BankNifty 1 Day Time Frame 📊 1-Day Timeframe Technical Analysis
Current Price: ₹56,204.60
Day's Range: ₹55,843.90 – ₹56,286.25
52-Week Range: ₹47,702.90 – ₹57,628.40
Year-to-Date Return: +10.39%
1-Month Return: +3.56%
🔧 Technical Indicators
Trend: Neutral
Resistance Levels: ₹56,230 (immediate), ₹56,600 (stronger)
Support Levels: ₹55,843
Technical Rating: Neutral
📈 Market Outlook
The Bank Nifty Futures are currently trading within a rising wedge pattern, indicating consolidation with potential for reversal. Immediate resistance is observed around ₹56,230, which may act as a strong supply zone leading to potential selling pressure. A decisive breakout above ₹56,600 would turn the outlook bullish.
Futures market
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 09/10/2025
________________________________________
🔹 1. Momentum
D1:
The current momentum is turning downward.
We need to wait for today’s D1 candle to close for confirmation.
➡️ If the daily candle closes bearish, it may mark the beginning of a deep and strong corrective wave.
H4:
H4 momentum is about to enter the oversold zone, suggesting the possibility of:
• A short-term bullish retracement, or
• A sideways consolidation phase before the next major move.
H1:
H1 momentum is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a potential short-term bearish correction ahead.
________________________________________
🔹 2. Wave Structure
Overview:
In the previous analysis, the COT report indicated that the market is in an overly optimistic phase — a warning sign to stay cautious with long positions or late entries.
D1:
• The yellow wave 5 has already broken above the channel (throw-over), which is a typical sign of a final impulsive phase.
• When wave 5 extends strongly, the following correction (wave 4) often drops sharply, erasing most of the previous gains.
➡️ Therefore, it’s time to prioritize a defensive strategy and avoid chasing tops.
H4:
• Price has moved beyond the upper boundary of the channel, making the exact top of wave 5 hard to pinpoint.
• We should monitor price reaction when it returns inside the channel — if price fails to make a new high when H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, it will likely confirm the completion of wave 5.
H1:
• The wave count has been slightly adjusted compared to the previous plan.
• Within the black wave 5, there is now a clear 5-wave yellow substructure.
• The recent decline has broken below the lower trend channel and the previous wave 4 low — an early sign of a potential wave 5 top.
⚠️ The upcoming correction could be steep and fast, making this an important time to prepare for risk management and trade planning.
________________________________________
🔹 3. Outlook & Trading Plan
All timeframes (D1 – H4 – H1) are showing an extended wave 5, but there’s still no clear confirmation of a top.
Hence, we should trade cautiously and manage positions tightly.
Currently, price has broken below the lower channel and wave 4 yellow, with a liquidity area near 4038 — this offers a good opportunity to open a small sell position to anticipate a potential reversal.
Trading Plan:
Sell zone (small lot): 4037 – 4039
Stop loss: 4048
Take profit: 3985
XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING WITH THE TREND | TARGET 4100
Hello trader 👋
Gold continues to set new highs, maintaining a strong upward momentum despite the USD stabilising temporarily. The current market structure indicates a sustainable uptrend, with short-term corrections only serving as entry points for trend-following buys.
🔎 Technical Analysis
The price is currently moving within an ascending channel and has just broken out above the previous high, confirming the dominance of buying pressure.
The 4.618 Fibonacci extension signals a technical target around 4100, a strong psychological resistance and a medium-term price expectation.
RSI remains above the 60 zone → indicating that the upward momentum has not weakened.
EMA200 (H1–H4) is well below, reinforcing a stable uptrend structure.
⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan
🟢 BUY 1:
Entry: 4003 – 4005
Stop Loss: 3998
Take Profit: 4016 → 4025 → 4040 → 4062
👉 Buy when the price retraces to the lower edge of the channel or retests the key level.
🟢 BUY 2:
Entry: 3961 – 3963
Stop Loss: 3956
Take Profit: 3975 → 3988 → 3996 → 4008 → 4025
👉 Entry at the support zone of FVG (Fair Value Gap) in agreement with the ascending trendline.
💡 Market Outlook
Fed rate cut bets: Expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the coming months continue to drive gold demand.
US government temporary shutdown → creates uncertainty, increasing safe-haven flows.
USD is stable but not strong, keeping gold attractive.
With the current market sentiment, every correction is an opportunity to “buy the dip”.
⚖️ Scenario & Strategy
Main strategy: Focus only on buying with the trend, avoid counter-trend selling (if any – should only be short-term).
Buy around trendline / FVG / key level 3960 for a reasonable entry point and low risk.
Monitor the breakout zone 4040 – 4060: If it breaks decisively, the likelihood of reaching 4100 is very high.
📌 Summary:
Trend: Strong uptrend (Bullish continuation)
Priority: Buy with the trend – Buy on dips
Technical target: 4100 USD/oz
Manage capital carefully, avoid FOMO at new highs.
Demat Account Secrets in Trading —Every Traders Should KnowIntroduction
A Demat account is the digital locker for your shares and securities — the backbone of equity investing and trading in modern markets. But beyond opening an account and watching prices, there are plenty of practical, operational, and strategic “secrets” that experienced traders and long-term investors use to reduce costs, manage risks, and extract real value. This guide unpacks those lesser-known but high-impact insights: from choosing the right Depository Participant (DP) and optimizing charges, to advanced features like pledging, e-voting, corporate actions handling, fraud prevention, and tax implications. Whether you’re a frequent intraday trader, a swing trader, or a buy-and-hold investor, these tips will help you use your Demat account more intelligently.
1. Demat 101 — the fundamentals (so you can stop guessing)
A Demat (dematerialized) account holds securities in electronic format. In India, two depositories — NSDL and CDSL — maintain the records; brokers or banks act as Depository Participants (DPs) who provide the interface. When you buy shares, they land in your Demat account; when you sell, they are debited.
Key components:
DP (Depository Participant): Your broker/bank managing the Demat.
Client ID / Beneficiary Owner (BO) ID: Unique identifier for holdings.
ISIN: International Security Identification Number for each instrument.
Statement of Holdings (MSOH): Periodic summary of your holdings.
Understanding the basics helps avoid simple but costly mistakes, like missing corporate action deadlines or confusing a brokerage trading account fee with a DP demat charge.
2. Choosing the right DP — the biggest hidden lever for costs & convenience
Everyone talks about brokerage, but DP fees and service quality quietly shape net returns.
What to compare:
Account opening fees and annual maintenance charges (AMC) — DPs vary widely.
Transaction fees / custodian charges — per scrip or flat per transaction?
Pledge/unpledge fees — important if you use margin funding.
Speed & UI of the DP portal/app — corporate actions, e-voting, and statements are handled through the DP interface.
Customer service responsiveness — when issues arise (frozen shares, IPO refunds), fast support saves money.
Integration with your broker — some brokers offer bundled Demat+trading at lower cost.
Value-adds — auto-pay for corporate actions, consolidated statements, or tax reports.
A little fee shopping can save hundreds per year for active traders. If you trade frequently, prioritize low transaction/DVP (delivery versus payment) costs. If you hold long-term, low AMC and reliable corporate action handling matter more.
3. Know every charge — the micro-fees that add up
Demat-related costs are often small, but they compound.
Common fees:
Account opening fee
Annual maintenance charge (AMC)
Transaction charges (debited shares, off-market transfer)
Rematerialization fee (if you want physical certificates)
Pledge/unpledge fee
Dematerialization fee (converting physical to electronic)
Re-registration fee (if transferring DP)
Pro tip: Ask for a clear fee schedule before opening. Some DPs waive AMC for the first year or if you maintain a minimum balance.
4. Pledging shares — a secret weapon (and its pitfalls)
Pledging lets you use your Demat holdings as collateral for loans or margin from your broker or financial institution without selling them. This is a powerful tool but needs careful handling.
When to pledge:
To avoid selling for short-term margin calls.
To take loans against shares for diversification, emergency liquidity, or tax planning.
Risks & secrets:
Margin haircut: Lenders apply haircuts; volatile scrips get lower borrowing value.
Forced unpledge/sell: If the borrower (you or broker) defaults, the lender can liquidate.
Pledge charges & delays: Unpledging can take time; if markets move quickly you might not recover positions in time.
Keep pledged shares low proportion of total holdings to preserve flexibility.
Best practice: Use pledging conservatively and document the exact terms — interest, margin maintenance, and liquidation triggers.
5. Corporate actions — don’t let freebies slip away
Corporate actions include dividends, bonus shares, rights issues, stock splits, and buybacks. These affect your holdings and tax position.
Secrets:
Auto-execution settings: Some DPs auto-apply rights/renunciation choices; others require manual action. Know your DP’s default.
