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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 20/8/2025 1. Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum lines are still “sticking” together, signaling that the bearish pressure is weakening. However, without a strong bullish D1 candle to confirm reversal, there is still a risk of sudden downward spikes. Patience is required until a clear bullish confirmation appears. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is currently turning bullish, suggesting a potential upward move today. But caution is needed: if the bullish candles are short, overlapping each other, and when momentum reaches the overbought zone without breaking the previous high → this move is likely just a corrective rebound. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is in the overbought area, indicating the possibility of a minor pullback or sideways movement in the short term. 2. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: The corrective triangle structure remains valid (only invalidated if price breaks below 3270). The main scenario continues to favor wave 1 and 2 in blue, with price currently in wave 2. • H4 timeframe: The decline in wave C shows overlapping sub-waves, each formed by 3-wave structures, hinting at the possibility of an ending diagonal for wave C. The pattern is not yet complete, so we need further observation for confirmation. • H1 timeframe: Within the 5-wave structure of an ending diagonal, wave 3 is typically the strongest and a divergence usually occurs between wave 3 and wave 5 on RSI. Yesterday’s decline pushed RSI into the oversold zone, but no divergence has formed yet. Combined with H4 momentum turning bullish, this suggests the current move is likely wave 3 (yellow). A corrective wave 4 upward is expected, followed by a final decline to complete wave 5 with RSI divergence. Once wave 5 ends, the entire wave C diagonal will be complete, paving the way for a strong bullish rally — a typical characteristic of ending diagonals. 3. Trading Plan The strategy is based on the ending diagonal pattern: • Conservative approach: Wait for a breakout above the upper boundary of the diagonal before entering. • Aggressive approach: Wait for wave 5 to complete and enter at the projected bottom of wave 5. Trade setup: • Buy Zone: 3301 – 3299 • Stop Loss (SL): 3219 • Take Profit (TP1): 3314 • Take Profit (TP2): 3362 • Take Profit (TP3): 3381
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Consolidates Ahead of FOMC Liquidity SweepGold is currently moving within a narrow range, with downside pressure becoming increasingly evident. With just over a day left before the FOMC meeting – an event that could shape the next major trend – the market seems to be preparing for a sharp liquidity sweep. 👉 At first glance, price action looks frustrating and unclear. But for traders following MMFLOW KeyLevels, this is actually the “golden range”, as key zones continue to hold with remarkable precision. 📉 Today’s Outlook Main Trend: Ongoing corrective downside move. Potential Scenario: A deep liquidity sweep towards the 331x zone before a strong bullish rebound. 🔑 Key Trading Levels SELL Zone: 3340 – 3345 | Short SL: 4 – 5$ 🎯 Targets: 3325 → 3317 → extended 3310 📌 Note: Manage risk tightly and watch reactions around KeyLevels – a single BreakOut move post-FOMC could unlock the next major opportunity. ✨ Once again: KeyLevels = Profits ✅ 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily KeyLevel strategies, liquidity maps & smart money insights
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
🇮🇳 Gold Under Pressure | Key Levels to Watch TodayGold continues to move in line with our weekly outlook. Despite strong rebounds from liquidity zones, the market still faces heavy selling pressure, unable to break out of the 335x – 336x resistance area. With no major news events scheduled today, price action is expected to remain within range, making KeyLevels the most important zones to trade from. 📌 Trading Bias Today Priority remains on SELL setups at upper resistance zones. Adjust entries slightly for better risk–reward. For BUY positions, wait for deeper entries to avoid liquidity sweeps around 333x – 332x, which have been tested multiple times recently. 🔑 Key Market Levels Resistance: 3346 – 3357 – 3370 – 3383 Support: 3324 – 3316 – 3309 📌 Trading Plan for India Traders ✅ BUY Zone: 3316 – 3314 SL: 3310 TP: 3320 – 3324 – 3328 – 3332 – 3336 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360+ ✅ SELL Zone: 3356 – 3358 SL: 3362 TP: 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340 – 3330 – 3320 ⚠️ Summary Gold remains inside a bearish channel, waiting for a clear breakout. Until major news like the FOMC hits, expect sideways price action within today’s KeyLevels. 👉 Watch reactions closely around 333x – 336x for the next potential move. Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and let the market show its hand.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD Waiting for the Big BreakOut after FOMC This WeekGold Sideway Compression | Waiting for the Big BreakOut after FOMC This Week Gold is currently consolidating in a tight range, building up energy for a major BreakOut. After the liquidity sweep at the weekly open, price fluctuated strongly between the 332x – 335x zone, but on the H1 timeframe, the overall trend still remains within a descending channel. Last week, CPI & PPI data failed to deliver a clear direction. This week, all eyes are on the FOMC meeting, expected to provide stronger signals for gold’s next move. ⏳ Early to mid-week: with limited impactful news, gold may continue to sideway within the narrow range or maintain downside pressure until FOMC is released. 🔑 Key Market Levels Resistance: 3357 – 3369 – 3383 – 3398 Support: 3335 – 3317 – 3309 📌 Trading Setup ✅ BUY Zone: 3334 – 3332 SL: 3328 TP: 3338 – 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 👉 If gold breaks the descending channel around 336x, expect a strong move towards 3383 – 3398. ✅ SELL Zone: 3383 – 3385 SL: 3390 TP: 3378 – 3374 – 3370 – 3360 – 3350 👉 If gold fails at higher resistance and reverses, liquidity may be swept back into 333x – 331x, with potential extension down to 329x. ⚠️ Summary Gold is at a critical decision point: BreakOut or Breakdown. Before FOMC: sideways / bearish bias within H1 channel. After FOMC: expect a strong Pump or Dump to define the clear weekly trend. 🔥 Keep a close eye on reactions at KeyLevels (333x – 336x – 338x) to adjust trading strategy accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 19/8/2025 1. Momentum • D1 timeframe: Price is still waiting for confirmation of a bullish reversal in the oversold zone. The current decline has lasted for 7 daily candles, which is usually sufficient for a corrective wave → suggesting the down move is in its final stage. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is preparing for a bullish reversal in the oversold zone. We can expect 4–5 bullish H4 candles ahead, indicating a possible upward move today. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is tightening in the overbought zone. o If price makes a strong rally above 3343, the bullish move will be confirmed. o If price continues to consolidate sideways, a downward liquidity sweep may occur before pushing higher. 2. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Expectation remains that the abcde red triangle correction has been completed. The market is likely forming waves 1 and 2 (blue) of a new 5-wave bullish sequence. • H4 timeframe: The red ABC correction has already reached its first target at 3322. Combined with reversal signals on D1 and H4, this level could mark the bottom of wave C red or wave 2 blue. • H1 timeframe: After a strong rally yesterday, price is now in a deep pullback. This is likely wave 2 red, following the completion of wave 1 red. o Wave 2 has retraced to the 0.782 Fibonacci level of wave 1, making it a potential ending point. o However, since H1 momentum is still in the overbought zone, another drop is still possible. o If price breaks below 3324, then wave C might still be in progress, with key support zones at 3322 – 3315 – 3300. 3. Trading Plan • Current Buy position 3329–3332 is running with about 100 pips profit → this trade can be held for longer. o TP1: 3343 o TP2: 3362 o TP3: 3381 • If not in position yet, consider a Buy Limit: o Entry: 3333 – 3330 o SL: 3323 o TP1: 3343 o TP2: 3362 o TP3: 3381 👉 Note: If price breaks below 3324, I will update with new entry levels at lower support zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD: Navigating the Uptrend and Key Support LevelsPrice Structure: Gold has been forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicative of a general uptrend. The chart labels a "high" and a "higher high," confirming this bullish structure. Support and Resistance: Two key support areas are identified: Support area S1: A narrow zone around 3,320 USD. The price recently bounced off this area. Support area S2: A broader, more significant zone around 3,290 USD, which appears to have been a strong support level in the past. Several horizontal resistance levels are marked: Immediate resistance: Around 3,351.231 USD and 3,366.029 USD. Higher resistance: At 3,408.819 USD and 3,438.677 USD. Channels and Trendlines: The price has been moving within a series of ascending channels (highlighted in green rectangles), suggesting a stair-step upward movement. A primary ascending trendline (black line) serves as a long-term support, with the price currently hovering just above it. Recent Price Action and Projections: The price recently broke out of a small downtrend and is showing signs of recovery from the "support area S1." A