XAU/USD – Gold Completes Liquidity Sweep Phase🔍 Market Context
After a prolonged decline from the peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold has formed a Liquidity Sweep around the 4,010 USD zone, where the selling side was completely absorbed by strong buying pressure from the demand zone below.
The price structure shows signs of a Change of Character (ChoCH) for the first time since the peak, along with the appearance of an Order Block (OB) 4,081 USD – the starting point for a new upward momentum.
This indicates a high possibility that the market is entering a technical retracement phase , aiming to retest the FVG resistance zone above, or even expand back to the ATH zone if buying pressure continues.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Liquidity Sweep: 4,010 – 4,020 USD → liquidity sweep bottom zone, increased volume appears, confirming absorption of sell orders.
Order Block (OB): 4,081 – 4,090 USD → starting zone for recovery momentum; if the price retests this zone and holds → confirmation signal for an upward phase.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
• FVG1: 4,196 – 4,210 USD → first target for the recovery wave.
• FVG2: 4,234 – 4,250 USD → next target, confluence of medium-term resistance.
OB | ATH GOLD: 4,370 – 4,380 USD → major resistance zone, previous peak; if the price surpasses → confirmation of a new upward trend.
Current market structure:
→ Short-term: bullish recovery (recovering from the bottom zone).
→ Medium-term: waiting for confirmation to break 4,234 to transition to a complete bullish structure.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest the Order Block 4,081 USD
Entry: 4,081 – 4,085
SL: 4,060
TP1: 4,196
TP2: 4,234
TP3: 4,370
✅ Conditions:
Wait for the price to retest the OB 4,081 zone, a confirmation signal for an increase appears (rejection / engulfing bullish) or a small BoS on M15.
➡️ This is a classic buy-the-dip setup after a Liquidity Sweep – high probability due to the confluence of OB + ChoCH + strong demand zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest FVG 4,196 USD
Entry: 4,196 – 4,200
SL: 4,180
TP: 4,234 → 4,370
✅ Conditions:
The price breaks up the first FVG with good volume, then lightly retests without closing candles below 4,180.
➡️ Trend-following setup, following the money flow when the price confirms breaking the short-term resistance zone.
📉 Alternative Scenario – SELL reaction at 4,234 USD (Short-term Scalp)
Entry: 4,234 – 4,240
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,196 → 4,100
✅ Conditions:
If the price reacts strongly and fails at the second FVG without follow-up volume increase → a short adjustment phase may appear.
➡️ Short-term sell, only execute if there is no continuation confirmation at FVG2.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise BUY according to the main recovery trend, only SELL when there is a clear reaction.
Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,130–4,180).
If the price closes H1 candles below 4,060 → invalidate the recovery trend, pause all buy orders.
💬 Conclusion
Gold has completed the Liquidity Sweep phase and is signaling a sustainable technical reversal .
Two important zones to monitor:
4,081 USD (OB Zone): first rebound support zone.
4,234 USD (FVG Zone): zone confirming a new upward structure.
If the price holds OB and breaks through FVG, there is a high chance gold will resume its upward momentum towards the 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) zone.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,081 USD → TP 4,234 / 4,370 USD.
Sell reaction 4,234 USD only when a clear reversal signal appears.
🔥 “Liquidity has been swept — now it’s time to ride the recovery wave.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 23/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Xauusdupdates
Gold's Historic Crash! MSS $4195: Kindly Wait for SELL at $4185📰 FUNDAMENTALS (Context is Key)
Gold has seen a massive drop—sharpest since 2013, mind you—after hitting that record high of $4,398. This steep fall is primarily technical profit-booking, not any major panga (trouble) on the macro side. The core drivers (inflation, uncertainties) for Gold are still intact, pakka (surely), for the long term. However, short-term, a good correction is compulsory.
📊 TECHNICALS (1H Chart Basis)
Market Structure Shift (MSS) Done: The price has given a proper Breakout of the strong support at $4,195 - $4,200. This zone is now our New Resistance—the best place for selling, no doubt.
The market is currently undergoing a Technical Pullback.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (Actionables)
Our main focus is to SELL at the Resistance re-test, which aligns nicely with the changed market structure.
1. SELL Strategy (Pro-structure Trade)
SELL ZONE: $4183 - 4185
SL (Stop Loss): $4193
TP (Take Profit): $4175 - 4165 - 4155 - 4145
2. BUY Strategy (Counter-trend Scalp)
BUY ZONE: $4060 - 4055
SL (Stop Loss): $4030
TP (Take Profit): $4091 - 4114 - 4185
🔥 Expert Mandate: Kindly wait for the price to revert to the $4183 - 4185 zone. That is where you Do the needful and look for a SELL (Short) setup. The Risk-Reward is quite handsome.
Please ensure strict risk management (1-2% capital) is followed.
What is your good name for this market? BUY or SELL? Leave your comments and Kindly Follow for the timely updates!
#XAUUSD #GOLD #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis
XAUUSD – Awaiting a Breakout to Confirm the Next Bullish WaveGold remains under pressure, trading slightly below 4,100 USD/oz despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and weak global sentiment.
On the higher timeframe, the structure still respects its ascending channel, showing no signs of a deep breakdown yet.
During the early Asian session, renewed buying interest has started to emerge, supported by a stable inflow of safe-haven demand.
Technically, price is attempting to form a bullish continuation structure (Dow wave) around the 4,110 zone.
If a breakout above this key level occurs, gold could accelerate toward 4,155, and potentially extend into a corrective bullish wave targeting 4,220–4,260, aligning with the Fibonacci retracement confluence and the CP/OBS sell zone on the chart.
Technical Outlook (M30):
Price action suggests a potential wave recovery structure forming after last week’s steep decline.
The 4,155 level acts as a key inflection point — it will decide whether bulls regain control or bears push for another correction.
Key Levels:
CP Zone Up / Breakout Base: 4,053 – 4,055
Short-Term Key Level: 4,110 – 4,115
Mid-Level Resistance: 4,155 (structure pivot)
Fibo Sell Zone / Wave End Target: 4,220 – 4,263
Trading Plan:
🔹BUY Setup #1
💥Entry: 4,020 – 4,018
❌Stop Loss: 4,010
✔️Take Profit: 4,030 → 4,035 → 4,040 → 4,050 → 4,060 → 4,100
⏸Bias: Reaccumulation Phase (structure support)
🔹BUY Setup #2 (Scalp Play)
🔔Entry: 4,053 – 4,051
❌Stop Loss: 4,043
✔️Take Profit: 4,060 → 4,070 → 4,080 → 4,090 → 4,100 → 4,150
⏸Note: Ideal for intraday traders watching the breakout base.
🔹SELL ZONE (Liquidity Reaction Zone)
📊Entry: 4,263 – 4,265
❌Stop Loss: 4,273
✔️Take Profit: 4,255 → 4,250 → 4,240 → 4,230 → 4,220 → 4,210 → 4,200
⭐️Summary:
Gold continues to consolidate above 4,050, showing signs of early recovery after the recent 3,000-pip correction.
The 4,155 level remains the key pivot for short-term direction — a breakout here could confirm a Wave 3–5 recovery structure, while rejection could bring one more pullback.
Macro and geopolitical uncertainty still favour safe-haven flows, keeping the bullish scenario valid as long as 4,000–4,020 holds.
📊What’s your take — will gold break above 4,155 to start a new bullish wave, or reject and extend the correction further?
SELLOFF IMMINENT GOLD TRAPP Final Warning Before $4000 COLLAPSEWelcome Traders! The Gold market (XAU/USD) is tightly constrained, and the pressure from the USD, combined with the technical breakdown risk, makes the SHORT scenario our highest conviction trade!
1. Sharp Technical Analysis
The H1 chart confirms a Bearish Consolidation structure after the steep drop from $4,370$. The price is locked in a high-stakes "No-Trade Zone".
Dominant Trend: BEARISH (following the breakdown of the Double Top pattern at $4,100$).
Consolidation Range (No-Trade Zone): Price is squeezed between $4,005 (Support) and $4,159 (Resistance).
Bear Flag Warning: A highly probable Bear Flag pattern is forming, suggesting an explosive downside move upon breakout.
Action Mandate: WAIT FOR THE BREAKDOWN CONFIRMATION!
2. Fundamental Analysis: USD Fueling the Drop
USD Strength: The USD sustained its upward momentum, increasing the burden on Gold. While a slight pullback occurred at the US open, the overall positive USD momentum remains a significant bearish factor.
Impact: Consistent USD demand makes a decisive break above $4,159$ highly unlikely. This heavily favors the scenario where Gold breaches the critical $4,000$ support.
3. MAIN TRADING PLAN: Breakdown Scenario (SHORT)
We are setting the trap to execute the SELL trade immediately upon the decisive breach of the $4,005$ Support.
Activate SHORT: Breakdown below $4,005$. Confirm with an H1 candle closing decisively beneath this level.
STOP-LOSS (SL): $4,159$. Placed safely above the No-Trade Zone Resistance.
TAKE-PROFIT 1 (TP1): $3,955.772. The next structural support target.
TAKE-PROFIT 2 (TP2): $3,889.251. The final objective, aligning with the larger pattern target.
Contingency Scenario (LONG)
Activate LONG: ONLY if Gold decisively breaks $4,159$ (Breakout Zone) and targets $4,332.127.
Note: This is a counter-trend, high-risk trade requiring massive news to justify.
Community Interaction 🚀
Are you ready for the break? Will Gold collapse to $3,889$ or surprise us with a break of $4,159$?
Drop your priority scenario NOW! 👇
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
$4,381 WAS THE FAKE TOP? Gold -5.5%: MSS Confirms SELL!XAU/USD Solid Analysis: Historic Dump and Structure-Based Trade Setup!
1. Fundamental Shock Analysis (Market ka Bhaav)
Gold's massive 5.5% fall from its All-Time High (ATH) of $4,381 is a big profit-booking spree after that superb 60% rally this year. This correction was full-on and was pushed by:
USD is Strong: Dollar index ne zor pakda (gained strength), making Gold less attractive.
Sentiment Change: Market ka bhaav (market sentiment) shifted to Risk-On.
The Gist: This is basically a Liquidity Sweep, yaar. They are washing out the weak players before the next big move.
2. Technical Analysis (MSS & Execution)
The price action has given a pakka (confirmed) signal: Trend to change ho gaya hai (The trend has changed)!
MSS Confirmed: The Market Structure Shift (MSS) is locked at $4,254.549. This is our Supply Zone now—the key resistance for the bears.
Demand Testing: Gold is trying to hold the current Order Block (OB) at $4,077.
Preferred Strategy: SELL as per the MSS structure. This is the main funda (fundamental principle) now.
Optimal SELL Zone: Wait for the retracement to the Supply Zone $4,254.549 (A great limit order setup).
Target (TP):
TP 1: $4,008 (The crucial psychological $4k level).
TP 2: $3,944 - $3,904 (Strong support ka area).
Stop Loss (SL): Tight SL above $4,260 (Protecting the MSS point, no compromise).
Conclusion: Bhaiyon, don't get trapped by the small bounce. $4,254.549 is the high-conviction point for a short trade on Gold!
#GOLD #XAUUSD #MSS #LiquiditySweep #SELLSignal #PakkaTrade
Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup): Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,2Technical Overview:
Gold is currently in a retracement phase, testing a strong BUY ZONE between 4,180 – 4,200.
This zone has previously acted as a major support area, where buyers stepped in.
The chart shows a possible bullish reversal pattern forming near this zone, suggesting a potential rebound.
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup):
Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,200 LME:ZS1! LME:CA1! LME:AH1! LME:NI1! LME:HC1! LME:MC1! LME:PB1! LME:SN1! LME:MZ1! LME:MA1! LME:SR1! LME:AN1!
Target: 4,384
Stop-Loss: Below 4,160
Rationale:
The buy zone aligns with previous price reactions, confirming strong demand.
Wick rejections around 4,190 indicate buyer interest.
Price action suggests a possible V-shaped recovery or higher-low formation before continuation upward.
🟥 Bearish Scenario (Alternative):
If price closes below 4,160, the support zone will be invalidated.
In that case, expect further downside toward 4,120 – 4,100.
⚙️ Summary Table:
Parameter Value
Trend Bias (Short-Term) Neutral to Bullish
Key Support (Buy Zone) 4,180 – 4,200
Target 4,384
Stop-Loss Below 4,160
Risk–Reward Ratio ≈ 1:3
📊 Conclusion:
Gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a critical support zone. As long as the price holds above 4,160, a bullish rebound toward 4,384 remains likely. However, a confirmed break below this level could trigger a deeper correction.
GOLD: BUY $4235, TARGET $4450! (FED RATE CUT PLAY📰 MACRO PUSH: Low-Interest Rate Tailwinds
Gold is getting a huge boost from the fundamentals:
Fed Rate Cuts: Market is pricing 99% probability of a Fed rate cut next week. This is spot on for Gold. Low rates = Gold will fly!
Safe-Haven: Political instability (US Govt shutdown extending) and trade tensions are pushing safe-haven demand higher.
Key Data: Watch for the delayed CPI data on October 24th. It will be a major trigger!
Summary: The fundamental conviction for upside is max to max. We are ready for the breakout.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: The Perfect LONG Setup!
The chart shows Gold is correcting back to the main Demand Zone—a confluence of the Uptrend Line and a crucial structural low. This zone is our go-to for a perfect entry.
🎯 Detailed Trading Strategy
We are activating a long position as price revisits our key zone:
Position: LONG (BUY) - With full conviction on the primary trend.
BUY ZONE (Entry):
$4,237
$4,235 (The most critical Demand Zone)
SL (Stop Loss):
$4,227 (Must protect this level!)
TP (Take Profit Targets):
TP1: $4,245
TP2: $4,255
TP3: $4,265
TP4: $4,275
Final TP: Open (Expecting a New ATH around $4,450+)
DISCLAIMER: This opportunity at the Demand Zone is strongly backed by the macro picture (Fed & Instability). Please use proper risk management!
#GOLD #XAUUSD #Fed #ATH #TechnicalAnalysis #IntradaySetup
Entry: Near $4,320 – $4,325 (Buy Zone) Stop-Loss: Below $4,310 Market Structure Overview
The price is currently moving inside a descending channel (marked as TRADE LINE).
A Buy Zone is identified between $4,315 – $4,325, which acts as a strong support area.
Price has touched the lower channel line and rebounded upward, indicating buyer interest around that zone.
📉 Short-Term Trend
The short-term trend is bearish due to lower highs and lower lows inside the channel.
However, momentum shows weakening selling pressure near the buy zone.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the Buy Zone and forms bullish candles, expect a potential reversal toward the upper channel line.
A breakout above the upper channel would signal a trend shift, targeting:
Target: $4,381 – $4,385 (as marked on your chart).
🔴 Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below $4,315, it would invalidate the buy zone setup.
Next potential support could be around $4,300 or lower.
📊 Trade Plan Example
Entry: Near $4,320 – $4,325 (Buy Zone)
Stop-Loss: Below $4,310
Take-Profit: $4,380 – $4,385
Risk-to-Reward: Approximately 1:4
⚙️ Summary
Gold is currently consolidating within a descending channel.
A bullish breakout from this structure could open the path toward the $4,381 target zone, confirming short-term bullish reversal momentum. LME:SC1! TMX:SXF1! TMX:CGB1! TMX:CGZ1! TMX:CGF1! TMX:LGB1! TMX:BSF1! TMX:FBA1! TMX:FCN1! TMX:FDO1! TMX:FEB1! TMX:FER1! TMX:FEB1! TMX:FHO1!
Gold Holding Gains Ahead of Key US CPI DataGold extends its bullish momentum in early Asian trading, hovering near ₹4,370, supported by rate-cut expectations from the Fed and ongoing US government shutdown concerns, which continue to pressure the USD.
According to CME FedWatch, markets are now pricing in a 99% probability of another rate cut next week — a strong catalyst for gold bulls.
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, reinforcing the medium-term uptrend.
However, all eyes are on the US September CPI report due later this week.
A hotter-than-expected reading could temporarily lift the USD and trigger short-term volatility in gold prices.
🔍 MMFlow Technical Outlook
Gold is currently consolidating around the ₹4,320–₹4,370 range after reaching the ATH zone.
Price action shows a clear liquidity sweep at the highs, followed by a minor retracement — still within the bullish structure.
The main trendline remains intact, suggesting that any dip toward ₹4,305–₹4,260 may attract new buyers.
⚙️ Trading Plan (MMFlow View)
🔼BUY SCALP
📌Entry: ₹4,302 – ₹4,300 (½ volume)
❌Stop Loss: ₹4,292
✔️Take Profit: ₹4,310 → ₹4,315 → ₹4,320 → ₹4,330 → ₹4,340 → ₹4,350+
🔼BUY ZONE (Swing)
✨Entry: ₹4,260 – ₹4,258
❌Stop Loss: ₹4,252
✔️Take Profit: ₹4,265 → ₹4,270 → ₹4,280 → ₹4,290 → ₹4,300+
📈Buy setups remain favored as long as price holds above ₹4,260.
Intraday sell reactions near ₹4,360–₹4,378 are short-term only — watch for liquidity grabs and bullish re-entry opportunities.
⚡️Key MMFlow Zones
CP Down Zone / OBS Sell Zone: ₹4,360
ATH Liquidity Sell Zone: ₹4,448
Retest Trendline / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,305
End FVG Uptrend / OBS Buy Zone: ₹4,260
Sentiment: 🟢 Bullish Bias
Bias Confirmation: CPI Data & Fed Rate Expectations
Strategy: Buy-the-Dip → Target Liquidity Above ₹4,370–₹4,380
🔥 Stay patient — let liquidity drive the next leg. MMFlow tracks smart money zones, not emotions.
XAU/USD – Gold Technical Rebound Prepares for Next Waveb]🔍 Market Context
After reaching a peak at the ATH GOLD 4,391 USD region, gold has undergone a technical correction — reflecting temporary profit-taking following a strong upward trend.
The market structure still maintains a bullish bias as the support zones below (FVG + OB) remain intact and untested.
Currently, the price is hovering around 4,325 USD, indicating that selling pressure has weakened.
Buyers are likely to return at two strategic zones below — where institutional money (Smart Money) typically accumulates positions before the next upward wave.
💎 Technical Analysis
ATH GOLD: 4,391 USD
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,465 – 4,424 USD → the upper liquidity zone, the main target for the next upward wave.
FVG Zone: 4,284 – 4,267 USD → an unfilled gap, likely to be retested.
Order Block Zone: 4,244 – 4,230 USD → deep discount zone confluence with Fibo 0.786, high probability of strong reaction.
Liquidity Clear $$$: 4,186 – 4,190 USD → the last defense zone of the main upward trend.
Overall structure remains bullish ; the current decline is merely a phase of adjustment to “accumulate liquidity” before continuing the upward momentum.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – FVG Zone 4,267 USD
Entry: 4,267 – 4,270
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,330 → 4,366 → 4,391
✅ Condition: Confirming bullish candle (rejection / engulfing bullish) at the FVG zone or a small BoS appears on M15.
➡️ Short-term “buy-the-dip” setup, leveraging the unfilled FVG zone — where technical buyers often initiate positions first.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Order Block Zone 4,244 USD
Entry: 4,244 – 4,230
SL: 4,210
TP: 4,284 → 4,366 → 4,391 → 4,424
✅ Condition: Strong confirming candle (engulfing bullish) or a retracement pattern breaking a small BoS back up.
➡️ Swing-buy setup at deep discount zone — confluence of OB + Fibo 0.786, high probability and optimal R:R.
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid FOMO buying in the middle of the range (4,320–4,340).
Prioritize waiting for clear reactions at 4,267 and 4,244 before entering trades.
If the price closes an H1 candle below 4,210 → pause all buy orders, re-evaluate price action at 4,186.
Maintain moderate trading volume during the current rebound phase.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is in a phase of healthy technical correction within a major upward trend.
The two zones 4,267 USD (FVG Zone) and 4,244 USD (Order Block Zone) are key “accumulation” areas for large capital.
When bullish confirmation signals appear, these will be safe buy positions before gold heads back to the peak 4,391 – 4,465 USD .
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy at 4,267 – 4,270 USD if reversal confirmation occurs.
Buy at 4,244 – 4,230 USD if a strong OB reaction signal appears.
🔥 “Smart money waits at precise levels — not at the top. The next gold wave will emerge between 4.267 and 4.244.”
XAUUSD PLAN | When balanced breaks, strength leaves its mark.🔍 Market Context
After setting a short-term peak at the 4,385 – 4,372 USD zone, gold has entered a strong technical correction phase, with a series of consecutive red candles breaking the short-term upward structure.
The sellers temporarily dominate, pushing the price through the H1 upward trendline. However, the support zone below (Liquidity Zone + Order Block Bullish) is beginning to show absorption, indicating that buyers might return at discounted price zones.
💎 Technical Analysis
Previous Bullish BoS: confirms the main trend is still long-term bullish .
FVG Down Zone: 4,285 – 4,260 USD → a price imbalance zone left in the downtrend, possibly where the price may retrace to “fill the gap” before choosing a direction.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,222 – 4,218 USD → a short-term support zone where new buying liquidity appears.
Order Block Bullish: 4,203 – 4,185 USD → a confluence area between OB and Fibo 0.786, where large capital might return.
Deep Bullish OB: 4,142 – 4,128 USD → the last defensive zone for the main upward trend.
Order Block Bearish: 4,372 – 4,385 USD → a critical resistance zone, likely to react if the price retraces.
The current structure shows gold is in a retracement – liquidity rebalancing phase, with insufficient signals to reverse the trend.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Main Scenario – Buy reaction at Liquidity zone 4,222 – 4,203 USD
Entry: 4,222 – 4,203
SL: 4,185
TP: 4,260 → 4,318 → 4,372
✅ Condition: Strong rejection candle (rejection / engulfing bullish) appears at the support zone or small reversal BoS.
➡️ This is a “buy the dip” setup following the main trend, leveraging the liquidity zone and confluence OB.
2️⃣ Secondary Scenario – Sell reaction at FVG Down 4,285 – 4,260 USD
Entry: 4,260 – 4,285
SL: 4,300
TP: 4,222 → 4,203
✅ Condition: Strong bearish candle or rejection signal appears at the FVG zone.
➡️ This setup is for scalping traders or short-term shorts in the unfilled price balance zone.
⚠️ Risk Management
Do not FOMO buy when the price has not confirmed the 4,222 zone.
If the price breaks below 4,185 → wait for a re-test to continue selling towards the 4,128 zone.
Keep moderate volume, as the market is in a rebalancing phase – liquidity remains noisy.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is in a transitional phase after a strong decline .
The 4,222 – 4,203 USD zone will be key to determining whether the medium-term upward trend continues.
If this zone holds, gold is likely to retest the 4,318 – 4,372 USD zone.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy reaction at 4,222 – 4,203 USD when confirmed.
Technical Sell at FVG 4,260 – 4,285 USD if a clear rejection appears.
🔥 “When the market is unbalanced, the strongest side will leave a mark – and this time, the mark is around the 4,220 USD zone.”
4,200 or 4,285? Gold’s Next Move Decides It All📊 Market Overview
Gold remains under pressure at the start of the week, trading below last week’s record highs, after a sharp correction from the 4,380s down to the 4,240 zone.
Investor sentiment is cautious as the market navigates a mix of uncertain U.S. economic data, a still-closed U.S. government, and renewed geopolitical tensions across multiple regions — all of which are fueling both fear and indecision in the market.
During early Asian hours, gold showed a mild recovery but continues to move sideways in a tight consolidation range, reflecting indecisive liquidity buildup before the next major move.
🧠 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View)
Gold is consolidating between short-term support near 4,206–4,204 and resistance around 4,285–4,287.
Liquidity has started to cluster above and below the current range, suggesting that a breakout is imminent.
The 4,166 – 4,140 region remains a major Smart Money re-entry zone, aligned with the CP BUY ZONE + OBS demand block.
On the upside, 4,313 – 4,342 stands as a key supply zone where large sellers previously stepped in.
Until price breaks out decisively, traders should expect choppy intraday conditions with limited follow-through.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🟢 BUY ZONE (Liquidity Re-entry Zone)
Zone: 4,206 – 4,204
SL: 4,200
TP: 4,210 – 4,215 – 4,220 – 4,230 – 4,240 – 4,250 – ???
🔴 SELL ZONE (Liquidity Reaction Zone)
Zone: 4,285 – 4,287
SL: 4,292
TP: 4,280 – 4,275 – 4,270 – 4,260 – 4,250 – ???
⚙️ MMFLOW Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario:
If gold sustains above the 4,200 – 4,210 support area, a short-term rebound toward 4,270 – 4,285 can be expected.
Breaking above 4,287 would open room toward 4,313 – 4,342 (OBS Sell Zone), where Smart Money may begin distributing again.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
A clean break below 4,200 could trigger a deeper retracement toward 4,166 – 4,140 (CP BUY ZONE).
This would still represent a healthy correction within the broader bullish macro structure.
⚡️ MMFLOW Insights
Market remains neutral-to-bullish, but current movement reflects accumulation within a compression range.
Sideway structure indicates the market is loading liquidity for the next impulsive leg.
Patience is key — traders should wait for clean breakout confirmations before scaling positions.
⚠️ Trading Notes
✅ Use tight Stop Losses — gold’s volatility remains unpredictable during macro uncertainty.
✅ Avoid over-leveraging while price stays inside the sideway channel.
✅ Focus on reaction zones (CP, OBS, and liquidity sweeps) for precise entries.
🧭 Quick Summary
Gold trades sideways below record highs.
Key support: 4,206 – 4,204, key resistance: 4,285 – 4,287.
Short-term bias: Range-bound with bullish undertone.
Best approach: Buy dips at liquidity zones; wait for breakout confirmation before trend trades.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTION 19.10.25(XAUUSD/GOLD 4H Weekly Sell Projection — 19.10.25):
🟡 Chart Overview
Instrument: XAUUSD (Gold/USD)
Timeframe: 4H (4-hour)
Projection: Bearish/Sell
Pattern Date: 19 October 2025
📊 Key Technical Structure
Trend Channel:
The price has been moving in an upward trend channel.
It reached the upper boundary near the 4,448.371 level (All-Time High/Resistance R2).
Reversal Formation:
A Three Black Crows candlestick pattern is formed at the top — a classic bearish reversal signal indicating potential downtrend continuation.
Strong Bearish Momentum followed this pattern.
Breakout Zone:
Price broke below the ascending channel.
“Breakout Zone Retest & Obey” suggests the price tested the previous support as new resistance.
Support & Resistance Zones:
R2 / ATH: 4,448.371
R1 / Fair Value Gap: ~4,281.132
Last Week Low Support S1: ~4,175–4,225 zone
Support S2: ~4,093.117
Potential final target around the lower support zone.
📉 Trade Projection
Entry Zone: Around 4,281–4,321 (after retest confirmation).
Stop Loss: Above 4,321 (previous resistance area).
Take Profit Target: ~4,093 (Support S2 zone).
Risk/Reward: Favorable short setup if bearish momentum continues.
🧭 Additional Notes
“Three Black Crows” near the ATH level adds high probability for a deeper retracement.
If support at 4,175 breaks cleanly, continuation to 4,093 is expected.
Watch for lower-high formations confirming the bearish structure.
A failure to break S1 may lead to a short-term range or bullish pullback.
XAU/USD: Channel Breakout → Retest → Downside Target at 3,940Pair: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1-hour
Current Price: 4,253.975
Trend: Recently broke out of an ascending channel (bearish signal)
📉 Chart Breakdown
1. Ascending Channel (Trade Lines)
Price was moving steadily inside a rising channel, indicated by the two parallel yellow “TRADE LINE” levels.
The break below the lower trade line suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal.
2. Resistance Level (4,320 – 4,360 zone)
Marked in purple, this zone served as a key resistance.
Price rejected strongly from this area, confirming seller presence.
3. Structure Retest and Potential Move
After the channel break, price retraced back to retest the broken channel support (now resistance).
The projected blue path shows a lower-high formation followed by a new drop, completing a bearish continuation pattern.
4. Target Zone
The projected target is near 3,940.693, aligning with previous structure support.
This level could serve as a profit-taking area for short positions.
📊 Summary of Key Levels
Zone Type Range / Level
4,320 – 4,360 Resistance Strong supply zone
4,220 – 4,240 Retest zone Potential short entry area
3,940 Target Bearish target / demand zone
⚙️ Trading Plan Concept (Hypothetical)
Bias: Bearish
Entry Idea: Wait for rejection from 4,220–4,240 zone.
Stop Loss: Above 4,280 (resistance)
Take Profit: Around 3,940 (target)
Risk/Reward: Approximately 1:3 or better
🧭 Conclusion
The chart suggests that Gold (XAU/USD) might be entering a corrective bearish phase after failing to sustain its bullish channel. A retest of broken structure before another drop aligns with typical market structure behavior. EURONEXT:AXFZ2025 EURONEXT:FMXX2025 EURONEXT:QL6X2025 EURONEXT:RH6X2025 EURONEXT:VV8Z2025 EURONEXT:2FTX2025
GOLD Awaiting Sell Reaction at Peak & Buy Pullback Support🔍 Market Context
After a series of strong Break of Structure (BoS) , gold has reached a new ATH at 4,385 USD – marking a sustainable uptrend over the past 3 sessions.
However, this peak area is currently acting as a significant psychological and technical barrier . Buying momentum is temporarily slowing as the price reacts to the Liquidity Zone around 4,351 – 4,385 USD .
The market is in a phase of liquidity rebalancing .
The major trend remains upward, but the current price area may see a short-term correction before further wave expansion.
💎 Technical Analysis
ATH GOLD: 4,385 USD
Sell Liquidity Zone: 4,430 – 4,435 USD → high liquidity resistance zone, potential for short-term sell reactions.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 4,284 – 4,282 USD → nearby support zone, confluence with trendline.
Order Block | Fibonacci Zone: 4,226 – 4,230 USD → deep discount zone confluencing with Fibo 0.618, high reversal potential.
Overall Structure: remains bullish , but showing short-term signs of weakness as the price fails to hold above 4,360.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Rejection at peak area 4,385 – 4,433 USD
Entry: 4,430 - 4,435
SL: 4,440
TP: 4,425 → 4,420 →4,415→4,410→4405
✅ Condition: Appearance of rejection or strong bearish engulfing candles at high Liquidity zone.
➡️ This is a liquidity reaction setup – sell when the price sweeps the peak and clear sell signals from major players appear.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Pullback at 4,284 – 4,282 USD
Entry: 4,284 – 4,282
SL: 4,272
TP: 4,290 → 4,300 → 4,310/Open
✅ Condition: Strong H1 candle reaction at support or minor reversal structure.
➡️ Buy with the main trend, taking advantage of a slight pullback around the support Liquidity zone.
3️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – OB Deep Zone 4,226 – 4,230 USD
Entry: 4,226 – 4,230
SL: 4,190
TP: 4,235 → 4,240 → 4,250/Open
✅ Condition: Appearance of bullish BoS or confirming bullish engulfing candle.
➡️ This is a deep discount zone, suitable for swing orders following the main trend.
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid FOMO buying at high zones (4,360+).
Prioritize observing price behavior at 4,284 and 4,226 before entering orders.
Sell orders at 4,385–4,430 are only triggered if there is a clear confirmation signal.
Maintain moderate volume, avoid averaging down without confirmation.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is accumulating after reaching the peak of 4,385 USD , this is a crucial phase to determine the correction before the new upward wave.
The most effective strategy now is sell reaction at the high peak area 4,385 – 4,430 and buy with the trend at 4,284 – 4,226 USD when confirmation appears.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Sell Reaction: 4,385 – 4,430 → TP 4,284 – 4,226
Buy Pullback: 4,284 – 4,282
Buy OB Deep: 4,226 – 4,230
Fibo BUY Zone Mandatory for Trend Continuation.🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: The Bulls Are Unstoppable!
Gold is the most sought-after asset as XAU/USD aims directly for the $4,300 mark and further.
Primary Catalyst: Financial markets remain cautious amidst the ongoing US government shutdown.
Driving Force: Widespread USD weakness—fueled by the funding battle in the US government—strengthens the bullish case for Gold.
Record Strength: XAU/USD is maintaining positive upward momentum despite extreme overbought conditions.
Technical Focus: In this continuous Bull market, FIBO is the paramount tool for identifying the critical pullback points to initiate BUY entries.
📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels
Our core strategy remains BUY ON DIPS at the most precise Fibo levels, leveraging the strong Parabolic structure.
1. Strategic BUY Zone (FIBO BUY REACT ZONE):
This is the most crucial Fibo support zone where we anticipate a high-probability pullback:
4,321.332 The REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 0.5.
This is the most vital retracement point to catch the next growth wave.
2. Sell/Take-Profit Targets (FIBO SELL TARGETS):
These are the Fibo extension targets where the Longs are aiming:
TP Target 1 (Extension) 4,436.179 The REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 1.5 - 1.618. The next immediate target for the rally.
TP Target 2 (Deep Extension) 4,538.394 The REACTION FIBO SELL ZONE 2.5 - 2.618. The long-term target if momentum remains unchecked.
📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN
Primary Action (Prioritize BUY): Patiently wait for the price to correct to the REACTION FIBO BUY ZONE 0.5 at 4,321.332.
Upon confirmation (H1/M30/M15 reversal candles), confidently activate the Long (BUY) entry.
Targets (TP): Aim for TP Target 1 (4,436.179) and further to TP Target 2 (4,538.394).
⚠️ Risk Warning
Risk Warning: Given the extreme overbought conditions, always place a safe Stop Loss (SL) below the Fibo BUY ZONE and maintain stringent risk management!
Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout Rally Toward New HighsAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) continues its strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart, forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, confirming a sustained uptrend. The recent breakout above the resistance zone near $4,150–$4,170 indicates renewed buying interest and momentum buildup.
After a brief retest of the breakout area, price has started climbing again — a sign of trend continuation supported by bullish candle formations and strong market sentiment.
Technical Outlook:
Support Zone: $4,140 – $4,170 (previous resistance turned support)
Bullish Confirmation: Continuation pattern with clean structure and volume support
Momentum Bias: Strongly bullish while above $4,150
🎯 Target: $4,300 – $4,320 zone
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $4,140 to limit downside risk
📈 Summary:
As long as gold stays above the breakout level of $4,170, the market remains bullish, with upside potential toward $4,300–$4,320, aligning with the next major resistance area.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY STOP PROJECTION FOR 17.10.25Chart Info
Instrument: XAU/USD
Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1)
Price: $4,279.99
Strategy: Buy Stop — Trend Continuation
🟦 Market Structure & Trend:
Price is respecting a strong uptrend channel — clearly defined higher highs & higher lows.
Golden Ratio (Fibonacci) at 0.5 (4242.62) and 0.618 (4251.84) acts as premium entry zone for a retracement buy.
Bullish structure remains intact above 4230 zone.
📊 Entry & Target Zones:
✅ Entry Zone: Around 4250 (Golden Fibo + FVG)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 4230 (structure break = invalidation)
🥇 Target 1 (R1): 4280 (in-channel move)
🥈 Target 2 (R2): 4310 (new ATH projection)
🧭 Technical Confluences:
📈 Uptrend Channel Support — Price expected to bounce after retest.
🟪 15 min Fair Value Gap (FVG) — potential wick entry below 4250.
📐 Golden Ratio Zone — ideal institutional entry point.
🔄 Break & Retest structure — previous resistance now support.
⚠️ Risk & Confirmation:
If candle closes below 4230, trend structure weakens — setup invalid.
Watch for NY Session volatility or major news for breakout momentum.
Partial profit booking near R1 and trailing SL above entry for R2 recommended.
✅ Summary of Plan:
Buy stop setup at retracement zone (4250 area).
SL tight below structure (4230).
TP 4280–4310 with trend continuation.
GOLD: 419x FIBO! READY FOR 426x TARGET.Gold is surging near $4,210, backed by Fed rate cut expectations and ongoing trade tensions. The long-term structure is rock-solid Bullish. Our plan is simple: WAIT and BUY the intelligent pullback!
🎯 THE BUY REACT ZONES (H1)
We are prioritizing Longs and patiently waiting for the price to hit the exact FIBO RETRACE levels.
1. PRIME BUY ENTRY (The Sweet Spot):
Zone: 4194 - 4190 (Our key Fibo Retrace Buy Zone).
Action: Look for the price to correct here. Execute a BUY (Long) upon confirmed H1/M30 candle reversal signals.
2. DEEPER STRATEGIC BUY:
Zone: 4,145.676 (Our major Order BUY zone).
Zone 2: 4124 - 4120 (Fibo Extension Buy Zone).
Action: If the first zone fails, be ready to load up at these deeper accumulation points.
3. TAKE PROFIT TARGET:
Target: 4264 - 4268 (The Fibo Extension Sell Zone).
AD Note: Sells are only for quick scalps; we wait for the major Fibo reaction at 426x.
⚠️ Immediate Focus: WAIT for the 419x retest. Discipline is key to catching this trend continuation!
Gold Pulls Back From All-Time High – Correction Looks Limited📊 Market Overview
Gold slightly corrected from its all-time high near $4,239, showing early signs of a short-term pullback, but the overall trend remains bullish.
Despite the correction, fundamental sentiment still supports Gold:
💬 US–China trade tensions and geopolitical risks continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets.
💵 The US Dollar remains under pressure amid expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut later this year.
⚖️ Ongoing concerns about a possible US government shutdown further enhance Gold’s attractiveness.
These factors suggest that the current dip is likely a healthy correction within a strong uptrend, not a reversal.
🧠 Technical Structure (MMFLOW Wave View)
Gold has likely completed a minor Wave (V) on the M30 chart, forming a new ATH Zone near 4,239.
Currently, price is unfolding a corrective A–B–C pattern, expected to find support at key liquidity zones before resuming the uptrend.
Our model highlights two potential BUY setups and a short-term SELL scalp opportunity for today’s trading session.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🔵 BUY Setup 1
Zone: 4,184 – 4,182
SL: 4,178
TP: 4,188 – 4,192 – 4,196 – 4,200 – 4,210 – 4,220 – ???
🟢 BUY Setup 2 (Deeper Retrace)
Zone: 4,148 – 4,146
SL: 4,140
TP: 4,152 – 4,156 – 4,160 – 4,170 – 4,180 – 4,190 – 4,200
🔴 SELL SCALP Opportunity
Zone: 4,230 – 4,234
SL: 4,238
TP: 4,220 – 4,215 – 4,210 – 4,200 – 4,190 – ???
⚙️ MMFLOW Trading View
📈 Price is currently respecting Wave (A) of the correction.
We expect a possible (B) retracement toward 4,220 – 4,230, followed by (C) decline completing near 4,147 – 4,150 (Fibo 0.618 / CP Buy Zone).
From there, Smart Money may re-enter long positions targeting a fresh liquidity sweep toward the 4,285 SELL ZONE.
In short:
The uptrend remains intact, only a short-term correction is unfolding.
Patience is key — best opportunities will likely appear around 4,150 – 4,180 range.
The structure aligns perfectly with both technical confluence (Elliott + Liquidity Zones) and macro sentiment.
If the market holds above 4,140, Gold could aim for new highs toward 4,285 – 4,300 in the next few sessions.
However, traders should:
✅ Always use Stop Loss — volatility is high near record highs.
✅ Avoid overtrading in narrow pullback zones.
✅ Focus on reaction at key liquidity levels before entering.
⚡️ Summary
Gold remains technically bullish with limited downside correction.
Watch for price reaction around 4,184 and 4,147 — both zones represent strong liquidity areas where Smart Money may look to buy again.
After completing this correction, a new impulsive leg up toward 4,285+ could unfold, potentially marking the next all-time high.
XAUUSD – Safe-Haven Flows Continue to Support GoldMarket Context:
Gold has attracted strong buying for the fourth consecutive session, supported by a mix of global risk factors: renewed US–China trade tensions, rising geopolitical uncertainty, and growing fears of a prolonged US government shutdown.
Meanwhile, dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve are keeping the USD under pressure — further enhancing the appeal of gold as a non-yielding safe-haven asset.
During the Asian session, XAU/USD printed a fresh all-time high, with bulls now eyeing a potential extension toward the 4,200 USD/oz region amid escalating global concerns.
Technical Outlook (M30):
Gold continues to respect its ascending channel structure, maintaining dynamic support between 4,167 – 4,154.
As long as price holds above 4,139, the broader trend remains bullish, with the next liquidity target sitting at 4,240 – 4,241.
Key Zones to Watch:
Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,240 – 4,242
ATH Zone / Short-Term Resistance: 4,190 – 4,200
OBS Buy Zone – CP Trendline Support: 4,141 – 4,139
Secondary Buy Zone: 4,114 – 4,112
Trading Plan:
🔹 BUY Zone
Entry: 4.141 – 4.139
SL: 4.134
TP: 4.145 → 4.150 → 4.155 → 4.160 → 4.170 → 4.180
🔹 BUY Zone
Entry: 4.114 – 4.112
SL: 4.106
TP: 4.120 → 4.125 → 4.130 → 4.140 → 4.150
🔹 SELL Zone (Scalp Reaction)
Entry: 4.240 – 4.242
SL: 4.248
TP: 4.235 → 4.230 → 4.225 → 4.220 → 4.210 → 4.200
Summary:
The bullish market structure remains intact as long as price holds above the 4,139 zone.
Watch for potential long opportunities from 4,141 – 4,139, where the confluence of trendline and order block support could trigger fresh demand.
Bulls remain in control, targeting the 4,240 – 4,241 liquidity area in the coming sessions.
📊 What’s your take — will gold break above 4,200 or pause for a correction first?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily market structure insights and institutional-style setups.
🟣 Chart: XAUUSD M30 – Smart Money Flow structure highlighting liquidity pools, CP confluence and key buy/sell zones.






















