Futures market
XAUUSD Smart Money Levels: Demand 4312, Supply 4436XAUUSD โ Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (05/01)
Market Context
Gold remains structurally bullish on higher timeframes, yet short-term price action shows pullback pressure after premium liquidity was elected near 4440. As markets brace for ongoing USD direction from macro catalysts (Fed commentary, U.S. jobs data, Treasury yields), institutional participation is oscillating between liquidity hunts and controlled re-accumulation.
Global risk sentiment and safe-haven bids are intensifying as traders weigh inflation trajectory with central bank pivot expectations โ leading Gold to exhibit rotational distribution behavior rather than clean continuation. Controlled swings and sweep-driven moves dominate price progression.
This environment favors engineered liquidity access and inducement, not blind breakout chasing.
Technical Framework โ Smart Money Structure (1H)
Current Phase:
Higher-timeframe bullish bias with short-term corrective displacement.
Key Idea:
Expect structural engagement near HTF demand (~4312โ4314) or internal supply liquidity (~4434โ4436) before meaningful displacement sequences.
Structural Notes:
โข HTF bullish structure remains intact
โข Recent CHoCH confirms corrective leg
โข Buy-side liquidity above recent highs is targeted
โข Supply cluster near 4436 acts as engineered lure
โข Demand confluence aligns with institutional accumulation
Liquidity Zones & Triggers
โข BUY GOLD 4314 โ 4312 | SL 4304
โข SELL GOLD 4434 โ 4436 | SL 4444
Institutional Flow Expectation
Liquidity sweep โ MSS / CHoCH โ BOS โ displacement โ internal supply retest โ expansion
Execution Rules
BUY GOLD 4314 โ 4312 | SL 4304
Rules:
โ Liquidity sweep into HTF demand
โ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirmation on M5โM30
โ Clear upside BOS with impulse candles
โ Entry via refined demand OB or FVG fill
Targets:
โข 4370 โ initial displacement
โข 4410 โ internal supply test
โข 4440+ โ extended run if USD weakens
SELL GOLD 4434 โ 4436 | SL 4444
Rules:
โ Reaction into internal supply cluster
โ Bearish MSS / CHoCH confluence
โ Downside BOS with momentum shift
โ Entry via bearish FVG refill or supply OB
Targets:
โข 4390 โ first discount zone
โข 4350 โ deeper pullback
โข 4314 โ HTF demand scan
Risk Notes
โข False breaks favored near thin Asian session volume
โข Macro catalysts (U.S. data, Fed speakers) may spike volatility
โข Avoid entries without MSS + BOS confirmations
โข Stops triggered by engineered liquidity hunts
Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish, but todayโs edge lies in disciplined entries and liquidity awareness:
โข A sweep into 4312โ4314 may reload longs with targets up to 4410โ4440, or
โข A reaction near 4434โ4436 provides a fade opportunity back into discount.
Let liquidity initiate the move. Let structure confirm.
Smart Money sets traps โ retail chases them.
Follow Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
Gold Trading Strategy for 06th January 2026๐ก GOLD (XAU) INTRADAY TRADING SETUP ๐ก
๐ BUY SETUP (BULLISH SCENARIO)
๐ข Buy Trigger:
โก๏ธ Buy above the HIGH of the 1-Hour candle
โก๏ธ Candle must CLOSE above 4456
๐ข Entry Confirmation:
โ๏ธ Strong 1H candle close above resistance
โ๏ธ Buyers showing strength above 4456
๐ฏ Buy Targets:
๐ฅ Target 1: 4468
๐ฅ Target 2: 4479
๐ฅ Target 3: 4492
๐ Suggested Stop Loss:
๐ป Below 1-Hour candle low / as per risk management
๐ SELL SETUP (BEARISH SCENARIO)
๐ด Sell Trigger:
โก๏ธ Sell below the LOW of the 30-Minute candle
โก๏ธ Candle must CLOSE below 4412
๐ด Entry Confirmation:
โ๏ธ 30-Min candle close below support
โ๏ธ Sellers dominating below 4412
๐ฏ Sell Targets:
๐ฅ Target 1: 4400
๐ฅ Target 2: 4385
๐ฅ Target 3: 4372
๐ Suggested Stop Loss:
๐บ Above 30-Minute candle high / as per risk management
โ ๏ธ IMPORTANT TRADING RULES
โ
Trade only after candle close
โ
Follow strict stop loss
โ
Avoid over-trading
โ
Use proper position sizing
๐ DISCLAIMER
โ ๏ธ This analysis is for educational purposes only.
โ ๏ธ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
โ ๏ธ Trading in Gold involves high risk.
โ ๏ธ Please consult your financial advisor before taking trades.
โ ๏ธ I am not responsible for any profit or loss.
NATGAS CAPITAL (USD) Current Price: ~3.280 USD Bias: BullishNATGAS CAPITAL is holding in a strong demand zone (3.00โ3.20). With weather still in play and colder patterns likely later this winter, heating demand may pick up โ supporting natural gas prices and potentially pushing this instrument higher.
Immediate resistances at 3.51, 3.68, 3.92; breakout beyond 3.92 opens room for 4.00+. Invalid below 3.00.
Although recent short-term forecasts showed milder weather reducing immediate demand, weather models still suggest elevated risk of cold air outbreaks later in the winter, which could revive demand and tighten supplies.
๐ Levels to Watch
๐ข Support Zone (Buyers):
3.00 โ 3.20 USD โ key demand zone.
Invalidation under 3.00 weakens bullish thesis.
๐ด Intermediate Resistances:
3.51 USD โ First resistance
3.68 USD โ Reaction level
3.92 USD โ Key barrier before breakout
โญ Major Upside Target:
4.00+ USD โ expected once 3.92 is cleared convincingly.
๐ Trade Plan (Example)
๐ Long Entry Zone: 3.00โ3.20
๐ Stop Loss: Below 2.90
๐ฏ Targets:
Target 1: 3.51
Target 2: 3.68
Target 3: 3.92
Extended: 4.00+
Weather Watch: Continued colder forecasts later in winter could accelerate the move up.
XAUUSD (H1) โ Inverse Head & Shoulders formingLana focuses on pullback buys above key liquidity ๐
Quick overview
Timeframe: H1
Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders confirmed on the chart
Bias: Bullish continuation while price holds above neckline
Strategy: Buy pullbacks into liquidity zones, avoid chasing highs
Technical view โ Inverse Head & Shoulders
On H1, gold has completed a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders structure:
Left shoulder: Formed after the first sharp sell-off
Head: Deeper liquidity sweep, followed by strong rejection
Right shoulder: Higher low, showing weakening selling pressure
Neckline: Around the 4030โ4040 resistance zone (now being tested)
The recent breakout and strong follow-through suggest buyers have regained control. As long as price holds above the neckline, the structure favors continuation to the upside.
Key levels Lana is watching
Primary buy zone โ Pullback entry
Buy: 4363 โ 4367
This area aligns with prior structure support and sits inside a healthy pullback zone. If price revisits and shows acceptance, it offers a good risk-to-reward buy.
Liquidity risk zone โ Deeper pullback
Liquidity risk: 4333 โ 4349
If volatility increases and price sweeps deeper liquidity, this zone becomes the secondary area to watch for bullish absorption.
Upside targets & resistance
High liquidity area: 4512 โ 4517
ATH zone: Above the previous all-time high
These zones are expected to attract profit-taking or short-term reactions, so Lana avoids chasing price near these levels.
Fundamental context (market drivers)
Geopolitics: Rising tension after comments about potential military intervention in Colombia adds background support for gold as a safe haven.
Goldman Sachs: Views Venezuela-related developments as having limited impact on oil, keeping broader commodity sentiment stable.
ISM Manufacturing PMI (US): Any sign of slowing manufacturing can pressure USD and indirectly support gold.
Overall, fundamentals remain supportive for gold, reinforcing the bullish technical structure.
Trading plan (Lanaโs approach)
Prefer buying pullbacks into 4363โ4367 while structure holds.
Be patient if price dips into 4333โ4349 and wait for confirmation before entering.
If price falls back below the neckline and fails to reclaim it, Lana steps aside and reassesses.
This is Lanaโs personal market view and not financial advice. Please manage your own risk before trading. ๐
XAUUSD โ M30 Trading Plan | Buy Demand + GAPโFiboAUUSD โ M30 Trading Plan | Buy Demand + GAPโFibo
๐ Market Context (SMC)
The price has formed an upward BOS, confirming the short-term trend still belongs to the BUY side. The current decline is just a technical pullback to rebalance the cash flow, there is no bearish CHoCH โ no reason to reverse the bias.
OB is below the current price, so this area is Demand (Buy Zone),
๐ข Primary Scenario โ BUY according to Demand + GAP + Fibo
โข Confluence Buy Zone:
Demand / Bullish OB + GAP (iFVG) + Fibo 0.5 โ 0.618
โ price range: 4.40x โ 4.39x
โข Entry Logic:
The price retraces to the GAP not fully filled, coinciding with the Fibo retracement of the upward BOS โ high probability of a BUY reaction.
โข Target:
TP1: nearest previous peak
TP2: expand according to structure if there is a continued BOS
โข Invalidation:
M30 candle closes below the entire Demand / GAP area โ cancel the BUY scenario
โ ๏ธ Secondary Scenario โ Not prioritized
If the price does not retrace to GAP โ Fibo but continues sideways or breaks the peak โ stay out, do not chase BUY without a proper pullback.
๐ Summary
โข Trend: Bullish after BOS
โข Optimal BUY point: Demand + GAP + Fibo (0.5โ0.618)
โข Only SELL when there is a clear bearish CHoCH (currently none)
Gold Trading Strategy for 05th January 2026๐ก GOLD (XAUUSD) โ 30 MINUTE TIME FRAME TRADE SETUP
โฐ Time Frame Used: 30-Minute (M30)
๐ Strategy Logic:
Buy ABOVE the previous 30-min HIGH
Sell BELOW the previous 30-min LOW
Trade only after break & hold (avoid fake breakouts)
๐ BUY SETUP (Bullish Breakout) ๐ข
๐ข BUY ABOVE: $4358
๐ Confirmation: 30-min candle must close above the high
๐ฏ TARGETS:
๐ฏ Target 1: $4369
๐ฏ Target 2: $4380
๐ฏ Target 3: $4400
๐ก๏ธ Suggested Stop-Loss:
๐ป Below $4325 โ $4330 zone (or below last 30-min swing low)
๐ Reasoning:
Breakout above resistance
Momentum continuation expected after high is taken
Suitable for intraday & positional traders
๐ SELL SETUP (Bearish Breakdown) ๐ด
๐ด SELL BELOW: $4293
๐ Confirmation: 30-min candle must close below the low
๐ฏ TARGETS:
๐ฏ Target 1: $4280
๐ฏ Target 2: $4250
๐ฏ Target 3: $4068 (extended / positional target)
๐ก๏ธ Suggested Stop-Loss:
๐บ Above $4320 โ $4330 zone (or above last 30-min swing high)
๐ Reasoning:
Breakdown below support
Sellers gain control once the low is broken
Follow-through expected with volume
โ ๏ธ IMPORTANT TRADE RULES
โ
Trade only AFTER 30-min candle close
โ Avoid entries during high-impact news
๐ฐ Always use proper risk management
๐ Do not over-leverage
โ ๏ธ DISCLAIMER
๐ This analysis is for educational purposes only.
๐ Not a buy/sell recommendation.
๐ Trading in Gold (XAUUSD) involves high risk.
๐ Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
๐ I am not responsible for any profit or loss incurred.
Silver comex buy recommended near 72$ ,79$ to 80$ will come soonParameter Data
Asset Name/LTP Silver Comex (SI, Mar 2026 FUT) LTP: $76.620
Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & 4H Chart)
๐ฐ Current Trade BUY ON DIPS Active. T1: $78.00, T2: $80.00, SL: $72.50.
๐ Price Movement ๐ฉ +7.89% (+$5.605). Day High: $77.76. Low: $72.51.
๐ SMC Structure ๐ฉ Bullish: Major Change of Character (CHoCH) to upside confirmed. Demand at $73.00.
๐ Trap/Liquidity Zones ๐ฉ Liquidity: Bears trapped below $74.00. Next Liquidity Pool: $80.00 (Psychological).
๐ฐ Probability 84% (Bullish - Momentum is Extreme)
๐ฐ Risk Reward 1 : 2
๐ฐ Confidence โญโญโญโญโญ (Very High)
๐ฐ Max Pain ๐ฉ Bullish: $72.00 (Market squeezed well above Max Pain).
