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WILL GOLD CONTINUE TO DROP?1. Market Context Yesterday, gold was almost in accumulation throughout the Asian–European session and only broke out strongly in the latter half of the US session. After breaking out of the accumulation zone, the price dropped sharply around 4006 – a crucial key level – and surged strongly from there. However, statements from FED members remain hawkish, affirming the stance of keeping interest rates high for longer and not considering rate cuts yet. This creates -Downward pressure on gold -Cash flow leaning towards USD ------>>Market sentiment prioritises SELL on price recovery ➡️ Conclusion: Today, the main scenario remains SELL following the trend, BUY is only a secondary strategy & short scalp when reaching strong support. 🎯2. Today's Trading Scenario (SL: 10 points TP 10 points. RR ratio:1-2/1:3/1:5) 🔻 Main SELL (priority) SELL Zones: 4050 – 4055 4075 – 4080 4105 – 4110 🟦 Secondary BUY BUY Zones: 3996 – 3994 3965 – 3960 3935 – 3930 3895 – 3890
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Chum_trades
GOLD H1 – Will Retail Sales Trigger Gold’s Next Big Move?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (17/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside a corrective phase as markets anticipate today’s U.S. Retail Sales data and several Fed speeches — both crucial for assessing whether inflation momentum is slowing or rebounding. • Weak retail numbers may hint at cooling consumer strength, supporting safe-haven bids in gold. • Strong data could revive USD demand, prompting sell-side setups from premium zones. Institutional flows show engineered pushes into inefficiency before a directional leg unfolds. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Gold is forming a short-term accumulation at the discount range after consecutive bearish candles and a deep liquidity sweep below 4030. • FVG Sell Zone: 4140–4138 aligns with an unmitigated FVG + internal liquidity — ideal for sell-side reactions. • Discount Zone: 4008–4010 is the last clean demand zone + sweep area, matching the chart’s projected bullish inducement. • Liquidity: → Buy-side liquidity rests above 4140. → Sell-side liquidity remains exposed near 4000–3995. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,140 – 4,138 • Stop-Loss: 4,150 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,095 (intra-day imbalance fill) → 4,060 (previous BOS block) → 4,010 (discount accumulation area) 📌 Trade only after a liquidity sweep into FVG + bearish BOS on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,010 – 4,008 • Stop-Loss: 4,000 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,060 (short-term structure high) → 4,095 (mid-range inefficiency) → 4,138 (final premium reaction zone) 📌 Valid if price sweeps 4008 and shows bullish BOS + displacement. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect volatility during the U.S. Retail Sales release. • Avoid chasing price inside the 4060–4100 chop region. • Lock profits at each liquidity level and trail stops. • Keep total risk under 1–2% per setup. 📝 Summary Gold remains in a engineered pullback phase with clear liquidity pockets at both extremes. • Sell Zone: 4140–4138 (FVG / premium reaction zone) • Buy Zone: 4008–4010 (discount accumulation zone) A clean manipulation–reaction–continuation pattern is likely before the next intraday move. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates ⚡ Check out my TradingView profile for special gifts 🎁
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Trading Strategy for 18th November 2025✨ XAUUSD (Gold) Intraday Trade Setup ✨ (Price levels based on your strategy plan) 🔻 SELL Setup (Below 5-min Candle Low) 📉 Sell Below: $3,997 (only if a 5-minute candle closes below this level) 🎯 Targets: TP1: $3,985 TP2: $3,975 TP3: $3,960 🛡️ Suggested Stop-Loss: Above the breakdown candle high or above $4,005 (safety buffer). 📌 Trade Logic: A 5-minute candle closing below $3,997 confirms bearish momentum and opens the path toward intraday support levels. Targets are placed at logical liquidity zones. 🔺 BUY Setup (Above 15-min Candle High) 📈 Buy Above: $4,070 (only if a 15-minute candle closes above this level) 🎯 Targets: TP1: $4,083 TP2: $4,095 TP3: $4,110 🛡️ Suggested Stop-Loss: Below the breakout candle low or below $4,055 (safety buffer). 📌 Trade Logic: A 15-minute candle closing above $4,070 signals bullish strength. The upside levels represent potential liquidity and resistance zones. ⚠️ Disclaimer 📜 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. 💼 This is not financial advice and should not be considered a buy or sell recommendation. 📊 Trading involves significant risk. Always do your own analysis and use proper risk management.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
GOLD DAILY TRADING 17/11: BUY TODAY🦁 THE GOLDEN ARENA – 17 NOV, 2025 “Rebound or Trap? Let the Orderflow Decide.” A visually striking TradingView plan – part narrative, part tactical map. This is not just a bias, it’s a battlefield strategy. 🧭 MARKET CONTEXT SNAPSHOT Price currently consolidating around 4076 – 4084, after clean breaks of structure (BOS) and a deep retracement. Significant supply zones confirmed at 4157 – 4180, where POC clusters, FVG imbalances, and volume absorptions align. Orderflow on M5–M30 shows fading buy pressure and aggressive sells into lower highs. 🎯 CORE STRATEGIES FOR TODAY 🔺 Scenario 1: Breakout Trap SELL (High Conviction) Target Zone 4178 – 4180 (Main Supply) Stop Loss (SL) 4185 Take Profit 1 (TP1) 4155 (Low volume node) Take Profit 2 (TP2) 4100 (Local support) Take Profit 3 (TP3) 4040 (Structural SSL level) 🔍 Why this setup? Clear liquidity pool above 4178 being targeted. Volume tapering off into the move → classic reversal signal. Footprint shows absorption candles at key supply. 🪙 Scenario 2: FVG Scalping SELL (Secondary) Entry Zone 4157 – 4158 SL 4163 TP 4100 – 4105 ✅ Perfect for short-term scalpers looking to ride the intraday rejection from the imbalance zone. 🟢 Bullish Reversal INVALIDATION (Failsafe Plan) Trigger Break and hold above 4185 Entry Breakout Buy above 4190 SL 4175 TP 4220 Only flip bullish if aggressive buyers step in + strong delta + profile breakout. 🧱 KEY PRICE ZONES TO MONITOR Level Description 4185 Stopline – invalidates Sell 4178 – 4180 Main SELL Zone (POC + FVG) 4157 – 4158 Minor FVG Scalping Area 4100 Micro support + Bull trap 4040 SSL – liquidity target 📊 VOLUME & ORDERFLOW INSIGHT M5–M30 Footprints: Massive seller imbalances from 4175+ Footprint at 4084 shows buyer exhaustion Volume Profile: High-volume node at 4178 acting as strong resistance Low-volume gap below 4155 → fast price travel zone Delta: Negative delta buildup confirming sell bias 💡 EXECUTION CHECKLIST ✅ Wait for entry trigger at marked zones – don’t pre-empt. 🚫 Avoid FOMO buy into supply unless 4185 is cleanly broken. 🔔 Set alerts at 4157 and 4180 for rejection signs. 🧠 TRADING MANTRA OF THE DAY "The chart speaks in structure, The volume whispers the truth, But the orderflow shouts the conviction." 📌 Bias: SELL on retracements toward supply → hold for 4100–4040 📌 Watchlist: Footprint aggression, absorption blocks, spoof traps
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
XAUUSD Double Bull Flag — Danger AheadHello my dear traders, Laura here. This week, the market has been extremely tense, and the price action reflects it well. As I mentioned before, we are currently seeing the formation of a large bull flag. Just above it, a smaller flag is developing, and this smaller structure is the key trigger for any potential continuation. The bullish outlook remains valid only if this smaller flag breaks cleanly. The recent pullback dipped deeper than expected, which signals hesitation from buyers. When confidence fades, even a promising breakout can turn into a sweet trap that lifts briefly before falling sharply. Because of this, patience becomes essential. Before entering, we need a clear and decisive breakout that confirms strength. Specifically, we should look for a candle that breaks through resistance with firmness and clarity. If such a confirmation appears, the path toward the 4,300 level becomes structurally supported. On the other hand, if the price falls below the lower trendline, the bullish scenario is invalidated immediately. At that point, the setup no longer holds and should not be traded. For now, the principle is straightforward. No breakout means no entry. Stay disciplined and avoid letting the market pull you into unnecessary risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
XAUUSD Positional Long with SL#Gold Positional Trade Outlook Gold is currently pulling back after a sharp rally, offering #positional traders an opportunity to build entries gradually with the target upto prev ATH or rejection. Price is approaching key demand zones, so follow a scaled stop-loss (SL) structure to manage risk effectively. Consider building positions in phases as price reacts to each support level: SL1: 4,008 – Early protective stop for light entries SL2: 3,930 – Medium-risk level for second build-up SL3: 3,886 – Deep stop for long-term positional holds Stick to disciplined risk management, add positions only on confirmations, and allow the trend structure to guide your exposure.
CFI:XAUUSDLong
by earnwhileulearn
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 17-18✅ From the 4-hour chart, after gold topped at 4245, the price continued to break downward and is still trading below all short-term moving averages (MA5 / MA10 / MA20). This indicates that the larger-cycle bearish trend remains intact. MA5 < MA10 < MA20 — the bearish alignment is clear, and every rebound has been suppressed near MA10 (4110). 💹 Bollinger Bands: The lower band continues to extend downward, the middle band (around 4146) is sloping lower, and the lower band has moved down to 4035. Gold is currently oscillating weakly near the lower band, suggesting that the market is still releasing downside momentum and the lower support has not stabilized. ✅ From the 1-hour chart, gold has been unable to hold above MA20 (around 4084). MA5 and MA10 are pressing downward, while MA20 and MA60 act as strong resistance. Each rebound candle shows an upper wick, indicating heavy selling pressure. The 1-hour timeframe is a weak consolidation and there is no valid sign of bottoming or reversal. 💹 Bollinger Bands: The bands are narrowing at the lows, with the middle band (around 4084) moving sideways. The market is consolidating at low levels and may choose a direction soon — with a higher probability of continuing downward in line with the main trend. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4110–4120 / 4140–4150 🟢 Support Levels: 4060–4050 / 4032–4035 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 If gold rebounds to 4110–4120 and meets resistance, consider light short positions. The target can be set at 4050–4030. If the decline continues, further targets are 4000 and 3930–3887. 🔰 If gold rebounds to 4140–4150 and faces rejection, high-position shorts can be taken, targeting 4100–4080. 🔰 If gold pulls back to 4035–4040 and stabilizes, consider low-position longs, targeting 4060–4080. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTrading_JACK
XAUUSD Bearish Breakout Setup from Ascending Triangle Retest1. Market Structure The chart shows a strong downtrend, followed by a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside. After BOS, price formed a corrective ascending structure (an ascending triangle / rising wedge). 2. Current Pattern Price is moving upward in a corrective manner, showing lower bullish strength. The ascending trendline is acting as temporary support. The horizontal resistance at the top of the triangle reflects slowing bullish momentum. 3. Short Entry Logic The marked point (yellow circle) shows price tapping the ascending trendline. The red arrow indicates entry short, expecting a breakdown from this rising structure. This matches the logic: ✔ Downtrend ✔ BOS ✔ Weak bullish correction ✔ Short at trendline retest before a bearish continuation 4. Target Expectation The “TARGET” label points upward, but based on context this seems contradictory. Given BOS and corrective rise, the logical target is downward, toward previous liquidity levels or lows. The triangle breakout normally aligns with continuation of the previous trend, which is bearish. 5. Trade Bias Bias: Bearish Reason: Structural break + corrective pullback + rising wedge = continuation pattern. 6. Risk Considerations Stop-loss usually goes above the most recent swing high inside the correction. Watch for any strong bullish candle breaking above the ascending structure — that invalidates the setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
XAU/USD TRADING PLAN 17/11/20251️⃣ CONTEXT Last Friday saw a drop of ~200 points → confirming strong selling pressure. No major news today, expected movement: Wide sideways 4030–4120 Sell bias (priority to sell at high zones) The major trend remains in a down channel, any rise is mainly for unloading. 2️⃣ GENERAL RULES SL: 10 points for all trades TP: 10 points for all trades 3️⃣ SELL ZONES (PRIMARY) 4120–4125 4146–4148 4160–4165 4182–4185 4210–4215 (strongest resistance of the day) 4️⃣ BUY ZONES (RETRACEMENT) 4056–4050 4033–4030 3996–3994 3966 3888 5️⃣ SUMMARY Bias: Sideways → priority to Sell. Sell at resistance zones, Buy at strong support zones. SL/TP adjusted according to RR ratio 1:1, 1:2 Pay attention to appropriate volume
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Chum_trades
XAU/USD – Rebalancing Structure, Support Zone Holding Steady⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 17/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After the extended decline late last week, gold is gradually stabilizing around the 4,050–4,080 USD zone, showing a positive reaction at the structural support zone. The recent Break of Structure (BOS) sequence indicates that the selling momentum is gradually weakening, while the newly formed Order Block is acting as a temporary balance for the market. The current structure slightly leans towards a technical recovery, as buying flows are returning around the main support zone. 📊 Technical Structure Support Zone (4,049–4,080 USD): a critical support zone, confluencing with the previous liquidity bottom. Order Block (4,096–4,115 USD): a short-term supply-demand area, potentially a retest point before the price expands higher. Resistance Zone (4,145 USD): the first intermediate level to overcome to confirm upward momentum. Target Zone (4,210 USD): the upper liquidity zone, corresponding to the potential expansion mark of the recovery wave. 🎯 Market Outlook Priority scenario for the day: 1️⃣ Gold may retest the Order Block zone 4,096–4,115 USD before forming the first push up to 4,145 USD. 2️⃣ If buying pressure is maintained and this resistance zone is broken, the expansion momentum may head towards 4,210 USD, corresponding to a higher liquidity zone. 3️⃣ Losing the 4,049 USD mark will invalidate the recovery structure and bring the market back to a lower balance zone. 🧠 Analyst’s View The market is currently in a reaccumulation phase after a strong correction. Buyers still maintain a technical advantage as long as the price remains above the 4,049 USD support zone. Observing price behavior around the Order Block and the 4,145 USD zone will be key signals to confirm the strength of this recovery wave. 🛡️ Risk Note The current phase is a “pullback phase” within the larger structure. Traders should wait for clear price behavior confirmation at technical zones rather than predicting movements in advance.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Technical Rebound to FVG, Prioritise WATCHING FOR SELL at 4📊 Market Structure Gold has completed a strong decline from the peak of 4.21x, leaving consecutive Break of Structure (BoS), confirming a short-term bearish structure. The drop through the Breakout zone of 4.10x indicates a dominant selling force. Currently, the price is bouncing from the Premium Zone 4.05x, aligning with the technical rebound behaviour after a strong sell-off. The BUY side is merely pulling the price back to the abandoned liquidity zones (FVG 4.12x – 4.15x) before the SELL side can regain control. The upper FVG zone is where the price often returns to fill after a steep fall. This is also the confluence zone between: FVG (Fair Value Gap) Old candle body Breaker Fibonacci Premium → The risk of selling at these zones is very high. 💎 Key Technical Zones Rebound zone for Sell FVG 1: 4.101 – 4.126 FVG 2 (Strong Confluence): 4.126 – 4.150 Support zone – target to hit Premium Zone $$$: 4.050 – 4.052 Lower FVG: 4.030 – 4.035 High probability price scenario: Rebound to FVG → reaction → continue to decline to 4.03x. 🎯 Trading Plan – Prioritise SELL 1️⃣ SELL Setup – High Probability Wait for price to rebound to the above FVG zones: Entry SELL: 4.118 – 4.126 Can add orders at higher: 4.140 – 4.150 Stop-loss: above 4.158 TP1: 4.101 TP2: 4.050 TP3: 4.030 ✔️ This is a trend-following setup, selling at premium, adhering to SMC principles. ✔️ The current price is just beginning the rebound, not yet meeting BUY conditions. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Only activate on deep Discount Entry BUY: 4.030 – 4.035 (Lower FVG) SL: below 4.020 TP: 4.070 – 4.100 → BUY is only for counter-trend traders and must wait for a clear discount. 🧠 Vincent’s View The market is in a distribution – decline phase, every rebound aims to pull liquidity. As long as the price does not close above 4.150, SELL remains the optimal strategy for the day. Observe closely when the price hits 4.12x – 4.15x, this is a “high-risk” zone for the BUY side and a “great opportunity” for the SELL side. “Sell where the liquidity lives — that’s where institutions strike.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 17/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the start of the week – wait for price to retrace to the trendline & resistance for a perfect entry Gold is experiencing a sharp decline amidst global market liquidity pressures. The simultaneous drop in gold, stocks, and Bitcoin indicates that capital is being withdrawn from risky assets and even safe havens, similar to tense periods like the 2008 crisis or the early 2020 pandemic. Investors are selling profitable assets to cover losses elsewhere. In the long run, gold usually recovers sooner, but in the short term, the downtrend still prevails. On H1, the price is below the descending trendline, under the 4100 resistance, and is moving in a clear Lower High – Lower Low structure. This is a good signal to continue prioritising SELL orders retracing to resistance. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci • Liquidity) The descending trendline is the biggest barrier; each time the price hits the trendline, it is strongly rejected. Main Resistance: 4098–4100: resistance area + confluence with the trendline. 4120–4130: stronger area if the price retraces deeply (close to Fibo 0.382). Target Support: 4065: intermediate support – where the price has bounced slightly several times before. 4040 – 4025: large liquidity area – confluence with the H1 FVG bottom. 3985–3995: the end zone of the down wave if the selling force expands. Liquidity Zone: Many liquidity sweep bottoms continuously → indicates that the selling force still prevails. The lower FVG area (around 4025–4040) is highly likely to be filled within the week. 📉 Trading Scenario (prioritise SELL retracement) Scenario – SELL retracement to trendline + resistance (priority) Entry: 4098–4100 SL: 4106 TP: 4088 → 4065 → 4040 → 4025 💡 Suggestion: Wait for M5–M15 to form a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) before executing the order. When to BUY? Only BUY if: H1 closes above 4120, breaking the descending trendline → short-term trend phase change. If this signal is not present → do not rush to buy against the trend. ⚠️ Important Note The phenomenon of “selling everything to hold cash” may continue → gold may remain under pressure in the short term. Which price range are you watching for today's session? Comment below & Follow LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Part 12 Trading Master Class With Experts Types of Options There are two primary types: 1. Call Option (CE) A call option gives the buyer the right to buy the asset at a predetermined price (strike price). Buyers profit when the underlying price goes up. Sellers profit when the price stays below the strike. 2. Put Option (PE) A put option gives the buyer the right to sell the asset at the strike price. Buyers profit when the underlying price goes down. Sellers profit when price stays above the strike.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
"D" Day !!!!! **📊 NIFTY FUTURES - 3-Day Composite Profile Analysis** **Current Setup:** - Classic D-shaped composite profile showing strong initiative buying over last 3 days - Price currently balanced at Value Area High (~26,003) - POC: 25,955 | VAH: 26,003 | VAL: 25,880 **Potential Scenario - Fake Breakdown Setup:** Looking at the structure, there's a high probability we could see: 1️⃣ **Short-term test/fake breakdown** to composite profile lows (25,814-25,840 zone) 2️⃣ This could flush out weak longs and trap breakout shorts 3️⃣ **Quick reversal** and resumption of upward move **Why This Makes Sense:** ✅ D-shape shows buyers in control - they typically defend value lows ✅ Balanced profile at range top often needs liquidity grab below before continuation ✅ RSI showing divergence - healthy pullback needed ✅ Volume profile shows poor structure below VAL - likely quick move through that zone **Key Levels to Watch:** 🔴 **Trap Zone:** 25,814 - 25,850 (composite low area) 🟢 **Reversal Confirmation:** Reclaim of 25,955 POC with volume 🎯 **Upside Targets:** 26,080 → 26,160+ **Timeframe:** Today or next 1-2 sessions **Strategy:** Watch for spike below VAL, look for rejection wicks and volume confirmation before the bounce. Weak hands shaken = strong move up. ⚠️ *This is just my analysis. Invalidation below 25,780 on closing basis.* #NIFTY #MarketProfile #VolumeProfile #TradingSetup --- Would you like me to adjust the tone or add any specific technical indicators you're watching?
NSE:NIFTY1!Long
by kiran-posani
GOLD (XAU/USD): 2 Crucial Orders Before the NFP Storm!📉 Technical Analysis (SMC - 2H) Trend: Decline after a clear MSS/BOS. Focus: Price is retracing to the Selling Zone (Premium) to fill the FVG. ⚔️ Detailed Trading Plan (R:R > 1:2) 1. Priority Strategy: SELL Limit (Trend Following) Entry: 4,157.782 (FVG Peak - Supply Zone) Stop Loss (SL): 4,206.895 (Safe SL above the nearest structural peak) Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,051.733 (Main structural target - Nearest bottom) Objective: Participate in the ongoing price decline. 2. Counter-trend Strategy: BUY Limit (Technical Rebound) Entry: 4,051.733 (Nearest structural bottom - Support) Stop Loss (SL): 4,018.699 (SL below lower FVG) Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,126.333 (Rebound to the upper FVG bottom) Objective: Capitalise on the technical rebound from strong support. 🚨 Basic Risk: This Week's Focus Hawkish Fed: Officials like Schmid assert high inflation, unwilling to ease policy, maintaining high interest rates (Negative for Gold). Major News: FOMC Minutes (Wednesday) and especially NFP (Thursday) will determine the short-term momentum of USD/Gold. Risk Management: Gold will be highly volatile from Wednesday. Adhere to SL and manage capital under 2% per order. #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FVG #SmartMoney #Fed #NFP #TradingView
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN💛 XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold prices at the start of the week are mostly unchanged, the price structure on H4 remains the same, so Lana continues to maintain the old trading strategy. Currently, gold is weakly reacting around the medium-term resistance area, not strong enough to break through – but also no clear reversal signals. 💹 Technical Analysis 📉 Prices are moving within a narrow range between key liquidity zones: Zone 4138–4140 is the near resistance, where the market has repeatedly reacted with declines. Zone 4200 coincides with confluence fibo + descending trendline – strong resistance. Zone 3990–3988 is important support, also a lower liquidity area, suitable for technical rebound Buy. Market liquidity is weak, as shown by the pin bars and narrowing range. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan 💢 SELL (priority on correction rhythm) 4138–4140 ｜ SL: 4146 ｜ TP: 4120 → 4105 → 4089 4200 ｜ SL: 4212 ｜ TP: 4185 → 4160 → 4133 💖 BUY (strong support) 3990–3988 ｜ SL: 3984 ｜ TP: 4002 → 4032 → 4060 ⚠️ Market Insight (Macro Insight) Gold declines simultaneously with US stocks and Bitcoin, indicating a lack of liquidity across the market. This behaviour is common during phases like: Financial Crisis 2008 Early pandemic panic 2020 Investors are forced to sell even profitable assets to cover losses, causing gold – despite being a safe haven asset – to also decline. This reflects a strong increase in cash demand and widespread fear. 🌷 Conclusion with LanaM2 Gold is moving within a tight range and is heavily dependent on liquidity 💛 If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold analysis ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
Gold Still in Distribution, FOCUS ON SELL Setups at 4,10x–4,14x 🔍 Market Context Risk sentiment remains fragile as investors reassess the global rate and stimulus story. Goldman Sachs notes that rising worries about the size of Japan’s fiscal stimulus are bringing financial risk premia back, putting pressure on long-term JGBs and the JPY. Capital tends to rotate into USD and yield-bearing assets in this environment, which limits the upside for gold in the short term. 📊 XAU/USD Technical Structure (H1) After topping around 4,242 USD, gold broke its short-term uptrend and is now moving in a descending structure. Price is currently capped below the 0.5–0.382 Fibonacci area around 4,11x, which overlaps with a strong supply / Sell Liquidity zone on the chart. Below price, we have a series of liquidity / support pockets: 4,098 – 4,077 – 4,048 USD: short-term downside liquidity levels. OBS BUY ZONE around 4,00x: major demand zone where price previously launched a strong rally. Current price action shows sellers still in control – every bounce into 4,10x–4,14x is being rejected quickly, which fits a “sell the rally” approach. 🎯 Trend-Following Trade Ideas (for reference) Zones below are technical areas to watch, not signals or financial advice. Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback Sell Sell Zone 1: 4,102 – 4,104 SL: 4,110 TP levels: TP1: 4,098 TP2: 4,077 TP3: 4,048 Idea: Price makes a minor intraday pullback into local supply, then resumes selling pressure toward lower liquidity pockets. Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback into Fib/Trendline Confluence Sell Zone 2: 4,142 – 4,144 (confluence of descending trendline + Fibonacci combo) SL: 4,150 TP levels: TP1: 4,133 TP2: 4,105 TP3: 4,088 TP4: 4,060 Idea: If the market grabs more upside liquidity first, the 4,14x zone offers a better R:R area to align with the H1 downtrend. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View As long as price stays below 4,14x and H1 structure keeps printing lower highs, gold remains in a distribution phase. Pullbacks into the 4,10x–4,14x liquidity band are treated as opportunities to optimize SELL entries, while the 4,00x OBS BUY ZONE is the key area to reassess any potential larger bottoming process. “In a downtrend, our job isn’t to call the bottom – it’s to use every weak bounce to sell from a better position.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 3, November) 1. Momentum W1 Timeframe W1 momentum is preparing to turn upward. This suggests that within 1–2 weeks, weekly momentum may reverse, potentially starting a medium-term bullish phase lasting 4–5 weeks. It also signals that the current bearish trend may weaken next week. D1 Timeframe D1 momentum has already turned downward, so the primary expectation for next week remains bearish. H4 Timeframe H4 momentum is turning upward, meaning that on Monday we may see a corrective bounce or sideways movement before the downtrend resumes. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure – W1 Price is still in a corrective phase, likely forming wave 4 of the larger cycle. This wave count remains valid as long as price closes above 3746. If price closes below 3746, the entire structure must be reassessed. ________________________________________ 3. Wave Structure – D1 Wave 4 is unfolding as a W–X–Y (purple) combination. Friday’s strong decline confirms that D1 momentum has reversed downward, suggesting that purple wave X is complete and price is now developing purple wave Y. Targets for Wave Y (purple): • Target 1: Equal to wave W → 3746 • Target 2: 1.618 × W, a very deep zone o If price reaches this deeper zone, the structure may no longer represent yellow wave 4, and the count must be re-evaluated. ________________________________________ 4. Wave Structure – H4 With Friday’s sharp decline, waves (1) and (2) in blue are temporarily labeled. The decline is steep, clean, and non-overlapping — all characteristics of a 5-wave impulsive structure, supporting the expectation that purple wave Y will also unfold as a 5-wave decline rather than a triangle. Further confirmation is needed next week. Given the target at 3746, wave (3) is expected to extend. The current pullback remains valid as long as price does not exceed 4211, which still fits as wave 2 within wave (3). ________________________________________ 5. Monday Pullback Zones H4 momentum indicates a likely bullish correction early next week. Two key resistance zones: Zone 1 – 4096 “This zone aligns with the 0.382 retracement from blue wave (2) to the current low at 4046. It is also an ideal wave (4) zone if price peaks here before continuing downward.” Zone 2 – 4145 “This level corresponds to the previous wave (1) in blue. If price reaches this zone, the pullback may represent wave 2 within wave (3). I will update this scenario in more detail on Monday.” ________________________________________ 6. Conclusion The main trend remains bearish. I expect price to reach the 3746 target for purple wave Y next week, aligning with the projected timing shown by the two vertical blue lines on the H4 chart, while D1 momentum moves into oversold territory. When price reaches this zone and W1 momentum fully turns upward, it may signal the beginning of a new medium-term bullish trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX