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XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 24.11.25(XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 24.11.25). 🔍 What the Chart Shows Your chart displays a buy setup on the 1-hour timeframe with the following key elements: 🟦 1. Support Zone (S1) Price is reacting from the horizontal support zone. This zone aligns with the 1H uptrend line, adding confluence. Good demand area. 📉 2. Trendline Support (1H Uptrend) The price is touching the ascending trendline, indicating continuation of the uptrend. 🔦 3. Hammer Candle Confirmation A bullish hammer candle is highlighted (yellow box). This indicates seller exhaustion and possible reversal to upside. This candle gives confidence for a buy entry. 🎯 4. Entry, SL, TP Entry: At the hammer candle close near 4043–4045 zone. Stop Loss: Below support zone and trendline (~4020–4025 zone). Target: Back to Resistance R2, around 4100+ zone. Risk/Reward: 1:4 shown — good reward potential. 🟪 5. Resistance Levels Resistance R1: Mid chart area. Resistance R2: Strong resistance zone near 4100+. 📌 Overall Summary Your setup is logically structured with: Support + Trendline confluence Hammer reversal confirmation Clean R:R Uptrend continuation expectation This is a valid 1H buy setup based on price action and structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
U.S. data storm ahead – Gold awaits its next breakout🟡 XAU/USD – Timing Reversal at 4188, FVG Retest Expected 🔍 Market Context Gold is approaching a key timing zone near 4188–4190, which aligns with previous supply and structural rejection. After a strong impulsive leg, liquidity resting above recent highs may be targeted before a deeper pullback into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. The structure remains bullish in the medium term, but short-term corrective moves are expected before continuation toward the 4212 liquidity objective. 📈 Key Trading Zones 🔻 SELL Setup Entry: 4188 – 4190 Stop Loss: 4192 Target 1: 4090 Target 2: 4020 Expect rejection at timing zone — short-term bearish retracement into FVG. 🟢 BUY Setups BUY GOLD 4090 – 4088 | SL 4085 → Scalp long targeting 4140–4160 if price reacts strongly within FVG. BUY GOLD 4022 – 4020 | SL 4017 → Ideal deeper retracement buy zone aligning with structural liquidity & prior demand. 🧠 Trading Plan Logic Wait for price sweep & rejection at 4188–4190 before confirming short. Monitor FVG zone (~4090) for reaction to flip back long. The higher-timeframe target sits near 4212, aligning with liquidity above prior highs. ⚙️ Bias Short-term: Bearish correction from 4190 toward 4090. Medium-term: Bullish continuation toward 4212 after retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
Gold H1 – Liquidity Plays as Hassett Leads Fed Chair Race🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (26/11) 📈 Market Context Gold opens the week reacting to fresh political headlines as Kevin Hassett emerges as the frontrunner for Trump’s next Fed Chair. This matters for gold because: • A hawkish-leaning Fed Chair pick typically strengthens USD and weighs on gold. • Markets may price in tighter policy expectations, increasing short-term bearish pressure. • Political volatility ahead of the official announcement often triggers liquidity grabs on both sides. With sentiment shifting toward a stronger USD, gold is positioned for classic SMC-style sweeps around key premium and discount zones. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H – Smart Money Structure) • Market Structure Price has tapped into a minor premium zone and is showing early rejection signs. Below, the 4140–4138 area aligns with intraday demand and the origin of recent displacement. • Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply) 4210 – 4212 • Sits above current buy-side liquidity • Clear premium relative to intraday structure • High-probability sweep zone before any downside displacement • SL region: 4220 liquidity pocket • Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand) 4140 – 4138 • Previous CHoCH origin • Aligns with discount retracement • Confluence with unmitigated internal demand block • SL region: 4130 sell-side liquidity • Liquidity Map • Buy-side: 4212 → 4220 • Sell-side: 4138 → 4130 Expect the typical SMC sequence: Sweep → CHoCH → Displacement → Retest → Expansion. 🔴 Sell Setup – Premium Reaction Entry: 4210 – 4212 Stop-Loss: 4220 Take-Profit: → 4160 (reaction level) → 4145 (mid-range liquidity) → 4140–4138 (discount zone retest) 📌 Only activate after a liquidity sweep + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup – Discount Reaction Entry: 4140 – 4138 Stop-Loss: 4130 Take-Profit: → 4160 (intraday reaction) → 4185 (premium edge) → 4210 (liquidity sweep target) 📌 Valid only after sell-side sweep + bullish CHoCH. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Headlines around the Fed Chair nomination may create sudden USD strength spikes—wait for structure shifts. • Avoid trading inside the chop zone 4150–4180 without clear displacement. • Treat today as a liquidity-driven session, not a directional trend day. 📝 Summary Gold is rotating between premium and discount zones as markets digest news of Kevin Hassett leading the Fed Chair race, a development that could tilt expectations toward firmer policy. Institutional players are likely to hunt liquidity above 4210 or below 4140 before committing to direction. Key Levels Today (26/11) 🔴 Sell Zone: 4210–4212 🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138 Prepare for: Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Still Active...XAUUSD – Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Still Active, Continue to Prioritise Buying at POC I maintain the view that the current dominant trend is buying based on the inverse head–and–shoulders structure, and the bullish wave is not yet complete. The plan is to wait for price to retrace into the POC zone to re-enter with the trend, avoiding chasing buys at the highs. 🎯 Main Scenario – BUY THE DIP AT POC Buy: 4,133 – 4,130 SL: 4,123 TP: 4,155 – 4,178 – 4,200 – 4,250 – extended targets if momentum remains strong For me, total risk per trade never exceeds 1–2% of the account. A good setup with poor risk management is still a bad trade. 1. Fundamental Context Gold is maintaining its upward momentum, trading near its highest levels in about two weeks. The US Dollar is weakening as markets increase bets on the Fed cutting rates soon, following data showing continued cooling in inflation. Lower yields and a softer USD reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, supporting the flow back into safe-haven assets. With this backdrop, I do not prioritise large sell setups. Most pullbacks are mainly opportunities for me to accumulate long positions. 2. Technical Analysis & Market Sentiment On the H1 timeframe, gold has formed and activated an inverse head–and–shoulders pattern, confirming a bullish reversal phase. Price is retracing to retest the POC zone around 4,133–4,130, overlapping the previous accumulation area where heavy sell orders were absorbed. This is the zone I prioritise for buying. Below this lies a deeper FVG acting as secondary support; however, I’m not waiting for price to drop too far to avoid missing the core move of the pattern. Regarding price behavior, recent pullbacks have been absorbed quickly, with multiple long-wick candles showing buyers are still in control. I’m waiting for a clean pullback into POC with a strong bullish reaction to trigger the entry. 3. Action Plan Only enter positions when price returns to the 4,133–4,130 zone — absolutely no FOMO buying at higher levels. Take partial profits at 4,155 – 4,178 – 4,200 – 4,250, leaving the remaining position open if gold continues to extend its bullish leg. If price breaks below 4,123 and closes under that level, I will cut the trade immediately and reassess the structure — never hold on to a bias when the market has changed. If this analysis is helpful, follow my TradingView channel and leave your comments. I always read feedback to improve and refine my future posts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H4 Trend Structure Awaiting BreakoutXAUUSD – H4 Trend Structure Awaiting Breakout Brian – Strategy to Buy on Pullback in Uptrend Channel I. Strategy Summary Gold continues its uptrend on H4, supported by the upward trendline from the 3,880–3,900 region. The price is testing the resistance zone of 4,133–4,150, coinciding with the H4 supply and descending trendline, making short-term corrections likely. Main strategy: wait for a pullback to support/FVG to buy with the trend, avoid FOMO buying at resistance. Key levels to note: closing below 4,000 weakens the uptrend structure; below 3,884 risks shifting to a medium-term downtrend. II. Macro Context Unemployment Claims (weekly unemployment benefits): Forecast: 226K Previous: 220K Higher-than-expected figures → indicate a weakening labor market, cooling economy, increasing the likelihood of the Fed easing sooner → real yields decrease, supporting gold. Better-than-expected figures (lower than forecast) → support USD and bond yields, potentially causing short-term pressure on gold. Geopolitical: Trump's statement on easing "deadline" pressure for Russia–Ukraine negotiations ("the deadline will be when the issue is resolved") helps the market worry less about a hard deadline, but conflict risks remain. The demand for gold as a safe haven remains stable, not overly inflated but also unlikely to disappear entirely. III. Fundamental Picture Expectations for a rate cut cycle in 2025 continue to support gold as the market gradually prices in lower real interest rates in the medium to long term. The demand for holding defensive assets persists amid slowing global growth and unresolved geopolitical hotspots. In the short term, USD and US bond yields remain the two leading variables; any USD recovery can pull gold back to technical support areas, creating opportunities for buy-on-dip strategies. IV. Technical Structure – H4 Trend Channel & FVG Zone On H4, the price is moving within an uptrend channel, with the support trendline respected multiple times since the end of last month. Above is the descending trendline connecting the nearest peaks, creating a price compression zone as the market approaches the 4,133–4,150 area. This is a confluence resistance zone: The nearest swing high. H4 supply zone. Intersection with the descending trendline. Notable price zones: Resistance: 4,133–4,150 – a zone that may trigger short-term profit-taking and create a correction. Near support/FVG: 4,078–4,080 – FVG zone combined with support after the previous breakout. Psychological support: 4,000 – if H4 closes below this area, the uptrend structure weakens. Medium-term reversal level: 3,884 – closing below here opens the risk of shifting entirely to a medium-term downtrend. V. Trading Plan Scenario 1 – Buy with the Trend (Priority) Idea: wait for a shallow pullback to near support in the H4 uptrend channel and then buy. Entry: 4,111–4,114 SL: 4,005 TP: 4,133 – 4,150 – 4,172 – 4,190 Scenario 2 – Buy Deep at FVG Zone Idea: if a stronger pullback to FVG 4,078–4,080 occurs, take advantage of the good price zone to buy. Entry: 4,078–4,080 SL: 4,073 TP: 4,100 – 4,115 – 4,142 VI. Risk Management & Notes Limit opening new orders at the time of Unemployment Claims announcement due to potential volatility and spread widening. If H4 closes below 4,000, reassess all current buy positions. If H4/Daily closes below 3,884, consider the medium-term uptrend structure broken; prioritize staying out to observe or wait for a new downtrend scenario instead of continuing to look for buying points.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
A Short Gold Sell Opportunity You Can't MissLooking at the chart, gold continues to move steadily within a clear downtrend channel, with each peak and trough forming progressively lower levels over time. Currently, the price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel and interacting with the same resistance area where sellers have stepped in multiple times before, forcing the market to reverse. This behavior strongly indicates that the potential for a continued corrective move downward, in line with the main trend, remains intact. With this in mind, I believe a price decline toward the 4,080 level is a reasonable and logical target for the current correction. As long as the price hasn’t clearly broken through the upper boundary of the channel, I will continue to favor the scenario where the bearish trend remains dominant, viewing any upward movement as a mere pullback within the overall structure. This is not financial advice, but simply my personal perspective based on the current price action.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LauraCharts
Gold Holds Near 2-Week Highs as USD Softens Ahead of Fed CutsGold continues to trade firmly near recent highs as the USD weakens amid growing expectations of a Fed rate cut in December. The earlier pullback was mostly driven by stronger risk appetite in equities, not by gold weakness itself — meaning the macro bullish backdrop remains intact. With markets now pricing: 76% chance of a December rate cut, and almost 90 bps of cuts by end-2026, the broader environment continues to favour upside on dips. 📊 Technical Outlook – MMF Style (H1/H2) Price has respected the ascending trendline drawn from the early-week swing low and is now pushing above the 0.618–0.786 retracement zone. Key Levels BUY Zone 1: 4,132 – 4,149 (Fibo 0.382–0.618 + demand) BUY Zone 2: Trendline retest area Target Zone: 4,188 – 4,195 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extension) Structure is currently bullish, with clear higher highs and higher lows. A retracement into 4,14x before continuation higher is the most probable scenario. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan (Intraday) Primary Setup – BUY Dip Continuation BUY: 4,132 – 4,149 SL: 4,121 TP: → 4,168 → 4,185 → 4,192 – major extension target Alternative Scenario – Break & Hold Above 4,170 If price consolidates above 4,170, expect a direct push toward 4,19x without a deep pullback. Bearish Scenario (Low probability for now) Only valid if price breaks below trendline + closes under 4,128. Target would be a deeper correction toward 4,10x — but this is not the base case. 🧠 MMF View Gold’s structure + macro narrative → bullish trend intact. The market is clearly positioning ahead of possible December policy easing — dips into 4,13x–4,14x remain attractive opportunities. “In a rate-cut environment, gold tends to trend — the only task is to buy from strength, not chase.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD: Gold Bullish, Watch for Pullback to 4,150-4,130⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 26/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After a strong upward trend and breaking the resistance zone of 4,096 USD, gold enters a technical correction phase to reaccumulate liquidity. The price is currently fluctuating around the 4,150 USD area, serving as a crucial pivot to confirm whether the bullish structure will continue or require a deeper retracement. 📊 Technical Structure 4,150 USD (Mid Support): quick reaction zone, potential for short-term buy orders (scalp). OB (4,130 USD): priority BUY Zone, confluence with 0.5 Fibo – main rebalancing area. Support Base (4,096 USD): Break–Resistance zone, maintaining the medium-term bullish trend structure. Target Expansion: 4,181 → 4,202 → 4,211 → 4,235 – 4,242 USD. 💎 Key Levels 🟢 Support Zones: • 4,096 USD – main structural base. • 4,130 USD – main OB (priority BUY). • 4,150 USD – intraday pivot, quick reaction for scalping. 🔴 Resistance Zones: • 4,181 USD – short-term resistance. • 4,202 USD – intermediate balancing zone. • 4,211 USD – expansion zone (1.272 Fibo). • 4,235 – 4,242 USD – extended supply zone (1.618), prone to profit-taking reactions. 🎯 Market Outlook 1️⃣ Priority Scenario:  – Price lightly pulls back to the 4,150 USD area, potential for quick reaction.  – If it breaks through 4,150, the 4,130 USD (OB) zone will be the balancing point for a stronger recovery.  – Expansion targets: 4,181 → 4,211 → 4,242 USD. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario:  – If the price breaks below 4,096 USD, the short-term bullish structure becomes invalid, shifting to a neutral state. 🧠 Analyst’s View 4,150 USD is the "stepping stone" between the OB zone and short-term resistance – where the market decides to continue or accumulate deeper. A reasonable strategy is to monitor quick reactions at 4,150 (scalp) and prioritize clear buy opportunities at 4,130 (OB) if the price retraces deeply. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is rebalancing within an uptrend – avoid hasty actions without clear candle or cash flow confirmation. Analysis is technical & educational, not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
LANA_M2 XAUUSD – WAIT FOR A PULLBACK TO BUY WITH THE UPTREND ...LANA_M2 XAUUSD – WAIT FOR A PULLBACK TO BUY WITH THE UPTREND 1. Fundamental Analysis Gold continues its bullish momentum and has just formed a two-week high as expectations for an early FOMC rate cut strengthen. Weaker U.S. economic data, cooling bond yields, and pressure on the USD are supporting gold, both from real-yield dynamics and safe-haven demand. With this outlook, Lana prefers waiting for a mild correction before buying with the trend, instead of chasing buys at higher prices. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, the market structure has shifted to bullish with consecutive BOS, confirming buyer control. FVG demand zones around 4100 and 4080 are acting as support, aligning with key swing lows after BOS. The upper zone around 4180–4200 is an FVG supply area and a premium/ resistance zone where price may react with a short-term pullback. With Fibonacci confluence, 4103–4105 and 4086–4088 match the 50–61.8% retracement of the latest bullish leg — ideal for waiting for a pullback to buy. 3. Key Price Zones Support / Discount (Demand & FVG): 4103 – 4105 4086 – 4088 Resistance / Premium (Supply & FVG): 4165 – 4194 – 4202 4. Trade Setups ⭐ Primary Scenario – Buy with the Trend Buy entry: 4103 – 4105 SL: 3998 TP: 4115 – 4130 – 4165 – 4190 ⭐ Alternative Scenario – Deep Buy at Lower FVG Buy entry: 4086 – 4088 SL: 4080 TP: 4100 – 4125 – 4146 – 4170 – 4190 ⭐ Short-term Reversal – Sell at Premium Zone Sell entry: 4194 SL: 4202 TP: 4177 – 4150 – 4132 – 4110 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to get the earliest gold analysis updates. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold 1 Day Time Frame 🔎 Current Context 1. Gold currently trades around US $4,160–4,165/oz. 2. Many technical-analysis services show daily momentum as bullish: moving averages, RSI/MACD and other indicators point toward a positive bias. 3. But macro factors (strong USD, Fed policy, global risk sentiment) remain important and may cause sharp swings. ⚠️ What to Watch Out For Volatility: Gold remains sensitive to macro events — USD strength, rate expectations, major economic data — so price can easily break support/resistance zones. False Breakouts: Even if price crosses a level, it may revert quickly. Combine with other indicators (volume, price action, confirmations) before acting. Trend Shifts: A major change in global risk sentiment or central-bank moves can rapidly change trend direction, invalidating technical levels.
CITYINDEX:GOLDCFDLong
by Knowledgehub
XAU/USD: Gold Bullish, Waiting for Perfect Buy Pullback📊 Market Structure Gold is maintaining a strong bullish structure after a series of BoS from the bottom region. The most recent rally broke the 4,130 mark and continues to hold above the small OB area, indicating that the BUY side is still in control. Currently, the price is slightly retracing to retest the structure — the target is to test the area: • OB 4,130 – 4,126 USD • Or deeper to FVG 4,104 – 4,089 USD In both cases, these are discount areas to continue BUYING according to the main trend. The larger trend still targets the upper liquidity levels including: • 4,151 • 4,181 • 4,207 • 4,243 💎 Key Technical Zones • OB Retest Zone: 4,130 – 4,126 (quick bounce area) • FVG Zone: 4,104 – 4,089 (best discount area to BUY) • Large Bearish OB: 4,045 – 4,060 (final area if price adjusts deeply) • Target Zones: 4,151 – 4,181 – 4,207 – 4,243 🎯 Trading Plan – BUY (priority) 1️⃣ BUY 1 – Retest OB 4,130 • Entry: 4,126 – 4,131 • SL: below 4,115 • TP1: 4,151 • TP2: 4,181 • TP3: 4,207 • TP4: 4,243 → This is a quick setup – for a short retracement before continuing. 2️⃣ BUY 2 – FVG 4,104 – 4,089 (best) • Entry: 4,089 – 4,104 • SL: 4,070 • TP1: 4,151 • TP2: 4,181 • TP3: 4,207 • TP4: 4,243 → This FVG area is a strong confluence: fibo, small demand, and trendline. 3️⃣ BUY 3 – OB Bearish shift (deep entry) • Entry: 4,045 – 4,060 • SL: 4,020 • TP1: 4,104 • TP2: 4,151 • TP3: 4,207 → Only activate when the market shakes strongly, but RR is extremely good. 🎯 SELL Scalp (secondary – only short trades) Only SELL when the price reaches strong resistance areas and rejection signals appear: • 4,151 • 4,181 • 4,207 • 4,243 Entry SELL: only enter when there is H1 rejection SL: 10–15 USD TP: back to 4,151 → 4,130 → This is counter-trend, not a priority setup. 🧠 Vincent’s View The overall trend is still bullish. The current retracements are just a “breathing phase” – the market is accumulating energy to continue pushing up to higher liquidity areas. As long as the price stays above 4,089 – the bullish trend is not threatened. “Smart Money buys the dip — Retail buys the breakout.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Essential Guide to Support and Resistance 1️⃣ The Importance of Support and Resistance in the Highly Volatile Crypto Market - The cryptocurrency market operates 24/7/365 and shows significantly higher volatility than traditional financial markets. This volatility creates exceptional profit opportunities but also triggers intense fear and greed, placing substantial psychological pressure on traders. - Support and resistance act as critical reference points within this chaos, highlighting areas where price is likely to react. Beyond technical analysis, they reflect the collective psychology of traders. Understanding them is essential for long-term success in crypto trading. 2️⃣ The Nature of Support and Resistance and Their Psychological Foundation Support and resistance form where buying and selling pressures clash strongly enough to slow down or halt price movement. Support: At this level, buyers perceive the asset as “cheap enough” and are willing to enter, forming a psychological and structural barrier against further decline. Traders previously stuck in losing positions may sell at breakeven, adding layered reactions around these levels. Resistance: At this level, sellers believe the asset is “expensive enough” and reduce exposure, while trapped traders near the top may sell with a “better late than never” mentality, limiting further upward movement. ※ The Meaning of Breakouts and Fakeouts - When support breaks, active buyers may panic and trigger stop-loss selling. Conversely, breaking resistance often invites aggressive buyers, accelerating the trend. - However, many breakouts turn into fakeouts, designed to exploit trader psychology. Avoid jumping in too early without confirmation. 3️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Models Explained 📈 Trendlines & Accumulation Zones: Market Structure and Trader Expectations - Trendlines visually represent collective expectations of future price direction. - Touching an uptrend line triggers “buy the dip” psychology. - Touching a downtrend line reinforces the belief that price “cannot move higher.” - Accumulation Boxes mark areas where buying and selling pressures stabilize. Traders plan around these zones, driven by the mindset of “waiting for the breakout” to catch meaningful moves. drive.google.com 📈 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Market Inefficiency & Smart Money Footprints An FVG forms when price moves too quickly through a zone, leaving an unfilled “price gap.” These gaps often represent sudden activity from Smart Money (institutions, whales). Gap Filling: Markets naturally avoid leaving inefficiencies unresolved. When price returns to an FVG, the entities responsible for the original move may adjust or reopen positions, creating support or resistance. Newer traders can observe FVGs as footprints of Smart Money and plan reactions accordingly. drive.google.com 📈 Moving Averages (MA): Collective Sentiment & Trend Direction MAs reflect the average price the market perceives over time. Because MAs are widely monitored, they naturally form psychological support and resistance. Short-term MA (e.g., 50MA): Tracks short-term sentiment. Price below → worry about trend weakening. Price above → renewed optimism. Long-term MA (e.g., 200MA): Represents long-term sentiment. Price below 200MA → fear of prolonged downtrend. Price above 200MA → hope for sustained bullishness. When acting as support/resistance, MAs reflect strong collective agreement. drive.google.com 📈 POC (Point of Control) – Volume Profile: Market Consensus & Volume Strength POC is the price level with the highest trading volume within a given range — the market’s strongest consensus level. Price below POC: POC becomes strong resistance. Buyers stuck in losing positions may sell at breakeven, strengthening resistance. Price above POC: POC turns into solid support. Buyers believe price should not fall below this level. POC often reflects the market’s “expected value” and the area where loss-aversion psychology is strongest. drive.google.com 📈 Fibonacci: Natural Order & Human Expectations - Fibonacci retracement applies golden ratio mathematics to charts, reflecting where traders expect reversals and forming support/resistance. - These levels work not by magic but because many traders plan trades around them — collective behavior creates real reactions. - Levels like 0.5 and 0.618 carry psychological significance, often seen as optimal buying or selling opportunities. drive.google.com 📈 CME Gap: Institutional Movement & Mean Reversion Behavior CME gaps occur in Bitcoin futures due to institutional trading hours. When spot price moves over the weekend while futures are closed, gaps form. Gap Filling: These gaps represent time periods without institutional activity, encouraging the market to “normalize” abnormal price areas. Traders commonly expect gaps to be filled eventually, turning them into potential support/resistance zones. drive.google.com 4️⃣ Managing Trading Psychology Through Support and Resistance Even the best tools are useless without psychological discipline. Confirmation Bias & Stop-Loss Discipline - Ignoring losses due to selective perception leads to failure. - When support breaks, accept the invalidation and exit decisively. Overbought/Oversold Psychology & FOMO - Avoid chasing price upward out of fear of missing out. - In crashes, resist panic-selling at the bottom. - Rely on your structured support/resistance rules. Scaling Into Trades - Avoid buying everything at one support level—or selling everything at one resistance level. - Scaling entries across multiple levels increases psychological stability and reduces the impact of misjudgment. 5️⃣ Building a Complete Strategy & Practical Application Tips Confluence Creates Strongest Levels When multiple support/resistance signals overlap (e.g., Fibonacci 0.618 + 200MA + POC + FVG), these zones become significantly stronger because they reflect collective trader agreement. Volume Confirms Support/Resistance Strength High volume validates a level's importance. A reliable breakout requires strong volume, showing clear market participation and intent. Develop Your Own Trading Plan Do not follow every model blindly. Choose indicators and methods that fit your style, and create clear trading rules. Discipline with your own system leads to psychological stability and long-term success. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FX:XAUUSD
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – November 26, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis D1 (Daily) Daily momentum is deeply inside the overbought zone, meaning the probability of a bearish reversal is very high—possibly today or tomorrow. This upcoming downward phase will align with the next downward cycle of D1 momentum. H4 H4 momentum is currently rising. Therefore, price may: • Continue with another upward push, or • Move sideways to push H4 momentum into the overbought zone. H1 H1 momentum is preparing to turn downward, suggesting that a short-term bearish move on H1 may appear very soon. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1 The overall D1 structure remains unchanged from the previous plan. The only difference is that D1 momentum has pushed deeper into the overbought region, increasing the likelihood of a reversal either today or tomorrow. H4 Price is forming a green ABC corrective structure, and it appears price is approaching the final stage of wave C (green). With H4 momentum turning upward, price may still produce: • One more small push upward, or • A mild sideways upward drift to complete wave C. H1 On H1, price is forming a 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5, black). This creates two possible interpretations: Scenario 1 (Primary Expectation) This 5-wave pattern represents wave C (green) inside the ABC correction of wave 2 (red). → Since wave C is always a 5-wave structure, this scenario is fully consistent with Elliott Wave rules and remains our main working count. Scenario 2 The 5-wave structure is actually the beginning of a new trend, potentially forming wave 1 of a larger bullish cycle. Although there isn’t enough evidence to support this scenario yet, the mere presence of a clean 5-wave structure means we must keep this possibility in mind. ________________________________________ 3. Relationship Between D1 Momentum & Wave Structure The previous downward and upward swings inside wave Y (purple) on D1 correspond almost perfectly with the downward and upward cycles of D1 momentum. D1 is now overbought and preparing to turn down. ➡️ Therefore, the upcoming corrective decline is extremely important. Case 1 – Price holds above 4021 If D1 momentum reaches oversold territory and turns upward without price breaking below 4021, then: • The current 5-wave structure may represent wave 1, • The upcoming decline will be wave 2, • When D1 momentum turns upward → wave 2 finishes. Case 2 – Price breaks below 4020 If D1 momentum reverses upward from oversold but price breaks below 4020: • The current 5-wave structure is wave C (green), • Price will extend downward to complete wave Y, • Wave Y completes when D1 momentum turns upward again. 🎯 In both scenarios, the next key move is still a downward leg. ________________________________________ 4. Wave C Target Levels Yesterday, two targets were provided: • 4158 • 4184 – 4193 Price already hit 4158, then reversed strongly, producing 300 pips profit. We now expect the remaining target 4184 – 4193 to act as the primary sell zone. ________________________________________ 5. Trading Plan 📍 Sell Zone: 4184 – 4185 • SL: 4205 • TP1: 4123 • TP2: 4081 • TP3: 4020
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
WHICH SIDE TO CHOOSE TODAY — BUY OR SELL?1. Quick Market Context PPI, Core PPI, and Retail Sales came in weak → low inflation → Fed may cut rates in December. Price has broken out of the H4 accumulation zone → BUY bias for today. Tonight we have Unemployment Claims → if the data is higher → XAU tends to continue rising. ✅ MAIN STRATEGY – BUY ON DIP 📌 All setups follow SL 100 pips – TP 100 pips 🎯 BUY ZONE 1 (Primary Entry) 4130 – 4136 → Open BUY. → Retest zone after breakout. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🎯 BUY ZONE 2 (Major Support Zone) 4108 – 4113 → Strong BUY zone. → If broken → deeper correction possible. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🔵 POTENTIAL BUY ZONES (SWING ENTRIES) Use for bottom-picking with flexible RR (1:1, 1:2, 1:3, 1:4...) 4100 – 4102 4092 – 4094 4088 4060 – 4066 → For swing setups: SL/TP depends on larger RR (not fixed 10 pips). ❌ SECONDARY STRATEGY – SELL REACTION (COUNTERTREND / QUICK SCALP) 📌 SELL setups also follow SL 10 pips – TP 10 pips. 🎯 SELL ZONE 1 (Strongest Reaction Area) 4192 – 4195 → Short SELL for quick reaction. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🎯 SELL ZONE 2 4200 – 4202 → Psychological resistance → SELL scalp. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🎯 SELL ZONE (Fibo Extension) 4180 – 4187 → Short-term SELL for a small pullback. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🔶 BI / INVALIDATION ZONES If price breaks these levels → short-term trend shifts: Break below 4108 → BUY invalid → potential drop to 4100 / 4092. Break above 4202 → SELL invalid → upside extension toward 4215 – 4220. ⚠️ Risk Management Manage your capital strictly, observe market reactions, and adjust accordingly. This plan is for reference only, not financial advice. Trade responsibly. Have a good day, guys!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
Daily Macro, Market Mood Swings, and the Stories Behind the NoisGlobal Markets: Three’s a Trend Global stocks pushed higher for a third straight session on Tuesday, fueled by growing confidence that the Federal Reserve will slip in a December rate cut like an early holiday present. U.S. Treasury yields eased as well, giving investors one more reason to feel optimistic — or at least less grumpy. Wall Street’s Tech Glow-Up Over on Wall Street, stocks climbed with the help of Silicon Valley’s usual superheroes — Alphabet and Meta. Google’s parent company surged 1.53% to a record close of $323.44, inching closer to the absolutely casual milestone of $4 trillion in market cap. The Dollar Takes a Tumble The dollar index dropped 0.44% as weaker-than-expected U.S. data — including September retail sales, core PPI, and ADP employment — boosted bets on a December Fed cut. Add in falling bond yields (with the 10-year sliding to a 3.5-week low of 3.987%), plus consumer confidence hitting a 7-month low, and the dollar had all the reasons it needed to slump politely into a corner. Retail sales rose just 0.2% versus the expected 0.4%, reminding everyone that the American consumer may finally be getting tired of carrying the global economy on their back. The Fed Repricing Whiplash & Consumer Mood Swings Markets have repriced December rate-cut expectations with the grace of a roller coaster: from the low 30% range to 90% an hour ago, now cooling at 87%. A month ago? Also 90% — before collapsing and then bouncing back. The main culprit: nonstop Fed commentary, proving once again that “forward guidance” is more of a suggestion than a plan. Meanwhile, fresh U.S. sentiment data didn’t help the mood. The headline index missed badly at 88.7 (vs 93.3 expected), current conditions hit the lowest since 2021, and future expectations slid to their April 2025 low — courtesy of stubborn inflation worries and rising job-income anxiety. Global Highlights: Gold Glitters, Rupee Stutters & Data Storm Ahead Germany delivered a flat Q3 GDP print, which, considering last quarter’s contraction, counts as… stability. Gold edged up 0.3% to $4,150.09 as weak retail sales strengthened the case for a December cut. Global equities mostly turned green, shrugging off AI-overinvestment and debt concerns as if the Fed’s 25-bps cut-in-waiting is a magic eraser. India, however, bucked the trend: the Sensex fell 314 points and the Nifty slipped 75. The rupee ended nearly unchanged at 89.22 as importer demand offset regional currency strength. Today’s data docket is a global buffet — Australia CPI, New Zealand rate decision, Japan’s BoJ core CPI, a heavy U.S. lineup (GDP, durables, core PCE, spending, home sales, jobless claims), plus ECB’s Lagarde and Lane holding the mic in the Eurozone.
NSE:BANKNIFTY1!
by rajkaz
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 25–26✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold is still in a post-rebound consolidation range. After quickly rebounding from the 4022 level, the price is currently running above the MA5 and MA10. Short-term bulls still have momentum, but the upside pressure remains strong. The price is fluctuating above the Bollinger middle band, and the bands are slightly narrowing, indicating the market is entering a range-bound consolidation phase. ✅ From the 1-hour structure, the market is in a bullish upward-shifting structure, with higher lows and higher highs. Although MA5 and MA10 show slight convergence, the price has moved back above the short-term moving averages, indicating that the bullish momentum is still dominant. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4156–4160 / 4170–4180 🟢 Support Levels: 4110–4120 / 4070–4080 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔰 Focus on Shorting on Rebounds 📍 Sell lightly around 4156–4160 🎯 Targets: 4135 / 4120 ⛔ Stop-loss: Above 4170 This zone is a strong H4 resistance area that has been tested multiple times without breaking, making it a priority area for short entries. 🔰 Buy on Pullbacks 📍 Consider long positions around 4126–4130 🎯 Targets: 4155 / 4160 /4170 ⛔ Stop-loss: Below 4115 The H1 moving-average system provides clear support. As long as 4115 holds, the bullish trend can continue. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
GOLD – 4H | Falling Wedge Structure Near BreakoutGold has been compressing inside a converging falling wedge , a pattern that typically signals waning bearish pressure and an upcoming bullish break. The structure has been developing for several weeks, with each swing clearly showing a loss of momentum from sellers and a stronger defense from buyers at progressively higher lows. The wedge is now approaching its apex, and price is pressing against the upper boundary. While this setup carries a bullish tilt, confirmation is still critical before acting. Why this structure matters This is a Converging Falling Wedge (Bullish) pattern, defined by: Sellers losing momentum on each downswing Buyers defending higher lows , tightening the structure Compression building toward the apex , creating stored energy Breakouts typically hitting the upper rail first Confirmation occurring only on a close above the last swing high In this case, the last swing high sits at 125,521 , aligning perfectly with the wedge’s upper rail. Only a sustained 4H close above 125,521 would confirm that the market has absorbed overhead supply and is ready to transition into a higher timeframe move. RSI Check RSI is trending higher but hasn’t yet signaled full breakout momentum. A push above the 60–65 zone would strengthen the bullish case and support continuation after the breakout. Trade Plan Trigger : Entry only on a sustained 4H close above 125,521 . This keeps you aligned with pattern confirmation and avoids premature entries inside compression. Upside path: A breakout could initially retest the wedge boundary before starting the projected upward leg toward higher resistance zones. Summary Gold is displaying a well-defined falling wedge with clear signs of seller exhaustion and buyer strength. The structure leans bullish, but the move needs to be validated through a confirmed break above 125,521 . Until then, the wedge remains a compression zone — not a breakout. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by WaveXplorer
Gold H1 – Pre-NFP Liquidity Hunt as US–China Tone Warms🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (25/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is approaching a key premium zone while markets react to fresh geopolitical headlines. Earlier today, Donald Trump confirmed he had a “very good call” with President Xi of China, highlighting strong bilateral relations and continued cooperation. This matters for gold because: • Warmer US–China relations often reduce geopolitical risk premiums, pressuring gold. • The timing is critical: markets are entering NFP week, a period where institutions frequently engineer liquidity grabs. • Traders may see a USD-supportive environment ahead of NFP, especially if risk sentiment stabilizes. In short, gold is sitting in a zone where liquidity sweeps are highly probable before a larger move develops. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H – SMC Structure) • Market Structure Price is climbing toward a major liquidity cluster around 4170–4172, aligning with previous equal highs and an unmitigated supply block. Below, the FVG demand zone at 4102–4100 serves as today’s discount reaction zone. • Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply) 4170 – 4172 • Buy-side liquidity sits above prior highs • Clear premium zone relative to current swing structure • Likely target for engineered sweep ahead of NFP volatility • Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand) 4102 – 4100 • FVG imbalance + BOS origin • Confluence with discount retracement levels • Strong RR for bullish reaction after sell-side sweep • Liquidity Map • Buy-side: 4172 → 4180 • Sell-side: 4100 → 4092 Expect the classic SMC sequence: Sweep → CHoCH → Displacement → Retest → Expansion. 🔴 Sell Setup – Premium Reaction Entry: 4170 – 4172 Stop-Loss: 4180 Take-Profit: → 4138 (imbalance fill) → 4115 (mid-range liquidity) → 4102–4100 (discount zone retest) 📌 Must wait for liquidity sweep + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup – Discount Reaction Entry: 4102 – 4100 Stop-Loss: 4092 Take-Profit: → 4135 (intraday reaction) → 4160 (premium edge) → 4170 (buy-side liquidity sweep) 📌 Valid only after sell-side liquidity is taken. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect extra volatility as markets price in US–China optimism ahead of NFP. • Liquidity traps are common during Asian/London sessions—wait for confirmation. • Avoid taking positions inside the chop zone 4125–4150 without structure shifts. • Treat both scenarios as liquidity plays, not trend continuation trades. 📝 Summary Gold is approaching a major liquidity pocket as geopolitical sentiment improves following Trump’s positive call with President Xi. With NFP approaching, institutions are likely to sweep liquidity above 4170 or below 4100 before establishing direction. Key Levels Today 🔴 Sell Zone: 4170–4172 🟢 Buy Zone: 4102–4100 Prepare for the typical pre-NFP pattern: Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
“BOS Confirmed — Demand Retest for Next Bullish Leg🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bullish Continuation Setup from High Probability Demand Zone 🆙 🔍 Chart Breakdown & Key Insights Price created a Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside → confirming bullish momentum ✔️ Retested the Demand Line + Support Zone → buyers defending strongly 💪 High Probability POI (previous accumulation zone) remains valid with liquidity swept below → smart money accumulation evidence 💰 Current pullback = healthy retracement into demand before potential continuation 🎯 Targets (With stickers) 🎯 Target Zone Price Region Sticker TP1 → Retest recent high 4,165 – 4,175 🎯 TP2 → Liquidity above highs / extended target 4,180 – 4,195 🚀💸 TP1 hit possibility is HIGH due to bullish structure 📈 TP2 depends on strength of breakout ⬆️ 📌 Trade Idea (High Probability Setup) 🟩 Buy Entry Zone: ➤ 4,120 – 4,130 (pullback entry at support) 🟢 Take-Profit: ➤ TP1: 4,170 – TP2: 4,190 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3+ ✔️ 🧭 Market Structure Sentiment Factor Outlook Trend Bullish 📈 Liquidity Upside still available 💧 Smart Money behavior Accumulation & continuation expected 💼 ⚠️ Just watch if price breaks below the demand line → would weaken this bullish plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27