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Nifty 50 Breakout and RSI Momentum Analysis – Sept 2025This TradingView chart presents a technical analysis of Nifty 50, highlighting a recent breakout from a descending trendline with harmonic ABCD pattern and advanced RSI insights. Key support and resistance levels are marked, and RSI momentum shows a clear structural shift as of September 17, 2025. The setup visualizes Fibonacci zones, price action targets, and a multi-timeframe confluence to help traders anticipate future market moves and confirm trend reversals.
NSE:NIFTY1!
by TradeTravel_Explore
1
XAUUSD H1 – Pennant + Head & ShouldersXAUUSD H1 – Pennant + Head & Shoulders: Two Key Levels 3657 / 3627 Hello Traders, Gold opened the week with a bounce of over 20 points from the rising trendline and is now consolidating within a Pennant, which aligns with a small Head & Shoulders structure on the H1 chart. At the moment, the market is waiting for a breakout and confirmation to establish a clearer direction. Pattern: A narrowing Pennant Flag alongside an H&S (left shoulder – head – right shoulder). Key Zones to Watch 3655–3660: Crucial reaction zone (trendline + Pennant top). 3627: Critical support — a break below would invalidate the short-term bullish structure. Fibonacci Levels: 1.618 in the mid-range, 2.618 lower — possible targets for a deeper correction. MACD (12,26,9): Histogram has turned negative → short-term bearish momentum has the edge, though clear confirmation is still pending. Trading Scenarios Bullish Setup Entry: Retest around 3654–3657 Targets: 3663 – 3670 – 3680 → 3695 Stop: Below 3648 Bearish Setup Entry: Sell directly on breakdown, or wait for a retest near 3671–3674 Targets: 3663 – 3650 – 3633 – 3615 → 3595 → 3568 → 3540 Stop: Above 3679 the market is currently pricing in near certainty of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17th September, while the probability of a 0.50% cut still remains on the table. If you find this analysis helpful, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I’ll update the outlook as soon as the price structure changes — follow me to get the latest setups first.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Volume Profile & Market Structure AnalysisPart 1: Understanding Market Structure 1.1 What is Market Structure? Market structure is the framework of price movement. It’s the natural rhythm of the market, made up of highs, lows, trends, ranges, breakouts, and consolidations. Think of it as the skeleton of price action, which reveals how institutions and retail traders interact. In simple terms, market structure helps us answer: Is the market trending up, trending down, or consolidating? Where are liquidity pools likely located? Which price levels matter most to big players (banks, hedge funds, market makers)? 1.2 The Building Blocks of Market Structure Swing Highs and Swing Lows Swing High: A peak where price fails to continue higher. Swing Low: A valley where price fails to continue lower. These levels often act as liquidity pools where stop losses gather. Trends Uptrend: Higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). Downtrend: Lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH). Sideways/Range: Price oscillates between support and resistance with no clear direction. Break of Structure (BoS) When price violates the previous high or low, signaling a shift in trend. Example: if price makes a new higher high after a downtrend, that could signal a bullish shift. Change of Character (ChoCh) A sudden break in the short-term market rhythm, often the first clue of a potential trend reversal. Liquidity Stop orders, pending orders, and clusters of positions sitting around obvious levels (support, resistance, round numbers). Market makers often push price toward these liquidity zones to fill large institutional orders. 1.3 Institutional vs. Retail Market Structure Retail traders often focus on patterns (double tops, triangles, flags). Institutions care about liquidity and order flow. They engineer moves to trap retail positions and accumulate their own. This is why understanding structure at an institutional level (smart money concepts) is crucial. It explains phenomena like false breakouts, liquidity sweeps, and stop hunts. Part 2: Understanding Volume Profile 2.1 What is Volume Profile? Volume Profile is a charting tool that shows how much trading volume occurred at each price level during a given period. Instead of just telling you “when” trades occurred (time-based volume), it tells you “where” trades occurred in price. The Volume Profile is plotted as a horizontal histogram along the price axis. This makes it easier to see which price zones attracted the most participation from traders and institutions. 2.2 Key Components of Volume Profile Point of Control (POC) The price level with the highest traded volume. Acts as a magnet for price because it represents “fair value.” Value Area (VA) The range where about 70% of trading volume occurred. Split into: Value Area High (VAH) Value Area Low (VAL) High-Volume Nodes (HVN) Areas of heavy participation (accumulation zones). Price often consolidates here. Low-Volume Nodes (LVN) Areas where price quickly passed through with little trading. Often act as support/resistance. 2.3 Why Volume Profile Matters Shows institutional footprints: Institutions need liquidity to fill big orders, so they often transact heavily around POC and HVNs. Highlights imbalances: When price rejects LVNs, it suggests aggressive buying/selling dominance. Helps with trade entries & exits: Knowing where fair value is (POC) vs. imbalance zones helps traders time reversals or continuations. Part 3: Combining Market Structure & Volume Profile Market Structure tells you the direction of the market, while Volume Profile shows you where the heavy battles occur. Used together, they create a powerful framework. 3.1 Example: Trend Continuation Setup Step 1: Identify the trend using Market Structure (higher highs, higher lows). Step 2: Look at Volume Profile to find the POC or Value Area Low (support). Step 3: If price retraces to VAL while maintaining bullish structure, it’s often a high-probability continuation zone. 3.2 Example: Reversal Setup Step 1: Notice a Change of Character (ChoCh) in structure. Step 2: Check if price swept liquidity near an HVN or POC. Step 3: If Volume Profile shows rejection of that value area, it signals strong reversal potential. 3.3 Liquidity & Volume Synergy Liquidity pools (stop-loss clusters) often sit near low-volume nodes because price moves fast through those zones. Institutions push price into these LVNs to trigger stops and then absorb liquidity. Once filled, price usually returns to HVNs (fair value). Part 4: Practical Strategies with Volume Profile & Market Structure 4.1 The Volume Profile Rejection Strategy Identify LVNs. Wait for price to test and sharply reject. Enter with trend confirmation from market structure. 4.2 Breakout + Volume Profile Confirmation If price breaks a structural level (BoS), check if it’s supported by high volume near POC. Strong volume = genuine breakout. Weak volume = likely false breakout. 4.3 Value Area Rotations Price often oscillates between VAH and VAL. Strategy: Buy near VAL, sell near VAH, exit at POC. Works best in ranging conditions. Part 5: Psychological & Institutional Insights Retail Traps: Market structure fakeouts occur around LVNs, engineered by institutions. Smart Money Accumulation: Seen in HVNs—where large players accumulate before big moves. Auction Theory: Markets function as auctions—Volume Profile is essentially a visualization of that auction process. Conclusion Volume Profile and Market Structure Analysis are not “magic bullets,” but together they form one of the most institutionally aligned trading frameworks available to retail traders. Market Structure explains where price wants to go. Volume Profile explains where participants are most active. By combining them, traders can anticipate moves with higher probability, avoid traps, and align themselves closer to the behavior of professional market participants. Ultimately, the goal is to stop thinking like a retail trader chasing indicators and start thinking like a liquidity hunter—someone who understands where the market is auctioning, who’s trapped, and where the next wave of orders is likely to hit.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Gold Technical Analysis and OutlookGold Technical Analysis and Outlook: Fluctuating Upwards Ahead of the Interest Rate Decision, Beware of a Rally and a Rebound Fundamental Analysis This week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced. The outcome will have a decisive impact on the future of gold: A 25 basis point rate cut is expected to trigger a direct decline in gold prices. A 50 basis point cut, exceeding expectations, could push gold prices back down after a surge. Market sentiment is cautious ahead of the decision, and volatility may narrow. Technical Analysis Yesterday's Market Review Gold's early-week trend was fully in line with expectations, with a continuation of high-level fluctuations. It dipped to 3626 in the morning (4 dollars below the 3630 support level) before quickly recovering. The inverted hammer pattern on the hourly chart clearly signals a rebound. It continued to consolidate during the European trading session. Maintaining the volatile trend at the end of last week. After breaking through the 3656-57 resistance level, the US market accelerated upward, reaching a new high of 3685. Key Technical Signals Breakout Confirmation Signal: A large bullish candlestick on the hourly chart breaks through the trendline resistance level, followed by a pullback to confirm support. Accurate Pullback: The 5-minute chart shows a breakout above 3656 followed by a pullback to 3654-55 (the bottom of the last large bullish candlestick), creating a standard second entry opportunity. Strong Early Morning Close: The US market closed at a high level after a strong performance, indicating continued upward momentum the following morning. Key Level Update Support Level: 3630 (the recent rebound of 6 1.8% golden ratio level) Resistance levels: 3700, 3750 (extreme target) Subsequent strategic layout Short-term trading strategy Long positions: Morning long positions at 3682-83 can be held, with the target at 3700. Increase position strategy: Consider increasing positions in batches if the price falls back to the 3655-60 range. Risk management tips: Execute stop-loss orders decisively if the price breaks below the 3630 support level, turning short-term bearish. Medium-term strategy Pre-interest rate decision: Maintain the 3700-3750 target range and gradually reduce long positions. Post-decision strategy: 25 basis point rate cut: Direct Short Position 50 basis point rate cut: Short position after a surge Target: 3600-3580 area is the primary target during the pullback phase. Trading Alert Market liquidity may decrease and volatility may increase before Thursday's interest rate decision. Avoid chasing highs, especially long positions above 3700. Manage your positions carefully and reserve funds to mitigate market volatility after the decision. Pay close attention to the forward-looking guidance and dot plot changes in the decision statement. Risk Warning: The above analysis is based on current market conditions. Investors are advised to strictly manage risk and allocate positions appropriately based on their risk tolerance.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Fibonacci_Gold
17 sep - CL ShortCrude seems in likely level to bounce back. Crude seems in likely level to bounce Crude seems in likely level to bounce Crude seems in likely level to bounce Crude seems in likely level to bounce back. Crude seems in likely level to bounce Crude seems in likely level to bounce Crude seems in likely level to bounce Crude seems in likely level to bounce back. Crude seems in likely level to bounce Crude seems in likely level to bounce Crude seems in likely level to bounce back
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by wishy6221
1
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 17, 2025 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently rising. As of today, the upward move has lasted for 3–4 daily candles. Therefore, in the next 1–2 days, momentum is likely to enter the overbought zone. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is in the oversold area and starting to reverse. Once confirmed, we can expect at least 4–5 bullish H4 candles. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is already in the oversold zone and has turned upward, suggesting an immediate short-term rally. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Price is moving within black wave v. Since black wave iii was extended, black wave v is likely to be approximately equal in length to black wave i. • H4 timeframe: Inside black wave v, we expect a 5-wave green structure to form. Currently, green wave 1 seems to have completed, and price is correcting within green wave 2. • H1 timeframe: Within green wave 1, a 5-wave black structure has been completed. Price is now developing a corrective black ABC pattern. Target zones for black wave C: • Target 1: 3675 • Target 2: 3657 Note: Wave 2 usually retraces to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of wave 1, which coincides with the 3657 zone. This is the key level to consider for a buy setup. Trading Plan • Buy Zone: 3658 – 3655 • Stop Loss: 3645 • Take Profit (TP1): 3677
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Trading Strategy | September 16-17✅ From the 4-hour chart: Gold formed a high near 3703 and then pulled back, currently trading around 3688. The MA5 and MA10 are turning down, and the price has fallen back below the MA5, showing that short-term bullish momentum has weakened. The MA20 (around 3661) serves as a key support. The upper Bollinger Band near 3705 is showing strong resistance, and the price has returned to oscillate around the mid-band, indicating that upward momentum is capped. The 4-hour chart suggests weakening bullish momentum, with a potential for consolidation and pullback. ✅ From the 1-hour chart: The MA5 and MA10 are turning downward, creating short-term pressure on the price, while the MA20 around 3687 is providing support. Gold has broken below the middle Bollinger Band and is oscillating near the lower band, reflecting short-term weakness and the possibility of further testing support. The KDJ has formed a bearish crossover, and the MACD histogram has turned from red to green, showing that short-term bearish momentum is strengthening and there is risk of further downside. 🔴 Resistance levels: 3700–3705 / 3715–3730 🟢 Support levels: 3675–3665 / 3660–3655 📊 Trading Strategy Reference 🔻 Short Setup ● Entry: Sell in batches if gold rebounds to 3695–3700 ● Target 1: 3680–3675 ● Target 2: If broken, look further toward 3665 🔺 Long Setup ● Entry: Buy in batches if gold pulls back and stabilizes around 3670–3675 ● Target 1: 3690–3695 ● Target 2: If broken, look further toward 3700 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MarketSage_FX
FED shaken by politics | Gold eyes new ATH🟡 XAU/USD – 16/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context FED & US Politics : S. Miran elected to the FED Board but still serves as Trump’s economic advisor → concerns FED may face White House influence. Michelle Mills elected with a narrow 48–47 margin. Appeals Court blocked Trump from firing L. Cook, affirming FED’s independence, but raising the risk of a legal battle at the Supreme Court. US Economy : 6:30 AM (US time): Retail Sales release – key consumer spending indicator. Probability of a -50bps FED cut this week is down to 1.2% , nearly ruled out. FED is almost certain to deliver -25bps next week. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : Politics create noise, but the macro backdrop (FED easing + weak US data) remains the tailwind supporting Gold’s journey toward new ATH. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) : 3706 – 3714 (Fibonacci resistance) 3722 – 3724 (Strong Sell Zone, potential ATH test) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) : FVG Dock: 3666 – 3668 OB Harbor: 3643 – 3645 Strong Low: 3611 (deep support) Market Structure : After a series of BoS , Gold broke out of sideways EqH/EqL and surged. Preferred scenario: retrace to FVG 3666 , then bounce toward 3714 – 3722. If 3722 breaks successfully → confirms new ATH and extends bullish momentum. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Buy 1 (FVG) Entry: 3666 – 3668 SL: 3657 TP: 3690 – 3706 – 3714 – 372x Buy 2 (OB) Entry: 3643 – 3645 SL: 3632 TP: 3666 – 3700 – 3714 – 372x ⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance) Sell Zone Entry: 3722 – 3724 SL: 3732 TP: 3714 – 3706 – 3690 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden ship has broken free from sideways waters and is heading toward new peaks. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3666 – 3643) is the safe dock for sailors to gather strength before sailing further. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3722 – 3724) is the big wave, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . With dovish winds from the FED, the Golden sails are set toward new ATH.”
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Strategy for TodayI would like to share my personal view on gold for the day. The overall trend in XAUUSD continues to be very strong, with the price consistently making fresh highs over the past two weeks. Buying interest has remained steady across sessions, while any corrections have been short-lived, mostly visible on the M15–M30 timeframes. Yesterday, gold broke out of the Pennant pattern on the upside and is now consolidating near 3,680. On the H4 chart, this level aligns with an important Fibonacci zone, providing further technical confirmation. From an Elliott Wave perspective, I expect Wave 3 to conclude near 3,700, followed by a corrective Wave 4 towards 3,660 – a level which has acted as reliable support in the past. After that, gold may enter its final Wave 5, with the potential to move towards the 3,740+ region. Trading setups for consideration: Buy 3658 – 3656, SL 3651, TP 3674 – 3688 – 3700 – 3715 – 3730 – 3744 Sell 3697 – 3700, SL 3705, TP 3688 – 3672 – 3660 – 3650 Sell 3740 – 3744, SL 3748, TP will be decided based on the price structure at that time Important levels to keep in focus: 3673 – 3663 – 3635 and 3721, as these zones may trigger price reactions and could be useful for intraday scalping opportunities. This is my personal outlook on gold for today. I hope it will be helpful to fellow traders in making better trading decisions. Kindly share your feedback in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
Gold Trading Strategy for 17th September 2025✨ GOLD TRADING STRATEGY ✨ 📈 BUY Setup ➡️ Entry: Buy above the high of the 1-hour closing candle 🎯 Targets: 1st Target – 3715 2nd Target – 3725 3rd Target – 3735 📉 SELL Setup ➡️ Entry: Sell below the low of the 1-hour closing candle 🎯 Targets: 1st Target – 3660 2nd Target – 3650 3rd Target – 3640 ⚠️ Disclaimer 📌 This is for educational and informational purposes only. 📌 Not a buy/sell recommendation. 📌 Trading in commodities, forex, or stock markets involves risk; please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before taking positions.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
2
Wednesday's gold price target: 3750Wednesday's gold price target: 3750 As shown in Figure 1h: The current converging fluctuation range of gold prices is clearly visible within the fan structure. Gold prices have remained strong after breaking through. We expect Thursday's interest rate cut to drive another surge in gold prices across the board. Expected target: Around 3750 points. Next, it's important to note that after all the positive news is released, gold prices will be cashed out at high levels, leading to profit-taking. This is likely to cause a waterfall-like decline in gold prices at the top. Therefore, ordinary traders must remain cautious when buying with the trend. Currently, the most effective way to profit is scalping, entering and exiting quickly, and setting reasonable stop-loss orders. Trading Strategy: Conservative: BUY: 3675-3685 SL: 3660 TP: 3700-3750 Aggressive: BUY: 3685-3690 SL: 3675 TP: 3700-3720-3750 Be cautious with short positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja_rb
GOLD LONG IDEA AT BOTTOM 1400PIPS IN NONFARM BUY GOLD 3314 +900PIPS BUY GOLD 3344 +500PIPS 📊 Today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) – USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m: ✅ 0.3% (same as forecast and previous). → Wage growth is steady, no extra inflation pressure. Non-Farm Employment Change: ❌ Actual: 22K vs Forecast: 75K vs Previous: 79K → Job creation has fallen sharply, showing slowdown in the US economy. Unemployment Rate: ✅ Actual: 4.3% (as expected, higher than 4.2% previous). → Labour market conditions are getting weaker, unemployment rising. 🔎 Market Impact US Dollar (USD): Weak NFP data is negative for the dollar. Higher unemployment increases chances of the Fed cutting rates earlier. Gold (XAU/USD): Positive for gold: Weak USD supports higher gold prices. If the Fed turns dovish, safe-haven demand for gold will strengthen. Gold may gain strong momentum on expectations of rate cuts. Equities: Wage inflation is stable, so no fresh inflation worries. Equity markets may take it positively as Fed could soften policy. 📌 Key Takeaway NFP weak → Bearish USD Gold bullish, upside momentum possible EUR, GBP likely to gain on USD weakness Equities may stay supported
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
2
Gold 4H Outlook – Buy the Dip or Fade the Drop?On the 4H timeframe, Gold is consolidating just below 3,600 after a strong bullish rally. The current structure shows price pausing near premium levels, with liquidity building both above 3,600 and below 3,530. This indicates engineered sweeps are likely before the next major move. 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (4H): 🔼 Buy Zone 3,572 – 3,574 (SL 3,565): Fresh demand zone at intraday discount; potential continuation level. 🔽 Sell Scalp Zone 3,530 – 3,526 (SL 3,537): Short-term supply/pivot area; scalp opportunity if rejection happens. 📍 Liquidity Magnet 3,603 – 3,605: Upside imbalance area likely to get filled. 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Zone Reaction Entry: 3,572 – 3,574 Stop Loss: 3,565 Take Profits: TP1: 3,585 TP2: 3,595 TP3: 3,605 👉 Demand block in line with bullish order flow. Watch for a liquidity sweep and rejection to fuel trend continuation. 🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Short-Term Reaction Entry: 3,530 – 3,528 Stop Loss: 3,537 Take Profits: TP1: 3,520 TP2: 3,510 TP3: 3,500 👉 Intraday supply/pivot area. Best suited for quick scalp trades against the trend, targeting downside liquidity. 🔑 Strategy Note Overall bias stays bullish, but intraday shorts can work for scalping purposes. The cleaner setup is to buy from 3,572–3,574 for continuation towards 3,600+. Smart money may attempt a liquidity sweep at 3,530 before pushing higher.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ryan_TitanTrader
“Gold Shines Bright | Bullish Momentum Targeting $3,700🔎 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (1H Chart) Trend: Strong bullish trend confirmed, with price making higher highs and higher lows. Buy Zone: Around 3,590 – 3,600 USD, where buyers stepped in aggressively. Short-Term Target 🎯: 3,650 – 3,700 USD (already highlighted on chart). Key Support Levels: 3,561 USD (near-term support) 3,490 USD (major support, bullish structure invalidation if broken) 📌 Outlook: As long as price holds above the buy zone, momentum favors bulls with potential continuation toward 3,700+ USD. 🌍 Fundamental Drivers for Gold Bullishness ✨ Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Expectations 🏦⬇️ – If the Fed signals easing or holds a dovish stance, real yields fall → Gold strengthens. Weakening US Dollar (DXY) 💵📉 – A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to global investors. Geopolitical Risks 🌍⚠️ – Rising global tensions increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Central Bank Demand 🏦🔒 – Many central banks are adding gold reserves to hedge against currency risks. Inflation Hedge 📊🔥 – Gold remains attractive when inflationary pressures stay elevated.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
1
Nifty 50 Breakout & Market Breadth Trend (Sep 2025) This chart highlights a Nifty 50 near-term breakout following a completed ABCD harmonic structure and rising market breadth levels into mid-September 2025. Key Fibonacci resistance zones are mapped, with price targets up to 25,500 based on the 0.786 and 0.886 extension levels. The market breadth indicator signals an emerging bullish momentum, reinforcing potential continuation above recent highs if index breadth sustains above 60. This format provides clarity, technical reference, and aligns with TradingView’s audience expectations for actionable trading insights.
NSE:NIFTY1!
by TradeTravel_Explore
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Could Launch Wave (5)Namaste Traders Gold on the M30 chart remains bullish, but the push into the upper channel line signals short-term profit booking. For those trading Gold/USD or tracking Gold in INR terms on MCX, here’s my plan for the upcoming sessions: 🔍 Technical Overview Price completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural zone for sellers to take profits. The 3666–3670 region has acted as a pivot/support multiple times. I expect a Wave (4) correction into this zone before a fresh rally. 3657 is deeper support and also serves as the invalidation level for the bullish scenario. If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) could push towards 3720–3725. 📈 Key Levels Type Price Level Notes Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch for rejection Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4) Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation Target (5) 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target ⚙️ Trading Plan ✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation) Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a small sweep to ~3657). Confirmation: Look for a bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on the M30 chart. Take Profit: TP1: 3695–3700 (previous high/resistance) TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection) Stop Loss: Below ~3652. Risk/Reward: Aim for 1:2 to 1:3. ⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short If price retests 3695–3700 and forms a strong rejection, a quick countertrend short is possible. Targets: 3670 → 3657. Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707. Use small position sizing, as this is against the primary trend. 🛡 Risk & Invalidation A close below 3656 plus a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario. For Indian traders watching MCX Gold (in INR), keep in mind USD/INR fluctuations – a weaker rupee can amplify gold gains even if spot prices pause. Always keep risk ≤1–1.5% per trade and avoid chasing late entries. 🧭 Final Thoughts Gold’s trend is still bullish on the short-term chart. A healthy correction into 3666–3670 could offer a prime entry for Wave (5). Be patient, wait for confirmation, and let the price come to your zone. Countertrend shorts are valid only on a clear rejection at 3695–3700 – otherwise, stick with the trend. Good luck and happy trading,
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
1
Gold on Fire: Fed Rate Cuts & Global Tensions Fueling the Rally!Hello, fellow traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is on an absolute tear, closing strong at $3,680.80/oz on September 15, 2025, after hitting a new all-time high (ATH) of $3,685.39/oz. The past week has been solid, with gold up 1.6% as the US dollar weakened (down 0.3% to a one-week low) and US bond yields dropped. The market is buzzing with talk of a sure-shot 0.25% Fed rate cut on September 17, with some even betting on a bigger 0.5% move as per the CME FedWatch Tool. Plus, geopolitical tensions and reports of China easing gold import norms are adding more fuel to this fire. Let's do a deep dive and check out some solid trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: All That Glitters Is Gold! 🌟 Fed Rate Cuts: The latest US data is a mixed bag—the August CPI was hot, but the jobs market is cooling down. This is giving the Fed a clear signal to cut rates for the first time since December 2024. Lower interest rates are a big negative for the US Dollar, making non-yielding assets like gold super attractive. This is a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" situation, but right now, the rumor is all about buying gold! Geopolitical Jitters: The upcoming Fed meeting is quite tense, with political drama and a lot of pressure from the White House. This kind of uncertainty is gold's best friend, as it’s the ultimate safe-haven asset. Chinese Demand: Recent reports suggest China is making it easier to import gold, which means more demand is coming from the world's biggest consumer. Strong buying from both official and private players in China is a major tailwind for gold's upward move. Technical Analysis: Breaking All Barriers! 📉 Gold has smashed through the Fibo 2.618 level and is in uncharted territory. What's impressive is that the pullbacks are very shallow, just a $10 blip before it resumes its rally. This shows the bulls are in complete control, and selling pressure is minimal. The strategy is simple: look to buy on dips and be very selective about any shorting opportunities. Resistance Levels: $3704, $3714, $3724 Support Levels: $3694, $3686, $3674, $3666 Trading Setups (Strict Risk Management Is Key): Buy Scalp: Zone: $3688 - $3686 SL: $3682 TP: $3691 - $3696 - $3701 - $3706 Buy Zone: Zone: $3667 - $3665 SL: $3657 TP: $3675 - $3685 - $3695 - $3705 - $3715 Sell Scalp: Zone: $3704 - $3706 SL: $3710 TP: $3701 - $3696 - $3691 - $3686 Sell Zone: Zone: $3724 - $3726 SL: $3734 TP: $3716 - $3706 - $3696 - $3686 - $3676 Gold is at an ATH—so be careful of liquidity traps around the Fed announcement! Above $3694, the target is the sky; below, we could see a test of $3666. Manage your risk tightly before September 17! What's your plan: buy the dip or sell the top? Let me know your strategy in the comments! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBank
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold Facing Strong Resistance – Bearish Move Towards Support ?Analysis: Resistance Zone: Price is struggling to break above the $3,645–$3,650 area, which has acted as a strong resistance multiple times. Support Levels: Immediate support lies around $3,620 and $3,614, with the major support zone at $3,580. Price Action: Repeated rejections from resistance indicate weakening bullish momentum. Sellers are gaining control near the resistance zone. Bearish Outlook: A potential downward move is projected, with price likely to test $3,580 support if resistance continues to hold. Risk Management: A break and close above $3,650 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation. ✅ Bias: Bearish below $3,650 🎯 Targets: $3,620 → $3,614 → $3,580 🛑 Invalidation: Above $3,650
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Pipshunter27