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High volatility post sell-off, market rebalancing.Market Context Gold has just experienced a sharp and aggressive sell-off on H1, breaking the short-term bullish structure after an extended impulsive rally. This type of move typically reflects liquidity distribution and capital rebalancing, common during periods of heightened macro-driven volatility. From a macro perspective: USD volatility remains elevated due to rate expectations and upcoming data Risk sentiment is unstable, with fast capital rotation Gold remains a safe-haven asset, but no longer trades in a one-directional flow ➡️ Current phase: high risk – avoid FOMO – trade only at key levels Structure & Price Action (H1) Previous bullish H1 structure has been invalidated Price is trading below the rising trendline → short-term trend weakness Current rebounds are technical pullbacks, not confirmed reversals Wide intraday range increases the probability of liquidity sweeps on both sides Key insight: 👉 This is a transition phase. The market needs time to rebuild structure before committing to a directional move. Trading Plan – MMF Style Scenario 1 – Sell the Pullback (Primary Bias) Look for SELL opportunities on corrective rallies into supply zones. SELL Zone 1: 5,020 – 5,060 (short-term supply + technical pullback) SELL Zone 2: 5,180 – 5,240 (major supply + confluence with broken trendline) ➡️ Execute SELLs only after clear rejection or failure to hold structure. Scenario 2 – Buy at Deep Liquidity Zones BUY setups are considered only at major demand areas with strong reaction. BUY Zone 1: 4,670 – 4,650 (H1 demand + prior reaction low) BUY Zone 2: 4,500 – 4,490 (deep liquidity absorption zone) ➡️ No blind bottom picking ➡️ Wait for clear reversal confirmation before entry Expectations & Targets Short term: choppy price action and high volatility Directional clarity comes only after consolidation Holding above 5,240 opens room for deeper recovery Losing 4,500 expands the corrective leg Invalidation SELL bias invalidated if price holds firmly above 5,240 BUY bias invalidated if H1 closes decisively below 4,490 Summary Gold is currently in a high-volatility transition phase, where patience and discipline matter more than frequency. The edge is not trading more, but waiting for price to reach key liquidity zones and react with clarity. ➡️ Trade less, trade smarter ➡️ Structure first, entries second
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – ATH now normal, $5,000 target.Market Context – When ATH Is No Longer a Spike Gold has entered a phase where every pullback is being aggressively bought, signaling strong institutional acceptance of higher prices. The market is no longer reacting emotionally to new highs — instead, ATHs are forming within structure, not as exhaustion. With: Persistent safe-haven demand A cautious Fed outlook Ongoing geopolitical and macro uncertainty ➡️ $5,000 is evolving from a psychological level into a realistic technical target. Structure & Price Action (H1) Bullish structure remains intact with Higher Highs and Higher Lows. Current declines are corrective pullbacks, not reversals — no bearish CHoCH confirmed. Price continues to respect the ascending channel and demand zones, confirming trend continuation. Key takeaway: 👉 No distribution signs at the top — ATHs are being defended by structure. Trading Plan – MMF Style Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY Focus on buying pullbacks, not chasing ATH: BUY Zone 1: 4,837 – 4,782 (Demand + trendline confluence) BUY Zone 2: 4,713 (Deeper IP / demand zone) ➡️ Execute BUYs only after clear bullish reactions. ➡️ Avoid FOMO at extended levels. Upside Targets (ATH Continuation): TP1: 4,919 TP2: 5,027 (Extension zone approaching the $5,000 milestone) Alternative Scenario If price holds above 4,919 without a meaningful pullback, wait for a break & retest before looking for continuation BUYs. Invalidation H1 close below 4,713 invalidates the bullish structure and requires a full reassessment. Summary Gold remains in ATH continuation mode. The optimal strategy is not trying to top-pick, but patiently buying pullbacks in alignment with higher-timeframe flow. At this stage, $5,000 is no longer a question of “if” — only “when.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
SONA (XAU/USD): BREAKOUT DONE! FED CUT KA FAYDA. KAB KHARIDEIN?📰 Fundamental Analysis: Bada Game Changer (MUST READ) Bhaiyon aur Behnon, fundamental factors are very strong for Gold (Sona)! Rate Cut Ki Umeed (Expectation): Market is expecting more than 60% probability for another Fed Rate Cut in December. Kam rates means Dollar (DXY) will be weak, aur Gold (non-yielding asset) becomes dhamakedaar (explosive/exciting)! Economy Thodi Slow Hai: US Consumer Sentiment slid to 50.3 (lowest since June 2022). Yeh data supports a 'Dovish' Fed, jisse Sona ko aur support milta hai (which gives more support to Gold). 💡 Is Hafta Ka Main Focus: Watch out for FOMC member speeches on Wednesday. Poora market unki taraf dekh raha hai (The entire market is looking towards them) for the next direction! 📊 Technical Analysis: Setup Ekdum Solid Hai! Gold ne ek powerful Breakout diya hai from the consolidation range (4,044 - 4,060). Matlab, trend ab pakka Bullish ho gaya hai! (Meaning, the trend is now definitely Bullish!) Entry Ka Wait Karo (Patience is key): DON'T JUMP IN NOW! Wait patiently for a pullback to the Demand Zone/CP (4,081 - 4,114). This is the best place to initiate a Long position. Targets (TP): If the CP zone holds, the targets are 4,155, 4,185, and the big level at 4,236. Stop-Loss (SL): Keep it safe below 4,044. 🎯 Strategy Summary: Fatafat Dekho! Strategy: Wait and Buy (Long) in the 4,081 - 4,114 area. Risk: Dhyaan rakhna (Be careful) if price closes below 4,044. #XAUUSD #Gold #Sona #FedRateCut #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #FOMC #IndianTraders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC