WHICH SIDE TO CHOOSE TODAY — BUY OR SELL?1. Quick Market Context
PPI, Core PPI, and Retail Sales came in weak → low inflation → Fed may cut rates in December.
Price has broken out of the H4 accumulation zone → BUY bias for today.
Tonight we have Unemployment Claims → if the data is higher → XAU tends to continue rising.
✅ MAIN STRATEGY – BUY ON DIP
📌 All setups follow SL 100 pips – TP 100 pips
🎯 BUY ZONE 1 (Primary Entry)
4130 – 4136
→ Open BUY.
→ Retest zone after breakout.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🎯 BUY ZONE 2 (Major Support Zone)
4108 – 4113
→ Strong BUY zone.
→ If broken → deeper correction possible.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🔵 POTENTIAL BUY ZONES (SWING ENTRIES)
Use for bottom-picking with flexible RR (1:1, 1:2, 1:3, 1:4...)
4100 – 4102
4092 – 4094
4088
4060 – 4066
→ For swing setups: SL/TP depends on larger RR (not fixed 10 pips).
❌ SECONDARY STRATEGY – SELL REACTION (COUNTERTREND / QUICK SCALP)
📌 SELL setups also follow SL 10 pips – TP 10 pips.
🎯 SELL ZONE 1 (Strongest Reaction Area)
4192 – 4195
→ Short SELL for quick reaction.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🎯 SELL ZONE 2
4200 – 4202
→ Psychological resistance → SELL scalp.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🎯 SELL ZONE (Fibo Extension)
4180 – 4187
→ Short-term SELL for a small pullback.
→ SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips
🔶 BI / INVALIDATION ZONES
If price breaks these levels → short-term trend shifts:
Break below 4108 → BUY invalid → potential drop to 4100 / 4092.
Break above 4202 → SELL invalid → upside extension toward 4215 – 4220.
⚠️ Risk Management
Manage your capital strictly, observe market reactions, and adjust accordingly.
This plan is for reference only, not financial advice.
Trade responsibly.
Have a good day, guys!
Xauusdtechnicalanalysis
XAU/USD TRADING PLAN 17/11/20251️⃣ CONTEXT
Last Friday saw a drop of ~200 points → confirming strong selling pressure.
No major news today, expected movement:
Wide sideways 4030–4120
Sell bias (priority to sell at high zones)
The major trend remains in a down channel, any rise is mainly for unloading.
2️⃣ GENERAL RULES
SL: 10 points for all trades
TP: 10 points for all trades
3️⃣ SELL ZONES (PRIMARY)
4120–4125
4146–4148
4160–4165
4182–4185
4210–4215 (strongest resistance of the day)
4️⃣ BUY ZONES (RETRACEMENT)
4056–4050
4033–4030
3996–3994
3966
3888
5️⃣ SUMMARY
Bias: Sideways → priority to Sell.
Sell at resistance zones, Buy at strong support zones.
SL/TP adjusted according to RR ratio 1:1, 1:2
Pay attention to appropriate volume
WILL GOLD CONTINUE TO RISE?I. BASIC CONTEXT
On November 10, 2025, gold prices surged after the market reacted positively to news of the U.S. government reopening.
The current market sentiment expects the FED to cut interest rates soon as recent economic data indicates a weakening U.S. economy.
Lower interest rates mean cheaper money, a weaker USD, thereby driving funds into safe-haven assets like gold.
The current rally is seen as a news-based pullback, potentially extending to key resistance areas before the market establishes a medium-term trend.
II. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Main timeframe: H2
Market structure:
Gold prices have broken out of the accumulation triangle pattern.
Formation of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern → signaling the correction phase has ended.
III. TRADING SCENARIOS
✅ Main scenario: WATCH TO BUY THE TREND (BUY THE DIP)
Trend expectation: Prices continue to extend the pullback to resistance areas 4180–4220.
Buy zones (BUY ZONES):
Zone 4105–4103 (near old H2 resistance → becoming new support).
Zone 4115–4116 (confirmation area post-breakout).
Deeper zone: 407x – 405x (Fib 0.618, trendline confluence area).
If prices retest the H2 structure: 4040 – 4035.
Buy stop:
When prices break through the 416x area with strong candle force → a buy stop can be placed to follow the breakout momentum.
Note to check the timing and candle force on H2/M30 to confirm momentum.
⚠️ Alternative scenario: WATCH TO SELL REACTION
If clear signs of weakness appear at resistance, consider a short SELL reaction at:
4180–4185
4205–4220
These are potential profit-taking areas for the current pullback wave.
IV. RISK MANAGEMENT
Stop Loss (SL): 10 points
Take Profit (TP): 10–12–13 points depending on setup
RR ratio: 1:1 – 1:1.3
Prioritize capital management according to the principle R ≤ 1% account/order.
Additionally, monitor news on Mr. Trump's actions during this period.
The U.S. government has reopened this week, so expect a fair amount of news, stay alert.
Trade effectively


