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USDJPY recovery remains doubtfulUSDJPY consolidates the biggest daily loss in 14 years while positing a gradual rebound from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of its May-October upside. The recovery moves also gain support from the RSI’s bounce off the oversold territory. However, the early month low near 133.65 challenges the immediate upside, a break of which could validation the Yen pair’s further advances towards a convergence of the 200-DMA and a two-month-old descending resistance line, close to 136.00. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 136.00, the previous support line from, close to 138.80-85, will be crucial as a break of which could welcome bulls. Alternatively, a daily closing below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement near 131.80 precedes the August 2022 low near 130.40 to challenge the USDJPY bears. Also acting as a downside filter is the 130.00 round figure. Should the pair sellers keep the reins past 130.00, multiple hurdles near 128.30 could offer intermediate halts during the quote’s anticipated south run towards May’s low of 126.35. Overall, USDJPY bears are taking a breather and still hold control despite the latest corrective bounce.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY prints bear flag as Bank of Japan gains attentionUSDJPY is likely to end 2022 on a negative note, despite bracing for the biggest yearly run-up since 2013. However, the Yen pair portrays a bearish chart pattern, a bear flag on the four-hour play as traders keep their eyes on the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Given the downbeat oscillators and hawkish expectations from the BOJ, the bearish chart formation amplifies the downside expectations. As a result, bears could wait for a clear downside break of 134.90, to refresh the monthly low of 133.60. In that case, the August 2020 low near 130.40 and the 130.00 psychological magnet will gain major attention during the south run aiming for the theoretical target surrounding 120.00. Meanwhile, the top line of the stated bear channel, close to 138.50, restricts short-term USDJPY recovery moves. A clear upside break of the same will defy the bearish chart pattern and could poke the 200-SMA surrounding 140.80. In a case where the Yen pair buyers manage to cross the last hurdle, namely the 200-SMA, late November swing high near 142.25 and the 145.20 resistance could flash on their radars. Overall, USDJPY is on the bear’s radar after two years of a bullish move.
by MTradingGlobal
200-DMA holds the gate for USDJPY bearsUSDJPY fades bounce off the 200-DMA as it failed to cross the previous support line from late May. However, nearly oversold RSI challenges the sellers and hence a short-term consolidation between the 200-DMA and the support-turned-resistance line, respectively around 135.00 and 138.00, can’t be ruled out. Even if the quote rises past the 138.00 round figure, the 21-DMA could challenge the buyers at around 138.50. It’s worth noting that a seven-week-old descending trend line joins the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the May-October upside, near 139.15-20, to act as the last defense of sellers. In a case where the yen pair remains firmer past 139.20, a quick run-up toward the late November high around 142.25 appears imminent. Meanwhile, a downside break of the 200-DMA support of 135.00 won’t hesitate to refresh the monthly low, currently around 133.60. Following that, the August month low near 130.40 and the 130.00 round figure can be witnessed. Should the quote remains bearish past 130.00, May’s bottom of 126.35 will lure the USDJPY bears. Overall, USDJPY is heading lower as the key week begins. However, it all depends upon the US inflation and Fed meeting.
Short
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY has more room towards the south as it breaks 200-DMAUSDJPY is under immense pressure as it breaks the 200-DMA support, as well as marks the 3.5-month low. Even though the oversold RSI suggests a mild corrective bounce, the trend appears bearish after it broke an upward-sloping support line from late May. That said, the bears currently aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s May-October upside, around 132.00. If the quote fails to rebound from the key Fibonacci retracement level, the August month’s low near 130.40 and the 130.00 round figure may act as the last defense of the buyers. Alternatively, recovery moves need to provide a daily closing beyond the 200-DMA level of 134.60 to tease intraday buyers. Even so, a corrective bounce needs to cross the 137.40 resistance confluence comprising the previous support line from May and a monthly descending trend line. Should the quote rises past 137.40, another trend line from October 21, close to 140.25, will be crucial before giving control to buyers. Overall, USDJPY is likely to witness further downside towards 132.00 but further downside appears bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPJPY BULLISH FORECASTTHE PREVIOUS IDEA WAS DISRESPECTED BY THE MARKET AND THE RESISTANCE WE EXPECT TO WORK WAS BROKEN AND TURN INTO SUPPORT HENCE WE ARE BULLISH WITH GBPJPY 4H TM. Note: All ideas forecasts are my personal views on the market, I share these ideas for free, and you're free to share my profile link with your friends, please do not use my Idea without credit. I post and share for educational purposes hence no idea we publish should be considered an investment advice. I mostly share ideas with more than normal conviction, meaning I mostly share ideas with High conviction. You can check all my work, you can understand my style of analysing market, please if you like my work do help me earn reputation and like, comment on my ideas, we can discuss more here.
Long
by CELGIB_TRADING
USDJPY bulls need to cross 147.70 to stay on the tableUSDJPY poked the year 1998 high on Thursday while piercing a weekly resistance line, staying near the immediate resistance line of late. That said, the RSI is overbought as the pair struggles with the 24-year high near 147.70, which in turn suggests hardships for the further upside move. If the quote crosses the 147.70 hurdle, its run-up towards an upward-sloping trend line from late April, near 149.00, and the 150.00 psychological magnet will become imminent. It’s worth noting, however, that the buyer’s dominance past 150.00 won’t hesitate to challenge the late 1990 peak surrounding 151.65. Meanwhile, sellers could take entries if the USDJPY pair breaks a 2.5-month-old support line, currently around 144.60. Following that, a south-run to late September low near 140.35 and then to the 140.00 round figure can’t be ruled out. However, July’s top near 139.40 could challenge the sellers afterward, failing to do so can draw a gradual south-run towards August month’s bottom close to 130.40. Overall, USDJPY is near the key resistances as the overbought RSI suggests that the bulls are running out of steam. Hence, a pullback is well-expected but the change of trend is off the table unless the quote breaks 144.60.
by MTradingGlobal
The BoJ could intervene again at ANYTIMELast Thursday was an incredibly volatile trading session for the USD/JPY . This volatility was largely caused by the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) intervention in the currency markets to defend its depreciating currency, the Japanese Yen. Last week’s move was the first time since 1998 that the BoJ had intervened. There are some parallels between 1998’s intervention and 2022’s. For one, the price level in 1998 was cracking 146.00 when the BoJ stepped in. Before last week’s intervention, the pair was trying to sustain a break above the 145.00 key resistance, almost reaching the 146.00 price level. Where the most recent intervention might diverge is the sustainability of the pair’s downside potential. While last week’s intervention did cause a huge fall in the USD/JPY from 145.90 to 140.35 in one session, it has since found its way back to ~144.00 over the ensuing days. This is because the BoJ’s temporary currency intervention is no match for its unwavering commitment to ultra-low interest rates. Bear in mind that the BoJ may jump back into the currency market at any time to help the yen, and as we have seen, 145.00 is a critical level for the BoJ. Currently, the price for the USDJPY is back on track towards the upside. However, the price is currently contenting with 145.00, a monthly key psychological resistance and an RSI in the 60s. On the other hand, the daily timeframe has a minor candle closure above the 144.50 daily resistance. This closure might indicate a possible continuation of the upside. The current daily candle, however, should have a strong bullish candle close to support this idea. The current candle closing below 144.50 might indicate a consolidation between 144.50 and 142.00 and needs to make an empathic break before we see price make a sustained move in either direction.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY stays on the way to 150.00Despite the latest pullback from a 24-year high, the USDJPY remains inside a five-month-old megaphone formation suggesting a further widening of the uptrend. Even so, the overbought RSI (14) suggests a pullback of the yen pair, which in turn highlights a two-month-old horizontal support area surrounding 134.00-134.40. Following that, the 50-DMA and 100-DMA could test the pair sellers around 136.80 and 134.00 respectively. It’s worth noting that the stated megaphone’s lower line, near 132.40, appears the last defense for the pair buyers. Meanwhile, recovery moves may initially aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the pair’s late March to early August moves, near 144.75, before challenging the megaphone’s top, close to 145.75. In a case where USDJPY bulls keep reins, the tops marked during the June and August months of 1998, close to 146.80 and 147.70 in that order, could probe the upside momentum towards the 150.00 psychological magnet. Overall, a shift in the market sentiment isn’t a trend change and hence the bulls can keep control.
Long
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY renews 24-year high with eyes on 141.60USDJPY prints a three-week run-up as it pierces the previous multi-day top to print the highest levels since 1998. Considering the RSI (14) uptrend, not overbought, as well as the bullish MACD signals, the quote is likely to approach the 140.00 threshold. It should be noted that the RSI could turn overbought at that level, given the minor space available, which in turn might trigger a short-term pullback before further advances. In a case where the prices keep rallying past 140.00, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the pair’s late March to early August moves, near 141.60, could gain the market’s attention. On the contrary, a three-week-long ascending support line near 137.75 restricts the pullback of the USDJPY pair, a break of which could highlight the 50-DMA support level surrounding 135.90. If at all the pair drops below the 135.90 DMA support, an upward sloping support line from late May, near 132.10, will be the last defense of the bears before directing them to the 130.00 psychological magnet. Overall, USDJPY buyers have some spare capacity to renew the yearly peak. However, the upside room is limited considering the RSI conditions.
by MTradingGlobal
RELIANCE Wait And Watch ?? Look for Low risk, High reward, and High Probability setups- Things to Remember while Trading with the Trend 1. Know what the trend is. 2. The best trades are made in the direction of the trend. 3. Assume that the main trendline or moving average will hold. 4. The longer the moving average is, the better it defines the trend. 5. Wait for the pullback. 6. Don’t chase the market. 7. Don’t fight the market. 8. Even in the strongest trends there should be some retracement. 9. The closer the market is to the trendline, the better the risk/reward ratio is. 10. Use ADX to determine the strength of the trend. 11. Higher the level of ADX , the stronger the trend, below 20 consider the market to be choppy 12. Hold trades longer in a strong trend. 13. Wait for confirmation of a trendline breaking before reversing position. 14. Know where the Support levels are. 15. Place stops outside the Support levels. Thank You..
NSE:RELIANCELong
by Rvkachhadiya
USDJPY activates awaited fall, 127.00 appears nearby supportUSDJPY remains pressured around a two-week low, despite the latest rebound from 127.50, after the yen pair slipped beneath an upward sloping support line from March-end. The south-run recently broke 100-SMA and is well on the way to the 127.00-126.90 zone comprising 200-SMA and multiple levels marked in a month. It’s worth noting that the pair’s downside past 126.90 may wait for the RSI to turn normal, currently oversold, if not then the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of late March to early May run-up, near 125.00 should return to the charts. Meanwhile, recovery moves need validation from the 129.40 level comprising the 100-SMA and April 20 swing high. Following that, the previous support line and the monthly peak, respectively around 130.50 and 131.35, could lure USDJPY bulls. In a case where the yen pair successfully rises past 131.35, buyers are entitled to challenge the year 2002 high surrounding 135.20. Overall, USDJPY bulls have been tired of late and the latest breakdown triggers the required bearish signal.
Short
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY renews five-year high, 118.70 challenges further upsideUSDJPY cheers the greenback’s robust strength ahead of the Fed’s widely anticipated rate-hike to refresh five-year high. In doing so, the yen pair defied an upward sloping trend channel from late November, backed by the bullish MACD signals. However, overbought RSI and double tops around 118.65 could challenge the quote’s further upside. In a case where the pair rallies past 118.70, the 120.00 psychological magnet will offer an intermediate halt on the way to the early January 2016 peak surrounding 121.70. Meanwhile, a pullback is more likely and could lure risk-taking sellers if the quote offers a daily closing below 117.70. Following that, the highs marked in January and February of 2022, near 116.35, will be on the bear’s radar. Though, the 100-DMA and an ascending trend line from late 2021, respectively around 114.60 and 114.35, will act as the last defenses for the pair buyers, a break of which will give controls to the sellers. Overall, USDJPY may witness a pullback but bulls can keep the reins until the quote drops below 114.35.
by MTradingGlobal
Sell USDJPYHello, my fellow traders hope you all are making some profits. We are here with our new analysis so that we can increase those profits for you. Let’s get into it. As we can see, the price has hit its RESISTANCE and is falling down. Let us know your views on this in the comment section. Thank you all. There is good news for our followers. We will be analyzing on-demand. So let us know which pair you want our analysis on, and we will get it for you. Do like and follow us.
Short
by Ryan_lopes
1
USD/JPY TO GO BEARISH IN COMING DAYSON DAILY TIME FRAME = There is a Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618 between the levels of 106.352 and 104.019 ON HOURLY TIME FRAME = Level of 105.530 has been rejected several times. Also we can find a downward trend on overall chart So, from above observation there is a lot of probability that in coming days USD may be Bearish and JPY may be Bullish. once it crosses the level of 105.204 then it can continue to the level of 104.058 and we can put our stop loss at 105.598 which gives us RISK/REWARD ratio of 2.62. Enter trade = 105.204 Stop Loss = 105.598 Take Profit = 104.058
by EasteriaFox
USDJPY 108.20 major supportThe US dollar remains under downside pressure against the Japanese yen, following the release of more weak data from the US economy. From a technical perspective, the USDJPY pair is extremely weak while trading below the 108.60 support level. Going forward, a break under the 108.20 level exposes the USDJPY pair to heavy technical selling towards the 107.50 level and possibly lower. • The USDJPY pair is only bullish while trading above the 108.90 level, key resistance is found at the 109.15 and 109.40 levels. • The USDJPY pair is only bearish while trading below the 108.90 level, key technical support is found at the 108.20 and 107.50 levels.
by OctaFX_Official
1
USDJPY bearish under 108.90The US dollar has fallen back under the 108.90 level against the Japanese yen currency, making the pair technically bearish over the short-term. Continued weakness under this key area could provoke further losses towards the 108.20 level. The USDJPY pair could capitulate to technical selling if the 108.20 support level is broken. • The USDJPY pair is only bullish while trading above the 108.90 level, key resistance is found at the 109.40 and 109.65 levels. • The USDJPY pair is only bearish while trading below the 108.90 level, key technical support is found at the 108.20 and 107.50 levels.
by OctaFX_Official
USDJPY 110.00 possibleThe US dollar continues to target towards 110.00 level against the Japanese yen as the greenback remains well-supported across the board. The recent high around the 109.60 level provided a signal that the USDJPY intends to push higher over the shor-term. The 110.90 level could be the overall upside objective for medium-term bulls if the 110.00 resistance level is overcome. • The USDJPY pair is only bullish while trading above the 109.30 level, key resistance is found at the 109.60 and 110.0 levels. • The USDJPY pair is only bearish while trading below the 109.30 level, key technical support is found at the 109.15 and 109.00 levels.
by OctaFX_Official