This pattern will go longResistance and support line are made .now we looking for what happen in futures.becase trand is buy so we only focus on buying chance.when price drop support line we will enter trade.target area resistance
Futures market
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cuts & Tensions Fuel Indian Trades!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) bounced from an early Asian dip at $3,626-$3,627 on Monday (15/09/2025), staying strong near record highs as weak US labor data locks in a 100% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17/09, with two more expected in October and December (CME FedWatch). Geopolitical sparks—Ukraine hitting Russian energy and Iran pushing Qatar to counter Israel—make gold a top pick for Indian traders on MCX. With big central bank moves this week, let’s dive into the market and spot trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines for Indian Investors 🌟
Fed Rate Cut Fever: Weak US jobs (surging claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) keep USD near its 24/07 low and Treasury yields soft, driving gold’s 39% YTD rally—perfect for INR portfolios. The Fed’s set for three rate cuts in 2025, starting 17/09.
Geopolitical Boost: Ukraine’s energy strikes on Russia, US pushing NATO sanctions, and Iran’s missile talk in Qatar ahead of the Arab-Islamic summit fuel gold’s safe-haven demand. China’s relaxed gold import rules add more bullish vibes for MCX traders!
Key Events: Watch Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments (17/09), Bank of Canada, Bank of England (18/09), and Bank of Japan (19/09) decisions. Soft CPI and labor data mean dips are buying opportunities—don’t miss out!
Technical Analysis: Sideways Near Highs – Buy Dips 📉
Gold’s consolidating in a wide sideways range on M30, H1, H2 around 3650. If Fed news triggers a sharp drop, FVG zones (3608-3598) are prime for buying. Watch volume to confirm entries and dodge liquidity traps near round levels.
Resistance: 3646 - 3655 - 3666
Support: 3623 - 3615 - 3608 - 3598
Trade Setups (Tight RR):
Buy Scalp:
Range: 3623 - 3621
SL: 3617
TP: 3626 - 3631 - 3636 - 3641
Buy Zone:
Range: 3608 - 3606
SL: 3598
TP: 3616 - 3626 - 3636 - 3646
Sell Scalp:
Range: 3654 - 3656
SL: 3660
TP: 3651 - 3646 - 3641 - 3636
Sell Zone:
Range: 3665 - 3667
SL: 3675
TP: 3657 - 3647 - 3637 - 3627
Gold’s holding near highs—beware liquidity traps around Fed news! Above 3623, bulls aim for new highs; below, test 3608/3598. Indian traders, keep risk tight with central bank volatility ahead! Buy dips or sell highs? Share your MCX strategies below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #GoldTrading #IndiaTrading #MCX #Geopolitics #CentralBanks
Gold faces early selling pressure | Main trend still Buy🟡 XAU/USD – 15/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED rate cut probabilities this week :
-25bps : 96.4% (up from 89.1%).
-50bps : only 3.0% (down sharply from 10.9%).
Trump : Announced more sanctions on Russia, urged NATO to stop buying Russian oil; also emphasized “the possibility of significant FED rate cuts.”
Key event today : New York Manufacturing Index at 1:30 (US time).
⏩ Captain’s Summary : The sharp drop in -50bps expectations caused early selling pressure on Gold this morning. But overall, FED is still certain to cut rates and inflation is cooling → the bigger trend continues to favor Buy .
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) : 3665 – 3670 (Weak High & upper cap).
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) : 3623 – 3603 – 3587.
Market Structure :
On H1, Gold is moving within a tightening triangle with EqH and EqL .
Main trend stays bullish, but needs a retest of support before rallying toward 3665 – 3670.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3623 – 3625
SL: 3612
TP: 3640 – 3650 – 3660 – 3665+
Buy Zone 2 (FVG)
Entry: 3603 – 3605
SL: 3592
TP: 3620 – 3640 – 3655 – 3665
Deep Buy Zone
Entry: 3587 – 3590
SL: 3575
TP: 3610 – 3630 – 3650
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone
Entry: 3665 – 3670
SL: 3678
TP: 3655 – 3645 – 3635 – 36xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship faces headwinds this morning as sailors reduce expectations for a -50bps cut. But the larger sail remains filled with dovish FED winds, steering the voyage north. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3623 – 3603 – 3587) is the safe dock to gather strength. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3665 – 3670) may raise waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . The main journey still favors Buy , waiting for the FED to blow more tailwind into the Golden sails.”
xau paper trade placedFollowing the close of the Asian session, market sentiment remains firmly bullish. Key indicators and price action suggest continued upward momentum as we transition into the London session.
Given this outlook, I am initiating a buy-side trade in anticipation of further strength. The setup aligns with our broader strategy and risk parameters, and I will continue to monitor price behavior closely for confirmation and potential scaling.
Please stay alert for any updates or adjustments as the session unfolds
Palladium Long#Invest #Palladium #PALL #PA #XPDUSD
A weaker dollar after soft US inflation data has increased expectations for a Fed rate cut
US President Trump's announcement of tariffs of up to 100% on India and China to pressure Russia is increasing demand for safe haven assets, including palladium
Palladium prices have lagged behind other precious metals
Palladium production is gradually declining due to the depletion of deposits in South Africa, the US and Canada.
Recycling from old cars only partially compensates for the deficit
Despite the growth of electric vehicles, hybrid vehicles with internal combustion engines retain market share, and this supports demand for palladium for catalysts
New areas of demand:
China and India invest in hydrogen infrastructure. Palladium is used to purify hydrogen
Innovative technologies for using palladium to synthesize ammonia without CO₂ emissions
Supply reduction:
Producers Anglo American, Wesizwe Platinum and others are cutting investments due to low prices
Production in Russia is stable, but growth is only possible with the launch of the Chernogorsk deposit in 2026
Palladium is attractive as an alternative to gold due to its growth potential
From a technical point of view
-formation of a double bottom.
-There was already an exit, a false exit upward.
-Now a cup with a handle is being drawn.
How to participate in the growth?
-Buying a futures contract (US NYMEX ticker PA)
-buying through an ETF (for the US, ticker PALL).
*The ticker may be different on the stock exchange in your country
You can also look at companies with exposure to palladium
Norilsk Nickel, Sibanye-Stillwater and Anglo American
XAUUSD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK , SEP 15,2025📊 XAUUSD Technical Outlook
Over the past week, price has been consolidating in a tight range between 3656 – 3624, indicating a buildup of momentum.
🔑 Key Level to Watch:
📉 Demand Zone: Near 3530, which also aligns with the Fib 61.8% retracement level – a strong confluence area.
A possible retracement toward 3530 could offer buyers a favorable entry before the next bullish leg.
📈 Bias:
As long as price holds above 3530, we anticipate a potential upside continuation after a short-term pullback.
⚠️ Trading Plan:
Watch for bullish confirmation near 3530 before entering long positions.
Manage risk carefully if price breaks and closes below this key level.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 15.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 1H Sell Projection (15.09.25). Here’s a structured breakdown of what the chart indicates:
🔎 Chart Analysis
Entry Zone: Around 3646 – 3647 (confluence of trendline + 0.618 Fibonacci retracement = "Golden Ratio").
Stop Loss: Around 3653.16 (above trendline & key resistance).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1 (Support S1): Around 3639 – 3640
TP2 (Support S2): Around 3630 – 3631
🧭 Trade Idea (Sell Bias)
Reasoning:
Price has rejected the descending trendline resistance.
Confluence with Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level (3647).
Bearish projection towards support zones.
📌 Summary
Setup: Short/Sell
Entry Zone: 3646 – 3647
Stop Loss: 3653
Target 1: 3640
Target 2: 3630
Gold Stuck in 3620–3655 Range – All Eyes on Fed DecisionGold is still consolidating between 3620–3625 support and 3650–3655 resistance, respecting this week’s pivot level around 3632. As highlighted in the weekly outlook, this week’s trading action is likely to remain muted until the FOMC rate decision and press conference on Wednesday.
Until then, we can expect price to stay range-bound, with quick scalps working better than trend trades.
Once the Fed outcome is out, we should see a clearer short-term direction.
A higher-timeframe close above 3655 could open the door for a move toward 3675+ and potentially new highs.
On the flip side, a break below 3620 could trigger a deeper pullback, but so far there’s no sign of reversal pressure bulls remain firmly in control on higher timeframes.
short/bearish for Bankniftyi have took the opportunity to long it now its time for short, wait for its confirmation in 15-5 mins
XAUUSD – Pennant Pattern Waiting for ConfirmationXAUUSD – Pennant Pattern Waiting for Confirmation
Hello Traders,
Gold started the week with a strong bounce of nearly 20 dollars after testing the ascending trendline. This move further confirms the Pennant Flag formation that is currently in play. The key now is to wait for a clear breakout from this structure to position trades effectively.
Bullish Scenario
A break above the upper trendline, with confirmation ideally above 3657, would signal continuation of the uptrend.
Best entry: around 3650, targeting 3680 in the short term.
Bearish Scenario
The 3627 level is critical. A breakdown below this zone, along with a close under nearby support, would validate the bearish case.
Traders can either enter directly on the break or wait for a retest around 3630 for a cleaner entry.
Downside targets could extend to 356x or even lower.
Medium-Term Buy Setup
The 3560 – 3564 zone remains an attractive area, aligning with an FVG and strong volume accumulation.
This is a medium-term buying opportunity, with stop-loss placed below 3544.
Requires larger account size (above $1000) due to wider stop distance, but offers higher reward potential while aligning with the broader bullish trend.
This is my outlook for gold today. Traders can take it as a reference and align it with their own setups.
If you trade gold regularly, you can follow me here and join my community to receive updates quickly when the price action changes.
👉 Wishing everyone a profitable and disciplined trading week with Gold.
Gold Trading Strategy for 15th September 2025📊 Gold Trading Plan
🟢 Buy Setup (Long Trade)
✅ Condition: Enter a Buy trade if the 1-hour candle closes above 3657.
🎯 Targets:
First Target → 3668
Second Target → 3679
Third Target → 3690
🔒 Stop Loss: Always place a stop loss below the breakout candle’s low to manage risk.
🔴 Sell Setup (Short Trade)
✅ Condition: Enter a Sell trade if the 1-hour candle closes below 3630.
🎯 Targets:
First Target → 3620
Second Target → 3610
Third Target → 3595
🔒 Stop Loss: Always place a stop loss above the breakdown candle’s high to limit losses.
📅 Timeframe → Use the 1-hour chart only.
🕐 Wait for Candle Close → Do not enter in the middle of the candle; wait for the candle to finish.
📈 Confirmation → A close above/below the levels means the price has settled, not just touched it.
💰 Risk Management → Trade with only 1–2% of your capital per trade.
⚖️ Targets → Book partial profits at the first target, then trail stop loss for higher targets.
⚠️ Disclaimer
📌 This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading in gold or any financial market involves high risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD CPI UPDATEXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Gold Outlook – Short-Term Pullback, Long-Term StrengthGold has shown a strong bullish phase over recent weeks after a long consolidation. The market moved from accumulation into expansion, reflecting renewed participation by larger players. This upward momentum indicates strong capital inflows, supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and shifting investor sentiment.
Technically, price has broken out of a prolonged range and established a clear upward trajectory. Market structure suggests that buyers remain in control, though current price levels are showing signs of potential exhaustion, which could trigger short-term corrective moves before the broader trend resumes.
Fundamentally, global economic pressures continue to boost gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. Concerns over inflation, central bank policy adjustments, and currency volatility are keeping investor demand elevated. With global risk sentiment fluctuating, gold is likely to remain an attractive hedge, sustaining its medium-term bullish outlook despite short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion: Gold is in an expansion cycle, supported by both technical momentum and fundamental demand. Short-term corrections are expected, but the broader trajectory remains upward.
Gold Trading Strategy for Monday✅ Fundamental Analysis
🔹 Fed Rate Cut Expectations
The Federal Reserve is almost certain to cut rates by 25 basis points in September, which is the market consensus. The recent rally in gold has been primarily driven by “rate cut expectations” rather than purely safe-haven demand. As the rate decision approaches, market volatility is expected to increase.
🔹 Geopolitical Risk Support
Ongoing global geopolitical risks continue to provide additional safe-haven support, keeping gold prices within a strong range.
🔹 “Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact” Logic
Before the rate decision: Market sentiment dominates, with gold maintaining a high-level bullish consolidation.
After the rate decision: If the rate cut is delivered and Powell does not sound excessively dovish, a short-term pullback could occur on “sell the fact” behavior.
✅ Technical Analysis
🔸 From a structural perspective, gold broke out of a four-month consolidation range and formed a strong unilateral uptrend, reaching as high as $3674. Based on the principle of “the longer the base, the higher the move,” the trend remains strong, with no clear topping signal yet. However, the rapid rise has caused short-term overextension, suggesting a need for technical correction.
🔸 On the 4-hour chart, the current candles are trading near the Bollinger Band midline (around $3640), showing balanced forces between bulls and bears. The narrowing Bollinger Bands indicate a consolidation phase. A strong breakout above the upper band ($3660) could lead to a retest of $3675–3680. The MA5, MA10, and MA20 are converging, showing that the market is waiting for a directional breakout. As long as prices hold above MA20 ($3640–3620), the bullish structure remains intact.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3657–3660 / 3675–3680
🟢 Support Levels: 3625–3630 / 3605–3610
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 Short-Term Idea: Focus on buying on dips near the 3625–3630 support zone. Light short positions may be considered if the price stalls near 3657–3660.
🔰 Medium-Term Idea: If gold breaks and holds above 3675–3680, the rally could extend toward 3700 or even new highs. If it falls below 3620–3610, a deeper correction may unfold, targeting 3595–3580.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
USOIL DOWN TO 60$hello,
I hope you’re doing well. I’ve identified a high-probability short setup on USOIL in the 4H timeframe. The chart is showing a clear downtrend, and based on the current momentum, I expect USOIL to reach the $60 level in the coming days
IBROURI Abdessamad
Gold oscillation adjustment pattern: 3320-3360Gold oscillation adjustment pattern: 3320-3360
Next, the focus of the gold market will mainly focus on the Fed's upcoming interest rate resolution, and its interest rate cut and guidance on future policies will become key catalysts for the gold price trend in the short term.
Fundamental analysis:
1: The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its meeting on September 17-18 (the probability is as high as more than 90%). The current market pricing reflects the expectation of a cumulative interest rate cut of 70 basis points this year (that is, it may also include interest rate cuts in October and December).
2: Lax labor market: The number of initial unemployment claims in the United States rose sharply last week, recording its worst performance in the past four years, strengthening the need for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
3: Inflation stickiness: In August, the US CPI increased by 2.9% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month (0.3% exceeded expectations). This shows that inflationary pressure still exists, but the data is basically in line with expectations, and the market is more concerned about the downside risks of the employment market.
4: Geopolitical risks: The continued tension in the Middle East and the uncertainty in many places around the world continue to provide safe-haven support for gold.
5: Trend of central bank gold purchases: Many central banks around the world (such as the People's Bank of China and the Central Bank of Poland) continue to increase their holdings of gold reserves and relax import and export rules, which provides support for gold prices in the long-term structural sense.
6: "Super Economic Week": A number of major economic events and data were released this week, including US retail sales data in August ("terror data"), housing start data, and interest rate decisions from Canada, the United Kingdom and the Bank of Japan, which may exacerbate market volatility.
Technical analysis:
Macro support: US$3587-3600
Macro resistance: $3675, after breaking through, it looks at $3700 and $3758
4-hour level
Short-term support: US$3620-3630
Short-term resistance: $3660-3675
As shown in the figure: High sideways oscillation consolidation range: (3620-3660)
Short-term core range: US$3637-3650
The direction is waiting to break.
Operational strategies and suggestions
Aggressive long positions: Consider focusing on supporting the region to stabilize at US$3630-3620 and moving forward with a light position and a target of US$3658-3675, with a stop loss below 3610.
Stable long positions: If the gold price pulls back to the US$3587-3600 area and gets support, you can consider layout long positions, with the same target as above, and the stop loss is set below 3570.
Aggressive short positions: After the current resistance is under pressure in the US$3660-3674 area, try short positions with a light position, the target is US$3630-3620, and the stop loss is set above 3675.
Safe short positions: If the gold price rebounds to near the integer mark of $3,700, you can consider trying shorts, and the target is to look at a pullback of $100-150, and the stop loss is set above 3,710.
"Monday setup; Why Nifty may revisit 25120 zone"## 🎯 **Trading Scenario**
**IF** Nifty opens green on Monday and stays green until 10:40 AM:
### 📋 **Key Conditions to Watch:**
- ✅ Green opening sustained till 10:40 AM
- ❌ 25200 CE high of ₹60 should NOT be breached
- 📉 25200 CE price falls below ₹35 zone
### 🎯 **Expected Target:**
**Channel Low: 25120-25100 zone**
---
## 🔍 **Rationale**
### 📈 **Friday's Breakout Analysis:**
- Friday's breakout occurred within a **channel pattern**
- Movement lacked **sharp, strong candles**
- Breakout appeared more corrective than impulsive
### 📊 **Technical Logic:**
- Most channel breakouts **require retests** of their base
- Without proper follow-through, channels tend to **revert to support**
- Current price action suggests **lack of conviction** in the breakout
---
## ⚠️ **Risk Management**
### 🛑 **View NEGATED if:**
- Nifty's 10:40 AM high gets **decisively breached**
- Strong follow-through above breakout levels
- Sustained buying pressure throughout the session
### 💡 **Trading Tips:**
- Wait for confirmation signals before entry
- Watch option premiums for confirmation
- Keep strict stop-loss above 10:40 AM high
---
## 📝 **Summary**
This is a **channel retest play** based on Friday's weak breakout. The setup offers a favorable risk-reward if conditions align. Remember to wait for proper confirmation before taking positions.
**⚡ Trade Safe | Manage Risk | Follow Your Plan ⚡**
---
*Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Please do your own analysis before trading.*
The Secret of Liquidity Grab – Why Price Hunts Highs Before FallHello Traders!
Have you ever noticed how the market first breaks a recent high, traps breakout traders, and then suddenly reverses? This is not random, it’s called a liquidity grab .
Understanding this concept can completely change how you see price action.
1. What is a Liquidity Grab?
Liquidity means orders in the market, stop losses, buy orders, sell orders.
When price hunts a previous high or low, it triggers stop losses and pending orders. This creates a sudden burst of liquidity.
Institutions use this liquidity to enter or exit large positions without causing slippage.
2. Why Price Hunts Highs Before Falling
At previous swing highs, many breakout traders place buy orders and short sellers place stop losses.
When the price spikes above that level:
Breakout traders enter long positions.
Short sellers’ stop losses get triggered (buy orders).
This creates a pool of buying liquidity. Once institutions have sold into this buying pressure, price often reverses sharply.
3. Why This Matters for Retail Traders
Most retail traders get trapped during these liquidity grabs.
They either chase breakouts too late or panic exit at the wrong time.
By recognizing this pattern, you can avoid being the liquidity and instead trade with the smart money.
4. How to Use This in Trading
Wait for the Grab: Don’t rush into a breakout. Wait to see if price quickly reverses after taking out a high/low.
Confirm With Volume: A liquidity grab often shows a sudden spike in volume followed by an opposite move.
Look for Rejection Candles: Pin bars, engulfing candles, or sharp wicks at highs/lows confirm the trap.
Rahul’s Tip:
Next time you see price breaking a high, don’t get excited. Ask yourself, is this a real breakout or just a liquidity grab? Waiting a little longer often saves you from being trapped.
Conclusion:
Liquidity grabs are the hidden traps of the market. Price doesn’t move randomly, it seeks liquidity first.
By understanding this, you can avoid becoming the victim and instead align yourself with the institutions.
If this post gave you clarity on liquidity grabs, like it, share your thoughts in the comments, and follow for more smart price action insights!
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cut Hype Fuels Indian Trades!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) climbed 0.4% on Friday (12/09/2025), closing at $3,648.55/oz, just shy of its all-time high of $3,673.95/oz (09/09). With a 1.7% weekly gain—its fourth straight week up—gold is riding high on weak US labor data, cementing bets for a Fed rate cut on 17/09. CPI showed inflation up sharply, but labor weakness dominates, making gold a top pick for Indian traders on MCX. Let’s dive into the market and grab trading opportunities! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Gold’s Shine Bright for India 🌟
Rate Cut Buzz: Weak US jobs (surging claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) and a soft PPI push 100% odds for a 0.25% Fed rate cut, with 0.5% less likely (CME FedWatch). Low rates ease USD and Treasury pressure, boosting gold’s appeal for INR portfolios.
Global Tailwinds: Gold’s 39% YTD rally (after 27% in 2024) is fueled by a weak USD, China’s 10-month gold buying spree, and global unrest. China’s move to simplify gold import rules signals stronger demand—great for Indian investors!
Market Focus: CPI (11/09) showed hotter inflation, but labor weakness keeps Fed easing on track. No major shocks (like Trump tariffs) mean dips are buying opportunities—perfect for MCX futures!
Technical Analysis: Consolidation Near Highs – Buy Dips 📉
Gold’s weekly chart shows consolidation at Fibonacci 2.618 (3650), with wide sideways action, closing below 3650 as anticipated. A deeper pullback isn’t confirmed, but liquidity zones at 359x and 354x are ideal for buying, while 370x is a sell zone if the rally continues. Watch volume for reversal or rejection signals to avoid traps.
Resistance: 3655 - 3684 - 3694 - 3704
Support: 3621 - 3595 - 3582 - 3559 - 3545
Trade Setups (Tight RR):
Buy Zone: 3582 - 3580 (SL: 3572; TP: 3590 - 3600 - 3610 - 3640) – Long-term buy on deeper dips.
Buy Zone: 3546 - 3544 (SL: 3536; TP: 3554 - 3564 - 3574 - 3594) – Buy at strong support.
Sell Zone: 3703 - 3705 (SL: 3713; TP: 3695 - 3685 - 3675 - 3665) – Sell if rally hits round levels.
Gold’s consolidating near highs—beware liquidity traps! Above 3621, bulls eye new highs; below, test 359x/354x. Indian traders, manage risk tightly for Fed volatility! Buy dips or sell highs? Share your MCX strategies below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #GoldTrading #IndiaTrading #MCX #USInflation #RateCuts #CentralBanks
XAUUSD I saw this in weekly. I saw it in daily as well. Right now we have the previous day's high and low in Gold. I hope Gold will reach the previous day's low. After that we get an order block,This is a Bullish OB, either Gold should sweep this OB or give some LTF confirmation. Then you can get buying from here
XAUUSD – Week 3: Will Fibo 2.618 Hold Strong?XAUUSD – Week 3: Will Fibo 2.618 Hold Strong?
Good day, fellow traders,
Gold has been on a continuous rise for the past three weeks, even making fresh all-time highs (ATH). This has made trading conditions quite challenging, especially for short-term traders. The reason is simple:
Buying: Not easy to find a good entry point.
Selling: Very risky as it means going against the strong uptrend, which can be extremely dangerous.
Market Structure and Key Levels
Gold has touched the psychological Fibonacci 2.618 extension and showed a reaction, after which it started consolidating sideways around 3643 – the closing price of this week.
The sideways structure indicates that the market may need more time before making a clear breakout.
The current trading range is between 3675 – 3616. Most likely, the price will continue to consolidate within this 60-dollar band and form a compression pattern.
Upside Scenario
If the price breaks above the range, the next target would be 3800, and in the longer term, the market could even aim for the 4000 level in the coming year.
Downside Scenario
Traders should keep an eye on liquidity reaction zones (FVG): 3595 – 3568 – 3540.
The key long-term buying zone lies around 3500, which would almost complete the liquidity test.
Trading Strategy
The wise approach is to remain patient and wait for a clear confirmation when price breaks out of the current sideways range. That will provide a higher-confidence setup for entering trades.
This is the scenario I am projecting for Gold this week. Traders may use it as a reference and combine it with their own analysis to optimise their trading strategy.
If you are actively trading Gold, feel free to follow me and join the community to get the quickest updates whenever price action changes.
Wishing all of you a disciplined, successful, and profitable trading week ahead!
SILVERM1! - At the ResistanceCMP: 112800
TF: Weekly
Price is hitting the resistance on weekly chart, and the breakout from here might be a challenging task for the bulls. Let's see how this week progresses
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
Gold Dips Pre-CPI: Fed Cut Buzz Fuels Indian Trade Ops!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is easing today (11/09/2025) after yesterday’s PPI shocker—US wholesale inflation dropped more than expected, boosting Fed rate cut bets to 100% for a 0.25% cut and rising odds for 0.5% (CME FedWatch). Tonight’s CPI and Jobless Claims at 19:30 ET will shed light on US inflation and labour, shaping the Fed’s next move. With India’s love for gold, dips are prime buying opportunities unless a shock like Trump tariffs hits—short-term pullbacks only! Let’s dive into today’s market and grab trade setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Gold’s Shine Intact for Indian Investors 🌟
The weak PPI has supercharged rate cut expectations, easing USD and Treasury pressure, making gold a star for INR-based portfolios. Gold’s 38% YTD rally (after 27% in 2024) is driven by a weak USD, China’s 10-month buying spree, loose policies, and global uncertainty. Tonight’s CPI (11/09) will steer Fed policy—low inflation could rocket gold to new highs (potentially $3,700); hotter data may trigger brief dips. Indian traders, keep risk-reward (RR) tight in this news-heavy market—perfect for MCX futures!
Technical Analysis: Consolidation Pre-CPI – Buy Dips, Watch Traps 📉
Gold rose in Asia but hit resistance at 364x OB, falling to 362x with liquidity sweeps—set SLs carefully to avoid traps! The 362x zone is pivotal; a break below could test 361x or 3600. The bullish trend is strong—prioritize buying dips unless key resistance fails.
Resistance: 3640 - 3648 - 3659 - 3674
Support: 3621 - 3615 - 3607 - 3600
Trade Setups (Tight RR):
Sell Scalp: 3640 - 3642 (SL: 3646; TP: 3637 - 3632 - 3627) – Quick profits if resistance holds.
Sell Zone: 3648 - 3650 (SL: 3658; TP: 3640 - 3630 - 3620) – Short deeper if rally fades.
Buy Scalp: 3617 - 3615 (SL: 3611; TP: 3620 - 3625 - 3630) – Catch support rebounds.
Buy Zone: 3601 - 3599 (SL: 3591; TP: 3611 - 3621 - 3631) – Long-term buy if CPI is dovish.
Gold’s consolidating pre-CPI—watch for liquidity traps! Above 362x, bulls target new highs; below, test lower supports. Indian traders, manage risk tightly for CPI volatility! Buy dips or sell highs? Share your MCX strategies below! 👇
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