A probability cone is an indicator that forecasts a statistical distribution from a set point in time into the future.
Features
Forecast a Standard or Laplace distribution.
Change the how many bars the cones will lookback and sample in their calculations.
Set how many bars to forecast the cones.
Let the cones follow price from a set number of bars back.
...
The indicator is derived from the concept of Aurora Candles (Credit to RK Arora)
Description
The script instantly calculates and highlights the largest candle (from high to low) in a user specified lookback period. It then plots the expected support, resistance, supply and demand levels. When a larger candle is printed, it will immediately plot the new...
This indicator uses a simple time series forecasting method derived from the similarity between recent prices and similar/dissimilar historical prices. We named this method "ECHO".
This method originally assumes that future prices can be estimated from a historical series of observations that are most similar to the most recent price variations. This similarity...
Introduction
The last time (as of this publishing) that this indicator detected an inverted interest rate yield curve was on February 20th, 2020 at 12:30pm EST, the afternoon before the S&P500 began one of its largest crashes in US history. The vast majority of major economic recessions since the 1950's have been preceded by an interest rate yield curve...
Returns pivot points high/low alongside the percentage change between one pivot and the previous one (Δ%) and the distance between the same type of pivots in bars (Δt). The trailing mean for each of these metrics is returned on a dashboard on the chart. The indicator also returns an estimate of the future time position of the pivot points.
This indicator by its...
Fibonacci time zones, based on the Fibonacci number sequence, are vertical lines that represent potential areas where a swing high, low, or reversal could occur.
Trend-Based Fib Time shows probable price corrections in an existing trend. A useful tool to use in addition to Elliot Wave counting, Fib Time helps to identify how far the wave is likely to travel ...
This indicator gives traders historical probabilities based on how often price closed between any two pivot points.
What are the features? (as of release)
Get the historical statistics of how often price closed between any two pivot points.
Manually set your own pivot point resolution to any higher timeframe. So get the historical statistics from any pivot...
▪ How to use ?
The Screener has 40 stocks which are selected from NSE Nifty50 (list is given below) (cannot be editable) and after 9:15 am IST, it will scan most probable Bullish and Bearish stocks, both stocks will be labelled separately.
▪ Entry may be made at specified near the Stock name and target and SL is also mentioned nearby. Priority to be given...
This is an experimental study designed to forecast the range of price movement from a specified starting point using a Monte Carlo simulation.
Monte Carlo experiments are a broad class of computational algorithms that utilize random sampling to derive real world numerical results.
These types of algorithms have a number of applications in numerous fields of study...
The Forecast Oscillator is a technical indicator that compares a security close price to its time series forecast. The time series forecast function name is "tsf" and it calculates the projection of the price trend for the next bar.
The Forecast Oscillator and therefore the time series forecast are based on linear regression. The time series forecast indicator...
EN: High Frequency Trade Algo TVQ is an advanced algorithmic system developed using Volume Weighted / Exponential Moving Averages, vWap and Ichimoku . Said indicators are re-blended with the Volume Weighted Average ( vWap ) algorithm used by Merryl Lynch or Yapıkredi algorithms. It does not act like the classic Ichimoku or Moving Averages. TVQ was used instead of...
Trend & Contrarian (Expo) is a powerful trend tool with adaptive contrarian- signals. A strong trend is displayed by the background color and the unique Trend dots/line can be used to confirm a strong trend or to identify early trend reversals. The contrarian-signals are adapting dynamically to price moves and should be used as 'preparation' or 'warning' prior to...
THE 'PROBLEM'
A lot of buy and sell strategies are based on price action being at a particular (support) level, crossovers of different moving averages or of price action over moving averages. Whilst this is a safe way to trade, the price paid is lost earnings , whilst one waits for price/moving averages to reach a particular level/configuration. So for instance...
This study is based on several Price Action parameters of :-
• Candle Pattern,
• Supply Demands,
• Support and Resistance ,
• Breakouts,
• Trend Series Forecasting,
• Average true Range,
• Neural Smoothing With Alpha, Beta Calculations for Filtering wrong trend breakouts.
► How To Use This Study ?
• This Study is for positional trading.
• Buy Whenever a GREEN Up...
The Garch (General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) model is a non-linear time series model that uses past data to forecast future variance.
The Garch (1,1) formula is:
Garch = (gamma * Long Run Variance) + (alpha * Squared Lagged Returns) + (beta * Lagged Variance)
The gamma, alpha, and beta values are all weights used in the Garch calculations....
This is the optimized version of my MTFSBB indicator with capability of possible bands prediction in case of negative shifting (to the left).
Make me happy by using it and sending me your ideas about the prediction.
What is Probability?
It is a measure for calculating the chances or the possibilities of the occurrence of a random event. In simple words, it calculates the chance of the favorable outcome amongst the entire possible outcomes. Mathematically, if you want to answer what is probability, it is defined as the ratio of the number of favorable events to the total...
![BTCUSD: The Echo Forecast [LuxAlgo]](https://s3.tradingview.com/y/Y8v4W3mX_mid.png "The Echo Forecast [LuxAlgo]")
![EURUSD: Pivot High/Low Analysis & Forecast [LuxAlgo]](https://s3.tradingview.com/h/HBuT6e1v_mid.png "Pivot High/Low Analysis & Forecast [LuxAlgo]")
![BTCUSD: Monte Carlo Range Forecast [DW]](https://s3.tradingview.com/u/ujVS2XfG_mid.png "Monte Carlo Range Forecast [DW]")
