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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 21, 2025🔍 Momentum Analysis - D1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently rising → the dominant trend over the next 3 days is likely to remain bullish. - H4 Timeframe: Momentum is approaching the oversold area → just one more bearish H4 candle could complete the entry into oversold territory. - H1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to reverse downward → suggesting a short-term corrective pullback in the current session. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update On the H4 chart, price continues to consolidate within a corrective triangle structure. According to our previous plan, price approached the 3358 zone, and we expect: - Wave 1 (black) may have completed at the 3358 high. - Currently, Wave 2 (black) is likely unfolding: + Wave A appears to have completed. + The current upward leg is part of Wave B. + A final drop in Wave C is expected, with two key target zones: - Target 1: 3342 - Target 2: 3332 🔎 Combining Momentum & Wave Structure - If price breaks above 3358, we want to see a sharp, impulsive, and steep rally to confirm the beginning of Wave 3. - If price movement remains choppy or overlapping, the market is likely still in a corrective phase. - Key resistance zone to monitor: 3390–3402 – a clean breakout above this range would significantly strengthen the Wave 3 scenario. 📌 Trade Plan 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 Entry Zone: 3343 – 3341 Stop Loss: 3337 Take Profit 1: 3358 Take Profit 2: 3390 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 Entry Zone: 3333 – 3331 Stop Loss: 3323 Take Profit 1: 3358 Take Profit 2: 3390 📎 Note: Prioritize entries that come with clear confirmation signals from price action and momentum. Avoid buying during choppy or indecisive market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 18, 2025 🔍 Momentum Analysis D1 Timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a bullish reversal. While we need to wait for today's D1 candle to close for confirmation, it's likely that yesterday’s upward move marks Wave 1, signaling the beginning of a new bullish trend. H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing for a bearish reversal → suggesting a potential corrective pullback, likely forming Wave 2. H1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to reverse upward → supporting the expectation of a short-term bullish move during the current session. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update On the H4 chart, the abcde triangle correction structure remains largely unchanged. However, a strong H4 bullish candle appeared yesterday, indicating unusual market behavior that deserves attention. There are two main scenarios: Wave 1 (black) has already completed, and the market is now entering Wave 2 correction. Alternatively, the current movement could be Wave 4 within Wave 1 (black). 🔎 Combining Momentum & Wave Structure With D1 momentum signaling a potential uptrend lasting the next 4–5 days, it suggests that Wave e (blue) may have completed. This opens the door for an impulsive 5-wave advance. Specifically: If H1 continues its bullish reversal, the current move could be Wave 5 of Wave 1 (black), targeting the 3358 level. Afterwards, a retracement toward the 3330–3323 zone would form Wave 2 (black). Alternatively, price might drop directly to 3330–3323, implying Wave 1 has already finished and the current move is Wave 2. 🎯 => Both scenarios converge at the 3330–3323 price zone, making it a high-probability BUY ZONE. 🧭 Trade Plan BUY ZONE: 3330 – 3327 Stop Loss: 3320 Take Profits: TP1: 3342 TP2: 3358 TP3: 3402 📌 Note: Since this is a relatively wide entry zone, it's best to wait for price action confirmation at this level before entering.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 17, 2025 🔍 Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: Momentum is still trending downward, but we’re starting to see signs of convergence between the indicator lines. Normally, we would expect another two daily candles to reach the oversold zone and trigger a potential reversal. However, with the current narrowing pattern, we cannot rule out the possibility of an earlier reversal. Today’s daily close will be crucial for confirmation. H4 timeframe: Momentum is clearly declining, suggesting that the market may either continue downwards or consolidate sideways throughout the day. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H4 chart, price action is compressing tightly at the end of a symmetrical triangle pattern – a classic setup in Elliott Wave theory. Notably, this final point of compression coincides with the POC (Point of Control), indicating a key price level where high volume has accumulated. Wave W (in black) follows a 3-wave structure. Yesterday, price surged to the beginning of wave W and then sharply reversed, forming the basis for two potential scenarios: Scenario 1 – WXY structure with current price completing wave Y within wave e (green): + Target 1: 3327 + Target 2: 3303 Scenario 2 – Wave e (green) evolves into a triangle: + In this case, price may consolidate sideways above the 3327 zone. 🔗 Combining Wave and Momentum Analysis Both D1 and H4 momentum indicators are still pointing downward. However, the price candles appear overlapping and lack clear directional strength – a common trait of compression near the triangle’s apex. With price sitting right on the POC, there’s a high chance of continued tightening before a breakout. At this stage, the recommended strategy is to wait for a strong bullish candle at one of the target zones before entering a BUY position. 📈 Trade Setup ✅ Scenario 1 – BUY at 3327 – 3326 + Stop Loss: 3317 + Take Profit 1: 3342 + Take Profit 2: 3358 + Take Profit 3: 3402 ✅ Scenario 2 – BUY at 3305 – 3302 + Stop Loss: 3295 + Take Profit 1: 3327 + Take Profit 2: 3358 + Take Profit 3: 3402
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 16, 2025🔄 Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently reversing to the downside, suggesting that the price may continue to decline or move sideways in the short term. H4 timeframe: Momentum is rising, indicating that the current recovery may continue. The next resistance zones to watch are 3342 and 3358. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure At present, price action is being compressed within a contracting triangle corrective pattern, with its range narrowing further—signaling market consolidation. We should closely monitor for signs of a breakout that could end this correction. Based on the current wave structure, it is expected that wave d (green) has completed, and the current downward move is likely part of wave e (green). The trading strategy focuses on waiting for the price to approach the lower boundary of the triangle—drawn from the low of wave a to the low of wave c—looking for confluent support areas near this trendline to identify a potential BUY opportunity. 🎯 Target & Trade Plan BUY ZONE: 3303 – 3300 Stop Loss (SL): 3290 Take Profits (TP): - TP1: 3327 - TP2: 3358 - TP3: 3402
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 15, 2025 🟢 Trade Update The BUY order at the 3342 – 3340 zone was triggered at 3341. As of now, price has moved up by 140 pips, and the market is still following the planned scenario from the previous analysis. 📊 Momentum Analysis D1 Timeframe: Momentum is in the overbought zone, and indicator lines are showing signs of crossing — a warning signal of a potential reversal on the daily chart. H4 Timeframe: After a 6-candle decline from 3377 to 3342, H4 momentum has reversed upward. With 2 bullish candles already formed, we expect another 3–5 bullish candles, aiming toward the 3390 zone. 🌀 Elliott Wave Update Price action is currently moving toward the end of the abcde contracting triangle. We are monitoring two potential scenarios: Scenario 1 – Ongoing Triangle Correction If price returns to the lower boundary of the triangle, it is likely forming wave e, which would present a buy opportunity for the final leg of the triangle. Scenario 2 – 5-Wave Impulse Extension The current structure shows a 5-wave impulsive move, with wave 4 completed and wave 5 now beginning. The projected target for wave 5 aligns with the resistance zone at 3398 – 3402. After completing wave 5, the market could enter a corrective phase, consistent with the idea that wave d ends at this resistance. 🔔 If the price breaks above 3402, it would likely confirm that the abcde correction is complete and that a new impulsive bullish wave has started. 🎯 Trade Plan 📍SELL Zone: 3396 – 3398 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 3406 🎯 TP1: 3376 🎯 TP2: 3327 📍BUY Zone: 3295 – 3293 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 3285 🎯 TP1: 3327 🎯 TP2: 3365 🎯 TP3: 3402 ✅ Note: Prioritize entries only after confirmation from price action and momentum at key levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
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OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 10, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H4 timeframe, price has returned to test the upper boundary of the converging triangle – currently acting as dynamic resistance. Based on the current wave count, wave e (purple) may have completed at the 3279 low, and price is potentially starting a breakout move. 👉 A confirmed breakout above the triangle would validate the end of the abcde correction and mark the beginning of a new upward trend. 🔋 Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: As forecasted yesterday, momentum is entering oversold territory and showing early signs of a reversal. This suggests that an upward trend could dominate over the next 5 days. H4 timeframe: The two momentum lines are sticking together, indicating a weakening upward drive. A minor pullback may be needed before the next leg up. Key nearby resistance levels to watch are 3330 and 3342. 🎯 Key Price Levels & Validation Zones The following support zones are crucial for identifying potential entries: Support Zone 1: 3306 – 3308 Support Zone 2: 3294 – 3297 ‼️ Important: A break below 3294 would invalidate the current wave structure, and a new count would be required. 📌 Trade Plan Scenario 1 – Buy at higher support: Buy Zone: 3308 – 3306 SL: 3303 TP1: 3342 TP2: 3366 TP3: 3390 Scenario 2 – Buy at deeper support (if stronger correction occurs): Buy Zone: 3297 – 3294 SL: 3287 TP1: 3342 TP2: 3366 TP3: 3390 Scenario 3 – Safer option (breakout confirmation): Wait for a breakout above the triangle, then enter on the retest (around 3325–3330) SL: Based on structure formed during the retest TP range: 3366 – 3390 📌 Preferred strategy: Wait for H4 to reach oversold or wait for a confirmed breakout and retest to enter safely in alignment with the new uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 9, 2025 🔻 Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: Momentum is approaching the oversold zone and may reverse upwards today or tomorrow. H4 timeframe: Momentum is already in the oversold zone. The two momentum lines are converging, signaling weakening downward pressure and a potential reversal. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure The price level around 3318 (previous buy zone) failed to hold, despite a ~100-pip bounce before continuing to decline. Currently, price is nearing the lower boundary of a contracting triangle – a typical abcde corrective pattern. Based on the current wave structure: Wave d (purple) appears to be complete. Price is now likely forming wave e, expected to end near 3279, which coincides with the triangle’s bottom support. If the pattern holds, a strong breakout above the upper triangle boundary is expected once wave e completes. However, note: the formation of a triangle during a corrective wave often signals that the uptrend is nearing its end in the longer term. 📌 Trading Plan Given the complex 3-wave structure typical of triangles, risk is elevated, so: Trade with reduced position size, or Preferably wait for a confirmed breakout above the triangle before entering. Suggested Trade Setup: ✅ Buy Zone: 3280 – 3277 ❌ Stop Loss: 3270 🎯 Take Profits: TP1: 3309 TP2: 3342 TP3: 3390
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Price Setup: Bullish Continuation or Rejection? 🧠 Chart Analysis (XAU/USD – 1H): Key Structure Highlights: CHoCH (Change of Character) zones marked both up and down indicate a battle between bulls and bears. Recent bullish CHoCH followed by a fair value gap (FVG) retest suggests potential continuation to the upside. Price recently bounced strongly from demand zone, shown by the green arrows and strong candle reaction. Ichimoku Cloud: Price is trying to break back above the Kumo (cloud), a sign of bullish momentum building. However, resistance is still present with the Kijun and Tenkan lines converging. FVG (Fair Value Gap): The current price is attempting to fill and break above the FVG zone. A successful breakout above this area confirms bullish intention. Fibonacci Levels: Price is hovering around the 0.5 - 0.618 retracement zone, often a strong reversal or continuation point. Upside targets lie near the 0.786 retracement (3352) and ultimate target at 3391, a major resistance level. Risk Management: Trade setup shows an excellent Risk:Reward ratio. Stop-loss placed just below the last structure low. Potential downside to 3290–3258 if breakout fails. 🟢 Possible Next Move: Bullish Scenario: If price clears the FVG and breaks above 3353, expect continuation to 3391. Bearish Rejection: If rejected at FVG/0.618 level, watch for a drop back to 3290 or even 3259.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – July 8, 2025 🔎 Momentum Analysis On the daily (D1) timeframe, momentum is currently declining. At the same time, the 4H momentum is showing signs of reversing downward. This suggests a likely short-term corrective decline, which provides a basis for projecting potential Elliott Wave patterns. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the 4H chart, I currently see two main possible scenarios: Scenario 1: Contracting Triangle Correction (abcde – purple) This scenario assumes a contracting triangle correction labeled abcde in purple. The market appears to be in wave d (purple), which is unfolding as a wxy corrective structure. Currently, it is likely in wave y. The projected target for the end of wave y is between 3393 – 3402. However, due to the declining momentum, I expect a short-term pullback to the 3318 – 3321 region before price resumes upward to complete wave d. Scenario 2: Larger WXY Correction In this case: Wave W has completed as a standard 3-wave abc. Wave X has also completed as a double zigzag. Wave Y appears to be forming a small contracting triangle abcde in red. Currently, the price is being compressed between the upper and lower boundaries of the red triangle, suggesting that it is in the final wave e. In this scenario, the projected retracement also aligns with the 3318 – 3321 zone. After completing wave e, price is expected to break out strongly above the upper boundary of the red triangle. ✅ Strategic Conclusion Both scenarios point to a confluence zone at 3318 – 3321, making this a key potential buying area. Two trading approaches can be considered: Aggressive Entry: Buy within the 3318 – 3321 range. Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the red triangle before entering a long position. 📈 Suggested Trade Plan Buy Zone: 3318 – 3321 Stop Loss: 3308 Take Profit 1: 3342 Take Profit 2: 3362 Take Profit 3: 3393
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – June 8, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Timeframe: H4 Currently, price action is overlapping with multiple abc correction patterns. To reduce noise and gain a clearer perspective, I’ve shifted the analysis to the H4 timeframe. From the 3500 level down to now, the entire corrective move has been composed of overlapping abc patterns rather than sharp, impulsive rallies. This suggests we are likely forming a contracting triangle correction in the form of abcde (green) as shown on the chart. At the moment, price appears to be in wave d (green), which is unfolding as a wxy structure (red). Trading during triangle corrections is particularly challenging due to the complex interweaving of corrective waves. Additionally, price is consolidating within the Volume Profile’s high-liquidity zone, as shown on the chart. Therefore, it is best to remain patient and wait for the triangle pattern to complete. 📉 Momentum Daily (D1) momentum: Currently showing signs of a bearish reversal → suggesting that price may move sideways or lower this week. (Toward the end of a triangle, price tends to compress and lose clear directional bias.) H4 momentum: Also shows reversal signals, and a strong bearish candle has recently formed. Thus, a short-term bearish bias is preferred until H4 momentum reaches the oversold region. 🎯 Price Targets Since the market is currently forming overlapping abc structures, setting precise wave targets is difficult. Therefore, I rely on Volume Profile zones to define key levels: 3342 Resistance Zone: Marks the boundary between high and low liquidity areas → This is a Sell Zone, supported by confluence with D1 and H4 momentum signals. 3294 Support Zone: Represents the lower boundary of high liquidity → This is the projected end of wave X (red) and serves as our Buy Zone. 🧭 Trade Plan 🔻 Sell Zone: Entry: 3340 – 3342 SL: 3350 TP1: 3320 TP2: 3300 🔺 Buy Zone: Entry: 3295 – 3293 SL: 3285 TP1: 3312 TP2: 3342 TP3: 3390 📌 Personal Note: At this stage, I prefer to wait for the abcde triangle to complete or for more structural confirmation. If you decide to trade, focus on short-term setups with reduced position size to manage risk during this complex correction phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold/USD Bullish Breakout Toward Target Zone Gold/USD Bullish Breakout Analysis 🚀🟢 The chart illustrates a strong bullish breakout from a consolidation zone, signaling upward momentum: 🔍 Key Technical Observations: Support Zone: The price respected the support area around 3,325 – 3,330 USD, forming a solid base for reversal. Bullish Structure: Series of higher lows and higher highs indicate a bullish trend formation. Breakout Confirmation: Price broke above short-term resistance with a strong bullish candle, indicating buying pressure. Trendline Support: The ascending trendline has held well, confirming trend continuation. Target Point 🎯: Projected target is near 3,365 USD, which aligns with a previous resistance and Fibonacci confluence zone. ✅ Conclusion: The breakout above resistance, supported by a bullish structure and momentum, suggests further upside potential toward the 3,365 USD target zone. As long as price holds above the breakout level, bullish bias remains valid. 🛑 Watch for invalidation if price falls back below 3,330 USD zone.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrStellanSight
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD, March 7, 2025 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H1 chart, wave 3 appears to have completed, and price is now entering a phase with an unusual structural behavior. Wave 3 previously showed strong momentum, moving steeply and continuously, with no clear internal pullbacks – a classic impulse wave. Following this, we observed a corrective abc pattern in black, suggesting the end of wave 3. Interestingly, although yesterday's ADP report was extremely bullish, gold only managed a mild breakout above the wave 3 high before pulling back this morning. Notably, the upward move followed a 3-wave abc structure in green, and price action is now showing overlapping waves with no clear directional momentum. 🧩 These signs suggest a high probability that: 🔹 Wave 5 is forming as an Ending Diagonal – a 5-wave structure with a 3-3-3-3-3 pattern. 🔹 This is typically seen at the end of a bullish cycle and often precedes a sharp reversal. Although it's too early to confirm, we should patiently observe the upcoming price action. If the ending diagonal completes, it may present a strong sell opportunity. 🎯 Target for wave 5: around 3395, provided all 5 sub-waves within the diagonal complete. ⚠️ If price breaks below 3324, we must consider that the full 5-wave structure is already done, and a new abc corrective phase may have begun. 🔍 Momentum Analysis Daily (D1): Momentum is about to turn bearish from overbought territory → suggests a weakening uptrend. H4: Momentum is turning upward → likely a mild rally or sideways movement today before H4 reaches overbought again. 📌 Trading Plan Given the current wave behavior and overlapping structure, it is best to remain patient and wait for confirmation before taking a strong position. If the Ending Diagonal structure is confirmed, it could signal a major reversal. SELL Zone: 3392 – 3395 Stop Loss: 3403 Take Profits: • TP1: 3368 • TP2: 3340 • TP3: 3324
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | February 7, 2025 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure (H1 Timeframe) Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is moving sharply and steeply—this suggests the formation of a 5-wave impulsive structure. Specifically: - Waves 1, 2, and 3 (green) appear to have completed. - Currently, wave 4 is forming as a 3-wave corrective structure (abc in black). - Once wave 4 completes, we anticipate the next upward move as wave 5, which will complete the full 5-wave cycle (green). 🎯 Potential Price Targets for Wave 4 Based on the structure of the abc correction and support zones, we identify two key target areas: + Target 1: 3324 + Target 2: 3311 When the price breaks above the top of wave b (black), it will serve as a strong confirmation that wave 4 has ended and wave 5 is beginning. 📈 Momentum Analysis Daily (D1): Momentum is still rising and likely needs 2–3 more days to enter the overbought zone, supporting the continuation of the uptrend. H4: Momentum is about to turn upward, signaling wave 4 may be nearing completion. H1: Momentum is also preparing to turn up, suggesting the price is approaching the end of the wave 4 correction zone. 💼 Trading Plan BUY ZONE: 3325 – 3322 STOP LOSS: 3215 TAKE PROFIT 1: 3345 TAKE PROFIT 2: 3368 TAKE PROFIT 3: 3395 📌 Wait for H1–H4 momentum alignment before triggering a BUY entry for wave 5.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan for June 30, 2025 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H1 chart, we observe a double zigzag correction WXY (in red). Currently, Wave Y appears to be developing as a green abc structure. In this abc structure: + Wave a started with a leading diagonal (5-wave triangle). + Wave b followed as a typical abc correction (in black). + Wave c is currently unfolding as a clear 5-wave impulsive move, characterized by sharp and rapid price action. The key issue now is to determine whether: + The price has completed wave 5 (black), or + It has only completed wave 3 (black) within the green wave c. If the current movement is wave 3 (black), we should expect a wave 4 correction, followed by one more leg down to complete wave 5. In this scenario, wave 5 will be confirmed if the price breaks below 3255. There are two potential target zones for wave 5: + Zone 1: 3247 + Zone 2: 3224 If wave 5 has already completed, the upward move to 3283 could be wave 1 of a new bullish trend. The next pullback would be wave 2, with an expected target between 3266 – 3261. ⚡️ Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: Momentum is in the oversold region, suggesting a high probability of a bullish trend in the upcoming week. This supports the view that wave c (green) of wave Y (red) is nearing completion. H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish, indicating the current upward movement may continue. This adds to the uncertainty about whether wave 3 or wave 5 has ended. 🧭 Trading Plan 📍 BUY ZONE 1 Entry: 3264 – 3261 SL: 3254 TP1: 3283 | TP2: 3297 | TP3: 3315 📍 BUY ZONE 2 Entry: 3247 – 3244 SL: 3237 TP1: 3283 | TP2: 3297 | TP3: 3315 ⚠️ Important Note This trading plan assumes either wave 3 or wave 5 has completed. Therefore, if in the early Asian session, the price does not touch the 3264 – 3261 zone but instead rises above 3283 without closing above 3297, and then drops back below 3283, we should avoid buying at 3264 – 3261. Instead, we should wait for a potential entry at the 3247 – 3244 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Double Top Breakdown at Resistance ZoneThe chart reveals a classic Double Top pattern formation near the 3,360–3,480 resistance zone, followed by a clear bearish rejection (highlighted with red arrows). This confirms the presence of strong supply pressure in that region. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: 🔺 Double Top Pattern The price formed two swing highs near the resistance zone, failing to break above. After the second peak, the price started declining, confirming the reversal pattern. 📉 Bearish Channel The recent downtrend is contained within a descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows. Price broke below the neckline of the double top pattern around 3,270. 🎯 Target Projection Based on the height of the double top pattern, the projected downside target is near 3,207.5, aligning perfectly with the support zone marked below. 🟠 Historical Support Areas The large orange circles indicate key reaction points, confirming that the 3,207–3,220 area has acted as support in the past. 📊 Outlook: If the current bearish momentum continues, price is likely to head towards the support target zone at 3,207.5. Any pullback toward 3,320–3,350 could provide a shorting opportunity with stops above the recent highs. 🔧 Bias: Bearish 📍 Resistance: 3,360–3,480 📍 Support: 3,207–3,220 📍 Target: 3,207.5
BIST:XAUUSD1!
by MrStellanSight
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Plan for June 26, 2025 🌀 Wave Structure On the H1 chart, our previous plan anticipated price movement within green wave 3. However, the current price action lacks the sharp, impulsive characteristics typically seen in wave 3. Instead, the overlapping structure of minor waves suggests that we may not be in wave 3. This leads us to consider two primary scenarios: 🔹 Scenario 1 – abc Correction (black): Price may be forming wave c (black). However, due to the overlapping nature of recent price moves, it is likely that wave c is developing as an ending diagonal (wedge). ➡️ Confirmation signal: A sharp, steep decline that breaks below the 3297 level would signal that wave c has completed. 🎯 Target zone for wave c: 3352 – 3356 🔹 Scenario 2 – Leading Diagonal in Wave 1: The overlapping price structure could also be forming a leading diagonal (3-3-3-3-3) as wave 1. In this case, price is currently in wave 3 or 4 of this formation. ➡️ Once wave 1 completes, we expect a retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the entire wave 1 – forming wave 2. 🎯 Target zone for the end of wave 1: 3352 – 3356 📉 Momentum Analysis Momentum plays a crucial role in determining which wave structure is unfolding. D1 Timeframe: Momentum is turning upward from the oversold zone – indicating that the downtrend may be ending. This supports the scenario of a leading diagonal wave 1 and suggests we may see a sustained bullish move over the next 5 days. H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse downward from the overbought zone. This is a key signal to monitor today, especially during tonight’s news events. If price continues to move sideways within a wedge, it would support the leading diagonal scenario. If price breaks down sharply, it would favor the abc correction scenario. 🧭 Trade Plan 🔻 Sell Zone: 3352 – 3355 ⛔ Stop Loss: 3362 🎯 Take Profit 1: 3333 🎯 Take Profit 2: 3323
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Plan for June 25, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Looking at the H1 chart, we can see a 5-wave black triangle structure has formed within wave Y. This suggests two possible scenarios: Scenario 1: Wave Y has completed → the current upward move is wave 1 of a new 5-wave green structure. The ongoing pullback would then be wave 2 of this sequence. Scenario 2: Wave A of wave Y has completed as a 5-wave move → we are now in wave B of wave Y, which typically forms a 3-wave pattern. In this case, wave a (black) has formed and wave b (black) is currently developing. ✅ In both scenarios, the ongoing decline is a shared element — representing a buying opportunity. 🎯 Key Target Zones Target 1: 3313 – 3310 Target 2: 3301 ⚠️ If price breaks below 3297, the current wave count is invalidated, and we must prepare for a deeper correction. Updates will follow if that happens. 🔁 Momentum Outlook D1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to reverse upward. We expect at least 5–6 days of bullish movement for D1 momentum to reach overbought territory ⇒ This supports a potential short-term uptrend and favors both bullish wave counts. H4 Timeframe: Momentum is about to reverse downward from the overbought zone → A further decline to our buy zones is likely. H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently declining → The ongoing pullback is expected to continue. 📌 What to wait for: A bullish reversal in H1 momentum aligned with H4 in the oversold region will confirm the bottom is in. ✅ Trade Plan 🔹 BUY ZONE 1: 3313 – 3310 • SL: 3306 • TP1: 3335 | TP2: 3350 | TP3: 3376 🔹 BUY ZONE 2: 3303 – 3301 • SL: 3296 • TP1: 3335 | TP2: 3363 | TP3: 3376
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
1
tXAU/USD Bullish Reversal from Key SupportXAU/USD Bullish Reversal from Key Suppor 📈🟢 📊 Chart Analysis: Rounded Bottom Structure ⬆️ The price has formed a rounded bottom pattern, indicating potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Multiple bounces (🟠 circles) from the curved support trendline confirm the validity of this structure. Support Zone Rejection ✅ Price recently rejected from a major horizontal support zone (around 3,303.796 USD) with a strong bullish wick. This zone has acted as a springboard for prior upward moves. Falling Wedge Breakout 💥 A falling wedge (bullish pattern) has formed and is breaking to the upside. Breakout confirmation is underway, indicating momentum shift. Target Projection 🎯 The projected move from the breakout suggests a potential target at 3,385.820 USD. This aligns with previous resistance areas. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 3,385.820 USD (target) and 3,425–3,450 USD (major resistance zone) Support: 3,303.796 USD (short-term), followed by 3,225–3,250 USD zone 🔔 Conclusion: Price action suggests a bullish bias with a possible upward continuation if it sustains above the wedge breakout. Confirmation above 3,330 USD with volume can fuel a rally toward the 3,385–3,400 USD target zone. 📌 Risk Management Tip: Watch for fakeouts near wedge resistance or a re-test of 3,303 USD for better entries.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Bearish Breakdown in Play📉 Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Bearish Breakdown in Play | June 20, 2025 🟡 🕒 Timeframe: 4-Hour 📍 Asset: Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 🖼️ Chart Source: TradingView by AngelaFxTrading 🔍 Chart Overview The 4H chart displays a clear bearish breakdown from an ascending trendline (blue), followed by a rejection at a key horizontal resistance zone (highlighted in purple). 🧠 Key Technical Insights 📌 1. Resistance Zone Rejection Price Level: ~$3,370 - $3,390 Price attempted multiple breakouts above the resistance zone but consistently failed, indicating strong seller presence. The red arrow marks a lower high, suggesting waning bullish momentum. 📈 2. Trendline Break The rising blue trendline has been decisively broken. This signals a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. 🧭 3. Support Levels to Watch Minor Support: $3,294.43 (short-term reaction zone) Major Support: $3,244.87 (target of the projected drop) 🔮 4. Bearish Projection Blue arrows indicate a measured move expectation, targeting the $3,244.87 level. A bearish flag/pennant formation post-break suggests continuation lower. ⚠️ Key Considerations Fundamentals: Note the icons at the bottom — upcoming USD-related news/events 📅 could inject volatility. Confirmation: For bears, a clean rejection from the resistance retest would confirm entry zones. 🧭 Trading Bias: 🔻 Short-term Bearish As long as price remains below the purple resistance and under the broken trendline, selling pressure dominates. 🛑 Invalidation Zone A daily close above ~$3,390 would invalidate this bearish setup and suggest a return to bullish momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ruthless-Trading