GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Futures market
gold spot or silver spot update belowsilver spot abv 80$ sustain than u will see new high today till closing 83-85$ in spot gold stya abv 4520 u will see boom-mm new high 4600$++++ in mcx given already and see the positional report given
yes eyes on these level and sustain can see heavy short covering .mcx gold above 139150 will see 139700--140000+++ silver mcx 252000 above looks no worry for bulls
“Bullish Pullback → Trendline Support Holding for Next Rally🔍 Key Technical Analysis
Price previously formed a strong bearish breakout, followed by a price rebound from a high pivot demand zone (POI) 🔄
Market has established a clear upward channel, confirming a medium-term bullish structure 📈
Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside signals a shift from bearish to bullish momentum ✅
Price is currently pulling back toward the upward trendline & horizontal support, indicating a healthy retracement, not a reversal 🟦
Bullish momentum remains valid as long as price holds above the support zone around 4,440 – 4,450 💪
Liquidity is resting above recent highs near the resistance trendline 🎯
🎯 Potential Price Targets (with stickers)
Target Type Price Area Sticker
TP1 → Recent High Retest 4,490 – 4,500 🎯
TP2 → Trendline Resistance 4,520 – 4,540 🚀💰
📌 TP1 = Conservative & high-probability target
📌 TP2 = Extended bullish move if momentum accelerates
📌 Trade Setup Idea
🟢 Buy Zone:
➤ 4,440 – 4,455 (trendline + support confluence)
🎯 Take Profit:
➤ TP1: 4,500 🎯
➤ TP2: 4,535 🚀
🧭 Overall Market Bias
Factor Bias
Market Structure Bullish 📈
Trend Upward Channel Holding ✅
Momentum Buyers in control 💹
Liquidity Target Above highs 💧
How does today’s gold top compare to the 1980 and 2011 peaks?Gold is not just at a nominal high — it is trading at the highest real (inflation-adjusted) price in modern history.
How does today’s gold top compare to the 1980 and 2011 peaks?
1️⃣ GOLD MAJOR TOPS — NOMINAL vs REAL (TODAY’S MONEY)
🔴 1980 GOLD TOP (true panic peak)
Nominal price (1980): ~$850/oz
Inflation-adjusted to today: ~$3,200–3,400/oz
What the world looked like:
Double-digit inflation
Oil crisis
Cold War escalation
Dollar confidence collapse
Real rates deeply negative
Monetary panic
Meaning: This was a once-in-a-generation monetary crisis peak.
🟠 2011 GOLD TOP (QE / crisis fear)
Nominal price (2011) : ~$1,920/oz
Inflation-adjusted to today : ~$2,600–2,700/oz
What the world looked like:
Global Financial Crisis aftermath
QE everywhere
Eurozone debt crisis
Fear of currency debasement
Inflation still relatively controlled
Meaning: This was a financial-system fear peak, not a currency collapse.
🟡 TODAY (2025–26) GOLD ~ $4,584
Nominal price : ~$4,584/oz (new high)
Inflation-adjusted: $4,584 (today’s dollars by definition)
Compared to past real peaks:
~35–45% above the 1980 real peak (~$3,300 mid-range)
~70–75% above the 2011 real peak (~$2,650 mid-range)
This is extremely important : today’s gold price is already the highest real gold price in modern history.
2️⃣ TABLE SUMMARY
| Gold Peak | Nominal Then | Real Value Today |
| 1980 panic | ~$850 | ~$3,200–3,400 |
| 2011 QE | ~$1,920 | ~$2,600–2,700 |
| Today | ~$4,584 | $4,584 |
3️⃣ WHAT MAKES TODAY DIFFERENT FROM 1980 & 2011
Today:
Inflation already happened
Debt far higher than 1980 or 2011
Central banks trapped
Geopolitical fragmentation
De-dollarization pressure
Central banks buying gold aggressively
Takeaway: Today’s price reflects structural distrust , not just panic.
4️⃣ WHAT A REAL GOLD TOP USUALLY MEANS NEXT
Historically, after gold peaks in real terms:
Nominal price may still go higher briefly
Then:
Long consolidation
Sharp correction
Or years of underperformance vs inflation
Gold doesn’t crash like silver — it bleeds purchasing power over time . That’s how tops resolve.
Disclaimer:
This post is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Readers should conduct their own research or consult a professional before making any financial decisions.
XAUUSD (H3) – Liam StrategyTrendline break confirms the uptrend ✅ | Buy the discount, scalp-sell at ATH
Quick overview
On the H3 chart, the story is clean: price has broken the bearish trendline and held structure after a clear BOS, which keeps the bias bullish for continuation.
But the best execution is still the same: no FOMO. I’d rather buy from discount liquidity zones than chase mid-range candles.
Key Levels (from your chart)
✅ Buy Zone 1 (re-buy): 4434 – 4437
✅ Buy Zone 2 (liquidity imbalance): 4340 – 4343 (deep sweep zone)
✅ ATH Sell scalping: 4560 (main profit-taking / reaction sell)
Technical read (Liam style)
Breaking through the trend confirms uptrend: the trendline break signals buyers are back in control.
4434–4437 is the clean re-entry area: a logical pullback zone with better R:R.
If volatility spikes and price hunts liquidity, 4340–4343 is the “best value” area to look for a strong reaction.
Trading scenarios
✅ Scenario A (priority): BUY the pullback at 4434–4437
Entry: 4434 – 4437
SL: below 4426 (or below the most recent H1/H3 swing low)
TP1: 4485 – 4500
TP2: 4560 (ATH – main target)
Logic: Uptrend confirmation is in place — I only want the pullback entry, not a chase.
✅ Scenario B (deep buy): If price sweeps down into 4340–4343
Entry: 4340 – 4343
SL: below 4330
TP: 4434 → 4500 → 4560
Logic: This is the “sweet spot” if the market does a liquidity reset before pushing higher again.
⚠️ Scenario C (scalp only): SELL reaction at ATH 4560
Entry: 4560 (only if we see clear rejection / weakness)
SL: above the sweep high
TP: 4520 → 4500 (quick scalp)
Note: This is a scalp idea at ATH — not a long-term bearish call while the bullish structure is intact.
Key notes
Avoid entries mid-range. Only execute at 4434–4437 or 4340–4343.
Wait for confirmation on M15–H1 (rejection / engulf / MSS).
Risk management: 1–2% per idea, scale out into ATH.
Are you waiting for the 4434 pullback buy, or hoping for a deeper sweep into 4340 for the cleanest entry? 👀
Gold Trading Strategy for 09th January 2026🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) – 30 MIN BREAKOUT TRADE SETUP 💰
📊 Timeframe: 30 Minutes
⚠️ Trade only after candle CLOSE, not on wick movement.
🟢 BUY SETUP (Bullish Breakout) 🚀
✅ Buy Above: 4503
✅ Condition:
30-minute candle closes ABOVE 4503
🎯 Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 4514 💵
🎯 Target 2: 4525 💵💵
🎯 Target 3: 4540 💵💵💵
📌 Note:
Trail stop loss after Target 1
Strong momentum expected if volume supports breakout
🔴 SELL SETUP (Bearish Breakdown) 📉
❌ Sell Below: 4430
❌ Condition:
30-minute candle closes BELOW 4430
🎯 Targets:
🎯 Target 1: 4415 💵
🎯 Target 2: 4403 💵💵
🎯 Target 3: 4388 💵💵💵
📌 Note:
Partial profit booking advised
Avoid selling if candle closes with long lower wick
⚖️ RISK MANAGEMENT RULES 🛡️
✔️ Always trade with Stop Loss
✔️ Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade
✔️ Avoid over-trading during news events 📰
✔️ Discipline > Emotions
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
🚨 This is not financial advice.
🚨 Shared only for educational & analysis purposes.
🚨 Commodity & forex markets involve high risk.
🚨 Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
🚨 I am not responsible for profits or losses.
Silver : Upside trendline Broken and Profit BookingSilver is under pressure of profit booking / short selling and shortage of buying is putting pressure to start downtrend. Downward levels 214000, 200000, 186000 may be seen.
All this analysis will be negated if it closes above 252000.
Be careful about investment / trading.
But if you are in control of fear and greed then ask your financial advisor for stoploss to protect your hard earned money.
It is my point of view solely for informative purpose only.
(In Trading Time it may go above/below stoploss But closing price is most important).
These are levels are generated on the basis on Fibonacci Series
NOTE : I am not SEBI registered advisor in capital market.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades. Please understand Risk in trading before taking any trade with your financial consult. I am only sharing my knowledge it may be right or sometimes wrong so I am not liable for any loss.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thank you.
XAUUSD 1H Recovery Consolidation Near Key Support ZonesXAUUSD on the 1-hour chart is showing a clear recovery after a sharp bearish move. Price found strong demand around 4,300–4,320, forming higher lows and higher highs, signaling a short-term recovery structure. Currently, price is consolidating near 4,430–4,400, which acts as near-term support.
Key Support: 4,300–4,320 (main), 4,430–4,400 (near-term)
Key Resistance : 4,480–4,510 — previous rejections show selling pressure.
Holding above support keeps the recovery valid, while a break below 4,390 could shift focus to lower levels. A move above 4,510 may signal renewed bullish momentum, while rejection could extend sideways action.
This analysis is educational only, based on price behavior and technical structure, not financial advice . Watch how price reacts to these zones for the next move.
Silver - Trendline Longs Silver retested the Trendline bulls - on 75m chart.
Strong Support - $74
R1 $75.50-$76.50
R2 $77.5-$78.0
Close above $79 Bulls r in full control
10-12% up move from there should be overnight.
Buy at CMP $76
SL $74 on daily close.
If can’t wait for daily close System SL $73.50 for not getting out in SL hunt.
buy gold xauusdGold is showing bullish strength, and a buying opportunity is identified around the 4430 level. This zone is acting as a strong support area, indicating potential upside momentum.
Entry: Buy at 4430
Stop Loss: 4416
Placed below the recent support to manage risk and protect capital in case of a breakdown.
Target: 4463
This level aligns with the next resistance zone, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
The setup favors buyers as long as price sustains above the support region. A successful hold above 4430 could attract further buying interest, pushing price toward the target. Risk is clearly defined, making this a disciplined and structured trade plan.
Risk Management:
Always trade with proper position sizing and adhere strictly to the stop loss.
Why breakout entries fail (and how I wait for confirmation)Most breakout losses happen because entries are too early.
Instead of chasing the breakout, I wait for:
1) A clearly defined range
2) A clean breakout
3) Pullback / acceptance into the range
4) Continuation confirmation
This simple framework helps avoid fake moves and improves risk–reward.
I later automated this process into a private tool to remove subjectivity,
but the logic itself is what matters most.
This chart shows one example on XAUUSD using a higher timeframe.
Part 2 Introduction to Candlestick PatternsA. Call Options
A call option gives you the right to buy an underlying asset at a predetermined price within a specified time.
You buy a call option when you expect:
➡ The price of the asset will go up.
Example:
Nifty is at 22,000.
You buy a 22,000 CE (Call European) at a premium of ₹100.
If Nifty rises to 22,400, your call becomes more valuable, and you profit.
B. Put Options
A put option gives you the right to sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price within a specified time.
You buy a put option when you expect:
➡ The price of the asset will go down.
Example:
Bank Nifty is at 47,000.
You buy a 47,000 PE (Put European) at ₹120.
If Bank Nifty falls to 46,500, the put becomes more valuable.
Part 1 Introduction to Candlestick PatternsWhat Are Options?
Options are financial contracts that give you the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset (like a stock, index, commodity, or currency) at a specific price, called the strike price, before a fixed date known as expiry.
There are two types of options:
1. Call Options – Right to buy
2. Put Options – Right to sell
Options derive their value from the underlying asset; that’s why they are called derivatives.
Unlike stocks, options have a limited lifespan. They expire weekly, monthly, or quarterly depending on the market.
HINDALCO🔍 HINDALCO – Technical Analysis (My View)
Overall structure of HINDALCO looks bullish as long as price holds above key support levels. Momentum remains strong, but short-term consolidation cannot be ruled out after a sharp move. Trend followers should focus on price action near support zones.
XAUUSD (H1) – Following the bullish channelpatience before continuation ✨
Market structure
Gold remains in a well-defined ascending channel on the H1 timeframe. Despite recent intraday pullbacks, the overall structure is still bullish with higher highs and higher lows preserved. Current price action shows consolidation inside the channel rather than any sign of trend reversal.
Technical outlook (Lana’s view)
Price is rotating around the midline of the rising channel, indicating healthy digestion after the previous impulsive leg.
The recent pullback appears to be a controlled correction, likely aimed at collecting buy-side liquidity before the next expansion.
Market is still respecting structure and trendline support — no breakdown confirmed so far.
Key levels to watch
Buy-side focus
FVG Buy zone: 4434 – 4437
A clean reaction here could offer a good continuation entry within the trend.
Major buy zone: 4400 – 4404
This is the stronger demand area aligned with channel support and previous structure.
Sell-side reaction (short-term only)
4512 – 4515
This zone aligns with Fibonacci extension and channel resistance, where short-term profit-taking or reactions may appear.
Scenario outlook
As long as price holds above the lower channel boundary, bullish continuation remains the primary scenario.
A pullback into FVG or the lower buy zone followed by confirmation would favor another push toward channel highs and liquidity above.
Only a clean break and acceptance below 4400 would force a reassessment of the bullish bias.
Lana’s trading mindset 💛
No chasing price near resistance.
Let price come back into value zones inside the channel.
Trade reactions, not predictions.
Trend is your friend — until structure says otherwise.
This analysis reflects a personal technical perspective for educational purposes only. Always manage risk carefully.
XAUUSD Momentum Bullish /Dollar Weakness & Geopolitical Risks!Hello traders ,
The momentum of gold is still bullish , the recent weakness in the US Dollar continues to support upside momentum in Gold. Additionally, US tensions with Venezuela and Russian attack on Ukraine has increased geopolitical uncertainty,
the Russia-Ukraine war remains unresolved and periodically escalates — maintaining risk premiums in markets, and
✔ political uncertainty (including issues surrounding Trump and U.S. leadership stability) increases overall market volatility and fear sentiment,
Gold is likely to stay in an upward trend as investors continue seeking protection from risk, making it a compelling safe-haven asset in the current global environment.
now gold is heading towards (ATH) All time high but this time it may form a new All time high as Price recently broke structure to the upside and price is respecting an ascending trendline.
here we can plan a upside entry at 4,480–4,460 demand area (previous structure flip) our targets will be
Targets
TP1: ~4,549 (first resistance)
TP2: ~4,582 (higher resistance zone)
TP3: Breakout extension above 4,600
Gold (XAUUSD) — Bullish Trend Test Near Support Before BreakoutWhat are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold recently break resistance of range-bound consolidation phase successfully.
After breakout of resistance it is now forming pullback after the resistance.
Here our momentum is bullish
Recent events (e.g., U.S.–Venezuela crisis and broader political instability) have pushed investors into gold as a safe asset — lifting prices toward record highs. Gold traditionally rises when global risks increase because traders and institutions want to protect capital.
📌 Plan A — Bullish (Main Idea)
• Wait for pullback to trendline/support area — a good entry spot for a long (buy).
• Entry: near trendline/support check (price shows bounce pattern).
• Stop Loss: just below the trendline/support (risk control).
• Target: near the top resistance zone — move higher if breakout happens.
📌 Plan B — Breakout Buy
• If price breaks above the resistance zone with strength, enter on the breakout candle close.
• Stop Loss: just below breakout level.
• Targets: next resistance levels higher.






















