GOLDHello & welcome to this analysis
GOLD after a super duper move from AUG - OCT followed by a sharp decline now appears to be consolidating within a triangle.
Currently appears to be in leg D which should be followed by leg E to complete the contracting triangle squeeze and from thereon the resumption of uptrend.
For those new to patterns - triangles are time wise correction that see less price retracement within a longer duration of time. The current triangle appears to be a contracting one.
Leg D could end near 4175 / 125750 approx while leg E could end near 4050 / 122250 approx.
The view would be incorrect if either the current up move goes above 4245 / 127950 without a pullback or the expected retracement goes below 4000 / 121000.
The interesting part here is that GOLD prior to its rally from 3250 was also within a triangle for 4 months. What followed was a parabolic move from a squeeze. Lets see if this one will also give such a move or not.
All the best
Futures market
XAUUSD – TUESDAY BREAKOUT BUY SETUP, WATCH REACTIONS AT FIBO...💛 XAUUSD – TUESDAY BREAKOUT BUY SETUP, WATCH REACTIONS AT FIBO 1.618–2.618 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone, Lana here 💬
After spending several days compressed inside a triangle pattern, Gold has finally broken the descending trendline on H1, absorbed liquidity around the FVG zone, and continued to hold above the breakout area.
This shows that short-term bullish momentum is currently favored, with price targeting the higher Fibonacci extensions.
Today the market is waiting for major data releases: CPI, PPI, retail sales… These numbers can create strong volatility, especially when gold is in an “overcrowded trade” condition.
If US consumer data comes in strong, a deeper pullback may appear after a liquidity sweep.
💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
On H1, price has:
Broken the descending trendline of the accumulation triangle.
Retested the FVG + liquidity repurchase zone around 4.101–4.105 and bounced back upward.
The 4.133–4.135 area, previously resistance, has now turned into support — a suitable zone for a buy-on-dip strategy.
Technical Targets:
Fibonacci Extension 1.618 of the current bullish leg is around 4.16xx.
Fibonacci Extension 2.618 + major liquidity pool sits around 4.23xx–4.24xx, aligning with previous highs — a zone where sellers may show strong reaction.
Overall, as long as price stays above 4.10–4.11, the short-term bullish structure remains valid.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY Scenario – Priority with Trend
Buy on breakout – current price zone
Entry: 4.130–4.133
SL: 4.125
TP: 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198 → 4.230
Buy on deeper retest
Entry: 4.100–4.103
SL: 4.095 (you may choose a tighter SL instead of 3.995 for better R:R)
TP: 4.125 → 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198
💢 SELL Scenario – Only Short-Term Reaction at Resistance
Sell: 4.167–4.169
SL: 4.175
TP: 4.150 → 4.133 → 4.110 → 3.990
This Sell setup is only for short-term scalping against the trend — priority is to close quickly at nearby TP levels.
⚠️ Important Notes
Today includes CPI, PPI, retail sales and other US data — spreads may widen and price can spike both ways.
Gold is currently a crowded trade, so after strong rallies, deeper washout moves can occur to shake out weak positions.
Best strategy:
Prioritize Buy setups at confirmed support zones.
Reduce position size before major news; avoid holding heavy trades through data releases.
Treat Sell setups only as fast in–fast out scalps.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction – With LanaM2
In summary, the breakout from the H1 triangle supports the scenario of Gold continuing upwards toward the Fibo 1.618–2.618 extension levels, as long as price stays above 4.10–4.11 💛
Today, focus on finding clean Buy entries instead of chasing price, and be cautious during CPI & PPI releases.
If you found this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to get daily Gold insights on TradingView ✨
Gold H1 – Will Economic Slowdown Trigger a Liquidity Sweep?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (24/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to move inside a tight compression range while markets react to new economic concerns raised by U.S. analysts.
According to today’s report, economists are increasingly worried about an unusual slowdown pattern in consumer behavior — spending remains high, but confidence and savings are weakening.
This mixed macro picture creates uncertainty:
🔹 Key takeaways from today’s news:
• U.S. consumers are still spending but confidence is deteriorating, a red flag for future growth.
• Economists warn this divergence could lead to slower economic momentum over the next quarters.
• Weakening sentiment → higher recession fears → typically supportive for gold after liquidity sweeps.
• However, short-term volatility remains high as markets reassess the sustainability of U.S. demand.
