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XAU/USD: Gold Bullish, Watch for Pullback to 4,150-4,130⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 26/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After a strong upward trend and breaking the resistance zone of 4,096 USD, gold enters a technical correction phase to reaccumulate liquidity. The price is currently fluctuating around the 4,150 USD area, serving as a crucial pivot to confirm whether the bullish structure will continue or require a deeper retracement. 📊 Technical Structure 4,150 USD (Mid Support): quick reaction zone, potential for short-term buy orders (scalp). OB (4,130 USD): priority BUY Zone, confluence with 0.5 Fibo – main rebalancing area. Support Base (4,096 USD): Break–Resistance zone, maintaining the medium-term bullish trend structure. Target Expansion: 4,181 → 4,202 → 4,211 → 4,235 – 4,242 USD. 💎 Key Levels 🟢 Support Zones: • 4,096 USD – main structural base. • 4,130 USD – main OB (priority BUY). • 4,150 USD – intraday pivot, quick reaction for scalping. 🔴 Resistance Zones: • 4,181 USD – short-term resistance. • 4,202 USD – intermediate balancing zone. • 4,211 USD – expansion zone (1.272 Fibo). • 4,235 – 4,242 USD – extended supply zone (1.618), prone to profit-taking reactions. 🎯 Market Outlook 1️⃣ Priority Scenario:  – Price lightly pulls back to the 4,150 USD area, potential for quick reaction.  – If it breaks through 4,150, the 4,130 USD (OB) zone will be the balancing point for a stronger recovery.  – Expansion targets: 4,181 → 4,211 → 4,242 USD. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario:  – If the price breaks below 4,096 USD, the short-term bullish structure becomes invalid, shifting to a neutral state. 🧠 Analyst’s View 4,150 USD is the "stepping stone" between the OB zone and short-term resistance – where the market decides to continue or accumulate deeper. A reasonable strategy is to monitor quick reactions at 4,150 (scalp) and prioritize clear buy opportunities at 4,130 (OB) if the price retraces deeply. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is rebalancing within an uptrend – avoid hasty actions without clear candle or cash flow confirmation. Analysis is technical & educational, not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
LANA_M2 XAUUSD – WAIT FOR A PULLBACK TO BUY WITH THE UPTREND ...LANA_M2 XAUUSD – WAIT FOR A PULLBACK TO BUY WITH THE UPTREND 1. Fundamental Analysis Gold continues its bullish momentum and has just formed a two-week high as expectations for an early FOMC rate cut strengthen. Weaker U.S. economic data, cooling bond yields, and pressure on the USD are supporting gold, both from real-yield dynamics and safe-haven demand. With this outlook, Lana prefers waiting for a mild correction before buying with the trend, instead of chasing buys at higher prices. 2. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, the market structure has shifted to bullish with consecutive BOS, confirming buyer control. FVG demand zones around 4100 and 4080 are acting as support, aligning with key swing lows after BOS. The upper zone around 4180–4200 is an FVG supply area and a premium/ resistance zone where price may react with a short-term pullback. With Fibonacci confluence, 4103–4105 and 4086–4088 match the 50–61.8% retracement of the latest bullish leg — ideal for waiting for a pullback to buy. 3. Key Price Zones Support / Discount (Demand & FVG): 4103 – 4105 4086 – 4088 Resistance / Premium (Supply & FVG): 4165 – 4194 – 4202 4. Trade Setups ⭐ Primary Scenario – Buy with the Trend Buy entry: 4103 – 4105 SL: 3998 TP: 4115 – 4130 – 4165 – 4190 ⭐ Alternative Scenario – Deep Buy at Lower FVG Buy entry: 4086 – 4088 SL: 4080 TP: 4100 – 4125 – 4146 – 4170 – 4190 ⭐ Short-term Reversal – Sell at Premium Zone Sell entry: 4194 SL: 4202 TP: 4177 – 4150 – 4132 – 4110 👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to get the earliest gold analysis updates. 💛
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold 1 Day Time Frame 🔎 Current Context 1. Gold currently trades around US $4,160–4,165/oz. 2. Many technical-analysis services show daily momentum as bullish: moving averages, RSI/MACD and other indicators point toward a positive bias. 3. But macro factors (strong USD, Fed policy, global risk sentiment) remain important and may cause sharp swings. ⚠️ What to Watch Out For Volatility: Gold remains sensitive to macro events — USD strength, rate expectations, major economic data — so price can easily break support/resistance zones. False Breakouts: Even if price crosses a level, it may revert quickly. Combine with other indicators (volume, price action, confirmations) before acting. Trend Shifts: A major change in global risk sentiment or central-bank moves can rapidly change trend direction, invalidating technical levels.
CITYINDEX:GOLDCFDLong
by Knowledgehub
Essential Guide to Support and Resistance 1️⃣ The Importance of Support and Resistance in the Highly Volatile Crypto Market - The cryptocurrency market operates 24/7/365 and shows significantly higher volatility than traditional financial markets. This volatility creates exceptional profit opportunities but also triggers intense fear and greed, placing substantial psychological pressure on traders. - Support and resistance act as critical reference points within this chaos, highlighting areas where price is likely to react. Beyond technical analysis, they reflect the collective psychology of traders. Understanding them is essential for long-term success in crypto trading. 2️⃣ The Nature of Support and Resistance and Their Psychological Foundation Support and resistance form where buying and selling pressures clash strongly enough to slow down or halt price movement. Support: At this level, buyers perceive the asset as “cheap enough” and are willing to enter, forming a psychological and structural barrier against further decline. Traders previously stuck in losing positions may sell at breakeven, adding layered reactions around these levels. Resistance: At this level, sellers believe the asset is “expensive enough” and reduce exposure, while trapped traders near the top may sell with a “better late than never” mentality, limiting further upward movement. ※ The Meaning of Breakouts and Fakeouts - When support breaks, active buyers may panic and trigger stop-loss selling. Conversely, breaking resistance often invites aggressive buyers, accelerating the trend. - However, many breakouts turn into fakeouts, designed to exploit trader psychology. Avoid jumping in too early without confirmation. 3️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Models Explained 📈 Trendlines & Accumulation Zones: Market Structure and Trader Expectations - Trendlines visually represent collective expectations of future price direction. - Touching an uptrend line triggers “buy the dip” psychology. - Touching a downtrend line reinforces the belief that price “cannot move higher.” - Accumulation Boxes mark areas where buying and selling pressures stabilize. Traders plan around these zones, driven by the mindset of “waiting for the breakout” to catch meaningful moves. drive.google.com 📈 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Market Inefficiency & Smart Money Footprints An FVG forms when price moves too quickly through a zone, leaving an unfilled “price gap.” These gaps often represent sudden activity from Smart Money (institutions, whales). Gap Filling: Markets naturally avoid leaving inefficiencies unresolved. When price returns to an FVG, the entities responsible for the original move may adjust or reopen positions, creating support or resistance. Newer traders can observe FVGs as footprints of Smart Money and plan reactions accordingly. drive.google.com 📈 Moving Averages (MA): Collective Sentiment & Trend Direction MAs reflect the average price the market perceives over time. Because MAs are widely monitored, they naturally form psychological support and resistance. Short-term MA (e.g., 50MA): Tracks short-term sentiment. Price below → worry about trend weakening. Price above → renewed optimism. Long-term MA (e.g., 200MA): Represents long-term sentiment. Price below 200MA → fear of prolonged downtrend. Price above 200MA → hope for sustained bullishness. When acting as support/resistance, MAs reflect strong collective agreement. drive.google.com 📈 POC (Point of Control) – Volume Profile: Market Consensus & Volume Strength POC is the price level with the highest trading volume within a given range — the market’s strongest consensus level. Price below POC: POC becomes strong resistance. Buyers stuck in losing positions may sell at breakeven, strengthening resistance. Price above POC: POC turns into solid support. Buyers believe price should not fall below this level. POC often reflects the market’s “expected value” and the area where loss-aversion psychology is strongest. drive.google.com 📈 Fibonacci: Natural Order & Human Expectations - Fibonacci retracement applies golden ratio mathematics to charts, reflecting where traders expect reversals and forming support/resistance. - These levels work not by magic but because many traders plan trades around them — collective behavior creates real reactions. - Levels like 0.5 and 0.618 carry psychological significance, often seen as optimal buying or selling opportunities. drive.google.com 📈 CME Gap: Institutional Movement & Mean Reversion Behavior CME gaps occur in Bitcoin futures due to institutional trading hours. When spot price moves over the weekend while futures are closed, gaps form. Gap Filling: These gaps represent time periods without institutional activity, encouraging the market to “normalize” abnormal price areas. Traders commonly expect gaps to be filled eventually, turning them into potential support/resistance zones. drive.google.com 4️⃣ Managing Trading Psychology Through Support and Resistance Even the best tools are useless without psychological discipline. Confirmation Bias & Stop-Loss Discipline - Ignoring losses due to selective perception leads to failure. - When support breaks, accept the invalidation and exit decisively. Overbought/Oversold Psychology & FOMO - Avoid chasing price upward out of fear of missing out. - In crashes, resist panic-selling at the bottom. - Rely on your structured support/resistance rules. Scaling Into Trades - Avoid buying everything at one support level—or selling everything at one resistance level. - Scaling entries across multiple levels increases psychological stability and reduces the impact of misjudgment. 5️⃣ Building a Complete Strategy & Practical Application Tips Confluence Creates Strongest Levels When multiple support/resistance signals overlap (e.g., Fibonacci 0.618 + 200MA + POC + FVG), these zones become significantly stronger because they reflect collective trader agreement. Volume Confirms Support/Resistance Strength High volume validates a level's importance. A reliable breakout requires strong volume, showing clear market participation and intent. Develop Your Own Trading Plan Do not follow every model blindly. Choose indicators and methods that fit your style, and create clear trading rules. Discipline with your own system leads to psychological stability and long-term success. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FX:XAUUSD
by Matthew_TradeRFX
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – November 26, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis D1 (Daily) Daily momentum is deeply inside the overbought zone, meaning the probability of a bearish reversal is very high—possibly today or tomorrow. This upcoming downward phase will align with the next downward cycle of D1 momentum. H4 H4 momentum is currently rising. Therefore, price may: • Continue with another upward push, or • Move sideways to push H4 momentum into the overbought zone. H1 H1 momentum is preparing to turn downward, suggesting that a short-term bearish move on H1 may appear very soon. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1 The overall D1 structure remains unchanged from the previous plan. The only difference is that D1 momentum has pushed deeper into the overbought region, increasing the likelihood of a reversal either today or tomorrow. H4 Price is forming a green ABC corrective structure, and it appears price is approaching the final stage of wave C (green). With H4 momentum turning upward, price may still produce: • One more small push upward, or • A mild sideways upward drift to complete wave C. H1 On H1, price is forming a 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5, black). This creates two possible interpretations: Scenario 1 (Primary Expectation) This 5-wave pattern represents wave C (green) inside the ABC correction of wave 2 (red). → Since wave C is always a 5-wave structure, this scenario is fully consistent with Elliott Wave rules and remains our main working count. Scenario 2 The 5-wave structure is actually the beginning of a new trend, potentially forming wave 1 of a larger bullish cycle. Although there isn’t enough evidence to support this scenario yet, the mere presence of a clean 5-wave structure means we must keep this possibility in mind. ________________________________________ 3. Relationship Between D1 Momentum & Wave Structure The previous downward and upward swings inside wave Y (purple) on D1 correspond almost perfectly with the downward and upward cycles of D1 momentum. D1 is now overbought and preparing to turn down. ➡️ Therefore, the upcoming corrective decline is extremely important. Case 1 – Price holds above 4021 If D1 momentum reaches oversold territory and turns upward without price breaking below 4021, then: • The current 5-wave structure may represent wave 1, • The upcoming decline will be wave 2, • When D1 momentum turns upward → wave 2 finishes. Case 2 – Price breaks below 4020 If D1 momentum reverses upward from oversold but price breaks below 4020: • The current 5-wave structure is wave C (green), • Price will extend downward to complete wave Y, • Wave Y completes when D1 momentum turns upward again. 🎯 In both scenarios, the next key move is still a downward leg. ________________________________________ 4. Wave C Target Levels Yesterday, two targets were provided: • 4158 • 4184 – 4193 Price already hit 4158, then reversed strongly, producing 300 pips profit. We now expect the remaining target 4184 – 4193 to act as the primary sell zone. ________________________________________ 5. Trading Plan 📍 Sell Zone: 4184 – 4185 • SL: 4205 • TP1: 4123 • TP2: 4081 • TP3: 4020
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
WHICH SIDE TO CHOOSE TODAY — BUY OR SELL?1. Quick Market Context PPI, Core PPI, and Retail Sales came in weak → low inflation → Fed may cut rates in December. Price has broken out of the H4 accumulation zone → BUY bias for today. Tonight we have Unemployment Claims → if the data is higher → XAU tends to continue rising. ✅ MAIN STRATEGY – BUY ON DIP 📌 All setups follow SL 100 pips – TP 100 pips 🎯 BUY ZONE 1 (Primary Entry) 4130 – 4136 → Open BUY. → Retest zone after breakout. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🎯 BUY ZONE 2 (Major Support Zone) 4108 – 4113 → Strong BUY zone. → If broken → deeper correction possible. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🔵 POTENTIAL BUY ZONES (SWING ENTRIES) Use for bottom-picking with flexible RR (1:1, 1:2, 1:3, 1:4...) 4100 – 4102 4092 – 4094 4088 4060 – 4066 → For swing setups: SL/TP depends on larger RR (not fixed 10 pips). ❌ SECONDARY STRATEGY – SELL REACTION (COUNTERTREND / QUICK SCALP) 📌 SELL setups also follow SL 10 pips – TP 10 pips. 🎯 SELL ZONE 1 (Strongest Reaction Area) 4192 – 4195 → Short SELL for quick reaction. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🎯 SELL ZONE 2 4200 – 4202 → Psychological resistance → SELL scalp. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🎯 SELL ZONE (Fibo Extension) 4180 – 4187 → Short-term SELL for a small pullback. → SL: 10 pips | TP: 10 pips 🔶 BI / INVALIDATION ZONES If price breaks these levels → short-term trend shifts: Break below 4108 → BUY invalid → potential drop to 4100 / 4092. Break above 4202 → SELL invalid → upside extension toward 4215 – 4220. ⚠️ Risk Management Manage your capital strictly, observe market reactions, and adjust accordingly. This plan is for reference only, not financial advice. Trade responsibly. Have a good day, guys!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
Daily Macro, Market Mood Swings, and the Stories Behind the NoisGlobal Markets: Three’s a Trend Global stocks pushed higher for a third straight session on Tuesday, fueled by growing confidence that the Federal Reserve will slip in a December rate cut like an early holiday present. U.S. Treasury yields eased as well, giving investors one more reason to feel optimistic — or at least less grumpy. Wall Street’s Tech Glow-Up Over on Wall Street, stocks climbed with the help of Silicon Valley’s usual superheroes — Alphabet and Meta. Google’s parent company surged 1.53% to a record close of $323.44, inching closer to the absolutely casual milestone of $4 trillion in market cap. The Dollar Takes a Tumble The dollar index dropped 0.44% as weaker-than-expected U.S. data — including September retail sales, core PPI, and ADP employment — boosted bets on a December Fed cut. Add in falling bond yields (with the 10-year sliding to a 3.5-week low of 3.987%), plus consumer confidence hitting a 7-month low, and the dollar had all the reasons it needed to slump politely into a corner. Retail sales rose just 0.2% versus the expected 0.4%, reminding everyone that the American consumer may finally be getting tired of carrying the global economy on their back. The Fed Repricing Whiplash & Consumer Mood Swings Markets have repriced December rate-cut expectations with the grace of a roller coaster: from the low 30% range to 90% an hour ago, now cooling at 87%. A month ago? Also 90% — before collapsing and then bouncing back. The main culprit: nonstop Fed commentary, proving once again that “forward guidance” is more of a suggestion than a plan. Meanwhile, fresh U.S. sentiment data didn’t help the mood. The headline index missed badly at 88.7 (vs 93.3 expected), current conditions hit the lowest since 2021, and future expectations slid to their April 2025 low — courtesy of stubborn inflation worries and rising job-income anxiety. Global Highlights: Gold Glitters, Rupee Stutters & Data Storm Ahead Germany delivered a flat Q3 GDP print, which, considering last quarter’s contraction, counts as… stability. Gold edged up 0.3% to $4,150.09 as weak retail sales strengthened the case for a December cut. Global equities mostly turned green, shrugging off AI-overinvestment and debt concerns as if the Fed’s 25-bps cut-in-waiting is a magic eraser. India, however, bucked the trend: the Sensex fell 314 points and the Nifty slipped 75. The rupee ended nearly unchanged at 89.22 as importer demand offset regional currency strength. Today’s data docket is a global buffet — Australia CPI, New Zealand rate decision, Japan’s BoJ core CPI, a heavy U.S. lineup (GDP, durables, core PCE, spending, home sales, jobless claims), plus ECB’s Lagarde and Lane holding the mic in the Eurozone.
NSE:BANKNIFTY1!
by rajkaz
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 25–26✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold is still in a post-rebound consolidation range. After quickly rebounding from the 4022 level, the price is currently running above the MA5 and MA10. Short-term bulls still have momentum, but the upside pressure remains strong. The price is fluctuating above the Bollinger middle band, and the bands are slightly narrowing, indicating the market is entering a range-bound consolidation phase. ✅ From the 1-hour structure, the market is in a bullish upward-shifting structure, with higher lows and higher highs. Although MA5 and MA10 show slight convergence, the price has moved back above the short-term moving averages, indicating that the bullish momentum is still dominant. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4156–4160 / 4170–4180 🟢 Support Levels: 4110–4120 / 4070–4080 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔰 Focus on Shorting on Rebounds 📍 Sell lightly around 4156–4160 🎯 Targets: 4135 / 4120 ⛔ Stop-loss: Above 4170 This zone is a strong H4 resistance area that has been tested multiple times without breaking, making it a priority area for short entries. 🔰 Buy on Pullbacks 📍 Consider long positions around 4126–4130 🎯 Targets: 4155 / 4160 /4170 ⛔ Stop-loss: Below 4115 The H1 moving-average system provides clear support. As long as 4115 holds, the bullish trend can continue. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
Gold H1 – Pre-NFP Liquidity Hunt as US–China Tone Warms🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (25/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is approaching a key premium zone while markets react to fresh geopolitical headlines. Earlier today, Donald Trump confirmed he had a “very good call” with President Xi of China, highlighting strong bilateral relations and continued cooperation. This matters for gold because: • Warmer US–China relations often reduce geopolitical risk premiums, pressuring gold. • The timing is critical: markets are entering NFP week, a period where institutions frequently engineer liquidity grabs. • Traders may see a USD-supportive environment ahead of NFP, especially if risk sentiment stabilizes. In short, gold is sitting in a zone where liquidity sweeps are highly probable before a larger move develops. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H – SMC Structure) • Market Structure Price is climbing toward a major liquidity cluster around 4170–4172, aligning with previous equal highs and an unmitigated supply block. Below, the FVG demand zone at 4102–4100 serves as today’s discount reaction zone. • Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply) 4170 – 4172 • Buy-side liquidity sits above prior highs • Clear premium zone relative to current swing structure • Likely target for engineered sweep ahead of NFP volatility • Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand) 4102 – 4100 • FVG imbalance + BOS origin • Confluence with discount retracement levels • Strong RR for bullish reaction after sell-side sweep • Liquidity Map • Buy-side: 4172 → 4180 • Sell-side: 4100 → 4092 Expect the classic SMC sequence: Sweep → CHoCH → Displacement → Retest → Expansion. 🔴 Sell Setup – Premium Reaction Entry: 4170 – 4172 Stop-Loss: 4180 Take-Profit: → 4138 (imbalance fill) → 4115 (mid-range liquidity) → 4102–4100 (discount zone retest) 📌 Must wait for liquidity sweep + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup – Discount Reaction Entry: 4102 – 4100 Stop-Loss: 4092 Take-Profit: → 4135 (intraday reaction) → 4160 (premium edge) → 4170 (buy-side liquidity sweep) 📌 Valid only after sell-side liquidity is taken. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect extra volatility as markets price in US–China optimism ahead of NFP. • Liquidity traps are common during Asian/London sessions—wait for confirmation. • Avoid taking positions inside the chop zone 4125–4150 without structure shifts. • Treat both scenarios as liquidity plays, not trend continuation trades. 📝 Summary Gold is approaching a major liquidity pocket as geopolitical sentiment improves following Trump’s positive call with President Xi. With NFP approaching, institutions are likely to sweep liquidity above 4170 or below 4100 before establishing direction. Key Levels Today 🔴 Sell Zone: 4170–4172 🟢 Buy Zone: 4102–4100 Prepare for the typical pre-NFP pattern: Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum,Watching for Breakout Above 4150📊 Market Overview: Gold is currently trading around 4140. Market sentiment remains tilted toward buying due to expectations of an upcoming Fed rate cut, while the USD shows mild weakening during the session. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key resistance: 4150 – 4162 • Nearest support: 4125 – 4130 • EMA: Price is above the EMA-09, indicating the bullish trend is still intact. • Candlestick / Momentum: – The 4150 zone is forming a strong resistance; H1 candles show upper wicks → short-term profit-taking pressure. – If H1 closes above 4150 → gold may extend to 4175 – 4190. – If it fails, price may retest 4130. 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue rising if it breaks above 4150 with a confirmed candle. Otherwise, if it cannot break 4150 in the next 2–3 H1 candles, the market could retrace to 4130 before rising again. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔺 BUY XAU/USD Entry: 4128 – 4132 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4125
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
XAUUSD – Bearish Reversal Setup Toward Liquidity TargetsChart Analysis Your chart shows a potential bearish reversal on XAUUSD with a clear smart-money structure. Here’s the breakdown: 1. Market Structure Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (ChoCH) indicate a shift from bullish momentum to bearish intent. Price made a final sweep / liquidity grab at the recent high before sharply dropping into your marked entry zone. 2. Entry Zone The “ENTRY” mark aligns with: A bearish mitigation zone from the last up-move A distribution pattern forming (rounded top + BOS) This suggests institutional selling activity. 3. Target One – 4,080.064 This level is a logical first target because: It aligns with previous demand acting as newly created liquidity. You expect a corrective pullback before continuation—your white zig-zag path reflects this. 4. Target Two – 4,040.652 A deeper liquidity pool and the next major imbalance area. If price breaks Target One, momentum likely accelerates. This is the main downside liquidity sweep zone. 5. Context The shaded half-circle structures highlight swing points where price formed lower highs, reinforcing the bearish narrative. The clean equal-lows and imbalances under price give strong bearish draw-on-liquidity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
MARKET CONTEXT CHART H1 I 11/25Market Context (English Version) Gold is still moving within a solid bullish structure, shown clearly through its sequence of higher-highs and higher-lows. Buying pressure remains dominant in the short term, but price is approaching the Supply Zone at 4,147 – 4,150, where profit-taking pressure may appear. The Volume Profile reveals: POC at 4,093 → This is the price level with the highest traded volume, showing strong agreement from both buyers and sellers. VAH Zone 4,120 – 4,125 acts as soft resistance; if this zone holds after a pullback, the bullish trend remains intact. VAL Zone 4,043 – 4,020, combined with the lower Demand Zone, forms a strong defensive layer for buyers if price makes a deeper correction. Currently, price is running closely along the ascending trendline, signaling that buyers are still applying pressure. However, as price approaches the Supply Zone, the market may temporarily stall and create a technical correction. Notable signals: H1 candles show upper wicks, indicating that sellers are starting to react around 4,145 – 4,147. The Volume Profile is heavier toward the upper range, suggesting the market may need a liquidity grab back toward the POC before continuing upward. Overall: ➡️ The primary trend is still bullish. ➡️ But the market is likely in need of a pullback to accumulate more strength. ➡️ Only if price breaks below 4,093 will a deeper correction begin. ➡️ A break below 4,015 would confirm a full structural shift from bullish to bearish. 🟦 Scenario 1: Price continues upward – Breaks the Supply Zone (bullish continuation) Conditions: Price maintains the ascending trendline. 4,120 (VAH zone) holds and price bounces strongly. Development: Price retraces toward 4,120 – 4,093 (VAH & POC). Strong buying absorption appears → forms a higher low. Price pushes back up to retest the 4,147 Supply Zone. If buyers dominate → break above 4,147 and extend toward 4,160 – 4,175. Meaning: The bullish trend remains intact. Buyers are fully in control. 🟧 Scenario 2: Deep correction before continuing upward (pullback to VAL Zone) Conditions: Price breaks the ascending trendline. Buyers fail to defend VAH/POC and price loses 4,120. Development: Price breaks below 4,093 (POC). Drops further toward 4,043 – 4,020 (VAL zone). This is a strong prior demand level. Price reacts at VAL → forms a new low → resumes bullish momentum. Meaning: Healthy correction. Market pulls back to gather liquidity before the next bullish leg. 🟥 Scenario 3: Bearish reversal – Break of Demand Zone Conditions: Price breaks below 4,043 – 4,015 (Demand + VAL). Strong selling absorption overwhelms buyers. Development: Price falls through the Demand Zone. Retests it, turning it into new Supply. A medium-term bearish trend forms. Downside targets: 4,000 3,985 3,970 Meaning: Market structure breaks. Bullish trend ends, and a new bearish phase begins.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mark_Melanie_Gold_Stragegy
Gold Breaks Out of Consolidation, A New Bullish Cycle Incoming?Gold has shown a significant recovery, breaking out of the multi-day sideways range between 4,00x–4,10x. Instead of collapsing below 4000, strong buying pressure stepped in — pushing price back above 4100, signaling that the market may be choosing an early bullish breakout ahead of expectations for a potential FED rate-cut cycle. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1/H2) 1. Structure Gold has officially broken out of the symmetrical triangle formation. Price is now printing higher highs – higher lows, confirming short-term bullish structure. 2. Key Levels BUY Zone 1: 4,095 – 4,100 (Fibo 0.236 + intraday demand) BUY Zone 2: 4,118 – 4,122 (Fibo 0.382 + breakout retest zone) Target Zone: 4,187 – 4,195 (Fibo 1.618 extension) 3. Expected Price Action After rejecting the 0.786 Fibo, a corrective pullback is expected. A retest of 4,118 or deep pullback to 4,095 is highly probable before the next bullish leg. As long as price holds above 4,095, bullish bias remains intact. 🎯 Trading Plan — MMF Style Primary Scenario – BUY the Retracement BUY 1: 4,118 – 4,122 SL: 4,107 TP: 4,150 → 4,168 → 4,195 BUY 2 (safer): 4,095 – 4,100 SL: 4,082 TP: 4,150 → 4,170 → 4,195 If price clears 4,165, extended targets toward 4,19x–4,21x become possible. Secondary Scenario – SELL only on strong rejection Selling is not preferred in the current structure. Only consider shorting if price forms a false breakout around 4,19x and confirms a bearish BOS on H1. 🧠 MMFLOW VIEW Gold is showing early signals of shifting out of its medium-term downtrend and transitioning into a new bullish phase. With both technical breakout confirmation and fundamental support (rate-cut expectations) aligning, the path of least resistance is to the upside. “In a rising market, missing the trend is far more costly than entering slightly early.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – TUESDAY BREAKOUT BUY SETUP, WATCH REACTIONS AT FIBO...💛 XAUUSD – TUESDAY BREAKOUT BUY SETUP, WATCH REACTIONS AT FIBO 1.618–2.618 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone, Lana here 💬 After spending several days compressed inside a triangle pattern, Gold has finally broken the descending trendline on H1, absorbed liquidity around the FVG zone, and continued to hold above the breakout area. This shows that short-term bullish momentum is currently favored, with price targeting the higher Fibonacci extensions. Today the market is waiting for major data releases: CPI, PPI, retail sales… These numbers can create strong volatility, especially when gold is in an “overcrowded trade” condition. If US consumer data comes in strong, a deeper pullback may appear after a liquidity sweep. 💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective) On H1, price has: Broken the descending trendline of the accumulation triangle. Retested the FVG + liquidity repurchase zone around 4.101–4.105 and bounced back upward. The 4.133–4.135 area, previously resistance, has now turned into support — a suitable zone for a buy-on-dip strategy. Technical Targets: Fibonacci Extension 1.618 of the current bullish leg is around 4.16xx. Fibonacci Extension 2.618 + major liquidity pool sits around 4.23xx–4.24xx, aligning with previous highs — a zone where sellers may show strong reaction. Overall, as long as price stays above 4.10–4.11, the short-term bullish structure remains valid. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan 💖 BUY Scenario – Priority with Trend Buy on breakout – current price zone Entry: 4.130–4.133 SL: 4.125 TP: 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198 → 4.230 Buy on deeper retest Entry: 4.100–4.103 SL: 4.095 (you may choose a tighter SL instead of 3.995 for better R:R) TP: 4.125 → 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198 💢 SELL Scenario – Only Short-Term Reaction at Resistance Sell: 4.167–4.169 SL: 4.175 TP: 4.150 → 4.133 → 4.110 → 3.990 This Sell setup is only for short-term scalping against the trend — priority is to close quickly at nearby TP levels. ⚠️ Important Notes Today includes CPI, PPI, retail sales and other US data — spreads may widen and price can spike both ways. Gold is currently a crowded trade, so after strong rallies, deeper washout moves can occur to shake out weak positions. Best strategy: Prioritize Buy setups at confirmed support zones. Reduce position size before major news; avoid holding heavy trades through data releases. Treat Sell setups only as fast in–fast out scalps. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction – With LanaM2 In summary, the breakout from the H1 triangle supports the scenario of Gold continuing upwards toward the Fibo 1.618–2.618 extension levels, as long as price stays above 4.10–4.11 💛 Today, focus on finding clean Buy entries instead of chasing price, and be cautious during CPI & PPI releases. If you found this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to get daily Gold insights on TradingView ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Gold H1 – Will Economic Slowdown Trigger a Liquidity Sweep?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (24/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to move inside a tight compression range while markets react to new economic concerns raised by U.S. analysts. According to today’s report, economists are increasingly worried about an unusual slowdown pattern in consumer behavior — spending remains high, but confidence and savings are weakening. This mixed macro picture creates uncertainty: 🔹 Key takeaways from today’s news: • U.S. consumers are still spending but confidence is deteriorating, a red flag for future growth. • Economists warn this divergence could lead to slower economic momentum over the next quarters. • Weakening sentiment → higher recession fears → typically supportive for gold after liquidity sweeps. • However, short-term volatility remains high as markets reassess the sustainability of U.S. demand. With uncertainty rising, institutions are likely engineering both-side liquidity grabs before committing to a directional move. Gold is currently rotating between 4015–4100, respecting a clean SMC range structure. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Market Structure Price is forming a descending compression pattern with repeated CHoCH signals, indicating engineered liquidity on both sides. • Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply) 4100 – 4102 → Overhead resting buy-side liquidity → Aligns with unmitigated internal supply + trendline liquidity • Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand) 4015 – 4013 → Inside the prior sweep zone → Confluence with ascending structure + BOS origin • Liquidity Map • Buy-side liquidity: above 4102 – 4110 • Sell-side liquidity: below 4013 – 4008 A sweep of either pocket is likely before real displacement. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) Entry: 4100 – 4102 Stop-Loss: 4110 Take-Profit Targets: → 4065 (imbalance fill) → 4040 (range midpoint) → 4018–4015 (discount retest) 📌 Execution Rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) Entry: 4015 – 4013 Stop-Loss: 4008 Take-Profit Targets: → 4055 (short-term reaction) → 4080 (premium edge) → 4100 (sweep target) 📌 Valid only if price takes sell-side liquidity first and shows bullish displacement from discount. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Market may react unpredictably to weakening U.S. consumer sentiment — reduce risk during spikes. • Avoid trading inside the 4040–4070 chop zone unless a clean break or CHoCH forms. • Treat both setups as liquidity–based plays, not trend continuation trades. • Expect engineered manipulation during Asian session before London expansion. 📝 Summary Gold remains trapped in a controlled SMC range as economic signals turn mixed. With economists raising concerns about consumer–confidence divergence, gold may experience pre-breakout liquidity sweeps today. Key Zones: 🔴 Sell Zone: 4100–4102 🟢 Buy Zone: 4015–4013 Expect the classic SMC sequence: Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAU/USD: Gold Uptrend - Buy at 4,090 & 4,044 USD📊 Market Structure Gold is maintaining an upward structure after creating a series of bullish BoS from the Demand zone. Currently, the price is technically pulling back to discount zones, where the BUY side has more advantages. Above, the 4,206 USD zone is confirmed as OB Bearish , acting as strong resistance and a potential reversal point for the SELL side. Below, the discount zones including Fibo–Buy 4,090 and OB Bullish 4,044–4,047 USD are reasonable places to wait for BUY to continue following the main trend. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Fibo–Buy Zone: 4,085 – 4,095 → priority BUY zone • FVG Reaction Zone: around 4,095 – 4,105 → signal present → BUY immediately • OB Bullish: 4,044 – 4,047 → deep, safe BUY zone • OB Bearish: 4,206 → strong SELL zone • Partial resistance for SELL scalp: 4,169 – 4,186 – 4,206 – 4,237 🎯 Trading Plan – BUY (Main Priority) 1️⃣ Main BUY – Fibo–Buy 4,090 • Entry: 4,085 – 4,095 • SL: below 4,060 • TP1: 4,169 • TP2: 4,186 • TP3: 4,206 / 4,237 → This is the most beautiful discount zone according to structure + fibo + trendline. 2️⃣ BUY on Reaction – FVG If the price only touches FVG 4,095–4,105 and then shows a strong rejection candle: • BUY immediately when there is a signal • Target remains: 4,169 → 4,186 → 4,206 → 4,237 3️⃣ Defensive BUY – OB Bullish 4,044 • Entry: 4,044 – 4,047 • SL: 4,020 • TP1: 4,095 • TP2: 4,169 • TP3: 4,206 → This is the “last bottom” zone before the uptrend is threatened. 🎯 Trading Plan – SELL SCALP (Not the Main Trend) Zones where SELL can react when a reversal candle appears: • 4,169 USD • 4,186 USD • 4,206 USD (OB Bearish) • 4,237 USD (Supply) Entry SELL: when there is a clear rejection (H1 long wick / engulfing) SL: above the zone 10–15 USD TP: back to 4,186 → 4,169 → 4,128 → These are counter-trend scalp orders, only for flexible traders. 🧠 Vincent’s View The main trend is still up, adjustments down to FVG – Fibo – OB Bullish are all beautiful BUY opportunities. The BUY side dominates as long as 4,044 is not broken – SELL is only secondary, BUY remains the main play. “Buy at discount, sell at reaction — that’s how the market moves.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 25/11/2025 1. Momentum D1 D1 momentum has entered the overbought zone and is showing early signs of reversal. This indicates the current bullish leg is weakening. Today or tomorrow, if a strong bearish D1 candle appears, it will likely confirm the reversal. H4 H4 momentum is also in the overbought zone, with the lines sticking tightly together — a typical sign that a reversal could happen at any moment. Once we see a bearish H4 candle close, we can consider the current high as a potential top. H1 H1 momentum is currently in the oversold zone and preparing to turn upward. This means price may still show one more short-term bullish correction or move sideways before any meaningful decline. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1 Yesterday’s bullish daily candle did not change the D1 wave count. We are still in the Y wave (purple). However, one critical point needs attention: • D1 momentum is already overbought. • When D1 momentum rolls over, what we want to see is: o Price failing to break the current X-wave high, and o A strong, sharp decline to complete wave Y. If price does not decline sharply as expected, the market may shift into a more complex corrective structure — such as a triangle or a larger WXY formation. I will update the count if that scenario develops. ________________________________________ H4 Yesterday’s bullish move broke above the previous wave (2) high. This invalidates the 5-wave scenario and confirms that the structure is instead forming a 3-wave corrective pattern. With H4 momentum turning down and D1 momentum already overbought, the current price region is highly likely to be the top of wave 2. ________________________________________ H1 A clear 3-wave ABC corrective pattern has completed. Wave C (blue) now reaches the target area around 4158, making this a very attractive region to look for Sell entries. However, keep in mind: • H1 momentum is in the oversold zone and preparing to turn upward. • This suggests price may still push slightly higher or move sideways before H1 reaches the overbought zone. The best Sell timing will be when H1 and H4 momentum align together in overbought zones. ________________________________________ 3. Key Liquidity Zones Two important liquidity areas lie ahead: • 4143 • 4184 If price holds above 4143, the probability of reaching 4184 increases — especially with H1 momentum turning upward. Because H1 momentum is about to rise, it is difficult to find a precise Sell entry at 4143–4158–4184 without waiting for a clear price reaction. The safest approach is to wait for bearish confirmation signals at each zone. For my personal plan: • First attempt to catch the top with a small position at 4158. • Second attempt at 4184 if price extends further. ________________________________________ 4. Trade Plan 📌 Sell Zone 1 • 4156 – 4158 • SL: 4168 • TP1: 4123 • TP2: 4081 • TP3: 4020 📌 Sell Zone 2 • 4184 – 4185 • SL: 4205 • TP1: 4123 • TP2: 4081 • TP3: 4020
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Set to Explode from Triangle Pattern—Act Now!📊 Market Structure Gold is entering a tight accumulation phase within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern – indicating compression before a strong breakout. On the downside, the price is still supported by the Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 USD , which is the main support area for the medium-term uptrend structure. On the upside, the Resistance Zone 4,103 – 4,110 USD continuously exerts pressure, causing price rejection. Currently, gold is trading right in the middle of the compression triangle → the market is preparing to choose a direction. Looking at the wave structure, the trend slightly leans towards a break up to sweep liquidity in the high area. 💎 Key Technical Zones • ⭐ FVG Supply Zone: 4,128 – 4,150 USD → expected strong reaction area if price breaks up • 🟣 Resistance Zone: 4,103 – 4,110 USD → decisive area for direction • 🟪 Demand Zone: 4,007 – 4,020 USD → strong base maintaining structure • 🟦 Liquidity Clear: 3,980 USD → risk area if price collapses the triangle 🎯 Trading Plan – Two Possible Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY – Wait for Breakout from Triangle (priority scenario) If the price breaks the resistance zone 4,103 – 4,110 with a strong H1 closing candle: • Entry: 4,112 – 4,115 • SL: 4,095 • TP1: 4,128 • TP2: 4,145 • TP3: 4,150 (reach FVG) → This is a trend-following setup, with a high probability of sweeping liquidity above after the break. 2️⃣ BUY – Retest Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 If the price continues to follow the triangle pattern and falls to the trendline + demand zone: • Entry: 4,010 – 4,017 • SL: 3,990 • TP1: 4,103 • TP2: 4,128 • TP3: 4,150 → This is a very strong confluence area between Demand Zone + Trendline + pattern base. ❌ SELL? When is it valid? Currently, selling is not prioritized, as the price is still above the Demand Zone and the larger structure still favors an uptrend. Selling is only valid if the price: • Breaks strongly below 4,007 USD → At this point, the market turns bearish, with a distant target of 3,980 USD. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is under strong compression. When the triangle pattern is broken, the move will be extremely fast and decisive. The current trend leans towards breaking up and heading straight into the FVG area 4,128 – 4,150 USD. Just be patient and wait for the confirmation candle — don’t predict, react to the market. ⚡ “Breakout is born from pressure — patience profits.” ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Update: 24/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 24-25✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis (H4) 1️⃣ Market Structure: Weak rebound, strong resistance above Gold is currently trading around 4095, standing above MA5, MA10, and MA20. This shows that the short-term rebound is still valid. However, the moving averages have not formed a bullish expansion, meaning the market is still in a corrective rebound after a decline, not a strong uptrend. Price is approaching the key resistance at 4100–4103 (First Resistance). Above this level lies the Bollinger upper band near 4114, where selling pressure will increase significantly. ➡️ The upward space is limited; the rebound is entering its later stage. 2️⃣ Bollinger Bands: Above mid-band, approaching upper-band Mid-band ≈ 4070 Price has broken above the mid-band → rebound confirmed But upper-band at 4113–4115 → strong Resistance ➡️ Gold is in the later phase of the rebound, chasing long positions here has higher risk. 3️⃣ Key Levels 🔴Resistance: 4103 / 4113–4120 🟢Support: 4068 / 4050 As long as price stays above 4068–4070, the rebound structure remains intact. ✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis (H1) 1️⃣ Price rejected at 4101 resistance, momentum weakening From the 1H chart: Price touched 4101–4103 and immediately pulled back Bollinger upper band near 4105 Bullish momentum is slowing down This is a typical structure: ➡️ Short-term rebound → hit resistance → pullback 2️⃣ Moving averages remain bullish, but market entering high-level consolidation MA5 and MA10 are still rising, but strong rejection at resistance indicates high-level consolidation, not strong continuation. If price drops below MA10 (≈4085), short-term pullback may begin. 3️⃣ Key Levels 🔴Resistance: 4101–4105 / 4110-4115 🟢Support: 4080–4085 (minor support) / 4063 (pivot support) ✅ Trading Strategy 🔰 Primary Plan: Sell on Rebounds 📍 4110-4115 resistance zone If price retests this zone but fails to break through, consider short entries. Targets: 4085 / 4070 Stop loss: Above 4120 🔰 Secondary Plan: Buy on Pullbacks 📍 4068–4072 support zone If price pulls back and stabilizes, small-lot long positions can be considered. Targets: 4095 / 4100 Stop loss: Below 4058 🔹Gold is currently near strong resistance around 4100, short-term bullish momentum is weakening, and the market favors selling the rebound rather than chasing longs. 🔹After rebounding from 4050 to the 4100 region, gold has reached a heavy resistance zone (previous highs + Bollinger upper band). The probability of continued upward movement decreases. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro