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Silver buy ondip upmove will continue EFT issue will be resolvedSilver upmove will be continued, ETF issue will be resolved soon Updated levels for next week given on chart How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
MCX:SILVER1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
XAUUSD Analysis for the New WeekXAUUSD Analysis for the New Week: Sideways Accumulation Awaiting Big Waves - Detailed Trading Strategy Hello trading community! Last week, XAUUSD (Gold) moved as predicted within a narrow range, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. However, the main trend on larger time frames remains bullish. At the start of the new week, Gold is likely to continue accumulating before making stronger breakthroughs. This article will provide a detailed analysis of technical and fundamental factors, along with specific trading strategies. 📊 Technical Analysis Based on the H1 chart, we can clearly see the following important price structures: Ascending Channel: Gold is still moving steadily within an ascending channel, indicating that the buying trend remains dominant in the medium term. The lower support line of the channel will be a crucial support area for buyers. Key Support: The price range of $3970 - $3974 is acting as a solid support zone. This is the confluence area of the lower channel line and a dense volume profile zone, showing strong buyer interest here. The "Buy test support" scenario as shown in the image is entirely feasible. Resistance Zone: The $4060 area and further the old peak around $4080 (corresponding to the Fibonacci Extension 1.618 area) are significant barriers. Sellers might be active in these areas. Volume Profile Indicator (VPVR): The Point of Control is around $3982, further reinforcing the importance of the nearest support zone. Any break below this area could trigger a short-term sell-off towards the $3946 area. 📰 Fundamental Analysis The market is influenced by mixed information streams, creating uncertainty and reinforcing Gold's sideways scenario: ⚠️ Hawkish Stance from the FED: Recent statements by Mr. Musallem (FED) indicate concerns about inflation potentially rising further. He emphasised the need to control inflation expectations, even at the cost of short-term labour market fluctuations. This implies that the FED might continue to maintain tight monetary policy, putting pressure on Gold prices (due to a stronger USD). 📈 Risk Asset Frenzy: Bitcoin reaching the $111,000 mark is raising concerns about an asset "bubble" and potential crisis risks. In this scenario, Gold could benefit as a safe haven asset, attracting funds when market risks are high. The contradiction between FED policy and market risk sentiment is the reason for Gold's sideways accumulation. 🎯 Trading Strategy Based on the above analysis, we can build two trading scenarios for the upcoming week. The main priority remains to buy along the trend. Scenario 1: Buy at Support (BUY) 📈 Entry: Look to buy when the price adjusts to the $3974 - $3971 area. Stop Loss (SL): $3965 (Below the safe support zone). Take Profit (TP): $3985 - $3999 - $4020 - $4050 - $4080. Scenario 2: Sell at Resistance (SELL) 📉 Entry: Look to sell when the price approaches the strong resistance area of $4077 - $4080. Stop Loss (SL): $4086 (False breakout above the peak). Take Profit (TP): $4055 - $4020 - $4000 - $3970. Summary The main trend of Gold remains bullish, but in the short term, the price may continue to move sideways within the $3970 - $4080 range to accumulate. The optimal strategy is to look for buying opportunities at key support areas and consider short-term sell orders at strong resistance zones. Always remember to manage your capital strictly as the market always holds unexpected fluctuations. Wishing traders a successful new week! Note: This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave..LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave, Short-term Sell at 4028 Hello traders, Gold has had an impressive growth week, but as prices hit new highs, the risk of correction always increases. Let's examine this week's Gold scenario based on wave analysis and market liquidity. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart H4 – XAUUSD) Based on the H4 chart, Gold (GOLD) seems to have completed the Push Wave 5 (Elliott Wave 5) in the current uptrend cycle, reaching strong resistance around 4050–4060. Current Structure: The price is within a sustainable Uptrend Channel. The 4050–4060 range is a significant resistance where selling pressure may emerge. An ABC correction wave scenario appears after completing Wave 5. Key Liquidity Zones: Potential Resistance Zone (Sell Wave C): Around 4028–4033 (Price area to watch for the reaction of the final Wave C). Confirmed Drop Support Zone: 3972 (Critical price area confirming if selling pressure is strong enough). Attractive Buy Zone: 3976 (Temporary liquidity if price corrects, waiting for Breakout confirmation). Long-term Buy Zone (POC Buy): ~3850 (Price area with a huge Volume Profile, ideal for long-term buy orders). 🎯 New Week Trading Scenario 📉 Short-term Sell This scenario is based on the expectation of an ABC correction wave starting from the resistance zone. 📍 Entry: 4033 🛑 SL: 4040 (Very tight SL, suitable for short-term Sell strategy at the wave peak) 🎯 TP: 3976 → 3943 → POC (~3850) 📈 Long-term Buy This setup waits for a correction to lower liquidity zones to enter Buy orders with optimal R:R ratio. 📍 Entry: 3976 (Temporary liquidity buy zone) 🛑 SL: 3970 🎯 TP: 4040 → 4090 → 4150 🛑 Failure Scenario (Wait for Breakout Confirmation) If the price breaks the 4060 peak and creates a new ATH (All-Time High), the ABC wave scenario will fail. Action: Continue to prioritize Buying. The best entry is to wait for the price to retest the broken liquidity zone (Breakout Retest) around 3976. 🧭 Fundamental & Long-term Analysis Macroeconomic Sentiment: The Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) forecasts Gold to rise to $4,500 in the next two years, bolstered by long-term inflation concerns. This confirms the long-term uptrend of Gold remains intact. US Dollar Impact (USD): The traditional view is that USD rises as investors seek liquidity during market stress. However, Gold's rise alongside USD shows the market prioritizes gold as an inflation hedge rather than just a safe haven. Long-term Strategy: The buy zone at POC (~3850) according to Volume Profile is extremely suitable. Large liquidity here will help traders enter optimal orders and hold long-term, leveraging the pressure from the Seller's Liquidity to push prices up. 📌 Conclusion Gold is at a critical crossroads. Although the long-term trend is up, the short-term correction risk (ABC Wave) at the 4028–4033 zone is very high. Priority: Watch for short-term sells at the resistance zone with a tight SL. Safe strategy: Wait to Buy at liquidity support zones like 3976 or POC (~3850) to optimize risk/reward (R:R). I will continue to update Gold scenarios daily with insights from 8 years of trading experience. 👉 Follow me to not miss important updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
$4,000 RECLAIMED! Targeting Fibo Extremes on H4.The big picture is clear: Gold has strongly pushed past the $4,000 mark, driven by major safe-haven demand amidst US-China tensions. Buyers are pushing for an eighth straight weekly gain! But where are the high-probability zones? 🔑 THE FRANCI$$_FIBOMATRIX PLAN (H4) We're keying in on two critical Fibo Reaction Zones for the perfect entry: 1. SELL ZONE (Correction/Reversal Focus): Zone 1 (FIBO): 402x - 403x (4,025.424 - 4,032.844). Action: Look for H1/H4 candle rejection here to initiate a corrective short trade. Zone 2 (Extension): 411x - 412x (4,115.422 - 4,128.811). Action: The ultimate target if momentum holds; watch this for the major supply zone. 2. BUY ZONE (Trend Continuation): The Sweet Spot: 392x - 389x (3,907.030 - 3,895.674). This is our key Liquidity React Fibo Buy Zone. Action: Wait for the deep pullback here, confirm with bullish signals, and join the main trend with a target back to the 402x/411x range. 🚨 Critical Risk Alert: A decisive weekly close below $3,962 signals a high risk of deep correction towards $3,900. Manage your Longs tightly below this level!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
XAUUSDLadies & Gentlemen, you all are seeing this is the chart of gold (XAUUSD). This is one of the most popular charts in the world. Everyone wants to predict. We have started counting this cycle from the low created by Gold on 6 October 2023. We have done two cycles in it, the first cycle is of 63 trading days, and the second is its double i.e. 126 trading days. In the shorter cycle (63 BAR), you will see that it has maximum given 10 to 18% returns till date within EVERY 90 days It has more than doubled in the last two years.And no down train cycle has started yet. And this is nine Cycles from Small Cycle. Do you think this cycle will continue to grow like this in the future?
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by askbiswanath2025
Gold → Ready for the Next Bullish WaveGold (XAUUSD) continues to gain momentum as shifting global conditions drive investors toward safer assets. The ongoing uncertainty in financial markets, coupled with renewed concerns over U.S. fiscal policy and interest rate adjustments, has strengthened gold’s long-term appeal. Recent market behavior reflects consistent institutional demand, with traders positioning ahead of potential monetary easing cycles. As confidence in traditional currencies weakens, gold remains a preferred store of value for both investors and central banks. Structurally, the market is maintaining a healthy uptrend, showing controlled corrections within a broader bullish framework. The latest price movements suggest that momentum is building for another upward phase, possibly targeting new historical zones if global instability persists. In summary, gold’s outlook stays constructive — supported by both macroeconomic sentiment and steady technical momentum. How do you see the XAUUSD trajectory evolving — continuation of growth or a major pause ahead?
TVC:GOLD
by XAU_EMPIRE
WTI Crude Oil – Dual Falling Wedges in Play!🛢️ #WTICrudeOil CMP: $58.25 🟡 S maller Falling Wedge (Yellow) • Breakdown candle formed • Breakdown confirmation on weekly close below $58.22 (low of breakdown candle) • Target: $52.71 • Converges with key price action support zone at $52.48–50.55 • Also aligns with long-term wedge trendline support 🟣 Larger Falling Wedge (Purple) • Still intact • Bullish Breakout confirmation: Weekly close above $77.57 🔽 Support Levels • Immediate: $55.15 • Zones: $52.48–50.55, $45.04–42.93 🔼 Resistance Levels • Immediate: $58.35 • Zones: $60.68, $61.45–61.96, $63.98–66.42 ⚠️ Outlook Short-term bias remains bearish , watching for a weekly close below $58.22 to confirm breakdown. Long-term bullish reversal possible only above $77.57 (WCB) . #CrudeOil | #WTI | #OilChart | #ChartPatterns | #FallingWedge | #PriceAction | #Commodities 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
TVC:USOIL
by Stocks_Mario
#MCXCrudeOil Weekly – Breakdown into Major Support Zone#MCXCrudeOil Weekly – Breakdown into Major Support Zone CMP: 5,246 Crude Oil has broken down from a descending triangle with a confirmed weekly close below 5,308 , triggering target of 4,636 . This move unfolds within a larger falling wedge pattern , adding confluence and signaling potential volatility ahead. This breakdown aligns with two key confluences : 📉 The falling wedge lower trendline. 🟠 A major historical demand zone at 4,692 – 4,499 , which was previous resistance turned strong support on multiple occasions. This make-or-break support zone could act as: 🔄 A reversal zone , potentially triggering a bullish breakout from the wedge. 📉 Or, if breached, it may invalidate the wedge and lead to extended downside. Key Levels: Resistance: 5,903 & 6,184 (price action + wedge top) Support: 4,692 – 4,499 (confluence zone) Breakdown Target: 4,636 (descending triangle pattern) Watch weekly candle behavior near this zone closely for signs of either rejection or continuation . #CrudeOil #MCXCrude #ChartPatterns #FallingWedge #DescendingTriangle #PriceAction #BreakdownAlert #SwingTrading #CommodityTrading 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by Stocks_Mario
GOLD: ACCUMULATION POST SELL-OFF,Weekend Short-term Trading PLANGOLD: ACCUMULATION POST SELL-OFF, Weekend Short-term Trading Plan Hello traders 👋 The Gold market witnessed a strong and clear Sell-off yesterday, especially with the decisive break of the $4000 zone – a confirmation area for a new corrective trend, or at least a long-term downtrend cycle. Currently, Gold prices are fluctuating within a narrow range (Sideways), mainly due to the cautious sentiment of investors and the weak liquidity characteristic of Friday. This lack of momentum makes it likely for Gold to continue moving sideways until the New York Session opens. 🔎 Technical Analysis (Chart 30M – XAUUSD) Resistance Retest Zone (Fibonacci Retest): $4030 – $4035. An ideal area for Sellers to re-enter. Sell Scalping/FIBO 50 Zone: $4000 – $4004. The $4000 price zone, once broken, now becomes strong resistance. Key Support/Accumulation Zone: $3940 – $3945 (Confluence of Support level 1.618). Long-term Buy Zone (Buy Scalping): $3890 – $3880. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan (Short-term Trading) The strategy for the day is Short-term trading (Scalping) when the price hits minor resistance zones and seeks larger orders when matching Entry zones according to Fibonacci Extension. 🔴 SELL Scenario (Priority according to the downtrend structure) 1. Sell Re-test Zone $4000 Entry: 📍 4002 – 4004 SL: 🛑 4010 TP: 🎯 3998 – 3985 – 3960 (Can hold the position if the reaction is good) 2. Sell Re-test Zone $4030 (Fibonacci Retest) Entry: 📍 4030 – 4032 SL: 🛑 4037 TP: 🎯 4016 – 4002 – 3998 – 3978 🟢 BUY Scenario (Bottom-fishing/Support) 1. Buy Scalping Zone $3940 Entry: 📍 3940 – 3942 SL: 🛑 3935 TP: 🎯 3965 – 3977 – 3999 – 4035 💡 Fundamental View & Weekend Risk News: A report from SEB Research suggests that market expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates might be too high due to persistent inflation risks. This could pressure Gold and support the USD on a macro level. Friday Risk: Reduced liquidity, prone to Stop Hunts or Fakeouts. ⚖️ Conclusion & Recommendations Short-term main trend: Correction/Downtrend. Action: Closely observe market reactions this Friday. Prioritise Selling at strong Resistance zones ($4000, $4030) and manage capital tightly (Tight SL) for Buy Scalping orders. 👉 Follow me for timely updates on the latest scenarios in the weekend trading session!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Gold 4H – Bullish Setup Ahead of Fed & CPI Week🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade near the ₹4,000 mark as traders brace for a volatile week driven by the U.S. CPI release and Federal Reserve remarks. Recent Fed comments hint that policymakers are open to rate cuts if inflation cools further, boosting gold’s appeal as a hedge against policy easing and market uncertainty. Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East and strong central bank demand for gold continue to provide underlying bullish momentum, though short-term pullbacks remain likely. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC Style) • The higher-timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) confirms that gold remains in a bullish market phase, with buyers defending every major retracement. • The current pullback could target the Potential Reaccumulation Zone around 3947, where liquidity may be swept before the next bullish impulse. • The Discount Demand Zone (3873–3875) aligns with strong 4H imbalance and previous structure support — ideal for a high-probability buy setup. • The Premium Supply Zone (4134–4132) is positioned as a liquidity target, where price may react for short-term corrections. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3873–3875 SL: 3866 TP targets: 3947 → 4020 → 4050 → 4130+ 🔴 Sell Zone: 4134–4132 SL: 4141 TP targets: 4080 → 4020 → 3950 ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for H1 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing positions. • Anticipate liquidity hunts near 3950–3970 ahead of CPI or Fed events. • Use partial scaling and secure partial profits once the structure confirms continuation. • Avoid entering during the first 15 minutes of major news releases to reduce slippage risk. ✅ Summary Gold remains structurally bullish on the 4H timeframe, with potential retracement opportunities offering premium entries. Smart Money may induce a liquidity sweep into 3873–3875 before pushing toward 4130+, where a reaction from institutional supply is likely. With major macro catalysts this week, traders should expect sharp volatility and manipulative moves before the next major leg develops. 🔔 Stay patient — let the market reveal its intent before entering. Premium buys remain favored above 3870 while watching for potential distribution near 4130.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
GOLD: The Dollar Blinks! Time to 'Pay' at the 0.618 Fibo (4018) The Macro Play: USD Retreat Sets the Stage for Gold's Counter-Attack The precious metal is catching a bid as the US Dollar softens after hitting its recent highs. The fundamental backdrop is keeping Gold buoyant: Fed Pivot Narrative: Despite the hawkish undertones in the last FOMC meeting minutes, the market's conviction in two potential Fed rate cuts by year-end remains a powerful tailwind, making non-yielding Gold more attractive. Geopolitical Fog: While the short-term truce news caused a minor retreat, the overarching safe-haven demand driven by global tensions and the looming US government funding crisis provides critical floor support. Bottom Line: Gold is navigating a choppy consolidation phase. Short-term pressure exists, but the Long-Term Macro Thesis favors a cautious recovery. 📊 The MatrixFibo PTKT: SCALP Zones Are Active! Price action shows clear reaction points within the recent sharp move lower. Our plan is to Trade the Reactions at these high-probability confluence zones. 1️⃣ The Aggressive SELL Zone (SELL SCALP Setup) We are looking for the market to exhaust its short-term recovery rally at major resistance levels. Primary SELL ZONE: 3997 - 4000 (0.5 Fibo Level): This area is critical psychological resistance and the 50% retracement of the latest impulse down. PLAN: Await a failed breakout or clear bearish rejection signal (Pinbar, Bearish Engulfing) at 3997 - 4000. TARGET: The move should aim to clear the lows, heading straight for 3915 - 3910. The Ultimate SELL Reversal: 4014 - 4018 (0.618 Fibo Downtrend Zone): This is the REACTION FIBO 0.618 DOWNTREND H1 ZONE. This level is our strongest strategic SELL point if the bounce extends deeper. 2️⃣ The Key BUY Zone (BUY SCALP Setup) We treat this area as the final line of defense for the current uptrend structure. Key Support & BUY SCALP REACT ZONE: 3915 - 3910: This zone is a Major Confluence point: Key Support, the 0.786 Fibo, and the Uptrend Channel Bottom. PLAN: Look for strong buying pressure to emerge as price tests 3915 - 3910. Requires a solid Bullish Price Action Confirmation. TARGET: A successful bounce targets the liquidity back at 3997 - 4000. 🛑 FranCis MatrixFibo Risk Policy Volatility Alert: Expect large swings around US data and Fed commentary. NEVER TRADE WITHOUT A HARD STOP LOSS (SL) on SCALPS. Strategy Focus: The market is range-bound. Stick to a Two-Sided Scalping Plan defined by the identified price levels. Discipline: Only enter trades at or with clear confirmation from the React Zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure BreakLiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure Break, Preparing for a STRONG DOWNTREND? Hello trader, The Gold market has undergone a significant Market Structure Shift, breaking the previous sustainable uptrend. After the key support area around 4000 was breached with high volume, the Bears have taken short-term control. Currently, the price is experiencing a slight correction after a sharp drop, but overall, it is forming Lower High – Lower Low patterns on the H1 chart, confirming the downward movement. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 1H – XAUUSD) The recent sharp decline has broken the upward structure (Break of Structure - BOS) and created significant inefficiencies/imbalances that need to be filled: Liquidity Zone (Resistance): $4050 – $4060. This is the resistance peak to watch. Sell Liquidity Zone (FVG Sell Zone): $4030 – $4040. This is the ideal Fair Value Gap for Bears to re-enter. Key Support/Buy Scalping Zone: $3925 – $3935 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.272). Swing Buy/Accumulation Zone: $3905 – $3915 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.618). 🎯 Main Trading Scenario (Short-term BEARISH) Sell entry 4000 – 4002 SL 4008 TP 3986 – 3965 3950 – 3923 Sell Entry 4028 – 4031 (FVG) SL 4036 TP 4022 – 4010 4000 – 3960 Buy Scalping 3926 – 3928 SL 3921 TP 3939 – 3955 3970 – 3990 Buy Bottom Zone 3900 – 3908 SL 3895 TP 3922 – 3945 3970 – 3988 Export to Spreadsheet 🧭 Fundamental View & Market Sentiment The downward momentum is being driven by the following factors: Monetary Policy: Fed official Williams' remarks supporting continued rate cuts seem to be reducing the safe-haven demand for Gold. Although rate cuts typically support Gold in the long term (due to "cheap money"), a slowing labour market is a short-term negative signal. CPI News: The Bureau of Labour Statistics recalling staff to compile the CPI report amid a government shutdown highlights the importance of this data. If CPI is not as expected, it could cause significant volatility. Market Sentiment: After the structure break, technical selling sentiment may dominate, especially if the price cannot quickly recover to the 4000 level. 📌 Conclusion & Recommendations Gold has confirmed a short-term structure change to a downtrend. While the long-term trend is not yet clearly defined, the current priority is to seek Sell opportunities when the price retraces to key resistance and FVG areas (such as $4000 and $4030). Advice: Always adhere to SL (Stop Loss) and prioritise risk reduction when the market shows reversal signals. DO NOT BUY when the downtrend structure is prevailing. 👉 Follow me for detailed updates and the latest trading plans during the session!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Master Technical Indicators1. Understanding Technical Indicators A technical indicator is a mathematical calculation based on price, volume, or open interest of a security or asset. Indicators are plotted on charts to help traders visualize trends, reversals, and potential entry or exit points. Traders use these indicators to simplify the complexity of raw price data. Rather than analyzing each candle or tick, indicators smooth out noise and highlight the underlying strength or weakness of a trend. They are particularly effective when used alongside chart patterns, price action, and market sentiment analysis. Why Are Technical Indicators Important? They help identify the direction of a trend (up, down, or sideways). They signal potential entry and exit points. They assist in determining market strength and volatility. They provide confirmation for trade setups. They help in risk management by defining stop-loss and target zones. 2. Types of Technical Indicators Technical indicators are generally classified into four main categories: a. Trend Indicators These show the direction and strength of a market trend. Examples: Moving Averages, MACD, Average Directional Index (ADX), Parabolic SAR. b. Momentum Indicators These measure the speed of price movements, helping traders spot overbought or oversold conditions. Examples: RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, CCI, Momentum Indicator. c. Volatility Indicators They measure the rate of price change or fluctuations, showing how much an asset moves over a specific time period. Examples: Bollinger Bands, ATR (Average True Range), Donchian Channels. d. Volume Indicators Volume-based indicators analyze the strength behind price movements, helping traders confirm trends or reversals. Examples: On-Balance Volume (OBV), Volume Oscillator, Chaikin Money Flow (CMF). 3. Top Technical Indicators Every Trader Should Master Let’s dive deep into the most powerful and widely used technical indicators. a. Moving Averages (MA) The Moving Average is one of the simplest yet most powerful tools in technical analysis. It smooths price data to identify the direction of the trend. Types: Simple Moving Average (SMA) – Calculates the average price over a specific period. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) – Gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive. How Traders Use It: Trend Identification: When price is above the moving average, it indicates an uptrend; below it indicates a downtrend. Crossovers: Golden Cross: When the short-term MA crosses above the long-term MA (bullish signal). Death Cross: When the short-term MA crosses below the long-term MA (bearish signal). Dynamic Support & Resistance: MAs often act as support or resistance zones. Popular Settings: 50-day and 200-day MAs for long-term trends, 9-day and 21-day EMAs for short-term trading. b. Relative Strength Index (RSI) Developed by J. Welles Wilder, the RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to determine overbought or oversold conditions. Formula: RSI = 100 – , where RS = Average Gain / Average Loss. Interpretation: RSI above 70: Overbought zone (potential sell signal). RSI below 30: Oversold zone (potential buy signal). RSI between 40–60: Neutral or consolidation phase. Pro Tips: Watch for divergences (price makes a new high, but RSI does not). This often signals a reversal. RSI can also act as trend confirmation when it stays above 50 (bullish) or below 50 (bearish). c. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) The MACD is a powerful trend-following momentum indicator. It shows the relationship between two EMAs (typically 12-day and 26-day). Components: MACD Line: 12-day EMA – 26-day EMA. Signal Line: 9-day EMA of MACD line. Histogram: Difference between MACD and Signal line. How to Use: Crossover Signals: Bullish when MACD line crosses above the Signal line. Bearish when it crosses below. Zero Line Cross: When MACD crosses above zero → bullish momentum. When MACD crosses below zero → bearish momentum. Divergences: If price makes new highs while MACD fails to, it signals a weakening trend. d. Bollinger Bands Developed by John Bollinger, these bands measure volatility using standard deviations around a moving average. Structure: Middle Band: 20-day SMA. Upper Band: SMA + 2 standard deviations. Lower Band: SMA – 2 standard deviations. How to Interpret: Squeeze: When bands contract, it indicates low volatility and possible breakout soon. Expansion: When bands widen, it shows high volatility. Touch of Upper/Lower Band: Price touching the upper band signals overbought. Touching the lower band signals oversold. Pro Tip: Combine Bollinger Bands with RSI or MACD for confirmation. e. Average Directional Index (ADX) The ADX, created by Wilder, measures the strength of a trend — not its direction. Scale: 0–25: Weak or no trend. 25–50: Strong trend. 50–75: Very strong trend. 75–100: Extremely strong trend. Usage: A rising ADX indicates strengthening trend momentum. A falling ADX indicates weakening momentum. Traders often combine ADX with +DI and -DI lines to detect whether bulls or bears are in control. f. Stochastic Oscillator This momentum indicator compares the closing price of an asset to its price range over a set period (usually 14 days). Formula: %K = × 100 %D = 3-day SMA of %K. Interpretation: Above 80: Overbought. Below 20: Oversold. Crossovers between %K and %D lines indicate potential reversals. Pro Tip: Use with trend direction to avoid false signals — only buy oversold signals in an uptrend and sell overbought signals in a downtrend. g. Average True Range (ATR) The ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average range between high and low prices over a given period. Usage: Higher ATR: Indicates more volatility (use wider stop-losses). Lower ATR: Indicates less volatility (use tighter stop-losses). It helps traders adjust position sizing and risk management strategies. h. On-Balance Volume (OBV) The OBV indicator links price movement with volume to measure buying and selling pressure. Formula: If today’s close > yesterday’s close → OBV = Previous OBV + Volume. If today’s close < yesterday’s close → OBV = Previous OBV – Volume. Interpretation: Rising OBV confirms upward momentum (buying pressure). Falling OBV confirms downward momentum (selling pressure). Divergences between OBV and price can signal reversals. 4. Combining Indicators for Better Accuracy No single indicator is perfect. The best traders combine multiple indicators to create a confluence of signals that increase trade accuracy. Popular Combinations: Trend + Momentum: Moving Average + RSI or MACD. Volatility + Momentum: Bollinger Bands + Stochastic. Volume + Trend: OBV + Moving Average. For example, a trader might go long when: The price is above the 50-day EMA (uptrend). RSI crosses above 40 from oversold levels. OBV is rising — confirming strong buying interest. 5. Common Mistakes Traders Make Even the best indicators can mislead when misused. Here are some common pitfalls: Overloading charts with too many indicators: This creates confusion and conflicting signals. Ignoring price action: Indicators should confirm, not replace, price structure analysis. Using the same type of indicators together: Combining multiple momentum indicators (like RSI and Stochastic) adds redundancy. Not adjusting settings: Default settings may not suit every market; fine-tune them to your asset and time frame. Trading without confirmation: Always wait for indicator alignment before entering a trade. 6. Building a Strategy Using Technical Indicators A robust trading strategy built around indicators should include: Market Trend Filter: (e.g., 50 EMA or ADX to determine direction) Entry Signal: (e.g., RSI crossing above 30 or MACD bullish crossover) Exit Signal: (e.g., RSI reaching overbought or MACD turning bearish) Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Rules: (e.g., ATR-based stop-loss for volatility adjustment) Risk Management: Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade. By backtesting your strategy on historical data, you can evaluate its accuracy and profitability. 7. Adapting Indicators for Different Markets Each market behaves differently. For instance: Stocks: Indicators like RSI, MACD, and OBV work best due to volume data. Forex: Moving Averages, ADX, and Bollinger Bands help identify trends in volatile environments. Crypto: Volatility-based indicators (ATR, Bollinger Bands) are more effective because of rapid price swings. Adjust your settings and time frames accordingly: Short-term traders (scalpers/day traders) → 1-min to 15-min charts. Swing traders → 1-hour to daily charts. Long-term investors → weekly/monthly charts. 8. The Psychology Behind Indicators Technical indicators ultimately reflect trader psychology. When RSI is overbought, it shows euphoria and overconfidence. When moving averages flatten, it reflects indecision. High ATR reflects fear and panic; low ATR reflects calmness. Understanding this emotional rhythm helps traders align technical signals with real-world behavior — the essence of market sentiment analysis. 9. Future of Technical Indicators With advancements in AI and algorithmic trading, indicators are becoming more adaptive. Machine learning models can now optimize indicator parameters dynamically, improving accuracy. However, human intuition still plays a key role — especially in interpreting false signals and reading macroeconomic trends. Conclusion Mastering technical indicators is not about memorizing dozens of formulas; it’s about understanding the story they tell about price, volume, and emotion. The best traders use a balanced approach — combining trend, momentum, volume, and volatility indicators — to develop high-probability trading setups. To truly master them: Keep your chart simple. Focus on 2–3 core indicators. Always confirm signals with price action. Backtest your strategy before applying it live. When used with discipline, patience, and proper risk management, technical indicators can become your guiding compass in the ever-changing ocean of financial markets.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Swing Trading SecretsMastering Short-to-Medium Term Market Moves. 1. Understanding the Essence of Swing Trading Swing trading lies between day trading and long-term investing. Day traders open and close positions within a single day, while investors may hold assets for months or years. Swing traders, however, aim to profit from short-term price swings caused by shifts in market sentiment, news, or momentum. The main goal of a swing trader is to identify a stock that is likely to move strongly in one direction — up or down — and enter the trade at the beginning of that move. Traders typically use a combination of technical analysis, volume studies, and trend confirmation tools to spot these opportunities. Key Characteristics of Swing Trading: Holding period: 2 days to 3 weeks. Focus on short-term price trends. Reliance on chart patterns and indicators. Moderate risk and higher flexibility. Works well in volatile markets. Swing trading is ideal for traders who cannot watch the market all day but still want to take advantage of short-term market opportunities. 2. The Secret Foundation: Understanding Market Cycles The first secret of swing trading mastery is understanding market cycles. Every market moves in repetitive phases — accumulation, uptrend, distribution, and downtrend. a. Accumulation Phase This is when smart money (institutional investors) starts buying an asset quietly after a downtrend. The price moves sideways, showing low volatility and volume. Secret tip: Look for subtle increases in volume and higher lows — signs of accumulation before a breakout. b. Uptrend Phase Once accumulation is complete, price begins to rise with increasing momentum. Swing traders thrive here — buying on pullbacks or breakouts. Secret tip: Use moving averages like the 20-day EMA to confirm trend continuation. c. Distribution Phase In this stage, big players start taking profits. The market may move sideways again with false breakouts. Secret tip: Watch for divergences in RSI or MACD — a classic sign of distribution. d. Downtrend Phase Selling pressure increases, creating a bearish phase. Swing traders can profit from short-selling opportunities here. Secret tip: Trade with the trend — look for pullbacks to resistance levels to enter shorts. Understanding where the market stands in this cycle is a hidden key to timing your trades effectively. 3. Technical Secrets of Successful Swing Trading Swing trading is built on the foundation of technical analysis. The most successful swing traders rely on chart patterns, indicators, and price action. a. Chart Patterns Recognizing chart patterns can help predict future price moves. Bullish patterns: Ascending triangle, cup and handle, flag, double bottom. Bearish patterns: Descending triangle, head and shoulders, double top. These patterns signal continuation or reversal of trends, guiding entry and exit points. b. Moving Averages Moving averages smooth price data and reveal the underlying trend. 20-day EMA: Ideal for short-term trend confirmation. 50-day SMA: Used to identify medium-term trend direction. Golden Cross: When 50-day SMA crosses above 200-day SMA — strong bullish sign. c. RSI (Relative Strength Index) RSI measures momentum. Buy when RSI is below 30 (oversold) and starts turning up. Sell when RSI is above 70 (overbought) and begins to fall. d. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) MACD helps identify momentum shifts. Bullish signal: MACD line crosses above the signal line. Bearish signal: MACD line crosses below the signal line. e. Volume Analysis Volume confirms price movement. A breakout with high volume is more trustworthy than one with low volume. Secret tip: Combine volume with candlestick patterns to detect genuine breakouts. 4. Price Action Secrets: Reading the Story Behind Candles Price action is the purest form of market analysis — studying the movement of prices without relying too heavily on indicators. a. Support and Resistance Support is where the price tends to bounce up, while resistance is where it usually faces selling pressure. Secret tip: Strong swing entries occur near these zones with confirmation candles like hammers or engulfing patterns. b. Candlestick Signals Certain candlestick formations indicate strong market sentiment: Bullish engulfing: Reversal signal after a downtrend. Hammer: Shows rejection of lower prices — potential bottom. Doji: Indicates indecision — potential reversal ahead. c. Breakouts and Retests Breakouts above resistance or below support are strong signals. However, waiting for a retest before entry helps avoid fake moves. 5. Risk Management Secrets: Protecting Your Capital No swing trading secret is more powerful than proper risk management. Even with the best analysis, losses are inevitable. The key is to limit losses and let profits run. a. Position Sizing Never risk more than 1–2% of your total trading capital on a single trade. Calculate your position based on the stop-loss distance. b. Stop-Loss Placement Set stop-loss below the most recent swing low (for buy trades) or above swing high (for short trades). Secret tip: Use ATR (Average True Range) to set dynamic stop-losses based on volatility. c. Reward-to-Risk Ratio Always aim for a minimum 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio. This means if you risk ₹1000, your target should be at least ₹2000. d. Trailing Stop As the price moves in your favor, use a trailing stop to lock in profits. This ensures you capture bigger moves without exiting too early. 6. Psychological Secrets: Mastering Your Mind Trading psychology often determines success more than strategy. The secret lies in discipline, patience, and emotional control. a. Avoid Impulsive Decisions Don’t trade just because you “feel” the market will move. Wait for confirmation from technical setups. b. Stick to Your Plan Have a predefined entry, exit, and stop-loss for every trade. Avoid changing them mid-trade out of fear or greed. c. Control Overtrading Swing trading doesn’t require multiple trades daily. Fewer, high-quality trades often produce better results. d. Embrace Losses Losses are part of the game. Learn from them instead of chasing revenge trades. e. Journal Every Trade Maintain a detailed trading journal — entry reason, outcome, emotions, and lessons learned. This is one of the most underrated swing trading secrets. 7. Secret Strategies That Work a. Moving Average Crossover Strategy Use the 20 EMA and 50 EMA. Buy when 20 EMA crosses above 50 EMA (bullish crossover). Sell when 20 EMA crosses below 50 EMA (bearish crossover). Combine this with RSI confirmation for accuracy. b. Breakout Pullback Strategy When price breaks a key resistance, wait for a pullback (retest) to enter. This avoids false breakouts and improves entry timing. c. Fibonacci Retracement Strategy Use Fibonacci levels (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) to identify potential pullback zones during a trend. Combine with price action for confirmation. d. Volume Spike Strategy Sudden volume increase indicates strong institutional participation. When volume spikes with a bullish candle, it often signals the start of a big swing. e. Multi-Timeframe Analysis Analyze higher time frames (like daily or weekly) for trend direction and lower time frames (4-hour or 1-hour) for entries. This alignment increases trade success probability. 8. Swing Trading Tools and Platforms a. Charting Platforms TradingView MetaTrader 4/5 Thinkorswim b. Scanning Tools Use screeners to identify stocks showing breakout patterns or high momentum: Finviz TrendSpider StockEdge (for Indian markets) c. News and Data Sources Stay updated with earnings announcements, interest rate decisions, and global events — these can influence swing trades significantly. 9. Swing Trading in Indian Markets In India, swing trading opportunities are abundant due to high market liquidity and volatility in mid-cap and large-cap stocks. Best Sectors for Swing Trading: Banking and Financials (HDFC Bank, SBI, ICICI) IT Stocks (Infosys, TCS, Tech Mahindra) Energy (ONGC, Reliance Industries) Auto and Pharma sectors Secret Tip for Indian Swing Traders: Focus on F&O stocks with strong volume and price momentum. These tend to show cleaner technical patterns and stronger moves. 10. Common Mistakes and Hidden Lessons Even experienced swing traders make costly mistakes. Recognizing them early can save your capital. Common Mistakes: Ignoring stop-loss or moving it further. Trading against the trend. Overusing leverage. Entering late after a big move. Lack of patience and consistency. Hidden Lessons: Consistency beats intensity. One good trade can make up for multiple small losses. Never trade when emotionally unstable. Backtesting your strategy builds confidence. 11. The Future of Swing Trading: Technology and AI AI-based tools, algorithmic trading, and real-time data analytics are changing swing trading. Predictive models now identify trend reversals faster than ever. However, human intuition and discipline still remain irreplaceable. The future lies in combining data-driven insights with human strategy. Conclusion Swing trading is an art and a science. It demands a sharp eye for patterns, deep understanding of market cycles, strong discipline, and emotional intelligence. By mastering these swing trading secrets, traders can capture lucrative short-term moves while maintaining control over risk. The true secret, however, lies not in finding the “perfect” strategy — but in consistency, patience, and continuous learning. Markets evolve, but principles of discipline and risk management never change. Whether you trade Indian equities or global markets, swing trading rewards those who respect the process and stay committed to mastering it.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Education
by TechnicalExpress
1
Natural gas as said yesterday more fall pending today done 275Natural gas yesterday said more fall pending today same is done , levels given on chart How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Short
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Silver 153000 target hit ,next week 54$ on comex will come Silver buy on dip will continue 54$ will come on comex next week How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
MCX:SILVER1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Silver 51.20 target hit then profit booking 54 $ come next week Silver as said earlier 51.20 $ target hit . Silver buy on dip 54$ we will see on next week How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Good will make new ATH next week buy on dip Gold buy on dip recommended bounce from support area , levels given on chart How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
As said earlier buy on dip willon gold new ATH next week Gold new ATH will come in next week buy on dop on support , levels given on chart How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
MCX:GOLD1!Long
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas