XAUUSD – Bullish wave structure intact, awaiting wave 4.Gold is moving within a clear 5-wave bullish structure, where:
Wave 1 → Wave 3 have already completed with strong impulsive momentum.
Price is currently in the corrective phase of Wave 4, which is technical in nature and not a trend reversal.
Wave 5 to the upside is still expected once downside liquidity absorption is completed.
Key Structure & Technical Context
The H1 trend remains bullish as long as the key swing low below is not broken.
The current pullback is corrective; no bearish CHoCH has been confirmed.
The lower Demand zone aligns with the rising trendline + Fibonacci levels + GAP, creating a high-probability reaction area.
Preferred Trading Plan (MMF Style)
🔵Primary Scenario – Trend-Following BUY
BUY zone: 4,398 – 4,350
This is a strong confluence area (Demand + trendline + GAP).
Only execute buys after clear price reaction and structure holding.
Avoid FOMO entries in the middle of the range.
Targets:
TP1: 4,444
TP2: 4,496
TP3: 4,534
Alternative Scenario:
If price does not pull back to the lower zone and instead breaks and holds above 4,496, wait for a retest to continue buying with the trend.
🔵Invalidation
If an H1 candle closes below 4,350, invalidate the BUY bias and wait for a new structure to form.
🔵Summary: The broader bullish wave structure remains valid. The current decline is a Wave 4 correction, and patience is key to positioning for a potential Wave 5 continuation from discounted levels.
Xauussignal
XAUUSD – Bullish Structure, Look for Pullback BUY📌 Market Context
Gold continues to trade within a bullish short-term structure after completing a corrective leg and forming a clear higher low. The recent consolidation below resistance suggests the market is in a rebalancing phase, not a reversal.
From a fundamental standpoint, the USD remains under pressure amid cautious risk sentiment and expectations of softer monetary conditions, which keeps gold supported on pullbacks.
📊 Technical Structure (H1)
Market structure remains HH – HL, bullish bias intact.
Price is consolidating below key resistance after an impulsive leg up.
Current price action reflects liquidity absorption before the next expansion.
Key observations from the chart:
Prior sell-off failed to break the bullish structure.
Demand zones below are holding well.
Fibonacci retracement aligns with demand, reinforcing buy-side interest.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
Major Resistance:
• 4,534
• 4,503
Intraday Resistance / Reaction Zone:
• 4,477
Key BUY Zones:
• 4,452
• 4,397 (main demand & structure support)
🎯 Trading Plan – MMF Approach
Primary Scenario (BUY the Pullback):
Prefer BUY setups on pullbacks into 4,452 → 4,397.
Look for bullish confirmation (reaction, rejection, momentum shift).
Targets:
→ TP1: 4,477
→ TP2: 4,503
→ TP3: 4,534
Alternative Scenario:
If price fails to hold above 4,397 on H1 close, stand aside and reassess structure before taking new positions.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Avoid chasing price near resistance.
Let the market come back into discount zones.
Follow structure, not emotions.
XAUUSD Pullback – Monitor Supply Before Next MoveMarket Context (Short-Term)
Gold has printed a strong bearish impulse, followed by a technical pullback phase. The current upside move is corrective in nature, driven by liquidity rebalancing, not a confirmed trend reversal.
Market Structure & Price Action
Short-term structure remains bearish with lower highs in place.
The ongoing recovery is a pullback within a bearish leg, not a new bullish trend.
No valid bullish break of structure has been confirmed on the intraday timeframe.
Key Technical Zones
Supply / Sell Reaction Zone: 4,401 – 4,462
→ Major distribution area. Expect selling pressure and potential bearish reaction.
Intermediate Resistance: 4,348 – 4,350
→ Current reaction zone where price may consolidate or fake-break before the next move.
Demand / Buy Zones:
4,322 – 4,326
4,285 – 4,290
→ Liquidity-rich demand areas where the pullback may complete.
Primary Scenario (MMF Bias)
Price continues to retrace into the 4,40x supply zone, shows rejection or bearish confirmation, then rotates lower toward the demand zones below.
Alternative Scenario
If price accepts above 4,401 with strong bullish displacement and clean structure, the pullback could extend toward the higher supply near 4,46x.
Flow & Macro Considerations
Early-year liquidity remains thin, increasing the probability of liquidity sweeps on both sides. Patience is required—wait for price reaction at key zones rather than chasing momentum.
Conclusion
Bias remains bearish-to-neutral while below supply. Focus on price reaction at key zones, not direction. Let the market reveal intent.


