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Vol ForecastEGARCH

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Vol ForecastEGARCH – Volatility Forecast Tool

Measuring volatility means not only predicting direction but also understanding the magnitude of risk. Vol ForecastEGARCH brings advanced GARCH-based models into TradingView, projecting volatility directly onto your chart.

Features

Model Selection: GARCH(1,1), EGARCH(1,1), GJR(1,1)

Dynamic Recalibration: Parameters recalibrated every 50 bars.

Z-Score Flexibility: Default Z=1.28 (~80% confidence) adjustable by user.

Multiple Horizons: 6, 12, 48, and 96 bars ahead forecasts.

Visualization: Upper/lower bands plotted with dynamic colors.

Mini Panel: Displays α, β, γ/ω parameters and 1-step volatility %.

Who Is It For?

Short-term traders: Define stop-loss / take-profit levels on a statistical basis.

Portfolio managers: Integrate volatility-based risk assessment into allocation decisions.

Technical analysts: Align momentum and price action with volatility dynamics.

Especially valuable for high-volatility markets like Borsa Istanbul, where understanding risk intensity is as critical as direction.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.