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Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context Gold continues to assert its strength by breaking the psychological barrier of $3,900, becoming the central asset amidst financial and political turmoil. US government shutdown → defensive capital flows strongly into gold. Fed expected to cut interest rates by another 0.25 points → further strengthens the advantage for the non-yielding precious metal. Lack of economic data → investors closely follow private reports, adding uncertainty and supporting gold's role as the “number 1 safe haven”. 👉 Market sentiment is perfectly aligned: USD under pressure, capital moving away from risky assets, BUY side FOMO continues to amplify → gold stands before the opportunity to climb and conquer the 3950–3990 range. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Main trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the rising trendline. BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → Volume CP Zone, supports momentum. BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest old ATH, accumulation zone for the next rally. SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, prone to liquidity traps. Extended target: 3994 (Fib 3.618). 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883 SELL Zone: 3949–3950 Resistance: 3950, 3994 Support: 3900, 3880 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 SL: 3898 TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 SL: 3878 TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950 SL: 3955 TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Liquidity may sweep above 3950 before adjusting → need to wait for price action confirmation. Avoid FOMO at the peak, prioritize BUY only when price adjusts to support zones. Order volume should be slightly reduced before unexpected Fed policy announcements. ✅ Summary Gold is in the “golden phase” of an uptrend: political instability + dovish Fed + safe haven demand = BUY is the main strategy. Plan to accumulate around 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with an extended target of 3950–3990. SELL is only a short-term strategy at the liquidity zone. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups with the team!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Hits $394x! New ATH: Fed & BoJ Drive the Rally.Hello, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has just delivered a massive breakthrough in the Asian session, setting a New ATH around $394x after comfortably breaching that $3900 level. This strength, bhai, is getting serious support from two big monetary policy moves: Fed rate cut expectations and the likelihood of the BoJ (Bank of Japan) delaying rate hikes due to the new PM. Paisa hi paisa! Fundamentals & Technical Caution: Mind the FOMO Dual Drivers: Market sentiment is clear—the Fed is expected to cut rates two more times, and the dovish BoJ outlook only adds more fuel, creating a rock-solid foundation for Gold. Safe-Haven: The continuous US Shutdown drama and geopolitical tensions are keeping that safe-haven bid strong. FOMO Warning: The momentum is fierce, but you must avoid buying the high. Prioritize Buying on pullbacks to FVG (Fair Value Gaps) to secure a safer entry point. Discipline is key, boss. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $3954, $3963 Support: $3910, $3895, $3883, $3870 Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY SCALP: $3910 - $3908 SL: $3904 TPs: $3918, $3928, $3938, $3948, $3958 BUY ZONE (FVG): $3895 - $3893 SL: $3885 TPs: $3903, $3913, $3923, $3933, $3943 SELL ZONE (High Risk): $3964 - $3966 SL: $3974 TPs: $3956, $3946, $3936, $3926, $3916 Are you placing your bets on a $4000 target this week? Let me know your plan! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #BoJ #Shutdown #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #GoldFever
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold Soars on FOMO – 1000-Pip Opportunity Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent ✳️ Hello to all traders, Today, we are not only analysing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A bullish storm is forming, promising attractive trading opportunities. 📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Bullish Structure From a technical standpoint, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 chart is undeniable. 🔹 Break of Structure (BoS): Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely dominant. Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend. 🔹 Potential Demand Zone: After each rally, the price often takes a “pause” to accumulate. Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,911,169 zone, where the confluence between Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next rally. 🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Lit If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel driving the uptrend. 🔸 US Government Shutdown: This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets. Gold – the number one safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve their assets. 🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates: The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%. This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-yielding asset. 🔸 “Thirst” for Economic Data: The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty. In this environment, Gold continues to hold its safe haven role. 🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced. Strategy: Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169. Entry signals: Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as: Pin bar candles, engulfing Or BoS on the M15 chart Targets: Short-term: $3950 – $3990 Long-term: Target “+1000 pips” Risk management: Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB to protect the account. 🧭 Conclusion The current market sentiment is very favourable for the Buyers: USD is under downward pressure Defensive capital flows are strongly moving into Gold The FOMO effect can stimulate an extended rally The combination of a solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture. 👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity. 💼 Wishing everyone an effective and victorious trading day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
New ATH: Shutdown Fuels Gold's Seventh Straight WinHello, traders! Gold just sealed its seventh consecutive weekly gain, boss, with futures hitting a whopping $3,908.9/oz. This rally is powered by growing tension over the US Government Shutdown and the solid expectation of a Fed rate cut (97% chance in October, no less!). Fundamentals & Outlook: Pure Safe-Haven Rally Political Instability: The prolonged Shutdown is a proper bullish driver now. It's delaying key economic reports, creating huge uncertainty, and attracting big safe-haven capital flows. Rate Cut Certainty: The market is absolutely banking on a Fed rate cut, giving massive support to non-yielding Gold. Technicals & Trading Strategy: Focus on $3867 The weekly buying power is super strong. Gold is holding steady near the $3900 mark. The $3867 level is our critical line, bhai; if the price stays above it, the potential for new ATHs remains very high. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $3902, $3912, $3922, $3942 Support: $3867, $3855, $3839, $3792 Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY ZONE 1: $3867 - $3865 SL: $3857 TPs: $3875, $3885, $3895, $3905, $3915 BUY ZONE 2: $3839 - $3827 SL: $3824 TPs: $3847, $3857, $3867, $3877, $3887 SELL ZONE 1: $3902 - $3904 SL: $3912 TPs: $3894, $3884, $3874, $3864 SELL ZONE 2: $3942 - $3944 SL: $3952 TPs: $3934, $3924, $3914, $3904 What's your view? Will the US political drama help Gold finally break past $3900 next week? Tell me below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Shutdown #Fed #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #GoldRush
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (05.10.25) chartXAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (05.10.25) chart. Here’s a clear technical summary of what your chart shows: 🔹 Overall Structure The chart projects a bullish move for XAUUSD (Gold). Title: Weekly Buy Projection – 05 Oct 2025 Main trend: Ascending continuation pattern (marked by blue upward trendlines). Current price zone: around $3,886.45. 🔹 Key Levels Support S2: around $3,838 – $3,846 Support S1: around $3,870 – $3,878 Resistance 1: around $3,900 – $3,910 Resistance 2 (New ATH): around $3,939 – $3,970 🔹 Pattern & Projections Golden Ratio (0.618 Fibonacci) formed near $3,874, signaling a retracement support. Bullish engulfing candle noted at Support S1, confirming buying interest. Possible Double Top highlighted near Resistance 1, indicating a short-term pullback risk before continuation. Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists between $3,875–$3,890, suggesting potential liquidity refill before next le
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
XAU/USD Near Record Highs: Key Data AheadGold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – October 3, 2025 1. Macro & News Context Gold is holding near record highs, heading for its seventh consecutive weekly gain, supported by expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting rates and by concerns around the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Spot prices have recently tested the ₹3,890–3,900 region and are now consolidating around ₹3,860. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) – Typically scheduled for 18:00 IST on the first Friday of the month, the September jobs report is likely to be delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown. Key event to watch today: ISM Services PMI (September) will be released at 19:30 IST. Since ISM data is privately produced, it will be published regardless of the shutdown and may serve as the main volatility catalyst in today’s U.S. session. 【ISM】 Labor market signals: Challenger job cut data showed lower layoffs in September, but planned hiring at the lowest level since 2009, reinforcing a softer employment backdrop. Combined with the Fed’s recent 25 bps rate cut (to 4.00%–4.25%), this continues to support the bullish gold narrative. USD trend: The dollar has weakened broadly this week, aligning with market bets on further monetary easing. This backdrop provides an additional tailwind for gold. 2. Technical Landscape (H1 Chart) The attached chart highlights key technical zones and a completed Harmonic XABCD pattern on the 1H timeframe: Support levels: Near-term: ₹3,844–3,841 Deeper: ₹3,827 (intraday pivot), ₹3,792 (strong low) Strategic: ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish Order Block) Resistance levels: Immediate: ₹3,865 Strong supply: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish Order Block) Extended target: ₹3,930–3,940 (Sell Scalping | Fibo zone) Momentum: After bouncing from point D of the harmonic structure, gold has been forming higher lows (HL). Price currently sits above the longer-term moving average and is testing the shorter-term average, suggesting a constructive short-term bias as long as supports hold. 3. Trade Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy-the-dip (preferred bias) Entry zone: ₹3,844–3,841 Stop loss: Below ₹3,827 (safer: below ₹3,792) Targets: ₹3,865 (first take-profit) ₹3,880–3,890 (major supply) Stretch: ₹3,930–3,940 Rationale: Higher low formation, bullish macro backdrop, aligned with strong weekly uptrend. Scenario 2 – Countertrend short at resistance Trigger zone: ₹3,880–3,890 (Bearish OB) Confirmation: Rejection candles (H15–H1) such as wicks, engulfing, or failed breakout. Stop loss: Above ₹3,895–3,900 (or above ₹3,945 if price spikes into the ₹3,930–3,940 fib zone). Targets: ₹3,865 → ₹3,844 → ₹3,827 Rationale: Potential liquidity sweep ahead of ISM, with profit-taking likely near supply zones. Scenario 3 – Breakdown through support Trigger: 1H close below ₹3,841 Path: ₹3,827 → ₹3,792 (Strong Low) → ₹3,764–3,770 (Bullish OB) Rationale: Loss of intraday structure would flip bias short until major demand zones. 4. How to Trade Around Today’s Data If NFP is indeed delayed, the 18:00 IST slot may bring limited volatility. Focus instead on the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST, which could trigger sharp swings in both USD and gold. Adjust position sizing: Expect spread widening and slippage around the release. Reduce leverage or scale into positions. 5. Risk Management Limit risk per trade to 0.5–1% of account equity. Avoid chasing price once levels are tested; wait for H15–H1 candle closes for confirmation. Monitor the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Treasury yields – further dollar weakness would reinforce bullish gold setups. 🔑 Key Takeaway Gold remains structurally bullish in the broader trend, with immediate support at ₹3,841–3,844 critical to maintain upside momentum. Watch for reactions around ₹3,880–3,890 and ₹3,930–3,940. With NFP possibly delayed, the ISM Services PMI at 19:30 IST will be today’s most important catalyst for directional moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Correction: Fed Warning vs. Massive Safe-Haven Flows Hello, traders! Gold pulled back to $3,845.78/oz after Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan called for caution regarding further rate cuts. Fundamentals: Fed Warns, But the Buying Wave is Unstoppable The market stands at a crossroads: Downward Pressure: The caution signal from Fed's Logan. Upward Momentum: Government shutdown (increases instability, delays jobs report), weak private sector jobs data (down 32k), and SPDR Gold Trust ETF holdings rising to the highest level since 2022. Conclusion: Political instability and weak economic data continue to reinforce the likelihood of a Fed rate cut. Massive safe-haven capital is flowing into Gold. Technical Analysis & Strategy Gold retreated to the FIBO 0.618 - 0.5 zone, indicating a healthy technical correction after the sharp rally. Priority remains Buy if the price holds above $3861. Be cautious of Stop Loss hunting. Resistance: $3870, $3884, $3894 Support: $3855, $3833, $3798 Trading Strategy (Tight SL): BUY SCALP: $3838 - $3836 / SL: $3832 / TP: $3846 - $3857 BUY ZONE: $3798 - $3796 / SL: $3788 / TP: $3816 - $3836 SELL ZONE: $3888 - $3890 / SL: $3898 / TP: $3870 - $3850 Do you think the Fed's warning is strong enough to reverse this trend? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GovernmentShutdown #TradingView #PhânTíchVàng #ETF
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
(XAU/USD) – Gold likely to touch $4,000/oz: Ideal buying levels?1. Market Structure & Trend Outlook On the H1 chart, gold is sustaining its bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows. After the BoS (Break of Structure), price retraced near 3,862 Buy Zone and bounced upward. At present, price trades above EMA34 and EMA89, keeping bullish bias intact. 2. Important Levels Buy Zone: 3,862 – 3,865. Acts as short-term support. Holding above strengthens the bullish case. OB1: 3,806 – 3,810. Next support in case Buy Zone breaks. OB2: 3,763 – 3,770. Deeper support, triggered only if market corrects heavily. Sell Scalping Zone (Fibo): 3,912. A short-term resistance, profit booking expected. Sell Zone / ATH: 3,933 – 3,935. Breakout here may lead to fresh record highs. 3. Trade Setups Bullish Setup: Buy on retest of 3,862 – 3,865. SL: Below 3,850. TP1: 3,912. TP2: 3,933 – 3,935. Bearish Setup (Defensive): If below 3,860, expect test of 3,806 – 3,810. If this fails, price may decline towards 3,763 – 3,770. 4. Conclusion Trend remains positive on H1. Best strategy: Buy on dips near support, manage SLs carefully, and book partial profits near resistances. Sustaining above 3,933 may open doors for new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Record: Shutdown 'Blinds' the Fed Hello, traders! Gold shows absolutely no sign of slowing down, closing the October 1st session at $3,866.66/oz, while futures contracts hit a record high of $3,897.50/oz. The precious metal has climbed nearly 50% year-to-date and just set its 39th record high this year! Fundamental Analysis: Shutdown Risk Hits at the Worst Time While government shutdowns usually have a minor impact, the timing of this one is critical: Delayed Jobs Data: The crucial jobs report (scheduled for Oct 3rd) will be postponed. This uncertainty will leave the market and the Fed 'blind' regarding the economy's health just weeks before the next policy meeting, triggering strong demand for safe-haven assets (Gold). Threat of Staff Cuts: President Trump threatened to use the shutdown to cut "a lot of" federal employees, escalating tensions beyond typical closures and increasing political instability. Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy Gold accelerated past the $387x region during the US session, confirming the upward momentum is still very strong. However, the market is prone to more "Stop Loss hunting" (liquidity sweeps). Continue to Prioritize Buy, but manage SL carefully due to wider price swings. Resistance: $3887, $3895, $3904 Support: $3870, $3854, $3843 Suggested Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY ZONE Zone: $3870 - $3868 / SL: $3860 TP: $3878 - $3888 - $3898 - $3908 SELL ZONE (High Risk) Zone: $3903 - $3905 / SL: $3913 TP: $3895 - $3885 - $3875 Gold is running on a foundation of fear. Do you think the $3900 mark will be breached this session? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #GovernmentShutdown #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #RecordHigh
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSUS | Government Shutdown Confirmed | Gold awaits ADP & ISM🔎 Context & News US Politics : The US government officially shut down after the Senate failed to pass the federal funding bill. A major political risk catalyst, triggering safe-haven flows into Gold. FED : Probability of a -25bps rate cut in October rises to 96.2% → almost certain. Key Events Today (ET / UTC) : • ADP Employment Change: 08:15 ET / 12:15 UTC • ISM Manufacturing PMI: 10:00 ET / 14:00 UTC → Both will be crucial data points that may shake Dollar and Gold. 📌 Summary : US politics + FED easing = Gold remains supported, but ADP & ISM tonight could spark strong volatility in the US session. 📈 Technical Analysis (H1) Main Trend : Bullish after multiple BoS. EMA : EMA 34 > EMA 89 → bullish momentum intact. Resistance : 3,897 – 3,907 (Sell scalp – Fibo 0.5–0.618). 3,920 – 3,921 (Liquidity / ATH test). Support : 3,872 – 3,876 (old high retest). 3,833 – 3,841 (OB zone). 3,814 – 3,822 (deep Support Zone – losing this shifts bias). 🎯 Trade Plan ✅ Buy (trend priority) Buy Zone 1 : 3,872 – 3,876 • SL: 3,869 • TP: 3,897 → 3,907 → 3,920 Buy Zone 2 (OB) : 3,833 – 3,841 • SL: 3,826 • TP: 3,872 → 3,897 → 3,907 Buy Zone 3 (Deep Support) : 3,814 – 3,822 • SL: 3,808 • TP: 3,841 → 3,872 → 3,897 ⚡ Sell (short scalps only – lower RR) Sell Zone 1 : 3,897 – 3,907 • SL: 3,912 • TP: 3,885 → 3,876 → 3,841 Sell Zone 2 (ATH sweep) : 3,920 – 3,921 • SL: 3,925 • TP: 3,907 → 3,885 → 3,876 📝 Conclusion Gold remains strongly supported by the US government shutdown + FED rate cut expectations. Strategy today: Prioritize Buy at support; Sell only for short scalps around 3,907 – 3,921. ⚠️ Watch out: ADP & ISM tonight may trigger unexpected volatility → manage risk carefully and move SL to BE after TP1. 📢 If you find this Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow Captain Vincent ⚓ for the latest updates. 💬 What do you think, crew? Will Gold break ATH 3,920 right after ADP & ISM tonight?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
ATH $3871: Shutdown Fear & 97% Fed Cut Fuel Gold Surge Hello, investors and traders! Gold continues to show phenomenal strength, setting a new ATH at $3,871.45/oz (on Sept 30), and closing at $3,843.43/oz. This gain confirms the strongest September since 2011, solidly confirming the explosive growth trend for the yellow metal. Fundamental Analysis: Politics and the Fed Drive Buying Wave Two core drivers are pushing gold prices higher, making any attempt to short (call the top) extremely risky: Political Instability: The risk of a looming US Government shutdown is ratcheting up uncertainty and strongly boosting safe-haven demand. Low-Rate Expectations: Weakening US jobs data has nearly locked in the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates in October. The market is currently pricing in a 97% chance of a Fed rate cut. Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy After a recent shock drop of 70 points, Gold quickly absorbed the selling pressure and created a new ATH, proving that buying pressure is overwhelming. The strong upward bias is undeniable. Outlook: Continue to Prioritize Buy given the powerful trend and supportive fundamentals. Only attempt Sell strategies near psychological resistance levels with an extremely tight Stop Loss (SL). Key Resistance: $3894, $3904, $3914, $3924 Key Support: $3869, $3843, $3834 Suggested Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY SCALP Zone: $3870 - $3868 / SL: $3864 TP: $3875 - $3885 - $3900 BUY ZONE Zone: $3834 - $3832 / SL: $3824 TP: $3842 - $3862 - $3892 SELL SCALP (High Risk) Zone: $3904 - $3906 / SL: $3910 TP: $3901 - $3891 - $3876 SELL ZONE (High Risk) Zone: $3925 - $3927 / SL: $3935 TP: $3917 - $3907 - $3897 - $3887 - $3877 - $3867 The market is running on fear and rate-cut anticipation. Are you betting on the $3900 mark this week? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #GovernmentShutdown #TradingView #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
1
XAUUSD – Gold Smashes to New ATH: Bulls in Full Control📊 Market Overview Gold has surged into uncharted territory, breaking through to a fresh All-Time High (ATH). The earlier dip toward 3,800 USD acted as nothing more than a springboard, allowing buyers to reload before launching this powerful breakout. Safe-haven demand continues to fuel the rally, as concerns over a potential US government shutdown and expectations of more Fed rate cuts strengthen bullish momentum. 📍 Crucial Levels to Watch 🔴 SELL Reaction Zone 3,911 – 3,915 (Liquidity Resistance) → Potential short-term ceiling, profit-taking may appear here. 🟢 BUY Reaction Zones 3,830 – 3,820 (Fibo Support) → First pullback level for intraday buyers. 3,808 – 3,810 → Secondary support zone for a deeper correction. 3,747 – 3,752 (Liquidity BUY Zone) → Stronger base for swing buyers. 🎯 Trading Setups 1️⃣ Buy the Dip (Primary Play) Entry: 3,830 – 3,820, confirmation needed. Targets: 3,900 → 3,915, extend toward 3,950+ if momentum remains strong. Stop: Below 3,808. 2️⃣ Sell the Spike (Countertrend) Entry: 3,911 – 3,915, only on visible rejection. Targets: 3,871 → 3,830. Stop: Above 3,922. 3️⃣ Swing Buy Opportunity Entry: 3,752 – 3,747 (Fibo confluence). Targets: 3,830 → 3,900. Stop: Below 3,735. ⚡ Pro Tips Trend bias = Strongly Bullish, prioritize long setups. Countertrend shorts are tactical; keep stops tight. Headlines from the US political scene and Fed could trigger extra volatility at highs. 💬 Discussion Will gold extend to 3,950 – 4,000 USD, or is a sharp pullback around the corner? Drop your views and charts below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
US Government Shutdown, Gold Benefits & FOMO BUY Continues📊 Market Context The gold market kicks off Q4/2025 with great enthusiasm as safe-haven flows continue to surge. Not only that, the potential delay of the NFP employment report this week further fuels the market's "thirst" for directional information, positioning gold as the central asset in everyone's sights. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure from political uncertainties and expectations that the Fed is moving closer to further rate cuts. Combined, the current picture shows that gold is not only maintaining its strength after a breakout rally but also has the opportunity to expand and conquer new high price territories, as safe-haven capital and FOMO momentum from the BUY side continue to amplify. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) The price maintains the main upward trend, staying above the support structure. Important BUY ZONE: 3833–3831 (Fibo + CP zone) – this area is likely to react strongly. Secondary BUY ZONE: 3817–3815 (OBS zone) – stronger support, suitable for accumulating additional BUY orders. Resistance area 3919–3923 (Liquidity Sell Zone) may be where liquidity traps appear. ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3833–3831 SL: 3827 TP: 3838 - 3842 - 3846 - 3850 - 3855 - 3860 - 3870 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3817–3815 SL: 3810 TP: 3822 - 3826 - 3830 - 3835 - 3840 - 3850 - 3860 - 3870 - ??? ✅ Summary Gold is directly benefiting from political instability and the delay in US economic data. The main trend remains BUY with safe-haven flows, with strategic zones at 3833–3831 and 3817–3815. The expansion target aims for 3870–3880 and beyond to 3920+ if buying momentum remains strong.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD Daily Plan – Gold’s Pullback Before the Next Leg Higher📊 Market Overview Gold has pulled back from its fresh record highs but the move looks more like healthy accumulation than a reversal. The 3,800 zone has acted as a strong support, absorbing selling pressure and keeping the broader bullish trend intact. Immediate rebounds confirm that buyers are still in control, preparing for the next breakout. 📍 Key Levels to Watch 🔴 SELL Reaction Zone 3,871 – 3,872 → First resistance level, possible short-term rejection. 3,915 – 3,920 (Fibo Liquidity Zone) → Stronger sell wall where profit-taking may appear. 🟢 BUY Zones 3,808 – 3,810 (Fibo 0.786 Support) → Important reaction zone for intraday buy setups. 3,747 – 3,752 (Fibo Liquidity Buy Zone) → Deep correction level, strong long-term demand area. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Setup Entry: Buy near 3,808 – 3,810 on bullish candlestick confirmation. Targets: 3,871 → 3,900+ Stop: Below 3,795 2️⃣ Deep Pullback Opportunity Entry: 3,747 – 3,752 if price flushes lower. Targets: 3,808 → 3,871 Stop: Below 3,735 3️⃣ Countertrend SELL Setup Entry: 3,915 – 3,920 only with strong rejection. Targets: 3,871 → 3,808 Stop: Above 3,928 ⚡ Trading Notes Gold remains in a strong bullish channel – selling should only be tactical and short-term. Watch US political headlines and end-of-month flows, as they could trigger volatility. Stick to defined Fibo zones for best risk-to-reward setups. 💬 Community Discussion Do you think Gold will test 3,900+ this week or will we see a deeper correction first? Share your charts and ideas below 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
GOLD ATH: US Shutdown Drama! Buy The Dip, Yaar? Gold just smashed a new record at $3,833.37/oz (Sept 29) on high safe-haven demand due to the impending US Govt shutdown (Oct 1) and solid FED rate cut hopes. USD pullback (0.2%) also playing its part. The sudden dip to $3,794 looks like pure end-of-month profit-booking, not a proper reversal. If US tensions worsen, the Buy opportunity is still very much active! 📈 Technical View & Intraday Trade Setup Gold has done a major flush, stopping out the weak hands. Selling pressure is there, but the drop without big news suggests caution. Look for a technical bounce to fill the FVG before a potential continuation lower. Key Levels: Resistance: $3827 / $3846 / $3870 Support: $3787 / $3778 / $3763 Detailed Trading Strategy (US Session): 1. BUY Zone (Aggressive Dip Buy): Entry: $3784 - $3782 SL: $3774 TP: $3792 / $3812 / $3832 2. SELL Scalp (Quick Short): Entry: $3827 - $3829 SL: $3833 TP: $3824 / $3814 / $3804 3. SELL Zone (Main Short Entry): Entry: $3866 - $3868 SL: $3876 TP: $3858 / $3838 / $3818 ⚠️ Alert! The US Government Shutdown news is the main event. If budget talks are positive, Gold might see a sharp fall. Manage risk (SL) like a boss! Kya lagta hai? Will Gold fly to $4K or take support near $378x? 👇 #XAUUSD #Gold #MCX #TradingStrategy #USShutdown #FED #TechnicalAnalysis #Intraday #MarketUpdate #Commodities
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – Gold Daily Plan | Sharp Drop, What’s Next?Gold printed a sudden 70+ point drop from 388x to 380x, leaving traders questioning: – Was this a big player manipulation? – Or simply institutional profit taking? Key reaction zones will define if Gold holds above 3800 or dives deeper. 📍 Critical Levels 🔴 SELL Reaction Zone 387x → Strong resistance where sellers may step in. 🟢 BUY Zones 3780 (Retest Breakout + Trendline) → First demand zone. 375x (Fibo Support Zone) → Strong liquidity pocket, potential reversal. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Idea Entry: 387x Targets: 3800 → 3780 SL: Above 3888 2️⃣ BUY Idea Entry: 3780 – 375x Targets: 3838 → 387x SL: Below 3745 ⚡ Trading Notes High volatility expected near 3800 psychological mark. Stick to zone trading – avoid mid-range traps. Monitor USD strength; any spike could pressure XAU further. 💬 Discussion Do you think Gold will break below 3800 or bounce back to test 387x? Drop your views 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold 30/09 - Safe-haven flows surge | Gold sails toward new ATH 🟡 XAU/USD – 30/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News US Politics : Meeting between Trump and bipartisan leaders ended without agreement → growing risk of a US government shutdown by Wednesday. Conflict : Democrats demand concessions, Republicans fiercely oppose → wide gap remains, both sides blaming each other. Market : Investors watch JOLTS data and speeches from 3 FED members, but political risks are the strongest catalyst for Gold. Trend : Safe-haven flows keep pouring into Gold → increasing likelihood of testing new ATH. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : US political seas are stormy, Gold becomes the fortress of safety. The voyage toward ATH is widening. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (H1) EMA : EMA 34 (yellow) > EMA 89 (red) → bullish trend clearly dominant. Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) Big Volume Dock: 3,827 Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) ATH test: 3,916 – 3,917 Market Structure : Gold broke out strongly, now trading around 3,870. Main trend remains bullish, with 3,842 – 3,827 as key anchor zones. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (main priority) Buy Zone 2 – Big Volume Entry: 3,827 – 3,824 SL: 3,815 TP: 3,870 – 3,899 – 3,916 ⚡ Sell (short scalp – high risk) Sell Zone – ATH test Entry: 3,917 – 3,920 SL: 3,925 TP: 3,899 – 3,870 – 3,856 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails are filled by safe-haven winds, pushing the ship close to ATH. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,842 – 3,827) is the ideal dock for sailors to position Buys. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,916 – 3,920) may unleash violent waves, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. If the political storm from Washington breaks out, Gold’s voyage could surpass the peak and expand its horizon.” 📢 If you find the Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the earliest updates. 💬 What’s your view, crew? Will Gold conquer ATH around 3,917 this week?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
H1 bullish momentum intact | Buy 3,792–3,765, target 3,821🟡 XAU/USD – 29/09/2025 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Structure & Trend H1 continues to print consecutive BoS → bullish trend sustained. Price broke the long-term downtrend line and surged to new highs. EMA 34 & EMA 89 both pointing up and below price → confirming short-to-mid-term bullish momentum. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Key Zones Storm Breaker (Sell Zone / ATH test) : 3,818 – 3,821 Golden Harbor (FVG – Buy Zone) : 3,792 – 3,779 OB Harbor 1 : 3,772 – 3,765 OB Harbor 2 (deeper) : 3,731 – 3,724 Core Idea: 3,792 – 3,765 is the main support “cushion” for trend-follow Buys; 3,818 – 3,821 is the wave edge where profit-taking may occur. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – main priority) Buy Zone 1 – FVG (3,792 – 3,779) Entry: 3,792 – 3,779 SL: 3,765 TP: 3,805 – 3,818 – 3,821+ Buy Zone 2 – OB1 (3,772 – 3,765) Entry: 3,772 – 3,765 SL: 3,758 (below 3,765) TP: 3,792 – 3,805 – 3,818 – 3,821 Buy Zone 3 – OB2 deep (3,731 – 3,724) Entry: 3,731 – 3,724 SL: 3,714 TP: 3,745 – 3,765 – 3,792 – 3,805 ⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL – scalp only) Sell Zone – Storm Breaker (3,818 – 3,821) Entry: 3,818 – 3,821 SL: 3,828 TP: 3,805 – 3,796 – 3,792 Breakdown Short (conditional) Only consider Short if H1 closes below 3,724 SL: 3,735 TP: 3,710 – 3,700 – 3,690 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails remain filled after consecutive BoS . Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,792 → 3,765) is the anchor dock to board in trend’s direction. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,818 – 3,821) may trigger profit-taking waves – only go Quick Boarding 🚤 if clear signals appear. If the tide drags below 3,724, let the ship retreat to OB2 to gather strength before resuming the northbound voyage.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
1
New ATH Above 3800 & FOMO Buying Still Driving the Market📊 Market Context Gold has once again set a new all-time high above 3800 USD/oz, showing no signs of losing bullish momentum. The surge is fueled by strong FOMO buying flows, as traders continue to pile into safe-haven assets. Concerns about a possible US government shutdown and renewed discussions around tariff policies have weighed on the dollar, while expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts keep gold supported. Meanwhile, Fed speeches and incoming US data remain key drivers that could inject short-term volatility, but the broader bullish narrative remains intact. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price is firmly holding above the 3800 psychological level, confirming the breakout. Buy zones remain intact at 3790–3792 and 3784–3782, with solid demand expected on any dip. Sell liquidity sits around 3823–3825, where short-term profit-taking or traps may emerge before the next leg higher. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zone: 3823–3825 Support / Buy Zones: 3790–3792, 3784–3782 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan BUY ZONE 1: 3790–3792 SL: 3786 TP: 3795 - 3800 - 3810 - 3820 - 3830 - ??? BUY ZONE 2: 3784–3782 SL: 3778 TP: 3790 - 3795 - 3800 - 3810 - 3820 - 3830 - 3840 - ??? SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap Zone): 3823–3825 SL: 3830 TP: 3818 - 3814 - 3810 - 3805 - 3800 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Notes Beware of liquidity sweeps near 3823–3825 before continuation higher. Fed comments and macro data may cause sudden spikes — adjust risk accordingly. Stick to confirmation entries around zones to avoid being trapped by false moves. ✅ Summary Gold is riding strong FOMO-driven bullish momentum, printing new highs above 3800. Main bias: buy on dips at 3790–3782, while monitoring short-term sell liquidity at 3823–3825 for potential pullbacks. The broader trend remains bullish, so patience and disciplined entries will be key.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold awaits PCE | EMA squeeze, big waves ahead🟡 XAU/USD – 26/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News Trump : Announced a 100% tariff on branded drugs if not produced in the US → escalating trade tensions. PCE tonight : The FED’s most important inflation gauge, key to shaping October rate cut expectations (current probability 91.09%). The market is in “hold breath” mode, awaiting the PCE spark to decide the next direction. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : Gold is squeezed between two winds – short-term EMA pressure and major expectations from PCE. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis EMA : EMA 34 (yellow) remains below EMA 89 (red) → short-term bearish pressure persists, but narrowing gap signals big volatility ahead. Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) 3,738 – 3,730 3,718 3,687 3,651 Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) 3,755 – 3,773 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ⚡ Sell (scalp at resistance) Entry: 3,773 – 3,776 SL: 3,783 TP: 3,755 – 3,745 – 3,734 ✅ Buy (trend-follow priority) Buy Zone 1 (Scalping) Entry: 3,72x – 3,718 SL: 3,710 TP: 3,750 – 3,769 – 3,776 Buy Zone 2 (Deeper OB) Entry: 3,685 – 3,683 SL: 3,675 TP: 3,690 – 3,695 – 3,700 – 3,705 – 3,7xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails are being squeezed between EMA 34 & 89. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,734 – 3,683) remains the safe dock for sailors to await the big wave. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,773 – 3,776) is raising fierce waves, only suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Tonight’s PCE will be the decisive wind – either pushing the ship beyond 3,78x or forcing it back to retest 3,72x.” 📢 If you find Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the latest updates. 💬 What do you think? Will Gold break through 3,78x or retest 3,72x first?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 28.09.25XAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (27.09.25). Here’s a breakdown of what it shows: Current Price Level: Around 3,759.85. Technical Zones Marked: Broke the Uptrend Line (earlier support turned resistance). Bearish Engulfing Failed (bullish strength seen). Fair Value Gap (FVG) near 3,740–3,750 zone, acting as a demand zone. Projection Path: Price expected to bounce from the FVG/demand area. Then follow an upward zigzag movement toward the target zone around 3,860. Trend Channel: Multiple parallel blue channels drawn indicate a bullish structure. Projection suggests continuation of the uptrend. Target Price: Marked close to 3,860, aligning with the upper channel line. 🔑 Summary of Projection: Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: 3,740–3,760 (Fair Value Gap zone) Target Zone: 3,860 Risk Area: If price breaks below 3,720, projection may fail. 👉 Do you want me to prepare a trading plan (entry, SL, TP, and risk %) based on this projection for you?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
1
Jobs vs. Inflation: Gold Steady Before PCE ShowdownHello, investors! Gold saw only a marginal 0.1% gain, closing at $3,739.42/oz on September 25. This struggle was due to better-than-expected US jobs data (jobless claims dropped sharply), which slightly pared back the market's expectation for a Fed rate cut in October (down to 85%). However, Gold maintains support from dovish Fed comments and potential political instability (like Trump's proposed 100% drug tariff). The entire market focus now shifts to today's (Sept 26) PCE Inflation Report. Expert Alert: If the PCE data is hotter than anticipated, Gold could face sharp, temporary downward pressure. Technical Analysis & Strategy Gold is currently consolidating within a triangle pattern and has yet to break the $375x resistance. While more selling pressure is possible before the PCE release, the long-term trend remains bullish. Outlook: Prioritize Buy if the price maintains above the Key Level $373x. If the news causes the price to break $373x, be ready to flip the strategy to Sell. Key Resistance: $3755, $3768, $3778 Key Support: $3738, $3727, $3712 Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): BUY SCALP Zone: $3739 - $3737 SL: $3733 TP: $3742 - $3747 - $3752 - $3757 - $3767 BUY ZONE Zone: $3704 - $3702 SL: $3694 TP: $3712 - $3722 - $3732 - $3742 - $3762 SELL ZONE Zone: $3776 - $3778 SL: $3786 TP: $3768 - $3758 - $3748 - $3728 - $3708 The market is at a critical juncture. What is your game plan for today? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #PCE #Fed #Inflation #TradingView #ATH
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC