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XAUUSD – Potential Distribution Phase Signaling Deeper Bearish TAnalysis of the Chart Your chart shows a full market cycle structure based on Wyckoff + Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here’s a clean breakdown: 1️⃣ Previous Accumulation Phase (Left Side) Multiple BOS (Break of Structure) labels confirming bullish intent. CHoCH followed by accumulation zones. Price gradually builds liquidity (SSL / price points). Strong bullish impulsive leg begins after accumulation. 2️⃣ Strong Bullish Trend Continuation Successive BOS levels show continuation of bullish strength. Several mitigation blocks / filled imbalances visible. Price aggressively pushes toward the premium ceiling zone. 3️⃣ Entry Into Distribution Phase (Top Right) Market reaches Premium Ceil­ing Zone. Signs of exhaustion appear: Lower high formations Reversal zone highlighted Shift in character from expansion → distribution 4️⃣ Bearish Reversal Structure Forming The chart shows: A potential descending structure Expectation of liquidity sweeps followed by deeper decline First bearish target (Target One) around 3,902 Second bearish target (Target Two) around 3,700 These levels align with prior imbalances and discount pricing. 5️⃣ Market Psychology According to the Chart Bulls losing momentum after premium pricing reached Smart money distributing positions Expecting a retracement toward major discount areas Possible sweep of liquidity before continuation downward
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
Gold (XAU/USD) 2H Chart Analysis – Sell Setup from High ProbabilBased on the chart you provided, Gold is currently reacting near a High Probability POI (supply zone) after a corrective bullish move. The structure still shows: Lower highs and lower lows → Bearish market structure Price is approaching a supply zone where sellers previously dominated Liquidity has been taken above internal highs (marked as "$$$"), indicating a liquidity grab This supports a short position idea from the supply zone. 🔍 Key Technical Levels Zone / Level Meaning 4,125 – 4,150 USD High Probability POI / Supply (Sell area) 4,080 – 4,100 USD Entry region (price is currently here) 4,040 – 4,025 USD First reaction / partial take zone (50% area) 3,990 – 4,000 USD Main Target (previous demand + equal lows) 🎯 Suggested Target Primary Target: $4,000 (Exactly aligning with your chart’s marked “TARGET” zone where liquidity sits) If momentum continues and structure breaks more aggressively: Extended Target: $3,975 – $3,960 (deeper sweep into demand) 🛑 Risk Management Detail Level Stop Loss Above 4,155 USD (beyond POI + liquidity) R:R Potential Approx. 1:3 to 1:4 📌 Summary Price has retraced into a key supply zone Liquidity was taken → seller confirmation likely Expectation is continuation downward towards the liquidity pool below 📊 Title Recommendation: “Gold Retests Supply Zone – Bearish Continuation Toward $4,000 Expected”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pipshunter27
MARKET CONTEXT – XAUUSD (1H)Gold is currently trading right below the intersection of the short-term descending trendline and the long-term ascending trendline, creating a compression zone. This is the type of structure that often leads to a strong breakout. 1. Volume Profile Structure VAH zone (Value Area High) around 4080–4085, indicating a strong previous selling area where buying pressure weakens and profit-taking increases. POC zone (4067–4072): The most traded area—where buyers and sellers are balanced. Price keeps getting rejected here, showing the market is not yet ready for a strong bullish push. VAL zone (4051–4055): Price is moving right at VAL, showing the market is testing the lower boundary of value. 2. Market Structure Price remains within a short-term downtrend channel and has not broken the descending trendline yet. However, the recent lows continue to be defended around 4050–4047, showing buyers are still protecting this level. If price breaks above the descending trendline and closes above the POC, the market may retrace toward: 4058 4067 4080 3. Key Levels Major Support: 4047–4044 (previous low + lower VAL boundary) Big Demand Zone: 4035–4028 → if tapped, it may generate a strong rebound. Strong Resistance: 4065–4072 (POC), then 4080–4085 (VAH) 4. Current Signals Price is sitting at the edge of VAL → a common area for small reversals. No clear reversal structure yet, but buying pressure is still holding the lows firmly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mark_Melanie_Gold_Stragegy
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Monday SetupLiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Monday Setup Wait for gold to retest the upper trendline before choosing a direction Quick Overview On the H1 timeframe, gold is still moving inside a triangle pattern with a descending upper trendline and a gradually rising lower trendline. In my view, price still needs a bullish swing to retest the upper trendline – which aligns with the FVG zone + Volume Profile POC – before deciding a new trend (either a breakout to the upside or a reversal downward). Regarding the USD, many Fed officials have begun signaling that rate cuts may happen, but they remain very cautious. UBS and Barclays both lean towards the scenario that the Fed could cut rates in December if upcoming data continues to weaken. This limits the USD’s ability to strengthen too much, giving gold room for a technical pullback into resistance zones. H1 Technical Analysis Current structure: price is consolidating sideways, with lower highs along the descending trendline and higher lows supported by the lower trendline. Zone 4079–4081: FVG + Volume Profile POC. This area aligns with the upper trendline → a strong confluence resistance zone, suitable for a reaction-based short setup. Nearest support zone: around 4040–4035; if this level breaks, price may likely head back to retest 4010–4000. A clear bullish reversal signal only forms if an uptrend structure returns, at least when price breaks and holds above 4061, then continues through the descending trendline. Trading Scenarios (Reference Only) Sell at FVG + POC + Trendline (Priority setup) Entry: 4079–4081 SL: 4086 TP: 4060 → 4045 → 4010 Logic: Price is expected to move up to fill the FVG and touch the POC/trendline before sellers step back in. This zone has strong confluence, offering a better win rate than shorting inside the sideway range. Buy when bullish structure is confirmed Conditions: Price must break above 4061, close an H1 candle holding above this level, and break out of the descending trendline. Entry (reference): 4061–4068 (retest of breakout zone) SL: 4050 TP: 4095 → 4130 → 4150 In this case, the triangle pattern breaks upward, Dow Theory bullish structure returns, and the priority is buying with the new trend rather than trying to short the top. Trading Notes Possible scalp levels: 4060, 4040, 4010, 4130 – always wait for clear candle reactions on M5–M15 before entering. Risk per trade: 0.5–1% of account size; once the trade reaches around 1R, move SL to breakeven to protect your capital. If you have a different scenario for XAUUSD H1 today, leave a comment and follow LiamTrading for daily gold strategies on TradingView.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAU/USD – Gold Under Heavy Pressure, 4,000$ Break Looks ImminentGold continues to slide as the US Dollar strengthens, fueled by resilient US data. With markets waiting for the final week of November and the upcoming FOMC decision, safe-haven flows remain weak—making XAU/USD extremely vulnerable to further downside. 📊 Technical Outlook – H1/H30 The short-term structure remains clearly bearish: 1️⃣ Trend Bias: Bearish Price keeps rejecting the descending trendline. Every pullback is shallow and absorbed quickly by intraday supply zones. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels Resistance / Supply Zones: 4,078 – 4,089 4,104 (major confluence: Fibo + H1 supply) Support / Liquidity Targets: 4,023 – 4,013 3,989 – 3,975 → major liquidity zone (high reaction probability) 3️⃣ Scenarios to Watch 🔻 Scenario 1 — Continuation Drop (Primary Bias) Break below 4,044 → targets 4,023, then the liquidity sweep at 3,99x – 3,97x. 🔄 Scenario 2 — Pullback Before Drop Retracement to 4,054 – 4,078 → rejection → continuation lower. 🔺 Scenario 3 — Deeper Recovery (Low Probability) Only valid if price closes above 4,104, unlocking a move toward 4,13x – 4,15x. 🎯 MMF Trading Plan SELL – Trend-Following (Primary) Sell Zone 1: 4,054 – 4,078 SL: 4,105 TP: 4,023 → 4,013 → 3,99x Sell Zone 2: 4,089 – 4,104 SL: 4,112 TP: 4,054 → 4,023 BUY – Only as a Reaction Trade (Liquidity Sweep) Buy Zone: 3,99x – 3,97x SL: 3,955 TP: 4,023 → 4,054 ⚠️ Buy setups are counter-trend and require strong confirmation. Primary bias remains SELL as long as price stays below 4,104. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View Gold is being pushed toward the psychological 4,000$ support. A clean break could trigger a broader bearish expansion into 3,98x – 3,95x. With month-end positioning, FOMC expectations, and shifting Fed sentiment, volatility is likely to increase sharply. Stay with the trend—SELL the rallies. BUY only at deep liquidity zones with confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Trading Strategy for 500 Pips!Hey traders, As we roll into a brand-new week, gold is showing some impressive stability. XAUUSD is hanging right around the 4,050-dollar mark, and despite the quiet price action, there’s a lot happening beneath the surface that’s worth paying attention to. The market right now is in “wait-and-see” mode as everyone watches the Federal Reserve’s next moves. Over the past few days, expectations have started to shift—more traders believe the Fed may slowly pivot toward a softer stance and potentially move closer to cutting rates by the end of the year. Because of that, bond yields have been drifting lower, the dollar is losing some of its strength, and demand for safe-haven assets like gold is starting to rise again. All of these elements together create a strong backdrop for potential upside in the short term. On the technical side, XAUUSD is tightening inside a clean triangle structure, and for those who follow price action closely, you know what that usually means: the market is building pressure. When price consolidates this way, it often sets the stage for a strong breakout. If buyers can push through the upper boundary of this triangle, the next logical target sits up near the 4,500-dollar zone — right in line with the momentum we saw during the last bullish move. How about you? What’s your take on this setup? Are you leaning toward another leg up, or do you think the market is prepping for a pullback first? Wishing you a great week of trading—focused, confident, and full of solid opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
Gold Fluctuates in Support Range; Accumulation Signals Rise⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 24/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After a corrective decline from the 4,104 USD area, gold is moving within a range-bound structure with strong support at the 4,003–4,023 USD area. The market is in a short-term re-accumulation phase, as consecutive CHoCH movements appear around the bottom area — reflecting the buying side's effort to absorb liquidity. The selling side temporarily controls, but balancing signals are becoming clearer as the price continuously rejects breaking deeply below the Demand Zone. 📊 Technical Structure Resistance Zone (4,090–4,104 USD): main supply area, confluence with Fibo 1.0, where profit-taking reactions are likely if the price rebounds. Support Zone (4,023 USD): intermediate support, playing a key role in the current sideways structure. Demand Zone (4,003 USD): potential demand area, confluence with previous liquidity bottom – main BUY Zone area. Structure Bias: still inclined towards accumulation – recovery, as long as the price maintains above 4,003 USD. 🎯 Market Outlook 1️⃣ Priority Scenario (Buy setup):  • The price may continue to retest the Demand Zone (4,003–4,023 USD).  • When a clear reaction signal appears, expect a recovery to the Fibo 0.618 → 1.0 area, corresponding to 4,075–4,104 USD. 2️⃣ Secondary Scenario (Breakdown):  • If the price breaks below 4,003 USD, the recovery structure will be invalidated, bringing gold back to the lower liquidity area around 3,985 USD. 💎 Key Zones BUY Zone: 4,003 – 4,023 USD SELL Zone: 4,090 – 4,104 USD 🧠 Analyst’s View Gold is currently in a liquidity re-accumulation phase, as both sides are testing the lower boundary of the main support area. The buying side needs confirmation with a break above 4,075 USD, while the selling side still holds the advantage if the price cannot maintain above the balance area. In the current context, price behavior leans towards the “Sweep – Retest – Expansion” model, with the potential for forming a short-term technical recovery wave. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is in a low volatility area – avoid emotional actions without clear structural confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Unlock India’s Derivatives Power1. The Rise of Derivatives in India Derivatives—such as futures, options, and swaps—derive their value from underlying assets like stocks, indices, commodities, currencies, and interest rates. India’s derivatives journey began in the early 2000s when SEBI introduced index derivatives to modernize capital markets and reduce speculation in cash segments. Over time, the market matured, attracting domestic retail traders, institutional investors like mutual funds, FPIs, and corporate hedgers. Today, the Indian derivatives market on the NSE and BSE records billions of dollars worth of contracts daily, with index options (especially Nifty and Bank Nifty) leading global volumes. The democratization of trading platforms, reduction of brokerage costs, and increased financial literacy have further strengthened participation. 2. Why Derivatives Matter for India’s Financial System Unlocking India’s derivatives power requires recognizing the major roles derivatives play: a. Risk Management Derivatives allow traders and businesses to hedge against price volatility in stocks, commodities, interest rates, and currencies. For example: A gold importer hedges price movements using MCX gold futures. A portfolio manager uses Nifty options to guard against market downturns. This reduces uncertainties in business operations and enhances economic stability. b. Price Discovery Futures markets incorporate expectations about future prices, interest rates, demand changes, and macroeconomic events. For example: Rising crude oil futures may signal anticipated geopolitical tensions. Falling index futures may reflect market caution before major policy announcements. Thus, derivatives become a leading indicator for spot markets. c. Liquidity Enhancement The derivatives market trades massive volumes daily, which increases liquidity. High liquidity ensures: Low transaction costs Tight bid-ask spreads Efficient entry and exit This attracts even more participants, creating a virtuous growth cycle. d. Leveraged Opportunities Derivatives allow exposure to large positions with a small margin. However, leverage is double-edged—working for and against traders. Proper risk discipline is essential. 3. Key Segments Driving India’s Derivatives Strength a. Equity Derivatives These dominate India’s markets. Index Options Nifty and Bank Nifty options are the backbone of derivatives trading. Advantages: Deep liquidity Lower manipulation risk Suitable for hedging and speculation Single Stock Futures and Options Used heavily by institutional players. b. Currency Derivatives India’s growing global trade and foreign investments make currency futures vital for: Exporters hedging USD/INR or EUR/INR Importers mitigating forex risk Traders capturing arbitrage opportunities c. Commodity Derivatives MCX, NCDEX, and BEE provide platforms for commodity futures across: Metals (gold, silver, aluminium) Energy (crude oil, natural gas) Agriculture (soybean, cotton, sugar) This reduces volatility for farmers, industries, and logistics players. d. Interest Rate Derivatives (IRD) This segment supports: Banks NBFCs Corporate treasuries IRD helps stabilize bond markets and strengthen monetary policy transmission. 4. Technological Drivers Unlocking India’s Derivative Power India’s derivatives boom is heavily powered by technology: a. High-Speed Trading Platforms Advanced order-matching engines on NSE and BSE allow microsecond-level execution. b. Algorithmic and Quant Trading AI and mathematical models enable: Auto-trading systems Statistical arbitrage Options strategies like iron condors, butterflies, spreads These bring efficiency and sophistication. c. Mobile Trading Revolution Retail participation surged due to: Zero-commission brokers Mobile trading apps Real-time charts and indicators This democratizes access to derivatives for small investors. d. Big Data Analytics Traders now rely on: Options chain analytics Market depth Implied volatility indicators Open interest interpretation These help decode market sentiment. 5. How Policy and Regulation Support Derivative Market Growth a. SEBI’s Robust Regulatory Framework SEBI ensures transparency, limits manipulation, and protects investors through: Strict margining systems Daily settlement Position limits Surveillance mechanisms b. Stock Exchanges’ Risk-Management Systems NSE and BSE maintain: Real-time risk monitoring Market-wide circuit breakers SPAN and peak margins These prevent destabilizing events. c. Government Initiatives Reforms supporting derivatives growth: Unified market regulator Introduction of new derivative products Increased FPI limits Commodity market integration with mainstream markets 6. Retail Traders: The New Power in Indian Derivatives Retail traders now form a major part of index options volume due to: a. Low Capital Requirements Options require very low capital at entry compared to futures. b. Easy-to-use platforms Everything from charting to algo tools is readily accessible. c. Increasing financial education YouTube channels, apps, and online courses fuel interest. d. Popular intraday strategies Like: ATM/OTM straddle-strangle Trend-following options Breakout futures trading Open interest analysis Retail participation expands market depth and liquidity. 7. Challenges Before India Fully Unlocks Derivatives Power India must overcome several hurdles: a. Over-Speculation Risk Excessive speculation in weekly options can lead to: High losses for inexperienced traders Market volatility b. Low Understanding of Risks Many traders jump into derivatives without: Risk management Position sizing Stop-loss planning Education is crucial. c. Limited Institutional Depth While retail dominates volume, institutional participation in options is still evolving. d. Regulatory Overhang Frequent rule changes (like margin norms) sometimes disrupt traders. 8. The Future: Where India’s Derivatives Market Is Heading The next decade promises massive growth through: a. Introduction of New Products More sectoral index derivatives Long-term options Interest rate swaps Commodity options expansion b. Retail + Institutional Balance A healthier mix of FPIs, DIIs, and retail will bring stability. c. Global Integration India may become a major derivatives hub like: Chicago London Singapore d. AI-Driven Derivatives Trading AI systems will automate: Strategy generation Position management Sentiment analysis This transforms how derivatives are traded. Conclusion Unlocking India’s derivatives power is not just about trading; it is about strengthening the entire financial ecosystem. Derivatives offer tools for hedging, speculation, price discovery, and economic stability. With technological innovation, rising retail participation, strong regulation, and diversified product offerings, India is positioned to become a global leader in derivatives. For traders, investors, businesses, and policymakers, understanding derivatives is essential for navigating and benefiting from India’s fast-evolving markets. As the country continues to grow economically and digitally, derivatives will play a central role in shaping the next era of financial empowerment.
MCX:NATURALGAS1!Education
by TechnicalExpress
BAJAJ AUTO Trading near Downward Sloping TrendlineA downward sloping trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart that connects two or more lower highs, showing that price is consistently moving lower over time. How to Identify a Downward Sloping Trendline Find at least two significant swing highs (peaks). Second high must be lower than the first high. Draw a straight line connecting these highs. Extend the line into the future — this becomes resistance. WHAT IT INDICATES Sellers are in control. Each rally is weaker than the previous one. Price is likely to face resistance when it approaches the trendline. Trading Use 1. Breakout Strategy If price breaks above the trendline with strong volume → bullish signal. 2. Rejection Strategy If price touches the trendline and falls → bearish continuation signal.
NSE:BAJAJ_AUTO1!Education
by bhavna
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 24.11.25(XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 24.11.25). 🔍 What the Chart Shows Your chart displays a buy setup on the 1-hour timeframe with the following key elements: 🟦 1. Support Zone (S1) Price is reacting from the horizontal support zone. This zone aligns with the 1H uptrend line, adding confluence. Good demand area. 📉 2. Trendline Support (1H Uptrend) The price is touching the ascending trendline, indicating continuation of the uptrend. 🔦 3. Hammer Candle Confirmation A bullish hammer candle is highlighted (yellow box). This indicates seller exhaustion and possible reversal to upside. This candle gives confidence for a buy entry. 🎯 4. Entry, SL, TP Entry: At the hammer candle close near 4043–4045 zone. Stop Loss: Below support zone and trendline (~4020–4025 zone). Target: Back to Resistance R2, around 4100+ zone. Risk/Reward: 1:4 shown — good reward potential. 🟪 5. Resistance Levels Resistance R1: Mid chart area. Resistance R2: Strong resistance zone near 4100+. 📌 Overall Summary Your setup is logically structured with: Support + Trendline confluence Hammer reversal confirmation Clean R:R Uptrend continuation expectation This is a valid 1H buy setup based on price action and structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Gold breakout loading🔹 Price respecting a clean falling wedge on 15M ⏳ 🔹 Strong support zone holding firmly 🛡️ 🔹 Buyers showing early signs of reversal momentum 📊 🔹 A breakout above the wedge trendline may trigger a sharp upside rally 🚀 🔹 Targets aligning toward the 4100+ zone 🎯 🔹 Watching for a pullback + bounce entry for safer confirmation ✔️ 💛 Gold gearing up for a potential bullish reversal! #Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #Breakout #TradingSetup #ChartAnalysis 📈🔥
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Arunsam10
Gold Stuck Between 4050-4100. Now What?Gold price is currently trading in classic range-bound behavior on the daily timeframe, with price action consolidating between the 4050-4100 area (On closing basis ) as marked by the rectangle on the chart. Based on the current technical setup, I'm anticipating continued consolidation for approximately 6-7 weeks from this point. However, this isn't likely to be a simple sideways move the consolidation is expected to carry a bearish undertone, meaning we may see more pressure toward the lower end of the range during this period. after mid-January, conditions appear favorable for a fresh buying rally to develop. This consolidation phase may simply be the market gathering momentum for the next leg higher, allowing for profit-taking and position adjustments before the next bullish impulse. While range trading can be tempting during consolidation phases,., buying on dips remains the more favorable approach.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – November W4, 2025 1. Momentum W1 – Weekly timeframe Weekly momentum is showing early signs of a reversal. If next week forms a confirmed bullish weekly candle, the market may enter 4–5 consecutive bullish weeks, pushing weekly momentum into the overbought zone. D1 – Daily timeframe Daily momentum continues to rise, suggesting the market may experience 1–2 more days of upward movement before reaching the overbought region. H4 – 4-hour timeframe H4 momentum remains bullish, indicating that Monday is likely to show a continuation of upward movement or sideways consolidation. ________________________________________ 2. Elliott Wave Structure Weekly Structure (W1) The last three weekly candles are bullish, but not strongly decisive: • Two candles have short bodies • One is a bullish candle with an upper wick This behavior suggests the market is completing wave X (purple). Therefore, the main expectation is a continued decline to complete wave Y (purple) toward the lower target zones. Once wave Y finishes and weekly momentum confirms reversal, a new major bullish trend is likely to begin. ________________________________________ Daily Structure (D1) • Wave X (purple) is likely complete. • Price is now progressing within wave Y (purple). Inside wave Y: • Wave 1 (red) appears to have finished. • Price is currently in wave 2 (red) or has already started the early phase of wave 3 (red). 🔸 Key confirmation level: A break below 4001 would confirm that the market has entered wave 3 (red), leading to a sharp and decisive decline. 🔸 Alternative scenario: Because D1 momentum is still rising, wave 2 (red) may be forming a WXY corrective pattern (green zigzag), meaning the market may still produce a final upward swing before the next strong decline. ________________________________________ 3. H4 Wave Structure At the moment, there are two scenarios in line with the D1 structure: • The market may already be in the early phase of wave 3 (red). • Or price is completing the final leg of the WXY correction of wave 2 (red) (indicated by the green zigzag). The zone around 4081 currently acts as the balance area, also the region with the highest traded volume (green POC line). • If price stays below 4081 during Monday, the probability favors wave 3 (red), meaning strong support zones 4020 and 3958 are likely to break. • If price stays above 4081, upside targets at 4145 and 4184 become ideal levels for completing wave 2 (red). ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan 📌 Preferred Limit Sell Zones: • 4145 • 4184 📌 Direct Sell Zone: • 4020 → only valid if a strong H4 candle closes below 4020, followed by a retest. A more detailed trading plan will be updated on Monday, once fresh market data becomes available.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Trading Strategy for 24th November 2025✨ GOLD Trading Plan – Breakout Strategy (30-Min Candle) 🟢 BUY Setup (Long Trade) Trigger: Enter only if the price closes above the high of the 30-minute candle at 4086. Entry: Buy above 4086 after a confirmed candle close. Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 4100 🎯 Target 2: 4115 🎯 Target 3: 4128 Stop-Loss Suggestion: Below the breakout candle low or below 4058–4062 zone (adjust per risk tolerance). Logic: A close above 4086 signals bullish strength and a possible continuation toward intraday resistance levels. Momentum confirmation is essential before entering. 🔴 SELL Setup (Short Trade) Trigger: Enter only if the price closes below the low of the 30-minute candle at 4042. Entry: Sell below 4042 after a confirmed candle close. Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 4034 🎯 Target 2: 4024 🎯 Target 3: 4010 Stop-Loss Suggestion: Above the breakdown candle high or above 4060–4065 zone. Logic: A close below 4042 shows bearish momentum that can push price toward the next support zones. 📌 Extra Notes for Better Execution ⏳ Wait for a confirmed 30-minute candle close before entering — avoid wick traps. 📉 Place stop-loss strictly; gold is highly volatile. ⚙️ Risk–reward should be at least 1:2 or better. 📊 Monitor global cues: USD strength, yields, economic data, and geopolitical news. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment or trading advice. Financial markets involve risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. You are fully responsible for your trades.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategies | Monday✅ Technical Outlook (4-Hour Structure) ● After reaching the historical high of 4381, gold entered a corrective phase, forming a segmented structure of “decline → bottoming → rebound.” Each segment has lasted for roughly one week. Currently, after touching 4245, gold has entered the second corrective wave, and from a cycle perspective, this adjustment is not fully completed yet. ● Over the past two days, gold has repeatedly found support around the 4000 psychological level, showing signs of rebound. This indicates that buyers are actively defending this area and that short-term bullish interest remains. ● Short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10, MA20) are currently clustered around the 4080–4100 region, forming strong pressure and signaling that the short-term trend remains bearish. However, the long-term moving averages are slowly turning upward, suggesting that downside support remains valid and that deeper declines may be limited. ● The Bollinger Bands continue to narrow, indicating a range-bound and repetitive price structure. The lower band is gradually aligning with previous lows, which together limit the downside space for further price declines. ✅ Daily Chart Structure ● Gold remains in a consolidation phase, with the overall Bollinger Bands displaying a gradual narrowing pattern, suggesting that a one-directional move is unlikely in the near term. ● The lower band is steadily rising and aligning with prior lows → limiting further downside risk. ● The upper band remains near 4100–4130, serving as the main short-term resistance zone for rebounds. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4100–4130 🟢 Support Levels: 4005–4000 🎯 Trading Strategy Reference 🔰 Strategy 1 (Sell on Rebound) ● Short around 4100–4105 in batches Targets: 4050–4020 Breakdown target: 4000 🔰 Strategy 2 (Buy on Pullback) ● Buy around 4000–4005 in batches Targets: 4020–4030 Breakout target: 4050 📌 Outlook for Next Week Overall, gold remains in a structure of weak consolidation — supported but with limited rebound strength. The price is expected to continue oscillating within the 4000–4100 USD range next week. ● If Federal Reserve officials sound more “hawkish”: Rate-cut expectations decline → USD strengthens → Gold may retest the 4000 support. ● If Fed officials turn more “dovish”: Rate-cut expectations rise → Gold may retest the 4100 resistance zone. ● If geopolitical tensions escalate: Safe-haven demand may push gold to break above the upper boundary of the range. Next Monday’s short-term focus remains the 4000–4100 range. Wait for a breakout, then follow the direction accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
Gold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum LoadingGold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum Loading Gold is showing signs of upside exhaustion, with price repeatedly failing to gain momentum as it approaches the mid-range premium zone near the 4,245 area. The recent structure reflects a market transitioning from short-term recovery into renewed weakness, with each bullish attempt losing strength faster than the previous one. Order flow remains dominated by distribution behaviour, and the chart signals a potential liquidity sweep followed by a bearish continuation. The projected rejection zone suggests that buyers are running into an area of heavy supply, where institutional activity has previously triggered aggressive downside extensions. Volume distribution across the range also highlights diminishing demand at higher prices, reinforcing the likelihood of a downward rotation. As the market continues to respect its broader range ceiling, the probability increases for price to revisit deeper value regions. With momentum fading and the current leg showing hesitation, gold is positioned for a potential sell-side move toward lower mean-reversion levels.
TVC:GOLDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
Strong news chain could push gold to retest 4300🟡 XAU/USD – Weekly Trading Plan (Nov 23–29) SMC – FVG – Supply/Demand – High-Impact News Week 1. Market Context Gold is sideways in the H4 accumulation structure, forming higher lows along the trendline. Above are 3 important supply layers: OLD FVG 1 OLD FVG 2 Large FVG 4220–4300 the price needs to sweep liquidity & hit the supply zone before creating a new direction. 2. Strong News Schedule for the Week This week has a lot of USD news directly affecting gold: Tuesday (Nov 25) Core PPI – Retail Sales – PPI (4 consecutive red news) → strong volatility. Wednesday (Nov 26) Unemployment Claims Durable Goods → Core Durable Goods GDP q/q – GDP Price Index Core PCE (most important inflation news of the week) ➡️ This is the decisive day for the trend for the rest of the week. Friday (Nov 28) German CPI (affects EUR → USD indirectly) 🎯 News Conclusion: → Gold likely to fake move – sweep liquidity before running correctly. → Thin SL zones will be continuously hunted. 3. Key Levels (from the chart you sent) 🔻 SELL Zone (Supply – FVG) 4189 – 4191 (Main Sell) SL: 4195 This is a strong reaction zone for the week. 4132 – 4134 (Sell scalp) SL: 4138 🔵 BUY Zone (Demand – Trendline – SMC) 4906 – 4904 (main BUY scalp zone in the chart) SL: 3999 → This is the only zone clearly marked as BUY in the chart. Psychological level: 4000 – 3985 If the price falls → strong reaction to form the weekly low. 4. Weekly Trading Scenarios 🅰️ Scenario 1 – Price retraces to supply zone before dropping (most likely) Price is forecasted to retest 4132–4134 → 4189–4191 After hitting 4190 ± → potential appearance of: Bearish BOS H1/H4 Strong reversal to 4050 – 4000 🔻 SELL Plan Sell 4132–4134 (scalp) SL 4138 Main Sell 4189–4191 SL 4195 TP targets: TP1: 4090 TP2: 4050 TP3: 4000 🅱️ Scenario 2 – Price dips before news then surges (kill liquidity) If gold is pushed down before PPI/GDP news: Best BUY zone: 4000 – 3985 Form a low → surge back up to test supply. 🔵 BUY Plan BUY 4000–3985 SL: 3975 TP: 4050 4100 4130 🅾️ Scenario 3 – If 4200 breaks If 4200 is broken by a large-bodied H4 candle: ➡️ High probability gold will move up to test large FVG 4250–4300 → At that point, only look for BUY pullbacks, no more SELL.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
Gold Nonfarm: Buy OB 4030, Target Break 4111🔍 Market Context – November 20, 2025 Gold initially dropped nearly 70 pips at the start of the day but quickly rebounded sharply from the 4030–4032 zone, demonstrating strong buying pressure and a refusal to decline further. The market structure on the H1–H2 timeframe is forming a classic, well-defined Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern—a quintessential bullish reversal pattern—signaling a potential upward expansion if the neckline is successfully broken. 📅 Key News Events Today: 🇺🇸 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) 📉 US Unemployment Rate 🏛 FOMC Meeting Minutes 🗣 Speeches by Trump, Barkin, Williams 🧾 Initial Jobless Claims ⚠️ These events could trigger sharp volatility and will determine the confirmation or rejection of the reversal pattern. 📊 Technical Analysis 🛒 BUY SETUP – Primary Priority ✅ Entry: 4030 – 4032 🛡 Stop Loss (SL): 4027 🎯 Take Profit (TP): TP1: 4039 TP2: 4047 TP3: 4059 💡 Rationale: Price bounced strongly at the OB + SSS zone. This is a crucial technical support area and the base of the Inverse H&S pattern. The objective is to break the neckline to trigger the uptrend. 🔻 SELL SETUP – Short-Term Strategy 📍 Entry: 4093 – 4095 🛡 SL: 4098 🎯 TP: TP1: 4088 TP2: 4077 TP3: 4060 TP4: 4033 💡 Rationale: This strategy is only applicable if the price forms a false breakout of the BSL zone and reverses. This is an ideal entry point for quick scalping if the market reacts negatively to the news. 🔑 Key Price Zones Buy Zone (OB + SSS): 4030 – 4032 → Strong demand zone, the base of the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming the reversal signal if held. Breakout Neckline Zone: 4101 – 4111 → The neckline of the Inverse H&S pattern. Breaking this zone will open up opportunities for a sharp rise. Final Resistance Zone: 4133 – 4140 → The final target if the breakout is successful and the bullish pattern is confirmed. ✅ Strategy Conclusion 🎯 Main Strategy: Priority is to BUY in the OB zone 4030–4032. 🩸 SELL is only for short-term scalping if there is a signal of rejection at the BSL zone. 🕓 Caution: Be careful entering trades near the Nonfarm news release time—wait for price action to confirm the direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader