XAUUSD Weekly Analysis For June - 23 - June 27 ~~ Fundamental Analysis ~~
Key Drivers
Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating conflicts in the Middle East (e.g., Israel-Iran) continue to drive safe-haven demand for gold. However, recent U.S. delays in decisions regarding Iran conflict involvement have led to investor hesitation, contributing to the current narrow trading range.
Federal Reserve Policy: The Fed maintained interest rates at 4.25%–4.5% on June 12, 2025, with no immediate rate cuts signaled. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell noted that tariffs could increase inflation, potentially capping gold’s upside in the short term. A hawkish Fed stance could pressure gold prices, while global policy easing could support bullish momentum.
U.S. Dollar Strength: A recovering U.S. dollar has exerted downward pressure on gold, as seen in recent pullbacks from highs above $3,450.
Economic Data: Upcoming U.S. labor market data (e.g., May data) and inflation reports (e.g., core PCE price index) could influence gold prices. Rising inflation expectations may drive XAU/USD toward higher prices.
China’s Economy: A weakening Chinese economy due to U.S.-China trade tensions could reduce gold demand, while a recovery could bolster prices.
Long-Term Outlook
Bullish Case: Continued global policy easing, escalating geopolitical conflicts, or a recovering Chinese economy could push gold toward $3,500 or higher in 2025, supported by safe-haven flows.
Bearish Case: Easing geopolitical tensions, persistent inflation, or a hawkish Fed could lead to declines toward $3,000
Refer Chart for your reference
-- Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
#Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
Xauusdupdates
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 23, 2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure – H1 Timeframe
In previous plans, we were debating between two triangle patterns in green:
1. A leading diagonal triangle forming wave 1, or
2. A corrective triangle structure forming wave X (as labeled on the chart).
In last Friday’s plan, I also identified a five-wave triangle structure forming within wave c, with strong evidence of completion shown by a sharp bullish candle.
📰 News Supporting the Move
At this point, it seems war-related news is supporting an upcoming bullish trend, which also strengthens the case that a three-wave abc correction (black) has completed. We are now expecting a bullish leg this week.
🎯 Price Outlook
The current zone is a promising area for a BUY NOW setup. However, we should be cautious about the potential gap-up at the market open. If that occurs, we’ll observe whether the gap gets filled to reassess the buy zone.
If price rallies to the 3382 area and then pulls back, we will look for a swing BUY entry around 3357.
📈 Momentum & Larger Wave Outlook
D1 timeframe: Momentum is about to shift upward, indicating a potential strong and steep bullish trend this week. If confirmed, this supports the scenario that wave 2 (black) has ended and wave 3 is beginning.
However, if price moves in a slow and overlapping fashion, we must prepare for an alternative scenario: that the correction is not yet complete, and another leg down may occur to finalize the structure.
H4 timeframe: Momentum has already shifted to the upside, suggesting a high probability of a gap-up during the Asian session open.
H1 timeframe: Momentum is also about to reverse to the upside, allowing us to consider buying at current levels.
📝 Trade Plan – BUY Setup:
✅ Buy Zone: 3361 – 3379
❌ Stop Loss: 3351
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3382
TP2: 3396
TP3: 3412
XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis 📉
The chart presents a potential bearish continuation setup in the XAU/USD pair, highlighted by technical structures and key price levels:
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🔸 Bearish Rejection from Resistance
Price rejected strongly from the 3,440.000 resistance zone, marked with a red arrow.
This area has acted as a historical supply zone, triggering repeated reversals.
🔸 Descending Channel Formation 📉
A clear bearish flag/channel structure is visible post-rejection.
Price action broke down from the channel, signaling potential trend continuation.
🔸 Target Level 🎯
The expected target is around 3,304.374, aligning with previous support zones and structure lows.
This level coincides with a measured move from the channel breakdown.
🔸 Higher Lows Pattern Before Reversal ⭕
Prior to the current decline, the market formed a series of higher lows, highlighted with orange circles — suggesting a buildup before reversal.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3,440.000 – 3,420.000 🔼
Current Price: 3,368.750
Short-Term Target: 3,304.374 🎯
Major Support: 3,140.000 – 3,160.000 🛡️
📌 Outlook:
The rejection from resistance coupled with the descending channel breakdown indicates bearish momentum. If the market maintains below the recent high, further downside towards 3,304 is expected. Break below this may expose deeper support zones.
📉 Bias: Bearish
⏳ Short-term Action: Watch for breakdown confirmation and momentum continuation.
📉
The chart presents a potential bearish continuation setup in the XAU/USD pair, highlighted by technical structures and key price levels:
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🔸 Bearish Rejection from Resistance
Price rejected strongly from the 3,440.000 resistance zone, marked with a red arrow.
This area has acted as a historical supply zone, triggering repeated reversals.
