Xauusdupdates
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan – 28th May 2025
🔍 Current Wave Structure
After a sharp drop yesterday, price has mildly recovered and is now consolidating around the 3314 zone. The correction has nearly reached the target of wave C (green). However, the current rebound is weak, marked by small, overlapping H1 candles — suggesting the bullish structure is not yet convincing.
At this point, we’re tracking two main scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1 – Correction Completed
Wave C seems complete, and price might be starting a new bullish trend.
That said, the overlapping candles on H1 could also indicate the formation of a leading diagonal for wave 1.
In this case, wave 2 is likely to be a strong retracement — typically forming as a zigzag or flat correction.
📌 Strategy:
Wait for wave 2 to complete before looking for a better buy opportunity.
🌀 Scenario 2 – Correction Still in Progress
If the price continues to move slowly or goes sideways, we could be in wave b of a double zigzag correction (wave Y).
🎯 Wave c within wave Y may target 3324.
However, if price breaks below 3284 before hitting 3324, it would likely mean wave c has started, with an expected end near 3280–3274.
📈 Momentum Outlook
D1: Momentum remains bearish ⇒ primary trend still points downward.
H4: Momentum is currently rising ⇒ we may see a temporary recovery today.
H1: Approaching oversold ⇒ if reversal signals appear, short-term buy setups may emerge.
🎯 Trade Plan for Today (28/05/2025)
🔹 Buy Scalp
Entry: 3292 – 3289
SL: 3282
TP1: 3313
TP2: 3324
🔹 Buy Swing
Entry: 3280 – 3277
SL: 3270
TP1: 3290
TP2: 3313
TP3: 3324
🕰️ Expected timing: From London session through New York close
🔸 Sell Zone
Entry: 3324 – 3327
SL: 3334
TP1: 3313
TP2: 3290
TP3: 3280
🕰️ Ideal entry: If price hits resistance during US session or late London
📌 All scenarios will be updated as soon as wave 2 completes or if price clearly breaks below 3284.
Be patient — let the market confirm before taking action.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan – 27th May 2025
📊 Wave Structure – XAUUSD – H1 Timeframe
Price is likely in a corrective phase — wave iv (orange) — after completing five internal green waves within wave iii.
During this correction, we’ve seen an abc zigzag form, followed by an unclear upward bounce. This gives rise to two key scenarios:
🔸 Scenario 1: Wave iv is complete
The abc pattern is finished, and price appears to be forming an initial triangle structure. We could currently be in wave 2.
👉 A breakout and H1 candle close above 3343 would confirm the start of a new uptrend. In this case, prefer buying on dips.
🔸 Scenario 2: Zigzag correction is still ongoing
Wave X seems complete, and price may now be developing wave Y — either as another abc or triangle.
👉 This scenario gets confirmed if price breaks below the wave c (green) low at 3324.
🎯 Wave Y downside targets (based on Fibonacci + Volume Profile):
• Target 1: 3317
• Target 2: 3290
🔍 Momentum Analysis
D1 Momentum has already confirmed bearish → Downside pressure likely to persist through the week.
H4 Momentum is currently rising → Price could see a short-term rally or sideways action today.
H1 Momentum is nearing oversold → We wait for it to flip to overbought. If price fails to break 3349, there may be room for a scalp sell.
However, if 3349 is broken, wave X could extend further — or it might mark the start of a new bullish leg. We’ll reassess accordingly.
📌 Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 3317 – 3314
Stop Loss: 3307
Take Profit 1: 3334
Take Profit 2: 3373
✅ Only execute if H1 momentum shifts bullish.
❗ If this zone breaks, next buy opportunity lies around 3290.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – Plan for May 27, 2025📊 Price is likely in the middle of a wave iv (orange) correction, following the completion of a 5-wave structure (green) that formed wave iii.
During this correction, an ABC zigzag pattern has already formed. The recent upward move remains unclear, which opens up two possible scenarios:
🔸 Scenario 1 – Wave iv is completed
The ABC structure looks complete. Price appears to be forming a leading diagonal, currently in wave 2.
A confirmed breakout above 3343 with a candle close would validate a new bullish trend → favoring Buy entries in line with the larger trend.
🔸 Scenario 2 – Ongoing zigzag correction (double structure)
Wave X has completed, and price may now be developing wave Y (either an ABC or triangle pattern).
This scenario is confirmed if price breaks below wave c (green) at 3324.
🎯 Wave Y Target Zones (based on Fibonacci + Volume Profile):
• Target 1: 3317
• Target 2: 3290
🔍 Momentum Outlook:
• Daily (D1): Bearish momentum confirmed → downside likely to dominate into the end of the week
• H4: Momentum rising → short-term bounce or consolidation expected today
• H1: Near oversold → watch for bullish reversal.
If price fails to break above 3349, scalp shorts may be considered.
However, a break above 3349 could mean wave X continues as an extended ABC, or a new bullish trend has started — to be updated accordingly.
📌 Trading Plan:
Buy Zone: 3317 – 3314
Stop Loss: 3307
Take Profit 1: 3334
Take Profit 2: 3373
✅ Only enter on H1 bullish momentum reversal
❗ If this zone fails, watch for the next Buy opportunity near 3290
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H BUY PROJECTION 25.05.25🟢 Overall Bias: BUY Projection
The chart suggests a bullish outlook, predicting that gold will rise significantly after a breakout and retest pattern.
🔍 Key Technical Elements:
Trendlines:
4H Downtrendline: This was a significant resistance trendline that has now been broken.
4H Uptrendline: Indicates a recent shift to bullish momentum.
Support & Resistance Zones:
Support S1: A solid demand zone around 3,275–3,300 USD.
Immediate Support: Zone around 3,325 USD.
Resistance R1, R2, and R3: Key resistance levels.
R1: ~3,375 USD
R2: ~3,425 USD
R3 & ATH (All-Time High): ~3,500+ USD
Breakout Confirmation:
The price broke above the 4H Downtrendline and Resistance, and then retested that area successfully, confirming it as new support (highlighted by the box labeled "BREAKER RESISTANCE RETESTED AND BROKE TRENDLINE").
Change of Character:
Marked in the zone labeled "CHANGE OF CHARACTER APPEARED HERE", indicating a shift from bearish to bullish market structure.
📈 Price Projection:
The price is projected to move upwards through multiple resistance zones, eventually targeting the 3,500 USD+ region.
Arrows indicate a bullish path with minor pullbacks, moving towards:
Resistance R1 → Resistance R2 → Resistance R3 (ATH).
🟥🟩 Risk Management:
Stop-Loss Zone (Red Area): Below 3,300 USD – in case the breakout fails and the price re-enters the downtrend.
Target Zone (Green Area): Extends to 3,500+ USD – aligning with historical highs.
Elliott Wave Analysis – Plan XAUUSD 23/5/2025At the moment, we’re monitoring two possible wave scenarios:
🔸 Scenario 1 – ABC Correction Completed
The bullish move from the 3123 zone to the current price may have formed a completed ABC corrective structure (labeled on the top-left of the chart).
If this scenario is correct, the correction has ended and the market is now entering a new 5-wave bearish impulse.
Within this structure:
• Wave 1 is already completed
• Price is currently retracing as Wave 2
This view is supported by the strong reaction around the 3247 zone.
📍 Ideal target for Wave 2: around 3325
🔸 Scenario 2 – Bullish 5-Wave Structure in Progress
A potential impulsive structure with waves 1-2-3-4-5 is currently labeled on the chart.
In this count:
• Wave 3 (yellow) has completed
• The market is now in Wave 4 (yellow)
Wave 4 appears to be unfolding as an A-B-C corrective pattern:
• Wave A has completed
• Price is now forming Wave B (black)
✅ This scenario requires a daily close above 3247 for confirmation.
📍 Target for Wave B: also near 3325
🔎 Momentum Analysis
• Daily (D1): Overbought – the uptrend is weakening → likely a larger corrective move ahead
• H4: Momentum rising → favors a short-term bullish bounce
• H1: Momentum just flipped bullish → current rally may extend further
📌 Trade Plan (for both scenarios):
SELL ZONE: 3325 – 3328
Stop Loss: 3335
Take Profit 1: 3279
Take Profit 2: 3247
📈 Wait for price action around the 3325 zone to confirm which scenario plays out.
GOLD - EXPECTING A PULLBACK BEFORE RESUMING UPTRENDSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is breaking out of its descending price channel and approaching the key area of interest at 3346. A potential false breakout above resistance could prompt a short-term correction before the upward trend resumes.
Gold is advancing for the third consecutive session, trading above the 3300 level, supported by a weakening US dollar and escalating geopolitical tensions. Investor demand for safe-haven assets is increasing amid concerns surrounding US fiscal policy, ongoing trade frictions with China, and the possibility of a military strike by Israel on Iran. Additional support for gold stems from market expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and diminished outlook for the dollar.
From a technical standpoint, the price is approaching a significant order block and resistance zone between 3345-3360. Since the session opened, the upward momentum appears to have reached its limit, suggesting that a retest of this key level could result in a false breakout and subsequent pullback. Nonetheless, given the prevailing macroeconomic conditions, any corrective move may be temporary, with the broader bullish trend likely to persist thereafter.
Resistance levels: 3346, 3360, 3409
Support levels: 3288, 3265, 3245
Gold has re-entered the buy zone. However, the fundamental backdrop remains volatile. A reduction in economic risks could prompt renewed downward pressure. At present, attention is centered on the 3346–3360 range, where a false breakout remains a probable scenario, potentially preceding further gains.
GOLD - SHORT SQUEEZE BEFORE THE DROP?Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3247
Gold is currently undergoing a phase of consolidation. The market lacks a decisive catalyst, and given the prevailing uncertainty in the macroeconomic landscape, traders have largely adopted a cautious, wait and watch approach. This period of consolidation may give way to a sharp movement at any time but the direction remains uncertain.
Investors are closely monitoring signals from the Federal Reserve and ongoing trade negotiations. The US dollar continues to exert downward pressure on gold amid anticipation of trade talks involving China, India, South Korea, and Japan along with recent statements from the Federal Reserve. Previously, gold received support from a weaker dollar following Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating. However, rising risk appetite and optimism surrounding potential peace talks between Russia and Ukraine have reduced safe-haven demand for gold. Key market drivers namely, Fed commentary and international negotiations will remain crucial in shaping the future trajectory of both the dollar and gold prices.
From a technical perspective, the price remains within a downtrend and is currently in consolidation. A breakout from this range could be accompanied by significant momentum. However, my view is that any movement against the prevailing trend is unlikely to be sustained. A retest of resistance may result in a renewed decline.
Key Resistance Levels: 3257, 3265
Key Support Levels: 3204, 3153
Within the broader bearish trend, the most probable scenario is a short squeeze followed by a downside breakout from the consolidation triangle. As fundamental pressures and economic risks gradually ease, gold may continue to lose value. A false breakout in the 3250-3265 zone could potentially trigger a continuation of the downward trend toward the 3150-3120 zone.
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
GOLD - RETEST OF TREND RESISTANCE BEFORE POTENTIAL DECLINESymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3246
Gold is staging a modest recovery amid ongoing market uncertainty. However, a significant resistance zone lies ahead, which could limit further upside and potentially initiate a reversal.
Since the session's open, prices have rebounded slightly following a week-long decline. The current upward momentum is constrained by mixed market signals: on one hand, pressure on the US dollar and Moody’s downgrade of the US credit rating are providing support for gold. On the other hand, elevated bond yields and prospects of new US trade agreements are capping gains.
Market participants are closely watching upcoming Federal Reserve commentary and tracking developments in US trade negotiations with key global partners. In an environment marked by concerns over fiscal stability and weaker economic indicators, gold may maintain a positive bias. However, the emergence of favorable trade news could shift sentiment and lead to renewed downward pressure.
Key Resistance levels: 3257, 3265
Key Support levels: 3204, 3153
A failed breakout above the identified resistance range would signal a lack of upward momentum. Should the price consolidate below the 3257 level following a false breakout of the 3257-3265 zone, it may trigger a reversal and drive the market toward key support levels.
XAUUSD/GOLD DAY SELL PROJECTION 16.05.25📉 Sell Setup Overview:
Pattern Identified:
4H Evening Star — a bearish reversal pattern indicating potential downside.
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Around 3,219.970
Stop Loss: Above 3,235.984
Targets:
TP1 (Take Profit 1): Around 3,170.000 (Golden Ratio 0.618 zone)
TP2: Around 3,121.724 (near Support 2)
Technical Zones:
Breakdown + Retest zone highlighted in yellow (indicating confirmation of bearish reversal).
Golden Ratio (0.618) support/fib zone — used as a significant level for TP1.
Support 1 and Support 2 are drawn as potential price stalling or reversal zones.
GOLD - RESISTANCE RETEST BEFORE THE DROPSymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase, retesting a significant resistance and liquidity zone within the broader context of a prevailing downtrend. The global trend appears to be approaching a critical juncture, potentially signaling a reversal.
Ahead of the forthcoming US inflation report, gold prices have stabilized following a 3% decline, trading steadily around the 3250 level. This consolidation is occurring against a backdrop of a weaker US dollar. Market participants are awaiting the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which is expected to provide clearer direction for both monetary policy expectations and asset flows.
Support for gold prices is being derived from a combination of factors, including optimism surrounding the US-China trade dialogue, signs of easing geopolitical tensions, and profit-taking on long dollar positions. However, the market remains cautious, closely evaluating the potential implications of inflation data on Federal Reserve policy and the demand for safe-haven assets.
Despite the current stabilization, skepticism persists regarding the sustainability of any upward momentum. Technical conditions suggest the possibility of a sharp reversal, with attention focused on key inflection points that could trigger renewed selling pressure.
Key Resistance Levels: 3269, 3284
Key Support Levels: 3246, 3200, 3167
Should the CPI report fail to deliver any major surprises, a false breakout within the 3260-3270 resistance zone followed by price consolidation could serve as a catalyst for a decline toward the 3200-3150 range.
GOLD - BEARISH FLAG OR BULLISH TREND REVERSAL?Symbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3238
Gold is emerging from a local corrective channel, commonly identified as a 'Flag' formation. Consolidation continues near the base of this potential reversal pattern, with market focus centered on the critical 3200 level.
Gold is experiencing downward pressure amid renewed trade optimism and strength in the US dollar. Prices are retreating early Wednesday as market participants engage in profit-taking following a recent rebound from weekly lows. Although US inflation data came in below expectations, it failed to support earlier assumptions of imminent monetary easing. The Federal Reserve’s continued reluctance to initiate rate cuts is exerting additional pressure on the precious metal. Moreover, growing optimism surrounding potential trade agreements between the United States, China, the United Kingdom, and other nations-along with renewed hope for diplomatic progress in the Russia-Ukraine conflict is dampening gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
From a technical standpoint, the outlook remains bearish. The absence of a meaningful rebound from support suggests sustained selling pressure. A consolidation phase appears to be developing ahead of a potential test of the 3200 support level.
Key Resistance Levels: 3243, 3257, 3269
Key Support Levels: 3222, 3200
Should price action continue to consolidate within the current local range and repeatedly test support in the 3222-3200 zone, further downside may be anticipated in the short to medium term. However, in consideration of common market maker tactics, a brief short squeeze targeting local resistance zones cannot be ruled out prior to any subsequent decline.
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:7 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
XAU/USD Intraday Trade Signal**Date:** May 13, 2025
**Asset:** Gold (XAU/USD)
**Trade Type:** Intraday Buy
**Buy Zone:** 3240.00 - 3250.00
**Stop Loss:** 3207.00 (set below entry for risk management)
**Take Profit Levels:**
1st TP: 3260.00
2nd TP: 3278.00
3rd TP: 3294.74
4th TP: 3317.63
5th TP: 3347.38 (near potential high)
**Strategy:** Enter a buy position within the 3240.00–3250.00 range. Place stop loss at 3207.00 to limit downside risk. Target progressive take-profit levels, with the 5th TP at 3347.38 as a stretch goal near the daily high. Monitor price action closely and adjust trailing stops to lock in profits as targets are hit. Ensure risk-reward ratio aligns with your trading plan.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 08.05.25Bearish setup on XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) with a strong indication for a potential short/sell opportunity based on several technical signals:
Key Observations:
Three Black Crows Pattern:
Clearly marked and highlighted on the chart.
This is a classic bearish reversal pattern indicating strong selling pressure.
Break of Neckline:
The price has broken below a previously established neckline area, confirming bearish momentum.
Support Becomes Resistance:
The neckline zone (~$3350.880) is now acting as resistance after the breakdown, further validating the short setup.
Target Levels:
Support S1 around $3330.
Support 2 near $3311.354 – likely the final target area for the sell projection.
Stop Loss Zone:
Clearly marked at $3362.631, above the broken support (now resistance).
Summary:
Entry Zone: Around current price (~$3344)
Stop Loss: $3362.63
Take Profit Zones:
TP1: ~$3330 (Support S1)
TP2: ~$3311.35 (Support 2) bearish setup on XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) with a strong indication for a potential short/sell opportunity based on several technical signals:
Key Observations:
Three Black Crows Pattern:
Clearly marked and highlighted on the chart.
This is a classic bearish reversal pattern indicating strong selling pressure.
Break of Neckline:
The price has broken below a previously established neckline area, confirming bearish momentum.
Support Becomes Resistance:
The neckline zone (~$3350.880) is now acting as resistance after the breakdown, further validating the short setup.
Target Levels:
Support S1 around $3330.
Support 2 near $3311.354 – likely the final target area for the sell projection.
Stop Loss Zone:
Clearly marked at $3362.631, above the broken support (now resistance).
Summary:
Entry Zone: Around current price (~$3344)
Stop Loss: $3362.63
Take Profit Zones:
TP1: ~$3330 (Support S1)
TP2: ~$3311.35 (Support 2)
GOLD IN PLAY - RISKY ROADS AHEAD BUT GOLD KEEPS SURGINGSymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3468
Gold continues to show strength, testing resistance within the established range, with bullish momentum persisting. The price has moved above the flat consolidation line and entered the buying zone, further progress now depends on the actions of the bulls.
The metal is advancing for a second consecutive session, supported by a weakening of US dollar, heightened demand for safe-haven assets, and intensifying geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
Market sentiment remains fragile due to trade-related uncertainties and regional instability across Asia, as investors look ahead to forthcoming Federal Reserve decisions and remarks from Powell.
Gold is currently breaking out of its previous neutral range. Immediate attention is on the 3369 level and nearby resistance at 3381. The macroeconomic environment remains favorable for gold. If bullish positions are maintained above these key thresholds, upward continuation remains likely.
Resistance Levels: 3369, 3381, 3408
Support Levels: 3352, 3330
A potential retest of the local liquidity zone around 3352, possibly triggering a long squeeze, cannot be ruled out prior to a resumed upward move. For now, the focus remains on the 3369–3370 area, which currently serves as a critical support zone.
Gold Short Trade Analysis for Swing TradingMarket Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) has exhibited a bullish rally in recent times, but a recent pin bar formation on the weekly chart signals a potential reversal. With a 95% confidence level based on technical analysis, the market is poised for a significant downturn over the next two years. The current momentum remains slightly bullish, but failure to breach the $3,500.00 resistance level will likely trigger a substantial decline in gold prices, making it an opportune moment for swing traders to consider short positions.
Price Predictions
Based on the provided projections, the following key price levels are anticipated for gold over the next two years:
Mid-July 2025 : Gold prices are expected to peak near $3,000.00, marking a potential high for the year.
Mid-November 2025 : Prices are forecasted to decline to approximately $2,740.00.
End of March 2026 : A further drop is anticipated, with prices reaching around $2,560.00.
End of June 2026 : Gold is expected to form a low around $2,408.00.
June to September 2026 : The market is likely to trade in a range-bound pattern, with no significant directional movement.
End of September 2026 : A breakout from the range is expected, potentially setting the stage for further declines.
End of December 2026 : Gold prices are projected to fall to approximately $2,053.00.
April 2027 : The downtrend is expected to continue, with prices dropping to around $1,814.00.
Technical Analysis
The recent pin bar on the weekly chart is a strong bearish signal, indicating rejection at higher price levels. This suggests that the bullish rally may have exhausted its momentum. The critical resistance level to watch is $3,500.00. If gold fails to break above this level, it will likely confirm the bearish outlook, leading to a sustained decline. The projected price levels align with key support zones, reinforcing the potential for a prolonged downtrend.
Swing Trading Strategy
Swing traders can capitalize on this bearish outlook by initiating short positions at strategic price points. Below is a suggested approach:
Entry Point : Consider entering a short trade near $3,000.00 in mid-July 2025, as prices approach the projected peak. Alternatively, wait for a confirmation of rejection at $3,500.00 if prices rally higher.
Stop Loss : Place a stop loss above $3,500.00 to protect against an unexpected bullish breakout.
Take Profit Levels :
First target : $2,740.00 (mid-November 2025).
Second target : $2,560.00 (end of March 2026).
Long-term target : $2,053.00 (end of December 2026) or $1,814.00 (April 2027).
Position Sizing : Use proper risk management, risking no more than 1-2% of the trading account per trade.
Monitoring : Watch for range-bound movement between June and September 2026, as this may require adjusting positions or temporarily exiting the trade.
Risk Factors
While the bearish outlook is supported by technical signals, traders should remain cautious of the following risks:
Geopolitical Events: Sudden global events could drive safe-haven demand for gold, pushing prices higher.
Economic Data: Changes in interest rates or inflation could influence gold prices unexpectedly .
Market Sentiment: A shift in investor sentiment could delay or alter the projected downtrend.
Conclusion
The formation of a pin bar on the weekly chart, combined with the failure to break $3,500.00, suggests that gold’s bullish rally is likely over. Swing traders can take advantage of the anticipated downtrend by shorting gold at key resistance levels and targeting the projected price declines over the next two years. By employing disciplined risk management and closely monitoring market developments, traders can position themselves for significant returns as gold prices trend lower.