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GOLD (XAU/USD): THE BATTLE OF NFP AND FED!1️⃣ TECHNICAL VIEW (TA): Awaiting Sell Confirmation Structure: The short-term uptrend has ended, prices are adjusting/reversing. Main Supply Zone (Order Block - OB): Prices are retracing to the ideal sell zone (around $4,064 - $4,081). Strategy: Prioritise seeking SELL signals at the OB zone. Target: $3,976 and $3,931 if the OB zone holds. 2️⃣ FUNDAMENTAL VIEW (FA): Interest Rate Pressure Selling pressure is increasing from:** Fed Rate Cut Expectations Dwindle: The probability of a 25bps rate cut in December has fallen below 50%. The "Higher for Longer" signal reduces Gold's appeal. Upcoming Risks: The market awaits NFP and FOMC Minutes. Strong data will bolster USD and sink Gold. ⚠️ Opposing risk: Uncertainty from the US Government shutdown and geopolitical tensions (Russia/Ukraine) may restrain the decline. #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingSetup #SELLZone #Fed #NFP #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #Forex
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAU/USD TRADING PLAN 17/11/20251️⃣ CONTEXT Last Friday saw a drop of ~200 points → confirming strong selling pressure. No major news today, expected movement: Wide sideways 4030–4120 Sell bias (priority to sell at high zones) The major trend remains in a down channel, any rise is mainly for unloading. 2️⃣ GENERAL RULES SL: 10 points for all trades TP: 10 points for all trades 3️⃣ SELL ZONES (PRIMARY) 4120–4125 4146–4148 4160–4165 4182–4185 4210–4215 (strongest resistance of the day) 4️⃣ BUY ZONES (RETRACEMENT) 4056–4050 4033–4030 3996–3994 3966 3888 5️⃣ SUMMARY Bias: Sideways → priority to Sell. Sell at resistance zones, Buy at strong support zones. SL/TP adjusted according to RR ratio 1:1, 1:2 Pay attention to appropriate volume
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Chum_trades
XAU/USD – Rebalancing Structure, Support Zone Holding Steady⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 17/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After the extended decline late last week, gold is gradually stabilizing around the 4,050–4,080 USD zone, showing a positive reaction at the structural support zone. The recent Break of Structure (BOS) sequence indicates that the selling momentum is gradually weakening, while the newly formed Order Block is acting as a temporary balance for the market. The current structure slightly leans towards a technical recovery, as buying flows are returning around the main support zone. 📊 Technical Structure Support Zone (4,049–4,080 USD): a critical support zone, confluencing with the previous liquidity bottom. Order Block (4,096–4,115 USD): a short-term supply-demand area, potentially a retest point before the price expands higher. Resistance Zone (4,145 USD): the first intermediate level to overcome to confirm upward momentum. Target Zone (4,210 USD): the upper liquidity zone, corresponding to the potential expansion mark of the recovery wave. 🎯 Market Outlook Priority scenario for the day: 1️⃣ Gold may retest the Order Block zone 4,096–4,115 USD before forming the first push up to 4,145 USD. 2️⃣ If buying pressure is maintained and this resistance zone is broken, the expansion momentum may head towards 4,210 USD, corresponding to a higher liquidity zone. 3️⃣ Losing the 4,049 USD mark will invalidate the recovery structure and bring the market back to a lower balance zone. 🧠 Analyst’s View The market is currently in a reaccumulation phase after a strong correction. Buyers still maintain a technical advantage as long as the price remains above the 4,049 USD support zone. Observing price behavior around the Order Block and the 4,145 USD zone will be key signals to confirm the strength of this recovery wave. 🛡️ Risk Note The current phase is a “pullback phase” within the larger structure. Traders should wait for clear price behavior confirmation at technical zones rather than predicting movements in advance.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Technical Rebound to FVG, Prioritise WATCHING FOR SELL at 4📊 Market Structure Gold has completed a strong decline from the peak of 4.21x, leaving consecutive Break of Structure (BoS), confirming a short-term bearish structure. The drop through the Breakout zone of 4.10x indicates a dominant selling force. Currently, the price is bouncing from the Premium Zone 4.05x, aligning with the technical rebound behaviour after a strong sell-off. The BUY side is merely pulling the price back to the abandoned liquidity zones (FVG 4.12x – 4.15x) before the SELL side can regain control. The upper FVG zone is where the price often returns to fill after a steep fall. This is also the confluence zone between: FVG (Fair Value Gap) Old candle body Breaker Fibonacci Premium → The risk of selling at these zones is very high. 💎 Key Technical Zones Rebound zone for Sell FVG 1: 4.101 – 4.126 FVG 2 (Strong Confluence): 4.126 – 4.150 Support zone – target to hit Premium Zone $$$: 4.050 – 4.052 Lower FVG: 4.030 – 4.035 High probability price scenario: Rebound to FVG → reaction → continue to decline to 4.03x. 🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritise SELL 1️⃣ SELL Setup – High Probability Wait for price to rebound to the above FVG zones: Entry SELL: 4.118 – 4.126 Can add orders at higher: 4.140 – 4.150 Stop-loss: above 4.158 TP1: 4.101 TP2: 4.050 TP3: 4.030 ✔️ This is a trend-following setup, selling at premium, adhering to SMC principles. ✔️ The current price is just beginning the rebound, not yet meeting BUY conditions. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Only activate on deep Discount Entry BUY: 4.030 – 4.035 (Lower FVG) SL: below 4.020 TP: 4.070 – 4.100 → BUY is only for counter-trend traders and must wait for a clear discount. 🧠 Vincent’s View The market is in a distribution – decline phase, every rebound aims to pull liquidity. As long as the price does not close above 4.150, SELL remains the optimal strategy for the day. Observe closely when the price hits 4.12x – 4.15x, this is a “high-risk” zone for the BUY side and a “great opportunity” for the SELL side. “Sell where the liquidity lives — that’s where institutions strike.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 17/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
GOLD (XAU/USD): 2 Crucial Orders Before the NFP Storm!📉 Technical Analysis (SMC - 2H) Trend: Decline after a clear MSS/BOS. Focus: Price is retracing to the Selling Zone (Premium) to fill the FVG. ⚔️ Detailed Trading Plan (R:R > 1:2) 1. Priority Strategy: SELL Limit (Trend Following) Entry: 4,157.782 (FVG Peak - Supply Zone) Stop Loss (SL): 4,206.895 (Safe SL above the nearest structural peak) Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,051.733 (Main structural target - Nearest bottom) Objective: Participate in the ongoing price decline. 2. Counter-trend Strategy: BUY Limit (Technical Rebound) Entry: 4,051.733 (Nearest structural bottom - Support) Stop Loss (SL): 4,018.699 (SL below lower FVG) Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,126.333 (Rebound to the upper FVG bottom) Objective: Capitalise on the technical rebound from strong support. 🚨 Basic Risk: This Week's Focus Hawkish Fed: Officials like Schmid assert high inflation, unwilling to ease policy, maintaining high interest rates (Negative for Gold). Major News: FOMC Minutes (Wednesday) and especially NFP (Thursday) will determine the short-term momentum of USD/Gold. Risk Management: Gold will be highly volatile from Wednesday. Adhere to SL and manage capital under 2% per order. #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FVG #SmartMoney #Fed #NFP #TradingView
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold Still in Distribution, FOCUS ON SELL Setups at 4,10x–4,14x 🔍 Market Context Risk sentiment remains fragile as investors reassess the global rate and stimulus story. Goldman Sachs notes that rising worries about the size of Japan’s fiscal stimulus are bringing financial risk premia back, putting pressure on long-term JGBs and the JPY. Capital tends to rotate into USD and yield-bearing assets in this environment, which limits the upside for gold in the short term. 📊 XAU/USD Technical Structure (H1) After topping around 4,242 USD, gold broke its short-term uptrend and is now moving in a descending structure. Price is currently capped below the 0.5–0.382 Fibonacci area around 4,11x, which overlaps with a strong supply / Sell Liquidity zone on the chart. Below price, we have a series of liquidity / support pockets: 4,098 – 4,077 – 4,048 USD: short-term downside liquidity levels. OBS BUY ZONE around 4,00x: major demand zone where price previously launched a strong rally. Current price action shows sellers still in control – every bounce into 4,10x–4,14x is being rejected quickly, which fits a “sell the rally” approach. 🎯 Trend-Following Trade Ideas (for reference) Zones below are technical areas to watch, not signals or financial advice. Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback Sell Sell Zone 1: 4,102 – 4,104 SL: 4,110 TP levels: TP1: 4,098 TP2: 4,077 TP3: 4,048 Idea: Price makes a minor intraday pullback into local supply, then resumes selling pressure toward lower liquidity pockets. Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback into Fib/Trendline Confluence Sell Zone 2: 4,142 – 4,144 (confluence of descending trendline + Fibonacci combo) SL: 4,150 TP levels: TP1: 4,133 TP2: 4,105 TP3: 4,088 TP4: 4,060 Idea: If the market grabs more upside liquidity first, the 4,14x zone offers a better R:R area to align with the H1 downtrend. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View As long as price stays below 4,14x and H1 structure keeps printing lower highs, gold remains in a distribution phase. Pullbacks into the 4,10x–4,14x liquidity band are treated as opportunities to optimize SELL entries, while the 4,00x OBS BUY ZONE is the key area to reassess any potential larger bottoming process. “In a downtrend, our job isn’t to call the bottom – it’s to use every weak bounce to sell from a better position.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Gold Slightly Adjusts, Monitoring Pullback to Support Hook: XAU/USD – Gold Slightly Adjusts, Monitoring Pullback to Support 4,151 USD Body: 📊 Market Structure After the Break of Structure (BoS) at the 4,208 USD region, gold confirms the continuation of the upward trend and is forming a technical adjustment. The price has touched the Resistance Zone 4,208 – 4,237 USD and is currently adjusting as expected, heading towards the Support Zone 4,151 USD – which previously created an impulsive move. Below Support 4,151, there is a strong OB at 4,104 USD. As long as the price does not break deeply below 4,104 USD, the bullish structure remains intact. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Resistance Zone: 4,208 – 4,237 USD → supply area + where a downward reaction occurs • Support Zone: 4,151 USD → area awaiting upward reaction • Strong OB + Support: 4,104 – 4,110 USD → base of the upward structure • Liquidity Zone (Target): 4,260+ USD → next wave expansion area 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Trend-following priority If the price adjusts correctly to discount areas: • Entry 1: 4,151 USD • Entry 2: 4,104 USD (best area – confluence OB) SL: below 4,090 USD TP1: 4,208 TP2: 4,237 TP3: 4,260 → Main strategy: wait for pullback → re-enter the upward wave → follow the strong trend. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at Resistance (counter-trend) If the price retests the 4,208 – 4,237 area and creates a clear rejection: Entry: 4,218 – 4,230 SL: 4,245 TP1: 4,180 TP2: 4,151 → Setup only for flexible traders, short trades, no holding positions. 🧠 Vincent’s View The current structure is very precise: Impulsive Move → Short-term Distribution → Pullback to Support → Continue upward wave. The 4,151 USD area is the focal point to observe. The 4,104 USD area is the best BUY area if the market wants to hunt deeper liquidity. As long as the price does not break 4,104 USD, buyers still hold the entire advantage.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Near Breakout Point — The Next Move Will Be BigGold is holding firmly inside a tight compression zone, and the market is signalling that a major breakout is loading. Despite yesterday’s pullback, buyers defended key demand levels, showing that bullish momentum is still alive as we approach the weekend session. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1) Price is currently moving inside a symmetrical triangle, with volatility compressing and liquidity building on both sides. Key observations from MMFlow structure: • Zone 1 – Support (Potential Reversal Area) 4,174 – 4,159 → Strong confluence of trendline support + Fibonacci 38.2% + liquidity sweep potential. → If price taps this zone, it's a high-probability long setup. • Zone 2 – Resistance / Breakout Line 4,207 – 4,212 → This is the key breakout ceiling. → A clean break and retest opens the door toward the next expansion wave. • Measured Move Target (MMF Expansion Target) 4,244 – 4,252 → Aligns with Fib 1.618 extension and previous liquidity pocket. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (MMFlow Style) 🟢 BUY Scenario (Primary Bias) Buy Zone 1: 4,174 – 4,159 SL: below 4,150 TP: 4,205 → 4,212 → 4,228 → 4,244+ Why? This zone carries the strongest confluence for a bullish reaction before the breakout. Ideal spot for Market Makers to reload. 🔵 BUY Scenario 2 (Break & Retest) Trigger: Break above 4,207 – 4,212 Entry: Retest of 4,207 SL: below retest wick TP: 4,228 → 4,244 → 4,252 Why? Breakout from triangle compression usually leads to fast displacement toward untested liquidity highs. 🔴 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Only — Not Preferred) Only valid if price fails to break 4,207 and forms a clear rejection. Entry: 4,207 – 4,212 SL: above 4,220 TP: 4,174 → 4,159 Note: This is a counter-trend micro-play. Primary bias remains bullish. 🧠 MMFlow Insight The market has been accumulating for multiple sessions, and every dip into demand is being bought aggressively. As long as price stays above 4,159, the bullish structure is intact. A breakout above 4,212 could be the ignition point for the next impulsive expansion toward 4,244 – 4,252.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Technical Retracement Before Continuing Main Uptrend⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/14/2025 🔍 Market Context After establishing a short-term peak around 4,239 USD, gold is undergoing a technical retracement to rebalance its structure. The most recent decline formed a Break of Structure (BOS), but the Support Zone around 4,145–4,174 USD continues to serve as a foundation for the medium-term uptrend. The current price structure indicates the market is re-accumulating momentum before expanding again. 📊 Technical Structure Order Block (4,239 USD): a short-term resistance zone where the price may react slightly before continuing upward. Support Zone (4,145–4,174 USD): a confluence zone with Fibo 0.236–0.382, playing a balancing role in the current cycle. Liquidity Targets:  • 4,261 USD – intermediate liquidity zone.  • 4,293 USD – main expansion target if the uptrend is maintained. 🎯 Market Outlook High probability scenario: 1️⃣ The price may retrace to the Support Zone or form a higher low around 4,174 USD, then recover to the OB zone at 4,239 USD. 2️⃣ If the uptrend structure breaks, the market may test deeper towards 4,145 USD before bouncing back. As long as the price holds above this support zone, the primary trend remains bullish continuation. 🧠 Analyst’s View This is a phase of market re-accumulation after a rapid increase. Maintaining a higher low structure will be a confirmation signal for the next expansion phase towards 4,261–4,293 USD. Buyers are still controlling the cash flow, while sellers mainly participate in the short-term resistance zone. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is in a slight correction phase – avoid impulsive actions when the price has not completed the accumulation zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Maintains Bullish Structure, Prepares for New ExpansionWave⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/13/2025 🔍 Market Context After a short correction at the start of the week, gold has clearly formed a Break of Structure (BOS) on the 30-minute chart, indicating that bullish momentum has returned. This morning's Asian session witnessed a strong recovery from the Support Zone, confirming that buying pressure remains dominant in the current structure. The market is approaching the “expansion phase” – where prices typically expand to seek liquidity above. 📊 Technical Structure Order Block 1 (4,208 USD): a short-term support area, likely to serve as a retest point after the expansion move. Order Block 2 (4,184 USD): confluence of Fibonacci 0.5–0.618, a deep equilibrium zone within the bullish structure. Support Zone: the main foundation of the medium-term uptrend, still being preserved. Extension Levels:  • 4,249 USD → first expansion target.  • 4,267 USD → intermediate liquidity zone.  • 4,292 USD → maximum expansion target within the current cycle. 🎯 Market Outlook Today's scenario leans towards a continuation bullish direction: 1️⃣ Price may technically correct to the OB 4,208 or 4,184 USD area. 2️⃣ Upon a bullish reaction, the market is likely to expand to 4,267 – 4,292 USD, where short-term selling liquidity is concentrated. 3️⃣ Losing the 4,184 USD level will temporarily shift the structure to rebalancing (sideways). 🧠 Analyst’s View Gold is in the “expansion reaccumulation” phase, meaning after attracting liquidity below, prices begin to expand following the main trend. Continuous BOS signals indicate that buyers are reasserting control. As long as prices remain above the 4,184 USD area, the intraday bias remains predominantly bullish. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is expanding rapidly, so pullback reactions to the OB area may be highly volatile. Let your trade ideas run and let's observe together.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Maintains Uptrend, Watch for Pullback to Buy with Cash Flow🔍 Context & Market Structure After a strong upward impulse from a low liquidity area, the price has broken the downtrend structure and formed a bullish BoS on H1. Currently, gold is accumulating above the Support Zone at 4,183 USD after creating a new peak and leaving a FVG just below the current price . Above is the Liquidity Zone $$$ around 4,232 USD – a concentration of sell-side stop losses and buy-side profit-taking orders, likely to create a “final push” that attracts liquidity. => Overall: the main trend remains bullish , prioritising waiting for a pullback to discount levels to buy with the trend rather than chasing orders at high levels. 💎 Key Technical Zones Liquidity Zone $$$: around 4,232 USD – upper liquidity area, prone to profit-taking reactions. Current FVG: price gap area just below the current price (around 4.20x) – expected to “fill the gap” before continuing. Support Zone 1: 4,183 USD – nearest support, confluence with the area where the upward impulse began to slow. Support Zone 2: 4,140 USD – stronger support, aligning with the old structure. Liquidity Clear: 4,101 USD – lower liquidity area, if swept, it would be a very attractive discount for swing buyers. 📈 Proposed Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Buy with the trend at FVG / 4,183 USD Priority to wait for the price to: Either fill the FVG around 4.20x and show a rejection candle, Or clearly retest Support 4,183 USD with a bullish reversal signal on M15–H1. When a confirmation signal appears: → Consider buying (BUY) around 4.19x – 4.18x . Stoploss: below 4,175 USD (below the nearest low and support). TP reference: TP1: 4,210 USD TP2: 4,232 USD (Liquidity Zone $$$) TP3: trailing if the price breaks through 4,232 and maintains the bullish structure. 2️⃣ Alternative Scenario – Deeper Pullback Before Continuing Upward If the price clearly breaks 4,183 USD and closes an H1 candle below: → Avoid buying hastily, wait for the price to continue adjusting to Support 4,140 USD or even Liquidity Clear 4,101 USD . At these zones, if there appears: strong rejection candles, or small reversal structures (bullish ChoCH on M15), → Then consider buying at a discount with better RR, targeting a return to 4,183 → 4,210 → 4,232 USD. 3️⃣ Short-term Sell Scenario (for experienced scalpers only) If the price hits Liquidity Zone 4,232 USD but shows strong rejection (long wick, high sell volume): → Consider short-term sell scalp back to the 4.20x – 4,183 USD area. This is a counter-trend trade, so: keep the volume small, short TP, tight SL above the newly formed peak. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Do not FOMO buy when the price is testing near the 4.23x area – this is a prone-to-sell area. Prioritise waiting for a pullback to FVG / Support for a better entry point and RR. Always adjust volume according to actual SL, avoid over-leverage during strong market volatility. “Buy the dip in liquidity zones, do not chase orders at the peak – that's how to go with the big money flow.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Hits a 3 Week High but the Real Move Might Still Be LoadingGold just tapped $4,213 — the highest level in three weeks, powered by growing expectations of a dovish Fed and optimism around the potential reopening of the US government. But the real story isn’t the headline spike — it’s the structure forming right beneath it. 📌 Why this zone matters right now Price is pulling back into $4,179–$4,165, a clean Demand zone aligning with Fibo + breakout structure. Buyers remain firmly in control despite a mild USD recovery. The market swept liquidity around $4,207, hinting at accumulation before the next expansion. The broader pattern resembles a falling-wedge breakout, often appearing before strong upside continuation phases. 🎯 Most Probable Scenario (Mind Insight) Gold is in a “compression before expansion” phase. Once this squeeze resolves, momentum is likely to continue in the direction that’s already dominant — and right now, that’s the bulls. 🔶 MMF BUY Zone $4,179 → $4,165 Looking for a shallow pullback before the next leg. 🔼 Bullish Targets • $4,207 (liquidity tap) • $4,228 (Fibo 1.618) • $4,236 (Fibo 1.786 — major reaction zone) 🧠 Key Takeaway As long as Gold holds above $4,165, the bullish structure remains intact and the upside expansion toward the upper Fibo cluster stays in play.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Price Accumulating in a Narrow Range, Ready to Expand⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/12/2025 🔍 Market Context Gold maintains a neutral structure after forming a Change of Character (CHoCH) around the 4,144 USD area. Yesterday's session witnessed a narrow fluctuation between the Demand Zone – Support Zone, indicating the market is absorbing liquidity before determining the next direction. The medium-term upward momentum remains unbroken, but the price needs a clear balancing phase before continuation. 📊 Technical Structure Demand Zone (4,144 USD): a short-term supply – demand area where the market previously reacted strongly, now becoming a potential testing zone. Support Zone (4,099 USD): confluence structure – an area where buying flows may return when the price retests. Order Block (4,081 USD): a deep defensive zone, corresponding to the main Discount area in the current cycle. Equal Lows (EQL) & CHoCH: indicate a short-term transition between two sides, but the overall bias slightly leans towards an increase. 🎯 Market Outlook High probability scenario for the day: 1️⃣ Price may fluctuate within the 4,099–4,144 USD balance zone to attract liquidity. 2️⃣ If a strong reaction occurs from the Support Zone or Order Block, gold may establish a new upward move towards 4,165–4,180 USD. 3️⃣ Conversely, if the price closes below 4,081 USD, the short-term structure will temporarily shift to neutral, prioritizing a re-accumulation phase. 🧠 Analyst’s View Current price behavior reflects a “pause phase” in the larger upward structure. When the market balances at lower levels, the key observation is not the bounce, but the reaction when liquidity is swept — where the true momentum of the trend is reignited. As long as the price does not break the 4,081 USD mark, the medium-term upward trend remains intact. 🛡️ Risk Note This is a technical analysis, not investment advice. The market can change rapidly during US sessions – wait for clear confirmation from price action before participating.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAU/USD – Gold Maintains Bullish Structure, Monitor FVG 4,060📊 Market Structure After completing the structure break (ChoCH + BoS) at the 4,080 USD zone, gold has sustained a strong upward momentum and created Equal High 4,140 – 4,145 USD , corresponding with the short-term resistance Order Block . Currently, the price is technically reacting in this area, indicating short-term profit-taking pressure from buyers after a prolonged rally. The H1 structure remains bullish as the main support zones have not been broken. A potential scenario is that the price will adjust to FVG zones or support to absorb liquidity before bouncing towards the Liquidity Zone 4,197 USD — the upper liquidity peak. 💎 Key Technical Zones • OB & Resistance: 4,127 – 4,140 USD • Support Zone: 4,104 – 4,107 USD • FVG Zone #1: 4,060 – 4,067 USD • FVG Zone #2: 4,031 – 4,037 USD • Liquidity Target: 4,197 USD 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Pullback Scalping If the price reacts sharply downward at the OB zone 4,127 – 4,140 USD: • Entry: 4,132 – 4,137 • SL: 4,150 • TP1: 4,104 • TP2: 4,067 → Short-term trade, leveraging the pullback to the support zone to prepare for the next BUY setup. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Continuation When the price completes its adjustment to the FVG or Support Zone and a bullish signal appears (rejection / engulfing): • Entry: 4,067 or 4,037 • SL: 4,020 • TP1: 4,140 • TP2: 4,197 • TP3: 4,210 → Main setup in the current trend. Prioritize buying at the discount zone after sufficient liquidity is absorbed at the lower zone. 🧠 Vincent’s View The H1 structure remains buyer-favored. Current adjustments are technical, not reversals. The FVG zone around 4,060 USD is a key point to observe price behavior — if a clear reaction occurs, this could be the starting point for the next upward wave to 4,197 USD . “Liquidity fuels the next move — let the market breathe before the impulse.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 11/12/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Tug of War Before CPI: Sideway or Breakout? 1. MARKET CONTEXT The US government reopens after a 40-day shutdown (a historic record). Investors are on the sidelines observing ahead of tomorrow's CPI announcement → the market is likely to sideway awaiting news. 2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–M30) Main fluctuation range: 4097–4148 Break 4097 → adjust deeply to 407x – 403x Break 4148 → trigger short-term increase, target 418x – 4205 Decision zone: 4097 & 4148 3. TRADING PLAN 🎯 Main strategy: Trade within the range (Sideway) → “Buy low – Sell high” according to support/resistance zones RR ratio: 1:1 – 1:2 | SL: 10 points | TP: 10–20 points BUY zone: 4097–4100 (strong support) → TP 4110–4120 Buy scalp: 4120–4124 → TP 4140–4145 Buy swing: 407x / 403x (if there is a candle reaction) SELL zone: 4145–4147 → TP 4125–4100 If break 415x & retest, switch to Buy breakout → Entry 4140–4145 | TP 416x–418x–4205 4. SUMMARY Main trend: Sideway awaiting CPI news Strategy: “Break whichever range, trade that range” Focus zones: Upper range: 414x (Sell) Lower range: 4095–4100 (Buy)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
XAU/USD – Gold Technical Adjustment Before Continuing Uptrend⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Updated: 11/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After a strong rally from the start of the Asian session, gold paused around 4,130–4,140 USD, indicating a temporary cooling off after a series of consecutive Break of Structure (BOS). The current price is situated between a short-term resistance zone and a technical support (Order Block) – clearly reflecting a rebalancing behavior after a rapid expansion. 📊 Technical Structure Resistance Zone (4,145 USD): a short-term reaction area, coinciding with a Weak High. If the price surpasses this, the uptrend structure will continue towards the Liquidity Zone around 4,198 USD. Order Block (4,111 USD): a confluence area between 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci, likely to attract buying interest when the price adjusts. OB Deep (4,081 USD): a deep support area, coinciding with the 0.618 Fibonacci level — where buyers might defend the main trend. Liquidity Zone (4,198 USD): a potential expansion target if the uptrend structure is reconfirmed. 🎯 Market Outlook High probability scenario: 1️⃣ Price technically adjusts to OB 4,111 or OB Deep 4,081, creating a reaction at the Discount area. 2️⃣ As buying momentum returns, the price may retest the Resistance Zone 4,145, then expand towards the Liquidity Zone 4,198 USD. 3️⃣ Breaking below 4,081 USD will weaken the short-term structure, shifting to a deeper rebalancing state. 🧠 Analyst’s View This is a natural “cooldown” phase after a strong rally — the market is seeking liquidity before establishing the next upward move. As long as the price holds above the 4,081 USD area, the main trend remains bullish. Observing reactions at the OB will help determine if the upward momentum will continue to dominate in the US session. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is adjusting within a larger trend — avoid emotional actions when the price has not completed the retracement phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Reaches Supply Zone: Prepare for a Pullback to FVG📊 Market Structure Gold continues to maintain its bullish structure after breaking the structure high (BoS) at the 4,000 USD zone and forming a steep bullish channel over the past 3 sessions. Currently, the price is precisely hitting the Order Block 4,140 – 4,150 USD — a critical supply zone formed from the previous distribution. The H1 candle is showing slight technical reaction signs , implying the potential for a short pullback to re-accumulate liquidity. If a pullback occurs, the Premium Zone 4,080 – 4,085 USD and FVG 4,025 – 4,035 USD will be ideal areas to look for buy signals. The bullish structure is only invalidated if the H1 candle closes below the Support 4,006 USD zone. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block: 4,140 – 4,150 USD → main supply zone, where profit-taking pressure appears • Premium Zone: 4,080 – 4,085 USD → medium-term rebalancing zone • FVG Zone: 4,025 – 4,035 USD → potential discounted price zone for BUY orders • Support Zone: 4,000 – 4,006 USD → critical defense zone 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at OB 4,145 USD If the price continues to react downwards at the 4,140 – 4,150 USD supply zone: • Entry: 4,143 – 4,147 • SL: 4,155 • TP1: 4,085 • TP2: 4,035 → Short-term setup, targeting the rebalancing zone before buying back in line with the trend. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Continuation from FVG Zone When the price pulls back to the FVG / Premium Zone and creates a confirmed bullish signal: • Entry: 4,030 – 4,035 • SL: 4,006 • TP1: 4,090 • TP2: 4,145 • TP3: 4,170 → Trend-following setup, preferred when the price re-accumulates and a clear rejection appears. 🧠 Vincent’s View Buyers still control the market, but the current OB touch may trigger a short pullback before the bullish wave continues. The ideal scenario is “tap OB → pullback FVG → continuation,” maintaining a stable bullish structure towards the 4,170 USD target. “Buy the dip where fear replaces greed — that’s where the next impulse begins.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 11/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
WILL GOLD CONTINUE TO RISE?I. BASIC CONTEXT On November 10, 2025, gold prices surged after the market reacted positively to news of the U.S. government reopening. The current market sentiment expects the FED to cut interest rates soon as recent economic data indicates a weakening U.S. economy. Lower interest rates mean cheaper money, a weaker USD, thereby driving funds into safe-haven assets like gold. The current rally is seen as a news-based pullback, potentially extending to key resistance areas before the market establishes a medium-term trend. II. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Main timeframe: H2 Market structure: Gold prices have broken out of the accumulation triangle pattern. Formation of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern → signaling the correction phase has ended. III. TRADING SCENARIOS ✅ Main scenario: WATCH TO BUY THE TREND (BUY THE DIP) Trend expectation: Prices continue to extend the pullback to resistance areas 4180–4220. Buy zones (BUY ZONES): Zone 4105–4103 (near old H2 resistance → becoming new support). Zone 4115–4116 (confirmation area post-breakout). Deeper zone: 407x – 405x (Fib 0.618, trendline confluence area). If prices retest the H2 structure: 4040 – 4035. Buy stop: When prices break through the 416x area with strong candle force → a buy stop can be placed to follow the breakout momentum. Note to check the timing and candle force on H2/M30 to confirm momentum. ⚠️ Alternative scenario: WATCH TO SELL REACTION If clear signs of weakness appear at resistance, consider a short SELL reaction at: 4180–4185 4205–4220 These are potential profit-taking areas for the current pullback wave. IV. RISK MANAGEMENT Stop Loss (SL): 10 points Take Profit (TP): 10–12–13 points depending on setup RR ratio: 1:1 – 1:1.3 Prioritize capital management according to the principle R ≤ 1% account/order. Additionally, monitor news on Mr. Trump's actions during this period. The U.S. government has reopened this week, so expect a fair amount of news, stay alert. Trade effectively
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
1
SONA (XAU/USD): BREAKOUT DONE! FED CUT KA FAYDA. KAB KHARIDEIN?📰 Fundamental Analysis: Bada Game Changer (MUST READ) Bhaiyon aur Behnon, fundamental factors are very strong for Gold (Sona)! Rate Cut Ki Umeed (Expectation): Market is expecting more than 60% probability for another Fed Rate Cut in December. Kam rates means Dollar (DXY) will be weak, aur Gold (non-yielding asset) becomes dhamakedaar (explosive/exciting)! Economy Thodi Slow Hai: US Consumer Sentiment slid to 50.3 (lowest since June 2022). Yeh data supports a 'Dovish' Fed, jisse Sona ko aur support milta hai (which gives more support to Gold). 💡 Is Hafta Ka Main Focus: Watch out for FOMC member speeches on Wednesday. Poora market unki taraf dekh raha hai (The entire market is looking towards them) for the next direction! 📊 Technical Analysis: Setup Ekdum Solid Hai! Gold ne ek powerful Breakout diya hai from the consolidation range (4,044 - 4,060). Matlab, trend ab pakka Bullish ho gaya hai! (Meaning, the trend is now definitely Bullish!) Entry Ka Wait Karo (Patience is key): DON'T JUMP IN NOW! Wait patiently for a pullback to the Demand Zone/CP (4,081 - 4,114). This is the best place to initiate a Long position. Targets (TP): If the CP zone holds, the targets are 4,155, 4,185, and the big level at 4,236. Stop-Loss (SL): Keep it safe below 4,044. 🎯 Strategy Summary: Fatafat Dekho! Strategy: Wait and Buy (Long) in the 4,081 - 4,114 area. Risk: Dhyaan rakhna (Be careful) if price closes below 4,044. #XAUUSD #Gold #Sona #FedRateCut #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #FOMC #IndianTraders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold Retests FVG Preparing for a New Uptrend, Target 4,120 USD📊 Market Structure Gold has officially broken the bearish structure (BoS + ChoCH) by surpassing the 4,025 USD zone, confirming a significant shift in market momentum. Following a series of consecutive BoS and a break of the downtrend line, the price is entering a balanced retest phase (FVG 4,030 – 4,040 USD) . As long as the price maintains above the 4,020 USD support zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and it is expected to target the Liquidity Zone 4,070 – 4,090 USD , further extending to the Order Block 4,118 – 4,125 USD . 💎 Key Technical Zones • FVG Retest Zone: 4,030 – 4,040 USD • Trendline Support: around 4,000 USD • Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,090 USD • Final Target (OB): 4,118 – 4,125 USD 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Main FVG Retest If the price retraces to the FVG zone of 4,030 – 4,040 USD and forms a bullish confirmation signal (bullish candle / rejection wick): • Entry: 4,033 – 4,038 • SL: 4,020 • TP1: 4,070 • TP2: 4,090 • TP3: 4,120 → Enter at the “discount” zone after the market absorbs liquidity. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Defensive (deep trendline retest) If the price slightly sweeps the small OB zone around the trendline: • Entry: 3,998 – 4,004 • SL: 3,985 • TP1: 4,070 • TP2: 4,120 → The structure remains intact, this entry has a high RR, suitable for mid-term swing. ⚠️ Invalidation: • If the price closes an H1 candle below 3,985 USD → the short-term uptrend is invalidated. 🧠 Vincent’s View The buyers are fully controlling the H1 structure after breaking the downtrend line that lasted nearly 2 weeks. The price is likely to complete the FVG – trendline – breakout retest before continuing to expand towards the liquidity peak of 4,120 USD. This is the “buy-the-dip” strategic phase for this week. “Smart money buys the discount while everyone waits for confirmation.” ⚜️🟡 ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 11/10/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
1
Gold Breaks Out from Accumulation, Eyes Wave 3 Expansion🔍 Market Context Gold kicked off the new week with strong upside momentum, perfectly aligning with MMFLOW’s previous outlook — calling for a Wave 3 impulse from the accumulation base around 3,940$ – 3,970$. The market’s reaction in early Asia confirmed a bullish structural shift, as gold continues to gain traction amid stable yields and cautious sentiment around the US Dollar. Macro catalysts remain balanced, but liquidity behavior suggests smart money is loading into the breakout phase, positioning early for a potential run toward the 4,100$ handle this week. If momentum sustains, this move could mark the official mid-term reversal that MMFLOW anticipated — setting up a broader recovery phase into year-end. 📊 Technical Outlook (H4 Structure) Gold continues to follow its Elliott Wave recovery path, now developing Wave (3) within the medium-term bullish cycle. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (accumulation base & breakout retest) • 🎯 Target 1: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (Wave 3 completion zone) • ⚙️ Target 2 / Extended: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 extension) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term momentum, return to neutral structure. The breakout above 4,000$ reinforces bullish sentiment, while higher highs and sustained volume through 4,072$ would confirm a new impulsive phase with room to expand further. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View This breakout isn’t random — it’s a smart-money-led accumulation exit after weeks of liquidity sweeps. The narrative remains consistent: “Buy the dips inside strength.” As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the probability of retesting 4,100$+ remains high, and a move toward 4,200$ before year-end cannot be ruled out. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “When the crowd hesitates, liquidity has already chosen direction.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Holds Its Range, Preparing for a Year-End Expansion🔍 Market Context Friday’s New York session closed with a two-sided liquidity sweep, yet gold managed to hold its structural balance, maintaining the same rhythm seen over the past two weeks — sideways to mildly bearish, but firmly supported. This behavior shows that buyers are still defending key zones, especially around 3,940$ – 3,980$, which MMFLOW highlighted multiple times last week as the decisive liquidity floor. From a macro lens, the Fed’s cautious tone has slowed expectations for aggressive rate cuts — but the probability of another reduction before Q1 2026 remains alive. As we move toward the final stretch of the year, thinner liquidity and seasonal safe-haven flows could help gold establish a mid-term bottom, setting the stage for the next impulsive leg. 📊 Technical Structure (H4) The current chart presents a clear 5-wave recovery structure within a tightening range — a classic setup before expansion. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support Zone: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + strong absorption area) • 🎯 Wave 3 Target: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (first reaction zone) • ⚙️ Extended Target / Wave 5: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 projection) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term structure, possible re-accumulation lower. The structure remains sideways but constructive, and a confirmed breakout of the descending trendline could act as the catalyst for a year-end bullish continuation. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View Smart money continues to accumulate within equilibrium zones, with every liquidity sweep appearing more like preparation than rejection. As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the bullish bias remains valid — with a 60%+ probability of a move toward 4,130$+ in the short to mid-term. Historically, November–December often brings portfolio rebalancing and policy easing cycles, both of which may serve as fuel for a potential gold rally into Q1 2026. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Accumulation isn’t waiting — it’s when big money quietly builds the next wave.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Retest Before Takeoff📊 Market Structure After several days of fluctuating within a narrow range, gold has finally broken through the main descending trendline extending from the peak of 4,108 USD. Buyers are currently controlling the short-term structure by continuously creating BoS (Break of Structure) in the price range of 3,965 – 3,980 USD. The Order Block 3,970 – 3,975 USD area has become an important dynamic support zone , converging with the newly formed trendline. If the price continues to hold above this area, there is a high possibility of a light retest to absorb liquidity before breaking out to higher resistance zones. Above, the Resistance 4,028 USD zone is the first barrier to overcome to confirm the medium-term uptrend, while the Liquidity Zone around 4,070 – 4,080 USD is the extended target of the breakout. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block (Support): 3,970 – 3,975 USD → potential retest area. • Resistance Zone: 4,028 USD → first profit-taking point for buyers. • Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,080 USD → extended target if resistance is successfully broken. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Retest OB: If the price adjusts to the 3,970 – 3,975 USD area and a confirming candle signal appears (bullish rejection / engulfing): • Entry: 3,972 – 3,975 • SL: 3,960 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 4,028 • TP3: 4,070 → Prioritize trading with the trend after the uptrend structure is confirmed. 2️⃣ SELL Scenario – Reaction at Resistance: If the price hits the 4,028 – 4,070 USD area and there is a strong reversal signal: • Entry: 4,045 • SL: 4,065 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 3,985 → Short-term scalp, only activate if a clear rejection signal appears. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is showing signs of transitioning from accumulation to range expansion . Breaking the descending trendline is the first signal for a new upward move, as long as the OB 3,970 area remains intact. Buyers can take advantage of pullbacks to increase their position, targeting 4,070 USD – where significant liquidity converges above. “Break the line, respect the retest — that’s where smart money joins the move.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 07/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent