Key-Resistance Liquidity Grab → FVG ShortIdea:
Price has reached a key resistance zone — a common place where smart money or institutions may hunt liquidity (stop-losses above resistance before reversing).
There is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) / imbalance zone drawn below (green “POI / FVG” zone). In price-action trading, these FVGs often act like magnets: after a rapid move, price tends to retrace and “fill” the gap.
The plan: wait for a rejection at resistance (signaling liquidity grab is done), then short — target the FVG/POI zone where the market may come back to fill imbalance.
🎯 Trade Plan (Entry / Exit / Risk-Reward)
Parameter Plan
Entry After a bearish rejection (e.g. long upper-wick candle) near the resistance zone.
Stop-Loss Slightly above the resistance / recent swing high (to avoid being stopped by a false breakout).
Take-Profit (TP) Around / within the FVG / POI zone (green zone on chart) — where imbalance may be filled.
Risk–Reward Aim for at least 1 : 2 — ideally more, depending on how far the FVG is below resistance.
⚠️ What Makes This Setup Valid (and What to Watch)
FVGs mark market inefficiencies / liquidity gaps created by rapid moves, which often get revisited.
A reversal or rejection at a well-defined resistance zone gives signal that the liquidity hunt may be done and a move downward may begin.
But — if price breaks cleanly and strongly above the resistance (with momentum), the short trade becomes invalid.
Also, FVGs don’t always get filled. Entry should ideally wait for a clear rejection or confirmation, not just assume a fill.
Xauusdupdates
XAU/USD: Buy Gold at 4,217 or FVG 4,182!📊 Market Structure
Gold continues to maintain a strong upward structure after creating a series of BoS continuously from the 4,156 USD region.
This morning's H1 breakout pushed the price above the short-term peak, confirming that the BUY side is in full control.
The price is currently returning to retest the Demand intraday 4,217 – 4,210 USD area — this is the first support area where buyers can continue to push the upward wave.
If the pullback is deeper, gold may reach the FVG 4,182 – 4,172 USD area, coinciding with fibo 0.5 – 0.618 → the most attractive discount area in this wave.
The main trend remains bullish as long as the price stays above:
• 4,217 – Demand 1
• 4,182 – FVG Discount
• 4,156 – Key Demand Zone
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Demand Zone 1: 4,217 – 4,210
• FVG Discount: 4,182 – 4,172
• Strong Demand (structure holding bottom): 4,156
• Target Zones:
– 4,285
– 4,309
– 4,321
– 4,342
– 4,369 (liquidity above peak)
🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritize BUY
1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest Demand 4,217
When the price touches 4,217 – 4,210 with confirmation signals (long wick, H1 engulfing).
• Entry: 4,217 – 4,210
• SL: below 4,200
• TP1: 4,285
• TP2: 4,309
• TP3: 4,342
• TP4: 4,369
→ Quick setup – follow the momentum.
2️⃣ BUY 2 – Deep Pullback to FVG 4,182
In case the price shakes strongly before continuing to push the wave.
• Entry: 4,182 – 4,172
• SL: below 4,156
• TP: 4,217 → 4,285 → 4,342
→ This is the “best” price area to accumulate BUY in the session.
🧠 Vincent’s View
H1 shows a strong upward structure, clear momentum. The current adjustment is just a technical pullback before hitting the upper liquidity levels.
As long as gold stays above 4,182 – the trend remains bullish and the targets 4,285 – 4,342 are entirely feasible.
“Smart money buys the dip — not the hype.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 01/12/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
GOLD EXPLOSION: READY TO CONQUER NEW HEIGHTS?I. HOT NEWS 💥
Gold is experiencing its 4th consecutive monthly increase, reaching $4,192.78/oz (closing on 11/28) thanks to significant changes from the Fed.
Interest Rate Reversal: Recent statements from the Fed Governor have increased the probability of a rate cut in December 2025 to 89% (up from 50% last week).
Gold Connection: A low-interest-rate environment is a paradise for Gold, propelling it to become a safe-haven asset. The fundamental momentum is EXTREMELY STRONG.
II. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 📊
The price is approaching a critical supply zone. The current strategy is Buy on Dip with higher targets.
Short-term Resistance Target (PDI):
Price Range: $4,210 – $4,235
Strategy: Short-term resistance, requires a decisive Breakout to continue the upward momentum.
Ultimate Target (FVG):
Price Range: $4,260 – $4,330
Strategy: The next potential profit-taking target for Smart Money. Main Long target.
Strong Demand Zone (OB - Order Block):
Price Range: $4,046 – $4,064
Strategy: Strategic support (Demand Zone). A safe buying area if the price corrects deeply.
III. CONCLUSION & RISKS 🎯
Market Sentiment: Strongly BULLISH thanks to momentum from the Fed.
Focus: Monitor price action around $4,235. If surpassed, $4,330 is not far off.
Warning: Always manage risk (SL) tightly. Do not trade without Price Action confirmation!
#XAUUSD #GOLD #FOREX #FedDovish #RateCuts #SMC #OrderBlock #FVG #BullishTrend #TradingView
Resistance Rejection → Bearish Pullback Toward Support🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bearish Rejection from Major Resistance 🟥📉
🔍 Key Technical Insights
Price rejected the major resistance zone around 4,245 – 4,255
Rising Support Line has been broken → signals weakening bullish momentum ❌
Current structure favors a pullback toward demand area
Market seeking liquidity below recent swing lows 💰
🎯 Suggested Targets (with stickers)
Target Type Price Area Sticker
TP1 → Support Retest 4,210 – 4,215 🎯
TP2 → Demand Zone 4,195 – 4,205 📉💰
📌 TP1 is your high-probability target
📌 TP2 is for extended move if bearish momentum continues ⬇️
📌 Trade Setup Idea
📍 Sell Entry Zone:
➤ 4,238 – 4,245 (after failed breakout)
🎯 Take Profit:
➤ TP1: 4,215 🎯
➤ TP2: 4,200 📉💸
🧭 Overall Market Outlook
Factor Bias
Short-term Trend Bearish Pullback 🔻
Liquidity Downside targets in focus 💧
Resistance Reaction Strong rejection 🚫
TRADING PLAN XAUUSD 12/1/2025🔔 Hello everyone!
Let’s take a quick look at today’s market context and the trading plan for gold (XAUUSD).
📌 1. Market Context & Fundamentals
Gold has broken above the previous descending trendline and is maintaining a bullish structure on the H4 timeframe.
Bullish momentum is supported by several macro factors:
Expectations of a Fed rate cut in December.
Geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela, as well as rising friction between Japan and China, which increases safe-haven demand.
Price may move sideways/pin during the session before continuing its broader uptrend.
2. Main Trading Idea: BUY BIAS
✅ Key BUY Zones
4190 – 4194
4150 – 4153
4105 – 4110 (deeper zone)
Nearest zone: 4210 – 4215
➡️ Each entry targets approximately 100 pips
3. Short-term SELL Reaction Zones (Scalping Only)
4250 – 4256 (recent high)
4294 – 4295
4300
4312 – 4315
➡️ Sell setups are only for quick scalps, not for holding long. Target ~100 pips
4. Expected Price Scenarios
If price pulls back to support → look for BUY setups aligned with the trend.
If price reaches strong resistance → only scalp SELL setups, avoid long holding.
Overall trend remains bullish, so BUY remains the primary strategy.
Summary
H4 Trend: Bullish
Trading Bias: Mainly BUY – SELL only at key resistance for scalps
Macro & geopolitical environment is supportive for gold upside.
Gold Holds Strong Inside Trend Channel,Prepares for New ATH PushGold continues to maintain impressive bullish momentum, trading steadily within its rising trend channel. With structure firmly supported and macro sentiment leaning dovish, the market appears to be positioning for a new short-term ATH if liquidity aligns.
📊 Technical Outlook (M30 – MMF Flow)
Gold has respected the ascending channel perfectly, with each corrective leg finding buyers along channel midline and lower boundary.
The most recent impulse broke through the 4,23x region before pulling back into local liquidity.
Key Liquidity Zones
4,236 – 4,254 → Short-term supply reacting
4,218 – 4,220 → Minor demand zone
4,196 – 4,199 → Major BUY Zone (channel support + imbalance fill)
Market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above 4,196, the confluence level where:
✔️ Demand zone
✔️ Trend channel support
✔️ Fibonacci retracement
all align.
A clean bounce from this zone could trigger the next expansion leg.
🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Priority
Scenario 1 – Continuation Bounce
Entry (Buy): 4,218 – 4,220
SL: 4,210
TP: 4,254 → 4,272 → 4,281
Scenario 2 – Strong Liquidity Sweep BUY (Preferred for RR)
Entry (Buy): 4,196 – 4,199
SL: 4,188
TP: 4,236 → 4,254 → 4,281
SELL Trades
Only scalp sells at supply zones
(4,254–4,257 / 4,281–4,283)
→ Not a main strategy while trend remains bullish.
⚜️ MMF View
Gold is showing healthy bullish structure, with clear liquidity engineering and controlled corrections.
As long as price stays within the trend channel and above 4,196, the path of least resistance remains up.
A breakout toward 4,281+ is highly likely before any deeper correction.
“In bullish markets, the best trades come from buying the dip—never chasing the pump.”XAU/USD – Gold Holds Strong Inside Trend Channel, Prepares for New ATH Push
Gold continues to maintain impressive bullish momentum, trading steadily within its rising trend channel. With structure firmly supported and macro sentiment leaning dovish, the market appears to be positioning for a new short-term ATH if liquidity aligns.
📊 Technical Outlook (M30 – MMF Flow)
Gold has respected the ascending channel perfectly, with each corrective leg finding buyers along channel midline and lower boundary.
The most recent impulse broke through the 4,23x region before pulling back into local liquidity.
Key Liquidity Zones
4,236 – 4,254 → Short-term supply reacting
4,218 – 4,220 → Minor demand zone
4,196 – 4,199 → Major BUY Zone (channel support + imbalance fill)
Market structure remains bullish as long as price holds above 4,196, the confluence level where:
✔️ Demand zone
✔️ Trend channel support
✔️ Fibonacci retracement
all align.
A clean bounce from this zone could trigger the next expansion leg.
🎯 MMF Trading Plan – BUY Priority
Scenario 1 – Continuation Bounce
Entry (Buy): 4,218 – 4,220
SL: 4,210
TP: 4,254 → 4,272 → 4,281
Scenario 2 – Strong Liquidity Sweep BUY (Preferred for RR)
Entry (Buy): 4,196 – 4,199
SL: 4,188
TP: 4,236 → 4,254 → 4,281
SELL Trades
Only scalp sells at supply zones
(4,254–4,257 / 4,281–4,283)
→ Not a main strategy while trend remains bullish.
⚜️ MMF View
Gold is showing healthy bullish structure, with clear liquidity engineering and controlled corrections.
As long as price stays within the trend channel and above 4,196, the path of least resistance remains up.