With uncertainty rising, institutions are likely engineering both-side liquidity grabs before committing to a directional move.
Gold is currently rotating between 4015–4100, respecting a clean SMC range structure.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Market Structure
Price is forming a descending compression pattern with repeated CHoCH signals, indicating engineered liquidity on both sides.
• Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply)
4100 – 4102
→ Overhead resting buy-side liquidity
→ Aligns with unmitigated internal supply + trendline liquidity
• Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand)
4015 – 4013
→ Inside the prior sweep zone
→ Confluence with ascending structure + BOS origin
• Liquidity Map
• Buy-side liquidity: above 4102 – 4110
• Sell-side liquidity: below 4013 – 4008
A sweep of either pocket is likely before real displacement.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
Entry: 4100 – 4102
Stop-Loss: 4110
Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4065 (imbalance fill)
→ 4040 (range midpoint)
→ 4018–4015 (discount retest)
📌 Execution Rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
Entry: 4015 – 4013
Stop-Loss: 4008
Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4055 (short-term reaction)
→ 4080 (premium edge)
→ 4100 (sweep target)
📌 Valid only if price takes sell-side liquidity first and shows bullish displacement from discount.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Market may react unpredictably to weakening U.S. consumer sentiment — reduce risk during spikes.
• Avoid trading inside the 4040–4070 chop zone unless a clean break or CHoCH forms.
• Treat both setups as liquidity–based plays, not trend continuation trades.
• Expect engineered manipulation during Asian session before London expansion.
📝 Summary
Gold remains trapped in a controlled SMC range as economic signals turn mixed.
With economists raising concerns about consumer–confidence divergence, gold may experience pre-breakout liquidity sweeps today.
Key Zones:
🔴 Sell Zone: 4100–4102
🟢 Buy Zone: 4015–4013
Expect the classic SMC sequence:
Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
XAU/USD: Gold Uptrend - Buy at 4,090 & 4,044 USD📊 Market Structure
Gold is maintaining an upward structure after creating a series of bullish BoS from the Demand zone. Currently, the price is technically pulling back to discount zones, where the BUY side has more advantages.
Above, the 4,206 USD zone is confirmed as OB Bearish , acting as strong resistance and a potential reversal point for the SELL side.
Below, the discount zones including Fibo–Buy 4,090 and OB Bullish 4,044–4,047 USD are reasonable places to wait for BUY to continue following the main trend.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Fibo–Buy Zone: 4,085 – 4,095 → priority BUY zone
• FVG Reaction Zone: around 4,095 – 4,105 → signal present → BUY immediately
• OB Bullish: 4,044 – 4,047 → deep, safe BUY zone
• OB Bearish: 4,206 → strong SELL zone
• Partial resistance for SELL scalp: 4,169 – 4,186 – 4,206 – 4,237
🎯 Trading Plan – BUY (Main Priority)
1️⃣ Main BUY – Fibo–Buy 4,090
• Entry: 4,085 – 4,095
• SL: below 4,060
• TP1: 4,169
• TP2: 4,186
• TP3: 4,206 / 4,237
→ This is the most beautiful discount zone according to structure + fibo + trendline.
2️⃣ BUY on Reaction – FVG
If the price only touches FVG 4,095–4,105 and then shows a strong rejection candle:
• BUY immediately when there is a signal
• Target remains: 4,169 → 4,186 → 4,206 → 4,237
3️⃣ Defensive BUY – OB Bullish 4,044
• Entry: 4,044 – 4,047
• SL: 4,020
• TP1: 4,095
• TP2: 4,169
• TP3: 4,206
→ This is the “last bottom” zone before the uptrend is threatened.
🎯 Trading Plan – SELL SCALP (Not the Main Trend)
Zones where SELL can react when a reversal candle appears:
• 4,169 USD
• 4,186 USD
• 4,206 USD (OB Bearish)
• 4,237 USD (Supply)
Entry SELL: when there is a clear rejection (H1 long wick / engulfing)
SL: above the zone 10–15 USD
TP: back to 4,186 → 4,169 → 4,128
→ These are counter-trend scalp orders, only for flexible traders.
🧠 Vincent’s View
The main trend is still up, adjustments down to FVG – Fibo – OB Bullish are all beautiful BUY opportunities.
The BUY side dominates as long as 4,044 is not broken – SELL is only secondary, BUY remains the main play.
“Buy at discount, sell at reaction — that’s how the market moves.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 25/11/2025
1. Momentum
D1
D1 momentum has entered the overbought zone and is showing early signs of reversal. This indicates the current bullish leg is weakening. Today or tomorrow, if a strong bearish D1 candle appears, it will likely confirm the reversal.
H4
H4 momentum is also in the overbought zone, with the lines sticking tightly together — a typical sign that a reversal could happen at any moment. Once we see a bearish H4 candle close, we can consider the current high as a potential top.
H1
H1 momentum is currently in the oversold zone and preparing to turn upward. This means price may still show one more short-term bullish correction or move sideways before any meaningful decline.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure
D1
Yesterday’s bullish daily candle did not change the D1 wave count. We are still in the Y wave (purple).
However, one critical point needs attention:
• D1 momentum is already overbought.
• When D1 momentum rolls over, what we want to see is:
o Price failing to break the current X-wave high, and
o A strong, sharp decline to complete wave Y.
If price does not decline sharply as expected, the market may shift into a more complex corrective structure — such as a triangle or a larger WXY formation. I will update the count if that scenario develops.
________________________________________
H4
Yesterday’s bullish move broke above the previous wave (2) high. This invalidates the 5-wave scenario and confirms that the structure is instead forming a 3-wave corrective pattern.
With H4 momentum turning down and D1 momentum already overbought, the current price region is highly likely to be the top of wave 2.
________________________________________
H1
A clear 3-wave ABC corrective pattern has completed.
Wave C (blue) now reaches the target area around 4158, making this a very attractive region to look for Sell entries.
However, keep in mind:
• H1 momentum is in the oversold zone and preparing to turn upward.
• This suggests price may still push slightly higher or move sideways before H1 reaches the overbought zone.
The best Sell timing will be when H1 and H4 momentum align together in overbought zones.
________________________________________
3. Key Liquidity Zones
Two important liquidity areas lie ahead:
• 4143
• 4184
If price holds above 4143, the probability of reaching 4184 increases — especially with H1 momentum turning upward.
Because H1 momentum is about to rise, it is difficult to find a precise Sell entry at 4143–4158–4184 without waiting for a clear price reaction.
The safest approach is to wait for bearish confirmation signals at each zone.
For my personal plan:
• First attempt to catch the top with a small position at 4158.
• Second attempt at 4184 if price extends further.
________________________________________
4. Trade Plan
📌 Sell Zone 1
• 4156 – 4158
• SL: 4168
• TP1: 4123
• TP2: 4081
• TP3: 4020
📌 Sell Zone 2
• 4184 – 4185
• SL: 4205
• TP1: 4123
• TP2: 4081
• TP3: 4020
HOW FAR WILL GOLD RISE?
1. MARKET CONTEXT
Yesterday, during the Asian and European sessions, gold prices mainly moved sideways – accumulating within a narrow range.
In the U.S. session, gold prices broke strongly through the 413X region and formed:
Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (iH&S)
The upward structure returns → buyers dominate
This indicates that the upward momentum has returned, and the market leans towards continuing to rise if it does not break the important support area.
Fundamental factors supporting buyers
The market is expecting the Fed to cut interest rates in December.
Tonight there is PPI news — an important indicator directly affecting inflation expectations and Fed expectations.
→ This could be a catalyst for strong volatility in the U.S. session.
2. MAIN TRADING DIRECTION FOR THE DAY
➡️ Prioritize BUY (look to buy) according to the main trend.
➡️ SELL is only reactive – for retracement, not the main trend.
3. POTENTIAL BUY ZONES
Beautiful support areas to look for buying opportunities today:
📍 BUY zone 1 – Nearest
413X (early day resistance and yesterday's breakout area)
→ Beautiful entry area for scalping or buy follow trend.
📍 BUY zone 2
4100 – 4103
→ Psychological support & structural confluence area.
📍 BUY zone 3
4088 – 4090
📍 BUY zone 4
4060 – 4065
→ Strong support area, look to catch the bottom in case of deep price correction.
4. REACTIVE SELL ZONES (ONLY SELL FOR RETRACEMENT)
Only sell when price hits the area — clear rejection signals appear:
📍 SELL zone 1 (nearest)
4180 – 4186
📍 SELL zone 2
4190 – 4195
📍 SELL zone 3
4202 – 4205
Safe SELL conditions:
Only sell counter-trend, prioritize scalping.
If these areas are strongly broken + H1/H4 candle closes, consider buyers winning, then do not sell anymore.
5. CAPITAL MANAGEMENT – RISK MANAGEMENT
SL = 10 points
TP = 10 points
RR ratio = 1:1.2
Do not hold positions through PPI news if not really sure about the pattern.
6. NOTES ON METHOD
Buy orders will dominate the day.
Sell only when there is a strong reaction at resistance.
Scalping: open orders on smaller timeframes (M1–M5–M15) to optimize Entry.
Always wait for price action confirmation (pinbar, engulfing, retest…) before entering orders.
7. SUMMARY
Today's tendency is mainly BUY, based on:
The return of the upward trend
Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern
Expectations of a dovish Fed
PPI news triggering volatility
Wishing everyone an effective trading day — total victory! 🔥💹
Gold Set to Explode from Triangle Pattern—Act Now!📊 Market Structure
Gold is entering a tight accumulation phase within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern – indicating compression before a strong breakout.
On the downside, the price is still supported by the Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020 USD , which is the main support area for the medium-term uptrend structure.
On the upside, the Resistance Zone 4,103 – 4,110 USD continuously exerts pressure, causing price rejection.
Currently, gold is trading right in the middle of the compression triangle → the market is preparing to choose a direction.
Looking at the wave structure, the trend slightly leans towards a break up to sweep liquidity in the high area.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• ⭐ FVG Supply Zone: 4,128 – 4,150 USD → expected strong reaction area if price breaks up
• 🟣 Resistance Zone: 4,103 – 4,110 USD → decisive area for direction
• 🟪 Demand Zone: 4,007 – 4,020 USD → strong base maintaining structure
• 🟦 Liquidity Clear: 3,980 USD → risk area if price collapses the triangle
🎯 Trading Plan – Two Possible Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY – Wait for Breakout from Triangle (priority scenario)
If the price breaks the resistance zone 4,103 – 4,110 with a strong H1 closing candle:
• Entry: 4,112 – 4,115
• SL: 4,095
• TP1: 4,128
• TP2: 4,145
• TP3: 4,150 (reach FVG)
→ This is a trend-following setup, with a high probability of sweeping liquidity above after the break.
2️⃣ BUY – Retest Demand Zone 4,007 – 4,020
If the price continues to follow the triangle pattern and falls to the trendline + demand zone:
• Entry: 4,010 – 4,017
• SL: 3,990
• TP1: 4,103
• TP2: 4,128
• TP3: 4,150
→ This is a very strong confluence area between Demand Zone + Trendline + pattern base.
❌ SELL? When is it valid?
Currently, selling is not prioritized, as the price is still above the Demand Zone and the larger structure still favors an uptrend.
Selling is only valid if the price:
• Breaks strongly below 4,007 USD
→ At this point, the market turns bearish, with a distant target of 3,980 USD.
🧠 Vincent’s View
Gold is under strong compression. When the triangle pattern is broken, the move will be extremely fast and decisive.
The current trend leans towards breaking up and heading straight into the FVG area 4,128 – 4,150 USD.
Just be patient and wait for the confirmation candle — don’t predict, react to the market.
⚡ “Breakout is born from pressure — patience profits.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 24/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Price Reversal Setup from Key Demand & Supply Zones”⚡ **Analysis:**
The price has entered a strong **Demand Zone**, marked by previous accumulation and sharp bullish reaction. Buyers have consistently defended this area, indicating strong institutional interest. Current candles show slowing bearish momentum + wick rejections.
📌 **Trade Plan:**
• **Entry:** Inside or slightly above the Demand Zone
• **Stop Loss:** Below the zone (candle close basis)
• **Target 1:** Nearest supply zone
• **Target 2:** Previous swing high
• **Invalidation:** Clean breakdown and close below the zone
🎯 **Reasoning:**
Demand zones usually represent wholesale prices for institutions. If the zone holds, a bounce toward the next supply area is likely.
Gld Trading Strategy for 25th November 2025🟡 $XAU/USD – GOLD TRADING PLAN (Intraday Strategy)$
📈 GETTEX:BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario)$
👉 Condition to Enter Buy:
Wait for a 30-minute candle to close ABOVE the high of $4170$.
Only if price breaks and closes above 4170 with strength, the bullish momentum becomes valid.
🎯 Buy Targets:
$4182$ – First target, short scalp level.
$4193$ – Second target, medium strength resistance zone.
$4204$ – Final target, strong liquidity area where sellers may appear.
🛡️ Why this Buy Setup Works:
4170 acts as a mini-breakout zone.
30-minute candle confirmation reduces false breakouts.
Each target aligns with short-term resistance levels usually used by intraday traders.
🟢 Trade Management for Buy Side:
After entry, shift SL to breakeven once price crosses $4182$.
Partial booking recommended at each target.
Use a dynamic trailing stop if momentum becomes strong.
📉 $SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario)$
👉 Condition to Enter Sell:
Wait for a 1-hour candle to close BELOW the low of $4106$.
A 1-hour confirmation indicates strong institutional selling pressure.
🎯 Sell Targets:
$4090$ – Immediate support, first profit zone.
$4078$ – Extended downside target.
$4063$ – Deep target zone, where buyers may step in.
🛡️ Why this Sell Setup Works:
4106 acts as a critical breakdown level.
1-hour confirmation provides high-probability downward continuation.
Targets align with earlier demand zones.
🔻 Trade Management for Sell Side:
Move SL to breakeven below $4090$.
Book profits partially for risk reduction.
Watch for reversal signs at $4063$.
⚠️ $Important Disclaimer$
📌 This is NOT financial advice.
📌 These are educational trading levels based on price-action structure.
📌 Trading gold involves high risk. Always use stop loss, manage position size, and evaluate market volatility.
📌 You are responsible for your own trades.
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 24-25✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis (H4)
1️⃣ Market Structure: Weak rebound, strong resistance above
Gold is currently trading around 4095, standing above MA5, MA10, and MA20. This shows that the short-term rebound is still valid. However, the moving averages have not formed a bullish expansion, meaning the market is still in a corrective rebound after a decline, not a strong uptrend.
Price is approaching the key resistance at 4100–4103 (First Resistance). Above this level lies the Bollinger upper band near 4114, where selling pressure will increase significantly.
➡️ The upward space is limited; the rebound is entering its later stage.
2️⃣ Bollinger Bands: Above mid-band, approaching upper-band
Mid-band ≈ 4070
Price has broken above the mid-band → rebound confirmed
But upper-band at 4113–4115 → strong Resistance
➡️ Gold is in the later phase of the rebound, chasing long positions here has higher risk.
3️⃣ Key Levels
🔴Resistance: 4103 / 4113–4120
🟢Support: 4068 / 4050
As long as price stays above 4068–4070, the rebound structure remains intact.
✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis (H1)
1️⃣ Price rejected at 4101 resistance, momentum weakening
From the 1H chart:
Price touched 4101–4103 and immediately pulled back
Bollinger upper band near 4105
Bullish momentum is slowing down
This is a typical structure:
➡️ Short-term rebound → hit resistance → pullback
2️⃣ Moving averages remain bullish, but market entering high-level consolidation
MA5 and MA10 are still rising, but strong rejection at resistance indicates high-level consolidation, not strong continuation.
If price drops below MA10 (≈4085), short-term pullback may begin.
3️⃣ Key Levels
🔴Resistance: 4101–4105 / 4110-4115
🟢Support: 4080–4085 (minor support) / 4063 (pivot support)
✅ Trading Strategy
🔰 Primary Plan: Sell on Rebounds
📍 4110-4115 resistance zone
If price retests this zone but fails to break through, consider short entries.
Targets: 4085 / 4070
Stop loss: Above 4120
🔰 Secondary Plan: Buy on Pullbacks
📍 4068–4072 support zone
If price pulls back and stabilizes, small-lot long positions can be considered.
Targets: 4095 / 4100
Stop loss: Below 4058
🔹Gold is currently near strong resistance around 4100, short-term bullish momentum is weakening, and the market favors selling the rebound rather than chasing longs.
🔹After rebounding from 4050 to the 4100 region, gold has reached a heavy resistance zone (previous highs + Bollinger upper band). The probability of continued upward movement decreases.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
“Gold Rebounding from Demand – Targeting Supply Line Retest🔍 Key Observations
📉 Supply Line (Downtrend Resistance)
Each rally is being capped by the descending supply line
📈 Demand Line (Ascending Support)
Buyers defending higher lows
Strong bullish reaction off support
💰 Liquidity Grab ($$$)
Liquidity was taken below swing lows — bullish signal
Smart money likely securing positions before pushing up
🟢 Bullish Confirmation
If price holds above demand line + support zone
Expect bullish continuation toward supply line retest
🎯 Suitable Target Levels
Target Level (Approx) Status
🥇 First Target 4,095 – 4,105 At supply line retest
🥈 Extended Target 4,120 – 4,130 Breakout continuation
📌 Trade Idea (Bullish Scenario)
Entry Zone: 4,055 – 4,065 🟩
Stop Loss: Below 4,025 ❌
Take Profit 1: 4,100 🎯
Take Profit 2: 4,125 🚀
RR Ratio: 1:2.5 – 1:3 📈
🧭 Market Sentiment
📍 Bias → Short-term Bullish
🛑 But… sellers may reappear at supply line
⚠️ Watch for fakeouts near the target
XAUUSD – Reading the Market’s Secret IntentionsH1 Outlook – 24 November 2025
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters the new week with a controlled, slow-paced volatility environment, as the market continues to balance between inflation expectations, shifting USD flows, and cautious positioning ahead of major U.S. data.
Recently, price has shown repeated rejection from premium zones, forming a mild bearish intraday bias across the H1 structure. The market is still operating inside a liquidity-rich environment where institutions are engineering both upside and downside sweeps before choosing a clear direction.
Recent Drivers
USD holds moderate strength after last week’s hawkish Fed commentary
Market remains in “wait-and-watch” mode ahead of mid-week data
No strong risk-off sentiment → gold lacks solid fundamental support
Session Expectations
London: Early liquidity sweeps above premium levels expected
New York: Higher probability of real trend expansion
Bias: Mild bearish unless deep discount zones trigger CHoCH on H1
Price is currently mid-range → only extreme liquidity areas provide safe, high-probability setups.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY)
Market Structure
H1 structure forming: Lower Highs → Lower Lows
Equilibrium zone: 4070–4090
Strong inducement layers above 4146 and 4071
Liquidity Map
Buy-side Liquidity (BSL): Above 4146, 4071
Sell-side Liquidity (SSL): Below 4030 and 3994
Market forming engineered wicks at both ends → ideal for SMC traders
Imbalance Zones
Bearish FVG: 4146–4148 → prime area for premium sells
Minor Imbalance: 4068–4071 → intraday scalp reversal potential
Discount Imbalances: 4032 and 3996 → clean reaction zones for buys
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
(Clear explanations linked directly to your entries)
4148–4146 ▶️ Premium Sell Zone – High Manipulation Area
Unmitigated supply zone + major BSL buildup.
Smart money usually induces breakout buyers here before reversing sharply.
4068–4071 ▶️ Secondary Premium Pool – Scalp Rejection
A mini-liquidity pocket above equilibrium.
Perfect for quick stop-hunt sweeps during London session.
4032–4030 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Strong Scalping Demand
A small OB + SSL cluster.
Expect fast, technical bounces with low drawdown.
3996–3994 ▶️ Deep Discount Zone – High-Value Reversal
Highly reactive zone where institutions accumulate long positions.
A strong candidate for structural shifts if tapped.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Driven Execution)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection
Entry: 4148–4146
Stoploss: 4154
TP1: 4135
TP2: 4120
TP3: 4090
Logic: Sweep of BSL + FVG fill → high confidence bearish rejection.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Intraday Scalp Sell
Entry: 4068–4071
Stoploss: 4077
TP1: 4055
TP2: 4043
TP3: 4032
Logic: Engineered liquidity sweep above mid-range → fast downside move.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Scalping Rebound
Entry: 4032–4030
Stoploss: 4024
TP1: 4048
TP2: 4068
Logic: SSL sweep → immediate bounce expected from discount zone.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Buy
Entry: 3996–3994
Stoploss: 3988
TP1: 4010
TP2: 4035
TP3: 4068
Logic: A strong institutional accumulation area → ideal for reversal setups.
🧠 SESSION PLAN & NOTES
Do not trade inside the mid-range
Stick strictly to liquidity extremes for precision entries
Expect London fake-outs → wait for confirmation
NY session more likely to deliver the real move
Use M5/M15 CHoCH + displacement for entry confirmation
🏁 CONCLUSION
XAUUSD is currently holding a mild bearish structure on H1, with premium zones at 4146 and 4071 offering the best sell opportunities.
Discount areas at 4030 and 3994 remain the highest-probability zones for intraday reversals or continuation buys.
Trade with patience. Let the liquidity traps form—then strike with precision.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 21/11/2025
1. Momentum
D1:
The D1 momentum is contracting, signaling a potential reversal. If today’s candle confirms this, it will further support the continuation of wave Y.
H4:
H4 momentum has turned downward, so the expectation for today remains bearish movement.
H1:
H1 momentum is preparing to turn upward, suggesting a small corrective bounce. However, in the current context, price is likely to remain sideways within the 4046 – 4081 range.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure
D1 – Higher timeframe
With D1 momentum preparing to turn down, the continuation of wave Y is reinforced.
But since momentum is near the oversold zone, two potential scenarios may unfold:
1️⃣ Strong decline:
A sharp drop may break 3888, opening the way toward deeper targets such as 3746.
2️⃣ Weak decline – Compression:
Price may continue down but fail to break 3888.
Once momentum turns upward again, a new trend could form.
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H4 – Pattern outlook
The H4 structure remains unclear—price may still be in wave (3) or wave (2).
• If it is wave (3), strong bearish candles or a test of 4001 should appear.
• If price keeps moving sideways without breaking 4001 until H4 momentum reaches oversold, the current move is likely wave B of an ABC correction inside wave 2.
Based on the current depth of wave B, wave C is estimated to target 4175.
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H1 – Lower timeframe
Wave 2 (green) is taking longer than ideal, but not enough to invalidate the current labeling.
The 4081 resistance is very strong and serves as our sell zone.
Below, the 4020 support is equally important:
• A sharp decline with H1 closing below 4020 may trigger a larger bearish continuation.
• Typically, price reacts with a bounce when it first touches this area.
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3. Trade Plan
Sell Zone: 4073 – 4075
SL: 4093
TP1: 4020
TP2: 3958
TP3: 3885
Brian – Gold Money Flow Map for the US Session TodayBrian – Gold Money Flow Map for the US Session Today
Technical analysis – trendline, FVG, and two clear scenarios
On H4, gold is still maintaining a medium-term uptrend line drawn from the end of October. The decline in the Asian session this morning was not strong enough to break the structure; the price touched the trendline and then bounced up, indicating that the sellers have not yet "crushed" this support area.
Current structure: The price is accumulating around the 4,050–4,080 area in a sideways candle cluster, lying on the uptrend line and above the 4,000 support.
Above, the 4,120–4,170 area is an FVG + important supply zone; higher is a larger FVG around 4,280–4,330 – if "filled," it is a potential area for a strong profit-taking move.
Below, the 4,000 mark is a key support; losing this mark, the price could quickly slide to the 3,884 area – marked on the chart as the level confirming a medium-term downtrend if breached.
Until 4,000 is broken, I consider this an accumulation area with a high possibility of "fake breaks" on both sides – so prioritize trading according to the trendline, not guessing tops and bottoms in the noise area.
Key levels
Resistance / sell zone: 4,100–4,110: buy confirmation zone, if rejected will become short-term supply
4,170–4,173: FVG / supply, medium-term short zone
4,280–4,330: large FVG above
Support: 4,048–4,050: trendline + intraday breakout zone
4,022–4,005: next support if the price slides off 4,040
4,000: psychological and structural support
3,884: final support; breaking down will confirm a medium-term downtrend
Trade scenarios (for reference, not investment advice)
1. Sell break intraday – follow the trend if the trendline breaks
Entry: sell when the price breaks the short trend at 4,048–4,050
SL: 4,056
TP: 4,040 → 4,022 → 4,005
Idea: if the price breaks below the current accumulation cluster and short trendline, I want to follow the initial selling force, targeting the adjacent support area 4,022–4,005. When the order goes right, SL can be moved to BE around 4,040.
2. Sell “premium” – short at the upper FVG zone
Entry: 4,170–4,173
SL: 4,178
TP: 4,160 → 4,145 → 4,122 → 4,100
This is a price zone I consider "beautiful" for medium-term trading if the market gives a deep retracement. FVG + H4 resistance converge; if the price is strongly rejected here, the TPs are successively the lower demand zone and the current range bottom.
3. Buy only after clean breakout – do not rush to catch the bottom
I am only interested in buy orders when the market structure truly confirms:
Trigger: H1/H2 candle closes clearly above 4,100
Entry: buy right around 4,100 after breakout
SL: 4,092
TP: medium-term towards the 4,145 → 4,170 → 4,230+ depending on momentum
This scenario considers 4,100 as the "exit door" from the current accumulation area. If this area holds as new support, buyers will have a clearer advantage and the money flow could push the price up to gradually fill the upper FVGs.
GOLD (XAUUSD): FINAL SQUEEZE! TRADE ZONES READY!Timeframe: 1H | Gold is tightly consolidated between 4,040 - 4,085 (Symmetrical Triangle).
1. ⚙️ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (TA) & ACTIONABLE ZONES
The market is coiled like a spring. We have identified specific zones for high-probability setups.
🔥 BUY ZONE (Reversal Play):
Entry: 4,044 - 4,046
Stop Loss (SL): 4,038
Strategy: This is our Strong Support confluence area. A golden opportunity for a bounce play.
⚠️ SELL Scalp (Intra-range):
Entry: 4,071 - 4,073
Stop Loss (SL): 4,077
Strategy: Near-term resistance. Quick profit booking expected here.
🚨 SELL ZONE (Strong Resistance):
Entry: 4,097 - 4,099
Stop Loss (SL): 4,107
Strategy: A major supply zone. Excellent spot to short if the initial Long move fizzles out.
⚡ MEGA BREAKOUT SCENARIO
LONG Breakout: Above 4,085 to TP: 4,110 to 4,130.
SHORT Breakout: Below 4,040 to TP: 4,020 to 4,000.
2. 📰 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (FA)
The market is waiting for Major US Data (Jobs report, PCE Inflation) and Fed sentiment. This data will be the ultimate catalyst for the breakout
Weak Data: Supports Gold (Long) due to a weaker USD.
Strong Data: Pressurizes Gold (Short) due to a stronger USD.
💡 THE GOLDEN STRATEGY
Patience is key! Do not jump the gun inside the triangle. Set strict SLs for all trades. Act only on a confirmed technical breakout backed by the Fundamental news flow.
#Gold #XAUUSD #ForexIndia #IndianTraders #TechnicalAnalysis #Intraday #BreakoutTrade #GoldAnalysis #TradingSetup
Part 1 Introduction to Candlestick PatternsThe Greeks: Heart of Option Trading
The Greeks measure how options change with market conditions.
1. Delta
Measures how much the premium moves compared to the underlying.
Call delta = +ve
Put delta = –ve
2. Theta
Measures time decay.
Always negative for buyers
Positive for sellers
3. Vega
Measures sensitivity to volatility.
High volatility = expensive options.
4. Gamma
Shows how Delta changes.
High Gamma = fast premium movement.
XAUUSD – Potential Distribution Phase Signaling Deeper Bearish TAnalysis of the Chart
Your chart shows a full market cycle structure based on Wyckoff + Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here’s a clean breakdown:
1️⃣ Previous Accumulation Phase (Left Side)
Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) labels confirming bullish intent.
CHoCH followed by accumulation zones.
Price gradually builds liquidity (SSL / price points).
Strong bullish impulsive leg begins after accumulation.
2️⃣ Strong Bullish Trend Continuation
Successive BOS levels show continuation of bullish strength.
Several mitigation blocks / filled imbalances visible.
Price aggressively pushes toward the premium ceiling zone.
3️⃣ Entry Into Distribution Phase (Top Right)
Market reaches Premium Ceiling Zone.
Signs of exhaustion appear:
Lower high formations
Reversal zone highlighted
Shift in character from expansion → distribution
4️⃣ Bearish Reversal Structure Forming
The chart shows:
A potential descending structure
Expectation of liquidity sweeps followed by deeper decline
First bearish target (Target One) around 3,902
Second bearish target (Target Two) around 3,700
These levels align with prior imbalances and discount pricing.
5️⃣ Market Psychology According to the Chart
Bulls losing momentum after premium pricing reached
Smart money distributing positions
Expecting a retracement toward major discount areas
Possible sweep of liquidity before continuation downward






