Track ex-dates and record dates: Missing a record date can mean missing a dividend or allocation.
Tax implications: Dividends and buybacks have different taxation; plan around holding periods to optimize capital gains tax.
Fractional shares from corporate actions may be paid out in cash — watch your account for small value credits.
Tip: Set calendar reminders for big corporate events for your core holdings.
6. Intraday trading & Demat — what traders often misunderstand
Many intraday traders think Demat doesn’t matter because intraday uses the trading account. But Demat still influences some things:
Delivery cycles: If you convert an intraday position to delivery, shares will land in your Demat only after settlement — check T+1/T+2 rules for the exchange.
Transaction vs delivery charges: No Demat debit for intraday (since shares aren’t delivered), but frequent delivery trades create more DP debits and costs.
Avoid unnecessary delivery: If you don’t intend to hold beyond the day, use intraday product to avoid DP transaction costs.
Secret: Using product/overnight margin vs MIS/Intraday modes changes margin requirements and whether shares actually hit your Demat account.
7. Security & fraud prevention — protect the locker
Scams target accounts everywhere. Protecting your Demat is non-negotiable.
Practical measures:
No POA unless necessary: Power of Attorney allows brokers to debit shares; while convenient, it’s a risk if given indiscriminately.
Two-factor authentication for broker/DPS portals.
Regularly reconcile your MSOH with transactions — report discrepancies immediately.
Keep KYC up to date — mismatches slow down corporate actions and transfers.
Beware phishing & SMS frauds: Never share OTPs, passwords, or UCCs.
Freeze facility: Many DPs offer "freeze" on holdings to prevent off-market transfer — useful if you detect suspicious activity.
Secret: If you must grant POA for ease of trading, limit it and use a reputable broker with transparent audit logs and insurance cover.
8. Reconciliation and statements — the daily routine of pros
Make it a habit:
Check daily trade reports and weekly Demat statements.
Match buy/sell confirmations with Demat credits/debits.
Track corporate action updates and small credits (fractional payouts, interest).
Why this matters: Small reconciliation catches — like a miscredited dividend or a failed transfer — can save disputes and losses later.
9. Off-market transfers & gifts — tax and legal subtleties
Off-market transfer (transfer of shares between Demat accounts without exchange) is common for gifts, family transfers, or private transactions.
Secrets:
Stamp duty & documentation: Gifts may require stamped transfer forms and declarations.
Gift taxation: In many jurisdictions, gifts from non-relatives have tax consequences. Document relationship and value.
Lock-in periods for ESOPs: Employee stock plans often have restrictions — off-market transfers may be blocked until vesting or expiry.
Always get the paperwork right to avoid future audits or blocked transfers.
10. IPO allotment & ASBA — how Demat helps get allocations
When you apply for IPOs, you must provide your Demat beneficiary ID. ASBA (Application Supported by Blocked Amount) ties refunds to the bank account, but Demat ensures shares — if allotted — are credited cleanly. Tip: Keep your Demat details updated and ensure PAN/DP mapping is correct to avoid allotment or transfer failures.
11. Taxation & reporting — your Demat is a tax record
Demat statements are primary source documents for capital gains calculations. Hidden advantages:
Broker consolidated statements often include trade-wise P&L and tax reports — use them for accurate filings.
Record holding periods precisely to differentiate between short-term and long-term rates.
Track cost basis across corporate actions — splits, bonus shares, and mergers alter cost per share; your DP statement and ISIN mapping help reconstruct basis.
Secret: Use consolidated transaction history from DP + broker to build an auditable trail for taxes.
12. Advanced tricks traders use (legitimately)
Scrip selection for pledge-margins: Keep a small basket of high-liquidity, low-volatility blue-chips for emergency pledges — they attract better haircuts.
Arbitrage of corporate actions: Professional traders sometimes buy before bonus/record dates to capture specific corporate actions, but account for ex-dates and tax impacts.
Fractional sell tactic: For small fractional leftover holdings after corporate actions, monitor for cash credits or plan an off-market consolidation to reduce micro-lots.
Caveat: All strategies must respect exchange rules and insider trading laws.
13. Common mistakes & how to avoid them
Giving POA to unknown brokers. Fix: Use limited POA or avoid if not necessary.
Ignoring AMC & small fees. Fix: Annual review of DP and renegotiate or switch.
Not tracking corporate action timelines. Fix: Subscribe to alerts and maintain a calendar.
Assuming all charges are the broker’s responsibility. Fix: Read fee schedule and keep records.
Failure to reconcile statements. Fix: Weekly reconciliation habit.
14. Switching DPs — the painless way
If you’re unhappy, transfer holdings using the Off-Market Transfer or Consolidation process. You’ll submit a DIS (Delivery Instruction Slip) at your current DP or use electronic transfer forms. Watch for transfer fees and timing — sometimes it’s cheaper to transfer slowly to avoid peak fees.
Secret: Coordinate transfer during low market activity to avoid missing corporate action deadlines.
15. Final checklist — your Demat hygiene
Know your DP’s fee schedule inside out.
Keep KYC & bank details updated and linked.
Avoid giving unrestricted POA; prefer limited authorizations.
Reconcile statements weekly.
Use pledge sparingly and understand haircut rules.
Track corporate action dates and tax implications.
Enable strong authentication and freeze options if suspicious activity occurs.
Use consolidated broker/DP tax reports at filing time.
Conclusion
A Demat account is more than a passive repository — it’s an operational hub for your market activity. Traders who master its mechanics and hidden levers (fee optimization, pledge use, corporate action handling, security practices) gain efficiency, reduce unexpected costs, and protect themselves from fraud. Whether you’re day-trading, swing trading, or building a long-term portfolio, treat your Demat account with the same discipline you apply to strategy and risk management. Small operational advantages compound over months and years — and often separate consistent winners from unlucky participants.
Small Account Challenge in TradingWhy Small Account Challenges Are Popular
Several factors make small account challenges attractive to traders:
Low Financial Risk:
Trading with a small account reduces the exposure to catastrophic losses. This makes it ideal for beginners or those who want to learn without risking life-changing amounts.
Skill Development:
Success in trading is more about strategy and discipline than capital. A small account forces traders to refine their skills, including technical analysis, market timing, and psychological control.
Motivation:
Turning a small sum into a meaningful amount, even modestly, provides immense satisfaction and confidence.
Accessibility:
Many brokers now allow trading with minimal capital, often under $100, making this challenge feasible for almost anyone.
Key Challenges of Small Accounts
While small account trading has its benefits, it also comes with significant hurdles:
Limited Position Size:
Small accounts restrict the ability to diversify or take large positions. This limitation can make profits small and slow to accumulate.
High Impact of Fees and Commissions:
Brokerage fees, spreads, and slippage affect small accounts disproportionately. A single losing trade can wipe out a large portion of the account if fees are high.
Emotional Pressure:
Small accounts require precision. Every loss feels magnified, which can create emotional stress and lead to impulsive decisions.
Leverage Temptation:
Traders often turn to leverage to amplify returns. While leverage can increase gains, it also exponentially increases risk, potentially wiping out a small account in seconds.
Scaling Profits:
Compounding small profits into substantial growth is slower compared to larger accounts, testing patience and consistency.
Psychology of Small Account Trading
The mental aspect of trading a small account is crucial. Many traders fail not due to strategy flaws but psychological weaknesses.
Fear of Loss:
With limited capital, fear of losing even a small amount can paralyze decision-making or cause early exits from trades.
Overtrading:
Small accounts often tempt traders to overtrade, chasing every opportunity to “grow fast,” which usually leads to losses.
Discipline and Patience:
Successful small account traders develop strong discipline—sticking to strategies, following risk management rules, and avoiding emotional trading.
Mindset Shift:
Instead of seeking quick wins, the focus should be on consistent, small gains and learning from each trade.
Strategies for Small Account Success
To thrive with a small trading account, traders need robust strategies tailored for low capital:
1. Risk Management
Risk only 1–2% of the account per trade.
Avoid leverage unless necessary and manageable.
Use stop-loss orders to protect capital.
2. Focused Markets
Trade highly liquid assets to ensure tight spreads and easy entry/exit.
Examples: major forex pairs, popular stocks, ETFs, or index options.
3. Scalping and Short-Term Trades
Short-term trades can maximize small capital by exploiting small price movements.
Scalping requires focus and discipline but can be effective for small accounts.
4. Position Sizing
Use micro-lots or fractional shares if possible.
Avoid large positions that could risk the entire account on a single trade.
5. Learning and Record-Keeping
Maintain a trading journal to track strategies, outcomes, and mistakes.
Continuously refine your strategy based on performance and market conditions.
The Role of Leverage
Leverage is a double-edged sword for small accounts. While it allows traders to control larger positions with limited capital, it significantly increases risk.
Pros: Potential for higher returns, faster account growth.
Cons: Risk of complete account wipeout, emotional stress, and overtrading.
A conservative approach is to use leverage sparingly, ensuring losses are manageable.
Advantages of the Small Account Challenge
Skill Mastery: Small accounts force traders to master discipline, strategy, and risk management.
Reduced Financial Pressure: Losses are smaller, making it easier to learn without catastrophic consequences.
Foundation for Larger Accounts: Mastery of small account trading sets the stage for trading larger accounts confidently.
Psychological Resilience: Learning to control emotions in a small account builds mental toughness for the long term.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
Chasing Quick Profits: Avoid impulsive trades to grow the account too quickly.
Ignoring Risk Management: Never risk too much of your account in a single trade.
Overleveraging: High leverage may be tempting but is often disastrous.
Neglecting Education: Continuous learning is crucial; rely on strategy and analysis, not luck.
Trading Too Many Markets: Focus on one or two markets to gain expertise.
Examples of Small Account Challenges
Many traders have successfully turned small accounts into substantial portfolios by applying discipline and consistency:
A forex trader may start with $500, risking 1–2% per trade, and after a year of disciplined trading, grow the account to $5,000.
A stock trader using fractional shares might start with $1,000 and focus on swing trades, gradually increasing account size while managing risk carefully.
The key is consistency, risk management, and learning from every trade.
Practical Tips for Small Account Trading
Start with Education: Learn technical analysis, chart patterns, indicators, and market fundamentals.
Use Demo Accounts First: Test strategies without risking real money.
Set Realistic Goals: Aim for steady growth (e.g., 5–10% per month) instead of unrealistic gains.
Track Every Trade: Analyze winners and losers to refine strategy.
Avoid High-Fee Brokers: Fees can eat small accounts quickly, so choose low-cost brokers.
Control Emotions: Avoid revenge trading and stick to your trading plan.
Conclusion
The small account challenge is more than a test of financial skill—it’s a test of discipline, patience, and emotional intelligence. While growing a small trading account is difficult, it teaches invaluable lessons about risk management, trading psychology, and strategic thinking.
Success in small account trading doesn’t come from luck or high-risk gambles; it comes from consistent, disciplined efforts, a strong strategy, and a mindset focused on learning rather than immediate profit. Traders who master small accounts set themselves up for long-term success, eventually handling larger accounts with confidence and expertise.
In essence, a small account challenge is not just a trading exercise—it is a bootcamp for professional traders, shaping skills, mindset, and habits that last a lifetime.
XAU/USD: Targeting $4,100! Where to Buy Before the FOMC Minutes?Hello TradingView community! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to demonstrate incredible strength, consistently breaking past old highs and forming a solid upward price channel. This robust uptrend is not only technically reinforced but also awaits a potential catalyst from today's significant fundamental news.
In this analysis, we will combine two crucial perspectives: an in-depth look at the technical charts to identify optimal entry points, and an examination of the key fundamental event that could significantly impact Gold prices during the US session.
1. Fundamental Perspective: All Eyes on the FOMC Minutes
Today's market highlight, Wednesday, October 8, is the release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes at 2:00 PM ET
Why is this important? This document provides a detailed record of the latest policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED) in September. Traders will scrutinise the text for any hints about the future interest rate path.
Potential scenarios:
"Dovish" Tone: If the minutes reveal FED officials' concerns about economic growth and the possibility of further rate cuts, the US Dollar might weaken. This would create a strong push for Gold (XAU/USD), potentially driving the next price surge.
"Hawkish" Tone: If the minutes emphasise that inflation remains a concern and the FED is not in a hurry to cut rates, the USD might see a short-term recovery, causing Gold to have a corrective dip.
This event is a top catalyst for volatility. Our strategy is to prepare technical zones to capitalise on the market's reaction.
2. Technical Analysis: Detailed Trading Plan
The bullish structure on the 2H timeframe is undeniable. Prices are creating a series of higher highs, confirmed by each "BoS" (Break of Structure), signalling that the Buyers are in full control. Here are the key zones to watch:
Potential Buy Zones (Key Points):
FVG Zone ($4,004): The nearest support is this Fair Value Gap, an area of price imbalance that the market often seeks to fill. Prices may retest this area before or during the news release.
"Buy Break BoS" Zone ($3,981): This is the nearest swing high that has been broken. Now it has turned from resistance into a crucial support level. This zone offers a solid entry point if prices correct slightly deeper.
"Bullish Order Block" Zone ($3,951): This is the last major "stronghold" of the Buyers—a powerful buy order block that initiated the latest push wave. This is an ideal area to look for buy orders if the market experiences a strong liquidity sweep downwards.
Upside Targets:
Short-term Target (Scalping): $4,070 - This level coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Main Target: "Liquidity Sell" Zone at $4,103. This is a large "liquidity pool" where the Sellers' stop-loss orders are likely concentrated. Smart money often drives prices to such areas.
Strategy Summary
Main Trend: Bullish.
Core Strategy: Look for "Buy the dip" opportunities at the key support zones mentioned.
Critical Timing: Be cautious around the FOMC Minutes release (18:00 UTC). Volatility can be high, and the market may whip in both directions to sweep stop-losses before following the main trend.
Pro Tip: Patience is key. Waiting for prices to pull back to a confirmed support zone will provide a much better Risk/Reward ratio than chasing the market at the top.
WHAT'S YOUR VIEW?
How do you think Gold will react to today's FOMC minutes? And where are you looking to place your buy orders—at the FVG zone $4,004, the BoS level $3,981, or are you patiently waiting for the Order Block $3,951?
Share your views in the comments below!
👇 Don't forget to leave a Like 👍 and Follow the channel for the latest XAU/USD analysis updates!
GOLD: Continuing Uptrend Structure, Target 4090 Approaching LiamTrading – GOLD: Continuing Uptrend Structure, Target 4090 Approaching
Hello everyone,
Gold and US stocks are setting new records together, but don't forget — strong sell-offs often appear when everyone believes prices can only rise.
Currently, gold maintains a sustainable uptrend structure, with each subsequent low higher than the previous one, confirming a clear trend on the H1–H4 timeframe.
📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 45m – XAUUSD)
The price structure remains a clear Higher High – Higher Low, indicating that buyers are still in control of the market.
Key liquidity zones are around:
🔹 4050–4060 (resistance – POC Volume Profile)
🔹 4020–4025 (temporary support zone – confluence of Fibo 0.618)
🔹 3980 (technical bottom, strong previous liquidity zone)
The upward target according to Fibonacci Extension is currently in the 4090 zone, corresponding to the 2.618 extension level — likely to become a major profit-taking area for buyers.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios
Short-term Sell (based on resistance reaction):
📍 4048–4050
🛑 SL: 4055
🎯 TP: 4030 – 4018 – 4005 – 3980
Buy scalping:
📍 4022–4024
🛑 SL: 4017
🎯 TP: 4030 – 4045 – 4060 – 4080
Buy swing (trend-following):
📍 3980–3982
🛑 SL: 3975
🎯 TP: 3995 – 4010 – 4025 – 4040 – 4060
🧭 Fundamental & Market Sentiment View
According to the FOMC minutes from 16–17/9, most Fed officials believe that continuing to cut interest rates this year is appropriate.
This is the first time since 2020 that the Fed has officially reduced the interest rate by 0.25%, bringing the range down to 4.75% – 5.00%.
→ Cheap money + safe-haven sentiment continue to be the main drivers pushing gold higher.
However, with gold and stocks both reaching peaks, the risk of technical corrections may occur when prices hit major liquidity zones.
📌 Conclusion
Gold is still in a stable uptrend, with a short-term target towards 4090 USD/oz.
However, watch the liquidity zones around 4050–4060 and 4000–4025 to optimize entry points, avoiding FOMO when prices are already in high zones.
👉 I will continue to update details for each trading session.
Follow me to not miss the earliest gold scenarios!
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 09/10/2025
________________________________________
🔹 1. Momentum
D1:
The current momentum is turning downward.
We need to wait for today’s D1 candle to close for confirmation.
➡️ If the daily candle closes bearish, it may mark the beginning of a deep and strong corrective wave.
H4:
H4 momentum is about to enter the oversold zone, suggesting the possibility of:
• A short-term bullish retracement, or
• A sideways consolidation phase before the next major move.
H1:
H1 momentum is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a potential short-term bearish correction ahead.
________________________________________
🔹 2. Wave Structure
Overview:
In the previous analysis, the COT report indicated that the market is in an overly optimistic phase — a warning sign to stay cautious with long positions or late entries.
D1:
• The yellow wave 5 has already broken above the channel (throw-over), which is a typical sign of a final impulsive phase.
• When wave 5 extends strongly, the following correction (wave 4) often drops sharply, erasing most of the previous gains.
➡️ Therefore, it’s time to prioritize a defensive strategy and avoid chasing tops.
H4:
• Price has moved beyond the upper boundary of the channel, making the exact top of wave 5 hard to pinpoint.
• We should monitor price reaction when it returns inside the channel — if price fails to make a new high when H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, it will likely confirm the completion of wave 5.
H1:
• The wave count has been slightly adjusted compared to the previous plan.
• Within the black wave 5, there is now a clear 5-wave yellow substructure.
• The recent decline has broken below the lower trend channel and the previous wave 4 low — an early sign of a potential wave 5 top.
⚠️ The upcoming correction could be steep and fast, making this an important time to prepare for risk management and trade planning.
________________________________________
🔹 3. Outlook & Trading Plan
All timeframes (D1 – H4 – H1) are showing an extended wave 5, but there’s still no clear confirmation of a top.
Hence, we should trade cautiously and manage positions tightly.
Currently, price has broken below the lower channel and wave 4 yellow, with a liquidity area near 4038 — this offers a good opportunity to open a small sell position to anticipate a potential reversal.
Trading Plan:
Sell zone (small lot): 4037 – 4039
Stop loss: 4048
Take profit: 3985
Gold Trading Strategy for 09th October 2025🎯 GOLD INTRADAY SETUP
🟢 BUY Setup:
💰 Buy Above: $4062 (1-hour candle close above this level)
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ $4072
2️⃣ $4082
3️⃣ $4092
🔴 SELL Setup:
💰 Sell Below: $4019 (1-hour candle close below this level)
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ $4009
2️⃣ $3998
3️⃣ $3985
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📉 This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not a buy or sell recommendation. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management before trading.
Gold Price Rally Sustains – Market Eyes Next Breakout PointGold (XAUUSD) continues to follow a strong bullish trajectory, confirming consistent market confidence and institutional participation. The chart structure reveals clear liquidity shifts and a steady series of bullish break-of-structure (BOS) points, suggesting that buyers remain in firm control. After a brief consolidation phase, gold resumed upward momentum, supported by sustained volume and steady market sentiment.
The current trend indicates controlled buying pressure rather than speculative spikes, showing the market’s preference for stability as price builds toward higher levels. If momentum maintains its present pace, gold could extend gains in the short term while maintaining its established bullish rhythm across the higher timeframe outlook.
XAUUSD: Golden Surge at $4,035 — Breakout or Blow-Off Top?Summary
Gold has shattered previous highs, now hovering around $4,035. Is this a breakout with legs—or the final push before a correction? This idea blends macro catalysts with multi-timeframe technical analysis to guide your next move.
Macro Context
Geopolitical Risk: Safe-haven flows intensify amid global instability.
USD Weakness: Fed rate cut expectations and political gridlock weigh on the dollar.
Inflation Hedge: Gold remains the go-to asset as central banks turn dovish.
Technical Breakdown
Weekly Chart
Trend: Strong bullish momentum
MACD: Bullish crossover
RSI: Near 70 — overbought zone, but not extreme
4H Chart
Support Zones: $3,872 (21-SMA), $3,820 (50-SMA), $3,753 (100-SMA)
Resistance Zones: $4,050 (psychological), $4,100 (extension target)
Trade Setup
Bias: Bullish with caution
Entry: On pullback to $3,872 or $3,820
Stop Loss: Below $3,750
Target 1: $4,050
Target 2: $4,100
Educational Angle
This idea demonstrates:
How to trade breakouts near ATHs
Using SMA clusters for dynamic support
Combining macro and technical for high-conviction setups
Gold Makes History, Climbs to $4050 Despite Dollar Resilience.Strong Bullish Rally Takes Gold to Historic High $4050
.Dollar Index shows resilience, rises to 98.98
.Gold shows mild retracement consolidating above $4032
.Markets await FOMC meeting minutes.
Fundamental Drivers:
With no news of agreement in Congress for solution in US Government shutdown, political and fiscal uncertainties take centre stage.
Political turbulence in France adds to global concerns already affecting investor sentiments.
Continuous Gold buying by global central banks as well as ETF inflows creating strong structural demand and triggering FOMO driven rally.
Markets abuzz with talks of massive bubble building up in leading stocks and Indices.
Growing expectations of another rate cut by Federal Reserve in this month and also in December.
Safe haven demand causing Gold rush in run to safety boosting prices to record rally.
Technical Drivers:
$4050 acts as minor hurdle which bulls need to clear turning in to support for advance towards next leg higher $4068 followed by $4083 while major upside target sits at 2.618% Fibonacci extension aligned with $4114
Break below immediate support $4032 exposes next support $4015 followed by retracement to $4005-$3995 where buyers are very likely to re engage for renewed bullish rally.
If $3995 fails as support, decline is likely to extend to $3983 below which next downside retracement may reach $3935
What's Most Likely Scenario?
Prevailing momentum is precisely bullish and immediate price action indicates strong bullish bias while oscillators are highly stretched and any positive news of agreement on US Government shutdown will witness quick price correction as these heights are prone to profit booking at the drop of a hat.
High probability that Gold retracement approaches or mitigates $4015-$4005 or even $3995-$3983 support and breakout zone and attracts buyers again to resume main bullish rally retesting $4050 and extending advance towards $4068-$4083 followed by critical resistance $4114
On the flip side, sharp and strong break below $3983 may also indicate sellers intervention pushing prices to lower boundary $3935
XAU/USD | 15M | Smart Money Short SetupAfter a strong impulsive rally, price swept liquidity above the recent swing high and instantly rejected from a premium zone. A clear shift of structure confirms bearish intent, with supply perfectly aligning with imbalance fill.
🔹 Key Notes:
– Liquidity grab above previous high ✅
– Premium zone rejection ✅
– Market structure shift to bearish ✅
– Clean imbalance + Supply confluence ✅
Now expecting continuation to downside targeting the next demand and inefficiency below 4020 region.
Current Bull Market is GoldCurrently the Indian stock market is long time sideway correction phase, All equity index and equity Mutual fund is underperforming but One sectoor is Run by Bull Market that is the *Gold.
Gold is Now Full of the controlled by the Bull, If you are not invested in the Gold and 100% Invested in Equity the Gold Index in the important for the You. Now if you think market is goes up it is neccessory to stop Bull market in the Gold.
XAUUSD GOLD IS HEADING TOWARDS 7000$ Cycle started when gold is around 1450$ some years ago.
1st cycle - 1000$ to 2000$
2nd cycle - 2000$ to 3000$
3rd cycle - 3000$ to 4000$
4th cycle - 4000$ to 7000$
5th cycle - 7000$ to 12000$
Every impulse has corrective phase according to price theory. you will see minor & major correction , profit bookings between level's to level's. oppurtunity will arise always so don't be greedy. This analysis based on fundamental factor's. Technically it will correct after every impulses. This analysis based on daily timeframe and it is not suitable for day trader , intraday or scalper.
OANDA:XAUUSD
NIFTY Future - Harmonic Shark Pattern approaching PRZ - IntradayTF: 15 minutes
CMP: 25190
The Harmonic pattern formed intraday is close to the PRZ at 25210-220
One can expect 50% retracement of the CD leg (that is 25150) as the first target.
SL at 25240 in NF
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Within Ascending ChannelAnalysis:
The XAU/USD (Gold Spot) 1-hour chart shows a strong upward trend within a well-defined ascending channel. Price action continues to form higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained bullish momentum.
Currently, gold is trading near $3,959, staying comfortably above the trendline support, which has repeatedly acted as a dynamic base for buyers. The projected movement (blue arrow) suggests a potential short-term retracement toward the lower channel boundary, followed by a rebound toward the upper resistance zone around $4,000–$4,035.
As long as gold remains above the trendline, the bullish structure remains intact. A breakout above the upper boundary could signal further upside potential, while a drop below the trendline may lead to short-term consolidation.
Summary:
Trend: Bullish
Support: $3,915 – $3,925 (trendline zone)
Resistance: $3,995 – $4,035
Bias: Buy on dips near trendline support for potential continuation toward new highs.
gold silver momentum updategold silver momentum update---- silver sustain abv 148300 than looks sharp spike 150k near expect or if blw 147300 looks sharp dwn side 146500-145300+++--- gold abv 122700 sustain looks 124800--- already 123 told ---
spot gold sustain abv 4040 looks up side 4060--85-4100 expect in sudden spike 4010 strong support now for dwn correction