Yen Carry Composite Index + Macro Flow Gauge
This chart visualizes the strength, trend, and macro conditions supporting or weakening the yen carry trade a strategy where investors borrow in low yielding yen to invest in higher yielding assets
How It Works: Core Components
Composite Index (Blue Line):
A weighted blend of z-scores from:
USD/JPY (strength of USD vs JPY)
10Y yield spread (US – Japan)
AUD/JPY (risk proxy for carry appetite)
VIX (global risk sentiment, inverted)
Z-scores normalize each input to show how far it deviates from recent history (not raw values).
Positive composite trend ⬅️ strong carry environment
Negative composite trend ➡️ signs of unwind or stress
Individual Z-Score Lines:
🟥 USD/JPY
🟩 Yield Spread (US10Y − JP10Y)
🟪 FX Proxy (AUD/JPY)
🟦 VIX (risk sentiment)
Threshold Lines & Signal Markers:
Green 🟢⬅️🟢🟢 “carry active” threshold (+1.5 std dev)
Red dashed line 🔴➡️🔴🔴→ “carry unwind risk” (−1.5 std dev)
Carry Trade Strength Gauge (Horizontal Bar, Bottom-Right)https://www.tradingview.com/chart/YVbZwNez/
Slots:
🟢 = strong carry inflow conditions
⚪ = neutral midpoint
🔴 = outflow / unwind pressure
A directional arrow (⬅️ or ➡️) shows momentum:
➡️ = composite rising → improving carry environment
⬅️ = composite falling → deteriorating carry conditions
Arrow is placed at the current strength level, visually combining position + momentum
Labels “Inflows” and “Outflows” flank the bar for clarity
Use Case Summary
Macro risk overlay for JPY pairs, EM FX, bond carry strategies
Detect early unwind phases (e.g. if arrow ⬅️ appears in red zone)
Confirm entry/exit in directional JPY trades or expected liquidity to enter the markets
Invite-only script
Only users approved by the author can access this script. You'll need to request and get permission to use it. This is typically granted after payment. For more details, follow the author's instructions below or contact MerloClover-PugetPointCapital directly.
TradingView does NOT recommend paying for or using a script unless you fully trust its author and understand how it works. You may also find free, open-source alternatives in our community scripts.
Author's instructions
Disclaimer
Invite-only script
Only users approved by the author can access this script. You'll need to request and get permission to use it. This is typically granted after payment. For more details, follow the author's instructions below or contact MerloClover-PugetPointCapital directly.
TradingView does NOT recommend paying for or using a script unless you fully trust its author and understand how it works. You may also find free, open-source alternatives in our community scripts.