OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Short-Term Capitulation Oscillator (STCO, Diodato 2019)
Description:
This script is a faithful implementation of the Short-Term Capitulation Oscillator (STCO) from Chris Diodato's 2019 CMT paper, "Making The Most Of Panic". It's a tactical breadth and volume oscillator designed to "fish for market bottoms" by identifying short-term investor capitulation.
What It Is
The STCO combines the 10-day moving averages of NYSE up-volume and advancing issues. It measures the ratio of advancing momentum (in both volume and number of issues) relative to the total traded momentum. The result is a raw, un-normalized oscillator that typically ranges from 0 to 200.
How to Interpret
The STCO is a tactical tool for identifying near-term oversold conditions and potential bounces.
Low Readings: Indicate that sellers have likely exhausted themselves in the short term, creating a potential entry point for a bounce. The paper found that readings below 90, 85, and 80 were often followed by strong market performance over the next 5-20 days.
Overbought/Oversold Lines: Use the customizable overbought/oversold lines to define your own capitulation zones and potential entry areas.
Settings
Data Sources: Allows toggling the use of "Unchanged" issues/volume data.
Thresholds: You can set the overbought and oversold levels based on the paper's research or your own testing.
This script is a faithful implementation of the Short-Term Capitulation Oscillator (STCO) from Chris Diodato's 2019 CMT paper, "Making The Most Of Panic". It's a tactical breadth and volume oscillator designed to "fish for market bottoms" by identifying short-term investor capitulation.
What It Is
The STCO combines the 10-day moving averages of NYSE up-volume and advancing issues. It measures the ratio of advancing momentum (in both volume and number of issues) relative to the total traded momentum. The result is a raw, un-normalized oscillator that typically ranges from 0 to 200.
How to Interpret
The STCO is a tactical tool for identifying near-term oversold conditions and potential bounces.
Low Readings: Indicate that sellers have likely exhausted themselves in the short term, creating a potential entry point for a bounce. The paper found that readings below 90, 85, and 80 were often followed by strong market performance over the next 5-20 days.
Overbought/Oversold Lines: Use the customizable overbought/oversold lines to define your own capitulation zones and potential entry areas.
Settings
Data Sources: Allows toggling the use of "Unchanged" issues/volume data.
Thresholds: You can set the overbought and oversold levels based on the paper's research or your own testing.
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Open-source script
In true TradingView spirit, the creator of this script has made it open-source, so that traders can review and verify its functionality. Kudos to the author! While you can use it for free, remember that republishing the code is subject to our House Rules.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.