Get started

Xauusdupdates

XAUUSD June 3, 2024 Gold's target zone?We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone. As Friday passes, the market eagerly awaits the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index to be announced later. It is expected to show moderate price pressure in April, which would support the case for a rate cut later this year. Anticipation of interest rate cuts is favorable for gold as a non-yielding asset. Looking at H1, we see that the price dropped sharply last weekend. Currently the price is in the 2330 area - Looking at RSI, we see the phenomenon of bottom divergence. This signals that the immediate selling force has weakened. Maybe the downward momentum will no longer be strong - Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is currently completing wave 5 - We have wave 5 targets which are 2 price zones: 2317.6 and 2311.5 - Looking at the momentum indicator, we see that the momentum is currently in the overbought zone and could reverse at any time. - We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
31ST MAY GOLD ANALYSISTo analyze the gold price scenario where it corrects before rising to target levels of $2,357 to $2,362, where a selling strategy could be implemented with a stop-loss (SL) of 5 points below the entry price, we need to consider several factors that influence gold prices. This includes technical analysis and market sentiments. Technical Analysis Trend Analysis: If gold prices are trending upwards, the correction might be a retracement in a larger bullish trend. Tools like Fibonacci retracement levels can help identify potential support levels during corrections. Resistance Levels: The specified target prices ($2,357 to $2,362) must be analyzed within the context of historical resistance levels. If these prices have previously acted as resistance, they may do so again. Volume and Momentum: Volume during the rise should be observed; increasing volume can confirm the strength behind the upward movement. Momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or the MACD can provide insights into whether the gold price is overbought or oversold during these phases. Moving Averages: Using moving averages (like the 50-day or 200-day) can help smooth out price data to identify the general direction of the market trend and potential reversal points. Market Sentiments Geopolitical Events: Events like economic sanctions, elections, or military conflicts can affect market sentiment and influence gold prices. Economic Data: Releases such as inflation reports, employment data, and GDP growth can impact investor behavior towards safe-haven assets like gold. Central Bank Actions: Decisions on interest rates or comments from central bank officials can lead to market movements. Strategy Implementation Entry Point: Determining the entry point during the correction phase is crucial. It should ideally be at a significant support level where the price is expected to rebound. Stop-Loss (SL): Placing the SL at a price 5 points below the entry level is a risk management technique to minimize potential losses should the market move against your position. Take Profit (TP): Setting the selling point at $2,357 to $2,362 based on prior resistance levels allows for profit realization before potential pullbacks. Risk Management Risk/Reward Ratio: Ensure that the potential reward justifies the risk being taken. A common approach is to aim for a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:2. Position Sizing: Calculate the appropriate position size based on how much of your total capital you are willing to risk on a single trade. Conclusion Implementing this strategy requires monitoring the market closely for signs that support the hypothesis of a correction followed by a rise. Always be prepared to adjust the strategy based on new market data and economic indicators.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuruTop
3rd June Gold AnalysisTo create a focused analysis for a sell plan strategy on gold using the Smart Money Concept (SMC) indicator, especially considering the ongoing strong downtrend, we'll consider the current market dynamics, how the SMC indicator can guide decisions, and outline a specific strategic approach referred to as "2331-2336". Current Gold Market Dynamics The price of gold is influenced by a myriad of factors. Key among these are: US Dollar Strength: Typically, gold moves inversely to the U.S. dollar. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand. Interest Rates: Rising interest rates can lead to lower gold prices as investors seek yield-bearing assets. Economic Confidence: Improved economic outlooks often draw investors away from gold, which is considered a safe haven during uncertainty. Technical Factors: Technical selling can be triggered when gold breaks key support levels, leading to further declines.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuruTop
XAUUSD week 1 June 2024 US economy going down?1. US Q1 GDP was revised down due to weak consumer spending. 3. Israel will not end the conflict to reach an agreement to release all hostages. 4. OPEC+ is working on a complex production cut agreement for the period 2024-2025. 5. US April pending home sales suffered the largest decline in three years. With important information last week we see - The US economy is under strong pressure from the Fed's tightening monetary policy. - Besides, OPEC cutting oil production will push oil prices up and when oil prices increase, gold also increases. - The continued escalation of the Israeli conflict will push gold prices higher. Looking at H4 we see - After news of PCE, gold price increased sharply then decreased, completely negating the previous increase and breaking 2323 stone. - The 2323 price range was broken, invalidating our previous wave counting process with the expectation that the correction had ended. So with the 2323 price range being broken, the correction process is still continuing. - So it is possible that the price will continue to complete the target of wave 5 at the price range 2317 and 2311. - We have the 2465 zone which confirms wave 5 has completed when the price surpasses this zone - Next week we will wait for the price reaction in these areas to conduct buying transactions. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD May 31, 2024 gold price reaches correction target?Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals. The news was announced yesterday Preliminary GDP news is 1.3%, lower than expected 1.6% Applications for unemployment benefits were 219k, higher than the previous period's 216k News that pending home sales are down 7.7% Yesterday's news indicators are showing that the US economy is facing difficulties due to the Fed's monetary policy control. Looking back a bit, we see that the CPI (Consumer Price Index) this period has decreased compared to the previous period. Tonight, the PCI (Personal Consumption Index) will be announced. If this index cools down, US inflation should have a good signal. This will contribute to helping the FED loosen its current monetary policy. The goal of tightening monetary policy is to ensure inflation reaches 2%, and when tightening monetary policy, raising interest rates will cause the economy to stagnate. Therefore, if US inflation has shown signs of cooling down while the economy is showing signs of stagnation, it is necessary for the Fed to consider policies to ensure a balance between economic goals and inflation goals. . Looking at the H1 chart, we see that the first target of wave 5 was achieved, then the price rebounded. - After the price bounces back, it is still early to say the correction has ended because the correction is confirmed to end when the price closes above 2450. But at least we will expect a price increase to the target. 2400 next week. - Currently we have price that has completed wave 1 as shown on the chart and is completing wave 2. We have a very good buying target which is the price range from 2337 to 2332. Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD on May 30, 2024, the rally is about to beginWith the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5. Today will release news on unemployment claims, preliminary GDP, and pending home sales, with forecasts worse than last period, if tonight's actual index reflects correctly. This seems to signal that the US economy is being affected by monetary policy due to maintaining current high interest rates. Tomorrow is an important day to announce the PCI index (Index of price changes and consumer goods purchased by consumers excluding food and energy). If this index cools down, it could influence the Fed to loosen current monetary policy. Looking back over recent times, we see that the CPI inflation index has begun to show signs of decreasing, combined with economic pressure that may cause the Fed to decide to loosen its monetary policy, especially tomorrow if PCI index cooled down. Looking at H1, we see that the price has completed wave 4 and is continuing to complete wave 5. - We see that the current price has broken below the supply and demand balance zone as shown on the chart - With the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5. - We wait for the price to reach the 2322.7 or 2311.5 areas to find reversal signals to decide to buy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
30th MAY GOLD ANALYSISCurrent Market Overview Gold prices often fluctuate based on various macroeconomic factors, including inflation rates, currency values, and geopolitical events. Before diving into a specific trading strategy, it's crucial to consider the current global economic environment and how it might influence gold prices. Strategy Details Buy Zone: 2330 - 2325 Rationale : This range is identified as a potential buy zone. It may represent a technical support level where buyers historically enter the market, pushing prices up. The analysis should confirm this with recent price action or patterns indicating that this range is a strong support level. Stop Loss: Below the order block Rationale : Setting a stop loss just below the order block minimizes potential losses if the market does not react as expected. The order block refers to a price area where historical trades have shown significant buying or selling activity, potentially acting as a barrier against further price drops. Profit Target: 2346 Rationale : The target of 2346 provides a good potential for profit compared to the risk taken. This level could be identified based on previous resistance levels or using technical analysis tools like Fibonacci extensions or pivot points. Risk to Reward Ratio: 1: 2.5 Calculation : Assuming an entry at the midpoint of the buy zone (2327.5) and a stop loss at around 2323, this sets up a risk of approximately 4.5 points. With a target at 2346, the reward is 18.5 points, yielding a risk to reward ratio of approximately 1:2.5. This ratio implies that the potential reward on the trade is 2.5 times the risk, which is attractive for many traders looking for prudent yet profitable setups.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingGuruTop
XAUUSD May 29, 2024 Is the upward correction over?Looking at the current H1, we see that the price has reached the first target of wave 4 Looking at the preliminary forecast of US economic indicators tomorrow night we see. - Prelim GDP q/q decreased from 1.6% to 1.2% - Unemployment Claims increased from 215K to 218K - Pending Home Sales m/m decreased 3.4% to -1.1% US economic indicators show that the economic situation appears to be weakening due to tightened monetary policies. Maintaining high interest rates today makes it difficult for people and businesses to access capital, leading to a decrease in people's demand for housing consumption, in addition to pushing up raw material prices, leading to increased commodity prices. making it difficult to maintain operations of factories, leading to an increase in people applying for unemployment benefits. This continues to put pressure on the Fed to loosen monetary policy in the near future. Looking at the current H1, we see that the price has reached the first target of wave 4 and the price is reacting sideways in this area. If the price breaks below the 2352 area and then recovers without exceeding the previous peak area, this is a very good sell down signal. - If the price rises above the 2364 area, we wait for the target wave number 2 of wave 4 to find a sell signal. - After the price completes wave 4, it will continue to trend with wave 5. From the current data, we will get the expected targets of wave 5 at target zone 1 at 2322 and target 2 at zone 2311. - In the target areas of wave 5, we will find suitable conditions to enter a BUY order Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
29th MAY GOLD ANALYSISCurrent Price Movement Support Zone: 2348 - 2343 Resistance Level: 2370 Correction Phase: 2348 - 2343 The gold price is expected to correct downwards to the support zone between 2348 and 2343. Reasons for Correction: Profit-taking by short-term traders. Testing previous support levels to establish a stronger base for the next upward move. The gold price is currently undergoing a correction phase within the support zone of 2348 - 2343. It is expected to rebound and test the resistance at 2370 if the technical indicators align with the bullish scenario. Continuous monitoring of the moving averages, RSI, MACD, and volume will provide insights into the strength and direction of the next price movement. This analysis should be supplemented with up-to-date market news and fundamental factors that could impact gold prices, such as economic data releases and geopolitical developments.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingGuruTop
2
28th May GOLD ANALYSISCurrent Market Overview: Gold is currently exhibiting a fluctuating trend influenced by a mix of global economic factors, including interest rate decisions by major central banks, geopolitical tensions, and fluctuations in the U.S. dollar. As of the latest data, gold prices are trading within a range, showing both bullish and bearish signals. Technical Analysis: Gold's price action suggests a potential for both upward and downward movement within specified zones. Key technical indicators such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Fibonacci retracement levels are being considered to determine optimal entry and exit points. Trade Plan Sell Zone: 2366-2370 Entry Point: Initiate sell orders within the range of 2366 to 2370. Rationale: This zone is identified as a potential resistance level where selling pressure is expected to increase. Historical price action shows multiple rejections at this level, suggesting a strong sell-off point. Buy Zone: 2338-2341 Entry Point: Initiate buy orders within the range of 2338 to 2341. Rationale: This zone is identified as a potential support level where buying pressure is expected to increase. Historical price action indicates strong buying interest at this level, making it a strategic entry point for long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingGuruTop
XAUUSD May 28, 2024 How will gold inflation cool down?We can observe the expected target areas above to find reversal signals to enter a sell order. With recent signs of cooling inflation and the fact that the US economy in particular has been directly impacted by high interest rates, the employment rate has decreased. These things will make the Fed's statements no longer resolute in maintaining high interest rates. In addition, the European central bank ECB also announced data to support the interest rate cut in June. Signals show that gold will continue to be supported in the near future to continue its upward price trend. Looking at H1, we see that wave 4 is about to complete. With the price data from the morning of the previous day, we measured the price target at the 2351-2355 range, but now that we have new price data, we have more information. The 2 new target areas are area 2362.5 and area 2371 - Plus the momentum in the H4 frame is still in the overbought zone, this shows that the upward price momentum is showing signs of weakening, besides the H1 momentum is increasing and is also about to approach the oversold zone. reinforces the goals of wave 4 - We can observe the expected target areas above to find reversal signals to enter a sell order. Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD 1H BUY PROJECTION 28.05.24KEY POINTS: U.S. PCE data due on Friday Traders price in about 62% chance of rate-cut by November Vietnam's central bank to stop domestic gold auctions Gold prices held steady on Tuesday as the dollar eased, while investors looked forward to key U.S. inflation data that could offer clues on how soon the Federal Reserve can cut interest rates. Spot gold GOLD was flat at $2,350.85 per ounce, as of 0350 GMT, after rising about 1% in the previous session. U.S. gold futures GOLD rose 0.8% to $2,352.00.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Update Gold Analysis 23rd May Overview During the Tokyo trading session, gold experienced a dramatic fall, dropping from $2375 to $2355. This sharp decline suggests significant selling pressure and potential shifts in market sentiment. In response to this movement, traders should look for opportunities to enter the market at strategic sell zones, with each trade targeting 50 pips away to manage risk effectively. Technical Analysis Sharp Decline in Tokyo Session: Support and Resistance Levels: The decline from $2375 to $2355 indicates a strong resistance level at $2375 and a new support level at $2355. This movement sets the stage for identifying potential sell zones. Market Sentiment: Such a sharp drop often reflects a shift in market sentiment, possibly due to macroeconomic news, geopolitical developments, or changes in investor risk appetite. Identifying Sell Zones: Sell Zone Definition: In this context, a sell zone is an area on the chart where the price is likely to encounter resistance and reverse direction. Given the recent decline, potential sell zones can be identified near previous support levels that may now act as resistance. Strategic Entry Points: Based on the current price action, look for sell opportunities around $2365 to $2370, close to the previous support level at $2375. If the price retraces to these levels, it could provide an optimal entry point for short positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuruTop
May 24th GOLD ANALYSISOn May 24th, the price of gold continues to show a downward trend. This analysis focuses on the one-hour timeframe, utilizing the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) to guide our trading strategy. Technical Analysis Trend Analysis: Overall Trend: The price of gold is in a bearish trend, continuing to decline over recent sessions. 200 EMA as Resistance: The 200 EMA on the one-hour chart is acting as a resistance level. This indicates that any upward movements are likely to face selling pressure around this average. Entry Strategy: Sell Zone: We have identified the sell zone between 2347 and 2350. This range is chosen because it aligns with the 200 EMA resistance level on the one-hour chart. Entry Point: Plan to initiate sell orders when the price enters this zone. This ensures that we are selling at a potential peak before the price resumes its downward trend. Risk Management: Stop Loss: A stop loss of 50 pips is set to manage risk. This means that if the price moves against us by 50 pips, the trade will be automatically closed to prevent further losses. Stop Loss Placement: Place the stop loss 50 pips above the entry point, ensuring that it is outside the typical noise level and minor fluctuations of the market. Market Conditions and Factors Economic Indicators: Keep an eye on economic indicators and news that might impact gold prices. For instance, reports on inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical events can cause significant price movements. Market Sentiment: Sentiment analysis through news and financial reports can give additional context on whether the bearish trend might continue or reverse. Conclusion The plan to sell gold at the EMA 200 on the one-hour timeframe within the sell zone of 2347 - 2350, with a stop loss of 50 pips, is a strategic approach given the current downward trend. This method aims to capitalize on the resistance provided by the EMA 200 while managing risk effectively through a tight stop loss. By adhering to this plan, we aim to profit from the continuation of the bearish trend while safeguarding against unexpected market reversals. As always, it's crucial to monitor market conditions continuously and adjust strategies as necessary.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuruTop
XAUUSD on May 23 2024 fluctuated strongly after the Fed meeting?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone. Financial freedom is true freedom. Yesterday the Fed meeting with its published content showed - The data shows that commodity prices have increased significantly recently, which indicates that inflation is increasing. - Fed says inflation may take longer to fall - The current federal funds rate is enough to slow US economic activity and reduce inflation With such announcements, it appears that the prospect of interest rate cuts expected by the Fed this year may be changed. When this information was announced yesterday, it immediately pushed gold prices down sharply yesterday session to 2370. Look at H1 - Wave c is the last corrective wave of the abc corrective wave, the structure of wave c includes 5 small waves - The strong and sharp price decrease last night can be said to be wave 3 in wave c being formed. - We expect that the expected target of wave 3 is level 2365 and level 2345 - Then there could be a small correction to complete wave 4 before continuing to complete wave 5 as well as wave c of the correction. - We observe the formation of wave 4 ending to determine the target of wave 5 as well as wave c of the correction Trading plan We continue to observe the completion of wave 3 and wait for the end of wave 4 to determine the target of wave 5 to buy. Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DEEKOP
