broken, cease all buy orders.
When price closes H4 candle below 3,950 → confirm bearish break, extend target to 3,689 USD.
 💬 Conclusion 
Gold is testing the  Order Block foundation of the long-term uptrend (3,953–3,960 USD) .
If this zone holds, the market may rebound to 4,216 – 4,280;
but if breached, gold is likely to open a deep decline phase towards 3,689 USD – where a large liquidity pool is concentrated at the bottom.
👉  Reasonable Strategy: 
 Sell 4,216 – 4,228 USD  if clear reversal signals appear.
 Buy 3,953 – 3,960 USD  if strong reaction;
If 3,950 is breached → confirm extended downtrend, prioritise SELL continuation.
🔥  “This Order Block built the last gold rally — if it breaks, the next leg down will be brutal.” 
 ⏰ Timeframe:  1H – reference H4/Daily
 📅 Update:  22/10/2025
 ✍️ Analysis by:  Captain Vincent






















