Bitcoin Macro Trend Map [Ox_kali]
## Introduction
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The “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” script is designed to provide a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin’s macroeconomic trends. By leveraging a unique combination of Bitcoin-specific macroeconomic indicators, this script helps traders identify potential market peaks and troughs with greater accuracy. It synthesizes data from multiple sources to offer a probabilistic view of market excesses, whether overbought or oversold conditions.
This script offers significant value for the following reasons:
1. Holistic Market Analysis : It integrates a diverse set of indicators that cover various aspects of the Bitcoin market, from investor sentiment and market liquidity to mining profitability and network health. This multi-faceted approach provides a more complete picture of the market than relying on a single indicator.
2. Customization and Flexibility : Users can customize the script to suit their specific trading strategies and preferences. The script offers configurable parameters for each indicator, allowing traders to adjust settings based on their analysis needs.
3. Visual Clarity : The script plots all indicators on a single chart with clear visual cues. This includes color-coded indicators and background changes based on market conditions, making it easy for traders to quickly interpret complex data.
4. Proven Indicators : The script utilizes well-established indicators like the EMA, NUPL, PUELL Multiple, and Hash Ribbons, which are widely recognized in the trading community for their effectiveness in predicting market movements.
5. A New Comprehensive Indicator : By integrating background color changes based on the aggregate signals of various indicators, this script essentially creates a new, comprehensive indicator tailored specifically for Bitcoin. This visual representation provides an immediate overview of market conditions, enhancing the ability to spot potential market reversals.
Optimal for use on timeframes ranging from 1 day to 1 week , the “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” provides traders with actionable insights, enhancing their ability to make informed decisions in the highly volatile Bitcoin market. By combining these indicators, the script delivers a robust tool for identifying market extremes and potential reversal points.
## Key Indicators
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Macroeconomic Data: The script combines several relevant macroeconomic indicators for Bitcoin, such as the 10-month EMA, M2 money supply, CVDD, Pi Cycle, NUPL, PUELL, MRVR Z-Scores, and Hash Ribbons (Full description bellow).
Open Source Sources: Most of the scripts used are sourced from open-source projects that I have modified to meet the specific needs of this script.
Recommended Timeframes: For optimal performance, it is recommended to use this script on timeframes ranging from 1 day to 1 week.
Objective: The primary goal is to provide a probabilistic solution to identify market excesses, whether overbought or oversold points.
## Originality and Purpose
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This script stands out by integrating multiple macroeconomic indicators into a single comprehensive tool. Each indicator is carefully selected and customized to provide insights into different aspects of the Bitcoin market. By combining these indicators, the script offers a holistic view of market conditions, helping traders identify potential tops and bottoms with greater accuracy. This is the first version of the script, and additional macroeconomic indicators will be added in the future based on user feedback and other inputs.
## How It Works
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The script works by plotting each macroeconomic indicator on a single chart, allowing users to visualize and interpret the data easily. Here’s a detailed look at how each indicator contributes to the analysis:
EMA 10 Monthly: Uses an exponential moving average over 10 monthly periods to signal bullish and bearish trends. This indicator helps identify long-term trends in the Bitcoin market by smoothing out price fluctuations to reveal the underlying trend direction.Moving Averages w/ 18 day/week/month.
Credit to @ryanman0
M2 Money Supply: Analyzes the evolution of global money supply, indicating market liquidity conditions. This indicator tracks the changes in the total amount of money available in the economy, which can impact Bitcoin’s value as a hedge against inflation or economic instability.
Credit to @dylanleclair
CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed): An indicator based on the cumulative value of days destroyed, useful for identifying market turning points. This metric helps assess the Bitcoin market’s health by evaluating the age and value of coins that are moved, indicating potential shifts in market sentiment.
Credit to @Da_Prof
Pi Cycle: Uses simple and exponential moving averages to detect potential sell points. This indicator aims to identify cyclical peaks in Bitcoin’s price, providing signals for potential market tops.
Credit to @NoCreditsLeft
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss): Measures investors’ unrealized profit or loss to signal extreme market levels. This indicator shows the net profit or loss of Bitcoin holders as a percentage of the market cap, helping to identify periods of significant market optimism or pessimism.
Credit to @Da_Prof
PUELL Multiple: Assesses mining profitability relative to historical averages to indicate buying or selling opportunities. This indicator compares the daily issuance value of Bitcoin to its yearly average, providing insights into when the market is overbought or oversold based on miner behavior.
Credit to @Da_Prof
MRVR Z-Scores: Compares market value to realized value to identify overbought or oversold conditions. This metric helps gauge the overall market sentiment by comparing Bitcoin’s market value to its realized value, identifying potential reversal points.
Credit to @Pinnacle_Investor
Hash Ribbons: Uses hash rate variations to signal buying opportunities based on miner capitulation and recovery. This indicator tracks the health of the Bitcoin network by analyzing hash rate trends, helping to identify periods of miner capitulation and subsequent recoveries as potential buying opportunities.
Credit to @ROBO_Trading
## Indicator Visualization and Interpretation
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For each horizontal line representing an indicator, a legend is displayed on the right side of the chart. If the conditions are positive for an indicator, it will turn green, indicating the end of a bearish trend. Conversely, if the conditions are negative, the indicator will turn red, signaling the end of a bullish trend.
The background color of the chart changes based on the average of green or red indicators. This parameter is configurable, allowing adjustment of the threshold at which the background color changes, providing a clear visual indication of overall market conditions.
## Script Parameters
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The script includes several configurable parameters to customize the display and behavior of the indicators:
Color Style:
Normal: Default colors.
Modern: Modern color style.
Monochrome: Monochrome style.
User: User-customized colors.
Custom color settings for up trends (Up Trend Color), down trends (Down Trend Color), and NaN (NaN Color)
Background Color Thresholds:
Thresholds: Settings to define the thresholds for background color change.
Low/High Red Threshold: Low and high thresholds for bearish trends.
Low/High Green Threshold: Low and high thresholds for bullish trends.
Indicator Display:
Options to show or hide specific indicators such as EMA 10 Monthly, CVDD, Pi Cycle, M2 Money, NUPL, PUELL, MRVR Z-Scores, and Hash Ribbons.
Specific Indicator Settings:
EMA 10 Monthly: Options to customize the period for the exponential moving average calculation.
M2 Money: Aggregation of global money supply data.
CVDD: Adjustments for value normalization.
Pi Cycle: Settings for simple and exponential moving averages.
NUPL: Thresholds for unrealized profit/loss values.
PUELL: Adjustments for mining profitability multiples.
MRVR Z-Scores: Settings for overbought/oversold values.
Hash Ribbons: Options for hash rate moving averages and capitulation/recovery signals.
## Conclusion
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The “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” by Ox_kali is a tool designed to analyze the Bitcoin market. By combining several macroeconomic indicators, this script helps identify market peaks and troughs. It is recommended to use it on timeframes from 1 day to 1 week for optimal trend analysis. The scripts used are sourced from open-source projects, modified to suit the specific needs of this analysis.
## Notes
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This is the first version of the script and it is still in development. More indicators will likely be added in the future. Feedback and comments are welcome to improve this tool.
## Disclaimer:
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Please note that the Open Interest liquidation map is not a guarantee of future market performance and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management. Always ensure that you have a thorough understanding of the indicator’s methodology and its limitations before making any investment decisions. Additionally, past performance is not indicative of future results.
Cycles
Percentages from 52 Week HighThis script is helpful for anyone that wants to monitor 5, 10, 20, 30, 40, 50% drops from the 52 week moving high.
I have been using a version of this script for a few years now and thought I would share it back with the community as I wrote it in 2021 to find quick deals when flipping through charts of stocks I've been watching. I never seemed to find anything doing this simple yet intuitive thing and I found myself regularly computing these lines manually on each chart. This will save you from having to do that as it automatically draws each level on your chart based on the recent 52 week or daily high.
I recently added the ability to turn on/off different levels and defaulted to setting 5, 10, and 20 % drops from the 52 week high. You can also change this to be a 52 day moving high if that's your preference.
Please let me know if you have ideas for modification as I wanted to share this with the community given I had not seen anything out there giving me what I wanted - which is why I wrote it.
All the best friends.
Prometheus IQR bandsThis indicator is a tool that uses market data to plot bands along with a price chart.
This tool uses interquartile range (IQR) instead of Standard Deviation (STD) because market returns are not normally distributed. There is also no way to tell if the pocket of the market you are looking at is normally distributed. So using methods that work better with non-normal data minimizes risk more than using a different process.
Calculation
Code for helper functions:
// Function to calculate the percentile value
percentile(arr, p) =>
index = math.floor(p * (array.size(arr) - 1) + 0.5)
array.get(arr, index)
manual_iqr(data, lower_percentile, upper_percentile)=>
// Sort the data
data_arr = array.new()
for i = 0 to lkb_
data_arr.push(close )
array.sort(data_arr)
sorted_data = data_arr.copy()
n = array.size(data_arr)
// Calculate the specified percentiles
Q1 = percentile(sorted_data, lower_percentile)
Q3 = percentile(sorted_data, upper_percentile)
// Calculate IQR
IQR = Q3 - Q1
// Return the IQR
IQR
IQRB(lkb_, sens)=>
sens_l = sens/100
sens_h = (100-sens)/100
val = manual_iqr(close, sens_l, sens_h)
sma = ta.sma(close, int(lkb_))
upper = sma + val
lower = sma - val
Percentile Calculation (percentile function):
Calculates the percentile value of an array (arr) at a given percentile (p).
Uses linear interpolation to find the exact percentile value in a sorted array.
Manual IQR Calculation (manual_iqr function):
Converts the input data into an array (data_arr) and sorts it.
Computes the lower and upper quartiles (Q1 and Q3) using the specified percentiles (lower_percentile and upper_percentile).
Computes the Interquartile Range (IQR) as IQR = Q3 - Q1.
Returns the computed IQR.
IQRB Function Calculation (IQRB function):
Converts the sensitivity percentage (sens) into decimal values (sens_l for lower percentile and sens_h for upper percentile).
Calls manual_iqr with the closing prices (close) and the lower and upper percentiles.
Calculates the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the closing prices (close) over a specified period (lkb_).
Computes the upper and lower bands of the IQR using the SMA and the calculated IQR (val).
Returns an array containing the upper band, lower band, and SMA values.
After the IQR is calculated at the specified sensitivity it is added to and subtracted from a SMA of the specified period.
This provides us with bands of the IQR sensitivity we want.
Trade Examples
Step 1: Price quickly and strongly breaks below the bottom band and continues there for some bars.
Step 2: Price re-enters the bottom band and has a strong reversal.
Step 1: Price strongly breaks above the top band and continues higher.
Step 2: Price breaks below the top band and reverses to the downside.
Step 3: Price breaks below the bottom band after our previous reversal.
Step 4: Price regains that bottom band and reverses to the upside.
Step 5: Price continues moving higher and does not break above the top band or reverse.
Step 1: Price strongly breaks above the top band and continues higher.
Step 2: Price breaks below the top band and reverses to the downside.
Step 3: Price breaks below the bottom band after our previous reversal.
Step 4: Price regains that bottom band and reverses to the upside.
Step 5: Price strongly breaks above the top band after the previous reversal.
Step 6: Price breaks below the top band and reverses down.
Step 7: Price strongly breaks above the top band and continues moving higher.
Step 8: Price breaks below the top band and reverses down.
Step 9: Price strongly breaks above the top band and continues moving higher.
Step 10: Price breaks below the top band and reverses down.
Step 1: Price breaks above the top band.
Step 2: Price drops below the top band and chops slightly, without a large reversal from that break.
Step 3: Price breaks below the bottom band.
Step 4: Price re-enters the bottom band and just chops, no large reversal.
Step 5: Price breaks below the bottom band.
Step 6: Price retakes the bottom band and strongly reverses.
This tool can be uses to spot reversals and see when trends may continue as the stay inside the bands. No indicator is 100% accurate, we encourage traders to not follow them blindly and use them as tools.
Normalized Relative Strength LineNormalized Relative Strength Line Indicator
Overview
The "Normalized Relative Strength Line" indicator measures the relative performance of a stock compared to a benchmark index (e.g., NSE
). This indicator helps traders and investors identify whether a stock is outperforming or underperforming the selected benchmark over a specified lookback period. The values are normalized to a range of -100 to +100 for easy interpretation.
Key Features
Comparison Symbol: Users can select a benchmark index or any other comparison symbol to measure relative performance.
Lookback Period: A user-defined period for normalization, typically set to a number of trading days (e.g., 252 days for one year).
Relative Strength Calculation: The indicator calculates the percentage change in price for both the stock and the comparison symbol from the start of the lookback period.
Normalization: The relative strength values are normalized to a range of -100 to +100 to facilitate comparison and visualization.
Smoothing: An optional 14-period simple moving average (SMA) is applied to the normalized relative strength line for a smoother representation of trends.
Interpretation
Positive Values (+100 to 0): When the normalized relative strength (RS) line is above 0, it indicates that the stock is outperforming the comparison symbol. Higher values signify stronger outperformance.
Negative Values (0 to -100): When the normalized RS line is below 0, it indicates that the stock is underperforming the comparison symbol. Lower values signify stronger underperformance.
Horizontal Line at 0: The horizontal line at 0 serves as a reference point. Crossing this line from below indicates a shift from underperformance to outperformance, and crossing from above indicates a shift from outperformance to underperformance.
Crossovers: The points where the RS line crosses the moving average (red line) can signal potential changes in relative performance trends.
Example Use Case
If the normalized RS line of a stock consistently remains around +100, it suggests that the stock has been strongly outperforming the comparison symbol over the selected lookback period. Conversely, if it remains around -100, it suggests strong underperformance.
Heads UpAn indicator that gives you the "heads up" that that bullish/ bearish strength is increasing.
I wanted an indicator that could give me the "heads up" that bullish/ bearish strength is increasing. This would help me get into a breakout early or avoid entering a breakout that had a high probability of failure.
Here are my definitions for this indicator:
My bull bar definition:
- A green candle that closes above 75% of it's candle range.
- The candle's body does not overlap the previous candle's body. Tails/ wicks CAN overlap.
My bear bar definition:
- A red candle that closes below 75% of it's candle range.
- the candle's body does not overlap the previous candle's body. Tails/ ticks CAN overlap.
Bullish strength increasing (arrow up):
- Bull bars are increasing in size (the candle's range) compared to previous 5 bars.
- 2 consecutive bull bars.
Bearish strength increasing (arrow down):
- Bear bars are increasing in size (the candle's range) compared to previous 5 bars.
- 2 consecutive bear bars.
You will not see this indicator trigger very often but when it does - it's because there is a change in bullish bearish strength.
Things to be aware of:
Use the indicator in line with the context of the previous trend. You will get triggers that fail. These are usually because they appear counter trend. When in doubt zoom out.
It will not call every successful breakout. If you understand the definitions you'll understand why it appears.
This is my first indicator and used for my personal use. Feedback and other ideas are welcome.
Biquad Band Pass FilterThis indicator utilizes a biquad band pass filter to isolate and highlight a specific frequency band in price data, helping traders focus on price movements within a targeted frequency range.
The Length parameter determines the center frequency of the filter, affecting which frequency band is isolated. Adjusting this parameter allows you to focus on different parts of the price movement spectrum.
The Bandwidth (BW) controls the width of the frequency band in octaves. It represents the bandwidth between -3 dB frequencies for the band pass filter. A narrower bandwidth results in a more focused filtering effect, isolating a tighter range of frequencies.
Key Features of Biquad Filters
Biquad filters are a type of digital filter that provides a combination of low-pass, high-pass, band-pass, and notch filtering capabilities. In this implementation, the biquad filter is configured as a band pass filter, which allows frequencies within a specified band to pass while attenuating frequencies outside this band. This is particularly useful in trading to isolate specific price movements, making it easier to detect patterns and trends within a targeted frequency range.
Biquad filters are known for their smooth response and minimal phase distortion, making them ideal for technical analysis. The customizable length and bandwidth allow for flexible adaptation to different trading strategies and market conditions. Designed for real-time charting, the biquad filter operates efficiently without significant lag, ensuring timely analysis.
By incorporating this biquad band pass filter into your trading toolkit, you can enhance your chart analysis with clearer insights into specific frequency bands of price movements, leading to more informed trading decisions.
Volume Weighted Average Price Ratio (log) [ilyaQwerty]The VWAP Ratio indicator is a valuable tool for traders aiming to assess market trends and price movements in relation to the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP). Volume Weighted Average Price Ratio represents the ratio of the price of the asset compared to total traded volume in US Dollars. In a context of Bitcoin, VWAP ratio helps traders assess the market state, if it is overvalued or undervalued. High values of the indicator can suggest that the market is highly overvalued and low values can indicate a great buying opportunity.
Ratio Calculation: The VWAP Ratio is computed by dividing the current price by the VWAP (Price / VWAP). VWAP represents a ratio between a cumulative sum of a traded value (price multiplied by the volume) and a cumulative traded volume.
BTC-Specific Optimization: Although the indicator can be applied to various assets, the VWAP Ratio indicator is particularly useful for Bitcoin (BTC) due to its significant trading volume and unique market behaviour.
60-Day Cycle Long-Only IndicatorThe following indicator generates ‘Buy’ signals based on rotating 60-day cycles. The general theory is that when buying strong, growth-oriented assets, 60-day micro-cycles culminate into larger macro-cycles.
Summary:
Explaining the Upper and Lower Bounds in the 60-Day Cycle Strategy:
1. Cycle High (Upper Bound):
The cycle high is the highest closing price of the asset over the past 60 days. This value acts as the upper boundary of the 60-day cycle, indicating the peak price level during this period. When the current closing price is above this boundary, it suggests a potential distribution phase, where the asset might be overbought, and larger players may be selling off their positions. In the strategy, the cycle high is plotted as a red line on the chart, helping traders visually identify the upper limit of the 60-day trading range.
2. Cycle Low (Lower Bound):
The cycle low is the lowest closing price of the asset over the past 60 days. This value acts as the lower boundary of the 60-day cycle, indicating the trough price level during this period. When the current closing price is below this boundary, it suggests a potential accumulation phase, where the asset might be oversold, and larger players may be accumulating positions at lower prices. In the strategy, the cycle low is plotted as an orange line on the chart, helping traders visually identify the lower limit of the 60-day trading range.
How These Bounds Are Calculated:
• Cycle High: Calculated using the highest closing price over the last 60 trading days. In Pine Script, this is achieved with the function ta.highest(close, cycle_length), where cycle_length is set to 60 days.
• Cycle Low: Calculated using the lowest closing price over the last 60 trading days. In Pine Script, this is achieved with the function ta.lowest(close, cycle_length), where cycle_length is set to 60 days.
Interpretation and Application:
• Buy Signal: A buy signal is generated when the closing price crosses above the cycle low. This indicates a potential end to the bearish phase and the start of a bullish trend.
• Distribution Phase: When the closing price crosses above the cycle high, it suggests the market is in a distribution phase, potentially signaling a bearish trend or a sell-off period.
Example:
On a trading chart, the cycle high and cycle low are plotted as horizontal lines, with their colors distinguishing them (red for cycle high and orange for cycle low). These lines create a visual range within which the asset's price has moved over the last 60 days, helping traders quickly assess whether the current price is near the upper or lower bound.
By identifying and plotting these upper and lower bounds, traders can better understand the current market phase and make more informed trading decisions based on the 60-day cycle strategy. This indicator can be used across various assets.
Jobinsabu014This Pine Script code is for an advanced trading indicator that displays enhanced moving averages with buy and sell labels, trend probability, and support/resistance levels. Here’s a detailed description of its components and functionality:
### Description:
1. **Indicator Initialization**:
- The indicator is named "Enhanced Moving Averages with Buy/Sell Labels and Trend Probability" and is set to overlay on the chart.
2. **Input Parameters**:
- **Moving Averages**: Four different moving averages (short and long periods for default and enhanced) with customizable periods.
- **Probability Threshold**: Determines the threshold for trend probability.
- **Support/Resistance Lookback**: Number of bars to look back for calculating support and resistance levels.
- **Signals Valid From**: Timestamp from which the signals are considered valid.
3. **Moving Averages Calculation**:
- **Default Moving Averages**: Calculated using simple moving averages (SMA) for the specified periods.
- **Enhanced Moving Averages**: Calculated using SMAs for different specified periods.
4. **Plotting Moving Averages**:
- Plots the default and enhanced moving averages with different colors for distinction.
5. **Crossover Detection**:
- Detects when the short moving average crosses above or below the long moving average for default moving averages.
6. **Buy/Sell Signal Labels**:
- Adds "BUY" and "SELL" labels on the chart when crossovers are detected after the specified valid timestamp.
- Tracks entry prices for buy/sell signals and adds labels when the price moves +100 points.
7. **Trend Detection for Enhanced Indicator**:
- Detects uptrend or downtrend based on the enhanced moving averages.
- Calculates a simple probability of trend based on price movement and EMA.
- Determines buy and sell signals based on trend conditions and volume-based buy/sell pressure.
8. **Plot Buy/Sell Signals for Enhanced Indicator**:
- Plots buy/sell signals based on the enhanced conditions.
9. **Background Color for Trends**:
- Changes the background color to green for uptrend and red for downtrend.
10. **Trend Lines**:
- Draws imaginary trend lines for uptrend and downtrend based on enhanced moving averages.
11. **Support and Resistance Levels**:
- Calculates and plots support and resistance levels using the specified lookback period.
- Stores and plots previous support and resistance levels with dashed lines.
12. **Expected Trend Labels**:
- Adds labels indicating expected uptrend or downtrend based on buy/sell signals.
13. **Alerts**:
- Sets alert conditions for buy and sell signals, triggering alerts when these conditions are met.
14. **Demand and Supply Zones**:
- Draws and extends horizontal lines for demand (support) and supply (resistance) zones.
### Summary:
This script enhances traditional moving average crossovers by adding trend probability calculations, volume-based pressure, and support/resistance levels. It visualizes expected trends and provides comprehensive buy/sell signals with corresponding labels, background color changes, and alerts to help traders make informed decisions.
ICT Killzones and Sessions W/ Silver Bullet + MacrosForex and Equity Session Tracker with Killzones, Silver Bullet, and Macro Times
This Pine Script indicator is a comprehensive timekeeping tool designed specifically for ICT traders using any time-based strategy. It helps you visualize and keep track of forex and equity session times, kill zones, macro times, and silver bullet hours.
Features:
Session and Killzone Lines:
Green: London Open (LO)
White: New York (NY)
Orange: Australian (AU)
Purple: Asian (AS)
Includes AM and PM session markers.
Dotted/Striped Lines indicate overlapping kill zones within the session timeline.
Customization Options:
Display sessions and killzones in collapsed or full view.
Hide specific sessions or killzones based on your preferences.
Customize colors, texts, and sizes.
Option to hide drawings older than the current day.
Automatic Updates:
The indicator draws all lines and boxes at the start of a new day.
Automatically adjusts time-based boxes according to the New York timezone.
Killzone Time Windows (for indices):
London KZ: 02:00 - 05:00
New York AM KZ: 07:00 - 10:00
New York PM KZ: 13:30 - 16:00
Silver Bullet Times:
03:00 - 04:00
10:00 - 11:00
14:00 - 15:00
Macro Times:
02:33 - 03:00
04:03 - 04:30
08:50 - 09:10
09:50 - 10:10
10:50 - 11:10
11:50 - 12:50
Latest Update:
January 15:
Added option to automatically change text coloring based on the chart.
Included additional optional macro times per user request:
12:50 - 13:10
13:50 - 14:15
14:50 - 15:10
15:50 - 16:15
Usage:
To maximize your experience, minimize the pane where the script is drawn. This minimizes distractions while keeping the essential time markers visible. The script is designed to help traders by clearly annotating key trading periods without overwhelming their charts.
Originality and Justification:
This indicator uniquely integrates various time-based strategies essential for ICT traders. Unlike other indicators, it consolidates session times, kill zones, macro times, and silver bullet hours into one comprehensive tool. This allows traders to have a clear and organized view of critical trading periods, facilitating better decision-making.
Credits:
This script incorporates open-source elements with significant improvements to enhance functionality and user experience.
Forex and Equity Session Tracker with Killzones, Silver Bullet, and Macro Times
This Pine Script indicator is a comprehensive timekeeping tool designed specifically for ICT traders using any time-based strategy. It helps you visualize and keep track of forex and equity session times, kill zones, macro times, and silver bullet hours.
Features:
Session and Killzone Lines:
Green: London Open (LO)
White: New York (NY)
Orange: Australian (AU)
Purple: Asian (AS)
Includes AM and PM session markers.
Dotted/Striped Lines indicate overlapping kill zones within the session timeline.
Customization Options:
Display sessions and killzones in collapsed or full view.
Hide specific sessions or killzones based on your preferences.
Customize colors, texts, and sizes.
Option to hide drawings older than the current day.
Automatic Updates:
The indicator draws all lines and boxes at the start of a new day.
Automatically adjusts time-based boxes according to the New York timezone.
Killzone Time Windows (for indices):
London KZ: 02:00 - 05:00
New York AM KZ: 07:00 - 10:00
New York PM KZ: 13:30 - 16:00
Silver Bullet Times:
03:00 - 04:00
10:00 - 11:00
14:00 - 15:00
Macro Times:
02:33 - 03:00
04:03 - 04:30
08:50 - 09:10
09:50 - 10:10
10:50 - 11:10
11:50 - 12:50
Latest Update:
January 15:
Added option to automatically change text coloring based on the chart.
Included additional optional macro times per user request:
12:50 - 13:10
13:50 - 14:15
14:50 - 15:10
15:50 - 16:15
ICT Sessions and Kill Zones
What They Are:
ICT Sessions: These are specific times during the trading day when market activity is expected to be higher, such as the London Open, New York Open, and the Asian session.
Kill Zones: These are specific time windows within these sessions where the probability of significant price movements is higher. For example, the New York AM Kill Zone is typically from 8:30 AM to 11:00 AM EST.
How to Use Them:
Identify the Session: Determine which trading session you are in (London, New York, or Asian).
Focus on Kill Zones: Within that session, focus on the kill zones for potential trade setups. For instance, during the New York session, look for setups between 8:30 AM and 11:00 AM EST.
Silver Bullets
What They Are:
Silver Bullets: These are specific, high-probability trade setups that occur within the kill zones. They are designed to be "one shot, one kill" trades, meaning they aim for precise and effective entries and exits.
How to Use Them:
Time-Based Setup: Look for these setups within the designated kill zones. For example, between 10:00 AM and 11:00 AM for the New York AM session .
Chart Analysis: Start with higher time frames like the 15-minute chart and then refine down to 5-minute and 1-minute charts to identify imbalances or specific patterns .
Macros
What They Are:
Macros: These are broader market conditions and trends that influence your trading decisions. They include understanding the overall market direction, seasonal tendencies, and the Commitment of Traders (COT) reports.
How to Use Them:
Understand Market Conditions: Be aware of the macroeconomic factors and market conditions that could affect price movements.
Seasonal Tendencies: Know the seasonal patterns that might influence the market direction.
COT Reports: Use the Commitment of Traders reports to understand the positioning of large traders and commercial hedgers .
Putting It All Together
Preparation: Understand the macro conditions and review the COT reports.
Session and Kill Zone: Identify the trading session and focus on the kill zones.
Silver Bullet Setup: Look for high-probability setups within the kill zones using refined chart analysis.
Execution: Execute the trade with precision, aiming for a "one shot, one kill" outcome.
By following these steps, you can effectively use ICT sessions, kill zones, silver bullets, and macros to enhance your trading strategy.
Usage:
To maximize your experience, shrink the pane where the script is drawn. This minimizes distractions while keeping the essential time markers visible. The script is designed to help traders by clearly annotating key trading periods without overwhelming their charts.
Originality and Justification:
This indicator uniquely integrates various time-based strategies essential for ICT traders. Unlike other indicators, it consolidates session times, kill zones, macro times, and silver bullet hours into one comprehensive tool. This allows traders to have a clear and organized view of critical trading periods, facilitating better decision-making.
Credits:
This script incorporates open-source elements with significant improvements to enhance functionality and user experience. All credit goes to itradesize for the SB + Macro boxes
HTF OverlayThe "HTF Overlay" indicator provides a fully customizable higher timeframe (HTF) candle overlay on your current chart, designed to enhance your analysis and trading strategies. This tool is particularly useful for traders utilizing ICT's AMD power of three strategies, focusing on key candle OHLC/OLHC expansions, or those who need a quick reference to a higher timeframe without switching charts.
Originality and Usefulness:
The "HTF Overlay" script stands out due to its seamless integration of HTF candles onto lower timeframe charts. It ensures the current developing candle is left untouched, preserving the clarity of ongoing market activity. This feature is crucial for traders who need to analyze market structure on a smaller timeframe within the context of a larger timeframe candle.
Functionality:
Dynamic HTF Candle Display:
The script overlays HTF candles, updating them in real-time as new HTF candles form. This allows traders to see historical price behavior and trends alongside the current price action.
Visual Customization:
Users can adjust various aspects of the HTF candles, including the number of candles displayed, body colors, wick colors, wick thickness, and transparency levels for both body and wick. This ensures the overlay fits seamlessly with any chart setup.
Real-time Updates:
The indicator updates dynamically, ensuring that the HTF candles remain relevant to the current market conditions without affecting the developing candle.
How It Works:
Data Retrieval: The script uses the request.security function to fetch HTF data, including open, high, low, close, time, and time close values.
Candle Overlay: It calculates the visual parameters for the HTF candles (body and wick positions, colors, and transparency) and overlays them on the chart.
Update Mechanism: The script differentiates between new and ongoing candles, updating the current candle in real-time without disrupting its development.
How to Use:
Setup:
Select the higher timeframe you want to overlay (e.g., 240 minutes for 4-hour candles).
Specify the number of HTF candles to display.
Customize the appearance of the HTF candles, including colors and transparency settings for both the body and wicks.
Interpretation:
Use the HTF overlay to validate trading decisions by analyzing price action from a broader perspective.
Identify key support and resistance levels, trend directions, and potential reversal points by comparing current price action with HTF structures.
Integration:
Combine this indicator with other tools your strategy may use for a more comprehensive analysis.
Use it in conjunction with the first and last candle highlight feature to quickly identify key reference points and enhance your trading strategy.
Conclusion:
The "HTF Overlay" indicator is a versatile and essential tool for traders who need to incorporate higher timeframe analysis into their trading strategies. Its customizable features and real-time updates provide a deeper insight into market dynamics, helping traders make more informed decisions. Whether used for trend confirmation, breakout identification, or support/resistance analysis, this indicator enhances your ability to navigate the markets effectively.
Prometheus OscillatorThis oscillator is a tool meant to determine an up or down trend using a measure of volatility and what skews the market has.
Calculation
The first thing to do is normalize the price to have a 0 handle and be a decimal. The reason to do this is to get the 0 line for every asset.
After the source value has been normalized calculate standard deviation and skew.
Standard Deviation
To calculate standard deviation Prometheus uses Pinescript's built-in function.
standard_dev = ta.stdev(src, len, true)
Standard deviation is a decent and quick estimation of historical volatility over a period of time specified by the user.
Skew
Skew is calculated as follows:
mean = ta.sma(src, len)
m3 = math.sum(math.pow(src - mean, 3), len) / len
m2 = math.pow(math.sum(math.pow(src - mean, 2), len) / len, 1.5)
skew = m3 / m2
Skew is a value used to determine how far on one side of a distribution a value is. When the market is aggressively moving higher the skew will be a bigger positive number. When it is moving lower, a negative number. When the values are small, still either positive or negative, is when the market is moving calmly in either direction.
Adding these two values together provides us with our oscillator.
Trade Examples
A simple way to use this tool is to use 0-line crosses as bullish or bearish alerts
Step 1: Cross above 0 line, long alert. The price proceeds to move up.
Step 2: Cross below 0 line, short alert. The Price moves down.
Step 3: Cross above 0 line, long alert. The price chops then the price proceeds to move up.
0 line crosses can work but may not always be reliable.
Step 1: Cross above 0 line, long alert. The price proceeds to move up.
Step 2: Cross below 0 line, short alert. The Price bounces as the downtrend is signaled, but then continues to sell off.
Step 3: Cross above 0 line, long alert. The price chops at the high and then reverses.
Step 4: Cross below 0 line, short alert. proceeds to move down.
Step 5: Cross above 0 line, long alert. The price proceeds to move up.
Not every alert will be perfect, we encourage traders to use tools as well as their own discretion.
Previous highs and lows may be a good tell if the alert will be true.
Step 1: Cross above 0 line, long alert. The price proceeds to move up.
Step 2: Cross below 0 line, short alert. The Price bounces as the downtrend is signaled, false alert.
Step 3: Cross above 0 line, long alert. The price chops at the high and then moves up.
Step 4: Cross below 0 line, short alert. The price chops a lot with a false break to the upside, the oscillator itself does not move fast or high which could have been a sign it was false.
Step 5: Step 3's downtrend continues.
Step 6: Cross above the 0 line. A new up trend emerges.
The indicator has more than one use. Detecting false moves in a greater trend is advantageous to not get faked out.
Step 1: Price moves up, however, the oscillator does not break 0, and the trend remains bearish before a true break of 0 line and moves up.
Step 2: While the oscillator is below the 0 line the price moves up. The oscillator does not change its sign and the downtrend continues until a true break of 0 line and moves up.
Inputs:
Len: Lookback length for how many bars back to go to calculate the oscillator.
No indicator is 100% accurate, use them along with your own discretion.
Bitcoin Production CostFirst inspired by the amazing @capriole_charles, I decided to create my own version of calculating the Bitcoin production cost and to share it with you guys.
One of the main difference is the electricity cost calculation. I used a country-specific input system that calculates the weighted electricity cost leveraged by the distribution of the Bitcoin network hashrate. I like the fact that it requires little updating although it is less realistic for past calculations (further in the past production costs seems too low).
How to use:
- Add the indicator to your chart.
- Adjust the inputs if needed. Update the percentage of Bitcoin network Hashrate or electricity Cost per countries. Update the mining hardware stats to the most recent hardware. For example I used a Bitcoin Miner S21 Pro stats.
- Check the multiple variables in the data window.
- Turn on/off the halving event in the style tab
Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression
This indicator displays logarithmic regression channels for Bitcoin. A logarithmic regression is a function that increases or decreases rapidly at first, but then steadily slows as time moves. The original version of this indicator/model was created as an open source script by a user called Owain but is not available on TradingView anymore. So I decided to update the code to the latest version of pinescript and fine tune some of the parameters.
How to read and use the logarithmic regression:
There are 3 different regression lines or channels visible:
Green Channel: These lines represent different levels of support derived from the logarithmic regression model.
Purpose: The green channel is used to identify potential support levels where the price might find a bottom or bounce back upwards.
Interpretation:
If the price is approaching or touching the lower green lines, it might indicate a buying opportunity or an area where the price is considered undervalued.
------------------------------------------------
Red Channel: These lines represent different levels of resistance derived from the logarithmic regression model.
Purpose: The red channel is used to identify potential resistance levels where the price might encounter selling pressure or face difficulty moving higher.
Interpretation:
If the price is approaching or touching the upper red lines, it might indicate a selling opportunity or an area where the price is considered overvalued.
-------------------------------------------------
Purple Line This line represents to so-called "fair price" of Bitcoin according to the regression model.
Purpose: The purple line can be used to identify if the current price of Bitcoin is under- or overvalued.
Interpretation: A simple interpretation here would be that over time the price will have the tendency to always return to its "fair price", so starting to DCA more when price is under the line and less when it is over the line could be a suitable investment strategy.
----------------------------------------------------
Practical Application:
You can use this regression channel to build your own, long term, trading strategies. Notice how Bitcoin seems to always act in kind of the same 4 year cycle:
- Price likes to trade around the purple line at the time of the halvings
- After the halvings we see an extended sideways range for up to 300 days
- After the sideways range Bitcoin goes into a bull market frenzy (the area between the green and red channel)
- The price tops out at the upper red channel and then enters a prolonged bear market.
Buying around the purple line or lower line of the green channel and selling once the price reaches the red channel can be a suitable and very profitable strategy.
Adaptive Bollinger-RSI Trend Signal [CHE]Adaptive Bollinger-RSI Trend Signal
Indicator Overview:
The "Adaptive Bollinger-RSI Trend Signal " (ABRT Signal ) is a sophisticated trading tool designed to provide clear and actionable buy and sell signals by combining the power of Bollinger Bands and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This indicator aims to help traders identify potential trend reversals and confirm entry and exit points with greater accuracy.
Key Features:
1. Bollinger Bands Integration:
- Utilizes Bollinger Bands to detect price volatility and identify overbought or oversold conditions.
- Configurable parameters: Length, Source, and Multiplier for precise adjustments based on trading preferences.
- Color customization: Change the colors of the basis line, upper band, lower band, and the fill color between bands.
2. RSI Integration:
- Incorporates the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to validate potential buy and sell signals.
- Configurable parameters: Length, Source, Upper Threshold, and Lower Threshold for customized signal generation.
3. Signal Generation:
- Buy Signal: Generated when the price crosses below the lower Bollinger Band and the RSI crosses above the lower threshold, indicating a potential upward trend.
- Sell Signal: Generated when the price crosses above the upper Bollinger Band and the RSI crosses below the upper threshold, indicating a potential downward trend.
- Color customization: Change the colors of the buy and sell signal labels.
4. State Tracking:
- Tracks and records crossover and crossunder states of the price and RSI to ensure signals are only generated under the right conditions.
- Monitors the basis trend (SMA of the Bollinger Bands) to provide context for signal validation.
5. Counters and Labels:
- Labels each buy and sell signal with a counter to indicate the number of consecutive signals.
- Counters reset upon the generation of an opposite signal, ensuring clarity and preventing signal clutter.
6. DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) Calculation:
- Stores the close price at each signal and calculates the average entry price (DCA) for both buy and sell signals.
- Displays the number of positions and DCA values in a label on the chart.
7. Customizable Inputs:
- Easily adjustable parameters for Bollinger Bands, RSI, and colors to suit various trading strategies and timeframes.
- Boolean input to show or hide the table label displaying position counts and DCA values.
- Intuitive and user-friendly configuration options for traders of all experience levels.
How to Use:
1. Setup:
- Add the "Adaptive Bollinger-RSI Trend Signal " to your TradingView chart.
- Customize the input parameters to match your trading style and preferred timeframe.
- Adjust the colors of the indicator elements to your preference for better visibility and clarity.
2. Interpreting Signals:
- Buy Signal: Look for a "Buy" label on the chart, indicating a potential entry point when the price is oversold and RSI signals upward momentum.
- Sell Signal: Look for a "Sell" label on the chart, indicating a potential exit point when the price is overbought and RSI signals downward momentum.
3. Trade Execution:
- Use the buy and sell signals to guide your trade entries and exits, aligning them with your overall trading strategy.
- Monitor the counter labels to understand the strength and frequency of signals, helping you make informed decisions.
4. Adjust and Optimize:
- Regularly review and adjust the indicator parameters based on market conditions and backtesting results.
- Combine this indicator with other technical analysis tools to enhance your trading accuracy and performance.
5. Monitor DCA Values:
- Enable the table label to display the number of positions and average entry prices (DCA) for both buy and sell signals.
- Use this information to assess the cost basis of your trades and make strategic adjustments as needed.
Conclusion:
The Adaptive Bollinger-RSI Trend Signal is a powerful and versatile trading tool designed to help traders identify and capitalize on trend reversals with confidence. By combining the strengths of Bollinger Bands and RSI, this indicator provides clear and reliable signals, making it an essential addition to any trader's toolkit. Customize the settings, interpret the signals, and execute your trades with precision using this comprehensive indicator.
Risk Radar ProThe "Risk Radar Pro" indicator is a sophisticated tool designed to help investors and traders assess the risk and performance of their investments over a specified period. This presentation will explain each component of the indicator, how to interpret the results, and the advantages compared to traditional metrics.
The "Risk Radar Pro" indicator includes several key metrics:
● Beta
● Maximum Drawdown
● Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
● Annualized Volatility
● Dynamic Sharpe Ratio
● Dynamic Sortino Ratio
Each of these metrics is dynamically calculated using data from the entire selected period, providing a more adaptive and accurate measure of performance and risk.
1. Start Date
● Description: The date from which the calculations begin.
● Interpretation: This allows the user to set a specific period for analysis, ensuring that all metrics reflect the performance from this point onward.
2. Beta
● Description: Beta measures the volatility or systematic risk of the instrument relative to a reference index (e.g., SPY).
● Interpretation: A beta of 1 indicates that the instrument moves with the market. A beta greater than 1 indicates more volatility than the market, while a beta less than 1 indicates less volatility.
● Advantages: Unlike classic beta, which typically uses fixed historical intervals, this dynamic beta adjusts to market changes over the entire selected period, providing a more responsive measure.
3. Maximum Drawdown
● Description: The maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough before a new peak is achieved.
● Interpretation: This shows the largest single drop in value during the specified period. It is a critical measure of downside risk.
● Advantages: By tracking the maximum drawdown dynamically, the indicator can provide timely alerts when significant losses occur, allowing for better risk management.
4. Annualized Performance
● Description: The mean annual growth rate of the investment over the specified period.
● Interpretation: The Annualized Performance represents the smoothed annual rate at which the investment would have grown if it had grown at a steady rate.
● Advantages: This dynamic calculation reflects the actual long-term growth trend of the investment rather than relying on a fixed time frame.
5. Annualized Volatility
● Description: Measures the degree of variation in the instrument's returns over time, expressed as a percentage.
● Interpretation: Higher volatility indicates greater risk, as the investment's returns fluctuate more.
● Advantages: Annualized volatility calculated over the entire selected period provides a more accurate measure of risk, as it includes all market conditions encountered during that time.
6. Dynamic Sharpe Ratio
● Description: Measures the risk-adjusted return of an investment relative to its volatility.
● Choice of Risk-Free Rate Ticker: Users can select a ticker symbol to represent the risk-free rate in Sharpe ratio calculations. The default option is US03M, representing the 3-month US Treasury bill.
● Interpretation: A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted returns. This ratio accounts for the risk-free rate to provide a comparison with risk-free investments.
● Advantages: By using returns and volatility over the entire period, the dynamic Sharpe ratio adjusts to changes in market conditions, offering a more accurate measure than traditional static calculations.
7. Dynamic Sortino Ratio
● Description: Similar to the Sharpe ratio, but focuses only on downside risk.
Interpretation: A higher Sortino ratio indicates better risk-adjusted returns, focusing solely on negative returns, which are more relevant to risk-averse investors.
● Choice of Risk-Free Rate Ticker: Similarly, users can choose a ticker symbol for the risk-free rate in Sortino ratio calculations. By default, this is also set to US03M.
● Advantages: This ratio's dynamic calculation considering the downside deviation over the entire period provides a more accurate measure of risk-adjusted returns in volatile markets.
Comparison with Basic Metrics
● Static vs. Dynamic Calculations: Traditional metrics often use fixed historical intervals, which may not reflect current market conditions. The dynamic calculations in "Risk Radar Pro" adjust to market changes, providing more relevant and timely information.
● Comprehensive Risk Assessment: By including metrics like maximum drawdown, Sharpe ratio, and Sortino ratio, the indicator provides a holistic view of both upside potential and downside risk.
● User Customization: Users can customize the start date, reference index, risk-free rate, and table position, tailoring the indicator to their specific needs and preferences.
Conclusion
The "Risk Radar Pro" indicator is a powerful tool for investors and traders looking to assess and manage risk more effectively. By providing dynamic, comprehensive metrics, it offers a significant advantage over traditional static calculations, ensuring that users have the most accurate and relevant information to make informed decisions.
The "Risk Radar Pro" indicator provides analytical tools and metrics for informational purposes only. It is not intended as financial advice. Users should conduct their own research and consider their individual risk tolerance and investment objectives before making any investment decisions based on the indicator's outputs. Trading and investing involve risks, including the risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Moving Average CyclesMoving Average Cycles Indicator
Description:
The Moving Average Cycles indicator is a versatile tool designed to help traders identify and analyze bullish and bearish cycles based on price movements relative to a moving average. This indicator offers valuable insights into market trends and potential reversal points.
Key Features:
Customizable Moving Average: Users can adjust the MA period and resolution (Daily, Weekly, Monthly) to suit their trading style.
Cycle Identification: The indicator tracks bull and bear cycles, providing visual cues through color-coded histograms.
Comprehensive Metrics: A detailed table displays crucial cycle statistics, including:
Current cycle information (candles and % distance from MA)
Maximum and average cycle lengths (in candles)
Maximum and average percentage distances from the MA
How to Use:
Apply the indicator to your chart and adjust the MA period and resolution as needed.
Green histograms represent bullish cycles, while red histograms indicate bearish cycles.
Use the metrics table to gain insights into historical cycle behavior and current market positioning.
This indicator is designed to complement your existing trading strategy by providing a clear visual representation of market cycles and detailed statistical information. It can be particularly useful for identifying potential trend reversals and gauging the strength of current trends compared to the past.
Note: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This indicator is meant for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always combine multiple analysis tools and conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
This script is published as open-source under the Mozilla Public License 2.0. Feel free to use and modify it, but please provide appropriate credit if you build upon this work.
I hope you find this Moving Average Cycles indicator helpful in your trading journey. If you have any questions or suggestions for improvement, please feel free to leave a comment below.
Asset Drawdown & Drawdown HeatMap [InvestorUnknown]Overview
The "Asset Drawdown & Drawdown HeatMap" indicator is designed for educational purposes to help users visualize and analyze the drawdowns of various assets. It highlights both recent and historical drawdowns, offering valuable insights into the performance and risk of different investments. Additionally, it can serve as a complementary analysis tool for trading and investing decisions.
Features
Drawdown Calculation:
Computes the drawdown from the highest value (ATH) to the current value, showing the percentage decline.
Displays both the current drawdown and the maximum historical drawdown for the selected assets.
HeatMap Visualization:
Uses a gradient color scheme to represent the magnitude of drawdowns over a specified lookback period.
Helps identify periods of significant decline and recovery visually.
Multiple Assets:
Supports up to 10 different assets (adding more would make it harder to see the drawdowns of different assets), allowing users to compare drawdowns across various symbols.
Each asset can be individually plotted and color-coded for clarity.
Customizable Settings:
User inputs for high and low value calculations, color preferences, and lookback periods.
Option to color bars based on the drawdown heatmap.
Detailed Functionality
Drawdown Calculation:
The DD() function calculates the current drawdown and the maximum historical drawdown based on the high and low values.
The drawdown is calculated as 100 - (lowvalue / ATH * 100), where ATH is the highest value observed so far.
// - - - - - Custom Function - - - - - //{
DD() =>
ATH = highvalue
ATH := na(ATH ) ? highvalue : math.max(highvalue, ATH )
Drawdown = 100 - lowvalue / ATH * 100
MaxDrawdown = Drawdown
MaxDrawdown := na(MaxDrawdown ) ? Drawdown : math.max(Drawdown, MaxDrawdown )
//}
Security Request:
Uses the request.security() function to fetch drawdown data for each specified asset on a daily timeframe.
Computes both current drawdown (TnDD) and maximum drawdown (TnMDD) for each asset.
// - - - - - Create Variables - - - - - //{
= request.security("", "1D", DD()) // Chart
= request.security(t1, "1D", DD())
= request.security(t2, "1D", DD())
= request.security(t3, "1D", DD())
= request.security(t4, "1D", DD())
= request.security(t5, "1D", DD())
= request.security(t6, "1D", DD())
= request.security(t7, "1D", DD())
= request.security(t8, "1D", DD())
= request.security(t9, "1D", DD())
= request.security(t10, "1D", DD())
//}
Plotting:
Plots the drawdown values for each asset on the chart, with the option to enable or disable plotting for individual assets.
Colors the plotted lines and labels based on user-specified preferences.
HeatMap:
Creates a heatmap color gradient based on the drawdown values over the lookback period.
Colors the bars on the chart according to the heatmap to visualize drawdown severity over time.
// - - - - - HeatMap - - - - - //{
heatcol = color.from_gradient(T0DD, ta.lowest(T0DD,lookback), ta.highest(T0DD,lookback), topcol, botcol)
barcolor(colbars ? heatcol : na)
//}
Labels:
Displays labels for each asset's drawdown value at the end of the chart for quick reference.
This indicator is an excellent tool for educational purposes, helping users understand drawdown dynamics and their implications on asset performance. It also provides a visual aid for monitoring and comparing drawdowns across multiple assets, which can be beneficial for making informed trading and investment decisions.
US Presidential Elections (Names & Dates)US Presidential Elections (Names & Dates)
Description :
This indicator marks key dates in US presidential history, highlighting both election days and inauguration dates. It's designed to provide historical context to your charts, allowing you to see how major political events align with market movements.
Key Features:
• Displays US presidential elections from 1936 to 2052
• Shows inauguration dates for each president
• Customizable colors and styles for both election and inauguration markers
• Toggle visibility of election and inauguration labels separately
• Adapts to different timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly)
• Includes president names for historical context
The indicator uses yellow labels for election days and blue labels for inauguration dates. Election labels show the year and "Election", while inauguration labels display the name of the incoming president.
Customization options include:
• Colors for election and inauguration labels and text
• Line widths for both types of events
• Label placement styles
This tool is perfect for traders and analysts who want to correlate political events with market trends over long periods. It provides a unique perspective on how presidential cycles might influence financial markets.
Note: Future elections (2024 onwards) are marked with a placeholder (✅) as the presidents are not yet known.
Use this indicator to:
• Identify potential market patterns around election cycles
• Analyze historical market reactions to specific presidencies
• Add political context to your long-term chart analysis
Enhance your chart analysis with this comprehensive view of US presidential history!
Non-Sinusoidal Multi-Layered Moving Average OscillatorThis indicator utilizes multiple moving averages (MAs) of different lengths their difference and its rate of change to provide a comprehensive view of both short-term and long-term market trends. The output signal is characterized by its non-sinusoidal nature, offering distinct advantages in trend analysis and market forecasting.
Combining the difference between two moving averages with the ROC allows to assess not only the direction and strength of the trend but also the momentum behind it. Transforming these signal in to non-sinusoidal output enhances its utility.
The indicator allows traders to select any one or more of seven moving average options. Larger timeframes (e.g., MA89/MA144) provide a broader identification of the overall trend, helping to understand the general market direction. Smaller timeframes (e.g., MA5/MA8) are more sensitive to price changes and can indicate better entry and exit points, aiding in the identification of retracements and pullbacks. By combining multiple timeframes, traders can get a comprehensive view of the market, enabling more precise and informed trading decisions.
Key Features:
Multiple Moving Averages:
The indicator calculates several exponential moving averages (EMAs) based on different lengths: MA5, MA8, MA13, MA21, MA34, MA55, MA89, and MA144.
These MAs are further smoothed using a secondary exponential moving average, with the smoothing length customizable by the user.
Percentage Differences:
The indicator computes the percentage differences between successive MAs (e.g., (MA5 - MA8) / MA8 * 100). These differences highlight the relative movement of prices over different periods, providing insights into market momentum and trend strength.
Short-term MA differences (e.g., MA5/MA8) are more sensitive to recent price changes, making them useful for detecting quick market movements.
Long-term MA differences (e.g., MA89/MA144) smooth out short-term fluctuations, helping to identify major trends.
Rate of Change (ROC):
The indicator applies the Rate of Change (ROC) to the percentage differences of the MAs. ROC measures the speed at which the percentage differences are changing over time, providing an additional layer of trend analysis.
ROC helps in understanding the acceleration or deceleration of market trends, indicating the strength and potential reversals.
Transformations:
The percentage differences undergo a series of mathematical transformations (either inverse hyperbolic sine transformation or inverse fisher transformation) to refine the signal and enhance its interpretability. These transformations include adjustments to stabilize the values and highlight significant movements.
checkbox allows users to select which mathematical transformations to use.
Non-Sinusoidal Nature:
The output signal of this indicator is non-sinusoidal, characterized by abrupt changes and distinct patterns rather than smooth, wave-like oscillations.
The non-sinusoidal signal provides clearer demarcations of trend changes and is more responsive to sudden market shifts.
This nature reduces the lag typically associated with sinusoidal indicators, allowing for more timely and accurate trading decisions.
Customizable Options:
Users can select which MA pairs to include in the analysis using checkboxes. This flexibility allows the indicator to adapt to different trading strategies, whether focused on short-term movements or long-term trends.
Visual Representation:
The indicator plots the transformed values on a separate panel, making it easy for traders to visualize the trends and potential entry or exit points.
Usage Scenarios:
Short-Term Trading: By focusing on shorter MAs (e.g., MA5/MA8), traders can capture quick market movements and identify short-term trends.
Long-Term Analysis: Utilizing longer MAs (e.g., MA89/MA144) helps in identifying major market trends.
Combination of MAs: The ability to mix different MA lengths provides a balanced view, helping traders make decisions based on both immediate price actions and overall market direction.
Practical Benefits:
Early Signal Detection: The sensitivity of short-term MAs provides early signals for potential trend changes, assisting traders in timely decision-making.
Trend Confirmation: Long-term MAs offer stable trend confirmation, reducing the likelihood of false signals in volatile markets.
Noise Reduction: The mathematical transformations and ROC applied to the percentage differences help in filtering out market noise, focusing on meaningful price movements.
Improved Responsiveness: The non-sinusoidal nature of the signal allows the indicator to react more quickly to market changes, providing more accurate and timely trading signals.
Clearer Trend Demarcations: Non-sinusoidal signals make it easier to identify distinct phases of market trends, aiding in better interpretation and decision-making.
MA Optimizer Simplified [CHE]Introduction:
The MA Optimizer Simplified is a powerful tool for traders and analysts who want to compare and optimize various moving averages (MA). This tool is specifically designed to identify the best or worst performers among a variety of moving averages based on their cumulative performance.
Features and Benefits:
1. Versatility:
- Supports multiple types of moving averages, including:
- Simple Moving Average (SMA): A basic MA calculated by averaging the closing prices over a specified period.
- Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to new information.
- Weighted Moving Average (WMA): Assigns more weight to recent data, but in a linear fashion.
- Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): Averages prices based on volume, giving more importance to periods with higher trading volume.
- Hull Moving Average (HMA): Designed to reduce lag while improving smoothness.
- Smoothed Moving Average (SMMA or RMA): Averages prices over a longer period, providing a smoother line.
- Bollinger Bands: Uses SMA as a basis and adds upper and lower bands based on standard deviations.
- T3: A smoother and less lagging MA that reduces market noise.
- Allows users to easily switch between MA types and test different periods.
2. Performance Evaluation:
- Calculates the cumulative performance of up to ten different MAs.
- Automatically identifies the best or worst performer based on user selection (Best or Worst).
3. Crossover Detection:
- Detects crossovers of prices and MAs to measure performance.
- Provides clear visual signals when the price crosses a moving average.
4. Visual Representation:
- Plots the best MA indicator on the chart, dynamically changing its color based on price movement relative to the MA.
- Table functionality to display the performance of each MA, including the length and achieved performance in percentage.
5. Customizable Settings:
- Customizable settings for table size and position as well as colors for better visualization and user-friendliness.
- Flexibility in selecting the number of candles that must be above or below the MA before a signal is triggered.
Special Features:
1. T3 Indicator:
- The T3 indicator provides a smoother representation and reduces market noise, leading to more precise signals.
2. Crossover and Crossunder Logic:
- The script includes advanced logic for detecting crossover and crossunder events to identify accurate entry points.
3. Dynamic Color Change:
- The best MA indicator changes color based on the number of candles above or below the MA, helping to quickly recognize market sentiment.
4. Comprehensive Performance Analysis:
- The calculation of cumulative performance for each MA allows for detailed analysis and helps identify the most effective trading strategies.
Conclusion:
The MA Optimizer Simplified is an essential tool for any trader looking to analyze and optimize the performance of various moving averages. With its versatile features and user-friendly settings, it offers a comprehensive and efficient solution for technical analysis.
Best regards, Chervolino
Fourier Extrapolation of PriceOverview
The "Fourier Extrapolation of Price" indicator utilizes Fourier Transform methods to analyze and predict future price movements based on historical data. By decomposing price series into their frequency components, this indicator provides a forecast of future price trends, making it a powerful tool for traders seeking advanced analytical techniques.
Key Features
Fourier Transform Analysis: Applies Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT) to the price series to identify frequency components.
Price Prediction: Forecasts future prices based on the dominant frequencies detected in the historical data.
Customizable Parameters: Allows users to set the length of historical data for analysis and the forecast period.
Visual Representation: Plots historical and forecasted prices for easy comparison.
How It Works
The indicator first normalizes the price series by subtracting the mean. It then applies the Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT) to the normalized data, extracting the real and imaginary parts. The magnitude and phase of these components are used to forecast future prices through an inverse DFT. Finally, the forecasted prices are denormalized and plotted alongside the historical prices on the chart.
Usage Instructions
Configure Parameters: Set the length of the historical data (DFT Length) and the forecast period (Forecast Length) to suit your analysis.
Apply to Chart: Add the indicator to your chart to start the analysis. Note that the computation may take a minute to complete due to the complexity of the Fourier Transform.
Analyze Results: Review the plotted forecasted prices (in red) alongside the historical prices (in blue) to identify potential future trends.
Trading Decisions: Use the forecasted price trends to inform your trading decisions, such as identifying potential entry and exit points based on predicted market movements.
Note : Due to the computational complexity of the Fourier Transform, the prediction may take a minute to load. Please be patient as the indicator processes the data to provide accurate forecasts.
This indicator is useful for traders who:
Advanced Analysis: Seek advanced mathematical techniques for market analysis.
Trend Prediction: Want to forecast future price movements based on historical data.
Customizable Analysis: Prefer customizable parameters for tailored analysis.
Visual Insights: Appreciate visual representation of historical and forecasted prices for better decision-making.
[MAD] Custom Session VWAP BandsOverview
This indicator helps visualize the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) and its associated standard deviation bands over specified time periods, providing traders with a clear understanding of price trends, volatility, and potential support/resistance levels.
Inputs
Deviation
StDev mult 1: Multiplier for the first standard deviation band (Default: 1.0)
StDev mult 2: Multiplier for the second standard deviation band (Default: 2.0)
StDev mult 3: Multiplier for the third standard deviation band (Default: 3.0)
StDev mult 4: Multiplier for the fourth standard deviation band (Default: 4.0)
Line width: Width of the lines for the bands (Default: 2)
Custom Vwap session reset settings
Many different options are considered when a session is going to be reset.
Plot and Fill Options
Enable Fills: Enable/disable filling between bands.
Plot +4: Enable/disable plotting the +4 standard deviation band.
Plot +3: Enable/disable plotting the +3 standard deviation band.
Plot +2: Enable/disable plotting the +2 standard deviation band.
Plot +1: Enable/disable plotting the +1 standard deviation band.
Plot VWAP: Enable/disable plotting the VWAP line.
Plot -1: Enable/disable plotting the -1 standard deviation band.
Plot -2: Enable/disable plotting the -2 standard deviation band.
Plot -3: Enable/disable plotting the -3 standard deviation band.
Plot -4: Enable/disable plotting the -4 standard deviation band.
How to Use the Indicator
Adding the Indicator
Add the indicator to your chart through your trading platform's indicator menu.
Configuring the VWAP Reset
Specify reset intervals based on time, days of the week, or specific dates.
Adjust the time zone if necessary.
Customizing Standard Deviation Bands
Set the multipliers for the standard deviation bands.
Choose line width for better visualization.
Enabling Plots and Fills
Select which bands to display.
Enable or disable fills between the bands.
Practical Application of VWAP Bands
Understanding VWAP
VWAP is a trading benchmark that calculates the average price a security has traded at throughout the day based on volume and price. It is primarily used for intraday trading but can also offer insights during end-of-day reviews.
Using VWAP for Trading
Intraday Trading
Entry and Exit Points: VWAP can help identify optimal buy and sell points. Buy when the price is above VWAP and sell when it's below.
Support and Resistance: VWAP often acts as a dynamic support/resistance level. Prices tend to revert to VWAP, making it a crucial level for intraday traders.
Trend Confirmation
Uptrends and Downtrends: In an uptrend, the price will generally stay above VWAP. Conversely, in a downtrend, it will stay below. Use this to confirm market direction.
Combining with Other Indicators
Moving Averages and Bollinger Bands: Combining VWAP with these indicators can provide a more robust trading signal, confirming trends and potential reversals.
Setting Stop-Loss and Profit Targets
Conservative Stop Orders: Place stop orders at recent lows for pullback trades.
Profit Targets: Use daily highs or Fibonacci extension levels to set profit targets.
Strategies for Using VWAP
Pullback Strategy
Buy during pullbacks to VWAP in an uptrend, and sell during rallies to VWAP in a downtrend.
Breakout Strategy
Look for breakouts above/below VWAP after the market open to capitalize on new trends.
Momentum Trading
Use VWAP to confirm the strength of a trend. Buy when the price is consistently above VWAP and sell when it's consistently below.
Institutional Strategies
Institutional traders use VWAP to execute large orders without causing significant market impact, ensuring trades are made around the average price.
By incorporating these strategies, traders can better understand market dynamics, make informed trading decisions, and manage their risk effectively.
Some setup possibilities
