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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 14, 2025Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 14, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis • D1 timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of reversal. Although price may not reverse immediately when the two momentum lines converge, this is a clear signal that the current selling pressure is weakening. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is declining and has only formed 2 H4 candles since the reversal began. It will likely take another 2–3 H4 candles to enter the oversold zone and potentially reverse upward. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is also falling, suggesting a likely downward move during the Asian session. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • On H1, price is moving in a choppy manner, indicating a corrective phase that has nearly reached its target. • However, the D1 momentum preparing to reverse upward creates two possible scenarios: Scenario 1: D1 momentum reverses upward and confirms → The uptrend could last for 4–5 days, conflicting with the current scenario of a corrective wave B. In this case, we would have an alternative scenario of an initial diagonal wave 1 as shown in the right-hand chart. Scenario 2: D1 momentum enters the oversold zone and stays there → A strong drop would be needed to confirm that the current price action is wave B. ________________________________________ 3. Two Potential Price Scenarios 1. WXY corrective pattern → Target for wave Y is around 3381. 2. Initial diagonal wave 1 → Wave 2 could decline toward 3345 before wave 3 rises again. This scenario currently aligns better with the D1 momentum signal. ________________________________________ Conclusion: At present, there is a conflict between momentum signals and wave structure. Further observation is required to determine a clearer trading plan, so no trade recommendation for today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (August 13, 2025) 1. Momentum • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the oversold zone. By the end of today, it is likely to be fully in oversold territory. This stage often leads to strong price movement – either a sharp decline or a bullish reversal. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn upward. We need to wait for the current H4 candle to close for confirmation. If confirmed, a recovery move is likely to occur today. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently tightening and approaching the overbought zone – a typical sign of sideways price action. This explains why, despite the high probability of a recovery, H1 does not yet provide a good entry signal. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • RSI shows a bullish divergence between price and the indicator – a pattern often seen in wave 3 or wave 5. This supports the view that wave 5 (black) has completed around the 3333 level. • With a complete 5-wave structure, wave A (red) of the ABC (red) correction may already be in place. • A recovery in wave B (red) is expected, which aligns with H4 momentum preparing to turn upward. Wave B typically forms a 3-wave corrective structure, where price moves in a choppy, overlapping manner rather than trending strongly. • Wave B target zones: 1. 3371 2. 3381 These two levels are close to each other, so they can be treated as one combined zone. The plan is to take the first target as the base level while extending the SL to cover the second target. If price approaches these levels, it’s best to watch real-time price action before entering a trade. • Alternative scenario: If wave 5 (black) is not yet complete, the 3323 zone remains a good Buy opportunity (as per the previous analysis). ________________________________________ 3. Trading Plan Sell Setup: • Entry Zone: 3371 – 3373 • SL: 3385 • TP1: 3358 • TP2: 3331 • TP3: 3323 Buy Setup: • Entry Zone: 3323 – 3321 • SL: 3313 • TP1: 3331 • TP2: 3357 • TP3: 3371 2. Wave Structure • RSI shows a bullish divergence, often seen in wave 3 or 5, suggesting wave 5 (black) may have completed around 3333. • Wave A (red) of the ABC cycle may be complete; wave B (red) is expected to recover in a 3-wave, choppy pattern. • Wave B target zone: 3371–3381 (treated as one zone; monitor price action before entry). • Alternative scenario: If wave 5 (black) is not yet complete, 3323 remains a potential Buy zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD SURGES AFTER CPI – TARGETING 337x BEFORE SELL-OFF? MMFLOW TECHNICAL OUTLOOK 📌 Market Overview Following the CPI release, gold reacted with strong buying momentum (FOMO BUY), pushing prices swiftly from the 333x area up to 335x. The main driver here is the BUY side taking advantage of remaining liquidity gaps above, aiming to break through the critical 3358 resistance – the first major barrier before reaching 337x, a key equilibrium zone that previously acted as a strong price-holding area for SELL orders. Current structure indicates: Short-term trend: Bullish, but approaching key distribution levels. Liquidity Hunt: A decisive break above 3358 with strong volume could trigger a rapid move towards 337x, activating SELL volume from pending limit orders. Macro context: No major news events today, with expected daily range ~35–40 points, increasing the chance of range-bound traps before a breakout. 🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW View Market Structure: Gold has formed a Higher Low around 333x and is now testing short-term resistance. Key Levels & Liquidity Zones: Liquidity BUY ZONE at 3338–3336 has reacted well, confirming BUYers are still defending this zone. Supply Zone / CP Zone at 3375–3377 aligns with an H1 Order Block, holding a high concentration of pending SELL orders. Volume Flow: Increasing volume as price approaches resistance suggests a potential “last push” before a reversal. 🎯 MMFLOW Trading Plan 🔹 BUY SCALP – Following the main trend Entry: 3338 – 3336 SL: 3332 TP: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 🔹 SELL SCALP – At the distribution zone Entry: 3375 – 3377 SL: 3382 TP: 3370 – 3365 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 📊 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3358 – 3365 – 3376 Support: 3342 – 3337 – 3330 – 3310 💡 MMFLOW Insight: With the current setup, the optimal strategy is to wait for a BUY opportunity near early support (334x) to ride the short-term bullish momentum, then watch for price reaction at 337x to catch potential SELL entries once top-side liquidity is swept.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
PROACHING LIQUIDITY ZONE – WAITING FOR CPI TO DECIDE NEXT MOVE📌 MARKET RECAP Gold kicked off the week with a sharp $50 drop, breaking through key trendlines and nearby support zones. The selling pressure came from: Profit-taking after the recent strong rally. USD strength expectations ahead of CPI data (forecast ~0.1% better than the previous reading). Geopolitical factor: Ukraine–Russia ceasefire talks moving towards a conclusion, fueling risk-off sentiment. 🧐 WHAT’S NEXT? If CPI beats expectations → USD strengthens → Gold could drop further into the Liquidity Zone 333x – 330x. If CPI disappoints → USD weakens → Gold may quickly bounce back toward key level 337x (previous breakdown zone) for a retest before deciding direction. 🎯 MMFLOW GAME PLAN 1️⃣ BUY SCALP 📌 Entry: 3331 – 3329 📌 SL: 3325 📌 TP: 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 2️⃣ BUY ZONE 📌 Entry: 3310 – 3308 📌 SL: 3304 📌 TP: 3314 – 3318 – 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – ??? 3️⃣ SELL SCALP 📌 Entry: 3363 – 3365 📌 SL: 3370 📌 TP: 3360 – 3356 – 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340 4️⃣ SELL ZONE 📌 Entry: 3376 – 3378 📌 SL: 3382 📌 TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 ⚠️ RISK NOTE CPI is the market’s dice roll – even a small deviation could trigger massive stop hunts. Always watch the KeyLevels marked on the chart before entering trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 12, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is declining → the downtrend remains intact. It may take another 2–3 daily candles for price to reach the oversold zone and potentially reverse. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is rising → from now until the U.S. session, price may either retrace upwards or move sideways. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn down → a minor pullback could occur in the short term, so this move should be monitored. ________________________________________ 2. Elliott Wave Structure • The green wave structure in the form of an ending diagonal may have been completed. This could mean that Wave 5 or Wave C (black) has formed. • Personally, I do not want to see the Green 5-Wave Structure end with an ending diagonal at this stage because: o If this is an impulsive uptrend structure, we are only at Wave 1 of the larger degree. o An ending diagonal in Wave 5 (black) indicates weak buying pressure, which is not ideal when price hasn’t broken the previous high to confirm a new trend → increasing the probability that this is a corrective wave. • Looking at the current downward wave structure, I tentatively label it as five black waves 1-2-3-4-5. The current slight rebound is expected to be Wave 4, which could take the form of either a Flat or Triangle. • Wave 4 targets: 1. 3358 2. 3364 • If price breaks 3381, the current 1-2-3-4-5 bearish count will be invalidated (Wave 4 would overlap Wave 1). In that case, the structure could turn into a corrective ABC or a new 5-wave advance. • With a Wave 4 target at 3364, the projected Wave 5 target would be 3323. ________________________________________ 3. Combining Momentum & Wave Structure • D1 downtrend → supports the scenario of another drop, forming Wave 5. • H4 rising + H1 declining → could indicate Wave 4 forming as a triangle, with the key signal being that the current drop does not break 3342. o If 3342 breaks, Wave 5 may already be in play, targeting 3323. • Since H4 momentum is still rising, there remains a chance that price breaks above 3381, which would require a full recount—possibly turning into an ABC correction or a 5-wave rally. ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan • If Wave 4 forms as a triangle → the 3358 area is a good sell zone, or wait for a breakout below 3342. • Limit Sell Order: o Entry: 3364 – 3366 o SL: 3374 o TP1: 3342 o TP2: 3333 o TP3: 3323
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD Bullish Bounce from Demand Zone !Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4H chart is showing a potential bullish reversal setup. Price has pulled back into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and high supply/demand zone near 3,329–3,315, aligning with the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement. Key Points: Support Zone: 3,329–3,315 (demand + FVG). Bullish Rejection Expected: Price may bounce from this zone, targeting upper resistance levels. Upside Targets: TP1: 3,356 TP2: 3,375 TP3: 3,440–3,459 (major resistance) Invalidation: A daily close below 3,315 could open room for deeper downside toward 3,278–3,245. Indicators: EMA(9) and Ichimoku showing potential for trend resumption if price closes above 3,362. Overall, the chart suggests a buy setup on bullish confirmation, aiming for the 3,375–3,459 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Awaiting the BreakDown or a Snap Back to Resistance?XAUUSD – Game of Patience: Awaiting the BreakDown or a Snap Back to Resistance? | MMFlow Trading 1. Market Context The week opened with a sharp sell-off in Gold — driven by profit-taking and stop-loss hunting on late-week FOMO BUY positions. Buying momentum is fading, while sellers are lurking at the ascending channel’s support. Price is currently reacting at KeyLevel 336x–337x, with H1 candles showing lower wicks → signs of indecision. 2. Technical Outlook Overall structure: Still within an H1-H4 uptrend channel, but BUY momentum is weakening. No clear SELL confirmation yet → need a BreakDown from the channel to confirm seller dominance. Scenario 1: Break the channel → target 335x & 333x zones. Scenario 2: No break → price may rebound to retest 339x – 340x – 342x resistance levels. 3. Fundamental & Macro View This week brings major USD economic data: CPI & PPI. Forecasts lean positive for USD, which could increase downward pressure on Gold. However, expect false breakouts before/after news releases — risk management is key. 4. MMFlow Trading Plan BUY SCALP Entry: 3353 – 3351 SL: 3345 TP: 3358 – 3362 – 3366 – 3370 – 3375 – 3380 BUY ZONE Entry: 3332 – 3330 SL: 3325 TP: 3336 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 SELL SCALP Entry: 3394 – 3396 SL: 3400 TP: 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3370 – 3360 SELL ZONE Entry: 3425 – 3427 SL: 3430 TP: 3420 – 3415 – 3410 – 3405 – 3400 – 3390 – 3380 5. Risk Management Avoid FOMO — wait for clear candle confirmations before entering. Reduce position size ahead of CPI/PPI events. Focus on pre-defined key levels, avoid trading in noise zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 10, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis • D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum lines are still overlapping without a confirmed reversal signal. This suggests that a potential reversal could occur within the next 1–2 days. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is currently rising, indicating that prices may continue to climb during the Asian session tomorrow. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is also rising, further supporting the expectation of continued upside movement in the Asian session. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure Analysis • Current price action is overlapping, reinforcing the hypothesis that an ending diagonal is forming. • This structure could either be part of Wave 5 (black) or Wave C (black). In both cases, it represents an ending diagonal 12345, with the market currently in Wave 4 (blue). • Confirmation signal: A sharp and steep decline will confirm the ending diagonal — as mentioned in previous plans, this has not yet occurred. • The projected completion targets are at 3412 or 3419. If the price breaks 3439, it will likely confirm the completion of Wave 5 (black). ________________________________________ 3. Possible Scenarios • Scenario 1: If the current move is part of a 5-wave 12345 black structure, once Wave 5 completes, a corrective ABC 3-wave decline could follow, targeting 3333. • Scenario 2: If the current move is part of a 3-wave ABC black structure, once Wave C completes, a 5-wave bearish sequence could unfold, breaking below 3315. ________________________________________ 4. Combining Momentum & Wave Structure Given that: • D1 is in the overbought zone and could reverse within 1–2 days, • H4 momentum is rising, and • Price is likely in Wave 4 (blue), → On Monday, we may see one more upward push to complete Wave 5 (blue). This presents a potential SELL opportunity in the 3412–3419 target area. Since this is a wide zone, it’s best to wait for clear reversal signals before entering. ________________________________________ 5. Trade Plan SELL ZONE 1: 3411 – 3413 • SL: 3416 • TP1: 3400 • TP2: 3381 • TP3: 3342 SELL ZONE 2: 3419 – 3421 • SL: 3429 • TP1: 3400 • TP2: 3381 • TP3: 3342
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD Weekly Plan Final Bullish Push Before a Liquidity Sweep?XAUUSD Weekly Plan – Final Bullish Push Before a Liquidity Sweep? 1. Market Context Last week, Gold kept moving inside the H2–H4 bullish channel, pushing into the FVG High Zone and approaching the major resistance at 3426–3428 (OBS Sell Zone). Momentum is fading – candles are compressing, and volume is dropping – signaling potential distribution. 2. Macro Outlook (High-Impact USD Data Ahead) CPI – Aug 12 → Primary driver. PPI – Aug 14 → Usually a leading signal for CPI. Unemployment Claims – Aug 14 → Short-term impact. Expectations: CPI & PPI likely better than previous month → USD strength → Gold correction (liquidity sweep to the downside). Weaker-than-expected CPI/PPI → USD weakness → Gold could spike for one last bullish leg before reversing. 3. Technical Overview H2 bullish channel top aligns with FVG High Zone → big players’ sell limit & profit-taking area. Main scenario: Test 3426–3428 → Bearish reaction → Channel breakdown → Retest 3395–3400 (VPOC) → Drop toward liquidity pools below. 4. Key Levels SELL Zone: 3426 – 3428 SL: 3434 TP: 3420 → 3415 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360 BUY Zone: 3330 – 3328 SL: 3322 TP: 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → 3380 5. Trading Plan 🔹 Primary SELL Setup: Wait for price to reach 3426–3428 with H1/H2 bearish candle confirmation. Take profits gradually at each downside target. 🔹 Counter-trend BUY: Enter only if price sweeps liquidity into 3330–3328 with strong bullish reaction. 6. Trader’s Notes Gold may still push $30–$40 higher early next week before hitting OBS Sell Zone. Expect large SELL volume once in this zone (profit-taking + top-picking by big players). This should be a short-term correction, not a full trend reversal. Best to SELL from highs and hold after a confirmed channel breakdown. 7. Risk Note High-impact week → Possible false breaks before/after CPI & PPI. Avoid oversized positions during news releases. A break & hold above 3434 with strong volume invalidates SELL scenario → wait for new structure. 📌 Summary: Bias: SELL from 3426–3428 → Target liquidity pools down to 3360. Backup Plan: BUY from 3330–3328 if liquidity grab confirmed. Manage risk tightly, especially during high-volatility events. — MMFlow Trading