A breakout toward 4,281+ is highly likely before any deeper correction.
“In bullish markets, the best trades come from buying the dip—never chasing the pump.”
GOLD EXPLOSION: XAUUSD READY TO ACCELERATE!📰 BASIC SUMMARY (FA): PRESSURE ON USD AND SAFE HAVEN DEMAND
Gold is receiving strong support thanks to:
FED DOVISH: Recent comments from FED Governors (Waller, Williams) and information about Kevin Hassett potentially taking the position of FED Chairman (supporting strong rate cuts) are boosting expectations for rate cuts, weakening the US Dollar (USD).
GEOPOLITICS/ECONOMICS: News about conflicts in the Black Sea and weakening Chinese manufacturing data (PMI decline) reinforce Gold's safe haven role, pushing prices to a 6-week high.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (TA): MAINTAINING UPWARD STRUCTURE
The 2H chart shows Gold in a clear UPWARD trend (with multiple BOS). The optimal strategy is to wait for price adjustments to the key demand zone:
Action: ENTRY (BUY)
Price Range: $4,185 – $4,192 (Breakout/Demand zone established. Wait for confirmation here.)
STOP LOSS (SL): Below $4,160.9 (Invalidates upward structure if price breaks.)
TARGET 1 (TP): $4,244.8 (Nearest resistance.)
TARGET 2 (TP): $4,270.1 – $4,276.1 (Main growth target.)
Strategy: Patiently wait for a Pullback to the $4,185 – $4,192 zone to enter a LONG position following the trend.
⚠️ IMPORTANT ECONOMIC CALENDAR:
Pay attention to the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data and other macro reports this week to assess USD momentum.
#XAUUSD #GOLD #GoldAnalysis #FED #Dovish #Uptrend #MarketStructure #TradingView #Forex
“BOS Confirmed — Demand Retest for Next Bullish Leg🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Continuation Setup from High Probability Demand Zone 🆙
🔍 Chart Breakdown & Key Insights
Price created a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside → confirming bullish momentum ✔️
Retested the Demand Line + Support Zone → buyers defending strongly 💪
High Probability POI (previous accumulation zone) remains valid with liquidity swept below → smart money accumulation evidence 💰
Current pullback = healthy retracement into demand before potential continuation
🎯 Targets (With stickers)
🎯 Target Zone Price Region Sticker
TP1 → Retest recent high 4,165 – 4,175 🎯
TP2 → Liquidity above highs / extended target 4,180 – 4,195 🚀💸
TP1 hit possibility is HIGH due to bullish structure 📈
TP2 depends on strength of breakout ⬆️
📌 Trade Idea (High Probability Setup)
🟩 Buy Entry Zone:
➤ 4,120 – 4,130 (pullback entry at support)
🟢 Take-Profit:
➤ TP1: 4,170 – TP2: 4,190
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3+ ✔️
🧭 Market Structure Sentiment
Factor Outlook
Trend Bullish 📈
Liquidity Upside still available 💧
Smart Money behavior Accumulation & continuation expected 💼
⚠️ Just watch if price breaks below the demand line → would weaken this bullish plan.
GOLD broke out of the H4 trendline — real breakout or trap? Hello Traders! 👋
Gold has broken out of the H4 descending trendline, boosted by geopolitical tension and a weaker USD.
But the real question is: Is this a true breakout or just FOMO before a drop?
Here are the key zones I’ll be watching today:
BUY Zones (SL 10 – TP 10)
• 4165 – 4155
• 4170 – 4175
• 4140 – 4145
• 4110-4108
• 4099-4096
SELL Reaction Zones (SL 10 – TP 10)
• 4200 – 4203
• 4212 – 4215
• 4230-4035
• 4245 – 4247
👉 If price breaks below 4133, the trendline fails → potential sell-continuation setup.
📌 Bias: BUY is the main play — SELL only for short reaction scalps.
💬 What do YOU think — real breakout or classic bull trap? Drop your thoughts below!
❤️ Let’s discuss & grow together!
USD Stunned: Buy Gold at the Adjustment Bottom!1. Fundamentals Quick Take
US Data: Positive (Jobless Claims 216K, lowest in 7 months, Durable Goods +0.5%).
Fed Policy: Extremely Dovish. Fed officials hint at a 25bps rate cut as early as December.
Impact: Low interest rate expectations push DXY down: Strong support for Gold.
2. Technical Outlook - H1
Trend: Strong Uptrend.
Position: Price is below Resistance/Supply (CP Zone - around 4,175 - 4,195). High likelihood of short-term adjustment.
Strategy: Focus on BUY (Long) at strong Demand/Support zones, do not Short based on short-term reactions.
Ideal Long Zone: Around 4,129 or 4,096.
Conclusion: Wait for price to adjust to the Demand zone to enter Long orders following the main trend, based on the USD's decline momentum from Fed signals.
#XAUUSD #Gold #Fed #DXY #TradingView
XAU/USD: Gold Stagnates, Poised for a Strong Surge📊 Market Structure
Gold is moving in a tight accumulation phase (compression) between two important zones:
• OB Support: 4,130 – 4,126
• Resistance – Small Supply: 4,148 – 4,166
The previous trend remains a strong uptrend (clear BoS sequence from 4,089), and currently, the price is retesting the newly formed peak-bottom structure.
The BUY side is still in control as long as the price stays above:
• 4,130 – Main OB Support
• 4,104 – Discount FVG
• 4,089 – Key Low Confirming Trend
If gold holds these zones, the next targets will be the upper liquidity levels:
• 4,166
• 4,181
• 4,207
• 4,243
💎 Key Technical Zones
• OB Support 1: 4,130 – 4,126
• FVG Zone: 4,104 – 4,089 (best discount)
• Deep Bearish OB: 4,060 – 4,045 (if price drops sharply)
• Upper Liquidity Targets: 4,166 → 4,181 → 4,207 → 4,243
🎯 Trading Plan (Priority BUY)
1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest OB 4,130
When the price touches the OB support zone 4,130 – 4,126 and shows a bounce signal (rejection / engulfing).
• Entry: 4,130 – 4,126
• SL: below 4,115
• TP1: 4,166
• TP2: 4,181
• TP3: 4,207
• TP4: 4,243
→ Quick setup, good RR, trend aligned.
2️⃣ BUY 2 – Discount FVG 4,104 – 4,089
This is the best BUY zone if the market drops sharply before rising.
• Entry: 4,104 – 4,089
• SL: 4,070
• TP1: 4,166
• TP2: 4,181
• TP3: 4,207
• TP4: 4,243
→ Strong confluence: FVG + fibo discount + key liquidity.
3️⃣ BUY 3 – Deep Accumulation at Bearish OB Shift
• Entry: 4,060 – 4,045
• SL: 4,020
• TP: 4,104 → 4,166 → 4,207
→ Only activate if “flush liquidity” appears.
🎯 SELL Scalp (secondary – not priority)
Only SELL when there is a clear rejection reaction at:
• 4,166 – first liquidity sweep zone
• 4,181 – strong reaction zone
• 4,207 – main bearish OB
• 4,243 – large liquidity peak
• SL: 10–15 USD
• TP: 4,148 → 4,130
→ For scalpers only, not a main setup.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The market structure remains completely bullish. The market is accumulating energy in a narrow range before breaking strongly to the upper liquidity targets.
As long as gold stays above 4,089 – the uptrend remains dominant.
“Patience builds the entry – liquidity completes the move.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
XAU/USD – Gold Holds Above Key Support as Pullback Stays LimitedGold remains capped below its two-week high during the Asian session, but the downside is clearly limited.
Market sentiment is shaped by:
A weaker USD as dovish Fed expectations gain traction
Rising probability of rate cuts in upcoming meetings
Improving global risk sentiment amid hopes of progress in Russia–Ukraine negotiations
Even though Gold is retracing, the bigger picture remains bullish as long as price holds above key support zones.
📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Trading Style (M30/H1)
Price is currently consolidating below the resistance cluster 4,156 – 4,170, retracing into multiple demand zones.
Key Levels to Watch
Support 1: 4,131 – 4,137
Support 2: 4,115 – 4,118
Support 3 (major liquidity): 4,083 – 4,090
Main Resistance: 4,170 – 4,193
Market structure shows a clean zigzag pullback, suggesting a potential bullish continuation once liquidity is collected below.
🎯 MMF Intraday Trading Plan
Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Primary Bias)
Best trade today: Buying retracements into demand.
BUY: 4,115 – 4,118
SL: 4,103
TP: 4,131 → 4,156 → 4,170
BUY (extended liquidity sweep): 4,083 – 4,090
SL: 4,070
TP: 4,118 → 4,145 → 4,170 – 4,193
Reason: Fibo confluence + strong demand + liquidity zone = high-probability reversal area.
Scenario 2 – Short-Term SELL (Scalp Only)
Only valid if price rejects strongly at resistance.
SELL: 4,156 – 4,170
SL: 4,177
TP: 4,145 → 4,131
This is not the main bias today.
⚜️ MMF Trading View
Gold is forming a healthy pullback—not, at this stage, a bearish reversal.
As long as price stays above 4,08x, the bullish structure remains intact.
“In Gold, the goal isn’t chasing the breakout — it’s waiting for price to return to value.”
Today’s focus: Prefer BUY setups on retracement – SELL only for quick scalps.
XAUUSD BUY OR SELL TODAY?1. Main Market Context for Today
Jobless claims came in better than expected → USD strengthens, but gold did not drop — it continued to move sideways → the market is in accumulation and waiting for a breakout.
Today’s priority strategy is range trading:
Lower range: 4130–4135
Upper range: 4170–4175
Once price breaks clearly out of either range → switch to trend-following (pursuit) trading.
2. Range-Trading Plan (Primary Strategy for Today)
(A) Buy at the Lower Range – 413X Zone
Buy area: 4130–4135
SL: 100 pips
TP: 100 pips
Reason: This is the main demand zone and aligns with the ascending trendline shown on your chart.
➡️ Strategy:
Wait for price to “sweep” the lows → show confirmation → then take a quick BUY trade.
(B) Sell at the Upper Range – 417X Zone
Sell area: 4170–4175
Reason: Strong supply zone with repeated reactions.
➡️ Strategy:
Wait for a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) → then SELL.
3. Current Reaction Zone – 414X
This is the zone price is currently testing.
Do not enter immediately; just observe:
If price bounces strongly from 414X → target is to retest 417X
If 414X breaks → price will likely retest 413X → better BUY entries there.
4. Deeper BUY Zones (If Price Breaks Downward)
Here are the levels you mentioned, organized clearly:
BUY Zone
4110–4108
4102–4100
4096–4094
→ These are deeper liquidity zones below the main range, activated only if gold breaks below 413X.
5. SELL Zones if Price Breaks Upward (Above 417X)
SELL Zone
4202–4200
4194–4190
4183–4180
→ These are upper supply retest zones, activated only after price breaks above 417X.
🟨 6. Main Scenarios for Today
Scenario 1 – Expected Sideway (Highest Probability)
Price moves within 413X – 417X, bouncing between the range limits.
→ Trade the range (scalp/intraday).
Scenario 2 – Break Below Range
If 4130 breaks → price will head to 4110 → 4100 → 4094
→ BUY at deeper zones.
Scenario 3 – Break Above Range
If 4175 breaks → price will aim for 4183 → 4194 → 4200–4202
→ SELL at higher zones.
✅ One-Line Trading Summary
Trade primarily within the 413X–417X range (buy low – sell high). If the range breaks, switch to trend-following using the deeper BUY zones or higher SELL zones provided above.
Gold (XAU): Fed Cut Incoming? Breakout Time!I. 📰 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (FA)
The Vibe: The US Dollar (DXY) is facing serious heat! The US Fed's recent dovish signals are a major tailwind for non-yielding Gold.
Fed's New Tune: Big guns like Governors Williams and Waller are now talking about rate cuts soon. Why? Because US economic data (Retail Sales, Consumer Confidence) is getting weaker, boss.
Market Buzz: The market is pricing in a strong nearly 85% probability of a 25bps rate cut in December. Picture clear, right?
Takeaway: This shift is Massively Bullish for Gold because lower interest rates make the Dollar less attractive.
II. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (TA)
The Scene: Gold is currently bumping heads with a major hurdle – the Discount Zone (our supply zone). The real action is here!
Crucial Resistance: Gold is testing the Discount Zone (the main resistance area). This is the make-or-break level.
The Short Game (Bearish): Wait for a clear rejection signal at this resistance zone. If it holds, a correction is coming.
The Long Game (Bullish): For Gold to go on a proper rally, it needs a Strong Breakout and Close above the entire resistance area.
💡 THE STRATEGY
Focus on the Resistance Level: Trade based on Confirmation, whether that's a reversal signal for a short correction, or a strong breakout for a fresh long position.
Don't miss the US data tonight (Durable Goods/Jobless Claims) – it will be the real fire starter!
#GoldTrading #XAUUSD #ForexIndia #FedRates #DovishFed #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketUpdate #FinanceIndia
XAU/USD – Gold Maintains Uptrend, Monitor Reaction at FvG⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 25/11/2025
🔍 Market Context
After breaking the downtrend structure and creating consecutive bullish CHoCH, gold is maintaining above the Break–FvG zone at 4,107 USD, indicating that buying pressure is still controlling the recovery phase.
The price is in a reaccumulation phase after the break, and it is likely to need a short pullback to "gain momentum" towards the extended resistance zone above.
📊 Technical Structure
FvG Zone (4,107 USD): newly formed balance zone – acts as the main BUY Zone, where price reactions can be observed for quick scalping opportunities.
Break Structure: confirms active buying flow after a series of CHoCH, shifting short-term bias to bullish.
Target Expansion: the 4,188 → 4,228 USD range is an extended resistance band, coinciding with Fibonacci 1.272–1.618.
💎 Key Levels
🟢 Main Support (Support Zones):
• 4,067 USD – technical balance bottom, the last defense zone.
• 4,084 USD – secondary support, confluence with Fibo 0.382.
• 4,107 USD – main FvG zone, monitor reaction for buy scalp.
• 4,131 USD – dynamic support in the recovery cycle.
🔴 Resistance (Resistance Zones):
• 4,155 – 4,165 USD → intermediate resistance zone, potential short-term profit-taking when price reacts.
• 4,188 USD → confluence with Fibo 1.272 – short-term SELL Zone.
• 4,203 – 4,211 USD → extended supply zone, monitor reaction before the US session.
• 4,228 USD → extended resistance, the final target of the current uptrend.
🎯 Market Outlook
1️⃣ Priority Scenario:
– Price may retest the FvG zone – 4,107 USD, then bounce to test resistances 4,155 → 4,188 → 4,228.
– Prioritize monitoring reactions – quick scalping at resistance zones, avoid holding long positions as price approaches 4,211–4,228.
2️⃣ Alternative Scenario:
– If price closes below 4,107 USD, it may reopen the lower balance zone around 4,067 USD.
🧠 Analyst’s View
The market structure leans towards bullish continuation, but the upper zone is approaching a dense resistance cluster – suitable for reactive trading strategies:
→ Observe reactions at each zone to "scalp with the flow," rather than trying to hold the trend.
As long as price maintains above 4,107 USD, the priority remains buy-the-dip – take-profit-on-resistance.
🛡️ Risk Note
Short-term volatility is expanding – clear candle reaction confirmation is needed before taking action.
Analysis is for technical and educational purposes, not investment advice.
Gold Holds Near 2-Week Highs as USD Softens Ahead of Fed CutsGold continues to trade firmly near recent highs as the USD weakens amid growing expectations of a Fed rate cut in December.
The earlier pullback was mostly driven by stronger risk appetite in equities, not by gold weakness itself — meaning the macro bullish backdrop remains intact.
With markets now pricing:
76% chance of a December rate cut,
and almost 90 bps of cuts by end-2026,
the broader environment continues to favour upside on dips.
📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Style (H1/H2)
Price has respected the ascending trendline drawn from the early-week swing low and is now pushing above the 0.618–0.786 retracement zone.
Key Levels
BUY Zone 1: 4,132 – 4,149 (Fibo 0.382–0.618 + demand)
BUY Zone 2: Trendline retest area
Target Zone: 4,188 – 4,195 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extension)
Structure is currently bullish, with clear higher highs and higher lows.
A retracement into 4,14x before continuation higher is the most probable scenario.
🎯 MMF Trading Plan (Intraday)
Primary Setup – BUY Dip Continuation
BUY: 4,132 – 4,149
SL: 4,121
TP:
→ 4,168
→ 4,185
→ 4,192 – major extension target
Alternative Scenario – Break & Hold Above 4,170
If price consolidates above 4,170, expect a direct push toward 4,19x without a deep pullback.
Bearish Scenario (Low probability for now)
Only valid if price breaks below trendline + closes under 4,128.
Target would be a deeper correction toward 4,10x — but this is not the base case.
🧠 MMF View
Gold’s structure + macro narrative → bullish trend intact.
The market is clearly positioning ahead of possible December policy easing — dips into 4,13x–4,14x remain attractive opportunities.
“In a rate-cut environment, gold tends to trend — the only task is to buy from strength, not chase.”
XAU/USD: Gold Bullish, Watch for Pullback to 4,150-4,130⏰ Timeframe: 30m
📅 Update: 26/11/2025
🔍 Market Context
After a strong upward trend and breaking the resistance zone of 4,096 USD, gold enters a technical correction phase to reaccumulate liquidity.
The price is currently fluctuating around the 4,150 USD area, serving as a crucial pivot to confirm whether the bullish structure will continue or require a deeper retracement.
📊 Technical Structure
4,150 USD (Mid Support): quick reaction zone, potential for short-term buy orders (scalp).
OB (4,130 USD): priority BUY Zone, confluence with 0.5 Fibo – main rebalancing area.
Support Base (4,096 USD): Break–Resistance zone, maintaining the medium-term bullish trend structure.
Target Expansion: 4,181 → 4,202 → 4,211 → 4,235 – 4,242 USD.
💎 Key Levels
🟢 Support Zones:
• 4,096 USD – main structural base.
• 4,130 USD – main OB (priority BUY).
• 4,150 USD – intraday pivot, quick reaction for scalping.
🔴 Resistance Zones:
• 4,181 USD – short-term resistance.
• 4,202 USD – intermediate balancing zone.
• 4,211 USD – expansion zone (1.272 Fibo).
• 4,235 – 4,242 USD – extended supply zone (1.618), prone to profit-taking reactions.
🎯 Market Outlook
1️⃣ Priority Scenario:
– Price lightly pulls back to the 4,150 USD area, potential for quick reaction.
– If it breaks through 4,150, the 4,130 USD (OB) zone will be the balancing point for a stronger recovery.
– Expansion targets: 4,181 → 4,211 → 4,242 USD.
2️⃣ Secondary Scenario:
– If the price breaks below 4,096 USD, the short-term bullish structure becomes invalid, shifting to a neutral state.
🧠 Analyst’s View
4,150 USD is the "stepping stone" between the OB zone and short-term resistance – where the market decides to continue or accumulate deeper.
A reasonable strategy is to monitor quick reactions at 4,150 (scalp) and prioritize clear buy opportunities at 4,130 (OB) if the price retraces deeply.
🛡️ Risk Note
The market is rebalancing within an uptrend – avoid hasty actions without clear candle or cash flow confirmation.
Analysis is technical & educational, not investment advice.
XAU/USD: Gold Bullish, Waiting for Perfect Buy Pullback📊 Market Structure
Gold is maintaining a strong bullish structure after a series of BoS from the bottom region. The most recent rally broke the 4,130 mark and continues to hold above the small OB area, indicating that the BUY side is still in control.
Currently, the price is slightly retracing to retest the structure — the target is to test the area:
• OB 4,130 – 4,126 USD
• Or deeper to FVG 4,104 – 4,089 USD
In both cases, these are discount areas to continue BUYING according to the main trend.
The larger trend still targets the upper liquidity levels including:
• 4,151
• 4,181
• 4,207
• 4,243
💎 Key Technical Zones
• OB Retest Zone: 4,130 – 4,126 (quick bounce area)
• FVG Zone: 4,104 – 4,089 (best discount area to BUY)
• Large Bearish OB: 4,045 – 4,060 (final area if price adjusts deeply)
• Target Zones: 4,151 – 4,181 – 4,207 – 4,243
🎯 Trading Plan – BUY (priority)
1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest OB 4,130
• Entry: 4,126 – 4,131
• SL: below 4,115
• TP1: 4,151
• TP2: 4,181
• TP3: 4,207
• TP4: 4,243
→ This is a quick setup – for a short retracement before continuing.
2️⃣ BUY 2 – FVG 4,104 – 4,089 (best)
• Entry: 4,089 – 4,104
• SL: 4,070
• TP1: 4,151
• TP2: 4,181
• TP3: 4,207
• TP4: 4,243
→ This FVG area is a strong confluence: fibo, small demand, and trendline.
3️⃣ BUY 3 – OB Bearish shift (deep entry)
• Entry: 4,045 – 4,060
• SL: 4,020
• TP1: 4,104
• TP2: 4,151
• TP3: 4,207
→ Only activate when the market shakes strongly, but RR is extremely good.
🎯 SELL Scalp (secondary – only short trades)
Only SELL when the price reaches strong resistance areas and rejection signals appear:
• 4,151
• 4,181
• 4,207
• 4,243
Entry SELL: only enter when there is H1 rejection
SL: 10–15 USD
TP: back to 4,151 → 4,130
→ This is counter-trend, not a priority setup.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The overall trend is still bullish. The current retracements are just a “breathing phase” – the market is accumulating energy to continue pushing up to higher liquidity areas.
As long as the price stays above 4,089 – the bullish trend is not threatened.
“Smart Money buys the dip — Retail buys the breakout.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
MARKET CONTEXT CHART H1 I 11/25Market Context (English Version)
Gold is still moving within a solid bullish structure, shown clearly through its sequence of higher-highs and higher-lows. Buying pressure remains dominant in the short term, but price is approaching the Supply Zone at 4,147 – 4,150, where profit-taking pressure may appear.
The Volume Profile reveals:
POC at 4,093 → This is the price level with the highest traded volume, showing strong agreement from both buyers and sellers.
VAH Zone 4,120 – 4,125 acts as soft resistance; if this zone holds after a pullback, the bullish trend remains intact.
VAL Zone 4,043 – 4,020, combined with the lower Demand Zone, forms a strong defensive layer for buyers if price makes a deeper correction.
Currently, price is running closely along the ascending trendline, signaling that buyers are still applying pressure. However, as price approaches the Supply Zone, the market may temporarily stall and create a technical correction.
Notable signals:
H1 candles show upper wicks, indicating that sellers are starting to react around 4,145 – 4,147.
The Volume Profile is heavier toward the upper range, suggesting the market may need a liquidity grab back toward the POC before continuing upward.
Overall:
➡️ The primary trend is still bullish.
➡️ But the market is likely in need of a pullback to accumulate more strength.
➡️ Only if price breaks below 4,093 will a deeper correction begin.
➡️ A break below 4,015 would confirm a full structural shift from bullish to bearish.
🟦 Scenario 1: Price continues upward – Breaks the Supply Zone (bullish continuation)
Conditions:
Price maintains the ascending trendline.
4,120 (VAH zone) holds and price bounces strongly.
Development:
Price retraces toward 4,120 – 4,093 (VAH & POC).
Strong buying absorption appears → forms a higher low.
Price pushes back up to retest the 4,147 Supply Zone.
If buyers dominate → break above 4,147 and extend toward 4,160 – 4,175.
Meaning:
The bullish trend remains intact. Buyers are fully in control.
🟧 Scenario 2: Deep correction before continuing upward (pullback to VAL Zone)
Conditions:
Price breaks the ascending trendline.
Buyers fail to defend VAH/POC and price loses 4,120.
Development:
Price breaks below 4,093 (POC).
Drops further toward 4,043 – 4,020 (VAL zone).
This is a strong prior demand level.
Price reacts at VAL → forms a new low → resumes bullish momentum.
Meaning:
Healthy correction. Market pulls back to gather liquidity before the next bullish leg.
🟥 Scenario 3: Bearish reversal – Break of Demand Zone
Conditions:
Price breaks below 4,043 – 4,015 (Demand + VAL).
Strong selling absorption overwhelms buyers.
Development:
Price falls through the Demand Zone.
Retests it, turning it into new Supply.
A medium-term bearish trend forms.
Downside targets:
4,000
3,985
3,970
Meaning:
Market structure breaks. Bullish trend ends, and a new bearish phase begins.
Gold Breaks Out of Consolidation, A New Bullish Cycle Incoming?Gold has shown a significant recovery, breaking out of the multi-day sideways range between 4,00x–4,10x. Instead of collapsing below 4000, strong buying pressure stepped in — pushing price back above 4100, signaling that the market may be choosing an early bullish breakout ahead of expectations for a potential FED rate-cut cycle.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1/H2)
1. Structure
Gold has officially broken out of the symmetrical triangle formation.
Price is now printing higher highs – higher lows, confirming short-term bullish structure.
2. Key Levels
BUY Zone 1: 4,095 – 4,100 (Fibo 0.236 + intraday demand)
BUY Zone 2: 4,118 – 4,122 (Fibo 0.382 + breakout retest zone)
Target Zone: 4,187 – 4,195 (Fibo 1.618 extension)
3. Expected Price Action
After rejecting the 0.786 Fibo, a corrective pullback is expected.
A retest of 4,118 or deep pullback to 4,095 is highly probable before the next bullish leg.
As long as price holds above 4,095, bullish bias remains intact.
🎯 Trading Plan — MMF Style
Primary Scenario – BUY the Retracement
BUY 1: 4,118 – 4,122
SL: 4,107
TP: 4,150 → 4,168 → 4,195
BUY 2 (safer): 4,095 – 4,100
SL: 4,082
TP: 4,150 → 4,170 → 4,195
If price clears 4,165, extended targets toward 4,19x–4,21x become possible.
Secondary Scenario – SELL only on strong rejection
Selling is not preferred in the current structure.
Only consider shorting if price forms a false breakout around 4,19x and confirms a bearish BOS on H1.
🧠 MMFLOW VIEW
Gold is showing early signals of shifting out of its medium-term downtrend and transitioning into a new bullish phase. With both technical breakout confirmation and fundamental support (rate-cut expectations) aligning, the path of least resistance is to the upside.
“In a rising market, missing the trend is far more costly than entering slightly early.”
XAU/USD: Gold Uptrend - Buy at 4,090 & 4,044 USD📊 Market Structure
Gold is maintaining an upward structure after creating a series of bullish BoS from the Demand zone. Currently, the price is technically pulling back to discount zones, where the BUY side has more advantages.
Above, the 4,206 USD zone is confirmed as OB Bearish , acting as strong resistance and a potential reversal point for the SELL side.
Below, the discount zones including Fibo–Buy 4,090 and OB Bullish 4,044–4,047 USD are reasonable places to wait for BUY to continue following the main trend.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Fibo–Buy Zone: 4,085 – 4,095 → priority BUY zone
• FVG Reaction Zone: around 4,095 – 4,105 → signal present → BUY immediately
• OB Bullish: 4,044 – 4,047 → deep, safe BUY zone
• OB Bearish: 4,206 → strong SELL zone
• Partial resistance for SELL scalp: 4,169 – 4,186 – 4,206 – 4,237
🎯 Trading Plan – BUY (Main Priority)
1️⃣ Main BUY – Fibo–Buy 4,090
• Entry: 4,085 – 4,095
• SL: below 4,060
• TP1: 4,169
• TP2: 4,186
• TP3: 4,206 / 4,237
→ This is the most beautiful discount zone according to structure + fibo + trendline.
2️⃣ BUY on Reaction – FVG
If the price only touches FVG 4,095–4,105 and then shows a strong rejection candle:
• BUY immediately when there is a signal
• Target remains: 4,169 → 4,186 → 4,206 → 4,237
3️⃣ Defensive BUY – OB Bullish 4,044
• Entry: 4,044 – 4,047
• SL: 4,020
• TP1: 4,095
• TP2: 4,169
• TP3: 4,206
→ This is the “last bottom” zone before the uptrend is threatened.
🎯 Trading Plan – SELL SCALP (Not the Main Trend)
Zones where SELL can react when a reversal candle appears:
• 4,169 USD
• 4,186 USD
• 4,206 USD (OB Bearish)
• 4,237 USD (Supply)
Entry SELL: when there is a clear rejection (H1 long wick / engulfing)
SL: above the zone 10–15 USD
TP: back to 4,186 → 4,169 → 4,128
→ These are counter-trend scalp orders, only for flexible traders.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The main trend is still up, adjustments down to FVG – Fibo – OB Bullish are all beautiful BUY opportunities.
The BUY side dominates as long as 4,044 is not broken – SELL is only secondary, BUY remains the main play.
“Buy at discount, sell at reaction — that’s how the market moves.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold Set to Explode from Triangle Pattern—Act Now!📊 Market Structure
Gold is entering a tight accumulation phase within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern – indicating compression before a strong breakout.
On the downside, the price is still supported by the Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 USD , which is the main support area for the medium-term uptrend structure.
On the upside, the Resistance Zone 4,103 – 4,110 USD continuously exerts pressure, causing price rejection.
Currently, gold is trading right in the middle of the compression triangle → the market is preparing to choose a direction.
Looking at the wave structure, the trend slightly leans towards a break up to sweep liquidity in the high area.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• ⭐ FVG Supply Zone: 4,128 – 4,150 USD → expected strong reaction area if price breaks up
• 🟣 Resistance Zone: 4,103 – 4,110 USD → decisive area for direction
• 🟪 Demand Zone: 4,007 – 4,020 USD → strong base maintaining structure
• 🟦 Liquidity Clear: 3,980 USD → risk area if price collapses the triangle
🎯 Trading Plan – Two Possible Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY – Wait for Breakout from Triangle (priority scenario)
If the price breaks the resistance zone 4,103 – 4,110 with a strong H1 closing candle:
• Entry: 4,112 – 4,115
• SL: 4,095
• TP1: 4,128
• TP2: 4,145
• TP3: 4,150 (reach FVG)
→ This is a trend-following setup, with a high probability of sweeping liquidity above after the break.
2️⃣ BUY – Retest Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020
If the price continues to follow the triangle pattern and falls to the trendline + demand zone:
• Entry: 4,010 – 4,017
• SL: 3,990
• TP1: 4,103
• TP2: 4,128
• TP3: 4,150
→ This is a very strong confluence area between Demand Zone + Trendline + pattern base.
❌ SELL? When is it valid?
Currently, selling is not prioritized, as the price is still above the Demand Zone and the larger structure still favors an uptrend.
Selling is only valid if the price:
• Breaks strongly below 4,007 USD
→ At this point, the market turns bearish, with a distant target of 3,980 USD.
🧠 Vincent’s View
Gold is under strong compression. When the triangle pattern is broken, the move will be extremely fast and decisive.
The current trend leans towards breaking up and heading straight into the FVG area 4,128 – 4,150 USD.
Just be patient and wait for the confirmation candle — don’t predict, react to the market.
⚡ “Breakout is born from pressure — patience profits.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 24/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
“Gold Rebounding from Demand – Targeting Supply Line Retest🔍 Key Observations
📉 Supply Line (Downtrend Resistance)
Each rally is being capped by the descending supply line
📈 Demand Line (Ascending Support)
Buyers defending higher lows
Strong bullish reaction off support
💰 Liquidity Grab ($$$)
Liquidity was taken below swing lows — bullish signal
Smart money likely securing positions before pushing up
🟢 Bullish Confirmation
If price holds above demand line + support zone
Expect bullish continuation toward supply line retest
🎯 Suitable Target Levels
Target Level (Approx) Status
🥇 First Target 4,095 – 4,105 At supply line retest
🥈 Extended Target 4,120 – 4,130 Breakout continuation
📌 Trade Idea (Bullish Scenario)
Entry Zone: 4,055 – 4,065 🟩
Stop Loss: Below 4,025 ❌
Take Profit 1: 4,100 🎯
Take Profit 2: 4,125 🚀
RR Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3 📈
🧭 Market Sentiment
📍 Bias → Short-term Bullish
🛑 But… sellers may reappear at supply line
⚠️ Watch for fakeouts near the target






