๐ Trend Direction ๐ฉ Bullish: Parabolic Uptrend. Price >> 20, 50, 200 EMAs.
๐ DEMA Levels ๐ฉ Bullish: Price far above DEMA 20 ($71.50) & DEMA 50 ($68.80).
๐ Supports (Technical) S1: $74.00
๐ Resistances (Technical) R1: $77.76 (Day High)
๐ ADX/RSI/DMI ๐ฉ Bullish: RSI (14): 76.5 (Overbought - "Walk the Band"). ADX: 44.5 (Strong Trend).
๐ Market Depth ๐ฉ Bullish: Aggressive Bid support; sellers absent at lower levels.
โ ๏ธ Volatility (ATR) ๐ฅ Extreme: ATR surged to $1.32+. Daily Range > $5.00.
โ ๏ธ Source Ledger ๐ฉ Verified: Barchart, CME Group, Economic Times (Jan 5, 2026 Data).
๐ Open Interest (OI) ๐ฉ Long Buildup: OI +108K Contracts (Rising participation).
๐ PCR (Put Call Ratio) ๐ฉ 1.38 (Bullish; Put writing aggressive at $70 strikes).
๐ VWAP ๐ฉ Bullish: Price ($76.62) > VWAP ($75.15).
๐ Turnover/Volume ๐ฉ Ultra High: 106,202 Contracts (Panic Buying).
๐ Harmonic Pattern ๐ฉ Bullish: "Bullish Flag" breakout targeting $85.00 extension.
๐ IV/RV ๐ฅ Spiking: CVOL Index at 68.91 (+0.33) - Options expensive.
๐ Options Skew ๐ฉ Bullish: Call Skew steep; OTM Calls trading at high premiums.
๐ Vanna/Charm ๐ฉ Positive: Dealers hedging short calls by buying futures (Fueling rally).
๐๏ธ Block Trades ๐ฉ Active: Institutional blocks bought at $74.50.
๐๏ธ COT Positioning ๐ฉ Bullish: Managed Money Net Longs near multi-year highs.
๐ Cross-Asset Correlation ๐ฉ Positive: Gold (+2.9%), Copper (+3.5%), DXY (Neutral).
๐๏ธ ETF Rotation ๐ฉ Inflows: Heavy volume in SLV, SIVR, and PSLV.
๐ฐ Sentiment Index ๐ฉ Euphoria: Market driven by "Scarcity Narrative".
๐ OFI (Order Flow Index) ๐ฉ Bullish: Strong buying pressure on the Ask.
๐ Delta ๐ฉ Positive: Cumulative Delta strongly positive.
๐ VWAP Bands ๐ฉ Bullish: Price hugging the +2.5 SD Band (Extreme Momentum).
๐ Rotation Metrics ๐ฉ Leader: Silver outperforming Gold (Ratio down to ~57).
๐ Market Phase ๐ฉ Blow-Off Top: Potential for sharp volatility but trend is UP.
๐ Gamma Exposure ๐ฉ Positive: Dealers long gamma, supporting dips to $75.
๐ Intermarket Confirmation ๐ฉ Bullish: Industrial Metals (Copper/Aluminum) all green.
โ ๏ธ Upcoming Event Risk ๐ฅ High: Venezuela Updates & FOMC Minutes (Wed).
Silver today booked 12000 points profit , upmove will continue Parameter Data
Asset Name/LTP Silver MCX (March 2026 Futures) LTP: โน2,45,500
Time Frame of Analysis Short-Term/Swing (Daily & 4H Chart)
๐ฐ Current Trade BUY ON DIPS Active. T1: โน2,50,000, T2: โน2,55,000, SL: โน2,41,500
๐ Price Movement ๐ฉ +3.89% (+โน9,184). Breakout R1: โน2,49,900. Support S1: โน2,42,000.
๐ SMC Structure ๐ฉ Bullish: Major Break of Structure (BOS) above โน2,40k. Demand zone at โน2,42,500.
๐ Trap/Liquidity Zones ๐จ Trap: Bears trapped below โน2,38,000. Liquidity: Resting above โน2,50,000 (Psychological).
๐ฐ Probability 82% (Bullish continuation due to "High Beta" reaction to War)
๐ฐ Risk Reward 1 : 2.5
๐ฐ Confidence โญโญโญโญโญ (Very High)
๐ฐ Max Pain ๐ฉ Bullish: โน2,40,000 (Sellers are trapped significantly underwater)
๐ Trend Direction ๐ฉ Bullish: Vertical Uptrend. Price >> 20, 50, 200 EMA.
๐ DEMA Levels ๐ฉ Bullish: Price far above DEMA 20 (โน2,37,000) & DEMA 50 (โน2,32,500).
๐ Supports (Technical) S1: โน2,42,000
๐ Resistances (Technical) R1: โน2,49,900 (Day High)
๐ ADX/RSI/DMI ๐ฉ Bullish: RSI (14): 74.5 (Overbought but "Walking the Band"). ADX: 42 (Very Strong).
๐ Market Depth ๐ฉ Bullish: Aggressive buying; Bid-Ask spread widening due to volatility.
โ ๏ธ Volatility (ATR) ๐ฅ Extreme: Daily Range > โน10,000. IV Spiked significantly.
โ ๏ธ Source Ledger ๐ฉ Verified: Dhan, LiveMint, Economic Times (Jan 5, 2026 Data).
๐ Open Interest (OI) ๐ฉ Long Buildup: OI +0.61% despite massive price rise (Strong Conviction).
๐ PCR (Put Call Ratio) ๐ฉ 1.45 (Very Bullish; Puts are being written aggressively).
๐ VWAP ๐ฉ Bullish: Price (โน2,45,500) > VWAP (โน2,44,100).
๐ Turnover/Volume ๐ฉ Ultra High: 13,197 Lots traded (Panic Buying).
๐ Harmonic Pattern ๐ฉ Bullish: "Deep Crab" pattern target of โน2,55,000 is active.
๐ IV/RV ๐ฅ High: Implied Volatility surging; Option premiums are inflated.
๐ Options Skew ๐ฉ Bullish: Call Skew dominant (OTM Calls demand high).
๐ Vanna/Charm ๐ฉ Positive: Vanna flows supporting the upward momentum.
๐๏ธ Block Trades ๐ฉ Active: Institutional blocks bought at โน2,42,500.
๐๏ธ COT Positioning ๐ฉ Bullish: Large Speculators increasing Net Long exposure.
๐ Cross-Asset Correlation ๐ฉ Positive: Gold (+1.5%), Copper (+2.5%), DXY (Weak).
๐๏ธ ETF Rotation ๐ฉ Inflows: Massive inflows into Silver ETFs (SLV, SIL).
๐ฐ Sentiment Index ๐ฉ Euphoria: Retail + Institutional "FOMO" kicking in.
๐ OFI (Order Flow Index) ๐ฉ Bullish: Strong Net Buying Imbalance.
๐ Delta ๐ฉ Positive: Delta ~0.85 (Futures moving almost 1:1 with Spot).
๐ VWAP Bands ๐ฉ Bullish: Price riding the +2 SD Band (Momentum Breakout).
๐ Rotation Metrics ๐ฉ Outperformance: Silver/Gold Ratio dropping (Silver leading).
๐ Market Phase ๐ฉ Runaway Phase: Momentum is driving prices vertically.
๐ Gamma Exposure ๐ฉ Positive: Dealers hedging short calls by buying futures.
๐ Intermarket Confirmation ๐ฉ Bullish: Comex Silver > $76; Industrial Metals also green.
โ ๏ธ Upcoming Event Risk ๐ฅ High: US State Dept Press Briefing on Venezuela (Tonight).
Gold Rewards Timing, Not Activity๐ก Gold Rewards Timing, Not Activity โณโจ
Gold is not a market that rewards constant action.
It rewards waiting, observation, and precise timing.
Many traders believe that trading more means earning more. In Gold, this mindset often leads to overtrading, emotional decisions, and unnecessary losses.
โฑ๏ธ 1. Gold Moves in Phases, Not Constant Trends
Gold spends a large amount of time in:
consolidation ๐
slow accumulation ๐งฉ
controlled ranges ๐ฆ
During these phases, price appears โboring,โ but the market is actually preparing.
Trading aggressively in these conditions usually means trading noise, not opportunity.
๐ง 2. Activity Feeds Emotions, Timing Controls Risk
High activity leads to:
impatience ๐ค
forced entries ๐ฏ
emotional exits โ
Good timing, on the other hand, comes from:
understanding context ๐งญ
waiting for price to show intent ๐
acting only when conditions align โ
Gold punishes impatience faster than most markets.
๐ฆ 3. Institutions Trade Less, But Trade Better
Large players do not chase every candle.
They wait for:
liquidity to build ๐ง
weak hands to exit ๐งน
price to reach meaningful zones ๐
When timing is right, Gold often moves fast and decisively โ leaving overactive traders behind.
โก 4. Big Gold Moves Come After Quiet Periods
Some of the strongest Gold expansions begin after:
low volatility ๐ด
reduced participation ๐
trader boredom ๐ค
This is why patience is not passive โ it is strategic.
๐งฉ Key Insight
In Gold, doing less at the right time often outperforms doing more at the wrong time.
๐ฏ Final Takeaway
โ More trades โ more profits
โ
Better timing = cleaner execution
๐ก Gold rewards discipline, context, and patience
Master timing, and activity will take care of itself.
Silver : Accumulate on every dip or no dipSilver in USD is setting a new record and even a very shaky downside happens never sell just keep buying. In long terms it will make you feel proud and will create Generational wealth if you hold it in physical form. A big bull trend has just started. Keep riding with correction without panic selling.
But if you are in control of fear and greed then ask your financial advisor for stoploss to protect your hard earned money.
It is my point of view solely for informative purpose only.
(In Trading Time it may go above/below stoploss But closing price is most important).
These are levels are generated on the basis on Fibonacci Series
NOTE : I am not SEBI registered advisor in capital market.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades. Please understand Risk in trading before taking any trade with your financial consult. I am only sharing my knowledge it may be right or sometimes wrong so I am not liable for any loss.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thank you.
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation | Buy the Dip @ 4400 - 4375Gold (XAUUSD) has delivered a strong bullish impulse following heightened geopolitical tensions involving the US and Venezuela. Price is holding firmly above the 4400 key support zone, signaling sustained bullish strength.
As long as gold maintains acceptance above this level, the bias remains bullish, with upside targets at 4440 and 4470.
We are patiently waiting for a healthy pullback toward support to look for high-probability buy opportunities in line with the prevailing trend.
๐ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan.
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Letโs make those pips together! ๐
Happy Trading,
โ The InvestPro Team
SILVER | XAGUSD 1H Chart - Make or Break LevelsFX:XAGUSD MCX:SILVER1!
Silver is trading at a make-or-break support zone โ this level will decide whether the broader uptrend survives or cracks.
๐น Price is sitting near the 200 EMA, a level that historically acted as a launchpad
๐น Last time Silver tested the 200 EMA (around $50), it marked the base before a multi-year breakout
๐น Now, price has again pulled back to the same EMA near $70
๐ Key Observation:
As long as Silver holds above the 200 EMA, this move looks like a healthy retracement, not trend failure.
To Reduce the Noise switch to 4h Chart and see its forming 2 range candle just above 50EMA a break ot that will trigger the trade.
Need Confirmation from 4h chart then only go long
Keep Learning, Happy Trading.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTION 04.01.26Price was moving inside a parallel uptrend channel
That channel is clearly broken, which is the first early warning of trend weakness
After the break, price failed to continue higher โ bullish momentum exhausted
2๏ธโฃ Major Reversal Patterns
Double Top Formation
Price tested the same resistance zone twice
Both tops were rejected strongly
This confirms buyers are unable to push price higher
M Pattern Confirmation
After the second top, price breaks below the neckline
This confirms trend reversal
3๏ธโฃ Candlestick Confirmation (Very Strong)
At the resistance zone:
Evening Star (Triple Candlestick Pattern) โ Classic reversal signal
Bearish Engulfing Candle โ Sellers completely overpower buyers
These patterns together give a high-probability SELL confirmation
4๏ธโฃ Resistance Zones
Resistance R2 โ Major rejection zone (double top area)
Resistance R1 โ Previous supply zone
Price respected resistance and obeyed the trendline โ SELL zone
5๏ธโฃ Entry Logic (SELL)
Sell after:
Trendline break
Double top confirmation
Bearish engulfing close
This is a swing low sell setup
6๏ธโฃ Targets & Risk Management
Support S1 โ First target / partial booking zone
Support S2 โ Final target
Risk : Reward = 1 : 2
XAUUSD 1H Price Correction After Strong Rejection at 4550On the 1H chart, XAUUSD is showing a price correction after a sharp sell-off from the 4550 supply area. The rejection from this level clearly highlighted selling pressure from higher timeframes and caused a shift in short-term price structure, with gold unable to hold above higher price levels.
Following the decline, price found support and created a new 1H demand area near 4273, where buyers became active and selling momentum eased. This zone is now acting as a short-term support base. While price remains above 4270, the risk of immediate further downside stays low, and the market may move sideways or attempt a recovery.
From a structure point of view, gold is trying to build a higher low, which opens the possibility of a short-term price rebalance towards nearby liquidity. With stronger session participation and sustained volume, price can move towards the 4330โ4380 range, which matches earlier intraday reactions and acts as the first resistance area.
Above this range, 4430 remains a key higher-timeframe level. This zone has seen multiple past reactions and supply presence, making it important for judging whether the correction continues or sellers step back in.
This view is shared for educational purposes only, based on price action and demandโsupply behaviour. Always look for confirmation and follow proper risk management.
XAUUSD (Gold) TECHNICAL OUTLOOK | 6th Jan'2026Gold is trading near 4,450, consolidating after a strong bullish rally. Price remains well above key moving averages, keeping the overall trend firmly bullish across intraday to higher timeframes.
Bullish View:
As long as gold holds above 4,445โ4,450, upside momentum remains intact. A move above 4,470 can push prices toward 4,490 and 4,505โ4,515, with 4,550 as a major resistance zone.
Bearish View:
A break below 4,445 may trigger a short-term pullback toward 4,430 and 4,410โ4,395. Unless these levels break decisively, dips are likely corrective.
Intraday Focus:
Prefer buy-on-dips near support, while watching 4,500โ4,515 for possible rejection.
Conclusion:
Trend remains strongly bullish. Expect volatility, but bias favors buyers unless key supports fail.
Most Probable Move in SilverLong term Silver is bullish with some saturation at top.
We can expect slow time based correction or sharp price bases correction (With the help of an economic event).
Until then we can ride the sentiment, Silver has turned Bullish on smaller timeframe too, so we can buy on dip until structure turns bearish.
Keeping that in mind, Iโm sharing 4 most probably path that Silver can take.
Our decision will depend on reaction of Silver at these price levels and at our points of interest.
XAUUSD M30 โ Pullback BUY according to OB + GAP + Fibo๐ Market Structure (SMC)
โข Price has clearly BOS increased, confirming the short-term trend is still bullish
โข Currently, the price is moving on an upward trendline, the decline is just a technical pullback
โข No CHoCH decrease has appeared โ no reversal signal yet
๐ข Key BUY Zone (Confluence Zone)
โข Bullish OB + Fibo 0.5โ0.618: 4,416 โ 4,397
โข This is a valid demand zone because:
OB is below the price
Coincides with the Fibo retracement of the BOS move
Located above the HL structure
๐ Prioritize BUY when the price retraces to this zone and a clear price reaction appears (reject / engulf / hold bottom).
๐ก Deep BUY Zone โ GAP / FVG
โข FVG โ GAP not yet filled: 4,348 โ 4,332
โข This is a deep liquidity zone, only activated when:
The OB above is breached
The price has not yet broken the large frame upward structure
๐ Used for patient BUY, no FOMO.
๐ฏ Targets (Liquidity above)
โข TP1: 4,490
โข TP2: 4,514
โข TP3: 4,533 โ 4,553 (Liquidity Sell $$$)
โ Invalidation
โข Price closes M30 below the entire GAP zone (4,332)
โ Upward structure is broken, canceling the entire BUY scenario
๐ Quick Summary
โข Bias: Bullish โ Buy the dip
โข Main BUY zone: OB + Fibo 0.5โ0.618
โข Deep BUY: FVG / GAP
โข Do not SELL against the trend when there is no CHoCH decrease






















