GOLD UPDATE – Bulls Defend $4,000 Ahead of Powell’s SpeechGold continues to hold firm above the key $4,000 psychological level, even after a sharp correction from the all-time high near $4,059. The market’s focus now shifts to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, which could set the tone for the next directional move.
Despite the recent dip, the overall structure remains bullish, and the FiboMatrix setup still signals that buyers are not out of the game yet.
Technical Structure (H1 – FiboMatrix View)
Support Zone (BUY Setup):
4010 – 4012 → Retest of breakout trendline + Fibo 0.618 reaction zone.
Strong intraday base where liquidity may reload for another bullish leg.
Reaction Buy Zone:
402x → Potential confirmation area if price reacts positively.
Resistance Zone (ATH):
4060 → Previous intraday top, acting as the first major barrier before retesting 408x.
SELL Reaction Zone:
4084 – 4086 → Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 expansion zone, potential scalp short zone with tight stop above 4090.
🎯 Trading Plan (Francis Strategy)
✅ BUY Setup:
Entry: 4010 – 402x (wait for confirmation).
TP1: 4060
TP2: 4084
SL: Below 3996
⚠️ SELL Setup (Short-term scalp):
Entry: 4084 – 4086 (if rejection forms).
Target: 4040 → 4020
SL: Above 4096
🔑 Francis Outlook
Gold’s short-term correction looks more like a controlled retracement than a trend reversal.
As long as the price holds above the $4,000 handle, the bullish bias stays intact.
👉 Expect potential consolidation before Powell’s remarks, followed by a sharp reaction depending on the tone of his speech.
A clean breakout above 4060 – 4086 will open the path toward $4,100+ and new ATH targets.
🚀 Trend Bias: Bullish above 4010 – Buy the Dip, Sell only at Fibo extremes with confirmation.
Futures market
gold silver crucial upate Gold now tested historical high 4060$ as per expected and dwn from high 25$ support additional 4010-4000$ if mkt sustain blw than near dwn 3995-80$ expect or if hold support than again tes new high but eyes on 4060 if sustain abv than mkt 4085--4120-45$ again due to strong etf demands ------------ silver made 49.55$ near to historical high 49.85$ and mkt sudden dwn fall gvn 48$ in comex open mkt at 3.00 am now let see 2011 high will act laxman rekha or not if close abv 49.85$ than will see 52-60$ soon by year end
Yes mcx gold again 123331 if sustain abv than nxt rally possible 123780-124-124800+++ support 122300@ only blw some dwn pressure ---- silver touched 150k historical high now 150300-151000 consolidated zone if close abv or weekly close than only 162000 near looks yes if any correction will update-----
post some time delay sorry for it
October 9 Gold AnalysisOctober 9 Gold Analysis
Looking back at this week's performance, gold, driven by rising expectations of rate cuts and geopolitical risks, has performed exceptionally strongly, breaking through the $3,900 and $4,000 levels in succession and reaching new all-time highs. Despite a sharp drop in Thursday's Asian session due to the sudden news of a ceasefire agreement, gold prices quickly found strong support at the key psychological level of $4,000 and rebounded, having largely recovered the lost ground. This clearly demonstrates that the core driving forces of the current market remain unchanged, with strong buying appetite on dips and the overall upward trend remaining intact.
Analysis of Core Drivers
1. Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts: This is the fundamental driving force behind this surge in gold prices. Market expectations of further Fed rate cuts in October and December continue to build, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold and providing a solid underlying support for gold prices.
2. Spreading risk aversion: The US government shutdown entered its second week, with bipartisan negotiations repeatedly breaking down, and market concerns about a prolonged shutdown intensified. This political risk has triggered widespread panic, driving continued safe-haven flows into the gold market.
3. Strong Technical Breakout: After breaking through $4,000, gold prices have confirmed entering a new price range. Although technical indicators suggest short-term overbought conditions and correction potential, the moving averages are bullish, and the upward trend remains solid.
Trading Strategy
Downward Support:
Primary support: $4,022 (the intraday low of the European session). A breakout here would indicate that market sentiment remains positive.
Core Support: $4,000. This is a key level that has been tested and successfully stabilized multiple times in the past two days and is the lifeline for determining the continuation of this upward trend. As long as gold prices hold above this level, the overall bullish outlook remains unchanged.
Upward Resistance:
Near-term resistance: $4,045 (the morning opening price and the rebound high in the Asian and European sessions). A breakout here would confirm the end of the short-term correction and reassert buying momentum.
Key Resistance: $4,060 (near the all-time high). A successful breakout above this level will open up further upside potential, with the next target likely reaching $4,100.
Trading Recommendations:
We recommend a volatile bullish outlook. Focus on stabilizing signals near the support area.
I've shared strategies earlier on my channel. Profitable traders can continue to increase their positions at lower levels, targeting 4,060-4,100.
Trade with caution and manage risk! Best of luck!
Natural gas yesterday booked at 312 now Wait for inventory dataNatural gas wait for inventory data then take fresh buy avoid sell
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Crude mostly in range buy near support sell near resistance Crudecoil range bound move giving
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Copper holding buy trade from 999 upside levels on chart Copper holding buy trade from 999 before market closing, earlier yesterday book 10 points profit also
Updated levels given on chart
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Silver holding buy trade from 148350, target 153400, 155700Silver holding buy trade from 148350 target 153400, 155700 levels given on chart
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Silver holding buy from 48.80, 50.50 then 51.20 target Silver holding buy trade from 48.80 upside target 50.40 and 51.20 , levels given on chart
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Gold mcx holding buy from 122550 in today fall upside continue Gold mcx holding buy trade from 122550 , upmove will continue, updated levels given on chart
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Gold holding buy trade from 4010 today morning upside 4060-90Gold holding buy trade from 4010 upmove will continue, upside levels given on chart
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Gold Rally Pauses at $4060, Awaits Powell's Speech for AdvanceGold continues to extend its scorching bullish momentum reaching $4060 yesterday. Today's early Asian session witnessed mild pullback towards psychological zone $4000 and the dip was quickly absorbed by bargain hunters. The recovery seems capped at overhead resistance $4048-$4053 which bulls need to clear for resuming upside momentum that targets $4065-$4073-$4085-$4095 above which next leg higher may reach $4115 aligning with 261.8% Fibonacci extension.
Fundamental drivers
The US Government shutdown continues with no clear signs of agreement in Congress about debt ceiling and spending limits raising concerns among investors and elevated risk sentiments which further boost safe haven demand for Gold.
Fed minutes hint at relatively dovish bias suggesting policymakers are more concerned about growth risks than inflationary pressures which add to safe haven appeal for Gold. Markets eagerly await speech by Federal Reserve Chairman J Powell for further clues on interest rate cuts.
Geopolitical risks remain on edge as Middle East tensions and European political woes continue to be matters of global concern.
Global central banks continue to accumulate Gold despite record high prices which create strong structural demand for the metal in the long run.
Bond yields have been dull making non-yield Gold attractive for store of value.
Technical drivers
Gold continues to maintain a strong bullish market structure supported by price stability above psychological zone $4000 and further confirmed by a precise sequence of Higher Highs and Higher Lows which is essentially a clear evidence of bullish rally continuation.
Each correctional decline has been quickly bought and absorbed around liquidity zones implying smart money flow controlling the bullish momentum.
Immediate resistance $4048-$4053 caps upward bounce attempts which bulls need to clear through for further advance towards next leg higher.
4 hourly 5 EMA at $4032 is carrying immediate bullish momentum below which $4018-$4008 may offer another value buying opportunity.
RSI readings of 90 on Daily time frame as well as Monthly time frame are showing overbought conditions urging caution on heights and vulnerability of a sharp price correction either from these areas or from next bullish leg $4115.
Overall outlook
Gold remains extremely bullish in line with the primary trend. However, it looks like the bullish momentum is approaching point of inflection with growing possibilities of a price correction somewhere nearby, possibly $4115 or earlier. Any news of agreement to resolve the US Government shutdown will witness a sizeable price rebalancing at the drop of a hat.
For now, as long as the sequence of Higher Highs and Higher Lows remain intact, the bullish rally keeps going.
Gold Eyes New Highs Within Ascending ChannelAnalysis:
The XAU/USD 1-hour chart shows gold trading firmly within an ascending parallel channel, maintaining a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows — a hallmark of sustained bullish momentum.
Currently, price action is consolidating near the mid-level of the channel, preparing for a potential breakout toward the upper boundary near $4,110–$4,120. The projected path (blue arrows) suggests a minor retracement or sideways move before buyers push prices higher again.
As long as gold remains above the lower channel support around $4,000–$3,990, the bullish outlook stays intact. A confirmed breakout above the upper boundary could open the door for a new leg upward, supported by ongoing momentum and strong market sentiment.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $4,110 – $4,120
Support: $3,990 – $4,000
Trend Bias: Bullish within ascending channel
XAUUSD – MID-TERM OUTLOOK ON H1 | STICK TO THE MAIN TRENDXAUUSD – MID-TERM OUTLOOK ON H1 | STICK TO THE MAIN TREND
Hello trader 👋
Gold prices are currently holding steady within the rising price channel but are approaching a strong resistance zone around 4043 – 4005, which is a crucial confirmation range to assess whether the uptrend will continue or start adjusting.
In the current context, the market is showing signs of caution as the USD slightly increases and political - financial news in the US escalates, causing significant investor sentiment fluctuations.
🔎 Technical Analysis
On the H1 frame, prices are still moving within a clearly ascending channel, but the upward momentum is beginning to weaken.
Fibonacci extension and volume profile indicate a strong liquidity zone concentrated around 4005 – 3980, where buying and selling forces may appear.
Important Resistance: 4078 – 4080 (Fibo 4.0 and upper edge of the rising channel)
Important Support: 3985 – 3980 (liquidity zone + high volume node)
RSI is giving a slight divergence signal, warning of the possibility of a technical correction.
⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan
🔴 Main SELL:
Entry: 4078 – 4080
Stop Loss: 4085
Take Profit: 4060 → 4053 → 4025 → 4008
👉 Sell reaction at the channel peak resistance zone, coinciding with high liquidity area.
🔴 SELL on breaking 4005 confirmation:
Entry: 4015 – 4017
Stop Loss: 4023
Take Profit: 4005 → 3988 → 3970 → 3945
👉 Breakout sell order, only activated when the candle confirms closing below the 4005 zone.
🟢 Short-term BUY:
Entry: 4056 – 4058
Stop Loss: 4050
Take Profit: 4068 → 4088 → 4095
👉 Swing buy order at the support zone within the rising channel.
🟢 BUY SCALPING:
Entry: 3982 – 3985
Stop Loss: 3978
Take Profit: based on price reaction / wave confirmation
👉 Quick buy at the strong liquidity zone if a reversal signal appears.
💡 Fundamental Perspective
Latest news: Bensont has completed the first round of interviews for the Fed Chair candidate, with questions revolving around interest rates and QE, indicating that upcoming monetary policy remains a focal point.
The DXY index has surpassed the 99 mark, rising 0.16% on the day, exerting certain pressure on gold.
Market sentiment is fluctuating strongly, reflecting concerns about the direction of US monetary policy in the next quarter.
⚖️ Conclusion
Mid-term trend: Upward but weakening
At this stage, closely monitor price action at the 4043 – 4005 range to determine the next direction.
Prioritise selling at resistance – buying at support, leveraging fluctuations within the price channel.
Maintain a flexible trading mindset, manage capital tightly when the market fluctuates due to news.
📈 Quick Summary:
Sell: 4078–4080 / 4015–4017
Buy: 4056–4058 / 3982–3985
Key zone: 4043 – 4005 (new trend confirmation)
$4070 Gold: New Record! Recent Dip Was a Bada Sell Trap?Hello, traders!
Gold just set a New Record at $4,070.5/oz (Futures). Kya momentum hai! This rally, up 54% YTD, is fueled by two main engines, boss: 1) Confirmed Fed rate cuts (FOMC Minutes pakka it) and 2) Super-strong safe-haven demand due to global gadbadi (US Shutdown, conflict, etc.).
Technical Analysis & BUY Dips Strategy Confirmed
That sharp pullback from $405x to $4000 (the Fib 0.5 zone) made many people panic-sell. But look closely: buyers overpowered them and broke $402x resistance.
Technical Conclusion: That dip was clearly a Sell Trap and just a Consolidation phase. The primary bias is confirmed: BUY on Dips is the absolute priority. Risk ko control karo.
Risk Warning: If $4000 is cleanly broken with heavy volume, then long positions will be in trouble.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $4049, $4057, $4064, $4074, $4084, $4094
Support: $4021, $4009, $3992, $3978
Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at Support)
BUY SCALP: $4019 - $4017
SL: $4013
TPs: $4023, $4028, $4033, $4038
BUY ZONE (Strong Demand): $3992 - $3990
SL: $3982
TPs: $4000, $4010, $4020, $4030, $4040
SELL SCALP: $4056 - $4058
SL: $4062
TPs: $4053, $4048, $4043, $4038
SELL ZONE (High Risk): $4084 - $4086
SL: $4094
TPs: $4076, $4066, $4056, $4046, $4036
Will this momentum take us past $4100 this week? Chalo, dekhte hain! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #4070USD #ATH #Fed #BUYDIPS #SellTrap #TradingView #PaisaBanega
Gold 1H – Watch for Liquidity Hunt Before Fed Minutes💎 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to shine past the ₹4,000 mark, driven by persistent safe-haven demand amid U.S. government shutdown risks and growing expectations for multiple Fed rate cuts this year.
The upcoming Fed minutes will be a pivotal catalyst—if the tone leans dovish, gold could accelerate. But any hawkish surprises may provoke a short squeeze or shakeout.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style)
• Structure around 4070–4068 marks a premium liquidity zone, likely a sweep or reversal point.
• The lower band 3987–3989 serves as a discount zone / support base from which buyers may re-enter.
• Watch for clean Breaks of Structure (BOS) or Change of Character (ChoCH) on lower timeframes as confirmation.
• Always expect potential liquidity sweeps before major news reactions.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3987–3989
SL: 3980
TP targets: 4000 → 4015 → 4025 → 4040+
🔴 Sell Zone: 4068–4070
SL: 4077
TP targets: 4060 → 4045 → 4030 → 4015
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Let the price show intent (reject / sweep / BOS) before jumping in.
• On Fed minutes release, volatility may spike—use partial sizing and tighter trailing stops.
• Avoid trading right at the release; look for reactions and structural confirmation.
✅ Summary
Gold remains bullish structurally, but intraday plays hinge on how markets interpret the Fed minutes. Expect a liquidity sweep around 4068 before potential shorting, and a resilient support zone around 3987–3989 for re-entries aligned with the bigger bullish structure.
🔔 Stay alert for live updates and structure breaks around the Fed minutes to fine-tune entries.
Bulls Reloading After a Healthy Pullback | Next Target: 4090+📊 Market Context
After a powerful bullish rally that pushed gold to record highs, XAUUSD retraced about 1% on Thursday as traders took profit from the recent surge. However, this move appears to be a technical correction, not a trend reversal — as indicators have shown overbought conditions for several sessions.
Despite this short-term pullback, the long-term uptrend remains intact.
Gold is up more than 50% year-to-date, driven by:
🌍 Ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions,
💰 The Federal Reserve’s monetary easing cycle,
🏦 Record central bank gold accumulation,
⚔️ Rising global uncertainty, fueling strong safe-haven demand.
Overall, this retracement could be an ideal setup for BUY re-entries, as bulls look to reload positions toward the 4090–4100 liquidity zone.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price remains inside the medium-term bullish channel, showing strong reactions around 4000–3980 support.
4010–4008 acts as a quick scalp zone for short-term entries.
3984–3982 serves as a key structural support and liquidity reaction area.
4090–4092 (Liquidity Sell Zone) stands as the major resistance — potential liquidity trap area.
📈 Trading Plan
✅ BUY SCALP: 4010–4008
SL: 4002
TP: 4015 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - 4050 - ????
✅ BUY ZONE: 3984–3982
SL: 3978
TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4005 - 4010 - 4020 - ????
✅ SELL ZONE: 4090–4092
SL: 4098
TP: 4085 - 4080 - 4070 - 4060 - 4050 - ????
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
The 4000 level remains a strong psychological and structural support — only enter long positions with confirmed price action signals.
Be cautious around 4090–4100, where liquidity sweeps and false breakouts are likely.
Adjust position size properly to manage volatility during high-impact news or geopolitical updates.
✅ Summary
Gold is undergoing a healthy correction phase within its broader uptrend.
The strategy remains BUY-focused at 4010–4008 and 3984–3982,
with upside targets toward 4060–4090,
and a potential short-term SELL opportunity near 4090–4092 if rejection signals appear.
💡 MMFLOW TRADING – Trade with market structure, follow liquidity, and ride the BIGWIN setups!
DIVISLAB 1 Month Time Frame 📈 1-Month Performance Snapshot (September 9 – October 9, 2025)
Opening Price (Sep 9, 2025): ₹6,025.00
Closing Price (Oct 9, 2025): ₹6,149.00
Price Change: +₹124.00 (+2.06%)
52-Week Range: ₹4,955.00 – ₹7,071.50
Current Price vs. 52-Week High: -12.98%
Current Price vs. 52-Week Low: +24.14%
Trading Volume (Oct 9): Approximately 129,890 shares
5-Day Moving Average: ₹6,128.00
20-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA): ₹6,110.08
1-Month Return: +1.54%
📊 Recent Performance Highlights
October 8, 2025: Closed at ₹6,120.50 (+0.26%)
October 7, 2025: Closed at ₹6,104.50 (+4.77%)
October 6, 2025: Closed at ₹5,826.50 (-0.67%)
October 3, 2025: Closed at ₹5,866.00 (+2.73%)
October 1, 2025: Closed at ₹5,710.00 (+0.36%)
🧾 Key Financial Metrics
P/E Ratio (TTM): 70.29
EPS (TTM): ₹86.80
Market Capitalization: ₹1.62 trillion
Dividend Yield: 0.49%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.00 (indicating a debt-free status)
BankNifty 1 Day Time Frame 📊 1-Day Timeframe Technical Analysis
Current Price: ₹56,204.60
Day's Range: ₹55,843.90 – ₹56,286.25
52-Week Range: ₹47,702.90 – ₹57,628.40
Year-to-Date Return: +10.39%
1-Month Return: +3.56%
🔧 Technical Indicators
Trend: Neutral
Resistance Levels: ₹56,230 (immediate), ₹56,600 (stronger)
Support Levels: ₹55,843
Technical Rating: Neutral
📈 Market Outlook
The Bank Nifty Futures are currently trading within a rising wedge pattern, indicating consolidation with potential for reversal. Immediate resistance is observed around ₹56,230, which may act as a strong supply zone leading to potential selling pressure. A decisive breakout above ₹56,600 would turn the outlook bullish.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 09/10/2025
________________________________________
🔹 1. Momentum
D1:
The current momentum is turning downward.
We need to wait for today’s D1 candle to close for confirmation.
➡️ If the daily candle closes bearish, it may mark the beginning of a deep and strong corrective wave.
H4:
H4 momentum is about to enter the oversold zone, suggesting the possibility of:
• A short-term bullish retracement, or
• A sideways consolidation phase before the next major move.
H1:
H1 momentum is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a potential short-term bearish correction ahead.
________________________________________
🔹 2. Wave Structure
Overview:
In the previous analysis, the COT report indicated that the market is in an overly optimistic phase — a warning sign to stay cautious with long positions or late entries.
D1:
• The yellow wave 5 has already broken above the channel (throw-over), which is a typical sign of a final impulsive phase.
• When wave 5 extends strongly, the following correction (wave 4) often drops sharply, erasing most of the previous gains.
➡️ Therefore, it’s time to prioritize a defensive strategy and avoid chasing tops.
H4:
• Price has moved beyond the upper boundary of the channel, making the exact top of wave 5 hard to pinpoint.
• We should monitor price reaction when it returns inside the channel — if price fails to make a new high when H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, it will likely confirm the completion of wave 5.
H1:
• The wave count has been slightly adjusted compared to the previous plan.
• Within the black wave 5, there is now a clear 5-wave yellow substructure.
• The recent decline has broken below the lower trend channel and the previous wave 4 low — an early sign of a potential wave 5 top.
⚠️ The upcoming correction could be steep and fast, making this an important time to prepare for risk management and trade planning.
________________________________________
🔹 3. Outlook & Trading Plan
All timeframes (D1 – H4 – H1) are showing an extended wave 5, but there’s still no clear confirmation of a top.
Hence, we should trade cautiously and manage positions tightly.
Currently, price has broken below the lower channel and wave 4 yellow, with a liquidity area near 4038 — this offers a good opportunity to open a small sell position to anticipate a potential reversal.
Trading Plan:
Sell zone (small lot): 4037 – 4039
Stop loss: 4048
Take profit: 3985
XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING WITH THE TREND | TARGET 4100
Hello trader 👋
Gold continues to set new highs, maintaining a strong upward momentum despite the USD stabilising temporarily. The current market structure indicates a sustainable uptrend, with short-term corrections only serving as entry points for trend-following buys.
🔎 Technical Analysis
The price is currently moving within an ascending channel and has just broken out above the previous high, confirming the dominance of buying pressure.
The 4.618 Fibonacci extension signals a technical target around 4100, a strong psychological resistance and a medium-term price expectation.
RSI remains above the 60 zone → indicating that the upward momentum has not weakened.
EMA200 (H1–H4) is well below, reinforcing a stable uptrend structure.
⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan
🟢 BUY 1:
Entry: 4003 – 4005
Stop Loss: 3998
Take Profit: 4016 → 4025 → 4040 → 4062
👉 Buy when the price retraces to the lower edge of the channel or retests the key level.
🟢 BUY 2:
Entry: 3961 – 3963
Stop Loss: 3956
Take Profit: 3975 → 3988 → 3996 → 4008 → 4025
👉 Entry at the support zone of FVG (Fair Value Gap) in agreement with the ascending trendline.
💡 Market Outlook
Fed rate cut bets: Expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the coming months continue to drive gold demand.
US government temporary shutdown → creates uncertainty, increasing safe-haven flows.
USD is stable but not strong, keeping gold attractive.
With the current market sentiment, every correction is an opportunity to “buy the dip”.
⚖️ Scenario & Strategy
Main strategy: Focus only on buying with the trend, avoid counter-trend selling (if any – should only be short-term).
Buy around trendline / FVG / key level 3960 for a reasonable entry point and low risk.
Monitor the breakout zone 4040 – 4060: If it breaks decisively, the likelihood of reaching 4100 is very high.
📌 Summary:
Trend: Strong uptrend (Bullish continuation)
Priority: Buy with the trend – Buy on dips
Technical target: 4100 USD/oz
Manage capital carefully, avoid FOMO at new highs.
Demat Account Secrets in Trading —Every Traders Should KnowIntroduction
A Demat account is the digital locker for your shares and securities — the backbone of equity investing and trading in modern markets. But beyond opening an account and watching prices, there are plenty of practical, operational, and strategic “secrets” that experienced traders and long-term investors use to reduce costs, manage risks, and extract real value. This guide unpacks those lesser-known but high-impact insights: from choosing the right Depository Participant (DP) and optimizing charges, to advanced features like pledging, e-voting, corporate actions handling, fraud prevention, and tax implications. Whether you’re a frequent intraday trader, a swing trader, or a buy-and-hold investor, these tips will help you use your Demat account more intelligently.
1. Demat 101 — the fundamentals (so you can stop guessing)
A Demat (dematerialized) account holds securities in electronic format. In India, two depositories — NSDL and CDSL — maintain the records; brokers or banks act as Depository Participants (DPs) who provide the interface. When you buy shares, they land in your Demat account; when you sell, they are debited.
Key components:
DP (Depository Participant): Your broker/bank managing the Demat.
Client ID / Beneficiary Owner (BO) ID: Unique identifier for holdings.
ISIN: International Security Identification Number for each instrument.
Statement of Holdings (MSOH): Periodic summary of your holdings.
Understanding the basics helps avoid simple but costly mistakes, like missing corporate action deadlines or confusing a brokerage trading account fee with a DP demat charge.
2. Choosing the right DP — the biggest hidden lever for costs & convenience
Everyone talks about brokerage, but DP fees and service quality quietly shape net returns.
What to compare:
Account opening fees and annual maintenance charges (AMC) — DPs vary widely.
Transaction fees / custodian charges — per scrip or flat per transaction?
Pledge/unpledge fees — important if you use margin funding.
Speed & UI of the DP portal/app — corporate actions, e-voting, and statements are handled through the DP interface.
Customer service responsiveness — when issues arise (frozen shares, IPO refunds), fast support saves money.
Integration with your broker — some brokers offer bundled Demat+trading at lower cost.
Value-adds — auto-pay for corporate actions, consolidated statements, or tax reports.
A little fee shopping can save hundreds per year for active traders. If you trade frequently, prioritize low transaction/DVP (delivery versus payment) costs. If you hold long-term, low AMC and reliable corporate action handling matter more.
3. Know every charge — the micro-fees that add up
Demat-related costs are often small, but they compound.
Common fees:
Account opening fee
Annual maintenance charge (AMC)
Transaction charges (debited shares, off-market transfer)
Rematerialization fee (if you want physical certificates)
Pledge/unpledge fee
Dematerialization fee (converting physical to electronic)
Re-registration fee (if transferring DP)
Pro tip: Ask for a clear fee schedule before opening. Some DPs waive AMC for the first year or if you maintain a minimum balance.
4. Pledging shares — a secret weapon (and its pitfalls)
Pledging lets you use your Demat holdings as collateral for loans or margin from your broker or financial institution without selling them. This is a powerful tool but needs careful handling.
When to pledge:
To avoid selling for short-term margin calls.
To take loans against shares for diversification, emergency liquidity, or tax planning.
Risks & secrets:
Margin haircut: Lenders apply haircuts; volatile scrips get lower borrowing value.
Forced unpledge/sell: If the borrower (you or broker) defaults, the lender can liquidate.
Pledge charges & delays: Unpledging can take time; if markets move quickly you might not recover positions in time.
Keep pledged shares low proportion of total holdings to preserve flexibility.
Best practice: Use pledging conservatively and document the exact terms — interest, margin maintenance, and liquidation triggers.
5. Corporate actions — don’t let freebies slip away
Corporate actions include dividends, bonus shares, rights issues, stock splits, and buybacks. These affect your holdings and tax position.
Secrets:
Auto-execution settings: Some DPs auto-apply rights/renunciation choices; others require manual action. Know your DP’s default.
Track ex-dates and record dates: Missing a record date can mean missing a dividend or allocation.
Tax implications: Dividends and buybacks have different taxation; plan around holding periods to optimize capital gains tax.
Fractional shares from corporate actions may be paid out in cash — watch your account for small value credits.
Tip: Set calendar reminders for big corporate events for your core holdings.
6. Intraday trading & Demat — what traders often misunderstand
Many intraday traders think Demat doesn’t matter because intraday uses the trading account. But Demat still influences some things:
Delivery cycles: If you convert an intraday position to delivery, shares will land in your Demat only after settlement — check T+1/T+2 rules for the exchange.
Transaction vs delivery charges: No Demat debit for intraday (since shares aren’t delivered), but frequent delivery trades create more DP debits and costs.
Avoid unnecessary delivery: If you don’t intend to hold beyond the day, use intraday product to avoid DP transaction costs.
Secret: Using product/overnight margin vs MIS/Intraday modes changes margin requirements and whether shares actually hit your Demat account.
7. Security & fraud prevention — protect the locker
Scams target accounts everywhere. Protecting your Demat is non-negotiable.
Practical measures:
No POA unless necessary: Power of Attorney allows brokers to debit shares; while convenient, it’s a risk if given indiscriminately.
Two-factor authentication for broker/DPS portals.
Regularly reconcile your MSOH with transactions — report discrepancies immediately.
Keep KYC up to date — mismatches slow down corporate actions and transfers.
Beware phishing & SMS frauds: Never share OTPs, passwords, or UCCs.
Freeze facility: Many DPs offer "freeze" on holdings to prevent off-market transfer — useful if you detect suspicious activity.
Secret: If you must grant POA for ease of trading, limit it and use a reputable broker with transparent audit logs and insurance cover.
8. Reconciliation and statements — the daily routine of pros
Make it a habit:
Check daily trade reports and weekly Demat statements.
Match buy/sell confirmations with Demat credits/debits.
Track corporate action updates and small credits (fractional payouts, interest).
Why this matters: Small reconciliation catches — like a miscredited dividend or a failed transfer — can save disputes and losses later.
9. Off-market transfers & gifts — tax and legal subtleties
Off-market transfer (transfer of shares between Demat accounts without exchange) is common for gifts, family transfers, or private transactions.
Secrets:
Stamp duty & documentation: Gifts may require stamped transfer forms and declarations.
Gift taxation: In many jurisdictions, gifts from non-relatives have tax consequences. Document relationship and value.
Lock-in periods for ESOPs: Employee stock plans often have restrictions — off-market transfers may be blocked until vesting or expiry.
Always get the paperwork right to avoid future audits or blocked transfers.
10. IPO allotment & ASBA — how Demat helps get allocations
When you apply for IPOs, you must provide your Demat beneficiary ID. ASBA (Application Supported by Blocked Amount) ties refunds to the bank account, but Demat ensures shares — if allotted — are credited cleanly. Tip: Keep your Demat details updated and ensure PAN/DP mapping is correct to avoid allotment or transfer failures.
11. Taxation & reporting — your Demat is a tax record
Demat statements are primary source documents for capital gains calculations. Hidden advantages:
Broker consolidated statements often include trade-wise P&L and tax reports — use them for accurate filings.
Record holding periods precisely to differentiate between short-term and long-term rates.
Track cost basis across corporate actions — splits, bonus shares, and mergers alter cost per share; your DP statement and ISIN mapping help reconstruct basis.
Secret: Use consolidated transaction history from DP + broker to build an auditable trail for taxes.
12. Advanced tricks traders use (legitimately)
Scrip selection for pledge-margins: Keep a small basket of high-liquidity, low-volatility blue-chips for emergency pledges — they attract better haircuts.
Arbitrage of corporate actions: Professional traders sometimes buy before bonus/record dates to capture specific corporate actions, but account for ex-dates and tax impacts.
Fractional sell tactic: For small fractional leftover holdings after corporate actions, monitor for cash credits or plan an off-market consolidation to reduce micro-lots.
Caveat: All strategies must respect exchange rules and insider trading laws.
13. Common mistakes & how to avoid them
Giving POA to unknown brokers. Fix: Use limited POA or avoid if not necessary.
Ignoring AMC & small fees. Fix: Annual review of DP and renegotiate or switch.
Not tracking corporate action timelines. Fix: Subscribe to alerts and maintain a calendar.
Assuming all charges are the broker’s responsibility. Fix: Read fee schedule and keep records.
Failure to reconcile statements. Fix: Weekly reconciliation habit.
14. Switching DPs — the painless way
If you’re unhappy, transfer holdings using the Off-Market Transfer or Consolidation process. You’ll submit a DIS (Delivery Instruction Slip) at your current DP or use electronic transfer forms. Watch for transfer fees and timing — sometimes it’s cheaper to transfer slowly to avoid peak fees.
Secret: Coordinate transfer during low market activity to avoid missing corporate action deadlines.
15. Final checklist — your Demat hygiene
Know your DP’s fee schedule inside out.
Keep KYC & bank details updated and linked.
Avoid giving unrestricted POA; prefer limited authorizations.
Reconcile statements weekly.
Use pledge sparingly and understand haircut rules.
Track corporate action dates and tax implications.
Enable strong authentication and freeze options if suspicious activity occurs.
Use consolidated broker/DP tax reports at filing time.
Conclusion
A Demat account is more than a passive repository — it’s an operational hub for your market activity. Traders who master its mechanics and hidden levers (fee optimization, pledge use, corporate action handling, security practices) gain efficiency, reduce unexpected costs, and protect themselves from fraud. Whether you’re day-trading, swing trading, or building a long-term portfolio, treat your Demat account with the same discipline you apply to strategy and risk management. Small operational advantages compound over months and years — and often separate consistent winners from unlucky participants.
Small Account Challenge in TradingWhy Small Account Challenges Are Popular
Several factors make small account challenges attractive to traders:
Low Financial Risk:
Trading with a small account reduces the exposure to catastrophic losses. This makes it ideal for beginners or those who want to learn without risking life-changing amounts.
Skill Development:
Success in trading is more about strategy and discipline than capital. A small account forces traders to refine their skills, including technical analysis, market timing, and psychological control.
Motivation:
Turning a small sum into a meaningful amount, even modestly, provides immense satisfaction and confidence.
Accessibility:
Many brokers now allow trading with minimal capital, often under $100, making this challenge feasible for almost anyone.
Key Challenges of Small Accounts
While small account trading has its benefits, it also comes with significant hurdles:
Limited Position Size:
Small accounts restrict the ability to diversify or take large positions. This limitation can make profits small and slow to accumulate.
High Impact of Fees and Commissions:
Brokerage fees, spreads, and slippage affect small accounts disproportionately. A single losing trade can wipe out a large portion of the account if fees are high.
Emotional Pressure:
Small accounts require precision. Every loss feels magnified, which can create emotional stress and lead to impulsive decisions.
Leverage Temptation:
Traders often turn to leverage to amplify returns. While leverage can increase gains, it also exponentially increases risk, potentially wiping out a small account in seconds.
Scaling Profits:
Compounding small profits into substantial growth is slower compared to larger accounts, testing patience and consistency.
Psychology of Small Account Trading
The mental aspect of trading a small account is crucial. Many traders fail not due to strategy flaws but psychological weaknesses.
Fear of Loss:
With limited capital, fear of losing even a small amount can paralyze decision-making or cause early exits from trades.
Overtrading:
Small accounts often tempt traders to overtrade, chasing every opportunity to “grow fast,” which usually leads to losses.
Discipline and Patience:
Successful small account traders develop strong discipline—sticking to strategies, following risk management rules, and avoiding emotional trading.
Mindset Shift:
Instead of seeking quick wins, the focus should be on consistent, small gains and learning from each trade.
Strategies for Small Account Success
To thrive with a small trading account, traders need robust strategies tailored for low capital:
1. Risk Management
Risk only 1–2% of the account per trade.
Avoid leverage unless necessary and manageable.
Use stop-loss orders to protect capital.
2. Focused Markets
Trade highly liquid assets to ensure tight spreads and easy entry/exit.
Examples: major forex pairs, popular stocks, ETFs, or index options.
3. Scalping and Short-Term Trades
Short-term trades can maximize small capital by exploiting small price movements.
Scalping requires focus and discipline but can be effective for small accounts.
4. Position Sizing
Use micro-lots or fractional shares if possible.
Avoid large positions that could risk the entire account on a single trade.
5. Learning and Record-Keeping
Maintain a trading journal to track strategies, outcomes, and mistakes.
Continuously refine your strategy based on performance and market conditions.
The Role of Leverage
Leverage is a double-edged sword for small accounts. While it allows traders to control larger positions with limited capital, it significantly increases risk.
Pros: Potential for higher returns, faster account growth.
Cons: Risk of complete account wipeout, emotional stress, and overtrading.
A conservative approach is to use leverage sparingly, ensuring losses are manageable.
Advantages of the Small Account Challenge
Skill Mastery: Small accounts force traders to master discipline, strategy, and risk management.
Reduced Financial Pressure: Losses are smaller, making it easier to learn without catastrophic consequences.
Foundation for Larger Accounts: Mastery of small account trading sets the stage for trading larger accounts confidently.
Psychological Resilience: Learning to control emotions in a small account builds mental toughness for the long term.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
Chasing Quick Profits: Avoid impulsive trades to grow the account too quickly.
Ignoring Risk Management: Never risk too much of your account in a single trade.
Overleveraging: High leverage may be tempting but is often disastrous.
Neglecting Education: Continuous learning is crucial; rely on strategy and analysis, not luck.
Trading Too Many Markets: Focus on one or two markets to gain expertise.
Examples of Small Account Challenges
Many traders have successfully turned small accounts into substantial portfolios by applying discipline and consistency:
A forex trader may start with $500, risking 1–2% per trade, and after a year of disciplined trading, grow the account to $5,000.
A stock trader using fractional shares might start with $1,000 and focus on swing trades, gradually increasing account size while managing risk carefully.
The key is consistency, risk management, and learning from every trade.
Practical Tips for Small Account Trading
Start with Education: Learn technical analysis, chart patterns, indicators, and market fundamentals.
Use Demo Accounts First: Test strategies without risking real money.
Set Realistic Goals: Aim for steady growth (e.g., 5–10% per month) instead of unrealistic gains.
Track Every Trade: Analyze winners and losers to refine strategy.
Avoid High-Fee Brokers: Fees can eat small accounts quickly, so choose low-cost brokers.
Control Emotions: Avoid revenge trading and stick to your trading plan.
Conclusion
The small account challenge is more than a test of financial skill—it’s a test of discipline, patience, and emotional intelligence. While growing a small trading account is difficult, it teaches invaluable lessons about risk management, trading psychology, and strategic thinking.
Success in small account trading doesn’t come from luck or high-risk gambles; it comes from consistent, disciplined efforts, a strong strategy, and a mindset focused on learning rather than immediate profit. Traders who master small accounts set themselves up for long-term success, eventually handling larger accounts with confidence and expertise.
In essence, a small account challenge is not just a trading exercise—it is a bootcamp for professional traders, shaping skills, mindset, and habits that last a lifetime.
XAU/USD: Targeting $4,100! Where to Buy Before the FOMC Minutes?Hello TradingView community! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to demonstrate incredible strength, consistently breaking past old highs and forming a solid upward price channel. This robust uptrend is not only technically reinforced but also awaits a potential catalyst from today's significant fundamental news.
In this analysis, we will combine two crucial perspectives: an in-depth look at the technical charts to identify optimal entry points, and an examination of the key fundamental event that could significantly impact Gold prices during the US session.
1. Fundamental Perspective: All Eyes on the FOMC Minutes
Today's market highlight, Wednesday, October 8, is the release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes at 2:00 PM ET
Why is this important? This document provides a detailed record of the latest policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (FED) in September. Traders will scrutinise the text for any hints about the future interest rate path.
Potential scenarios:
"Dovish" Tone: If the minutes reveal FED officials' concerns about economic growth and the possibility of further rate cuts, the US Dollar might weaken. This would create a strong push for Gold (XAU/USD), potentially driving the next price surge.
"Hawkish" Tone: If the minutes emphasise that inflation remains a concern and the FED is not in a hurry to cut rates, the USD might see a short-term recovery, causing Gold to have a corrective dip.
This event is a top catalyst for volatility. Our strategy is to prepare technical zones to capitalise on the market's reaction.
2. Technical Analysis: Detailed Trading Plan
The bullish structure on the 2H timeframe is undeniable. Prices are creating a series of higher highs, confirmed by each "BoS" (Break of Structure), signalling that the Buyers are in full control. Here are the key zones to watch:
Potential Buy Zones (Key Points):
FVG Zone ($4,004): The nearest support is this Fair Value Gap, an area of price imbalance that the market often seeks to fill. Prices may retest this area before or during the news release.
"Buy Break BoS" Zone ($3,981): This is the nearest swing high that has been broken. Now it has turned from resistance into a crucial support level. This zone offers a solid entry point if prices correct slightly deeper.
"Bullish Order Block" Zone ($3,951): This is the last major "stronghold" of the Buyers—a powerful buy order block that initiated the latest push wave. This is an ideal area to look for buy orders if the market experiences a strong liquidity sweep downwards.
Upside Targets:
Short-term Target (Scalping): $4,070 - This level coincides with the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Main Target: "Liquidity Sell" Zone at $4,103. This is a large "liquidity pool" where the Sellers' stop-loss orders are likely concentrated. Smart money often drives prices to such areas.
Strategy Summary
Main Trend: Bullish.
Core Strategy: Look for "Buy the dip" opportunities at the key support zones mentioned.
Critical Timing: Be cautious around the FOMC Minutes release (18:00 UTC). Volatility can be high, and the market may whip in both directions to sweep stop-losses before following the main trend.
Pro Tip: Patience is key. Waiting for prices to pull back to a confirmed support zone will provide a much better Risk/Reward ratio than chasing the market at the top.
WHAT'S YOUR VIEW?
How do you think Gold will react to today's FOMC minutes? And where are you looking to place your buy orders—at the FVG zone $4,004, the BoS level $3,981, or are you patiently waiting for the Order Block $3,951?
Share your views in the comments below!
👇 Don't forget to leave a Like 👍 and Follow the channel for the latest XAU/USD analysis updates!