Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD June 24, 2025
🌀 Wave Structure
Looking at the H1 chart during the Asian session today:
+ Price broke below the previous low at 3341, invalidating the idea that Friday’s rally marked the beginning of a new uptrend.
+ Instead, the rally appears to be forming a wave X in a larger WXY corrective structure.
+ Given the current complex corrective pattern, it’s challenging to precisely define the exact wave shape and targets.
🔻 Wave Y Structure:
+ The price action suggests the formation of a 5-wave decline, with the market currently in wave 4.
+ Wave 4 target zone: 3357 – 3363 → Sell zone.
+ After completing wave 4, we expect a continuation of the downtrend via wave 5, with a target around 3327 – 3324 → Buy zone.
+ Once wave 5 completes, we anticipate at least a corrective upward retracement, with targets at 3363 – 3376 (these are the TP levels for the buy trade).
⚡️ Momentum Analysis
+ D1 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish, suggesting a potential rally lasting around 5–8 D1 candles after wave 5 finishes.
+ H4 timeframe: Momentum is declining and may enter oversold territory within 1–2 candles, supporting the completion of wave 5.
+ H1 timeframe: Momentum is rising and approaching overbought levels, indicating a likely end of wave 4 within 1–2 H1 candles.
📌 Trade Plan
🔹 SELL ZONE: 3363 – 3365
+ SL: 3373
+ TP1: 3342
+ TP2: 3330
🔹 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3324
+ SL: 3317
+ TP1: 3342
+ TP2: 3363
+ TP3: 3376
+ Important Note:❗️
- If price reaches these zones with a Mazuboru candle (long-bodied candle with no wick) and fast volatility, do not enter immediately.
- Wait for the candle to close. If the zone breaks, keep an eye on the next support area around 3313 for potential reactions.
Xauusdwave
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 23, 2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure – H1 Timeframe
In previous plans, we were debating between two triangle patterns in green:
1. A leading diagonal triangle forming wave 1, or
2. A corrective triangle structure forming wave X (as labeled on the chart).
In last Friday’s plan, I also identified a five-wave triangle structure forming within wave c, with strong evidence of completion shown by a sharp bullish candle.
📰 News Supporting the Move
At this point, it seems war-related news is supporting an upcoming bullish trend, which also strengthens the case that a three-wave abc correction (black) has completed. We are now expecting a bullish leg this week.
🎯 Price Outlook
The current zone is a promising area for a BUY NOW setup. However, we should be cautious about the potential gap-up at the market open. If that occurs, we’ll observe whether the gap gets filled to reassess the buy zone.
If price rallies to the 3382 area and then pulls back, we will look for a swing BUY entry around 3357.
📈 Momentum & Larger Wave Outlook
D1 timeframe: Momentum is about to shift upward, indicating a potential strong and steep bullish trend this week. If confirmed, this supports the scenario that wave 2 (black) has ended and wave 3 is beginning.
However, if price moves in a slow and overlapping fashion, we must prepare for an alternative scenario: that the correction is not yet complete, and another leg down may occur to finalize the structure.
H4 timeframe: Momentum has already shifted to the upside, suggesting a high probability of a gap-up during the Asian session open.
H1 timeframe: Momentum is also about to reverse to the upside, allowing us to consider buying at current levels.
📝 Trade Plan – BUY Setup:
✅ Buy Zone: 3361 – 3379
❌ Stop Loss: 3351
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3382
TP2: 3396
TP3: 3412
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trade Plan for June 19, 2025
🌀 Wave Structure
On the H4 timeframe, following a strong selloff, price is now consolidating within a narrow price channel — suggesting that we are currently in wave b (black) of an abc correction.
This structure implies that one more leg down is likely to complete wave c (black). However, due to the overlapping and sideways nature of the move, it's difficult to clearly identify the end points of waves a and b, making traditional Fibonacci targeting less effective.
➡️ To improve accuracy, we’re combining Volume Profile data with price action and have identified four key support zones:
3349, 3335, 3313, and 3297
Among these, we’re giving special attention to:
🎯 Target 1: 3335
🎯 Target 2: 3297
We'll wait for bullish momentum signals near these levels to increase the probability of catching the end of wave c.
🔋 Momentum Outlook
Daily (D1): Momentum is about to enter oversold territory. By the end of today or tomorrow, the daily candle is expected to confirm this — suggesting a weakening bearish trend.
H4: Also approaching oversold. If price is hovering around one of the key support levels (3349 | 3335 | 3313 | 3297) when this happens, and the D1 is already oversold, then we may be looking at a high-probability reversal zone.
H1: Nearly oversold as well — expect a short-term bounce soon. The best timing for a BUY will be when the H1 starts turning bullish while both the D1 and H4 are oversold.
✅ Trade Setup
🔹 Scenario 1
BUY ZONE: 3336 – 3333
SL: 3326
TP1 | TP2 | TP3: 3345 | 3378 | 3402
🔹 Scenario 2
BUY ZONE: 3300 – 3297
SL: 3290
TP1 | TP2 | TP3: 3313 | 3345 | 3402
⏳ Patience is key — wait for confluence between support zones and momentum reversals. That’s where the high-probability BUY setups emerge.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 18, 2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure on H4
The recent drop has broken below the previously labeled wave 1 zone, requiring an adjustment to our wave count. Following the abc corrective move (black), a potential triangle formation is emerging.
At this point, we’re monitoring two possible scenarios:
🔹 Scenario 1 – Triangle as a Wave X Correction:
Price is forming an abcde triangle, potentially part of a larger WXY corrective structure. If this plays out, we may see a strong decline forming wave Y, targeting a break below 3297, and possibly extending to 3248.
🔹 Scenario 2 – Leading Diagonal Triangle as Wave 1:
If this is a leading diagonal triangle for wave 1, then wave 1 is likely completed, and we are currently in wave 2. In this scenario, price should hold above 3248, with likely support zones around 3335 or 3300.
🎯 Key Price Zones & Resistance Levels
Major Resistance: 3389 – 3402 (based on volume profile) – prime area for potential short setups.
Short-term Resistance Levels: 3389, 3402, 3412 – watch for reversal signals here.
🔻 Momentum Outlook
Daily (D1): Momentum is declining and expected to enter oversold territory within 2 candles – indicating a weakening downtrend and supporting the leading diagonal scenario.
H4: Momentum is preparing to turn bearish – supports short opportunities.
H1: Already turned bullish – suggests a possible corrective bounce before the next drop.
📌 Trade Plan
🔴 Sell Zone: 3400 – 3403
• SL: 3410
• TP1: 3365
• TP2: 3335
🟢 Buy Zone 1: 3335 – 3332
• SL: 3325
• TP1: 3365
• TP2: 3402
🟢 Buy Zone 2: 3302 – 3209
• SL: 3292
• TP1: 3335
• TP2: 3365
• TP3: 3402
I Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD June 16, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
On the H1 timeframe, price is forming a 5-wave structure (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) in green, with the market currently in wave 4.
Last Friday, after breaking above the 3444 high, price failed to continue toward 3482 and instead reversed lower. This behavior suggests that wave 4 is developing as a Flat correction in black abc structure.
👉 Based on this outlook, wave c is expected to complete around 3314, marking the end of wave 4 in green. From there, a bullish impulse is anticipated to complete wave 5.
🔎 Momentum Overview
D1 timeframe: Momentum is rising → indicating the dominant trend for early this week is likely bullish.
H4 timeframe: Momentum is declining → supporting the scenario that wave c of wave 4 may still have one more leg down.
H1 timeframe: Momentum is about to turn downward → suggesting a potential drop during the Asian session on Monday.
🚨 However, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could trigger unexpected price spikes, especially during the Asian session.
📈 Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 3415 – 3412
Stop Loss: 3405
Take Profit 1: 3444
Take Profit 2: 3482
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (June 12, 2025)📊 Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (June 12, 2025)
🌀 Wave Structure
According to yesterday's plan, the green abc corrective wave likely completed around the 3293 level. The subsequent bullish move is considered Wave 1 in a triangle form, and last night’s news helped Wave 5 hit the target, yielding over 200 pips in profit.
After that, price corrected in a black abc structure. Although the CPI release printed a sharp H1 wick (alongside overlapping waves supporting sellers), the price reversed sharply to the upside — further reinforcing the idea that the correction phase has ended.
Currently, price is testing the previous green Wave b high at 3375.954. A break and close above this level could strengthen the bullish wave scenario. If Wave 1 is indeed a triangle, Wave 3 may extend strongly, with a potential upside target near 3428.
In the short term, price may be forming Wave 1 within Wave 3, and we are watching two key zones:
3358 – 3355
3390 – 3393
⚠️ If price breaks and closes below 3350, the current wave count will be invalidated, and we will shift to a deeper corrective scenario. I will update accordingly to avoid confusion.
🔍 Momentum Outlook
D1: Momentum is rising, supporting the continuation of Wave 3 into next week.
H4: Still bullish; needs 1–2 more candles to reach the overbought zone.
H1: Currently overbought → possible pullback if price hits the 3390–3393 resistance.
⏱️ Bearish momentum reversal at 3390–3393 → confluence zone for a SELL setup
⏱️ Bullish momentum reversal at 3358–3355 → confluence zone for a BUY setup
🎯 Trading Plan
BUY ZONE: 3358 – 3355
SL: 3348
TP1: 3375 | TP2: 3389
SELL ZONE: 3390 – 3393
SL: 3404
TP1: 3375 | TP2: 3358
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 11, 2025
📊 Elliott Wave Structure – H1 Outlook
Currently, the price is moving sideways within a channel.
🔍 Wave Structure Analysis:
Looking closely at the wave patterns inside this price channel, we can clearly see a series of 3-wave structures developing. Previously, we also observed what appears to be an abc corrective pattern (black), which leads me to suspect that we might be forming a triangle structure as the beginning of a wave 1 sequence (12345 in green).
It seems that wave 4 has already completed, and the price is currently in wave 5. Structurally, wave 5 may take the form of a 3-wave move, and the key confirmation we want to see is a break above 3349, signaling that the top of wave 5 is in place.
☄️ Typically, once a wave 1 triangle completes, the market tends to enter a sharp and deep corrective move in the form of a zigzag.
🎯 Potential Target Zones (based on Fibonacci + Volume Profile):
Target Zone 1: 3352 – 3355
Target Zone 2: 3362 – 3365
⚡ Momentum Outlook:
D1 Momentum: Starting to turn bullish, suggesting the current correction is nearing completion and we could see a bullish week ahead.
H4 Momentum: Currently in overbought territory – I expect the price to break above 3349, followed by a momentum reversal on H4, which could provide a great SELL opportunity at the upper targets.
H1 Momentum: Is about to turn bearish, indicating a short-term pullback may occur. If this correction fails to break below 3315, the price may be completing wave 5 as a 3-wave structure. In that case, we should wait for H1 momentum to turn bullish and then bearish again to confirm wave 5 completion.
📌 Trading Plan:
🔻 SELL Zone: 3352 – 3355
⛔ Stop Loss: 3369
🎯 TP1: 3334
🎯 TP2: 3307
Elliott Wave Analysis – Trading Strategy Update | June 10, 2025
📊 Elliott Wave Analysis – Trading Strategy Update | June 10, 2025
Currently, the market is presenting multiple wave scenarios with nearly equal probabilities. To avoid noise and gain clarity, we are shifting our analysis to the H4 timeframe.
🔹 Key Price Zone
As highlighted in yesterday’s update, the 3340 level remains a critical resistance. Price failed to break above this level and has since pulled back to 3307.
🔹 Momentum & Volume Profile
- H4 Momentum: Just one more H4 candle and the momentum indicator will likely enter the oversold zone, suggesting that the bearish momentum is weakening.
- Volume Profile: Price is clearly reacting at the green POC zone, with no signs of a breakdown yet.
🧩 Two Main Scenarios:
Scenario 1: Wave 5 Continues Lower
Price is potentially forming wave 5, with:
🎯 Target 1: 3290
🎯 Target 2: 3279
✅ Confirmation: Break below 3294
⚠️ Note: This is the most obvious scenario, and in trading, what’s most obvious often requires the most caution.
Scenario 2: Correction Completed – Wave 3 Uptrend Forming
- The black ABC correction has likely completed.
- The recent upward move could be wave 1; the current pullback is wave 2.
- Wave 3 is expected next.
✅ Necessary Condition: Price breaks above 3340
✅ Sufficient Condition: Price breaks the top of wave b (black)
➡️ For this scenario, limit orders may not be effective — real-time confirmation will be required.
📉 Momentum Overview:
- D1 Timeframe: Approaching oversold territory — likely to see a recovery over the next 5–7 daily candles.
- H4 Timeframe: Also nearing oversold — an intraday bounce is expected today.
🎯 Trading Plan:
🔵 Buy Zone 1:
Entry: 3292 – 3289
Stop Loss: 3282
TP1: 3306
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3375
🔵 Buy Zone 2:
Entry: 3281 – 3279
Stop Loss: 3271
TP1: 3307
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3375
Elliott Wave Pattern – XAUUSD Trading Plan for June 8, 2025
Elliott Wave Analysis
After Friday’s deep decline, price touched the level of wave 1 (black), invalidating the flat wave 4 scenario. Currently, the structure of wave 5 (black) appears to be a terminal triangle, and the sharp and steep drop afterward is consistent with post-terminal triangle behavior.
Post wave 5 completion, two possible bearish scenarios emerge:
Scenario 1: Price is forming a zigzag (abc in black). Wave c may have completed at 3305 — the first target. However, 3290 remains a significant lower target. A recovery that breaks above 3340 would help invalidate Scenario 2.
Scenario 2: Price is in a 5-wave bearish impulse. To confirm this, price must not break above 3340, as that would overlap with wave 1 and invalidate the structure. If this holds, the next key target lies below 3245.
Momentum Analysis
Daily (D1): When the market opens this week, momentum is expected to enter oversold territory — suggesting a weakening downtrend. Confirmation is needed.
H4: Momentum is already in oversold territory, indicating a potential bullish move early in the week.
H1: Also oversold. A reversal is likely during the Asian or European session, favoring Scenario 1 and a buy setup near wave c = wave a.
Trading Plan
Buy 3305 – 3302
SL: 3295
TP1: 3340
TP2: 3393
Buy 3292 – 3289
SL: 3282
TP1: 3305
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3393
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan 5/6/2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure
On the H1 timeframe, price action is currently overlapping — a sign that the corrective phase may not be over yet. If the correction had indeed ended at 3334, we would expect a sharper and more impulsive rally typical of wave 3 (green) within wave 3 (black). The lack of that strong momentum suggests the correction could still be unfolding.
Both wave a and wave b (red) are showing 3-wave structures, which points to the development of a Flat correction in the red abc pattern.
Within wave b (red), we’re currently seeing a smaller abc structure (green), with price likely forming wave c (green) right now.
🎯 Target Zones
Wave c (green) target zone: 3390–3393, which is our ideal Sell zone.
If price reverses from this zone, we expect wave c (red) to complete somewhere between 3334–3324.
⚡️ Momentum Outlook
D1 timeframe: Momentum is starting to turn bearish. A confirmation will depend on how today’s daily candle closes. Until then, short-term upside is still possible.
H4 timeframe: Momentum has already turned bearish, supporting the case for a potential wave C (red) to unfold.
H1 timeframe: Currently oversold, which opens the door for a minor push up or some sideways action to finish wave c (green).
📌 Trade Setup
🔻 SELL Zone:
Entry: 3390 – 3393
Stop Loss (SL): 3400
Take Profit (TP1): 3370
Take Profit (TP2): 3357
🔺 BUY Zone:
Entry: 3334 – 3331
Stop Loss (SL): 3322
Take Profit (TP1): 3357
Take Profit (TP2): 3393
Take Profit (TP3): 3410
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan | June 2, 2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure
On the H1 timeframe, wave 2 (black) appears to have completed as a zigzag pattern, with price reacting strongly after touching the 3272 level — signaling that the abc corrective wave (green) may be finished.
Zooming into the M10 timeframe, the recent rally shows a 5-wave leading diagonal, indicating that wave 1 (red) is complete.
Currently, price is in the pullback phase of wave 2 (red).
📍 The ideal correction zone for wave 2 (red) is around 3281, which is our key area to look for Buy opportunities.
However, if price breaks below 3272, this wave count becomes invalid, and we’ll wait for a new setup aligned with deeper correction.
🔋 Momentum Outlook
• D1: Momentum is preparing to turn bullish ⇒ supports the start of wave 3 (black) and a bullish outlook for the week
• H4: Momentum is bottoming and about to reverse ⇒ supports wave 3 (red) forming in upcoming sessions
• H1: Currently declining ⇒ expect early-session pullback. Watch for bullish reversal signals as long as 3272 holds for potential entries
✅ Trade Setup
🎯 BUY ZONE: 3282 – 3279
🛑 Stop Loss: 3272
🎯 Take Profits:
• TP1: 3308
• TP2: 3324
• TP3: 3346
⏳ Note: Price action around the 3272–3281 zone will be key to confirming whether wave 2 (red) is complete.
If confirmed, wave 3 could begin with strong momentum — especially after breaking above 3296.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD H1 30/05/2025
🔍 Wave Structure Update
As of now, price has broken above the X wave high and is undergoing a retracement. This is a positive signal, suggesting that Wave 1 (black) of the larger green impulsive wave may have completed. Currently, price is likely in Wave 2 (black) – offering a good opportunity to position for the upcoming Wave iii (green).
Within Wave 2, we expect classic corrective structures such as zigzag or flat to form. Based on current price action, a short-term bounce followed by another leg down is anticipated to complete the corrective phase.
🎯 Potential Wave 2 Target Zones
• Target 1: 3290
• Target 2: 3272
❗ If price drops further to 3245, the assumption that Wave 2 has ended may be invalid. In that case, the broader correction could continue toward 3215 (Wave Y target).
📈 Momentum Outlook
D1 Chart: Momentum shows signs of reversal to the upside – supporting a bullish bias for the coming week.
H4 Chart: Momentum is weakening, suggesting price may move sideways or pull back today as part of Wave 2 development.
H1 Chart: Currently oversold, indicating a likely short-term bounce or sideways movement to maintain this oversold condition until H4 also reaches oversold.
🧭 Trading Plan
🔹 Scalp Buy
• Entry: 3291 – 3289
• SL: 3286
• TP1: 3306
• TP2: 3324
• TP3: 3346
🔹 Main Buy Zone
• Entry: 3272 – 3269
• SL: 3262
• TP1: 3290
• TP2: 3324
• TP3: 3373
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD H1 Timeframe 29/05/2025🔍 Current Wave Structure
Price is currently correcting within a WXY structure, also known as a double zigzag. At the moment, the market is progressing through wave Y, with two potential targets:
🎯 Target 1: 3245 – already reached, and price has bounced sharply from this zone.
🎯 Target 2: 3215 – a deeper target, requiring further confirmation from price action and real-time momentum.
📈 If wave Y has already ended at 3245, the market may now be in wave 1 of a new bullish cycle. Once wave 1 completes, we’ll look for wave 2, which typically offers a prime entry point for wave 3.
👉 Wave 2 often forms as a zigzag or flat correction. Using Fibonacci confluence and liquidity zones, the potential wave 2 pullback area is 3265 – 3262.
⚡️ Momentum Outlook
🕯 D1: Momentum is entering oversold territory → high probability of bullish reversal today or tomorrow.
🕯 H4: Reversal setup is forming; current H4 candle closes in just over an hour → watch for confirmation.
🕯 H1: Momentum is rising. Wait for a pullback in H1, followed by renewed bullish momentum without breaking below 3245 — that’s likely the end of wave 2 and the entry point for wave 3.
📌 Important Note:
If H4 momentum reverses downward and price fails to break above 3324, it could signal a continuation of the broader downtrend, with 3215 remaining as the next wave Y target.
🛒 Trade Setu p
BUY ZONE: 3265 – 3262
Stop Loss: 3255
Take Profits:
• TP1: 3290
• TP2: 3324
• TP3: 3346
❗️ If price breaks below 3245, it would confirm that wave Y is still in progress. In that case, monitor the 3215 zone for a new buying opportunity.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan – 27th May 2025
📊 Wave Structure – XAUUSD – H1 Timeframe
Price is likely in a corrective phase — wave iv (orange) — after completing five internal green waves within wave iii.
During this correction, we’ve seen an abc zigzag form, followed by an unclear upward bounce. This gives rise to two key scenarios:
🔸 Scenario 1: Wave iv is complete
The abc pattern is finished, and price appears to be forming an initial triangle structure. We could currently be in wave 2.
👉 A breakout and H1 candle close above 3343 would confirm the start of a new uptrend. In this case, prefer buying on dips.
🔸 Scenario 2: Zigzag correction is still ongoing
Wave X seems complete, and price may now be developing wave Y — either as another abc or triangle.
👉 This scenario gets confirmed if price breaks below the wave c (green) low at 3324.
🎯 Wave Y downside targets (based on Fibonacci + Volume Profile):
• Target 1: 3317
• Target 2: 3290
🔍 Momentum Analysis
D1 Momentum has already confirmed bearish → Downside pressure likely to persist through the week.
H4 Momentum is currently rising → Price could see a short-term rally or sideways action today.
H1 Momentum is nearing oversold → We wait for it to flip to overbought. If price fails to break 3349, there may be room for a scalp sell.
However, if 3349 is broken, wave X could extend further — or it might mark the start of a new bullish leg. We’ll reassess accordingly.
📌 Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 3317 – 3314
Stop Loss: 3307
Take Profit 1: 3334
Take Profit 2: 3373
✅ Only execute if H1 momentum shifts bullish.
❗ If this zone breaks, next buy opportunity lies around 3290.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – Plan for May 27, 2025📊 Price is likely in the middle of a wave iv (orange) correction, following the completion of a 5-wave structure (green) that formed wave iii.
During this correction, an ABC zigzag pattern has already formed. The recent upward move remains unclear, which opens up two possible scenarios:
🔸 Scenario 1 – Wave iv is completed
The ABC structure looks complete. Price appears to be forming a leading diagonal, currently in wave 2.
A confirmed breakout above 3343 with a candle close would validate a new bullish trend → favoring Buy entries in line with the larger trend.
🔸 Scenario 2 – Ongoing zigzag correction (double structure)
Wave X has completed, and price may now be developing wave Y (either an ABC or triangle pattern).
This scenario is confirmed if price breaks below wave c (green) at 3324.
🎯 Wave Y Target Zones (based on Fibonacci + Volume Profile):
• Target 1: 3317
• Target 2: 3290
🔍 Momentum Outlook:
• Daily (D1): Bearish momentum confirmed → downside likely to dominate into the end of the week
• H4: Momentum rising → short-term bounce or consolidation expected today
• H1: Near oversold → watch for bullish reversal.
If price fails to break above 3349, scalp shorts may be considered.
However, a break above 3349 could mean wave X continues as an extended ABC, or a new bullish trend has started — to be updated accordingly.
📌 Trading Plan:
Buy Zone: 3317 – 3314
Stop Loss: 3307
Take Profit 1: 3334
Take Profit 2: 3373
✅ Only enter on H1 bullish momentum reversal
❗ If this zone fails, watch for the next Buy opportunity near 3290
Elliott Wave Analysis – Plan XAUUSD 23/5/2025At the moment, we’re monitoring two possible wave scenarios:
🔸 Scenario 1 – ABC Correction Completed
The bullish move from the 3123 zone to the current price may have formed a completed ABC corrective structure (labeled on the top-left of the chart).
If this scenario is correct, the correction has ended and the market is now entering a new 5-wave bearish impulse.
Within this structure:
• Wave 1 is already completed
• Price is currently retracing as Wave 2
This view is supported by the strong reaction around the 3247 zone.
📍 Ideal target for Wave 2: around 3325
🔸 Scenario 2 – Bullish 5-Wave Structure in Progress
A potential impulsive structure with waves 1-2-3-4-5 is currently labeled on the chart.
In this count:
• Wave 3 (yellow) has completed
• The market is now in Wave 4 (yellow)
Wave 4 appears to be unfolding as an A-B-C corrective pattern:
• Wave A has completed
• Price is now forming Wave B (black)
✅ This scenario requires a daily close above 3247 for confirmation.
📍 Target for Wave B: also near 3325
🔎 Momentum Analysis
• Daily (D1): Overbought – the uptrend is weakening → likely a larger corrective move ahead
• H4: Momentum rising → favors a short-term bullish bounce
• H1: Momentum just flipped bullish → current rally may extend further
📌 Trade Plan (for both scenarios):
SELL ZONE: 3325 – 3328
Stop Loss: 3335
Take Profit 1: 3279
Take Profit 2: 3247
📈 Wait for price action around the 3325 zone to confirm which scenario plays out.
XAUUSD 9/25/2024 gold price continues to increase?
Looking at H1 we are witnessing an extended wave 5 with the wave 5 target I measured at the current price zone of 2665 this zone has been reached and the second price zone at the price zone of 2696 - 2699.
After the end of wave 5 we will have another ABC adjustment so these target price zones will be the price zones we choose as SELL down targets
- This adjustment will be very large and long to facilitate intraday trading I will choose target zones with a lot of demand so we can catch the recovery waves in this adjustment.
- We have 2 target price zones with high demand concentration, which are the 2565 - 2562 zone and the 2594 - 2591 zone. These are the 2 target zones we choose to BUY up.
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2696 - 2699
SL: 2706
TP1: 2682
TP2: 2665
TP3: 2655
BUY ZONE: 2565 - 2562
SL: 2555
TP1: 2641
Tp2: 2655
TP3: 2670
BUY ZONE: 2594 - 2591
SL: 2584
TP1: 2614
TP2: 2625
TP3: 2641
XAUUSD 9/24/2024 price increase continues?
Looking at H1 we see wave 5 is completing
- The target position of the end of wave 5 we have 2 target zones, the first zone is 2645 - 2648 and the second target zone is 2597 - 2700. For now we will choose the first target zone which is 2645 - 2648 as the target zone to SELL down
- Below after the end of wave 5 we will have a correction according to 3 ABC waves.
- We have the target zone of this correction at the price zone 2594 - 2591 and the second target zone at the price zone 2565 - 2562 we will choose these 2 target zones to BUY
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2645 - 2648
SL: 2655
TP1: 2625
TP2: 2606
TP3: 2593
BUY ZONE: 2594 - 2591
SL: 2584
TP1: 2606
TP2: 2616
TP3: 2645
BUY ZONE: 2565 - 2562
SL: 2555
TP1: 2570
TP2: 2589
TP3: 2603
XAUUSD 19/9/2024 Downtrend is over?
Looking at H1 we see that after the FOMC news we witnessed a strong price increase creating ATH at the 2600 area. Then there was a strong decrease to the 2547 area
- So wave 5 has completed as expected my target. now we expect an ABC correction
- Looking at the chart we see a strong decline suggesting a completed wave A, this strong decline also shows us that wave A has a 5-wave structure so this correction we expect a correction according to the ABC Zigzac correction structure
- The target of wave B I expect at the 2580 - 2583 zone or the 2579 - 2600 zone this is our SELL target
- After completing the target of wave B the price continues to decrease to complete wave C I expect the target to complete wave C at the price zone of 2528 - 2525 this will be our BUY target
- We also have a strong support zone at the price zone of 2451 - 2448 this will be our BUY scalp zone
Trading plan
SELL ZONE 2580 - 2583
SL: 2590
TP1: 2570
TP2: 2562
TP3: 2551
SELL ZONE: 2597 - 2600
SL: 2607
TP1: 2590
TP2: 2579
TP3: 2562
BUY ZONE: 2551 - 2448
SL: 2561
TP1: 2562
TP2: 2570
TP3: 2579
BUY ZONE: 2528 - 2525
TP1: 2541
TP2: 2551
TP3: 2562
XAUUSD 18/9/2024 gold price has ended the correction?
Looking at H1, we have a sharp and fast-moving wave 3, followed by a corrective wave 4
- According to the Elliot wave principle, wave 2 is simple, wave 4 is complex and takes more time, so we are in wave 4.
- I temporarily label the small waves in wave 4 so that we can predict the end of wave 4
- Currently, looking at the price target of wave 4, we have the price range of 2565 - 2562 and the second target price range is the range of 2451 - 2448
- Looking at the structure of wave 4, we have a complex structure consisting of a Flat wave combined with a zigzag structure WXY. Looking at the wave 4 structure, we see that the correction structure may be sufficient and we expect the price to continue to increase according to wave 5
- The correction process of wave 4 is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks out through the 2590.188 zone, then we have the target zones of wave 5 above, which are the 2600 - 2603 zone and the 2616 - 2619 zone
Our trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2565 - 2562
SL: 2555
TP1: 2579
TP2: 2590
TP3: 2600
BUY ZONE: 2451 - 2448
SL: 2441
TP1: 2561
TP2: 2579
TP3: 2590
SELL ZONE: 2600 - 2603
SL: 2700
TP1: 2590
TP2: 2579
TP3: 2565
SELL ZONE: 2616 - 2619
SL: 2716
TP1: 2600
TP2: 2590
TP3: 2579
XAUUSD 12/9/2024 will the gold price continue to decrease
Looking at H1, we see a complete Elliot structure has been completed including 5 main waves and 3 abc correction waves, I used purple to symbolize on the chart
- Following a complete structure is a new trend that coincides with the main trend with a 5-wave structure
- Currently, we predict that wave 1 in the new trend has been completed and wave 2 is being completed
- The target area of wave 2 I measured at the area of 2508 - 2505, we will use this price area as the target to BUY up according to wave 3
- At that time, we measure the target of wave 3 at least at the area of 2538 - 2541 and this price area will be our Sell target to catch the wave 4 correction down
- I still reserve a case that the current price wave 2 continues to adjust according to the abc structure that has not ended, then we will have a target BUY at 2494 - 2491
Trading Plan
BUY ZONE: 2508 - 2505
SL: 2498
TP1: 2516
TP2: 2525
TP3: 2532
BUY ZONE: 2494 - 2491
SL: 2484
TP1: 2500
TP2: 2508
TP3: 2520
SELL ZONE: 2538 - 2541
SL: 2548
TP1: 2531
TP2: 2525
TP3: 2517
XAUUSD 6/9/2024 Where will the uptrend end?
Looking at H1 we are seeing a 5-wave bullish structure forming,
- Currently looking at the price data, the wave 4 structure is forming, the completion of wave 4 and wave 5 are confirmed when the price breaks through 2523, then we have the confirmation of wave 5.
- After a 5-wave structure will be an adjustment according to the 3-wave ABC structure.
- I have estimated the wave 5 target at the price range of 2530 - 2533, which is also our SELL target
- Then the ABC correction structure has a target to end at the price range of 2500 - 2497, which will be our BUY target.
- I still do not rule out the possibility that the big correction wave has not been completed yet, then the target of wave C that I mentioned in the previous plan is the price zone of 2464 - 2467, which will be our BUY target when the price breaks through 2472
Our trading plan will trade according to the ABC downtrend and wait for the ABC downtrend structure to complete, then we will BUY up
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2530 -2533
SL: 2540
TP1: 2523
TP2: 2518
TP3: 2509
BUY ZONE: 2500 - 2497
SL: 2400
TP1: 2518
TP2: 2523
TP3: 2530
BUY ZONE: 2467 - 2464
SL: 2457
TP1: 2482
TP2: 2493
TP3: 2518
XAUUSD 4/9/2024 complex correction has ended?
Looking at H1, the complex correction process will create very difficult conditions for determining the specific structure of the wave. In such a situation, we will rely on the Fibonacci measure to determine the target price zones for the end of the entire correction process based on the previous up wave.
- With such an approach, I will determine the target price levels for this correction downtrend.
- Looking at the chart, we have a temporary 5-wave structure formed. We will rely on this combined with Fibonacci to set up trading zones
- Case 1 if wave 5 has ended, then we expect the price zone 2482 - 2479 to BUY
Case 2 if the price breaks below 2473, then the price zone ending wave 5 will be the price zone 2464 - 2467
- Above the strong supply zone 2510 - 2507 has not been broken yet, so this is still our target to SELL
- Next is the zone 2515 - 2518, this is the strong supply zone above that we choose to place a SELL order/
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2482 - 2479
SL: 2472
TP1: 2492
TP2: 2582
TP3: 2499
BUY ZONE: 2464 - 2467 SL: 2454 TP1: 2478 TP2: 2492 TP3: 2499 SELL ZONE: 2510 - 2507 SL: 2520 TP1: 2510 TP2: 2491 TP3: 2482 SELL ZONE: 2515 - 2518 SL: 2525 TP1: 2510 TP2: 2491 TP 3: 2482