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XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
Jobs vs. Inflation: Gold Steady Before PCE ShowdownHello, investors! Gold saw only a marginal 0.1% gain, closing at $3,739.42/oz on September 25. This struggle was due to better-than-expected US jobs data (jobless claims dropped sharply), which slightly pared back the market's expectation for a Fed rate cut in October (down to 85%). However, Gold maintains support from dovish Fed comments and potential political instability (like Trump's proposed 100% drug tariff). The entire market focus now shifts to today's (Sept 26) PCE Inflation Report. Expert Alert: If the PCE data is hotter than anticipated, Gold could face sharp, temporary downward pressure. Technical Analysis & Strategy Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle pattern and has yet to break the $375x resistance. While more selling pressure is possible before the PCE release, the long-term trend remains bullish. Outlook: Prioritize Buy if the price maintains above the Key Level $373x. If the news causes the price to break $373x, be ready to flip the strategy to Sell. Key Resistance: $3755, $3768, $3778 Key Support: $3738, $3727, $3712 Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): BUY SCALP Zone: $3739 - $3737 SL: $3733 TP: $3742 - $3747 - $3752 - $3757 - $3767 BUY ZONE Zone: $3704 - $3702 SL: $3694 TP: $3712 - $3722 - $3732 - $3742 - $3762 SELL ZONE Zone: $3776 - $3778 SL: $3786 TP: $3768 - $3758 - $3748 - $3728 - $3708 The market is at a critical juncture. What is your game plan for today? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #PCE #Fed #Inflation #TradingView #ATH
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – Trading Plan: Gold Awaits PCE Catalyst📊 Market Context Gold remains in consolidation mode after a sharp run earlier this week, holding steady below 3750. The market is now laser-focused on the US Core PCE Index, which could provide fresh direction for both the dollar and precious metals. With US yields stabilising and risk sentiment shifting, gold’s safe-haven appeal remains intact — but traders are weighing whether the recent pullback is a healthy correction or the start of a deeper retracement. Meanwhile, the geopolitical backdrop continues to offer underlying support, while positioning in ETFs and futures suggests investors are cautious, awaiting clearer signals from the Fed. The upcoming data will likely decide whether gold breaks higher towards fresh highs or retests deeper liquidity zones. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price capped near short-term resistance at 3770–3772. Immediate supports are 3741 and 3722, with deeper demand zones at 3690–3688 and 3670–3668. The structure indicates possible liquidity sweeps before a decisive move. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zone: 3770–3772 Support / Buy Zones: 3690–3688, 3670–3668 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan BUY ZONE 1: 3690–3688 SL: 3684 TP: 3695 - 3700 - 3710 - 3720 - 3730 - ??? BUY ZONE 2: 3670–3668 SL: 3664 TP: 3675 - 3680 - 3690 - 3700 - 3710 - ??? SELL ZONE: 3770–3772 SL: 3777 TP: 3765 - 3760 - 3750 - 3740 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Notes Watch for false breakouts at 3770–3772 before reversal. PCE release may inject volatility across gold and USD pairs. Position sizing and risk control are crucial into data. ✅ Summary Gold is at a crossroads — safe-haven demand is still supportive, but technical resistance near 3770 remains a hurdle. Core strategy: buy dips into 3690–3670 zones, while staying cautious of short-term sell setups at 3770–3772. Manage exposure, wait for confirmation, and be prepared for volatility once PCE data hits. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and next-level trade setups.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
LiamTrading – Gold may fake a move before dropping Gold is trading around the 375x region and might exhibit a "fake breakout" upwards before adjusting downwards. The price structure on the H4 chart shows: Strong resistance is located at the 3770–3773 region, coinciding with the 0.786 – 1.0 Fibonacci extension area. This is a confluence zone prone to a downward reaction. The main trendline remains upward, but the RSI is gradually weakening, indicating that the buying force is not as strong. Short-term support is at 3710–3713, also the 0.5 – 0.618 fibo zone, suitable for buy scalping orders. A larger support area is at 3688–3691, where it converges with the trendline bottom and important Fibonacci, considered a sustainable "buy zone." Trading Plan Reference Sell: 3770 – 3773, SL 3778, TP 3756 – 3743 – 3725 – 3710 Buy scalping: 3710 – 3713, SL 3705, TP 3725 – 3736 – 3748 – 3760 Buy zone: 3688 – 3691, SL 3684, TP 3699 – 3710 – 3725 – 3736 – 3745 – 3760 In summary, gold may create a false upward move to the resistance zone 3770–3773 before reversing to adjust. Traders should patiently wait for confirmation signals at key price zones to enter optimal orders and manage risks tightly. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you find it useful, follow for the fastest updates on upcoming scenarios, continuously updated at comulity
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Gold "Cools Down": A Sign of a Coming Downturn? Hello, investors! Gold saw a notable correction on September 24, closing at $3,762.73/oz after reaching a historic high of $3,790.82/oz just one day earlier. Gold futures also dropped 0.5% to $3,795.80/oz. Is this a sign of a deeper correction or just a short-term profit-taking before key news? Fundamental Analysis: Market "Holds Its Breath" Before the PCE Inflation Report Yesterday's drop in gold seems to have little to do with the released U.S. economic data, as the USD index only had a slight rebound and housing data wasn't strong enough to cause such a major move. Instead, the most likely reasons are: Cautious Profit-Taking: Investors are taking profits after a rapid run-up, aiming to mitigate risk before the upcoming PCE inflation report on September 26. Fed Expectations: Despite short-term volatility, the market holds firm on its expectation that the Fed will cut rates in October and December with a high probability (94% and 77%). A low-rate environment and geopolitical concerns remain the core drivers supporting gold's price in the long term. Technical Analysis: "Sell" or "Wait to Buy"? Gold had a significant correction from the $3,770 area, indicating that a large number of profit-taking sell orders were triggered. However, the downtrend has paused and is now looking for a new balance point. Outlook: With the current cautious sentiment, there's a chance gold may see further selling pressure in the short term. However, any deeper drop would be an excellent opportunity to buy back at a better price, as the long-term bullish momentum is still intact. Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): Sell Zone: Zone $3766 - $3768, SL $3776 Buy Zone: Zone $3702 - $3700, SL $3692 The market is highly sensitive. Do you think this correction is a buying opportunity or a time to step back? Share your thoughts! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #Inflation #PCE #USD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold Sets New Record: Rate Hopes Driving Price HigherHello, traders! Gold surged to a record high of $3,726.19/oz on September 22, fuelled by growing investor expectations for a clearer Fed rate-cutting path. Traders are now betting on two more rate cuts this year with a very high probability. The growth drivers have shifted from being primarily central bank and Asian demand to now include strong buying from Western investors, as shown by increased holdings in gold ETFs. Upcoming speeches from Fed officials and the core PCE inflation data this week will be key in determining the market's next direction. Technical Analysis & Strategy Gold is in a strong uptrend and is continuously setting new highs. While there was a minor correction, the bullish momentum remains intact. Shorting near resistance levels is highly risky. Outlook: Continue to prioritize Buy positions if gold holds above $370x. Resistance: $3785, $3794, $3804 Support: $3774, $3764, $3754 Suggested Trading Strategy: Buy Scalp: Zone $3765 - $3763, SL $3759 Buy Zone: Zone $3754 - $3752, SL $3744 Sell Zone: Zone $3800 - $3802, SL $3810 The market is highly volatile. Do you think gold can hit the $3,800 mark this week? Share your thoughts! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #Inflation #ATH
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD/GOLD 30 MIN BUY PROJECTION 23.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 30-min buy projection chart you shared for 23.09.25. Here’s the breakdown of what the chart indicates: 🔎 Chart Analysis Trend: Price is moving within a bullish (upward) channel, shown by the blue trend lines. Entry Zone: Around 3749.687 (marked as ENTRY, just above Support 1). Stop Loss (SL): Around 3743.131, below the 30-min FVG (Fair Value Gap). Supports: Support 1: ~3749 zone Support 2: ~3755–3757 zone Take Profits: TP1: Around 3765–3767 level (mid-channel target). TP2 (ATH – All-Time High for this projection): Around 3783–3785. Projection Path: Price expected to bounce near entry zone → rise towards TP1 → possible pullback → continue bullish momentum towards TP2 ATH following the 30-min uptrend line. ⚡ Trading Idea (based on chart) Buy Entry: ~3749 Stoploss: ~3743 TP1: ~3765 TP2: ~3783 This setup offers a risk-reward ratio > 1:3, which is strong for an intraday buy trade. 👉 Do you want me to calculate the exact risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) for this setup so you can evaluate position sizing?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonasir
Daily Trading Plan: Liquidity Zones & Bullish Outlook📊 Market Context Gold is holding strong after its breakout, trading near 3760 USD/oz as safe-haven demand stays elevated. The combination of geopolitical tensions, global fund flows into ETFs, and a weaker USD continues to support the bullish bias. For Indian traders, gold’s rally is closely watched as both an investment hedge and a short-term trading opportunity. While the broader structure remains bullish, price may first sweep liquidity in key zones before pushing towards higher levels. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4/2H) Price recently tested 3760, confirming bullish momentum. Immediate support: 3725, marked as a CP retest zone. Stronger support: 3689–3690, overlapping with OBS + FVG demand zone. Resistance targets: 3788 (short-term liquidity pool) and 3805–3830 (major liquidity area). Overall structure: Still bullish, but likely to retest demand zones before the next leg higher. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zones: 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3805–3830 Support / Buy Zones: 3725 ➡️ 3689–3690 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1 (Shallow Pullback): 3725 SL: 3716 TP: 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3805 … ✅ BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper Liquidity Retest): 3689–3690 SL: 3680 TP: 3725 ➡️ 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3830 … ✅ SELL SCALP (Liquidity Trap Setup): Around 3788–3805, if rejection patterns confirm SL: 3810 TP: 3775 ➡️ 3760 ➡️ 3740 … ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Watch out for false breakouts above 3788 or below 3725 – liquidity sweeps are common. Enter trades only after confirmation; avoid chasing price in the middle of the range. Keep risk per trade controlled, as Fed speeches and geopolitical headlines could spark volatility. ✅ Summary Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with 3788–3805 as the next upside magnet. The plan is to buy dips at 3725 or 3689–3690, while keeping an eye on potential short-term sell setups near 3788–3805. The bias stays bullish, but risk management is key. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for intraday updates, liquidity-based setups, and strategies tailored for global gold traders.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold's Rally Continues: Why a Fed Cut Isn't Slowing It DownHello, traders! Gold started the new week on an impressive note, trading at $3,685 in early Monday's session. The main drivers are the market's continued reaction to the Fed's recent rate cut and escalating geopolitical events. So, the big question is, how far will this rally go? Fundamental Analysis: Why Is Gold Still Soaring? Although the Fed cut interest rates by 0.25%—the first time in 2025—Chair Jerome Powell maintained a cautious stance, calling it a "risk management cut." While this initially caused some market jitters, in the long run, lower interest rates are a strong supporting factor for gold. Lower Rates: They reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is a non-yielding asset. Geopolitical Tensions: Conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East are escalating, boosting safe-haven demand. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reported that Russia carried out a major drone and missile attack, reaffirming gold's role as a protective asset against global risks. Technical Analysis: Breaking Resistance, The Uptrend Continues Gold had a powerful rally at the start of the week, successfully breaking the key resistance zone at $370x. The price is currently hovering around $3720 with a slight correction, but the uptrend remains firmly intact. Outlook: Given the strong upward momentum, short-selling (going short) with a tight stop-loss is extremely risky. We will continue to prioritize long positions (going long) as long as gold holds above the $370x level. Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): BUY SCALP Zone: $3413 - $3711 SL: $3407 TP: $3716 - $3721 - $3726 - $3731 - $3741 BUY ZONE Zone: $3700 - $3798 SL: $3790 TP: $3708 - $3718 - $3728 - $3738 - $3758 SELL ZONE Zone: $3734 - $3736 SL: $3744 TP: $3726 - $3716 - $3706 - $3796 - $3779 The market is showing unpredictable volatility. Can gold overcome all barriers and set new records? Share your opinion in the comments below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #USD #Geopolitics
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
"Bullish Breakout Potential for Gold (XAU/USD) Above Key ?Key Observations: The price is currently rising and is reaching a key resistance level. A potential breakout is shown above the resistance at approximately 3,723. A blue support zone between 3,686 and 3,690 suggests that the price has recently bounced off this level, implying bullish momentum. The target price shown in the chart (with the green box) is positioned around 3,730, indicating that the trader is expecting further upward movement. The stop-loss is placed just below the support zone, around 3,672, which suggests that the trader is managing risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
Fed Dovish Signals & Geopolitical Tensions Boost Gold📊 Market Context Gold continues to receive solid support from the Fed’s dovish tone and rising geopolitical tensions. However, the USD has extended its rebound from multi-year lows, which may temporarily limit gold’s upside. Broader risk-on sentiment in financial markets could act as a short-term headwind for XAU/USD before the next round of Fed speeches. Still, the long-term bullish trend has re-emerged, and gold is positioned to challenge new all-time highs in the near term—an important signal for Indian traders watching for fresh momentum in precious metals. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price has broken above the descending trendline, confirming that bullish momentum has returned. Short-term support: 3686–3684, maintaining this level preserves the bullish structure. Additional support: 3670–3668, overlapping with CP and liquidity zones on the chart. Key resistance: 3720–3722, a crucial reaction level for profit-taking or liquidity sweeps. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance: 3707 ➡️ 3720 Support: 3685 ➡️ 3669 ➡️ 3658 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3686–3684 SL: 3680 TP: 3690 ➡️ 3695 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ 3705 ➡️ 3710 ➡️ 3720 ➡️ … ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3670–3668 SL: 3664 TP: 3675 ➡️ 3680 ➡️ 3690 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ … ✅ SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap Watch): 3720–3722 SL: 3726 TP: 3715 ➡️ 3710 ➡️ 3705 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ … ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Watch for false breakouts at 3720–3722 — price could sweep stops before reversing lower. Only enter longs with price action confirmation at the buy zones; avoid chasing price mid-range. Manage trade size carefully given potential volatility from Fed comments and geopolitical news. ✅ Summary Gold’s long-term bullish trend is firmly back, supported by Fed dovishness and geopolitical factors—key drivers for India’s gold market sentiment. The plan focuses on buying dips at 3686–3684 and 3670–3668 targeting 3705–3720, while short-term selling at 3720–3722 is valid if rejection appears. 📢 Stay updated with MMFLOW TRADING on TradingView for fresh market insights and actionable setups tailored for gold traders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Dips After Fed Meeting: What's Next for the Market?Hey traders! After a super volatile session, gold prices took a hit yesterday (September 18). The precious metal dropped 0.4% to $3,643.40/oz, while futures contracts lost 1.1% to $3,678.30/oz. This comes right after gold hit a new record of $3,707.40/oz in the previous session. Is this a signal for a major correction or just a bit of profit-taking? Let's break it down! Fundamental Analysis: The Market 'Digests' the Fed's Message While the Fed did cut rates by 0.25% as expected, the message from the meeting wasn't entirely 'dovish'. Fed Chair Jerome Powell raised doubts about the pace of future policy easing. He stressed that the rate cut was just a "risk management" move to address a weakening labor market, not a firm promise for aggressive easing. USD Recovers: The Fed's cautious stance helped the USD index gain 0.5%, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. Long-Term Drivers Still Strong: Despite the short-term dip, experts remain bullish on gold. The core drivers for its rally are still in place: BRIC Central Bank Buying: Central banks, especially from China, continue to diversify their reserves, moving away from the USD. Safe-Haven Demand: Ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions are still a key reason for investors to flock to gold. Swiss Data Confirms: Data shows that gold exports from Switzerland to China jumped 254% in August 2025 compared to July, which proves that real demand is super strong. Technical Analysis: Unpredictable Volatility After the FOMC meeting, gold was all over the place, breaking through resistance and support levels in a flash. The market is reacting more to macro news than to technical patterns right now. Resistance: $3671, $3686, $3694 Support: $3647, $3632, $3612, $3598 Outlook: Today, we should still prefer long positions if gold stays above the $365x level. However, if gold closes a candle below $364x during the US session, be cautious and consider a switch to sell positions. Suggested Trading Strategy (Use Strict Risk Management): SELL ZONE Zone: $3686 - $3688 SL: $3696 TP: $3678 - $3668 - $3658 - $3648 - $3638 BUY ZONE Zone: $3616 - $3614 SL: $3606 TP: $3624 - $3634 - $3644 - $3654 - $3664 The market is super sensitive to news right now. Always be careful and don't overtrade. Do you think this is a buying opportunity or a time to step back? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #USD #BRIC
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD/GOLD Unemployment Claims 18.09.25XAUUSD/Gold – Unemployment Claims (18.09.25): Current Price Zone: Gold is trading around $3,668.81. Trading Idea: The chart suggests a buying opportunity if the U.S. unemployment claims data comes out negative (worse than expected). Key Levels: Major Resistance R1 → Around $3,685 – $3,690 Breakout and retest of this level signals a buy entry. Resistance 2 – Yesterday’s High & News High → Around $3,710 Acts as the next upside target after breakout. Resistance 3 – Expected New ATH → Around $3,736 – $3,740 This is the final bullish target if momentum sustains. Strategy: Plan A (Main Setup): Wait for breakout above R1 (3,690) → Enter buy trade on retest. Ride the move towards R2 (3,710) and possibly R3 (3,736–3,740). Confirmation Zone: If news is negative for USD, gold is expected to rally strongly (bullish bias). Risk Management: Stop Loss (SL): Below 3,680 zone, as marked in the red area. Take Profit (TP): Stepwise at 3,710 → 3,736 → 3,740. 👉 In summary: The chart indicates a news-driven bullish breakout plan — gold buys are favored if the data weakens the USD, with targets up to 3,740.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Gold's U-Turn: A Dive into Fundamentals & Trading StrategyHello, fellow traders! The gold market's moves last night were absolutely wild, not at all what one would expect. After hitting a new all-time high of $3,707.40/oz, gold surprisingly took a U-turn and dropped to $3,681.39/oz. And this happened right after the Fed cut rates by 0.25% as predicted! So, what exactly went down? Fundamental Analysis: The Fed's Move and Powell's "Cool" Comments Rate Cut as Expected: The Fed delivered the 0.25% rate cut, its first this year after a pause since late 2024. This action, along with the forecast for two more cuts, met market expectations and initially sent gold soaring. USD and Bond Yields Drop: Lower interest rates tend to weaken the USD and pull down bond yields, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. This was the initial push for gold's new peak. Powell's "Hawkish" Spin: Everything changed when Fed Chair Jerome Powell stepped up. He gave some surprisingly "hawkish" statements, suggesting the Fed isn't in a hurry to cut rates and that this move was just "risk management." The Aftermath: This statement threw cold water on market expectations for a faster, more aggressive rate-cutting path. Powell was quite clever; he met market expectations and diffused political pressure (especially from the Trump administration), all while keeping investors on their toes. As a result, bond yields and the USD bounced back, putting strong selling pressure on gold. Outlook: This shock might just be temporary. Fundamentally, the Fed starting a loosening cycle is a big long-term positive for gold. While gold might face some headwinds in the short term, the underlying bullish trend is still very much intact. Technical Analysis: Volatility and Key Levels Gold had some unpredictable swings after the news. After dropping to the $363x zone, it bounced back super fast. This shows that there's still solid buying power at these key support levels. Key Support: $3624, $3612, $3600, $3584, $3569 Resistance: $3667, $3675, $3686, $3700 Today's Key Level: The $364x range. If gold holds above this level by the end of the European session, we should look for long positions for the US session. Trading Setups (Remember to Manage Risk Strictly): Buy Scalp Zone: $3639 - $3637 SL: $3633 TP: $3642 - $3647 - $3652 - $3657 - $3667 Buy Zone Zone: $3606 - $3604 SL: $3596 TP: $3614 - $3624 - $3634 - $3644 - $3664 Sell Scalp Zone: $3674 - $3676 SL: $3680 TP: $3671 - $3665 - $3660 - $3655 - $3645 Sell Zone Zone: $3686 - $3688 SL: $3696 TP: $3678 - $3668 - $3658 - $3648 - $3628 Note: The market is highly volatile. Be careful with every trade. Will gold continue its rally or see a deeper correction? Share your thoughts below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Powell #CMEFedWatch
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD / Gold FOMC Interest Rate Update – 18.09.25Fundamental Reason for Bullish: The Federal Reserve cut rates from 4.25% → 4.00%. This supports gold’s bullish momentum since lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. Technical Structure: Potential Reversal Zone: Highlighted in yellow. Price is currently testing this area around 3645–3655. A bounce from this zone aligns with the 3-month uptrend line (black trendline). If price respects this support, bullish continuation is expected. Bullish Projection Path: First, a rebound from the reversal zone. Then, a push towards 3700–3720 with a possible retest. Final Target Price Zone: ~3750–3780. Risk Area (Stop Loss Zone): If price breaks below the reversal zone and trendline (~3640–3635), bullish outlook weakens and downside risk opens. 🎯 Summary Bias: Bullish (Fundamental + Technical confluence). Reason: Rate cut + uptrend line support. Targets: 3700 → 3750 → 3780. Invalidation: Break below 3640.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
“Gold Shines Bright | Bullish Momentum Targeting $3,700🔎 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Chart) Trend: Strong bullish trend confirmed, with price making higher highs and higher lows. Buy Zone: Around 3,590 – 3,600 USD, where buyers stepped in aggressively. Short-Term Target 🎯: 3,650 – 3,700 USD (already highlighted on chart). Key Support Levels: 3,561 USD (near-term support) 3,490 USD (major support, bullish structure invalidation if broken) 📌 Outlook: As long as price holds above the buy zone, momentum favors bulls with potential continuation toward 3,700+ USD. 🌍 Fundamental Drivers for Gold Bullishness ✨ Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Expectations 🏦⬇️ – If the Fed signals easing or holds a dovish stance, real yields fall → Gold strengthens. Weakening US Dollar (DXY) 💵📉 – A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to global investors. Geopolitical Risks 🌍⚠️ – Rising global tensions increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Central Bank Demand 🏦🔒 – Many central banks are adding gold reserves to hedge against currency risks. Inflation Hedge 📊🔥 – Gold remains attractive when inflationary pressures stay elevated.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
1
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Could Launch Wave (5)Namaste Traders Gold on the M30 chart remains bullish, but the push into the upper channel line signals short-term profit booking. For those trading Gold/USD or tracking Gold in INR terms on MCX, here’s my plan for the upcoming sessions: 🔍 Technical Overview Price completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural zone for sellers to take profits. The 3666–3670 region has acted as a pivot/support multiple times. I expect a Wave (4) correction into this zone before a fresh rally. 3657 is deeper support and also serves as the invalidation level for the bullish scenario. If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) could push towards 3720–3725. 📈 Key Levels Type Price Level Notes Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch for rejection Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4) Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation Target (5) 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target ⚙️ Trading Plan ✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation) Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a small sweep to ~3657). Confirmation: Look for a bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on the M30 chart. Take Profit: TP1: 3695–3700 (previous high/resistance) TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection) Stop Loss: Below ~3652. Risk/Reward: Aim for 1:2 to 1:3. ⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short If price retests 3695–3700 and forms a strong rejection, a quick countertrend short is possible. Targets: 3670 → 3657. Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707. Use small position sizing, as this is against the primary trend. 🛡 Risk & Invalidation A close below 3656 plus a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario. For Indian traders watching MCX Gold (in INR), keep in mind USD/INR fluctuations – a weaker rupee can amplify gold gains even if spot prices pause. Always keep risk ≤1–1.5% per trade and avoid chasing late entries. 🧭 Final Thoughts Gold’s trend is still bullish on the short-term chart. A healthy correction into 3666–3670 could offer a prime entry for Wave (5). Be patient, wait for confirmation, and let the price come to your zone. Countertrend shorts are valid only on a clear rejection at 3695–3700 – otherwise, stick with the trend. Good luck and happy trading,
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
1
Gold Facing Strong Resistance – Bearish Move Towards Support ?Analysis: Resistance Zone: Price is struggling to break above the $3,645–$3,650 area, which has acted as a strong resistance multiple times. Support Levels: Immediate support lies around $3,620 and $3,614, with the major support zone at $3,580. Price Action: Repeated rejections from resistance indicate weakening bullish momentum. Sellers are gaining control near the resistance zone. Bearish Outlook: A potential downward move is projected, with price likely to test $3,580 support if resistance continues to hold. Risk Management: A break and close above $3,650 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation. ✅ Bias: Bearish below $3,650 🎯 Targets: $3,620 → $3,614 → $3,580 🛑 Invalidation: Above $3,650
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Pipshunter27
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 16.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 1H Buy Projection (16.09.25). Here’s a breakdown of the key points from your analysis: 🔹 Chart Analysis Support & Resistance Support S1: Around 3678 zone. Minor Resistance Breaked: Price broke above the 3680 resistance area. Resistance R1 (ATH): Around 3692 – 3696 area. Entry & Stoploss Current price: 3683.63 Stoploss: Below 3676 level. Risk Zone (Red Area): Price should not break below this zone for the buy setup to remain valid. Target Levels Target Price 1: ~3688 Target Price 2: ~3692–3696 Indicators Stochastic Oscillator (top indicator): Showing a bullish crossover (green line crossing above red), suggesting upward momentum. RSI (bottom indicator): Turning upward from 64.47, showing renewed buying pressure. 🔹 Projection The setup is bullish with expected upward movement from 3683 → 3692 → 3696+. The chart suggests a possible pullback and continuation before reaching higher targets. As long as 3680 support holds, momentum favors the upside.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cuts & Tensions Fuel Indian Trades!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) bounced from an early Asian dip at $3,626-$3,627 on Monday (15/09/2025), staying strong near record highs as weak US labor data locks in a 100% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17/09, with two more expected in October and December (CME FedWatch). Geopolitical sparks—Ukraine hitting Russian energy and Iran pushing Qatar to counter Israel—make gold a top pick for Indian traders on MCX. With big central bank moves this week, let’s dive into the market and spot trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines for Indian Investors 🌟 Fed Rate Cut Fever: Weak US jobs (surging claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) keep USD near its 24/07 low and Treasury yields soft, driving gold’s 39% YTD rally—perfect for INR portfolios. The Fed’s set for three rate cuts in 2025, starting 17/09. Geopolitical Boost: Ukraine’s energy strikes on Russia, US pushing NATO sanctions, and Iran’s missile talk in Qatar ahead of the Arab-Islamic summit fuel gold’s safe-haven demand. China’s relaxed gold import rules add more bullish vibes for MCX traders! Key Events: Watch Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments (17/09), Bank of Canada, Bank of England (18/09), and Bank of Japan (19/09) decisions. Soft CPI and labor data mean dips are buying opportunities—don’t miss out! Technical Analysis: Sideways Near Highs – Buy Dips 📉 Gold’s consolidating in a wide sideways range on M30, H1, H2 around 3650. If Fed news triggers a sharp drop, FVG zones (3608-3598) are prime for buying. Watch volume to confirm entries and dodge liquidity traps near round levels. Resistance: 3646 - 3655 - 3666 Support: 3623 - 3615 - 3608 - 3598 Trade Setups (Tight RR): Buy Scalp: Range: 3623 - 3621 SL: 3617 TP: 3626 - 3631 - 3636 - 3641 Buy Zone: Range: 3608 - 3606 SL: 3598 TP: 3616 - 3626 - 3636 - 3646 Sell Scalp: Range: 3654 - 3656 SL: 3660 TP: 3651 - 3646 - 3641 - 3636 Sell Zone: Range: 3665 - 3667 SL: 3675 TP: 3657 - 3647 - 3637 - 3627 Gold’s holding near highs—beware liquidity traps around Fed news! Above 3623, bulls aim for new highs; below, test 3608/3598. Indian traders, keep risk tight with central bank volatility ahead! Buy dips or sell highs? Share your MCX strategies below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #GoldTrading #IndiaTrading #MCX #Geopolitics #CentralBanks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 15.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 1H Sell Projection (15.09.25). Here’s a structured breakdown of what the chart indicates: 🔎 Chart Analysis Entry Zone: Around 3646 – 3647 (confluence of trendline + 0.618 Fibonacci retracement = "Golden Ratio"). Stop Loss: Around 3653.16 (above trendline & key resistance). Take Profit Targets: TP1 (Support S1): Around 3639 – 3640 TP2 (Support S2): Around 3630 – 3631 🧭 Trade Idea (Sell Bias) Reasoning: Price has rejected the descending trendline resistance. Confluence with Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level (3647). Bearish projection towards support zones. 📌 Summary Setup: Short/Sell Entry Zone: 3646 – 3647 Stop Loss: 3653 Target 1: 3640 Target 2: 3630
FX:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cut Hype Fuels Indian Trades!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) climbed 0.4% on Friday (12/09/2025), closing at $3,648.55/oz, just shy of its all-time high of $3,673.95/oz (09/09). With a 1.7% weekly gain—its fourth straight week up—gold is riding high on weak US labor data, cementing bets for a Fed rate cut on 17/09. CPI showed inflation up sharply, but labor weakness dominates, making gold a top pick for Indian traders on MCX. Let’s dive into the market and grab trading opportunities! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Gold’s Shine Bright for India 🌟 Rate Cut Buzz: Weak US jobs (surging claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) and a soft PPI push 100% odds for a 0.25% Fed rate cut, with 0.5% less likely (CME FedWatch). Low rates ease USD and Treasury pressure, boosting gold’s appeal for INR portfolios. Global Tailwinds: Gold’s 39% YTD rally (after 27% in 2024) is fueled by a weak USD, China’s 10-month gold buying spree, and global unrest. China’s move to simplify gold import rules signals stronger demand—great for Indian investors! Market Focus: CPI (11/09) showed hotter inflation, but labor weakness keeps Fed easing on track. No major shocks (like Trump tariffs) mean dips are buying opportunities—perfect for MCX futures! Technical Analysis: Consolidation Near Highs – Buy Dips 📉 Gold’s weekly chart shows consolidation at Fibonacci 2.618 (3650), with wide sideways action, closing below 3650 as anticipated. A deeper pullback isn’t confirmed, but liquidity zones at 359x and 354x are ideal for buying, while 370x is a sell zone if the rally continues. Watch volume for reversal or rejection signals to avoid traps. Resistance: 3655 - 3684 - 3694 - 3704 Support: 3621 - 3595 - 3582 - 3559 - 3545 Trade Setups (Tight RR): Buy Zone: 3582 - 3580 (SL: 3572; TP: 3590 - 3600 - 3610 - 3640) – Long-term buy on deeper dips. Buy Zone: 3546 - 3544 (SL: 3536; TP: 3554 - 3564 - 3574 - 3594) – Buy at strong support. Sell Zone: 3703 - 3705 (SL: 3713; TP: 3695 - 3685 - 3675 - 3665) – Sell if rally hits round levels. Gold’s consolidating near highs—beware liquidity traps! Above 3621, bulls eye new highs; below, test 359x/354x. Indian traders, manage risk tightly for Fed volatility! Buy dips or sell highs? Share your MCX strategies below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #GoldTrading #IndiaTrading #MCX #USInflation #RateCuts #CentralBanks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – Breakout Confirmed & Macro Outlook📊 Market Context & Macro View Gold (XAUUSD) has broken out above its short-term descending trendline, signalling renewed bullish momentum after several sessions of consolidation. This breakout aligns with traders pricing in slower US inflation and growing confidence that the Federal Reserve may pause or ease monetary policy in the coming months. 🔹 Macro Drivers Supporting Gold: Soft US CPI & PPI → Cooling inflation strengthens expectations for stable or lower rates. Steady Treasury yields and a weaker USD continue to fuel gold’s upside. Geopolitical tensions and central bank accumulation remain long-term bullish factors. ⚠ Risk: Liquidity sweeps remain possible before the Fed meeting—watch for fakeouts or sharp reversals. 🔑 Key Technical Levels (H1) Immediate Resistance: 3,654.17 (React Zone FIB) OBS Sell Zone: 3,664.52 Upper Liquidity Target: 3,679.31 Major Sell Liquidity: 3,709.85 Supports / Buy Liquidity Zones: • 3,637.91 – Breakout Retest • 3,631.63 – CP Support • 3,622.41 – Deeper Liquidity Layer • 3,584.78 – END Liquidity BUY ZONE 📈 Scenario & Outlook London Session: Possible retest at 3,638–3,632 for liquidity collection before the next leg higher. A clean break through 3,654 → 3,664 could spark strong buying toward 3,679–3,709. Losing 3,622 would expose 3,584 as the next major support. 📌 Trading Plan 🔵 BUY ZONE 1: 3,635 – 3,633 SL: 3,629 TP: 3,640 → 3,645 → 3,650 → 3,660 → 3,670 → ??? 🔵 BUY ZONE 2: 3,621 – 3,619 SL: 3,615 TP: 3,625 → 3,630 → 3,635 → 3,640 → 3,650 → 3,660 → ??? 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,708 – 3,710 SL: 3,715 TP: 3,704 → 3,700 → 3,695 → 3,690 → 3,680 → ??? 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3,679 – 3,681 SL: 3,685 TP: 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665 → 3,660 → ??? ✅ Summary Gold is maintaining its breakout, supported by softer US inflation and a weaker USD. While liquidity sweeps may occur, the overall trend remains bullish above 3,622. 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates, liquidity plays, and BIGWIN setups as gold reacts to key macro drivers and price zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading