Part 1 Intraday Master ClassIntroduction to Option Trading
Option trading is one of the most dynamic, flexible, and powerful financial instruments in the modern market. It allows investors not only to profit from price movements but also to protect their portfolios, speculate, or earn regular income. Unlike buying stocks directly, options give traders the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an underlying asset (like a stock, index, or commodity) at a predetermined price within a certain time frame.
Futures market
XAUUSD HIT MY STOP LOSSGold just broke above our previous OB/Liquidity resistance around 4040–4055, taking out the short-side liquidity and confirming a bullish market structure shift (MSB) on 15M and 1H timeframes.
🔹 Previous plan: Sell-limit at resistance — invalidated as price made a new high.
🔹 Current bias: Bullish continuation towards 4078 → 4095 → 4120.
🔹 Pullback zones to watch:
• 4035–4045 (OB retest / liquidity grab area)
• 4005–4020 (golden pocket confluence)
🧠 Trading Plan:
Wait for price to retrace into key support zones.
Look for bullish rejection / confirmation before entering long.
First TP near 4078, extended targets 4095+
SL below 4020 zone (structure invalidation).
💬 Price action respected structure beautifully. Remember — the market doesn’t care about our limits, only about liquidity.
Trade what’s visible, not what’s emotional.
#XAUUSD #GoldForecast #ForexTrader #SmartMoneyConcepts #LuxAlgo #OrderBlockTrading #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction #GoldAnalysis #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetup #DayTrading #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #alphatechfinances
Sniping the Next BUY Zone for Maximum Gains.The sentiment is clear: Bulls are running the show, preparing for potentially an eighth consecutive weekly gain. Our strategy is simple—wait for the intelligent retest to join the momentum.
🎯 THE TARGET ZONES (M30/H1)
We're focusing on the two most crucial zones derived from Fibo React Logic:
1. PRIME BUY ENTRY (The Sweet Spot):
Zone: 4018 - 4014 (Our key Fibo Retest Zone).
Action: Wait for Gold to pull back to this area. Execute a BUY (Long) only upon confirmed M30/H1 candle rejection (e.g., Bullish Engulfing/Pin Bar).
2. TAKE PROFIT TARGET (The Next Peak):
Zone: 4094 - 4098 (Fibo Extension/SELL React Zone).
Action: This is the primary TP for our Long entries, representing the next major target for the buyers.
📈 TRADING SCENARIO
Strategy: Patience is key. Let the market retrace to 4018 - 4014. Once confirmation hits, ride the wave up to 4094 - 4098.
🚨 Risk Alert:
Be disciplined with your Stop Loss. Maintain strict risk management, especially if the price fails to hold the 4018 - 4014 zone.
Let's trade with precision today!
ESG Investing and Carbon Credit Trading1. Understanding ESG Investing
1.1 Definition of ESG Investing
ESG investing refers to investment strategies that incorporate environmental, social, and governance factors into the analysis of companies and assets. Rather than solely focusing on financial returns, ESG investing evaluates:
Environmental (E): A company’s impact on the natural environment, including carbon emissions, waste management, water usage, and energy efficiency.
Social (S): The company’s relationships with employees, suppliers, customers, and communities. It includes labor standards, diversity and inclusion, community engagement, and human rights.
Governance (G): Corporate governance practices such as board structure, executive compensation, shareholder rights, transparency, and ethical business conduct.
ESG investing can take several forms, such as negative screening (excluding companies that harm society or the environment), positive screening (investing in companies with strong ESG practices), or impact investing (targeting investments that generate measurable social or environmental benefits alongside financial returns).
1.2 Evolution and Global Adoption
ESG investing gained traction in the early 2000s, influenced by growing awareness of climate change, social inequality, and corporate scandals. Key drivers include:
Regulatory pressures: Governments and regulatory bodies worldwide now require companies to disclose ESG risks and sustainability reporting.
Investor demand: Institutional investors, such as pension funds and sovereign wealth funds, increasingly prioritize ESG to mitigate long-term risks.
Corporate accountability: Companies with strong ESG profiles often demonstrate resilience, lower regulatory risks, and better operational efficiency.
The market for ESG investments has expanded exponentially. According to the Global Sustainable Investment Alliance (GSIA), sustainable investment assets exceeded $35 trillion globally in 2023, representing over 36% of total professionally managed assets.
1.3 ESG Investment Strategies
Negative Screening: Avoiding investments in sectors such as tobacco, fossil fuels, weapons, or companies with poor labor practices.
Positive Screening: Selecting companies with best-in-class ESG performance, e.g., renewable energy companies or firms with exemplary governance practices.
Thematic Investing: Focusing on specific sustainability themes like clean energy, water management, or gender equality.
Impact Investing: Targeting investments that generate measurable social or environmental impact in addition to financial returns.
ESG Integration: Incorporating ESG factors into traditional financial analysis to enhance risk-adjusted returns.
1.4 Benefits of ESG Investing
Risk Mitigation: ESG-focused companies are less prone to environmental liabilities, regulatory penalties, and reputational damage.
Long-term Value Creation: Sustainable practices often translate into operational efficiency, customer loyalty, and innovation.
Enhanced Portfolio Diversification: ESG investments may have lower correlations with traditional financial markets.
Alignment with Values: Investors can support ethical and sustainable business practices.
1.5 Challenges in ESG Investing
Data Inconsistency: ESG reporting standards vary across regions and companies, making comparisons difficult.
Greenwashing: Companies may exaggerate their ESG efforts to attract investment without meaningful impact.
Financial Trade-offs: Some ESG investments may underperform in the short term due to higher costs or niche markets.
Measurement Complexity: Quantifying social and governance impact is often subjective.
2. Carbon Credit Trading: An Overview
2.1 Definition and Concept
Carbon credit trading is a market-based mechanism aimed at reducing global carbon emissions. It operates under the principle of cap-and-trade, where a regulatory authority sets a limit (cap) on the total greenhouse gas emissions allowed for companies or sectors. Entities are issued carbon credits representing the right to emit one metric ton of CO2 or equivalent greenhouse gases.
If a company emits less than its allocated credits, it can sell the surplus in the carbon market. Conversely, companies that exceed their limits must purchase additional credits or face penalties. This creates a financial incentive to reduce emissions efficiently.
2.2 Historical Context
Carbon trading emerged from global climate agreements:
Kyoto Protocol (1997): Introduced the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), allowing emission reductions to be traded internationally.
European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS, 2005): The first major regional carbon market, setting a benchmark for emissions trading globally.
Paris Agreement (2015): Reinforced carbon markets under Article 6, encouraging countries to collaborate in emission reductions.
2.3 Types of Carbon Credits
Compliance Credits: Issued under government-regulated cap-and-trade programs.
Voluntary Carbon Credits: Bought by companies or individuals to offset emissions voluntarily, often through projects like reforestation, renewable energy, or methane capture.
2.4 Mechanism of Carbon Trading
Cap Setting: Authorities determine the total allowable emissions for sectors or companies.
Credit Allocation: Companies receive carbon credits based on past emissions or regulatory quotas.
Trading: Companies can buy or sell credits depending on their actual emissions relative to their cap.
Verification: Third-party audits ensure reported emissions reductions are accurate and credible.
2.5 Market Participants
Corporations: Major emitters such as power plants, airlines, and industrial manufacturers.
Brokers and Traders: Facilitate buying and selling of carbon credits.
Governments and Regulatory Bodies: Establish rules, issue credits, and monitor compliance.
Environmental Projects: Generate carbon credits by implementing emission-reducing projects.
3. Integration of ESG Investing and Carbon Credit Trading
3.1 ESG and Carbon Markets Synergy
ESG investing and carbon credit trading are inherently linked, particularly through the environmental component. Companies with robust ESG strategies often engage in carbon credit trading to:
Offset unavoidable emissions.
Demonstrate commitment to climate targets.
Improve sustainability credentials for investors.
Investors increasingly assess carbon strategies as part of ESG due diligence. Companies actively participating in carbon markets may be more attractive for ESG-focused portfolios, aligning financial performance with sustainability outcomes.
3.2 Financial Implications
Hedging Climate Risk: By investing in companies that trade carbon credits or adopt low-carbon practices, investors reduce exposure to regulatory or reputational risks.
Revenue Generation: Selling surplus carbon credits provides an additional income stream.
Valuation Impact: Firms with effective carbon management often enjoy higher valuations and lower cost of capital.
3.3 Case Examples
Microsoft: Pledged to become carbon negative by 2030, investing in carbon credits and renewable projects.
Tesla: Generates revenue by selling regulatory carbon credits to other automakers.
BP and Shell: Invest in carbon offset projects to complement ESG commitments and mitigate emissions.
4. Global Trends in ESG and Carbon Markets
4.1 Rising Investor Awareness
ESG investment products, including mutual funds, ETFs, and green bonds, are growing rapidly.
Millennials and Gen Z investors prioritize sustainability, influencing capital flows.
4.2 Regulatory Push
The EU, UK, and US are tightening ESG disclosure requirements.
Mandatory reporting on Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions enhances transparency and accountability.
4.3 Technological Innovations
Blockchain and digital registries improve the traceability of carbon credits.
Artificial intelligence helps analyze ESG data and monitor compliance.
4.4 Market Growth
The global voluntary carbon market is expected to exceed $50 billion by 2030.
ESG assets under management are projected to surpass $50 trillion by 2025, highlighting a long-term trend toward sustainability-focused finance.
5. Challenges and Criticisms
5.1 ESG Investing Challenges
Subjectivity: ESG ratings vary across agencies, leading to inconsistent assessments.
Greenwashing Risk: Companies may overstate sustainability achievements to attract capital.
Limited Impact: Some ESG investments may not translate into measurable environmental or social improvements.
5.2 Carbon Credit Trading Challenges
Verification Complexity: Ensuring credits correspond to real emission reductions is challenging.
Market Volatility: Carbon prices fluctuate due to regulatory changes or market sentiment.
Ethical Concerns: Over-reliance on offsets can allow continued emissions instead of driving systemic change.
6. Future Outlook
6.1 ESG Investing
ESG integration will become standard practice for asset managers and institutional investors.
Enhanced global ESG reporting standards, such as the International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB), will improve transparency.
6.2 Carbon Credit Trading
Expansion of voluntary and compliance markets is expected, particularly in Asia-Pacific.
Innovations like nature-based carbon credits and digital carbon registries will enhance credibility and efficiency.
Carbon pricing may become more widespread, influencing corporate strategy and investment decisions.
6.3 Combined Impact
The synergy between ESG investing and carbon credit trading can accelerate the transition to a low-carbon economy. Financial markets will increasingly reward companies that embed sustainability into strategy and operations, making environmental stewardship a core value driver.
Conclusion
ESG investing and carbon credit trading represent transformative trends in global finance, emphasizing the integration of sustainability into investment decisions. ESG investing aligns financial returns with environmental and social responsibility, while carbon credit trading provides a market-driven mechanism for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Both are critical tools in addressing climate change, promoting corporate accountability, and meeting the growing demand for sustainable investments.
Despite challenges such as data inconsistency, greenwashing, and verification complexities, the long-term outlook remains positive. As regulatory frameworks strengthen, technology improves, and investor awareness rises, ESG investing and carbon credit markets are poised to redefine the role of finance in building a sustainable, resilient global economy.
The interconnection of ESG and carbon trading illustrates a broader shift: capital is no longer just a means of generating profit; it is a lever for societal and environmental impact. Investors, corporations, and policymakers who embrace this integrated approach will shape the future of finance and the health of the planet.
XAUUSD – Safe-Haven Demand Keeps Gold StrongMarket Overview:
Gold stays firm as fresh US–China trade tensions and ongoing geopolitical concerns push investors toward safe assets.
Expectations of another Fed rate cut are putting pressure on the USD, giving extra strength to gold.
Even though short-term indicators show some overbought signs, overall sentiment still favours the bulls.
Near-Term Outlook:
As long as price remains inside the rising channel, we expect a possible move toward the 4,090–4,100 liquidity zone.
A rejection from 4,092–4,095 could lead to a short-term pullback before continuation.
Important Levels:
Liquidity Buy Zone 1: 4,039 – 4,037
Liquidity Buy Zone 2: 4,017 – 4,015
Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,092 – 4,095
Support: 4,010 – 4,000
Resistance: 4,110 – 4,126
Trading Plan:
🔹 Buy Setup #1
Entry: 4,039 – 4,037
Stop Loss: 4,032
Targets: 4,044 → 4,048 → 4,052 → 4,056 → 4,060 → 4,070
🔹 Buy Setup #2
Entry: 4,017 – 4,015
Stop Loss: 4,010
Targets: 4,022 → 4,026 → 4,030 → 4,040 → 4,050 → 4,060
🔹 Sell Setup (Scalp Opportunity)
Entry: 4,092 – 4,095
Stop Loss: 4,100
Targets: 4,090 → 4,085 → 4,080 → 4,070 → 4,060
Summary:
Bias stays bullish while gold holds above 4,015 – 4,020.
Safe-haven demand and softer USD outlook continue to support the upside move.
Look out for a liquidity sweep around 4,092 before further continuation upward.
📊 What do you think — will gold break higher or reject from 4,090?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily market structure updates and precise trade plans.
🟣 Chart: XAUUSD H1 – Smart Money Flow structure highlighting liquidity areas and OB zones.
S&P 500 rally is ripe now. Can fall to 6600 first and then 6400S&P rally is ripe for a fall now.
low volume in upside.
+
extended run from liberation day
= is perfect combo for a lower level in S&P 500.
We have seen Rsi and linda Raschke's momentum indication in divergence to the rally in index.
Cummulative all technical indicator like trend line break + divergence in RSI, we may see S&P at 6600 in near term and next fall to 6400.
Stop loss for the short idea and be around 6900.
$4024 Gold: 8-Week Jhakaas Record! BUY Pivot $398x!Hello, traders!
Gold just wrapped up an impressive 8-week winning streak, closing the session at $4,024.40/oz (Futures). This bada (big) rally was immediately triggered by President Trump's unexpected tariff threat on China, which, boss, fueled a massive rush toward safe-haven assets.
Fundamentals & Technical Bias: Buying the Pivot
Core Drivers: Escalating trade panga (conflict) thanks to Trump, steady Fed rate cut expectations, and ongoing global gadbadi (instability) are all making Gold the top safe haven.
Technical Recovery: After a deep correction to $394x, Gold recovered super fast and closed firmly above $399x. This confirms that buying power is dominant and the bullish momentum is pakka (confirmed).
Priority Bias: BUY (Long). $398x is the critical short-term pivot point. Risk management is key, remember that.
Risk Warning: Only switch to SELL (Short) if the price rapidly breaks below $398x due to major negative news.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $4064, $4084, $4104, $4124
Support: $3984, $3951, $3934
Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at the Pivot)
BUY ZONE (Pivot $398x): $3984 - $3982
SL: $3974
TPs: $3992, $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032
SELL ZONE (Counter-Trend): $4024 - $4026
SL: $4034
TPs: $4016, $4006, $3996, $3986, $3976
Will this trade war tension take Gold past $4100 next week? Kya lagta hai? 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #4KGold #TrumpTariffs #8WeeksUp #Pivot #TradingView #PaisaBanega
a bullish outlook, following EW impulse patternIdentified a potential 5-wave upward impulse move starting from the low in early October.
Wave 3 appears to have just completed, reaching a high of 4,612. This wave is typically the strongest and longest.
The chart projects a corrective Wave 4 is now underway. The blue line indicates a potential path for this correction, suggesting a pullback towards the Fibonacci retracement levels.
Following the correction, a final upward Wave 5 is anticipated, with targets set by Fibonacci extension levels.
Ichimoku Cloud Analysis:
The price is trading above the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), which is a strong bullish signal.
The cloud ahead is green and thick, suggesting continued bullish momentum and strong support below the current price.
The Tenkan-Sen (red line) is above the Kijun-Sen (blue line), reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
The Kijun-Sen, currently around 4,441, and the top of the cloud could act as significant support levels during the projected Wave 4 correction.
Fibonacci Levels:
Retracement for Wave 4: The potential support targets for the corrective Wave 4 are based on the Fibonacci retracement of Wave 3. Key levels to watch are:
0.382 level at 4,518
0.500 level at 4,492
Extension for Wave 5: The potential targets for the next upward move (Wave 5) are projected using Fibonacci extensions. Key resistance levels are:
1.500 extension at 4,688
1.618 extension (a common target for Wave 5) at 4,706
A more optimistic target is at the 2.414 extension level of 4,826.
Current Price Action:
The last traded price is $4,544, down 1.02% for the day.
The recent bearish candle (red) after reaching the peak of Wave 3 supports the idea that the corrective Wave 4 may have begun.
Potential Market Scenario
Based on this chart, the anticipated scenario is:
Short-term: A price correction or consolidation (pullback). The price may drop to test support levels around $4,518 or $4,492.
Medium-term: If the support holds and the Elliott Wave count is correct, the price is expected to resume its upward trend to begin Wave 5, targeting the resistance area between 4,688 and 4,706.
Copper more fall will come on tarrif uncertainty avoid buyingCopper more fall possible avoid buying until not sustain for 2 days and make some support , copper updated levels given on chart for next week
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Silver buy ondip upmove will continue EFT issue will be resolvedSilver upmove will be continued, ETF issue will be resolved soon
Updated levels for next week given on chart
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Gold uptrend will continue on tarrif uncertainty and rate cutGold buy on dip will continue on tarrif uncertainty and rate cut bets.
Updated levels given on chart for next week
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
$4,000 RECLAIMED! Targeting Fibo Extremes on H4.The big picture is clear: Gold has strongly pushed past the $4,000 mark, driven by major safe-haven demand amidst US-China tensions. Buyers are pushing for an eighth straight weekly gain!
But where are the high-probability zones?
🔑 THE FRANCI$$_FIBOMATRIX PLAN (H4)
We're keying in on two critical Fibo Reaction Zones for the perfect entry:
1. SELL ZONE (Correction/Reversal Focus):
Zone 1 (FIBO): 402x - 403x (4,025.424 - 4,032.844). Action: Look for H1/H4 candle rejection here to initiate a corrective short trade.
Zone 2 (Extension): 411x - 412x (4,115.422 - 4,128.811). Action: The ultimate target if momentum holds; watch this for the major supply zone.
2. BUY ZONE (Trend Continuation):
The Sweet Spot: 392x - 389x (3,907.030 - 3,895.674). This is our key Liquidity React Fibo Buy Zone. Action: Wait for the deep pullback here, confirm with bullish signals, and join the main trend with a target back to the 402x/411x range.
🚨 Critical Risk Alert:
A decisive weekly close below $3,962 signals a high risk of deep correction towards $3,900. Manage your Longs tightly below this level!
XAUUSDLadies & Gentlemen, you all are seeing this is the chart of gold (XAUUSD). This is one of the most popular charts in the world. Everyone wants to predict.
We have started counting this cycle from the low created by Gold on 6 October 2023. We have done two cycles in it, the first cycle is of 63 trading days, and the second is its double i.e. 126 trading days.
In the shorter cycle (63 BAR), you will see that it has maximum given 10 to 18% returns till date within EVERY 90 days
It has more than doubled in the last two years.And no down train cycle has started yet. And this is nine Cycles from Small Cycle.
Do you think this cycle will continue to grow like this in the future?
Gold → Ready for the Next Bullish WaveGold (XAUUSD) continues to gain momentum as shifting global conditions drive investors toward safer assets. The ongoing uncertainty in financial markets, coupled with renewed concerns over U.S. fiscal policy and interest rate adjustments, has strengthened gold’s long-term appeal.
Recent market behavior reflects consistent institutional demand, with traders positioning ahead of potential monetary easing cycles. As confidence in traditional currencies weakens, gold remains a preferred store of value for both investors and central banks.
Structurally, the market is maintaining a healthy uptrend, showing controlled corrections within a broader bullish framework. The latest price movements suggest that momentum is building for another upward phase, possibly targeting new historical zones if global instability persists.
In summary, gold’s outlook stays constructive — supported by both macroeconomic sentiment and steady technical momentum.
How do you see the XAUUSD trajectory evolving — continuation of growth or a major pause ahead?
WTI Crude Oil – Dual Falling Wedges in Play!🛢️ #WTICrudeOil
CMP: $58.25
🟡 S maller Falling Wedge (Yellow)
• Breakdown candle formed
• Breakdown confirmation on weekly close below $58.22 (low of breakdown candle)
• Target: $52.71
• Converges with key price action support zone at $52.48–50.55
• Also aligns with long-term wedge trendline support
🟣 Larger Falling Wedge (Purple)
• Still intact
• Bullish Breakout confirmation: Weekly close above $77.57
🔽 Support Levels
• Immediate: $55.15
• Zones: $52.48–50.55, $45.04–42.93
🔼 Resistance Levels
• Immediate: $58.35
• Zones: $60.68, $61.45–61.96, $63.98–66.42
⚠️ Outlook
Short-term bias remains bearish , watching for a weekly close below $58.22 to confirm breakdown.
Long-term bullish reversal possible only above $77.57 (WCB) .
#CrudeOil | #WTI | #OilChart | #ChartPatterns | #FallingWedge | #PriceAction | #Commodities
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
#MCXCrudeOil Weekly – Breakdown into Major Support Zone#MCXCrudeOil Weekly – Breakdown into Major Support Zone
CMP: 5,246
Crude Oil has broken down from a descending triangle with a confirmed weekly close below 5,308 , triggering target of 4,636 . This move unfolds within a larger falling wedge pattern , adding confluence and signaling potential volatility ahead.
This breakdown aligns with two key confluences :
📉 The falling wedge lower trendline.
🟠 A major historical demand zone at 4,692 – 4,499 , which was previous resistance turned strong support on multiple occasions.
This make-or-break support zone could act as:
🔄 A reversal zone , potentially triggering a bullish breakout from the wedge.
📉 Or, if breached, it may invalidate the wedge and lead to extended downside.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 5,903 & 6,184 (price action + wedge top)
Support: 4,692 – 4,499 (confluence zone)
Breakdown Target: 4,636 (descending triangle pattern)
Watch weekly candle behavior near this zone closely for signs of either rejection or continuation .
#CrudeOil #MCXCrude #ChartPatterns #FallingWedge #DescendingTriangle #PriceAction #BreakdownAlert #SwingTrading #CommodityTrading
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
GOLD: ACCUMULATION POST SELL-OFF,Weekend Short-term Trading PLANGOLD: ACCUMULATION POST SELL-OFF, Weekend Short-term Trading Plan
Hello traders 👋
The Gold market witnessed a strong and clear Sell-off yesterday, especially with the decisive break of the $4000 zone – a confirmation area for a new corrective trend, or at least a long-term downtrend cycle.
Currently, Gold prices are fluctuating within a narrow range (Sideways), mainly due to the cautious sentiment of investors and the weak liquidity characteristic of Friday. This lack of momentum makes it likely for Gold to continue moving sideways until the New York Session opens.
🔎 Technical Analysis (Chart 30M – XAUUSD)
Resistance Retest Zone (Fibonacci Retest): $4030 – $4035. An ideal area for Sellers to re-enter.
Sell Scalping/FIBO 50 Zone: $4000 – $4004. The $4000 price zone, once broken, now becomes strong resistance.
Key Support/Accumulation Zone: $3940 – $3945 (Confluence of Support level 1.618).
Long-term Buy Zone (Buy Scalping): $3890 – $3880.
⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan (Short-term Trading)
The strategy for the day is Short-term trading (Scalping) when the price hits minor resistance zones and seeks larger orders when matching Entry zones according to Fibonacci Extension.
🔴 SELL Scenario (Priority according to the downtrend structure)
1. Sell Re-test Zone $4000
Entry: 📍 4002 – 4004
SL: 🛑 4010
TP: 🎯 3998 – 3985 – 3960 (Can hold the position if the reaction is good)
2. Sell Re-test Zone $4030 (Fibonacci Retest)
Entry: 📍 4030 – 4032
SL: 🛑 4037
TP: 🎯 4016 – 4002 – 3998 – 3978
🟢 BUY Scenario (Bottom-fishing/Support)
1. Buy Scalping Zone $3940
Entry: 📍 3940 – 3942
SL: 🛑 3935
TP: 🎯 3965 – 3977 – 3999 – 4035
💡 Fundamental View & Weekend Risk
News: A report from SEB Research suggests that market expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates might be too high due to persistent inflation risks. This could pressure Gold and support the USD on a macro level.
Friday Risk: Reduced liquidity, prone to Stop Hunts or Fakeouts.
⚖️ Conclusion & Recommendations
Short-term main trend: Correction/Downtrend.
Action: Closely observe market reactions this Friday. Prioritise Selling at strong Resistance zones ($4000, $4030) and manage capital tightly (Tight SL) for Buy Scalping orders.
👉 Follow me for timely updates on the latest scenarios in the weekend trading session!
Gold 4H – Bullish Setup Ahead of Fed & CPI Week🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade near the ₹4,000 mark as traders brace for a volatile week driven by the U.S. CPI release and Federal Reserve remarks.
Recent Fed comments hint that policymakers are open to rate cuts if inflation cools further, boosting gold’s appeal as a hedge against policy easing and market uncertainty.
Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East and strong central bank demand for gold continue to provide underlying bullish momentum, though short-term pullbacks remain likely.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC Style)
• The higher-timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) confirms that gold remains in a bullish market phase, with buyers defending every major retracement.
• The current pullback could target the Potential Reaccumulation Zone around 3947, where liquidity may be swept before the next bullish impulse.
• The Discount Demand Zone (3873–3875) aligns with strong 4H imbalance and previous structure support — ideal for a high-probability buy setup.
• The Premium Supply Zone (4134–4132) is positioned as a liquidity target, where price may react for short-term corrections.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3873–3875
SL: 3866
TP targets: 3947 → 4020 → 4050 → 4130+
🔴 Sell Zone: 4134–4132
SL: 4141
TP targets: 4080 → 4020 → 3950
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for H1 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing positions.
• Anticipate liquidity hunts near 3950–3970 ahead of CPI or Fed events.
• Use partial scaling and secure partial profits once the structure confirms continuation.
• Avoid entering during the first 15 minutes of major news releases to reduce slippage risk.
✅ Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish on the 4H timeframe, with potential retracement opportunities offering premium entries.
Smart Money may induce a liquidity sweep into 3873–3875 before pushing toward 4130+, where a reaction from institutional supply is likely.
With major macro catalysts this week, traders should expect sharp volatility and manipulative moves before the next major leg develops.
🔔 Stay patient — let the market reveal its intent before entering.
Premium buys remain favored above 3870 while watching for potential distribution near 4130.
GOLD: The Dollar Blinks! Time to 'Pay' at the 0.618 Fibo (4018) The Macro Play: USD Retreat Sets the Stage for Gold's Counter-Attack
The precious metal is catching a bid as the US Dollar softens after hitting its recent highs. The fundamental backdrop is keeping Gold buoyant:
Fed Pivot Narrative: Despite the hawkish undertones in the last FOMC meeting minutes, the market's conviction in two potential Fed rate cuts by year-end remains a powerful tailwind, making non-yielding Gold more attractive.
Geopolitical Fog: While the short-term truce news caused a minor retreat, the overarching safe-haven demand driven by global tensions and the looming US government funding crisis provides critical floor support.
Bottom Line: Gold is navigating a choppy consolidation phase. Short-term pressure exists, but the Long-Term Macro Thesis favors a cautious recovery.
📊 The MatrixFibo PTKT: SCALP Zones Are Active!
Price action shows clear reaction points within the recent sharp move lower. Our plan is to Trade the Reactions at these high-probability confluence zones.
1️⃣ The Aggressive SELL Zone (SELL SCALP Setup)
We are looking for the market to exhaust its short-term recovery rally at major resistance levels.
Primary SELL ZONE: 3997 - 4000 (0.5 Fibo Level):
This area is critical psychological resistance and the 50% retracement of the latest impulse down.
PLAN: Await a failed breakout or clear bearish rejection signal (Pinbar, Bearish Engulfing) at 3997 - 4000.
TARGET: The move should aim to clear the lows, heading straight for 3915 - 3910.
The Ultimate SELL Reversal: 4014 - 4018 (0.618 Fibo Downtrend Zone):
This is the REACTION FIBO 0.618 DOWNTREND H1 ZONE. This level is our strongest strategic SELL point if the bounce extends deeper.
2️⃣ The Key BUY Zone (BUY SCALP Setup)
We treat this area as the final line of defense for the current uptrend structure.
Key Support & BUY SCALP REACT ZONE: 3915 - 3910:
This zone is a Major Confluence point: Key Support, the 0.786 Fibo, and the Uptrend Channel Bottom.
PLAN: Look for strong buying pressure to emerge as price tests 3915 - 3910. Requires a solid Bullish Price Action Confirmation.
TARGET: A successful bounce targets the liquidity back at 3997 - 4000.
🛑 FranCis MatrixFibo Risk Policy
Volatility Alert: Expect large swings around US data and Fed commentary. NEVER TRADE WITHOUT A HARD STOP LOSS (SL) on SCALPS.
Strategy Focus: The market is range-bound. Stick to a Two-Sided Scalping Plan defined by the identified price levels.
Discipline: Only enter trades at or with clear confirmation from the React Zones.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure BreakLiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure Break, Preparing for a STRONG DOWNTREND?
Hello trader,
The Gold market has undergone a significant Market Structure Shift, breaking the previous sustainable uptrend. After the key support area around 4000 was breached with high volume, the Bears have taken short-term control.
Currently, the price is experiencing a slight correction after a sharp drop, but overall, it is forming Lower High – Lower Low patterns on the H1 chart, confirming the downward movement.
📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 1H – XAUUSD)
The recent sharp decline has broken the upward structure (Break of Structure - BOS) and created significant inefficiencies/imbalances that need to be filled:
Liquidity Zone (Resistance): $4050 – $4060. This is the resistance peak to watch.
Sell Liquidity Zone (FVG Sell Zone): $4030 – $4040. This is the ideal Fair Value Gap for Bears to re-enter.
Key Support/Buy Scalping Zone: $3925 – $3935 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.272).
Swing Buy/Accumulation Zone: $3905 – $3915 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.618).
🎯 Main Trading Scenario (Short-term BEARISH)
Sell entry 4000 – 4002
SL 4008
TP 3986 – 3965 3950 – 3923
Sell Entry 4028 – 4031 (FVG)
SL 4036
TP 4022 – 4010 4000 – 3960
Buy Scalping
3926 – 3928
SL 3921
TP 3939 – 3955 3970 – 3990
Buy Bottom Zone 3900 – 3908
SL 3895
TP 3922 – 3945 3970 – 3988
Export to Spreadsheet
🧭 Fundamental View & Market Sentiment
The downward momentum is being driven by the following factors:
Monetary Policy: Fed official Williams' remarks supporting continued rate cuts seem to be reducing the safe-haven demand for Gold. Although rate cuts typically support Gold in the long term (due to "cheap money"), a slowing labour market is a short-term negative signal.
CPI News: The Bureau of Labour Statistics recalling staff to compile the CPI report amid a government shutdown highlights the importance of this data. If CPI is not as expected, it could cause significant volatility.
Market Sentiment: After the structure break, technical selling sentiment may dominate, especially if the price cannot quickly recover to the 4000 level.
📌 Conclusion & Recommendations
Gold has confirmed a short-term structure change to a downtrend. While the long-term trend is not yet clearly defined, the current priority is to seek Sell opportunities when the price retraces to key resistance and FVG areas (such as $4000 and $4030).
Advice: Always adhere to SL (Stop Loss) and prioritise risk reduction when the market shows reversal signals. DO NOT BUY when the downtrend structure is prevailing.
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