potential price path is drawn with a red arrow, indicating a possible move towards the immediate resistance levels around 3,351 USD and 3,366 USD. The chart highlights two specific price points, 3,360.604 USD and 3,350.685 USD, which likely represent a short-term trading range or target. Volume: The volume spikes visible at key price points (e.g., at the low on July 30 and during the recent drop) indicate strong market activity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 18, 2025 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn bullish. The current decline has lasted for 5 daily candles – this is often the usual number that completes wave D. Therefore, the current stage is sensitive, and price could reverse upward at any time. However, during such periods, price often sweeps liquidity to the downside first, so caution is required. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is still bearish, suggesting that price may continue falling on Monday. That said, a reversal to the upside on Monday is also possible. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is already in the oversold zone, with the lines sticking together. If price continues to fall at the Asian session open, a gap may appear. In that case, pay close attention to the downside target zones. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: On the daily chart, we can see a completed abcde corrective structure, followed by a strong rally. The current move is a decline, likely forming waves 1 and 2 (green) within the 5-wave structure of the larger wave 5. The latest D1 candle shows a long upper wick, indicating that selling pressure still remains. • H4 timeframe: A 5-wave impulse (12345, black) has formed, which could represent wave 1 (green). Afterward, a 3-wave ABC correction (purple) developed. The market is likely within wave C (purple) at the moment. With H4 momentum still bearish, this supports the scenario that wave C (purple) is continuing. Key downside targets to watch: 3322 and 3298. • H1 timeframe: Within wave C (purple), a 5-wave impulse (12345, black) is unfolding. The market is currently in the late stage of wave 4 and the start of wave 5. Wave 5 will be confirmed if price breaks below 3331. Key downside targets for wave 5: o Target 1: 3322 o Target 2: 3315 o Target 3: 3299 Trading Plan • Scenario 1: o Buy Zone: 3323 – 3321 o SL: 3312 o TP1: 3333 o TP2: 3350 o TP3: 3381 • Scenario 2: o Buy Zone: 3300 – 3298 o SL: 3290 o TP1: 3333 o TP2: 3350 o TP3: 3381
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD Bullish Trend Continuation: Potential Move to $3,400!The price action shows a higher high ("high") and a higher low ("low"), which are characteristic of an uptrend. An upward trendline has been established, connecting a series of higher lows, which is acting as a dynamic support level. A significant horizontal support zone has also been identified around the $3,260 - $3,280 price range, where the price previously found support. Recently, the price experienced a pullback and bounced off the upward trendline. The analysis anticipates a continuation of the upward momentum toward a key resistance zone. This resistance zone is located around the $3,400 - $3,420 level. A specific target price of $3,408.833 is highlighted within this zone, suggesting a potential area where the upward movement might pause or reverse. The chart includes a potential corrective wave pattern labeled with "C"s, indicating a recent three-wave pullback within the larger trend. The current price is shown at $3,353.520, positioned above both the horizontal support and the upward trendline, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – August 15, 2025 1. Momentum • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse and the two lines are converging. We need to wait for the daily candle close for confirmation. At this stage, buying pressure is weak, but sudden downward spikes to sweep liquidity are still possible. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is rising, suggesting a potential rebound today. If this rebound fails to break above Wave B’s high, another downward move is likely. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is turning down, so a short-term drop is possible. If price breaks below 3331 and approaches the lower targets, it will align with H4’s upward momentum, creating the basis for a more stable rally. 2. Wave Structure • D1 Timeframe: The abcde triangle pattern may have completed. We now have a black 5-wave structure, with Wave 1 formed and price possibly in Wave 2. A break below 3270 would invalidate this 5-wave count. • H4 Timeframe: The black 12345 5-wave structure appears complete. Price may now be forming a purple ABC correction, with Waves A and B done, and price currently in Wave C. Based on Fibonacci from W12345, Wave C has two potential targets: o Target 1: 3322 (Fibo 0.618) o Target 2: 3298 (Fibo 0.782) • H1 Timeframe: Within Wave C, a black 5-wave structure seems to be developing, and price may now be in Wave 4. Wave 4 has two possible targets: 3343 and 3350, after which price could drop to complete Wave 5. 3. Key resistance zones where Wave 5 may end: • Target 1: 3322 • Target 2: 3315 • Target 3: 3299 4. Trade Plan • Scenario 1: o Buy Zone: 3322 – 3320 o SL: 3312 o TP1: 3332 o TP2: 3357 o TP3: 3381 • Scenario 2: o Buy Zone: 3300 – 3298 o SL: 3290 o TP1: 3314 o TP2: 3343 o TP3: 3381
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
3330 Liquidity Zone – A Fresh Bullish Structure is Emerging!The 3330 liquidity zone continues to prove its strength as gold rebounds sharply from this level, forming a clean new bullish structure on the M30 timeframe. Buyers are now pushing price to trade around 334x, and if this momentum holds, the next upside targets lie at the FIB – CP Zones above 335x and 336x. On the higher timeframe, the corrective wave is still in play, but short-term price action is opening opportunities for both BUY & SELL setups, provided we time our entries with precision. Market Context & Key News Today, the market will be watching the Trump–Putin meeting, which could trigger sharp geopolitical-driven moves. This Friday also brings the usual liquidity sweep, adding to potential volatility. That’s why MMFLOW recommends observing the trend closely to pick safe entry points and avoid getting caught in false breaks. Trading Plan 1. SELL Zones 3355 – Prime OBS SELL ZONE, expecting strong reaction. 3362 – Higher resistance, aligned with the descending trendline. Note: Best to take entries here if reached during Asia or early London; late London/NY session tests are prone to false break traps. 2. BUY Zones Watch 3334 – 3336 for early BUY entries on lower timeframes. Safe stop-loss: below 3330. If 3330 breaks → wait patiently for BUY opportunities around 331x. Action Strategy Prioritise early BUYs at 3334–3336 with confirmation signals. SELL at 3355 or 3362 if clear rejection occurs. Manage risk strictly – SL below 3330 for BUYs and above 3365 for SELLs. 💡 MMFLOW NOTE: This is gold – volatility can erupt at any moment. Control your emotions, wait for precise setups, and you’ll gain the edge.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Fed Set to Cut 50bps: Gold Gains as the Bullish Wave Forms Again📌 Macro Overview US Treasury Secretary Bessent gives the green light for a potential 50-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in September. July CPI remains soft → USD weakens, bond yields fall, boosting gold’s bullish outlook. Gold briefly touched $3,370/oz, closing at $3,355.9/oz (+0.24%). Gains capped as US equities continue to break records and geopolitical tensions ease. Market focus now shifts to PPI data, jobless claims, and the anticipated Trump–Putin meeting for the next directional cues. 🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW Analysis The bullish recovery wave is clearly re-emerging after a corrective phase, with price hunting liquidity zones left behind in the recent retracement. Preferred strategy: Trade around key liquidity levels or continuation zones for SELL opportunities; BUY entries will be taken earlier to catch the recovery wave within the current price channel. Price Structure & Observation Zones: Short-term uptrend channel intact, primary support at 3336 – 3334 (Liquidity – OBS BUY Zone). Major resistance at 3394 – 3396 (Liquidity Grab Zone + H1 Supply). 🎯 MMFLOW Trading Plan 🔹 BUY SCALP – Catch the recovery wave Entry: 3336 – 3334 SL: 3330 TP: 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3380 – ??? 🔹 SELL SCALP – Counter-trend at resistance Entry: 3394 – 3396 SL: 3400 TP: 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3370 – 3360 📊 Key Levels Resistance: 3365 – 3370 – 3395 Support: 3340 – 3336 – 3330 💡 MMFLOW Strategy Tip: Wait for price to retest the 3336 – 3334 BUY ZONE for trend-following BUY positions. Watch for liquidity absorption signals at 339x – a potential SELL reversal zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Gold Price Faces Key Resistance — Can Bulls Break $3,440?The XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) 1-hour chart shows a strong bullish structure within an upward channel, supported by higher highs and a recent ATH (All-Time High) retest. Resistance Zone: $3,410 – $3,440 is acting as a significant supply area. Price may face selling pressure here. Support Levels: First support lies near $3,300 (supply zone), followed by the $3,225–$3,250 demand zone. Trend: The price is respecting the upward trendline, but a break below could trigger a retest of the green supply zone. Bullish Scenario: A breakout and close above $3,440 could lead to a continuation toward $3,475+. Bearish Scenario: Rejection from the resistance zone with a break below $3,300 could push price toward the $3,225 support. Overall, gold is currently in a bullish trend, but needs to overcome the $3,440 barrier for further upside momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 14, 2025Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 14, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis • D1 timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of reversal. Although price may not reverse immediately when the two momentum lines converge, this is a clear signal that the current selling pressure is weakening. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is declining and has only formed 2 H4 candles since the reversal began. It will likely take another 2–3 H4 candles to enter the oversold zone and potentially reverse upward. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is also falling, suggesting a likely downward move during the Asian session. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • On H1, price is moving in a choppy manner, indicating a corrective phase that has nearly reached its target. • However, the D1 momentum preparing to reverse upward creates two possible scenarios: Scenario 1: D1 momentum reverses upward and confirms → The uptrend could last for 4–5 days, conflicting with the current scenario of a corrective wave B. In this case, we would have an alternative scenario of an initial diagonal wave 1 as shown in the right-hand chart. Scenario 2: D1 momentum enters the oversold zone and stays there → A strong drop would be needed to confirm that the current price action is wave B. ________________________________________ 3. Two Potential Price Scenarios 1. WXY corrective pattern → Target for wave Y is around 3381. 2. Initial diagonal wave 1 → Wave 2 could decline toward 3345 before wave 3 rises again. This scenario currently aligns better with the D1 momentum signal. ________________________________________ Conclusion: At present, there is a conflict between momentum signals and wave structure. Further observation is required to determine a clearer trading plan, so no trade recommendation for today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (August 13, 2025) 1. Momentum • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the oversold zone. By the end of today, it is likely to be fully in oversold territory. This stage often leads to strong price movement – either a sharp decline or a bullish reversal. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn upward. We need to wait for the current H4 candle to close for confirmation. If confirmed, a recovery move is likely to occur today. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently tightening and approaching the overbought zone – a typical sign of sideways price action. This explains why, despite the high probability of a recovery, H1 does not yet provide a good entry signal. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • RSI shows a bullish divergence between price and the indicator – a pattern often seen in wave 3 or wave 5. This supports the view that wave 5 (black) has completed around the 3333 level. • With a complete 5-wave structure, wave A (red) of the ABC (red) correction may already be in place. • A recovery in wave B (red) is expected, which aligns with H4 momentum preparing to turn upward. Wave B typically forms a 3-wave corrective structure, where price moves in a choppy, overlapping manner rather than trending strongly. • Wave B target zones: 1. 3371 2. 3381 These two levels are close to each other, so they can be treated as one combined zone. The plan is to take the first target as the base level while extending the SL to cover the second target. If price approaches these levels, it’s best to watch real-time price action before entering a trade. • Alternative scenario: If wave 5 (black) is not yet complete, the 3323 zone remains a good Buy opportunity (as per the previous analysis). ________________________________________ 3. Trading Plan Sell Setup: • Entry Zone: 3371 – 3373 • SL: 3385 • TP1: 3358 • TP2: 3331 • TP3: 3323 Buy Setup: • Entry Zone: 3323 – 3321 • SL: 3313 • TP1: 3331 • TP2: 3357 • TP3: 3371 2. Wave Structure • RSI shows a bullish divergence, often seen in wave 3 or 5, suggesting wave 5 (black) may have completed around 3333. • Wave A (red) of the ABC cycle may be complete; wave B (red) is expected to recover in a 3-wave, choppy pattern. • Wave B target zone: 3371–3381 (treated as one zone; monitor price action before entry). • Alternative scenario: If wave 5 (black) is not yet complete, 3323 remains a potential Buy zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD SURGES AFTER CPI – TARGETING 337x BEFORE SELL-OFF? MMFLOW TECHNICAL OUTLOOK 📌 Market Overview Following the CPI release, gold reacted with strong buying momentum (FOMO BUY), pushing prices swiftly from the 333x area up to 335x. The main driver here is the BUY side taking advantage of remaining liquidity gaps above, aiming to break through the critical 3358 resistance – the first major barrier before reaching 337x, a key equilibrium zone that previously acted as a strong price-holding area for SELL orders. Current structure indicates: Short-term trend: Bullish, but approaching key distribution levels. Liquidity Hunt: A decisive break above 3358 with strong volume could trigger a rapid move towards 337x, activating SELL volume from pending limit orders. Macro context: No major news events today, with expected daily range ~35–40 points, increasing the chance of range-bound traps before a breakout. 🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW View Market Structure: Gold has formed a Higher Low around 333x and is now testing short-term resistance. Key Levels & Liquidity Zones: Liquidity BUY ZONE at 3338–3336 has reacted well, confirming BUYers are still defending this zone. Supply Zone / CP Zone at 3375–3377 aligns with an H1 Order Block, holding a high concentration of pending SELL orders. Volume Flow: Increasing volume as price approaches resistance suggests a potential “last push” before a reversal. 🎯 MMFLOW Trading Plan 🔹 BUY SCALP – Following the main trend Entry: 3338 – 3336 SL: 3332 TP: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 🔹 SELL SCALP – At the distribution zone Entry: 3375 – 3377 SL: 3382 TP: 3370 – 3365 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 📊 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3358 – 3365 – 3376 Support: 3342 – 3337 – 3330 – 3310 💡 MMFLOW Insight: With the current setup, the optimal strategy is to wait for a BUY opportunity near early support (334x) to ride the short-term bullish momentum, then watch for price reaction at 337x to catch potential SELL entries once top-side liquidity is swept.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
PROACHING LIQUIDITY ZONE – WAITING FOR CPI TO DECIDE NEXT MOVE📌 MARKET RECAP Gold kicked off the week with a sharp $50 drop, breaking through key trendlines and nearby support zones. The selling pressure came from: Profit-taking after the recent strong rally. USD strength expectations ahead of CPI data (forecast ~0.1% better than the previous reading). Geopolitical factor: Ukraine–Russia ceasefire talks moving towards a conclusion, fueling risk-off sentiment. 🧐 WHAT’S NEXT? If CPI beats expectations → USD strengthens → Gold could drop further into the Liquidity Zone 333x – 330x. If CPI disappoints → USD weakens → Gold may quickly bounce back toward key level 337x (previous breakdown zone) for a retest before deciding direction. 🎯 MMFLOW GAME PLAN 1️⃣ BUY SCALP 📌 Entry: 3331 – 3329 📌 SL: 3325 📌 TP: 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 2️⃣ BUY ZONE 📌 Entry: 3310 – 3308 📌 SL: 3304 📌 TP: 3314 – 3318 – 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – ??? 3️⃣ SELL SCALP 📌 Entry: 3363 – 3365 📌 SL: 3370 📌 TP: 3360 – 3356 – 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340 4️⃣ SELL ZONE 📌 Entry: 3376 – 3378 📌 SL: 3382 📌 TP: 3372 – 3368 – 3364 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 ⚠️ RISK NOTE CPI is the market’s dice roll – even a small deviation could trigger massive stop hunts. Always watch the KeyLevels marked on the chart before entering trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 12, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is declining → the downtrend remains intact. It may take another 2–3 daily candles for price to reach the oversold zone and potentially reverse. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is rising → from now until the U.S. session, price may either retrace upwards or move sideways. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn down → a minor pullback could occur in the short term, so this move should be monitored. ________________________________________ 2. Elliott Wave Structure • The green wave structure in the form of an ending diagonal may have been completed. This could mean that Wave 5 or Wave C (black) has formed. • Personally, I do not want to see the Green 5-Wave Structure end with an ending diagonal at this stage because: o If this is an impulsive uptrend structure, we are only at Wave 1 of the larger degree. o An ending diagonal in Wave 5 (black) indicates weak buying pressure, which is not ideal when price hasn’t broken the previous high to confirm a new trend → increasing the probability that this is a corrective wave. • Looking at the current downward wave structure, I tentatively label it as five black waves 1-2-3-4-5. The current slight rebound is expected to be Wave 4, which could take the form of either a Flat or Triangle. • Wave 4 targets: 1. 3358 2. 3364 • If price breaks 3381, the current 1-2-3-4-5 bearish count will be invalidated (Wave 4 would overlap Wave 1). In that case, the structure could turn into a corrective ABC or a new 5-wave advance. • With a Wave 4 target at 3364, the projected Wave 5 target would be 3323. ________________________________________ 3. Combining Momentum & Wave Structure • D1 downtrend → supports the scenario of another drop, forming Wave 5. • H4 rising + H1 declining → could indicate Wave 4 forming as a triangle, with the key signal being that the current drop does not break 3342. o If 3342 breaks, Wave 5 may already be in play, targeting 3323. • Since H4 momentum is still rising, there remains a chance that price breaks above 3381, which would require a full recount—possibly turning into an ABC correction or a 5-wave rally. ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan • If Wave 4 forms as a triangle → the 3358 area is a good sell zone, or wait for a breakout below 3342. • Limit Sell Order: o Entry: 3364 – 3366 o SL: 3374 o TP1: 3342 o TP2: 3333 o TP3: 3323
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAU/USD Bullish Bounce from Demand Zone !Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4H chart is showing a potential bullish reversal setup. Price has pulled back into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and high supply/demand zone near 3,329–3,315, aligning with the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci retracement. Key Points: Support Zone: 3,329–3,315 (demand + FVG). Bullish Rejection Expected: Price may bounce from this zone, targeting upper resistance levels. Upside Targets: TP1: 3,356 TP2: 3,375 TP3: 3,440–3,459 (major resistance) Invalidation: A daily close below 3,315 could open room for deeper downside toward 3,278–3,245. Indicators: EMA(9) and Ichimoku showing potential for trend resumption if price closes above 3,362. Overall, the chart suggests a buy setup on bullish confirmation, aiming for the 3,375–3,459 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Awaiting the BreakDown or a Snap Back to Resistance?XAUUSD – Game of Patience: Awaiting the BreakDown or a Snap Back to Resistance? | MMFlow Trading 1. Market Context The week opened with a sharp sell-off in Gold — driven by profit-taking and stop-loss hunting on late-week FOMO BUY positions. Buying momentum is fading, while sellers are lurking at the ascending channel’s support. Price is currently reacting at KeyLevel 336x–337x, with H1 candles showing lower wicks → signs of indecision. 2. Technical Outlook Overall structure: Still within an H1-H4 uptrend channel, but BUY momentum is weakening. No clear SELL confirmation yet → need a BreakDown from the channel to confirm seller dominance. Scenario 1: Break the channel → target 335x & 333x zones. Scenario 2: No break → price may rebound to retest 339x – 340x – 342x resistance levels. 3. Fundamental & Macro View This week brings major USD economic data: CPI & PPI. Forecasts lean positive for USD, which could increase downward pressure on Gold. However, expect false breakouts before/after news releases — risk management is key. 4. MMFlow Trading Plan BUY SCALP Entry: 3353 – 3351 SL: 3345 TP: 3358 – 3362 – 3366 – 3370 – 3375 – 3380 BUY ZONE Entry: 3332 – 3330 SL: 3325 TP: 3336 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 SELL SCALP Entry: 3394 – 3396 SL: 3400 TP: 3390 – 3385 – 3380 – 3370 – 3360 SELL ZONE Entry: 3425 – 3427 SL: 3430 TP: 3420 – 3415 – 3410 – 3405 – 3400 – 3390 – 3380 5. Risk Management Avoid FOMO — wait for clear candle confirmations before entering. Reduce position size ahead of CPI/PPI events. Focus on pre-defined key levels, avoid trading in noise zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 10, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis • D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum lines are still overlapping without a confirmed reversal signal. This suggests that a potential reversal could occur within the next 1–2 days. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is currently rising, indicating that prices may continue to climb during the Asian session tomorrow. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is also rising, further supporting the expectation of continued upside movement in the Asian session. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure Analysis • Current price action is overlapping, reinforcing the hypothesis that an ending diagonal is forming. • This structure could either be part of Wave 5 (black) or Wave C (black). In both cases, it represents an ending diagonal 12345, with the market currently in Wave 4 (blue). • Confirmation signal: A sharp and steep decline will confirm the ending diagonal — as mentioned in previous plans, this has not yet occurred. • The projected completion targets are at 3412 or 3419. If the price breaks 3439, it will likely confirm the completion of Wave 5 (black). ________________________________________ 3. Possible Scenarios • Scenario 1: If the current move is part of a 5-wave 12345 black structure, once Wave 5 completes, a corrective ABC 3-wave decline could follow, targeting 3333. • Scenario 2: If the current move is part of a 3-wave ABC black structure, once Wave C completes, a 5-wave bearish sequence could unfold, breaking below 3315. ________________________________________ 4. Combining Momentum & Wave Structure Given that: • D1 is in the overbought zone and could reverse within 1–2 days, • H4 momentum is rising, and • Price is likely in Wave 4 (blue), → On Monday, we may see one more upward push to complete Wave 5 (blue). This presents a potential SELL opportunity in the 3412–3419 target area. Since this is a wide zone, it’s best to wait for clear reversal signals before entering. ________________________________________ 5. Trade Plan SELL ZONE 1: 3411 – 3413 • SL: 3416 • TP1: 3400 • TP2: 3381 • TP3: 3342 SELL ZONE 2: 3419 – 3421 • SL: 3429 • TP1: 3400 • TP2: 3381 • TP3: 3342
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD Weekly Plan Final Bullish Push Before a Liquidity Sweep?XAUUSD Weekly Plan – Final Bullish Push Before a Liquidity Sweep? 1. Market Context Last week, Gold kept moving inside the H2–H4 bullish channel, pushing into the FVG High Zone and approaching the major resistance at 3426–3428 (OBS Sell Zone). Momentum is fading – candles are compressing, and volume is dropping – signaling potential distribution. 2. Macro Outlook (High-Impact USD Data Ahead) CPI – Aug 12 → Primary driver. PPI – Aug 14 → Usually a leading signal for CPI. Unemployment Claims – Aug 14 → Short-term impact. Expectations: CPI & PPI likely better than previous month → USD strength → Gold correction (liquidity sweep to the downside). Weaker-than-expected CPI/PPI → USD weakness → Gold could spike for one last bullish leg before reversing. 3. Technical Overview H2 bullish channel top aligns with FVG High Zone → big players’ sell limit & profit-taking area. Main scenario: Test 3426–3428 → Bearish reaction → Channel breakdown → Retest 3395–3400 (VPOC) → Drop toward liquidity pools below. 4. Key Levels SELL Zone: 3426 – 3428 SL: 3434 TP: 3420 → 3415 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360 BUY Zone: 3330 – 3328 SL: 3322 TP: 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → 3380 5. Trading Plan 🔹 Primary SELL Setup: Wait for price to reach 3426–3428 with H1/H2 bearish candle confirmation. Take profits gradually at each downside target. 🔹 Counter-trend BUY: Enter only if price sweeps liquidity into 3330–3328 with strong bullish reaction. 6. Trader’s Notes Gold may still push $30–$40 higher early next week before hitting OBS Sell Zone. Expect large SELL volume once in this zone (profit-taking + top-picking by big players). This should be a short-term correction, not a full trend reversal. Best to SELL from highs and hold after a confirmed channel breakdown. 7. Risk Note High-impact week → Possible false breaks before/after CPI & PPI. Avoid oversized positions during news releases. A break & hold above 3434 with strong volume invalidates SELL scenario → wait for new structure. 📌 Summary: Bias: SELL from 3426–3428 → Target liquidity pools down to 3360. Backup Plan: BUY from 3330–3328 if liquidity grab confirmed. Manage risk tightly, especially during high-volatility events. — MMFlow Trading
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 8, 2025📊 🔍 Momentum • D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is currently turning down, limiting the potential for a long-term rally in the current bullish wave. This also suggests that the top may already have formed around the 3,409 level. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is still declining and needs about one more H4 candle to reverse upward. For now, the downward move is likely to continue, so caution is advised. • H1 Timeframe: Showing early signs of a short-term bearish reversal. This decline is important and will be analyzed further after the wave structure review. 🌀 Wave Structure The current price action suggests a potential Ending Diagonal formation. Once completed, this pattern is typically followed by a sharp and sudden drop. So far, no sharp decline has occurred, meaning the ending diagonal may not be finished yet. The ideal completion zones for Wave 5 are around 3412 or 3419. Ending diagonals tend to develop in a complex manner, so a safer approach is to enter trades after price breaks below the lower boundary of the diagonal. 👉 Additional Scenario: If H1 momentum reverses downward and price breaks below 3381, it is likely to drop toward 3371. This area could be considered for a Buy setup. Conversely, if price does not break below 3381 and instead rises toward 3412, it may indicate that Wave 5 is completing at that level. 📈 Trading Plan • SELL Zone 1: 3412 – 3414 o SL: 3417 o TP1: 3393 o TP2: 3372 • SELL Zone 2: 3419 – 3421 o SL: 3429 o TP1: 3395 o TP2: 3372
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX