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Weekly Candle Closes High | Prioritise Buying on Pullback to Sup🟡 XAU/USD – 22/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Quick Overview Last week, gold closed around 3,685, paving the way for further advancement and a new ATH. After the FED cut 25bps, Powell's 'brake' remarks slowed the rise, but the larger trend remains bullish. This morning, prices surged to 3,697.xx, now slightly adjusting around 3,692 – 3,690 → a sensible strategy: wait for a pullback to continue Buying. ⏩ Captain’s Summary: The gold voyage still heads North, Buying remains the main choice, but wait for a pullback to board. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone): Thin support: ~3,698 (recently broken old range top). OB Dock: 3,687 – 3,690. FVG Dock: 3,672 – 3,676 (liquidity check on deep pullback). Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone): 3,714 – 3,720 (supply cluster / old ATH – likely to react). Price Structure: Continuous BoS series, price breaks short-term up channel and creates higher highs → bullish remains the main trend. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Plan (before US session) ✅ Buy (trend priority) Buy Zone 1 Entry: 3,698 – 3,701 SL: 3,688 TP: 3,706 – 3,714 – 3,720+ Buy Zone 2 (OB) Entry: 3,687 – 3,690 SL: 3,680 TP: 3,698 – 3,706 – 3,714 – 3,72x Buy Zone 3 (FVG) Entry: 3,672 – 3,676 SL: 3,664 TP: 3,687 – 3,706 – 3,714 ⚡ Sell (only scalp when overbought) Sell Zone (ATH test) Entry: 3,740 – 3,738 SL: 3,750 TP: 3,730 – 3,690 – 3,695 Captain’s Note ⚓ “The new week kicks off with a high-closing candle, the gold vessel continues its bullish course. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,690 – 3,672) is a safe anchorage for the crew to watch for Buys. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,714 – 3,720) is the wave crest where winds may rise, suitable for Quick Boarding 🚤 short scalps. Before the US session, the seas might get choppy – hold the helm tight and manage volume wisely.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves forming on H4 chart, clear correction signaHello Trader, On the H4 chart, gold is forming a quite standard Wolfe Waves pattern. The 5th wave has completed, and the price is moving into the crucial resistance zone of 3760 – 3770, which is also a potential Sell Zone. Given the current structure, the preferred scenario is a short-term downward correction before the main trend resumes. Technical Analysis The price has touched the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension and reacted with a decline, indicating profit-taking pressure. The MACD still shows the previous buying force was quite strong, but the histogram is starting to weaken, aligning with the possibility of a correction wave emerging. Area 3760 – 3770: a critical resistance zone, also coinciding with the 5th wave line of Wolfe Waves. Trading Scenario Sell order according to Wolfe Waves Entry: 3760 – 3770 SL: 3782 (above resistance zone) TP: 3710 -3660 -3610 – 3620 (key level Wolfe target) Sell when price confirms below trendline Entry 3727-3730 sl 3735 tp 3715-3700-3686-3665 Short-term Buy Scalping Entry: 3705 – 3708 SL: 3700 TP: 3720-3730 – 3745- 3766 Note: This is just a short-term retracement strategy, going against the correction, so risk management is crucial. Conclusion Short-term: Prioritise observing reversal signals at 3760 – 3770 to Sell. Medium-term: Wait for Buy opportunities around 3564 – 3574 to align with the main trend. The market is entering a distribution and correction phase, so patiently waiting for candle confirmations at key zones will be key to optimising entry. This is the Wolfe Waves scenario I propose for gold during this period. You can refer to and adjust according to your own strategy. Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Why Gold and US Bonds Move Together!Hello Traders! If you follow global markets, you’ll notice that Gold and US Bonds often move in the same direction. When one rises, the other usually does too. But why does this happen? Let’s understand the link in simple words. 1. Both Are Seen as Safe Havens In times of uncertainty, whether it’s recession fears, geopolitical tension, or market crashes, investors rush towards safety. Gold is considered a timeless store of value. US Bonds are backed by the US government, making them the safest fixed-income asset globally. So, in panic situations, both attract inflows together. 2. Driven by Interest Rates & Inflation When inflation rises or central banks cut interest rates: Bond yields fall, but bond prices rise as investors lock in fixed returns. At the same time, low yields make gold more attractive since the “opportunity cost” of holding it decreases. That’s why both often rally when interest rates are falling. 3. Dollar Weakness Adds Fuel Both gold and US bonds are influenced by the US dollar. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for global buyers, pushing prices up. Foreign investors also buy US bonds when the dollar weakens, supporting bond demand. 4. Why Traders Must Watch This Correlation If both gold and US bonds are rising, it usually signals fear and risk-off sentiment in global markets. If both are falling, it often reflects rising risk appetite, money moving back into equities. This correlation can help you gauge global market mood even before equities react. Rahul’s Tip: Don’t just watch Nifty in isolation. Keeping an eye on gold and US bonds can give you early clues about global risk sentiment. It’s like reading the heartbeat of safe-haven flows. Conclusion: Gold and US bonds move together because they serve the same purpose, safety in uncertain times . Understanding this relationship can help you read the bigger picture and prepare for market shifts more confidently. If this post helped you connect the dots, like it, share your views in comments, and follow for more global market insights!
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TraderRahulPal
3
Gold 1H – Fed Signals & Geopolitics Keep Bulls on the MoveGold on the 1H timeframe is trading around 3,705–3,710 after a strong breakout, staying within a rising channel. Liquidity is concentrated above at the premium resistance zone near 3,716–3,718, while demand is positioned lower at 3,687–3,689 and deeper at the FVG zone 3,654–3,656. Recent dovish signals from the Fed following last week’s rate cut, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions, continue to bolster safe-haven demand. However, upcoming U.S. inflation data and Fed speakers could trigger engineered moves into premium supply before retracements into discount demand zones. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,718–3,716 (SL 3,725): Premium resistance where liquidity sweeps may cause short-term rejections targeting 3,710 → 3,700 → 3,690. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,687–3,689 (SL 3,680): Near-term demand zone aligned with channel structure, offering a pullback entry targeting 3,695 → 3,700 → 3,715+. • 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,654–3,656 (SL 3,647): Deeper discount support, attractive for longer setups targeting 3,670 → 3,685 → 3,700+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Pullback to Demand (3,687–3,689) • Entry: 3,687–3,689 • Stop Loss: 3,680 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,695 TP2: 3,700 TP3: 3,715+. 🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Sweep (3,654–3,656) • Entry: 3,654–3,656 • Stop Loss: 3,647 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,670 TP2: 3,685 TP3: 3,700+ 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,716–3,718) • Entry: 3,718–3,716 • Stop Loss: 3,725 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,710 TP2: 3,700 TP3: 3,690. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note The Fed’s dovish stance and safe-haven flows from geopolitical risks are sustaining bullish momentum, but intraday structure suggests smart money may first engineer stop-runs into premium resistance before retracing toward demand. Maintain buy-the-dip bias at defined support zones, while cautiously fading liquidity sweeps near 3,716–3,718. Volatility could increase as markets await fresh U.S. inflation data and Fed policy remarks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Go long on gold, but be wary of potential declines.Go long on gold, but be wary of potential declines. Spot gold prices have hit consecutive record highs in the past hour. This strong rally is primarily driven by the following factors: 1: The market currently prices a 91.9% probability of another Fed rate cut in October. This expectation will depress the US dollar and real yields, thereby increasing gold's appeal. 2: Friday's release of US core PCE inflation data will be a key factor. If the data shows slowing inflation, it will further reinforce expectations of rate cuts, which will benefit gold. Key Support: Safe-Haven Demand: Ongoing geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainty are driving investors to allocate gold as a safe-haven asset. Currency Market Signals: Gold's rise is primarily driven by demand from central banks and Asia, while Western investors are also increasing their gold holdings through channels such as gold ETFs. Simply put, the current gold market presents a situation where "long-term logic is sound" and "short-term technical overbought" coexist. Key Strategy: Follow the trend, but be wary of pullbacks. The current market trend is bullish, so the strategy should primarily focus on buying dips, avoiding blindly speculating on tops and shorting. However, we must also be prepared for possible technical pullbacks. Buy on Dips (Primary Strategy) This strategy is suitable for entering the market when gold prices moderately retreat from their highs and find support before rising again. Timing of Entry: Best entry: When prices retreat to the $3705-3710 area (strong support during the Asian and European trading sessions) and a bullish candlestick pattern (such as a hammer or bullish engulfing candlestick pattern) appears on the 5-minute or 15-minute chart. Second option: Enter after a strong breakout above the previous intraday high (such as $3726), and a minor pullback confirms this move. A more conservative option: Enter if prices experience a deep pullback to the more critical support level of $3685-3695 (the resistance-turned-support level broken yesterday), then stabilize and rebound. Stop-loss Setting: Set your stop-loss $5-8 below your entry price. For example, if you go long at $3710, set your stop-loss at $3702. The absolute bottom line: Stop-loss should not be set below $3673 (the bull-bear watershed). If it falls below, the short-term trend may weaken. Target Price Levels: First target: $3730-3735 (a new all-time high to attract buying). Second target: $3740-3750 (a psychological round number). Use a trailing stop: As the price moves in your favor, gradually raise your stop-loss to protect your profits. Data Risk: Friday's US core PCE price index is the biggest variable.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja_rb
XAUUSD – Gold Trading Plan: Fresh Record Highs & Fibo Zone React📊 Market Context Gold regained strong bullish momentum on Monday, surging to a new record high above 3,720 USD/oz. The Fed’s dovish outlook, signaling the possibility of two additional rate cuts this year, continues to support non-yielding assets like gold. At the same time, geopolitical risks remain a tailwind for safe-haven demand. 🔢 Technical Analysis (H2) Immediate Resistance / SELL Zones: 3,818.769 – Key reaction zone where sellers may defend aggressively. 3,754.890 – Secondary SELL zone reaction area for short-term pullbacks. Mid-Level Support / BUY Zone: 3,694.521 – First key area to watch for dips and potential buy reactions. 3,660.130 – Stronger support level if price pulls back deeper. Major BUY Zone Reaction: 3,583.663 – Critical confluence of structure and Fibonacci support, a potential bounce zone if a major correction unfolds. 📈 Suggested Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Setup BUY: Look for pullbacks to 3,694–3,660 with bullish candlestick confirmation. Targets: 3,754 → 3,818, leave partial position open if momentum breaks higher. Stop Loss: Below 3,645 for safer positioning. 2️⃣ Countertrend SELL Setup SELL: Enter short at 3,754–3,818 zones only with strong rejection signals. Targets: 3,694 → 3,660, trail stops aggressively to lock profits. 3️⃣ Deep Correction Opportunity BUY: If price flushes to 3,583–3,585, consider scaling into longs. Targets: 3,660 → 3,754, aligning with the broader uptrend. ⚠ Key Trading Notes Expect increased volatility with Fed guidance and ongoing geopolitical risks. Use smaller position sizes near resistance zones and employ stop-loss discipline. Avoid mid-range entries; focus on well-defined zones for optimal risk-to-reward setups. 💬 Community Discussion 📊 Will gold sustain its rally toward 3,818 or see a deep pullback before another leg higher? Share your charts and insights below so we can compare strategies!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold's Rally Continues: Why a Fed Cut Isn't Slowing It DownHello, traders! Gold started the new week on an impressive note, trading at $3,685 in early Monday's session. The main drivers are the market's continued reaction to the Fed's recent rate cut and escalating geopolitical events. So, the big question is, how far will this rally go? Fundamental Analysis: Why Is Gold Still Soaring? Although the Fed cut interest rates by 0.25%—the first time in 2025—Chair Jerome Powell maintained a cautious stance, calling it a "risk management cut." While this initially caused some market jitters, in the long run, lower interest rates are a strong supporting factor for gold. Lower Rates: They reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is a non-yielding asset. Geopolitical Tensions: Conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East are escalating, boosting safe-haven demand. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reported that Russia carried out a major drone and missile attack, reaffirming gold's role as a protective asset against global risks. Technical Analysis: Breaking Resistance, The Uptrend Continues Gold had a powerful rally at the start of the week, successfully breaking the key resistance zone at $370x. The price is currently hovering around $3720 with a slight correction, but the uptrend remains firmly intact. Outlook: Given the strong upward momentum, short-selling (going short) with a tight stop-loss is extremely risky. We will continue to prioritize long positions (going long) as long as gold holds above the $370x level. Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): BUY SCALP Zone: $3413 - $3711 SL: $3407 TP: $3716 - $3721 - $3726 - $3731 - $3741 BUY ZONE Zone: $3700 - $3798 SL: $3790 TP: $3708 - $3718 - $3728 - $3738 - $3758 SELL ZONE Zone: $3734 - $3736 SL: $3744 TP: $3726 - $3716 - $3706 - $3796 - $3779 The market is showing unpredictable volatility. Can gold overcome all barriers and set new records? Share your opinion in the comments below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #USD #Geopolitics
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading1. Introduction to Option Trading Option trading is one of the most fascinating areas of financial markets. Unlike buying shares of a company, where you directly own a piece of the business, option trading gives you the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an underlying asset (like stocks, indices, currencies, or commodities) at a specific price within a specific period. This flexibility makes options powerful tools for hedging, speculation, and income generation. However, the same flexibility also makes them risky if not handled with proper knowledge. Many beginners are drawn to the huge profit potential in options, but without understanding the risks, they often lose money quickly. 2. What Are Options? Basic Concepts An option is a financial derivative contract. It derives its value from an underlying asset (like Reliance shares, Nifty index, gold, crude oil, or even USD/INR). When you buy an option, you’re not buying the asset itself; you’re buying the right to transact in that asset at a pre-decided price, called the strike price. Example: Suppose you buy a Call Option for Reliance at ₹2500 strike price, valid for 1 month. If Reliance’s stock rises to ₹2600, you can exercise your right to buy at ₹2500 (cheaper than market). If Reliance falls to ₹2400, you can simply let the option expire worthless (you don’t have to buy). This right-without-obligation feature is what makes options unique. 3. Key Terms in Option Trading Before diving deeper, let’s decode the important terminology: Strike Price – The fixed price at which you may buy/sell the underlying. Expiry Date – The date when the option contract ends. Premium – The cost you pay to buy the option. Lot Size – Options are traded in fixed quantities (e.g., Nifty option = 50 units per lot). Underlying Asset – The stock, index, or commodity on which the option is based. Exercise – The act of using your right to buy or sell at strike price. Settlement – How the trade is closed (cash settlement or physical delivery). 4. Types of Options (Call & Put) Call Option A Call Option gives you the right (not obligation) to buy the underlying at a fixed strike price before expiry. Buyers of Calls = Bullish (expect price to rise). Sellers of Calls = Bearish/Neutral (expect price to stay same or fall). Put Option A Put Option gives you the right (not obligation) to sell the underlying at a fixed strike price before expiry. Buyers of Puts = Bearish (expect price to fall). Sellers of Puts = Bullish/Neutral (expect price to stay same or rise).
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
"Bullish Breakout Potential for Gold (XAU/USD) Above Key ?Key Observations: The price is currently rising and is reaching a key resistance level. A potential breakout is shown above the resistance at approximately 3,723. A blue support zone between 3,686 and 3,690 suggests that the price has recently bounced off this level, implying bullish momentum. The target price shown in the chart (with the green box) is positioned around 3,730, indicating that the trader is expecting further upward movement. The stop-loss is placed just below the support zone, around 3,672, which suggests that the trader is managing risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
Gold Demand Zone Holding – Upside Potential Toward 3710!Gold is currently testing a demand zone around 3640–3650 , which aligns well with moving average support. As long as this zone holds, price action favors a potential bounce toward the falling trendline and eventually the key resistance area near 3710 . Short-term buyers may look for confirmation inside the demand zone before positioning, while a breakdown below 3614 would invalidate this setup. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TraderRahulPal
2
XAUUSD – Strategic Selling Zone and Detailed Trading ScenarioTechnical Analysis Gold (XAUUSD) is experiencing a strong upward trend and has now reached the Fibonacci extension zone of 1.618 – 2.618, a region often associated with profit-taking and short-term distribution. Sell Zone Fibo 2.618 (3,730–3,735): The first potential supply area, if a bearish confirmation candle appears on H1/H4, a corrective phase is likely to commence. Sell Zone Swing (3,745–3,750): A strong supply zone confluencing with multiple Fibonacci extensions, posing a higher reversal risk. Short-term Buy Zone (3,690–3,700): An intermediate support area after breaking the previous peak, suitable for short-term buy orders if the price retests and confirms. Buy Swing (3,645–3,650): The main support zone, confluencing with EMA200 H1 and an old trendline, considered a 'safe buying point' if a deep correction occurs. The RSI (14) is currently at 77, indicating that the price has entered the overbought territory. Historically, whenever the RSI exceeds 75, a significant correction follows. This serves as a warning signal for traders to consider gradually taking profits on short-term Buy positions and preparing for Sell or Buy scenarios at lower price levels. Trading Scenario Scenario 1 – Sell at Supply Zone: Entry: 3,732–3,735 (Fibo 2.618) or extend to 3,745–3,750 (Sell Zone Swing) SL: above 3,740 TP1: 3,707 TP2: 3,690–3,700 (Buy Zone) TP3: 3,661 TP4: 3,645 Scenario 2 – Short-term Buy (regression scalping): Entry: 3,670–3,700 (after H1 confirmation candle) SL: below 3,690 TP1: 3,718 TP2: 3,730 Scenario 3 – Long-term Buy Swing: Entry: 3,645–3,648 (EMA200 + main support zone) SL: below 3,640 TP1: 3,690 TP2: 3,707 TP3: 3,730 Price Levels to Watch 3,730–3,750: The strongest current supply zone, suitable for a Sell scenario based on Fibonacci extensions. 3,690–3,700: Short-term Buy Zone, a crucial retest area to confirm the trend. 3,661: An intermediate level, if breached, could lead to a decline towards EMA200. 3,645: Potential Buy Swing, the main support of the upward structure. Overall Assessment The main trend on H1 remains upward; however, the current price level has entered the overbought zone, indicating a likely correction towards support before continuing the trend. The most suitable strategy at this time: Monitor for short-term Sell opportunities at the supply zone – take profits at the support zone, then wait for Buy Swing at lower levels to follow the main trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
Fed Dovish Signals & Geopolitical Tensions Boost Gold📊 Market Context Gold continues to receive solid support from the Fed’s dovish tone and rising geopolitical tensions. However, the USD has extended its rebound from multi-year lows, which may temporarily limit gold’s upside. Broader risk-on sentiment in financial markets could act as a short-term headwind for XAU/USD before the next round of Fed speeches. Still, the long-term bullish trend has re-emerged, and gold is positioned to challenge new all-time highs in the near term—an important signal for Indian traders watching for fresh momentum in precious metals. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price has broken above the descending trendline, confirming that bullish momentum has returned. Short-term support: 3686–3684, maintaining this level preserves the bullish structure. Additional support: 3670–3668, overlapping with CP and liquidity zones on the chart. Key resistance: 3720–3722, a crucial reaction level for profit-taking or liquidity sweeps. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance: 3707 ➡️ 3720 Support: 3685 ➡️ 3669 ➡️ 3658 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3686–3684 SL: 3680 TP: 3690 ➡️ 3695 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ 3705 ➡️ 3710 ➡️ 3720 ➡️ … ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3670–3668 SL: 3664 TP: 3675 ➡️ 3680 ➡️ 3690 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ … ✅ SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap Watch): 3720–3722 SL: 3726 TP: 3715 ➡️ 3710 ➡️ 3705 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ … ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Watch for false breakouts at 3720–3722 — price could sweep stops before reversing lower. Only enter longs with price action confirmation at the buy zones; avoid chasing price mid-range. Manage trade size carefully given potential volatility from Fed comments and geopolitical news. ✅ Summary Gold’s long-term bullish trend is firmly back, supported by Fed dovishness and geopolitical factors—key drivers for India’s gold market sentiment. The plan focuses on buying dips at 3686–3684 and 3670–3668 targeting 3705–3720, while short-term selling at 3720–3722 is valid if rejection appears. 📢 Stay updated with MMFLOW TRADING on TradingView for fresh market insights and actionable setups tailored for gold traders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD WEEKPLAN: UP FIRST DOWN AFTEROANDA:XAUUSD Footprint Analysis The Footprint chart provides a more detailed view of the order flow. Here are some key points: Price Pullback: The recent candles show a decrease in buying pressure (green) and an increase in selling pressure (red). Volume Footprint: The trading volume (Total) and Delta (the difference between buying and selling pressure) on each candle show the order distribution. The candle on the 19th has a negative Delta (~ -5.96 K), indicating that selling pressure is dominant, which aligns with the corrective pullback. However, there's no major volume divergence, suggesting that this may only be a typical correction. Detailed Footprint Analysis: The numbers within each candle show the number of buy orders (on the left) and sell orders (on the right) at each price level. When the price pulls back to the Imbalance or Strong OB zone, it's crucial to monitor the Footprint for signs of buying pressure returning (Delta turning positive or significant buying volume at key price levels), which would serve as a confirmation signal for a long entry. OANDA:XAUUSD General Analysis The XAUUSD market is in a strong uptrend, confirmed by the market structure: Higher Highs (HH): Each new peak is higher than the previous one. Higher Lows (HL): Each new trough is higher than the previous one. Recently, the price created a Break of Structure (BOS), breaking the previous high, which indicates a continuation of the uptrend. After the BOS, the price established a new high (HH) and is now making a corrective pullback to find a strong support zone before continuing its upward momentum. Imbalance (Fair Value Gap - FVG): This is a liquidity void created when the price moves too quickly. According to SMC theory, the market tends to return to fill this gap. Location: The price range is from ~$3660 to ~$3670 USD. Significance: This zone could act as a temporary support level. If the price returns to this area, it might fill the Imbalance and then continue to rise. Strong OB (Order Block): This is a large block of orders left behind by "Smart Money" and often serves as a strong support or resistance zone. Location: The price range is from ~$3645 to ~$3655 USD. Significance: This is the strongest support zone to consider for a long entry. The price is likely to pull back to this area, tap into the order block, and then bounce back up to continue the trend. Additionally, there are two important liquidity zones to note: Buy Side Liquidity ($$$): Located above the most recent high (~$3700 USD). The price has the potential to move up to sweep this liquidity. Sell Side Liquidity ($$$): Located below the most recent low (~$3620 USD). This zone could be swept if there is a sharp market drop, but it's highly likely that the price will respect the bullish structure and not break this low.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
6
Stock Market Gains and Related Terms1. Types of Stock Market Gains Stock market gains can be broadly classified into two types: 1.1 Capital Gains Capital gains are the profits realized when an investor sells a stock at a higher price than the purchase price. They can be: Short-Term Capital Gains (STCG): Gains from selling assets held for less than a year. Often taxed at a higher rate. Long-Term Capital Gains (LTCG): Gains from selling assets held for more than a year. Usually taxed at a lower rate. Example: You buy 100 shares of a company at ₹500 each. After a year, the price rises to ₹700. Capital gain = (700 – 500) × 100 = ₹20,000 1.2 Dividend Gains Dividends are periodic payments made by companies to shareholders from their profits. Investors earn gains without selling shares. Dividends can be: Cash Dividends: Direct cash paid to shareholders. Stock Dividends: Additional shares given instead of cash. Example: You own 100 shares, and the company pays a ₹10 per share dividend: ₹10 × 100 = ₹1,000 gain. 1.3 Total Return Total return combines capital gains and dividend gains, giving a holistic picture of the investor’s profit. Formula: Total Return = (Ending Value – Initial Investment + Dividends) / Initial Investment × 100% 2. Related Terms in Stock Market Gains Understanding stock market gains involves several interrelated concepts: 2.1 Market Capitalization Market capitalization (market cap) is the total market value of a company’s outstanding shares. It helps investors gauge the company’s size and potential for gains. Formula: Market Cap = Share Price × Number of Outstanding Shares 2.2 Earnings Per Share (EPS) EPS is a measure of a company’s profitability, calculated as: EPS = Net Income / Outstanding Shares Higher EPS often leads to stock price appreciation, contributing to capital gains. 2.3 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio) The P/E ratio measures stock valuation relative to earnings: P/E = Share Price / EPS High P/E may indicate growth potential, influencing expected gains. Low P/E may suggest undervaluation, signaling possible future gains. 2.4 Dividend Yield The dividend yield measures the dividend relative to the share price: Dividend Yield = Annual Dividend / Share Price × 100% Indicates income component of stock market gains. 2.5 Volatility Volatility represents the degree of price fluctuation in a stock. High volatility can mean higher potential gains but increased risk. 2.6 Liquidity Liquidity is the ease with which a stock can be bought or sold without affecting its price. Higher liquidity ensures investors can realize gains quickly. 2.7 Risk and Return There is a direct relationship between risk and expected return: High-risk stocks → Potential for higher gains. Low-risk stocks → Steady, smaller gains. 3. Market Factors Affecting Gains Stock market gains are influenced by macroeconomic, microeconomic, and behavioral factors. 3.1 Economic Indicators GDP growth Inflation rate Interest rates 3.2 Corporate Performance Revenue and profit growth Product launches and innovations Management efficiency 3.3 Market Sentiment Investor behavior, market trends, and news can drive short-term gains. 3.4 Global Factors Geopolitical stability Foreign investment flows Currency fluctuations 4. Investment Strategies to Maximize Gains Investors use various strategies to maximize gains: 4.1 Buy and Hold Long-term investment to capture capital appreciation and dividends. 4.2 Swing Trading Exploiting short- to medium-term price movements for gains. 4.3 Dividend Investing Focusing on high dividend-paying stocks for consistent income. 4.4 Growth Investing Investing in companies with high growth potential, expecting large capital gains. 4.5 Value Investing Buying undervalued stocks to profit as their prices reflect intrinsic value over time. 5. Measuring Stock Market Gains Investors track gains using several tools and metrics: Portfolio Value Growth Return on Investment (ROI) Alpha and Beta (Risk-adjusted return) Sharpe Ratio (Risk vs. Reward) 6. Tax Implications on Gains Gains from stock market investments are subject to taxation: Capital Gains Tax: Varies based on short-term vs. long-term holdings. Dividend Tax: Taxed as per investor’s income bracket. Wealth/Transaction Tax: Some countries impose additional charges. Understanding taxes is critical for calculating net gains. 7. Psychological and Behavioral Factors Investor behavior impacts the ability to realize gains: Greed vs. Fear: Can lead to impulsive decisions, affecting gains. Overtrading: Frequent buying and selling may reduce overall gains. Herd Mentality: Following market trends without analysis can impact profits. 8. Advanced Concepts Related to Gains 8.1 Compound Gains Reinvesting gains to generate exponential growth over time. 8.2 Leverage Using borrowed capital to increase potential gains (but also risk). 8.3 Hedging Strategies to protect gains against market downturns using derivatives like options and futures. 8.4 Diversification Spreading investments across sectors and asset classes to stabilize gains. 9. Case Study Example Investor A: Buys 200 shares of XYZ Ltd. at ₹100. Receives ₹5 per share dividend annually. Stock price rises to ₹150 in 2 years. Calculation: Capital Gain = (150 – 100) × 200 = ₹10,000 Dividend Gain = 5 × 200 × 2 = ₹2,000 Total Gain = ₹12,000 This illustrates how both capital appreciation and dividends contribute to overall stock market gains. 10. Conclusion Stock market gains are not merely about stock price increases. They encompass dividends, reinvestment, risk-adjusted returns, and strategic decision-making. Related terms like capital gains, dividends, EPS, P/E ratio, volatility, and portfolio management are all critical to understanding the nuances of gains. Effective investing requires a combination of financial literacy, market knowledge, and psychological discipline.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
A baerish outlook for fcpo pricesA potential Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a classic bearish reversal formation. The chart has labeled "Neck line" around the MYR 4,475 price level. A decisive break below this neckline would confirm the pattern and signal a potential move lower. Fibonacci Retracement: A Fibonacci retracement tool has been applied from a recent swing high (around MYR 4,515) to a swing low (around MYR 4,411). The price has struggled to stay above the 0.382 and 0.618 levels, which often act as resistance in a downtrend. Projected Price Path: The blue line drawn on the chart illustrates a hypothetical scenario where the price breaks below the neckline, retests it as new resistance, and then continues its downward trajectory. Potential Price Targets: The Fibonacci extension levels are used to project potential downside targets. Key levels identified include: MYR 4,359 (1.5 extension) MYR 4,347 (1.618 extension) MYR 4,264 (2.414 extension) Descending Trendline: A green trendline shows that the price has been making lower highs, indicating an existing downtrend that adds weight to the bearish analysis. In summary, the technical setup suggests that if the price of FCPO breaks below the neckline support, it could trigger a significant sell-off toward the lower Fibonacci targets. 📉 Disclaimer: This is an interpretation of the technical analysis presented in the chart and does not constitute financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly.
MYX:FCPOZ2025
by hilmiyus
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging. The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673. The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely. Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity. Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+. Trading Plan Reference Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673. Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690. Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720. These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging. The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673. The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely. Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity. Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+. Trading Plan Reference Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673. Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690. Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720. These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
1
XAUUSD – Daily Trading Plan Hello Traders, Gold opened the Asian session holding its price structure firmly. The 3708 level will be the key pivot today: If price sustains above this level, the next upside targets are 3750 and possibly 3780. If price reacts lower at 3708 resistance, then 3650 or even 355x could be the zones to watch for buying opportunities. Fundamental Context Last week’s correction was triggered by comments from the Fed Chair on interest rate policy. The Fed does not intend to cut rates too frequently, and this week’s PCE data will play a decisive role in shaping the outlook. Trading Strategy for Today Buy Setup Entry: 3650 – 3653 SL: 3645 TP: 3662 – 3675 – 3690 – 3706 – 3725 Sell Setup 1 Entry: 3700 – 3703 SL: 3708 TP: 3690 – 3675 – 3662 – 3650 – 3633 Sell Setup 2 Entry: 3738 – 3740 SL: 3746 TP: 3725 – 3710 – 3700 – 3675 – 3650 Summary The preferred bias for today is to look for buy opportunities on dips, in line with the broader uptrend. Follow me to receive the latest updates as soon as market structure changes
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital