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XAU/USD: Channel Breakout → Retest → Downside Target at 3,940Pair: Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Timeframe: 1-hour Current Price: 4,253.975 Trend: Recently broke out of an ascending channel (bearish signal) 📉 Chart Breakdown 1. Ascending Channel (Trade Lines) Price was moving steadily inside a rising channel, indicated by the two parallel yellow “TRADE LINE” levels. The break below the lower trade line suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal. 2. Resistance Level (4,320 – 4,360 zone) Marked in purple, this zone served as a key resistance. Price rejected strongly from this area, confirming seller presence. 3. Structure Retest and Potential Move After the channel break, price retraced back to retest the broken channel support (now resistance). The projected blue path shows a lower-high formation followed by a new drop, completing a bearish continuation pattern. 4. Target Zone The projected target is near 3,940.693, aligning with previous structure support. This level could serve as a profit-taking area for short positions. 📊 Summary of Key Levels Zone Type Range / Level 4,320 – 4,360 Resistance Strong supply zone 4,220 – 4,240 Retest zone Potential short entry area 3,940 Target Bearish target / demand zone ⚙️ Trading Plan Concept (Hypothetical) Bias: Bearish Entry Idea: Wait for rejection from 4,220–4,240 zone. Stop Loss: Above 4,280 (resistance) Take Profit: Around 3,940 (target) Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:3 or better 🧭 Conclusion The chart suggests that Gold (XAU/USD) might be entering a corrective bearish phase after failing to sustain its bullish channel. A retest of broken structure before another drop aligns with typical market structure behavior. EURONEXT:AXFZ2025 EURONEXT:FMXX2025 EURONEXT:QL6X2025 EURONEXT:RH6X2025 EURONEXT:VV8Z2025 EURONEXT:2FTX2025
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS
1
GOLD Awaiting Sell Reaction at Peak & Buy Pullback Support🔍 Market Context After a series of strong Break of Structure (BoS) , gold has reached a new ATH at 4,385 USD – marking a sustainable uptrend over the past 3 sessions. However, this peak area is currently acting as a significant psychological and technical barrier . Buying momentum is temporarily slowing as the price reacts to the Liquidity Zone around 4,351 – 4,385 USD . The market is in a phase of liquidity rebalancing . The major trend remains upward, but the current price area may see a short-term correction before further wave expansion. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,385 USD Sell Liquidity Zone: 4,430 – 4,435 USD → high liquidity resistance zone, potential for short-term sell reactions. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,284 – 4,282 USD → nearby support zone, confluence with trendline. Order Block | Fibonacci Zone: 4,226 – 4,230 USD → deep discount zone confluencing with Fibo 0.618, high reversal potential. Overall Structure: remains bullish , but showing short-term signs of weakness as the price fails to hold above 4,360. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Rejection at peak area 4,385 – 4,433 USD Entry: 4,430 - 4,435 SL: 4,440 TP: 4,425 → 4,420 →4,415→4,410→4405 ✅ Condition: Appearance of rejection or strong bearish engulfing candles at high Liquidity zone. ➡️ This is a liquidity reaction setup – sell when the price sweeps the peak and clear sell signals from major players appear. 2️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Pullback at 4,284 – 4,282 USD Entry: 4,284 – 4,282 SL: 4,272 TP: 4,290 → 4,300 → 4,310/Open ✅ Condition: Strong H1 candle reaction at support or minor reversal structure. ➡️ Buy with the main trend, taking advantage of a slight pullback around the support Liquidity zone. 3️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – OB Deep Zone 4,226 – 4,230 USD Entry: 4,226 – 4,230 SL: 4,190 TP: 4,235 → 4,240 → 4,250/Open ✅ Condition: Appearance of bullish BoS or confirming bullish engulfing candle. ➡️ This is a deep discount zone, suitable for swing orders following the main trend. ⚠️ Risk Management Avoid FOMO buying at high zones (4,360+). Prioritize observing price behavior at 4,284 and 4,226 before entering orders. Sell orders at 4,385–4,430 are only triggered if there is a clear confirmation signal. Maintain moderate volume, avoid averaging down without confirmation. 💬 Conclusion Gold is accumulating after reaching the peak of 4,385 USD , this is a crucial phase to determine the correction before the new upward wave. The most effective strategy now is sell reaction at the high peak area 4,385 – 4,430 and buy with the trend at 4,284 – 4,226 USD when confirmation appears. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Sell Reaction: 4,385 – 4,430 → TP 4,284 – 4,226 Buy Pullback: 4,284 – 4,282 Buy OB Deep: 4,226 – 4,230
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout Rally Toward New HighsAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) continues its strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, confirming a sustained uptrend. The recent breakout above the resistance zone near $4,150–$4,170 indicates renewed buying interest and momentum buildup. After a brief retest of the breakout area, price has started climbing again — a sign of trend continuation supported by bullish candle formations and strong market sentiment. Technical Outlook: Support Zone: $4,140 – $4,170 (previous resistance turned support) Bullish Confirmation: Continuation pattern with clean structure and volume support Momentum Bias: Strongly bullish while above $4,150 🎯 Target: $4,300 – $4,320 zone 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $4,140 to limit downside risk 📈 Summary: As long as gold stays above the breakout level of $4,170, the market remains bullish, with upside potential toward $4,300–$4,320, aligning with the next major resistance area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY STOP PROJECTION FOR 17.10.25Chart Info Instrument: XAU/USD Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1) Price: $4,279.99 Strategy: Buy Stop — Trend Continuation 🟦 Market Structure & Trend: Price is respecting a strong uptrend channel — clearly defined higher highs & higher lows. Golden Ratio (Fibonacci) at 0.5 (4242.62) and 0.618 (4251.84) acts as premium entry zone for a retracement buy. Bullish structure remains intact above 4230 zone. 📊 Entry & Target Zones: ✅ Entry Zone: Around 4250 (Golden Fibo + FVG) 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 4230 (structure break = invalidation) 🥇 Target 1 (R1): 4280 (in-channel move) 🥈 Target 2 (R2): 4310 (new ATH projection) 🧭 Technical Confluences: 📈 Uptrend Channel Support — Price expected to bounce after retest. 🟪 15 min Fair Value Gap (FVG) — potential wick entry below 4250. 📐 Golden Ratio Zone — ideal institutional entry point. 🔄 Break & Retest structure — previous resistance now support. ⚠️ Risk & Confirmation: If candle closes below 4230, trend structure weakens — setup invalid. Watch for NY Session volatility or major news for breakout momentum. Partial profit booking near R1 and trailing SL above entry for R2 recommended. ✅ Summary of Plan: Buy stop setup at retracement zone (4250 area). SL tight below structure (4230). TP 4280–4310 with trend continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Gold Plan | Where will gold drop today?🔍 Market Context Gold continues to maintain a short-term upward trend following a series of Break of Structure (BoS) , confirming active buying from lower zones. Currently, the price is approaching the ATH GOLD zone and heading towards the Liquidity Sell Zone 4,281 USD – a densely liquid area where short-term sell reactions from major players may occur. After a hot rise, technical correction risks are starting to increase. Lower zones like 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD will be potential “accumulation zones” for institutional buyers in the upcoming pullback. 💎 Technical Analysis ATH GOLD: 4,275 – 4,280 USD Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,281 – 4,285 USD → high liquidity resistance area, may trigger short-term reversal reactions. Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,186 – 4,152 USD → crucial support area in the uptrend, where technical reactions are expected. FVG – BoS Zone: 4,152 – 4,148 USD → “price balance” zone yet to be filled, likely to be retested. OB Deep Zone: 4,130 – 4,120 USD → deep demand zone converging with Fibo 0.786 – ideal area for large capital to re-accumulate. Overall structure remains bullish , but in the premium zone – an area where institutions typically distribute orders to gain liquidity before adjusting. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Main Scenario – Sell reaction at Liquidity Zone 4,281 USD When the price hits the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone and clear reversal signals appear (rejection candles, bearish engulfing, or minor structure break), → open short-term sell orders (scalp/intraday). Target: 4,186 → 4,152 USD. Stop Loss: above 4,285 USD. ➡️ This is a typical “liquidity sweep – technical reaction” scenario, capitalising on short-term sell-offs at high liquidity peaks. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Buy back following the main trend after correction When the price corrects to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone or deeper to OB Deep 4,130 USD , and clear upward confirmation signals appear (strong rejection or minor BoS increasing again), → open buy orders in line with the main trend. Target: 4,230 → 4,275 USD. Stop Loss: below 4,120 USD. ➡️ Trend-following scenario – waiting for price correction to discount zones to accumulate in line with the larger trend. ⚠️ Risk Management Do not FOMO buy when the price is hitting the 4,275 – 4,281 USD zone. Prioritise short-term sells with clear confirmations or buys at lower OB zones. Keep light volume when trading against the main trend. Observe reactions at the 4,186 zone – this is the key level of the day. 💬 Conclusion Gold is at the peak of the current rise , short-term profit-taking pressure may appear around the 4,281 USD zone. If strong reactions occur, a correction to the 4,186 – 4,152 USD zone is reasonable for market rebalancing. The larger trend remains upward , so lower OB zones will be reasonable buy opportunities for the next wave. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Sell reaction at 4,281 USD when reversal signals appear. Buy back at 4,186 – 4,152 – 4,130 USD when confirmation signals appear.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold Pulls Back From All-Time High – Correction Looks Limited📊 Market Overview Gold slightly corrected from its all-time high near $4,239, showing early signs of a short-term pullback, but the overall trend remains bullish. Despite the correction, fundamental sentiment still supports Gold: 💬 US–China trade tensions and geopolitical risks continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets. 💵 The US Dollar remains under pressure amid expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut later this year. ⚖️ Ongoing concerns about a possible US government shutdown further enhance Gold’s attractiveness. These factors suggest that the current dip is likely a healthy correction within a strong uptrend, not a reversal. 🧠 Technical Structure (MMFLOW Wave View) Gold has likely completed a minor Wave (V) on the M30 chart, forming a new ATH Zone near 4,239. Currently, price is unfolding a corrective A–B–C pattern, expected to find support at key liquidity zones before resuming the uptrend. Our model highlights two potential BUY setups and a short-term SELL scalp opportunity for today’s trading session. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🔵 BUY Setup 1 Zone: 4,184 – 4,182 SL: 4,178 TP: 4,188 – 4,192 – 4,196 – 4,200 – 4,210 – 4,220 – ??? 🟢 BUY Setup 2 (Deeper Retrace) Zone: 4,148 – 4,146 SL: 4,140 TP: 4,152 – 4,156 – 4,160 – 4,170 – 4,180 – 4,190 – 4,200 🔴 SELL SCALP Opportunity Zone: 4,230 – 4,234 SL: 4,238 TP: 4,220 – 4,215 – 4,210 – 4,200 – 4,190 – ??? ⚙️ MMFLOW Trading View 📈 Price is currently respecting Wave (A) of the correction. We expect a possible (B) retracement toward 4,220 – 4,230, followed by (C) decline completing near 4,147 – 4,150 (Fibo 0.618 / CP Buy Zone). From there, Smart Money may re-enter long positions targeting a fresh liquidity sweep toward the 4,285 SELL ZONE. In short: The uptrend remains intact, only a short-term correction is unfolding. Patience is key — best opportunities will likely appear around 4,150 – 4,180 range. The structure aligns perfectly with both technical confluence (Elliott + Liquidity Zones) and macro sentiment. If the market holds above 4,140, Gold could aim for new highs toward 4,285 – 4,300 in the next few sessions. However, traders should: ✅ Always use Stop Loss — volatility is high near record highs. ✅ Avoid overtrading in narrow pullback zones. ✅ Focus on reaction at key liquidity levels before entering. ⚡️ Summary Gold remains technically bullish with limited downside correction. Watch for price reaction around 4,184 and 4,147 — both zones represent strong liquidity areas where Smart Money may look to buy again. After completing this correction, a new impulsive leg up toward 4,285+ could unfold, potentially marking the next all-time high.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Safe-Haven Flows Continue to Support GoldMarket Context: Gold has attracted strong buying for the fourth consecutive session, supported by a mix of global risk factors: renewed US–China trade tensions, rising geopolitical uncertainty, and growing fears of a prolonged US government shutdown. Meanwhile, dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve are keeping the USD under pressure — further enhancing the appeal of gold as a non-yielding safe-haven asset. During the Asian session, XAU/USD printed a fresh all-time high, with bulls now eyeing a potential extension toward the 4,200 USD/oz region amid escalating global concerns. Technical Outlook (M30): Gold continues to respect its ascending channel structure, maintaining dynamic support between 4,167 – 4,154. As long as price holds above 4,139, the broader trend remains bullish, with the next liquidity target sitting at 4,240 – 4,241. Key Zones to Watch: Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,240 – 4,242 ATH Zone / Short-Term Resistance: 4,190 – 4,200 OBS Buy Zone – CP Trendline Support: 4,141 – 4,139 Secondary Buy Zone: 4,114 – 4,112 Trading Plan: 🔹 BUY Zone Entry: 4.141 – 4.139 SL: 4.134 TP: 4.145 → 4.150 → 4.155 → 4.160 → 4.170 → 4.180 🔹 BUY Zone Entry: 4.114 – 4.112 SL: 4.106 TP: 4.120 → 4.125 → 4.130 → 4.140 → 4.150 🔹 SELL Zone (Scalp Reaction) Entry: 4.240 – 4.242 SL: 4.248 TP: 4.235 → 4.230 → 4.225 → 4.220 → 4.210 → 4.200 Summary: The bullish market structure remains intact as long as price holds above the 4,139 zone. Watch for potential long opportunities from 4,141 – 4,139, where the confluence of trendline and order block support could trigger fresh demand. Bulls remain in control, targeting the 4,240 – 4,241 liquidity area in the coming sessions. 📊 What’s your take — will gold break above 4,200 or pause for a correction first? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily market structure insights and institutional-style setups. 🟣 Chart: XAUUSD M30 – Smart Money Flow structure highlighting liquidity pools, CP confluence and key buy/sell zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD AT ATH! $4,200 BATTLE – Which Fibo Zone Fires First?Gold is fiercely battling the $4,200 mark after hitting a new All-Time High near $4,220. Bulls are pausing, but macro risks (geopolitics, trade war warnings) keep the trend Long. Our focus: Sniping the Reaction Zones. 🎯 THE FIBO ACTION ZONES (H1/M30) 1. STRATEGIC BUY ZONE (Optimal Long Entry): Zone 1: 4162 - 4158 (The crucial Fibo Retest/0.618 support). Zone 2: 4144 - 4140 (Deeper strong support). Action: Wait for the pullback into 4162 - 4158 and execute a BUY upon bullish confirmation. 2. SELL/TP ZONES (Profit Taking & Resistance): TP Target 1: 4208 - 4212 (Immediate Fibo Resistance). TP Target 2: 4225 - 4250 (Fibo Extension 1.5 - 1.618). Action: Look for SCALP SELL opportunities or take profits (TP) here if price rejects these levels. 📈 TODAY'S MOVE: Patience for the 416x retest. Join the Long trend aggressively only after a solid bounce confirmation! ⚠️ Risk Management: Keep SL tight below your chosen BUY Zone. Discipline over FOMO!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSD – Sharp Pullback After Hitting New ATHMarket Context: Gold has seen a steep intraday drop after hitting a fresh all-time high at 4,179 USD/oz, extending beyond the morning target of 4,170–4,172. The move likely reflects profit-taking amid broader market caution, as the US Dollar strengthened and GBP fell sharply, indirectly weighing on XAUUSD. Silver also followed the correction, down over 2%, trading near 51 USD/oz after peaking at 53.60 earlier. Despite this drop, the overall market sentiment remains defensive — both metals are still up about 2% for the week, suggesting this is a technical retracement, not a full trend reversal. Technical Outlook (M30): Price has broken below the short-term rising channel and is now retesting key liquidity areas. Watch the 4,134 – 4,135 zone for a potential retest (50% pullback) before continuation toward lower buy zones. End Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,165 – 4,170 Retest Zone (50% Down): 4,134 – 4,135 CP Buy Zone / Fibo 0.618: 4,052 – 4,054 OBS Buy Zone: 4,000 – 4,005 Trading Plan: 🔹 Sell Setup (Correction Play): Entry: 4,134 – 4,136 Stop Loss: 4,142 Take Profit: 4130 - 4125 - 4120 - 4110 - 4100 - ??? 🔹 Buy Setup (Reaction Zone): Entry 1: 4,052 – 4,054 (Fibo 0.618 Confluence) Stop Loss: 4,044 Take Profit: 4056 - 4060 - 4065 - 4070 - 4080 - 4090 - ??? Summary: Gold’s sharp drop after a new ATH signals a short-term correction phase while the broader bullish trend stays intact. A pullback toward 4,052 or even 4,000 could attract buy-side liquidity before any recovery. Keep an eye on 4,135 for a potential retest before continuation. 📊 What’s your view — is this just a healthy retracement or the start of a deeper correction? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for precise intraday setups and structure-based analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Liquidity Cleared, Gold Reloads for the Next Breakout🔍 Market Context This morning, gold price (XAU/USD) experienced a classic liquidity sweep : The price surpassed the previous high of 4058 , touched 4060 , wicked strongly , and short-term corrected – a textbook “liquidity hunt” by major funds. After this drop, the price recovered back to the old ATH zone (4055 – 4060) . This indicates that short-term sellers have weakened , and buyers are reclaiming the crucial structure zone . Therefore, selling strategy is no longer optimal , instead, the market is preparing for a re-accumulation – next breakout. 💎 Technical Analysis Current ATH: 4060 USD Previous High: 4058 USD This morning's liquidity sweep “cleared out” liquidity above, paving the way for a re-accumulation phase before the next rise. The zone 4048 – 4052 is acting as a retest zone – if it holds, this could be the “launchpad” for a breakout to higher price zones. Overall Structure: still bullish , no signs of medium-term reversal. ⚙️ Key Price Zones Retest Zone: 4048 – 4052 → support zone after the sweep, where the price might bounce back. Breakout Zone: 4065 – 4070 → zone confirming buyers regain dominance. Extended Target: 4090 – 4100 USD. Invalidation Zone: below 4040 USD → if breached, the short-term bullish structure will weaken. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Buy Continuation Scenario – Buy with the main trend Wait for the price to retest the 4048 – 4052 zone , observe bullish candle reactions or confirmation signals (Engulfing, Rejection). Open a buy order upon confirmation of holding the support zone. Target: 4065 → 4090 USD. Stop Loss: below 4040 USD. ➡️ This is a trend-following scenario, with the highest probability when the market has completed the liquidity sweep and is re-accumulating. 2️⃣ Buy Breakout Scenario – Buy on confirmed breakout If the price breaks and closes above 4065 , it signals that major funds have returned. Open buy stop or limit retest breakout around 4065 – 4070. Extended Target: 4090 → 4100 USD. Stop Loss: below 4050 USD. ➡️ This scenario suits momentum traders, avoiding the risk of “fake breakout” by waiting for clear confirmation. ⚠️ Risk Management Do not sell against the trend at the ATH zone, as liquidity above has been taken. Maintain reasonable volume when trading around the peak zone. Prioritize buying when there is confirmation of the bullish structure holding the 4050 zone . 💬 Conclusion This morning's liquidity sweep has shaken out weak hands , while helping gold pave the way for the next rise . Currently, the price is re-accumulating around the old peak zone 4055 – 4060 , and if the zone 4048 – 4052 continues to hold, there is a high possibility that gold will break out to the 4090 – 4100 USD zone in the upcoming sessions. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Wait to buy at the support zone or buy when the price breaks above 4065. Avoid selling against the trend now – the risk is very high as major funds have shifted to the accumulation phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD: GOLD HITS NEW ATH! Buy or Sell Now?Gold (XAU/USD) is absolutely on fire, hitting a Fresh All-Time High (ATH) this morning! This massive breakout isn't random; it's a direct outcome of global risk factors lining up, making gold the ultimate safe haven: 🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trade War Reloaded: Trump's shocking 100% tariff threat on China exports has brought back major global uncertainty. Though he's softened his tone, the damage to sentiment is done, pushing money into gold. ⚠️ Geopolitical Heat: Warnings about sending Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine keep geopolitical tensions brewing, acting as a continuous tailwind for the metal. 🏛️ US Shutdown Drama: The ongoing US government funding deadlock is a big worry, further driving flight-to-safety flows. ✂️ Fed Rate Cut Confidence: High probability of Fed rate cuts in Oct/Dec (96%/87%) provides strong support, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Structure is Full-On BULLISH! The price action today is textbook, showing exactly how Smart Money operates: Liquidity Sweep & FVG: Price first wicked sharply below 4000 for a classic Liquidity Sweep—hunting weak hands' Stop-Losses—and created a temporary Fair Value Gap (FVG), before reversing with massive momentum. Structural Break (BOS & MSS): This aggressive move resulted in a clean Break of Structure (BOS) above the old ATH at 405x, confirming a major Market Structure Shift (MSS). The trend is now unequivocally BULLISH. Trading Plan - The Right Way: Priority: Stick with BUY positions! The bias remains bullish as long as price holds above the Order Block (OB) support at 405x. This is the key level. Big Warning: Don't try to short the top (sell dò đỉnh)! The risk of getting caught in a liquidity grab or price trap at these highs is extremely high. Stay away from counter-trend moves. Sell Scenario (Only if): We only consider a short-term SELL if there's a strong, confirmed candle close below 405x. In that case, we might target a minor pullback to 4000 for profit booking, but the main goal remains to BUY on dips. 👉 Bottom Line: Fundamentals and technicals are singing the same tune. 405x is the line in the sand. Trade carefully, manage your stop-loss, and always do your own research (DYOR). #GOLD #XAUUSD #ATH #MarketUpdate #TradeWar #FED #SmartMoney #ICT #TechnicalAnalysis #SafeHaven #DYOR
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – Safe-Haven Demand Keeps Gold StrongMarket Overview: Gold stays firm as fresh US–China trade tensions and ongoing geopolitical concerns push investors toward safe assets. Expectations of another Fed rate cut are putting pressure on the USD, giving extra strength to gold. Even though short-term indicators show some overbought signs, overall sentiment still favours the bulls. Near-Term Outlook: As long as price remains inside the rising channel, we expect a possible move toward the 4,090–4,100 liquidity zone. A rejection from 4,092–4,095 could lead to a short-term pullback before continuation. Important Levels: Liquidity Buy Zone 1: 4,039 – 4,037 Liquidity Buy Zone 2: 4,017 – 4,015 Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,092 – 4,095 Support: 4,010 – 4,000 Resistance: 4,110 – 4,126 Trading Plan: 🔹 Buy Setup #1 Entry: 4,039 – 4,037 Stop Loss: 4,032 Targets: 4,044 → 4,048 → 4,052 → 4,056 → 4,060 → 4,070 🔹 Buy Setup #2 Entry: 4,017 – 4,015 Stop Loss: 4,010 Targets: 4,022 → 4,026 → 4,030 → 4,040 → 4,050 → 4,060 🔹 Sell Setup (Scalp Opportunity) Entry: 4,092 – 4,095 Stop Loss: 4,100 Targets: 4,090 → 4,085 → 4,080 → 4,070 → 4,060 Summary: Bias stays bullish while gold holds above 4,015 – 4,020. Safe-haven demand and softer USD outlook continue to support the upside move. Look out for a liquidity sweep around 4,092 before further continuation upward. 📊 What do you think — will gold break higher or reject from 4,090? 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily market structure updates and precise trade plans. 🟣 Chart: XAUUSD H1 – Smart Money Flow structure highlighting liquidity areas and OB zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD / GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 12.10.25The 1H structure is showing a clean breakout and retest, indicating strong bullish continuation. ✅ Technical Breakdown: Price broke above the resistance zone and retested the breakout level, confirming support at $4,007–$4,012. Fibonacci 0.618 Golden Ratio aligned with the support adds confluence for a long setup. An upward trendline is being respected, signaling controlled bullish structure. A fair value gap remains unfilled below, but since it’s in the order block zone, it’s less likely to break for a sell. Strong bullish momentum candles indicate buyers in control. 🎯 Targets: TP1: $4,030 (Resistance R1) TP2: $4,050 (Resistance R2 / ATH Zone) 🛡️ Invalidation: A clean break below $3,996 (order block zone) would weaken this bullish projection. 📈 Summary: Entry: $4,007–$4,012 zone after retest TP1: $4,030 TP2: $4,050 SL: Below $3,996 Bias: Bullish Timeframe: 1H ⚠️ Always use proper risk management and follow the trend structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
1
XAUUSD – Breakdown After Ceasefire & Fed Comments📉 Market Overview Gold (XAUUSD) dropped over 2%, sliding from $4,012/oz to $3,945/oz, marking a sharp $67 decline overnight. The selloff came as two key catalysts hit the market: 🕊 Israel–Hamas ceasefire agreement cooled down geopolitical tensions. 💬 Fed’s Barr pushed back against October rate cuts, sending USD higher and pressuring gold. Despite the drop, price action suggests a temporary corrective phase, with gold now stabilising near a short-term support zone. 📊 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View) Gold has confirmed a Head & Shoulders (H&S) breakdown pattern, with a neckline retest around $4,014 – $4,033 acting as resistance. After the breakdown, price rebounded slightly but continues to trade below the structure, showing that bears remain in control short-term. The short-term support zone sits around $3,945, and if broken, could accelerate the decline towards $3,912 – $3,885, aligning with deeper liquidity areas. 🔑 Key Zones to Watch Resistance (Breakdown Zone): 4,014 – 4,033 Support (Short-term): 3,945 – 3,912 Liquidity/Buy Zone: 3,885 – 3,878 💡 MMFLOW Trading Scenarios 🔵 BUY SCALP Zone: 3,912 – 3,910 🔴 Stop Loss: 3,905 ✅ Take Profit: 3,916 – 3,920 – 3,925 – 3,930 – 3,940 – 3,950 – ??? Trading View: The market is still digesting recent fundamentals; volatility remains high. A short-term rebound from 3,910 is possible as liquidity builds up near this demand zone. However, unless price reclaims 4,014, any bounce may only be corrective before further downside continuation. 🧭 MMFLOW Insight Even though gold faces bearish momentum, macro risks still support a long-term bullish narrative: U.S. government shutdown risks remain unresolved. Fed may turn dovish later in Q4 if labour data weakens. Liquidity gaps below $3,900 could attract smart money accumulation zones. ⚠️ Trading Notes ✅ Always set Stop Loss – NFP-style volatility can occur post-Fed comments. ✅ Avoid chasing after breakdown candles. Wait for pullback entries at key levels. ✅ Be patient — the best setups form when liquidity is fully absorbed. 📍 Summary Gold continues to trade under pressure after geopolitical easing and hawkish Fed tones. Watch for price action around $3,910 – $3,945; this range will likely define the next major impulse. Stay alert — once liquidity clears, MMFlow will be watching for smart-money reentry signals from key OB/CP zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold (XAU/USD) Rebound Setup – Support Holding Strong!Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of bullish strength after testing the $4,000–$3,970 support zone, where buyers are stepping back in. The recent consolidation above support suggests a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend. The setup highlights: Support Zone: Around $3,970 – $4,000, acting as a key accumulation area. Bullish Trigger: A breakout above minor resistance could drive momentum higher. Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $4,101 🎯 Target 2: $4,150 🎯 Target 3: $4,200 Stop Loss: Below $3,970 to protect against a downside breakout. 📈 Outlook: As long as price sustains above support, Gold remains bullish, aiming for a breakout towards $4,150 and $4,200 levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
2
XAUUSD| Unstoppable Uptrend, Gold Benefits from Fed & ETF Inflow📊 Market Context Gold continues to maintain its upward trend amidst the political and economic instability in the US. The US government has entered its second week of shutdown with no signs of reaching an agreement, raising further concerns about the impact on economic performance. Simultaneously, the Fed's entry into a monetary easing cycle since September, with expectations of further 25-point rate cuts in October and December, is driving strong buying momentum in gold. Not just investors, but global central banks are also continuing to accumulate gold, adding 15 tonnes to reserves, indicating a gradual shift away from US public debt. All these factors combined continue to reinforce a sustainable upward trend, opening up opportunities for strategic BUY moves. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Prices remain within the upward channel, continuously retesting and bouncing off support zones. Buy Scalp Zone 4004–4002: a quick reaction zone in the short term. Main Buy Zone 3986–3984: key support, combined with FVG. Target Resistance: 4068–4082 (Liquidity Zone). 📈 Trading Plan ✅ BUY SCALP: 4004–4002 SL: 3996 TP: 4008 - 4012 - 4016 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ???? ✅ BUY ZONE: 3986–3984 SL: 3980 TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4010 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ???? ⚠️ Risk Management Note The 4000 level is a psychological resistance – prone to liquidity sweeps. Prioritise waiting for clear price action signals at BUY zones. Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may increase with political news & Fed impacts on market sentiment. ✅ Summary Gold's uptrend remains solid thanks to political instability, Fed easing, record ETF inflows, and central banks continuing to hoard gold. Strategy prioritises BUY at 4004–4002 and 3986–3984 with targets aiming at 4068–4082.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD UPDATE – Bulls Defend $4,000 Ahead of Powell’s SpeechGold continues to hold firm above the key $4,000 psychological level, even after a sharp correction from the all-time high near $4,059. The market’s focus now shifts to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, which could set the tone for the next directional move. Despite the recent dip, the overall structure remains bullish, and the FiboMatrix setup still signals that buyers are not out of the game yet. Technical Structure (H1 – FiboMatrix View) Support Zone (BUY Setup): 4010 – 4012 → Retest of breakout trendline + Fibo 0.618 reaction zone. Strong intraday base where liquidity may reload for another bullish leg. Reaction Buy Zone: 402x → Potential confirmation area if price reacts positively. Resistance Zone (ATH): 4060 → Previous intraday top, acting as the first major barrier before retesting 408x. SELL Reaction Zone: 4084 – 4086 → Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 expansion zone, potential scalp short zone with tight stop above 4090. 🎯 Trading Plan (Francis Strategy) ✅ BUY Setup: Entry: 4010 – 402x (wait for confirmation). TP1: 4060 TP2: 4084 SL: Below 3996 ⚠️ SELL Setup (Short-term scalp): Entry: 4084 – 4086 (if rejection forms). Target: 4040 → 4020 SL: Above 4096 🔑 Francis Outlook Gold’s short-term correction looks more like a controlled retracement than a trend reversal. As long as the price holds above the $4,000 handle, the bullish bias stays intact. 👉 Expect potential consolidation before Powell’s remarks, followed by a sharp reaction depending on the tone of his speech. A clean breakout above 4060 – 4086 will open the path toward $4,100+ and new ATH targets. 🚀 Trend Bias: Bullish above 4010 – Buy the Dip, Sell only at Fibo extremes with confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
$4070 Gold: New Record! Recent Dip Was a Bada Sell Trap?Hello, traders! Gold just set a New Record at $4,070.5/oz (Futures). Kya momentum hai! This rally, up 54% YTD, is fueled by two main engines, boss: 1) Confirmed Fed rate cuts (FOMC Minutes pakka it) and 2) Super-strong safe-haven demand due to global gadbadi (US Shutdown, conflict, etc.). Technical Analysis & BUY Dips Strategy Confirmed That sharp pullback from $405x to $4000 (the Fib 0.5 zone) made many people panic-sell. But look closely: buyers overpowered them and broke $402x resistance. Technical Conclusion: That dip was clearly a Sell Trap and just a Consolidation phase. The primary bias is confirmed: BUY on Dips is the absolute priority. Risk ko control karo. Risk Warning: If $4000 is cleanly broken with heavy volume, then long positions will be in trouble. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $4049, $4057, $4064, $4074, $4084, $4094 Support: $4021, $4009, $3992, $3978 Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at Support) BUY SCALP: $4019 - $4017 SL: $4013 TPs: $4023, $4028, $4033, $4038 BUY ZONE (Strong Demand): $3992 - $3990 SL: $3982 TPs: $4000, $4010, $4020, $4030, $4040 SELL SCALP: $4056 - $4058 SL: $4062 TPs: $4053, $4048, $4043, $4038 SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4084 - $4086 SL: $4094 TPs: $4076, $4066, $4056, $4046, $4036 Will this momentum take us past $4100 this week? Chalo, dekhte hain! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #4070USD #ATH #Fed #BUYDIPS #SellTrap #TradingView #PaisaBanega
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Bulls Reloading After a Healthy Pullback | Next Target: 4090+📊 Market Context After a powerful bullish rally that pushed gold to record highs, XAUUSD retraced about 1% on Thursday as traders took profit from the recent surge. However, this move appears to be a technical correction, not a trend reversal — as indicators have shown overbought conditions for several sessions. Despite this short-term pullback, the long-term uptrend remains intact. Gold is up more than 50% year-to-date, driven by: 🌍 Ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions, 💰 The Federal Reserve’s monetary easing cycle, 🏦 Record central bank gold accumulation, ⚔️ Rising global uncertainty, fueling strong safe-haven demand. Overall, this retracement could be an ideal setup for BUY re-entries, as bulls look to reload positions toward the 4090–4100 liquidity zone. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price remains inside the medium-term bullish channel, showing strong reactions around 4000–3980 support. 4010–4008 acts as a quick scalp zone for short-term entries. 3984–3982 serves as a key structural support and liquidity reaction area. 4090–4092 (Liquidity Sell Zone) stands as the major resistance — potential liquidity trap area. 📈 Trading Plan ✅ BUY SCALP: 4010–4008 SL: 4002 TP: 4015 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - 4050 - ???? ✅ BUY ZONE: 3984–3982 SL: 3978 TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4005 - 4010 - 4020 - ???? ✅ SELL ZONE: 4090–4092 SL: 4098 TP: 4085 - 4080 - 4070 - 4060 - 4050 - ???? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes The 4000 level remains a strong psychological and structural support — only enter long positions with confirmed price action signals. Be cautious around 4090–4100, where liquidity sweeps and false breakouts are likely. Adjust position size properly to manage volatility during high-impact news or geopolitical updates. ✅ Summary Gold is undergoing a healthy correction phase within its broader uptrend. The strategy remains BUY-focused at 4010–4008 and 3984–3982, with upside targets toward 4060–4090, and a potential short-term SELL opportunity near 4090–4092 if rejection signals appear. 💡 MMFLOW TRADING – Trade with market structure, follow liquidity, and ride the BIGWIN setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Targeting $4,100! Where to Buy Before the FOMC Minutes?Hello TradingView community! 🚀 Gold (XAU/USD) continues to demonstrate incredible strength, consistently breaking past old highs and forming a solid upward price channel. This robust uptrend is not only technically reinforced but also awaits a potential catalyst from today's significant fundamental news. In this analysis, we will combine two crucial perspectives: an in-depth look at the technical charts to identify optimal entry points, and an examination of the key fundamental event that could significantly impact Gold prices during the US session. 1. Fundamental Perspective: All Eyes on the FOMC Minutes Today's market highlight, Wednesday, October 8, is the release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes at 2:00 PM ET Why is this important? This document provides a detailed record of the latest policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED) in September. Traders will scrutinise the text for any hints about the future interest rate path. Potential scenarios: "Dovish" Tone: If the minutes reveal FED officials' concerns about economic growth and the possibility of further rate cuts, the US Dollar might weaken. This would create a strong push for Gold (XAU/USD), potentially driving the next price surge. "Hawkish" Tone: If the minutes emphasise that inflation remains a concern and the FED is not in a hurry to cut rates, the USD might see a short-term recovery, causing Gold to have a corrective dip. This event is a top catalyst for volatility. Our strategy is to prepare technical zones to capitalise on the market's reaction. 2. Technical Analysis: Detailed Trading Plan The bullish structure on the 2H timeframe is undeniable. Prices are creating a series of higher highs, confirmed by each "BoS" (Break of Structure), signalling that the Buyers are in full control. Here are the key zones to watch: Potential Buy Zones (Key Points): FVG Zone ($4,004): The nearest support is this Fair Value Gap, an area of price imbalance that the market often seeks to fill. Prices may retest this area before or during the news release. "Buy Break BoS" Zone ($3,981): This is the nearest swing high that has been broken. Now it has turned from resistance into a crucial support level. This zone offers a solid entry point if prices correct slightly deeper. "Bullish Order Block" Zone ($3,951): This is the last major "stronghold" of the Buyers—a powerful buy order block that initiated the latest push wave. This is an ideal area to look for buy orders if the market experiences a strong liquidity sweep downwards. Upside Targets: Short-term Target (Scalping): $4,070 - This level coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Main Target: "Liquidity Sell" Zone at $4,103. This is a large "liquidity pool" where the Sellers' stop-loss orders are likely concentrated. Smart money often drives prices to such areas. Strategy Summary Main Trend: Bullish. Core Strategy: Look for "Buy the dip" opportunities at the key support zones mentioned. Critical Timing: Be cautious around the FOMC Minutes release (18:00 UTC). Volatility can be high, and the market may whip in both directions to sweep stop-losses before following the main trend. Pro Tip: Patience is key. Waiting for prices to pull back to a confirmed support zone will provide a much better Risk/Reward ratio than chasing the market at the top. WHAT'S YOUR VIEW? How do you think Gold will react to today's FOMC minutes? And where are you looking to place your buy orders—at the FVG zone $4,004, the BoS level $3,981, or are you patiently waiting for the Order Block $3,951? Share your views in the comments below! 👇 Don't forget to leave a Like 👍 and Follow the channel for the latest XAU/USD analysis updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD GOLD IS HEADING TOWARDS 7000$ Cycle started when gold is around 1450$ some years ago. 1st cycle - 1000$ to 2000$ 2nd cycle - 2000$ to 3000$ 3rd cycle - 3000$ to 4000$ 4th cycle - 4000$ to 7000$ 5th cycle - 7000$ to 12000$ Every impulse has corrective phase according to price theory. you will see minor & major correction , profit bookings between level's to level's. oppurtunity will arise always so don't be greedy. This analysis based on fundamental factor's. Technically it will correct after every impulses. This analysis based on daily timeframe and it is not suitable for day trader , intraday or scalper. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by martiantrader9
$4000: New Record! Correction Warning & FVG Strategy. Hello, traders! Gold has officially set a New Record by breaching the $4,000/oz mark, hitting a peak of $4,014.60/oz. Kya baat hai! Although there was an immediate pullback after hitting this big psychological level, the rally is still getting solid support from: Fundamentals & Market Conflict Main Drivers: The market is pakka (sure) about two more Fed rate cuts this year (FOMC Minutes tonight are a big deal), coupled with central bank diversification and record ETF inflows ($64B) due to global gadbadi (instability) and inflation. Reversal Warning: Bank of America (BoA), a big institution boss, is warning that Gold is facing "trend exhaustion," which could lead to a correction in Q4. Dhyan rakhna! Technical Analysis & Clear Strategy Direction The price got rejected straight at $4000, causing a small pullback. However, the overall trend is super strong. The safest strategy is to wait patiently for a BUY at specific support zones. Priority Bias: BUY (Long) on Dips towards FVG (Fair Value Gap) zones to ride the main trend's momentum. Avoid unnecessary SELL attempts; if you must, use tight SL. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $4044, $4054, $4064 Support: $4018, $3999, $3986 Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY on Dips) BUY ZONE (FVG): $3994 - $3992 SL: $3984 TPs: $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032, $4042 SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4065 - $4067 SL: $4075 TPs: $4057, $4047, $4037, $4027, $4017 Do you trust BoA's warning, or do you think the FOMC Minutes will push us past $4050? Tell me your plan! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #4000USD #ATH #Fed #FOMC #TradingView #BUYDIPS #GoldFever
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
"Gold 'Buy the Dip' Opportunity Targeting the $4,000 Level"Technical Analysis This is a classic bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the key elements: Prevailing Trend: The chart shows a strong bullish impulse wave, indicated by the series of large green candles. This establishes the short-term trend as upward. Corrective Pullback: After reaching a local high (around $3,980), the price is currently in a corrective phase, pulling back towards a potential support level. This is normal and healthy price action in an uptrend. Support Zone: The red rectangle you've highlighted from approximately $3,950.00 to $3,956.00 is a well-defined area of potential support. This zone represents a previous level of consolidation and the base of the last major push upwards, making it a likely area for buyers to step back in. Trade Idea: The projected path you have drawn suggests an expectation that the price will dip into this support zone, find buying pressure, and then continue its upward trajectory. This is often referred to as a "buy the dip" strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27