Trend Strength Table

This strategy is a time-in-trend awareness and exhaustion framework rather than a directional signal by itself. It uses a Hull Moving Average–based trend definition to continuously identify whether the market is in a bullish or bearish phase, then measures how long that trend typically lasts by averaging the durations of recent historical trends in the same direction. As a new trend unfolds, the system tracks how many bars have already closed and compares that progress against the trend’s historical “probable length.” The result is a live, adaptive estimate of where the current move sits within its natural life cycle, independent of price targets or indicators like RSI or MACD.

The real edge comes from contextual trade management. By converting elapsed trend time into a percentage of the probable trend length, the table classifies the move into Strong, Medium, Declining, or Exhaustion phases. Early stages (Strong/Medium) favor continuation trades and holding winners, while later stages (Declining/Exhaustion) warn against chasing momentum and instead encourage scaling out, tightening stops, or looking for reversal and mean-reversion setups. In practice, this strategy acts as a risk-timing overlay—helping traders decide when to press, when to be patient, and when to stand down—rather than telling them what direction to trade.

LONG TRADE RULES (Bullish Trend)
✅ Long Entry Recommendations

Only consider longs when the table shows a Bullish trend.

Best entry zones by Trend Strength:

Strong (< 25%)

✅ Best continuation entries

Enter on:

First pullback to VWAP / 9–20 EMA

Bullish engulfing candle

ORB continuation

Bias: Aggressive size allowed

Expect expansion

Medium (25%–50%)

✅ Still valid, but be selective

Enter on:

Higher low + strong close

Break-and-hold above key level

Bias: Normal size

Avoid chasing extended candles

Declining (50%–75%)

⚠️ Late trend

Only enter if:

Tight consolidation breakout

Strong volume confirmation

Bias: Reduced size

Faster profit-taking

Exhaustion (> 75%)

❌ No new longs

Trend is statistically mature

Look for:

Failed breakouts

Bearish rejection candles

🎯 Long Exit Rules

Partial exits

Take first scale at 50%–75%

Full exit

Mandatory by Exhaustion

Stop management

Strong/Medium → structure-based stop

Declining → tighten aggressively

Hard rule

Do not hold longs once trend flips bearish

SHORT TRADE RULES (Bearish Trend)
✅ Short Entry Recommendations

Only consider shorts when the table shows a Bearish trend.

Best entry zones by Trend Strength:

Strong (< 25%)

✅ Best short continuation zone

Enter on:

Failed bounce into resistance

VWAP / EMA rejection

ORB breakdown

Bias: Aggressive size allowed

Medium (25%–50%)

✅ Good continuation, slower

Enter on:

Lower high confirmation

Breakdown after consolidation

Bias: Normal size

Declining (50%–75%)

⚠️ Trend is aging

Only enter:

On clean breakdowns

With defined risk

Bias: Reduced size

Exhaustion (> 75%)

❌ No new shorts

Expect:

Short-covering

Dead-cat bounces

Reversal attempts

🎯 Short Exit Rules

Partial exits

Begin scaling out at 50%–75%

Full exit

Required at Exhaustion

Stop management

Strong/Medium → above lower high

Declining → tight trailing stop

Hard rule

Cover all shorts if trend flips bullish

🔥 Power Rules (Do NOT break these)

Never open new trades in Exhaustion

Strong = press, Declining = protect

Trend strength dictates size, not conviction

Direction comes from trend, timing comes from price