OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT

Reynolds warning rate

2 694
In fluid mechanics, the Reynolds number is the ratio of inertial forces to viscous forces within a fluid. Laminar flow occurs at low Reynolds numbers (i.e., viscous forces are dominant), whereas turbulent flow occurs at high Reynolds numbers (i.e., inertial forces are dominant). In the Turbulence indicator, I define that laminar flow occurs when simple moving averages have no interactions. In contrast, turbulent flow occurs when simple moving averages have chaotic interactions (i.e., irregular crossing and convergence).

Here, I calculate an economical analog of the Reynolds number developed by Jakimowicz and Juzwiszyn (2015). Furthermore, I propose the Reynolds Warning Rate, given by a ratio of short- and long-term Reynolds number.

The higher Reynolds Warning Rate indicates that price movement is going to a turbulence phase, and the market is under a possible systemic risk.

Reference:
Jakimowicz A, Juzwiszyn J (2015) Balance in the turbulent world of economy. Acta Physica Polonica A 127, 78–85.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.