OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Updated Modified Mannarino Market Risk Indicator & Bubbles
Modified Mannarino Market Risk Indicator
MMRI = DXY * 10Y Yield
MMMRI = MMRI * (Debt/GDP)
- Color Indicators
Green ~ Low Risk
Yellow - Mod Risk
Red - High Risk
Purple - Extreme Risk
*
Bubbles Formula (MMMRI_DK)
DXY*(10Y + FED Rate)* (Shiller P/E Ratio) * (Warren Buffet Indicator)*(Debt/GDP) /1.61
Similar to the Shiller P/E Ratio - you need to look back to see where the bubbles were. The difference between the Dot Com bubble and subsequent ones is that we now have QE which is why I included the FED Rate + 10Y.
*Color Indicators
Green ~ Low Risk
Yellow - Mod Risk
Red - High Risk
Purple - Extreme Risk
Future Bubbles Formula (MMMRI_DK_Fut)
DXY*(10Y + Future FED Rate)* (Shiller P/E Ratio) * (Warren Buffet Indicator)*(Debt/GDP) /1.61
Assumes that the 10Y is fixed but what is important is that you will get an idea on when the system may pop.
Release Notes
Bug Fix
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the author of this script has published it open-source, so traders can understand and verify it. Cheers to the author! You may use it for free, but reuse of this code in publication is governed by House rules. You can favorite it to use it on a chart.
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