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 8, 2025📊 🔍 Momentum • D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is currently turning down, limiting the potential for a long-term rally in the current bullish wave. This also suggests that the top may already have formed around the 3,409 level. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is still declining and needs about one more H4 candle to reverse upward. For now, the downward move is likely to continue, so caution is advised. • H1 Timeframe: Showing early signs of a short-term bearish reversal. This decline is important and will be analyzed further after the wave structure review. 🌀 Wave Structure The current price action suggests a potential Ending Diagonal formation. Once completed, this pattern is typically followed by a sharp and sudden drop. So far, no sharp decline has occurred, meaning the ending diagonal may not be finished yet. The ideal completion zones for Wave 5 are around 3412 or 3419. Ending diagonals tend to develop in a complex manner, so a safer approach is to enter trades after price breaks below the lower boundary of the diagonal. 👉 Additional Scenario: If H1 momentum reverses downward and price breaks below 3381, it is likely to drop toward 3371. This area could be considered for a Buy setup. Conversely, if price does not break below 3381 and instead rises toward 3412, it may indicate that Wave 5 is completing at that level. 📈 Trading Plan • SELL Zone 1: 3412 – 3414 o SL: 3417 o TP1: 3393 o TP2: 3372 • SELL Zone 2: 3419 – 3421 o SL: 3429 o TP1: 3395 o TP2: 3372
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | August 7, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔍 Momentum Analysis: • D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is turning bearish, signaling that a medium-term downtrend may have already started and could last until mid-next week. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is rising, but the slope of the two momentum lines is relatively flat → indicating weak bullish strength. We should closely watch the overhead resistance zones. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the overbought zone → a short-term reversal is likely, especially near the 3386 level. ________________________________________ 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure: • Based on the bearish momentum shift on the D1 chart, we expect the market is entering an ABC corrective pattern (in green). • Currently: o Wave A is completed. o Wave B is in progress. • Since Wave A appears to be a 3-wave structure, Wave B may unfold as a flat correction. In that case, potential target zones for Wave B are: o 3385 o or 3395 → these are the key resistance levels to monitor. • Within Wave B (green), we observe an internal 3-wave ABC structure (in red), where: o Wave C (red) may reach:  3386  or extend toward 3395 → In alignment with the D1 momentum signal, 3386 is considered a potential entry point for a short position. ________________________________________ 📈 Trade Plan: • SELL Zone: 3386 – 3389 • Stop Loss: 3397 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3370 o TP2: 3353 o TP3: 3333
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 6, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔍 Momentum Analysis • D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal. However, we need to wait for today’s candle to close to confirm the signal. While waiting for confirmation, price may still experience a minor upward move on lower timeframes, but the current bullish momentum is weak and unlikely to extend far. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is also preparing to reverse. We need to observe the current H4 candle for confirmation. Notably, the reversal signal is forming just below the overbought zone, suggesting there may be one more upward push before a potential decline. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is approaching the oversold zone. It may take 1–2 more bearish candles before a short-term bullish rebound occurs. ________________________________________ 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update Yesterday’s bullish move was disappointing — instead of pushing directly to the 3402 or 3419 target zones to complete Wave 5, price only broke slightly above 3385 before reversing. This behavior complicates wave analysis by introducing conflicting possibilities. We currently consider two main scenarios: Scenario 1: Wave 5 is not yet complete • Given that D1 momentum is preparing to reverse downward, it’s unlikely that the current move is Wave 1 of Wave 5. A more likely scenario is that Wave 3 of Wave 5 has completed and price is currently in Wave 4. • The current corrective structure has stopped at the 0.382 Fibonacci level. As long as price remains above 3370 (the 0.5 Fib level), this strengthens the case for a Wave 4 retracement before another leg up in Wave 5. • Since bullish strength appears limited, we now focus on two main target zones for Wave 5: 3395 and 3402, instead of the previous high at 3419. Scenario 2: Full 5-wave structure is complete – now in correction • If the 5-wave pattern has already finished, the current decline marks the beginning of a corrective phase. • With current momentum conditions, this is still a viable scenario. However, due to the remaining upside possibility, we recommend waiting for today’s D1 candle to confirm momentum before taking any trade. ________________________________________ 📌 Trade Plan For experienced traders: • Wait for price to reach the 3395–3402 zones. • Look for reversal signals in those areas to enter short positions. Suggested trade plan for newer traders: • Sell Zone: 3395 – 3398 • Stop Loss: 3408 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3385 o TP2: 3370 o TP3: 3349 ________________________________________ ✅ Note: This trade plan should be reassessed after today’s D1 candle closes for confirmation of the momentum shift.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD, August 5, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔍 Momentum Analysis: • D1 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the overbought zone. As anticipated in previous plans, we've seen four consecutive bullish days, and the current overbought condition signals that bullish momentum is weakening. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is reversing downward → We expect a potential pullback today, at least until the US session. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is also turning down → This supports the possibility of a short-term pullback on the H1 chart. ________________________________________ 🌀 Wave Structure Analysis: Currently, there are two key scenarios to consider: ✅ Scenario 1 – ABC Correction Structure (black labels): • If this is a C wave completing an ABC correction, the current bullish move is likely over. • In this case, price may break below the 3315 support zone, resuming the medium-term bearish trend. ✅ Scenario 2 – Impulse Wave 12345 (black labels): • If this is wave 5 of a 5-wave impulse, the uptrend may not be complete yet. • Currently, wave 5 has reached its first target at 3385, however, we must still watch for an extended target around 3402. • Notably, wave 4 took the form of a triangle. According to Elliott Wave theory, when wave 4 is a triangle, wave 5 typically travels a distance equal to the triangle’s maximum height → This makes 3385 a highly probable peak area. ________________________________________ 🧭 Trade Plan (Reference Only): 🔹 Sell Setup #1 – Near Potential Wave 5 Top: • Sell Zone: 3375 – 3378 • Stop Loss: 3387 • TP1: 3365 • TP2: 3344 • TP3: 3333 🔹 Sell Setup #2 – In Case of Extended Wave 5: • Sell Zone: 3400 – 3402 • Stop Loss: 3410 • TP1: 3385 • TP2: 3368 • TP3: 3333
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD, August 3, 2025📊 🔍 Momentum Analysis: D1 Timeframe: Momentum continues to rise strongly. It's expected that the price will keep rising for at least two more trading days, pushing the momentum indicator into the overbought territory, reinforcing the current bullish trend. H4 Timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal, indicating a possible corrective pullback during Monday’s trading session. H1 Timeframe: Momentum is strongly bullish, especially evident from the powerful upward move on Friday. Price may continue rising at the open of the Asian session, potentially creating a Gap. However, caution is advised, as this Gap could signal exhaustion. 📌 Wave Pattern Analysis: Given Friday's strong price action, the primary scenario currently favors wave 3 within the 5-wave bullish structure (12345 – black). However, we cannot entirely eliminate the possibility that this is wave C within an ABC corrective structure (black). Presently, the price is forming a smaller 5-wave bullish structure (blue), likely in the final wave 5. Attention should be paid to two critical target zones: 🎯 Blue Wave 5 Targets: • Target 1: 3368 • Target 2: 3385 ⚠️ Next Scenario: Upon completing the blue 5-wave structure, a corrective move downward will occur. • If the correction does not break below 3315, the larger 5-wave bullish structure (12345 – black) is confirmed, and the price will continue upward to complete black wave 5. • If the correction breaks below 3315, the structure shifts to an ABC corrective pattern (black), increasing the likelihood of a deeper decline to complete the larger corrective wave C (red). 🧩 Combining Momentum & Wave Analysis: • D1 momentum strongly supports the continuation of the bullish trend. • H4 momentum forecasts a short-term bearish correction on Monday, aligning with the formation of wave 4 correction. • H1 momentum suggests the possibility of a Gap at Monday's Asian session open, marking the beginning of a corrective pullback as momentum reverses. 🎯 Short-term Trading Plan: We will trade the current blue wave 5 with the following limit order plan: ✅ Sell Limit Zone: 3385 – 3387 ⛔️ Stop Loss (SL): 3399 🎯 Take Profit (TP1): 3368 🎯 Take Profit (TP2): 3355 📌 Note: The detailed trading plan for capturing the larger wave 4 correction (black) will be updated once sufficient evidence confirms the completion of the blue wave 5. Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold (XAU/USD) in Symmetrical Triangle – Short‑Term Squeeze,Price Structure & Technical Setup Gold is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, showing lower highs and higher lows—a classic precursor to breakout in either direction Fxglory Ltd +5 TradingView +5 Babypips.com +5 TradingView +2 Babypips.com +2 TradingView +2 . Trendlines converge tightly around $3,326–$3,334, hinting at imminent directional acceleration Investopedia +4 TradingView +4 TradingView +4 . 🎯 Key Levels & Targets Scenario Trigger Confirm Area Targets Stop Loss Bullish Breakout above $3,344–$3,350 $3,369 → $3,396 → $3,422–$3,550 ~$3,340 Bearish Breakdown below ~$3,326–$3,320 $3,320 → $3,300 → $3,297 → $3,255 ~$3,335–$3,340 A breakout above $3,344–$3,350 validated with volume may drive prices toward $3,400+, with extended targets up to $3,550 or higher in bullish conditions Traders Union Time Price Research . A drop below $3,326–$3,320 risks further decline, targeting $3,300, $3,297, and eventually $3,255 if breakdown momentum builds . 📉 Market Context & Drivers U.S. dollar strength, easing safe-haven demand, and optimistic trade sentiment are constraining gold’s upside unless breakout forces emerge . Key upcoming catalysts: FOMC guidance, U.S. macro data (GDP, inflation), and geopolitical developments—their tone could tip the bias direction . ⚙️ Trade Rules & Risk Management Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown—do not trade mid-range. Confirm break with at least one close outside the triangle and rising volume . Position sizing: Risk 1–2% per trade, adjust stop-loss to price structure ($8–$15 depending on volatility). Take profits in stages: scale out at minor milestones (first targets), trail stop for extended targets. Avoid chasing price within the middle of the triangle—risk/reward is unfavorable. 🧠 Why This Plan? Follows textbook symmetrical triangle trading methodology: entry on breakout, stop beyond pattern opposite side, projection based on triangle height . Aligns with broader outlook: bearish unless convincing upside breakout appears, consistent with analyst consensus hedging current bull exhaustion and wait‑and‑see on policy signals . ✅ Summary Gold is coiling inside a tight triangle range near $3,326–$3,334, with breakout potential identified to either side: Bullish breakout over $3,344–$3,350 targets up to $3,550 or beyond. Bearish breakdown under $3,326–$3,320 risks slide towards $3,300–$3,255. Wait for confirmation, apply disciplined risk controls, and let volume validate the move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingProTrader
GOLD NFP Plan – Waiting for Breakout & Riding the Bullish Wave – GOLD NFP Plan – Waiting for Breakout & Riding the Bullish Wave Gold is currently trading inside a large sideways triangle pattern, with price compressing toward the apex. However, based on recent candle structure and yesterday’s reaction at the key level, there’s strong momentum building for bullish continuation—likely forming a Wave 3 breakout if price can decisively break above the current descending trendline. 🔎 Technical Breakdown: ✅ BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 (confluence of CP ZONE + GAP + OBS BUY from yesterday) 📈 Price already reacted with +160 PIPS profit from this zone, confirming buyer control ⛓️ Descending trendline is compressing price – a breakout above it could unleash strong bullish momentum 🔄 SELL ZONE: 3339 – 3341 marked by OBS SELL ZONE + liquidity layer 📰 Fundamental Focus: Today is Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) day. With current forecasts pointing toward weaker-than-expected U.S. job data, the dollar could face pressure—creating the perfect scenario for gold to spike higher on BUY-side FOMO. 📌 Trade Plan: 🎯 BUY ZONE: 3276 – 3274 ❌ Stop Loss: 3270 🎯 Take Profits: 3280 – 3284 – 3290 – 3294 – 3300 – 3305 – 3310 – 3320 – 3330 – 3340 – 3350 ⚠️ SELL ZONE (counter-trend): 3339 – 3341 ❌ Stop Loss: 3345 🎯 Take Profits: 3335 – 3330 – 3325 – 3320 – 3315 – 3310 – 3305 – 3300 📌 Key Notes: Favor BUY setups in line with the trend—focus on reaction zones outlined on the chart. If NFP data is bearish for the dollar, wait for strong confluences before entering any SELL, and avoid shorting prematurely against bullish momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 1, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔍 Momentum Analysis: • D1 Timeframe: Momentum has reversed to the upside. Based on this signal, we expect a bullish trend to continue for the next 5 daily candles — likely until mid-next week. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum has also turned upward → This suggests that from now until the U.S. session, the price will likely continue to rise or consolidate with an upward bias. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently turning down → We anticipate a short-term corrective move. We should wait for H1 to enter the oversold zone and give a bullish reversal signal before looking for long entries. ________________________________________ 🌀 Wave Structure Analysis: The current wave structure remains complex and lacks clear confirmation. Thus, the current wave labeling should be considered provisional. However, the wave count has not been invalidated, and D1 momentum supports a bullish outlook — so we continue to maintain our wave structure bias. Important Note: Wave (C) in red appears relatively short. This leaves open the possibility that the price may continue lower, targeting: • ⚠️ 3246 • ⚠️ 3200 → This scenario will be triggered if price breaks below 3268, especially given today's Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report. ________________________________________ 📌 Two Possible Wave Scenarios: 1. Scenario 1: Black Waves 1 – 2 – 3 o Wave 1 (black) is complete. o We are now in Wave 2 (black) → Preparing for Wave 3. o Wave 3 tends to be strong, impulsive, and sharp with large candle bodies. o Target: 3351 2. Scenario 2: Black ABC Correction o The market is currently in Wave B (black). o Potential target for Wave C: 3328 ________________________________________ 🛡 Support Zones & Trade Strategy: • Support Zone 1: 3290 → A good area for potential buying, but we must wait for H1 to enter the oversold region and show a bullish reversal. • Support Zone 2: 3275 → Deeper buy zone if the price corrects further. ________________________________________ 💡 Trade Plan: 📍 Option 1 – Buy Limit: • Buy Zone: 3290 – 3289 • Stop Loss: 3280 • Take Profit 1: 3309 • Take Profit 2: 3328 • Take Profit 3: 3351 📍 Option 2 – Buy Limit: • Buy Zone: 3275 – 3273 • Stop Loss: 3265 • Take Profit 1: 3309 • Take Profit 2: 3328 • Take Profit 3: 3351 ________________________________________ 📎 Notes: • Experienced traders should wait for clear confirmation signals on H1 before entering trades. • New traders may consider using limit orders in the proposed buy zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Liquidity Sweep Complete – Bullish Continuation Ahead?GOLD ANALYSIS 31/07: Liquidity Sweep Complete – Bullish Continuation Ahead? 🔍 Technical View | XAUUSD | 2H Chart | End of Month Setup Gold has completed a final liquidity sweep around the 3269–3271 zone and has since rebounded strongly, in line with the prevailing bullish structure. The sharp drop yesterday during the FOMC rate statement appears to have served its purpose: grabbing final sell-side liquidity before preparing for the next bullish leg. As of now, price is reacting at the 3295 zone, which coincides with the M30 CP (Change of Character) Zone, showing minor intraday retracement. A healthy pullback is likely before a potential bullish breakout of the descending trendline that has been holding price down over recent sessions. 🔵 BUY Strategy: Trend Continuation Setup We’re watching for potential re-entries on a dip toward the OBS Buy Zone (3286–3284), created after the recent bullish move. This could be the last opportunity to catch the next impulsive leg higher. Buy Zone: 3286–3284 Stop Loss: 3278 Targets: 3290 → 3294 → 3298 → 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3316 → 3320 → 3330 → ??? Key breakout confirmation will come if price closes strongly above 3313 (first key resistance). If broken, this opens the door toward the VPOC zone at 3328–3330, where a high-volume cluster awaits. 🔴 SELL Strategy: Short-Term Rejection Levels Shorts only become favorable below the VPOC Sell Zone (3328–3330). If price closes above this area, bearish pressure is likely to fade, and bulls will dominate the next leg. Sell Zone: 3328–3330 Stop Loss: 3335 Targets: 3324 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300 ⚠️ Important: Selling inside a bullish breakout structure is high-risk unless the market gives clear rejection at major supply. Always wait for price action confirmation. 🕯️ Monthly Candle Insight (July Close) Today marks the final trading day of July. Notably, the last two monthly candles have closed as Doji with long wicks, reflecting deep indecision and ongoing liquidity grabs. This aligns with the upcoming interest rate cut discussions at the next FOMC, which could ignite significant volatility. 📌 Summary: Liquidity sweep at 3269–3271 is likely complete. Price now retracing after strong bullish rebound from OBS Buy Zone. Watch for confirmation above 3313, then 3328–3330 for breakout toward higher zones (335x–337x). End-of-month close + macro narrative (FOMC) will be crucial to confirm direction. 💡 Pro Tip: Avoid entering late into reactive moves. Wait for retests of clean liquidity zones and use volume-based confluences to validate bias. 📲 Follow us @MMFlowTrading for real-time updates, macro analysis, and market structure insights on gold & major pairs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
GOLD: Is This a Bottom or the Calm Before the Storm?🌐 Fundamental & Macro Landscape The recent US–EU trade and defense pact has temporarily reduced gold’s appeal as a safe haven. The US Dollar and stock markets remain strong thanks to positive macroeconomic data. Current sentiment is risk-on, which typically shifts capital away from metals and into riskier assets. But the real volatility could come later this week: 📅 High-Impact Events to Watch: US ADP Employment Report FOMC Statement + Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) These will likely decide whether gold resumes its uptrend or continues sliding lower. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold is currently trading within a parallel bullish channel after rebounding from local lows. However, price is now approaching a key resistance zone around 3342, where we might see either a breakout or a rejection, depending on market sentiment during the upcoming data releases. 🔍 Key Price Zones 🔺 Short-Term Resistance: 3342 🔺 Major Supply Zone: 3369–3388 (Order Block + FVG + Fib 0.5–0.618) 🔻 High-Liquidity Demand Area: 3293–3290 🔻 Deep Demand Zone (FVG): 3275–3273 🔺 Long-Term Resistance Target: 3416 📈 Trade Plan – Based on Price Reaction, Not Prediction The best trades come from waiting for the right reaction at key zones. No chasing. No guessing. ✅ Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Scalp Setup) Entry: 3293 – 3291 Stop Loss: 3286 Targets: 3296 → 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3312 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 🟢 Works well in high-liquidity zones for quick short-term gains. ✅ Scenario 2 – Buy from Deeper Support (Swing Setup) Entry: 3275 – 3273 Stop Loss: 3269 Targets: 3280 → 3284 → 3288 → 3292 → 3300 → 3305 → 3310 → 3320 → 3330 🟢 Great setup if price absorbs selling pressure and reverses from FVG demand. ❌ Scenario 3 – Short from Short-Term Resistance Entry: 3340 – 3342 Stop Loss: 3346 Targets: 3335 → 3330 → 3325 → 3320 → 3310 🔴 Valid only if price fails to reclaim above 3342. ❌ Scenario 4 – Short from Major Supply Zone Entry: 3369 – 3372 Stop Loss: 3376 Targets: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 3330 → 3320 🔴 Higher risk – only act after confirmation (e.g., rejection wicks or bearish candle pattern). ⚠️ Risk Management Tips Avoid entering right at London or New York opens – too much volatility and false breakouts. Always wait for confirmation (candle rejection, pin bars, engulfing, etc.). Use strict stop-loss rules – FOMC + NFP can spike price in both directions. 💡 Final Tips for Indian Traders Trade with patience – the best setups often appear when others are panicking. Respect your capital – don’t overleverage during high-volatility news events. Focus on price action – not emotions or fixed bias. 📌 If you found this gold analysis helpful, feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments or follow for daily updates on XAU/USD. Let’s grow and trade smarter, one setup at a time. Namaste 🙏 | Trade safe, trade with clarity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
3
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 30, 2025📊 🔍 Momentum Analysis • D1 Timeframe: Momentum has started to reverse upward, but we need to wait for today’s daily candle to close for confirmation. Until then, there is still a risk of another short-term decline. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum lines are clustering in the overbought zone, signaling a possible weakening of the current upward move. However, this signal alone is not enough to confirm that the uptrend has ended. ________________________________________ 🌀 Wave Structure • Price has reached the projected target for wave e, but there has been no strong bullish reaction. The recent candles are short-bodied and overlapping – typical of corrective structures. Also, this wave has lasted longer than previous corrective upswings, suggesting that the decline may not be over yet and the wave count needs to be reviewed. Currently, we are facing two equally probable scenarios (50/50), but they suggest opposite outcomes: ➤ Scenario 1: Zigzag (5-3-5) Structure • The current structure may represent only wave A of a larger zigzag. • We are now in wave B, which tends to be complex and unpredictable, making it not ideal for wave-based trading. • The red zones marked on the chart indicate potential target areas for wave B. ➤ Scenario 2: Completed 5-Wave Correction • The downtrend may have completed at wave (e). • The current upward movement could be wave 1 forming as a triangle – a potential start of a new bullish cycle. • However, to confirm this scenario, price must hold above 3309. If it fails to do so and H4 momentum reverses downward, a new low is very likely. ________________________________________ 📝 Trading Plan Given the current market conditions, I only recommend short-term scalp trading based on the predefined support and resistance zones. Avoid wave-based trading until the structure becomes clearer. Once clarity returns, I will provide an updated trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – July 28, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔍 Momentum Analysis: • D1 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the oversold zone. This strongly suggests a potential bullish reversal today, which could lead to a rally or sideways movement lasting around 4–5 days. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is reversing upward. This indicates a likely bullish or sideways move in the short term, at least until momentum reaches the overbought zone (estimated within the next 2 H4 candles). • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently overbought, so we may first see a pullback or sideways movement until a clearer reversal signal appears. ________________________________________ 🌀 Wave Structure Analysis: • On the H4 chart, as noted in previous plans, the assumption that price is forming a contracting triangle (abcde) is still valid. Price is currently in the final leg (wave e) of this triangle. • On the H1 chart, we can observe a channel structure, within which an abc corrective pattern is unfolding. • The lower boundary of the triangle (marked by the green trendline) combined with support zones will be critical areas to monitor for the end of wave e. 🔺 Note: Wave e does not necessarily end precisely at the triangle boundary – it can slightly overshoot. Hence, we’ll rely on smaller wave structures to identify potential reversal zones. ________________________________________ 🎯 Key Price Zones to Watch: • Target 1: 3329 • Target 2: 3309 • Target 3: 3290 ________________________________________ 🔎 Lower Timeframe Structure (M10): From the current price action (as shown in the chart), we can see a leading diagonal triangle structure forming. This is a pattern commonly seen in wave 1. If this pattern is confirmed, a sharp and steep decline toward the 3329 zone is likely. ________________________________________ ⚖️ Combining Momentum & Wave Structure: • D1: Signals a potential reversal → favors Buy setups. • H4: Momentum is rising, but price hasn’t confirmed a new bullish trend → need to stay alert and tighten Stop Loss. • H1: Overbought + possible leading diagonal → Expecting a pullback for wave 2 toward 3329 → this would be the optimal Buy zone. ________________________________________ 🧭 Trade Plan: • For experienced traders: → Wait for price to reach key levels and watch for reversal signals before entering. • For beginners: → Use the following Limit Buy setup: ✅ Setup 1: • Buy zone: 3330 – 3328 • Stop Loss: 3320 • TP1: 3351 • TP2: 3370 • TP3: 3385 ✅ Setup 2: • Buy zone: 3310 – 3308 • Stop Loss: 3300 • TP1: 3328 • TP2: 3351 • TP3: 3370
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD: Is This Just the Calm Before a Bigger Move? – GOLD: Is This Just the Calm Before a Bigger Move? Gold has dropped nearly $50 in the last 4 sessions — showing strong bearish momentum, but is the downside exhausted? Or is this just a pause before continuation? 🔍 Macro Drivers: Recent US–EU defense and trade agreements have weighed on gold's safe-haven appeal. Strong US economic data has pushed USD and equities higher, redirecting flows out of precious metals. Market sentiment is leaning short-term risk-on, which is bearish for gold – but key technical levels are approaching. 📊 Technical Context – H12 Structure: Price broke below 3,342 key support, retested it and rejected — validating short-term supply zone. Price is now consolidating between Sell-side liquidity (3,301–3,292) and deeper FVG/OBS zone around 3,270. Above, multiple sell zones align at Fib 0.5–0.618 retracement with order blocks and fair value gaps. 🔧 Trade Scenarios (Plan for Reaction – Not Prediction): 🟢 BUY SCALP – Quick bounce off demand zone Entry: 3,292 – 3,290 SL: 3,285 TPs: 3,296 → 3,300 → 3,305 → 3,310 → 3,315 → 3,320 → 3,325 → 3,330 📍Low-risk intraday bounce play from liquidity pocket 🟢 BUY SWING – Deeper test of FVG/OBS zone Entry: 3,272 – 3,270 SL: 3,265 TPs: 3,276 → 3,280 → 3,284 → 3,288 → 3,292 → 3,294 → 3,300 → open 📍Higher R:R setup if price sweeps final liquidity zone 🔴 SELL SCALP – Rejection from short-term resistance Entry: 3,340 – 3,342 SL: 3,346 TPs: 3,335 → 3,330 → 3,325 → 3,320 → 3,310 📍Reaction-based trade if price fails to reclaim the zone 🔴 SELL SWING – Deeper pullback into macro zone Entry: 3,370 – 3,372 SL: 3,376 TPs: 3,365 → 3,360 → 3,355 → 3,350 → 3,345 → 3,340 → 3,330 → 3,320 📍FVG + CP zone overlap with strong OB; ideal for patient sellers ⚠️ Risk Notes: Watch for false breakouts/liquidity traps near session opens. Wait for price confirmation; reaction over prediction. Maintain disciplined risk management – this is a volatile area. 🧭 I’ll be tracking price behavior at these zones closely. If this approach to mapping price action resonates with you — Feel free to stay connected or share your bias in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading