XAUUSD/GOLD Unemployment Claims 18.09.25XAUUSD/Gold – Unemployment Claims (18.09.25):
Current Price Zone: Gold is trading around $3,668.81.
Trading Idea: The chart suggests a buying opportunity if the U.S. unemployment claims data comes out negative (worse than expected).
Key Levels:
Major Resistance R1 → Around $3,685 – $3,690
Breakout and retest of this level signals a buy entry.
Resistance 2 – Yesterday’s High & News High → Around $3,710
Acts as the next upside target after breakout.
Resistance 3 – Expected New ATH → Around $3,736 – $3,740
This is the final bullish target if momentum sustains.
Strategy:
Plan A (Main Setup):
Wait for breakout above R1 (3,690) → Enter buy trade on retest.
Ride the move towards R2 (3,710) and possibly R3 (3,736–3,740).
Confirmation Zone:
If news is negative for USD, gold is expected to rally strongly (bullish bias).
Risk Management:
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3,680 zone, as marked in the red area.
Take Profit (TP): Stepwise at 3,710 → 3,736 → 3,740.
👉 In summary: The chart indicates a news-driven bullish breakout plan — gold buys are favored if the data weakens the USD, with targets up to 3,740.
Xauusdupdates
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 18.09.25The 1-hour chart of Gold shows a recent V pattern formation, signaling a strong bullish reversal after a sharp drop.
A downtrend breakout is confirmed, supported by a Three White Soldiers pattern, strengthening the bullish momentum.
Entry Zone: Around 3,668 (current price).
Support (S1): 3,655 – strong demand zone where buyers are likely to defend.
Resistance (R1): 3,685 – key target level for this bullish move.
Risk-to-Reward Setup: Stop-loss below support (S1) at 3,655, with take-profit at resistance (R1) near 3,685.
🔑 Conclusion: Gold (XAUUSD) is showing bullish signs with breakout confirmation. As long as price holds above support at 3,655, the projection favors upside movement towards 3,685.
Gold's U-Turn: A Dive into Fundamentals & Trading StrategyHello, fellow traders! The gold market's moves last night were absolutely wild, not at all what one would expect. After hitting a new all-time high of $3,707.40/oz, gold surprisingly took a U-turn and dropped to $3,681.39/oz. And this happened right after the Fed cut rates by 0.25% as predicted! So, what exactly went down?
Fundamental Analysis: The Fed's Move and Powell's "Cool" Comments
Rate Cut as Expected: The Fed delivered the 0.25% rate cut, its first this year after a pause since late 2024. This action, along with the forecast for two more cuts, met market expectations and initially sent gold soaring.
USD and Bond Yields Drop: Lower interest rates tend to weaken the USD and pull down bond yields, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. This was the initial push for gold's new peak.
Powell's "Hawkish" Spin: Everything changed when Fed Chair Jerome Powell stepped up. He gave some surprisingly "hawkish" statements, suggesting the Fed isn't in a hurry to cut rates and that this move was just "risk management."
The Aftermath: This statement threw cold water on market expectations for a faster, more aggressive rate-cutting path. Powell was quite clever; he met market expectations and diffused political pressure (especially from the Trump administration), all while keeping investors on their toes. As a result, bond yields and the USD bounced back, putting strong selling pressure on gold.
Outlook: This shock might just be temporary. Fundamentally, the Fed starting a loosening cycle is a big long-term positive for gold. While gold might face some headwinds in the short term, the underlying bullish trend is still very much intact.
Technical Analysis: Volatility and Key Levels
Gold had some unpredictable swings after the news. After dropping to the $363x zone, it bounced back super fast. This shows that there's still solid buying power at these key support levels.
Key Support: $3624, $3612, $3600, $3584, $3569
Resistance: $3667, $3675, $3686, $3700
Today's Key Level: The $364x range. If gold holds above this level by the end of the European session, we should look for long positions for the US session.
Trading Setups (Remember to Manage Risk Strictly):
Buy Scalp
Zone: $3639 - $3637
SL: $3633
TP: $3642 - $3647 - $3652 - $3657 - $3667
Buy Zone
Zone: $3606 - $3604
SL: $3596
TP: $3614 - $3624 - $3634 - $3644 - $3664
Sell Scalp
Zone: $3674 - $3676
SL: $3680
TP: $3671 - $3665 - $3660 - $3655 - $3645
Sell Zone
Zone: $3686 - $3688
SL: $3696
TP: $3678 - $3668 - $3658 - $3648 - $3628
Note: The market is highly volatile. Be careful with every trade. Will gold continue its rally or see a deeper correction? Share your thoughts below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Powell #CMEFedWatch
XAUUSD / Gold FOMC Interest Rate Update – 18.09.25Fundamental Reason for Bullish:
The Federal Reserve cut rates from 4.25% → 4.00%.
This supports gold’s bullish momentum since lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.
Technical Structure:
Potential Reversal Zone: Highlighted in yellow. Price is currently testing this area around 3645–3655.
A bounce from this zone aligns with the 3-month uptrend line (black trendline).
If price respects this support, bullish continuation is expected.
Bullish Projection Path:
First, a rebound from the reversal zone.
Then, a push towards 3700–3720 with a possible retest.
Final Target Price Zone: ~3750–3780.
Risk Area (Stop Loss Zone):
If price breaks below the reversal zone and trendline (~3640–3635), bullish outlook weakens and downside risk opens.
🎯 Summary
Bias: Bullish (Fundamental + Technical confluence).
Reason: Rate cut + uptrend line support.
Targets: 3700 → 3750 → 3780.
Invalidation: Break below 3640.
“Gold Shines Bright | Bullish Momentum Targeting $3,700🔎 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Chart)
Trend: Strong bullish trend confirmed, with price making higher highs and higher lows.
Buy Zone: Around 3,590 – 3,600 USD, where buyers stepped in aggressively.
Short-Term Target 🎯: 3,650 – 3,700 USD (already highlighted on chart).
Key Support Levels:
3,561 USD (near-term support)
3,490 USD (major support, bullish structure invalidation if broken)
📌 Outlook: As long as price holds above the buy zone, momentum favors bulls with potential continuation toward 3,700+ USD.
🌍 Fundamental Drivers for Gold Bullishness ✨
Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Expectations 🏦⬇️ – If the Fed signals easing or holds a dovish stance, real yields fall → Gold strengthens.
Weakening US Dollar (DXY) 💵📉 – A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to global investors.
Geopolitical Risks 🌍⚠️ – Rising global tensions increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Central Bank Demand 🏦🔒 – Many central banks are adding gold reserves to hedge against currency risks.
Inflation Hedge 📊🔥 – Gold remains attractive when inflationary pressures stay elevated.
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Could Launch Wave (5)Namaste Traders
Gold on the M30 chart remains bullish, but the push into the upper channel line signals short-term profit booking. For those trading Gold/USD or tracking Gold in INR terms on MCX, here’s my plan for the upcoming sessions:
🔍 Technical Overview
Price completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural zone for sellers to take profits.
The 3666–3670 region has acted as a pivot/support multiple times. I expect a Wave (4) correction into this zone before a fresh rally.
3657 is deeper support and also serves as the invalidation level for the bullish scenario.
If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) could push towards 3720–3725.
📈 Key Levels
Type Price Level Notes
Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch for rejection
Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4)
Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation
Target (5) 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target
⚙️ Trading Plan
✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation)
Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a small sweep to ~3657).
Confirmation: Look for a bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on the M30 chart.
Take Profit:
TP1: 3695–3700 (previous high/resistance)
TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection)
Stop Loss: Below ~3652.
Risk/Reward: Aim for 1:2 to 1:3.
⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short
If price retests 3695–3700 and forms a strong rejection, a quick countertrend short is possible.
Targets: 3670 → 3657.
Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707.
Use small position sizing, as this is against the primary trend.
🛡 Risk & Invalidation
A close below 3656 plus a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario.
For Indian traders watching MCX Gold (in INR), keep in mind USD/INR fluctuations – a weaker rupee can amplify gold gains even if spot prices pause.
Always keep risk ≤1–1.5% per trade and avoid chasing late entries.
🧭 Final Thoughts
Gold’s trend is still bullish on the short-term chart. A healthy correction into 3666–3670 could offer a prime entry for Wave (5). Be patient, wait for confirmation, and let the price come to your zone.
Countertrend shorts are valid only on a clear rejection at 3695–3700 – otherwise, stick with the trend.
Good luck and happy trading,
Gold on Fire: Fed Rate Cuts & Global Tensions Fueling the Rally!Hello, fellow traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is on an absolute tear, closing strong at $3,680.80/oz on September 15, 2025, after hitting a new all-time high (ATH) of $3,685.39/oz. The past week has been solid, with gold up 1.6% as the US dollar weakened (down 0.3% to a one-week low) and US bond yields dropped. The market is buzzing with talk of a sure-shot 0.25% Fed rate cut on September 17, with some even betting on a bigger 0.5% move as per the CME FedWatch Tool. Plus, geopolitical tensions and reports of China easing gold import norms are adding more fuel to this fire. Let's do a deep dive and check out some solid trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: All That Glitters Is Gold! 🌟
Fed Rate Cuts: The latest US data is a mixed bag—the August CPI was hot, but the jobs market is cooling down. This is giving the Fed a clear signal to cut rates for the first time since December 2024. Lower interest rates are a big negative for the US Dollar, making non-yielding assets like gold super attractive. This is a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" situation, but right now, the rumor is all about buying gold!
Geopolitical Jitters: The upcoming Fed meeting is quite tense, with political drama and a lot of pressure from the White House. This kind of uncertainty is gold's best friend, as it’s the ultimate safe-haven asset.
Chinese Demand: Recent reports suggest China is making it easier to import gold, which means more demand is coming from the world's biggest consumer. Strong buying from both official and private players in China is a major tailwind for gold's upward move.
Technical Analysis: Breaking All Barriers! 📉
Gold has smashed through the Fibo 2.618 level and is in uncharted territory. What's impressive is that the pullbacks are very shallow, just a $10 blip before it resumes its rally. This shows the bulls are in complete control, and selling pressure is minimal. The strategy is simple: look to buy on dips and be very selective about any shorting opportunities.
Resistance Levels: $3704, $3714, $3724
Support Levels: $3694, $3686, $3674, $3666
Trading Setups (Strict Risk Management Is Key):
Buy Scalp:
Zone: $3688 - $3686
SL: $3682
TP: $3691 - $3696 - $3701 - $3706
Buy Zone:
Zone: $3667 - $3665
SL: $3657
TP: $3675 - $3685 - $3695 - $3705 - $3715
Sell Scalp:
Zone: $3704 - $3706
SL: $3710
TP: $3701 - $3696 - $3691 - $3686
Sell Zone:
Zone: $3724 - $3726
SL: $3734
TP: $3716 - $3706 - $3696 - $3686 - $3676
Gold is at an ATH—so be careful of liquidity traps around the Fed announcement! Above $3694, the target is the sky; below, we could see a test of $3666. Manage your risk tightly before September 17! What's your plan: buy the dip or sell the top? Let me know your strategy in the comments! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBank
Gold Facing Strong Resistance – Bearish Move Towards Support ?Analysis:
Resistance Zone: Price is struggling to break above the $3,645–$3,650 area, which has acted as a strong resistance multiple times.
Support Levels: Immediate support lies around $3,620 and $3,614, with the major support zone at $3,580.
Price Action: Repeated rejections from resistance indicate weakening bullish momentum. Sellers are gaining control near the resistance zone.
Bearish Outlook: A potential downward move is projected, with price likely to test $3,580 support if resistance continues to hold.
Risk Management: A break and close above $3,650 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation.
✅ Bias: Bearish below $3,650
🎯 Targets: $3,620 → $3,614 → $3,580
🛑 Invalidation: Above $3,650
GOLD Bullish continuation (new highs, momentum sustain) :
Probability: around 60–65%
The breakout has strong support from macro conditions. Real yields look like they are peaking, inflation expectations remain sticky, and the Fed is leaning toward easing. On top of that, the US dollar is softening and central banks are continuing to add gold to reserves. These combined factors increase the odds that the breakout holds and the trend continues higher.
Sideways consolidation or retest of breakout :
Probability: about 25–30%
A pullback or cnsolidation wouldn’t be surprising, especially if the Fed sounds less dovish or if inflation data cools faster than expected. In that case, gold could spend some time chopping between support and resistance before deciding its next big move.
Major correction or deep mean reversion :
A deep selloff looks like the least likely path right now. Real yields aren’t rising sharply, inflation isn’t collapsing, and the dollar is still under pressure. But nothing is guaranteed. A surprise hawkish turn from the Fed or a sudden global disinflation shock could knock gold back toward old structural levels.but this remains the least likely scenario in the near to medium term.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 16.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 1H Buy Projection (16.09.25). Here’s a breakdown of the key points from your analysis:
🔹 Chart Analysis
Support & Resistance
Support S1: Around 3678 zone.
Minor Resistance Breaked: Price broke above the 3680 resistance area.
Resistance R1 (ATH): Around 3692 – 3696 area.
Entry & Stoploss
Current price: 3683.63
Stoploss: Below 3676 level.
Risk Zone (Red Area): Price should not break below this zone for the buy setup to remain valid.
Target Levels
Target Price 1: ~3688
Target Price 2: ~3692–3696
Indicators
Stochastic Oscillator (top indicator):
Showing a bullish crossover (green line crossing above red), suggesting upward momentum.
RSI (bottom indicator):
Turning upward from 64.47, showing renewed buying pressure.
🔹 Projection
The setup is bullish with expected upward movement from 3683 → 3692 → 3696+.
The chart suggests a possible pullback and continuation before reaching higher targets.
As long as 3680 support holds, momentum favors the upside.
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cuts & Tensions Fuel Indian Trades!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) bounced from an early Asian dip at $3,626-$3,627 on Monday (15/09/2025), staying strong near record highs as weak US labor data locks in a 100% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17/09, with two more expected in October and December (CME FedWatch). Geopolitical sparks—Ukraine hitting Russian energy and Iran pushing Qatar to counter Israel—make gold a top pick for Indian traders on MCX. With big central bank moves this week, let’s dive into the market and spot trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines for Indian Investors 🌟
Fed Rate Cut Fever: Weak US jobs (surging claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) keep USD near its 24/07 low and Treasury yields soft, driving gold’s 39% YTD rally—perfect for INR portfolios. The Fed’s set for three rate cuts in 2025, starting 17/09.
Geopolitical Boost: Ukraine’s energy strikes on Russia, US pushing NATO sanctions, and Iran’s missile talk in Qatar ahead of the Arab-Islamic summit fuel gold’s safe-haven demand. China’s relaxed gold import rules add more bullish vibes for MCX traders!
Key Events: Watch Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments (17/09), Bank of Canada, Bank of England (18/09), and Bank of Japan (19/09) decisions. Soft CPI and labor data mean dips are buying opportunities—don’t miss out!
Technical Analysis: Sideways Near Highs – Buy Dips 📉
Gold’s consolidating in a wide sideways range on M30, H1, H2 around 3650. If Fed news triggers a sharp drop, FVG zones (3608-3598) are prime for buying. Watch volume to confirm entries and dodge liquidity traps near round levels.
Resistance: 3646 - 3655 - 3666
Support: 3623 - 3615 - 3608 - 3598
Trade Setups (Tight RR):
Buy Scalp:
Range: 3623 - 3621
SL: 3617
TP: 3626 - 3631 - 3636 - 3641
Buy Zone:
Range: 3608 - 3606
SL: 3598
TP: 3616 - 3626 - 3636 - 3646
Sell Scalp:
Range: 3654 - 3656
SL: 3660
TP: 3651 - 3646 - 3641 - 3636
Sell Zone:
Range: 3665 - 3667
SL: 3675
TP: 3657 - 3647 - 3637 - 3627
Gold’s holding near highs—beware liquidity traps around Fed news! Above 3623, bulls aim for new highs; below, test 3608/3598. Indian traders, keep risk tight with central bank volatility ahead! Buy dips or sell highs? Share your MCX strategies below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #GoldTrading #IndiaTrading #MCX #Geopolitics #CentralBanks
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 15.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 1H Sell Projection (15.09.25). Here’s a structured breakdown of what the chart indicates:
🔎 Chart Analysis
Entry Zone: Around 3646 – 3647 (confluence of trendline + 0.618 Fibonacci retracement = "Golden Ratio").
Stop Loss: Around 3653.16 (above trendline & key resistance).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1 (Support S1): Around 3639 – 3640
TP2 (Support S2): Around 3630 – 3631
🧭 Trade Idea (Sell Bias)
Reasoning:
Price has rejected the descending trendline resistance.
Confluence with Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level (3647).
Bearish projection towards support zones.
📌 Summary
Setup: Short/Sell
Entry Zone: 3646 – 3647
Stop Loss: 3653
Target 1: 3640
Target 2: 3630
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD CPI UPDATEXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cut Hype Fuels Indian Trades!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) climbed 0.4% on Friday (12/09/2025), closing at $3,648.55/oz, just shy of its all-time high of $3,673.95/oz (09/09). With a 1.7% weekly gain—its fourth straight week up—gold is riding high on weak US labor data, cementing bets for a Fed rate cut on 17/09. CPI showed inflation up sharply, but labor weakness dominates, making gold a top pick for Indian traders on MCX. Let’s dive into the market and grab trading opportunities! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Gold’s Shine Bright for India 🌟
Rate Cut Buzz: Weak US jobs (surging claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) and a soft PPI push 100% odds for a 0.25% Fed rate cut, with 0.5% less likely (CME FedWatch). Low rates ease USD and Treasury pressure, boosting gold’s appeal for INR portfolios.
Global Tailwinds: Gold’s 39% YTD rally (after 27% in 2024) is fueled by a weak USD, China’s 10-month gold buying spree, and global unrest. China’s move to simplify gold import rules signals stronger demand—great for Indian investors!
Market Focus: CPI (11/09) showed hotter inflation, but labor weakness keeps Fed easing on track. No major shocks (like Trump tariffs) mean dips are buying opportunities—perfect for MCX futures!
Technical Analysis: Consolidation Near Highs – Buy Dips 📉
Gold’s weekly chart shows consolidation at Fibonacci 2.618 (3650), with wide sideways action, closing below 3650 as anticipated. A deeper pullback isn’t confirmed, but liquidity zones at 359x and 354x are ideal for buying, while 370x is a sell zone if the rally continues. Watch volume for reversal or rejection signals to avoid traps.
Resistance: 3655 - 3684 - 3694 - 3704
Support: 3621 - 3595 - 3582 - 3559 - 3545
Trade Setups (Tight RR):
Buy Zone: 3582 - 3580 (SL: 3572; TP: 3590 - 3600 - 3610 - 3640) – Long-term buy on deeper dips.
Buy Zone: 3546 - 3544 (SL: 3536; TP: 3554 - 3564 - 3574 - 3594) – Buy at strong support.
Sell Zone: 3703 - 3705 (SL: 3713; TP: 3695 - 3685 - 3675 - 3665) – Sell if rally hits round levels.
Gold’s consolidating near highs—beware liquidity traps! Above 3621, bulls eye new highs; below, test 359x/354x. Indian traders, manage risk tightly for Fed volatility! Buy dips or sell highs? Share your MCX strategies below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #GoldTrading #IndiaTrading #MCX #USInflation #RateCuts #CentralBanks
XAUUSD – Breakout Confirmed & Macro Outlook📊 Market Context & Macro View
Gold (XAUUSD) has broken out above its short-term descending trendline, signalling renewed bullish momentum after several sessions of consolidation. This breakout aligns with traders pricing in slower US inflation and growing confidence that the Federal Reserve may pause or ease monetary policy in the coming months.
🔹 Macro Drivers Supporting Gold:
Soft US CPI & PPI → Cooling inflation strengthens expectations for stable or lower rates.
Steady Treasury yields and a weaker USD continue to fuel gold’s upside.
Geopolitical tensions and central bank accumulation remain long-term bullish factors.
⚠ Risk: Liquidity sweeps remain possible before the Fed meeting—watch for fakeouts or sharp reversals.
🔑 Key Technical Levels (H1)
Immediate Resistance: 3,654.17 (React Zone FIB)
OBS Sell Zone: 3,664.52
Upper Liquidity Target: 3,679.31
Major Sell Liquidity: 3,709.85
Supports / Buy Liquidity Zones:
• 3,637.91 – Breakout Retest
• 3,631.63 – CP Support
• 3,622.41 – Deeper Liquidity Layer
• 3,584.78 – END Liquidity BUY ZONE
📈 Scenario & Outlook
London Session: Possible retest at 3,638–3,632 for liquidity collection before the next leg higher.
A clean break through 3,654 → 3,664 could spark strong buying toward 3,679–3,709.
Losing 3,622 would expose 3,584 as the next major support.
📌 Trading Plan
🔵 BUY ZONE 1: 3,635 – 3,633
SL: 3,629
TP: 3,640 → 3,645 → 3,650 → 3,660 → 3,670 → ???
🔵 BUY ZONE 2: 3,621 – 3,619
SL: 3,615
TP: 3,625 → 3,630 → 3,635 → 3,640 → 3,650 → 3,660 → ???
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,708 – 3,710
SL: 3,715
TP: 3,704 → 3,700 → 3,695 → 3,690 → 3,680 → ???
🔴 SELL SCALP: 3,679 – 3,681
SL: 3,685
TP: 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665 → 3,660 → ???
✅ Summary
Gold is maintaining its breakout, supported by softer US inflation and a weaker USD. While liquidity sweeps may occur, the overall trend remains bullish above 3,622.
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates, liquidity plays, and BIGWIN setups as gold reacts to key macro drivers and price zones.
XAUUSD – CPI Today: Liquidity Sweep & Trading Plan📊 Market View
Gold (XAUUSD) is moving under short-term resistance (descending trendline), indicating sellers still dominate in the short term. On the M30 chart, buy-side liquidity zones are clearly stacked at 3,624 → 3,612 → 3,599 → 3,586.
👉 During the European session, expect a breakdown liquidity sweep toward these support zones before any bullish reaction.
📈 CPI View – US Session
Soft CPI (below expectations) → Weaker USD, lower yields → Gold could bounce sharply from 3,612 / 3,599 / 3,586 and retest trendline/resistance.
Hot CPI (above expectations) → Stronger USD, higher yields → Gold may break 3,612, sweep deeper to 3,599 or 3,586, then recover.
⚠️ High risk of news traps: the first reaction can reverse quickly—wait for retests + confirmation candles before entering.
🔑 Key Levels
Dynamic Resistance (trendline): 3,643 – 3,646
React Zone FIB: 3,650 – 3,654
OBS Sell Zone: 3,665
Support / Liquidity Zones:
3,624.36 (Key Zone Support BUY)
3,612.60 (CP/React FIB)
3,599.31 (BUY ZONE)
3,586.49 (END LIQUIDITY – BUY ZONE)
📌 Trading Plan
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,646 – 3,648
SL: 3,652
TP: 3,640 → 3,635 → 3,630 → 3,620 → 3,610 → ???
🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,612 – 3,610
SL: 3,605
TP: 3,616 → 3,620 → 3,625 → 3,630 → ???
🔵 BUY ZONE (Primary): 3,600 – 3,598
SL: 3,592
TP: 3,605 → 3,610 → 3,615 → 3,620 → 3,630 → 3,640 → ???
🛡️ Backup BUY: (If liquidity sweep deepens) 3,58x
Hard SL: 3,578
❗ If 3,578 breaks, don’t re-enter immediately—CPI volatility can extend the move further.
⚠️ Notes & Risk
Reduce position size near the CPI release.
Wait for confirmation (pin bar / engulfing / retest) before entering trades.
Use staggered TPs to lock in profits early.
An M30 close above 3,654 invalidates near-term shorts and opens 3,665.
✅ Summary
Gold may sweep liquidity into the buy zones before bouncing. Trade the reaction: SELL at 3,646–48 on rejection, BUY at 3,612/3,600 on a clean bounce, and hold a backup BUY at 3,58x with tight risk.
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates and BIGWIN setups during CPI volatility.
Gold Breaks $3,600/oz: Fed Rate Cut Hype & Trading Setups!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has blasted through $3,600/oz for the first time on Monday (08/09/2025), smashing a new all-time high as weak US jobs data ramps up bets for a Fed rate cut next week. With a massive 38% YTD gain after 27% in 2024, gold's on fire—driven by a weakening USD, central bank hoarding, easing policies, and global uncertainty. For Indian investors, this is prime time amid rising demand and INR volatility. Let’s analyze today’s (09/09/2025) market and spot trading opportunities! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Is Unstoppable 🌟
Historic Break: Weak US jobs (August growth slowed, unemployment at 4.3%) has markets pricing in an 88% chance of 0.25% rate cut and 12% for 0.5% in September, per CME FedWatch. Low rates slash the opportunity cost for non-yielding gold—perfect for India’s festive season buys! 📈
Expert View: Peter Grant from Zaner Metals sees gold hitting $3,700–$3,730/oz short-term, with dips as buy chances. Ongoing labor weakness and Fed easing into 2026 will keep supporting it.
Global Boosters: China’s PBOC extended gold buys to 10 months in August. Falling USD and 10-year Treasury yields near 5-month lows make gold even more attractive for Indian rupee holders.
Data Watch: Eye US PPI (10/09) and CPI (11/09) for Fed clues. Tariff wars and geopolitics add safe-haven fuel—great for India’s gold ETFs and physical demand.
Gold’s your ultimate hedge in this setup—will the Fed’s cut keep the party going for Indian portfolios?
Technical Analysis: Breakout Frenzy with Traps—Buy the Dips! 📉
Gold’s power surge blew past 3600 with no brakes, but eye the Fibo 2.618 at 3685 for a possible breather. Bullish momentum screams BUY, but watch FVG traps from the fast climb. Key focus: 3641—break below pulls back to 3600; hold above and bulls target 3685. Ideal for Indian traders riding the rupee-gold link!
Key Resistance: 3663 - 3673 - 3685 - 3690
Key Support: 3641 - 3629 - 3596 - 3581
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3673 - 3675
SL: 3679
TP: 3670 - 3665 - 3660 - 3655
Sell Zone: 3684 - 3686
SL: 3694
TP: 3676 - 3666 - 3656 - 3646 - Open
Buy Scalp: 3641 - 3639
SL: 3635
TP: 3644 - 3649 - 3654 - 3659
Buy Zone: 3605 - 3603
SL: 3595
TP: 3613 - 3623 - 3633 - 3643 - Open
Gold’s breaking out big, but traps await—confirm at key levels! Holds support? Bulls aim for 3685. 📊💡
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XAUUSD – Intraday Plan: Bullish Trend + Key Liquidity ZonesMarket Pulse:
The US jobs data (05/09) showed a slowdown in hiring. According to CME FedWatch, there is an 88% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut in September, and 12% for a 0.5% cut. Lower rates support gold as a non-yielding asset.
Gold has already gained 38% YTD, after rising 27% in 2024. A weaker USD, central bank buying (China added gold for the 10th month in a row in August), loose monetary policy, and global risks keep gold in a strong bullish trend.
👉 Market bias: Macro + liquidity flows favour BUY.
Technical View (M30):
Price stays in an up channel, making higher lows.
3616–3596 is the key support zone.
Liquidity SELL zones at 3653–3655 and 3675–3677 may give short intraday pullbacks before trend continues.
Execution Plan (Today):
🔵 BUY ZONE #1: 3618 – 3616
SL: 3610
TP: 3624 → 3630 → 3635 → 3640 → 3650 → 3660 → 3670+
🔵 BUY ZONE #2: 3598 – 3596
SL: 3590
TP: 3602 → 3606 → 3610 → 3615 → 3620 → 3630 → 3640 → 3650+
🔴 SELL ZONE #1: 3653 – 3655
SL: 3660
TP: 3648 → 3644 → 3640 → 3635 → 3630 → 3620
🔴 SELL ZONE #2: 3675 – 3677
SL: 3681
TP: 3670 → 3665 → 3660 → 3650 → 3640
Summary:
✅ Gold trend stays bullish – best setups are buying dips into liquidity zones.
⚡ Intraday scalps possible at SELL liquidity zones.
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily precision setups.
XAUUSD – Weekly Trading Plan: Bulls Still in Control MMFLOW TRADING PLAN XAUUSD
Market View:
Gold (XAUUSD) is trading exactly as expected from our weekly outlook. After the big Nonfarm push near $3600/oz ATH, price is consolidating around 357x–358x while holding the rising trendline. Both Daily and Weekly charts remain bullish, showing that buyers are still strong. The bias for this week stays upside, but volatility can come from key US data (PPI, CPI, Jobless Claims, UoM Sentiment).
Technical Outlook (H1 Chart):
Structure is bullish as long as price holds above 3550.
If 3592 breaks cleanly → more upside towards 3620–3640+.
If 3575 or 3530 breaks → expect a pullback before buyers return.
Trading Plan:
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3552 – 3550 | SL: 3544 | TP: 3556 → 3560 → 3565 → 3570 → 3575 → 3580 → ????
🔵 BUY SCALP: 3573 – 3571 | SL: 3567 | TP: 3578 → 3582 → 3586 → 3590 → ????
🔴 SELL SCALP: 3598 – 3600 | SL: 3604 | TP: 3595 → 3590 → 3585 → 3580 → 3570 → 3560 → ????
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3631 – 3633 | SL: 3638 | TP: 3626 → 3622 → 3618 → 3614 → 3610 → 3600 → ????
Summary:
✅ Gold remains in a strong uptrend.
👉 Watch 3592 (bullish trigger) and 3575 (bearish trigger) – these levels will decide the next big move.
Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily setups and updates.
Gold Surges 37% YTD: Fed Cuts, Jobs Slump & Trade Setups!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has skyrocketed 37% in 2025, building on a 27% rally in 2024, fueled by a weakening USD, central bank buying, loose monetary policies, and global economic/geopolitical unrest. With US jobs growth tanking in August 2025 and unemployment climbing to 4.3%, markets are betting big on Fed rate cuts: 90% chance of 0.25% and 10% for 0.5% in September. Let’s dive into today’s (08/09/2025) action and uncover trading opportunities tailored for Indian investors! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Shining Bright 🌟
Massive Rally: Gold thrives in low-rate, high-uncertainty environments—perfect for India’s gold-loving market! Weak USD and central bank purchases are key drivers. 📈
US Jobs Slump: August data shows a sharp slowdown in hiring and a 4.3% unemployment rate, boosting Fed rate cut expectations and safe-haven demand.
Fed Drama Fuels Gold: Trump’s attempt to sack Fed Governor Lisa Cook and pressure for rate cuts has sparked legal battles, shaking USD confidence. Tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after lower court losses) further drive gold as a hedge. Standard Chartered sees more upside amid these uncertainties.
Demand Dip in India: Record-high prices have slowed physical gold demand in India and China this week, but the bullish outlook remains strong for Indian investors chasing safety.
Gold’s your ultimate bet in this volatile market—will the Fed’s next move keep the rally alive?
Technical Analysis: Breakouts & Liquidity Grabs—Stay Sharp! 📉
In today’s early Asian session, gold dipped to 358x before a swift rebound, smashing last week’s ATH resistance at 3600 and hitting 361x. No major news triggered this spike, but continuous ATHs mean fast liquidity sweeps—beware of traps! Avoid FOMO: Focus on broken round levels for BUY setups or structure breaks at round numbers for SELL, but watch out for false breakouts.
Key Resistance: 3614 - 3624 - 3634 - 3644
Key Support: 3597 - 3581 - 3574 - 3566 - 3560 - 3550
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3624 - 3626
SL: 3630
TP: 3621 - 3616 - 3611 - 3606
Sell Zone: 3634 - 3636
SL: 3644
TP: 3626 - 3616 - 3606 - 3596
Buy Scalp: 3596 - 3594
SL: 3591
TP: 3599 - 3604 - 3609 - 3614
Buy Zone: 3581 - 3579
SL: 3571
TP: 3589 - 3599 - 3609 - 3619
Gold’s breaking out, but fakeouts are everywhere—wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could push for new highs. 📊💡
XAUUSD/Gold 1H Buy Projection – 08.09.25🔎 Chart Analysis
Price Action
Current price: 3588.15
Support Zone (S1): Around 3575 – 3578
Resistance Zones:
R1 ≈ 3590
R2 ≈ 3600+
Projection shows a possible bounce from support → break R1 → move toward R2.
Indicators
Stochastic (5,3,3):
Current: %K 21.78, %D 31.90
Oversold region → “Tends to Buy” signal.
RSI (14):
Value: 58.55 (above 50)
Suggests short-term uptrend momentum.
Overall Projection
Market bias: Bullish (Buy Setup)
If price respects support at S1, probability is high for upside movement towards R1 → R2.
Risk: If support S1 breaks, downtrend continuation is possible.
✅ Summary (08.09.25):
Buy Bias on 1H timeframe.
Support: 3575 zone
Target 1: 3590 (R1)
Target 2: 3600 (R2)
Indicators confirm bullish momentum (RSI > 50, Stoch oversold).
XAU/USD Bullish Trade Setup Buy from POI Zone towards 3668TargetXAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Analysis
✅ Trend: The market is in a clear bullish trend with higher highs & higher lows. Price is trading above both EMA 70 (3,547) and EMA 200 (3,486), confirming strong upward momentum.
📌 Key Levels:
POI Buying Zone: 3,554 – 3,576 (strong support area)
Target Point: 3,668 – 3,669
Support Line: Still respected, adding confluence to the bullish setup.
📈 Strategies Applied:
Trend Following: Bullish as long as price stays above EMAs.
Support & Resistance: Buying zone aligns with strong support.
EMA Strategy: Price above EMAs = buy signal.
Price Action: Retest of POI zone before moving up.mm
🎯 Trade Idea:
Entry: Around 3,555 – 3,576 (buying zone)
Stop Loss: Below 3,547 (EMA 70 / zone invalidation)
Target: 3,668 – 3,670
⚡ Summary: Market remains bullish, correction into the POI zone is a good buying opportunity aiming for new highs.