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"Update on the upcoming before the Fed - interest rate cutsMany people have asked me about my view on how the Fed's interest rate cuts will impact the market. I have a few thoughts on this, but please note that these are just my personal opinions and should not be considered as trading recommendations! In the chart, I’m displaying two lines: - Red: Federal Funds Rate - Blue: Unemployment Rate If you look back at history, each time the Fed cuts rates, it typically coincides with economic troubles, although the signs may not be immediately apparent in the early stages. Initially, Powell’s objective was to combat inflation and achieve a soft landing, but in his most recent speeches, the focus has shifted to stabilizing the economy. This indicates a change in the Fed's assessment of the economic situation, which concerns me as it suggests that we could be heading towards a recession. History supports this perspective, as the unemployment rate is one of the clearest indicators of recession. Other accompanying metrics, such as GDP, also matter, but during this period, the CPI holds less value for assessing the economic landscape. In my opinion, it’s just a matter of when the recession will occur. We’ll need to wait for a few key indicators over the next two to three months. This article is meant for everyone to evaluate the current economic situation. The next article will update on asset classes like Gold, BTC, and stocks, and how they might perform during a recession." Let me know if you need further assistance!
TVC:DXYShort
by Finn_Rm3x
XAUUSD 18/9/2024 gold price has ended the correction? Looking at H1, we have a sharp and fast-moving wave 3, followed by a corrective wave 4 - According to the Elliot wave principle, wave 2 is simple, wave 4 is complex and takes more time, so we are in wave 4. - I temporarily label the small waves in wave 4 so that we can predict the end of wave 4 - Currently, looking at the price target of wave 4, we have the price range of 2565 - 2562 and the second target price range is the range of 2451 - 2448 - Looking at the structure of wave 4, we have a complex structure consisting of a Flat wave combined with a zigzag structure WXY. Looking at the wave 4 structure, we see that the correction structure may be sufficient and we expect the price to continue to increase according to wave 5 - The correction process of wave 4 is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks out through the 2590.188 zone, then we have the target zones of wave 5 above, which are the 2600 - 2603 zone and the 2616 - 2619 zone Our trading plan BUY ZONE: 2565 - 2562 SL: 2555 TP1: 2579 TP2: 2590 TP3: 2600 BUY ZONE: 2451 - 2448 SL: 2441 TP1: 2561 TP2: 2579 TP3: 2590 SELL ZONE: 2600 - 2603 SL: 2700 TP1: 2590 TP2: 2579 TP3: 2565 SELL ZONE: 2616 - 2619 SL: 2716 TP1: 2600 TP2: 2590 TP3: 2579
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD 1H SELL PROJECTION 18.09.24old buyers regain control, as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains comfortably above the 50 level, having eased off from near the overbought territory. The optimism prevails so long as they defend the one-and-a-half-month-old symmetrical triangle target now support at $2,560. That said, the immediate resistance is seen at the record high of $2,590, above which the $2,600 level will be tested. Acceptance above that level will call for a test of the $2,650 psychological barrier. If the Fed disappoints the doves, Gold price could witness a fresh sell-off, which could challenge the August 20 high of $2,532. Additional declines will threaten the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,522, below which the $2,500 mark will be on sellers’ radars.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
1
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
FX:XAUUSDShort
by tradergyan01
Gold for the week 16th sep to 20th sep 2024.Gold is technically long above 2530. Wait for a fall till 2560 and if it retraces and forms a green candle in 4hr time frame then buy above the high of the Candle Sell below the low of the day candle close below 2530 Movement is based on FED's interest rate decision. My view is that FED may cut 0.50 basis point since the American economy is on the edge of falling into a recession. Disclaimer. The above views are my own and for educational purpose. You may do you own analysis before taking a position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
XAUUSD 4H SWING SELL PROJECTION 13.09.24Technical Reason for Gold Sell You're looking for technical reasons to sell gold. Here are a few: 1. Overbought conditions: If gold's Relative Strength Index (RSI) exceeds 70, it may be due for a correction. 2. Trend line break: A break below a key trend line, like the 50-day moving average, could signal a sell. 3. Chart patterns: A head and shoulders pattern or a double top could indicate a reversal. 4. Fundamental changes: A strengthening US dollar, rising interest rates, or improved economic conditions could reduce gold's appeal. Keep in mind that technical analysis is not foolproof, and it's essential to combine it with fundamental analysis and market news. Would you like more information on gold trading?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
2
XAUUSD 12/9/2024 will the gold price continue to decrease Looking at H1, we see a complete Elliot structure has been completed including 5 main waves and 3 abc correction waves, I used purple to symbolize on the chart - Following a complete structure is a new trend that coincides with the main trend with a 5-wave structure - Currently, we predict that wave 1 in the new trend has been completed and wave 2 is being completed - The target area of ​​wave 2 I measured at the area of ​​2508 - 2505, we will use this price area as the target to BUY up according to wave 3 - At that time, we measure the target of wave 3 at least at the area of ​​2538 - 2541 and this price area will be our Sell target to catch the wave 4 correction down - I still reserve a case that the current price wave 2 continues to adjust according to the abc structure that has not ended, then we will have a target BUY at 2494 - 2491 Trading Plan BUY ZONE: 2508 - 2505 SL: 2498 TP1: 2516 TP2: 2525 TP3: 2532 BUY ZONE: 2494 - 2491 SL: 2484 TP1: 2500 TP2: 2508 TP3: 2520 SELL ZONE: 2538 - 2541 SL: 2548 TP1: 2531 TP2: 2525 TP3: 2517
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDGOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
FX:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION Reason for Bullish Interest Rate Cuts and Economic Indicators Two Federal Reserve policymakers voiced their opinion on Tuesday, stating it would be “reasonable” to expect three interest rate cuts in the U.S. within the year. This perspective comes despite a backdrop of robust economic indicators, which have led some investors to question the feasibility of such moves. The anticipation of interest rate adjustments is a critical factor influencing financial markets and investment strategies. Surge in Gold Prices The price of gold has surged over 10% since the start of the year, cementing its status as a preferred hedge against inflation and a sanctuary amid political and economic uncertainty. This significant uptick is largely due to considerable purchases by central banks and a rising demand for safe-haven assets. Gold and Silver Prices Today As of April 5th, 2024, the precious metals market has observed noteworthy movements. Gold prices have reached new highs, driven by global trends and market dynamics, reflecting the continuous appeal of gold as an investment. U.S. Economic Outlook Recent data indicates a slowdown in the growth of the U.S. services industry for March, with a concurrent reduction in the prices businesses pay for inputs, hitting a four-year low. These developments suggest a potentially favorable outlook for inflation, influencing investment decisions and monetary policy.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD 15M ASCENDING TRIANGLE BUY PROJECTION 09.09.24Reason for Bullish Key Takeaways The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows. Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically break out of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle, although this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy. A long trade is taken if the price breaks above the top of the pattern. A short trade is taken if the price breaks below the lower trendline. A stop loss is typically placed just outside the pattern on the opposite side from the breakout. A profit target is calculated by taking the height of the triangle, at its thickest point, and adding or subtracting that to/from the breakout point.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Gold Price Analysis September 6Fundamental Analysis Gold prices attracted some buyers for the third straight day on Friday and traded near weekly highs heading into the European session. However, the gains lacked bullish sentiment as investors opted to wait for the release of the key US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report before placing any fresh bets. Meanwhile, rising bets for more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September weighed on the US Dollar (USD) for the third straight day and provided some support to the non-yielding yellow metal. Meanwhile, a mixed batch of US employment data released this week suggested the labour market is losing momentum and raised concerns about the health of the economy. This, coupled with persistent geopolitical tensions, dampened investor appetite for riskier assets and turned out to be another factor that acted as a driver of safe-haven Gold prices. However, it would be wise to wait for some follow-through buying before positioning for an extension of the two-day uptrend ahead of key US macro data risks. Technical Analysis Gold is looking to make an ATH in today’s US session. The re-approach to the 2523 zone in yesterday’s evening session and the liquid pullback to the 2508 zone and back to the top as the European session began have prompted investors to buy to push prices higher in the US session. The key price zone of 2526 on the breakout in today’s European session is definitely a new all-time high for Gold. Gold will at least reach 2526 or 2533 before a sharp decline. Now the US session begins and gold pushes down first, the US's upward force will be greater and it is possible to reach the sell zone of 254x. Resistance: 2526 - 2532 - 2542 - 2555 Support: 2493 - 2485 - 2472 - 2461 - 2454 - 2440 SELL price zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536 BUY price zone 2499 - 2497 stoploss 2492 BUY price zone 2460 - 2462 stoploss 2456
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD/GOLD NFP NEWS FORCAST 06.09.24The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report is a monthly US labor market indicator that measures the number of jobs added or lost in the previous month. The NFP report is released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is usually available on the first Friday of each month. The NFP report is a significant economic indicator that can have a big impact on the global financial markets. Here are some reasons why the NFP report is important: Forex market The NFP report is one of the most significant news announcements in the foreign exchange (forex) market, causing large movements in the market. Interest rate policy The Federal Reserve pays close attention to the NFP report when setting interest rate policy. Economic expansion Increasing NFP numbers may indicate economic expansion, but they may also be a sign of inflation. Economic concerns Decreasing NFP numbers may indicate broader economic concerns. There are two ways to trade the NFP report: Before the release Use deductive reasoning to predict the market's direction before the NFP number is released.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD 6/9/2024 Where will the uptrend end? Looking at H1 we are seeing a 5-wave bullish structure forming, - Currently looking at the price data, the wave 4 structure is forming, the completion of wave 4 and wave 5 are confirmed when the price breaks through 2523, then we have the confirmation of wave 5. - After a 5-wave structure will be an adjustment according to the 3-wave ABC structure. - I have estimated the wave 5 target at the price range of 2530 - 2533, which is also our SELL target - Then the ABC correction structure has a target to end at the price range of 2500 - 2497, which will be our BUY target. - I still do not rule out the possibility that the big correction wave has not been completed yet, then the target of wave C that I mentioned in the previous plan is the price zone of 2464 - 2467, which will be our BUY target when the price breaks through 2472 Our trading plan will trade according to the ABC downtrend and wait for the ABC downtrend structure to complete, then we will BUY up Trading plan SELL ZONE: 2530 -2533 SL: 2540 TP1: 2523 TP2: 2518 TP3: 2509 BUY ZONE: 2500 - 2497 SL: 2400 TP1: 2518 TP2: 2523 TP3: 2530 BUY ZONE: 2467 - 2464 SL: 2457 TP1: 2482 TP2: 2493 TP3: 2518
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD 4/9/2024 complex correction has ended? Looking at H1, the complex correction process will create very difficult conditions for determining the specific structure of the wave. In such a situation, we will rely on the Fibonacci measure to determine the target price zones for the end of the entire correction process based on the previous up wave. - With such an approach, I will determine the target price levels for this correction downtrend. - Looking at the chart, we have a temporary 5-wave structure formed. We will rely on this combined with Fibonacci to set up trading zones - Case 1 if wave 5 has ended, then we expect the price zone 2482 - 2479 to BUY Case 2 if the price breaks below 2473, then the price zone ending wave 5 will be the price zone 2464 - 2467 - Above the strong supply zone 2510 - 2507 has not been broken yet, so this is still our target to SELL - Next is the zone 2515 - 2518, this is the strong supply zone above that we choose to place a SELL order/ Trading plan BUY ZONE: 2482 - 2479 SL: 2472 TP1: 2492 TP2: 2582 TP3: 2499 BUY ZONE: 2464 - 2467 SL: 2454 TP1: 2478 TP2: 2492 TP3: 2499 SELL ZONE: 2510 - 2507 SL: 2520 TP1: 2510 TP2: 2491 TP3: 2482 SELL ZONE: 2515 - 2518 SL: 2525 TP1: 2510 TP2: 2491 TP 3: 2482
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD 2560Golden Information Gold prices fell during the North American session as traders returned to their desks following the Labor Day holiday. Data from the United States (US) hinted that business activity contracted, though traders bought the Greenback. The XAU/USD trades at $2,490, down 0.34%. Gold prices fall despite stronger US Dollar amid economic slowdown signs. US ISM Manufacturing PMI remains in contraction; employment sub-component improvement offers market some relief. Despite a drop in 10-year Treasury yields to 3.84%, Gold only briefly recovers after dipping to $2,473. Price Tag 1. >>2440>>> 2. >>2535>>> 3. >>Short-term up>>2630
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AngelScalping
XAUUSD STRONGINTRO Current Status 1.Gold prices fall despite stronger US Dollar amid economic slowdown signs. 2.US ISM Manufacturing PMI remains in contraction; employment sub-component improvement offers market some relief. 3.Despite a drop in 10-year Treasury yields to 3.84%, Gold only briefly recovers after dipping to $2,473. Gold price is upwardly biased, even though momentum shifted in sellers’ favor and opened the door for a drop to $2,470. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hints that buyers are in charge, but in the near term the yellow metal could weaken. In that event, if XAU/USD drops below $2,500, the next support would be the August 22 low at $2,470. Once surpassed, the next stop would be the confluence of the August 15 swing low and the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near the $2,427-$2,431 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AngelScalping
4