23rd May Analysis of Gold Price Overview On May 22nd, the price of gold experienced a notable decline, falling from $2415 to $2375. This sharp movement could be attributed to various market factors, including economic data releases, changes in investor sentiment, or geopolitical events. As we look at the price action on May 23rd, gold is anticipated to retest the $2397-$2400 zone. However, there is a prediction that it may fail to establish a head and shoulders pattern, indicating potential future movements. Technical Analysis Price Decline on May 22nd: Support and Resistance Levels: The sharp decline from $2415 to $2375 suggests that there was a strong resistance at the $2415 level, which sellers capitalized on, pushing the price down to $2375, a significant support level. Volume and Momentum: It's crucial to analyze the trading volume during this decline. High volume on the way down indicates strong selling pressure, which might suggest a continuation of the downtrend if the buyers do not step in. Retest of $2397-$2400 Zone: Importance of the Zone: The $2397-$2400 zone is a critical area. If gold manages to break above this zone, it could signal a potential reversal or continuation of the uptrend. Conversely, if it fails to break through, it might indicate that the downtrend will persist. Indicators to Watch: Pay attention to key technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). These will provide insights into the strength and momentum of the price movement. Head and Shoulders Pattern: Pattern Characteristics: The head and shoulders pattern is a classic reversal pattern that signals a potential change in trend direction. A successful pattern consists of a peak (head) between two lower peaks (shoulders) and a neckline that connects the lows. Prediction of Failure: If the price fails to break above the $2397-$2400 zone and does not complete the head and shoulders pattern, it could indicate that the bears are still in control. This failure might lead to further declines, potentially testing lower support levels such as $2350 or $2300. Conclusion The price action on May 23rd is crucial for understanding the future direction of gold. The retest of the $2397-$2400 zone will be a significant indicator of whether gold can regain its upward momentum or continue its recent downtrend. Traders should closely monitor the price action, volume, and technical indicators to make informed decisions. A failure to break through the critical zone and establish a head and shoulders pattern could signal further bearishness in the gold market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuruTop
XAUUSD May 22, 2024 Is the current correction over?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone. Financial freedom is true freedom. Yesterday there were many statements from members of the Fed 1. Fed's Jefferson says it's too early to know whether deflation will last. 2. Fed's Mester says economic conditions do not support three rate cuts. 3. Fed's Bostic expects only one rate cut this year. The main content is to maintain the increase in interest rates. This information continues to support the current adjustment period Looking at the H1 chart we see - The current correction process is likely to be an abcde triangle correction wave model. - This process is likely entering the final stage of the correction. Looking at the price model, we wait for wave e to form to end the correction. - The correction process is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks through the peak of wave d (2433.8), then the price continues to increase to the target of 2500 Trading plan If price stays above 2406 we have a good buying zone at 2408 If the price breaks down to 2406 we have a good buying zone at 2401 Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
How much will the price of XAUUSD drop on May 21, 2024?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone. Financial freedom is true freedom. The war between Russia and Ukraine has not yet found a voice at the negotiating table, plus President Putin's recent visit to China further shows that Russia will not make concessions to Nato. And recently both Russia and Ukraine rejected the French president's call for a ceasefire during the Olympics in Paris on May 17. These moves further demonstrate tensions in the geopolitical situation The US economy, after a long period of maintaining high interest rates to control inflation, has led to a situation where the economy is showing signs of weakening, although it is not yet in a recession, but with the leading economic index falling. of the US fell 0.6% MoM in April following an uncontrolled 0.3% decline in March. Weaker consumer outlook on business conditions, weaker new orders , negative interest rate differentials and falling new construction permits fueled April's decline. It suggests weaker US economic conditions going forward. With such potential risks, Gold will continue to set new ATHs until the above conditions are resolved. Use the Elliot wave principle to evaluate the situation on the H1 chart - Yesterday gold created a new ATH at 2450, this is the target area of wave 5 that we launched. - Then the price dropped to 2408 and recovered slightly to 2436, so we have the current gold price in the ABC correction wave. - Looking at H1, we see that wave a and wave b are likely to have completed and currently the gold price is completing wave c of the correction. - The expected price range of wave c has 2 target areas: area 2397 and area 2381, this is the target for the end of wave c. Plan to trade when the price approaches the 2397 or 2381 zone Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
GOLD PREDICTION THIS WEEK 14/5- 18/5At the start of the week, gold prices saw a decline due to stronger U.S. Treasury yields and a rebound in the U.S. dollar. This led to a moderate pullback from its recent peaks, although the price of gold still remains relatively high historically, influenced by persistent economic and geopolitical uncertainties. Analysts predict that gold prices may rise later in the year. Anticipated rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, as inflation decreases from its recent highs, could lower the real yield on U.S. Treasuries, enhancing the attractiveness of gold as an asset that does not yield interest. Additionally, factors like ongoing global conflicts and market fluctuations typically boost the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingGuruTop
GOLD ON 17TH MAY 2024Current Market Situation Gold prices have been experiencing a bullish trend, recently approaching the resistance zone of 2397-2400. This movement is significant as it indicates a potential test of this critical resistance level. Scenario 1: Immediate Upward Movement In the first scenario, gold continues its upward trajectory and tests the 2397-2400 resistance zone. This scenario is plausible due to several factors: Global Economic Uncertainty: Ongoing economic uncertainties, including inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and fluctuating interest rates, often drive investors towards safe-haven assets like gold. Weakening Dollar: A weaker US dollar makes gold cheaper for investors holding other currencies, thus increasing demand and pushing prices higher. Technical Indicators: Technical analysis may show bullish signals such as rising moving averages or positive momentum indicators, supporting the case for an immediate test of the resistance zone. If gold successfully breaches the 2397-2400 resistance, it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, potentially leading to new highs. Scenario 2: Retracement to 2370 Before Rising In the second scenario, gold experiences a retracement to 2370 before resuming its upward movement. This scenario can occur due to the following reasons: Profit-Taking: After a significant rise, investors may take profits, causing a temporary pullback in prices. Technical Resistance: The 2397-2400 zone may act as a strong resistance, leading to a short-term correction as the market digests recent gains. Market Sentiment: Changes in market sentiment, such as positive economic data or policy shifts, could cause a brief decline in gold prices. If gold finds support at 2370 and holds, it would likely attract buyers looking for an entry point, leading to a rebound and another attempt to test the 2397-2400 resistance zone. Strategic Implications For traders and investors, both scenarios offer potential opportunities: Scenario 1: A break above 2397-2400 could be seen as a buying signal, with potential for further gains. Scenario 2: A pullback to 2370 could be an opportunity to buy at a lower level, anticipating a rebound. Risk management is crucial in both scenarios, with stop-loss orders and position sizing helping to mitigate potential losses. Conclusion Gold's price movement is influenced by a complex interplay of economic factors, technical indicators, and market sentiment. Monitoring these elements closely will be essential for making informed trading decisions. Whether gold continues to rise immediately or retraces to 2370 before moving up, both scenarios present potential trading opportunities in the current market environment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingGuruTop
XAUUSD May 20, 2024 What is the target of this price increase?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone. Financial freedom is true freedom. Last week, the Russian president's visit to China will have two purposes: first, Russia and China create cooperation, which will make Russia's war in Ukraine continue to take place according to Russia's plan after the With China's support, the war in the Middle East and the factions supported by these two countries will gain more momentum. Second, these two countries are key members of the BRICS bloc. This visit will create momentum for the bloc to continue buying Gold to strengthen the bloc's common currency that is about to be released. In addition, with last week's announcement of US economic indicators, we see a decrease in the number of applications for unemployment benefits in the context of a continuous decline in the labor market, and at the same time the CPI index is at a high level. This shows that the American people are gradually adapting to the current economic situation, which will create confidence for the Fed to at least keep interest rates high to restrain inflation. So we see that the current volatile world situation is having a stronger impact on gold prices than the US economic index. Looking at the H1 graph based on the Elliot wave principle, we see - The price is at the end of wave 5. After measuring the target forecast for the end of wave 5, we have potential target areas that are 2444 and 2460. - After wave 5 ends, we expect an ABC correction before continuing the uptrend - The corrective wave target is expected to launch from the peaks of wave 5. We have 2 expected targets: area 2400 and area 2380. But according to the Elliot wave principle, corrective waves are often very complicated and take a long time. Trading plan In the Sell plan, we align the important price zones at 2444 and 2460 In our Buy plan, we watch the important price zones at 2400 and 2380 Scalping strategies are applied when the upper resistance - support area provides an entry signal. Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DEEKOP
20 MAY 2024 GOLD ANALYSISTechnical Analysis Support and Resistance Levels: Support Level at $2400: This level has proven to be a strong support as prices have rebounded after reaching this level. It indicates that there is significant buying interest at this price point. Resistance Levels: As gold moves up, the next resistance levels to watch would be around $2450 and $2500. These are psychological levels and previous highs where selling pressure might appear. Trend Analysis: Short-Term Trend: The short-term trend shows a bounce from the support level, indicating potential for a bullish phase. Medium to Long-Term Trend: If gold maintains its momentum above $2420 and breaks through the resistance at $2450, it could signal the beginning of a longer-term uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingGuruTop