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NATURALGAS in Demand/Support zone - Buying opportunity? TF: 1 hour CMP: 4.4550 The decline from the top is zig/zag (overlapping structure), hence, I feel that there could be one more move pending on the upside.. If not break of the swing high, at least a retracement of 60-75% is potentially on the cards. Price is now at the Demand/support zone Price is taking support at the AVWAP ABC correction seems to be nearing it's completion (script could make one more low or equal low below 4.4216) This could very well be the W leg of a complex correction.. but still, a bounce is imminent. My view: Definitely not a place to initiate fresh shorts.. Trail your existing short positions with tight SL (as the price moves strongly in a single bar itself) Wait for confirmation to for LONG set up. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Murthy_Santhosh
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold Holds 0.618, Bullish Scenario...💛 LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold Holds 0.618, Bullish Scenario Preferred for Wednesday 🎯 Gold continues to recover after the previous decline and is currently sitting right at the 0.618 Fibonacci level on the H1 timeframe — indicating buyers still have the upper hand. Price is also holding above the rising trendline and the thick Volume Profile area around 407x, so for today’s session, I continue to prioritise BUY setups in line with the trend. 📰 Macro – News Context After the U.S. government reopened, the market is preparing for a series of economic data today and tomorrow → both USD and Gold may experience strong volatility. President Trump attacked Fed Chair Powell, calling him “stupid and incompetent,” saying he once wanted to fire him immediately but was stopped by advisors. 👉 Because of this, market sentiment is very sensitive: if data leans towards a rate-cut scenario, Gold could gain additional support. 📊 Technical – H1 with Fibonacci, Trendline & Volume Profile Fibonacci 0.618: Price is holding at the 0.618 level of the latest downswing; if this level holds, the natural target will be the upper FVG + resistance zone 4120–4150. H1 Uptrend Line: The trendline from the recent low is supporting price very well; each retest generates a bullish reaction → an ideal area to wait for BUY entries. Volume Profile & Liquidity: The 4075–4080 zone is Buy Liquidity — thick volume, lots of order flow → suitable as an entry point if price retests. VAL ~4040 and the Support + FVG area around 4020 are the next defence zones if the market sweeps deeper. Upside liquidity: Past H1 FVG remains unfilled up to at least 4150, so if the bullish scenario plays out, Gold can easily extend into this zone. 🎯 Trading Scenarios (LiamTrading) 1️⃣ Primary Setup – BUY with Trend Entry: 4078–4080 (trendline retest + strong volume cluster) SL: 4073 TP: 4094 → 4120 → 4140 → 4175 💡 Notes: Wait for a clean M5–M15 bullish reaction (long lower wick, pin bar, or bullish engulfing) around 4078–4080 before entering. Once price moves ~1R in profit, move SL to breakeven for account protection. 2️⃣ Short-term Scalping Zones Support – quick buys: 4048–4023 (VAL + lower FVG zone). Resistance – quick sells: 4121–4151 (FVG + upper liquidity zone). These are only for scalping, so: Enter on smaller timeframes (M5–M15). Take profits quickly, avoid holding through major news. ✅ Summary Short-term trend: Bullish bias as long as price holds above the H1 trendline and the 0.618 zone. Main plan: Wait for BUY at 4078–4080, targeting 4120 → 4140 → 4175. So, what do you think — will Gold push straight to 4150, or will it sweep down toward 404x first? 👉 Share your view in the comments & Follow LiamTrading to get daily XAUUSD plans on TradingView.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold Strategy 11/18: Break this Points gold will more FALL📝 GOLD TRADING PLAN – Nov 18 1. Market Context Price is moving around 4030–4040 after a bearish BMS break. Main structure: corrective bounce within a broader liquidity-seeking environment. Expectation: liquidity sweep → reaction → directional move. 2. Key Trading Zones (from chart) 🔽 BUY ZONES Primary Buy Zone 3982 – 3980 → SL: 3977 Strong confluence (trendline + OB + support). Deep Buy Zone 3927 – 3920 (OB zone) → SL below 3920 Only active if price sweeps below 3980 and continues lower. 🔼 SELL ZONE Primary Sell Zone 4056 – 4058 → SL: 4061 Strong confluence: FVG + resistance + liquidity sweep zone. Sell Targets TP1: 4000 TP2: 3980 TP3: 3930 (only if heavy news-driven volatility) 3. Expected Price Scenarios Scenario 1 – Most Probable 🔹 Price retests trendline → minor bounce → pushes into 4056–4058 🔹 Sell from that zone → target 4000 → 3980 Scenario 2 – Secondary 🔹 Price drops first → reaches 3982–3980 🔹 Look for bullish reaction → Buy → retest 4040–4050 Scenario 3 – High-volatility Move (News Impact) 🔹 If price breaks below 3980 decisively → drops toward 3927–3920 🔹 Strong Buy zone → expect reversal back into 4000–4030 4. News Impact – Nov 18 High-impact events today: FED speakers: Waller, Barr, Barkin (10:00pm–11:00pm) → Strong volatility expected on gold. President Trump Speaks – 6:00am USD Housing Starts – 8:15pm 🔔 Notes: Avoid large positions before major speeches. Keep SL tight; gold reacts aggressively to USD news.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
Banking Sector Leadership in the Trading Market1. Why Banking Sector Holds Leadership in the Market 1.1 Highest Weightage in Index The Nifty 50 allocates the largest share — around 33–38% — to financials, mainly banks. Bank Nifty itself is a major index, made up of leading private and public banks. When banks move, the entire index moves, causing large-scale shifts in sentiment. Because of this high weightage, even a small percentage change in heavyweights like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, SBI, Kotak, or Axis Bank heavily influences Nifty’s direction. 1.2 Heart of the Economy Banks are essential to every major economic activity: Loans to corporates Retail credit (housing, auto, personal loans) Government bond investments Infrastructure project financing MSME support If the banking sector is healthy, it signals that the economy is healthy — which boosts market confidence. 1.3 Institutional Ownership & Liquidity Foreign investors (FIIs) and domestic institutions (DIIs) prefer banking stocks because: They offer high liquidity Business models are predictable Regulated by the RBI They move directly with interest rate cycles This heavy ownership ensures that banking stocks are actively traded, making them natural leaders. 2. How Banking Sector Influences Market Sentiment 2.1 Reacts Fast to Macro Events The banking sector responds immediately to: RBI interest rate decisions Inflation data GDP trends Liquidity conditions Global interest rate changes Whenever an economic event occurs, banking stocks show the first and strongest reaction. Traders watch them closely to judge market direction. 2.2 Credit Growth vs. Market Trend High credit growth indicates: Expansion in business activity Higher consumption demand Strong financial health This fuels bullish sentiment across the market. On the other hand, slowing credit growth reflects: Weak business confidence Stress in industries Tightened liquidity Markets often turn bearish when banks show declining loan growth. 2.3 NPA (Non-Performing Assets) Cycle Bank NPA trends influence corporate health and market mood: Falling NPAs = better profitability = bullish sector = bullish market Rising NPAs = stress in corporates = bearish tone Thus, traders consider NPA cycles as early indicators of broader market conditions. 3. Why Traders Focus on Bank Nifty as a Lead Indicator 3.1 Bank Nifty Moves Faster and Sharper Bank Nifty is more volatile than Nifty due to: Leverage-based business model High sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts Higher FII participation Bigger intraday moves Because of this, it often leads the market — if Bank Nifty is bullish, Nifty usually follows. 3.2 Option Trader’s Favourite Index Bank Nifty has: High liquidity in options Narrow bid-ask spreads Better price discovery Faster momentum Day traders, scalpers, and positional option traders use Bank Nifty as a sentiment gauge. 3.3 Banking Stocks Form Market Breadth When major banks like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, SBI surge together, it signals: Strong institutional buying Rising market confidence Start of a broader upward trend When they fall together, it often marks: Weak sentiment FII selling pressure Potential index correction 4. Key Drivers of Banking Sector Leadership 4.1 Interest Rate Cycle The banking sector's performance is strongly tied to interest rates: Rate hikes increase banks' net interest margin (NIM) Rate cuts boost loan demand Stable rates create predictable earnings Traders use interest rate expectations to forecast banking stock direction. 4.2 Liquidity Environment Banks thrive when liquidity is high: Credit expansion happens easily Market cap of banks rises Valuations improve Low liquidity can stress banking stocks, sending negative signals to the overall market. 4.3 Corporate & Retail Loan Mix Private sector banks with strong retail portfolios (HDFC Bank, Kotak) often lead bullish rallies due to stable earnings. PSU banks lead when: Government spending rises Infrastructure cycle strengthens Bond yields fall The leadership shifts based on the credit cycle. 5. How Banking Sector Leadership Affects Other Sectors 5.1 Triggers Rally in Interest-Sensitive Sectors When banks are bullish, other sectors also pick up: Real estate Auto Infra Metals FMCG (due to consumer spending boost) This creates a broad-based market rally. 5.2 Influences Economic Cyclicals Banks act as a barometer for: Capital expenditure cycles Corporate profit cycles Manufacturing activity Consumption levels Strong banks = strong growth cycle = bullish markets. 5.3 Leads Early Reversals Before a major rally or correction, banks usually turn first. In early bull markets → banks break out first In early bear phases → banks drop sharply before other sectors This makes the banking sector a predictive indicator. 6. Traders’ Framework for Using Banking Leadership 6.1 Monitor Bank Nifty First Before trading Nifty or other indices, traders check: Bank Nifty trend Price action Volume profile Leading stocks strength Derivatives data If Bank Nifty is strong, traders prefer bullish trades in the broader market. 6.2 Track Leading Banks Key stocks to watch: HDFC Bank ICICI Bank Axis Bank SBI Kotak Mahindra Bank IndusInd Bank These stocks often show early signs of trend continuation or reversal. 6.3 Use Leadership for Confirmation A market cannot sustain a bullish trend for long without support from banks. So traders look for: Breakouts in Bank Nifty Strong candle formations Low wicks (showing buying pressure) Heavy volumes Positive FII data These signals confirm strength. 7. Conclusion: Why Banking Sector Remains Market Leader The banking sector’s leadership is not temporary — it is structural. Banking acts as: The largest weighted sector in indices The economic engine of credit and liquidity The favorite playground for institutions and traders The macro-sensitive sector that reacts first The trendsetter for bullish and bearish phases In simple terms: If banks rise → the market rises. If banks fall → the market weakens. For any trader trying to understand market structure, trend strength, or broader sentiment, analyzing the banking sector — especially Bank Nifty — is essential.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Time to TRIM your shorts in SILVER / XAGUSD? TF: 15 Minutes CMP: 49.941 The structure and counts suggests that we are in for a bounce on this counter anytime soon. I have marked the internal counts of this fall from the recent swing high (54.385) Whether it is an ABC decline or an impulse 5 wave decline, we are in for a bounce in the shorter TF Trendline from the lows confluences at around 49.15 levels (the desired target range for this leg) In my view, it must be 5 wave decline, to be followed by an ABC upmove and then possibly another 5 wave down to break below the previous swing low at 45.534 Chart in larger TF Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
by Murthy_Santhosh
GOLD MARKET UPDATE 11/19 – STRUCTURE HAS SHIFTED1. Market Structure Gold has broken above the H4 downtrend line and completed a successful retest around 4,060–4,070. The strong push toward 4,100 confirms a transition from bearish → short-term bullish. Structural Signals: Buyers are gaining control as price continues forming higher lows The POC zone 4,072–4,075 has turned into strong support Intraday structure is leaning clearly toward a bullish recovery 2. Technical Breakdown – H1 & H4 H4 Trend After the previous strong drop, price is forming a potential bottom around 4,030–4,050 H1 Trend The short-term bullish trend is confirmed after breaking and retesting the descending trendline 3. Key Levels to Watch Support Zones 4,072–4,075 → POC – major support maintaining the bullish structure 4,060–4,065 → minor support – quick-reaction area Resistance Zones 4,108–4,112 → first resistance (H1/H4 confluence) 4,147–4,150 → strong H4 resistance, potential higher target if bullish continuation remains ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mark_Melanie_Gold_Stragegy
Gold 30-Min Chart: Sellers Active Near Resistance!Gold is once again testing its falling resistance trendline, which has already rejected the price several times in recent sessions. Each time the price touches this trendline, selling pressure increases, showing how strong this resistance zone is. Currently, the price is near $4070–$4080, where short-term traders should stay alert. If the price fails to break above this resistance, a pullback toward the $4000–$3980 support zone looks likely. This area has previously acted as a strong demand zone, where buyers may re-enter. However, if Gold breaks and sustains above this trendline resistance, we could see a fresh upside momentum building up toward $4115–$4135 levels. For now, the structure looks weak near resistance, and traders should wait for a clear breakout or rejection confirmation before taking any position. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by TraderRahulPal
1
Gold Forms Inverted Head & Shoulders: Reversal Signal!After a short-term corrective decline, the $4,000 level has triggered strong BUY momentum, creating a clear price rebound at the end of yesterday's session. The increase in buying volume indicates that the BUY side is returning to the market after several sessions of being pushed down. 📊 Prominent Technical Structure On the 2H chart, gold is completing the Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern – one of the strongest bullish reversal patterns. • Head: liquidity bottom at 4,00x • Two shoulders: forming symmetrically with good bounce • Neckline: area 4,101–4,102, currently a key resistance Price is likely to: 1️⃣ Slightly adjust to the neckline area or BUY ZONE 4,044–4,046 2️⃣ Retest – Accumulate – Confirm breakout 3️⃣ Break out towards 4,146 → 4,187 when the pattern is complete 🎯 Short-term Expectations Volatility may increase ahead of upcoming economic data, so the reasonable strategy remains: ✅ Prioritize BUY according to the pattern • Wait for retest of neckline or area 4,044–4,046 • Observe confirmation force (Volume – Momentum – Rejection) • Target towards 4,146 → 4,187 if the pattern is activated ⚠️ Note – The reversal trend is only truly confirmed when the price clearly breaks the 4,101–4,102 area. – Market sentiment currently leans towards recovery, but clear signals are needed before entering large (long-term HOLD) positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD H1 – Trump’s Fed Comments Shake Market Sentiment🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (19/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading in a tight corrective structure as markets react to breaking headlines that Donald Trump is considering removing Fed Chair Jerome Powell. This news injects uncertainty into Fed policy expectations, causing short-term volatility in USD and positioning gold at a critical decision zone. • Trump’s comments increase speculation about a potential policy shift, which may temporarily weaken USD sentiment. • However, gold remains capped below the premium supply zone as institutional flows continue to engineer liquidity sweeps. • Price is hovering near $4,080 ahead of key Fed-related discussions, keeping both sides of liquidity active. Institutional order flow suggests controlled accumulation at the discount range while premium regions remain defended by sellers. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Price is forming a short-term distribution pattern after multiple BOS events from the 4150 breakdown. • Premium Sell Zone: 4109–4111, aligning with unmitigated supply and internal liquidity pockets. • Discount Buy Zone: 4009–4007, sitting inside a clean demand block + previous sell-side sweep. • Liquidity: → Buy-side liquidity sits above 4111, where equal-high clusters form. → Sell-side liquidity rests between 4007–4000, where earlier long positions were cleared. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4109 – 4111 • Stop-Loss: 4119 • Take-Profit: → 4055 (minor inefficiency) → 4028 (BOS retest) → 4009–4007 (discount demand) 📌 Execute only after a liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHOCH on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4009 – 4007 • Stop-Loss: 4000 • Take-Profit: → 4040 (short-term range high) → 4075 (inefficiency rebound) → 4105/4110 (premium retest) 📌 Valid if price sweeps 4007 and shows bullish displacement. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect volatility as traders react to Trump’s comments on Fed leadership. • Avoid trading in the 4030–4080 chop zone without a clear structural break. • Reduce position size during impulsive spikes around USD sentiment shifts. • Trail stops once price clears each liquidity pocket. 📝 Summary Gold is being influenced heavily by uncertainty around Trump’s remarks about replacing Fed Chair Powell. Liquidity is building at both extremes, offering clean opportunities at the edges of the range. • Sell Zone: 4109–4111 (premium supply) • Buy Zone: 4009–4007 (discount accumulation) Expect a manipulation → reaction → continuation pattern as institutions play both sides of the current structure. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates. 🎁 Gifts in BIO for traders who follow daily plans.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD Weekend Analysis Nov 19,2025 Looking at the chart, the market is still moving inside a broad descending channel, and the price is currently sitting just below a major trendline that has been acting as resistance for some time. Every attempt to break above it has been rejected, which tells us that sellers are still defending that level strongly. Support 4025–4030: Very strong support. If the market breaks below this zone, momentum could quickly shift to the downside. 4000: Psychological support. Resistance 4150–4180: Immediate resistance area where price may struggle. 4250–4300: The next major hurdle if the upside continues. Trendline resistance from the descending channel. 📈 What to Expect Next Bullish Case If the price continues to hold above 4025, the market has room to push higher. A clean breakout above the trendline would open the way towards 4170, and eventually 4250–4300. This becomes more likely as long as buyers protect the demand zone. Bearish Case If the market closes below 4025, the structure weakens. In that scenario, we could see a deeper correction toward 3950, and possibly even 3850 if selling pressure increases. 🎯 Final Thoughts The market is currently in a tight consolidation phase, building pressure between support and resistance. The 4025–4030 zone is the line in the sand — hold it, and the market remains bullish; lose it, and sellers take control. The upcoming breakout from the trendline will likely decide the next major move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Akfx369
XAUUSD – Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming on H4 💛 XAUUSD – Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming on H4 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone, Lana here again 💬 After a strong drop, Gold is forming a clear Head & Shoulders structure on the H4 timeframe, aligned with the long-term ascending trendline. This pattern suggests the possibility of a bullish move back toward previous highs — but price may still dip lower to complete the structure first. 💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective) The Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder is gradually shaping around the trendline + supporting FVG. The upper 50% Fibonacci area is a reasonable zone for the right shoulder to form. If price breaks above the neckline, it may head toward the major liquidity zone around 4200. In the short term, the 4118–4120 zone serves as resistance + neckline, making it suitable for a technical Sell setup. The 4040–4042 area aligns with the trendline + Order Block, forming a strong support zone for potential Buy entries if price makes a deeper correction. 🎯 Trading Plan (For Reference Only) 💢 SELL Scenario (scalping at resistance) Sell: 4118–4120 Stop Loss: 4125 Take Profit: 4105 → 4086 → 4060 → 4040 💖 BUY Scenario (preferred with the main pattern) Buy: 4042–4040 Stop Loss: 4034 Take Profit: 4075 → 4090 → 4100 → 4140 → 4200 ⚠️ Important Notes Trading based on patterns is always expectation-driven, so combine it with candlestick confirmation on smaller timeframes (M15–M30) before entering. Upcoming FOMC Meeting and NFP report, especially after the long U.S. government shutdown period, may cause unpredictable volatility. Reduce position size and avoid holding large trades during major news events. 🌷 Final Thoughts from LanaM2 The H4 Head & Shoulders pattern on Gold is offering attractive opportunities for both short-term Sells and trend-aligned Buys 💛 Stay patient, wait for price to reach the marked zones, follow your stop-loss rules, and avoid FOMO during high-impact news. If you found this helpful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily Gold insights!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD | Bulls Hold Control Above 4070 - Eyes on 4090–4100 ZoneGold (XAUUSD) continues to show strong bullish structure, and price action above the 4070 key support reinforces buyers’ dominance. If price sustains above this level, the next upside liquidity area sits at 4090–4100 , a zone where previous reactions have occurred. Bullish Scenario: Holding above 4070 keeps momentum pointed toward 4082 and then the 4090 zone. The bullish outlook remains valid as long as price stays above 4059, which currently acts as intraday invalidation. What I’m Watching: A clean intraday consolidation above 4070 Momentum strength into 4082 Whether buyers can break into the 4090–4100 resistance pocket This setup highlights how the market could behave, not financial advice—just educational analysis. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan. Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InvestPro_India
1
Gold Trading Stategy for 19th November 2025📈 Gold Trading Setup 💰 Buy Setup 🟢 Condition: Enter Buy if Gold (XAU/USD) closes above the high of the 15-minute candle. Entry Level: Above 4101 Targets: Target 1: 4113 Target 2: 4125 Target 3: 4138 Sell Setup 🔴 Condition: Enter Sell if Gold (XAU/USD) closes below the low of the 1-hour candle. Entry Level: Below 4040 Targets: Target 1: 4028 Target 2: 4017 Target 3: 4004 🛑 Important Disclaimer 📉 This is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Market conditions can change rapidly, and no strategy is foolproof. Always use appropriate risk management, including stop-loss orders.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Psychology of Indian Traders – Short Real-Life Cases!Hello Traders! India has one of the fastest-growing trading communities in the world. But despite access to charts, tools, YouTube, and education, most retail traders still repeat the same emotional mistakes. Here are a few short real-life cases that show how psychology shapes the journey of Indian traders more than any strategy or indicator. 1. The Salary Trader, “I Just Want to Recover My Losses” A 28-year-old IT employee from Bengaluru started trading BankNifty options after watching influencers brag about profits. He made ₹6,000 on his first day, and believed trading was easy income. Then he lost ₹45,000 in two weeks. Instead of stopping, he kept trading bigger lots to recover. Within 3 months, he wiped out his entire savings. His mistake wasn’t strategy. It was thinking recovery is more important than discipline. 2. The Overconfident Trader, “Market Mere Hisab Se Chalega” A 33-year-old trader from Gujarat had one big lucky win in 2021 during the bull market. He made ₹3.5 lakh in one week and believed he was naturally talented. He increased his position size, stopped using stop loss, and ignored risk. The next correction wiped out not just his profit, but his entire capital. His mistake was thinking “luck = skill.” 3. The FOMO Trader, “Sab Log Le Rahe Hain, Main Kyun Chhodo?” A young trader from Mumbai bought every trending coin, SHIB, PEPE, FLOKI, without checking charts or fundamentals. He only entered after seeing pumps on Twitter. He never bought dips, only tops. Today, he holds a portfolio down 70%, waiting for “next bull run” to save him. FOMO always makes you late. 4. The Quiet Winner, “Main Kam Karta Hun, Par Sahi Karta Hun” A disciplined trader from Pune took only 2–3 trades a week. He risked just 1% per trade, journaled every entry, and treated trading as a skill. In 18 months, he grew his account slowly but consistently, without blowing up once. He is not rich yet, but he is stable, confident, and improving every month. Consistency beats speed, every time. Rahul’s Tip: Most Indian traders don’t need more indicators, they need more patience, more control, and more clarity. Before learning complex setups, learn yourself. Your psychology decides your wealth more than your strategy ever will. Conclusion: These real-life cases show one truth, the Indian market doesn’t destroy traders. Their habits do. If you want to be different, think differently. Trade slow, trade smart, and build discipline before expecting profits. If this post felt relatable, like it, share your story in comments, and follow for more real-world trading psychology lessons!
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDEducation
by TraderRahulPal
10
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 18-19✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold remains in an overall bearish correction structure. MA5 and MA10 have formed a bearish crossover and continue to suppress the candlesticks, indicating that the short-term rebound is limited. MA20 is located near 4097, acting as significant resistance. As long as the price fails to stabilize above this level, the bearish structure will not change. The Bollinger Bands show a downward opening, reflecting a weak trend. Price previously broke below the lower band (around 3980) and although it has since rebounded, it still remains below the middle band. Gold has repeatedly tested the 3997–4000 support zone and formed brief rebounds, but the strength is weak — this is still technical correction rather than a trend reversal. ✅ On the 1-hour chart, gold shows a clear short-term rebound correction. Price has broken above MA5 and MA10 and is holding above the short-term moving averages, indicating strengthening rebound momentum. The upper resistance comes from the Bollinger upper band at 4075–4078, an area where gold has repeatedly been rejected. MA20 (around 4036–4040) has shifted from resistance to short-term support. As long as this level holds, the 1-hour structure still has room to extend the rebound. Long lower wicks and concentrated trading around 4050–4060 suggest that buyers are trying to establish a short-term base. However, the short-term rebound has not changed the bigger bearish structure. If gold fails to break through 4075–4080, the rebound may end and the price could return to its bearish rhythm. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4075–4080 / 4100–4108 / 4150 🟢 Support Levels: 4036–4040 / 4000–3997 / 3953 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔰 Strategy 1 — Look for short positions near resistance (trend-following): If gold rebounds to 4075–4080 and shows rejection: Consider taking light short positions Stop Loss: above 4088 Targets: 4050 → 4035 → 4000 👉 This zone combines multiple moving-average resistance and the Bollinger upper band, making it a high-probability area for trend-following shorts. 🔰 Strategy 2 — Short-term long positions from support (countertrend, light positions): If gold pulls back to 4035–4040 and stabilizes: Consider a short-term long position Stop Loss: below 4030 Targets: 4060 → 4075 👉 This is only a corrective rebound trade — not suitable for large positions. 🔰 Strategy 3 — If gold breaks below 4000, downside may accelerate: A break below 3997–4000 could trigger a stronger sell-off, with targets toward:3953 → 3920 ✅ Summary Gold remains in a bearish, downward-dominated structure, and the current rebound is still a weak correction. As long as the price remains suppressed below 4080–4100, the bearish trend remains intact.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTrading_JACK