🔸 Descending Channel Formation 📉
A clear bearish flag/channel structure is visible post-rejection.
Price action broke down from the channel, signaling potential trend continuation.
🔸 Target Level 🎯
The expected target is around 3,304.374, aligning with previous support zones and structure lows.
This level coincides with a measured move from the channel breakdown.
🔸 Higher Lows Pattern Before Reversal ⭕
Prior to the current decline, the market formed a series of higher lows, highlighted with orange circles — suggesting a buildup before reversal.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3,440.000 – 3,420.000 🔼
Current Price: 3,368.750
Short-Term Target: 3,304.374 🎯
Major Support: 3,140.000 – 3,160.000 🛡️
📌 Outlook:
The rejection from resistance coupled with the descending channel breakdown indicates bearish momentum. If the market maintains below the recent high, further downside towards 3,304 is expected. Break below this may expose deeper support zones.
📉 Bias: Bearish
⏳ Short-term Action: Watch for breakdown confirmation and momentum continuation.
XAU/USD Bullish Breakout from Flag PatternBullish Flag Formation: The price consolidated in a downward-sloping flag after a sharp bullish move. A breakout has occurred, signaling renewed buying pressure.
Support Zone: The breakout aligns with the horizontal support area around 3,392, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Upside Targets: Based on price structure and measured move projection:
First target: 3,435 – 3,452
Final target zone: 3,500+
Momentum Confirmation: The Ichimoku cloud supports bullish continuation as price trades above it, showing strong upward momentum.
Conclusion:
Gold appears to be resuming its uptrend after a brief consolidation. As long as price holds above the breakout level (around 3,392), the bullish targets remain valid. Ideal scenario for continuation traders looking for entries on minor pullbacks
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trade Plan for June 19, 2025
🌀 Wave Structure
On the H4 timeframe, following a strong selloff, price is now consolidating within a narrow price channel — suggesting that we are currently in wave b (black) of an abc correction.
This structure implies that one more leg down is likely to complete wave c (black). However, due to the overlapping and sideways nature of the move, it's difficult to clearly identify the end points of waves a and b, making traditional Fibonacci targeting less effective.
➡️ To improve accuracy, we’re combining Volume Profile data with price action and have identified four key support zones:
3349, 3335, 3313, and 3297
Among these, we’re giving special attention to:
🎯 Target 1: 3335
🎯 Target 2: 3297
We'll wait for bullish momentum signals near these levels to increase the probability of catching the end of wave c.
🔋 Momentum Outlook
Daily (D1): Momentum is about to enter oversold territory. By the end of today or tomorrow, the daily candle is expected to confirm this — suggesting a weakening bearish trend.
H4: Also approaching oversold. If price is hovering around one of the key support levels (3349 | 3335 | 3313 | 3297) when this happens, and the D1 is already oversold, then we may be looking at a high-probability reversal zone.
H1: Nearly oversold as well — expect a short-term bounce soon. The best timing for a BUY will be when the H1 starts turning bullish while both the D1 and H4 are oversold.
✅ Trade Setup
🔹 Scenario 1
BUY ZONE: 3336 – 3333
SL: 3326
TP1 | TP2 | TP3: 3345 | 3378 | 3402
🔹 Scenario 2
BUY ZONE: 3300 – 3297
SL: 3290
TP1 | TP2 | TP3: 3313 | 3345 | 3402
⏳ Patience is key — wait for confluence between support zones and momentum reversals. That’s where the high-probability BUY setups emerge.
Gold Eyes Breakout from Ascending Channel Toward $3,500📈 Chart Analysis
1. Rising Channel Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) has been trading within an upward-sloping channel, marked by the blue trendlines connecting interior lows and highs, culminating at point C (~$3,497). The latest bounce off the lower channel near “B” reinforces bullish bias – if this trendline holds, another leg higher toward resistance around $3,497–$3,500 is likely.
2. Support & Resistance Confluence
The purple trendline and the dotted horizontal green level (~$3,498) converge near the projected breakout point. This synergy provides a strong pivot zone — a successful breakout would validate targets near channel highs.
3. Harmonic Pattern in Play
The chart displays a bullish harmonic structure (likely a Bat or Gartley formation), with retracement ratios (0.719, 1.627) anchoring reversal areas. These reinforce the bounce at B and the potential move toward point C.
4. Trade Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (primary): A bounce off the trendline triggers a rally to the channel top and resistance zone ($3,497–$3,500).
Bearish Caution: A drop below the trendline invalidates the pattern, potentially bringing prices back to horizontal support around $3,296 or even $3,120, as indicated at point A.
🛠️ Technical & Market Context
Technicals: Daily trend remains bullish as long as price holds above ~$3,340–$3,350, with resistance forming in the $3,380–$3,400 range
.
Fundamentals: Geopolitical tension (e.g., Middle East conflict) and safe-haven inflows continue to underpin gold — though Citi expects prices to eventually correct toward $3,300–$3,500 mid‑term
Sentiment: Some analysts advocate “selling the rallies,” especially into the $3,450–$3,500 zone . But central banks’ ongoing buying and potential Fed rate cuts support a stronger floor
.
✅ Trade Strategy
Scenario Entry Zone Target Stop Loss Placement
Play the Bounce ~$3,350–$3,360 $3,497–$3,500 Below trendline near B zone (~$3,320)
Breakout Trade On momentum above $3,400 $3,497–$3,550 Below breakout (sub-$3,380)
Bearish Trigger Break & close below trendline Back to $3,296 / 3,120 Just above trendline ($3,360)
🔍 Summary
Gold remains in a structurally bullish setup inside an ascending channel. The confluence of harmonic reversal, strong trendline support, and pending fundamental catalysts presents a high-probability opportunity to push toward the $3,500 area—provided the trendline and $3,340–$3,350 support hold. A drop below would invalidate the bullish outlook and favor deeper retracement.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 18, 2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure on H4
The recent drop has broken below the previously labeled wave 1 zone, requiring an adjustment to our wave count. Following the abc corrective move (black), a potential triangle formation is emerging.
At this point, we’re monitoring two possible scenarios:
🔹 Scenario 1 – Triangle as a Wave X Correction:
Price is forming an abcde triangle, potentially part of a larger WXY corrective structure. If this plays out, we may see a strong decline forming wave Y, targeting a break below 3297, and possibly extending to 3248.
🔹 Scenario 2 – Leading Diagonal Triangle as Wave 1:
If this is a leading diagonal triangle for wave 1, then wave 1 is likely completed, and we are currently in wave 2. In this scenario, price should hold above 3248, with likely support zones around 3335 or 3300.
🎯 Key Price Zones & Resistance Levels
Major Resistance: 3389 – 3402 (based on volume profile) – prime area for potential short setups.
Short-term Resistance Levels: 3389, 3402, 3412 – watch for reversal signals here.
🔻 Momentum Outlook
Daily (D1): Momentum is declining and expected to enter oversold territory within 2 candles – indicating a weakening downtrend and supporting the leading diagonal scenario.
H4: Momentum is preparing to turn bearish – supports short opportunities.
H1: Already turned bullish – suggests a possible corrective bounce before the next drop.
📌 Trade Plan
🔴 Sell Zone: 3400 – 3403
• SL: 3410
• TP1: 3365
• TP2: 3335
🟢 Buy Zone 1: 3335 – 3332
• SL: 3325
• TP1: 3365
• TP2: 3402
🟢 Buy Zone 2: 3302 – 3209
• SL: 3292
• TP1: 3335
• TP2: 3365
• TP3: 3402
Gold on the Rise! – Bullish Setup in Focus The chart shows a repeating consolidation‑then‑breakout pattern, with Gold forming ascending swing structures, consolidating in rectangles (green), then riding higher along a rising trendline (purple). Price has just bounced off that trendline again, signaling a possible new leg up—potentially targeting the upper range near $3,448–3,450. A clear breakout above that level could open the door toward $3,500+.
📍 Trading Plan
🎯 Entry
Long on breakout above recent consolidation highs (~$3,440–3,448).
Alternatively, buy the dip near the purple trendline (~$3,385–3,390), with confirmation (hammer candle, bounce).
🛑 Stop‑Loss
For breakout: just below the top of the rectangle consolidation (~$3,389).
For trendline entry: slightly below recent swing low (~$3,358–3,360).
🎯 Profit Targets
Primary: upper rectangle level (~$3,448–3,450).
Extension: historic all‑time high region (~$3,500) → next major zone.
🎥 Path
Potential minor pullback toward trendline.
Bounce establishes support.
Surge toward top of range.
Breakout with trend continuation to new highs.
📊 Trade Risk & Reward
Target ~60–100 pts above entry, stop ~50 pts below → ideal Risk:Reward ≥ 1:1.2.
📌 Key Levels to Monitor
Level Role
$3,360 Swift dip support (green base line)
$3,390–3,400 Trendline confluence zone
$3,440–3,450 Breakout area & top of rectangle
$3,500 Next major resistance/all‑time high
🧭 Market Context & Drivers
Broad uptrend remains intact amid geopolitical tensions, especially the Israel–Iran situation, which continues to support safe-haven flows
investing.com
+15
reuters.com
+15
barrons.com
+15
forex24.pro
+1
goldpredictors.com
+1
.
Markets are positioning ahead of Fed’s June 18 decision; dovish signals could fuel continuation toward new highs (~$3,500+)
fxempire.com
.
Technical structure reflects bullish momentum—ascending wedge patterns with shallow dips and strong trendline bounces
fxstreet.com
.
✅ Summary
Bias: Bullish – uptrend intact.
Strategy: Go long on dip near trendline or on breakout above $3,445.
Stop‑Loss: Just below last swing low ($3,360).
Targets:
Near-term: $3,448–3,450
Medium-term: $3,500+
Stay tuned for Fed statements and Middle East headlines—they’ll be catalysts.
XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – June 12, 2025 XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – June 12, 2025 🪙📈
📊 Technical Overview:
The chart presents a clear range-bound market structure with well-defined zones of support and resistance:
📍 Key Levels:
🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,380 – $3,400
Price has been rejected multiple times from this level, as indicated by red arrows. It marks a strong supply zone.
🟢 Support Zone: $3,280 – $3,300
Price has bounced several times from this demand area, forming a reliable support base.
📏 Intermediate Level: $3,319.38
Marked with a purple line, this is likely a mid-range liquidity zone or a previous minor structure level.
🔄 Price Action Insights:
Double Bottom Formation: Notable at the support zone, confirming strong buying interest (highlighted with orange circles and green arrows). This pattern often signals a bullish reversal.
Current Price: Trading near $3,375.645, approaching the resistance area again.
Projected Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation 📈: Break and close above the resistance could trigger momentum to the upside — watch for a breakout with strong volume.
Pullback Scenario 🔁: A rejection from resistance could cause a retest of $3,319.38 or even the support zone, forming a higher low before a potential rally.
🧠 Strategy Outlook:
Bullish Bias 🐂 as long as price holds above $3,319.38.
Watch for Breakout 🚀 above resistance with volume confirmation for long entries.
Caution ⚠️ near resistance; ideal to wait for either a breakout or clear rejection.
📌 Conclusion:
The chart reflects accumulation within a range, with bullish structure emerging. A break above $3,400 could shift market sentiment decisively upward, while a failure at resistance invites a deeper pullback.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (June 12, 2025)📊 Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (June 12, 2025)
🌀 Wave Structure
According to yesterday's plan, the green abc corrective wave likely completed around the 3293 level. The subsequent bullish move is considered Wave 1 in a triangle form, and last night’s news helped Wave 5 hit the target, yielding over 200 pips in profit.
After that, price corrected in a black abc structure. Although the CPI release printed a sharp H1 wick (alongside overlapping waves supporting sellers), the price reversed sharply to the upside — further reinforcing the idea that the correction phase has ended.
Currently, price is testing the previous green Wave b high at 3375.954. A break and close above this level could strengthen the bullish wave scenario. If Wave 1 is indeed a triangle, Wave 3 may extend strongly, with a potential upside target near 3428.
In the short term, price may be forming Wave 1 within Wave 3, and we are watching two key zones:
3358 – 3355
3390 – 3393
⚠️ If price breaks and closes below 3350, the current wave count will be invalidated, and we will shift to a deeper corrective scenario. I will update accordingly to avoid confusion.
🔍 Momentum Outlook
D1: Momentum is rising, supporting the continuation of Wave 3 into next week.
H4: Still bullish; needs 1–2 more candles to reach the overbought zone.
H1: Currently overbought → possible pullback if price hits the 3390–3393 resistance.
⏱️ Bearish momentum reversal at 3390–3393 → confluence zone for a SELL setup
⏱️ Bullish momentum reversal at 3358–3355 → confluence zone for a BUY setup
🎯 Trading Plan
BUY ZONE: 3358 – 3355
SL: 3348
TP1: 3375 | TP2: 3389
SELL ZONE: 3390 – 3393
SL: 3404
TP1: 3375 | TP2: 3358
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 11, 2025
📊 Elliott Wave Structure – H1 Outlook
Currently, the price is moving sideways within a channel.
🔍 Wave Structure Analysis:
Looking closely at the wave patterns inside this price channel, we can clearly see a series of 3-wave structures developing. Previously, we also observed what appears to be an abc corrective pattern (black), which leads me to suspect that we might be forming a triangle structure as the beginning of a wave 1 sequence (12345 in green).
It seems that wave 4 has already completed, and the price is currently in wave 5. Structurally, wave 5 may take the form of a 3-wave move, and the key confirmation we want to see is a break above 3349, signaling that the top of wave 5 is in place.
☄️ Typically, once a wave 1 triangle completes, the market tends to enter a sharp and deep corrective move in the form of a zigzag.
🎯 Potential Target Zones (based on Fibonacci + Volume Profile):
Target Zone 1: 3352 – 3355
Target Zone 2: 3362 – 3365
⚡ Momentum Outlook:
D1 Momentum: Starting to turn bullish, suggesting the current correction is nearing completion and we could see a bullish week ahead.
H4 Momentum: Currently in overbought territory – I expect the price to break above 3349, followed by a momentum reversal on H4, which could provide a great SELL opportunity at the upper targets.
H1 Momentum: Is about to turn bearish, indicating a short-term pullback may occur. If this correction fails to break below 3315, the price may be completing wave 5 as a 3-wave structure. In that case, we should wait for H1 momentum to turn bullish and then bearish again to confirm wave 5 completion.
📌 Trading Plan:
🔻 SELL Zone: 3352 – 3355
⛔ Stop Loss: 3369
🎯 TP1: 3334
🎯 TP2: 3307
XAUUSD Bearish Rejection Setup Unfolding – June 11, 2025XAUUSD Bearish Rejection Setup Unfolding – June 11, 2025 🧠🔍
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🔴 Resistance Rejection Zone (Supply Area)
Price recently tested the $3,440 - $3,460 resistance zone, marked with red arrows. This zone previously acted as a strong supply area, leading to aggressive sell-offs.
📉 Bearish Rejection Candle
A rejection occurred near the same supply zone again, hinting at a potential double top or failure to break structure. Sellers seem to defend this area aggressively.
📍 Current Price: $3,338.6
Price is hovering below mid-range resistance at $3,396.5, indicating weakness after a failed breakout.
📉 Bearish Plan in Motion:
🔁 Scenario Highlighted:
Price might retest the $3,396.5 level (purple line) before resuming the downward move (illustrated by the blue and black arrows).
A breakdown below the $3,290.3 support zone will likely trigger further downside.
🎯 Target Levels:
1st Target: $3,290.3 – Key structural support. A close below this level will confirm the bearish momentum.
2nd Target: $3,207.0 – Final support area aligned with previous accumulation zone.
🛑 Invalidation Point:
A sustained breakout above $3,460 would invalidate the bearish bias and suggest continuation to the upside.
✅ Summary:
Bias: Bearish 📉
Strategy: Sell on pullback to $3,396.5 with stops above $3,460.
Targets: 🎯 $3,290.3 ➡️ $3,207.0
Watch for a strong bearish confirmation candle below $3,290.3 to load in shorts.
🔔 Stay alert for volume spikes and lower time-frame breakdowns to fine-tune entries! 💼📊
Elliott Wave Analysis – Trading Strategy Update | June 10, 2025
📊 Elliott Wave Analysis – Trading Strategy Update | June 10, 2025
Currently, the market is presenting multiple wave scenarios with nearly equal probabilities. To avoid noise and gain clarity, we are shifting our analysis to the H4 timeframe.
🔹 Key Price Zone
As highlighted in yesterday’s update, the 3340 level remains a critical resistance. Price failed to break above this level and has since pulled back to 3307.
🔹 Momentum & Volume Profile
- H4 Momentum: Just one more H4 candle and the momentum indicator will likely enter the oversold zone, suggesting that the bearish momentum is weakening.
- Volume Profile: Price is clearly reacting at the green POC zone, with no signs of a breakdown yet.
🧩 Two Main Scenarios:
Scenario 1: Wave 5 Continues Lower
Price is potentially forming wave 5, with:
🎯 Target 1: 3290
🎯 Target 2: 3279
✅ Confirmation: Break below 3294
⚠️ Note: This is the most obvious scenario, and in trading, what’s most obvious often requires the most caution.
Scenario 2: Correction Completed – Wave 3 Uptrend Forming
- The black ABC correction has likely completed.
- The recent upward move could be wave 1; the current pullback is wave 2.
- Wave 3 is expected next.
✅ Necessary Condition: Price breaks above 3340
✅ Sufficient Condition: Price breaks the top of wave b (black)
➡️ For this scenario, limit orders may not be effective — real-time confirmation will be required.
📉 Momentum Overview:
- D1 Timeframe: Approaching oversold territory — likely to see a recovery over the next 5–7 daily candles.
- H4 Timeframe: Also nearing oversold — an intraday bounce is expected today.
🎯 Trading Plan:
🔵 Buy Zone 1:
Entry: 3292 – 3289
Stop Loss: 3282
TP1: 3306
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3375
🔵 Buy Zone 2:
Entry: 3281 – 3279
Stop Loss: 3271
TP1: 3307
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3375
Elliott Wave Pattern – XAUUSD Trading Plan for June 8, 2025
Elliott Wave Analysis
After Friday’s deep decline, price touched the level of wave 1 (black), invalidating the flat wave 4 scenario. Currently, the structure of wave 5 (black) appears to be a terminal triangle, and the sharp and steep drop afterward is consistent with post-terminal triangle behavior.
Post wave 5 completion, two possible bearish scenarios emerge:
Scenario 1: Price is forming a zigzag (abc in black). Wave c may have completed at 3305 — the first target. However, 3290 remains a significant lower target. A recovery that breaks above 3340 would help invalidate Scenario 2.
Scenario 2: Price is in a 5-wave bearish impulse. To confirm this, price must not break above 3340, as that would overlap with wave 1 and invalidate the structure. If this holds, the next key target lies below 3245.
Momentum Analysis
Daily (D1): When the market opens this week, momentum is expected to enter oversold territory — suggesting a weakening downtrend. Confirmation is needed.
H4: Momentum is already in oversold territory, indicating a potential bullish move early in the week.
H1: Also oversold. A reversal is likely during the Asian or European session, favoring Scenario 1 and a buy setup near wave c = wave a.
Trading Plan
Buy 3305 – 3302
SL: 3295
TP1: 3340
TP2: 3393
Buy 3292 – 3289
SL: 3282
TP1: 3305
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3393
Gold Uptrend Continues June 6, 2025As yesterday Gold made high of 3403, I was expecting to cross upto 3430 but it dropped sharply. News was strong and as it made cautious to investors and safe heaven asset declines moved back to riskers market to 3340.
Now today you can check a pattern and gold is moving in that support and resistance, expecting it to move upward. Currently the situation is unexpected as gold may come down to 3340 and then move upward or directly upward from 3358. Our target is 3375-3389-3400.
Key point.
Resistance - 3360, 3375, 3389, 3400
Support - 3340, 3354
Any Query Reach Us or comment down
Rudra Vasaikar Wishes You A Great And Very Amazing Trading Life. Trade Safe, Trade Right.
RISK WARNING 🔴 🔴 🔴
There is high risk of loss in Trading Forex, Crypto, Indices, CFDs, Features and Stocks. Choose your trade wisely and confidently, please see if such trading is appropriate for you or not. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Highly recommended - Information provided by Pro Trading Point are for Educational purpose only. Do your investment according to your own risk. Any type of loss is not our responsibility.
HAPPY TRADING.
#gold #xauusd #xauusdtrading #goldtrading #goldanalysis #forextrading #forex #trendline #goldsignals #goldnews goldlatestanalysis #xauusdtradesetup #forextradingguide #fxgold
XAUUSD – Bearish Outlook from Resistance Zone📊 XAUUSD – Bearish Outlook from Resistance Zone
🕒 Date: June 5, 2025
💰 Instrument: Gold (XAUUSD)
📍 Current Price: 3,352.730 USD
🟨 Key Resistance Level
🔴 Price has sharply reacted from the 3,375–3,400 USD zone, highlighted as a strong resistance area.
📉 This zone has previously triggered significant sell-offs, confirmed again by the current bearish rejection (red arrow 🔻).
📉 Bearish Market Structure
The price structure suggests a classic lower high rejection scenario with potential for further downside:
🔻 Immediate Drop Expected
After rejection from resistance, the price shows early signs of breakdown. A minor pullback is expected before continuation.
🧭 TP1 – First Target Zone:
📍 3,245.560 USD
This level aligns with a previous demand area (light red box), likely to act as temporary support or reaction point.
🎯 TP2 – Final Bearish Target:
📍 3,127.527 USD
This blue demand zone is a major support level, previously a strong rally base (green arrow 🟢). Expect buyers to step in here again.
🔄 Trade Idea Summary
💼 Setup Type: Resistance Rejection
🛑 Bias: Bearish
📍 Entry Zone: ~3,350–3,360 USD (confirmed rejection)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3,245.560 USD
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3,127.527 USD
🔒 Stop Loss: Above 3,400 USD (outside resistance zone)
📌 Observations:
🔁 The market repeated its previous pattern: bouncing from the blue demand zone and rejecting at the yellow resistance zone.
🧱 A solid breakdown below TP1 could accelerate movement toward TP2.
🔍 Watch for any bullish reaction around TP2 for potential reversal setups.
📉 Bias: Bearish
📆 Outlook: Short-term to mid-term swing
Chart Overview Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)🔍 Chart Overview
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 2H (2-hour candles)
Date/Time: Chart ends on June 5th, 2025, 19:14 UTC.
🟩 Support & Resistance Zones
✅ Resistance Zone
Level: Around 3,355 – 3,375 USD
📌 This zone has seen repeated tests and rejections, indicating strong selling pressure.
✅ Support Zone
Level: Around 3,160 – 3,180 USD
🛡️ Price bounced from this zone previously, confirming it as a strong support area.
⚙️ Key Observations
📈 Range-Bound Trading
The price is currently trapped between the strong support and resistance zones.
Multiple rejections at the resistance zone suggest sellers are active above 3,355 USD.
💡 Horizontal Consolidation
Price has formed a horizontal range (sideways movement) in recent sessions.
This range-bound behavior signals market indecision or a buildup before a potential breakout.
📉 Previous Price Action
🔽 Sharp Reversal Drop
Around the middle of May, there was a strong rejection at resistance, followed by a rapid sell-off to the support zone.
This shows that the resistance zone is significant and that sellers are quick to act.
🔮 Potential Scenarios
✅ Bullish Breakout
If price closes above 3,375 USD with strong momentum, expect a potential bullish rally toward 3,400+ USD.
✅ Bearish Rejection
If price fails to close above 3,355 USD and shows rejection candles (like dojis or bearish engulfing patterns), price may retest 3,280 USD and even support at 3,160 USD.
🔔 Key Takeaway & Trader’s Tip
⚠️ Watch for breakout signals near resistance and support.
✅ Volume spikes and momentum indicators will help confirm true breakouts or fakeouts.
🔍 Neutral to Bearish Bias
Given repeated rejections at resistance, short-term bias is neutral to bearish unless a breakout occurs.
📝 Summary with Emojis
🔴 Resistance Zone: 🔝💪
🟩 Support Zone: 🛡️🟢
📉 Bearish Momentum likely below 3,355 USD
📈 Bullish Breakout above 3,375 USD
🕵️♂️ Watch for consolidation and breakout setups!
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan 5/6/2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure
On the H1 timeframe, price action is currently overlapping — a sign that the corrective phase may not be over yet. If the correction had indeed ended at 3334, we would expect a sharper and more impulsive rally typical of wave 3 (green) within wave 3 (black). The lack of that strong momentum suggests the correction could still be unfolding.
Both wave a and wave b (red) are showing 3-wave structures, which points to the development of a Flat correction in the red abc pattern.
Within wave b (red), we’re currently seeing a smaller abc structure (green), with price likely forming wave c (green) right now.
🎯 Target Zones
Wave c (green) target zone: 3390–3393, which is our ideal Sell zone.
If price reverses from this zone, we expect wave c (red) to complete somewhere between 3334–3324.
⚡️ Momentum Outlook
D1 timeframe: Momentum is starting to turn bearish. A confirmation will depend on how today’s daily candle closes. Until then, short-term upside is still possible.
H4 timeframe: Momentum has already turned bearish, supporting the case for a potential wave C (red) to unfold.
H1 timeframe: Currently oversold, which opens the door for a minor push up or some sideways action to finish wave c (green).
📌 Trade Setup
🔻 SELL Zone:
Entry: 3390 – 3393
Stop Loss (SL): 3400
Take Profit (TP1): 3370
Take Profit (TP2): 3357
🔺 BUY Zone:
Entry: 3334 – 3331
Stop Loss (SL): 3322
Take Profit (TP1): 3357
Take Profit (TP2): 3393
Take Profit (TP3): 3410
GOLD - BULLISH OUTLOOK WITH SHORT TERM PULLBACKSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is currently testing the liquidity zone near the 3350 level, exhibiting signs of a potential false breakout above resistance within the prevailing upward trend. A short-term correction may occur before the continuation of the broader bullish movement.
The fundamental backdrop in the market remains complex and somewhat contradictory. Presently, attention is centered on geopolitical developments, particularly the heightened tensions between Russia and Ukraine following the recent weekend escalation. Market participants are closely monitoring diplomatic negotiations taking place in Turkiye. Additionally, the ongoing uncertainty surrounding international tariff policies continues to exert pressure on sentiment.
Since the session's open, gold has demonstrated strong upward momentum, approaching a key liquidity & resistance zone. A false breakout at resistance appears to be forming, which could prompt a corrective pullback toward a key area of interest. Simultaneously, the US dollar is testing a support level, potentially signaling a local correction before resuming its directional movement. This interplay may influence gold prices, which retain an overall bullish outlook.
Resistance levels: 3350, 3365, 3409
Support levels: 3303, 3264
The price has broken out from a consolidation phase, having tested resistance and triggered liquidity above the 3350 mark. Given the current positioning, a retracement toward support levels is plausible before the uptrend resumes.
Gold on it’s target - Next Move BullishOur yesterday analysis went TRUE . As expected after reaching high gold came down for correction. As you all know today there is PMI news today, so market will come down and after that take upward momentum. So do wait for it and after that execute the trade.
Key point.
Support - 3348, 3335, 3329
Resistance - 3354, 3362, 3371
Any Query Reach Us or comment down
Rudra Vasaikar Wishes You A Great And Very Amazing Trading Life. Trade Safe, Trade Right.
RISK WARNING 🔴 🔴 🔴
There is high risk of loss in Trading Forex, Crypto, Indices, CFDs, Features and Stocks. Choose your trade wisely and confidently, please see if such trading is appropriate for you or not. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Highly recommended - Information provided by Pro Trading Point are for Educational purpose only. Do your investment according to your own risk. Any type of loss is not our responsibility.
HAPPY TRADING.
#gold #xauusd #xauusdtrading #goldtrading #goldanalysis #forextrading #forex #trendline #goldsignals #goldnews goldlatestanalysis #xauusdtradesetup #forextradingguide #fxgold
XAU/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Ahead!XAU/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Ahead! 💥
🔍 Technical Analysis:
Instrument: Gold vs US Dollar (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: Daily
Current Price: $3,363.26
Resistance Zone: $3,380 – $3,470
Support Zone: $2,970 – $3,100
🧠 Market Context:
Gold has recently approached a well-defined resistance zone near the $3,380–$3,470 range. Price action shows multiple rejection wicks and failed attempts to break above this level, indicating strong selling pressure from bears. 🐻
The current candlestick structure suggests the market is printing lower highs, which may indicate a transition from a consolidation phase into a potential bearish trend.
📉 Projection:
The chart projects a move down toward the support zone, around $2,970–$3,100, possibly due to:
Repeated rejections at the resistance zone 🔄
Lack of bullish momentum near highs ⚠️
Bearish engulfing or reversal candlestick formations 🔻
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Level Type Price Zone Action
🔴 Resistance $3,380 – $3,470 Strong rejection expected
🟢 Support $2,970 – $3,100 Major demand zone; potential bounce
🧭 Trading Outlook:
⚠️ If price fails to break above the resistance zone, short opportunities may develop with a target near the support zone. A confirmed break and close below $3,300 would strengthen bearish sentiment.
📌 Bearish Bias Maintained Until Resistance Breaks
XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – Bullish Breakout Setup XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – Bullish Breakout Setup 🚀
🔍 Chart Overview:
This chart illustrates the price movement of XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) on a mid-term time frame, highlighting a potential bullish breakout scenario from a key resistance zone.
🟩 Key Levels:
Support Zone: 🛡️
➤ $3,140 – $3,200
This zone has acted as a strong support multiple times, preventing further declines and serving as a springboard for bullish moves.
Breakout Zone (Current Level): ⚡
➤ $3,340 – $3,390
Price is currently testing this crucial resistance-turned-potential-breakout zone. A successful close above this level could confirm bullish continuation.
First Target: 🎯
➤ $3,435.87
This intermediate resistance aligns with a previously tested high. It may act as the first barrier after the breakout.
Second Target: 🥇
➤ $3,502.13
This is the major resistance zone. If bulls maintain momentum, this area will likely be tested.
🧭 Market Structure & Bias:
Price is forming higher lows, signaling growing bullish strength.
The chart shows a bullish breakout of a sideways consolidation zone.
The upward arrows and curved projection suggest a potential pullback-retest scenario at the breakout level before rallying towards targets.
🧠 Trading Plan (Illustrated by Chart):
📈 Breakout Entry:
Wait for confirmation above $3,390 with strong bullish candles and volume.
🔁 Retest Opportunity:
If price pulls back to the breakout zone ($3,340 – $3,390), this may serve as a solid re-entry point for long positions.
🎯 Profit Targets:
TP1: $3,435
TP2: $3,502
🛑 Invalidation:
A strong close back below $3,320 may invalidate the bullish bias.
📌 Conclusion:
The chart indicates a bullish continuation setup for XAU/USD with clearly defined breakout, retest, and target zones. Traders should monitor price action closely around the breakout area for confirmation before entering long positions. Risk management remains key. 🧮⚖️
Gold (XAU/USD) – Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Setup🧠 Chart Pattern Identified: Inverse Head & Shoulders
🟡 Left Shoulder ➡️ Formed at a local dip.
⚫ Head ⬇️ Deepest low around 3,274.103.
🟡 Right Shoulder ➡️ Bouncing near the same zone.
🔁 This is a classic bullish reversal pattern — a break above the neckline could signal a strong upside move.
📊 Key Levels & Zones
🔵 Support Zone:
🟦 Area: 3,274 – 3,294
✅ Strong bounce seen here (highlighted by the head and shoulders base)
🔵 Resistance Zone:
📏 Just below 3,305 (marked as neckline)
✋ Price must break this to confirm the reversal
🔵 Target Point:
🎯 3360 📈
📏 Based on the height from head to neckline
🔵 Stop Loss Zone:
❌ 3,274.526
🔻 Below the head for safe risk control
⚙️ Trading Setup Summary
🔹 📍 Entry Point:
📌 Around 3,294.449
🚪 Enter on breakout above neckline
🔹 🎯 Target Point:
🏁 3360
🔹 🛑 Stop Loss:
🚫 3,274.526
🔹 Risk-Reward Setup:
🔍 Targeting a move of ~65 points
⚖️ Risk of ~20 points → solid R/R ratio
📈 Indicator:
🧮 EMA 70 ➡️ 3,305.005
⏳ Price currently testing it — a break above EMA would boost bullish confirmation.
📅 Economic Events:
📆 Multiple event icons suggest upcoming news — expect volatility!
⚠️ Be cautious during these times.
✅ Final Thoughts:
📊 Pattern suggests a bullish breakout is near 🚀
🔒 Use stop-loss and enter after breakout to manage risk effectively
🎯 Keep an eye on volume during breakout — it confirms strength






















