Gold trading strategy January 10, NF newsWhere will the gold trading strategy go for the first NONFARM news of the year ???
⚫ Gold Prices Stable with Growth Prospects
Spot gold holds steady at $2,670.16 per ounce, expected to rise over 1% this week, marking its best week since November 2024.
⚫ Focus on Nonfarm Data
December 2024 Nonfarm report is projected to show an increase of 160,000 jobs, lower than the 227,000 gain in November, which may impact the Fed's interest rate policy.
⚫ Factors Supporting Gold
Increased demand for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainties.
President-elect Trump’s policies, expected to raise inflation through tariffs and protectionist measures.
⚫ Fed Policy Outlook
Kansas Fed President Esther George opposes further rate cuts, citing the U.S. economy's recovery and inflation remaining above the 2% target.
The market is now awaiting the official U.S. jobs report for more clarity on the Fed's policy trajectory.
At the latest Fed meeting, policymakers agreed that inflation is likely to continue slowing this year but noted persistent risks of price pressures due to potential impacts from President-elect Donald Trump’s policies, according to meeting minutes.
Mr. Trump will assume office on January 20, 2025. The proposed tariffs and protectionist policies are expected to drive up inflation.
Gold is viewed as a hedge against inflation, but high interest rates reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets.
Fundamental Analysis
The news continues to support gold's growth outlook. Despite the strong performance of the USD (DXY), gold has shown resilience, maintaining its upward trend.
Technical Analysis
In recent days, gold has been stable within upward trend channels, signaling sustainable momentum in the current price range. Observing the candlestick patterns reveals that buyers are strongly dominating, pushing the price towards critical resistance levels.
Today’s Nonfarm Payrolls report is particularly crucial as the first significant economic data release of the year. Global investors are expected to closely watch this report, as it could significantly influence market movements for the month or even longer. Price fluctuations are likely to be substantial, with anticipated ranges of 40-50 points compared to previous Nonfarm reports. Stay cautious.
Trading Strategy for Asian/European Sessions
BUY SCALP: 2662 - 2660
SL: 2656
TP: 2668 - 2672 - 2676 - 2680
BUY ZONE: 2646 - 2644
SL: 2640
TP: 2650 - 2654 - 2660 - ????
SELL SCALP: 2678 - 2680
SL: 2683
TP: 2674 - 2670 - 2668
SELL SCALP: 2690 - 2692
SL: 2696
TP: 2684 - 2682 - 2680 - 2676
SELL ZONE: 2704 - 2706
SL: 2710
TP: 2700 - 2696 - 2692 - 2888
As mentioned, today is expected to see significant volatility due to the critical Nonfarm report and Friday's weekly candle close. Stay cautious, follow your TP/SL strictly, and manage your account carefully.
GOOD LUCK!
Xauusdsignals
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 31.12.24Reason for Bullish
XAUUSD is a symbol used in Forex trading to indicate the number of US dollars needed to buy one ounce of gold. Gold was used to determine the value of a country's currency. Nowadays, gold is still considered a very valuable asset and is used by traders as an investment opportunity.
Gold trading strategy before Christmas 2024Global Gold Prices Drop Ahead of Christmas Holiday
Gold prices edged lower during Monday's subdued holiday trading session, pressured by the strengthening US dollar and rising US Treasury yields, as investors awaited clearer signals on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction for 2025.
At the close of trading on December 23, spot gold fell by 0.4% to $2,611.17 per ounce, while gold futures dropped by 0.6% to $2,628.20 per ounce.
The US dollar index advanced by 0.4%, hovering around a two-year high, reducing gold's appeal for holders of other currencies. Meanwhile, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note also climbed.
Despite the Fed cutting interest rates by 0.25% last week, signals of a less aggressive rate reduction in 2025 pushed gold prices to their lowest levels since mid-November 2024 last week.
While gold typically benefits from a low-interest-rate environment, investors are adjusting their expectations for the upcoming year.
As noted above, following the release of disappointing US consumer confidence data at 10:00 PM yesterday, consumer sentiment remains gloomy. This sentiment could influence the Fed's policy direction, contributing to a modest dip in gold prices post-news.
For today, the strategy is to focus on buying at key resistance levels of 20 - 27 - 33, observing price reactions in these zones to scalp for short-term sell opportunities. Conversely, if prices retrace below these levels and rebound, monitor zones (10-08) for potential buy entries. As today marks the beginning of the Christmas holiday, market movements are expected to be narrow and slow, with price ranges likely between 10-15 points. Careful placement of orders at optimal levels is advised.
+ SELL ZONE: 2632 - 2634
Stop Loss (SL): 2638
Take Profit (TP): 2620 - 2614
+ BUY ZONE: 2603 - 2601
Stop Loss (SL): 2596
Take Profit (TP): 2610 - 2614
Gold trading strategy at the beginning of week 2. December 23A Record-Breaking Year for Gold
It can be said that in 2024, gold has been the most attractive investment channel, continuously breaking new records both domestically and internationally. Amid geopolitical tensions and forecasts about the social and economic situation, the price of gold is expected to continue rising in 2025.
First, there is the increasing instability in the global geopolitical landscape, with two ongoing conflicts in Europe and the Middle East, which have driven a surge in gold as a safe-haven asset.
The growing risks of global trade conflicts have also led central banks in emerging markets and Asia to follow the lead of central banks in developed markets, allocating more of their reserves into gold.
The accumulation of gold by central banks worldwide is seen as a shield against external shocks, such as potential trade wars from the second term of President Donald Trump and geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East. Eastern European countries are trying to fill their gold reserves.
Throughout the year, gold has broken numerous records: 2,500 USD/oz, 2,600 USD/oz, 2,700 USD/oz, and reached a new peak of 2,826.2 USD/oz on October 30. As of December 20, the global gold price is trading around 2,602 USD/oz, up over 26% from the beginning of the year.
Goldman Sachs forecasts that the price of gold could hit 3,000 USD/oz by the end of 2025. The investment bank has also listed gold as one of the top commodities for 2025, with the policies of the newly elected President Donald Trump potentially driving further price increases.
In terms of technical analysis, in the short and medium term, a bearish structure has been confirmed. The hope is that the downtrend will continue into the next week, but there is also an expectation for prices to rise slightly at the beginning of the week in order to find better selling positions.
Note that next week will include Christmas and New Year holidays, so the market may not move too much.
Currently, gold is trading within the range of 2,663 - 2,582. A break above or below this range will determine the next levels of resistance and support.
For now, keep an eye on the price range of (2,632 - 2,636) and the range (2,600 - 2,604). We will wait for the gap to close before making safer trades toward the end of the year.
Trading Plan
Sell Zone: 2,650 - 2,652
SL: 2,656
TP: ????
Buy Zone: 2,601 - 2,603
SL: 2,595
TP: ????
Pay attention to the trading ranges during the Asian and European sessions. We will update new price ranges for the U.S. session to assist traders. Note that the market is less liquid toward the end of the year, which could lead to price manipulation candles, so always be cautious with stop losses for each trading signal.
GOOD LUCK!
Gold trading strategy on December 19 after the FOMC newsFederal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that policymakers want to see further progress on inflation reduction before considering any future interest rate cuts.
Higher interest rates reduce the appeal of assets that do not yield returns. As a result, the U.S. Dollar Index surged more than 1%, reaching its highest level in two years, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. Meanwhile, the yield on the 10-year U.S.
Treasury bond hit its highest level in four weeks. Investors are now awaiting upcoming GDP and inflation data from the U.S., which are set to be released this week. These two key indicators could shape expectations for future monetary policy.
Although the Federal Reserve reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, gold still declined sharply due to a lowered outlook for future rate cuts next year, with only two cuts expected instead of the previously forecasted four. Currently, the CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 10% chance of the Fed cutting rates further in January.
In general, while the Fed did implement a rate cut in this meeting, it also signaled that the pace of rate cuts could slow, and future rate decisions will depend on upcoming economic data.
With the indication of a pause in rate cuts and fewer expected reductions next year, it is likely that gold will continue to face downward pressure. Currently, with a slight recovery in early Asian trading, it presents an opportunity to look for a good price to sell.
+ Scalping strategy
- Buy Scalp: 2606 - 2604
- Stop Lost: 2600
- Take Profit : 2610
- Sell Scalp : 2618 - 2620
- Stop Lost : 2624
- Take Profit : 2614
+ Trading Plan
- Sell Zone : 2633 - 2636
- Stop Lost : 2638
- Take Profit : ?????
- Buy Zone : 2593 - 2591
- Stop Lost : 2588
- Take Profit : ?????
- Buy Zone : 2585 - 2583
- Stop Lost : 2580
- Take Profit : ?????
Although the outlook for interest rate cuts has diminished, and the Fed may pause further rate reductions, gold could still face downward pressure. However, in the long term, the three rate cuts by the Fed have made gold cheaper, and the "opportunity cost" of holding gold has significantly decreased compared to the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. As a result, gold remains relatively cheap compared to the dollar. Therefore, the overall trend for gold is likely to remain upward, with any declines being short-term and driven by temporary hawkish views within the Fed. Before increasing again, gold may drop another 50-70 price, or even 100 price.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTIONA "gold sell-side movement" refers to a situation in the gold market where there is a significant selling pressure, meaning more investors are looking to sell their gold holdings than buy, causing the price of gold to decline; essentially, the "sell side" of the market is driving the price downward due to increased selling activity.
#XAUUSD/H4 Gold: Will it continue to recover or adjust?Market outlook for the European-American trading session on November 19, 2024:
Yesterday's trading session witnessed a strong recovery in gold prices. However, the possibility of gold continuing to rise in the long term remains uncertain. The likelihood of gold still being in a short-term correction trend is very high.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Key price levels to pay attention to:
🔴SELL zone: 2625-2630, 2640-2645, and 2660-2665.
🔴BUY zone: 2598-2603, 2578-2583, and 2553-2558.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2641 - 2643
SL 2646
TP 2638 - 2630 - 2620 - 2600.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2665 - 2667
SL 2670
TP 2662 - 2650 - 2630 - 2600.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2597 - 2599
SL 2594
TP 2602 - 2610 - 2620 - 2640.
#XAUUSDContinue to increase or maintain the adjustment momentum.Market analysis for XAUUSD trading on November 8, 2024:
The trading session on Thursday rebounded strongly after a previous drop of 100 points. However, the possibility of gold prices still adjusting downward remains as Mr. Donald Trump is elected and implements new policies. The USD may rise significantly, putting pressure on gold prices to decrease.
Today's trading trend: BUY scalp (hold SELL).
Key price levels to watch:
SELL zone: 2718 - 2725 and 2743 - 2748.
BUY zone: 2676 - 2681, 2664 - 2669, and 2632 - 2637.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2723 - 2725
SL 2728
TP 2720 - 2710 - 2700 - 2680 - 2640
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2743 - 2745
SL 2748
TP 2740 - 2730 - 2700 - 2640.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2635 - 2637
SL 2632
TP 2640 - 2650 - 2660 - 2670.
#XAUUSDDeep adjustment rhythm, awaiting the upcoming opportunityMarket outlook for Gold trading during the European-American session on November 1, 2024:
Yesterday saw a profit-taking adjustment that was anticipated. This adjustment will be quite strong, and we should wait for a good entry point to implement our upcoming hold strategy.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Key price levels to pay attention to:
SELL zone: 2760-2765 and 2770-2775.
BUY zone: 2725-2730, 2710-2715, and 2680-2685.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2660 - 2662
SL 2665
TP 2657 - 2650 - 2640 - 2630 -open
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2773 - 2775
SL 2778
TP 2770 - 2760 - 2750 - 2740 - open.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2711 - 2713
SL 2708
TP 2716 - 2720 - 2725 - 2730.
#XAUUSD Caution before ATH, where will the profit-taking occur?Market analysis for XAUUSD trading session in Europe - America on October 30, 2024:
The trading session yesterday and the Asian session today have continuously created all-time highs, with gold prices rising sharply towards the 2800 area. In the current trend, we can easily fall into a state of FOMO, making it difficult to find entry points for trades. Our current priority is to limit trading and prepare for an upcoming profit-taking phase.
Today's trading trend: BUY scalp.
Key price levels to pay attention to:
🔴BUY zone: 2763 - 2768, 2750 - 2755, 2735 - 2740, and 2715 - 2720.
🔴SELL zone: 2793 - 2798 and 2809 - 2814.
Recommended trades:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2764 - 2766
SL 2761
TP 2769 - 2775 - 2780 - 2785.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2752 - 2754
SL 2749
TP 2757 - 2762 - 2770 - 2785
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2793 - 2795
SL 2798
TP 2790 - 2780 - 2760 - 2750 - open.
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD BULLISH MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD BULLISH MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 19.009.24Reason for Sell
With the price reaching extreme levels, there may be a significant opportunity for sellers to capitalize on profit-taking and increased selling pressure. Traders may anticipate a decline as market sentiment shifts from bullish to bearish, especially if key resistance levels hold.
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 18.09.24old buyers regain control, as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains comfortably above the 50 level, having eased off from near the overbought territory.
The optimism prevails so long as they defend the one-and-a-half-month-old symmetrical triangle target now support at $2,560.
That said, the immediate resistance is seen at the record high of $2,590, above which the $2,600 level will be tested.
Acceptance above that level will call for a test of the $2,650 psychological barrier.
If the Fed disappoints the doves, Gold price could witness a fresh sell-off, which could challenge the August 20 high of $2,532.
Additional declines will threaten the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,522, below which the $2,500 mark will be on sellers’ radars.
CPI news: Will it reach a new peak or maintain a sideways range?Market analysis for XAUUSD trading on September 11, 2024:
The trading session on September 10, 2024, continued the upward trend of gold, with corrective movements unable to change the direction. However, the H4 timeframe is currently in a sideways range; the area between 2525 - 2531 remains very strong. It is highly likely that during the Asian session, this resistance zone will not be broken.
Today's trading trend is: BUY.
Key price areas to note:
BUY zone: 2500 - 2505 and 2510 - 2513.
SELL zone: 2525 - 2531 and 2538 - 2542.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 2510 - 2512
SL 2507
TP 2515 - 2520 - 2525 - 2530.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 2500 - 2502
SL 2497
TP 2505 - 2510 - 2515 - 2525.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 2525 - 2527
SL 2530
TP 2522 - 2517 - 2512 - 2505.
Wishing you all a successful trading day.😘😘😘😘😘😘😘😘😘
#XAUUSD/H1 Adjustment rhythm creates momentum, surpassing peaks.Analysis of XAUUSD gold trading trends for the European-American session on September 10, 2024:
As noted on September 9, 2024, gold prices have increased at the beginning of the week. However, the upward momentum does not appear strong; a deeper correction is needed to build momentum for a breakout. Current expectations may target the 246x or 247x area.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Key price levels to watch:
SELL zone: 2511 - 2513 and 2518 - 2522.
BUY zone: 2498 - 2501 and 2482 - 2486.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2511 - 2513
SL 2516
TP 2508 - 2500 - 2490 - 2475.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2519 - 2521
SL 2524
TP 2516 - 2510 - 2500 - 2475.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2471 - 2473
SL 2468
TP 2476 - 2485 - 2495 - 2565 - open.
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 10.09.24Reason for Bearish
Gold prices have continued to hit fresh highs in 2024 due to a wide range of factors — from escalating geopolitical risks and the interest rate outlook to budget deficit concerns, inflation hedging and central bank buying.
Gold’s blistering rally this year was partly fueled by expectations the Federal Reserve (Fed) would cut interest rates as many as three times in 2024, as stubborn inflation started to ease. But current projections suggest only one rate cut is penciled in for the remainder of 2024.
Traditionally, a weaker U.S. dollar and lower U.S. interest rates increase the appeal of non-yielding bullion. But a significant decoupling started to emerge in early 2022 and gold’s relationship with U.S. real yields has broken down even further this year.
“Gold’s resurgence has come earlier than expected, as it further decouples from real yields. We have been structurally bullish gold since the fourth quarter of 2022 and with gold prices surging past $2,400 in April, the rally has come earlier and has been much sharper than expected. It has been especially surprising given that it has coincided with Fed rate cuts being priced out and U.S. real yields moving higher due to stronger labor and inflation data in the U.S,” said Gregory Shearer, Head of Base and Precious Metals Strategy at J.P. Morgan.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 06.09.24The behavior of gold around the 20-Day line, along with the bull breakout of the triangle, the accompanying long-term bull trend breakout to new record highs, followed by a minor pullback that holds above key support, are all bullish technical signs. They point to an eventual continuation of the bull trend
#XAUCreate a virtual peak, drop deeply, or surpass the old peak?Gold XAUUSD Analysis for the European - American Session on September 5, 2024:
The gold price on September 4, 2024, experienced significant fluctuations, yet it remains consistent with the previous bottom zone of 247x. After confirming the sell-off, gold rebounded strongly. However, the current upward momentum is still insufficient; a buildup is needed in the 245x - 246x area, or even 244x.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Key price levels to watch:
SELL zone: 2512 - 2515, 2520 - 2524.
BUY zone: 2489 - 2494, 2477 - 2482, 2460 - 2466.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 2513 - 2515
SL 2518
TP 2510 - 2500 - 2480 - 2460.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 2524 - 2526
SL 2529
TP 2520 - 2510 - 2500 - 2460.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 2457 - 2460
SL 2454
TP 2464 - 2475 - 2490 - 2565.
XAUUSD 4H SELL PROJECTION 03.09.24Interest Rate Cuts and Economic Indicators
Two Federal Reserve policymakers voiced their opinion on Tuesday, stating it would be “reasonable” to expect three interest rate cuts in the U.S. within the year. This perspective comes despite a backdrop of robust economic indicators, which have led some investors to question the feasibility of such moves. The anticipation of interest rate adjustments is a critical factor influencing financial markets and investment strategies.