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GOLD Waiting for the Big BreakOut after FOMC This WeekGold Sideway Compression | Waiting for the Big BreakOut after FOMC This Week Gold is currently consolidating in a tight range, building up energy for a major BreakOut. After the liquidity sweep at the weekly open, price fluctuated strongly between the 332x – 335x zone, but on the H1 timeframe, the overall trend still remains within a descending channel. Last week, CPI & PPI data failed to deliver a clear direction. This week, all eyes are on the FOMC meeting, expected to provide stronger signals for gold’s next move. ⏳ Early to mid-week: with limited impactful news, gold may continue to sideway within the narrow range or maintain downside pressure until FOMC is released. 🔑 Key Market Levels Resistance: 3357 – 3369 – 3383 – 3398 Support: 3335 – 3317 – 3309 📌 Trading Setup ✅ BUY Zone: 3334 – 3332 SL: 3328 TP: 3338 – 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 👉 If gold breaks the descending channel around 336x, expect a strong move towards 3383 – 3398. ✅ SELL Zone: 3383 – 3385 SL: 3390 TP: 3378 – 3374 – 3370 – 3360 – 3350 👉 If gold fails at higher resistance and reverses, liquidity may be swept back into 333x – 331x, with potential extension down to 329x. ⚠️ Summary Gold is at a critical decision point: BreakOut or Breakdown. Before FOMC: sideways / bearish bias within H1 channel. After FOMC: expect a strong Pump or Dump to define the clear weekly trend. 🔥 Keep a close eye on reactions at KeyLevels (333x – 336x – 338x) to adjust trading strategy accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Bullish Trend Continuation: Potential Move to $3,400!The price action shows a higher high ("high") and a higher low ("low"), which are characteristic of an uptrend. An upward trendline has been established, connecting a series of higher lows, which is acting as a dynamic support level. A significant horizontal support zone has also been identified around the $3,260 - $3,280 price range, where the price previously found support. Recently, the price experienced a pullback and bounced off the upward trendline. The analysis anticipates a continuation of the upward momentum toward a key resistance zone. This resistance zone is located around the $3,400 - $3,420 level. A specific target price of $3,408.833 is highlighted within this zone, suggesting a potential area where the upward movement might pause or reverse. The chart includes a potential corrective wave pattern labeled with "C"s, indicating a recent three-wave pullback within the larger trend. The current price is shown at $3,353.520, positioned above both the horizontal support and the upward trendline, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
3330 Liquidity Zone – A Fresh Bullish Structure is Emerging!The 3330 liquidity zone continues to prove its strength as gold rebounds sharply from this level, forming a clean new bullish structure on the M30 timeframe. Buyers are now pushing price to trade around 334x, and if this momentum holds, the next upside targets lie at the FIB – CP Zones above 335x and 336x. On the higher timeframe, the corrective wave is still in play, but short-term price action is opening opportunities for both BUY & SELL setups, provided we time our entries with precision. Market Context & Key News Today, the market will be watching the Trump–Putin meeting, which could trigger sharp geopolitical-driven moves. This Friday also brings the usual liquidity sweep, adding to potential volatility. That’s why MMFLOW recommends observing the trend closely to pick safe entry points and avoid getting caught in false breaks. Trading Plan 1. SELL Zones 3355 – Prime OBS SELL ZONE, expecting strong reaction. 3362 – Higher resistance, aligned with the descending trendline. Note: Best to take entries here if reached during Asia or early London; late London/NY session tests are prone to false break traps. 2. BUY Zones Watch 3334 – 3336 for early BUY entries on lower timeframes. Safe stop-loss: below 3330. If 3330 breaks → wait patiently for BUY opportunities around 331x. Action Strategy Prioritise early BUYs at 3334–3336 with confirmation signals. SELL at 3355 or 3362 if clear rejection occurs. Manage risk strictly – SL below 3330 for BUYs and above 3365 for SELLs. 💡 MMFLOW NOTE: This is gold – volatility can erupt at any moment. Control your emotions, wait for precise setups, and you’ll gain the edge.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Fed Set to Cut 50bps: Gold Gains as the Bullish Wave Forms Again📌 Macro Overview US Treasury Secretary Bessent gives the green light for a potential 50-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in September. July CPI remains soft → USD weakens, bond yields fall, boosting gold’s bullish outlook. Gold briefly touched $3,370/oz, closing at $3,355.9/oz (+0.24%). Gains capped as US equities continue to break records and geopolitical tensions ease. Market focus now shifts to PPI data, jobless claims, and the anticipated Trump–Putin meeting for the next directional cues. 🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW Analysis The bullish recovery wave is clearly re-emerging after a corrective phase, with price hunting liquidity zones left behind in the recent retracement. Preferred strategy: Trade around key liquidity levels or continuation zones for SELL opportunities; BUY entries will be taken earlier to catch the recovery wave within the current price channel. Price Structure & Observation Zones: Short-term uptrend channel intact, primary support at 3336 – 3334 (Liquidity – OBS BUY Zone). Major resistance at 3394 – 3396 (Liquidity Grab Zone + H1 Supply). 🎯 MMFLOW Trading Plan 🔹 BUY SCALP – Catch the recovery wave Entry: 3336 – 3334 SL: 3330 TP: 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3380 – ??? 🔹 SELL SCALP – Counter-trend at resistance Entry: 3394 – 3396 SL: 3400 TP: 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3370 – 3360 📊 Key Levels Resistance: 3365 – 3370 – 3395 Support: 3340 – 3336 – 3330 💡 MMFLOW Strategy Tip: Wait for price to retest the 3336 – 3334 BUY ZONE for trend-following BUY positions. Watch for liquidity absorption signals at 339x – a potential SELL reversal zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
GOLD SURGES AFTER CPI – TARGETING 337x BEFORE SELL-OFF? MMFLOW TECHNICAL OUTLOOK 📌 Market Overview Following the CPI release, gold reacted with strong buying momentum (FOMO BUY), pushing prices swiftly from the 333x area up to 335x. The main driver here is the BUY side taking advantage of remaining liquidity gaps above, aiming to break through the critical 3358 resistance – the first major barrier before reaching 337x, a key equilibrium zone that previously acted as a strong price-holding area for SELL orders. Current structure indicates: Short-term trend: Bullish, but approaching key distribution levels. Liquidity Hunt: A decisive break above 3358 with strong volume could trigger a rapid move towards 337x, activating SELL volume from pending limit orders. Macro context: No major news events today, with expected daily range ~35–40 points, increasing the chance of range-bound traps before a breakout. 🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW View Market Structure: Gold has formed a Higher Low around 333x and is now testing short-term resistance. Key Levels & Liquidity Zones: Liquidity BUY ZONE at 3338–3336 has reacted well, confirming BUYers are still defending this zone. Supply Zone / CP Zone at 3375–3377 aligns with an H1 Order Block, holding a high concentration of pending SELL orders. Volume Flow: Increasing volume as price approaches resistance suggests a potential “last push” before a reversal. 🎯 MMFLOW Trading Plan 🔹 BUY SCALP – Following the main trend Entry: 3338 – 3336 SL: 3332 TP: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 🔹 SELL SCALP – At the distribution zone Entry: 3375 – 3377 SL: 3382 TP: 3370 – 3365 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 📊 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3358 – 3365 – 3376 Support: 3342 – 3337 – 3330 – 3310 💡 MMFLOW Insight: With the current setup, the optimal strategy is to wait for a BUY opportunity near early support (334x) to ride the short-term bullish momentum, then watch for price reaction at 337x to catch potential SELL entries once top-side liquidity is swept.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
PROACHING LIQUIDITY ZONE – WAITING FOR CPI TO DECIDE NEXT MOVE📌 MARKET RECAP Gold kicked off the week with a sharp $50 drop, breaking through key trendlines and nearby support zones. The selling pressure came from: Profit-taking after the recent strong rally. USD strength expectations ahead of CPI data (forecast ~0.1% better than the previous reading). Geopolitical factor: Ukraine–Russia ceasefire talks moving towards a conclusion, fueling risk-off sentiment. 🧐 WHAT’S NEXT? If CPI beats expectations → USD strengthens → Gold could drop further into the Liquidity Zone 333x – 330x. If CPI disappoints → USD weakens → Gold may quickly bounce back toward key level 337x (previous breakdown zone) for a retest before deciding direction. 🎯 MMFLOW GAME PLAN 1️⃣ BUY SCALP 📌 Entry: 3331 – 3329 📌 SL: 3325 📌 TP: 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 2️⃣ BUY ZONE 📌 Entry: 3310 – 3308 📌 SL: 3304 📌 TP: 3314 – 3318 – 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – ??? 3️⃣ SELL SCALP 📌 Entry: 3363 – 3365 📌 SL: 3370 📌 TP: 3360 – 3356 – 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340 4️⃣ SELL ZONE 📌 Entry: 3376 – 3378 📌 SL: 3382 📌 TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 ⚠️ RISK NOTE CPI is the market’s dice roll – even a small deviation could trigger massive stop hunts. Always watch the KeyLevels marked on the chart before entering trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Awaiting the BreakDown or a Snap Back to Resistance?XAUUSD – Game of Patience: Awaiting the BreakDown or a Snap Back to Resistance? | MMFlow Trading 1. Market Context The week opened with a sharp sell-off in Gold — driven by profit-taking and stop-loss hunting on late-week FOMO BUY positions. Buying momentum is fading, while sellers are lurking at the ascending channel’s support. Price is currently reacting at KeyLevel 336x–337x, with H1 candles showing lower wicks → signs of indecision. 2. Technical Outlook Overall structure: Still within an H1-H4 uptrend channel, but BUY momentum is weakening. No clear SELL confirmation yet → need a BreakDown from the channel to confirm seller dominance. Scenario 1: Break the channel → target 335x & 333x zones. Scenario 2: No break → price may rebound to retest 339x – 340x – 342x resistance levels. 3. Fundamental & Macro View This week brings major USD economic data: CPI & PPI. Forecasts lean positive for USD, which could increase downward pressure on Gold. However, expect false breakouts before/after news releases — risk management is key. 4. MMFlow Trading Plan BUY SCALP Entry: 3353 – 3351 SL: 3345 TP: 3358 – 3362 – 3366 – 3370 – 3375 – 3380 BUY ZONE Entry: 3332 – 3330 SL: 3325 TP: 3336 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 SELL SCALP Entry: 3394 – 3396 SL: 3400 TP: 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3370 – 3360 SELL ZONE Entry: 3425 – 3427 SL: 3430 TP: 3420 – 3415 – 3410 – 3405 – 3400 – 3390 – 3380 5. Risk Management Avoid FOMO — wait for clear candle confirmations before entering. Reduce position size ahead of CPI/PPI events. Focus on pre-defined key levels, avoid trading in noise zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
XAUUSD Weekly Plan Final Bullish Push Before a Liquidity Sweep?XAUUSD Weekly Plan – Final Bullish Push Before a Liquidity Sweep? 1. Market Context Last week, Gold kept moving inside the H2–H4 bullish channel, pushing into the FVG High Zone and approaching the major resistance at 3426–3428 (OBS Sell Zone). Momentum is fading – candles are compressing, and volume is dropping – signaling potential distribution. 2. Macro Outlook (High-Impact USD Data Ahead) CPI – Aug 12 → Primary driver. PPI – Aug 14 → Usually a leading signal for CPI. Unemployment Claims – Aug 14 → Short-term impact. Expectations: CPI & PPI likely better than previous month → USD strength → Gold correction (liquidity sweep to the downside). Weaker-than-expected CPI/PPI → USD weakness → Gold could spike for one last bullish leg before reversing. 3. Technical Overview H2 bullish channel top aligns with FVG High Zone → big players’ sell limit & profit-taking area. Main scenario: Test 3426–3428 → Bearish reaction → Channel breakdown → Retest 3395–3400 (VPOC) → Drop toward liquidity pools below. 4. Key Levels SELL Zone: 3426 – 3428 SL: 3434 TP: 3420 → 3415 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360 BUY Zone: 3330 – 3328 SL: 3322 TP: 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → 3380 5. Trading Plan 🔹 Primary SELL Setup: Wait for price to reach 3426–3428 with H1/H2 bearish candle confirmation. Take profits gradually at each downside target. 🔹 Counter-trend BUY: Enter only if price sweeps liquidity into 3330–3328 with strong bullish reaction. 6. Trader’s Notes Gold may still push $30–$40 higher early next week before hitting OBS Sell Zone. Expect large SELL volume once in this zone (profit-taking + top-picking by big players). This should be a short-term correction, not a full trend reversal. Best to SELL from highs and hold after a confirmed channel breakdown. 7. Risk Note High-impact week → Possible false breaks before/after CPI & PPI. Avoid oversized positions during news releases. A break & hold above 3434 with strong volume invalidates SELL scenario → wait for new structure. 📌 Summary: Bias: SELL from 3426–3428 → Target liquidity pools down to 3360. Backup Plan: BUY from 3330–3328 if liquidity grab confirmed. Manage risk tightly, especially during high-volatility events. — MMFlow Trading
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold (XAU/USD) in Symmetrical Triangle – Short‑Term Squeeze,Price Structure & Technical Setup Gold is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, showing lower highs and higher lows—a classic precursor to breakout in either direction Fxglory Ltd +5 TradingView +5 Babypips.com +5 TradingView +2 Babypips.com +2 TradingView +2 . Trendlines converge tightly around $3,326–$3,334, hinting at imminent directional acceleration Investopedia +4 TradingView +4 TradingView +4 . 🎯 Key Levels & Targets Scenario Trigger Confirm Area Targets Stop Loss Bullish Breakout above $3,344–$3,350 $3,369 → $3,396 → $3,422–$3,550 ~$3,340 Bearish Breakdown below ~$3,326–$3,320 $3,320 → $3,300 → $3,297 → $3,255 ~$3,335–$3,340 A breakout above $3,344–$3,350 validated with volume may drive prices toward $3,400+, with extended targets up to $3,550 or higher in bullish conditions Traders Union Time Price Research . A drop below $3,326–$3,320 risks further decline, targeting $3,300, $3,297, and eventually $3,255 if breakdown momentum builds . 📉 Market Context & Drivers U.S. dollar strength, easing safe-haven demand, and optimistic trade sentiment are constraining gold’s upside unless breakout forces emerge . Key upcoming catalysts: FOMC guidance, U.S. macro data (GDP, inflation), and geopolitical developments—their tone could tip the bias direction . ⚙️ Trade Rules & Risk Management Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown—do not trade mid-range. Confirm break with at least one close outside the triangle and rising volume . Position sizing: Risk 1–2% per trade, adjust stop-loss to price structure ($8–$15 depending on volatility). Take profits in stages: scale out at minor milestones (first targets), trail stop for extended targets. Avoid chasing price within the middle of the triangle—risk/reward is unfavorable. 🧠 Why This Plan? Follows textbook symmetrical triangle trading methodology: entry on breakout, stop beyond pattern opposite side, projection based on triangle height . Aligns with broader outlook: bearish unless convincing upside breakout appears, consistent with analyst consensus hedging current bull exhaustion and wait‑and‑see on policy signals . ✅ Summary Gold is coiling inside a tight triangle range near $3,326–$3,334, with breakout potential identified to either side: Bullish breakout over $3,344–$3,350 targets up to $3,550 or beyond. Bearish breakdown under $3,326–$3,320 risks slide towards $3,300–$3,255. Wait for confirmation, apply disciplined risk controls, and let volume validate the move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader
GOLD NFP Plan – Waiting for Breakout & Riding the Bullish Wave – GOLD NFP Plan – Waiting for Breakout & Riding the Bullish Wave Gold is currently trading inside a large sideways triangle pattern, with price compressing toward the apex. However, based on recent candle structure and yesterday’s reaction at the key level, there’s strong momentum building for bullish continuation—likely forming a Wave 3 breakout if price can decisively break above the current descending trendline. 🔎 Technical Breakdown: ✅ BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 (confluence of CP ZONE + GAP + OBS BUY from yesterday) 📈 Price already reacted with +160 PIPS profit from this zone, confirming buyer control ⛓️ Descending trendline is compressing price – a breakout above it could unleash strong bullish momentum 🔄 SELL ZONE: 3339 – 3341 marked by OBS SELL ZONE + liquidity layer 📰 Fundamental Focus: Today is Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) day. With current forecasts pointing toward weaker-than-expected U.S. job data, the dollar could face pressure—creating the perfect scenario for gold to spike higher on BUY-side FOMO. 📌 Trade Plan: 🎯 BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 ❌ Stop Loss: 3270 🎯 Take Profits: 3280 – 3284 – 3290 – 3294 – 3300 – 3305 – 3310 – 3320 – 3330 – 3340 – 3350 ⚠️ SELL ZONE (counter-trend): 3339 – 3341 ❌ Stop Loss: 3345 🎯 Take Profits: 3335 – 3330 – 3325 – 3320 – 3315 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300 📌 Key Notes: Favor BUY setups in line with the trend—focus on reaction zones outlined on the chart. If NFP data is bearish for the dollar, wait for strong confluences before entering any SELL, and avoid shorting prematurely against bullish momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Liquidity Sweep Complete – Bullish Continuation Ahead?GOLD ANALYSIS 31/07: Liquidity Sweep Complete – Bullish Continuation Ahead? 🔍 Technical View | XAUUSD | 2H Chart | End of Month Setup Gold has completed a final liquidity sweep around the 3269–3271 zone and has since rebounded strongly, in line with the prevailing bullish structure. The sharp drop yesterday during the FOMC rate statement appears to have served its purpose: grabbing final sell-side liquidity before preparing for the next bullish leg. As of now, price is reacting at the 3295 zone, which coincides with the M30 CP (Change of Character) Zone, showing minor intraday retracement. A healthy pullback is likely before a potential bullish breakout of the descending trendline that has been holding price down over recent sessions. 🔵 BUY Strategy: Trend Continuation Setup We’re watching for potential re-entries on a dip toward the OBS Buy Zone (3286–3284), created after the recent bullish move. This could be the last opportunity to catch the next impulsive leg higher. Buy Zone: 3286–3284 Stop Loss: 3278 Targets: 3290 → 3294 → 3298 → 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3330 → ??? Key breakout confirmation will come if price closes strongly above 3313 (first key resistance). If broken, this opens the door toward the VPOC zone at 3328–3330, where a high-volume cluster awaits. 🔴 SELL Strategy: Short-Term Rejection Levels Shorts only become favorable below the VPOC Sell Zone (3328–3330). If price closes above this area, bearish pressure is likely to fade, and bulls will dominate the next leg. Sell Zone: 3328–3330 Stop Loss: 3335 Targets: 3324 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300 ⚠️ Important: Selling inside a bullish breakout structure is high-risk unless the market gives clear rejection at major supply. Always wait for price action confirmation. 🕯️ Monthly Candle Insight (July Close) Today marks the final trading day of July. Notably, the last two monthly candles have closed as Doji with long wicks, reflecting deep indecision and ongoing liquidity grabs. This aligns with the upcoming interest rate cut discussions at the next FOMC, which could ignite significant volatility. 📌 Summary: Liquidity sweep at 3269–3271 is likely complete. Price now retracing after strong bullish rebound from OBS Buy Zone. Watch for confirmation above 3313, then 3328–3330 for breakout toward higher zones (335x–337x). End-of-month close + macro narrative (FOMC) will be crucial to confirm direction. 💡 Pro Tip: Avoid entering late into reactive moves. Wait for retests of clean liquidity zones and use volume-based confluences to validate bias. 📲 Follow us @MMFlowTrading for real-time updates, macro analysis, and market structure insights on gold & major pairs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
GOLD: Is This a Bottom or the Calm Before the Storm?🌐 Fundamental & Macro Landscape The recent US–EU trade and defense pact has temporarily reduced gold’s appeal as a safe haven. The US Dollar and stock markets remain strong thanks to positive macroeconomic data. Current sentiment is risk-on, which typically shifts capital away from metals and into riskier assets. But the real volatility could come later this week: 📅 High-Impact Events to Watch: US ADP Employment Report FOMC Statement + Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) These will likely decide whether gold resumes its uptrend or continues sliding lower. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold is currently trading within a parallel bullish channel after rebounding from local lows. However, price is now approaching a key resistance zone around 3342, where we might see either a breakout or a rejection, depending on market sentiment during the upcoming data releases. 🔍 Key Price Zones 🔺 Short-Term Resistance: 3342 🔺 Major Supply Zone: 3369–3388 (Order Block + FVG + Fib 0.5–0.618) 🔻 High-Liquidity Demand Area: 3293–3290 🔻 Deep Demand Zone (FVG): 3275–3273 🔺 Long-Term Resistance Target: 3416 📈 Trade Plan – Based on Price Reaction, Not Prediction The best trades come from waiting for the right reaction at key zones. No chasing. No guessing. ✅ Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Scalp Setup) Entry: 3293 – 3291 Stop Loss: 3286 Targets: 3296 → 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 🟢 Works well in high-liquidity zones for quick short-term gains. ✅ Scenario 2 – Buy from Deeper Support (Swing Setup) Entry: 3275 – 3273 Stop Loss: 3269 Targets: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3320 → 3330 🟢 Great setup if price absorbs selling pressure and reverses from FVG demand. ❌ Scenario 3 – Short from Short-Term Resistance Entry: 3340 – 3342 Stop Loss: 3346 Targets: 3335 → 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3310 🔴 Valid only if price fails to reclaim above 3342. ❌ Scenario 4 – Short from Major Supply Zone Entry: 3369 – 3372 Stop Loss: 3376 Targets: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330 → 3320 🔴 Higher risk – only act after confirmation (e.g., rejection wicks or bearish candle pattern). ⚠️ Risk Management Tips Avoid entering right at London or New York opens – too much volatility and false breakouts. Always wait for confirmation (candle rejection, pin bars, engulfing, etc.). Use strict stop-loss rules – FOMC + NFP can spike price in both directions. 💡 Final Tips for Indian Traders Trade with patience – the best setups often appear when others are panicking. Respect your capital – don’t overleverage during high-volatility news events. Focus on price action – not emotions or fixed bias. 📌 If you found this gold analysis helpful, feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments or follow for daily updates on XAU/USD. Let’s grow and trade smarter, one setup at a time. Namaste 🙏 | Trade safe, trade with clarity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
3
GOLD: Is This Just the Calm Before a Bigger Move? – GOLD: Is This Just the Calm Before a Bigger Move? Gold has dropped nearly $50 in the last 4 sessions — showing strong bearish momentum, but is the downside exhausted? Or is this just a pause before continuation? 🔍 Macro Drivers: Recent US–EU defense and trade agreements have weighed on gold's safe-haven appeal. Strong US economic data has pushed USD and equities higher, redirecting flows out of precious metals. Market sentiment is leaning short-term risk-on, which is bearish for gold – but key technical levels are approaching. 📊 Technical Context – H12 Structure: Price broke below 3,342 key support, retested it and rejected — validating short-term supply zone. Price is now consolidating between Sell-side liquidity (3,301–3,292) and deeper FVG/OBS zone around 3,270. Above, multiple sell zones align at Fib 0.5–0.618 retracement with order blocks and fair value gaps. 🔧 Trade Scenarios (Plan for Reaction – Not Prediction): 🟢 BUY SCALP – Quick bounce off demand zone Entry: 3,292 – 3,290 SL: 3,285 TPs: 3,296 → 3,300 → 3,305 → 3,310 → 3,315 → 3,320 → 3,325 → 3,330 📍Low-risk intraday bounce play from liquidity pocket 🟢 BUY SWING – Deeper test of FVG/OBS zone Entry: 3,272 – 3,270 SL: 3,265 TPs: 3,276 → 3,280 → 3,284 → 3,288 → 3,292 → 3,294 → 3,300 → open 📍Higher R:R setup if price sweeps final liquidity zone 🔴 SELL SCALP – Rejection from short-term resistance Entry: 3,340 – 3,342 SL: 3,346 TPs: 3,335 → 3,330 → 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,310 📍Reaction-based trade if price fails to reclaim the zone 🔴 SELL SWING – Deeper pullback into macro zone Entry: 3,370 – 3,372 SL: 3,376 TPs: 3,365 → 3,360 → 3,355 → 3,350 → 3,345 → 3,340 → 3,330 → 3,320 📍FVG + CP zone overlap with strong OB; ideal for patient sellers ⚠️ Risk Notes: Watch for false breakouts/liquidity traps near session opens. Wait for price confirmation; reaction over prediction. Maintain disciplined risk management – this is a volatile area. 🧭 I’ll be tracking price behavior at these zones closely. If this approach to mapping price action resonates with you — Feel free to stay connected or share your bias in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Critical Breakdown: BTC/USD Poised to Fall — Waiting on H4 CloseAnalysis of the BTC/USD 4‑Hour Chart From the chart you provided, here's how the technical situation looks: Ascending trendline support has been tested multiple times and was recently breached this afternoon, signaling a possible shift from the bullish setup to a bearish continuation. The price is now trapped within a descending triangle formation beneath a well‑defined swing high resistance zone. This reflects indecision in the market, with neither buyers nor sellers in clear control Business Insider +15 Fxglory Ltd +15 Bitcoin News +15 . Key levels to monitor: Support zone: ~$115,500, extending down to ~$111,300 and ~$105,600 as deeper targets if bearish momentum strengthens. Resistance zone: ~$119,000–120,000 area, forming strong overhead supply Economies.com DailyForex Bitcoin News . The chart’s annotations align with a classic breakout strategy—with the caveat: wait for a confirmed close below the trendline before considering short positions (as noted in your “wait for this candle to close in red” comment). Breakout confirmation would likely pave the way toward your indicated profit zones near ~$111k and ~$105k, with a larger potential down to ~$99.8k if further downside pressure builds. 🔍 What the Broader Market Signals Technical sentiment from sources covering today’s analysis shows BTC/USD hovering just under $120,000, stuck within the defined range of $115.5k support to $120k resistance Economies.com . While there’s still neutral momentum in indicators like RSI and MACD, the short-term direction leans bearish if the breakdown is confirmed on the H4 timeframe Fxglory Ltd . Analysts emphasize that sustained movement above $116.5k could retarget resistance near $119–120k. A failure there and a move below $115.5k may thrust price deeper toward your downside zones DailyForex . ✅ Trading Strategy Overview Scenario Trigger Target Levels Bearish Breakdown H4 candle closes below trendline ~$115.5k $111.3k → $105.6k → possible $99.8k zone Bullish Rejection Bounce back above ~$116.5k and trending above resistance $119k–120k retest, potential breakout if sustained Neutral / Wait-and-see No decisive candle close yet Hold for confirmation ⛳ Final Thoughts chart highlights a critical point: don’t act prematurely. Wait for a decisive H4 candle close below the trendline before committing to shorts. Confirmed bearish action around the breakout could open the path to the lower targets you identified. However, if price rebounds above support and climbs above $116.5k, a short-term retest of $119k–120k is still in range. Traders should maintain prudent risk management—watching the unfolding price action around these pivot points without overreaching. Let me know if you'd like help crafting entry/exit zones or risk profiles for this setup!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by KingProTrader
Gold Tests Key Support – Time to Buy or More Downside Ahead?🌐 Market Overview Gold remains under pressure following yesterday’s sharp sell-off, driven largely by macro-political tensions and profit-taking at recent highs. 🔻 On July 24th, former President Trump made a surprise visit to the Federal Reserve headquarters — a move interpreted by markets as subtle pressure on the Fed to start cutting rates. While the Fed hasn’t signaled any immediate easing, short-term bond yields have dipped slightly — reflecting growing rate-cut expectations. The US Dollar, however, remains firm, showing markets are still hesitant to fully price in a Fed pivot after strong economic data. 📊 Technical Outlook On the H2 timeframe, gold continues to trade within a broader bullish structure, but price action is now hovering near a critical Keylevel at 3338, aligned with a rising trendline and VPOC zone. A breakdown below this level could open the door for deeper liquidity grabs toward 332x and even 329x. Volatility is high, and price is moving in wide ranges — ideal conditions for short-term scalp setups. 🎯 Trading Strategy 🔽 Scalp Buy (Short-Term Bounce Opportunity) Entry: 3338 – 3336 Stop Loss: 3332 Targets: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3354 – 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3380 🟢 Buy Zone (Deeper Pullback, Reversal Potential) Entry: 3312 – 3310 Stop Loss: 3305 Targets: 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 🔻 Sell Zone (If Price Retests Resistance) Entry: 3374 – 3376 Stop Loss: 3380 Targets: 3370 – 3366 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 – 3330 🧭 Key Price Levels Support: 3350 – 3338 – 3325 – 3310 – 3294 Resistance: 3374 – 3390 – 3400 – 3421 ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes As we head into the weekend, the market is prone to unexpected liquidity sweeps and sharp reversals. Only consider short-term BUY positions for today. Avoid holding long-term buys until there's confirmation that the lower liquidity zones have been fully swept. Strictly follow TP/SL discipline to protect capital — especially in volatile, low-news sessions like this. 💬 Enjoying these detailed trade plans? 📈 Follow the MMF TradingView channel for daily market updates, high-probability trade setups, and pro-level insights designed for serious traders.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Pulls Back as Expected, Long-Term Buying Opportunity Ahead🟡 XAUUSD 24/07 – Gold Pulls Back as Expected, Long-Term Buying Opportunity Ahead 🧭 Market Overview Gold dropped sharply from the 343x area, exactly as anticipated, after breaking the rising channel on the H1 chart and starting to sweep liquidity zones below. Key factors influencing price action today: Global markets are awaiting the final outcome of US-EU-China tariff negotiations. Focus now shifts to next week’s FOMC meeting, where talks of potential rate cuts are intensifying. Tonight’s PMI and Jobless Claims from the US could introduce unexpected volatility. 📊 Technical Outlook While the broader trend remains bullish on D1 and H4 timeframes, the short-term H1 chart shows a clear break in structure. Price is currently exploring key FVG zones and OBS levels below. If these liquidity zones are fully filled, it could set up a highly attractive long-term BUY opportunity, especially as markets price in future Fed rate cuts. 🎯 Today’s Trading Strategy 📌 Short-Term SELL Opportunity → Look for early entries at resistance zones, but only with proper confirmation. 📌 Long-Term BUY Setup → Target strong technical confluences at deeper levels. Be patient — focus on clean RR setups, don’t rush into early longs. 🔎 Key Price Levels to Watch 🔺 Resistance Zones (Above): 3393 – 3404 – 3414 – 3420 – 3428 🔻 Support Zones (Below): 3375 – 3366 – 3352 – 3345 – 3330 🔽 Trade Scenarios ✅ BUY ZONE: 3352 – 3350 SL: 3345 TP: 3356 → 3360 → 3364 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400 🔻 SELL ZONE: 3414 – 3416 SL: 3420 TP: 3410 → 3406 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380 ⚠️ News Alert Stay cautious with tonight’s US PMI and Jobless Claims releases — these could cause sharp spikes. ✔️ Use proper SL/TP ✔️ Avoid emotional trades ✔️ Let structure confirm before entries 📣 From MMF Team – Trade Smarter Together If you find this analysis helpful and want more daily trading plans like this: 👉 Follow the MMF channel right here on TradingView — we deliver real, actionable market strategies, not just generic analysis. 🎯 Updated daily. Straight from the charts. Built for traders.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
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