Correlation Confluence Trend IndicatorCorrelation Confluence Trend Indicator
Overview
The Correlation Confluence Trend Indicator combines exponential moving averages (EMAs) and statistical correlation measures to identify high-confidence trend alignments between an asset and a benchmark. By filtering signals through correlation strength, this indicator highlights opportunities when the asset and benchmark move together. In other words, it defines a trend and then uses correlation strength and the trend of a second asset to identify high-confidence trends.
Key Features
Dual EMA Trend Analysis :
Calculates fast and slow EMAs for both the asset and the selected benchmark (e.g., SPY) to identify bullish and bearish trends.
Correlation Strength Filtering :
Evaluates correlation between the asset and benchmark, identifying stronger-than-average relationships based on the mean and standard deviation.
Background Color Coding :
- Green : Strong correlation, both asset and benchmark bullish.
- Aqua : Weak correlation, both asset and benchmark bullish.
- Red : Strong correlation, both asset and benchmark bearish.
- Fuchsia : Weak correlation, both asset and benchmark bearish.
- Orange : Strong correlation, benchmark bullish, asset bearish.
- Yellow : Weak correlation, benchmark bullish, asset bearish.
- Purple : Strong correlation, benchmark bearish, asset bullish.
- Lime : Weak correlation, benchmark bearish, asset bullish.
Visual Trend Indicators :
Plots fast and slow EMAs for the asset, dynamically colored based on aggregate trend signals. The color of this corresponds to the main trend signal.
Inputs
Benchmark Symbol : Symbol of the benchmark asset to compare against.
Fast EMA Length : Period for the fast EMA calculation.
Slow EMA Length : Period for the slow EMA calculation.
Correlation Length : Number of bars for correlation calculation.
Correlation Mean Length : Number of bars for mean and standard deviation calculation.
Std Dev Multiplier : Multiplier for standard deviation to define correlation strength. When the correlation is Std Dev Multiplier standard deviations above the mean, it counts as a strong correlation.
Set Background Color : Toggle background coloring on or off.
Notes
This indicator is primarily designed for trend-following strategies. By combining trend analysis and correlation filtering, it ensures that signals occur during aligned market conditions, reducing false signals.
Before incorporating this indicator into your trading strategy:
Always backtest on historical data to evaluate its performance before committing capital.
Use proper risk management to control position sizes and mitigate potential losses.
Remember that no indicator guarantees success. I'm quite proud of this one, but it's not the holy grail.
Correlation
Cross-Asset Correlation Trend IndicatorCross-Asset Correlation Trend Indicator
This indicator uses correlations between the charted asset and ten others to calculate an overall trend prediction. Each ticker is configurable, and by analyzing the trend of each asset, the indicator predicts an average trend for the main asset on the chart. The strength of each asset's trend is weighted by its correlation to the charted asset, resulting in a single average trend signal. This can be a rather robust and effective signal, though it is often slow.
Functionality Overview :
The Cross-Asset Correlation Trend Indicator calculates the average trend of a charted asset based on the correlation and trend of up to ten other assets. Each asset is assigned a trend signal using a simple EMA crossover method (two customizable EMAs). If the shorter EMA crosses above the longer one, the asset trend is marked as positive; if it crosses below, the trend is negative. Each trend is then weighted by the correlation coefficient between that asset’s closing price and the charted asset’s closing price. The final output is an average weighted trend signal, which combines each trend with its respective correlation weight.
Input Parameters :
EMA 1 Length : Sets the period of the shorter EMA used to determine trends.
EMA 2 Length : Sets the period of the longer EMA used to determine trends.
Correlation Length : Defines the lookback period used for calculating the correlation between the charted asset and each of the other selected assets.
Asset Tickers : Each of the ten tickers is configurable, allowing you to set specific assets to analyze correlations with the charted asset.
Show Trend Table : Toggle to show or hide a table with each asset’s weighted trend. The table displays green, red, or white text for each weighted trend, indicating positive, negative, or neutral trends, respectively.
Table Position : Choose the position of the trend table on the chart.
Recommended Use :
As always, it’s essential to backtest the indicator thoroughly on your chosen asset and timeframe to ensure it aligns with your strategy. Feel free to modify the input parameters as needed—while the defaults work well for me, they may need adjustment to better suit your assets, timeframes, and trading style.
As always, I wish you the best of luck and immense fortune as you develop your systems. May this indicator help you make well-informed, profitable decisions!
Dynamic Market Correlation Analyzer (DMCA) v1.0Description
The Dynamic Market Correlation Analyzer (DMCA) is an advanced TradingView indicator designed to provide real-time correlation analysis between multiple assets. It offers a comprehensive view of market relationships through correlation coefficients, technical indicators, and visual representations.
Key Features
- Multi-asset correlation tracking (up to 5 symbols)
- Dynamic correlation strength categorization
- Integrated technical indicators (RSI, MACD, DX)
- Customizable visualization options
- Real-time price change monitoring
- Flexible timeframe selection
## Use Cases
1. **Portfolio Diversification**
- Identify highly correlated assets to avoid concentration risk
- Find negatively correlated assets for hedging strategies
- Monitor correlation changes during market events
2. Pairs Trading
- Detect correlation breakdowns for potential trading opportunities
- Track correlation strength for pair selection
- Monitor technical indicators for trade timing
3. Risk Management
- Assess portfolio correlation risk in real-time
- Monitor correlation shifts during market stress
- Identify potential portfolio vulnerabilities
4. **Market Analysis**
- Study sector relationships and rotations
- Analyze cross-asset correlations (e.g., stocks vs. commodities)
- Track market regime changes through correlation patterns
Components
Input Parameters
- **Timeframe**: Custom timeframe selection for analysis
- **Length**: Correlation calculation period (default: 20)
- **Source**: Price data source selection
- **Symbol Selection**: Up to 5 customizable symbols
- **Display Options**: Table position, text color, and size settings
Technical Indicators
1. **Correlation Coefficient**
- Range: -1 to +1
- Strength categories: Strong/Moderate/Weak (Positive/Negative)
2. **RSI (Relative Strength Index)**
- 14-period default setting
- Momentum comparison across assets
3. **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**
- Standard settings (12, 26, 9)
- Trend direction indicator
4. **DX (Directional Index)**
- Trend strength measurement
- Based on DMI calculations
Visual Components
1. **Correlation Table**
- Symbol identifiers
- Correlation coefficients
- Correlation strength descriptions
- Price change percentages
- Technical indicator values
2. **Correlation Plot**
- Real-time correlation visualization
- Multiple correlation lines
- Reference levels at -1, 0, and +1
- Color-coded for easy identification
Installation and Setup
1. Load the indicator on TradingView
2. Configure desired symbols (up to 5)
3. Adjust timeframe and calculation length
4. Customize display settings
5. Enable/disable desired components (table, plot, RSI)
Best Practices
1. **Symbol Selection**
- Choose related but distinct assets
- Include a mix of asset classes
- Consider market cap and liquidity
2. **Timeframe Selection**
- Match timeframe to trading strategy
- Consider longer timeframes for strategic analysis
- Use shorter timeframes for tactical decisions
3. **Interpretation**
- Monitor correlation changes over time
- Consider multiple timeframes
- Combine with other technical analysis tools
- Account for market conditions and volatility
Performance Notes
- Calculations update in real-time
- Resource usage scales with number of active symbols
- Historical data availability may affect initial calculations
Version History
- v1.0: Initial release with core functionality
- Multi-symbol correlation analysis
- Technical indicator integration
- Customizable display options
Future Enhancements (Planned)
- Additional technical indicators
- Advanced correlation algorithms
- Enhanced visualization options
- Custom alert conditions
- Statistical significance testing
[ AlgoChart ] - Pearson Index CorrelationCorrelation Indicator (Pearson Index)
The correlation indicator measures the strength and direction of the relationship between two financial assets using the Pearson Index.
Correlation values range from +100 to -100, where:
+100 indicates perfect positive correlation, meaning the two assets tend to move in the same direction.
-100 indicates perfect negative correlation, where the two assets move in opposite directions.
The neutral zone ranges from +25% to -25%, suggesting that the asset movements are independent, with no clear correlation between them.
Interpreting Correlation Levels:
Correlation above +75%: The two assets tend to move similarly and in the same direction. This may indicate a risk of overexposure if both assets are traded in the same direction, as their movements will be very similar, increasing the likelihood of double losses or gains.
Correlation below -75%: The two assets tend to move similarly but in opposite directions. This correlation level can be useful for strategies that benefit from opposing movements between assets, such as trading pairs with inverse dynamics.
Practical Use of the Indicator:
Risk management: Use the indicator to monitor asset correlations before opening positions. High correlation may indicate you are duplicating exposure, as two highly correlated assets tend to move similarly. This helps avoid excessive risk and improves portfolio diversification.
Statistical Arbitrage: During moments of temporary decorrelation between two assets, the indicator can be used for statistical arbitrage strategies. In such cases, you can take advantage of the divergence by opening positions and closing them when the correlation returns to higher or positive levels, thus potentially profiting from the reconvergence of movements.
While the correlation indicator provides valuable insights into asset relationships, it is most effective when used in conjunction with other concepts and tools. On its own, it may offer limited relevance in trading decisions.
TechniTrend: Dynamic Pair CorrelationTechniTrend: Dynamic Pair Correlation
Description:
The TechniTrend: Dynamic Pair Correlation is a powerful and versatile indicator designed to track the correlation between two assets—whether cryptocurrencies, indices, or other financial instruments—across multiple timeframes. Understanding correlations can provide deep insights into market behavior, helping traders make informed decisions based on how two assets move in relation to each other.
Key Features:
Customizable Pair Selection: Compare any two assets (e.g., Bitcoin and DXY, Ethereum and SP500) to study how their price movements relate over time.
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Simultaneously track correlations across different timeframes—standard, lower, and higher—providing a comprehensive view of market dynamics.
Dynamic Color Coding for Correlation Strength: Instantly spot correlations with visually intuitive colors—green for strong positive correlation, red for strong negative correlation, and yellow for neutral.
Heatmap Background: An easy-to-read background color heatmap highlights when correlations hit extreme levels, adding another layer of insight to your charts.
Real-Time Alerts: Get notified when correlations exceed your custom thresholds, signaling opportunities for potential breakouts, reversals, or divergences.
Divergence Detection: Automatically highlight moments when asset prices diverge, offering potential entry/exit points for smart trading decisions.
How to Use:
Asset Pair Comparison: Select two symbols to analyze their price correlation, such as BTC/USDT and DXY, or any other pair that fits your strategy.
Set Your Timeframes: Customize your standard, lower, and higher timeframes to monitor correlations at different intervals, allowing you to capture both short-term and long-term relationships.
Track Correlation Strength: Use dynamic color coding to quickly see how closely two assets are moving together. Strong correlations (positive or negative) could signal potential opportunities, while low correlations may indicate the absence of a strong trend.
Utilize Alerts: Receive real-time alerts when correlations cross your predefined thresholds, helping you take action when the market presents strong alignment or divergence.
Divergence Signals: Watch for divergence between the assets on multiple timeframes, which could indicate a potential trend reversal or a shift in market behavior.
Why It’s Essential:
Understanding the relationship between two assets can be a game changer for traders. Whether you're comparing Bitcoin to DXY, tracking the correlation between Ethereum and major indices, or evaluating two cryptocurrencies, this indicator gives you the tools to visualize and respond to market conditions with precision.
Perfect For:
Crypto traders looking to optimize strategies by monitoring the relationship between major cryptocurrencies and other assets.
Arbitrageurs seeking to capitalize on temporary pricing anomalies between correlated pairs.
Trend-followers aiming to catch large movements by detecting alignment or divergence between asset classes.
Portfolio managers monitoring how different asset classes impact each other to hedge or diversify investments.
By leveraging the TechniTrend: Dynamic Pair Correlation indicator, traders can gain deeper insights into market trends, correlations, and divergences, giving them an edge in fast-moving markets.
Correlation Clusters [LuxAlgo]The Correlation Clusters is a machine learning tool that allows traders to group sets of tickers with a similar correlation coefficient to a user-set reference ticker.
The tool calculates the correlation coefficients between 10 user-set tickers and a user-set reference ticker, with the possibility of forming up to 10 clusters.
🔶 USAGE
Applying clustering methods to correlation analysis allows traders to quickly identify which set of tickers are correlated with a reference ticker, rather than having to look at them one by one or using a more tedious approach such as correlation matrices.
Tickers belonging to a cluster may also be more likely to have a higher mutual correlation. The image above shows the detailed parts of the Correlation Clusters tool.
The correlation coefficient between two assets allows traders to see how these assets behave in relation to each other. It can take values between +1.0 and -1.0 with the following meaning
Value near +1.0: Both assets behave in a similar way, moving up or down at the same time
Value close to 0.0: No correlation, both assets behave independently
Value near -1.0: Both assets have opposite behavior when one moves up the other moves down, and vice versa
There is a wide range of trading strategies that make use of correlation coefficients between assets, some examples are:
Pair Trading: Traders may wish to take advantage of divergences in the price movements of highly positively correlated assets; even highly positively correlated assets do not always move in the same direction; when assets with a correlation close to +1.0 diverge in their behavior, traders may see this as an opportunity to buy one and sell the other in the expectation that the assets will return to the likely same price behavior.
Sector rotation: Traders may want to favor some sectors that are expected to perform in the next cycle, tracking the correlation between different sectors and between the sector and the overall market.
Diversification: Traders can aim to have a diversified portfolio of uncorrelated assets. From a risk management perspective, it is useful to know the correlation between the assets in your portfolio, if you hold equal positions in positively correlated assets, your risk is tilted in the same direction, so if the assets move against you, your risk is doubled. You can avoid this increased risk by choosing uncorrelated assets so that they move independently.
Hedging: Traders may want to hedge positions with correlated assets, from a hedging perspective, if you are long an asset, you can hedge going long a negatively correlated asset or going short a positively correlated asset.
Grouping different assets with similar behavior can be very helpful to traders to avoid over-exposure to those assets, traders may have multiple long positions on different assets as a way of minimizing overall risk when in reality if those assets are part of the same cluster traders are maximizing their risk by taking positions on assets with the same behavior.
As a rule of thumb, a trader can minimize risk via diversification by taking positions on assets with no correlations, the proposed tool can effectively show a set of uncorrelated candidates from the reference ticker if one or more clusters centroids are located near 0.
🔶 DETAILS
K-means clustering is a popular machine-learning algorithm that finds observations in a data set that are similar to each other and places them in a group.
The process starts by randomly assigning each data point to an initial group and calculating the centroid for each. A centroid is the center of the group. K-means clustering forms the groups in such a way that the variances between the data points and the centroid of the cluster are minimized.
It's an unsupervised method because it starts without labels and then forms and labels groups itself.
🔹 Execution Window
In the image above we can see how different execution windows provide different correlation coefficients, informing traders of the different behavior of the same assets over different time periods.
Users can filter the data used to calculate correlations by number of bars, by time, or not at all, using all available data. For example, if the chart timeframe is 15m, traders may want to know how different assets behave over the last 7 days (one week), or for an hourly chart set an execution window of one month, or one year for a daily chart. The default setting is to use data from the last 50 bars.
🔹 Clusters
On this graph, we can see different clusters for the same data. The clusters are identified by different colors and the dotted lines show the centroids of each cluster.
Traders can select up to 10 clusters, however, do note that selecting 10 clusters can lead to only 4 or 5 returned clusters, this is caused by the machine learning algorithm not detecting any more data points deviating from already detected clusters.
Traders can fine-tune the algorithm by changing the 'Cluster Threshold' and 'Max Iterations' settings, but if you are not familiar with them we advise you not to change these settings, the defaults can work fine for the application of this tool.
🔹 Correlations
Different correlations mean different behaviors respecting the same asset, as we can see in the chart above.
All correlations are found against the same asset, traders can use the chart ticker or manually set one of their choices from the settings panel. Then they can select the 10 tickers to be used to find the correlation coefficients, which can be useful to analyze how different types of assets behave against the same asset.
🔶 SETTINGS
Execution Window Mode: Choose how the tool collects data, filter data by number of bars, time, or no filtering at all, using all available data.
Execute on Last X Bars: Number of bars for data collection when the 'Bars' execution window mode is active.
Execute on Last: Time window for data collection when the `Time` execution window mode is active. These are full periods, so `Day` means the last 24 hours, `Week` means the last 7 days, and so on.
🔹 Clusters
Number of Clusters: Number of clusters to detect up to 10. Only clusters with data points are displayed.
Cluster Threshold: Number used to compare a new centroid within the same cluster. The lower the number, the more accurate the centroid will be.
Max Iterations: Maximum number of calculations to detect a cluster. A high value may lead to a timeout runtime error (loop takes too long).
🔹 Ticker of Reference
Use Chart Ticker as Reference: Enable/disable the use of the current chart ticker to get the correlation against all other tickers selected by the user.
Custom Ticker: Custom ticker to get the correlation against all the other tickers selected by the user.
🔹 Correlation Tickers
Select the 10 tickers for which you wish to obtain the correlation against the reference ticker.
🔹 Style
Text Size: Select the size of the text to be displayed.
Display Size: Select the size of the correlation chart to be displayed, up to 500 bars.
Box Height: Select the height of the boxes to be displayed. A high height will cause overlapping if the boxes are close together.
Clusters Colors: Choose a custom colour for each cluster.
Intermarket Correlation TableThe Correlation Coefficient is used to measure the correlation between two sets of data. In the trading world, the Correlation Coefficient is a measure of the correlation between two data sets of financial instruments. The correlation between two financial instruments is the degree in which they are related. Correlation is based on a scale of 1 to -1. The closer the Correlation Coefficient is to 1, the higher their positive correlation. The instruments will move up and down together. The closer the Correlation coefficient is to -1, the more they move in opposite directions. A value at 0 indicates that there is no correlation.
This indicator uses the built in ta.correlation function to calculate the correlation coefficient between DXY and NQ, ES, YM, US10Y, and ZN respectively. It then presents the data in a customizable table that is view as an overlay on your chart.
Adjust the length of the correlation factor to calculate higher time frame correlation.
Asset background changes based on current candle direction.
Coefficient background color changes based on whether the assets are properly correlated.
DXY is inversely correlated to NQ, ES, YM, and ZN.
DXY is directly correlated to US10Y.
The colors are reflected as such.
Symbol CorrelationThe "Symbol Correlation" indicator calculates and displays the correlation between the chosen symbol's price and another selected source over a specified period. It also includes a moving average (SMA) of this correlation to provide a smoothed view of the relationship.
Why SMA and Table Display ?
The inclusion of SMA (Simple Moving Average) with adjustable length (SMA Length) enhances the indicator's utility by smoothing out short-term fluctuations in correlation, allowing for clearer trend identification. The SMA helps to visualize the underlying trend in correlation, making it easier to spot changes and patterns over time.
The table display of the correlation SMA value offers a concise summary of this trend. By showcasing the current correlation SMA alongside its historical values, traders can quickly gauge the relationship's strength relative to previous periods.
Interpreting the Indicator:
1. Correlation Values: The primary plot shows the raw correlation values between the symbol's price and the specified source. A value of 1 indicates a perfect positive correlation, -1 signifies a perfect negative correlation, and 0 suggests no linear relationship.
2. Correlation SMA: The SMA line represents the average correlation over a defined period (SMA Length). Rising SMA values indicate strengthening correlation trends, while declining values suggest weakening correlations.
3. Choosing SMA Length: Traders can adjust the SMA Length parameter to tailor the moving average to their specific analysis horizon. Shorter SMA lengths react quickly to price changes but may be more volatile, while longer SMA lengths smooth out noise but respond slower to recent changes.
In summary, the "Symbol Correlation" indicator is a valuable tool for assessing the evolving relationship between a symbol's price and an external source. Its use of SMA and tabular presentation facilitates a nuanced understanding of correlation trends, aiding traders in making informed decisions based on market dynamics.
Inflation CorrelationHeyo fellas,
In today’s dynamic economic landscape, understanding the relationship of market prices to other economical factors like inflation rate is crucial. The Inflation Correlation Indicator is designed to provide traders with a clear visualization of this relationship. By correlating average inflation rates from selected countries with market closing prices, this indicator offers a unique perspective on potential market movements influenced by inflationary trends.
Features:
Country Selection: Choose from the European Union (EU), Germany (DE), or the United States (US) to tailor the correlation analysis to your specific market interest.
Correlation Length Customization: Adjust the correlation length to refine the sensitivity of the indicator to recent inflation data.
Visual Clarity: The correlation histogram changes color based on the direction of the correlation, providing an intuitive understanding of the inflation correlation.
Whether you’re a fundamental analyst seeking to incorporate macroeconomic indicators into your strategy or a trader looking for an edge in inflation-sensitive markets, the Inflation Correlation Indicator is an indispensable tool in your TradingView arsenal.
Thanks for checking this out!
Best regards,
simwai
Historical Correlation [LuxAlgo]The Historical Correlation tool aims to provide the historical correlation coefficients of up to 10 pairs of user-defined tickers starting from a user-defined point in time.
Users can choose to display the historical values as lines or the most recent correlation values as a heat map.
🔶 USAGE
This tool provides historical correlation coefficients, the correlation coefficient between two assets highlight their linear relationship and is always within the range (-1, 1).
It is a simple and easy to use statistical tool, with the following interpretation:
Positive correlation (values close to +1.0): the two assets move in sync, they rise and fall at the same time.
Negative correlation (values close to -1.0): the two assets move in opposite directions: when one goes up, the other goes down and vice versa.
No correlation (values close to 0): the two assets move independently.
The user must confirm the selection of the anchor point in order for the tool to be executed; this can be done directly on the chart by clicking on any bar, or via the date field in the settings panel.
For the parameter Anchor period , the user can choose between the following values NONE, HOURLY, DAILY, WEEKLY, MONTHLY, QUARTERLY and YEARLY. If NONE is selected, there will be no resetting of the calculations, otherwise the calculations will start from the first bar of the new period.
There is a wide range of trading strategies that make use of correlation coefficients between assets, some examples are:
Pair Trading: Traders may wish to take advantage of divergences in the price movements of highly positively correlated assets; even highly positively correlated assets do not always move in the same direction; when assets with a correlation close to +1.0 diverge in their behavior, traders may see this as an opportunity to buy one and sell the other in the expectation that the assets will return to the likely same price behavior.
Sector rotation: Traders may want to favor some sectors that are expected to perform in the next cycle, tracking the correlation between different sectors and between the sector and the overall market.
Diversification: Traders can aim to have a diversified portfolio of uncorrelated assets. From a risk management perspective, it is useful to know the correlation between the assets in your portfolio, if you hold equal positions in positively correlated assets, your risk is tilted in the same direction, so if the assets move against you, your risk is doubled. You can avoid this increased risk by choosing uncorrelated assets so that they move independently.
Hedging: Traders may want to hedge positions with correlated assets, from a hedging perspective, if you are long an asset, you can hedge going long a negative correlated asset or going short a positive correlated asset.
Traders generally need to develop awareness, a key point is to be aware of the relationships between the assets we hold or trade, the historical correlation is an invaluable tool in our arsenal which allows us to make better informed decisions.
On this chart we have an example of historical correlations for several futures markets.
We can clearly see how positively correlated the Nasdaq100 and Dow30 are with the SP500 over the whole period, or how the correlation between the Euro and the SP500 falls from almost +85% to almost -4% since 2021.
As we can see, correlations, like everything else in the market, are not static and vary over time depending on many factors, from macro to technical and everything in between.
🔹 Heatmap
The chart above shows the tool with the default settings and the Drawing Mode set to 'HEATMAP'.
We can see the current correlation between the assets, in this case the FX pairs.
The highest positive correlation is +90% (+0.90) between EURUSD and GBPUSD.
The highest negative correlation is -78% (-0.78) between EURUSD and USDJPY.
The pair with no correlation is AUDUSD and EURCAD with 1% (0.01)
On the above chart we can see the current correlations for the futures markets.
Currently, the assets that are less correlated to the SP500 are NaturalGas and the Euro, the more positive correlations are Nasdaq100 and Dow20, and the more negative correlations are the Yen, Treasury Bonds and 10-Year Notes.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 Anchor Period
This chart shows the standard FX correlations with the Anchor Period set to `MONTHLY`.
We can clearly see how the calculations restart with the new month, in this case we can clearly see the differences between the correlations from month to month.
Let us look at the correlation coefficient between GBPUSD and USDJPY
In January, their correlation started at close to -100%, rose to close to +50%, only to fall to close to 0% and remain there for the second half of the month.
In February it was -90% in the first few days of the month and is now around -57%.
And between AUDUSD and EURCAD
Last month their correlation was negative for most of the month, reaching -70% and ending around -14%.
This month their correlation has never gone below +21% and at the time of writing is close to +53%.
🔶 SETTINGS
Anchor point: Starting point from which the tool is executed
Anchor period: At the beginning of each new period, the tool will reset the calculations
Pairs from 1 to 10: For each pair of tickers, you can: enable/disable the pair, select the color and specify the two tickers from which you wish to obtain the correlation
🔹 Style
Drawing Mode: Output style, `LINES` will show the historical correlations as lines, `HEATMAP` will show the current correlations with a color gradient from green for correlations near 1 to red for correlations near -1.
Open Interest Inflows & Outflows [LuxAlgo]The Open Interest Inflows & Outflows indicator focuses on highlighting alterations in the overall count of active contracts associated with a specific financial instrument.
The indicator also includes an oscillator highlighting the price sentiment to use in conjunction with the open interest flow sentiment and also includes a rolling correlation of the open interest flow sentiment with a user-selected source.
🔶 USAGE
Open Interest (OI) indicates the total number of active contracts, encompassing both long and short positions, for a specific financial instrument at any given moment. This key indicator helps traders and analysts assess market activity and sentiment.
An increase in open interest generally indicates new money flowing into the market, suggesting increased activity and the potential for a trending market. Conversely, a decrease in open interest indicates that traders are closing their positions, suggesting less interest in that particular contract.
Open Interest Flow Sentiment assesses the correlation between the initiation of new positions (inflows) and the closure of existing positions (outflows) for a particular instrument. Positive values suggest a prevalence of inflows, while negative values signify a prevalence of outflows.
The magnitude of the deviation from zero reflects the extent of dominance, either in inflows or outflows.
Price Sentiment estimates the relationship between the strength of bulls (buyers) and bears (sellers) on an instrument. Positive values indicate higher bull power and negative values indicate higher bear power.
The correlation feature is a key component of the indicator and helps analyze the relationship between trading volume and Open Interest changes. If volume increases along with rising Open Interest, it supports the validity of the price trend.
A divergence between price movement, volume, and Open Interest may signal potential reversals.
🔶 DETAILS
This indicator, based on Dr. Alexander Elder's acclaimed Elder-Ray concept, aids traders in evaluating the strength of both bulls and bears by delving beneath the surface of the markets. It uncovers data not immediately apparent from a superficial glance at prices. The indicator comprises two components: Bull Power and Bear Power.
Considering that the high price of any candle signifies the maximum power of buyers and the low price represents the maximum power of sellers, Elder employs the 13-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to depict the average consensus of price value. Bull Power assesses whether buyers can drive prices above the average consensus of value, while Bear Power assesses whether sellers can push prices below this average.
Here are the formulas for Bull Power and Bear Power:
bull_power = high - ema(close, 13)
bear_power = low - ema(close, 13)
This concept is utilized to calculate Open Interest Flow Sentiment and Price Sentiment. The Open Interest Flow Sentiment estimates the relationship between new positions (inflows) and positions being closed (outflows), providing insights into market dynamics. The Price Sentiment, on the other hand, gauges the correlation between price movements and the Elder-Ray components, aiding traders in identifying potential shifts in market sentiment and momentum.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹Open Interest Inflows & Outflows
OI Sentiment Correlation: toggles the visibility of Open Interest correlation with a variety of sources.
Money Flow Estimates: toggles the visibility of Money Flow Estimates calculated for the last bar.
🔹Style
OI Flow Sentiment: toggles the visibility of Open Interest Flow Sentiment, along with color customization options.
Price Sentiment: toggles the visibility of Price Sentiment, along with color customization options.
Correlation Colors: color customization option for the Correlation Area.
🔹Others
Smoothing: smoothing length applicable for Open Interest Flow Sentiment and Price Sentiment.
🔶 RELATED SCRIPTS
Open-Interest-Chart
Liquidation-Estimates
Thanks to our community for recommending this script. For more conceptual scripts and related content, we welcome you to explore by visiting >>> LuxAlgo-Scripts .
Test - Most correlated assetThis is a simple test to find the most and least correlated assets in a list.
Multi-Market Correlation Explorer [kikfraben]Multi-Market Correlation Explorer
The Multi-Market Correlation Explorer (MMCE) is a powerful tool designed to provide insights into the correlations and relative strength of various financial instruments across different markets. This indicator allows traders and investors to assess the intermarket relationships and potential opportunities by analyzing a set of ten symbols, including indices, commodities, and currencies.
Key Features:
Source Selection:
Choose your preferred data source (e.g., close, open, high, low) for all calculations.
Base Symbol for Correlations:
Define a base symbol (default: BTC/USD) for correlation calculations. The indicator evaluates how other symbols correlate with this base symbol.
Customizable Colors:
Easily identify trends with customizable colors for up and down movements, text, background, and table elements.
Length Inputs:
Tailor the analysis to your needs by adjusting the lengths for correlation calculations and RSI (Relative Strength Index).
Symbols:
Select up to ten symbols from various markets, such as stock indices, bond yields, commodities, and currencies.
Correlation Scores:
Gain insights into the strength and direction of correlations between the base symbol and selected symbols over different time lengths.
Scoring System:
Assign scores based on RSI conditions (1 for RSI > 50, -1 for RSI < 50) to each symbol.
Total Score Calculation:
Calculate a total score for each symbol by combining correlation averages and RSI scores.
Color Formatting:
Visualize correlation strengths through a color-coded system for better interpretation.
How to Use:
Positive total scores suggest potential bullish opportunities, while negative scores may indicate bearish tendencies. Combined with the visual representation of correlation strengths, traders can make informed decisions.
The Multi-Market Correlation Explorer enhances your ability to understand complex market relationships, enabling you to stay ahead of trends and identify potential trading or investment opportunities.
Sector relative strength and correlation by KaschkoThis script provides a quick overview of the relative strength and correlation of the symbols in a sector by showing a line chart of the close prices on a percent scale with all symbols starting at zero at the left side of the chart. It allows a great deal of flexibility in the configuration of the sectors and symbols in it. The standard preset sectors cover the most important futures markets and their symbols.
However, up to ten sectors with up to ten symbols each can be freely configured. Each sector is defined by a single line that has the following format:
Sector name:Symbol suffix:List of comma separated symbols
For example, the first predefined sector is defined as follows.
Energies:1!:CL,HO,NG,RB
1. The name of the sector is "Energies"
2. The suffix is "1!", i.e., to each symbol in the list "1!" is appended to get the continous future for the given symbol root. When using stock, forex or other symbols, simply leave the suffix empty.
3. The list of comma separated symbols is "CL,HO,NG,RB", i.e. crude oil, heating oil, natural gas and gasoline. As the suffix is "1!", the actual symbols whose prices are shown are "CL1!","HO1!","NG1!" and "RB1!"
You can choose to use settlement-as-close and back-adjusted contracts. The sector can also be determined automatically ("Auto-select"). In this case, it is determined to which sector the symbol currently displayed in the main chart belongs and the script displays it in the context of the other symbols in the sector.
By selecting a suitable chart time frame and time range, you can quickly determine which symbols in the sector are stronger or weaker and which are more or less strongly correlated.
The following symbols are best suited for a quick trial, as the sectors are preset for these:
CL1!,ES1!,6A1!,6B1!,6c1!,6E1!,6J1!,6M1!,6N1!,6S1!,GC1!,GF1!,HE1!,HG1!,HO1!,LBR1!,LE1!,NG1!,NQ1!,PA1!,PL1!,RB1!,SI1!,YM1!,ZB1!,ZC1!,ZF1!,ZL1!,ZM1!,ZN1!,ZO1!,ZR1!,ZS1!,ZT1!,ZW1!,CC1!,CT1!,DX1!,KC1!,OJ1!,SB1!,RTY1!
You can also use the script to compare any symbols (e.g. different shares) with each other. Preferably use the "Custom" sector for this.
Quantitative Risk Navigator [kikfraben]📊 Quantitative Risk Navigator - Your Financial Performance GPS
Navigate the complexities of financial markets with confidence using the Quantitative Risk Navigator. This indicator provides you with a comprehensive dashboard to assess and understand the risk and performance of your chosen asset.
📈 Key Features:
Alpha and Beta Analysis: Uncover the outperformance (Alpha) and risk exposure (Beta) of your asset compared to a selected benchmark. Know where your investment stands in the market.
Correlation Insights: Understand the relationship between your asset and its benchmark through a clear visualization of correlation trends over different time lengths.
Risk-Return Metrics: Evaluate risk and return simultaneously with Sharpe and Sortino ratios. Make informed decisions by assessing the reward-to-risk ratio of your investment.
Omega Ratio: Gain deeper insights into your asset's performance by analyzing the Omega Ratio, which highlights the distribution of positive and negative returns.
Customizable Visualization: Tailor your chart to focus on specific metrics and time frames. Choose which metrics to display, allowing you to concentrate on the aspects that matter most to you.
Interactive Metrics Table: A user-friendly metrics table provides a quick overview of key values, including average metrics, enabling you to grasp the financial health of your asset at a glance.
Color-Coded Clarity: The indicator employs color-coded visualizations, making it easy to identify bullish and bearish trends, helping you make rapid and informed decisions.
🛠️ How to Use:
Symbol Selection: Choose your base symbol and preferred data source for analysis.
Risk-Free Rate: Input your risk-free rate to fine-tune calculations.
Length Customization: Adjust the lengths for different metrics to align with your analysis preferences.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or just stepping into the financial world, the Quantitative Risk Navigator empowers you to make strategic decisions by providing a comprehensive view of your asset's risk and return profile. Stay in control of your investments with this powerful financial GPS.
🚀 Start Navigating Your Financial Journey Today!
Supertrend Multiasset Correlation - vanAmsen Hello traders!
I am elated to introduce the "Supertrend Multiasset Correlation" , a groundbreaking fusion of the trusted Supertrend with multi-asset correlation insights. This approach offers traders a nuanced, multi-layered perspective of the market.
The Underlying Concept:
Ever pondered over the term Multiasset Correlation?
In the intricate tapestry of financial markets, assets do not operate in silos. Their movements are frequently intertwined, sometimes palpably so, and at other times more covertly. Understanding these correlations can unlock deeper insights into overarching market narratives and directional trends.
By melding the Supertrend with multi-asset correlations, we craft a holistic narrative. This allows traders to fathom not merely the trend of a lone asset but to appreciate its dynamics within a broader market tableau.
Strategy Insights:
At the core of this indicator is its strategic approach. For every asset, a signal is generated based on the Supertrend parameters you've configured. Subsequently, the correlation of daily price changes is assessed. The ultimate signal on the selected asset emerges from the average of the squared correlations, factoring in their direction. This indicator not only accounts for the asset under scrutiny (hence a correlation of 1) but also integrates 12 additional assets. By default, these span U.S. growth ETFs, value ETFs, sector ETFs, bonds, and gold.
Indicator Highlights:
The "Supertrend Multiasset Correlation" isn't your run-of-the-mill Supertrend adaptation. It's a bespoke concoction, tailored to arm traders with an all-encompassing view of market intricacies, fortified with robust correlation metrics.
Key Features:
- Supertrend Line : A crystal-clear visual depiction of the prevailing market trajectory.
- Multiasset Correlation : Delve into the intricate interplay of various assets and their correlation with your primary instrument.
- Interactive Correlation Table : Nestled at the top right, this table offers a succinct overview of correlation metrics.
- Predictive Insights : Leveraging correlations to proffer predictive pointers, adding another layer of conviction to your trades.
Usage Nuances:
- The bullish Supertrend line radiates in a rejuvenating green hue, indicative of potential upward swings.
- On the flip side, the bearish trajectory stands out in a striking red, signaling possible downtrends.
- A rich suite of customization tools ensures that the chart resonates with your trading ethos.
Parting Words:
While the "Supertrend Multiasset Correlation" bestows traders with a rejuvenated perspective, it's paramount to embed it within a comprehensive trading blueprint. This would include blending it with other technical tools and adhering to stringent risk management practices. And remember, before plunging into live trades, always backtest to fine-tune your strategies.
Triple Ehlers Market StateClear trend identification is an important aspect of finding the right side to trade, another is getting the best buying/selling price on a pullback, retracement or reversal. Triple Ehlers Market State can do both.
Three is always better
Ehlers’ original formulation produces bullish, bearish and trendless signals. The indicator presented here gate stages three correlation cycles of adjustable lengths and degree thresholds, displaying a more refined view of bullish, bearish and trendless markets, in a compact and novel way.
Stick with the default settings, or experiment with the cycle period and threshold angle of each cycle, then choose whether ‘Recent trend weighting’ is included in candle colouring.
John Ehlers is a highly respected trading maths head who may need no introduction here. His idea for Market State was published in TASC June 2020 Traders Tips. The awesome interpretation of Ehlers’ work on which Triple Ehlers Market State’s correlation cycle calculations are based can be found at:
DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice.
K's Reversal Indicator IIIK's Reversal Indicator III is based on the concept of autocorrelation of returns. The main theory is that extreme autocorrelation (trending) that coincide with a technical signals such as one from the RSI, may result in a powerful short-term signal that can be exploited.
The indicator is calculated as follows:
1. Calculate the price differential (returns) as the current price minus the previous price.
2. the correlation between the current return and the return from 14 periods ago using a lookback of 14 periods.
3. Calculate a 14-period RSI on the close prices.
To generate the signals, use the following rules:
* A bullish signal is generated whenever the correlation is above 0.60 while the RSI is below 40.
* A bearish signal is generated whenever the correlation is above 0.60 while the RSI is above 60.
Robust Bollinger Bands with Trend StrengthThe "Robust Bollinger Bands with Trend Strength" indicator is a technical analysis tool designed assess price volatility, identify potential trading opportunities, and gauge trend strength. It combines several robust statistical methods and percentile-based calculations to provide valuable information about price movements with Improved Resilience to Noise while mitigating the impact of outliers and non-normality in price data.
Here's a breakdown of how this indicator works and the information it provides:
Bollinger Bands Calculation: Similar to traditional Bollinger Bands, this indicator calculates the upper and lower bands that envelop the median (centerline) of the price data. These bands represent the potential upper and lower boundaries of price movements.
Robust Statistics: Instead of using standard deviation, this indicator employs robust statistical measures to calculate the bands (spread). Specifically, it uses the Interquartile Range (IQR), which is the range between the 25th percentile (low price) and the 75th percentile (high price). Robust statistics are less affected by extreme values (outliers) and data distributions that may not be perfectly normal. This makes the bands more resistant to unusual price spikes.
Median as Centerline: The indicator utilizes the median of the chosen price source (either HLC3 or VWMA) as the central reference point for the bands. The median is less affected by outliers than the mean (average), making it a robust choice. This can help identify the center of price action, which is useful for understanding whether prices are trending or ranging.
Trend Strength Assessment: The indicator goes beyond the standard Bollinger Bands by incorporating a measure of trend strength. It uses a robust rank-based correlation coefficient to assess the relationship between the price source and the bar index (time). This correlation coefficient, calculated over a specified length, helps determine whether a trend is strong, positive (uptrend), negative (down trend), or non-existent and weak. When the rank-based correlation coefficient shifts it indicates exhaustion of a prevailing trend. Trend Strength" indicator is designed to provide statistically valid information about trend strength while minimizing the impact of outliers and data distribution characteristics. The parameter choices, including a length of 14 and a correlation threshold of +/-0.7, considered to offer meaningful insights into market conditions and statistical validity (p-value ,0.05 statistically significant). The use of rank-based correlation is a robust alternative to traditional Pearson correlation, especially in the context of financial markets.
Trend Fill: Based on the robust rank-based correlation coefficient, the indicator fills the area between the upper and lower Bollinger Bands with different colors to visually represent the trend strength. For example, it may use green for an uptrend, red for a down trend, and a neutral color for a weak or ranging market. This visual representation can help traders quickly identify potential trend opportunities. In addition the middle line also informs about the overall trend direction of the median.
Cross Correlation [Kioseff Trading]Hello!
This script "Cross Correlation" calculates up to ~10,000 lag-symbol pair cross correlation values simultaneously!
Cross correlation calculation for 20 symbols simultaneously
+/- Lag Range is theoretically infinite (configurable min/max)
Practically, calculate up to 10000 lag-symbol pairs
Results can be sorted by greatest absolute difference or greatest sum
Ability to "isolate" the symbol on your chart and check for cross correlation against a list of symbols
Script defaults to stock pairs when on a stock, Forex pairs when on a Forex pair, crypto when on a crypto coin, futures when on a futures contract.
A custom symbol list can be used for cross correlation checking
Can check any number of available historical data points for cross correlation
Practical Assessment
Ideally, we can calculate cross correlation to determine if, in a list of assets, any of the assets frequently lead or lag one another.
Example
Say we are comparing the log returns for the previous 10 days for SPY and XLU.
*A single time-interval corresponds to the timeframe of your chart i.e. 1-minute chart = 1-minute time interval. We're using days for this example.
(Example Results)
A lag value (k) +/-3 is used.
The cross correlation (normalized) for k = +3 is -0.787
The cross correlation (normalized) for k = -3 is 0.216
A positive "k" value indicates the correlation when Asset A (SPY) leads Asset B (XLU)
A negative "k" value indicates the correlation when Asset B (XLU) leads Asset A (SPY)
A normalized cross correlation of -0.787 for k = +3 indicates an "adequately strong" negative relationship when SPY leads XLU by 3 days.
When SPY increases or decreases - XLU frequently moves in the opposite direction 3 days later.
A cross correlation value of 0.216 at k = −3 indicates a "weak" positive correlation when XLU leads SPY by 3 days.
There's a slight tendency for SPY to move in the same direction as XLU 3 days later.
After the cross-correlation score is normalized it will fall between -1 and 1.
A cross-correlation score of 1 indicates a perfect directional relationship between asset A and asset B at the corresponding lag (k).
A cross correlation of -1 indicates a perfect inverse relationship between asset A and asset B at the corresponding lag (k).
A cross correlation of 0 indicates no correlation at the corresponding lag (k).
The image above shows the primary usage for the script!
The image above further explains the data points located in the table!
The image above shows the script "isolating" the symbol on my chart and checking the cross correlation between the symbol and a list of symbols!
Wrapping Up
With this information, hopefully you can find some meaningful lead-lag relationships amongst assets!
Thank you for checking this out (:
Multi-Asset Performance [Spaghetti] - By LeviathanThis indicator visualizes the cumulative percentage changes or returns of 30 symbols over a given period and offers a unique set of tools and data analytics for deeper insight into the performance of different assets.
Multi Asset Performance indicator (also called “Spaghetti”) makes it easy to monitor the changes in Price, Open Interest, and On Balance Volume across multiple assets simultaneously, distinguish assets that are overperforming or underperforming, observe the relative strength of different assets or currencies, use it as a tool for identifying mean reversion opportunities and even for constructing pairs trading strategies, detect "risk-on" or "risk-off" periods, evaluate statistical relationships between assets through metrics like correlation and beta, construct hedging strategies, trade rotations and much more.
Start by selecting a time period (e.g., 1 DAY) to set the interval for when data is reset. This will provide insight into how price, open interest, and on-balance volume change over your chosen period. In the settings, asset selection is fully customizable, allowing you to create three groups of up to 30 tickers each. These tickers can be displayed in a variety of styles and colors. Additional script settings offer a range of options, including smoothing values with a Simple Moving Average (SMA), highlighting the top or bottom performers, plotting the group mean, applying heatmap/gradient coloring, generating a table with calculations like beta, correlation, and RSI, creating a profile to show asset distribution around the mean, and much more.
One of the most important script tools is the screener table, which can display:
🔸 Percentage Change (Represents the return or the percentage increase or decrease in Price/OI/OBV over the current selected period)
🔸 Beta (Represents the sensitivity or responsiveness of asset's returns to the returns of a benchmark/mean. A beta of 1 means the asset moves in tandem with the market. A beta greater than 1 indicates the asset is more volatile than the market, while a beta less than 1 indicates the asset is less volatile. For example, a beta of 1.5 means the asset typically moves 150% as much as the benchmark. If the benchmark goes up 1%, the asset is expected to go up 1.5%, and vice versa.)
🔸 Correlation (Describes the strength and direction of a linear relationship between the asset and the mean. Correlation coefficients range from -1 to +1. A correlation of +1 means that two variables are perfectly positively correlated; as one goes up, the other will go up in exact proportion. A correlation of -1 means they are perfectly negatively correlated; as one goes up, the other will go down in exact proportion. A correlation of 0 means that there is no linear relationship between the variables. For example, a correlation of 0.5 between Asset A and Asset B would suggest that when Asset A moves, Asset B tends to move in the same direction, but not perfectly in tandem.)
🔸 RSI (Measures the speed and change of price movements and is used to identify overbought or oversold conditions of each asset. The RSI ranges from 0 to 100 and is typically used with a time period of 14. Generally, an RSI above 70 indicates that an asset may be overbought, while RSI below 30 signals that an asset may be oversold.)
⚙️ Settings Overview:
◽️ Period
Periodic inputs (e.g. daily, monthly, etc.) determine when the values are reset to zero and begin accumulating again until the period is over. This visualizes the net change in the data over each period. The input "Visible Range" is auto-adjustable as it starts the accumulation at the leftmost bar on your chart, displaying the net change in your chart's visible range. There's also the "Timestamp" option, which allows you to select a specific point in time from where the values are accumulated. The timestamp anchor can be dragged to a desired bar via Tradingview's interactive option. Timestamp is particularly useful when looking for outperformers/underperformers after a market-wide move. The input positioned next to the period selection determines the timeframe on which the data is based. It's best to leave it at default (Chart Timeframe) unless you want to check the higher timeframe structure of the data.
◽️ Data
The first input in this section determines the data that will be displayed. You can choose between Price, OI, and OBV. The second input lets you select which one out of the three asset groups should be displayed. The symbols in the asset group can be modified in the bottom section of the indicator settings.
◽️ Appearance
You can choose to plot the data in the form of lines, circles, areas, and columns. The colors can be selected by choosing one of the six pre-prepared color palettes.
◽️ Labeling
This input allows you to show/hide the labels and select their appearance and size. You can choose between Label (colored pointed label), Label and Line (colored pointed label with a line that connects it to the plot), or Text Label (colored text).
◽️ Smoothing
If selected, this option will smooth the values using a Simple Moving Average (SMA) with a custom length. This is used to reduce noise and improve the visibility of plotted data.
◽️ Highlight
If selected, this option will highlight the top and bottom N (custom number) plots, while shading the others. This makes the symbols with extreme values stand out from the rest.
◽️ Group Mean
This input allows you to select the data that will be considered as the group mean. You can choose between Group Average (the average value of all assets in the group) or First Ticker (the value of the ticker that is positioned first on the group's list). The mean is then used in calculations such as correlation (as the second variable) and beta (as a benchmark). You can also choose to plot the mean by clicking on the checkbox.
◽️ Profile
If selected, the script will generate a vertical volume profile-like display with 10 zones/nodes, visualizing the distribution of assets below and above the mean. This makes it easy to see how many or what percentage of assets are outperforming or underperforming the mean.
◽️ Gradient
If selected, this option will color the plots with a gradient based on the proximity of the value to the upper extreme, zero, and lower extreme.
◽️ Table
This section includes several settings for the table's appearance and the data displayed in it. The "Reference Length" input determines the number of bars back that are used for calculating correlation and beta, while "RSI Length" determines the length used for calculating the Relative Strength Index. You can choose the data that should be displayed in the table by using the checkboxes.
◽️ Asset Groups
This section allows you to modify the symbols that have been selected to be a part of the 3 asset groups. If you want to change a symbol, you can simply click on the field and type the ticker of another one. You can also show/hide a specific asset by using the checkbox next to the field.
Advanced Weighted Residual Arbitrage AnalyzerThe Advanced Weighted Residual Arbitrage Analyzer is a sophisticated tool designed for traders aiming to exploit price deviations between various asset pairs. By examining the differences in normalized price relations and their weighted residuals, this indicator provides insights into potential arbitrage opportunities in the market.
Key Features:
Multiple Relation Analysis: Analyze up to five different asset relations simultaneously, offering a comprehensive view of potential arbitrage setups.
Normalization Functions: Choose from a variety of normalization techniques like SMA, EMA, WMA, and HMA to ensure accurate comparisons between different price series.
Dynamic Weighting: Residuals are weighted based on their correlation, ensuring that stronger correlations have a more pronounced impact on the analysis. Weighting can be adjusted using several functions including square, sigmoid, and logistic.
Regression Flexibility: Incorporate linear, polynomial, or robust regression to calculate residuals, tailoring the analysis to different market conditions.
Customizable Display: Decide which plots to display for clarity and focus, including normalized relations, weighted residuals, and the difference between the screen relation and the average weighted residual.
Usage Guidelines:
Configure the asset pairs you wish to analyze using the Symbol Relations group in the settings.
Adjust the normalization, volatility, regression, and weighting functions based on your preference and the specific characteristics of the asset pairs.
Monitor the weighted residuals for deviations from the mean. Larger deviations suggest stronger arbitrage opportunities.
Use the difference plot (between the screen relation and average weighted residual) as a quick visual cue for potential trade setups. When this plot deviates significantly from zero, it indicates a possible arbitrage opportunity.
Regularly update and adjust the parameters to account for changing market conditions and ensure the most accurate analysis.
In the Advanced Weighted Residual Arbitrage Analyzer , the value set in Alert Threshold plays a crucial role in delineating a normalized band. This band serves as a guide to identify significant deviations and potential trading opportunities.
When we observe the plots of the green line and the purple line, the Alert Threshold provides a boundary for these plots. The following points explain the significance:
Breach of the Band: When either the green or purple line crosses above or below the Alert Threshold , it indicates a significant deviation from the mean. This breach can be interpreted as a potential trading signal, suggesting a possible arbitrage opportunity.
Convergence to the Mean: If the green line converges with the purple line , it denotes that the price relation has reverted to its mean. This convergence typically suggests that the arbitrage opportunity has been exhausted, and the market dynamics are returning to equilibrium.
Trade Execution: A trader can consider entering a trade when the lines breach the Alert Threshold . The return of the green line to align closely with the purple line can be seen as a signal to exit the trade, capitalizing on the reversion to the mean.
By monitoring these plots in conjunction with the Alert Threshold , traders can gain insights into market imbalances and exploit potential arbitrage opportunities. The convergence and divergence of these lines, relative to the normalized band, serve as valuable visual cues for trade initiation and termination.
When you're analyzing relations between two symbols (for instance, BINANCE:SANDUSDT/BINANCE:NEARUSDT ), you're essentially looking at the price relationship between the two underlying assets. This relationship provides insights into potential imbalances between the assets, which arbitrage traders can exploit.
Breach of the Lower Band: If the purple line touches or crosses below the lower Alert Threshold , it indicates that the first symbol (in our example, SANDUSDT ) is undervalued relative to the second symbol ( NEARUSDT ). In practical terms:
Action: You would consider buying the first symbol ( SANDUSDT ) and selling the second symbol ( NEARUSDT ).
Rationale: The expectation is that the price of the first symbol will rise, or the price of the second symbol will fall, or both, thereby converging back to their historical mean relationship.
Breach of the Upper Band: Conversely, if the difference plot touches or crosses above the upper Alert Threshold , it suggests that the first symbol is overvalued compared to the second. This implies:
Action: You'd consider selling the first symbol ( SANDUSDT ) and buying the second symbol ( NEARUSDT ).
Rationale: The anticipation here is that the price of the first symbol will decrease, or the price of the second will increase, or both, bringing the relationship back to its historical average.
Convergence to the Mean: As mentioned earlier, when the green line aligns closely with the purple line, it's an indication that the assets have returned to their typical price relationship. This serves as a signal for traders to consider closing out their positions, locking in the gains from the arbitrage opportunity.
It's important to note that when you're trading based on symbol relations, you're essentially betting on the relative performance of the two assets. This strategy, often referred to as "pairs trading," seeks to capitalize on price imbalances between related financial instruments. By taking opposing positions in the two symbols, traders aim to profit from the eventual reversion of the price difference to the mean.
Price and Indicator CorrelationFIRST, CHANGE SOURCE OF INDICATOR FROM CLOSE TO WHATEVER INDICATOR YOU ARE COMPARING TO PRICE!!!!
Confirming Indicator Validity: By calculating the correlation coefficient between the price and a specific indicator, you can assess the degree to which the indicator and price move together. If there is a high positive correlation, it suggests that the indicator tends to move in the same direction as the price, increasing confidence in the indicator's validity. On the other hand, a low or negative correlation may indicate a weaker relationship between the indicator and price, signaling caution in relying solely on that indicator for trading decisions.
Identifying Divergence: Divergence occurs when the price and the indicator move in opposite directions. By monitoring the correlation coefficient, you can identify periods of divergence between the price and the selected indicator. Divergence may signal a potential reversal or significant price move, providing an opportunity to enter or exit trades.
Enhancing Trading Strategies: The correlation coefficient can be used to enhance trading strategies by incorporating the relationship between the price and the indicator. For example, if the correlation coefficient consistently shows a strong positive correlation, you may use the indicator as a confirmation tool for price-based trading signals. Conversely, if the correlation is consistently negative, it may indicate an inverse relationship that could be used for contrarian trading strategies.
Indicator Optimization : The correlation coefficient can help traders compare the effectiveness of different indicators. By calculating the correlation coefficient for multiple indicators against the price, you can identify which indicators have a stronger or weaker relationship with price movements. This information can guide the selection and optimization of indicators in your trading strategy.
Example:
